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Does climate change affect economic data?

In: Advances in Applied Econometrics

Author

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  • In Choi

    (Sogang University)

Abstract

This paper derives the seasonal factors from the US temperature, gasoline price, and fresh food price data sets using the Kalman state smoother and the principal component analysis. Seasonality in this paper is modeled by the autoregressive process and added to the random component of the time series. The derived seasonal factors show a common feature: their volatilities have increased over the last four decades. Climate change is undoubtedly reflected in the temperature data. The three data sets’ similar patterns from the 1990s suggest that climate change may have affected the prices’ volatility behavior.

Suggested Citation

  • In Choi, 2024. "Does climate change affect economic data?," Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics, in: Subal C. Kumbhakar & Robin C. Sickles & Hung-Jen Wang (ed.), Advances in Applied Econometrics, pages 483-500, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:adschp:978-3-031-48385-1_18
    DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-48385-1_18
    as

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