Fulvio Corsi
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- Giacomo Bormetti & Lucio Maria Calcagnile & Michele Treccani & Fulvio Corsi & Stefano Marmi & Fabrizio Lillo, 2013.
"Modelling systemic price cojumps with Hawkes factor models,"
Papers
1301.6141, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2013.
Cited by:
- Francine Gresnigt & Erik Kole & Philip Hans Franses, 2015.
"Specification Testing in Hawkes Models,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
15-086/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Francine Gresnigt & Erik Kole & Philip Hans Franses, 2017. "Specification Testing in Hawkes Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(1), pages 139-171.
- Gabriele Ranco & Ilaria Bordino & Giacomo Bormetti & Guido Caldarelli & Fabrizio Lillo & Michele Treccani, 2014. "Coupling news sentiment with web browsing data improves prediction of intra-day price dynamics," Papers 1412.3948, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2015.
- Laurini, Márcio Poletti & Mauad, Roberto Baltieri, 2015. "A common jump factor stochastic volatility model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 2-10.
- Emmanuel Bacry & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Jean-Franc{c}ois Muzy, 2015. "Hawkes processes in finance," Papers 1502.04592, arXiv.org, revised May 2015.
- Gresnigt, Francine & Kole, Erik & Franses, Philip Hans, 2015.
"Interpreting financial market crashes as earthquakes: A new Early Warning System for medium term crashes,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 123-139.
- Francine Gresnigt & Erik Kole & Philip Hans Franses, 2014. "Interpreting Financial Market Crashes as Earthquakes: A New early Warning System for Medium Term Crashes," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-067/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Francine Gresnigt & Erik Kole & Philip Hans Franses, 2015.
"Specification Testing in Hawkes Models,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
15-086/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Corsi, Fulvio & Peluso, Stefano & Audrino, Francesco, 2012.
"Missing in Asynchronicity: A Kalman-EM Approach for Multivariate Realized Covariance Estimation,"
Economics Working Paper Series
1202, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Fulvio Corsi & Stefano Peluso & Francesco Audrino, 2015. "Missing in Asynchronicity: A Kalman‐em Approach for Multivariate Realized Covariance Estimation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 377-397, April.
Cited by:
- Yuta Koike, 2013. "Limit Theorems for the Pre-averaged Hayashi-Yoshida Estimator with Random Sampling," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-276, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Okhrin, Ostap, 2012.
"Realized copula,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2012-034, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Fengler, Matthias & Okhrin, Ostap, 2012. "Realized Copula," Economics Working Paper Series 1214, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Donelli, Nicola & Peluso, Stefano & Mira, Antonietta, 2021. "A Bayesian semiparametric vector Multiplicative Error Model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
- Neil Shephard & Dacheng Xiu, 2012.
"Econometric analysis of multivariate realised QML: efficient positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices,"
Economics Series Working Papers
604, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Neil Shephard & Dacheng Xiu, 2012. "Econometric analysis of multivariate realised QML: efficient positive semi-definite estimators of the covariation of equity prices," Economics Papers 2012-W04, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Tim Bollerslev & Andrew J. Patton & Wenjing Wang, 2016.
"Daily House Price Indices: Construction, Modeling, and Longer‐run Predictions,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(6), pages 1005-1025, September.
- Tim Bollerslev & Andrew J. Patton & Wenjing Wang, 2015. "Daily House Price Indices: Construction, Modeling, and Longer-Run Predictions," CREATES Research Papers 2015-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Tim Bollerslev & Andrew J. Patton & Wang Wenjing, 2013. "Daily House Price Indexes: Construction, Modeling, and Longer-Run Predictions," Working Papers 13-29, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Xin Jin & John M. Maheu, 2014.
"Bayesian Semiparametric Modeling of Realized Covariance Matrices,"
Working Paper series
34_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Jin, Xin & Maheu, John M, 2014. "Bayesian Semiparametric Modeling of Realized Covariance Matrices," MPRA Paper 60102, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jin, Xin & Maheu, John M., 2016. "Bayesian semiparametric modeling of realized covariance matrices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 19-39.
- Kris Boudt & Sébastien Laurent & Asger Lunde & Rogier Quaedvlieg & Orimar Sauri, 2017.
"Positive semidefinite integrated covariance estimation, factorizations and asynchronicity,"
Post-Print
hal-01505775, HAL.
- Boudt, Kris & Laurent, Sébastien & Lunde, Asger & Quaedvlieg, Rogier & Sauri, Orimar, 2017. "Positive semidefinite integrated covariance estimation, factorizations and asynchronicity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 347-367.
- Kris Boudt & Sébastien Laurent & Asger Lunde & Rogier Quaedvlieg, 2014. "Positive Semidefinite Integrated Covariance Estimation, Factorizations and Asynchronicity," CREATES Research Papers 2014-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Yaojie Zhang & Yu Wei & Li Liu, 2019. "Improving forecasting performance of realized covariance with extensions of HAR-RCOV model: statistical significance and economic value," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(9), pages 1425-1438, September.
- Liu, Cheng & Tang, Cheng Yong, 2014. "A quasi-maximum likelihood approach for integrated covariance matrix estimation with high frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 180(2), pages 217-232.
- Christian Brownlees & Eulàlia Nualart & Yucheng Sun, 2018. "Realized networks," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(7), pages 986-1006, November.
- Yongheng Deng & Eric Girardin & Roselyne Joyeux, 2015. "Fundamentals and the Volatility of Real Estate Prices in China: A Sequential Modelling Strategy," Working Papers 222015, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Deng, Yongheng & Girardin, Eric & Joyeux, Roselyne, 2018.
"Fundamentals and the volatility of real estate prices in China: A sequential modelling strategy,"
China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 205-222.
- Yongheng Deng & Eric Girardin & Roselyne Joyeux, 2018. "Fundamentals and the volatility of real estate prices in China: A sequential modelling strategy," Post-Print hal-01996210, HAL.
- Vander Elst, Harry & Veredas, David, 2014.
"Disentangled jump-robust realized covariances and correlations with non-synchronous prices,"
DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS
ws142416, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Harry-Paul Vander Elst & David Veredas, 2014. "Disentangled Jump-Robust Realized Covariances and Correlations with Non-Synchronous Prices," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-35, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Stefano Peluso & Fulvio Corsi & Antonietta Mira, 2015. "A Bayesian High-Frequency Estimator of the Multivariate Covariance of Noisy and Asynchronous Returns," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(3), pages 665-697.
- Shephard, Neil & Xiu, Dacheng, 2017. "Econometric analysis of multivariate realised QML: Estimation of the covariation of equity prices under asynchronous trading," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(1), pages 19-42.
- Carlo Campajola & Fabrizio Lillo & Daniele Tantari, 2019. "Unveiling the relation between herding and liquidity with trader lead-lag networks," Papers 1909.10807, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
- Audrino, Francesco, 2014.
"Forecasting correlations during the late-2000s financial crisis: The short-run component, the long-run component, and structural breaks,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 43-60.
- Audrino, Francesco, 2011. "Forecasting correlations during the late-2000s financial crisis: short-run component, long-run component, and structural breaks," Economics Working Paper Series 1112, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Qu, Hui & Zhang, Yi, 2022. "Asymmetric multivariate HAR models for realized covariance matrix: A study based on volatility timing strategies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
- Joel Hasbrouck, 2021. "Rejoinder on: Price Discovery in High Resolution," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(3), pages 465-471.
- Bahcivan, Hulusi & Karahan, Cenk C., 2022. "High frequency correlation dynamics and day-of-the-week effect: A score-driven approach in an emerging market stock exchange," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Giuseppe Buccheri & Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi & Fabrizio Lillo, 2018. "A Score-Driven Conditional Correlation Model for Noisy and Asynchronous Data: an Application to High-Frequency Covariance Dynamics," Papers 1803.04894, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.
- Danilo Vassallo & Giacomo Bormetti & Fabrizio Lillo, 2019. "A tale of two sentiment scales: Disentangling short-run and long-run components in multivariate sentiment dynamics," Papers 1910.01407, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
- Calypso Herrera & Florian Krach & Anastasis Kratsios & Pierre Ruyssen & Josef Teichmann, 2020. "Denise: Deep Robust Principal Component Analysis for Positive Semidefinite Matrices," Papers 2004.13612, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
- Michael Ho & Jack Xin, 2016. "Sparse Kalman Filtering Approaches to Covariance Estimation from High Frequency Data in the Presence of Jumps," Papers 1602.02185, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2016.
- Ulrich Hounyo, 2014. "Bootstrapping integrated covariance matrix estimators in noisy jump-diffusion models with non-synchronous trading," CREATES Research Papers 2014-35, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Renò, 2010.
"Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting,"
Post-Print
hal-00741630, HAL.
- Corsi, Fulvio & Pirino, Davide & Renò, Roberto, 2010. "Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(2), pages 276-288, December.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Reno', 2010. "Threshold Bipower Variation and the Impact of Jumps on Volatility Forecasting," LEM Papers Series 2010/11, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
Cited by:
- Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "The incremental information content of investor fear gauge for volatility forecasting in the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 370-386.
- Davide Pirino & Roberto Renò, 2010. "Electricity Prices: A Nonparametric Approach," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(02), pages 285-299.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-01442618, HAL.
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019.
"Forecasting Realized Oil-Price Volatility: The Role of Financial Stress and Asymmetric Loss,"
Working Papers
201903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "Forecasting realized oil-price volatility: The role of financial stress and asymmetric loss," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Chao Liang & Yin Liao & Feng Ma & Bo Zhu, 2022. "United States Oil Fund volatility prediction: the roles of leverage effect and jumps," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2239-2262, May.
- Hung Do & Rabindra Nepal & Tooraj Jamasb, 2020.
"Electricity market integration, decarbonisation and security of supply: Dynamic volatility connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain markets,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Do, Hung Xuan & Nepal, Rabindra & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2020. "Electricity market integration, decarbonisation and security of supply: Dynamic volatility connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Do, H. & Nepal, R. & Jamasb, T., 2020. "Electricity Market Integration, Decarbonisation and Security of Supply: Dynamic Volatility Connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain Markets," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2007, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Do, Hung & Nepal, Rabindra & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2020. "Electricity Market Integration, Decarbonisation and Security of Supply: Dynamic Volatility Connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain Markets," Working Papers 3-2020, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
- Hung Do & Rabindra Nepal & Tooraj Jamasb, 2020. "Electricity Market Integration, Decarbonisation and Security of Supply: Dynamic Volatility Connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain Markets," Working Papers EPRG2003, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Okhrin, Ostap, 2012.
"Realized copula,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2012-034, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Fengler, Matthias & Okhrin, Ostap, 2012. "Realized Copula," Economics Working Paper Series 1214, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020.
"Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility and Co-volatility of Crude Oil and Gold Futures: Effects of Leverage, Jumps, Spillovers, and Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201951, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Byun, Suk Joon & Kim, Jun Sik, 2013. "The information content of risk-neutral skewness for volatility forecasting," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 142-161.
- Philippe Mueller & Andrea Vedolin & Hao Zhou, 2019.
"Short-Run Bond Risk Premia,"
Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(03), pages 1-34, September.
- Philippe Mueller & Andrea Vedolin & Hao Zhou, 2011. "Short Run Bond Risk Premia," FMG Discussion Papers dp686, Financial Markets Group.
- Mueller, Philippe & Vedolin, Andrea & Zhou, Hao, 2011. "Short run bond risk premia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119065, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Demirer, Riza & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019.
"Time-varying risk aversion and realized gold volatility,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Realized Gold Volatility," Working Papers 201881, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Zargar, Faisal Nazir & Kumar, Dilip, 2020. "Modeling unbiased extreme value volatility estimator in presence of heterogeneity and jumps: A study with economic significance analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 25-41.
- Cheng, Mingmian & Liao, Yuan & Yang, Xiye, 2023. "Uniform predictive inference for factor models with instrumental and idiosyncratic betas," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Gilder, Dudley & Shackleton, Mark B. & Taylor, Stephen J., 2014. "Cojumps in stock prices: Empirical evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 443-459.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019.
"The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures,"
Working Papers
201925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Asai, M. & Gupta, R. & McAleer, M.J., 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2019-16, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of jumps and leverage in forecasting the co-volatility of oil and gold futures," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-12, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-17, September.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-02505861, HAL.
- Filip Žikeš & Jozef Baruník, 2016.
"Semi-parametric Conditional Quantile Models for Financial Returns and Realized Volatility,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 185-226.
- Žikeš, Filip & Baruník, Jozef, 2014. "Semiparametric Conditional Quantile Models for Financial Returns and Realized Volatility," FinMaP-Working Papers 20, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Filip Zikes & Jozef Barunik, 2013. "Semiparametric Conditional Quantile Models for Financial Returns and Realized Volatility," Papers 1308.4276, arXiv.org.
- Sangwon Suh & Eungyu Yoo & Sun‐Joong Yoon, 2021. "Stock market tail risk, tail risk premia, and return predictability," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(10), pages 1569-1596, October.
- Song, Xinyu & Kim, Donggyu & Yuan, Huiling & Cui, Xiangyu & Lu, Zhiping & Zhou, Yong & Wang, Yazhen, 2021. "Volatility analysis with realized GARCH-Itô models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 393-410.
- Duan, Yinying & Chen, Wang & Zeng, Qing & Liu, Zhicao, 2018. "Leverage effect, economic policy uncertainty and realized volatility with regime switching," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 493(C), pages 148-154.
- Robinson Kruse & Christian Leschinski & Michael Will, 2016.
"Comparing Predictive Accuracy under Long Memory - With an Application to Volatility Forecasting,"
CREATES Research Papers
2016-17, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kruse, Robinson & Leschinski, Christian & Will, Michael, 2016. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy under Long Memory - With an Application to Volatility Forecasting," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-571, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2017.
"The impact of jumps and leverage in forecasting covolatility,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 638-650, October.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2015. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting Co-Volatility," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2015-02, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Asai, M. & McAleer, M.J., 2015. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting Co-Volatility," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2015-06, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2015. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting Co-Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-018/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Almut Veraart, 2011.
"How precise is the finite sample approximation of the asymptotic distribution of realised variation measures in the presence of jumps?,"
AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 95(3), pages 253-291, September.
- Almut E. D. Veraart, 2010. "How precise is the finite sample approximation of the asymptotic distribution of realised variation measures in the presence of jumps?," CREATES Research Papers 2010-65, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Xu, Weiju & Ma, Feng & Chen, Wang & Zhang, Bing, 2019. "Asymmetric volatility spillovers between oil and stock markets: Evidence from China and the United States," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 310-320.
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Okhrin, Ostap, 2016. "Managing risk with a realized copula parameter," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 131-152.
- Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Forecasting the Chinese stock volatility across global stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 466-477.
- Minseog Oh & Donggyu Kim, 2021.
"Effect of the U.S.--China Trade War on Stock Markets: A Financial Contagion Perspective,"
Papers
2111.09655, arXiv.org.
- Minseog Oh & Donggyu Kim, 2024. "Effect of the U.S.–China Trade War on Stock Markets: A Financial Contagion Perspective," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(4), pages 954-1005.
- Gongyue Jiang & Gaoxiu Qiao & Lu Wang & Feng Ma, 2024. "Hybrid forecasting of crude oil volatility index: The cross‐market effects of stock market jumps," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 2378-2398, September.
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Catherine S. Forbes, 2017.
"High-Frequency Jump Tests: Which Test Should We Use?,"
Papers
1708.09520, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
- Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Martin, Gael M. & Forbes, Catherine S., 2020. "High-frequency jump tests: Which test should we use?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 478-487.
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Catherine S. Forbes, 2020. "High-Frequency Jump Tests: Which Test Should We Use?," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Dehua Shen & Andrew Urquhart & Pengfei Wang, 2020. "Forecasting the volatility of Bitcoin: The importance of jumps and structural breaks," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(5), pages 1294-1323, November.
- Özbekler, Ali Gencay & Kontonikas, Alexandros & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2020.
"Volatility Forecasting in European Government Bond Markets,"
Essex Finance Centre Working Papers
27362, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Özbekler, Ali Gencay & Kontonikas, Alexandros & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2021. "Volatility forecasting in European government bond markets," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1691-1709.
- Wen Cheong Chin & Min Cherng Lee, 2018. "S&P500 volatility analysis using high-frequency multipower variation volatility proxies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 1297-1318, May.
- Sévi, Benoît, 2014.
"Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 235(3), pages 643-659.
- Benoît Sévi, 2014. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data," Working Papers 2014-53, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Benoît Sévi, 2014. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data," Post-Print hal-01463921, HAL.
- Cecilia Mancini & Vanessa Mattiussi & Roberto Reno', 2012.
"Spot Volatility Estimation Using Delta Sequences,"
Working Papers - Mathematical Economics
2012-10, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
- Cecilia Mancini & Vanessa Mattiussi & Roberto Renò, 2015. "Spot volatility estimation using delta sequences," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 261-293, April.
- Bouri, Elie & Lei, Xiaojie & Jalkh, Naji & Xu, Yahua & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "Spillovers in higher moments and jumps across US stock and strategic commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Wang, Yajing & Liang, Fang & Wang, Tianyi & Huang, Zhuo, 2020. "Does measurement error matter in volatility forecasting? Empirical evidence from the Chinese stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 148-157.
- Maria Elvira Mancino & Simona Sanfelici, 2011.
"Estimation of Quarticity with High Frequency Data,"
Working Papers - Mathematical Economics
2011-06, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa, revised Jan 2012.
- Maria Elvira Mancino & Simona Sanfelici, 2012. "Estimation of quarticity with high-frequency data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 607-622, December.
- Majewski, A. A. & Bormetti, G. & Corsi, F., 2013. "Smile from the Past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components," Working Papers 13/11, Department of Economics, City University London.
- Xu, Yanyan & Huang, Dengshi & Ma, Feng & Qiao, Gaoxiu, 2019. "Liquidity and realized range-based volatility forecasting: Evidence from China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 1102-1113.
- Li, Xiafei & Liao, Yin & Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng, 2022. "An oil futures volatility forecast perspective on the selection of high-frequency jump tests," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel C.A. & Podolskij, Mark, 2014.
"Fact or friction: Jumps at ultra high frequency,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 576-599.
- Kim Christensen & Roel Oomen & Mark Podolskij, 2011. "Fact or friction: Jumps at ultra high frequency," CREATES Research Papers 2011-19, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Todorov, Viktor & Zhang, Yang, 2023. "Bias reduction in spot volatility estimation from options," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 53-81.
- Wu, Hanlin & Li, Pan & Cao, Jiawei & Xu, Zijian, 2024. "Forecasting the Chinese crude oil futures volatility using jump intensity and Markov-regime switching model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
- Sapkota, Niranjan, 2022. "News-based sentiment and bitcoin volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Tian, Fengping & Yang, Ke & Chen, Langnan, 2017. "Realized volatility forecasting of agricultural commodity futures using the HAR model with time-varying sparsity," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 132-152.
- Aitor Ciarreta & Peru Muniain & Ainhoa Zarraga, 2020. "Realized volatility and jump testing in the Japanese electricity spot market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1143-1166, March.
- Liu, Yi & Liu, Huifang & Zhang, Lei, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting return jumps using realized variation measures," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 63-80.
- Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing & Huang, Dengshi & Chen, Wang, 2017. "Forecasting the oil futures price volatility: A new approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 560-566.
- José E. Figueroa-López & Cheng Li & Jeffrey Nisen, 2020. "Optimal iterative threshold-kernel estimation of jump diffusion processes," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 517-552, October.
- Arouri, Mohamed & M’saddek, Oussama & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Pukthuanthong, Kuntara, 2019.
"Cojumps and asset allocation in international equity markets,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-22.
- Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi & M’saddek, Oussama & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Pukthuanthong, Kuntara, 2017. "Cojumps and Asset Allocation in International Equity Markets," MPRA Paper 89938, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised May 2018.
- Kirill Dragun & Kris Boudt & Orimar Sauri & Steven Vanduffel, 2021. "Beta-Adjusted Covariance Estimation," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 21/1010, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Donghua Wang & Yang Xin & Xiaohui Chang & Xingze Su, 2021. "Realized volatility forecasting and volatility spillovers: Evidence from Chinese non‐ferrous metals futures," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2713-2731, April.
- Kevin Sheppard & Lily Liu & Andrew J. Patton, 2013.
"Does Anything Beat 5-Minute RV? A Comparison of Realized Measures Across Multiple Asset Classes,"
Economics Series Working Papers
645, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Liu, Lily Y. & Patton, Andrew J. & Sheppard, Kevin, 2015. "Does anything beat 5-minute RV? A comparison of realized measures across multiple asset classes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 293-311.
- Daniela Osterrieder & Daniel Ventosa-Santaulària & J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés, 2015. "Unbalanced Regressions and the Predictive Equation," CREATES Research Papers 2015-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Liu, Jing & Wei, Yu & Ma, Feng & Wahab, M.I.M., 2017. "Forecasting the realized range-based volatility using dynamic model averaging approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 12-26.
- Yusui Tang & Feng Ma & Yaojie Zhang & Yu Wei, 2022. "Forecasting the oil price realized volatility: A multivariate heterogeneous autoregressive model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4770-4783, October.
- Maria Elvira Mancino & Simone Scotti & Giacomo Toscano, 2020.
"Is the variance swap rate affine in the spot variance? Evidence from S&P500 data,"
Papers
2004.04015, arXiv.org.
- M.E. Mancino & S. Scotti & G. Toscano, 2020. "Is the Variance Swap Rate Affine in the Spot Variance? Evidence from S&P500 Data," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(4), pages 288-316, July.
- Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Christos Kountzakis & Amaryllis Mavragani, 2020. "Risk Appetite and Jumps in Realized Correlation," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-11, December.
- Dovonon, Prosper & Goncalves, Silvia & Hounyo, Ulrich & Meddahi, Nour, 2017.
"Bootstrapping high-frequency jump tests,"
IDEI Working Papers
870, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
- Dovonon, Prosper & Goncalves, Silvia & Hounyo, Ulrich & Meddahi, Nour, 2017. "Bootstrapping high-frequency jump tests," TSE Working Papers 17-810, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Prosper Dovonon & Silvia Gonçalves & Ulrich Hounyo & Nour Meddahi, 2016. "Bootstrapping high-frequency jump tests," CIRANO Working Papers 2016s-24, CIRANO.
- Prosper Dovonon & Sílvia Gonçalves & Ulrich Hounyo & Nour Meddahi, 2019. "Bootstrapping High-Frequency Jump Tests," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(526), pages 793-803, April.
- Dario Alitab & Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi & Adam A. Majewski, 2019. "A realized volatility approach to option pricing with continuous and jump variance components," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 42(2), pages 639-664, December.
- José E. Figueroa-López & Jeffrey Nisen, 2019. "Second-order properties of thresholded realized power variations of FJA additive processes," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 431-474, October.
- Faria, Gonçalo & Kosowski, Robert & Wang, Tianyu, 2022.
"The Correlation Risk Premium: International Evidence,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Kosowski, Robert & Faria, Gonçalo & Wang, Tianyu, 2021. "The Correlation Risk Premium: International Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 16389, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Yang, Ke & Zhang, Yaojie, 2018. "Forecasting the oil futures price volatility: Large jumps and small jumps," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 321-330.
- Bibinger, Markus & Winkelmann, Lars, 2015. "Econometrics of co-jumps in high-frequency data with noise," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 361-378.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Xu, Lai & Zhou, Hao, 2015.
"Stock return and cash flow predictability: The role of volatility risk,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 458-471.
- Tim Bollerslev & Lai Xu & Hao Zhou, 2012. "Stock Return and Cash Flow Predictability: The Role of Volatility Risk," CREATES Research Papers 2012-51, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Ahadzie, Richard Mawulawoe & Daugaard, Dan & Kangogo, Moses & Khan, Faisal & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2023.
"Covid-19, Mobility Restriction Policies and Stock Market Volatility: A Cross-Country Empirical Study,"
Working Papers
2023-03, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Richard Mawulawoe Ahadzie & Dan Daugaard & Moses Kangogo & Faisal Khan & Joaquin Vespignani, 2024. "COVID‐19, Mobility Restriction Policies and Stock Market Volatility: A Cross‐Country Empirical Study," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 43(2), pages 184-203, June.
- Richard Mawulawoea Ahadzie & Dan Daugaard & Moses Kangogo & Faisal Khan & Joaquin Vespignani, 2023. "COVID-19, Mobility Restriction Policies and Stock Market Volatility: A Cross-Country Empirical Study," CAMA Working Papers 2023-40, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Gkillas, Konstantinos & Boako, Gideon & Vortelinos, Dimitrios & Vasiliadis, Lavrentios, 2020. "Non-parametric quantile dependencies between volatility discontinuities and political risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
- Hu, Junjie & Kuo, Weiyu & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2019.
"Risk of Bitcoin Market: Volatility, Jumps, and Forecasts,"
IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers
2019-024, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
- Junjie Hu & Wolfgang Karl Hardle & Weiyu Kuo, 2019. "Risk of Bitcoin Market: Volatility, Jumps, and Forecasts," Papers 1912.05228, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
- Chorro, Christophe & Ielpo, Florian & Sévi, Benoît, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Ymir Mäkinen & Juho Kanniainen & Moncef Gabbouj & Alexandros Iosifidis, 2019. "Forecasting jump arrivals in stock prices: new attention-based network architecture using limit order book data," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(12), pages 2033-2050, December.
- Liu, Qiang & Liu, Yiqi & Liu, Zhi, 2018. "Estimating spot volatility in the presence of infinite variation jumps," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 128(6), pages 1958-1987.
- F. Lilla, 2017. "High Frequency vs. Daily Resolution: the Economic Value of Forecasting Volatility Models - 2nd ed," Working Papers wp1099, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Qadan, Mahmoud & Idilbi-Bayaa, Yasmeen, 2020. "Risk appetite and oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Liu, Guangqiang & Wang, Yan & Chen, Xiaodan & Zhang, Yifeng & Shang, Yue, 2020. "Forecasting volatility of the Chinese stock markets using TVP HAR-type models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 542(C).
- Ewald, Christian & Hadina, Jelena & Haugom, Erik & Lien, Gudbrand & Størdal, Ståle & Yahya, Muhammad, 2023. "Sample frequency robustness and accuracy in forecasting Value-at-Risk for Brent Crude Oil futures," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
- Besma Hkiri & Juncal Cunado & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2019.
"Time-Varying Relationship between Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies and Risk Aversion: International Evidence from Time- and Frequency-Domains,"
Working Papers
201965, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Besma Hkiri & Juncal Cunado & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Time-varying relationship between conventional and unconventional monetary policies and risk aversion: international evidence from time- and frequency-domains," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2963-2983, December.
- Buncic, Daniel & Gisler, Katja I.M., 2016.
"Global equity market volatility spillovers: A broader role for the United States,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1317-1339.
- Buncic, Daniel & Gisler, Katja I. M., 2015. "Global Equity Market Volatility Spillovers: A Broader Role for the United States," Economics Working Paper Series 1508, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Dimitrios Vortelinos & Christos Floros & Alexandros Garefalakis & Nikolaos Sariannidis, 2020. "Greek sovereign crisis and European exchange rates: effects of news releases and their providers," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 294(1), pages 515-536, November.
- Seul-Ki Park & Ji-Eun Choi & Dong Wan Shin, 2017. "Value at risk forecasting for volatility index," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(21), pages 1613-1620, December.
- Luo, Jiawen & Klein, Tony & Ji, Qiang & Hou, Chenghan, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of agricultural commodity futures with infinite Hidden Markov HAR models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 51-73.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2016. "Incremental information of stock indicators," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 79-97.
- Sensoy, Ahmet & Serdengeçti, Süleyman, 2020. "Impact of portfolio flows and heterogeneous expectations on FX jumps: Evidence from an emerging market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Park, Joon Y. & Wang, Bin, 2021. "Nonparametric estimation of jump diffusion models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 688-715.
- Seo, Sung Won & Kim, Jun Sik, 2015. "The information content of option-implied information for volatility forecasting with investor sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 106-120.
- Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2018. "Structural breaks and volatility forecasting in the copper futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 290-339, March.
- Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Kliber, Agata, 2021. "Information content of liquidity and volatility measures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 563(C).
- Andersen, Torben G. & Dobrev, Dobrislav & Schaumburg, Ernst, 2012.
"Jump-robust volatility estimation using nearest neighbor truncation,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 75-93.
- Torben G. Andersen & Dobrislav Dobrev & Ernst Schaumburg, 2009. "Jump-Robust Volatility Estimation using Nearest Neighbor Truncation," CREATES Research Papers 2009-52, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Torben G. Andersen & Dobrislav Dobrev & Ernst Schaumburg, 2010. "Jump-robust volatility estimation using nearest neighbor truncation," Staff Reports 465, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Torben G. Andersen & Dobrislav Dobrev & Ernst Schaumburg, 2009. "Jump-Robust Volatility Estimation using Nearest Neighbor Truncation," NBER Working Papers 15533, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Clements, Adam & Liao, Yin, 2017. "Forecasting the variance of stock index returns using jumps and cojumps," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 729-742.
- Anupam Dutta & Kakali Kanjilal & Sajal Ghosh & Donghyun Park & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2023. "Impact of crude oil volatility jumps on sustainable investments: Evidence from India," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(10), pages 1450-1468, October.
- Philippe Mueller & Andrea Vedolin & Yu-min Yen, 2012.
"Bond Variance Risk Premia,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp699, Financial Markets Group.
- Mueller, Philippe & Vedolin, Andrea & Yen, Yu-Min, 2012. "Bond variance risk premia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119053, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Buncic, Daniel & Stern, Cord, 2019.
"Forecast ranked tailored equity portfolios,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Buncic, Daniel & Stern, Cord, 2018. "Forecast ranked tailored equity portfolios," MPRA Paper 90382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Zhang, Yaojie & Wei, Yu & Zhang, Yi & Jin, Daxiang, 2019. "Forecasting oil price volatility: Forecast combination versus shrinkage method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 423-433.
- Tang, Yusui & Ma, Feng, 2023. "The volatility of natural resources implications for sustainable development: Crude oil volatility prediction based on the multivariate structural regime switching," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Jérôme Lahaye & Christopher Neely, 2020.
"The Role of Jumps in Volatility Spillovers in Foreign Exchange Markets: Meteor Shower and Heat Waves Revisited,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 410-427, April.
- Jerome Lahaye & Christopher J. Neely, 2014. "The role of jumps in volatility spillovers in foreign exchange markets: meteor shower and heat waves revisited," Working Papers 2014-034, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Tim Bollerslev & Jia Li & Andrew J. Patton & Rogier Quaedvlieg, 2020. "Realized Semicovariances," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(4), pages 1515-1551, July.
- Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022.
"Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
- Jiawen Luo & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Forecasting Oil and Gold Volatilities with Sentiment Indicators Under Structural Breaks," Working Papers 202130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Maki, Daiki & Ota, Yasushi, 2021. "Impacts of asymmetry on forecasting realized volatility in Japanese stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
- Audrino, Francesco & Hu, Yujia, 2011.
"Volatility Forecasting: Downside Risk, Jumps and Leverage Effect,"
Economics Working Paper Series
1138, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Francesco Audrino & Yujia Hu, 2016. "Volatility Forecasting: Downside Risk, Jumps and Leverage Effect," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-24, February.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Francesco Poli, 2017. "Building News Measures from Textual Data and an Application to Volatility Forecasting," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-46, August.
- Mazzarisi, Piero & Zaoli, Silvia & Campajola, Carlo & Lillo, Fabrizio, 2020. "Tail Granger causalities and where to find them: Extreme risk spillovers vs spurious linkages," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
- Milan Ficura & Jiri Witzany, 2016. "Estimating Stochastic Volatility and Jumps Using High-Frequency Data and Bayesian Methods," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(4), pages 278-301, August.
- Yaojie Zhang & Mengxi He & Danyan Wen & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting Bitcoin volatility: A new insight from the threshold regression model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 633-652, April.
- Giacomo Toscano & Maria Cristina Recchioni, 2020. "Bias optimal vol-of-vol estimation: the role of window overlapping," Papers 2004.04013, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
- Yao, Xingzhi & Izzeldin, Marwan & Li, Zhenxiong, 2019. "A novel cluster HAR-type model for forecasting realized volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1318-1331.
- Gkillas Konstantinos & Gupta Rangan & Vortelinos Dimitrios I., 2023. "Uncertainty and realized jumps in the pound-dollar exchange rate: evidence from over one century of data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(1), pages 25-47, February.
- Wilms, Ines & Rombouts, Jeroen & Croux, Christophe, 2021. "Multivariate volatility forecasts for stock market indices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 484-499.
