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James Durbin

(deceased)

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. J. Durbin and S.J. Koopman, 2001. "An efficient and simple simulation smoother for state space time series analysis," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001 52, Society for Computational Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2019. "Money, Credit, Monetary Policy, and the Business Cycle in the Euro Area: What Has Changed Since the Crisis?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(5), pages 137-173, December.
    2. Michael Artis & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Proietti, 2004. "Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries," Econometrics 0403006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. C. Glocker & G. Sestieri & P. Towbin, 2017. "Time-varying fiscal spending multipliers in the UK," Working papers 643, Banque de France.
    4. Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," CEPR Discussion Papers 9931, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Jouchi Nakajima, 2011. "Time-Varying Parameter VAR Model with Stochastic Volatility: An Overview of Methodology and Empirical Applications," IMES Discussion Paper Series 11-E-09, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    6. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Abdurrahman Nazif Catik & Gül Serife Huyugüzel Kisla & Mohamad Husam Helmi & Coskun Akdeniz, 2021. "Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Sectoral Stock Returns in the BRICS-T Countries: A Time-Varying Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 9322, CESifo.
    7. Nazif Çatık, Abdurrahman & Huyugüzel Kışla, Gül & Akdeni̇z, Coşkun, 2020. "Time-varying impact of oil prices on sectoral stock returns: Evidence from Turkey," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

  2. Durbin, J. & Koopman, S.J.M., 1998. "Time Series Analysis of Non-Gaussian Observations Based on State Space Models from Both Classical and Bayesian Perspectives," Discussion Paper 1998-142, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Chris M Strickland & Gael Martin & Catherine S Forbes, 2006. "Parameterisation and Efficient MCMC Estimation of Non-Gaussian State Space Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 22/06, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    2. Marimoutou, Vêlayoudom & Soury, Manel, 2015. "Energy markets and CO2 emissions: Analysis by stochastic copula autoregressive model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 417-429.
    3. Dominik Bertsche & Robin Braun, 2018. "Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2018-03, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
    4. Robert Jung & A. Tremayne, 2011. "Useful models for time series of counts or simply wrong ones?," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 95(1), pages 59-91, March.
    5. Hans J. Skaug & Jun Yu, 2007. "Automated Likelihood Based Inference for Stochastic Volatility Models," Working Papers CoFie-01-2007, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics.
    6. Siem Jan Koopman & Kai Ming Lee, 0000. "Seasonality with Trend and Cycle Interactions in Unobserved Components Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-028/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    7. Godolphin, E.J. & Triantafyllopoulos, Kostas, 2006. "Decomposition of time series models in state-space form," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(9), pages 2232-2246, May.
    8. Chen, Yen-Hsiao & Quan, Lianfeng & Liu, Yang, 2013. "An empirical investigation on the temporal properties of China's GDP," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 69-81.
    9. Bernd Schwaab & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2015. "Global Credit Risk: World, Country and Industry Factors," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-029/III/DSF87, Tinbergen Institute.
    10. Robert A. Hill & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2022. "Forgetting approaches to improve forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1356-1371, November.
    11. J.S.K. Chan & W.Y. Wan & P.L.H. Yu, 2014. "A Poisson geometric process approach for predicting drop-out and committed first-time blood donors," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(7), pages 1486-1503, July.
    12. Hermann Singer, 2003. "Simulated Maximum Likelihood in Nonlinear Continuous-Discrete State Space Models: Importance Sampling by Approximate Smoothing," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 79-106, March.
    13. Broto, Carmen, 2002. "Estimation methods for stochastic volatility models: a survey," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws025414, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    14. Kostas Triantafyllopoulos, 2009. "Inference of Dynamic Generalized Linear Models: On‐Line Computation and Appraisal," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 77(3), pages 430-450, December.
    15. Thiago R. Santos & Glaura C. Franco & Dani Gamerman, 2010. "Comparison of Classical and Bayesian Approaches for Intervention Analysis," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 78(2), pages 218-239, August.
    16. Macaro, Christian, 2010. "Bayesian non-parametric signal extraction for Gaussian time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 381-395, August.
    17. Yasuhiro Omori & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2007. "Block Sampler and Posterior Mode Estimation for A Nonlinear and Non-Gaussian State-Space Model with Correlated Errors," CARF F-Series CARF-F-104, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    18. Geert Mesters & Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2011. "Monte Carlo Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Generalized Long-Memory Time Series Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-090/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    19. Breitung, J. & Hafner, C., 2016. "A simple model for now-casting volatility series," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2016035, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    20. Håvard Rue & Ingelin Steinsland & Sveinung Erland, 2004. "Approximating hidden Gaussian Markov random fields," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(4), pages 877-892, November.
    21. Tsionas, Mike, 2012. "Simple techniques for likelihood analysis of univariate and multivariate stable distributions: with extensions to multivariate stochastic volatility and dynamic factor models," MPRA Paper 40966, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Aug 2012.
    22. Christian Brinch, 2012. "Efficient simulated maximum likelihood estimation through explicitly parameter dependent importance sampling," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 13-28, March.
    23. Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia & Wagner, Helga, 2008. "Marginal likelihoods for non-Gaussian models using auxiliary mixture sampling," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(10), pages 4608-4624, June.
    24. Lange, Rutger-Jan, 2024. "Bellman filtering and smoothing for state–space models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
    25. Michael D. Hunter & Haya Fatimah & Marina A. Bornovalova, 2022. "Two Filtering Methods of Forecasting Linear and Nonlinear Dynamics of Intensive Longitudinal Data," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 87(2), pages 477-505, June.
    26. Tsyplakov, Alexander, 2010. "Revealing the arcane: an introduction to the art of stochastic volatility models," MPRA Paper 25511, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    27. Geert Mesters & Siem Jan Koopman, 2012. "Generalized Dynamic Panel Data Models with Random Effects for Cross-Section and Time," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-009/4, Tinbergen Institute, revised 18 Mar 2014.
    28. Agustín Maravall & Ana del Río, 2007. "Temporal aggregation, systematic sampling, and the Hodrick-Prescott filter," Working Papers 0728, Banco de España.
    29. Dethlefsen, Claus & Lundbye-Christensen, Søren, 2006. "Formulating State Space Models in R with Focus on Longitudinal Regression Models," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 16(i01).
    30. McCabe, B.P.M. & Martin, G.M., 2005. "Bayesian predictions of low count time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 315-330.
    31. Sandmann, Gleb & Koopman, Siem Jan, 1998. "Estimation of stochastic volatility models via Monte Carlo maximum likelihood," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 271-301, September.
    32. Jun Yu & Zhenlin Yang & Xibin Zhang, 2002. "A Class of Nonlinear Stochastic Volatility Models and Its Implications on Pricing Currency Options," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 17/02, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    33. Junji Shimada & Yoshihiko Tsukuda, 2004. "Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models : An Approximation to the Nonlinear State Space," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 611, Econometric Society.
    34. Danny Pfeffermann & Richard Tiller, 2005. "Bootstrap Approximation to Prediction MSE for State–Space Models with Estimated Parameters," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(6), pages 893-916, November.
    35. Wu, Rongning, 2012. "On variance estimation in a negative binomial time series regression model," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 145-155.
    36. McCAUSLAND, William, 2008. "The Hessian Method (Highly Efficient State Smoothing, In a Nutshell)," Cahiers de recherche 2008-03, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    37. Alexander Tsyplakov, 2010. "Revealing the arcane: an introduction to the art of stochastic volatility models (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 8, pages 69-122, July.
    38. Mauro Bernardi & Daniele Bianchi & Nicolas Bianco, 2022. "Smoothing volatility targeting," Papers 2212.07288, arXiv.org.
    39. Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas & Marcel Scharth, 2016. "Predicting Time-Varying Parameters with Parameter-Driven and Observation-Driven Models," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 98(1), pages 97-110, March.
    40. Klingenberg, Bernhard, 2008. "Regression models for binary time series with gaps," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(8), pages 4076-4090, April.
    41. Siem Jan Koopman & Borus Jungbacker & Eugenie Hol, 2004. "Forecasting Daily Variability of the S&P 100 Stock Index using Historical, Realised and Implied Volatility Measurements," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 04-016/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    42. Ginger M. Davis & Katherine B. Ensor, 2007. "Multivariate Time‐Series Analysis With Categorical and Continuous Variables in an Lstr Model," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(6), pages 867-885, November.
    43. Yao Rao & David Harris & Brendan McCabe, 2022. "A semi‐parametric integer‐valued autoregressive model with covariates," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(3), pages 495-516, June.
    44. Strickland, Chris M. & Forbes, Catherine S. & Martin, Gael M., 2006. "Bayesian analysis of the stochastic conditional duration model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(9), pages 2247-2267, May.
    45. Jin, Na & Lence, Sergio H & Hart, Chad & Hayes, Dermot J., 2012. "The Long-Term Structure of Commodity Futures," ISU General Staff Papers 201201010800001071, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    46. Garland Durham, 2004. "Likelihood-based estimation and specification analysis of one- and two-factor SV models with leverage effects," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 294, Econometric Society.
    47. Håvard Rue & Sara Martino & Nicolas Chopin, 2009. "Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models by using integrated nested Laplace approximations," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(2), pages 319-392, April.
    48. Kleppe, Tore Selland & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2011. "Efficient high-dimensional importance sampling in mixture frameworks," Economics Working Papers 2011-11, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
    49. Tommaso Proietti & Alessandra Luati, 2013. "Maximum likelihood estimation of time series models: the Kalman filter and beyond," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 15, pages 334-362, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    50. Alzahrani, Naif & Neal, Peter & Spencer, Simon E.F. & McKinley, Trevelyan J. & Touloupou, Panayiota, 2018. "Model selection for time series of count data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 33-44.
    51. Scharth, Marcel & Kohn, Robert, 2016. "Particle efficient importance sampling," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 190(1), pages 133-147.
    52. Fiorentini, G. & Planas, C. & Rossi, A., 2012. "The marginal likelihood of dynamic mixture models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(9), pages 2650-2662.
    53. DeRossi, G. & Harvey, A., 2006. "Time-Varying Quantiles," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0649, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    54. Durham, Garland B., 2006. "Monte Carlo methods for estimating, smoothing, and filtering one- and two-factor stochastic volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 273-305, July.
    55. Alexander Kreuzer & Luciana Dalla Valle & Claudia Czado, 2022. "A Bayesian non‐linear state space copula model for air pollution in Beijing," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(3), pages 613-638, June.
    56. Matti Vihola & Jouni Helske & Jordan Franks, 2020. "Importance sampling type estimators based on approximate marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 47(4), pages 1339-1376, December.
    57. Sassan Alizadeh & Michael W. Brandt & Francis X. Diebold, 2002. "Range‐Based Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(3), pages 1047-1091, June.
    58. M. Shelton Peiris & Manabu Asai, 2016. "Generalized Fractional Processes with Long Memory and Time Dependent Volatility Revisited," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(3), pages 1-21, September.
    59. Mircea Cristian Gherman, 2011. "Analysis of GARCH Modeling in Financial Markets: An Approach Based on Technical Analysis Strategies," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 4(4), pages 158-171, August.
    60. Victor Guerrero, 2005. "Restricted estimation of an adjusted time series: application to Mexico's industrial production index," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 157-177.
    61. P. Besbeas & S. N. Freeman & B. J. T. Morgan & E. A. Catchpole, 2002. "Integrating Mark–Recapture–Recovery and Census Data to Estimate Animal Abundance and Demographic Parameters," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 58(3), pages 540-547, September.
    62. Motta, Anderson C. O. & Hotta, Luiz K., 2003. "Exact Maximum Likelihood and Bayesian Estimation of the Stochastic Volatility Model," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 23(2), November.
    63. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2013. "On the Stratonovich – Kalman - Bucy filtering algorithm application for accurate characterization of financial time series with use of state-space model by central banks," MPRA Paper 50235, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    64. Vêlayoudom Marimoutou & Manel Soury, 2015. "Energy Markets and CO2 Emissions: Analysis by Stochastic Copula Autoregressive Model," AMSE Working Papers 1520, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    65. Liang Yulan & Kelemen Arpad, 2016. "Bayesian state space models for dynamic genetic network construction across multiple tissues," Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology, De Gruyter, vol. 15(4), pages 273-290, August.
    66. Kleppe, Tore Selland & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2014. "Efficient importance sampling in mixture frameworks," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 449-463.
    67. Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas & Marcel Scharth, 2011. "Numerically Accelerated Importance Sampling for Nonlinear Non-Gaussian State Space Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-057/4, Tinbergen Institute, revised 27 Jan 2012.
    68. Alexander Tsyplakov, 2011. "An introduction to state space modeling (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 9, pages 1-24, July.
    69. Francesco Calvori & Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas, 2014. "Testing for Parameter Instability in Competing Modeling Frameworks," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-010/IV/DSF71, Tinbergen Institute.
    70. B.P.M. McCabe & G.M. Martin, 2003. "Coherent Predictions of Low Count Time Series," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/03, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    71. Jeongeun Kim & David S. Stoffer, 2008. "Fitting Stochastic Volatility Models in the Presence of Irregular Sampling via Particle Methods and the EM Algorithm," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(5), pages 811-833, September.
    72. Singh, Rakhi & Mukhopadhyay, Siuli, 2019. "Exact Bayesian designs for count time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 157-170.
    73. Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit & André Lucas, 2014. "The Dynamic Skellam Model with Applications," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-032/IV/DSF73, Tinbergen Institute, revised 06 Jul 2015.
    74. Catherine S. Forbes & Gael M. Martin & Jill Wright, 2007. "Inference for a Class of Stochastic Volatility Models Using Option and Spot Prices: Application of a Bivariate Kalman Filter," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2-4), pages 387-418.
    75. Ahn, Kwang Woo & Chan, Kung-Sik, 2014. "Approximate conditional least squares estimation of a nonlinear state-space model via an unscented Kalman filter," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 243-254.
    76. Hajar Hajmohammadi & Hamid Salehi, 2024. "The Impacts of COVID-19 Lockdowns on Road Transport Air Pollution in London: A State-Space Modelling Approach," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 21(9), pages 1-12, August.
    77. Eugenie Hol & Siem Jan Koopman, 2000. "Forecasting the Variability of Stock Index Returns with Stochastic Volatility Models and Implied Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 00-104/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    78. KIANI, Khurshid M., 2007. "Determination Of Volatility And Mean Returns: An Evidence From An Emerging Stock Market," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 4(1), pages 103-118.
    79. J. Huston McCulloch & Prasad V. Bidarkota, 2003. "Signal Extraction can Generate Volatility Clusters," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 59, Society for Computational Economics.
    80. J. Huston McCulloch & Prasad V. Bidarkota, 2002. "Signal Extraction Can Generate Volatility Clusters From IID Shocks," Working Papers 02-04, Ohio State University, Department of Economics.
    81. Ralph D. Snyder & Gael M. Martin & Phillip Gould & Paul D. Feigin, 2007. "An Assessment of Alternative State Space Models for Count Time Series," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/07, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    82. Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit & Thuy Minh Nguyen, 2012. "Fast Efficient Importance Sampling by State Space Methods," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-008/4, Tinbergen Institute, revised 16 Oct 2014.
    83. Rodríguez, Alejandro, 2010. "Bootstrap prediction mean squared errors of unobserved states based on the Kalman filter with estimated parameters," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws100301, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    84. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Wave function method to forecast foreign currencies exchange rates at ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets," MPRA Paper 67470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    85. Bidarkota, Prasad V. & Dupoyet, Brice V. & McCulloch, J. Huston, 2009. "Asset pricing with incomplete information and fat tails," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1314-1331, June.
    86. Djennad, Abdelmajid & Rigby, Robert & Stasinopoulos, Dimitrios & Voudouris, Vlasios & Eilers, Paul, 2015. "Beyond location and dispersion models: The Generalized Structural Time Series Model with Applications," MPRA Paper 62807, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    87. Kreuzer, Alexander & Dalla Valle, Luciana & Czado, Claudia, 2023. "Bayesian multivariate nonlinear state space copula models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    88. Siem Jan Koopman & Eugenie Hol Uspensky, 2000. "The Stochastic Volatility in Mean Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 00-024/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    89. Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia & Wagner, Helga, 2010. "Stochastic model specification search for Gaussian and partial non-Gaussian state space models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(1), pages 85-100, January.
    90. Khan Naushad Mamode & Sunecher Yuvraj & Jowaheer Vandna, 2017. "Analyzing the Full BINMA Time Series Process Using a Robust GQL Approach," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(2), pages 1-12, July.
    91. Tevfik Aktekin & Nicholas G. Polson & Refik Soyer, 2020. "A family of multivariate non‐gaussian time series models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(5), pages 691-721, September.
    92. Roberto Casarin & Domenico sartore, 2008. "Matrix-State Particle Filter for Wishart Stochastic Volatility Processes," Working Papers 0816, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
    93. Yoonsuk Lee & B. Wade Brorsen, 2017. "Permanent shocks and forecasting with moving averages," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(12), pages 1213-1225, March.
    94. Ruiz-Cárdenas, Ramiro & Krainski, Elias T. & Rue, Håvard, 2012. "Direct fitting of dynamic models using integrated nested Laplace approximations — INLA," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 1808-1828.
    95. Zheng, Nan & Cadigan, Noel, 2021. "Frequentist delta-variance approximations with mixed-effects models and TMB," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    96. Kleppe, Tore Selland & Skaug, Hans Julius, 2012. "Fitting general stochastic volatility models using Laplace accelerated sequential importance sampling," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3105-3119.
    97. Alina Sima (Grigore) & Alin Sima, 2011. "Distance to Default Estimates for Romanian Listed Companies," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 3(2), pages 091-106, December.
    98. Lee, Woojoo & Lim, Johan & Lee, Youngjo & del Castillo, Joan, 2011. "The hierarchical-likelihood approach to autoregressive stochastic volatility models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 248-260, January.
    99. Eugenie Hol & Siem Jan Koopman, 2002. "Stock Index Volatility Forecasting with High Frequency Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 02-068/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    100. Jung, Robert C. & Kukuk, Martin & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2006. "Time series of count data: modeling, estimation and diagnostics," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 2350-2364, December.
    101. Vêlayoudom Marimoutou & Manel Soury, 2015. "Energy Markets and CO2 Emissions: Analysis by Stochastic Copula Autoregressive Model," Working Papers halshs-01148746, HAL.
    102. Durham, Garland B., 2007. "SV mixture models with application to S&P 500 index returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(3), pages 822-856, September.
    103. Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2012. "Tests for Serial Dependence in Static, Non-Gaussian Factor Models," Working Papers wp2012_1211, CEMFI.
    104. Yoonsuk Lee & B. Wade Brorsen, 2017. "Permanent Breaks and Temporary Shocks in a Time Series," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 49(2), pages 255-270, February.
    105. Trojan, Sebastian, 2014. "Modeling Intraday Stochastic Volatility and Conditional Duration Contemporaneously with Regime Shifts," Economics Working Paper Series 1425, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
    106. Mikkelsen, Peter, 2001. "MCMC Based Estimation of Term Structure Models," Finance Working Papers 01-7, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
    107. Vurukonda Sathish & Siuli Mukhopadhyay & Rashmi Tiwari, 2022. "Autoregressive and moving average models for zero‐inflated count time series," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 76(2), pages 190-218, May.

  3. Koopman, S.J.M. & Durbin, J., 1998. "Fast Filtering and Smoothing for Multivariate State Space Models," Discussion Paper 1998-18, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.

