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Understanding Liquidity and Credit Risks in the Financial Crisis

Author

Listed:
  • Deborah Gefang

    (Department of Economics, University of Lancaster)

  • Gary Koop

    (Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde; The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (RCEA))

  • Simon M. Potter

    (Research and Statistics Group, Federal Reserve Bank of New York)

Abstract

This paper develops a structured dynamic factor model for the spreads between London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and overnight index swap (OIS) rates for a panel of banks. Our model involves latent factors which reflect liquidity and credit risk. Our empirical results show that surges in the short term LIBOR-OIS spreads during the 2007-2009 financial crisis were largely driven by liquidity risk. However, credit risk played a more significant role in the longer term (twelve-month) LIBOR-OIS spread. The liquidity risk factors are more volatile than the credit risk factor. Most of the familiar events in the financial crisis are linked more to movements in liquidity risk than credit risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2010. "Understanding Liquidity and Credit Risks in the Financial Crisis," Working Paper series 45_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    • Handle: RePEc:rim:rimwps:45_10
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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