- Feng Ma & M. I. M. Wahab & Julien Chevallier & Ziyang Li, 2023. "A tug of war of forecasting the US stock market volatility: Oil futures overnight versus intraday information," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 60-75, January.
- Hui Qu & Ping Ji, 2016. "Modeling Realized Volatility Dynamics with a Genetic Algorithm," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(5), pages 434-444, August.
- Liu, Jing & Chen, Zhonglu, 2023. "How do stock prices respond to the leading economic indicators? Analysis of large and small shocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2018.
"Volatility jumps: The role of geopolitical risks,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 247-258.
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Volatility Jumps: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201805, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M Martin & Catherine S Forbes, 2018. "Dynamic price jumps: The performance of high frequency tests and measures, and the robustness of inference," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 17/18, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Fei, Tianlun & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2021. "Herding and market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Simon Clinet & Yoann Potiron, 2017.
"Estimation for high-frequency data under parametric market microstructure noise,"
Papers
1712.01479, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
- Simon Clinet & Yoann Potiron, 2021. "Estimation for high-frequency data under parametric market microstructure noise," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 73(4), pages 649-669, August.
- Tao, Qizhi & Wei, Yu & Liu, Jiapeng & Zhang, Ting, 2018. "Modeling and forecasting multifractal volatility established upon the heterogeneous market hypothesis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 143-153.
- Jiqian Wang & Feng Ma & Chao Liang & Zhonglu Chen, 2022. "Volatility forecasting revisited using Markov‐switching with time‐varying probability transition," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1387-1400, January.
- Ma, Feng & Li, Yu & Liu, Li & Zhang, Yaojie, 2018. "Are low-frequency data really uninformative? A forecasting combination perspective," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 92-108.
- Feng Ma & Chao Liang & Yuanhui Ma & M.I.M. Wahab, 2020. "Cryptocurrency volatility forecasting: A Markov regime‐switching MIDAS approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(8), pages 1277-1290, December.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017.
"The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns,"
Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne
17006, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01442618, HAL.
- Aganin, Artem, 2017. "Forecast comparison of volatility models on Russian stock market," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 48, pages 63-84.
- Ana-Maria Dumitru & Giovanni Urga, 2011. "Identifying Jumps in Financial Assets: A Comparison Between Nonparametric Jump Tests," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(2), pages 242-255, October.
- Haugom, Erik & Ullrich, Carl J., 2012. "Forecasting spot price volatility using the short-term forward curve," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1826-1833.
- Ao Kong & Hongliang Zhu & Robert Azencott, 2021. "Predicting intraday jumps in stock prices using liquidity measures and technical indicators," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 416-438, April.
- Fulvio Corsi & Roberto Renò, 2012. "Discrete-Time Volatility Forecasting With Persistent Leverage Effect and the Link With Continuous-Time Volatility Modeling," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 368-380, January.
- Giacomo Bormetti & Lucio Maria Calcagnile & Michele Treccani & Fulvio Corsi & Stefano Marmi & Fabrizio Lillo, 2015. "Modelling systemic price cojumps with Hawkes factor models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(7), pages 1137-1156, July.
- Zhang, Yaojie & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Liang, Chao, 2023. "Global economic policy uncertainty aligned: An informative predictor for crude oil market volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1318-1332.
- Hoerova, Marie & Bekaert, Geert, 2014.
"The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility,"
Working Paper Series
1675, European Central Bank.
- Bekaert, Geert & Hoerova, Marie, 2014. "The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 183(2), pages 181-192.
- Geert Bekaert & Marie Hoerova, 2013. "The VIX, the Variance Premium and Stock Market Volatility," NBER Working Papers 18995, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bu, Ruijun & Hizmeri, Rodrigo & Izzeldin, Marwan & Murphy, Anthony & Tsionas, Mike, 2023.
"The contribution of jump signs and activity to forecasting stock price volatility,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 144-164.
- , 2019. "The Contribution of Jump Signs and Activity to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility," Working Papers 1902, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 17 Dec 2022.
- Ruijun Bu & Rodrigo Hizmeri & Marwan Izzeldin & Anthony Murphy & Mike G. Tsionas, 2021. "The Contribution of Jump Signs and Activity to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility," Working Papers 202109, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I. & Saha, Shrabani, 2016. "The impact of political risk on return, volatility and discontinuity: Evidence from the international stock and foreign exchange markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 222-226.
- Kaminska, Iryna & Roberts-Sklar, Matt, 2017.
"Volatility in equity markets and monetary policy rate uncertainty,"
Bank of England working papers
700, Bank of England.
- Kaminska, Iryna & Roberts-Sklar, Matt, 2018. "Volatility in equity markets and monetary policy rate uncertainty," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 68-83.
- Donggyu Kim & Minseok Shin, 2023. "Volatility models for stylized facts of high‐frequency financial data," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(3), pages 262-279, May.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Poli, Francesco, 2022. "News and intraday jumps: Evidence from regularization and class imbalance," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Tianlun Fei & Xiaoquan Liu & Conghua Wen, 2023. "Forecasting stock return volatility: Realized volatility‐type or duration‐based estimators," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1594-1621, November.
- John, Kose & Li, Jingrui, 2021. "COVID-19, volatility dynamics, and sentiment trading," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- Nolte, Ingmar & Xu, Qi, 2015. "The economic value of volatility timing with realized jumps," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 45-59.
- Apostolos Kourtis & Raphael N. Markellos & Lazaros Symeonidis, 2016. "An International Comparison of Implied, Realized, and GARCH Volatility Forecasts," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(12), pages 1164-1193, December.
- Jan Hanousek & Jan Novotný, 2014. "Cenové skoky během finanční nejistoty: od intuice k regulační perspektivě [Price Jumps during Financial Crisis: From Intuition to Financial Regulation]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(1), pages 32-48.
- Kim Christensen & Mark Podolskij & Nopporn Thamrongrat & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2015.
"Inference from high-frequency data: A subsampling approach,"
CREATES Research Papers
2015-45, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Christensen, K. & Podolskij, M. & Thamrongrat, N. & Veliyev, B., 2017. "Inference from high-frequency data: A subsampling approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(2), pages 245-272.
- Majewski, Adam A. & Bormetti, Giacomo & Corsi, Fulvio, 2015. "Smile from the past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 521-531.
- Zhang, Yaojie & Ma, Feng & Liao, Yin, 2020. "Forecasting global equity market volatilities," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1454-1475.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Kolokolov, Aleksey & Renò, Roberto, 2014.
"Multi-jumps,"
MPRA Paper
58175, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Aleksey Kolokolov & Roberto RenoÕ, 2014. "Multi-jumps," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0185, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Hui Chen & Scott Joslin & Sophie X. Ni, 2019. "Demand for Crash Insurance, Intermediary Constraints, and Risk Premia in Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 25573, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ao Kong & Robert Azencott & Hongliang Zhu & Xindan Li, 2020. "Pattern recognition in micro-trading behaviors before stock price jumps: A framework based on multivariate time series analysis," Papers 2011.04939, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Muhammad Tahir Suleman, 2020.
"Jumps beyond the realms of cricket: India's performance in One Day Internationals and stock market movements,"
Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(6), pages 1109-1127, April.
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Tahir Suleman, 2018. "Jumps Beyond the Realms of Cricket: India’s Performance in One Day Internationals and Stock Market Movements," Working Papers 201871, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Andrew J. Patton & Kevin Sheppard, 2015. "Good Volatility, Bad Volatility: Signed Jumps and The Persistence of Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(3), pages 683-697, July.
- Weijia Peng & Chun Yao, 2022. "Co-Jumps, Co-Jump Tests, and Volatility Forecasting: Monte Carlo and Empirical Evidence," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-21, July.
- Zhang, Yaojie & Lei, Likun & Wei, Yu, 2020. "Forecasting the Chinese stock market volatility with international market volatilities: The role of regime switching," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Giacomo Bormetti & Lucio Maria Calcagnile & Michele Treccani & Fulvio Corsi & Stefano Marmi & Fabrizio Lillo, 2013. "Modelling systemic price cojumps with Hawkes factor models," Papers 1301.6141, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2013.
- Jin, Daxiang & He, Mengxi & Xing, Lu & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Forecasting China's crude oil futures volatility: How to dig out the information of other energy futures volatilities?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Cheng, Mingmian & Swanson, Norman R. & Yang, Xiye, 2021. "Forecasting volatility using double shrinkage methods," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 46-61.
- Zhang, Zhikai & He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie & Wang, Yudong, 2021. "Realized skewness and the short-term predictability for aggregate stock market volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
- Andersen, Torben G. & Li, Yingying & Todorov, Viktor & Zhou, Bo, 2023. "Volatility measurement with pockets of extreme return persistence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Song, Yuping & Huang, Jiefei & Zhang, Qichao & Xu, Yang, 2024. "Heterogeneity effect of positive and negative jumps on the realized volatility: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2015. "Out-of-sample evaluation of macro announcements, linearity, long memory, heterogeneity and jumps in mini-futures markets," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 58-67.
- Kaminska, Iryna & Roberts-Sklar, Matt, 2015. "A global factor in variance risk premia and local bond pricing," Bank of England working papers 576, Bank of England.
- Zongwu Cai & Chaoqun Ma & Xianhua Mi, 2020. "Realized Volatility Forecasting Based on Dynamic Quantile Model Averaging," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202016, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2020.
- Yuan, Ying & Zhang, Tonghui, 2020. "Forecasting stock market in high and low volatility periods: a modified multifractal volatility approach," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
- Liang, Chao & Tang, Linchun & Li, Yan & Wei, Yu, 2020. "Which sentiment index is more informative to forecast stock market volatility? Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Nekhili, Ramzi & Bouri, Elie, 2023. "Higher-order moments and co-moments' contribution to spillover analysis and portfolio risk management," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
- Kim Christensen & Ulrich Hounyo & Mark Podolskij, 2016. "Testing for heteroscedasticity in jumpy and noisy high-frequency data: A resampling approach," CREATES Research Papers 2016-27, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Cacho-Diaz, Julio & Laeven, Roger J.A., 2015.
"Modeling financial contagion using mutually exciting jump processes,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 585-606.
- Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Julio Cacho-Diaz & Roger J.A. Laeven, 2010. "Modeling Financial Contagion Using Mutually Exciting Jump Processes," NBER Working Papers 15850, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Anupam Dutta & Debojyoti Das, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility: New evidence from time‐varying jumps in VIX," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(12), pages 2165-2189, December.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-02505861, HAL.
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Mammen, Enno & Vogt, Michael, 2013. "Additive modeling of realized variance: tests for parametric specifications and structural breaks," Economics Working Paper Series 1332, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Ding, Shusheng & Cui, Tianxiang & Zhang, Yongmin, 2022. "Futures volatility forecasting based on big data analytics with incorporating an order imbalance effect," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Donggyu Kim & Minseok Shin & Yazhen Wang, 2023.
"Overnight GARCH-Itô Volatility Models,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1215-1227, October.
- Donggyu Kim & Minseok Shin & Yazhen Wang, 2021. "Overnight GARCH-It\^o Volatility Models," Papers 2102.13467, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
- Hui Qu & Tianyang Wang & Peng Shangguan & Mengying He, 2024. "Revisiting the puzzle of jumps in volatility forecasting: The new insights of high‐frequency jump intensity," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 218-251, February.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Kolokolov, Alexey & Renò, Roberto, 2016.
"Systemic co-jumps,"
SAFE Working Paper Series
149, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Kolokolov, Aleksey & Renò, Roberto, 2017. "Systemic co-jumps," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(3), pages 563-591.
- Xiafei Li & Dongxin Li & Xuhui Zhang & Guiwu Wei & Lan Bai & Yu Wei, 2021. "Forecasting regular and extreme gold price volatility: The roles of asymmetry, extreme event, and jump," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1501-1523, December.
- Shin, Minseok & Kim, Donggyu & Fan, Jianqing, 2023. "Adaptive robust large volatility matrix estimation based on high-frequency financial data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(1).
- Corsi, Fulvio & Fusari, Nicola & La Vecchia, Davide, 2013. "Realizing smiles: Options pricing with realized volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(2), pages 284-304.
- Kim Christensen & Ulrich Hounyo & Mark Podolskij, 2017. "Is the diurnal pattern sufficient to explain the intraday variation in volatility? A nonparametric assessment," CREATES Research Papers 2017-30, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Dimitrios I. Vortelinos, 2015. "Out‐of‐sample evaluation of macro announcements, linearity, long memory, heterogeneity and jumps in mini‐futures markets," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 27(1), pages 58-67, November.
- Yi, Yongsheng & He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Out-of-sample prediction of Bitcoin realized volatility: Do other cryptocurrencies help?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Figueroa-López, José E. & Mancini, Cecilia, 2019. "Optimum thresholding using mean and conditional mean squared error," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 179-210.
- Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Feng Ma & Yu Wei, 2022. "To jump or not to jump: momentum of jumps in crude oil price volatility prediction," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-31, December.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Rossi, Eduardo & Santucci de Magistris, Paolo, 2017. "Chasing volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 198(1), pages 122-145.
- Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019.
"Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets,"
Working Papers
201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Bonato, Matteo & Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Wang, Shixuan, 2020. "Moments-based spillovers across gold and oil markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- Hacène Djellout & Hui Jiang, 2018. "Large Deviations Of The Threshold Estimator Of Integrated (Co-)Volatility Vector In The Presence Of Jumps," Post-Print hal-01147189, HAL.
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & David Roubaud, 2020.
"Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin,"
Working Papers
202068, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gkillas, Konstantinos & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2022. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 398-406.
- Bissoondoyal-Bheenick, Emawtee & Brooks, Robert & Do, Hung Xuan & Smyth, Russell, 2020. "Exploiting the heteroskedasticity in measurement error to improve volatility predictions in oil and biofuel feedstock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Qian, Lihua & Zeng, Qing & Li, Tao, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and oil price volatility: Evidence from Markov-switching model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 29-38.
- Chao Liang & Yan Li & Feng Ma & Yaojie Zhang, 2022. "Forecasting international equity market volatility: A new approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1433-1457, November.
- Zhang, Chuanhai & Ma, Huan & Liao, Xiaosai, 2023. "Futures trading activity and the jump risk of spot market: Evidence from the bitcoin market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2020.
"Oil shocks and volatility jumps,"
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 247-272, January.
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Oil Shocks and Volatility Jumps," Working Papers 201825, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Qianjie Geng & Xianfeng Hao & Yudong Wang, 2024. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures: A time‐dependent weighted least squares with regularization constraint," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 309-325, March.
- Gnabo, Jean-Yves & Hvozdyk, Lyudmyla & Lahaye, Jérôme, 2014. "System-wide tail comovements: A bootstrap test for cojump identification on the S&P 500, US bonds and currencies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(PA), pages 147-174.
- Jos'e E. Figueroa-L'opez & Cheng Li & Jeffrey Nisen, 2018. "Optimal Iterative Threshold-Kernel Estimation of Jump Diffusion Processes," Papers 1811.07499, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
- Li, Zhao-Chen & Xie, Chi & Zeng, Zhi-Jian & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhang, Ting, 2023. "Forecasting global stock market volatilities in an uncertain world," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Becker, Janis & Leschinski, Christian, 2018. "The Bias of Realized Volatility," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-642, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Wang Pu & Yixiang Chen & Feng Ma, 2016. "Forecasting the realized volatility in the Chinese stock market: further evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(33), pages 3116-3130, July.
- Lehrer, Steven & Xie, Tian & Zhang, Xinyu, 2021. "Social media sentiment, model uncertainty, and volatility forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Frowin Schulz & Karl Mosler, 2011. "The effect of infrequent trading on detecting price jumps," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 95(1), pages 27-58, March.
- Milan Fičura, 2019. "Profitability of Trading in the Direction of Asset Price Jumps - Analysis of Multiple Assets and Frequencies," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(4), pages 385-401.
- Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Muhammad Shahbaz & Muhammad Ali Nasir & Subhan Ullah, 2022. "Financial modelling, risk management of energy instruments and the role of cryptocurrencies," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 47-75, June.
- Li, Yingying & Liu, Guangying & Zhang, Zhiyuan, 2022. "Volatility of volatility: Estimation and tests based on noisy high frequency data with jumps," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(2), pages 422-451.
- Bee, Marco & Dupuis, Debbie J. & Trapin, Luca, 2016. "Realizing the extremes: Estimation of tail-risk measures from a high-frequency perspective," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 86-99.
- Semeyutin, Artur & Downing, Gareth, 2022. "Co-jumps in the U.S. interest rates and precious metals markets and their implications for investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
- Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Feng Ma, 2021. "Forecasting US stock market volatility: How to use international volatility information," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 733-768, August.
- F. Lilla, 2016. "High Frequency vs. Daily Resolution: the Economic Value of Forecasting Volatility Models," Working Papers wp1084, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Petar Sabtchevsky & Paul Whelan & Andrea Vedolin & Philippe Mueller, 2017. "Variance Risk Premia on Stocks and Bonds," 2017 Meeting Papers 1161, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Bandi, F.M. & Renò, R., 2016. "Price and volatility co-jumps," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 107-146.
- Figueroa-López, José E. & Nisen, Jeffrey, 2013. "Optimally thresholded realized power variations for Lévy jump diffusion models," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 123(7), pages 2648-2677.
- Aitor Ciarreta & Peru Muniainy & Ainhoa Zarraga, 2017. "Modelling Realized Volatility in Electricity Spot Prices: New insights and Application to the Japanese Electricity Market," ISER Discussion Paper 0991, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
- Oliva, I. & Renò, R., 2018. "Optimal portfolio allocation with volatility and co-jump risk that Markowitz would like," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 242-256.
- Palandri, Alessandro, 2015. "Do negative and positive equity returns share the same volatility dynamics?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 486-505.
- Ao Kong & Hongliang Zhu & Robert Azencott, 2019. "Predicting intraday jumps in stock prices using liquidity measures and technical indicators," Papers 1912.07165, arXiv.org.
- Adam Aleksander Majewski & Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi, 2014. "Smile from the Past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components," Papers 1404.3555, arXiv.org.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Plíhal, Tomáš & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "FX market volatility modelling: Can we use low-frequency data?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
- Benoît Sévi & César Baena, 2013.
"The explanatory power of signed jumps for the risk-return tradeoff,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(2), pages 1029-1046.
- Benoît Sévi & César Baena, 2013. "The explanatory power of signed jumps for the risk-return tradeoff," Post-Print hal-01500858, HAL.
- Omura, Akihiro & Li, Bin & Chung, Richard & Todorova, Neda, 2018. "Convenience yield, realised volatility and jumps: Evidence from non-ferrous metals," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 496-510.
- Kim, Jihyun & Park, Joon & Wang, Bin, 2020. "Estimation of Volatility Functions in Jump Diffusions Using Truncated Bipower Increments," TSE Working Papers 20-1096, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Wei Zhang & Kai Yan & Dehua Shen, 2021. "Can the Baidu Index predict realized volatility in the Chinese stock market?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-31, December.
- Gongyue Jiang & Gaoxiu Qiao & Feng Ma & Lu Wang, 2022. "Directly pricing VIX futures with observable dynamic jumps based on high‐frequency VIX," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 1518-1548, August.
- Corradi, Valentina & Silvapulle, Mervyn J. & Swanson, Norman R., 2018. "Testing for jumps and jump intensity path dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(2), pages 248-267.
- Adam E Clements & Yin Liao, 2013. "Modeling and forecasting realized volatility: getting the most out of the jump component," NCER Working Paper Series 93, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Piero Mazzarisi & Silvia Zaoli & Carlo Campajola & Fabrizio Lillo, 2020. "Tail Granger causalities and where to find them: extreme risk spillovers vs. spurious linkages," Papers 2005.01160, arXiv.org, revised May 2021.
- Yang, Ke & Tian, Fengping & Chen, Langnan & Li, Steven, 2017. "Realized volatility forecast of agricultural futures using the HAR models with bagging and combination approaches," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 276-291.
- K. Victor Chow & Wanjun Jiang & Bingxin Li & Jingrui Li, 2020. "Decomposing the VIX: Implications for the predictability of stock returns," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 645-668, November.
- Kwok, Simon, 2020. "Nonparametric Inference of Jump Autocorrelation," Working Papers 2020-09, University of Sydney, School of Economics, revised Jan 2021.
- Mingmian Cheng & Norman R. Swanson, 2019. "Fixed and Long Time Span Jump Tests: New Monte Carlo and Empirical Evidence," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-32, March.
- Giacomo Toscano & Maria Cristina Recchioni, 2022. "Bias-optimal vol-of-vol estimation: the role of window overlapping," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 45(1), pages 137-185, June.
- Chen, Zhonglu & Zhang, Li & Weng, Chen, 2023. "Does climate policy uncertainty affect Chinese stock market volatility?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 369-381.
- Ji‐Eun Choi & Dong Wan Shin, 2018. "Forecasts for leverage heterogeneous autoregressive models with jumps and other covariates," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 691-704, September.
- Ma, Feng & Wahab, M.I.M. & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Forecasting the U.S. stock volatility: An aligned jump index from G7 stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 132-146.
- Ping, Yuan & Li, Rui, 2018. "Forecasting realized volatility based on the truncated two-scales realized volatility estimator (TTSRV): Evidence from China's stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 222-229.
- Yudong Wang & Zhiyuan Pan & Chongfeng Wu, 2017. "Time‐Varying Parameter Realized Volatility Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 566-580, August.
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Paraskevi Katsiampa & Dimitrios I. Vortelinos & Mark E. Wohar, 2023. "Greek government‐debt crisis events and European financial markets: News surprises on Greek bond yields and inter‐relations of European financial markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4037-4054, October.
- Qiao, Gaoxiu & Ma, Xuekun & Jiang, Gongyue & Wang, Lu, 2024. "Crude oil volatility index forecasting: New evidence based on positive and negative jumps from Chinese stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 415-437.
- Zargar, Faisal Nazir & Kumar, Dilip, 2020. "Heterogeneous market hypothesis approach for modeling unbiased extreme value volatility estimator in presence of leverage effect: An individual stock level study with economic significance analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 271-285.
- Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2021. "Revisiting the Kuznets Curve Hypothesis for Tunisia: Carbon Dioxide vs. Ecological Footprint," Working Papers 202171, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Hassan Zada & Huma Maqsood & Shakeel Ahmed & Muhammad Zeb Khan, 2023. "Information shocks, market returns and volatility: a comparative analysis of developed equity markets in Asia," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-22, January.
- Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin, 2016. "The Determinants of Equity Risk and Their Forecasting Implications: A Quantile Regression Perspective," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-25, July.
- Feng Ma & Yu Wei & Wang Chen & Feng He, 2018. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using high-frequency data: further evidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 653-678, September.
- Maria Čuljak & Josip Arnerić & Ante Žigman, 2022. "Is Jump Robust Two Times Scaled Estimator Superior among Realized Volatility Competitors?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-11, June.
- Gajurel, Dinesh & Chowdhury, Biplob, 2020. "Realized volatility, jump and beta: evidence from Canadian stock market," Working Papers 2020-11, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Holger Dette & Vasyl Golosnoy & Janosch Kellermann, 2023. "The effect of intraday periodicity on realized volatility measures," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 86(3), pages 315-342, April.
- Waqas Hanif & Hee-Un Ko & Linh Pham & Sang Hoon Kang, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness and network in the high moments of cryptocurrency, stock, and commodity markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-40, December.
- Huang, Chuangxia & Zhao, Xian & Deng, Yunke & Yang, Xiaoguang & Yang, Xin, 2022. "Evaluating influential nodes for the Chinese energy stocks based on jump volatility spillover network," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 81-94.
- Xin Yang & Shan Chen & Hong Liu & Xiaoguang Yang & Chuangxia Huang, 2023. "Jump volatility spillover network based measurement of systemic importance of Chinese financial institutions," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1201-1213, April.
- Zhang, Yaojie & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu, 2019. "Out-of-sample prediction of the oil futures market volatility: A comparison of new and traditional combination approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1109-1120.
- Nunes, João Pedro Vidal & Ruas, João Pedro, 2024. "A note on the Gumbel convergence for the Lee and Mykland jump tests," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Chen, Wang & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Liu, Jing, 2020. "Forecasting oil price volatility using high-frequency data: New evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 1-12.
- Jian Zhou, 2017. "Forecasting REIT volatility with high-frequency data: a comparison of alternative methods," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(26), pages 2590-2605, June.
- Hassan Zada & Arshad Hassan & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "Do Jumps Matter in Both Equity Market Returns and Integrated Volatility: A Comparison of Asian Developed and Emerging Markets," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-26, June.
- Giuseppe Buccheri & Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi & Fabrizio Lillo, 2018. "A Score-Driven Conditional Correlation Model for Noisy and Asynchronous Data: an Application to High-Frequency Covariance Dynamics," Papers 1803.04894, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.
- Zhang, Chuanhai & Liu, Zhi & Liu, Qiang, 2021. "Jumps at ultra-high frequency: Evidence from the Chinese stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Volk-Makarewicz, Warren & Borovkova, Svetlana & Heidergott, Bernd, 2022. "Assessing the impact of jumps in an option pricing model: A gradient estimation approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(2), pages 740-751.
- Liang, Chao & Li, Yan & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu, 2021. "Global equity market volatilities forecasting: A comparison of leverage effects, jumps, and overnight information," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Dumitru, Ana-Maria & Hizmeri, Rodrigo & Izzeldin, Marwan, 2019. "Forecasting the Realized Variance in the Presence of Intraday Periodicity," EconStor Preprints 193631, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Josip Arneriæ & Mario Matkoviæ, 2019. "Challenges of integrated variance estimation in emerging stock markets," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 37(2), pages 713-739.
- Atak, Alev & Kapetanios, George, 2013. "A factor approach to realized volatility forecasting in the presence of finite jumps and cross-sectional correlation in pricing errors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 224-228.
- B. Cooper Boniece & Jos'e E. Figueroa-L'opez & Yuchen Han, 2023. "Data-driven fixed-point tuning for truncated realized variations," Papers 2311.00905, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
- Xinjie Lu & Feng Ma & Jiqian Wang & Jing Liu, 2022. "Forecasting oil futures realized range‐based volatility with jumps, leverage effect, and regime switching: New evidence from MIDAS models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 853-868, July.
- Saranya, K. & Prasanna, P. Krishna, 2018. "Estimating stochastic volatility with jumps and asymmetry in Asian markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 145-153.
- Dinesh Gajurel & Biplob Chowdhury, 2021. "Realized Volatility, Jump and Beta: evidence from Canadian Stock Market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(55), pages 6376-6397, November.
- Yuqing Feng & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang, 2024. "Out‐of‐sample volatility prediction: Rolling window, expanding window, or both?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 567-582, April.
- Chao Liang & Yu Wei & Likun Lei & Feng Ma, 2022. "Global equity market volatility forecasting: New evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 594-609, January.
- Flavia Barsotti & Simona Sanfelici, 2016. "Market Microstructure Effects on Firm Default Risk Evaluation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(3), pages 1-31, July.
- Francesca Lilla, 2021. "Volatility Bursts: A discrete-time option model with multiple volatility components," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1336, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Bandi, Federico M. & Renò, Roberto, 2012. "Time-varying leverage effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 94-113.
- Juho Kanniainen & Ye Yue, 2019. "The Arrival of News and Return Jumps in Stock Markets: A Nonparametric Approach," Papers 1901.02691, arXiv.org.
- Watanabe, Toshiaki & Nakajima, Jouchi, 2023. "High-frequency realized stochastic volatility model," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-127, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- Yan, Han & Liu, Bin & Zhu, Xingting & Wu, Yan, 2024. "Systemic risk monitoring model from the perspective of public information arrival," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Byounghyun Jeon & Sung Won Seo & Jun Sik Kim, 2020. "Uncertainty and the volatility forecasting power of option‐implied volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1109-1126, July.
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Catherine S. Forbes, 2017. "Dynamic asset price jumps and the performance of high frequency tests and measures," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/17, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Daiki Maki & Yasushi Ota, 2020. "The impacts of asymmetry on modeling and forecasting realized volatility in Japanese stock markets," Papers 2006.00158, arXiv.org.
- Audrino, Francesco & Sigrist, Fabio & Ballinari, Daniele, 2020. "The impact of sentiment and attention measures on stock market volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 334-357.
- Lu, Botao & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian & Ding, Hui & Wahab, M.I.M., 2021. "Harnessing the decomposed realized measures for volatility forecasting: Evidence from the US stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 672-689.
- Ma, Feng & Wahab, M.I.M. & Huang, Dengshi & Xu, Weiju, 2017. "Forecasting the realized volatility of the oil futures market: A regime switching approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 136-145.
- Zhang, Yi & Zhou, Long & Chen, Yajiao & Liu, Fang, 2022. "The contagion effect of jump risk across Asian stock markets during the Covid-19 pandemic," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
- Donggyu Kim & Minseog Oh, 2024.
"Dynamic Realized Minimum Variance Portfolio Models,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(4), pages 1238-1249, October.
- Donggyu Kim & Minseog Oh, 2023. "Dynamic Realized Minimum Variance Portfolio Models," Papers 2310.13511, arXiv.org.
- Wang, Jiqian & Huang, Yisu & Ma, Feng & Chevallier, Julien, 2020. "Does high-frequency crude oil futures data contain useful information for predicting volatility in the US stock market? New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Danyan Wen & Mengxi He & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of Chinese stock market: A simple but efficient truncated approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 230-251, March.
- Lu Wang & Shan Li & Chao Liang, 2024. "Exploring the impact of oil security attention on oil volatility: A new perspective," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 61-80, April.
- Nekhili, Ramzi & Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2024. "Dynamic spillover and connectedness in higher moments of European stock sector markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Lucio Maria Calcagnile & Giacomo Bormetti & Michele Treccani & Stefano Marmi & Fabrizio Lillo, 2015. "Collective synchronization and high frequency systemic instabilities in financial markets," Papers 1505.00704, arXiv.org.
- Wang, Yudong & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng, 2016. "Forecasting realized volatility in a changing world: A dynamic model averaging approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 136-149.
- Chen, Yixiang & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Good, bad cojumps and volatility forecasting: New evidence from crude oil and the U.S. stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 52-62.
- Fulvio CORSI & Nicola FUSARI & Davide LA VECCHIA, 2010.
"Realizing Smiles: Pricing Options with Realized Volatility,"
Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series
10-05, Swiss Finance Institute, revised Jan 2010.
Cited by:
- Yow-Jen Jou & Chih-Wei Wang & Wan-Chien Chiu, 2013. "Is the realized volatility good for option pricing during the recent financial crisis?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 171-188, January.
- Fulvio Corsi & Roberto Renò, 2012. "Discrete-Time Volatility Forecasting With Persistent Leverage Effect and the Link With Continuous-Time Volatility Modeling," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 368-380, January.
- Alexander Saichev & Didier Sornette & Vladimir Filimonov & Fulvio Corsi, 2009.
"Homogeneous Volatility Bridge Estimators,"
Papers
0912.1617, arXiv.org.
Cited by:
- A. Saichev & D. Sornette, 2011. "Time-Bridge Estimators of Integrated Variance," Papers 1108.2611, arXiv.org.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2008.
"Realized Covariance Tick-by-Tick in Presence of Rounded Time Stamps and General Microstructure Effects,"
University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2008
2008-04, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2012. "Realized Covariance Tick-by-Tick in Presence of Rounded Time Stamps and General Microstructure Effects," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 10(4), pages 591-616, September.
Cited by:
- Márcio Gomes Pinto Garcia & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros & Francisco Eduardo de Luna e Almeida Santos, 2014.
"Economic gains of realized volatility in the Brazilian stock market,"
Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 12(3), pages 319-349.
- Marcio Garcia & Marcelo Medeiros & Francisco Eduardo de Luna e Almeida Santos, 2014. "Economic gains of realized volatility in the Brazilian stock market," Textos para discussão 624, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Corsi, Fulvio & Peluso, Stefano & Audrino, Francesco, 2012.
"Missing in Asynchronicity: A Kalman-EM Approach for Multivariate Realized Covariance Estimation,"
Economics Working Paper Series
1202, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Fulvio Corsi & Stefano Peluso & Francesco Audrino, 2015. "Missing in Asynchronicity: A Kalman‐em Approach for Multivariate Realized Covariance Estimation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 377-397, April.
- Audrino, Francesco & Corsi, Fulvio, 2010.
"Modeling tick-by-tick realized correlations,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2372-2382, November.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2008. "Modeling Tick-by-Tick Realized Correlations," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2008 2008-05, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
- Arnerić, Josip & Matković, Mario & Sorić, Petar, 2019. "Comparison of range-based volatility estimators against integrated volatility in European emerging markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 118-124.