    Cited by:

    1. Koopman, S.J.M. & Lai, H.N., 1998. "Modelling bid-ask spreads in competitive dealership markets," Discussion Paper 1998-032, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    2. Ralph D. Snyder & Catherine S. Forbes, 2002. "Reconstructing the Kalman Filter for Stationary and Non Stationary Time Series," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/02, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    3. Helske, Jouni, 2017. "KFAS: Exponential Family State Space Models in R," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 78(i10).
    4. Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "A Model of the Fed's View on Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(4), pages 686-704, October.
    5. Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020. "Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," OECD Statistics Working Papers 2020/01, OECD Publishing.
    6. Cecilia Frale, Serena Teobaldo, Marco Cacciotti, Alessandra Caretta, 2013. "A Quarterly Measure Of Potential Output In The New European Fiscal Framework," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 67(2), pages 181-197, April-Jun.
    7. Born, Benjamin & Bayer, Christian & Luetticke, Ralph, 2020. "The Liquidity Channel of Fiscal Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 14883, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Helmut Herwartz & Christian Ochsner & Hannes Rohloff, 2021. "The Credit Composition of Global Liquidity," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202115, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    9. Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & S. Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2014. "On the Rise of Bayesian Econometrics after Cowles Foundation Monographs 10, 14," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-085/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 04 Sep 2014.
    10. Christian Bayer & Benjamin Born & Ralph Luetticke, 2020. "Shocks, Frictions, and Inequality in US Business Cycles," CESifo Working Paper Series 8085, CESifo.
    11. Borus Jungbacker & Siem Jan Koopman & Michel van der Wel, 2009. "Smooth Dynamic Factor Analysis with an Application to the U.S. Term Structure of Interest Rates," CREATES Research Papers 2009-39, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    12. T. Berger & L. Pozzi, 2011. "A new model-based approach to measuring time-varying financial market integration," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 11/714, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    13. Marco Cacciotti & Cecilia Frale & Serena Teobaldo, 2013. "A new methodology for a quarterly measure of the Output Gap," Working Papers LuissLab 13103, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
    14. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2012. "Efficient Gibbs Sampling for Markov Switching GARCH Models," Working Papers 2012:35, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    15. Adjemian, Stéphane & Juillard, Michel & Karamé, Fréderic & Mutschler, Willi & Pfeifer, Johannes & Ratto, Marco & Rion, Normann & Villemot, Sébastien, 2024. "Dynare: Reference Manual, Version 6," Dynare Working Papers 80, CEPREMAP, revised Sep 2024.
    16. Cecilia Frale & Libero Monteforte, "undated". "FaMIDAS: A Mixed Frequency Factor Model with MIDAS structure," Working Papers 3, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
    17. Sieds, 2013. "Complete Volume LXVII n.2 2013," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 67(2), pages 1-197, April-Jun.
    18. Lorenzo Boldrini & Eric Hillebrand, 2015. "The Forecasting Power of the Yield Curve, a Supervised Factor Model Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2015-39, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    19. T. Berger & G. Everaert, 2006. "Re-examining the Structural and the Persistence Approach to Unemployment," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 06/383, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    20. Sebastian Ankargren & Paulina Jon'eus, 2019. "Estimating Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR Models," Papers 1912.02231, arXiv.org.
    21. Joao Valle e Azevedo & Siem Jan Koopman & Antonio Rua, 2003. "Tracking Growth and the Business Cycle: a Stochastic Common Cycle Model for the Euro Area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-069/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    22. Frédéric Karamé & Yannick Fondeur, 2012. "Can Google Data Help Predict French Youth Unemployment?," Documents de recherche 12-03, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
    23. Berger, Tino & Pozzi, Lorenzo, 2013. "Measuring time-varying financial market integration: An unobserved components approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 463-473.
    24. Lorenzo Boldrini, 2015. "Forecasting the Global Mean Sea Level, a Continuous-Time State-Space Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2015-40, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    25. Marco Cacciotti & Cecilia Frale & Serena Teobaldo, 2013. "A new methodology for a quarterly measure of the output gap," Working Papers 6, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
    26. Konstantinos Metaxoglou & Aaron Smith, 2007. "Efficiency of the California electricity reserves market," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(6), pages 1127-1144.
    27. Tommaso Proietti & Alessandro Giovannelli, 2021. "Nowcasting monthly GDP with big data: A model averaging approach," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(2), pages 683-706, April.
    28. Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03573080, HAL.
    29. Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Max Mallee, 2014. "Low Frequency and Weighted Likelihood Solutions for Mixed Frequency Dynamic Factor Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-105/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    30. Johannes Huber, 2022. "An Augmented Steady-State Kalman Filter to Evaluate the Likelihood of Linear and Time-Invariant State-Space Models," Discussion Paper Series 343, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics.
    31. Tommaso Proietti & Alessandra Luati, 2013. "Maximum likelihood estimation of time series models: the Kalman filter and beyond," Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 15, pages 334-362, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    32. Berger, Tino & Kempa, Bernd, 2012. "Taylor rules and the Canadian–US equilibrium exchange rate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1060-1075.
    33. Adjemian, Stéphane & Bastani, Houtan & Juillard, Michel & Karamé, Fréderic & Mihoubi, Ferhat & Mutschler, Willi & Pfeifer, Johannes & Ratto, Marco & Rion, Normann & Villemot, Sébastien, 2022. "Dynare: Reference Manual Version 5," Dynare Working Papers 72, CEPREMAP, revised Mar 2023.
      • Stéphane Adjemian & Houtan Bastani & Michel Juillard & Frédéric Karamé & Ferhat Mihoubi & Willi Mutschler & Johannes Pfeifer & Marco Ratto & Sébastien Villemot & Normann Rion, 2023. "Dynare: Reference Manual Version 5," PSE Working Papers hal-04219920, HAL.
      • Stéphane Adjemian & Houtan Bastani & Michel Juillard & Frédéric Karamé & Ferhat Mihoubi & Willi Mutschler & Johannes Pfeifer & Marco Ratto & Sébastien Villemot & Normann Rion, 2023. "Dynare: Reference Manual Version 5," Working Papers hal-04219920, HAL.
    34. António Alberto Santos, 2010. "MCMC, likelihood estimation and identifiability problems in DLM models," GEMF Working Papers 2010-12, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
    35. Sbrana, Giacomo & Silvestrini, Andrea & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2017. "Short-term inflation forecasting: The M.E.T.A. approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1065-1081.
    36. Maarten Dossche & Gerdie Everaert, 2005. "Measuring Inflation Persistence: A Structural Time Series Approach," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 459, Society for Computational Economics.
    37. Steff De Visscher & Markus Eberhardt & Gerdie Everaert, 2017. "Measuring productivity and absorptive capacity evolution," Discussion Papers 2017-11, University of Nottingham, GEP.
    38. Luke Mosley & Tak-Shing Chan & Alex Gibberd, 2023. "sparseDFM: An R Package to Estimate Dynamic Factor Models with Sparse Loadings," Papers 2303.14125, arXiv.org.
    39. Tommaso Proietti & Martyna Marczak & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2015. "EuroMInd-D: A Density Estimate of Monthly Gross Domestic Product for the Euro Area," CEIS Research Paper 340, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 10 Apr 2015.
    40. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Proietti, Tommaso & Frale, Cecilia & Mazzi, Gian Luigi, 2008. "A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 7007, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    41. Proietti, Tommaso & Giovannelli, Alessandro & Ricchi, Ottavio & Citton, Ambra & Tegami, Christían & Tinti, Cristina, 2021. "Nowcasting GDP and its components in a data-rich environment: The merits of the indirect approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1376-1398.
    42. Cecilia Frale, "undated". "Do Surveys Help in Macroeconomic Variables Disaggregation and Estimation?," Working Papers wp2008-2, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
    43. Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2009. "Survey Data as Coicident or Leading Indicators," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/19, European University Institute.
    44. Andree,Bo Pieter Johannes, 2021. "Estimating Food Price Inflation from Partial Surveys," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9886, The World Bank.
    45. Matteo Barigozzi & Matteo Luciani, 2017. "Common Factors, Trends, and Cycles in Large Datasets," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-111, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    46. Edward P. Herbst, 2012. "Using the \"Chandrasekhar Recursions\" for likelihood evaluation of DSGE models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-35, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    47. Paul Labonne & Martin Weale, 2018. "Temporal disaggregation of overlapping noisy quarterly data using state space models: Estimation of monthly business sector output from Value Added Tax data in the UK," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-18, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    48. Yoshida, Wataru & Hirose, Kei, 2024. "Fast same-step forecast in SUTSE model and its theoretical properties," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    49. Edward P. Herbst & Fabian Winkler, 2021. "The Factor Structure of Disagreement," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-046, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    50. Ingvar Strid & Karl Walentin, 2009. "Block Kalman Filtering for Large-Scale DSGE Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 33(3), pages 277-304, April.
    51. Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & S. Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Historical Developments in Bayesian Econometrics after Cowles Foundation Monographs 10, 14," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-191/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    52. Strickland, Chris M. & Turner, Ian. W. & Denham, Robert & Mengersen, Kerrie L., 2009. "Efficient Bayesian estimation of multivariate state space models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(12), pages 4116-4125, October.
    53. Petar Jevtić & Luca Regis, 2021. "A Square-Root Factor-Based Multi-Population Extension of the Mortality Laws," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(19), pages 1-17, September.
    54. Koopman, Siem Jan & van der Wel, Michel, 2013. "Forecasting the US term structure of interest rates using a macroeconomic smooth dynamic factor model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 676-694.
    55. G. Everaert & L. Pozzi, 2014. "The dynamics of European financial market integration," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 14/877, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    56. Schrager, David F., 2006. "Affine stochastic mortality," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 81-97, February.
    57. Misha van Beek, 2020. "Consistent Calibration of Economic Scenario Generators: The Case for Conditional Simulation," Papers 2004.09042, arXiv.org.
    58. Eberhardt, Markus & Everaert, Gerdie & De Visscher, Stef, 2017. "Measuring Productivity and Absorptive Capacity Evolution in OECD Economies," CEPR Discussion Papers 12261, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    59. Andres Algaba & Samuel Borms & Kris Boudt & Brecht Verbeken, 2021. "Daily news sentiment and monthly surveys: A mixed–frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting consumer confidence," Working Paper Research 396, National Bank of Belgium.
    60. Borus Jungbacker & Siem Jan Koopman, 2015. "Likelihood‐based dynamic factor analysis for measurement and forecasting," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 18(2), pages 1-21, June.
    61. Lorenzo Pozzi & Guido Wolswijk, 2008. "Have Euro Area Government Bond Risk Premia Converged To Their Common State?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-042/2, Tinbergen Institute, revised 07 Sep 2009.
    62. Pozzi, Lorenzo & Wolswijk, Guido, 2012. "The time-varying integration of euro area government bond markets," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 36-53.
    63. Berger, Tino & Grabert, Sibylle & Kempa, Bernd, 2017. "Global macroeconomic uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 42-56.
    64. Dilip Nachane & Aditi Chaubal, 2022. "A Comparative Evaluation of Some DSP Filters vis-à-vis Commonly Used Economic Filters," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(1), pages 161-190, September.
    65. Borus Jungbacker & Siem Jan Koopman, 2008. "Likelihood-based Analysis for Dynamic Factor Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-007/4, Tinbergen Institute, revised 20 Mar 2014.
    66. Kathryn Holston & Thomas Laubach & John C. Williams, 2023. "Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest after COVID-19," Staff Reports 1063, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    67. Borus Jungbacker & Siem Jan Koopman & Michel van der Wel, 0000. "Dynamic Factor Models with Smooth Loadings for Analyzing the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 09-041/4, Tinbergen Institute, revised 17 Sep 2010.
    68. Cecilia Frale & David Veredas, 2008. "A Monthly Volatility Index for the US Economy," Working Papers ECARES 2008-008, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    69. Proietti, Tommaso, 2008. "Estimation of Common Factors under Cross-Sectional and Temporal Aggregation Constraints: Nowcasting Monthly GDP and its Main Components," MPRA Paper 6860, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    70. Lorenzo Boldrini & Eric Hillebrand, 2015. "Supervision in Factor Models Using a Large Number of Predictors," CREATES Research Papers 2015-38, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    71. Changyu Liu & Michael Sherris, 2017. "Immunization and Hedging of Post Retirement Income Annuity Products," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-29, March.
    72. Prashant Srivastava & Dawei Han & Miguel Rico-Ramirez & Deleen Al-Shrafany & Tanvir Islam, 2013. "Data Fusion Techniques for Improving Soil Moisture Deficit Using SMOS Satellite and WRF-NOAH Land Surface Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(15), pages 5069-5087, December.
    73. Blasques, F. & Koopman, S.J. & Mallee, M. & Zhang, Z., 2016. "Weighted maximum likelihood for dynamic factor analysis and forecasting with mixed frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 405-417.

Articles

  1. S. J. Koopman & J. Durbin, 2003. "Filtering and smoothing of state vector for diffuse state‐space models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 85-98, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Helske, Jouni, 2017. "KFAS: Exponential Family State Space Models in R," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 78(i10).
    2. Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020. "Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," OECD Statistics Working Papers 2020/01, OECD Publishing.
    3. Siem Jan Koopman & Kai Ming Lee, 0000. "Seasonality with Trend and Cycle Interactions in Unobserved Components Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-028/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    4. Chen, Xiaoshan & MacDonald, Ronald, 2014. "Measuring the Euro-Dollar Permanent Equilibrium Exchange Rate using the Unobserved Components Model," Stirling Economics Discussion Papers 2014-12, University of Stirling, Division of Economics.
    5. Machado, Vicente da Gama & Portugal, Marcelo Savino, 2014. "Measuring inflation persistence in Brazil using a multivariate model," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 68(2), June.
    6. Xiaoshan Chen & Ronald MacDonald, 2010. "Revisiting the Dollar-Euro Permanent Equilibrium Exchange Rate: Evidence from Multivariate Unobserved Components Models," Working Papers 2010_16, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    7. Adjemian, Stéphane & Juillard, Michel & Karamé, Fréderic & Mutschler, Willi & Pfeifer, Johannes & Ratto, Marco & Rion, Normann & Villemot, Sébastien, 2024. "Dynare: Reference Manual, Version 6," Dynare Working Papers 80, CEPREMAP, revised Sep 2024.
    8. Geert Mesters & Siem Jan Koopman, 2012. "Generalized Dynamic Panel Data Models with Random Effects for Cross-Section and Time," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-009/4, Tinbergen Institute, revised 18 Mar 2014.
    9. T. Berger & G. Everaert, 2006. "Re-examining the Structural and the Persistence Approach to Unemployment," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 06/383, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    10. Frédéric Karamé & Yannick Fondeur, 2012. "Can Google Data Help Predict French Youth Unemployment?," Documents de recherche 12-03, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
    11. Carlos David Ardila-Dueñas & Hernán Rincón-Castro, 2019. "¿Cómo y qué tanto impacta la deuda pública a las tasas de interés de mercado?," Borradores de Economia 1077, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    12. Nicolaas Johannes Odendaal & Monique Reid, 2018. "Media based sentiment indices as an alternative measure of consumer confidence," Working Papers 17/2018, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    13. Adjemian, Stéphane & Bastani, Houtan & Juillard, Michel & Karamé, Fréderic & Mihoubi, Ferhat & Mutschler, Willi & Pfeifer, Johannes & Ratto, Marco & Rion, Normann & Villemot, Sébastien, 2022. "Dynare: Reference Manual Version 5," Dynare Working Papers 72, CEPREMAP, revised Mar 2023.
      • Stéphane Adjemian & Houtan Bastani & Michel Juillard & Frédéric Karamé & Ferhat Mihoubi & Willi Mutschler & Johannes Pfeifer & Marco Ratto & Sébastien Villemot & Normann Rion, 2023. "Dynare: Reference Manual Version 5," PSE Working Papers hal-04219920, HAL.
      • Stéphane Adjemian & Houtan Bastani & Michel Juillard & Frédéric Karamé & Ferhat Mihoubi & Willi Mutschler & Johannes Pfeifer & Marco Ratto & Sébastien Villemot & Normann Rion, 2023. "Dynare: Reference Manual Version 5," Working Papers hal-04219920, HAL.
    14. Damioli, Giacomo & Gregori, Wildmer Daniel, 2021. "Diplomatic relations and cross-border investments in the European Union," Working Papers 2021-02, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    15. Maarten Dossche & Gerdie Everaert, 2005. "Measuring Inflation Persistence: A Structural Time Series Approach," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 459, Society for Computational Economics.
    16. B. Jungbacker & S.J. Koopman & M. van Der Wel, 2011. "Maximum likelihood estimation for dynamic factor models with missing data," Post-Print hal-00828980, HAL.
    17. Mariam Camarero & Juan Sapena & Cecilio Tamarit, 2024. "Introducing sspaneltvp: a code to estimating state-space time varying parameter models in panels. An application to Okun’s law," Working Papers 2405, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    18. Michal Franta & Branislav Saxa & Katerina Smidkova, 2007. "Inflation Persistence in New EU Member States: Is It Different Than in the Euro Area Members?," Working Papers 2007/10, Czech National Bank.
    19. Webel, Karsten, 2022. "A review of some recent developments in the modelling and seasonal adjustment of infra-monthly time series," Discussion Papers 31/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    20. Komi Nagbe & Jairo Cugliari & Julien Jacques, 2018. "Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting Using a Functional State Space Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, May.
    21. Giovannini, Massimo & Pfeiffer, Philipp & Ratto, Marco, 2021. "Efficient and robust inference of models with occasionally binding constraints," Working Papers 2021-03, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    22. Adrian Pizzinga & Marcelo Fernandes, 2021. "Extensions to the invariance property of maximum likelihood estimation for affine‐transformed state‐space models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 355-371, May.
    23. Ziyue Liu & Anne R. Cappola & Leslie J. Crofford & Wensheng Guo, 2014. "Modeling Bivariate Longitudinal Hormone Profiles by Hierarchical State Space Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 109(505), pages 108-118, March.
    24. Adrian Pizzinga, 2010. "Constrained Kalman Filtering: Additional Results," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 78(2), pages 189-208, August.
    25. Antonello D’Agostino & Jacopo Cimadomo, 2015. "Combining time-variation and mixed-frequencies: an analysis of government spending multipliers in Italy," Working Papers 7, European Stability Mechanism.
    26. Andres Algaba & Samuel Borms & Kris Boudt & Brecht Verbeken, 2021. "Daily news sentiment and monthly surveys: A mixed–frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting consumer confidence," Working Paper Research 396, National Bank of Belgium.
    27. Xiaoshan Chen & Terence Mills, 2012. "Measuring the Euro area output gap using a multivariate unobserved components model containing phase shifts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(2), pages 671-692, October.
    28. Calo, Silvia & Gregori, Wildmer Daniel & Petracco Giudici, Marco & Rancan, Michela, 2021. "Has the Comprehensive Assessment made the European financial system more resilient?," Working Papers 2021-08, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    29. Daniel Rees & David Lancaster & Richard Finlay, 2014. "A State-space Approach to Australian GDP Measurement," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2014-12, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    30. B. Jungbacker & S.J. Koopman & M. van der Wel, 2009. "Dynamic Factor Analysis in The Presence of Missing Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 09-010/4, Tinbergen Institute, revised 11 Mar 2011.
    31. Prashant Srivastava & Dawei Han & Miguel Rico-Ramirez & Deleen Al-Shrafany & Tanvir Islam, 2013. "Data Fusion Techniques for Improving Soil Moisture Deficit Using SMOS Satellite and WRF-NOAH Land Surface Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(15), pages 5069-5087, December.
    32. Chen, Xiaoshan & MacDonald, Ronald, 2015. "Measuring the dollar–euro permanent equilibrium exchange rate using the unobserved components model," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 20-35.

  2. J. Durbin, 2002. "A simple and efficient simulation smoother for state space time series analysis," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 89(3), pages 603-616, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael D. Bauer & Carolin E. Pflueger & Adi Sunderam, 2022. "Perceptions about Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 10182, CESifo.
    2. Berument, Hakan & Yalcin, Yeliz & Yildirim, Julide, 2009. "The effect of inflation uncertainty on inflation: Stochastic volatility in mean model within a dynamic framework," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1201-1207, November.
    3. Florian Heiss, 2008. "Sequential numerical integration in nonlinear state space models for microeconometric panel data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(3), pages 373-389.
    4. Benjamin K. Johannsen & Elmar Mertens, 2016. "A Time Series Model of Interest Rates With the Effective Lower Bound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Koopman, Siem Jan & Kräussl, Roman & Lucas, André, 2006. "Credit cycles and macro fundamentals," CFS Working Paper Series 2006/33, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    6. Dempster, M.A.H. & Medova, Elena & Tang, Ke, 2018. "Latent jump diffusion factor estimation for commodity futures," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 35-54.
    7. Helske, Jouni, 2017. "KFAS: Exponential Family State Space Models in R," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 78(i10).
    8. Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & Eric Zivot, 2008. "The Effect of the Great Moderation on the U.S. Business Cycle in a Time-varying Multivariate Trend-cycle Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-069/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    9. Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(4), pages 837-862, October.
    10. Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Working Paper Series 2604, European Central Bank.
    11. Jarociński, Marek, 2015. "A note on implementing the Durbin and Koopman simulation smoother," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 1-3.
    12. Davide Pettenuzzo & Antonio Gargano & Allan Timmermann, 2014. "Bond Return Predictability: Economic Value and Links to the Macroeconomy," Working Papers 75R, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, revised Jul 2016.
    13. Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "A Model of the Fed's View on Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(4), pages 686-704, October.
    14. Charles S. Bos, 2008. "Model-based Estimation of High Frequency Jump Diffusions with Microstructure Noise and Stochastic Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-011/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    15. Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020. "Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," OECD Statistics Working Papers 2020/01, OECD Publishing.
    16. Jouchi Nakajima & Tsuyoshi Kunihama & Yasuhiro Omori, 2015. "Bayesian Modeling of Dynamic Extreme Values: Extension of Generalized Extreme Value Distributions with Latent Stochastic Processes ," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-953, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    17. Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas & André Monteiro, 2005. "The Multi-State Latent Factor Intensity Model for Credit Rating Transitions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-071/4, Tinbergen Institute, revised 04 Jul 2005.
    18. Marcel Aloy & Gilles Dufrenot & Charles Lai-Tong & Anne Peguin-Feissolle, 2012. "A Smooth Transition Long-Memory Model," Working Papers halshs-00793680, HAL.
    19. Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André, 2008. "A Non-Gaussian Panel Time Series Model for Estimating and Decomposing Default Risk," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 26, pages 510-525.
    20. Charles S. Bos, 2011. "Relating Stochastic Volatility Estimation Methods," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-049/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    21. Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney Strachan, 2011. "Bayesian Inference in the Time Varying Cointegration Model," Working Papers 1121, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
    22. Takahashi, Makoto & Omori, Yasuhiro & Watanabe, Toshiaki, 2009. "Estimating stochastic volatility models using daily returns and realized volatility simultaneously," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 2404-2426, April.
    23. Brandyn Bok & Marco Del Negro & Domenico Giannone & Marc Giannoni & Eric Qian & Andrea Tambalotti, 2019. "Global Trends in Interest Rates," Liberty Street Economics 20190227, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    24. Yunyun Wang & Tatsushi Oka & Dan Zhu, 2024. "Inflation Target at Risk: A Time-varying Parameter Distributional Regression," Papers 2403.12456, arXiv.org.
    25. Jaeho Kim & Sora Chon, 2020. "Why are Bayesian trend-cycle decompositions of US real GDP so different?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1339-1354, March.
    26. Markus Jochmann & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2009. "Modeling the Dynamics of Inflation Compensation," Working Paper series 15_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    27. Michel Beine & Charles S. Bos & Sebastian Laurent, 2005. "The Impact of Central Bank FX Interventions on Currency Components," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-103/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    28. Wang, Renhe & Wang, Tong & Qian, Zhiyong & Hu, Shulan, 2023. "A Bayesian estimation approach of random switching exponential smoothing with application to credit forecast," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    29. Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mertens, Elmar, 2022. "Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility," Discussion Papers 13/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    30. Power, Gabriel J. & Eaves, James & Turvey, Calum & Vedenov, Dmitry, 2017. "Catching the curl: Wavelet thresholding improves forward curve modelling," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 312-321.
    31. Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo, 2017. "GDP Trend-cycle Decompositions Using State-level Data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-051, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    32. Joshua C.C. Chan & Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2010. "Time Varying Dimension Models," Working Paper series 44_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    33. Max Bruche, 2006. "Estimating Structural Models of Corporate Bond Prices," Working Papers wp2006_0610, CEMFI.
    34. Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Michele Modugno, 2015. "Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-66, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    81. Shang, Yuhuang & Liu, Lulu, 2017. "An extension of stochastic volatility model with mixed frequency information," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 144-148.
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    84. Geert Mesters & Siem Jan Koopman, 2012. "Generalized Dynamic Panel Data Models with Random Effects for Cross-Section and Time," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-009/4, Tinbergen Institute, revised 18 Mar 2014.
    85. Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2020. "The Rising Cost of Climate Change: Evidence from the Bond Market," Working Paper Series 2020-25, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    86. Li, Mengheng & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lit, Rutger & Petrova, Desislava, 2020. "Long-term forecasting of El Niño events via dynamic factor simulations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 46-66.
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    89. Anoek Castelein & Dennis Fok & Richard Paap, 2019. "Dynamics in clickthrough and conversion probabilities of paid search advertisements," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 19-056/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    90. Vasco Curdia & Fernanda Nechio, 2024. "Would the Euro Area Benefit from Greater Labor Mobility?," Working Paper Series 2024-06, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
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    92. Stefan Laseen & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2016. "Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve?," IMF Working Papers 2016/126, International Monetary Fund.
    93. Guangjie Li, 2015. "A stochastic frontier model with structural breaks in efficiency and technology," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 131-159, August.
    94. István Barra & Lennart Hoogerheide & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2014. "Joint Bayesian Analysis of Parameters and States in Nonlinear, Non-Gaussian State Space Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-118/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 31 Mar 2016.
    95. Drew D. Creal & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2014. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 20594, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    102. McCAUSLAND, William, 2008. "The Hessian Method (Highly Efficient State Smoothing, In a Nutshell)," Cahiers de recherche 2008-03, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
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    134. Mr. Sohrab Rafiq, 2015. "How Important are Debt and Growth Expectations for Interest Rates?," IMF Working Papers 2015/094, International Monetary Fund.
    135. Borus Jungbacker & Siem Jan Koopman, 2005. "On Importance Sampling for State Space Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-117/4, Tinbergen Institute.
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    147. Daniel R. Kowal & David S. Matteson & David Ruppert, 2019. "Functional Autoregression for Sparsely Sampled Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 97-109, January.
    148. Alessandro Barbarino & Travis J. Berge & Han Chen & Andrea Stella, 2020. "Which Output Gap Estimates Are Stable in Real Time and Why?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-102, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    149. Geert Mesters & Bernd Schwaab & Siem Jan Koopman, 2014. "A Dynamic Yield Curve Model with Stochastic Volatility and Non-Gaussian Interactions: An Empirical Study of Non-standard Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-071/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    150. Elmar Mertens & James M. Nason, 2020. "Inflation and professional forecast dynamics: An evaluation of stickiness, persistence, and volatility," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(4), pages 1485-1520, November.
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    152. Nimark, Kristoffer P & Barillas, Francisco, 2015. "Speculation and the Bond Market: An Empirical No-arbitrage Framework," CEPR Discussion Papers 10892, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    154. Koop, Gary & Leon-Gonzalez, Roberto & Strachan, Rodney W., 2009. "On the evolution of the monetary policy transmission mechanism," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 997-1017, April.
    155. Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & Eric Zivot, 2008. "Extracting a Robust U.S. Business Cycle Using a Time-Varying Multivariate Model-Based Bandpass Filter," Working Papers UWEC-2008-15-FC, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
    156. Alexander Kreuzer & Luciana Dalla Valle & Claudia Czado, 2022. "A Bayesian non‐linear state space copula model for air pollution in Beijing," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(3), pages 613-638, June.
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    161. Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli, 2021. "Identifying the sources of the slowdown in growth: Demand vs. supply," Working Paper 2021/9, Norges Bank.
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    168. Alicia N. Rambaldi & D.S. Prasada Rao & K. Renuka Ganegodage, 2009. "Spatial Autocorrelation and Extrapolation of Purchasing Power Parities. Modelling and Sensitivity Analysis," CEPA Working Papers Series WP012009, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
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    Cited by:

    1. Einmahl, J.H.J. & Magnus, J.R. & Kumar, K., 2011. "On the Choice of Prior in Bayesian Model Averaging," Other publications TiSEM 3ca603c9-5336-4ecb-9521-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    2. Zhang, Xinyu, 2015. "Consistency of model averaging estimators," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 120-123.
    3. Magnus, J.R. & Powell, O.R. & Prüfer, P., 2008. "A Comparison of Two Averaging Techniques with an Application to Growth Empirics," Discussion Paper 2008-39, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    4. Poghosyan, K., 2012. "Structural and reduced-form modeling and forecasting with application to Armenia," Other publications TiSEM ad1a24c3-15e6-4f04-b338-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    5. Clarke, Judith A., 2008. "On weighted estimation in linear regression in the presence of parameter uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 1-3, July.
    6. Giuseppe De Luca & Jan R. Magnus & Franco Peracchi, 2022. "Asymptotic properties of the weighted-average least squares (WALS) estimator," EIEF Working Papers Series 2203, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Mar 2022.
    7. John W. Galbraith & Victoria Zinde-Walsh, 2011. "Partially Dimension-Reduced Regressions with Potentially Infinite-Dimensional Processes," CIRANO Working Papers 2011s-57, CIRANO.
    8. End, Nicolas, 2023. "Big Brother is also being watched: Measuring fiscal credibility," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    9. Jan R. Magnus & Wendun Wang & Xinyu Zhang, 2016. "Weighted-Average Least Squares Prediction," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(6), pages 1040-1074, June.
    10. Galbraith, John W. & Zinde-Walsh, Victoria, 2020. "Simple and reliable estimators of coefficients of interest in a model with high-dimensional confounding effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 609-632.
    11. Tumala, Mohammed M & Olubusoye, Olusanya E & Yaaba, Baba N & Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Akanbi, Olawale B, 2017. "Investigating Predictors of Inflation in Nigeria: BMA and WALS Techniques," MPRA Paper 88773, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Feb 2018.
    12. Danilov, D.L. & Magnus, J.R., 2002. "Forecast Accuracy after Pretesting with an Application to the Stock Market," Other publications TiSEM cb9b9b63-40a9-4035-924e-d, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    13. Poghosyan, K. & Magnus, J.R., 2011. "WALS estimation and forecasting in factor-based dynamic models with an application to Armenia," Other publications TiSEM 419d588e-7827-4cdd-b989-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    14. Magnus, Jan & Peresetsky, Anatoly, 2010. "The price of Moscow apartments," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 17(1), pages 89-105.
    15. Srdelic, Leonarda & Davila-Fernandez, Marwil J., 2022. "Demographic transition and economic growth in 6-EU member states," MPRA Paper 112188, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Le-Yu Chen & Sokbae Lee, 2016. "Best Subset Binary Prediction," Papers 1610.02738, arXiv.org, revised May 2018.
    17. Giuseppe De Luca & Jan Magnus & Franco Peracchi, 2015. "On the Ambiguous Consequences of Omitting Variables," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-061/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    18. Giuseppe De Luca & Jan R. Magnus & Franco Peracchi, 2020. "Sampling properties of the Bayesian posterior mean with an application to WALS estimation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 20-015/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    19. Srdelić, Leonarda & Dávila-Fernández, Marwil J., 2024. "International trade and economic growth in Croatia," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 240-258.
    20. Giuseppe Luca & Jan R. Magnus & Franco Peracchi, 2023. "Weighted-Average Least Squares (WALS): Confidence and Prediction Intervals," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1637-1664, April.
    21. Magnus, Jan R. & Powell, Owen & Prüfer, Patricia, 2010. "A comparison of two model averaging techniques with an application to growth empirics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(2), pages 139-153, February.
    22. Giuseppe De Luca & Jan R. Magnus & Franco Peracchi, 2017. "Weighted-average least squares estimation of generalized linear models," EIEF Working Papers Series 1711, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Aug 2017.
    23. Nicolas End, 2020. "Rousseau's social contract or Machiavelli's virtue? A measure of fiscal credibility," Working Papers halshs-03078704, HAL.
    24. Reif, Jiri & Vlcek, Karel, 2002. "Optimal pre-test estimators in regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(1), pages 91-102, September.
    25. Valentino Dardanoni & Giuseppe De Luca & Salvatore Modica & Franco Peracchi, 2013. "Bayesian Model Averaging for Generalized Linear Models with Missing Covariates," EIEF Working Papers Series 1311, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised May 2013.
    26. Dardanoni, Valentino & Modica, Salvatore & Peracchi, Franco, 2011. "Regression with imputed covariates: A generalized missing-indicator approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 362-368, June.
    27. Giuseppe De Luca & Jan R. Magnus & Franco Peracchi, 2018. "Balanced Variable Addition In Linear Models," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 1183-1200, September.
    28. Badi H. Baltagi & Georges Bresson & Anoop Chaturvedi & Guy Lacroix, 2017. "Robust Linear Static Panel Data Models Using ε-Contamination," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 208, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University.
    29. Berger, Michael & Pock, Markus & Reiss, Miriam & Röhrling, Gerald & Czypionka, Thomas, 2023. "Exploring the effectiveness of demand-side retail pharmaceutical expenditure reforms: cross-country evidence from weighted-average least squares estimation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 116928, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    30. Hai Wang & Xinjie Chen & Nancy Flournoy, 2016. "The focused information criterion for varying-coefficient partially linear measurement error models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 99-113, March.
    31. Michael Berger & Markus Pock & Miriam Reiss & Gerald Röhrling & Thomas Czypionka, 2023. "Exploring the effectiveness of demand-side retail pharmaceutical expenditure reforms," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 149-172, March.
    32. Magnus, Jan R. & Wan, Alan T.K. & Zhang, Xinyu, 2011. "Weighted average least squares estimation with nonspherical disturbances and an application to the Hong Kong housing market," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 1331-1341, March.
    33. De Luca, G. & Magnus, J.R., 2011. "Bayesian Model Averaging and Weighted Average Least Squares : Equivariance, Stability, and Numerical Issues," Discussion Paper 2011-082, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    34. Danilov, D.L. & Magnus, J.R., 2002. "Estimation of the Mean of a Univariate Normal Distribution When the Variance is not Known," Other publications TiSEM 002a672b-73b6-4a8b-8901-7, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    35. Becker William & Paruolo Paolo & Saltelli Andrea, 2021. "Variable Selection in Regression Models Using Global Sensitivity Analysis," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(2), pages 187-233, July.
    36. Bo Jiang & Yongge Tian, 2022. "Equivalence Analysis of Statistical Inference Results under True and Misspecified Multivariate Linear Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-16, December.
    37. Ali Mehrabani & Aman Ullah, 2022. "Weighted Average Estimation in Panel Data," Working Papers 202209, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2022.
    38. Dardanoni, Valentino & De Luca, Giuseppe & Modica, Salvatore & Peracchi, Franco, 2015. "Model averaging estimation of generalized linear models with imputed covariates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 452-463.
    39. Judith Anne Clarke, 2017. "Model Averaging OLS and 2SLS: An Application of the WALS Procedure," Econometrics Working Papers 1701, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
    40. Zou, Guohua & Wan, Alan T.K. & Wu, Xiaoyong & Chen, Ti, 2007. "Estimation of regression coefficients of interest when other regression coefficients are of no interest: The case of non-normal errors," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(8), pages 803-810, April.
    41. Danilov, Dmitry & Magnus, J.R.Jan R., 2004. "On the harm that ignoring pretesting can cause," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 27-46, September.

  6. J. Durbin & B. Quenneville, 1997. "Benchmarking by State Space Models," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 65(1), pages 23-48, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Fabio H. Nieto, 2007. "Ex post and ex ante prediction of unobserved multivariate time series: a structural-model based approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 53-76.
    2. Jan A. Brakel & Sabine Krieg, 2016. "Small area estimation with state space common factor models for rotating panels," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 179(3), pages 763-791, June.
    3. José Casals Carro & Miguel Jerez Méndez & Sonia Sotoca López, 2006. "Modelling an forecasting time series sampled at different frequencies," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0603, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
    4. Homesh Sayal & John A. D. Aston & Duncan Elliott & Hernando Ombao, 2017. "An introduction to applications of wavelet benchmarking with seasonal adjustment," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(3), pages 863-889, June.
    5. Weigand Roland & Wanger Susanne & Zapf Ines, 2018. "Factor Structural Time Series Models for Official Statistics with an Application to Hours Worked in Germany," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 34(1), pages 265-301, March.
    6. Danny Pfeffermann & Anna Sikov & Richard Tiller, 2014. "Single- and two-stage cross-sectional and time series benchmarking procedures for small area estimation," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(4), pages 631-666, December.
    7. Luiz Cerqueira & Adrian Pizzinga & Cristiano Fernandes, 2009. "Methodological Procedure for Estimating Brazilian Quarterly GDP Series," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 15(1), pages 102-114, February.
    8. Baoline Chen, 2007. "An Empirical Comparison of Methods for Temporal Distribution and Interpolation at the National Accounts," BEA Papers 0077, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
    9. Findley, David F. & Potscher, Benedikt M. & Wei, Ching-Zong, 2004. "Modeling of time series arrays by multistep prediction or likelihood methods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1-2), pages 151-187.
    10. Adrian Pizzinga, 2010. "Constrained Kalman Filtering: Additional Results," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 78(2), pages 189-208, August.
    11. Wanger, Susanne & Weigand, Roland & Zapf, Ines, 2014. "Revision der IAB-Arbeitszeitrechnung 2014 : Grundlagen, methodische Weiterentwicklungen sowie ausgewählte Ergebnisse im Rahmen der Revision der Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen," IAB-Forschungsbericht 201409, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    12. Pizzinga, Adrian, 2009. "Further investigation into restricted Kalman filtering," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 264-269, January.
    13. Danny Pfeffermann, 2022. "Time series modelling of repeated survey data for estimation of finite population parameters," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(4), pages 1757-1777, October.
    14. M. D. Ugarte & A. F. Militino & T. Goicoa, 2008. "Adjusting economic estimates in business surveys," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(11), pages 1253-1265.
    15. Quennevillle, Benoît & Gagné, Christian, 2013. "Testing time series data compatibility for benchmarking," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 754-766.
    16. Christian Caamaño-Carrillo & Sergio Contreras-Espinoza & Orietta Nicolis, 2023. "Reconstructing the Quarterly Series of the Chilean Gross Domestic Product Using a State Space Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-14, April.
    17. M. Ugarte & A. Militino & T. Goicoa, 2009. "Benchmarked estimates in small areas using linear mixed models with restrictions," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 18(2), pages 342-364, August.

  7. John Kingman & J. Durbin & David Cox & M. J. R. Healy, 1988. "Appendix: Statistical Requirements of the AIDS Epidemic," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 151(1), pages 127-130, January.

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    1. Sylvia Richardson, 2022. "Statistics in times of increasing uncertainty," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(4), pages 1471-1496, October.

  8. Durbin, James, 1988. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Parameters of a System of Simultaneous Regression Equations," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(1), pages 159-170, April.

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    1. Mala Raghavan & George Athanasopoulos & Param Silvapulle, 2009. "VARMA models for Malaysian Monetary Policy Analysis," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 6/09, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    2. Maria Kyriacou & Peter C.B. Phillips & Francesca Rossi, 2019. "Continuously Updated Indirect Inference in Heteroskedastic Spatial Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2208, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    3. Calzolari, Giorgio, 2012. "Econometric notes," MPRA Paper 71440, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Oya, Kosuke & Morimune, Kimio, 1992. "The distribution of the full information maximum likelihood estimator," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 569-574.
    5. Charles G. Renfro, 2009. "The Practice of Econometric Theory," Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics, Springer, number 978-3-540-75571-5, July-Dece.
    6. David F. Hendry & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2017. "John Denis Sargan at the London School of Economics," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2082, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    7. Richard Sweeney, 2014. "Equivalent valuations in cash flow and accounting models," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 29-49, January.

  9. Durbin, J, 1970. "An Alternative to the Bounds Test for Testing for Serial Correlation in Least-Squares Regression," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 38(3), pages 422-429, May.

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    1. Roelf Bult, Jan & Leeflang, Peter S. H. & Wittink, Dick R., 1997. "The relative performance of bivariate causality tests in small samples," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 97(3), pages 450-464, March.
    2. Martellosio, Federico, 2008. "Power Properties of Invariant Tests for Spatial Autocorrelation in Linear Regression," MPRA Paper 7255, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Dubbelman, C., 1971. "A Priori Fixed Covariance Matrices Of Disturbance Estimators," Econometric Institute Archives 272044, Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    4. Aihara, Yasuaki, 1988. "International comparison of causal relationships among selected social indicators and economic welfare," ISU General Staff Papers 1988010108000017609, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    5. Robert Nash Parker, 1980. "Correlation In Time Series Regression," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 9(1), pages 99-114, August.

  10. Durbin, J, 1970. "Testing for Serial Correlation in Least-Squares Regression When Some of the Regressors are Lagged Dependent Variables," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 38(3), pages 410-421, May.

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    Cited by:

    1. A. Chaudhuri, 1975. "A simple method of sampling without replacement with inclusion-probabilities exactly proportional to size," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 147-152, December.

Chapters

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Books

  1. Durbin, James & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2001. "Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198523543.

    Cited by:

    1. Perron, Pierre & Wada, Tatsuma, 2009. "Let's take a break: Trends and cycles in US real GDP," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 749-765, September.
    2. Shi, Mengze & Yang, Botao & Chiang, Jeongwen, 2018. "Dyad Calling Behavior: Asymmetric Power and Tie Strength Dynamics," Journal of Interactive Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 63-79.
    3. Grimm, Maximilian & Jordà , Òscar & Schularick, Moritz & Taylor, Alan M., 2023. "Loose monetary policy and financial instability," CEPR Discussion Papers 17896, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Taras Lazariv & Wolfgang Schmid, 2019. "Surveillance of non-stationary processes," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 103(3), pages 305-331, September.
    5. Rünstler, Gerhard & Vlekke, Marente, 2016. "Business, housing and credit cycles," Working Paper Series 1915, European Central Bank.
    6. Sy-Miin Chow & Meng Chen, 2020. "A Review of Nonparametric Models for Longitudinal Data," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 45(3), pages 369-373, June.
    7. Viv B. Hall & Peter Thomson & Stuart McKelvie, 2017. "On the robustness of stylised business cycle facts for contemporary New Zealand," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(3), pages 193-216, September.
    8. Rambaccussing, Dooruj, 2015. "Modelling Housing Prices using a Present Value State Space Model," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-80, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    9. Victor Bystrov, 2018. "Measuring the Natural Rates of Interest in Germany and Italy," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 10(4), pages 333-353, December.
    10. Ramis Khabibullin, 2019. "What measures of real economic activity slack are helpful for forecasting Russian inflation?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps50, Bank of Russia.
    11. Chris M Strickland & Gael Martin & Catherine S Forbes, 2006. "Parameterisation and Efficient MCMC Estimation of Non-Gaussian State Space Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 22/06, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    12. Florian Heiss, 2008. "Sequential numerical integration in nonlinear state space models for microeconometric panel data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(3), pages 373-389.
    13. Yukai Yang & Luc Bauwens, 2018. "State-Space Models on the Stiefel Manifold with a New Approach to Nonlinear Filtering," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-22, December.
    14. Mengheng Li & Siem Jan (S.J.) Koopman, 2018. "Unobserved Components with Stochastic Volatility in U.S. Inflation: Estimation and Signal Extraction," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-027/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    15. Emanuele Aliverti & Stefano Mazzuco & Bruno Scarpa, 2022. "Dynamic modelling of mortality via mixtures of skewed distribution functions," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(3), pages 1030-1048, July.
    16. Sbrana, Giacomo & Silvestrini, Andrea, 2020. "Forecasting with the damped trend model using the structural approach," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    17. Li, Gang & Song, Haiyan & Witt, Stephen F., 2006. "Time varying parameter and fixed parameter linear AIDS: An application to tourism demand forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 57-71.
    18. Maria A. Arias & Charles S. Gascon & David E. Rapach, 2014. "Metro Business Cycles," Working Papers 2014-46, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    19. Fernando Tusell, 2008. "An Introduction to State Space Time Series Analysis," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 171(3), pages 756-757, June.
    20. Koopman, Siem Jan & Kräussl, Roman & Lucas, André, 2006. "Credit cycles and macro fundamentals," CFS Working Paper Series 2006/33, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    21. William H. Aeberhard & Eva Cantoni & Chris Field & Hans R. Künsch & Joanna Mills Flemming & Ximing Xu, 2021. "Robust estimation for discrete‐time state space models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(4), pages 1127-1147, December.
    22. Harvey, A. & Simons, J., 2024. "Hidden Threshold Models with applications to asymmetric cycles," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2448, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    23. Neil Dias Karunaratne, 2015. "The Productivity Paradox and the Australian Mining Boom and Bust," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(1), pages 1-19, March.
    24. Thomas Gomez & Giulia Piccillo, 2023. "Does U.S. Monetary Policy Respond to Macroeconomic Uncertainty?," CESifo Working Paper Series 10407, CESifo.
    25. Dempster, M.A.H. & Medova, Elena & Tang, Ke, 2018. "Latent jump diffusion factor estimation for commodity futures," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 35-54.
    26. Boubakri, Salem & Guillaumin, Cyriac, 2011. "Financial integration and currency risk premium in CEECs: Evidence from the ICAPM," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 460-484.
    27. Michael Artis & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Proietti, 2003. "Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle," Working Papers 237, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    28. Philippe de Peretti & Barnett William, 2009. "Admissible Clustering Of Aggregator Components: A Necessary And Sufficient Stochastic Seminonparametric Test For Weak Separability," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00646786, HAL.
    29. Helske, Jouni, 2017. "KFAS: Exponential Family State Space Models in R," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 78(i10).
    30. Dainauskas, Justas, 2023. "Time-varying exchange rate pass-through into terms of trade," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120000, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    31. Fernández-Macho, Javier, 2008. "Spectral estimation of a structural thin-plate smoothing model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 189-195, September.
    32. Petrella, Ivan & Delle Monache, Davide, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails," Bank of England working papers 577, Bank of England.
    33. Eric Heyer & Frédéric Reynès & Henri Sterdyniak, 2004. "Observable and unobservable variables in the theory of the equilibrium rate of unemployment, a comparison between France and the United States," Working Papers hal-01027420, HAL.
    34. Alastair Cunningham & Jana Eklund & Christopher Jeffery & George Kapetanios & Vincent Labhard, 2007. "A state space approach to extracting the signal from uncertain data," Bank of England working papers 336, Bank of England.
    35. Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2003. "Business and Default Cycles for Credit Risk," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-062/2, Tinbergen Institute, revised 09 Jan 2003.
    36. Cendejas Bueno, José Luis & Muñoz, Félix & Fernández-de-Pinedo, Nadia, 2015. "A contribution to the analysis of historical economic fluctuations (1870-2010): filtering, spurious cycles and unobserved component modelling," Working Papers in Economic Theory 2015/04, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid (Spain), Department of Economic Analysis (Economic Theory and Economic History).
    37. Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & Eric Zivot, 2008. "The Effect of the Great Moderation on the U.S. Business Cycle in a Time-varying Multivariate Trend-cycle Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-069/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    38. Schwaab, Bernd & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André, 2014. "Nowcasting and forecasting global financial sector stress and credit market dislocation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 741-758.
    39. Tommaso Proietti, 2002. "Some Reflections on Trend-Cycle Decompositions with Correlated Components," Econometrics 0209002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    40. Frain, John C., 2003. "Inflation and Money Growth: Evidence from a Multi-Country Data-Set," Research Technical Papers 7/RT/03, Central Bank of Ireland.
    41. Avanzi, Benjamin & Taylor, Greg & Vu, Phuong Anh & Wong, Bernard, 2020. "A multivariate evolutionary generalised linear model framework with adaptive estimation for claims reserving," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 50-71.
    42. Mamadou Cisse & Mamadou Konte & Mohamed Toure & Smael Afolabi Assani, 2019. "Contribution to the Valuation of BRVM’s Assets: A Conditional CAPM Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-15, February.
    43. Andrew C. Harvey, 2020. "Time series models for epidemics: leading indicators, control groups and policy assessment," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 517, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    44. Martin Iseringhausen, 2018. "The Time-Varying Asymmetry Of Exchange Rate Returns: A Stochastic Volatility – Stochastic Skewness Model," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 18/944, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    45. Harvey,Andrew C., 2013. "Dynamic Models for Volatility and Heavy Tails," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107034723, October.
    46. Jarociński, Marek, 2015. "A note on implementing the Durbin and Koopman simulation smoother," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 1-3.
    47. Cúrdia, Vasco, 2010. "Correlated Disturbances and U.S. Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 7712, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    48. Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "A Model of the Fed's View on Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(4), pages 686-704, October.
    49. Charles S. Bos, 2008. "Model-based Estimation of High Frequency Jump Diffusions with Microstructure Noise and Stochastic Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-011/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    50. Michael Artis & Massimiliano Marcellino & Tommaso Proietti, 2004. "Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries," Econometrics 0403006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    51. Michael Funke & Andrew Tsang, 2021. "The Direction and Intensity of China’s Monetary Policy: A Dynamic Factor Modelling Approach," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 97(316), pages 100-122, March.
    52. Helder Rojas & David Dias, 2020. "Transmission of macroeconomic shocks to risk parameters: Their uses in stress testing," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(3), pages 353-380, May.
    53. Obryan Poyser, 2017. "Exploring the determinants of Bitcoin's price: an application of Bayesian Structural Time Series," Papers 1706.01437, arXiv.org.
    54. Raïsa Basselier & David Antonio Liedo & Geert Langenus, 2018. "Nowcasting Real Economic Activity in the Euro Area: Assessing the Impact of Qualitative Surveys," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 1-46, April.
    55. Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas & André Monteiro, 2005. "The Multi-State Latent Factor Intensity Model for Credit Rating Transitions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-071/4, Tinbergen Institute, revised 04 Jul 2005.
    56. García-Martos, Carolina & Rodríguez, Julio & Sánchez, María Jesús, 2013. "Modelling and forecasting fossil fuels, CO2 and electricity prices and their volatilities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 363-375.
    57. Siem Jan Koopman & Kai Ming Lee, 0000. "Seasonality with Trend and Cycle Interactions in Unobserved Components Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-028/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    58. Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André, 2008. "A Non-Gaussian Panel Time Series Model for Estimating and Decomposing Default Risk," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 26, pages 510-525.
    59. Carter, Andrew V & Steigerwald, Douglas G, 2010. "Testing for Regime Switching: A Comment," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt5079q9dc, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
    60. Garcia Marquez, Fausto Pedro & Pedregal Tercero, Diego Jose & Schmid, Felix, 2007. "Unobserved Component models applied to the assessment of wear in railway points: A case study," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 176(3), pages 1703-1712, February.
    61. Siem Jan Koopman & João Valle E Azevedo, 2008. "Measuring Synchronization and Convergence of Business Cycles for the Euro area, UK and US," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(1), pages 23-51, February.
    62. Jaworski Stanisław, 2020. "A Few Remarks on the Stochastic Structure of the Unemployment Rate in Poland by Gender," Econometrics. Advances in Applied Data Analysis, Sciendo, vol. 24(2), pages 41-52, June.
    63. Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2014. "Information Theoretic Optimality of Observation Driven Time Series Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-046/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    64. Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit & Andre Lucas, 2015. "Intraday Stochastic Volatility in Discrete Price Changes: the Dynamic Skellam Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-076/IV/DSF94, Tinbergen Institute.
    65. Riccardo Borghi & Eric Hillebrand & Jakob Mikkelsen & Giovanni Urga, 2018. "The dynamics of factor loadings in the cross-section of returns," CREATES Research Papers 2018-38, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    66. Longo, Luigi & Riccaboni, Massimo & Rungi, Armando, 2022. "A neural network ensemble approach for GDP forecasting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    67. Riani Marco, 2004. "Extensions of the Forward Search to Time Series," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 8(2), pages 1-25, May.
    68. Creal, Drew D. & Wu, Jing Cynthia, 2015. "Estimation of affine term structure models with spanned or unspanned stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(1), pages 60-81.
    69. Sophie Bercu & Fr�d�ric Proïa, 2013. "A SARIMAX coupled modelling applied to individual load curves intraday forecasting," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(6), pages 1333-1348, June.
    70. Himadri Ghosh & Bishal Gurung & Prajneshu, 2015. "Kalman filter-based modelling and forecasting of stochastic volatility with threshold," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 492-507, March.
    71. Guillermo Ferreira & Jorge Mateu & Emilio Porcu, 2018. "Spatio-temporal analysis with short- and long-memory dependence: a state-space approach," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 27(1), pages 221-245, March.
    72. Ben Tims & Ronald Mahieu, 2006. "A Range-Based Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Model for Exchange Rates," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2-3), pages 409-424.
    73. Woojoo Lee & Hans‐Peter Piepho & Youngjo Lee, 2021. "Resolving the ambiguity of random‐effects models with singular precision matrix," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 75(4), pages 482-499, November.
    74. Godolphin, E.J. & Triantafyllopoulos, Kostas, 2006. "Decomposition of time series models in state-space form," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(9), pages 2232-2246, May.
    75. Mengheng Li & Marcel Scharth, 2022. "Leverage, Asymmetry, and Heavy Tails in the High-Dimensional Factor Stochastic Volatility Model," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 285-301, January.
    76. Cristea, R. G., 2020. "Can Alternative Data Improve the Accuracy of Dynamic Factor Model Nowcasts?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20108, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    77. Chuanjie Xie & Chong Huang & Deqiang Zhang & Wei He, 2021. "BiLSTM-I: A Deep Learning-Based Long Interval Gap-Filling Method for Meteorological Observation Data," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(19), pages 1-12, September.
    78. Füss, Roland & Zietz, Joachim, 2016. "The economic drivers of differences in house price inflation rates across MSAs," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 35-53.
    79. Ulrich Pfister & Jana Riedel & Martin Uebele, 2012. "Real Wages and the Origins of Modern Economic Growth in Germany, 16th to 19th Centuries," Working Papers 0017, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
    80. Irma Hindrayanto & Siem Jan Koopman & Jasper de Winter, 2014. "Nowcasting and Forecasting Economic Growth in the Euro Area using Principal Components," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-113/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    81. Bernd Schwaab & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2015. "Global Credit Risk: World, Country and Industry Factors," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-029/III/DSF87, Tinbergen Institute.
    82. Zietz, Joachim & Traian, Anca, 2014. "When was the U.S. housing downturn predictable? A comparison of univariate forecasting methods," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 271-281.
    83. Dillon Alleyne & Claremont Kirton & Georgia McLeod & Mark Figueroa, 2008. "Short-run macroeconomic determinants of remittances to Jamaica: a time varying parameter approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(8), pages 629-634.
    84. Marko Melolinna & Máté Tóth, 2019. "Output gaps, inflation and financial cycles in the UK," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1039-1070, March.
    85. Berger, Tino & Everaert, Gerdie, 2010. "Labour taxes and unemployment evidence from a panel unobserved component model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 354-364, March.
    86. Vendrame, Vasco & Guermat, Cherif & Tucker, Jon, 2018. "A conditional regime switching CAPM," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-11.
    87. Kum Hwa Oh & Eric Zivot & Drew Creal, 2006. "The Relationship between the Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition andUnobserved Component Models with Correlated Shocks," Working Papers UWEC-2006-16-FC, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
    88. Bernardi Mauro & Della Corte Giuseppe & Proietti Tommaso, 2011. "Extracting the Cyclical Component in Hours Worked," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(3), pages 1-28, May.
    89. Georges Prat & David Le Bris, 2019. "Equity Risk Premium and Time Horizon: what do the French secular data say ?," Working Papers hal-04141877, HAL.
    90. Patricia Renou-Maissant, 2019. "Is Oil Price Still Driving Inflation?," The Energy Journal, , vol. 40(6), pages 199-220, November.
    91. Michel Beine & Charles S. Bos & Sebastian Laurent, 2005. "The Impact of Central Bank FX Interventions on Currency Components," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-103/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    92. Kai Liu, 2014. "Public Finances, Business Cycles and Structural Fiscal Balances," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1411, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    93. Rünstler, Gerhard & Bańbura, Marta, 2007. "A look into the factor model black box: publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," Working Paper Series 751, European Central Bank.
    94. Ragna Alstadheim & Hilde C. Bjørnland & Junior Maih, 2013. "Do central banks respond to exchange rate movements? A Markov-switching structural investigation," Working Paper 2013/24, Norges Bank.
    95. Anders Warne & Günter Coenen & Kai Christoffel, 2017. "Marginalized Predictive Likelihood Comparisons of Linear Gaussian State‐Space Models with Applications to DSGE, DSGE‐VAR, and VAR Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 103-119, January.
    96. Robert A. Hill & Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, 2022. "Forgetting approaches to improve forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1356-1371, November.
    97. Reza Pourmoayed & Lars Relund Nielsen, 2022. "Optimizing pig marketing decisions under price fluctuations," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 314(2), pages 617-644, July.
    98. Michele Modugno & Lucrezia Reichlin & Domenico Giannone & Marta Banbura, 2012. "Nowcasting with Daily Data," 2012 Meeting Papers 555, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    99. Max Bruche, 2006. "Estimating Structural Models of Corporate Bond Prices," Working Papers wp2006_0610, CEMFI.
    100. Ioannis Papageorgiou & Ioannis Kontoyiannis, 2023. "The Bayesian Context Trees State Space Model for time series modelling and forecasting," Papers 2308.00913, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    101. Francois R. Velde, 2006. "Chronicles of a deflation unforetold," Working Paper Series WP-06-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    102. Cleomar Gomes da Silva & Gilberto O. Boaretto, 2018. "Inflation and Relative Price Variability in Brazil: A Time-Varying Parameter Approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(4), pages 1947-1956.
    103. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Sivec, Vasja, 2016. "Monetary, fiscal and oil shocks: Evidence based on mixed frequency structural FAVARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 335-348.
    104. Gianfreda, Angelica & Maranzano, Paolo & Parisio, Lucia & Pelagatti, Matteo, 2023. "Testing for integration and cointegration when time series are observed with noise," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    105. Iiboshi, Hirokuni & Nishiyama, Shin-Ichi & Watanabe, Toshiaki, 2006. "An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Japanese Economy: A Bayesian Analysis," MPRA Paper 85702, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    106. Federico Maddanu & Tommaso Proietti, 2023. "Trends in atmospheric ethane," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(5), pages 1-23, May.
    107. Philipp Heimberger & Jakob Kapeller, 2017. "The performativity of potential output: pro-cyclicality and path dependency in coordinating European fiscal policies," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(5), pages 904-928, September.
    108. Adolfo Maza, 2006. "Migrations and Regional Convergence: The Case of Spain," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 26(2), pages 191-202, October.
    109. Sebastian Rondeau, 2012. "Sources of Fluctuations in Emerging Markets: Structural Estimation with Mixed Frequency Data," 2012 Meeting Papers 1156, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    110. Schabert, Andreas & Christoffel, Kai, 2015. "Interest rates, money, and banks in an estimated euro area model," Working Paper Series 1791, European Central Bank.
    111. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Shabalina, Ekaterina, 2022. "Estimation and forecasting using mixed-frequency DSGE models," IMFS Working Paper Series 175, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    112. Born, Benjamin & Bayer, Christian & Luetticke, Ralph, 2020. "The Liquidity Channel of Fiscal Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 14883, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    113. Mikkel Bennedsen & Eric Hillebrand & Siem Jan Koopman, 2019. "Modeling, Forecasting, and Nowcasting U.S. CO2 Emissions Using Many Macroeconomic Predictors," CREATES Research Papers 2019-21, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    114. John M. Nunley & Richard Alan Seals Jr. & Joachim Zietz, 2011. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Conditions on Property Crime," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2011-06, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
    115. Ángelo Gutiérrez-Daza, 2024. "Business Cycles when Consumers Learn by Shopping," Working Papers 2024-12, Banco de México.
    116. Pedregal, Diego J. & Carmen Carnero, Ma, 2006. "State space models for condition monitoring: a case study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 171-180.
    117. Chen, Peimin & Wu, Chunchi, 2014. "Default prediction with dynamic sectoral and macroeconomic frailties," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 211-226.
    118. Young-Eun Jeon & Suk-Bok Kang & Jung-In Seo, 2022. "Hybrid Predictive Modeling for Charging Demand Prediction of Electric Vehicles," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-15, April.
    119. Sudhanshu Kumar & Naveen Srinivasan & Muthiah Ramachandran, 2012. "A time‐varying parameter model of inflation in India," Indian Growth and Development Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(1), pages 25-50, April.
    120. Alessandra Luati & Tommaso Proietti, 2010. "Hyper‐spherical and elliptical stochastic cycles," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 169-181, May.
    121. Francesco Bianchi & Giada Bianchi & Dongho Song, 2020. "The Long-Term Impact of the COVID-19 Unemployment Shock on Life Expectancy and Mortality Rates," NBER Working Papers 28304, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    122. Jeremy Penzer, 2007. "State space models for time series with patches of unusual observations," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(5), pages 629-645, September.
    123. Robert J. Hill & Alicia N. Rambaldi & Michael Scholz, 2021. "Higher frequency hedonic property price indices: a state-space approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 417-441, July.
    124. Fei Gu & Kristopher J. Preacher & Emilio Ferrer, 2014. "A State Space Modeling Approach to Mediation Analysis," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 39(2), pages 117-143, April.
    125. Petar Sorić, 2022. "Ability to consume versus willingness to consume: the role of nonlinearities," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 49(3), pages 663-689, August.
    126. Daniel Burren, 2010. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates in a New Keynesian Model with Time-Varying Macro Volatility," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 11(2), pages 277-299, November.
    127. Brand, Claus & Goy, Gavin & Lemke, Wolfgang, 2021. "Natural rate chimera and bond pricing reality," Working Paper Series 2612, European Central Bank.
    128. Francesco Furlanetto & Paolo Gelain & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2017. "Output gap, monetary policy trade-offs and financial frictions," Working Paper 2017/8, Norges Bank.
    129. Giulio Bottazzi & Francesco Cordoni & Giulia Livieri & Stefano Marmi, 2020. "Uncertainty in Firm Valuation and a Cross-Sectional Misvaluation Measure," LEM Papers Series 2020/15, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    130. Creal, Drew D., 2008. "Analysis of filtering and smoothing algorithms for Lévy-driven stochastic volatility models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(6), pages 2863-2876, February.
    131. Minsu Chang & Xiaohong Chen & Frank Schorfheide, 2021. "Heterogeneity and Aggregate Fluctuations," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2289, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    132. H. Visser & A. Petersen, 2009. "The likelihood of holding outdoor skating marathons in the Netherlands as a policy-relevant indicator of climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 93(1), pages 39-54, March.
    133. Dimitrije Marković & Jan Gläscher & Peter Bossaerts & John O’Doherty & Stefan J Kiebel, 2015. "Modeling the Evolution of Beliefs Using an Attentional Focus Mechanism," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(10), pages 1-34, October.
    134. Franco Peracchi & Claudio Rossetti, 2019. "A Nonlinear Dynamic Factor Model of Health and Medical Treatment," CSEF Working Papers 524, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    135. Yue Zhao & Difang Wan, 2018. "Institutional high frequency trading and price discovery: Evidence from an emerging commodity futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 243-270, February.
    136. Hoveid, Oyvind & Stokstad, Grete, 2011. "A model for prediction of spatial farm structure," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114529, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    137. Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2001. "Time Series Modelling of Daily Tax Revenues," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 01-032/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    138. Chang, Yu Sang, 2014. "Comparative analysis of long-term road fatality targets for individual states in the US—An application of experience curve models," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 53-69.
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    270. Siem Jan Koopman & Eugenie Hol Uspensky, 2002. "The stochastic volatility in mean model: empirical evidence from international stock markets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(6), pages 667-689, December.
    271. Scott Brave & R. Andrew Butters, 2010. "Gathering insights on the forest from the trees: a new metric for financial conditions," Working Paper Series WP-2010-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    272. Altug, Sumru & Çakmaklı, Cem, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation using Survey Expectations and Target Inflation: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey," CEPR Discussion Papers 10419, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    273. Michael D. Hunter & Haya Fatimah & Marina A. Bornovalova, 2022. "Two Filtering Methods of Forecasting Linear and Nonlinear Dynamics of Intensive Longitudinal Data," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 87(2), pages 477-505, June.
    274. Søren Johansen & Morten Nyboe Tabor, 2017. "Cointegration between trends and their estimators in state space models and CVAR models," Discussion Papers 17-02, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
    275. Tommaso Proietti & Marco Riani, 2009. "Transformations and seasonal adjustment," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 47-69, January.
    276. Tsyplakov, Alexander, 2010. "Revealing the arcane: an introduction to the art of stochastic volatility models," MPRA Paper 25511, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    277. Neil Shephard & Dacheng Xiu, 2012. "Econometric analysis of multivariate realised QML: efficient positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices," Economics Series Working Papers 604, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    278. Falk Brauning & Siem Jan Koopman, 2012. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables using Collapsed Dynamic Factor Analysis," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-042/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    279. Matthew Ferranti, 2022. "Estimating the Currency Composition of Foreign Exchange Reserves," Papers 2206.13751, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    280. Christopher Nemeth & Chris Sherlock & Paul Fearnhead, 2016. "Particle Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 103(3), pages 701-717.
