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Fitting general stochastic volatility models using Laplace accelerated sequential importance sampling

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  • Kleppe, Tore Selland
  • Skaug, Hans Julius

Abstract

A methodology for fitting general stochastic volatility (SV) models that are naturally cast in terms of a positive volatility process is developed. Two well known methods for evaluating the likelihood function, sequential importance sampling and Laplace importance sampling, are combined. The statistical properties of the resulting estimator are investigated by simulation for an ensemble of SV models. It is found that the performance is good compared to the efficient importance sampling (EIS) algorithm. Finally, the computational framework, building on automatic differentiation (AD), is outlined. The use of AD makes it easy to implement other SV models with non-Gaussian latent volatility processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Kleppe, Tore Selland & Skaug, Hans Julius, 2012. "Fitting general stochastic volatility models using Laplace accelerated sequential importance sampling," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3105-3119.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:56:y:2012:i:11:p:3105-3119
    DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2011.05.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Jean-François Richard, 2015. "Likelihood Evaluation of High-Dimensional Spatial Latent Gaussian Models with Non-Gaussian Response Variables," Working Paper 5778, Department of Economics, University of Pittsburgh.
    2. Tore Selland Kleppe & Jun Yu & H.J. Skaug, 2010. "Simulated maximum likelihood estimation of continuous time stochastic volatility models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Maximum Simulated Likelihood Methods and Applications, pages 137-161, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    3. Kleppe, Tore Selland & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2014. "Efficient importance sampling in mixture frameworks," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 449-463.
    4. Di Zhang & Qiang Niu & Youzhou Zhou, 2022. "Modeling Randomly Walking Volatility with Chained Gamma Distributions," Papers 2207.01151, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2022.
    5. Skaug, Hans J. & Yu, Jun, 2014. "A flexible and automated likelihood based framework for inference in stochastic volatility models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 642-654.
    6. Stojanović, Vladica S. & Popović, Biljana Č. & Milovanović, Gradimir V., 2016. "The Split-SV model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 560-581.

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