- de Almeida, Daniel & Hotta, Luiz K. & Ruiz, Esther, 2018.
"MGARCH models: Trade-off between feasibility and flexibility,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 45-63.
- Almeida, Daniel de & Hotta, Luiz, 2015. "MGARCH models: tradeoff between feasibility and flexibility," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws1516, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Audrino, Francesco, 2014.
"Forecasting correlations during the late-2000s financial crisis: The short-run component, the long-run component, and structural breaks,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 43-60.
- Audrino, Francesco, 2011. "Forecasting correlations during the late-2000s financial crisis: short-run component, long-run component, and structural breaks," Economics Working Paper Series 1112, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Chiranjit Dutta & Kara Karpman & Sumanta Basu & Nalini Ravishanker, 2023. "Review of Statistical Approaches for Modeling High-Frequency Trading Data," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 85(1), pages 1-48, May.
- Fresoli, Diego Eduardo, 2014.
"The uncertainty of conditional returns, volatilities and correlations in DCC models,"
DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS
ws140202, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Fresoli, Diego E. & Ruiz, Esther, 2016. "The uncertainty of conditional returns, volatilities and correlations in DCC models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 170-185.
- Arnab Chakrabarti & Rituparna Sen, 2023. "Copula Estimation for Nonsynchronous Financial Data," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 85(1), pages 116-149, May.
- Mike Buckle & Jing Chen & Julian Williams, 2014. "How Predictable Are Equity Covariance Matrices? Evidence from High‐Frequency Data for Four Markets," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(7), pages 542-557, November.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2008.
"Modeling Tick-by-Tick Realized Correlations,"
University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2008
2008-05, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
- Audrino, Francesco & Corsi, Fulvio, 2010. "Modeling tick-by-tick realized correlations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2372-2382, November.
Cited by:
- Aslanidis, Nektarios & Christiansen, Charlotte, 2012.
"Smooth transition patterns in the realized stock–bond correlation,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 454-464.
- Aslanidis, Nektarios & Christiansen, Charlotte, 2011. "Smooth Transition Patterns in the Realized Stock- Bond Correlation," Working Papers 2072/152138, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
- Nektarios Aslanidis & Charlotte Christiansen, 2010. "Smooth Transition Patterns in the Realized Stock Bond Correlation," CREATES Research Papers 2010-15, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020.
"Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility and Co-volatility of Crude Oil and Gold Futures: Effects of Leverage, Jumps, Spillovers, and Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201951, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Kim Christensen & Mathias Siggaard & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2021.
"A machine learning approach to volatility forecasting,"
CREATES Research Papers
2021-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kim Christensen & Mathias Siggaard & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2023. "A Machine Learning Approach to Volatility Forecasting," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(5), pages 1680-1727.
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Okhrin, Ostap, 2016. "Managing risk with a realized copula parameter," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 131-152.
- Liu, Wei & Garrett, Ian, 2023. "Regime-dependent effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on realized volatility in the U.S. stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
- Fulvio Corsi, 2009. "A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 7(2), pages 174-196, Spring.
- Dark, Jonathan, 2024. "An adaptive long memory conditional correlation model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Harvey, Andrew & Palumbo, Dario, 2023.
"Score-driven models for realized volatility,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Harvey, A. & Palumbo, D., 2019. "Score-Driven Models for Realized Volatility," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1950, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Gribisch, Bastian, 2013. "A latent dynamic factor approach to forecasting multivariate stock market volatility," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79823, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Denisa BANULESCU-RADU & Elena Ivona DUMITRESCU, 2019.
"Do High-frequency-based Measures Improve Conditional Covariance Forecasts?,"
LEO Working Papers / DR LEO
2709, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Elena Ivona Dumitrescu & Georgiana-Denisa Banulescu, 2019. "Do High-frequency-based Measures Improve Conditional Covariance Forecasts?," Post-Print hal-03331122, HAL.
- Yaojie Zhang & Yu Wei & Li Liu, 2019. "Improving forecasting performance of realized covariance with extensions of HAR-RCOV model: statistical significance and economic value," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(9), pages 1425-1438, September.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2011.
"Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach,"
CREATES Research Papers
2011-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valerie Voev, 2011. "Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2011-002, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2012. "Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2012-30, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Paolo Gorgi & Siem Jan Koopman, 2020.
"Beta observation-driven models with exogenous regressors: a joint analysis of realized correlation and leverage effects,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
20-004/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Gorgi, P. & Koopman, S.J., 2023. "Beta observation-driven models with exogenous regressors: A joint analysis of realized correlation and leverage effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Philip Bertram & Robinson Kruse & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2013. "Fractional integration versus level shifts: the case of realized asset correlations," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 977-991, November.
- Markopoulou, Chrysi E. & Skintzi, Vasiliki D. & Refenes, Apostolos-Paul N., 2016. "Realized hedge ratio: Predictability and hedging performance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 121-133.
- Tsunehiro Ishihara & Yasuhiro Omori & Manabu Asai, 2014.
"Matrix Exponential Stochastic Volatility with Cross Leverage,"
CIRJE F-Series
CIRJE-F-932, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Tsunehiro Ishihara & Yasuhiro Omori & Manabu Asai, 2014. "Matrix Exponential Stochastic Volatility with Cross Leverage," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-938, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Ishihara, Tsunehiro & Omori, Yasuhiro & Asai, Manabu, 2016. "Matrix exponential stochastic volatility with cross leverage," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 331-350.
- Tsunehiro Ishihara & Yasuhiro Omori & Manabu Asai, 2013. "Matrix Exponential Stochastic Volatility with Cross Leverage," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-904, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Tsunehiro Ishihara & Yasuhiro Omori & Manabu Asai, 2011. "Matrix Exponential Stochastic Volatility with Cross Leverage," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-812, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Luo, Jiawen & Chen, Langnan, 2020. "Realized volatility forecast with the Bayesian random compressed multivariate HAR model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 781-799.
- Ostap Okhrin & Anastasija Tetereva, 2017. "The Realized Hierarchical Archimedean Copula in Risk Modelling," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-31, June.
- Dark, Jonathan, 2018. "Multivariate models with long memory dependence in conditional correlation and volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 162-180.
- Jiawen Luo & Langnan Chen, 2019. "Multivariate realized volatility forecasts of agricultural commodity futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(12), pages 1565-1586, December.
- Boudt, Kris & Cornelissen, Jonathan & Croux, Christophe, 2012. "Jump robust daily covariance estimation by disentangling variance and correlation components," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 2993-3005.
- Asgharian, Hossein & Christiansen, Charlotte & Hou, Ai Jun, 2023. "The effect of uncertainty on stock market volatility and correlation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2016. "Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(2), pages 383-417.
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Christoforos Konstantatos & Costas Siriopoulos, 2021. "Uncertainty Due to Infectious Diseases and Stock–Bond Correlation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-18, April.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Renò, 2008.
"Volatility forecasting: the jumps do matter,"
Department of Economics University of Siena
534, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Reno, 2009. "Volatility Forecasting: The Jumps Do Matter," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd08-036, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
Cited by:
- Dimitrios Karyampas & Paola Paiardini, 2011. "Probability of Informed Trading and Volatility for an ETF," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1101, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Rossi, Eduardo & Santucci de Magistris, Paolo, 2013.
"Long memory and tail dependence in trading volume and volatility,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 94-112.
- Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2009. "Long Memory and Tail dependence in Trading Volume and Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2009-30, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Vetter, Mathias, 2010. "Limit theorems for bipower variation of semimartingales," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 22-38, January.
- Fulvio Corsi, 2009. "A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 7(2), pages 174-196, Spring.
- Álvaro Cartea & Dimitrios Karyampas, 2009.
"The Relationship Between the Volatility of Returns and the Number of Jumps in Financial Markets,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
0914, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Álvaro Cartea & Dimitrios Karyampas, 2016. "The Relationship between the Volatility of Returns and the Number of Jumps in Financial Markets," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(6), pages 929-950, June.
- Cartea, Álvaro & Karyampas, Dimitrios, 2009. "The relationship between the volatility of returns and the number of jumps in financial markets," DEE - Working Papers. Business Economics. WB wb097508, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa de la Empresa.
- Duong, Diep & Swanson, Norman R., 2015.
"Empirical evidence on the importance of aggregation, asymmetry, and jumps for volatility prediction,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 606-621.
- Diep Duong & Norman Swanson, 2013. "Empirical Evidence on the Importance of Aggregation, Asymmetry, and Jumps for Volatility Prediction," Departmental Working Papers 201321, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2014. "Optimally sampled realized range-based volatility estimators," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 34-50.
- Yin Liao & Heather Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2010.
"Do Jumps Matter? Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility Allowing for Common Jumps,"
ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics
2010-520, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Yin Liao & Heather M. Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2010. "Do Jumps Matter? Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility allowing for Common Jumps," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 11/10, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Federico M. Bandi & Roberto Reno, 2009. "Nonparametric Stochastic Volatility," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd08-035, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2010. "The properties of realized correlation: Evidence from the French, German and Greek equity markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 273-290, August.
- Lena Cleanthous & Pany Karamanou, 2011. "The ECB Monetary Policy and the Current Financial Crisis," Working Papers 2011-1, Central Bank of Cyprus.
- Thierry Ane & Carole Metais, 2010. "Jump Distribution Characteristics: Evidence from European Stock Markets," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, April.
- Alexander Alvarez & Fabien Panloup & Monique Pontier & Nicolas Savy, 2012. "Estimation of the instantaneous volatility," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 27-59, April.
- Georg Dettmann, 2011. "A View on Global Imbalances and their Contribution to the Financial Crisis," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1102, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Mingmian Cheng & Norman R. Swanson, 2019. "Fixed and Long Time Span Jump Tests: New Monte Carlo and Empirical Evidence," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-32, March.
- Bertrand B. Maillet & Jean-Philippe R. M�decin, 2010. "Extreme Volatilities, Financial Crises and L-moment Estimations of Tail-indexes," Working Papers 2010_10, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I. & Thomakos, Dimitrios D., 2013. "Nonparametric realized volatility estimation in the international equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 34-45.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2007.
"Realized Correlation Tick-by-Tick,"
University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2007
2007-02, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
Cited by:
- Chiriac, Roxana & Voev, Valeri, 2008.
"Modelling and forecasting multivariate realized volatility,"
CoFE Discussion Papers
08/06, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
- Roxana Chiriac & Valeri Voev, 2008. "Modelling and Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2008-39, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Roxana Chiriac & Valeri Voev, 2011. "Modelling and forecasting multivariate realized volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(6), pages 922-947, September.
- Audrino, Francesco & Trojani, Fabio, 2011.
"A General Multivariate Threshold GARCH Model With Dynamic Conditional Correlations,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(1), pages 138-149.
- Francesco Audrino & Fabio Trojani, 2007. "A general multivariate threshold GARCH model with dynamic conditional correlations," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2007 2007-25, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
- Fabio Trojani & Francesco Audrino, 2005. "A general multivariate threshold GARCH model with dynamic conditional correlations," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2005 2005-04, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
- Francesco Audrino & Fabio Trojani, 2011. "A General Multivariate Threshold GARCH Model With Dynamic Conditional Correlations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 138-149, January.
- Nolte, Ingmar & Voev, Valeri, 2007.
"Estimating high-frequency based (co-) variances: A unified approach,"
CoFE Discussion Papers
07/07, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
- Ingmar Nolte & Valeri Voev, 2008. "Estimating High-Frequency Based (Co-) Variances: A Unified Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2008-31, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2010. "The properties of realized correlation: Evidence from the French, German and Greek equity markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 273-290, August.
- Griffin, Jim E. & Oomen, Roel C.A., 2011. "Covariance measurement in the presence of non-synchronous trading and market microstructure noise," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 58-68, January.
- Kim Christensen & Silja Kinnebrock & Mark Podolskij, 2009.
"Pre-averaging estimators of the ex-post covariance matrix in noisy diffusion models with non-synchronous data,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-45, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kim Christensen & Silja Kinnebrock & Mark Podolskij, 2010. "Pre-averaging estimators of the ex-post covariance matrix in noisy diffusion models with non-synchronous data," Post-Print hal-00732537, HAL.
- Christensen, Kim & Kinnebrock, Silja & Podolskij, Mark, 2010. "Pre-averaging estimators of the ex-post covariance matrix in noisy diffusion models with non-synchronous data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 116-133, November.
- Audrino, Francesco, 2014.
"Forecasting correlations during the late-2000s financial crisis: The short-run component, the long-run component, and structural breaks,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 43-60.
- Audrino, Francesco, 2011. "Forecasting correlations during the late-2000s financial crisis: short-run component, long-run component, and structural breaks," Economics Working Paper Series 1112, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Fresoli, Diego Eduardo, 2014.
"The uncertainty of conditional returns, volatilities and correlations in DCC models,"
DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS
ws140202, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Fresoli, Diego E. & Ruiz, Esther, 2016. "The uncertainty of conditional returns, volatilities and correlations in DCC models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 170-185.
- William H. Press, 2023. "Optimal Cross-Correlation Estimates from Asynchronous Tick-by-Tick Trading Data," Papers 2303.16153, arXiv.org.
- Münnix, Michael C. & Schäfer, Rudi & Guhr, Thomas, 2010. "Compensating asynchrony effects in the calculation of financial correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(4), pages 767-779.
- Chiriac, Roxana & Voev, Valeri, 2008.
"Modelling and forecasting multivariate realized volatility,"
CoFE Discussion Papers
08/06, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
- Corsi, Fulvio & Kretschmer, Uta & Mittnik, Stefan & Pigorsch, Christian, 2005.
"The volatility of realized volatility,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2005/33, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Fulvio Corsi & Stefan Mittnik & Christian Pigorsch & Uta Pigorsch, 2008. "The Volatility of Realized Volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1-3), pages 46-78.
Cited by:
- Wang, Yudong & Hao, Xianfeng, 2023. "Forecasting the real prices of crude oil: What is the role of parameter instability?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-01442618, HAL.
- Chao Liang & Yin Liao & Feng Ma & Bo Zhu, 2022. "United States Oil Fund volatility prediction: the roles of leverage effect and jumps," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2239-2262, May.
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Okhrin, Ostap, 2012.
"Realized copula,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2012-034, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Fengler, Matthias & Okhrin, Ostap, 2012. "Realized Copula," Economics Working Paper Series 1214, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Paul Wohlfarth, 2018.
"Measuring the Impact of Monetary Policy Attention on Global Asset Volatility Using Search Data,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
1803, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Wohlfarth, Paul, 2018. "Measuring the impact of monetary policy attention on global asset volatility using search data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 15-18.
- Tim Bollerslev & Uta Kretschmer & Christian Pigorsch & George Tauchen, 2010.
"A Discrete-Time Model for Daily S&P500 Returns and Realized Variations: Jumps and Leverage Effects,"
Working Papers
10-06, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Kretschmer, Uta & Pigorsch, Christian & Tauchen, George, 2009. "A discrete-time model for daily S & P500 returns and realized variations: Jumps and leverage effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 151-166, June.
- Tim Bollerslev & Uta Kretschmer & Christian Pigorsch & George Tauchen, 2007. "A Discrete-Time Model for Daily S&P500 Returns and Realized Variations: Jumps and Leverage Effects," CREATES Research Papers 2007-22, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Uwe Hassler & Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Antonio Rubia, 2016.
"Quantile Regression for Long Memory Testing: A Case of Realized Volatility,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(4), pages 693-724.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Uwe Hassler, 2012. "Quantile regression for long memory testing: A case of realized volatility," Working Papers w201207, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-02505861, HAL.
- Filip Žikeš & Jozef Baruník, 2016.
"Semi-parametric Conditional Quantile Models for Financial Returns and Realized Volatility,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 185-226.
- Žikeš, Filip & Baruník, Jozef, 2014. "Semiparametric Conditional Quantile Models for Financial Returns and Realized Volatility," FinMaP-Working Papers 20, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Filip Zikes & Jozef Barunik, 2013. "Semiparametric Conditional Quantile Models for Financial Returns and Realized Volatility," Papers 1308.4276, arXiv.org.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2019.
"Realized Volatility Forecasting: Robustness to Measurement Errors,"
Econometrics Working Papers Archive
2019_04, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M. & Otranto, Edoardo, 2021. "Realized volatility forecasting: Robustness to measurement errors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 44-57.
- Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Hautsch, Nikolaus & Pigorsch, Uta, 2008. "Measuring and modeling risk using high-frequency data," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2008-045, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Matteo Luciani & David Veredas, 2012. "A model for vast panels of volatilities," Working Papers 1230, Banco de España.
- Cubadda, Gianluca & Guardabascio, Barbara & Hecq, Alain, 2017.
"A vector heterogeneous autoregressive index model for realized volatility measures,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 337-344.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Barbara Guardabascio & Alain Hecq, 2016. "A Vector Heterogeneous Autoregressive Index Model for Realized Volatily Measures," CEIS Research Paper 391, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 23 Jul 2016.
- Cubadda, G. & Guardabascio, B. & Hecq, A.W., 2015. "A Vector Heterogeneous Autoregressive Index model for realized volatility measures," Research Memorandum 033, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
- Rossi, Eduardo & Santucci de Magistris, Paolo, 2013.
"Long memory and tail dependence in trading volume and volatility,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 94-112.
- Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2009. "Long Memory and Tail dependence in Trading Volume and Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2009-30, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- B. Zhang & J. Wang & W. Zhang & G. C. Wang, 2020. "Nonlinear Scaling Behavior of Visible Volatility Duration for Financial Statistical Physics Dynamics," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(2), pages 373-389, August.
- Chevallier, Julien & Sévi, Benoît, 2012.
"On the volatility–volume relationship in energy futures markets using intraday data,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1896-1909.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2012. "On the volatility-volume relationship in energy futures markets using intraday data," Post-Print hal-00988926, HAL.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2011. "On the volatility-volume relationship in energy futures markets using intraday data," EconomiX Working Papers 2011-16, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Ranaldo, Angelo & Velo, Gabriel G., 2014.
"Precious Metals Under the Microscope: A High-Frequency Analysis,"
Working Papers on Finance
1409, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Angelo Ranaldo & Gabriel G. Velo, 2015. "Precious metals under the microscope: a high-frequency analysis," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(5), pages 743-759, May.
- Catania, Leopoldo & Proietti, Tommaso, 2020.
"Forecasting volatility with time-varying leverage and volatility of volatility effects,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1301-1317.
- Leopoldo Catania & Tommaso Proietti, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility with Time-Varying Leverage and Volatility of Volatility Effects," CEIS Research Paper 450, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 06 Feb 2019.
- Lazar, Emese & Xue, Xiaohan, 2020. "Forecasting risk measures using intraday data in a generalized autoregressive score framework," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1057-1072.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Gabriel G. Velo, 2011. "Modeling and forecasting realized range volatility," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0128, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Zheng, Tingguo & Zuo, Haomiao, 2013. "Reexamining the time-varying volatility spillover effects: A Markov switching causality approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 643-662.
- Isao Ishida & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2009.
"Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of the Nikkei 225 Realized Volatility Using the ARFIMA-GARCH Model,"
CARF F-Series
CARF-F-145, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Isao Ishida & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2009. "Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of the Nikkei 225 Realized Volatility Using the ARFIMA-GARCH Model," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd08-032, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Isao Ishida & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2009. "Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of the Nikkei 225 Realized Volatility Using the ARFIMA-GARCH Model," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-608, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Hadhri, Sinda & Ftiti, Zied, 2019. "Commonality in liquidity among Middle East and North Africa emerging stock markets: Does it really matter?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(3).
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Okhrin, Ostap, 2016. "Managing risk with a realized copula parameter," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 131-152.
- Grobys, Klaus, 2024. "A universal exponent governing foreign exchange rate risks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
- Evzen Kocenda & Vit Bubak & Filip Zikes, 2011.
"Volatility Transmission in Emerging European Foreign Exchange Markets,"
William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series
wp1020, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
- Vít Bubák & Evžen Kocenda & Filip Zikes, 2010. "Volatility Transmission in Emerging European Foreign Exchange Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 3063, CESifo.
- Bubák, Vít & Kocenda, Evzen & Zikes, Filip, 2011. "Volatility transmission in emerging European foreign exchange markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 2829-2841, November.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H., 2006.
"Quantile Forecasts of Daily Exchange Rate Returns from Forecasts of Realized Volatility,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
777, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H., 2006. "Quantile Forecasts of Daily Exchange Rate Returns from Forecasts of Realized Volatility," Economic Research Papers 269747, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Kim, Jae H., 2008. "Quantile forecasts of daily exchange rate returns from forecasts of realized volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 729-750, September.
- Wen Cheong Chin & Min Cherng Lee, 2018. "S&P500 volatility analysis using high-frequency multipower variation volatility proxies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 1297-1318, May.
- Gustavo Fruet Dias & Karsten Schweiker, 2024. "Integrated Variance Estimation for Assets Traded in Multiple Venues," University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series 2024-04, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2010.
"Realized Volatility Risk,"
KIER Working Papers
753, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2010. "Realized Volatility Risk," Working Papers in Economics 10/26, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2013. "Realized volatility risk," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-26, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2009. "Realized Volatility Risk," CARF F-Series CARF-F-197, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo, revised Jan 2010.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2009. "Realized Volatility Risk," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-693, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2013. "Realized Volatility Risk," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-092/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Ait-Sahalia, Yacine & Mykland, Per A. & Zhang, Lan, 2005.
"Ultra high frequency volatility estimation with dependent microstructure noise,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2005,30, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Yacine Ait-Sahalia & Per A. Mykland & Lan Zhang, 2005. "Ultra High Frequency Volatility Estimation with Dependent Microstructure Noise," NBER Working Papers 11380, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Mykland, Per A. & Zhang, Lan, 2011. "Ultra high frequency volatility estimation with dependent microstructure noise," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 160-175, January.
- Štefan Lyócsa & Peter Molnár, 2016. "Volatility forecasting of strategically linked commodity ETFs: gold-silver," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(12), pages 1809-1822, December.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2014.
"Asymmetric Realized Volatility Risk,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
14-075/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2014. "Asymmetric Realized Volatility Risk," Working Papers in Economics 14/20, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2014. "Asymmetric Realized Volatility Risk," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2014-16, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2014. "Asymmetric Realized Volatility Risk," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-30, June.
- Oleg Sokolinskiy & Dick van Dijk, 2011. "Forecasting Volatility with Copula-Based Time Series Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-125/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Ding, Yashuang (Dexter), 2023. "A simple joint model for returns, volatility and volatility of volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 521-543.
- Weber, Enzo, 2013.
"Simultaneous stochastic volatility transmission across American equity markets,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 53-60.
- Weber, Enzo, 2008. "Simultaneous stochastic volatility transmission across American equity markets," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2008-049, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Tian, Fengping & Yang, Ke & Chen, Langnan, 2017. "Realized volatility forecasting of agricultural commodity futures using the HAR model with time-varying sparsity," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 132-152.
- Aitor Ciarreta & Peru Muniain & Ainhoa Zarraga, 2020. "Realized volatility and jump testing in the Japanese electricity spot market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1143-1166, March.
- Xiangjin B. Chen & Jiti Gao & Degui Li & Param Silvapulle, 2013. "Nonparametric Estimation and Parametric Calibration of Time-Varying Coefficient Realized Volatility Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 21/13, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Jeremy Large, 2007.
"Estimating Quadratic Variation When Quoted Prices Change by a Constant Increment,"
Economics Series Working Papers
340, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Large, Jeremy, 2011. "Estimating quadratic variation when quoted prices change by a constant increment," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 2-11, January.
- Fulvio Corsi, 2009. "A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 7(2), pages 174-196, Spring.
- Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing & Huang, Dengshi & Chen, Wang, 2017. "Forecasting the oil futures price volatility: A new approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 560-566.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2012.
"Realized Covariance Tick-by-Tick in Presence of Rounded Time Stamps and General Microstructure Effects,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 10(4), pages 591-616, September.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2008. "Realized Covariance Tick-by-Tick in Presence of Rounded Time Stamps and General Microstructure Effects," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2008 2008-04, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Todorova, Neda, 2017. "Volatility forecasting of non-ferrous metal futures: Covariances, covariates or combinations?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 228-247.
- Allen, David & Lazarov, Zdravetz & McAleer, Michael & Peiris, Shelton, 2009. "Comparison of alternative ACD models via density and interval forecasts: Evidence from the Australian stock market," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 2535-2555.
- Yanhui Chen & Kin Lai & Jiangze Du, 2014. "Modeling and forecasting Hang Seng index volatility with day-of-week effect, spillover effect based on ARIMA and HAR," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 4(2), pages 113-132, December.
- Hwang, Eunju & Shin, Dong Wan, 2014. "Infinite-order, long-memory heterogeneous autoregressive models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 339-358.
- D. Delpini & G. Bormetti, 2015. "Stochastic volatility with heterogeneous time scales," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(10), pages 1597-1608, October.
- Ahoniemi, Katja & Lanne, Markku, 2010. "Realized volatility and overnight returns," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 19/2010, Bank of Finland.
- Harvey, Andrew & Palumbo, Dario, 2023.
"Score-driven models for realized volatility,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Harvey, A. & Palumbo, D., 2019. "Score-Driven Models for Realized Volatility," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1950, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2009.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models,"
CIRJE F-Series
CIRJE-F-686, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- McAleer, M.J. & Medeiros, M.C., 2009. "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2009-37, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Michael McAleer & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2010. "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models," Textos para discussão 568, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2009. "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models," CARF F-Series CARF-F-189, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Luo, Jiawen & Ji, Qiang, 2018. "High-frequency volatility connectedness between the US crude oil market and China's agricultural commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 424-438.
- Zhouwei Wang & Qicheng Zhao & Min Zhu & Tao Pang, 2020. "Jump Aggregation, Volatility Prediction, and Nonlinear Estimation of Banks’ Sustainability Risk," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-17, October.
- Stefano Grassi & Nima Nonejad & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2014.
"Forecasting with the Standardized Self-Perturbed Kalman Filter,"
CREATES Research Papers
2014-12, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Stefano Grassi & Nima Nonejad & Paolo Santucci De Magistris, 2017. "Forecasting With the Standardized Self‐Perturbed Kalman Filter," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(2), pages 318-341, March.
- Stefano Grassi & Nima Nonejad & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2014. "Forecasting with the Standardized Self-Perturbed Kalman Filter," Studies in Economics 1405, School of Economics, University of Kent.
- Audrino, Francesco & Corsi, Fulvio, 2010.
"Modeling tick-by-tick realized correlations,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2372-2382, November.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2008. "Modeling Tick-by-Tick Realized Correlations," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2008 2008-05, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
- Gaurav Raizada & Vartika Srivastava & S. V. D. Nageswara Rao, 2020. "Shall One Sit “Longer” for a Free Lunch? Impact of Trading Durations on the Realized Variances and Volatility Spillovers," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(1), pages 1-28, March.
- Chiriac, Roxana & Voev, Valeri, 2008.
"Modelling and forecasting multivariate realized volatility,"
CoFE Discussion Papers
08/06, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
- Roxana Chiriac & Valeri Voev, 2008. "Modelling and Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2008-39, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Roxana Chiriac & Valeri Voev, 2011. "Modelling and forecasting multivariate realized volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(6), pages 922-947, September.
- Hassan, Aminu & Ibrahim, Masud Usman & Bala, Ahmed Jinjiri, 2024. "Vulnerability of a developing stock market to openness: One-way return and volatility transmissions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
- Diaa Noureldin & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2011.
"Multivariate High-Frequency-Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models,"
Economics Papers
2011-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Diaa Noureldin & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2011. "Multivariate High-Frequency-Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models," Economics Series Working Papers 533, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Diaa Noureldin & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2012. "Multivariate high‐frequency‐based volatility (HEAVY) models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 907-933, September.
- J. Eduardo Vera-Vald'es, 2017.
"On Long Memory Origins and Forecast Horizons,"
Papers
1712.08057, arXiv.org.
- J. Eduardo Vera‐Valdés, 2020. "On long memory origins and forecast horizons," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 811-826, August.
- Zhang, Wei & Wang, Jun, 2017. "Nonlinear stochastic exclusion financial dynamics modeling and time-dependent intrinsic detrended cross-correlation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 29-41.
- Chorro, Christophe & Ielpo, Florian & Sévi, Benoît, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Gkillas, Konstantinos & Konstantatos, Christoforos & Floros, Christos & Tsagkanos, Athanasios, 2021. "Realized volatility spillovers between US spot and futures during ECB news: Evidence from the European sovereign debt crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Portfolio diversification during the COVID-19 pandemic: Do vaccinations matter?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "Predicting risk in energy markets: Low-frequency data still matter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
- Warshaw, Evan, 2020. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between European equity and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the frequency domain," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-14.
- Dimos Kambouroudis & David McMillan & Katerina Tsakou, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Volatility: The role of implied volatility, leverage effect, overnight returns and volatility of realized volatility," Working Papers 2019-03, Swansea University, School of Management.
- Payzan-LeNestour, Elise & Pradier, Lionnel & Putniņš, Tālis J., 2023. "Biased risk perceptions: Evidence from the laboratory and financial markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Eric Hillebrand & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2012.
"Nonlinearity, Breaks, and Long-Range Dependence in Time-Series Models,"
CREATES Research Papers
2012-30, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Eric Hillebrand & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2016. "Nonlinearity, Breaks, and Long-Range Dependence in Time-Series Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 23-41, January.
- Th'eophile Griveau-Billion & Ben Calderhead, 2019. "A Dynamic Bayesian Model for Interpretable Decompositions of Market Behaviour," Papers 1904.08153, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
- Seul-Ki Park & Ji-Eun Choi & Dong Wan Shin, 2017. "Value at risk forecasting for volatility index," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(21), pages 1613-1620, December.
- Chen, Ying & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Pigorsch, Uta, 2010.
"Localized Realized Volatility Modeling,"
Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(492), pages 1376-1393.
- Chen, Ying & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Pigorsch, Uta, 2009. "Localized realized volatility modelling," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2009-003, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- A Clements & D Preve, 2019.
"A Practical Guide to Harnessing the HAR Volatility Model,"
NCER Working Paper Series
120, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Clements, Adam & Preve, Daniel P.A., 2021. "A Practical Guide to harnessing the HAR volatility model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- Zhimin Wu & Guanghui Cai, 2024. "Can intraday data improve the joint estimation and prediction of risk measures? Evidence from a variety of realized measures," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1956-1974, September.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq & Antonio Riccardo, 2018. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Measures with Multivariate and Univariate Models: The Case of The US Banking Sector," CEIS Research Paper 445, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 30 Oct 2018.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2017.
"The one-trading-day-ahead forecast errors of intra-day realized volatility,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1298-1314.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2016. "The one-trading-day-ahead forecast errors of intra-day realized volatility," MPRA Paper 80163, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Liang, Chao & Ma, Feng & Li, Ziyang & Li, Yan, 2020. "Which types of commodity price information are more useful for predicting US stock market volatility?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 642-650.
- Onno Kleen, 2024. "Scaling and measurement error sensitivity of scoring rules for distribution forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 833-849, August.
- Eunju Hwang, 2021. "Limit Theory for Stationary Autoregression with Heavy-Tailed Augmented GARCH Innovations," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-10, April.
- Qu, Hui & Duan, Qingling & Niu, Mengyi, 2018. "Modeling the volatility of realized volatility to improve volatility forecasts in electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 767-776.
- Zhu, Xuehong & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhong, Meirui, 2017. "Volatility forecasting using high frequency data: The role of after-hours information and leverage effects," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 58-70.
- Isao Ishida & Virmantas Kvedaras, 2015. "Modeling Autoregressive Processes with Moving-Quantiles-Implied Nonlinearity," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-53, January.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2014.
"Volatility jumps and their economic determinants,"
CREATES Research Papers
2014-27, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2016. "Volatility Jumps and Their Economic Determinants," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 29-80.
- Dimos S. Kambouroudis & David G. McMillan & Katerina Tsakou, 2021. "Forecasting realized volatility: The role of implied volatility, leverage effect, overnight returns, and volatility of realized volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(10), pages 1618-1639, October.
- Stefano Grassi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2013.
"It’s all about volatility (of volatility): evidence from a two-factor stochastic volatility model,"
CREATES Research Papers
2013-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Grassi, Stefano & Santucci de Magistris, Paolo, 2015. "It's all about volatility of volatility: Evidence from a two-factor stochastic volatility model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 62-78.
- Stefano Grassi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2013. "It's all about volatility of volatility: evidence from a two-factor stochastic volatility model," Studies in Economics 1404, School of Economics, University of Kent.
- Yin Liao & Heather Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2010.