    281. Cem Cakmakli & Hamza Demircan & Sumru Altug, 2019. "Modeling of Economic and Financial Conditions for Nowcasting and Forecasting Recessions: A Unified Approach," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1907, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    282. Sascha Mergner & Jan Bulla, 2005. "Time-varying Beta Risk of Pan-European Industry Portfolios: A Comparison of Alternative Modeling Techniques," Finance 0510029, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    283. Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2022. "A Neural Phillips Curve and a Deep Output Gap," Working Papers 22-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
    284. Geert Mesters & Siem Jan Koopman, 2012. "Generalized Dynamic Panel Data Models with Random Effects for Cross-Section and Time," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-009/4, Tinbergen Institute, revised 18 Mar 2014.
    285. Corradin, Stefano & Grimm, Niklas & Schwaab, Bernd, 2021. "Euro area sovereign bond risk premia during the Covid-19 pandemic," Working Paper Series 2561, European Central Bank.
    286. Krist'of N'emeth & D'aniel Hadh'azi, 2023. "GDP nowcasting with artificial neural networks: How much does long-term memory matter?," Papers 2304.05805, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    287. Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2008. "A General Framework for Observation Driven Time-Varying Parameter Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-108/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    288. Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2015. "Real-Time Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency VAR," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 366-380, July.
    289. Martin Solberger & Erik Spånberg, 2020. "Estimating a Dynamic Factor Model in EViews Using the Kalman Filter and Smoother," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(3), pages 875-900, March.
    290. Gardberg, Malin, 2020. "Aggregate Consumption and Wealth in the Long Run: The Impact of Financial Liberalization," Working Paper Series 1339, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
    291. Matthieu Lemoine, 2006. "Annex A5 : A model of the stochastic convergence between euro area business cycles," Working Papers hal-00972793, HAL.
    292. Refai, Hisham Al & Zeitun, Rami & Eissa, Mohamed Abdel-Aziz, 2022. "Impact of global health crisis and oil price shocks on stock markets in the GCC," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    293. Song, Haiyan & Li, Gang & Witt, Stephen F. & Athanasopoulos, George, 2011. "Forecasting tourist arrivals using time-varying parameter structural time series models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 855-869.
    294. Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & de Winter, Jasper, 2016. "Forecasting and nowcasting economic growth in the euro area using factor models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1284-1305.
    295. Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas & Marcin Zamojski, 2015. "Generalized Autoregressive Method of Moments," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-138/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 06 Jul 2018.
    296. Matteo Pelagatti, 2020. "Assessing the effectiveness of the Italian risk-zones policy during the second wave of Covid-19," Working Papers 457, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2020.
    297. Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," Discussion Papers 1604, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Jan 2016.
    298. Li, Mengheng & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lit, Rutger & Petrova, Desislava, 2020. "Long-term forecasting of El Niño events via dynamic factor simulations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 46-66.
    299. Christensen, Bent Jesper & van der Wel, Michel, 2019. "An asset pricing approach to testing general term structure models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 165-191.
    300. Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009. "Makroökonomische Prognosen mit gemischten Frequenzen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(21), pages 22-33, November.
    301. Francesco FRANZONI & Tobias ADRIAN, 2008. "Learning about Beta: Time-Varying Factor Loadings, Expected Returns,and the Conditional CAPM," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 08-36, Swiss Finance Institute.
    302. Anoek Castelein & Dennis Fok & Richard Paap, 2019. "Dynamics in clickthrough and conversion probabilities of paid search advertisements," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 19-056/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    303. In Choi, 2023. "Does climate change affect economic data?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(6), pages 2939-2956, June.
    304. Krist'of N'emeth & D'aniel Hadh'azi, 2024. "Generating density nowcasts for U.S. GDP growth with deep learning: Bayes by Backprop and Monte Carlo dropout," Papers 2405.15579, arXiv.org.
    305. Kai Liu, 2016. "Structural fiscal balances of the UK: a state-space DSGE approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(46), pages 4447-4461, October.
    306. Buncic, Daniel, 2020. "Econometric issues with Laubach and Williams’ estimates of the natural rate of interest," Working Paper Series 397, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    307. Leonardo Costa & Adrian Pizzinga, 2020. "State‐space models for predicting IBNR reserve in row‐wise ordered runoff triangles: Calendar year IBNR reserves & tail effects," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 438-448, April.
    308. Drew D. Creal & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2020. "Bond risk premia in consumption‐based models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(4), pages 1461-1484, November.
    309. Sbrana, Giacomo & Pelagatti, Matteo, 2024. "Optimal hierarchical EWMA forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 616-625.
    310. Díaz, Guzmán & Moreno, Blanca & Coto, José & Gómez-Aleixandre, Javier, 2015. "Valuation of wind power distributed generation by using Longstaff–Schwartz option pricing method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 223-233.
    311. Frits Bijleveld & Jacques Commandeur & Phillip Gould & Siem Jan Koopman, 2008. "Model‐based measurement of latent risk in time series with applications," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 171(1), pages 265-277, January.
    312. T. Berger & G. Everaert, 2006. "Re-examining the Structural and the Persistence Approach to Unemployment," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 06/383, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    313. Johan Dahlin & Mattias Villani & Thomas B. Schon, 2015. "Bayesian optimisation for fast approximate inference in state-space models with intractable likelihoods," Papers 1506.06975, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2017.
    314. Gijsbert Suren & Guilherme Moura, 2012. "Heteroskedastic Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Study," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(4), pages 2884-2898.
    315. Wagner, Martin, 2010. "Cointegration Analysis with State Space Models," Economics Series 248, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    316. Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2006. "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-101/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    317. Trimbur, Thomas M., 2010. "Stochastic level shifts and outliers and the dynamics of oil price movements," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 162-179, January.
    318. Jan P. A. M. Jacobs & Samad Sarferaz & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Simon van Norden, 2022. "Can GDP Measurement Be Further Improved? Data Revision and Reconciliation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 423-431, January.
    319. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Carstensen, Kai & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Rossian, Thies & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2019. "Schätzung von Produktionspotenzial und -lücke: Eine Analyse des EU-Verfahrens und mögliche Verbesserungen," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik 19, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    320. Bekiros, Stelios D. & Paccagnini, Alessia, 2015. "Macroprudential Policy And Forecasting Using Hybrid Dsge Models With Financial Frictions And State Space Markov-Switching Tvp-Vars," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(7), pages 1565-1592, October.
    321. Andrew Lee-Poy, 2018. "Characterizing the Canadian Financial Cycle with Frequency Filtering Approaches," Staff Analytical Notes 2018-34, Bank of Canada.
    322. Kim, Soohyeon & Kim, Jihyo & Heo, Eunnyeong, 2021. "Speculative incentives to hoard aluminum: Relationship between capital gains and inventories," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    323. Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Tomohide Mineyama & Dongho Song, 2024. "Are We Fragmented Yet? Measuring Geopolitical Fragmentation and Its Causal Effects," PIER Working Paper Archive 24-015, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    324. Shepherd, Ben, 2006. "Estimating Price Elasticities of Supply for Cotton: A Structural Time-Series Approach," MPRA Paper 1252, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    325. Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta, 2010. "Nowcasting," Working Paper Series 1275, European Central Bank.
    326. Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012. "Common drifting volatility in large Bayesian VARs," Working Papers (Old Series) 1206, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    327. Arslanturk, Yalcin & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin, 2011. "Time-varying linkages between tourism receipts and economic growth in a small open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 664-671.
    328. Olivier Darné & Amélie Charles, 2008. "The impact of outliers on transitory and permanent components in macroeconomic time series," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(60), pages 1-9.
    329. Tucker S. McElroy & Anindya Roy, 2022. "Model identification via total Frobenius norm of multivariate spectra," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(2), pages 473-495, April.
    330. Joao Valle e Azevedo & Siem Jan Koopman & Antonio Rua, 2003. "Tracking Growth and the Business Cycle: a Stochastic Common Cycle Model for the Euro Area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-069/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    331. Iseringhausen, Martin, 2024. "A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 229-246.
    332. Lemoine, M. & de la Serve, M.E. & Chetouane, M., 2011. "Impact of the crisis on potential growth: An approach based on unobserved component models (in french)," Working papers 331, Banque de France.
    333. Sumru Altug & Cem Cakmakli, 2014. "Inflation Targeting and Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1413, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    334. Gary Koop, 2012. "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 4(3), pages 143-167, September.
    335. Charles S. Bos & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Inference for Adaptive Time Series Models: Stochastic Volatility and Conditionally Gaussian State Space Form," Economics Papers 2004-W02, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    336. Caterina Schiavoni & Franz Palm & Stephan Smeekes & Jan van den Brakel, 2019. "A dynamic factor model approach to incorporate Big Data in state space models for official statistics," Papers 1901.11355, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
    337. Mabrouk Chetouane & Matthieu Lemoine & Marie-Elisabeth de La Serve, 2011. "Impact de la crise sur la croissance potentielle," Post-Print hal-03389354, HAL.
    338. Heejong Lim & Kwanghun Chung & Sangbok Lee, 2022. "Probabilistic Forecasting for Demand of a Bike-Sharing Service Using a Deep-Learning Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, November.
    339. Paolo Guarda & Alban Moura, 2019. "Measuring real and financial cycles in Luxembourg: An unobserved components approach," BCL working papers 126, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    340. Heather M. Anderson & Chin Nam Low, 2006. "Random Walk Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Contributions to Economic Analysis, in: Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles, pages 247-281, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    341. Siem Jan Koopman & Marcel Scharth, 2011. "The Analysis of Stochastic Volatility in the Presence of Daily Realised Measures," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-132/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    342. Parrini, Alessandro, 2013. "Importance Sampling for Portfolio Credit Risk in Factor Copula Models," MPRA Paper 103745, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    343. Schalk Burger & Searle Silverman & Gary van Vuuren, 2018. "Deriving Correlation Matrices for Missing Financial Time-Series Data," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(10), pages 105-105, October.
    344. Orair, Rodrigo Octávio & Silva, Wesley de Jesus, 2013. "Subnational Government Investment in Brazil: Estimation and Analysis by State Space Models," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 33(1), September.
    345. Benjamin Poignard & Manabu Asaiz, 2020. "A Penalised OLS Framework for High-Dimensional Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 20-02, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
    346. Georges Prat & David Le Bris, 2019. "Equity Risk Premium and Time Horizon: what do the French secular data say ?," EconomiX Working Papers 2019-8, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    347. Frédéric Karamé & Yannick Fondeur, 2012. "Can Google Data Help Predict French Youth Unemployment?," Documents de recherche 12-03, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
    348. Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit, 2015. "A dynamic bivariate Poisson model for analysing and forecasting match results in the English Premier League," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(1), pages 167-186, January.
    349. Shahidul Islam & Subhadip Ghosh & Mohua Podder, 2022. "Fifty years of agricultural development in Bangladesh: a comparison with India and Pakistan," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(7), pages 1-41, July.
    350. Corradini, Riccardo, 2018. "A set of state space models at an high disaggregation level to forecast Italian Industrial Production," MPRA Paper 84558, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Feb 2018.
    351. Bashar, Omar H. M. N. & Bashar, Omar K. M. R., 2020. "Resource abundance, financial crisis and economic growth: did resource-rich countries fare better during the global financial crisis?," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(2), April.
    352. Stefano Grassi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2013. "It’s all about volatility (of volatility): evidence from a two-factor stochastic volatility model," CREATES Research Papers 2013-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    353. Jan van den Brakel & Martijn Souren & Sabine Krieg, 2022. "Estimating monthly labour force figures during the COVID‐19 pandemic in the Netherlands," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(4), pages 1560-1583, October.
    354. Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas & Bernd Schwaab, 2008. "Forecasting Cross-Sections of Frailty-Correlated Default," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-029/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    355. Andreasen, Martin, 2011. "An estimated DSGE model: explaining variation in term premia," Bank of England working papers 441, Bank of England.
    356. Hall, Viv B & Thomson, Peter, 2022. "A boosted HP filter for business cycle analysis: evidence from New Zealand’s small open economy," Working Paper Series 21184, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
    357. Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan Rubio-Ramírez & Frank Schorfheide, 2015. "Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models," PIER Working Paper Archive 15-042, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 09 Dec 2015.
    358. Matthieu Lemoine, 2005. "A model of the stochastic convergence between business cycles," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2005-05, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    359. Swamy Paravastu & Peter Muehlen & Jatinder Singh Mehta & I-Lok Chang, 2022. "The State Of Econometrics After John W. Pratt, Robert Schlaifer, Brian Skyrms, And Robert L. Basmann," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 84(2), pages 627-654, November.
    360. F. Blasques & S. J. Koopman & A. Lucas, 2015. "Information-theoretic optimality of observation-driven time series models for continuous responses," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 102(2), pages 325-343.
    361. Chu, Chih-Yuan & Durango-Cohen, Pablo L., 2008. "Estimation of dynamic performance models for transportation infrastructure using panel data," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 57-81, January.
    362. Brave, Scott A. & Butters, R. Andrew & Justiniano, Alejandro, 2019. "Forecasting economic activity with mixed frequency BVARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1692-1707.
    363. Dimitrios Thomakos, 2008. "Optimal Linear Filtering, Smoothing and Trend Extraction for Processes with Unit Roots and Cointegration," Working Papers 0024, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics.
    364. Gloria Martín Rodríguez & José Juan Cáceres Hernández, 2005. "Modeling weekly Canary tomato exports," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 33(3), pages 255-267, November.
    365. Berger, Tino & Pozzi, Lorenzo, 2013. "Measuring time-varying financial market integration: An unobserved components approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 463-473.
    366. Liebermann, Joelle, 2012. "Real-time forecasting in a data-rich environment," Research Technical Papers 07/RT/12, Central Bank of Ireland.
    367. Tucker McElroy, 2017. "Multivariate Seasonal Adjustment, Economic Identities, and Seasonal Taxonomy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 611-625, October.
    368. Ourania Theodosiadou & Sotiris Skaperas & George Tsaklidis, 2017. "Change Point Detection and Estimation of the Two-Sided Jumps of Asset Returns Using a Modified Kalman Filter," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-14, March.
    369. Neil Shephard & Arnaud Doucet, 2012. "Robust inference on parameters via particle filters and sandwich covariance matrices," Economics Series Working Papers 606, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    370. Matthieu Lemoine & Florian Pelgrin, 2003. "Introduction aux modèles espace état et au filtre de Kalman," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01019094, HAL.
    371. Alexander Tsyplakov, 2010. "Revealing the arcane: an introduction to the art of stochastic volatility models (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 8, pages 69-122, July.
    372. Nikolaus Hautsch & Fuyu Yang, 2014. "Bayesian Stochastic Search for the Best Predictors: Nowcasting GDP Growth," University of East Anglia Applied and Financial Economics Working Paper Series 056, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
    373. Martin Weale & Paul Labonne, 2022. "Nowcasting in the presence of large measurement errors and revisions," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2022-05, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    374. Alicia Rambaldi & Prasada Rao, 2011. "Hedonic Predicted House Price Indices Using Time-Varying Hedonic Models with Spatial Autocorrelation," Discussion Papers Series 432, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    375. Klaus Abberger, 2004. "Nonparametric Regression and the Detection of Turning Points in the Ifo Business Climate," CESifo Working Paper Series 1283, CESifo.
    376. Geert Mesters & Victor van der Geest & Catrien Bijleveld, 2014. "Crime, Employment and Social Welfare: an Individual-level Study on Disadvantaged Males," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-091/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    377. Philipp Adämmer & Martin T. Bohl & Christian Gross, 2016. "Price Discovery in Thinly Traded Futures Markets: How Thin is Too Thin?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(9), pages 851-869, September.
    378. Harvey, A. C., 2021. "Time series modeling of epidemics: leading indicators, control groups and policy assessment," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2114, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    379. Dominik Bernhofer & Octavio Fernández-Amador & Martin Gächter & Friedrich Sindermann, 2014. "Finance, Potential Output and the Business Cycle: Empirical Evidence from Selected Advanced and CESEE Economies," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 52-75.
    380. Clegg, Matthew & Krauss, Christopher, 2016. "Pairs trading with partial cointegration," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 05/2016, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    381. Gert Peersman & Lorenzo Pozzi, 2007. "Business cycle fluctuations and excess sensitivity of private consumption," Bank of England working papers 335, Bank of England.
    382. Javid, Muhammad & Qayyum, Abdul, 2014. "Electricity consumption-GDP nexus in Pakistan: A structural time series analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 811-817.
    383. Sy-Miin Chow & Zhaohua Lu & Andrew Sherwood & Hongtu Zhu, 2016. "Fitting Nonlinear Ordinary Differential Equation Models with Random Effects and Unknown Initial Conditions Using the Stochastic Approximation Expectation–Maximization (SAEM) Algorithm," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 81(1), pages 102-134, March.
    384. Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2004. "Forecasting Daily Time Series using Periodic Unobserved Components Time Series Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 04-135/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    385. Duk B. Jun & Jihwan Moon & Sungho Park, 2016. "Temporal Disaggregation: Methods, Information Loss, and Diagnostics," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 53-61, January.
    386. Homesh Sayal & John A. D. Aston & Duncan Elliott & Hernando Ombao, 2017. "An introduction to applications of wavelet benchmarking with seasonal adjustment," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(3), pages 863-889, June.
    387. Masaru Chiba & Masahito Kobayashi, 2013. "Testing for a Single-Factor Stochastic Volatility in Bivariate Series," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-31, December.
    388. Bouwman, Kees E. & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M., 2005. "Forecasting with real-time macroeconomic data: the ragged-edge problem and revisions," CCSO Working Papers 200505, University of Groningen, CCSO Centre for Economic Research.
    389. Daisuke Nagakura, 2008. "How Are Shocks to Trend and Cycle Correlated? A Simple Methodology for Unidentified Unobserved Components Models," IMES Discussion Paper Series 08-E-24, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    390. Mumin Rao & Li Wang & Chuangting Chen & Kai Xiong & Mingfei Li & Zhengpeng Chen & Jiangbo Dong & Junli Xu & Xi Li, 2022. "Data-Driven State Prediction and Analysis of SOFC System Based on Deep Learning Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-15, April.
    391. S. Boragan Aruoba, 2016. "Term structures of inflation expectations and real interest rates," Working Papers 16-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    392. Lorenzo Boldrini, 2015. "Forecasting the Global Mean Sea Level, a Continuous-Time State-Space Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2015-40, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    393. Rob J. Hyndman & Yeasmin Khandakar, 2007. "Automatic time series forecasting: the forecast package for R," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 6/07, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    394. Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2011. "Understanding liquidity and credit risks in the financial crisis," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 903-914.
    395. Blasques, F. & Gorgi, P. & Koopman, S.J., 2021. "Missing observations in observation-driven time series models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(2), pages 542-568.
    396. Strickland, Christopher & Burdett, Robert & Mengersen, Kerrie & Denham, Robert, 2014. "PySSM: A Python Module for Bayesian Inference of Linear Gaussian State Space Models," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 57(i06).
    397. Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas & Pieter Klaassen, 2002. "Pro-Cyclicality, Empirical Credit Cycles, and Capital Buffer Formation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 02-107/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    398. Müller-Kademann Christian, 2015. "Internal Validation of Temporal Disaggregation: A Cloud Chamber Approach," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 235(3), pages 298-319, June.
    399. Rzayev, Khaladdin & Ibikunle, Gbenga, 2019. "A state-space modeling of the information content of trading volume," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    400. Tucker McElroy & Thomas Trimbur, 2015. "Signal Extraction for Non-Stationary Multivariate Time Series with Illustrations for Trend Inflation," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 209-227, March.
    401. Tanja Krone & Casper J. Albers & Marieke E. Timmerman, 2017. "A comparative simulation study of AR(1) estimators in short time series," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 51(1), pages 1-21, January.
    402. Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using dynamic model averaging. Does the state–space representation matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    403. Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas & Marcel Scharth, 2016. "Predicting Time-Varying Parameters with Parameter-Driven and Observation-Driven Models," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 98(1), pages 97-110, March.
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    534. Miller, Tom W. & Sabbarese, Donald, 2012. "An Economic Indicator for the State of the Economy in the Southeastern U.S," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 42(1), pages 1-27.
    535. Smith, Michael Stanley, 2023. "Implicit Copulas: An Overview," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 81-104.
    536. Geert Mesters & Bernd Schwaab & Siem Jan Koopman, 2014. "A Dynamic Yield Curve Model with Stochastic Volatility and Non-Gaussian Interactions: An Empirical Study of Non-standard Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-071/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    537. DeRossi, G. & Harvey, A., 2006. "Time-Varying Quantiles," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0649, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    538. Mu, Yali, 2024. "Measuring and benchmarking time-varying market efficiency," IAAE 2024 Conference, August 2-7, 2024, New Delhi, India 344294, International Association of Agricultural Economists (IAAE).
    539. Charalampidis, Nikolaos, 2020. "On unemployment cycles in the Euro Area, 1999–2018," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    540. Vujić Sunčica & Koopman Siem Jan & Commandeur J.F., 2012. "Economic Trends and Cycles in Crime: A Study for England and Wales," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 232(6), pages 652-677, December.
    541. S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions, Second Version," PIER Working Paper Archive 08-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 04 Apr 2008.
    542. Dissanayake, G.S. & Peiris, M.S. & Proietti, T., 2016. "State space modeling of Gegenbauer processes with long memory," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 115-130.
    543. Stephanie R. Clark & Dan Pagendam & Louise Ryan, 2022. "Forecasting Multiple Groundwater Time Series with Local and Global Deep Learning Networks," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-31, April.
    544. Cai, Lingru & Zhang, Zhanchang & Yang, Junjie & Yu, Yidan & Zhou, Teng & Qin, Jing, 2019. "A noise-immune Kalman filter for short-term traffic flow forecasting," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
    545. Maria Kulikova & Gennady Kulikov, 2023. "Estimation of market efficiency process within time-varying autoregressive models by extended Kalman filtering approach," Papers 2310.04125, arXiv.org.
    546. Michele Caivano & Andrew Harvey & Alessandra Luati, 2016. "Robust time series models with trend and seasonal components," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 99-120, March.
    547. Pedregal, Diego J. & Carmen Carnero, Ma., 2009. "Vibration analysis diagnostics by continuous-time models: A case study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 244-253.
    548. David E. Allen & Chialin Chang & Michael McAleer & Abhay K Singh, 2018. "A cointegration analysis of agricultural, energy and bio-fuel spot, and futures prices," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(7), pages 804-823, February.
    549. Tims, B. & Mahieu, R.J., 2003. "A Range-Based Multivariate Model for Exchange Rate Volatility," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2003-022-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
    550. Bart Keijsers & Bart Diris & Erik Kole, 2015. "Cyclicality in Losses on Bank Loans," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-050/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 01 Sep 2017.
    551. Rausser, Gordon & Stuermer, Martin, 2020. "A Dynamic Analysis of Collusive Action: The Case of the World Copper Market, 1882-2016," MPRA Paper 104708, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    552. McElroy, Tucker & Sutcliffe, Andrew, 2006. "An iterated parametric approach to nonstationary signal extraction," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(9), pages 2206-2231, May.
    553. Apergis, Nicholas, 2022. "Overconfidence and US stock market returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    554. Chan, Ying Tung & Qiao, Hui, 2023. "Volatility spillover between oil and stock prices: Structural connectedness based on a multi-sector DSGE model approach with Bayesian estimation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 265-286.
    555. Christophe Cahn & Julien Matheron & Jean‐Guillaume Sahuc, 2017. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Effects of LTROs during the Great Recession," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(7), pages 1443-1482, October.
