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Content
2016, Volume 2015, Issue 2
- 1-13 Frequency based co-movement of inflation in selected euro area countries
by Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Niyati Bhanja & Arif Billah Dar - 1-22 The Swedish business cycle, 1969-2013
by Louise Holm - 1-27 A comparison of economic indicator analysis and Markov switching methods concerning the cycle phase dynamics: report
by Pami Dua & Vineeta Sharma - 1-28 Reverse-engineering the business cycle with Petri nets
by Johnnie B. Linn III - 1-39 The role of data revisions and disagreement in professional forecasts
by Eva A. Arnold
2015, Volume 2015, Issue 1
- 5-22 The importance of updating: Evidence from a Brazilian nowcasting model
by Daniela Bragoli & Luca Metelli & Michele Modugno - 23-40 The world and “The world business cycle chronology”
by Allan Layton & Anirvan Banerji & Lakshman Achuthan - 41-61 Business cycle dynamics: A bottom-up approach with Markov-chain measurement
by Christian Müller & Eva Köberl - 63-81 The role of oscillatory modes in US business cycles
by Andreas Groth & Michael Ghil & Stéphane Hallegatte & Patrice Dumas - 83-95 Construction of composite business cycle indicators in a scarce data environment: A case study for Abu Dhabi
by Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus
2015, Volume 2014, Issue 2
- 5-25 Tracking economic activity in the euro area: Multivariate direct filter approach
by Ginters Buss - 25-43 What's behind the survey values?: An analysis of individual forecasters' behaviour
by Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren - 45-62 On the robustness of balance statistics with respect to nonresponse
by Christian Seiler - 63-76 Cohesion within the euro area and the US: A wavelet-based view
by António Rua & Artur Silva Lopes
2014, Volume 2014, Issue 1
- 1-14 Turning point chronology for the euro area: A distance plot approach
by Peter Martey Addo & Monica Billio & Dominique Guégan - 1-21 Making leading indicators more leading: A wavelet-based method for the construction of composite leading indexes
by Marco Gallegati - 1-24 Dating business cycle turning points: The Greek economy during 1970-2012 and the recent recession
by Ekaterini Tsouma - 1-26 Russian cyclical indicators and their usefulness in real time. (Report): An experience of the 2008-09 recession
by Sergey V. Smirnov
2014, Volume 2013, Issue 2
- 5-10 General introduction: Short-term forecasting methods joint issue with Économie et Prévision
by Hélène Erkel-Rousse & Michael Graff - 11-50 Short-term forecasting of French GDP growth using dynamic factor models
by Marie Bessec & Catherine Doz - 51-71 New indicators for tracking growth in real time
by Troy D. Matheson - 73-107 Dynamic factor models: A review of the literature
by Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara - 109-127 Constructing a conditional GDP fan chart with an application to French business survey data
by Matthieu Cornec
2013, Volume 2014, Issue 1
- 1-37 Identifying leading indicators of real activity and inflation for Turkey, 1988-2010: A pseudo out-of-sample forecasting approach
by Sumru Altug & Erhan Uluceviz
2013, Volume 2013, Issue 2
- 129-151 Do business tendency surveys help in forecasting employment?: A real-time evidence for Switzerland
by Boriss Siliverstovs
2013, Volume 2013, Issue 1
- 1-7 A note on the cyclical behaviour of the income distribution
by Burkhard Heer - 1-14 Business cycle synchronisation in the European Union: The effect of the common currency
by Periklis Gogas - 1-16 Extracting GDP signals from the monthly indicator of economic activity: Evidence from Chilean real-time data
by Michael Pedersen - 1-23 The Portuguese stock market cycle: Chronology and duration dependence
by Vitor Castro
2013, Volume 2012, Issue 2
- 33-42 Day-of-the-week effect in Consumer Confidence Index: The case of Turkey
by Sadullah Çelik & Hüseyin Kaya - 43-65 Constructing coincident and leading indices of economic activity for the Brazilian economy
by João Victor Issler & Hilton Hostalacio Notini & Claudia Fontoura Rodrigues - 67-89 Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany
by Ivan Savin & Peter Winker
2012, Volume 2012, Issue 2
- 5-19 Measuring capacity utilisation in the italian manufacturing sector: a comparison between time series and survey estimates
by Marco Malgarini & Antonio Paradiso - 21-31 Nowcasting Irish GDP
by Antonello D'Agostino & Kieran McQuinn & Derry O’Brien
2012, Volume 2012, Issue 1
- 1-16 Measuring confidence and uncertainty during the financial crisis: Evidence from the CFS Survey. Report
by Horst Entorf & Christian Knoll & Liliya Sattarova - 1-18 On the Change in the Austrian Business Cycle
by Sandra Bilek-Steindl - 1-24 Should transportation output be included as part of the coincident indicators system?