"Do Jumps Matter? Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility Allowing for Common Jumps,"
ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics
2010-520, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
- Yin Liao & Heather M. Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2010. "Do Jumps Matter? Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility allowing for Common Jumps," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 11/10, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Todorova, Neda & Worthington, Andrew & Souček, Michael, 2014. "Realized volatility spillovers in the non-ferrous metal futures market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 21-31.
- Yusaku Nishimura & Xuyi Dong & Bianxia Sun, 2021. "Trump's tweets: Sentiment, stock market volatility, and jumps," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 44(3), pages 497-512, September.
- Piotr Fiszeder & Grzegorz Perczak, 2013. "A new look at variance estimation based on low, high and closing prices taking into account the drift," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 67(4), pages 456-481, November.
- Marcel Scharth & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2006.
"Asymmetric effects and long memory in the volatility of Dow Jones stocks,"
Textos para discussão
532, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Scharth, Marcel & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2009. "Asymmetric effects and long memory in the volatility of Dow Jones stocks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 304-327.
- Jean-François Carpantier & Arnaud Dufays, 2014.
"Specific Markov-switching behaviour for ARMA parameters,"
Working Papers
hal-01821134, HAL.
- Jean-François Carpantier, 2014. "Specific Markov-switching behaviour for ARMA parameters," DEM Discussion Paper Series 14-07, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg.
- CARPANTIER, Jean-François & DUFAYS, Arnaud, 2014. "Specific Markov-switching behaviour for ARMA parameters," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2014014, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Yarovaya, Larisa & Matkovskyy, Roman & Jalan, Akanksha, 2021.
"The effects of a “black swan” event (COVID-19) on herding behavior in cryptocurrency markets,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Larisa Yarovaya & Roman Matkovskyy & Akanksha Jalan, 2021. "The effects of a “black swan” event (COVID-19) on herding behavior in cryptocurrency markets," Post-Print hal-03512931, HAL.
- Arnaud Dufays & Maciej Augustyniak & Luc Bauwens, 2016.
"A new approach to volatility modeling: the High-Dimensional Markov model,"
Cahiers de recherche
1609, Centre de recherche sur les risques, les enjeux économiques, et les politiques publiques.
- AUGUSTYNIAK, Maciej & BAUWENS, Luc & DUFAYS, Arnaud, 2016. "A New Approach to Volatility Modeling : The High-Dimensional Markov Model," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2016042, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Markopoulou, Chrysi E. & Skintzi, Vasiliki D. & Refenes, Apostolos-Paul N., 2016. "Realized hedge ratio: Predictability and hedging performance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 121-133.
- Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham & Goh, Mark & Zou, Huiwen, 2022. "Risk spillovers and time-varying links between international oil and China’s commodity futures markets: Fresh evidence from the higher-order moments," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Renò, 2008.
"Volatility forecasting: the jumps do matter,"
Department of Economics University of Siena
534, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Reno, 2009. "Volatility Forecasting: The Jumps Do Matter," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd08-036, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Yao Axel Ehouman, 2020. "Volatility transmission between oil prices and banks’ stock prices as a new source of instability: Lessons from the United States experience," Post-Print hal-02960571, HAL.
- Chen, Wang & Lu, Xinjie & Wang, Jiqian, 2022. "Modeling and managing stock market volatility using MRS-MIDAS model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 625-635.
- Antonio Díaz & Francisco Jareño & Eliseo Navarro, 2020. "Yield curves from different bond data sets," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 191-226, July.
- Nikita Medvedev & Zhiguang Wang, 2022. "Multistep forecast of the implied volatility surface using deep learning," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 645-667, April.
- Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan, 2022. "Dynamic volatility connectedness between thermal coal futures and major cryptocurrencies: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Roxana Halbleib & Valerie Voev, 2010.
"Forecasting Multivariate Volatility Using the VARFIMA Model on Realized Covariance Cholesky Factors,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2010-041, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Halbleib Roxana & Voev Valeri, 2011. "Forecasting Multivariate Volatility using the VARFIMA Model on Realized Covariance Cholesky Factors," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(1), pages 134-152, February.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2011. "Forecasting multivariate volatility using the VARFIMA model on realized covariance cholesky factors," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/195065, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Chao Liang & Yongan Xu & Zhonglu Chen & Xiafei Li, 2023. "Forecasting China's stock market volatility with shrinkage method: Can Adaptive Lasso select stronger predictors from numerous predictors?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3689-3699, October.
- Chai, Edwina F.L. & Lee, Adrian D. & Wang, Jianxin, 2015. "Global information distribution in the gold OTC markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 206-217.
- Benoît Sévi, 2013.
"An empirical analysis of the downside risk-return trade-off at daily frequency,"
Post-Print
hal-01500860, HAL.
- Sévi, Benoît, 2013. "An empirical analysis of the downside risk-return trade-off at daily frequency," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 189-197.
- Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2025.
"Multiplicative Error Models: 20 years on,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 209-229.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2021. "Multiplicative Error Models: 20 years on," Papers 2107.05923, arXiv.org.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017.
"The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns,"
Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne
17006, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01442618, HAL.
- Díaz, Antonio & Jareño, Francisco & Navarro, Eliseo, 2018. "Zero-coupon interest rates: Evaluating three alternative datasets," Economics Discussion Papers 2018-67, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Ceylan, Ozcan, 2012. "Time-Varying Volatility Asymmetry: A Conditioned HAR-RV(CJ) EGARCH-M Model," GIAM Working Papers 12-4, Galatasaray University Economic Research Center.
- Fulvio Corsi & Roberto Renò, 2012. "Discrete-Time Volatility Forecasting With Persistent Leverage Effect and the Link With Continuous-Time Volatility Modeling," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 368-380, January.
- Dimitrios I. Vortelinos & Dimitrios D. Thomakos, 2012.
"Realized volatility and jumps in the Athens Stock Exchange,"
Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(2), pages 97-112, January.
- Dimitrios Vortelinos & Dimitrios Thomakos, 2009. "Realized Volatility and Jumps in the Athens Stock Exchange," Working Papers 00044, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics.
- Sergii Pypko, 2015. "Volatility Forecast in Crises and Expansions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-26, August.
- Manh Cuong Dong & Cathy W. S. Chen & Manabu Asai, 2023. "Bayesian non‐linear quantile effects on modelling realized kernels," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 981-995, January.
- Moawia Alghalith & Christos Floros & Konstantinos Gkillas, 2020. "Estimating Stochastic Volatility under the Assumption of Stochastic Volatility of Volatility," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-15, April.
- Leopoldo Catania & Mads Sandholdt, 2019. "Bitcoin at High Frequency," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-20, February.
- Ding, Y., 2021. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in the Volatility of Asset Returns," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2111, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Aboura, Sofiane & Wagner, Niklas, 2016. "Extreme asymmetric volatility: Stress and aggregate asset prices," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 47-59.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2014.
"Chasing volatility - A persistent multiplicative error model with jumps,"
CREATES Research Papers
2014-29, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci De Magistris, 2014. "Chasing Volatility. A Persistent Multiplicative Error Model With Jumps," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0186, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Tian Xie, 2019. "Forecast Bitcoin Volatility with Least Squares Model Averaging," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-20, September.
- Ding, Y., 2021. "Augmented Real-Time GARCH: A Joint Model for Returns, Volatility and Volatility of Volatility," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2112, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Ana-Maria Fuertes & Jose Olmo, 2016. "On Setting Day-Ahead Equity Trading Risk Limits: VaR Prediction at Market Close or Open?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-20, September.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009.
"On the realized volatility of the ECX CO2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting,"
Working Papers
halshs-00387286, HAL.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009. "On the realized volatility of the ECX CO2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting," EconomiX Working Papers 2009-24, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2011. "On the realized volatility of the ECX CO 2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-29, February.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009. "On the Realized Volatility of the ECX CO2 Emissions 2008 Futures Contract: Distribution, Dynamics and Forecasting," Working Papers 2009.113, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Chevallier, Julien & Benoit, Sevi, 2009. "On the Realized Volatility of the ECX CO2 Emissions 2008 Futures Contract: Distribution, Dynamics and Forecasting," Sustainable Development Papers 55834, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Cui, Jing & Zhao, Hua, 2015. "Intraday jumps in China's Treasury bond market and macro news announcements," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 211-223.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009. "On the realized volatility of the ECX CO2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting," Working Papers hal-04140871, HAL.
- Chin Wen CHEONG & Lee Min CHERNG & Grace Lee Ching YAP, 2016. "Heterogeneous Market Hypothesis Evaluations using Various Jump-Robust Realized Volatility," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 50-64, December.
- Tseng-Chan Tseng & Hung-Cheng Lai & Cha-Fei Lin, 2012. "The impact of overnight returns on realized volatility," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(5), pages 357-364, March.
- M. Karanasos & S. Yfanti & A. Christopoulos, 2021. "The long memory HEAVY process: modeling and forecasting financial volatility," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 306(1), pages 111-130, November.
- Zongwu Cai & Chaoqun Ma & Xianhua Mi, 2020. "Realized Volatility Forecasting Based on Dynamic Quantile Model Averaging," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202016, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2020.
- Huayun Jiang & Neda Todorova & Eduardo Roca & Jen-Je Su, 2017. "Dynamics of volatility transmission between the U.S. and the Chinese agricultural futures markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(34), pages 3435-3452, July.
- Liang, Chao & Tang, Linchun & Li, Yan & Wei, Yu, 2020. "Which sentiment index is more informative to forecast stock market volatility? Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Yuping Song & Bolin Lei & Xiaolong Tang & Chen Li, 2024. "Volatility forecasting for stock market index based on complex network and hybrid deep learning model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 544-566, April.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-02505861, HAL.
- Ciarreta, Aitor & Zarraga, Ainhoa, 2016. "Modeling realized volatility on the Spanish intra-day electricity market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 152-163.
- Louzis, Dimitrios P. & Xanthopoulos-Sisinis, Spyros & Refenes, Apostolos P., 2011. "Are realized volatility models good candidates for alternative Value at Risk prediction strategies?," MPRA Paper 30364, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Meng, Xiaochun & Taylor, James W., 2018. "An approximate long-memory range-based approach for value at risk estimation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 377-388.
- Ke Yang & Langnan Chen & Fengping Tian, 2015. "Realized Volatility Forecast of Stock Index Under Structural Breaks," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(1), pages 57-82, January.
- Perera, Indeewara & Silvapulle, Mervyn J., 2021. "Bootstrap based probability forecasting in multiplicative error models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 1-24.
- Anne Opschoor & André Lucas, 2019. "Time-varying tail behavior for realized kernels," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 19-051/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
- Yin Liao, 2012. "Does Modeling Jumps Help? A Comparison of Realized Volatility Models for Risk Prediction," CAMA Working Papers 2012-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Zeng, Yayun & Wang, Jun & Xu, Kaixuan, 2017. "Complexity and multifractal behaviors of multiscale-continuum percolation financial system for Chinese stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 364-376.
- Jia, Linlu & Ke, Jinchuan & Wang, Jun, 2019. "Volatility aggregation intensity energy futures series on stochastic finite-range exclusion dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 370-383.
- Zhang, Bo & Wang, Guochao & Wang, Yiduan & Zhang, Wei & Wang, Jun, 2019. "Multiscale statistical behaviors for Ising financial dynamics with continuum percolation jump," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 1012-1025.
- Christian Conrad, 2007.
"Non-negativity Conditions for the Hyperbolic GARCH Model,"
KOF Working papers
07-162, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Conrad, Christian, 2010. "Non-negativity conditions for the hyperbolic GARCH model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 441-457, August.
- Louzis, Dimitrios P. & Xanthopoulos-Sisinis, Spyros & Refenes, Apostolos P., 2014. "Realized volatility models and alternative Value-at-Risk prediction strategies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 101-116.
- Li, Zhinan & Pei, Shan & Li, Ting & Wang, Yu, 2023. "Risk spillover network in the supply chain system during the COVID-19 crisis: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Richard D. F. Harris & Anh T. H. Nguyen, 2017. "Dynamic factor long memory volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(8), pages 1205-1221, August.
- Chun Liu & John M. Maheu, 2008.
"Are There Structural Breaks in Realized Volatility?,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 6(3), pages 326-360, Summer.
- Chun Liu & John M Maheu, 2007. "Are there Structural Breaks in Realized Volatility?," Working Papers tecipa-304, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Velo, Gabriel G., 2015. "Realized range volatility forecasting: Dynamic features and predictive variables," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 98-112.
- Liu, Chun & Maheu, John M., 2012. "Intraday dynamics of volatility and duration: Evidence from Chinese stocks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 329-348.
- Stavros Degiannakis, 2008.
"ARFIMAX and ARFIMAX-TARCH realized volatility modeling,"
Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(10), pages 1169-1180.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2008. "ARFIMAX and ARFIMAX-TARCH Realized Volatility Modeling," MPRA Paper 80465, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Luo, Jiawen & Chen, Langnan, 2020. "Realized volatility forecast with the Bayesian random compressed multivariate HAR model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 781-799.
- Neda Todorova & Michael Soucek & Eduardo Roca, 2015. "Volatility spillovers from international commodity markets to the Australian equity market," Discussion Papers in Finance finance:201505, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
- Souček, Michael & Todorova, Neda, 2013. "Realized volatility transmission between crude oil and equity futures markets: A multivariate HAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 586-597.
- Aitor Ciarreta & Peru Muniainy & Ainhoa Zarraga, 2017. "Modelling Realized Volatility in Electricity Spot Prices: New insights and Application to the Japanese Electricity Market," ISER Discussion Paper 0991, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
- Allen, David E. & McAleer, Michael & Scharth, Marcel, 2011. "Monte Carlo option pricing with asymmetric realized volatility dynamics," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(7), pages 1247-1256.
- Zhiyuan Pan & Jun Zhang & Yudong Wang & Juan Huang, 2024. "Modeling and forecasting stock return volatility using the HARGARCH model with VIX information," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(8), pages 1383-1403, August.
- Imma Valentina Curato, 2012. "Asymptotics for the Fourier estimators of the volatility of volatility and the leverage," Working Papers - Mathematical Economics 2012-11, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
- Giampiero M. Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2014. "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Changes of Regimes," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2014_03, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", revised Feb 2014.
- Maria Socorro Gochoco-Bautista & Jianxin Wang & Minxian Yang, 2014. "Commodity Price, Carry Trade, and the Volatility and Liquidity of Asian Currencies," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(6), pages 811-833, June.
- Tingguo Zheng & Tao Song, 2014. "A Realized Stochastic Volatility Model With Box-Cox Transformation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 593-605, October.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Hassani, Hossein, 2018. "Forecasting global stock market implied volatility indices," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 111-129.
- Yang, Ke & Tian, Fengping & Chen, Langnan & Li, Steven, 2017. "Realized volatility forecast of agricultural futures using the HAR models with bagging and combination approaches," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 276-291.
- Reboredo, Juan C., 2014. "Volatility spillovers between the oil market and the European Union carbon emission market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 229-234.
- Ehouman, Yao Axel, 2020. "Volatility transmission between oil prices and banks' stock prices as a new source of instability: Lessons from the United States experience," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 198-217.
- Bernard Ben Sita, 2013. "Volatility links between US industries," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(15), pages 1273-1286, August.
- Ji‐Eun Choi & Dong Wan Shin, 2018. "Forecasts for leverage heterogeneous autoregressive models with jumps and other covariates," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 691-704, September.
- Song, Junmo & Baek, Changryong, 2019. "Detecting structural breaks in realized volatility," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 58-75.
- Chuxuan Xiao & Winifred Huang & David P. Newton, 2024. "Predicting expected idiosyncratic volatility: Empirical evidence from ARFIMA, HAR, and EGARCH models," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 979-1006, October.
- Charles S. Bos & Pawel Janus, 2013. "A Quantile-based Realized Measure of Variation: New Tests for Outlying Observations in Financial Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-155/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Hwang, Eunju & Jeon, ChanHyeok, 2024. "Nonnegative GARCH-type models with conditional Gamma distributions and their applications," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
- Detlef Seese & Christof Weinhardt & Frank Schlottmann (ed.), 2008. "Handbook on Information Technology in Finance," International Handbooks on Information Systems, Springer, number 978-3-540-49487-4, September.
- Opschoor, Anne & Lucas, André, 2023. "Time-varying variance and skewness in realized volatility measures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 827-840.
- Moawia Alghalith, 2022. "Methods in Econophysics: Estimating the Probability Density and Volatility," Papers 2301.10178, arXiv.org.
- Jean-Pierre Zigrand & Hyun Song Shin & Jon Danielsson, 2010. "Risk Appetite and Endogenous Risk," FMG Discussion Papers dp647, Financial Markets Group.
- Hwang, Eunju & Hong, Won-Tak, 2021. "A multivariate HAR-RV model with heteroscedastic errors and its WLS estimation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
- Stavroula Yfanti & Georgios Chortareas & Menelaos Karanasos & Emmanouil Noikokyris, 2022. "A three‐dimensional asymmetric power HEAVY model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2737-2761, July.
- Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin, 2016. "The Determinants of Equity Risk and Their Forecasting Implications: A Quantile Regression Perspective," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-25, July.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2011. "On the volatility-volume relationship in energy futures markets using intraday data," Working Papers hal-04140997, HAL.
- Linlan Xiao, 2013. "Realized volatility forecasting: empirical evidence from stock market indices and exchange rates," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 57-69, January.
- Hiroyuki Kawakatsu, 2022. "Modeling Realized Variance with Realized Quarticity," Stats, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-25, September.
- Tingguo Zheng & Han Xiao & Rong Chen, 2022. "Generalized autoregressive moving average models with GARCH errors," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(1), pages 125-146, January.
- Lanne, Markku & Ahoniemi, Katja, 2008. "Implied Volatility with Time-Varying Regime Probabilities," MPRA Paper 23721, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2018.
"Multiple Days Ahead Realized Volatility Forecasting: Single, Combined and Average Forecasts,"
MPRA Paper
96272, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2018. "Multiple days ahead realized volatility forecasting: Single, combined and average forecasts," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 41-61.
- Ding, Y., 2021. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in the Volatility of Asset Returns," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2179, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Chen, Wang & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Liu, Jing, 2020. "Forecasting oil price volatility using high-frequency data: New evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 1-12.
- Xu, Yongdeng, 2022. "The Exponential HEAVY Model: An Improved Approach to Volatility Modeling and Forecasting," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2022/5, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Jian Zhou, 2017. "Forecasting REIT volatility with high-frequency data: a comparison of alternative methods," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(26), pages 2590-2605, June.
- Luca Barbaglia & Christophe Croux & Ines Wilms, 2017.
"Volatility Spillovers and Heavy Tails: A Large t-Vector AutoRegressive Approach,"
Papers
1708.02073, arXiv.org.
- Luca Barbaglia & Christophe Croux & Ines Wilms, 2017. "Volatility spillovers and heavy tails: a large t-Vector AutoRegressive approach," Working Papers of Department of Decision Sciences and Information Management, Leuven 590528, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Decision Sciences and Information Management, Leuven.
- Asgharian, Hossein & Christiansen, Charlotte & Hou, Ai Jun, 2023. "The effect of uncertainty on stock market volatility and correlation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Charalampos Stasinakis & Georgios Sermpinis & Ioannis Psaradellis & Thanos Verousis, 2016. "Krill-Herd Support Vector Regression and heterogeneous autoregressive leverage: evidence from forecasting and trading commodities," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(12), pages 1901-1915, December.
- Jung, R.C. & Maderitsch, R., 2014. "Structural breaks in volatility spillovers between international financial markets: Contagion or mere interdependence?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 331-342.
- Gallo, Giampiero M. & Otranto, Edoardo, 2015. "Forecasting realized volatility with changing average levels," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 620-634.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Almut E. D. Veraart, 2009. "Stochastic volatility of volatility in continuous time," CREATES Research Papers 2009-25, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Zhang, Bo & Wang, Jun & Fang, Wen, 2015. "Volatility behavior of visibility graph EMD financial time series from Ising interacting system," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 432(C), pages 301-314.
- Wang, Xunxiao & Wu, Chongfeng & Xu, Weidong, 2015. "Volatility forecasting: The role of lunch-break returns, overnight returns, trading volume and leverage effects," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 609-619.
- Chun Liu & John M Maheu, 2010. "Intraday Dynamics of Volatility and Duration: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Market," Working Papers tecipa-401, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
- Todorova, Neda & Souček, Michael, 2014. "Overnight information flow and realized volatility forecasting," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 420-428.
- Todorova, Neda, 2015. "The course of realized volatility in the LME non-ferrous metal market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-12.
- Matei, Marius, 2011. "Non-Linear Volatility Modeling of Economic and Financial Time Series Using High Frequency Data," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 116-141, June.
- Ke Yang & Langnan Chen, 2014. "Realized Volatility Forecast: Structural Breaks, Long Memory, Asymmetry, and Day-of-the-Week Effect," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 14(3), pages 345-392, September.
- Xuan Yao & Xiaofeng Hui & Kaican Kang, 2021. "Can night trading sessions improve forecasting performance of gold futures' volatility in China?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 849-860, August.
- Vít Bubák & Filip Žikeš, 2009. "Distribution and Dynamics of Central-European Exchange Rates: Evidence from Intraday Data," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 59(4), pages 334-359, Oktober.
- Ding, Yi & Kambouroudis, Dimos & McMillan, David G., 2021. "Forecasting realised volatility: Does the LASSO approach outperform HAR?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Nicholas Taylor, 2015. "Realized volatility forecasting in an international context," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(6), pages 503-509, April.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis & Spyros Xanthopoulos - Sissinis & Apostolos P. Refenes, 2012. "Stock index Value-at-Risk forecasting: A realized volatility extreme value theory approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(1), pages 981-991.
- Philip L. H. Yu & W. K. Li & F. C. Ng, 2017. "The Generalized Conditional Autoregressive Wishart Model for Multivariate Realized Volatility," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 513-527, October.
- Jonathan R. Stroud & Michael S. Johannes, 2014. "Bayesian Modeling and Forecasting of 24-Hour High-Frequency Volatility," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 109(508), pages 1368-1384, December.
- Ahoniemi, Katja & Lanne, Markku, 2013. "Overnight stock returns and realized volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 592-604.
- Naimoli, Antonio & Gerlach, Richard & Storti, Giuseppe, 2022. "Improving the accuracy of tail risk forecasting models by combining several realized volatility estimators," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
- Dimitrios Louzis & Spyros Xanthopoulos-Sisinis & Apostolos Refenes, 2011.
"Stock index realized volatility forecasting in the presence of heterogeneous leverage effects and long range dependence in the volatility of realized volatility,"
Post-Print
hal-00709559, HAL.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis & Spyros Xanthopoulos-Sisinis & Apostolos P. Refenes, 2012. "Stock index realized volatility forecasting in the presence of heterogeneous leverage effects and long range dependence in the volatility of realized volatility," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(27), pages 3533-3550, September.
- Luo, Jiawen & Wang, Shengquan, 2019. "The asymmetric high-frequency volatility transmission across international stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 104-109.
- Heinen, Florian & Willert, Juliane, 2011. "Monitoring a change in persistence of a long range dependent time series," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-479, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2007. "Realized Correlation Tick-by-Tick," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2007 2007-02, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
- Mykland, Per A. & Zhang, Lan, 2016. "Between data cleaning and inference: Pre-averaging and robust estimators of the efficient price," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(2), pages 242-262.
- Eric. W. K. See-To & Yang Yang, 2017. "Market sentiment dispersion and its effects on stock return and volatility," Electronic Markets, Springer;IIM University of St. Gallen, vol. 27(3), pages 283-296, August.
- Xin Du & Kai Moriyama & Kumiko Tanaka-Ishii, 2023. "Co-Training Realized Volatility Prediction Model with Neural Distributional Transformation," Papers 2310.14536, arXiv.org.
- Mike Buckle & Jing Chen & Julian Williams, 2014. "How Predictable Are Equity Covariance Matrices? Evidence from High‐Frequency Data for Four Markets," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(7), pages 542-557, November.
- Chen, Zhonglu & Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Is investor sentiment stronger than VIX and uncertainty indices in predicting energy volatility?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Wang, Jianxin, 2013. "Liquidity commonality among Asian equity markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 1209-1231.
- Czado, Claudia & Ivanov, Eugen & Okhrin, Yarema, 2019. "Modelling temporal dependence of realized variances with vines," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 198-216.
- Xiangjin B. Chen & Jiti Gao & Degui Li & Param Silvapulle, 2018. "Nonparametric Estimation and Forecasting for Time-Varying Coefficient Realized Volatility Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 88-100, January.
- Danyan Wen & Mengxi He & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of Chinese stock market: A simple but efficient truncated approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 230-251, March.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Menelaos Karanasos & Stavroula Yfanti, 2019. "Macro-Financial Linkages in the High-Frequency Domain: The Effects of Uncertainty on Realized Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 8000, CESifo.
- Massimiliano Frezza & Sergio Bianchi & Augusto Pianese, 2022. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk in turbulent stock markets via the local regularity of the price process," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 99-132, January.
- Haugom, Erik & Westgaard, Sjur & Solibakke, Per Bjarte & Lien, Gudbrand, 2011. "Realized volatility and the influence of market measures on predictability: Analysis of Nord Pool forward electricity data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1206-1215.
- Barbaglia, Luca & Croux, Christophe & Wilms, Ines, 2020. "Volatility spillovers in commodity markets: A large t-vector autoregressive approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Wang, Yudong & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng, 2016. "Forecasting realized volatility in a changing world: A dynamic model averaging approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 136-149.
- Fulvio Corsi & Gilles Zumbach & Ulrich Müller & Michel Dacorogna, 2004.
"Consistent high-precision volatility from high-frequency data,"
Finance
0407005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Fulvio Corsi & Gilles Zumbach & Ulrich A. Muller & Michel M. Dacorogna, 2001. "Consistent High-precision Volatility from High-frequency Data," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 30(2), pages 183-204, July.
Cited by:
- T. Di Matteo & T. Aste & Michel M. Dacorogna, 2004.
"Using the Scaling Analysis to Characterize Financial Markets,"
Finance
0402014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- T. Di Matteo & T. Aste & M. M. Dacorogna, 2003. "Using the Scaling Analysis to Characterize Financial Markets," Papers cond-mat/0302434, arXiv.org.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2014.
"Intra-Day Realized Volatility for European and USA Stock Indices,"
MPRA Paper
64940, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jan 2015.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2016. "Intra-day realized volatility for European and USA stock indices," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 24-41.
- Tim Bollerslev & Uta Kretschmer & Christian Pigorsch & George Tauchen, 2010.
"A Discrete-Time Model for Daily S&P500 Returns and Realized Variations: Jumps and Leverage Effects,"
Working Papers
10-06, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Kretschmer, Uta & Pigorsch, Christian & Tauchen, George, 2009. "A discrete-time model for daily S & P500 returns and realized variations: Jumps and leverage effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 151-166, June.
- Tim Bollerslev & Uta Kretschmer & Christian Pigorsch & George Tauchen, 2007. "A Discrete-Time Model for Daily S&P500 Returns and Realized Variations: Jumps and Leverage Effects," CREATES Research Papers 2007-22, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kim Christensen & Roel Oomen & Mark Podolskij, 2009.
"Realised Quantile-Based Estimation of the Integrated Variance,"
CREATES Research Papers
2009-27, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kim Christensen & Roel Oomen & Mark Podolskij, 2010. "Realised quantile-based estimation of the integrated variance," Post-Print hal-00732538, HAL.
- Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel & Podolskij, Mark, 2010. "Realised quantile-based estimation of the integrated variance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 74-98, November.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2006. "Volatility and Correlation Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 777-878, Elsevier.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2002.
"Parametric and Nonparametric Volatility Measurement,"
Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers
02-27, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2002. "Parametric and Nonparametric Volatility Measurement," NBER Technical Working Papers 0279, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- David Mcmillan & Alan Speight, 2008. "Long-memory in high-frequency exchange rate volatility under temporal aggregation," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 251-261.
- Basel M. A. Awartani, 2008. "Forecasting volatility with noisy jumps: an application to the Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 267-278.
- Alexander Saichev & Didier Sornette & Vladimir Filimonov & Fulvio Corsi, 2009. "Homogeneous Volatility Bridge Estimators," Papers 0912.1617, arXiv.org.
- Jonathan Dark, 2004. "Long memory in the volatility of the Australian All Ordinaries Index and the Share Price Index futures," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 5/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Francis X. Diebold,, 2003.
"Some Like it Smooth, and Some Like it Rough: Untangling Continuous and Jump Components in Measuring, Modeling, and Forecasting Asset Return Volatility,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2003/35, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2003. "Some Like it Smooth, and Some Like it Rough: Untangling Continuous and Jump Components in Measuring, Modeling, and Forecasting Asset Return Volatility," PIER Working Paper Archive 03-025, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 01 Sep 2003.
- Aktas, Osman Ulas & Kryzanowski, Lawrence & Zhang, Jie, 2021. "Volatility spillover around price limits in an emerging market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
- Gilles Zumbach, 2004. "How the trading activity scales with the company sizes in the FTSE 100," Papers cond-mat/0407769, arXiv.org.
- Barucci, Emilio & Reno, Roberto, 2002. "On measuring volatility and the GARCH forecasting performance," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 183-200, July.
- Matteo, T. Di & Aste, T. & Dacorogna, Michel M., 2005.
"Long-term memories of developed and emerging markets: Using the scaling analysis to characterize their stage of development,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 827-851, April.
- T. Di Matteo & T. Aste & Michel M. Dacorogna, 2005. "Long-term memories of developed and emerging markets: Using the scaling analysis to characterize their stage of development," Econometrics 0503004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- T. Di Matteo & T. Aste & M. M. Dacorogna, 2004. "Long term memories of developed and emerging markets: using the scaling analysis to characterize their stage of development," Papers cond-mat/0403681, arXiv.org.
- Gilles Zumbach, 2004. "How trading activity scales with company size in the FTSE 100," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 441-456.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2007.
"Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling, and Forecasting of Return Volatility,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 89(4), pages 701-720, November.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Roughing it Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling and Forecasting of Return Volatility," NBER Working Papers 11775, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold, 2007. "Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling and Forecasting of Return Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2007-18, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Uppal, Raman & DeMiguel, Victor & Plyakha, Yuliya & Vilkov, Grigory, 2010.
"Improving Portfolio Selection Using Option-Implied Volatility and Skewness,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7686, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- DeMiguel, Victor & Plyakha, Yuliya & Uppal, Raman & Vilkov, Grigory, 2013. "Improving Portfolio Selection Using Option-Implied Volatility and Skewness," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 48(6), pages 1813-1845, December.
- Shcherba, Alexandr, 2014. "Comparing «Realized volatility» models in the VaR calculation for the Russian equity market," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 34(2), pages 120-136.
- Simone Bianco & Roberto Reno, 2009. "Unexpected volatility and intraday serial correlation," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(4), pages 465-475.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Dobrev, Dobrislav, 2007.
"No-arbitrage semi-martingale restrictions for continuous-time volatility models subject to leverage effects, jumps and i.i.d. noise: Theory and testable distributional implications,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 125-180, May.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Dobrislav Dobrev, 2007. "No-Arbitrage Semi-Martingale Restrictions for Continuous-Time Volatility Models subject to Leverage Effects, Jumps and i.i.d. Noise: Theory and Testable Distributional Implications," NBER Working Papers 12963, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Eugenie Hol & Siem Jan Koopman & Borus Jungbacker, 2004.
"Forecasting daily variability of the S\&P 100 stock index using historical, realised and implied volatility measurements,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2004
342, Society for Computational Economics.
- Koopman, Siem Jan & Jungbacker, Borus & Hol, Eugenie, 2005. "Forecasting daily variability of the S&P 100 stock index using historical, realised and implied volatility measurements," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 445-475, June.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Borus Jungbacker & Eugenie Hol, 2004. "Forecasting Daily Variability of the S&P 100 Stock Index using Historical, Realised and Implied Volatility Measurements," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 04-016/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Ahmed, Mohamed Shaker & El-Masry, Ahmed A. & Al-Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Kumar, Satish, 2024. "Cryptocurrency volatility: A review, synthesis, and research agenda," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Jin-Huei Yeh & Jying-Nan Wang & Chung-Ming Kuan, 2014. "A noise-robust estimator of volatility based on interquantile ranges," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 43(4), pages 751-779, November.
- Bertrand B. Maillet & Thierry L. Michel, 2005.
"The Impact of the 9/11 Events on the American and French Stock Markets,"
Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(3), pages 597-611, August.
- Bertrand Maillet & Thierry Michel, 2005. "The Impact of the 9/11 Events on the American and French Stock Markets," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00308978, HAL.