    556. Martin M. Andreasen & Jens H.E. Christensen & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2017. "Term Structure Analysis with Big Data," CREATES Research Papers 2017-31, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    557. Tommaso Proietti & Martyna Marczak & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2015. "EuroMInd-D: A Density Estimate of Monthly Gross Domestic Product for the Euro Area," CEIS Research Paper 340, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 10 Apr 2015.
    558. Scott Brave & R. Andrew Butters, 2012. "Diagnosing the Financial System: Financial Conditions and Financial Stress," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(2), pages 191-239, June.
    559. Didier Nibbering & Richard Paap & Michel van der Wel, 2015. "What Do Professional Forecasters Actually Predict?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-095/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 13 Oct 2017.
    560. Konrad Banachewicz & André Lucas, 2008. "Quantile forecasting for credit risk management using possibly misspecified hidden Markov models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(7), pages 566-586.
    561. Niels Haldrup & Carsten P. T. Rosenskjold, 2019. "A Parametric Factor Model of the Term Structure of Mortality," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-22, March.
    562. Dat T. Pham & Adam D. Switzer & Gabriel Huerta & Aron J. Meltzner & Huan M. Nguyen & Emma M. Hill, 2019. "Spatiotemporal variations of extreme sea levels around the South China Sea: assessing the influence of tropical cyclones, monsoons and major climate modes," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 98(3), pages 969-1001, September.
    563. Ai Deng & Pierre Perron, 2005. "A Comparison of Alternative Asymptotic Frameworks to Analyze a Structural Change in a Linear Time Trend," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2005-030, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    564. Nigar Hashimzade & Oleg Kirsanov & Tatiana Kirsanova & Junior Maih, 2024. "On Bayesian Filtering for Markov Regime Switching Models," Working Papers 2024_01, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    565. Paolo Agnolucci & Vincenzo De Lipsis, 2020. "Long-run trend in agricultural yield and climatic factors in Europe," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 159(3), pages 385-405, April.
    566. Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & Eric Zivot, 2008. "Extracting a Robust U.S. Business Cycle Using a Time-Varying Multivariate Model-Based Bandpass Filter," Working Papers UWEC-2008-15-FC, University of Washington, Department of Economics.
    567. Alexander Kreuzer & Luciana Dalla Valle & Claudia Czado, 2022. "A Bayesian non‐linear state space copula model for air pollution in Beijing," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(3), pages 613-638, June.
    568. Stephen G. Hall & P. A. V. B. Swamy & George S. Tavlas, 2014. "Time Varying Coefficient Models; A Proposal for selecting the Coefficient Driver Sets," Discussion Papers in Economics 14/18, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
    569. Rodrigo Octávio Orair & Raphael Rocha Gouvêa & Ésio Moreira Leal, 2014. "Political Electoral Cycles and Public Investments in Brasil," Discussion Papers 1999a, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    570. Matteo Pelagatti & Giacomo Sbrana, 2020. "Estimating high dimensional multivariate stochastic volatility models," Working Papers 428, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2020.
    571. Wang, Pengjie & Pantelous, Athanasios A. & Vahid, Farshid, 2023. "Multi-population mortality projection: The augmented common factor model with structural breaks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 450-469.
    572. Shepherd, Ben, 2011. "When are adaptive expectations rational? A generalization," MPRA Paper 34644, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    573. Chini, Emilio Zanetti, 2023. "Can we estimate macroforecasters’ mis-behavior?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    574. De Rossi, Giuliano & Harvey, Andrew, 2009. "Quantiles, expectiles and splines," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 152(2), pages 179-185, October.
    575. Tino Berger, 2012. "The dynamics of short- and long-run capital mobility: evidence from a time-varying parameter error-correction model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(19), pages 2491-2498, July.
    576. Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2024. "Time-varying investment dynamics in the USA," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2024_01, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    577. Jo Thori Lind, 2005. "Repeated surveys and the Kalman filter," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 8(3), pages 418-427, December.
    578. Matti Vihola & Jouni Helske & Jordan Franks, 2020. "Importance sampling type estimators based on approximate marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 47(4), pages 1339-1376, December.
    579. Peter McAdam & Anders Warne, 2024. "Density forecast combinations: The real‐time dimension," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1153-1172, August.
    580. Guillochon, Justine & Le Roux, Julien, 2023. "Unobserved components model(s): output gaps and financial cycles," Working Paper Series 2832, European Central Bank.
    581. Siem Jan Koopman & Julia Schaumburg & Quint Wiersma, 2021. "Joint Modelling and Estimation of Global and Local Cross-Sectional Dependence in Large Panels," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-008/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    582. Deb, Prokash & Dey, Madan M. & Surathkal, Prasanna, 2021. "Fish Price Volatility Dynamics in Bangladesh," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 314077, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    583. Baier, Scott & Standaert, Samuel, 2024. "Gravity, globalization and time-varying heterogeneity," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    584. Dimitris Korobilis & Michelle Gilmartin, 2011. "The Dynamic Effects of U.S. Monetary Policy on State Unemployment," Working Paper series 12_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    585. Motta, Anderson C. O. & Hotta, Luiz K., 2003. "Exact Maximum Likelihood and Bayesian Estimation of the Stochastic Volatility Model," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 23(2), November.
    586. Paul Knottnerus, 2016. "On new variance approximations for linear models with inequality constraints," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 70(1), pages 26-46, February.
    587. Dany Brouillette & Jonathan Lachaine & Benoit Vincent, 2018. "Wages: Measurement and Key Drivers," Staff Analytical Notes 2018-2, Bank of Canada.
    588. Søren Johansen, 2019. "Cointegration and Adjustment in the CVAR(∞) Representation of Some Partially Observed CVAR(1) Models," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, January.
    589. Xiaoyi Mu & Haichun Ye, 2015. "Small Trends and Big Cycles in Crude Oil Prices," The Energy Journal, , vol. 36(1), pages 49-72, January.
    590. Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic," Working Papers 20-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    591. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Proietti, Tommaso & Frale, Cecilia & Mazzi, Gian Luigi, 2008. "A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 7007, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    592. Diebold, F.X. & Kilian, L. & Nerlove, Marc, 2006. "Time Series Analysis," Working Papers 28556, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    593. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2013. "On the Stratonovich – Kalman - Bucy filtering algorithm application for accurate characterization of financial time series with use of state-space model by central banks," MPRA Paper 50235, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    594. Somnath Chatterjee, 2015. "Modelling credit risk," Handbooks, Centre for Central Banking Studies, Bank of England, number 34, April.
    595. Besbeas, P.T. & McCrea, R.S. & Morgan, B.J.T., 2022. "Selecting age structure in integrated population models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 473(C).
    596. B. Jungbacker & S.J. Koopman & M. van Der Wel, 2011. "Maximum likelihood estimation for dynamic factor models with missing data," Post-Print hal-00828980, HAL.
    597. Olivier David & Aurélie Garnier & Catherine Larédo & Jane Lecomte, 2010. "Estimation of Plant Demographic Parameters from Stage-Structured Censuses," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 66(3), pages 875-882, September.
    598. Menkveld, Albert J., 2013. "High frequency trading and the new market makers," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 712-740.
    599. Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2012. "Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series: A reappraisal," Post-Print hal-00956937, HAL.
    600. Dani Gamerman & Thiago Rezende Santos & Glaura C. Franco, 2013. "A Non-Gaussian Family Of State-Space Models With Exact Marginal Likelihood," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(6), pages 625-645, November.
    601. Dominik Bernhofer & Octavio Fernández-Amador & Martin Gächter & Friedrich Sindermann, 2014. "Finance, potential output and the business cycle," Chapters, in: Ewald Nowotny & Doris Ritzberger-Grünwald & Peter Backé (ed.), Financial Cycles and the Real Economy, chapter 14, pages 235-264, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    602. Koen Pauwels & Imran Currim & Marnik Dekimpe & Dominique Hanssens & Natalie Mizik & Eric Ghysels & Prasad Naik, 2004. "Modeling Marketing Dynamics by Time Series Econometrics," Marketing Letters, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 167-183, December.
    603. Siem Jan Koopman & Charles S. Bos, 2002. "Time Series Models with a Common Stochastic Variance for Analysing Economic Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 02-113/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    604. Inkyu Kang, 2023. "How does technology‐based monitoring affect street‐level bureaucrats' behavior? An analysis of body‐worn cameras and police actions," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 971-991, September.
    605. McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2018. "Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions," Working Paper Series 2140, European Central Bank.
    606. Patrik Kupkovic & Martin Suster, 2020. "Identifying the Financial Cycle in Slovakia," Working and Discussion Papers WP 2/2020, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    607. Stefano Grassi & Nima Nonejad & Paolo Santucci De Magistris, 2017. "Forecasting With the Standardized Self‐Perturbed Kalman Filter," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(2), pages 318-341, March.
    608. Adam Majewski & Stefano Ciliberti & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2018. "Co-existence of Trend and Value in Financial Markets: Estimating an Extended Chiarella Model," Papers 1807.11751, arXiv.org.
    609. Bikker Reinier & van den Brakel Jan & Krieg Sabine & Ouwehand Pim & van der Stegen Ronald, 2019. "Consistent Multivariate Seasonal Adjustment for Gross Domestic Product and its Breakdown in Expenditures," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 35(1), pages 9-30, March.
    610. Siem Jan Koopman & Soon Yip Wong, 2006. "Extracting Business Cycles using Semi-parametric Time-varying Spectra with Applications to US Macroeconomic Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-105/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    611. Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2023. "CAMPLET: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions," SpringerBriefs in Economics, in: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions, chapter 0, pages 7-29, Springer.
    612. Francesco Furlanetto & Paolo Gelain & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2020. "Online Appendix to "Output Gap, Monetary Policy Trade-offs, and Financial Frictions"," Online Appendices 20-29, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    613. Holtrop, Niels & Wieringa, Jaap E. & Gijsenberg, Maarten J. & Verhoef, Peter C., 2017. "No future without the past? Predicting churn in the face of customer privacy," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 154-172.
    614. Alicia N. Rambaldi & D.S. Prasada Rao & K. Renuka Ganegodage, 2009. "Spatial Autocorrelation and Extrapolation of Purchasing Power Parities. Modelling and Sensitivity Analysis," CEPA Working Papers Series WP012009, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    615. J. O. Ramsay & G. Hooker & D. Campbell & J. Cao, 2007. "Parameter estimation for differential equations: a generalized smoothing approach," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 69(5), pages 741-796, November.
    616. Castillo-Manzano, José I. & Castro-Nuño, Mercedes & González-Laxe, Fernando & Pedregal, Diego J., 2018. "Legal reform and the devolution of the Spanish Port System: An econometric assessment," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 73-82.
    617. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van & Opschoor,Anne, 2014. "Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521817707, October.
    618. Francis Vitek, 2005. "An Unobserved Components Model of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in a Closed Economy," Macroeconomics 0512018, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Feb 2006.
    619. IIBOSHI Hirokuni, 2012. "Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A DSGE-DFM Approach," ESRI Discussion paper series 292, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    620. Matteo Barigozzi & Matteo Luciani, 2024. "Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference of Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models via the EM algorithm," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-086, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    621. Qian, Hang, 2015. "Inequality Constrained State Space Models," MPRA Paper 66447, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    622. Mehmet Balcilar & Renee van Eyden & Roula Inglesi-Lotz & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Time-Varying Linkages between Tourism Receipts and Economic Growth in South Africa," Working Papers 201363, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    623. Michael Callaghan & Thomas van Florenstein Mulder, 2020. "GDP Plus: An Economic Activity Indicator for New Zealand," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2020/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    624. Gary Koop & Roberto Leon-Gonzalez & Rodney W. Strachan, 2008. "Dynamic probabilities of restrictions in state space models: An application to the Phillips curve," Working Paper series 26_08, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    625. Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023. "Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
    626. Alicia Rambaldi & Ryan McAllister & Kerry Collins & Cameron Fletcher, 2011. "An Unobserved Components Approach to Separating Land from Structure in Property Prices: A Case Study for the City of Brisbane," Discussion Papers Series 428, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    627. Ilka van de Werve & Siem Jan Koopman, 2022. "Finding the European crime drop using a panel data model with stochastic trends," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-089/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    628. Muhammad, Javid & Abdul, Qayyum, 2013. "Electricity consumption-GDP nexus: A structural time series analysis," MPRA Paper 47448, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    629. Bjørn Gunnar Hansen & Yushu Li, 2017. "An Analysis of Past World Market Prices of Feed and Milk and Predictions for the Future," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(2), pages 175-193, April.
    630. Cecilia Frale, "undated". "Do Surveys Help in Macroeconomic Variables Disaggregation and Estimation?," Working Papers wp2008-2, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
    631. Wang, Guiming & Getz, Lowell L., 2007. "State-space models for stochastic and seasonal fluctuations of vole and shrew populations in east-central Illinois," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 189-196.
    632. Suncica Vujic & Jacques Commandeur & Siem Jan Koopman, 2012. "Structural Intervention Time Series Analysis of Crime Rates: The Impact of Sentence Reform in Virginia," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-007/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    633. Zirogiannis, Nikolaos & Tripodis, Yorghos, 2013. "A Generalized Dynamic Factor Model for Panel Data: Estimation with a Two-Cycle Conditional Expectation-Maximization Algorithm," Working Paper Series 142752, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Department of Resource Economics.
    634. Sbrana, Giacomo & Silvestrini, Andrea, 2023. "The RWDAR model: A novel state-space approach to forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 922-937.
    635. Ivan Lagrosa, 2022. "Income dynamics in dual labor markets," Working Papers wp2022_2209, CEMFI.
    636. Driver, Charles C. & Oud, Johan H. L. & Voelkle, Manuel C., 2017. "Continuous Time Structural Equation Modeling with R Package ctsem," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 77(i05).
    637. Andrew Harvey & Stephen Thiele, 2021. "Cointegration and control: Assessing the impact of events using time series data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 71-85, January.
    638. Diego J Pedregal, 2019. "Time series analysis and forecasting with ECOTOOL," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(10), pages 1-23, October.
    639. Francis X. Diebold, 2020. "Real-Time Real Economic Activity:Exiting the Great Recession and Entering the Pandemic Recession," PIER Working Paper Archive 20-023, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    640. Petrella, Ivan & Venditti, Fabrizio & Delle Monache, Davide, 2016. "Adaptive state space models with applications to the business cycle and financial stress," CEPR Discussion Papers 11599, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    641. Dimitrios Thomakos & Hossein Hassani & Kerry Patterson, 2013. "Optimal Linear Filtering, Smoothing and Trend Extraction for the m-th Differences of a Unit Root Process: A Singular Spectrum Analysis Approach," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2013-04, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
    642. Rob Luginbuhl & Siem Jan Koopman, 2004. "Convergence in European GDP series: a multivariate common converging trend-cycle decomposition," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(5), pages 611-636.
    643. Pizzinga, Adrian & Fernandes, Cristiano & Contreras, Sergio, 2008. "Restricted Kalman filtering revisited," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 428-429, June.
    644. Tino Berger, 2011. "Estimating Europe’s natural rates," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 521-536, April.
    645. Riccardo Corradini, 2019. "A Set of State–Space Models at a High Disaggregation Level to Forecast Italian Industrial Production," J, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-53, November.
    646. Dutra, Tiago Mota & Dias, José Carlos & Teixeira, João C.A., 2022. "Measuring financial cycles: Empirical evidence for Germany, United Kingdom and United States of America," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 599-630.
    647. Yelland, Phillip M., 2010. "Bayesian forecasting of parts demand," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 374-396, April.
    648. Audrino, Francesco & Tetereva, Anastasija, 2019. "Sentiment spillover effects for US and European companies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 542-567.
    649. Galvao, Ana Beatriz, 2016. "Data Revisions and DSGE Models," EMF Research Papers 11, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
    650. Tucker McElroy & Brian Monsell, 2015. "Model Estimation, Prediction, and Signal Extraction for Nonstationary Stock and Flow Time Series Observed at Mixed Frequencies," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 110(511), pages 1284-1303, September.
    651. Strid, Ingvar, 2010. "Efficient parallelisation of Metropolis-Hastings algorithms using a prefetching approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2814-2835, November.
    652. Ulm, M. & Hambuckers, J., 2022. "Do interest rate differentials drive the volatility of exchange rates? Evidence from an extended stochastic volatility model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 125-148.
    653. El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian, 2013. "Money and inflation: Consequences of the recent monetary policy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 520-537.
    654. Matthieu Lemoine & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Paola Monperrus-Veroni & Frédéric Reynes, 2008. "Real time estimation of potential output and output gap for the euro-area: comparing production function with unobserved components and SVAR approaches," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2008-34, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    655. Webel, Karsten, 2022. "A review of some recent developments in the modelling and seasonal adjustment of infra-monthly time series," Discussion Papers 31/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    656. Komi Nagbe & Jairo Cugliari & Julien Jacques, 2018. "Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting Using a Functional State Space Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, May.
    657. Zhu Wang & Wayne A. Woodward & Henry L. Gray, 2009. "The application of the Kalman filter to nonstationary time series through time deformation," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(5), pages 559-574, September.
    658. Tommaso Proietti & Eric Hillebrand, 2017. "Seasonal changes in central England temperatures," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(3), pages 769-791, June.
    659. Matteo Barigozzi & Matteo Luciani, 2017. "Common Factors, Trends, and Cycles in Large Datasets," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-111, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    660. Stefano Grassi & Tommaso Proietti, 2011. "Stochastic trends and seasonality in economic time series: new evidence from Bayesian stochastic model specification search," CREATES Research Papers 2011-30, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    661. Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas & Bernd Schwaab, 2010. "Macro, Industry and Frailty Effects in Defaults: The 2008 Credit Crisis in Perspective," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 10-004/2, Tinbergen Institute, revised 24 Aug 2010.
    662. Yasutomo Murasawa & Roberto S. Mariano, 2004. "Constructing a Coincident Index of Business Cycles Without Assuming a One-Factor Model," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 710, Econometric Society.
    663. Tariku Tesfaye Haile & Fenglin Tian & Ghada AlNemer & Boping Tian, 2024. "Multiscale Change Point Detection for Univariate Time Series Data with Missing Value," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-22, October.
    664. Dunsmuir, William T. M. & Scott, David J., 2015. "The glarma Package for Observation-Driven Time Series Regression of Counts," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 67(i07).
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    666. Carmen Broto & Esther Ruiz, 2008. "Testing for conditional heteroscedasticity in the components of inflation," Working Papers 0812, Banco de España.
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    684. Siem Jan Koopman & Soon Yip Wong, 2008. "Spline Smoothing over Difficult Regions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-114/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    685. Helder Rojas & David Dias, 2018. "Transmission of Macroeconomic Shocks to Risk Parameters: Their uses in Stress Testing," Papers 1809.07401, arXiv.org, revised May 2019.
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    691. Francesco Calvori & Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas, 2014. "Testing for Parameter Instability in Competing Modeling Frameworks," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-010/IV/DSF71, Tinbergen Institute.
    692. Grigoryeva, Lyudmila & Ortega, Juan-Pablo & Peresetsky, Anatoly, 2018. "Volatility forecasting using global stochastic financial trends extracted from non-synchronous data," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 67-82.
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    695. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "An Overview Of Dynamic Model Averaging Techniques In Time‐Series Econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 566-614, April.
    696. Rodriguez, Gloria Martin & Hernandez, Jose Juan Caceres, 2005. "Evolving Seasonal Pattern of Tenerife Tomato Exports," 2005 International Congress, August 23-27, 2005, Copenhagen, Denmark 24501, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
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    705. Siem Jan Koopman & John A. D. Aston, 2006. "A non-Gaussian generalization of the Airline model for robust seasonal adjustment," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(5), pages 325-349.
    706. Francis Vitek, 2005. "An Unobserved Components Model of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in a Small Open Economy," Macroeconomics 0512019, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Feb 2006.
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    711. Berger, Tino & Kempa, Bernd, 2014. "Time-varying equilibrium rates in small open economies: Evidence for Canada," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 203-214.
    712. Siem Jan Koopman & Philip Hans Franses, 2002. "Constructing Seasonally Adjusted Data with Time‐varying Confidence Intervals," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 64(5), pages 509-526, December.
    713. Søren Johansen & Morten Nyboe Tabor, 2017. "Cointegration between Trends and Their Estimators in State Space Models and Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-15, August.
    714. Rizzi, Silvia & Kjærgaard, Søren & Bergeron Boucher, Marie-Pier & Camarda, Carlo Giovanni & Lindahl-Jacobsen, Rune & Vaupel, James W., 2021. "Killing off cohorts: Forecasting mortality of non-extinct cohorts with the penalized composite link model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 95-104.
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    719. Thierno Thioune, 2019. "Output Gap Estimates in the WAEMU Zone," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 182-192.
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    721. Markmann, Holger & Zietz, Joachim, 2017. "Determining the effectiveness of the Eurosystem’s Covered Bond Purchase Programs on secondary markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 314-327.
    722. Ziyue Liu & Anne R. Cappola & Leslie J. Crofford & Wensheng Guo, 2014. "Modeling Bivariate Longitudinal Hormone Profiles by Hierarchical State Space Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 109(505), pages 108-118, March.
    723. Sy-Miin Chow & Jungmin Lee & Abe D. Hofman & Han L. J. Maas & Dennis K. Pearl & Peter C. M. Molenaar, 2022. "Control Theory Forecasts of Optimal Training Dosage to Facilitate Children’s Arithmetic Learning in a Digital Educational Application," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 87(2), pages 559-592, June.
    724. Dainauskas, Justas, 2023. "Time-varying exchange rate pass-through into terms of trade," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    725. Creal, Drew & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André & Zamojski, Marcin, 2024. "Observation-driven filtering of time-varying parameters using moment conditions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
    726. Arlene Naranjo & A. Alexandre Trindade & George Casella, 2013. "Extending the State-Space Model to Accommodate Missing Values in Responses and Covariates," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(501), pages 202-216, March.
    727. Adrian Pizzinga, 2010. "Constrained Kalman Filtering: Additional Results," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 78(2), pages 189-208, August.
    728. Marczak, Martyna & Proietti, Tommaso, 2015. "Outlier Detection in Structural Time Series Models: the Indicator Saturation Approach," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113137, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    729. Paul Labonne & Martin Weale, 2018. "Temporal disaggregation of overlapping noisy quarterly data using state space models: Estimation of monthly business sector output from Value Added Tax data in the UK," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-18, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    730. Harvey, A. & Liao, Y., 2019. "Dynamic Tobit models," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1913, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    731. Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    732. Jung Won Hyun & Prabir Burman & Debashis Paul, 2018. "Local Linear Estimation for Spatial Random Processes with Stochastic Trend and Stationary Noise," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 80(2), pages 369-394, November.
    733. Yu, Wei-Choun & Zivot, Eric, 2011. "Forecasting the term structures of Treasury and corporate yields using dynamic Nelson-Siegel models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 579-591.
    734. Hellwagner, Timon & Weber, Enzo, 2021. "Labour Market Adjustments to Population Decline," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242455, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    735. Silvia S.W. Lui, 2006. "An Empirical Study of Asian Stock Volatility Using Stochastic Volatility Factor Model: Factor Analysis and Forecasting," Working Papers 581, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    736. Oreste Napolitano & Alberto Montagnoli, 2010. "The European Unemployment Gap and the Role of Monetary Policy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(2), pages 1346-1358.
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    738. Andrew Harvey & Alessandra Luati, 2014. "Filtering With Heavy Tails," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 109(507), pages 1112-1122, September.
    739. Yoshida, Wataru & Hirose, Kei, 2024. "Fast same-step forecast in SUTSE model and its theoretical properties," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
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    741. Francesco Calvori & Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2017. "Testing for Parameter Instability across Different Modeling Frameworks," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(2), pages 223-246.
