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The dynamics of short- and long-run capital mobility: evidence from a time-varying parameter error-correction model

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  • Tino Berger

Abstract

This article analyses the dynamic evolution of capital mobility in eight Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries over the period 1850 to 1992. We estimate an error-correction model of saving and investment that allows to distinguish between short- and long-run capital mobility. The parameters of the error-correction model are allowed to be time-vary ing and are estimated using the Kalman filter and maximum likelihood technique. We find that both short- and long-run capital mobility was very high at the end of the nineteenth century but since then decreased in most countries. However, the magnitude of changes in long-run capital mobility is very small while the absolute change of short-run capital mobility is substantial.

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  • Tino Berger, 2012. "The dynamics of short- and long-run capital mobility: evidence from a time-varying parameter error-correction model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(19), pages 2491-2498, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:19:p:2491-2498
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564352
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    1. Feldstein, Martin & Horioka, Charles, 1980. "Domestic Saving and International Capital Flows," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 90(358), pages 314-329, June.
    2. Coakley, Jerry & Kulasi, Farida & Smith, Ron, 1998. "The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle and Capital Mobility: A Review," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(2), pages 169-188, April.
    3. Tesar, Linda L., 1991. "Savings, investment and international capital flows," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1-2), pages 55-78, August.
    4. Durbin, James & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2012. "Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, edition 2, number 9780199641178.
    5. Sinn, Stefan, 1992. "Saving-Investment Correlations and Capital Mobility: On the Evidence from Annual Data," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 102(414), pages 1162-1170, September.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Börger, Carina & Kempa, Bernd, 2024. "Real exchange rate convergence in the euro area: Evidence from a dynamic factor model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 213-224.

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