- Marina Theodosiou, 2010. "Calendar Time Sampling of High Frequency Financial Asset Price and the Verdict on Jumps," Working Papers 2010-7, Central Bank of Cyprus.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2005.
"Volatility forecasting,"
CFS Working Paper Series
2005/08, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Volatility Forecasting," NBER Working Papers 11188, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Volatility Forecasting," PIER Working Paper Archive 05-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Realised power variation and stochastic volatility models," Economics Papers 2001-W18, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Hansen, Peter R. & Lunde, Asger, 2006. "Realized Variance and Market Microstructure Noise," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 127-161, April.
- Oomen, Roel C. A., 2004. "Modelling realized variance when returns are serially correlated [Modellierung realisierter Varianz bei autokorrelierten Erträgen]," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Market Processes and Governance SP II 2004-11, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
- Simone Bianco & Roberto Ren'o, 2006. "Unexpected volatility and intraday serial correlation," Papers physics/0610023, arXiv.org.
- Philippe Masset & Martin Wallmeier, 2010. "A High†Frequency Investigation of the Interaction between Volatility and DAX Returns," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 16(3), pages 327-344, June.
- Thomas Kraus & Heinz Zimmermann, 2002. "Stock Option Listings:Information versus Liquidity Effects," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 138(I), pages 83-97, March.
- A. Saichev & D. Sornette & V. Filimonov & F. Corsi, 2014. "Bridge homogeneous volatility estimators," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 87-99, January.
- Matei, Marius, 2011. "Non-Linear Volatility Modeling of Economic and Financial Time Series Using High Frequency Data," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 116-141, June.
- Ysusi Carla, 2007. "Multipower Variation Under Market Microstructure Effects," Working Papers 2007-13, Banco de México.
- Asger Lunde & Peter Reinhard Hansen, 2004. "Realized Variance and IID Market Microstructure Noise," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 526, Econometric Society.
- Buckle, Mike & Chen, Jing & Guo, Qian & Tong, Chen, 2018. "Do ETFs lead the price moves? Evidence from the major US markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 91-103.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Zhang, Benjamin Y. B., 2003. "Measuring and modeling systematic risk in factor pricing models using high-frequency data," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 10(5), pages 533-558, December.
- Marcel Dettling & Peter Buhlmann, 2004. "Volatility and risk estimation with linear and nonlinear methods based on high frequency data," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(10), pages 717-729.
Articles
- Corsi, Fulvio & Fusari, Nicola & La Vecchia, Davide, 2013.
"Realizing smiles: Options pricing with realized volatility,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(2), pages 284-304.
Cited by:
- Audrino, Francesco & Fengler, Matthias, 2013.
"Are classical option pricing models consistent with observed option second-order moments? Evidence from high-frequency data,"
Economics Working Paper Series
1311, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Audrino, Francesco & Fengler, Matthias R., 2015. "Are classical option pricing models consistent with observed option second-order moments? Evidence from high-frequency data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 46-63.
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Chen Tong, 2024. "Fractional Moments by the Moment-Generating Function," Papers 2410.23587, arXiv.org.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-02505861, HAL.
- Liu, Qing & Wang, Shouyang & Sui, Cong, 2023. "Risk appetite and option prices: Evidence from the Chinese SSE50 options market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Peter Christoffersen & Bruno Feunou & Yoontae Jeon, 2014.
"Option Valuation with Observable Volatility and Jump Dynamics,"
CREATES Research Papers
2015-07, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Peter Christoffersen & Bruno Feunou & Yoontae Jeon, 2015. "Option Valuation with Observable Volatility and Jump Dynamics," Staff Working Papers 15-39, Bank of Canada.
- Christoffersen, Peter & Feunou, Bruno & Jeon, Yoontae, 2015. "Option valuation with observable volatility and jump dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 101-120.
- Yu-Hua Zeng & Shou-Lei Wang & Yu-Fei Yang, 2014. "Calibration of the Volatility in Option Pricing Using the Total Variation Regularization," Journal of Applied Mathematics, Hindawi, vol. 2014, pages 1-9, March.
- Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2016.
"Intraday volatility interaction between the crude oil and equity markets,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-13.
- Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2015. "Intraday volatility interaction between the crude oil and equity markets," Working Papers fe_2015_14, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Chen Tong, 2024. "Convolution-t Distributions," Papers 2404.00864, arXiv.org.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Matteo Iacopini, 2018.
"Bayesian Markov Switching Tensor Regression for Time-varying Networks,"
Working Papers
2018:14, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Matteo Iacopini, 2024. "Bayesian Markov-Switching Tensor Regression for Time-Varying Networks," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 119(545), pages 109-121, January.
- Sévi, Benoît, 2014.
"Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 235(3), pages 643-659.
- Benoît Sévi, 2014. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data," Working Papers 2014-53, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Benoît Sévi, 2014. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data," Post-Print hal-01463921, HAL.
- Guo, Jingjun & Kang, Weiyi & Wang, Yubing, 2024. "Multi-perspective option price forecasting combining parametric and non-parametric pricing models with a new dynamic ensemble framework," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
- Luca Vincenzo Ballestra & Enzo D'Innocenzo & Christian Tezza, 2024. "GARCH option valuation with long-run and short-run volatility components: A novel framework ensuring positive variance," Papers 2410.14513, arXiv.org.
- Yan Liu & Xiong Zhang, 2023. "Option Pricing Using LSTM: A Perspective of Realized Skewness," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-21, January.
- Matteo Bonato & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2016.
"Gold Futures Returns and Realized Moments: A Forecasting Experiment Using a Quantile-Boosting Approach,"
Working Papers
201645, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Bonato, Matteo & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2018. "Gold futures returns and realized moments: A forecasting experiment using a quantile-boosting approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 196-212.
- Liu, Yi & Liu, Huifang & Zhang, Lei, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting return jumps using realized variation measures," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 63-80.
- Dario Alitab & Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi & Adam A. Majewski, 2019. "A realized volatility approach to option pricing with continuous and jump variance components," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 42(2), pages 639-664, December.
- Chorro, Christophe & Ielpo, Florian & Sévi, Benoît, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Gaoxiu Qiao & Gongyue Jiang, 2023. "VIX futures pricing based on high‐frequency VIX: A hybrid approach combining SVR with parametric models," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(9), pages 1238-1260, September.
- Bruno Feunou & Cédric Okou, 2017.
"Good Volatility, Bad Volatility and Option Pricing,"
Staff Working Papers
17-52, Bank of Canada.
- Feunou, Bruno & Okou, Cédric, 2019. "Good Volatility, Bad Volatility, and Option Pricing," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 54(2), pages 695-727, April.
- Ubukata, Masato & Watanabe, Toshiaki, 2015. "Evaluating the performance of futures hedging using multivariate realized volatility," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 148-171.
- Fang Liang & Lingshan Du & Zhuo Huang, 2023. "Option pricing with overnight and intraday volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(11), pages 1576-1614, November.
- Wang, Qi & Wang, Zerong, 2020. "VIX valuation and its futures pricing through a generalized affine realized volatility model with hidden components and jump," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Masato Ubukata & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2014. "Pricing Nikkei 225 Options Using Realized Volatility," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 65(4), pages 431-467, December.
- Seo, Sung Won & Kim, Jun Sik, 2015. "The information content of option-implied information for volatility forecasting with investor sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 106-120.
- Ubukata, Masato, 2018. "Dynamic hedging performance and downside risk: Evidence from Nikkei index futures," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 270-281.
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Zhuo Huang & Chen Tong & Tianyi Wang, 2024.
"Realized GARCH, CBOE VIX, and the Volatility Risk Premium,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(1), pages 187-223.
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Zhuo Huang & Chen Tong & Tianyi Wang, 2021. "Realized GARCH, CBOE VIX, and the Volatility Risk Premium," Papers 2112.05302, arXiv.org.
- Arnaud Dufays & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts, 2016.
"Sparse Change-point HAR Models for Realized Variance,"
Cahiers de recherche
1607, Centre de recherche sur les risques, les enjeux économiques, et les politiques publiques.
- Arnaud Dufays & Jeroen V. K. Rombouts, 2019. "Sparse Change-point HAR Models for Realized Variance," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(8), pages 857-880, September.
- Qi Wang & Zerong Wang, 2021. "VIX futures and its closed‐form pricing through an affine GARCH model with realized variance," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 135-156, January.
- Wilms, Ines & Rombouts, Jeroen & Croux, Christophe, 2021. "Multivariate volatility forecasts for stock market indices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 484-499.
- Hallin, Marc & La Vecchia, Davide, 2017. "R-estimation in semiparametric dynamic location-scale models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 233-247.
- Oh, Dong Hwan & Park, Yang-Ho, 2023. "GARCH option pricing with volatility derivatives," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Chen Tong, 2022. "Option Pricing with Time-Varying Volatility Risk Aversion," Papers 2204.06943, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Vladimír Holý & Petra Tomanová, 2023. "Streaming Approach to Quadratic Covariation Estimation Using Financial Ultra-High-Frequency Data," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(1), pages 463-485, June.
- Sergii Pypko, 2015. "Volatility Forecast in Crises and Expansions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-26, August.
- Diego Amaya & Peter Christoffersen & Kris Jacobs & Aurelio Vasquez, 2013.
"Does Realized Skewness Predict the Cross-Section of Equity Returns?,"
CREATES Research Papers
2013-41, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Amaya, Diego & Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Vasquez, Aurelio, 2015. "Does realized skewness predict the cross-section of equity returns?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 135-167.
- Xu Cheng & Eric Renault & Paul Sangrey, 2024. "Identifying the Volatility Risk Price Through the Leverage Effect," PIER Working Paper Archive 24-013, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Benschop, Thijs & López Cabrera, Brenda, 2017. "Realized volatility of CO2 futures," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-025, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Majewski, Adam A. & Bormetti, Giacomo & Corsi, Fulvio, 2015. "Smile from the past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 521-531.
- Papantonis, Ioannis & Rompolis, Leonidas & Tzavalis, Elias, 2023. "Improving variance forecasts: The role of Realized Variance features," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1221-1237.
- Hongkai Cao & Alexandru Badescu & Zhenyu Cui & Sarath Kumar Jayaraman, 2020. "Valuation of VIX and target volatility options with affine GARCH models," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(12), pages 1880-1917, December.
- Zhuo Huang & Chen Tong & Tianyi Wang, 2019. "VIX term structure and VIX futures pricing with realized volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 72-93, January.
- Gong, Xiao-Li & Liu, Jian-Min & Xiong, Xiong & Zhang, Wei, 2022. "Research on stock volatility risk and investor sentiment contagion from the perspective of multi-layer dynamic network," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-02505861, HAL.
- Chen Tong & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Zhuo Huang, 2021.
"Option Pricing with State-dependent Pricing Kernel,"
Papers
2112.05308, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2022.
- Chen Tong & Peter Reinhard Hansen & Zhuo Huang, 2022. "Option pricing with state‐dependent pricing kernel," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 1409-1433, August.
- Recchioni, Maria Cristina & Iori, Giulia & Tedeschi, Gabriele & Ouellette, Michelle S., 2021. "The complete Gaussian kernel in the multi-factor Heston model: Option pricing and implied volatility applications," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(1), pages 336-360.
- Chen, Jilong & Xu, Liao & Xu, Hao, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 on commodity options market: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Campos, I. & Cortazar, G. & Reyes, T., 2017. "Modeling and predicting oil VIX: Internet search volume versus traditional mariables," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 194-204.
- Yang, Cai & Gong, Xu & Zhang, Hongwei, 2019. "Volatility forecasting of crude oil futures: The role of investor sentiment and leverage effect," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 548-563.
- Tianyi Wang & Sicong Cheng & Fangsheng Yin & Mei Yu, 2022. "Overnight volatility, realized volatility, and option pricing," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1264-1283, July.
- Gongyue Jiang & Gaoxiu Qiao & Feng Ma & Lu Wang, 2022. "Directly pricing VIX futures with observable dynamic jumps based on high‐frequency VIX," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 1518-1548, August.
- Robert Brooks & Joshua A. Brooks, 2017. "An Option Valuation Framework Based On Arithmetic Brownian Motion: Justification And Implementation Issues," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 401-427, September.
- Zhiyuan Pan & Yudong Wang & Li Liu, 2021. "Realized bipower variation, jump components, and option valuation," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(12), pages 1933-1958, December.
- Fang Liang & Lingshan Du, 2024. "Option pricing with dynamic conditional skewness," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(7), pages 1154-1188, July.
- Yoontae Jeon & Thomas H. McCurdy, 2017. "Time-Varying Window Length for Correlation Forecasts," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-29, December.
- Qiao, Gaoxiu & Yang, Jiyu & Li, Weiping, 2020. "VIX forecasting based on GARCH-type model with observable dynamic jumps: A new perspective," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
- Marc Hallin & Davide La Vecchia, 2014. "Semiparametrically Efficient R-Estimation for Dynamic Location-Scale Models," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-45, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Ziegelmann, Flávio Augusto & Borges, Bruna & Caldeira, João F., 2015. "Selection of Minimum Variance Portfolio Using Intraday Data: An Empirical Comparison Among Different Realized Measures for BM&FBovespa Data," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 35(1), October.
- Qiao, Gaoxiu & Jiang, Gongyue & Yang, Jiyu, 2022. "VIX term structure forecasting: New evidence based on the realized semi-variances," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Francesca Lilla, 2021. "Volatility Bursts: A discrete-time option model with multiple volatility components," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1336, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Fuentes, Fernanda & Herrera, Rodrigo & Clements, Adam, 2023. "Forecasting extreme financial risk: A score-driven approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 720-735.
- Xin Du & Kai Moriyama & Kumiko Tanaka-Ishii, 2023. "Co-Training Realized Volatility Prediction Model with Neural Distributional Transformation," Papers 2310.14536, arXiv.org.
- Minxian Yang, 2014. "The Risk Return Relationship: Evidence from Index Return and Realised Variance Series," Discussion Papers 2014-16, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Fangsheng Yin & Yang Bian & Tianyi Wang, 2021. "A short cut: Directly pricing VIX futures with discrete‐time long memory model and asymmetric jumps," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 458-477, April.
- Augustyniak, Maciej & Badescu, Alexandru & Bégin, Jean-François, 2023. "A discrete-time hedging framework with multiple factors and fat tails: On what matters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 416-444.
- Christian Bayer & Peter Friz & Jim Gatheral, 2016. "Pricing under rough volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(6), pages 887-904, June.
- Yang, Minxian, 2019. "The risk return relationship: Evidence from index returns and realised variances," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-1.
- Audrino, Francesco & Fengler, Matthias, 2013.
"Are classical option pricing models consistent with observed option second-order moments? Evidence from high-frequency data,"
Economics Working Paper Series
1311, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2012.
"Realized Covariance Tick-by-Tick in Presence of Rounded Time Stamps and General Microstructure Effects,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 10(4), pages 591-616, September.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2008. "Realized Covariance Tick-by-Tick in Presence of Rounded Time Stamps and General Microstructure Effects," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2008 2008-04, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
- Fulvio Corsi & Roberto Renò, 2012.
"Discrete-Time Volatility Forecasting With Persistent Leverage Effect and the Link With Continuous-Time Volatility Modeling,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 368-380, January.
Cited by:
- Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "The incremental information content of investor fear gauge for volatility forecasting in the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 370-386.
- Márcio Gomes Pinto Garcia & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros & Francisco Eduardo de Luna e Almeida Santos, 2014.
"Economic gains of realized volatility in the Brazilian stock market,"
Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 12(3), pages 319-349.
- Marcio Garcia & Marcelo Medeiros & Francisco Eduardo de Luna e Almeida Santos, 2014. "Economic gains of realized volatility in the Brazilian stock market," Textos para discussão 624, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2019.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility of Agricultural Commodities,"
MPRA Paper
96267, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of agricultural commodities," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 74-96.
- Chao Liang & Yin Liao & Feng Ma & Bo Zhu, 2022. "United States Oil Fund volatility prediction: the roles of leverage effect and jumps," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2239-2262, May.
- Byun, Suk Joon & Kim, Jun Sik, 2013. "The information content of risk-neutral skewness for volatility forecasting," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 142-161.
- Demirer, Riza & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019.
"Time-varying risk aversion and realized gold volatility,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Realized Gold Volatility," Working Papers 201881, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Kim Christensen & Mathias Siggaard & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2021.
"A machine learning approach to volatility forecasting,"
CREATES Research Papers
2021-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kim Christensen & Mathias Siggaard & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2023. "A Machine Learning Approach to Volatility Forecasting," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(5), pages 1680-1727.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019.
"The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures,"
Working Papers
201925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Asai, M. & Gupta, R. & McAleer, M.J., 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2019-16, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of jumps and leverage in forecasting the co-volatility of oil and gold futures," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-12, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-17, September.
- Thilo A. Schmitt & Rudi Schafer & Holger Dette & Thomas Guhr, 2015. "Quantile Correlations: Uncovering temporal dependencies in financial time series," Papers 1507.04990, arXiv.org.
- Sangwon Suh & Eungyu Yoo & Sun‐Joong Yoon, 2021. "Stock market tail risk, tail risk premia, and return predictability," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(10), pages 1569-1596, October.
- Duan, Yinying & Chen, Wang & Zeng, Qing & Liu, Zhicao, 2018. "Leverage effect, economic policy uncertainty and realized volatility with regime switching," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 493(C), pages 148-154.
- Robinson Kruse & Christian Leschinski & Michael Will, 2016.
"Comparing Predictive Accuracy under Long Memory - With an Application to Volatility Forecasting,"
CREATES Research Papers
2016-17, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kruse, Robinson & Leschinski, Christian & Will, Michael, 2016. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy under Long Memory - With an Application to Volatility Forecasting," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-571, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2017. "Forecasting realized volatility: HAR against Principal Components Combining, neural networks and GARCH," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 824-839.
- Eleftheria Kafousaki & Stavros Degiannakis, 2023.
"Forecasting VIX: the illusion of forecast evaluation criteria,"
Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 231-240.
- Stavros Degiannakis & Eleftheria Kafousaki, 2023. "Forecasting VIX: The illusion of forecast evaluation criteria," Working Papers 322, Bank of Greece.
- Fei Su & Lei Wang, 2020. "Conditional Volatility Persistence and Realized Volatility Asymmetry: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(14), pages 3252-3269, November.
- Bégin, Jean-François & Sanders, Barbara, 2024. "Benefit volatility-targeting strategies in lifetime pension pools," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 72-94.
- Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Joao Henrique Mazzeu & Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2017.
"A Bootstrap Approach for Generalized Autocontour Testing. Implications for VIX Forecast Densities,"
Working Papers
201709, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- João Henrique G. Mazzeu & Gloria González-Rivera & Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2020. "A bootstrap approach for generalized Autocontour testing Implications for VIX forecast densities," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(10), pages 971-990, November.
- Dehua Shen & Andrew Urquhart & Pengfei Wang, 2020. "Forecasting the volatility of Bitcoin: The importance of jumps and structural breaks," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(5), pages 1294-1323, November.
- Clements, A.E. & Hurn, A.S. & Volkov, V.V., 2015. "Volatility transmission in global financial markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 3-18.
- Shi Yafeng & Yanlong Shi & Ying Tingting, 2024. "Can technical indicators based on underlying assets help to predict implied volatility index," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 57-74, January.
- Majewski, A. A. & Bormetti, G. & Corsi, F., 2013. "Smile from the Past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components," Working Papers 13/11, Department of Economics, City University London.
- Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos & Tsionas, Mike, 2019. "Ordinal-response GARCH models for transaction data: A forecasting exercise," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1273-1287.
- Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel C.A. & Podolskij, Mark, 2014.
"Fact or friction: Jumps at ultra high frequency,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 576-599.
- Kim Christensen & Roel Oomen & Mark Podolskij, 2011. "Fact or friction: Jumps at ultra high frequency," CREATES Research Papers 2011-19, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Diego Amaya & Jean-François Bégin & Geneviève Gauthier, 2022. "The Informational Content of High-Frequency Option Prices," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2166-2201, March.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Todorova, Neda, 2017. "Volatility forecasting of non-ferrous metal futures: Covariances, covariates or combinations?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 228-247.
- Luo, Jiawen & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas & Ji, Qiang, 2021.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility of Crude Oil Futures Prices based on Machine Learning,"
QBS Working Paper Series
2021/04, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
- Jiawen Luo & Tony Klein & Thomas Walther & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Forecasting realized volatility of crude oil futures prices based on machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1422-1446, August.
- Harvey, Andrew & Palumbo, Dario, 2023.
"Score-driven models for realized volatility,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Harvey, A. & Palumbo, D., 2019. "Score-Driven Models for Realized Volatility," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1950, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Tsai, Ping Chen & Eom, Cheoljun & Wang, Chou Wen, 2024. "State-dependent intra-day volatility pattern and its impact on price jump detection - Evidence from international equity indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
- Eduardo Astorino & Fernando Chague, Bruno Cara Giovannetti, Marcos Eugênio da Silva, 2015.
"Variance Premium and Implied Volatility in a Low-Liquidity Option Market,"
Working Papers, Department of Economics
2015_08, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
- Astorino, Eduardo & Chague, Fernando & Giovannetti, Bruno Cara & da Silva, Marcos Eugênio, 2017. "Variance Premium and Implied Volatility in a Low-Liquidity Option Market," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 71(1), May.
- Bergsli, Lykke Øverland & Lind, Andrea Falk & Molnár, Peter & Polasik, Michał, 2022. "Forecasting volatility of Bitcoin," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Oliver Linton & Yoon-Jae Whang & Yu-Min Yen, 2013.
"A nonparametric test of a strong leverage hypothesis,"
CeMMAP working papers
28/13, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Oliver Linton & Yoon-Jae Whang & Yu-Min Yen, 2013. "A nonparametric test of a strong leverage hypothesis," CeMMAP working papers CWP28/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Linton, Oliver & Whang, Yoon-Jae & Yen, Yu-Min, 2016. "A nonparametric test of a strong leverage hypothesis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(1), pages 153-186.
- Dario Alitab & Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi & Adam A. Majewski, 2019. "A realized volatility approach to option pricing with continuous and jump variance components," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 42(2), pages 639-664, December.
- Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2018.
"Indirect inference with time series observed with error,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(6), pages 874-897, September.
- Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2014. "Indirect inference with time series observed with error," CREATES Research Papers 2014-57, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Luo, Jiawen & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony & Todorova, Neda & Zhang, Dayong, 2020. "On realized volatility of crude oil futures markets: Forecasting with exogenous predictors under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- Han, Seung-Oh & Huh, Sahn-Wook & Park, Jeayoung, 2023. "Detecting jumps amidst prevalent zero returns: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury securities," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 276-307.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "Predicting risk in energy markets: Low-frequency data still matter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
- Korkusuz, Burak & Kambouroudis, Dimos & McMillan, David G., 2023. "Do extreme range estimators improve realized volatility forecasts? Evidence from G7 Stock Markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
- Nikitopoulos, Christina Sklibosios & Thomas, Alice Carole & Wang, Jianxin, 2023. "The economic impact of daily volatility persistence on energy markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
- Dimos Kambouroudis & David McMillan & Katerina Tsakou, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Volatility: The role of implied volatility, leverage effect, overnight returns and volatility of realized volatility," Working Papers 2019-03, Swansea University, School of Management.
- Eric Hillebrand & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2012.
"Nonlinearity, Breaks, and Long-Range Dependence in Time-Series Models,"
CREATES Research Papers
2012-30, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Eric Hillebrand & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2016. "Nonlinearity, Breaks, and Long-Range Dependence in Time-Series Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 23-41, January.
- Maki, Daiki, 2024. "Forecasting downside and upside realized volatility: The role of asymmetric information," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
- Wang, Jianxin, 2022. "Market distraction and near-zero daily volatility persistence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Buncic, Daniel & Gisler, Katja I.M., 2016.
"Global equity market volatility spillovers: A broader role for the United States,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1317-1339.
- Buncic, Daniel & Gisler, Katja I. M., 2015. "Global Equity Market Volatility Spillovers: A Broader Role for the United States," Economics Working Paper Series 1508, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- A Clements & D Preve, 2019.
"A Practical Guide to Harnessing the HAR Volatility Model,"
NCER Working Paper Series
120, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Clements, Adam & Preve, Daniel P.A., 2021. "A Practical Guide to harnessing the HAR volatility model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- Christian Conrad & Robert F. Engle, 2021. "Modelling Volatility Cycles: The (MF)2 GARCH Model," Working Paper series 21-05, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Thomas Dimpfl & Tobias Langen, 2019. "How Unemployment Affects Bond Prices: A Mixed Frequency Google Nowcasting Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 551-573, August.
- Hassanniakalager, Arman & Baker, Paul L. & Platanakis, Emmanouil, 2024. "A False Discovery Rate approach to optimal volatility forecasting model selection," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 881-902.
- Mei, Dexiang & Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Chen, Wang, 2017. "Forecasting stock market volatility: Do realized skewness and kurtosis help?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 481(C), pages 153-159.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2014.
"Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction,"
CEIS Research Paper
319, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 30 Jul 2014.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2015. "Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction," CREATES Research Papers 2015-51, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Proietti, Tommaso, 2014. "Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction," MPRA Paper 57230, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jozef Barunik & Michael Ellington, 2020.
"Persistence in Financial Connectedness and Systemic Risk,"
Papers
2007.07842, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
- Baruník, Jozef & Ellington, Michael, 2024. "Persistence in financial connectedness and systemic risk," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 314(1), pages 393-407.
- Seo, Sung Won & Kim, Jun Sik, 2015. "The information content of option-implied information for volatility forecasting with investor sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 106-120.
- Klein, Tony & Todorova, Neda, 2019. "Night Trading with Futures in China: The Case of Aluminum and Copper," QBS Working Paper Series 2019/06, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
- Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2018. "Structural breaks and volatility forecasting in the copper futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 290-339, March.
- Bent Jesper Christensen & Mads Markvart Kjær & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2021.
"The incremental information in the yield curve about future interest rate risk,"
CREATES Research Papers
2021-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Christensen, Bent Jesper & Kjær, Mads Markvart & Veliyev, Bezirgen, 2023. "The incremental information in the yield curve about future interest rate risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
- Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2023. "Discovering the drivers of stock market volatility in a data-rich world," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Qu, Hui & Duan, Qingling & Niu, Mengyi, 2018. "Modeling the volatility of realized volatility to improve volatility forecasts in electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 767-776.
- Papantonis Ioannis & Rompolis Leonidas S. & Tzavalis Elias & Agapitos Orestis, 2023. "Augmenting the Realized-GARCH: the role of signed-jumps, attenuation-biases and long-memory effects," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(2), pages 171-198, April.
- Zhu, Xuehong & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhong, Meirui, 2017. "Volatility forecasting using high frequency data: The role of after-hours information and leverage effects," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 58-70.
- Anupam Dutta & Kakali Kanjilal & Sajal Ghosh & Donghyun Park & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2023. "Impact of crude oil volatility jumps on sustainable investments: Evidence from India," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(10), pages 1450-1468, October.
- Buncic, Daniel & Stern, Cord, 2019.
"Forecast ranked tailored equity portfolios,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Buncic, Daniel & Stern, Cord, 2018. "Forecast ranked tailored equity portfolios," MPRA Paper 90382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dimos S. Kambouroudis & David G. McMillan & Katerina Tsakou, 2021. "Forecasting realized volatility: The role of implied volatility, leverage effect, overnight returns, and volatility of realized volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(10), pages 1618-1639, October.
- Stefano Grassi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2013.
"It’s all about volatility (of volatility): evidence from a two-factor stochastic volatility model,"
CREATES Research Papers
2013-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Grassi, Stefano & Santucci de Magistris, Paolo, 2015. "It's all about volatility of volatility: Evidence from a two-factor stochastic volatility model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 62-78.
- Stefano Grassi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2013. "It's all about volatility of volatility: evidence from a two-factor stochastic volatility model," Studies in Economics 1404, School of Economics, University of Kent.
- Rangika Peiris & Minh-Ngoc Tran & Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach, 2024. "Loss-based Bayesian Sequential Prediction of Value at Risk with a Long-Memory and Non-linear Realized Volatility Model," Papers 2408.13588, arXiv.org.
- Todorova, Neda & Worthington, Andrew & Souček, Michael, 2014. "Realized volatility spillovers in the non-ferrous metal futures market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 21-31.
- Maki, Daiki & Ota, Yasushi, 2021. "Impacts of asymmetry on forecasting realized volatility in Japanese stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
- Audrino, Francesco & Hu, Yujia, 2011.
"Volatility Forecasting: Downside Risk, Jumps and Leverage Effect,"
Economics Working Paper Series
1138, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Francesco Audrino & Yujia Hu, 2016. "Volatility Forecasting: Downside Risk, Jumps and Leverage Effect," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-24, February.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Francesco Poli, 2017. "Building News Measures from Textual Data and an Application to Volatility Forecasting," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-46, August.
- Yaojie Zhang & Mengxi He & Danyan Wen & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting Bitcoin volatility: A new insight from the threshold regression model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 633-652, April.
- Souček, Michael & Todorova, Neda, 2014. "Realized volatility transmission: The role of jumps and leverage effects," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(2), pages 111-115.
- Feng Ma & M. I. M. Wahab & Julien Chevallier & Ziyang Li, 2023. "A tug of war of forecasting the US stock market volatility: Oil futures overnight versus intraday information," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 60-75, January.
- Hui Qu & Ping Ji, 2016. "Modeling Realized Volatility Dynamics with a Genetic Algorithm," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(5), pages 434-444, August.
- Fei, Tianlun & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2021. "Herding and market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Jiqian Wang & Feng Ma & Chao Liang & Zhonglu Chen, 2022. "Volatility forecasting revisited using Markov‐switching with time‐varying probability transition," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1387-1400, January.
- Feng Ma & Chao Liang & Yuanhui Ma & M.I.M. Wahab, 2020. "Cryptocurrency volatility forecasting: A Markov regime‐switching MIDAS approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(8), pages 1277-1290, December.
- Aganin, Artem, 2017. "Forecast comparison of volatility models on Russian stock market," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 48, pages 63-84.
- Wen, Fenghua & Gong, Xu & Cai, Shenghua, 2016. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using HAR-type models with structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 400-413.
- Delis, Panagiotis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Giannopoulos, Kostantinos, 2021.
"What should be taken into consideration when forecasting oil implied volatility index?,"
MPRA Paper
110831, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Panagiotis Delis & Stavros Degiannakis & Konstantinos Giannopoulos, 2023. "What Should be Taken into Consideration when Forecasting Oil Implied Volatility Index?," The Energy Journal, , vol. 44(5), pages 231-250, September.
- Hoerova, Marie & Bekaert, Geert, 2014.
"The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility,"
Working Paper Series
1675, European Central Bank.
- Bekaert, Geert & Hoerova, Marie, 2014. "The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 183(2), pages 181-192.
- Geert Bekaert & Marie Hoerova, 2013. "The VIX, the Variance Premium and Stock Market Volatility," NBER Working Papers 18995, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Liu, Zhichao & Ma, Feng & Long, Yujia, 2015. "High and low or close to close prices? Evidence from the multifractal volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 427(C), pages 50-61.
- Xiao, Jihong & Wen, Fenghua & Zhao, Yupei & Wang, Xiong, 2021. "The role of US implied volatility index in forecasting Chinese stock market volatility: Evidence from HAR models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 311-333.
- Tomáš Plíhal, 2021. "Scheduled macroeconomic news announcements and Forex volatility forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1379-1397, December.
- Kaminska, Iryna & Roberts-Sklar, Matt, 2017.
"Volatility in equity markets and monetary policy rate uncertainty,"
Bank of England working papers
700, Bank of England.
- Kaminska, Iryna & Roberts-Sklar, Matt, 2018. "Volatility in equity markets and monetary policy rate uncertainty," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 68-83.
- Liu, Zhicao & Ye, Yong & Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing, 2017. "Can economic policy uncertainty help to forecast the volatility: A multifractal perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 181-188.
- Tianlun Fei & Xiaoquan Liu & Conghua Wen, 2023. "Forecasting stock return volatility: Realized volatility‐type or duration‐based estimators," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1594-1621, November.
- Majewski, Adam A. & Bormetti, Giacomo & Corsi, Fulvio, 2015. "Smile from the past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 521-531.
- Papantonis, Ioannis & Rompolis, Leonidas & Tzavalis, Elias, 2023. "Improving variance forecasts: The role of Realized Variance features," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1221-1237.
- Lin, Tiantian & Liu, Dehong & Zhang, Lili & Lung, Peter, 2019. "The information content of realized volatility of sector indices in China’s stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 625-640.
- Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "Structural changes and out-of-sample prediction of realized range-based variance in the stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 494(C), pages 27-39.
- Yide Wang & Chao Yu & Xujie Zhao, 2023. "Does herding effect help forecast market volatility?—Evidence from the Chinese stock market," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(5), pages 1275-1290, August.
- Xie, Nan & Wang, Zongrun & Chen, Sicen & Gong, Xu, 2019. "Forecasting downside risk in China’s stock market based on high-frequency data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 530-541.
- Christian Conrad & Onno Kleen, 2020. "Two are better than one: Volatility forecasting using multiplicative component GARCH‐MIDAS models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 19-45, January.
- Zongwu Cai & Chaoqun Ma & Xianhua Mi, 2020. "Realized Volatility Forecasting Based on Dynamic Quantile Model Averaging," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202016, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2020.
- Yuan, Ying & Zhang, Tonghui, 2020. "Forecasting stock market in high and low volatility periods: a modified multifractal volatility approach," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
- Fei, Tianlun & Liu, Xiaoquan & Wen, Conghua, 2019. "Cross-sectional return dispersion and volatility prediction," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Mathieu Rosenbaum & Jianfei Zhang, 2022. "On the universality of the volatility formation process: when machine learning and rough volatility agree," Papers 2206.14114, arXiv.org.
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Mammen, Enno & Vogt, Michael, 2013. "Additive modeling of realized variance: tests for parametric specifications and structural breaks," Economics Working Paper Series 1332, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Qadan, Mahmoud & Shuval, Kerem, 2022. "Variance risk and the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
- Yafeng Shi & Tingting Ying & Yanlong Shi & Chunrong Ai, 2020. "A comparison of conditional predictive ability of implied volatility and realized measures in forecasting volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 1025-1034, November.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2021. "What drives volatility of the U.S. oil and gas firms?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
- Fan, Lina & Yang, Hao & Zhai, Jia & Zhang, Xiaotao, 2023. "Forecasting stock volatility during the stock market crash period: The role of Hawkes process," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
- Nikola Radivojevic & Milena Cvjetkovic & Saša Stepanov, 2016. "The new hybrid value at risk approach based on the extreme value theory," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 43(1 Year 20), pages 29-52, June.
- Klein, Tony & Todorova, Neda, 2021. "Night trading with futures in China: The case of Aluminum and Copper," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Liu, Li & Zhang, Tao, 2015. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 99-105.
- Bauwens, Luc & Dzuverovic, Emilija & Hafner, Christian, 2024.
"Asymmetric Models for Realized Covariances,"
LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA
2024022, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
- Bauwens, Luc & Dzuverovic, Emilija & Hafner, Christian, 2024. "Asymmetric Models for Realized Covariances," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2024024, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Christophe Chorro & Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo & Hanjarivo Lalaharison, 2014.
"Testing for Leverage Effects in the Returns of US Equities,"
Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne
14022r, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Jan 2017.
- Christophe Chorro & Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo & Hanjarivo Lalaharison, 2017. "Testing for Leverage Effects in the Returns of US Equities," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00973922, HAL.
- Christophe Chorro & Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo & Hanjarivo Lalaharison, 2018. "Testing for leverage effects in the returns of US equities," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01917590, HAL.
- Chorro, Christophe & Guégan, Dominique & Ielpo, Florian & Lalaharison, Hanjarivo, 2018. "Testing for leverage effects in the returns of US equities," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 290-306.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Plíhal, Tomáš & Širaňová, Mária, 2020. "Impact of macroeconomic news, regulation and hacking exchange markets on the volatility of bitcoin," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
- Ran Xiao, 2019. "Essays on Price Discovery and Volatility Dynamics in Emerging Market Currencies," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 5-2019, January-A.
- Li, Zhao-Chen & Xie, Chi & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhu, You & Zeng, Zhi-Jian & Gong, Jue, 2024. "Forecasting global stock market volatilities: A shrinkage heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model with a large cross-market predictor set," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 673-711.
- Chao Liang & Yan Li & Feng Ma & Yaojie Zhang, 2022. "Forecasting international equity market volatility: A new approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1433-1457, November.
- Louzis, Dimitrios P. & Xanthopoulos-Sisinis, Spyros & Refenes, Apostolos P., 2014. "Realized volatility models and alternative Value-at-Risk prediction strategies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 101-116.
- Qu, Hui & Chen, Wei & Niu, Mengyi & Li, Xindan, 2016. "Forecasting realized volatility in electricity markets using logistic smooth transition heterogeneous autoregressive models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 68-76.
- Imene Ben El Hadj Said & Skander Slim, 2022. "The Dynamic Relationship between Investor Attention and Stock Market Volatility: International Evidence," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-25, February.
- Bee, Marco & Dupuis, Debbie J. & Trapin, Luca, 2016. "Realizing the extremes: Estimation of tail-risk measures from a high-frequency perspective," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 86-99.
- Yue Zhuo & Takayuki Morimoto, 2024. "A Hybrid Model for Forecasting Realized Volatility Based on Heterogeneous Autoregressive Model and Support Vector Regression," Risks, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-16, January.
- Morelli, Giacomo & Santucci de Magistris, Paolo, 2019. "Volatility tail risk under fractionality," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- Neda Todorova & Michael Soucek & Eduardo Roca, 2015. "Volatility spillovers from international commodity markets to the Australian equity market," Discussion Papers in Finance finance:201505, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
- Qu, Hui & Zhang, Yi, 2022. "Asymmetric multivariate HAR models for realized covariance matrix: A study based on volatility timing strategies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
- Souček, Michael & Todorova, Neda, 2013. "Realized volatility transmission between crude oil and equity futures markets: A multivariate HAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 586-597.
- Yang, Cai & Gong, Xu & Zhang, Hongwei, 2019. "Volatility forecasting of crude oil futures: The role of investor sentiment and leverage effect," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 548-563.
- Thilo A. Schmitt & Rudi Schäfer & Holger Dette & Thomas Guhr, 2015. "Quantile Correlations: Uncovering Temporal Dependencies In Financial Time Series," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(07), pages 1-16, November.
- Adam Aleksander Majewski & Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi, 2014. "Smile from the Past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components," Papers 1404.3555, arXiv.org.
- Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2017. "Forecasting the good and bad uncertainties of crude oil prices using a HAR framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 315-327.
- Milan Nedeljkovic & Christian Saborowski, 2018.
"The Relative Effectiveness of Spot and Derivatives Based Intervention,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
7127, CESifo.
- Milan Nedeljkovic & Christian Saborowski, 2019. "The Relative Effectiveness of Spot and Derivatives‐Based Intervention," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(6), pages 1455-1490, September.
- Seema REHMAN & Saqib SHARIF & Wali ULLAH, 2021. "Higher Realized Moments and Stock Return Predictability," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 48-70, December.
- Wong, Alfred, 2019. "Currency jumps, Euribor-OIS spreads and the volatility skew: A study on the dollar-euro crash risk of 2007–2015," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 7-16.
- Ji‐Eun Choi & Dong Wan Shin, 2018. "Forecasts for leverage heterogeneous autoregressive models with jumps and other covariates," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 691-704, September.
- Ping, Yuan & Li, Rui, 2018. "Forecasting realized volatility based on the truncated two-scales realized volatility estimator (TTSRV): Evidence from China's stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 222-229.
- Horta, Eduardo & Ziegelmann, Flavio, 2018. "Dynamics of financial returns densities: A functional approach applied to the Bovespa intraday index," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 75-88.
- Deev, Oleg & Plíhal, Tomáš, 2022. "How to calm down the markets? The effects of COVID-19 economic policy responses on financial market uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Christophe Chorro & Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo & Hanjarivo Lalaharison, 2017. "Testing for Leverage Effects in the Returns of US Equities," Post-Print halshs-00973922, HAL.
- Chao Liang & Yu Wei & Yaojie Zhang, 2020. "Is implied volatility more informative for forecasting realized volatility: An international perspective," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(8), pages 1253-1276, December.
- Danilo Delpini & Giacomo Bormetti, 2012. "Stochastic Volatility with Heterogeneous Time Scales," Papers 1206.0026, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.
- Gajurel, Dinesh & Chowdhury, Biplob, 2020. "Realized volatility, jump and beta: evidence from Canadian stock market," Working Papers 2020-11, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2018.
"Multiple Days Ahead Realized Volatility Forecasting: Single, Combined and Average Forecasts,"
MPRA Paper
96272, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2018. "Multiple days ahead realized volatility forecasting: Single, combined and average forecasts," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 41-61.
- Jiqian Wang & Feng Ma & M.I.M. Wahab & Dengshi Huang, 2021. "Forecasting China's Crude Oil Futures Volatility: The Role of the Jump, Jumps Intensity, and Leverage Effect," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 921-941, August.
- Bruno Deschamps & Tianlun Fei & Ying Jiang & Xiaoquan Liu, 2022. "Procyclical volatility in Chinese stock markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1117-1144, April.
- Asgharian, Hossein & Christiansen, Charlotte & Hou, Ai Jun, 2023. "The effect of uncertainty on stock market volatility and correlation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "A Survey on Volatility Fluctuations in the Decentralized Cryptocurrency Financial Assets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-46, June.
- Buncic, Daniel & Gisler, Katja I.M., 2017. "The role of jumps and leverage in forecasting volatility in international equity markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1-19.
- Dumitru, Ana-Maria & Hizmeri, Rodrigo & Izzeldin, Marwan, 2019. "Forecasting the Realized Variance in the Presence of Intraday Periodicity," EconStor Preprints 193631, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Panagiotis Delis & Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis, 2022. "What matters when developing oil price volatility forecasting frameworks?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 361-382, March.
- Wang, Xunxiao & Wu, Chongfeng & Xu, Weidong, 2015. "Volatility forecasting: The role of lunch-break returns, overnight returns, trading volume and leverage effects," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 609-619.
- Fei Su, 2018. "Essays on Price Discovery and Volatility Dynamics in the Foreign Exchange Market," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 2-2018, January-A.
- Dinesh Gajurel & Biplob Chowdhury, 2021. "Realized Volatility, Jump and Beta: evidence from Canadian Stock Market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(55), pages 6376-6397, November.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "Stock market volatility forecasting: Do we need high-frequency data?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1092-1110.
- Todorova, Neda, 2015. "The course of realized volatility in the LME non-ferrous metal market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-12.
- Byounghyun Jeon & Sung Won Seo & Jun Sik Kim, 2020. "Uncertainty and the volatility forecasting power of option‐implied volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1109-1126, July.
- Xu Gong & Boqiang Lin, 2022. "Predicting the volatility of crude oil futures: The roles of leverage effects and structural changes," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 610-640, January.
- Daiki Maki & Yasushi Ota, 2020. "The impacts of asymmetry on modeling and forecasting realized volatility in Japanese stock markets," Papers 2006.00158, arXiv.org.
- Martin Magris, 2019. "A Vine-copula extension for the HAR model," Papers 1907.08522, arXiv.org.
- Audrino, Francesco & Sigrist, Fabio & Ballinari, Daniele, 2020. "The impact of sentiment and attention measures on stock market volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 334-357.
- Wang, Jiqian & Huang, Yisu & Ma, Feng & Chevallier, Julien, 2020. "Does high-frequency crude oil futures data contain useful information for predicting volatility in the US stock market? New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Danyan Wen & Mengxi He & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of Chinese stock market: A simple but efficient truncated approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 230-251, March.
- Maki, Daiki, 2024. "Asymmetric effect of trading volume on realized volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
- Shen, Lihua & Lu, Xinjie & Luu Duc Huynh, Toan & Liang, Chao, 2023. "Air quality index and the Chinese stock market volatility: Evidence from both market and sector indices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 224-239.
- Augustyniak, Maciej & Badescu, Alexandru & Bégin, Jean-François, 2023. "A discrete-time hedging framework with multiple factors and fat tails: On what matters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 416-444.
- Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie & Huang, Dengshi & Lai, Xiaodong, 2018. "Forecasting oil futures price volatility: New evidence from realized range-based volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 400-409.
- Todorova, Neda & Souček, Michael, 2014. "The impact of trading volume, number of trades and overnight returns on forecasting the daily realized range," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 332-340.
- Wang, Yudong & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng, 2016. "Forecasting realized volatility in a changing world: A dynamic model averaging approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 136-149.
- Christophe Chorro & Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo & Hanjarivo Lalaharison, 2014. "Testing for Leverage Effect in Financial Returns," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 14022, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
- Loïc Maréchal, 2021. "Do economic variables forecast commodity futures volatility?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(11), pages 1735-1774, November.
- Giuseppe Curci & Fulvio Corsi, 2012.
"Discrete sine transform for multi-scale realized volatility measures§,"
Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 263-279, April.
Cited by:
- Altmeyer, Randolf & Bibinger, Markus, 2015. "Functional stable limit theorems for quasi-efficient spectral covolatility estimators," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(12), pages 4556-4600.
- Pan, Zhiyuan & Liu, Li, 2018. "Forecasting stock return volatility: A comparison between the roles of short-term and long-term leverage effects," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 168-180.
- Li, Yifan & Nolte, Ingmar & Vasios, Michalis & Voev, Valeri & Xu, Qi, 2022. "Weighted Least Squares Realized Covariation Estimation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
- Bibinger, Markus & Winkelmann, Lars, 2013. "Econometrics of co-jumps in high-frequency data with noise," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2013-021, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Bibinger, Markus & Winkelmann, Lars, 2014. "Common price and volatility jumps in noisy high-frequency data," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2014-037, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Markus Bibinger & Markus Reiß, 2014. "Spectral Estimation of Covolatility from Noisy Observations Using Local Weights," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 41(1), pages 23-50, March.
- Jacod, Jean & Mykland, Per A., 2015. "Microstructure noise in the continuous case: Approximate efficiency of the adaptive pre-averaging method," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(8), pages 2910-2936.
- Corsi, Fulvio & Pirino, Davide & Renò, Roberto, 2010.
"Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(2), pages 276-288, December.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Reno', 2010. "Threshold Bipower Variation and the Impact of Jumps on Volatility Forecasting," LEM Papers Series 2010/11, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Renò, 2010. "Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting," Post-Print hal-00741630, HAL.
- Audrino, Francesco & Corsi, Fulvio, 2010.
"Modeling tick-by-tick realized correlations,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2372-2382, November.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2008. "Modeling Tick-by-Tick Realized Correlations," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2008 2008-05, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
- Fulvio Corsi, 2009.
"A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 7(2), pages 174-196, Spring.
Cited by:
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2010.
"Aggregation, Heterogeneous Autoregression and Volatility of Daily International Tourist Arrivals and Exchange Rates,"
KIER Working Papers
712, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Aggregation, Heterogeneous Autoregression and Volatility of Daily International Tourist Arrivals and Exchange Rates," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-13, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Aggregation, Heterogeneous Autoregression and Volatility of Daily International Tourist Arrivals and Exchange Rates," Working Papers in Economics 10/02, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael Mcaleer, 2012. "Aggregation, Heterogeneous Autoregression And Volatility Of Daily International Tourist Arrivals And Exchange Rates," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 63(3), pages 397-419, September.
- Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Aggregation, Heterogeneous Autoregression and Volatility of Daily International Tourist Arrivals and Exchange Rates," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-15, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Aggregation, Heterogeneous Autoregression and Volatility of Daily International Tourist Arrivals and Exchange Rates," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-716, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "The incremental information content of investor fear gauge for volatility forecasting in the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 370-386.
- Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Paul & Kroencke, Tim, 2019.
"The FOMC Risk Shift,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
14037, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kroencke, Tim A. & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2021. "The FOMC Risk Shift," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 21-39.
- Kroencke, Tim-Alexander & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2021. "The FOMC risk shift," SAFE Working Paper Series 302, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Sisa Shiba & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2022.
"Predictability of the Realised Volatility of International Stock Markets Amid Uncertainty Related to Infectious Diseases,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-18, January.
- Sisa Shiba & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Predictability of the Realised Volatility of International Stock Markets Amid Uncertainty Related to Infectious Diseases," Working Papers 202181, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Márcio Gomes Pinto Garcia & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros & Francisco Eduardo de Luna e Almeida Santos, 2014.
"Economic gains of realized volatility in the Brazilian stock market,"
Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 12(3), pages 319-349.
- Marcio Garcia & Marcelo Medeiros & Francisco Eduardo de Luna e Almeida Santos, 2014. "Economic gains of realized volatility in the Brazilian stock market," Textos para discussão 624, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Adam Clements & Yin Liao, 2014. "The role in index jumps and cojumps in forecasting stock index volatility: Evidence from the Dow Jones index," NCER Working Paper Series 101, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2019.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility of Agricultural Commodities,"
MPRA Paper
96267, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of agricultural commodities," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 74-96.
- Daniel O. Beltran & Deepa Dhume Datta & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Matteo Iacoviello & Mohammad Jahan-Parvar & Canlin Li & Juan M. Londono & Marius del Giudice Rodriguez & John H. Rogers & Bo Sun, 2017. "Taxonomy of Global Risk, Uncertainty, and Volatility Measures," International Finance Discussion Papers 1216, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Li, Yan & Liang, Chao & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian, 2020. "The role of the IDEMV in predicting European stock market volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
- Tim Bollerslev & Viktor Todorov, 2010.
"Tails, Fears and Risk Premia,"
Working Papers
10-33, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Tim Bollerslev & Viktor Todorov, 2009. "Tails, Fears and Risk Premia," CREATES Research Papers 2009-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Tim Bollerslev & Viktor Todorov, 2011. "Tails, Fears, and Risk Premia," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(6), pages 2165-2211, December.
- Asai Manabu & So Mike K.P., 2015. "Long Memory and Asymmetry for Matrix-Exponential Dynamic Correlation Processes," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 69-94, January.
- Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020.
"Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price,"
Working Papers
202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-11, May.
- Dimitrios Karyampas & Paola Paiardini, 2011. "Probability of Informed Trading and Volatility for an ETF," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1101, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Pawel Janus & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2011.
"Long Memory Dynamics for Multivariate Dependence under Heavy Tails,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
11-175/2/DSF28, Tinbergen Institute.
- Janus, Paweł & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André, 2014. "Long memory dynamics for multivariate dependence under heavy tails," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 187-206.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-01442618, HAL.
- Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023.
"DCC- and DECO-HEAVY: Multivariate GARCH models based on realized variances and correlations,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 938-955.
- Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2019. "DCC and DECO-HEAVY: a multivariate GARCH model based on realized variances and correlations," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2019/5, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Aug 2021.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2011.
"Modelling and Forecasting Noisy Realized Volatility,"
KIER Working Papers
758, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Manuabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2010. "Modelling and Forecasting Noisy Realized Volatility," Working Papers in Economics 10/21, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Asai, Manabu & McAleer, Michael & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2012. "Modelling and forecasting noisy realized volatility," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 217-230, January.
- Asai, M. & McAleer, M.J. & Medeiros, M., 2011. "Modelling and Forecasting Noisy Realized Volatility," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2011-05, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2009. "Modelling and Forecasting Noisy Realized Volatility," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-669, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2011. "Modelling and Forecasting Noisy Realized Volatility," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-09, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Fantazzini, Dean, 2024.
"Adaptive Conformal Inference for computing Market Risk Measures: an Analysis with Four Thousands Crypto-Assets,"
MPRA Paper
121214, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dean Fantazzini, 2024. "Adaptive Conformal Inference for Computing Market Risk Measures: An Analysis with Four Thousand Crypto-Assets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-44, June.
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019.
"Forecasting Realized Oil-Price Volatility: The Role of Financial Stress and Asymmetric Loss,"
Working Papers
201903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "Forecasting realized oil-price volatility: The role of financial stress and asymmetric loss," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Zhang, Junyu & Ruan, Xinfeng & Zhang, Jin E., 2023. "Do short-term market swings improve realized volatility forecasts?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
- Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq, 2021. "Reduced Rank Regression Models in Economics and Finance," CEIS Research Paper 525, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Nov 2021.
- Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2017.
"The Memory of Stock Return Volatility: Asset Pricing Implications,"
Hannover Economic Papers (HEP)
dp-613, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2020. "The memory of stock return volatility: Asset pricing implications," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Chen Tong, 2024. "Fractional Moments by the Moment-Generating Function," Papers 2410.23587, arXiv.org.
- Alain Hecq & Luca Margaritella & Stephan Smeekes, 2023.
"Granger Causality Testing in High-Dimensional VARs: A Post-Double-Selection Procedure,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(3), pages 915-958.
- Alain Hecq & Luca Margaritella & Stephan Smeekes, 2019. "Granger Causality Testing in High-Dimensional VARs: a Post-Double-Selection Procedure," Papers 1902.10991, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Dai, Zhifeng & Zhang, Xiaotong & Li, Tingyu, 2023. "Forecasting stock return volatility in data-rich environment: A new powerful predictor," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2013.
"Modeling CAC40 volatility using ultra-high frequency data,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 68-81.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2013. "Modeling CAC40 Volatility Using Ultra-high Frequency Data," MPRA Paper 80445, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yan, Xiang & Bai, Jiancheng & Li, Xiafei & Chen, Zhonglu, 2022. "Can dimensional reduction technology make better use of the information of uncertainty indices when predicting volatility of Chinese crude oil futures?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Xilong Chen & Eric Ghysels, 2011. "News--Good or Bad--and Its Impact on Volatility Predictions over Multiple Horizons," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(1), pages 46-81, October.
- Hung Do & Rabindra Nepal & Tooraj Jamasb, 2020.
"Electricity market integration, decarbonisation and security of supply: Dynamic volatility connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain markets,"
CAMA Working Papers
2020-42, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Do, Hung Xuan & Nepal, Rabindra & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2020. "Electricity market integration, decarbonisation and security of supply: Dynamic volatility connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Do, H. & Nepal, R. & Jamasb, T., 2020. "Electricity Market Integration, Decarbonisation and Security of Supply: Dynamic Volatility Connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain Markets," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2007, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Do, Hung & Nepal, Rabindra & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2020. "Electricity Market Integration, Decarbonisation and Security of Supply: Dynamic Volatility Connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain Markets," Working Papers 3-2020, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
- Hung Do & Rabindra Nepal & Tooraj Jamasb, 2020. "Electricity Market Integration, Decarbonisation and Security of Supply: Dynamic Volatility Connectedness in the Irish and Great Britain Markets," Working Papers EPRG2003, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Okhrin, Ostap, 2012.
"Realized copula,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2012-034, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Fengler, Matthias & Okhrin, Ostap, 2012. "Realized Copula," Economics Working Paper Series 1214, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020.
"Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility and Co-volatility of Crude Oil and Gold Futures: Effects of Leverage, Jumps, Spillovers, and Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201951, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- S. Bordignon & D. Raggi, 2010.
"Long memory and nonlinearities in realized volatility: a Markov switching approach,"
Working Papers
694, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Raggi, Davide & Bordignon, Silvano, 2012. "Long memory and nonlinearities in realized volatility: A Markov switching approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3730-3742.
- Paul Wohlfarth, 2018.
"Measuring the Impact of Monetary Policy Attention on Global Asset Volatility Using Search Data,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
1803, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Wohlfarth, Paul, 2018. "Measuring the impact of monetary policy attention on global asset volatility using search data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 15-18.
- Byun, Suk Joon & Kim, Jun Sik, 2013. "The information content of risk-neutral skewness for volatility forecasting," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 142-161.
- Philippe Mueller & Andrea Vedolin & Hao Zhou, 2019.
"Short-Run Bond Risk Premia,"
Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(03), pages 1-34, September.
- Philippe Mueller & Andrea Vedolin & Hao Zhou, 2011. "Short Run Bond Risk Premia," FMG Discussion Papers dp686, Financial Markets Group.
- Mueller, Philippe & Vedolin, Andrea & Zhou, Hao, 2011. "Short run bond risk premia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119065, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Liu, Chun, 2010.
"Marginal likelihood calculation for gelfand-dey and Chib Method,"
MPRA Paper
34928, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Liu, Chun & Liu, Qing, 2012. "Marginal likelihood calculation for the Gelfand–Dey and Chib methods," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 200-203.
- Demirer, Riza & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019.
"Time-varying risk aversion and realized gold volatility,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Realized Gold Volatility," Working Papers 201881, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Hung, Jui-Cheng & Liu, Hung-Chun & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2020. "Improving the realized GARCH’s volatility forecast for Bitcoin with jump-robust estimators," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Zargar, Faisal Nazir & Kumar, Dilip, 2020. "Modeling unbiased extreme value volatility estimator in presence of heterogeneity and jumps: A study with economic significance analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 25-41.
- Bouri, Elie & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021. "Forecasting power of infectious diseases-related uncertainty for gold realized variance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
- Kim Christensen & Mathias Siggaard & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2021.
"A machine learning approach to volatility forecasting,"
CREATES Research Papers
2021-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kim Christensen & Mathias Siggaard & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2023. "A Machine Learning Approach to Volatility Forecasting," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(5), pages 1680-1727.
- Bauwens, Luc & Chevillon, Guillaume & Laurent, Sébastien, 2023.
"We modeled long memory with just one lag!,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Bauwens, Luc & Chevillon, Guillaume & Laurent, Sébastien, 2022. "We modeled long memory with just one lag!," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2022016, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Luc Bauwens & Guillaume Chevillon & Sébastien Laurent, 2023. "We modeled long memory with just one lag!," Post-Print hal-04185755, HAL.
- Bauwens, Luc & Chevillon, Guillaume & Laurent, Sébastien, 2023. "We modeled long memory with just one lag!," LIDAM Reprints CORE 3234, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Stavros Degiannakis & Pamela Dent & Christos Floros, 2014.
"A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach to Forecasting Multi-period Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Using the FIGARCH-skT Specification,"
Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 82(1), pages 71-102, January.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Dent, Pamela & Floros, Christos, 2014. "A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach to Forecasting Multi-period Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Using the FIGARCH-skT Specification," MPRA Paper 80431, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-02505861, HAL.
- Toshiaki Ogawa & Masato Ubukata & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2020. "Stock Return Predictability and Variance Risk Premia around the ZLB," IMES Discussion Paper Series 20-E-09, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Asai, M. & McAleer, M.J. & Medeiros, M.C., 2010.
"Asymmetry and Long Memory in Volatility Modelling,"
Econometric Institute Research Papers
EI 2010-60, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2012. "Asymmetry and Long Memory in Volatility Modeling," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 10(3), pages 495-512, June.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2010. "Asymmetry and Long Memory in Volatility Modelling," Working Papers in Economics 10/60, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2010. "Asymmetry and Long Memory in Volatility Modelling," KIER Working Papers 726, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2011. "Asymmetry and Long Memory in Volatility Modelling," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-29, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Kawakatsu Hiroyuki, 2021. "Simple Multivariate Conditional Covariance Dynamics Using Hyperbolically Weighted Moving Averages," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 33-52, January.
- Albers, Stefan & Kestner, Lars N., 2024. "The daily rise and fall of the VIX1D: Causes and solutions of its overnight bias," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PA).
- Chang, C-L. & Ilomäki, J. & Laurila, H. & McAleer, M.J., 2018.
"Long Run Returns Predictability and Volatility with Moving Averages,"
Econometric Institute Research Papers
EI2018-39, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila & Michael McAleer, 2018. "Long Run Returns Predictability and Volatility with Moving Averages," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2018-25, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila & Michael McAleer, 2018. "Long Run Returns Predictability and Volatility with Moving Averages," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-18, September.
- Alketa Bejko & Belinda Xarba, 2021. "The Evaluation of the Drafting Process of Regional’s Development Strategies in Albania. the Research on Gjirokastra’s Region," European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies Articles, Revistia Research and Publishing, vol. 1, September.
- Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis & Plastun, Alex, 2018.
"Is market fear persistent? A long-memory analysis,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 140-147.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2017. "Is Market Fear Persistent? A Long-Memory Analysis," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1670, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2017. "Is Market Fear Persistent? A Long-Memory Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 6534, CESifo.
- Guan, Bo & Mazouz, Khelifa & Xu, Yongdeng, 2024.
"Asymmetric volatility spillover between crude oil and other asset markets,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
- Guan, Bo & Mazouz, Khelifa & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between crude oil and other asset markets," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2023/27, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Filip Žikeš & Jozef Baruník, 2016.
"Semi-parametric Conditional Quantile Models for Financial Returns and Realized Volatility,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 185-226.
- Žikeš, Filip & Baruník, Jozef, 2014. "Semiparametric Conditional Quantile Models for Financial Returns and Realized Volatility," FinMaP-Working Papers 20, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Filip Zikes & Jozef Barunik, 2013. "Semiparametric Conditional Quantile Models for Financial Returns and Realized Volatility," Papers 1308.4276, arXiv.org.
- Andrea Bucci & Michele Palma & Chao Zhang, 2024. "Geometric Deep Learning for Realized Covariance Matrix Forecasting," Papers 2412.09517, arXiv.org.
- Megaritis, Anastasios & Vlastakis, Nikolaos & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2021.
"Stock market volatility and jumps in times of uncertainty,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Megaritis, Anastasios & Vlastakis, Nikolaos & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2020. "Stock market volatility and jumps in times of uncertainty," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 29200, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Pan, Ging-Ginq & Shiu, Yung-Ming & Wu, Tu-Cheng, 2024. "Extrapolation and option-implied kurtosis in volatility forecasting," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Manabu Asai & Shelton Peiris & Michael McAleer & David E. Allen, 2018.
"Cointegrated Dynamics for A Generalized Long Memory Process: An Application to Interest Rates,"
Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE
2018-22, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Asai Manabu & Peiris Shelton & McAleer Michael & Allen David E., 2020. "Cointegrated Dynamics for a Generalized Long Memory Process: Application to Interest Rates," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-18, January.
- Tsiakas, Ilias & Zhang, Haibin, 2021. "Economic fundamentals and the long-run correlation between exchange rates and commodities," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
- Juan Carlos Ruilova & Pedro Alberto Morettin, 2020. "Parsimonious Heterogeneous ARCH Models for High Frequency Modeling," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-19, February.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2019.
"Realized Volatility Forecasting: Robustness to Measurement Errors,"
Econometrics Working Papers Archive
2019_04, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M. & Otranto, Edoardo, 2021. "Realized volatility forecasting: Robustness to measurement errors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 44-57.
- Evan Anderson & Ai-ru (Meg) Cheng, 2022. "Portfolio Choices with Many Big Models," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(1), pages 690-715, January.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Varneskov, Rasmus T., 2022.
"Testing for parameter instability and structural change in persistent predictive regressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 361-386.
- Torben G. Andersen & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2021. "Testing for Parameter Instability and Structural Change in Persistent Predictive Regressions," NBER Working Papers 28570, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dong Hwan Oh & Andrew J. Patton, 2015.
"High-Dimensional Copula-Based Distributions with Mixed Frequency Data,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2015-50, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Oh, Dong Hwan & Patton, Andrew J., 2016. "High-dimensional copula-based distributions with mixed frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 349-366.
- Tim Bollerslev & Andrew J. Patton & Rogier Quaedvlieg, 2016.
"Modeling and Forecasting (Un)Reliable Realized Covariances for More Reliable Financial Decisions,"
CREATES Research Papers
2016-10, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Patton, Andrew J. & Quaedvlieg, Rogier, 2018. "Modeling and forecasting (un)reliable realized covariances for more reliable financial decisions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 207(1), pages 71-91.
- Knüppel, Malte & Krüger, Fabian & Pohle, Marc-Oliver, 2022.
"Score-based calibration testing for multivariate forecast distributions,"
Discussion Papers
50/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Malte Knuppel & Fabian Kruger & Marc-Oliver Pohle, 2022. "Score-based calibration testing for multivariate forecast distributions," Papers 2211.16362, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
- João F. Caldeira & Guilherme V. Moura & Francisco J. Nogales & André A. P. Santos, 2017. "Combining Multivariate Volatility Forecasts: An Economic-Based Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(2), pages 247-285.
- Chaker, Selma, 2019. "The signal and the noise volatilities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 79-105.
- Haukvik, Nicole & Cheraghali, Hamid & Molnár, Peter, 2024. "The role of investors’ fear in crude oil volatility forecasting," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
- Cubadda, Gianluca & Guardabascio, Barbara & Hecq, Alain, 2017.
"A vector heterogeneous autoregressive index model for realized volatility measures,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 337-344.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Barbara Guardabascio & Alain Hecq, 2016. "A Vector Heterogeneous Autoregressive Index Model for Realized Volatily Measures," CEIS Research Paper 391, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 23 Jul 2016.