    742. Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2009. "Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics," Working Paper series 47_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    743. Michael Stanley Smith, 2021. "Implicit Copulas: An Overview," Papers 2109.04718, arXiv.org.
    744. Moauro, Filippo, 2010. "A monthly indicator of employment in the euro area: real time analysis of indirect estimates," MPRA Paper 27797, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Dec 2010.
    745. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2017. "Twenty Years of Time Series Econometrics in Ten Pictures," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 31(2), pages 59-86, Spring.
    746. Juan C. Méndez-Vizcaíno & Alexander Guarin & César Anzola-Bravo & Anderson Grajales-Olarte, 2021. "Characterizing and Communicating the Balance of Risks of Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Predictive Density Approach for Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1178, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
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    748. Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit & Andre Lucas, 2016. "Model-based Business Cycle and Financial Cycle Decomposition for Europe and the U.S," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-051/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
    749. Vujić, Sunčica & Commandeur, Jacques J.F. & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2016. "Intervention time series analysis of crime rates: The case of sentence reform in Virginia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 311-323.
    750. Martin-Rodriguez, Gloria & Caceres-Hernandez, Jose Juan, 2005. "Modelling the hourly Spanish electricity demand," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 551-569, May.
    751. Jeong, Minsoo & You, Jung S., 2022. "Estimating the economic costs of nuclear power plant outages in a regulated market using a latent factor model," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
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    753. Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz, Esther & Miranda, Karen, 2021. "Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: This is not just another survey," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1399-1425.
    754. Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit & André Lucas, 2014. "The Dynamic Skellam Model with Applications," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-032/IV/DSF73, Tinbergen Institute, revised 06 Jul 2015.
    755. Chen, Hong & Gangopadhyay, Partha & Singh, Baljeet & Shankar, Sriram, 2022. "Measuring preferences for energy efficiency in ACI and EU nations and uncovering their impacts on energy conservation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    756. MORI Tomoya & MURAKAMI Daisuke, 2024. "The Rise and Fall of Cities under Declining Population and Diminishing Distance Frictions: The case of Japan," Discussion papers 24028, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    757. Charles F. Nicholson & Mark W. Stephenson, 2015. "Milk Price Cycles in the U.S. Dairy Supply Chain and Their Management Implications," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(4), pages 507-520, October.
    758. Jana Riedel, 2020. "On real interest rate convergence among G7 countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 599-626, August.
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    763. Wang, Nan & Mogi, Gento, 2017. "Industrial and residential electricity demand dynamics in Japan: How did price and income elasticities evolve from 1989 to 2014?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 233-243.
    764. Duygun, Meryem & Kutlu, Levent & Sickles, Robin C., 2014. "Measuring Productivity and Efficiency: A Kalman," Working Papers 15-010, Rice University, Department of Economics.
    765. Marta Banbura & Andries van Vlodrop, 2018. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Time Variation in the Mean," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-025/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
    766. Dordonnat, V. & Koopman, S.J. & Ooms, M. & Dessertaine, A. & Collet, J., 2008. "An hourly periodic state space model for modelling French national electricity load," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 566-587.
    767. El Assaad, Hani & Samé, Allou & Govaert, Gérard & Aknin, Patrice, 2016. "A variational Expectation–Maximization algorithm for temporal data clustering," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 206-228.
    768. Maclachlan, Iain C, 2007. "An empirical study of corporate bond pricing with unobserved capital structure dynamics," MPRA Paper 28416, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    769. Chikako Baba & Mr. Salvatore Dell'Erba & Ms. Enrica Detragiache & Olamide Harrison & Ms. Aiko Mineshima & Anvar Musayev & Asghar Shahmoradi, 2020. "How Should Credit Gaps Be Measured? An Application to European Countries," IMF Working Papers 2020/006, International Monetary Fund.
    770. J. Huston McCulloch, 2005. "The Kalman Foundations of Adaptive Least Squares: Applications to Unemployment and Inflation," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 239, Society for Computational Economics.
    771. Pesantez, Jorge E. & Li, Binbin & Lee, Christopher & Zhao, Zhizhen & Butala, Mark & Stillwell, Ashlynn S., 2023. "A Comparison Study of Predictive Models for Electricity Demand in a Diverse Urban Environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
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    775. C.S. Bos & S.J. Koopman & M. Ooms, 2007. "Long Memory Modelling of Inflation with Stochastic Variance and Structural Breaks," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-099/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    776. K. Triantafyllopoulos, 2008. "Multivariate stochastic volatility with Bayesian dynamic linear models," Papers 0802.0214, arXiv.org.
    777. Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche, 2008. "Estimating Fundamental Cross-Section Dispersion from Fixed Event Forecasts," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 787, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    778. Nam Gang Lee, 2019. "Trend Growth Shocks and Asset Prices," Working Papers 2019-4, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    779. Bräuning, Falk & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2020. "The dynamic factor network model with an application to international trade," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 216(2), pages 494-515.
    780. Zafer Dilaver & Lester C Hunt, 2010. "Industrial Electricity Demand for Turkey: A Structural Time Series Analysis," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS) 129, Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics, University of Surrey.
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    782. Petar Sorić & Mirjana Čižmešija & Marina Matošec, 2020. "EU Consumer Confidence and the New Modesty Hypothesis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 152(3), pages 899-921, December.
    783. Bouaddi, S. & Ihlal, A. & Fernández-García, A., 2017. "Comparative analysis of soiling of CSP mirror materials in arid zones," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 437-449.
    784. Tommaso Proietti, 2007. "Band Spectral Estimation for Signal Extraction," CEIS Research Paper 104, Tor Vergata University, CEIS.
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    786. Daisuke Nagakura & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2009. "A State Space Approach to Estimating the Integrated Variance and Microstructure Noise Component," IMES Discussion Paper Series 09-E-11, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    787. Strickland, Chris M. & Turner, Ian. W. & Denham, Robert & Mengersen, Kerrie L., 2009. "Efficient Bayesian estimation of multivariate state space models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(12), pages 4116-4125, October.
    788. Hajar Hajmohammadi & Hamid Salehi, 2024. "The Impacts of COVID-19 Lockdowns on Road Transport Air Pollution in London: A State-Space Modelling Approach," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 21(9), pages 1-12, August.
    789. Yifeng Yan & Ju'e Guo, 2015. "The Sovereign Yield Curve and the Macroeconomy in China," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(3), pages 415-441, August.
    790. Giuseppe Ciaburro & Gino Iannace, 2021. "Machine Learning-Based Algorithms to Knowledge Extraction from Time Series Data: A Review," Data, MDPI, vol. 6(6), pages 1-30, May.
    791. Alexandre Ounnas, 2020. "Worker Flows and Occupations in the CPS 1976-2010: A Framework for Adjusting the Data," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2020008, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    792. Koopman, Siem Jan & van der Wel, Michel, 2013. "Forecasting the US term structure of interest rates using a macroeconomic smooth dynamic factor model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 676-694.
    793. Shephard, Neil & Xiu, Dacheng, 2017. "Econometric analysis of multivariate realised QML: Estimation of the covariation of equity prices under asynchronous trading," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(1), pages 19-42.
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    795. Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Large Vector Autoregressions with Asymmetric Priors," Working Papers 759, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
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    799. Liebermann, Joelle, 2010. "Real-time nowcasting of GDP: Factor model versus professional forecasters," MPRA Paper 28819, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    800. Shubhra Paul & Lauren B. Davis, 2022. "An ensemble forecasting model for predicting contribution of food donors based on supply behavior," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 319(1), pages 1-29, December.
    801. Blasques, Francisco & Koopman, Siem Jan & Nientker, Marc, 2022. "A time-varying parameter model for local explosions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 65-84.
    802. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "Bayesian model averaging and the conditional volatility process: an application to predicting aggregate equity returns by conditioning on economic variables," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(8), pages 1387-1411, August.
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    804. Hahn, William F. & Jones, Keithly G. & Davis, Christopher G., 2003. "Levels or Differences in Meat Demand Specification," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 21896, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
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    807. Albert J. Menkveld & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2003. "Round-the-Clock Price Discovery for Cross-Listed Stocks: US-Dutch Evidence," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-037/2, Tinbergen Institute, revised 13 Oct 2003.
    808. Byeongchan Seong & Sung K. Ahn & Peter Zadrozny, 2007. "Cointegration Analysis with Mixed-Frequency Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 1939, CESifo.
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    813. Elena Angelini & Marta Banbura & Gerhard Rünstler, 2010. "Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2010(1), pages 1-22.
    814. Sbrana, Giacomo & Silvestrini, Andrea, 2019. "Random switching exponential smoothing: A new estimation approach," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 211-220.
    815. Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2022. "A Neural Phillips Curve and a Deep Output Gap," Papers 2202.04146, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
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    817. Hammad Mahmoud A. & Jereb Borut & Rosi Bojan & Dragan Dejan, 2020. "Methods and Models for Electric Load Forecasting: A Comprehensive Review," Logistics, Supply Chain, Sustainability and Global Challenges, Sciendo, vol. 11(1), pages 51-76, February.
    818. Michael Hirsch & Richard Wareham & Ji W Yoon & Daniel J Rolfe & Laura C Zanetti-Domingues & Michael P Hobson & Peter J Parker & Marisa L Martin-Fernandez & Sumeetpal S Singh, 2019. "A global sampler of single particle tracking solutions for single molecule microscopy," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(10), pages 1-21, October.
    819. Fernando Antonio Lucena Aiube & Carlos Patricio Samanez & Tara Keshar Nanda Baidya & Larissa de Oliveira Resende, 2017. "Evaluating the risk premium in the U.S.A. natural gas market: evidence from low-price regime," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(9), pages 860-871, February.
    820. Neil Dias Karunaratne, 2013. "The mining boom, productivity conundrum and monetary policy design to combat resource curse effects in Australia," Discussion Papers Series 504, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    821. Luo, Anita & Baker, Andrew & Donthu, Naveen, 2019. "Capturing dynamics in the value for brand recommendations from word-of-mouth conversations," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 247-260.
    822. Majewski, Adam A. & Ciliberti, Stefano & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, 2020. "Co-existence of trend and value in financial markets: Estimating an extended Chiarella model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    823. Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski, 2020. "Macroeconometric Forecasting Using a Cluster of Dynamic Factor Models," WIFO Working Papers 614, WIFO.
    824. Daniel M. Smith & Theodore A. Walls, 2021. "Pursuing Collective Synchrony in Teams: A Regime-Switching Dynamic Factor Model of Speed Similarity in Soccer," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 86(4), pages 1016-1038, December.
    825. Zirogiannis, Nikolaos & Tripodis, Yorghos, 2014. "Dynamic Factor Analysis for Short Panels: Estimating Performance Trajectories for Water Utilities," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170592, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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    827. Huttunen, J.M.J. & Kaipio, J.P. & Haario, H., 2018. "Approximation error approach in spatiotemporally chaotic models with application to Kuramoto–Sivashinsky equation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 13-31.
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    830. Pellegrini, Santiago & Ruiz, Esther & Espasa, Antoni, 2011. "Prediction intervals in conditionally heteroscedastic time series with stochastic components," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 308-319, April.
    831. Stefano Grassi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2011. "When Long Memory Meets the Kalman Filter: A Comparative Study," CREATES Research Papers 2011-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    832. Areti Boulieri & Silvia Liverani & Kees Hoogh & Marta Blangiardo, 2017. "A space–time multivariate Bayesian model to analyse road traffic accidents by severity," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(1), pages 119-139, January.
    833. Bógalo, Juan & Llada, Martín & Poncela, Pilar & Senra, Eva, 2022. "Seasonality in COVID-19 times," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
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    837. Giulio Bottazzi & Francesco Cordoni & Giulia Livieri & Stefano Marmi, 2020. "Stock Recommendations from Stochastic Discounted Cash Flows," LEM Papers Series 2020/17, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    838. Siem Jan Koopman & Joao Valle e Azevedo, 2003. "Measuring Synchronisation and Convergence of Business Cycles," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-052/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    839. S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010. "Real-time macroeconomic monitoring: real activity, inflation, and interactions," Working Papers 10-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
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    841. Kookjin Lee & Jaideep Ray & Cosmin Safta, 2021. "The predictive skill of convolutional neural networks models for disease forecasting," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(7), pages 1-26, July.
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    844. Nima Nonejad, 2021. "Using the conditional volatility channel to improve the accuracy of aggregate equity return predictions," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 973-1009, August.
    845. Falk Bräuning & Siem Jan Koopman, 2016. "The Dynamic Factor Network Model with an Application to Global Credit-Risk," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-105/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    846. Swamy, P.A.V.B. & Mehta, J.S. & Tavlas, G.S. & Hall, S.G., 2015. "Two applications of the random coefficient procedure: Correcting for misspecifications in a small area level model and resolving Simpson's paradox," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 93-98.
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    848. Hartl, Tobias, 2021. "Monitoring the pandemic: A fractional filter for the COVID-19 contact rate," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242380, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    849. Francisco Blasques & Janneke van Brummelen & Paolo Gorgi & Siem Jan Koopman, 2024. "A robust Beveridge-Nelson decomposition using a score-driven approach with an application," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 24-003/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    850. Andersson, Fredrik N.G. & Li, Yushu, 2013. "How Flexible are the Inflation Targets? A Bayesian MCMC Estimator of the Long Memory Parameter in a State Space Model," Working Papers 2013:38, Lund University, Department of Economics.
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    852. Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & van Norden, Simon, 2011. "Modeling data revisions: Measurement error and dynamics of "true" values," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 161(2), pages 101-109, April.
    853. Benjamin Wee, 2024. "Comparing MCMC algorithms in Stochastic Volatility Models using Simulation Based Calibration," Papers 2402.12384, arXiv.org.
    854. Correia, Ricardo & Dubiel-Teleszynski, Tomasz & Población, Javier, 2019. "Anticipating individual bank rescues," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 345-360.
    855. Lombardi, Marco J. & Nicoletti, Giulio, 2011. "Bayesian prior elicitation in DSGE models: macro- vs micro-priors," Working Paper Series 1289, European Central Bank.
    856. Etienne Vaccaro-Grange, 2019. "Quantitative Easing and the Term Premium as a Monetary Policy Instrument," AMSE Working Papers 1932, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    857. Kutlu, Levent & Sickles, Robin C., 2012. "Estimation of market power in the presence of firm level inefficiencies," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 168(1), pages 141-155.
    858. Rodriguez, Gloria Martin & Hernandez, Jose Juan Caceres, 2002. "Canary Island Tomato Exports: A Structural Analysis of Seasonality," 2002 International Congress, August 28-31, 2002, Zaragoza, Spain 24901, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    859. Irma Hindrayanto & John A.D. Aston & Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms, 2013. "Modelling trigonometric seasonal components for monthly economic time series," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(21), pages 3024-3034, July.
    860. Stéphane Guerrier & Jan Skaloud & Yannick Stebler & Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser, 2013. "Wavelet-Variance-Based Estimation for Composite Stochastic Processes," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(503), pages 1021-1030, September.
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    862. Lingohr, Daniel & Müller, Gernot, 2021. "Conditionally independent increment processes for modeling electricity prices with regard to renewable power generation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    863. Petrella, Ivan & Drechsel, Thomas & Antolin-Diaz, Juan, 2014. "Following the Trend: Tracking GDP when Long-Run Growth is Uncertain," CEPR Discussion Papers 10272, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    864. Klaus Abberger, 2005. "Qualitative Business Surveys and the Assessment of Employment A Case Study for Germany," ifo Working Paper Series 11, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    865. Song, Feng & Cui, Jian & Yu, Yihua, 2022. "Dynamic volatility spillover effects between wind and solar power generations: Implications for hedging strategies and a sustainable power sector," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    866. Alexopoulos, Thomas A., 2017. "The growing importance of natural gas as a predictor for retail electricity prices in US," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 219-233.
    867. Milenković, Miloš S. & Bojović, Nebojša J. & Švadlenka, Libor & Melichar, Vlastimil, 2015. "A stochastic model predictive control to heterogeneous rail freight car fleet sizing problem," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 162-198.
    868. Hideaki Shimazaki & Shun-ichi Amari & Emery N Brown & Sonja Grün, 2012. "State-Space Analysis of Time-Varying Higher-Order Spike Correlation for Multiple Neural Spike Train Data," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(3), pages 1-27, March.
    869. Donald Percival & Donald Denbo & Marie Eblé & Edison Gica & Harold Mofjeld & Michael Spillane & Liujuan Tang & Vasily Titov, 2011. "Extraction of tsunami source coefficients via inversion of DART $$^{\circledR}$$ buoy data," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 58(1), pages 567-590, July.
    870. Ralph D. Snyder & Gael M. Martin & Phillip Gould & Paul D. Feigin, 2007. "An Assessment of Alternative State Space Models for Count Time Series," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/07, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    871. Baptista, Marcia & Henriques, Elsa M.P. & de Medeiros, Ivo P. & Malere, Joao P. & Nascimento, Cairo L. & Prendinger, Helmut, 2019. "Remaining useful life estimation in aeronautics: Combining data-driven and Kalman filtering," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 228-239.
    872. Matteo Barigozzi & Angelo Cuzzola & Marco Grazzi & Daniele Moschella, 2021. "Factoring in the micro: a transaction-level dynamic factor approach to the decomposition of export volatility," LEM Papers Series 2021/22, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    873. Lecarpentier-Moyal, Sylvie & Renou-Maissant, Patricia, 2007. "Analyse dynamique de la convergence des comportements de demande de monnaie en Europe," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 83(3), pages 321-357, septembre.
    874. Oksana Bollineni‐Balabay & Jan van den Brakel & Franz Palm & Harm Jan Boonstra, 2017. "Multilevel hierarchical Bayesian versus state space approach in time series small area estimation: the Dutch Travel Survey," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 180(4), pages 1281-1308, October.
    875. Sturla Furunes Kvamsdal, 2016. "Technical Change as a Stochastic Trend in a Fisheries Model," Marine Resource Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 31(4), pages 403-419.
    876. Yaoping Cui & Xinliang Xu & Jinwei Dong & Yaochen Qin, 2016. "Influence of Urbanization Factors on Surface Urban Heat Island Intensity: A Comparison of Countries at Different Developmental Phases," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-14, July.
    877. Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit & Thuy Minh Nguyen, 2012. "Fast Efficient Importance Sampling by State Space Methods," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-008/4, Tinbergen Institute, revised 16 Oct 2014.
    878. Monfort, Alain & Renne, Jean-Paul & Roussellet, Guillaume, 2015. "A Quadratic Kalman Filter," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 43-56.
    879. Obryan Poyser, 2019. "Exploring the dynamics of Bitcoin’s price: a Bayesian structural time series approach," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 9(1), pages 29-60, March.
    880. Wanger, Susanne & Weigand, Roland & Zapf, Ines, 2014. "Revision der IAB-Arbeitszeitrechnung 2014 : Grundlagen, methodische Weiterentwicklungen sowie ausgewählte Ergebnisse im Rahmen der Revision der Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen," IAB-Forschungsbericht 201409, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    881. Zhuo Chen & Bo Yan & Hanwen Kang & Liyu Liu, 2023. "Asymmetric price adjustment and price discovery in spot and futures markets of agricultural commodities," Review of Economic Design, Springer;Society for Economic Design, vol. 27(1), pages 139-162, February.
    882. Charles S. Bos & Siem Jan Koopman, 2010. "Models with Time-varying Mean and Variance: A Robust Analysis of U.S. Industrial Production," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 10-017/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    883. Hang Qian, 2014. "A Flexible State Space Model And Its Applications," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 79-88, March.
    884. S. Boragan Aruoba, 2008. "Data Revisions Are Not Well Behaved," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(2-3), pages 319-340, March.
    885. Sariola, Mikko, 2019. "An unobserved components model for Finland – Estimates of potential output and NAWRU," BoF Economics Review 2/2019, Bank of Finland.
    886. E. Hamaker & R. Grasman, 2012. "Regime Switching State-Space Models Applied to Psychological Processes: Handling Missing Data and Making Inferences," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 77(2), pages 400-422, April.
    887. Mario Figueiredo & Yuri F. Saporito, 2023. "Forecasting the term structure of commodities future prices using machine learning," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 57-90, March.
    888. Liu, Ping & James Hueng, C., 2017. "Measuring real business condition in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 261-274.
    889. Schumacher, Christian, 2014. "MIDAS regressions with time-varying parameters: An application to corporate bond spreads and GDP in the Euro area," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100289, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    890. Eric Benhamou, 2019. "Kalman filter demystified: from intuition to probabilistic graphical model to real case in financial markets," Working Papers hal-02012471, HAL.
    891. Leopoldo Catania & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2018. "Forecasting Cryptocurrencies Financial Time Series," Working Papers No 5/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    892. Meryem Duygun & Levent Kutlu & Robin C. Sickles, 2016. "Measuring productivity and efficiency: a Kalman filter approach," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 155-167, December.
    893. Omar H. M. N. Bashar, 2015. "The Trickle‐down Effect of the Mining Boom in Australia: Fact or Myth?," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 91(S1), pages 94-108, June.
    894. Linton, O. B. & Tang, H. & Wu, J., 2022. "A Structural Dynamic Factor Model for Daily Global Stock Market Returns," Janeway Institute Working Papers camjip:2214, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    895. Hardiyanto, A.V., 2007. "Daily Rp/USD stochastic volatility and the policy implication lesson," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 237-256, February.
    896. Martin Bohl & Philipp Kaufmann & Patrick Stephan, 2012. "From Hero to Zero: Evidence of Performance Reversal and Speculative Bubbles in German Renewable Energy Stocks," CQE Working Papers 2412, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    897. Mauro Bernardi & Ghislaine Gayraud & Lea Petrella, 2013. "Bayesian inference for CoVaR," Papers 1306.2834, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2013.
    898. Sanjeev Sridharan & Suncica Vujic & Siem Jan Koopman, 2003. "Intervention Time Series Analysis of Crime Rates," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 03-040/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    899. K. Triantafyllopoulos, 2007. "Covariance estimation for multivariate conditionally Gaussian dynamic linear models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(8), pages 551-569.
    900. Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André & Schwaab, Bernd, 2011. "Modeling frailty-correlated defaults using many macroeconomic covariates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 312-325, June.
    901. Anders Skrondal & Sophia Rabe‐Hesketh, 2007. "Latent Variable Modelling: A Survey," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 34(4), pages 712-745, December.
    902. Funke, Michael & Tsang, Andrew, 2019. "The direction and intensity of China's monetary policy conduct: A dynamic factor modelling approach," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    903. Andreasen, Martin M. & Christensen, Bent Jesper, 2015. "The SR approach: A new estimation procedure for non-linear and non-Gaussian dynamic term structure models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 420-451.
    904. Dewenter, Ralf & Heimeshoff, Ulrich, 2016. "Predicting advertising volumes: A structural time series approach," DICE Discussion Papers 228, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE).
    905. Samuel Standaert & Glenn Rayp, 2015. "Trade Integration And Trade Agreements:Resolving The Endogeneity Problem Through A Qualitative Var," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 15/912, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    906. André A. Monteiro, 2008. "Parameter Driven Multi-state Duration Models: Simulated vs. Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-021/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    907. Stock, J.H. & Watson, M.W., 2016. "Dynamic Factor Models, Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressions, and Structural Vector Autoregressions in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 415-525, Elsevier.
    908. Alastair Cunningham & Chris Jeffery & George Kapetanios & Vincent Labhard, 2007. "A State Space Approach To The Policymaker's Data Uncertainty Problem," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 168, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
    909. G. K. Robinson, 2010. "Continuous time Brownian motion models for analysis of sequential data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 59(3), pages 477-494, May.
    910. Juho Koistinen & Bernd Funovits, 2022. "Estimation of Impulse-Response Functions with Dynamic Factor Models: A New Parametrization," Papers 2202.00310, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
