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An ensemble forecasting model for predicting contribution of food donors based on supply behavior

Author

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  • Shubhra Paul

    (North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University)

  • Lauren B. Davis

    (North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University)

Abstract

Food banks are nonprofit hunger relief organizations that collect donations from donors and distribute food to local agencies that serve people in need. Donors consist of local supermarkets, manufacturers, and community organizations. The frequency, quantity, and type of food donated by each donor can vary each month. In this research, we propose a technique to identify the supply behavior of donors and cluster them based on these attributes. We then develop a predictive ensemble model to forecast the contribution of different donor clusters. Our study shows the necessary behavioral attributes to classify donors and the best way to cluster donor data to improve the prediction model.

Suggested Citation

  • Shubhra Paul & Lauren B. Davis, 2022. "An ensemble forecasting model for predicting contribution of food donors based on supply behavior," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 319(1), pages 1-29, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:319:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-021-04146-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-021-04146-5
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    Cited by:

    1. Akkerman, Renzo & Buisman, Marjolein & Cruijssen, Frans & de Leeuw, Sander & Haijema, Rene, 2023. "Dealing with donations: Supply chain management challenges for food banks," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    2. Reusken, Meike & Laporte, Gilbert & Rohmer, Sonja U.K. & Cruijssen, Frans, 2024. "Vehicle routing with stochastic demand, service and waiting times — The case of food bank collection problems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 317(1), pages 111-127.

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