- Cubadda, G. & Guardabascio, B. & Hecq, A.W., 2015. "A Vector Heterogeneous Autoregressive Index model for realized volatility measures," Research Memorandum 033, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
- Li Li & Yanfei Kang & Feng Li, 2021.
"Bayesian forecast combination using time-varying features,"
Papers
2108.02082, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
- Li, Li & Kang, Yanfei & Li, Feng, 2023. "Bayesian forecast combination using time-varying features," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1287-1302.
- Thanh Ha, Le & Bouteska, Ahmed & Harasheh, Murad, 2024. "Dynamic connectedness between FinTech and energy markets: Evidence from fat tails, serial dependence, and Bayesian approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 574-586.
- Damien Challet & Vincent Ragel, 2023.
"Recurrent Neural Networks with more flexible memory: better predictions than rough volatility,"
Papers
2308.08550, arXiv.org.
- Damien Challet & Vincent Ragel, 2023. "Recurrent Neural Networks with more flexible memory: better predictions than rough volatility," Working Papers hal-04165354, HAL.
- Duan, Yinying & Chen, Wang & Zeng, Qing & Liu, Zhicao, 2018. "Leverage effect, economic policy uncertainty and realized volatility with regime switching," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 493(C), pages 148-154.
- Léo Parent, 2022. "The EWMA Heston model," Post-Print hal-04431111, HAL.
- Rossi, Eduardo & Santucci de Magistris, Paolo, 2013.
"Long memory and tail dependence in trading volume and volatility,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 94-112.
- Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2009. "Long Memory and Tail dependence in Trading Volume and Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2009-30, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2014. "Forecasting the density of oil futures," Working Papers 2014-601, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021.
"El Nino, La Nina, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements,"
Working Papers
202138, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Niño, La Niña, and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Heating Oil Price Movements," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-23, July.
- Matias Quiroz & Laleh Tafakori & Hans Manner, 2024. "Forecasting realized covariances using HAR-type models," Papers 2412.10791, arXiv.org.
- Makoto Takahashi & Yuta Yamauchi & Toshiaki Watanabe & Yasuhiro Omori, 2024. "Realized Stochastic Volatility Model with Skew-t Distributions for Improved Volatility and Quantile Forecasting," Papers 2401.13179, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
- Heejoon Han & Myung D. Park & Shen Zhang, 2015. "A Multiplicative Error Model with Heterogeneous Components for Forecasting Realized Volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 209-219, April.
- Robinson Kruse & Christian Leschinski & Michael Will, 2016.
"Comparing Predictive Accuracy under Long Memory - With an Application to Volatility Forecasting,"
CREATES Research Papers
2016-17, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Kruse, Robinson & Leschinski, Christian & Will, Michael, 2016. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy under Long Memory - With an Application to Volatility Forecasting," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-571, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Xu, Yongdeng & Guan, Bo & Lu, Wenna & Heravi, Saeed, 2024.
"Macroeconomic shocks and volatility spillovers between stock, bond, gold and crude oil markets,"
Cardiff Economics Working Papers
E2024/15, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Xu, Yongdeng & Guan, Bo & Lu, Wenna & Heravi, Saeed, 2024. "Macroeconomic shocks and volatility spillovers between stock, bond, gold and crude oil markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Zhanglong Wang & Kent Wang & Zheyao Pan, 2015. "Conditional equity risk premia and realized variance jump risk," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 40(2), pages 295-317, May.
- Borjigin, Sumuya & Gao, Ting & Sun, Yafei & An, Biao, 2020. "For evil news rides fast, while good news baits later?—A network based analysis in Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 551(C).
- Martin, Vance L. & Tang, Chrismin & Yao, Wenying, 2021. "Forecasting the volatility of asset returns: The informational gains from option prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 862-880.
- Liu, Wenwen & Gui, Yiming & Qiao, Gaoxiu, 2022. "Dynamics lead-lag relationship of jumps among Chinese stock index and futures market during the Covid-19 epidemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
- Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ø. Nielsen & Thomas Busch, 2008.
"The Role Of Implied Volatility In Forecasting Future Realized Volatility And Jumps In Foreign Exchange, Stock, And Bond Markets,"
Working Paper
1181, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- Thomas Busch & Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007. "The Role of Implied Volatility in Forecasting Future Realized Volatility and Jumps in Foreign Exchange, Stock, and Bond Markets," CREATES Research Papers 2007-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Busch, Thomas & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard, 2011. "The role of implied volatility in forecasting future realized volatility and jumps in foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 48-57, January.
- Joel Hasbrouck, 2021. "Price Discovery in High Resolution," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(3), pages 395-430.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Ranaldo, Angelo & Velo, Gabriel G., 2014.
"Precious Metals Under the Microscope: A High-Frequency Analysis,"
Working Papers on Finance
1409, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Angelo Ranaldo & Gabriel G. Velo, 2015. "Precious metals under the microscope: a high-frequency analysis," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(5), pages 743-759, May.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2017. "Forecasting realized volatility: HAR against Principal Components Combining, neural networks and GARCH," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 824-839.
- Catania, Leopoldo & Proietti, Tommaso, 2020.
"Forecasting volatility with time-varying leverage and volatility of volatility effects,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1301-1317.
- Leopoldo Catania & Tommaso Proietti, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility with Time-Varying Leverage and Volatility of Volatility Effects," CEIS Research Paper 450, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 06 Feb 2019.
- Hecq, A.W. & Lieb, L.M. & Telg, J.M.A., 2015. "Identification of Mixed Causal-Noncausal Models : How Fat Should We Go?," Research Memorandum 035, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
- Hwang, Eunju, 2022. "Prediction intervals of the COVID-19 cases by HAR models with growth rates and vaccination rates in top eight affected countries: Bootstrap improvement," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
- Wang, Jying-Nan & Vigne, Samuel A. & Liu, Hung-Chun & Hsu, Yuan-Teng, 2024. "Hacks and the price synchronicity of bitcoin and ether," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 294-299.
- Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2009.
"Daily Tourist Arrivals, Exchange Rates and Volatility for Korea and Taiwan,"
Econometric Institute Research Papers
EI 2009-41, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2009. "Daily Tourist Arrivals, Exchange Rates and Volatility for Korea and Taiwan," CARF F-Series CARF-F-192, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2009. "Daily tourist arrivals, exchange rates and volatility for Korea and Taiwan," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2009-41, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael Mcaleer, 2009. "Daily Tourist Arrivals, Exchange Rates and Voatility for Korea and Taiwan," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 25, pages 241-267.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2009. "Daily Tourist Arrivals, Exchange Rates and Volatility for Korea and Taiwan," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-691, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022.
"Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
- Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Oil Tail Risks and the Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Oil-Price: Evidence from Over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202146, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Zhang, Lixia & Luo, Qin & Guo, Xiaozhu & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "Medium-term and long-term volatility forecasts for EUA futures with country-specific economic policy uncertainty indices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Massimiliano Caporin & Gabriel G. Velo, 2011. "Modeling and forecasting realized range volatility," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0128, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq, 2022.
"Dimension Reduction for High Dimensional Vector Autoregressive Models,"
CEIS Research Paper
534, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 24 Mar 2022.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq, 2020. "Dimension Reduction for High Dimensional Vector Autoregressive Models," Papers 2009.03361, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq, 2022. "Dimension Reduction for High‐Dimensional Vector Autoregressive Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(5), pages 1123-1152, October.
- Liao, Yin, 2013. "The benefit of modeling jumps in realized volatility for risk prediction: Evidence from Chinese mainland stocks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 25-48.
- Chen, Cathy W.S. & Hsu, Hsiao-Yun & Watanabe, Toshiaki, 2023. "Tail risk forecasting of realized volatility CAViaR models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Eleftheria Kafousaki & Stavros Degiannakis, 2023.
"Forecasting VIX: the illusion of forecast evaluation criteria,"
Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 231-240.
- Stavros Degiannakis & Eleftheria Kafousaki, 2023. "Forecasting VIX: The illusion of forecast evaluation criteria," Working Papers 322, Bank of Greece.
- Fei Su & Lei Wang, 2020. "Conditional Volatility Persistence and Realized Volatility Asymmetry: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(14), pages 3252-3269, November.
- Bégin, Jean-François & Sanders, Barbara, 2024. "Benefit volatility-targeting strategies in lifetime pension pools," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 72-94.
- Tim Bollerslev & Andrew J. Patton & Wenjing Wang, 2016.
"Daily House Price Indices: Construction, Modeling, and Longer‐run Predictions,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(6), pages 1005-1025, September.
- Tim Bollerslev & Andrew J. Patton & Wenjing Wang, 2015. "Daily House Price Indices: Construction, Modeling, and Longer-Run Predictions," CREATES Research Papers 2015-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Tim Bollerslev & Andrew J. Patton & Wang Wenjing, 2013. "Daily House Price Indexes: Construction, Modeling, and Longer-Run Predictions," Working Papers 13-29, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Barunik, Jozef & Krehlik, Tomas & Vacha, Lukas, 2016.
"Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in time-frequency domain,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 251(1), pages 329-340.
- Barunik, Jozef & Krehlik, Tomas & Vacha, Lukas, 2016. "Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in time-frequency domain," FinMaP-Working Papers 55, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Jozef Barunik & Tomas Krehlik & Lukas Vacha, 2012. "Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in time-frequency domain," Papers 1204.1452, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2015.
- Wang, Cindy Shin-Huei & Bauwens, Luc & Hsiao, Cheng, 2013.
"Forecasting a long memory process subject to structural breaks,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 171-184.
- WANG, Shin-Huei & BAUWENS, Luc & HSIAO, Cheng, 2012. "Forecasting long memory processes subject to structural breaks," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2012048, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- WANG, Cindy Shin-Huei & BAUWENS, Luc & HSIAO, Cheng, 2013. "Forecasting a long memory process subject to structural breaks," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2574, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Chen Tong, 2024. "Convolution-t Distributions," Papers 2404.00864, arXiv.org.
- Rice, Gregory & Wirjanto, Tony & Zhao, Yuqian, 2020. "Forecasting value at risk with intra-day return curves," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1023-1038.
- Robert Taylor, 2024. "Evaluating Credit VIX (CDS IV) Prediction Methods with Incremental Batch Learning," Papers 2408.15404, arXiv.org.
- Martin Magris & Mostafa Shabani & Alexandros Iosifidis, 2022. "Quasi Black-Box Variational Inference with Natural Gradients for Bayesian Learning," Papers 2205.11568, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Riso, Luigi & Vacca, Gianmarco, 2024. "Sentiment dynamics and volatility: A study based on GARCH-MIDAS and machine learning," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PB).
- Song, Ziyu & Gong, Xiaomin & Zhang, Cheng & Yu, Changrui, 2023. "Investor sentiment based on scaled PCA method: A powerful predictor of realized volatility in the Chinese stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 528-545.
- Hadhri, Sinda & Ftiti, Zied, 2019. "Commonality in liquidity among Middle East and North Africa emerging stock markets: Does it really matter?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(3).
- Luo, Xingguo & Ye, Zinan, 2015. "Predicting volatility of the Shanghai silver futures market: What is the role of the U.S. options market?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 68-77.
- Sibbertsen, Philipp & Leschinski, Christian & Busch, Marie, 2018.
"A multivariate test against spurious long memory,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(1), pages 33-49.
- Sibbertsen, Philipp & Leschinski, Christian & Holzhausen, Marie, 2015. "A Multivariate Test Against Spurious Long Memory," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-547, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Joao Henrique Mazzeu & Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2017.
"A Bootstrap Approach for Generalized Autocontour Testing. Implications for VIX Forecast Densities,"
Working Papers
201709, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- João Henrique G. Mazzeu & Gloria González-Rivera & Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2020. "A bootstrap approach for generalized Autocontour testing Implications for VIX forecast densities," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(10), pages 971-990, November.
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Okhrin, Ostap, 2016. "Managing risk with a realized copula parameter," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 131-152.
- Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Forecasting the Chinese stock volatility across global stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 466-477.
- Asai, Manabu & Brugal, Ivan, 2013. "Forecasting volatility via stock return, range, trading volume and spillover effects: The case of Brazil," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 202-213.
- Erdenebat Bataa & Marwan Izzeldin & Denise Osborn, 2015.
"Changes in the global oil market,"
Working Papers
75761696, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Bataa, Erdenebat & Izzeldin, Marwan & Osborn, Denise R., 2016. "Changes in the global oil market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 161-176.
- Sung Hoon Choi & Donggyu Kim, 2024. "Matrix-based Prediction Approach for Intraday Instantaneous Volatility Vector," Papers 2403.02591, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
- Minseog Oh & Donggyu Kim, 2021.
"Effect of the U.S.--China Trade War on Stock Markets: A Financial Contagion Perspective,"
Papers
2111.09655, arXiv.org.
- Minseog Oh & Donggyu Kim, 2024. "Effect of the U.S.–China Trade War on Stock Markets: A Financial Contagion Perspective," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(4), pages 954-1005.
- Kejin Wu & Sayar Karmakar, 2023. "A model-free approach to do long-term volatility forecasting and its variants," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-38, December.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2020. "Trading and non-trading period realized market volatility: Does it matter for forecasting the volatility of US stocks?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 628-645.
- Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021.
"Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility : Evidence from Machine Learning,"
Working Papers
202118, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Investor Confidence and Forecastability of US Stock Market Realized Volatility: Evidence from Machine Learning," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 111-122, January.
- Kunal Saha & Vinodh Madhavan & Chandrashekhar G. R. & David McMillan, 2020. "Pitfalls in long memory research," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1733280-173, January.
- Xu, Jiawen & Perron, Pierre, 2014.
"Forecasting return volatility: Level shifts with varying jump probability and mean reversion,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 449-463.
- Jiawen Xu & Pierre Perron, 2013. "Forecasting Return Volatility: Level Shifts with Varying Jump Probability and Mean Reversion," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2013-021, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Kim Christensen & Charlotte Christiansen & Anders M. Posselt, 2019.
"The Economic Value of VIX ETPs,"
CREATES Research Papers
2019-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Christensen, Kim & Christiansen, Charlotte & Posselt, Anders M., 2020. "The economic value of VIX ETPs," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 121-138.
- Liu, Wei & Garrett, Ian, 2023. "Regime-dependent effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on realized volatility in the U.S. stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024.
"Multi-Task Forecasting of the Realized Volatilities of Agricultural Commodity Prices,"
Working Papers
202423, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Multi-Task Forecasting of the Realized Volatilities of Agricultural Commodity Prices," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-26, September.
- Ceylan, Özcan, 2016.
"Global Risk Aversion Spillover Dynamics and Investors' Attention Allocation,"
MPRA Paper
71320, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ozcan Ceylan, 2017. "Global Risk Aversion Spillover Dynamics and Investors' Attention Allocation," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 18(1), pages 99-109, May.
- Götz, T.B. & Hecq, A.W., 2013.
"Nowcasting causality in mixed frequency vector autoregressive models,"
Research Memorandum
050, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
- Götz, Thomas B. & Hecq, Alain, 2014. "Nowcasting causality in mixed frequency vector autoregressive models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 74-78.
- Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis, 2019.
"Forecasting European economic policy uncertainty,"
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(1), pages 94-114, February.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2019. "Forecasting European Economic Policy Uncertainty," MPRA Paper 96268, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis, 2018. "Forecasting European Economic Policy Uncertainty," BAFES Working Papers BAFES15, Department of Accounting, Finance & Economic, Bournemouth University.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Medeiros, Marcelo C. & Patton, Andrew J. & Quaedvlieg, Rogier, 2022. "From zero to hero: Realized partial (co)variances," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 348-360.
- Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023.
"Climate risks and state-level stock market realized volatility,"
Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Climate Risks and State-Level Stock-Market Realized Volatility," Working Papers 202246, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Wei, Yu & Zhang, Yaojie & Wang, Yudong, 2022. "Information connectedness of international crude oil futures: Evidence from SC, WTI, and Brent," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
- Deniz Erdemlioglu & Sébastien Laurent & Christopher J. Neely, 2013.
"Econometric modeling of exchange rate volatility and jumps,"
Chapters, in: Adrian R. Bell & Chris Brooks & Marcel Prokopczuk (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Finance, chapter 16, pages 373-427,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Deniz Erdemlioglu & Sebastien Laurent & Christopher J. Neely, 2012. "Econometric modeling of exchange rate volatility and jumps," Working Papers 2012-008, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Torben G. Andersen & Nicola Fusari & Viktor Todorov, 2018.
"Short-Term Market Risks Implied by Weekly Options,"
CREATES Research Papers
2018-08, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Torben G. Andersen & Nicola Fusari & Viktor Todorov, 2017. "Short-Term Market Risks Implied by Weekly Options," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 72(3), pages 1335-1386, June.
- Evzen Kocenda & Vit Bubak & Filip Zikes, 2011.
"Volatility Transmission in Emerging European Foreign Exchange Markets,"
William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series
wp1020, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
- Vít Bubák & Evžen Kocenda & Filip Zikes, 2010. "Volatility Transmission in Emerging European Foreign Exchange Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 3063, CESifo.
- Bubák, Vít & Kocenda, Evzen & Zikes, Filip, 2011. "Volatility transmission in emerging European foreign exchange markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 2829-2841, November.
- Martina Halouskov'a & Daniel Stav{s}ek & Mat'uv{s} Horv'ath, 2022. "The role of investor attention in global asset price variation during the invasion of Ukraine," Papers 2205.05985, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
- Ishani Chaudhuri & Parthajit Kayal, 2022. "Predicting Power of Ticker Search Volume in Indian Stock Market," Working Papers 2022-214, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Catherine S. Forbes, 2017.
"High-Frequency Jump Tests: Which Test Should We Use?,"
Papers
1708.09520, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2020.
- Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Martin, Gael M. & Forbes, Catherine S., 2020. "High-frequency jump tests: Which test should we use?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 478-487.
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Catherine S. Forbes, 2020. "High-Frequency Jump Tests: Which Test Should We Use?," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Ballinari, Daniele & Audrino, Francesco & Sigrist, Fabio, 2022. "When does attention matter? The effect of investor attention on stock market volatility around news releases," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Timmermann, Allan, 2018. "Forecasting Methods in Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 12692, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bastian Gribisch, 2018. "A latent dynamic factor approach to forecasting multivariate stock market volatility," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 621-651, September.
- Andreou, Elena, 2016. "On the use of high frequency measures of volatility in MIDAS regressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 11307, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Özbekler, Ali Gencay & Kontonikas, Alexandros & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2020.
"Volatility Forecasting in European Government Bond Markets,"
Essex Finance Centre Working Papers
27362, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Özbekler, Ali Gencay & Kontonikas, Alexandros & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2021. "Volatility forecasting in European government bond markets," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1691-1709.
- Mikkel Bennedsen & Asger Lunde & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2017. "Decoupling the short- and long-term behavior of stochastic volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2017-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Tommaso Trani, 2018.
"Brexit and Uncertainty in Financial Markets,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
6874, CESifo.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Tommaso Trani, 2018. "Brexit and Uncertainty in Financial Markets," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-9, February.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Tommaso Trani, 2018. "Brexit and Uncertainty in Financial Markets," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1719, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Denisa Banulescu-Radu & Christophe Hurlin & Bertrand Candelon & Sébastien Laurent, 2016.
"Do We Need High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?,"
Post-Print
hal-01448237, HAL.
- Denisa Banulescu-Radu & Christophe Hurlin & Bertrand Candelon & Sébastien Laurent, 2016. "Do We Need High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 135-174.
- Antonio Naimoli & Giuseppe Storti, 2021. "Forecasting Volatility and Tail Risk in Electricity Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-17, June.
- Eran Raviv & Kees E. Bouwman & Dick van Dijk, 2013.
"Forecasting Day-Ahead Electricity Prices: Utilizing Hourly Prices,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
13-068/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Raviv, Eran & Bouwman, Kees E. & van Dijk, Dick, 2015. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: Utilizing hourly prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 227-239.
- Wen Cheong Chin & Min Cherng Lee, 2018. "S&P500 volatility analysis using high-frequency multipower variation volatility proxies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 1297-1318, May.
- D Aromi & A Clements, 2018. "Media attention and crude oil volatility: Is there any 'new' news in the newspaper?," NCER Working Paper Series 118, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Jim Gatheral & Thibault Jaisson & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2014. "Volatility is rough," Papers 1410.3394, arXiv.org.
- Naimoli, Antonio & Storti, Giuseppe, 2019.
"Heterogeneous component multiplicative error models for forecasting trading volumes,"
MPRA Paper
93802, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Naimoli, Antonio & Storti, Giuseppe, 2019. "Heterogeneous component multiplicative error models for forecasting trading volumes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1332-1355.
- Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2019.
"The Predictability of Stock Market Volatility in Emerging Economies: Relative Roles of Local, Regional and Global Business Cycles,"
Working Papers
201938, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "The predictability of stock market volatility in emerging economies: Relative roles of local, regional, and global business cycles," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 957-965, September.
- Sévi, Benoît, 2014.
"Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 235(3), pages 643-659.
- Benoît Sévi, 2014. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data," Working Papers 2014-53, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Benoît Sévi, 2014. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data," Post-Print hal-01463921, HAL.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom, 2015.
"Asset Return Dynamics under Habits and Bad-Environment Good-Environment Fundamentals,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2015-53, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom, 2017. "Asset Return Dynamics under Habits and Bad Environment-Good Environment Fundamentals," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 125(3), pages 713-760.
- Fengler, M.R. & Mammen, E. & Vogt, M., 2015. "Specification and structural break tests for additive models with applications to realized variance data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(1), pages 196-218.
- Wang, Jiqian & Lu, Xinjie & He, Feng & Ma, Feng, 2020. "Which popular predictor is more useful to forecast international stock markets during the coronavirus pandemic: VIX vs EPU?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Zhang, Yue-Jun & Wang, Jin-Li, 2019. "Do high-frequency stock market data help forecast crude oil prices? Evidence from the MIDAS models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 192-201.
- Jonathan J. Reeves & Xuan Xie, 2014. "Forecasting stock return volatility at the quarterly frequency: an evaluation of time series approaches," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(5), pages 347-356, March.
- Li, Dan & Drovandi, Christopher & Clements, Adam, 2024. "Outlier-robust methods for forecasting realized covariance matrices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 392-408.
- Cipollini, Andrea & Cascio, Iolanda Lo & Muzzioli, Silvia, 2015.
"Volatility co-movements: A time-scale decomposition analysis,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 34-44.
- Andrea Cipollini & Iolanda Lo Cascio & Silvia Muzzioli, 2013. "Volatility co-movements: a time scale decomposition analysis," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 0044, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
- Liu, Qiang & Guo, Shuxin & Qiao, Gaoxiu, 2015. "VIX forecasting and variance risk premium: A new GARCH approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 314-322.
- Barbara Będowska-Sójka, 2018. "Is intraday data useful for forecasting VaR? The evidence from EUR/PLN exchange rate," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(4), pages 326-346, November.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Riccardo Sabbatucci & Allan Timmermann, 2018. "High-frequency Cash Flow Dynamics," Working Papers 120, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Baldovin, Fulvio & Caporin, Massimiliano & Caraglio, Michele & Stella, Attilio L. & Zamparo, Marco, 2015.
"Option pricing with non-Gaussian scaling and infinite-state switching volatility,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 486-497.
- Fulvio Baldovin & Massimiliano Caporin & Michele Caraglio & Attilio Stella & Marco Zamparo, 2013. "Option pricing with non-Gaussian scaling and infinite-state switching volatility," Papers 1307.6322, arXiv.org, revised May 2014.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Hassani, Hossein, 2015. "Forecasting implied volatility indices worldwide: A new approach," MPRA Paper 72084, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi, 2021. "A Lucas Critique Compliant SVAR model with Observation-driven Time-varying Parameters," Papers 2107.05263, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2019.
"Futures-based forecasts: How useful are they for oil price volatility forecasting?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 639-649.
- Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2019. "Futures-based forecasts: How useful are they for oil price volatility forecasting?," MPRA Paper 96446, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Wang, Yajing & Liang, Fang & Wang, Tianyi & Huang, Zhuo, 2020. "Does measurement error matter in volatility forecasting? Empirical evidence from the Chinese stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 148-157.
- Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Martin, Gael M. & Forbes, Catherine S. & Grose, Simone D., 2012.
"Probabilistic forecasts of volatility and its risk premia,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 171(2), pages 217-236.
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Catherine S. Forbes & Simone Grose, 2010. "Probabilistic Forecasts of Volatility and its Risk Premia," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 22/10, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Mark J. Jensen & John M. Maheu, 2014.
"Risk, Return and Volatility Feedback: A Bayesian Nonparametric Analysis,"
Working Paper series
31_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Jensen, Mark J & Maheu, John M, 2013. "Risk, Return and Volatility Feedback: A Bayesian Nonparametric Analysis," MPRA Paper 52132, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mark J. Jensen & John M. Maheu, 2018. "Risk, Return and Volatility Feedback: A Bayesian Nonparametric Analysis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-29, September.
- Mark J. Jensen & John M. Maheu, 2014. "Risk, Return, and Volatility Feedback: A Bayesian Nonparametric Analysis," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2014-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Qingjie Zhou & Panpan Zhu & You Wu & Yinpeng Zhang, 2022. "Research on the Volatility of the Cotton Market under Different Term Structures: Perspective from Investor Attention," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-20, November.
- Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2017. "Modeling Latin-American stock and Forex markets volatility: Empirical application of a model with random level shifts and genuine long memory," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 393-420.
- Douglas G. Santos & Flavio A. Ziegelmann, 2014. "Volatility Forecasting via MIDAS, HAR and their Combination: An Empirical Comparative Study for IBOVESPA," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 284-299, July.
- Juan M. Londono & Nancy R. Xu, 2021. "The Global Determinants of International Equity Risk Premiums," International Finance Discussion Papers 1318, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Gisler, Katja I. M., 2014.
"A variance spillover analysis without covariances: what do we miss?,"
Economics Working Paper Series
1409, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Gisler, Katja I.M., 2015. "A variance spillover analysis without covariances: What do we miss?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 174-195.
- Baker, Scott R. & Bloom, Nicholas & Davis, Steven J. & Sammo, Marco C., 2021.
"What triggers stock market jumps?,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
113913, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Marco Sammon, 2021. "What triggers stock market jumps?," CEP Discussion Papers dp1789, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Marco Sammon, 2021. "What triggers stock market jumps?," POID Working Papers 010, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis & Marco C. Sammon, 2021. "What Triggers Stock Market Jumps?," NBER Working Papers 28687, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Noshaba Zulfiqar & Saqib Gulzar, 2021. "Implied volatility estimation of bitcoin options and the stylized facts of option pricing," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-30, December.
- Majewski, A. A. & Bormetti, G. & Corsi, F., 2013. "Smile from the Past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components," Working Papers 13/11, Department of Economics, City University London.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Shu-Han Hsu & Michael McAleer, 2018.
"Asymmetric Risk Impacts of Chinese Tourists to Taiwan,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
18-047/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Shu-Han Hsu & Michael McAleer, 2018. "Asymmetric Risk Impacts of Chinese Tourists to Taiwan," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2018-05, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila & Michael McAleer, 2018. "Asymmetric Risk Impacts of Chinese Tourists to Taiwan," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2018-05, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chang, C-L. & Hsu, S.-H. & McAleer, M.J., 2018. "Asymmetric Risk Impacts of Chinese Tourists to Taiwan," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2018-18, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Tim Bollerslev & Benjamin Hood & John Huss & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2018.
"Risk Everywhere: Modeling and Managing Volatility,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(7), pages 2729-2773.
- Pedersen, Lasse Heje & Bollerslev, Tim & Hood, Benjamin & Huss, John, 2018. "Risk Everywhere: Modeling and Managing Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 12687, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jiayuan Zhou & Feiyu Jiang & Ke Zhu & Wai Keung Li, 2019. "Time series models for realized covariance matrices based on the matrix-F distribution," Papers 1903.12077, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
- Xu, Yanyan & Huang, Dengshi & Ma, Feng & Qiao, Gaoxiu, 2019. "Liquidity and realized range-based volatility forecasting: Evidence from China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 1102-1113.
- Daniel Preve, "undated".
"Linear programming-based estimators in nonnegative autoregression,"
GRU Working Paper Series
GRU_2016_001, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Preve, Daniel, 2015. "Linear programming-based estimators in nonnegative autoregression," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 225-234.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2014.
"Asymmetric Realized Volatility Risk,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
14-075/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2014. "Asymmetric Realized Volatility Risk," Working Papers in Economics 14/20, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2014. "Asymmetric Realized Volatility Risk," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2014-16, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer & Marcel Scharth, 2014. "Asymmetric Realized Volatility Risk," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-30, June.
- Li, Xiafei & Liao, Yin & Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng, 2022. "An oil futures volatility forecast perspective on the selection of high-frequency jump tests," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Steven Lehrer & Tian Xie & Tao Zeng, 2021.
"Does High-Frequency Social Media Data Improve Forecasts of Low-Frequency Consumer Confidence Measures? [Regression Models with Mixed Sampling Frequencies],"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(5), pages 910-933.
- Steven F. Lehrer & Tian Xie & Tao Zeng, 2019. "Does High Frequency Social Media Data Improve Forecasts of Low Frequency Consumer Confidence Measures?," NBER Working Papers 26505, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Oleg Sokolinskiy & Dick van Dijk, 2011. "Forecasting Volatility with Copula-Based Time Series Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-125/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Casas Villalba, Maria Isabel, 2020. "Adaptative predictability of stock market returns," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 31648, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Wu, Bin & Chen, Pengzhan & Ye, Wuyi, 2024. "Variance swaps with mean reversion and multi-factor variance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 315(1), pages 191-212.
- Harry Vander Elst, 2015.
"FloGARCH : Realizing long memory and asymmetries in returns volatility,"
Working Paper Research
280, National Bank of Belgium.
- Harry-Paul Vander Elst, 2015. "FloGARCH: Realizing Long Memory and Asymmetries in Returns Valitility," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-12, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Renò, 2010.
"Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting,"
Post-Print
hal-00741630, HAL.
- Corsi, Fulvio & Pirino, Davide & Renò, Roberto, 2010. "Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(2), pages 276-288, December.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Reno', 2010. "Threshold Bipower Variation and the Impact of Jumps on Volatility Forecasting," LEM Papers Series 2010/11, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Wu, Hanlin & Li, Pan & Cao, Jiawei & Xu, Zijian, 2024. "Forecasting the Chinese crude oil futures volatility using jump intensity and Markov-regime switching model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
- Peter Christoffersen & Mathieu Fournier & Kris Jacobs & Mehdi Karoui, 2015.
"Option-Based Estimation of the Price of Co-Skewness and Co-Kurtosis Risk,"
CREATES Research Papers
2015-54, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Christoffersen, Peter & Fournier, Mathieu & Jacobs, Kris & Karoui, Mehdi, 2021. "Option-Based Estimation of the Price of Coskewness and Cokurtosis Risk," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 56(1), pages 65-91, February.
- John M Maheu & Thomas H McCurdy, 2008.
"Do high-frequency measures of volatility improve forecasts of return distributions?,"
Working Papers
tecipa-324, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
- John M. Maheu & Thomas H. McCurdy, 2009. "Do High-Frequency Measures of Volatility Improve Forecasts of Return Distributions?," Working Paper series 19_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Maheu, John M. & McCurdy, Thomas H., 2011. "Do high-frequency measures of volatility improve forecasts of return distributions?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 69-76, January.
- Pan, Zhiyuan & Liu, Li, 2018. "Forecasting stock return volatility: A comparison between the roles of short-term and long-term leverage effects," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 168-180.
- Diego Amaya & Jean-François Bégin & Geneviève Gauthier, 2022. "The Informational Content of High-Frequency Option Prices," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2166-2201, March.
- Pérez-Rodríguez, Jorge V. & Andrada-Félix, Julián & Rachinger, Heiko, 2021. "Testing the forward volatility unbiasedness hypothesis in exchange rates under long-range dependence," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Zhengyang Chi & Junbin Gao & Chao Wang, 2024. "Graph Signal Processing for Global Stock Market Volatility Forecasting," Papers 2410.22706, arXiv.org.
- Yanlin Shi & Yang Yang, 2018. "Modeling High Frequency Data with Long Memory and Structural Change: A-HYEGARCH Model," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-28, March.
- Haugom, Erik & Langeland, Henrik & Molnár, Peter & Westgaard, Sjur, 2014. "Forecasting volatility of the U.S. oil market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 1-14.
- Wang, Xiaohu & Xiao, Weilin & Yu, Jun, 2023. "Modeling and forecasting realized volatility with the fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 389-415.
- Ding, Hui & Huang, Yisu & Wang, Jiqian, 2023. "Have the predictability of oil changed during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from international stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
- Christensen, Bent Jesper & Varneskov, Rasmus Tangsgaard, 2017.