    911. Rodríguez, Alejandro, 2010. "Bootstrap prediction mean squared errors of unobserved states based on the Kalman filter with estimated parameters," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws100301, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    912. Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch & S. Boragan Aruoba, 2004. "The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Dynamic Latent Factor Approach," NBER Working Papers 10616, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    913. Benjamin Poignard & Manabu Asai, 2023. "High‐dimensional sparse multivariate stochastic volatility models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 4-22, January.
    914. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Wave function method to forecast foreign currencies exchange rates at ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets," MPRA Paper 67470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    915. Javier G. Gómez-Pineda & Julián Roa-Rozo, 2023. "A trend-cycle decomposition with hysteresis," Borradores de Economia 1230, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    916. Carles Bret'o, 2013. "On idiosyncratic stochasticity of financial leverage effects," Papers 1312.5496, arXiv.org.
    917. Roland Langrock, 2011. "Some applications of nonlinear and non-Gaussian state--space modelling by means of hidden Markov models," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(12), pages 2955-2970, March.
    918. Ayman Alzaatreh & Carl Lee & Felix Famoye & Indranil Ghosh, 2016. "The generalized Cauchy family of distributions with applications," Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-16, December.
    919. Petrella, Ivan & Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco, 2018. "Structural Scenario Analysis with SVARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 12579, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    920. Ciccarelli, Carlo & Fenoaltea, Stefano & Proietti, Tommaso, 2008. "The comovements of construction in Italy's regions, 1861-1913," MPRA Paper 8870, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    921. Santos, André A.P. & Moura, Guilherme V., 2014. "Dynamic factor multivariate GARCH model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 606-617.
    922. Breckenfelder, Johannes & Schwaab, Bernd, 2018. "Bank to sovereign risk spillovers across borders: Evidence from the ECB’s Comprehensive Assessment," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 247-262.
    923. B. Jungbacker & S.J. Koopman, 2005. "Model-based Measurement of Actual Volatility in High-Frequency Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-002/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    924. Mauro Bernardi & Lea Petrella, 2015. "Multiple seasonal cycles forecasting model: the Italian electricity demand," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 24(4), pages 671-695, November.
    925. Vladimir Kuzin & Silke Tober, 2004. "Asymmetric Monetary Policy Effects in Germany," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 397, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    926. Bin Zhu & David B. Dunson, 2013. "Locally Adaptive Bayes Nonparametric Regression via Nested Gaussian Processes," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(504), pages 1445-1456, December.
    927. Rokas Gylys & Jonas Šiaulys, 2020. "Estimation of Uncertainty in Mortality Projections Using State-Space Lee-Carter Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-23, June.
    928. Harvey, Andew & Liao, Yin, 2023. "Dynamic Tobit models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 72-83.
    929. Lorenzo Pozzi, 2007. "Idiosyncratic Labour Income Risk and Aggregate Consumption: an Unobserved Component Approach," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-069/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    930. Blasques, Francisco & van Brummelen, Janneke & Gorgi, Paolo & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2024. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Non-Stationary Location Models with Mixture of Normal Distributions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(1).
    931. Jennie Bai & Eric Ghysels & Jonathan H. Wright, 2013. "State Space Models and MIDAS Regressions," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(7), pages 779-813, October.
    932. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Çatık, Abdurrahman Nazif & Huyuguzel Kısla, Gul Serife & Helmi, Mohamad Husam & Akdeniz, Coşkun, 2022. "Oil prices and sectoral stock returns in the BRICS-T countries: A time-varying approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    933. Siem Jan Koopman & Max I.P. Mallee & Michel van der Wel, 2007. "Analyzing the Term Structure of Interest Rates using the Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Model with Time-Varying Parameters," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 07-095/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    934. Tommaso Proietti, 2024. "Ups and (Draw)Downs," CEIS Research Paper 576, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 03 May 2024.
    935. Kihwan Kim & Hyun Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2023. "Mixing mixed frequency and diffusion indices in good times and in bad: an assessment based on historical data around the great recession of 2008," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1421-1469, March.
    936. Pizzinga, Adrian, 2009. "Further investigation into restricted Kalman filtering," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 264-269, January.
    937. Younghoon Kim & Marie-Christine Duker & Zachary F. Fisher & Vladas Pipiras, 2023. "Latent Gaussian dynamic factor modeling and forecasting for multivariate count time series," Papers 2307.10454, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    938. Andres Algaba & Samuel Borms & Kris Boudt & Brecht Verbeken, 2021. "Daily news sentiment and monthly surveys: A mixed–frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting consumer confidence," Working Paper Research 396, National Bank of Belgium.
    939. Schwaab, Bernd & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André, 2012. "Dynamic factor models with macro, frailty and industry effects for US default counts: the credit crisis of 2008," Working Paper Series 1459, European Central Bank.
    940. Andre Lucas & Bastiaan Verhoef, 2012. "Aggregating Credit and Market Risk: The Impact of Model Specification," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-057/2/DSF36, Tinbergen Institute.
    941. Loaiza-Maya, Rubén & Smith, Michael Stanley & Nott, David J. & Danaher, Peter J., 2022. "Fast and accurate variational inference for models with many latent variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(2), pages 339-362.
    942. Kjartan Kloster Osmundsen & Tore Selland Kleppe & Roman Liesenfeld & Atle Oglend, 2021. "Estimating the Competitive Storage Model with Stochastic Trends in Commodity Prices," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-24, November.
    943. Xiaoyi Mu and Haichun Ye, 2015. "Small Trends and Big Cycles in Crude Oil Prices," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    944. Davide Delle Monache & Stefano Grassi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2017. "Does the ARFIMA really shift?," CREATES Research Papers 2017-16, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    945. Djennad, Abdelmajid & Rigby, Robert & Stasinopoulos, Dimitrios & Voudouris, Vlasios & Eilers, Paul, 2015. "Beyond location and dispersion models: The Generalized Structural Time Series Model with Applications," MPRA Paper 62807, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    946. Busettti, F. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Tests of time-invariance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0657, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    947. Sebastian Ankargren & Måns Unosson & Yukai Yang, 2018. "A mixed-frequency Bayesian vector autoregression with a steady-state prior," CREATES Research Papers 2018-32, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    948. Samuel Standaert & Stijn Ronsse & Benjamin Vandermarliere, 2014. "Historical trade integration: Globalization and the distance puzzle in the long 20th century," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 14/897, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    949. Cabral, Celso Rômulo Barbosa & da-Silva, Cibele Queiroz & Migon, Helio S., 2014. "A dynamic linear model with extended skew-normal for the initial distribution of the state parameter," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 64-80.
    950. Christophe Planas & Alessandro Rossi, 2004. "Can inflation data improve the real-time reliability of output gap estimates?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(1), pages 121-133.
    951. S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Jeremy J. Nalewaik & Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2013. "Improving GDP measurement: a measurement-error perspective," Working Papers 13-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    952. Malin Gardberg & Lorenzo (L.C.G.) Pozzi, 2018. "Consumption and wealth in the long run: an integrated unobserved component approach," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-046/VI, Tinbergen Institute, revised 13 Sep 2018.
    953. Kreuzer, Alexander & Dalla Valle, Luciana & Czado, Claudia, 2023. "Bayesian multivariate nonlinear state space copula models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    954. G. Rünstler & K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2009. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(7), pages 595-611.
    955. Pankaj Kumar, 2015. "Can Univariate Time Series Models of Inflation Help Discriminate Between Alternative Sources of Inflation PersistenceAuthor-Name: Naveen Srinivasan," Working Papers 2015-104, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
    956. Cristiano Varin & Paolo Vidoni, 2009. "Pairwise Likelihood Inference for General State Space Models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1-3), pages 170-185.
    957. David de Antonio Liedo, 2014. "Nowcasting Belgium," Working Paper Research 256, National Bank of Belgium.
    958. Jan G. de Gooijer & Rob J. Hyndman, 2005. "25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-068/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    959. Stona, Filipe & Morais, Igor A.C. & Triches, Divanildo, 2018. "Economic dynamics during periods of financial stress: Evidences from Brazil," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 130-144.
    960. Nazif Çatık, Abdurrahman & Huyugüzel Kışla, Gül & Akdeni̇z, Coşkun, 2020. "Time-varying impact of oil prices on sectoral stock returns: Evidence from Turkey," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    961. Justin Yifu Lin & Célestin Monga & Samuel Standaert, 2019. "The Inclusive Sustainable Transformation Index," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 143(1), pages 47-80, May.
    962. Wolfgang Lemke & Deutsche Bundesbank, 2006. "Term Structure Modeling and Estimation in a State Space Framework," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, Springer, number 978-3-540-28344-7, July.
    963. Wali Ullah, 2017. "Term structure forecasting in affine framework with time-varying volatility," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 26(3), pages 453-483, August.
    964. Matthieu Lemoine & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Paola Monperrus-Veroni & Frédéric Reynes, 2010. "A new production function estimate of the euro area output gap This paper is based on a report for Eurostat: 'Real time estimation of potential output, output gap, NAIRU and Phillips curve for Euro-zo," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 29-53.
    965. Commandeur, Jacques J. F. & Koopman, Siem Jan & Ooms, Marius, 2011. "Statistical Software for State Space Methods," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 41(i01).
    966. Michael J Prerau & Katie E Hartnack & Gabriel Obregon-Henao & Aaron Sampson & Margaret Merlino & Karen Gannon & Matt T Bianchi & Jeffrey M Ellenbogen & Patrick L Purdon, 2014. "Tracking the Sleep Onset Process: An Empirical Model of Behavioral and Physiological Dynamics," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(10), pages 1-19, October.
    967. Jonathon Siegle & Gregory Astill & Zoë Plakias & Daniel Tregeagle, 2024. "Estimating perennial crop supply response: A methodology literature review," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 55(2), pages 159-180, March.
    968. Tore Dubbert, 2022. "Stochastic debt sustainability analysis using time-varying fiscal reaction functions. An agnostic approach to fiscal forecasting," CQE Working Papers 10422, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    969. Fabio Busetti & Silvestro di Sanzo, 2011. "Bootstrap LR tests of stationarity, common trends and cointegration," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 799, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    970. Fumio Hayashi & Yuta Tachi, 2023. "Nowcasting Japan’s GDP," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1699-1735, April.
    971. Gilles Teyssière, 2005. "Structural time series modelling with STAMP 6.02," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(4), pages 571-577, May.
    972. Istvan Barra & Siem Jan Koopman & Agnieszka Borowska, 2016. "Bayesian Dynamic Modeling of High-Frequency Integer Price Changes," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-028/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 16 Feb 2018.
    973. The Editors, 2016. "Reviews of Books and Teaching Materials," The American Statistician, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 70(4), pages 424-433, October.
    974. Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia & Wagner, Helga, 2010. "Stochastic model specification search for Gaussian and partial non-Gaussian state space models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(1), pages 85-100, January.
    975. Smith, Michael Stanley & Maneesoonthorn, Worapree, 2018. "Inversion copulas from nonlinear state space models with an application to inflation forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 389-407.
    976. Díaz, Guzmán & Coto, José & Gómez-Aleixandre, Javier, 2019. "Levelized income loss as a metric of the adaptation of wind and energy storage to variable prices," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1179-1191.
    977. Bhattacharya, Arnab & Wilson, Simon P., 2018. "Sequential Bayesian inference for static parameters in dynamic state space models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 187-203.
    978. Moonam, Hasan M. & Qin, Xiao & Zhang, Jun, 2019. "Utilizing data mining techniques to predict expected freeway travel time from experienced travel time," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 154-167.
    979. Petros Pechlivanoglou & Jaap E. Wieringa & Tim de Jager & Maarten J. Postma, 2015. "The Effect of Financial and Educational Incentives on Rational Prescribing. A State‐Space Approach," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 439-453, April.
    980. Breed, Greg A. & Costa, Daniel P. & Jonsen, Ian D. & Robinson, Patrick W. & Mills-Flemming, Joanna, 2012. "State-space methods for more completely capturing behavioral dynamics from animal tracks," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 235, pages 49-58.
    981. Manshu Yang & Sy-Miin Chow, 2010. "Using State-Space Model with Regime Switching to Represent the Dynamics of Facial Electromyography (EMG) Data," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 75(4), pages 744-771, December.
    982. Akaki Liqokeli, 2020. "Measuring Credit Gaps for Macroprudential Policy Guidance: An Application to Georgia," NBG Working Papers 05/2020, National Bank of Georgia.
    983. Svetlana Borovkova & Diego Mahakena, 2015. "News, volatility and jumps: the case of natural gas futures," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(7), pages 1217-1242, July.
    984. Federica Giummolè & Paolo Vidoni, 2010. "Improved prediction limits for a general class of Gaussian models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(6), pages 483-493, November.
    985. Ferrara, L. & Koopman, S J., 2010. "Common business and housing market cycles in the Euro area from a multivariate decomposition," Working papers 275, Banque de France.
    986. de Silva, Ashton, 2008. "Forecasting macroeconomic variables using a structural state space model," MPRA Paper 11060, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    987. Francisco (F.) Blasques & Paolo Gorgi & Siem Jan (S.J.) Koopman, 2017. "Accelerating GARCH and Score-Driven Models: Optimality, Estimation and Forecasting," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-059/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    988. Elleby, Christian & Hansen, Henrik & Yu, Wusheng, 2015. "Domestic Price and Welfare Effects of the 2007-11 Indian Grain Export Restrictions," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205578, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    989. Andrew Harvey, 2010. "The local quadratic trend model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 94-108.
    990. Ekşi Ozan & Orman Cüneyt & Taş Bedri Kamil Onur, 2017. "Has the forecasting performance of the Federal Reserve’s Greenbooks changed over time?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 1-25, June.
    991. Tommaso Proietti, 2006. "Trend-Cycle Decompositions with Correlated Components," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(1), pages 61-84.
    992. Yoonsuk Lee & B. Wade Brorsen, 2017. "Permanent shocks and forecasting with moving averages," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(12), pages 1213-1225, March.
    993. Ruiz-Cárdenas, Ramiro & Krainski, Elias T. & Rue, Håvard, 2012. "Direct fitting of dynamic models using integrated nested Laplace approximations — INLA," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 1808-1828.
    994. Fausto Pacicco & Luigi Vena & Andrea Venegoni, 2017. "Full disclosure and financial stability: how does the market digest the transparency shock?," LIUC Papers in Economics 305, Cattaneo University (LIUC).
    995. Sergio Contreras-Espinoza & Francisco Novoa-Muñoz & Szabolcs Blazsek & Pedro Vidal & Christian Caamaño-Carrillo, 2022. "COVID-19 Active Case Forecasts in Latin American Countries Using Score-Driven Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-17, December.
    996. Nicholas Sander, 2013. "Fresh perspectives on unobservable variables: Data decomposition of the Kalman smoother," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2013/09, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    997. Sylvie Lecarpentier-Moyal & Patricia Renou-Maissant, 2007. "Analyse dynamique de la convergence des comportements de demande de monnaie en Europe," Post-Print halshs-00256488, HAL.
    998. Flavio Cunha & James J. Heckman, 2008. "Formulating, Identifying and Estimating the Technology of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skill Formation," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 43(4).
    999. Bohl, Martin T. & Czaja, Marc-Gregor & Kaufmann, Philipp, 2016. "Momentum profits, market cycles, and rebounds: Evidence from Germany," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 139-159.
    1000. Daniel Fehrle & Johannes Huber, 2020. "Business cycle accounting for the German fiscal stimulus program during the Great Recession," Working Papers 197, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
    1001. Rafael Cavalcanti De Araújo & Cleomar Gomes Da Silva, 2014. "The Neutral Interest Rate And The Stance Of Monetary Policy In Brazil," Anais do XLI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 41st Brazilian Economics Meeting] 051, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    1002. Schwaab, Bernd & Eser, Fabian, 2013. "Assessing asset purchases within the ECB’s securities markets programme," Working Paper Series 1587, European Central Bank.
    1003. Mikio Ito & Akihiko Noda & Tatsuma Wada, 2017. "An Alternative Estimation Method of a Time-Varying Parameter Model," Papers 1707.06837, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2017.
    1004. Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
    1005. Qian, Hang, 2012. "A Flexible State Space Model and its Applications," MPRA Paper 38455, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    1006. Areski Cousin & Mohamed Reda Kheliouen, 2016. "A comparative study on the estimation of factor migration models," Working Papers halshs-01351926, HAL.
    1007. Ruey Yau & C. James Hueng, 2019. "Nowcasting GDP Growth for Small Open Economies with a Mixed-Frequency Structural Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 177-198, June.
    1008. María Hierro & Adolfo Maza, 2010. "Per capita income convergence and internal migration in Spain: Are foreign‐born migrants playing an important role?," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 89(1), pages 89-107, March.
    1009. Hallahan, Charlie, 2003. "STAMP 6.0: STAMP 6.0 Structural Time Series Analyser, Modeller and Predictor by Siem Jan Koopman, Andrew C. Harvey, Jurgen A. Doornik and Neil Shephard. London: Timberlake Consultants Ltd, 2000. Price," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 319-325.
    1010. Ivana Lolic & Petar Soric & Mirjana Cizmesija, 2017. "Disentangling the Relationship between News Media and Consumers' Inflation Sentiment: the Case of Croatia," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 67(3), pages 221-249, June.
    1011. Jasper de Winter & Siem Jan Koopman & Irma Hindrayanto, 2022. "Joint Decomposition of Business and Financial Cycles: Evidence from Eight Advanced Economies," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(1), pages 57-79, February.
    1012. Doemeland,Doerte & Estevão,Marcello & Jooste,Charl & Sampi Bravo,James Robert Ezequiel & Tsiropoulos,Vasileios, 2022. "Debt Vulnerability Analysis : A Multi-Angle Approach," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9929, The World Bank.
    1013. Kleppe, Tore Selland & Skaug, Hans Julius, 2012. "Fitting general stochastic volatility models using Laplace accelerated sequential importance sampling," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3105-3119.
    1014. Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Samad Sarferaz & Simon van Norden & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2013. "Modeling Multivariate Data Revisions," CIRANO Working Papers 2013s-44, CIRANO.
    1015. Poloni, Federico & Sbrana, Giacomo, 2019. "Closed-form results for vector moving average models with a univariate estimation approach," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 27-52.
    1016. Paolo Gorgi & Siem Jan Koopman & Julia Schaumburg, 2021. "Vector Autoregressions with Dynamic Factor Coefficients and Conditionally Heteroskedastic Errors," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-056/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    1017. Nima Nonejad, 2013. "Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo Techniques of Unobserved Component Time Series Models Using Ox," CREATES Research Papers 2013-27, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    1018. Cortez, Willy Walter & Islas C., Alejandro, 2013. "An assessment of the dynamics between the permanent and transitory components of Mexico's output and unemployment," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    1019. Xu, Meng & Li, Jialiang & Chen, Ying, 2017. "Varying coefficient functional autoregressive model with application to the U.S. treasuries," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 168-183.
    1020. Cristina ANGHELESCU, 2022. "Shock-dependent Exchange Rate Pass-through into Different Measures of Price Indices in the Case of Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 88-104, October.
    1021. Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting Using Mixed-Frequency VARS with Time-Varying Parameters," CESifo Working Paper Series 8054, CESifo.
    1022. Alex Minne & Marc Francke & David Geltner & Robert White, 2020. "Using Revisions as a Measure of Price Index Quality in Repeat-Sales Models," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 514-553, May.
    1023. Kutlu, Levent, 2017. "A constrained state space approach for estimating firm efficiency," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 54-56.
    1024. Sobiech, Izabela, 2019. "Remittances, finance and growth: Does financial development foster the impact of remittances on economic growth?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 44-59.
    1025. Sergio Afonso Lago Alves & Angelo Marsiglia Fasolo, 2015. "Not Just Another Mixed Frequency Paper," Working Papers Series 400, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    1026. González-Rivera, Gloria & Rodríguez Caballero, Carlos Vladimir, 2023. "Modelling intervals of minimum/maximum temperatures in the Iberian Peninsula," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 37968, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    1027. Yasir Riaz & Choudhry T. Shehzad & Zaghum Umar, 2021. "The sovereign yield curve and credit ratings in GIIPS," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(3), pages 895-916, September.
    1028. Mauro Bernardi & Leopoldo Catania, 2016. "Portfolio Optimisation Under Flexible Dynamic Dependence Modelling," Papers 1601.05199, arXiv.org.
    1029. Bohl, Martin T. & Kaufmann, Philipp & Siklos, Pierre L., 2015. "What drove the mid-2000s explosiveness in alternative energy stock prices? Evidence from U.S., European and global indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 194-206.
    1030. Sonia de Lucas Santos & María Jesús Delgado Rodríguez, 2016. "Core-Periphery Business Cycle Synchronization in Europe and the Great Recession," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(6), pages 521-546, November.
    1031. Paul Labonne, 2020. "Asymmetric uncertainty : Nowcasting using skewness in real-time data," Papers 2012.02601, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    1032. Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2013. "Predictive likelihood comparisons with DSGE and DSGE-VAR models," Working Paper Series 1536, European Central Bank.
    1033. Debasish Roy & Ramaprasad Bhar, 2020. "Trend of Commodity Prices and Exchange Rate in Australian Economy: Time Varying Parameter Model Approach," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 27(3), pages 427-437, September.
    1034. Christian Aßmann, 2009. "Christensen, B.J. and Kiefer, N.M.: Economic modeling and inference," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 98(3), pages 257-259, December.
    1035. Roberto S. Mariano & Yasutomo Murasawa, 2010. "A Coincident Index, Common Factors, and Monthly Real GDP," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 72(1), pages 27-46, February.
    1036. Blasques, Francisco & Koopman, Siem Jan & Łasak, Katarzyna & Lucas, André, 2016. "In-sample confidence bands and out-of-sample forecast bands for time-varying parameters in observation-driven models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 875-887.
    1037. Christian Matthes & Felipe Schwartzman, 2019. "What Do Sectoral Dynamics Tell Us About the Origins of Business Cycles?," Working Paper 19-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    1038. Lee, Jae Won & Park, Woong Yong, 2021. "System reduction of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models solved by gensys," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    1039. Carlos Cuerpo & Ángel Cuevas & Enrique M. Quilis, 2018. "Estimating output gap: a beauty contest approach," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 9(3), pages 275-304, August.
    1040. IIBOSHI Hirokuni & MATSUMAE Tatsuyoshi & NISHIYAMA Shin-Ichi, 2014. "Sources of the Great Recession：A Bayesian Approach of a Data-Rich DSGE model with Time-Varying Volatility Shocks," ESRI Discussion paper series 313, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    1041. Shanker, Latha, 2017. "New indices of adequate and excess speculation and their relationship with volatility in the crude oil futures market," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 18-35.
    1042. Omori, Yasuhiro & Chib, Siddhartha & Shephard, Neil & Nakajima, Jouchi, 2007. "Stochastic volatility with leverage: Fast and efficient likelihood inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 425-449, October.
    1043. Borus Jungbacker & Siem Jan Koopman, 2015. "Likelihood‐based dynamic factor analysis for measurement and forecasting," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 18(2), pages 1-21, June.
    1044. Bianconcini, Silvia & Cagnone, Silvia, 2023. "The dimension-wise quadrature estimation of dynamic latent variable models for count data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    1045. Nikolaos Zirogiannis & Yorghos Tripodis, 2013. "A Generalized Dynamic Factor Model for Panel Data: Estimation with a Two-Cycle Conditional Expectation-Maximization Algorithm," Working Papers 2013-1, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Resource Economics.
    1046. Bernd Schwaab & Andre Lucas & Siem Jan Koopman, 2010. "Systemic Risk Diagnostics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 10-104/2/DSF 2, Tinbergen Institute, revised 29 Nov 2010.
    1047. Loria, Francesca & Matthes, Christian & Wang, Mu-Chun, 2022. "Economic theories and macroeconomic reality," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 105-117.
    1048. Gao, Lei & Mei, Bin, 2013. "Investor attention and abnormal performance of timberland investments in the United States," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 60-65.
    1049. Aiube, Fernando Antonio Lucena & Faquieri, Winicius Botelho, 2019. "Can Gaussian factor models of commodity prices capture the financialization phenomenon?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    1050. Georgia Koppe & Hazem Toutounji & Peter Kirsch & Stefanie Lis & Daniel Durstewitz, 2019. "Identifying nonlinear dynamical systems via generative recurrent neural networks with applications to fMRI," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(8), pages 1-35, August.
    1051. Nunley, John & Zietz, Joachim, 2008. "The U.S. Divorce Rate: The 1960s Surge Versus Its Long-Run Determinants," MPRA Paper 16317, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2008.
    1052. Albert J. Menkveld & Asani Sarkar & Michel Van der Wel, 2009. "Are market makers uninformed and passive? Signing trades in the absence of quotes," Staff Reports 395, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    1053. Lorenzo Pozzi & Guido Wolswijk, 2008. "Have Euro Area Government Bond Risk Premia Converged To Their Common State?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-042/2, Tinbergen Institute, revised 07 Sep 2009.
    1054. Alvaro Angeriz & Philip Arestis, 2007. "Assessing the Performance of ‘Inflation Targeting Lite’ Countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(11), pages 1621-1645, November.
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