by Kajal Lahiri & Wenxiong Yao - 1-31 An Analysis of the Embedded Frequency Content of Macroeconomic Indicators and their Counterparts using the Hilbert-Huang Transform
by Patrick M. Crowley & Tony Schildt - 1-31 Euro area business cycles
by Atilim Seymen
2012, Volume 2011, Issue 2
- 5-28 A Cyclical Analysis of Economic Activity in Serbia
by Jelena Radovic-Stojanovic - 29-47 Energy Prices and Business Cycles: Lessons from a Simulated Small Open Economy Model
by Torsten Schmidt & Tobias Zimmermann - 49-68 Are the New Member States Converging on the Euro Area?: A Business Cycle Analysis for Economies in Transition
by Andrew Hughes Hallett & Christian R. Richter - 69-103 Measuring Uncertainty and Disagreement in the European Survey of Professional Forecasters
by Cristina Conflitti - 105-109 A Note on Band-Pass Filters Based on the Hodrick-Prescott Filter and the OECD System of Composite Leading Indicators
by Hiroshi Yamada
2011, Volume 2011, Issue 1
- 5-28 Inflation Expectations in Turkey: Evidence from Panel Data
by Ece Oral & Hülya Saygili & Mesut Saygili & S. Özge Tuncel - 29-53 Are Qualitative Inflation Expectations Useful to Predict Inflation?
by Rolf Scheufele - 55-72 The Forecasting Performance of Composite Leading Indicators: Does Globalisation Matter?
by Ferdinand Fichtner & Rasmus Rüffer & Bernd Schnatz - 73-92 Forecasting with Leading Indicators by means of the Principal Covariate Index
by Christiaan Heij & Dick van Dijk & Patrick J.F. Groenen - 93-110 Aggregate Comovements, Anticipation, and Business Cycles
by David R. F. Love
2010, Volume 2010, Issue 2
- 1-13 Markov-Switching and the Ifo Business Climate: the Ifo Business Cycle Traffic Lights
by Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus - 1-17 The Industrial Cycle of Milan as an Accurate Leading Indicator for the Italian Business Cycle
by Matteo M. Pelagatti & Valeria Negri - 1-25 Application of Three Non-Linear Econometric Approaches to Identify Business Cycles in Peru
by Gabriel Rodríguez - 1-26 Forecasting Aggregated Time Series Variables: A Survey
by Helmut Lütkepohl - 1-28 An Evaluation of the Growth and Unemployment Forecasts in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
by Carlos Bowles & Roberta Friz & Veronique Genre & Geoff Kenny & Aidan Meyler & Tuomas Rautanen
2010, Volume 2010, Issue 1
- 1-12 Chain-linking in Austrian quarterly national accounts and the business cycle
by Marcus Scheiblecker - 1-14 Do benchmark revisions affect the consumption-to-output and investment-to-output ratios in Germany?
by Thomas A. Knetsch & Hans-Eggert Reimers - 1-18 Evaluating German business cycle forecasts under an asymmetric loss function
by Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Boriss Siliverstovs - 1-22 Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model
by Elena Angelini & Marta Banbura & Gerhard Rünstler
2010, Volume 2009, Issue 2
- 89-110 The Dutch business cycle: A finite sample approximation of selected leading indicators
by Ard H. J. den Reijer - 111-132 Constructing a Markov-switching turning point index using mixed frequencies with an application to French business survey data
by José Bardaji & Laurent Clavel & Frédéric Tallet - 133-156 Measurement error in estimating inflation expectations from survey data: An evaluation by Monte Carlo simulations
by Akira Terai - 157-176 Forecasting international trade: A time series approach
by Alexander Keck & Alexander Raubold & Alessandro Truppia
2009, Volume 2009, Issue 1
- 1-12 The information content of qualitative survey data
by Christian Müller - 1-12 Dating rules for turning points of growth cycles in Korea
by Kyung Sam Min & Lim Sung Joo - 19-41 Analyzing and forecasting business cycles in a small open economy: A dynamic factor model for Singapore
by Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy - 43-69 Understanding sectoral growth cycles and the impact of monetary policy in Turkish manufacturing
by Saygin Sahinöz & Evren Erdogan Cosar
2009, Volume 2008, Issue 2
- 139-160 Forecasting euro area manufacturing production with country-specific trade and survey data
by Matthieu Darracq Paries & Laurent Maurin - 161-181 The information content of KOF indicators on Swiss current account data revisions
by Jan Jacobs & Jan-Egbert Sturm - 183-213 Swiss GDP revisions: A monetary policy perspective
by Nicolas Cuche-Curti & Pamela Hall & Attilio Zanetti
2009, Volume 2008, Issue 1
- 9-36 An optimized forecast specification for economic activity: An automated discovery approach using a genetic algorithm
by Bernd Brandl - 37-61 Trying to assess the quality of macroeconomic data: The case of Swiss labour productivity growth as an example
by Jochen Hartwig - 63-95 How fused is the euro area core?: An evaluation of growth cycle co-movement and synchronization using wavelet analysis
by Patrick M. Crowley & David G. Mayes - 97-123 Leading indicators on construction and retail trade sectors based on ISAE survey data
by Luciana Crosilla & Solange Leproux