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A New Approach to Drawing States in State Space Models

Author

Listed:
  • William J. McCausland

    (Département de sciences économiques, Université de Montréal)

  • Shirley Miller

    (Département de sciences économiques, Université de Montréal)

  • Denis Pelletier

    (Department of Economics, North Carolina State University)

Abstract

We introduce a new method for drawing state variables in Gaussian state space models from their conditional distribution given parameters and observations. Unlike standard methods, our method does not involve Kalman filtering. We show that for some important cases, our method is computationally more efficient than standard methods in the literature. We consider two applications of our method.

Suggested Citation

  • William J. McCausland & Shirley Miller & Denis Pelletier, 2007. "A New Approach to Drawing States in State Space Models," Working Paper Series 014, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2007.
    • Handle: RePEc:ncs:wpaper:014
    Note: First draft 2007-08
    as

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    File URL: ftp://ftp.ncsu.edu/pub/ncsu/economics/RePEc/pdf/MMP.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sangjoon Kim & Neil Shephard & Siddhartha Chib, 1998. "Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 65(3), pages 361-393.
    2. J. Durbin, 2002. "A simple and efficient simulation smoother for state space time series analysis," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 89(3), pages 603-616, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. McCAUSLAND, William, 2008. "The Hessian Method (Highly Efficient State Smoothing, In a Nutshell)," Cahiers de recherche 2008-03, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    State space models; Stochastic volatility; Count data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques

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