ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II

Since its foundation in 1949 the Ifo Institute has accompanied economic activity in Germany, Europe and worldwide by its regular business surveys and economic forecasts. In 2007 the Ifo Institute published a first collection of selected articles on methodological backgrounds, which had been extracted from the ifo Schnelldienst. The present volume continues this tradition and presents articles from the years 2003 until 2016 focussing on forecasting methods, macroeconomic analysis, monetary analysis, the Ifo Business Survey for Germany and the Ifo World Economic Survey. The selected articles of the first chapter range from specific forecasting methods to statistical basics like the volume measurement in national accounts or the seasonal adjustment in the Ifo Business Survey. The next chapter focusses on specific aspects of macroeconomic analysis, followed by articles that draw attention to the monetary analysis, particularly the European Central Bank´s monetary policy. Last but not least this issue presents a variety of articles that figure out further details on the Ifo Business Survey and the Ifo World Economic Survey. All authors are active or former economists of the Ifo Center for Business Cycle Analysis and Surveys.