"Medium band least squares estimation of fractional cointegration in the presence of low-frequency contamination,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(2), pages 218-244.
- Bent Jesper Christensen & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2015. "Medium Band Least Squares Estimation of Fractional Cointegration in the Presence of Low-Frequency Contamination," CREATES Research Papers 2015-25, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Sapkota, Niranjan, 2022. "News-based sentiment and bitcoin volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2014.
"Forecasting Co-Volatilities via Factor Models with Asymmetry and Long Memory in Realized Covariance,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
14-037/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2014. "Forecasting Co-Volatilities via Factor Models with Asymmetry and Long Memory in Realized Covariance," Working Papers in Economics 14/10, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2014. "Forecasting Co-Volatilities via Factor Models with Asymmetry and Long Memory in Realized Covariance," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2014-05, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Asai, Manabu & McAleer, Michael, 2015. "Forecasting co-volatilities via factor models with asymmetry and long memory in realized covariance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(2), pages 251-262.
- Qu, Hui & Wang, Tianyang & Zhang, Yi & Sun, Pengfei, 2019. "Dynamic hedging using the realized minimum-variance hedge ratio approach – Examination of the CSI 300 index futures," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Tian, Fengping & Yang, Ke & Chen, Langnan, 2017. "Realized volatility forecasting of agricultural commodity futures using the HAR model with time-varying sparsity," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 132-152.
- Aitor Ciarreta & Peru Muniain & Ainhoa Zarraga, 2020. "Realized volatility and jump testing in the Japanese electricity spot market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1143-1166, March.
- Simard Clarence & Rémillard Bruno, 2015. "Forecasting time series with multivariate copulas," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 1-24, May.
- Xiangjin B. Chen & Jiti Gao & Degui Li & Param Silvapulle, 2013. "Nonparametric Estimation and Parametric Calibration of Time-Varying Coefficient Realized Volatility Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 21/13, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Goldman Elena & Nam Jouahn & Tsurumi Hiroki & Wang Jun, 2013. "Regimes and long memory in realized volatility," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(5), pages 521-549, December.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Meddahi, Nour, 2011. "Realized volatility forecasting and market microstructure noise," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 220-234, January.
- Asai, M. & Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2017.
"Realized Stochastic Volatility with General Asymmetry and Long Memory,"
Econometric Institute Research Papers
TI 2017-038/III, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2017. "Realized Stochastic Volatility with General Asymmetry and Long Memory," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-038/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Asai, Manabu & Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael, 2017. "Realized stochastic volatility with general asymmetry and long memory," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 199(2), pages 202-212.
- Jeremy Large, 2007.
"Estimating Quadratic Variation When Quoted Prices Change by a Constant Increment,"
Economics Series Working Papers
340, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Large, Jeremy, 2011. "Estimating quadratic variation when quoted prices change by a constant increment," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 2-11, January.
- Liu, Yi & Liu, Huifang & Zhang, Lei, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting return jumps using realized variation measures," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 63-80.
- Bijl, Laurens & Kringhaug, Glenn & Molnár, Peter & Sandvik, Eirik, 2016. "Google searches and stock returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 150-156.
- Sebastiano Michele Zema & Francesco Cordoni, 2023. "A non-Normal framework for price discovery: The independent component based information shares measure," LEM Papers Series 2023/03, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Davide De Gaetano, 2016. "Forecast Combinations For Realized Volatility In Presence Of Structural Breaks," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0208, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
- Chan, Kam Fong & Gray, Philip & Gray, Stephen & Zhong, Angel, 2020. "Political uncertainty, market anomalies and Presidential honeymoons," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing & Huang, Dengshi & Chen, Wang, 2017. "Forecasting the oil futures price volatility: A new approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 560-566.
- Kislay Kumar Jha & Dirk G. Baur, 2020. "Regime-Dependent Good and Bad Volatility of Bitcoin," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-16, December.
- Juan M. Londono & Nancy R. Xu, 2019. "Variance Risk Premium Components and International Stock Return Predictability," International Finance Discussion Papers 1247, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Riccardo Sabbatucci & Allan Timmermann, 2020.
"Cash Flow News and Stock Price Dynamics,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(4), pages 2221-2270, August.
- Timmermann, Allan & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Sabbatucci, Riccardo, 2019. "Cash Flow News and Stock Price Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 14117, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin & Rangan Gupta, 2015.
"The Dynamic Impact of Uncertainty in Causing and Forecasting the Distribution of Oil Returns and Risk,"
Working Papers
201564, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Bonaccolto, G. & Caporin, M. & Gupta, R., 2018. "The dynamic impact of uncertainty in causing and forecasting the distribution of oil returns and risk," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 507(C), pages 446-469.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021.
"Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment,"
Working Papers
202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, December.
- Alessio Brini & Giacomo Toscano, 2024. "SpotV2Net: Multivariate Intraday Spot Volatility Forecasting via Vol-of-Vol-Informed Graph Attention Networks," Papers 2401.06249, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2025.
- Dark, Jonathan, 2024. "An adaptive long memory conditional correlation model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Leopoldo Catania & Stefano Grassi, 2017. "Modelling Crypto-Currencies Financial Time-Series," CEIS Research Paper 417, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 11 Dec 2017.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Todorova, Neda, 2017. "Volatility forecasting of non-ferrous metal futures: Covariances, covariates or combinations?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 228-247.
- Heather M. Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2013. "Common non-linearities in multiple series of stock market volatility," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/13, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Halousková, Martina & Stašek, Daniel & Horváth, Matúš, 2022. "The role of investor attention in global asset price variation during the invasion of Ukraine," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- He, Kaijian & Tso, Geoffrey K.F. & Zou, Yingchao & Liu, Jia, 2018. "Crude oil risk forecasting: New evidence from multiscale analysis approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 574-583.
- Wang, Zhuo & Chen, Xiaodan & Zhou, Chunyan & Zhang, Yifeng & Wei, Yu, 2024. "Examining the quantile cross-coherence between fossil energy and clean energy: Is the dependence structure changing with the COVID-19 outbreak?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
- LAURENT, Sébastien & ROMBOUTS, Jeroen V. K. & VIOLANTE, Francesco, 2010.
"On the forecasting accuracy of multivariate GARCH models,"
LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE
2010025, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Sébastien Laurent & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Francesco Violante, 2010. "On the Forecasting Accuracy of Multivariate GARCH Models," Cahiers de recherche 1021, CIRPEE.
- Sébastien Laurent & Jeroen V. K. Rombouts & Francesco Violante, 2012. "On the forecasting accuracy of multivariate GARCH models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 934-955, September.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Cisil Sarisoy & Juan M. Londono & Bo Sun & Deepa D. Datta & Thiago Ferreira & Olesya Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius Rodriguez & Ilk, 2023.
"What Is Certain about Uncertainty?,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 624-654, June.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Deepa Dhume Datta & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Olesya V. Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Juan M. Londono & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius del Giudice Rodriguez & J, 2020. "What is Certain about Uncertainty?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1294, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Qiao, Gaoxiu & Teng, Yuxin & Li, Weiping & Liu, Wenwen, 2019. "Improving volatility forecasting based on Chinese volatility index information: Evidence from CSI 300 index and futures markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 133-151.
- Masato Ubukata & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2014. "Market variance risk premiums in Japan for asset predictability," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 169-198, August.
- Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Li, Xiao-Ming, 2024. "Stabilizing global foreign exchange markets in the time of COVID-19: The role of vaccinations," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Luo, Jiawen & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas & Ji, Qiang, 2021.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility of Crude Oil Futures Prices based on Machine Learning,"
QBS Working Paper Series
2021/04, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
- Jiawen Luo & Tony Klein & Thomas Walther & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Forecasting realized volatility of crude oil futures prices based on machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1422-1446, August.
- Yun, Jaeho, 2020. "Variance risk premium in a small open economy with volatile capital flows: The case of Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 105-125.
- Hwang, Eunju & Shin, Dong Wan, 2014. "Infinite-order, long-memory heterogeneous autoregressive models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 339-358.
- Kevin Sheppard & Lily Liu & Andrew J. Patton, 2013.
"Does Anything Beat 5-Minute RV? A Comparison of Realized Measures Across Multiple Asset Classes,"
Economics Series Working Papers
645, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Liu, Lily Y. & Patton, Andrew J. & Sheppard, Kevin, 2015. "Does anything beat 5-minute RV? A comparison of realized measures across multiple asset classes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 293-311.
- Abderrazak Ben Maatoug & Rim Lamouchi & Russell Davidson & Ibrahim Fatnassi, 2018.
"Modelling Foreign Exchange Realized Volatility Using High Frequency Data: Long Memory versus Structural Breaks,"
Post-Print
hal-01982032, HAL.
- Abderrazak Ben Maatoug & Rim Lamouchi & Russell Davidson & Ibrahim Fatnassi, 2018. "Modelling Foreign Exchange Realized Volatility Using High Frequency Data: Long Memory versus Structural Breaks," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-25, March.
- Grammig, Joachim & Küchlin, Eva-Maria, 2017. "A two-step indirect inference approach to estimate the long-run risk asset pricing model," CFR Working Papers 17-01, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
- Yang, Qing & Zhang, Yi, 2022. "Change-point detection for the link function in a single-index model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
- Liu, Jing & Wei, Yu & Ma, Feng & Wahab, M.I.M., 2017. "Forecasting the realized range-based volatility using dynamic model averaging approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 12-26.
- Thomas Dimpfl & Stephan Jank, 2016.
"Can Internet Search Queries Help to Predict Stock Market Volatility?,"
European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 22(2), pages 171-192, March.
- Dimpfl, Thomas & Jank, Stephan, 2011. "Can Internet search queries help to predict stock market volatility?," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 18, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
- Dimpfl, Thomas & Jank, Stephan, 2011. "Can internet search queries help to predict stock market volatility?," CFR Working Papers 11-15, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
- Bjoern Schulte-Tillmann & Mawuli Segnon & Timo Wiedemann, 2023. "A comparison of high-frequency realized variance measures: Duration- vs. return-based approaches," CQE Working Papers 10523, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023.
"Climate risks and realized volatility of major commodity currency exchange rates,"
Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Climate Risks and Realized Volatility of Major Commodity Currency Exchange Rates," Working Papers 202210, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Anne Opschoor & André Lucas, 2019. "Observation-driven Models for Realized Variances and Overnight Returns," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 19-052/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
- Ralf Becker & Adam Clements & Robert O'Neill, 2018. "A Multivariate Kernel Approach to Forecasting the Variance Covariance of Stock Market Returns," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-27, February.
- Kim, Alisa & Trimborn, Simon & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2021.
"VCRIX — A volatility index for crypto-currencies,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Kim, Alisa & Trimborn, Simon & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2019. "VCRIX - a volatility index for crypto-currencies," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2019-027, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
- Harvey, Andrew & Palumbo, Dario, 2023.
"Score-driven models for realized volatility,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Harvey, A. & Palumbo, D., 2019. "Score-Driven Models for Realized Volatility," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1950, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Baur, Dirk G. & Dimpfl, Thomas, 2018. "The asymmetric return-volatility relationship of commodity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 378-387.
- Malinská, Barbora, 2022. "Time-varying pricing of risk in sovereign bond futures returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
- José Renato Haas Ornelas, 2017.
"Expected Currency Returns and Volatility Risk Premia,"
Working Papers Series
454, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Haas Ornelas, José Renato, 2019. "Expected currency returns and volatility risk premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 206-234.
- Tsai, Ping Chen & Eom, Cheoljun & Wang, Chou Wen, 2024. "State-dependent intra-day volatility pattern and its impact on price jump detection - Evidence from international equity indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
- Matias Quiroz & Laleh Tafakori & Hans Manner, 2024. "Forecasting Realized Covariances Using HAR-Type Models," Graz Economics Papers 2024-20, University of Graz, Department of Economics.
- Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2009.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models,"
CIRJE F-Series
CIRJE-F-686, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- McAleer, M.J. & Medeiros, M.C., 2009. "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2009-37, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Michael McAleer & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2010. "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models," Textos para discussão 568, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2009. "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models," CARF F-Series CARF-F-189, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Marcelo C. Medeiros & Eduardo F. Mendes, 2015. "l1-Regularization of High-Dimensional Time-Series Models with Flexible Innovations," Textos para discussão 636, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Horta, Eduardo & Ziegelmann, Flavio, 2018. "Conjugate processes: Theory and application to risk forecasting," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 128(3), pages 727-755.
- Ballestra, Luca Vincenzo & Guizzardi, Andrea & Palladini, Fabio, 2019. "Forecasting and trading on the VIX futures market: A neural network approach based on open to close returns and coincident indicators," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1250-1262.
- Bekierman Jeremias & Gribisch Bastian, 2016. "Estimating stochastic volatility models using realized measures," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(3), pages 279-300, June.
- Thomas Dimpfl & Robert Jung, 2011.
"Financial market spillovers around the globe,"
Global Financial Markets Working Paper Series
20-2011, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
- Thomas Dimpfl & Robert C. Jung, 2012. "Financial market spillovers around the globe," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 45-57, January.
- Davide De Gaetano, 2018. "Forecast Combinations in the Presence of Structural Breaks: Evidence from U.S. Equity Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-19, March.
- Tapia, Sebastian & Kristjanpoller, Werner, 2022. "Framework based on multiplicative error and residual analysis to forecast bitcoin intraday-volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 589(C).
- Eduardo Astorino & Fernando Chague, Bruno Cara Giovannetti, Marcos Eugênio da Silva, 2015.
"Variance Premium and Implied Volatility in a Low-Liquidity Option Market,"
Working Papers, Department of Economics
2015_08, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
- Astorino, Eduardo & Chague, Fernando & Giovannetti, Bruno Cara & da Silva, Marcos Eugênio, 2017. "Variance Premium and Implied Volatility in a Low-Liquidity Option Market," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 71(1), May.
- Bergsli, Lykke Øverland & Lind, Andrea Falk & Molnár, Peter & Polasik, Michał, 2022. "Forecasting volatility of Bitcoin," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Yunting Liu, 2022. "The Short-Run and Long-Run Components of Idiosyncratic Volatility and Stock Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(2), pages 1573-1589, February.
- Rasmus Tangsgaard Varneskov & Pierre Perron, 2011.
"Combining Long Memory and Level Shifts in Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Asset Returns,"
CREATES Research Papers
2011-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Rasmus T. Varneskov & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Combining long memory and level shifts in modelling and forecasting the volatility of asset returns," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 371-393, March.
- Pierre Perron & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2011. "Combining Long Memory and Level Shifts in Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Asset Returns," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2011-050, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Rasmus T. Varneskov & Pierre Perron, 2017. "Combining Long Memory and Level Shifts in Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Asset Returns," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2017-006, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Rasmus T. Varneskov & Pierre Perron, 2015. "Combining Long Memory and Level Shifts in Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Asset Returns," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2015-015, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Thobekile Qabhobho, 2023. "Assessing the Asymmetric Effect of Local Realized Exchange Rate Volatility and Implied Volatilities in Energy Market on Exchange Rate Returns in BRICS," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 231-239, March.
- Gong, Xu & Wen, Fenghua & Xia, X.H. & Huang, Jianbai & Pan, Bin, 2017. "Investigating the risk-return trade-off for crude oil futures using high-frequency data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 152-161.
- Bonato, Matteo & Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021.
"Do oil-price shocks predict the realized variance of U.S. REITs?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Do Oil-Price Shocks Predict the Realized Variance of U.S. REITs?," Working Papers 2020100, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Dario Alitab & Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi & Adam A. Majewski, 2019. "A realized volatility approach to option pricing with continuous and jump variance components," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 42(2), pages 639-664, December.
- Luo, Jiawen & Ji, Qiang, 2018. "High-frequency volatility connectedness between the US crude oil market and China's agricultural commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 424-438.
- Giampiero M. Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2018.
"Combining sharp and smooth transitions in volatility dynamics: a fuzzy regime approach,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 67(3), pages 549-573, April.
- Giampiero M. Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2017. "Combining Sharp and Smooth Transitions in Volatility Dynamics: a Fuzzy Regime Approach," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2017_05, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Faria, Gonçalo & Kosowski, Robert & Wang, Tianyu, 2022.
"The Correlation Risk Premium: International Evidence,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Kosowski, Robert & Faria, Gonçalo & Wang, Tianyu, 2021. "The Correlation Risk Premium: International Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 16389, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Yang, Ke & Zhang, Yaojie, 2018. "Forecasting the oil futures price volatility: Large jumps and small jumps," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 321-330.
- Fernandes, Marcelo & Medeiros, Marcelo C. & Scharth, Marcel, 2013.
"Modeling and predicting the CBOE market volatility index,"
Textos para discussão
342, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
- Fernandes, Marcelo & Medeiros, Marcelo C. & Scharth, Marcel, 2014. "Modeling and predicting the CBOE market volatility index," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-10.
- Marcelo Fernandes & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros & MArcelo Scharth, 2007. "Modeling and predicting the CBOE market volatility index," Textos para discussão 548, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022.
"Risk aversion and the predictability of crude oil market volatility: A forecasting experiment with random forests,"
Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(8), pages 1755-1767, August.
- Riza Demirer & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Risk Aversion and the Predictability of Crude Oil Market Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests," Working Papers 201972, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Shi, Yujie & Wang, Liming, 2023. "Comparing the impact of Chinese and U.S. economic policy uncertainty on the volatility of major global stock markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2018.
"Indirect inference with time series observed with error,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(6), pages 874-897, September.
- Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2014. "Indirect inference with time series observed with error," CREATES Research Papers 2014-57, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Stefano Grassi & Nima Nonejad & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2014.
"Forecasting with the Standardized Self-Perturbed Kalman Filter,"
CREATES Research Papers
2014-12, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Stefano Grassi & Nima Nonejad & Paolo Santucci De Magistris, 2017. "Forecasting With the Standardized Self‐Perturbed Kalman Filter," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(2), pages 318-341, March.
- Stefano Grassi & Nima Nonejad & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2014. "Forecasting with the Standardized Self-Perturbed Kalman Filter," Studies in Economics 1405, School of Economics, University of Kent.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2011.
"Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management,"
CREATES Research Papers
2011-37, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2013. "Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1127-1220, Elsevier.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2011. "Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management," PIER Working Paper Archive 11-037, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2012. "Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management," NBER Working Papers 18084, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Barigozzi, Matteo & Hallin, Marc, 2017.
"Generalized dynamic factor models and volatilities: estimation and forecasting,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 307-321.
- Barigozzi, Matteo & Hallin, Marc, 2017. "Generalized dynamic factor models and volatilities estimation and forecasting," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 67455, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Marc Hallin, 2015. "Generalized Dynamic Factor Models and Volatilities: Estimation and Forecasting," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-22, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Asai, M. & McAleer, M.J. & Peiris, S., 2017.
"Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Gegenbauer Long Memory,"
Econometric Institute Research Papers
EI2017-29, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Asai, Manabu & McAleer, Michael & Peiris, Shelton, 2020. "Realized stochastic volatility models with generalized Gegenbauer long memory," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 42-54.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Shelton Peiris, 2017. "Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Gegenbauer Long Memory," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-105/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Shelton Peiris & Michael McAleer, 2017. "Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Gegenbauer Long Memory," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2017-26, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Mei, Dexiang & Ma, Feng & Liao, Yin & Wang, Lu, 2020. "Geopolitical risk uncertainty and oil future volatility: Evidence from MIDAS models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Zhu, Haibin & Bai, Lu & He, Lidan & Liu, Zhi, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility with machine learning: Panel data perspective," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 251-271.
- Peter Carr & Liuren Wu & Zhibai Zhang, 2019. "Using Machine Learning to Predict Realized Variance," Papers 1909.10035, arXiv.org.
- Eghbal Rahimikia & Stefan Zohren & Ser-Huang Poon, 2021. "Realised Volatility Forecasting: Machine Learning via Financial Word Embedding," Papers 2108.00480, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Xu, Lai & Zhou, Hao, 2015.
"Stock return and cash flow predictability: The role of volatility risk,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 458-471.
- Tim Bollerslev & Lai Xu & Hao Zhou, 2012. "Stock Return and Cash Flow Predictability: The Role of Volatility Risk," CREATES Research Papers 2012-51, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Sattarhoff, Cristina & Lux, Thomas, 2021. "Forecasting the Variability of Stock Index Returns with the Multifractal Random Walk Model for Realized Volatilities," Economics Working Papers 2021-02, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Bruno Feunou & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Cédric Okou, 2015.
"Downside Variance Risk Premium,"
Staff Working Papers
15-36, Bank of Canada.
- Bruno Feunou & Mohammad R Jahan-Parvar & Cédric Okou, 2018. "Downside Variance Risk Premium," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(3), pages 341-383.
- Bruno Feunou & Mohammad Jahan-Parvar & Cedric Okou, 2015. "Downside Variance Risk Premium," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-20, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Chiriac, Roxana & Voev, Valeri, 2008.
"Modelling and forecasting multivariate realized volatility,"
CoFE Discussion Papers
08/06, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
- Roxana Chiriac & Valeri Voev, 2008. "Modelling and Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2008-39, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Roxana Chiriac & Valeri Voev, 2011. "Modelling and forecasting multivariate realized volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(6), pages 922-947, September.
- Clements, Adam & Vasnev, Andrey, 2021. "Forecast combination puzzle in the HAR model," Working Papers BAWP-2021-01, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Gkillas, Konstantinos & Boako, Gideon & Vortelinos, Dimitrios & Vasiliadis, Lavrentios, 2020. "Non-parametric quantile dependencies between volatility discontinuities and political risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
- Denisa BANULESCU-RADU & Elena Ivona DUMITRESCU, 2019.
"Do High-frequency-based Measures Improve Conditional Covariance Forecasts?,"
LEO Working Papers / DR LEO
2709, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Elena Ivona Dumitrescu & Georgiana-Denisa Banulescu, 2019. "Do High-frequency-based Measures Improve Conditional Covariance Forecasts?," Post-Print hal-03331122, HAL.
- Vassilios G. Papavassiliou, 2016. "Allowing For Jump Measurements In Volatility: A High-Frequency Financial Data Analysis Of Individual Stocks," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(2), pages 124-132, April.
- Hu, Junjie & Kuo, Weiyu & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2019.
"Risk of Bitcoin Market: Volatility, Jumps, and Forecasts,"
IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers
2019-024, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
- Junjie Hu & Wolfgang Karl Hardle & Weiyu Kuo, 2019. "Risk of Bitcoin Market: Volatility, Jumps, and Forecasts," Papers 1912.05228, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
- J. Eduardo Vera-Vald'es, 2017.
"On Long Memory Origins and Forecast Horizons,"
Papers
1712.08057, arXiv.org.
- J. Eduardo Vera‐Valdés, 2020. "On long memory origins and forecast horizons," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 811-826, August.
- Jorge V. Pérez-Rodríguez, 2020. "Another look at the implied and realised volatility relation: a copula-based approach," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(1), pages 38-64, March.
- Li, Xingyi & Zakamulin, Valeriy, 2020. "The term structure of volatility predictability," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 723-737.
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019.
"Forecasting Realized Gold Volatility: Is there a Role of Geopolitical Risks?,"
Working Papers
201943, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "Forecasting realized gold volatility: Is there a role of geopolitical risks?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
- Vassallo, Danilo & Buccheri, Giuseppe & Corsi, Fulvio, 2021. "A DCC-type approach for realized covariance modeling with score-driven dynamics," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 569-586.
- Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oğuzhan Çepni & Feng Ma, 2023.
"Forecasting international REITs volatility: the role of oil-price uncertainty,"
The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(14), pages 1579-1597, September.
- Jiqian Wang & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni & Feng Ma, 2021. "Forecasting International REITs Volatility: The Role of Oil-Price Uncertainty," Working Papers 202173, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Becker, Janis & Hollstein, Fabian & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2019. "The Memory of Beta Factors," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-661, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Luo, Jiawen & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony & Todorova, Neda & Zhang, Dayong, 2020. "On realized volatility of crude oil futures markets: Forecasting with exogenous predictors under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- Naimoli, Antonio, 2022. "Modelling the persistence of Covid-19 positivity rate in Italy," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 82(PA).
- Bucci, Andrea & Palomba, Giulio & Rossi, Eduardo, 2023. "The role of uncertainty in forecasting volatility comovements across stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Clements, Adam & Hurn, Stan & Volkov, Vladimir, 2021. "A simple linear alternative to multiplicative error models with an application to trading volume," Working Papers 2021-06, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Rafael Reisenhofer & Xandro Bayer & Nikolaus Hautsch, 2022.
"HARNet: A Convolutional Neural Network for Realized Volatility Forecasting,"
Papers
2205.07719, arXiv.org.
- Reisenhofer, Rafael & Bayer, Xandro & Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2022. "HARNet: A convolutional neural network for realized volatility forecasting," CFS Working Paper Series 680, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Chorro, Christophe & Ielpo, Florian & Sévi, Benoît, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Pan, Ging-Ginq & Shiu, Yung-Ming & Wu, Tu-Cheng, 2022. "Can risk-neutral skewness and kurtosis subsume the information content of historical jumps?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- María Paula Bonel & Daniel J. Aromí, 2021. "Assessing GDP forecasts from autoregressive models: the impact of model complexity and training dataset," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4440, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
- Yaojie Zhang & Yu Wei & Li Liu, 2019. "Improving forecasting performance of realized covariance with extensions of HAR-RCOV model: statistical significance and economic value," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(9), pages 1425-1438, September.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2011.
"Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach,"
CREATES Research Papers
2011-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valerie Voev, 2011. "Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2011-002, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2012. "Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2012-30, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- F. Lilla, 2017. "High Frequency vs. Daily Resolution: the Economic Value of Forecasting Volatility Models - 2nd ed," Working Papers wp1099, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Portfolio diversification during the COVID-19 pandemic: Do vaccinations matter?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
- Ubukata, Masato & Watanabe, Toshiaki, 2015. "Evaluating the performance of futures hedging using multivariate realized volatility," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 148-171.
- Ștefan Constantin Radu & Beatrice Maria Poenaru, 2021. "Analyzing The Resilience Of The Central And Eastern European Stock Markets During The Covid-19 Pandemic," Management Strategies Journal, Constantin Brancoveanu University, vol. 54(4), pages 61-68.
- Richard T. Baillie & Fabio Calonaci & Dooyeon Cho & Seunghwa Rho, 2019. "Long Memory, Realized Volatility and HAR Models," Working Papers 881, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Liu, Yue & Sun, Huaping & Zhang, Jijian & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2020. "Detection of volatility regime-switching for crude oil price modeling and forecasting," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
- Lian, Ziying & Cai, Jun & Webb, Robert I., 2020. "Oil stocks, risk factors, and tail behavior," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Aromi, Daniel & Clements, Adam, 2019. "Spillovers between the oil sector and the S&P500: The impact of information flow about crude oil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 187-196.
- Wenger, Kai & Leschinski, Christian & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2017. "The Memory of Volatility," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-601, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Sattarhoff, Cristina & Lux, Thomas, 2023. "Forecasting the variability of stock index returns with the multifractal random walk model for realized volatilities," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1678-1697.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "Predicting risk in energy markets: Low-frequency data still matter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
- Al Guindy, Mohamed, 2021. "Cryptocurrency price volatility and investor attention," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 556-570.
- Ricardo P. Masini & Marcelo C. Medeiros & Eduardo F. Mendes, 2020.
"Machine Learning Advances for Time Series Forecasting,"
Papers
2012.12802, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.
- Ricardo P. Masini & Marcelo C. Medeiros & Eduardo F. Mendes, 2023. "Machine learning advances for time series forecasting," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 76-111, February.
- Becker Ralf & Clements Adam E & Hurn Stan, 2011. "Semi-Parametric Forecasting of Realized Volatility," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(3), pages 1-23, May.
- Dinghai Xu, 2021.
"A study on volatility spurious almost integration effect: A threshold realized GARCH approach,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4104-4126, July.
- Dinghai Xu, 2019. "A Study on Volatility Spurious Almost Integration Effect: A Threshold Realized GARCH Approach," Working Papers 1903, University of Waterloo, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2019.
- Mikkel Bennedsen & Asger Lunde & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2016. "Decoupling the short- and long-term behavior of stochastic volatility," Papers 1610.00332, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
- Yi-Hao Lai & Yi-Chiuan Wang & Yu-Ching Chang, 2024. "Forecasting Trading-Session Return Volatility in Taiwan Futures Market: A Periodic Regime Switching with Jump Approach," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(2), pages 285-305, June.
- Yow-Jen Jou & Chih-Wei Wang & Wan-Chien Chiu, 2013. "Is the realized volatility good for option pricing during the recent financial crisis?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 171-188, January.
- Warshaw, Evan, 2020. "Asymmetric volatility spillover between European equity and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the frequency domain," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-14.
- Xu, Yanyan & Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Chu, Jielei, 2024. "Liquidity and realized volatility prediction in Chinese stock market: A time-varying transitional dynamic perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 543-560.
- Liu, Guangqiang & Wang, Yan & Chen, Xiaodan & Zhang, Yifeng & Shang, Yue, 2020. "Forecasting volatility of the Chinese stock markets using TVP HAR-type models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 542(C).
- Maxim Ulrich & Simon Walther, 2020. "Option-implied information: What’s the vol surface got to do with it?," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 323-355, October.
- Korkusuz, Burak & Kambouroudis, Dimos & McMillan, David G., 2023. "Do extreme range estimators improve realized volatility forecasts? Evidence from G7 Stock Markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
- Nikitopoulos, Christina Sklibosios & Thomas, Alice Carole & Wang, Jianxin, 2023. "The economic impact of daily volatility persistence on energy markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
- Dimos Kambouroudis & David McMillan & Katerina Tsakou, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Volatility: The role of implied volatility, leverage effect, overnight returns and volatility of realized volatility," Working Papers 2019-03, Swansea University, School of Management.
- BOUSALAM, Issam & HAMZAOUI, Moustapha & ZOUHAYR, Otman, 2016. "Forecasting Daily Stock Volatility Using GARCH-CJ Type Models with Continuous and Jump Variation," MPRA Paper 69636, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Elena Andreou, 2016. "On the use of high frequency measures of volatility in MIDAS regressions," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 03-2016, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
- Aurelio F. Bariviera & Ignasi Merediz‐Solà, 2021.
"Where Do We Stand In Cryptocurrencies Economic Research? A Survey Based On Hybrid Analysis,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 377-407, April.
- Aurelio F. Bariviera & Ignasi Merediz-Sol`a, 2020. "Where do we stand in cryptocurrencies economic research? A survey based on hybrid analysis," Papers 2003.09723, arXiv.org.
- Elena Goldman & Xiangjin Shen, 2018. "Analysis of Asymmetric GARCH Volatility Models with Applications to Margin Measurement," Staff Working Papers 18-21, Bank of Canada.
- John Cotter & Enrique Salvador, 2022.
"The non-linear trade-off between return and risk and its determinants,"
Working Papers
202203, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
- Cotter, John & Salvador, Enrique, 2022. "The non-linear trade-off between return and risk and its determinants," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 100-132.
- Maki, Daiki, 2024. "Evaluation of volatility spillovers for asymmetric realized covariance," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Liu, Xinyi & Margaritis, Dimitris & Wang, Peiming, 2012. "Stock market volatility and equity returns: Evidence from a two-state Markov-switching model with regressors," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 483-496.
- Ewald, Christian & Hadina, Jelena & Haugom, Erik & Lien, Gudbrand & Størdal, Ståle & Yahya, Muhammad, 2023. "Sample frequency robustness and accuracy in forecasting Value-at-Risk for Brent Crude Oil futures," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
- Maxime Menuet & Hugo Oriola & Patrick Villieu, 2024.
"Do conservative central bankers weaken the chances of conservative politicians?,"
Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 62(4), pages 681-738, June.
- Maxime Menuet & Hugo Oriola & Patrick Villieu, 2021. "Do Conservative Central Bankers Weaken the Chances of Conservative Politicians?," Working Papers hal-03479411, HAL.
- Boris David & Gilles Zumbach, 2022. "Multivariate backtests and copulas for risk evaluation," Papers 2206.03896, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
- Hoang, Lai T. & Baur, Dirk G., 2022. "Loaded for bear: Bitcoin private wallets, exchange reserves and prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
- Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing & Yang, Lin, 2020. "Forecasting stock price volatility: New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 684-694.
- Torben G. Andersen & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2021.
"Consistent Inference for Predictive Regressions in Persistent Economic Systems,"
NBER Working Papers
28568, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Varneskov, Rasmus T., 2021. "Consistent inference for predictive regressions in persistent economic systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 215-244.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2017.
"Forecasting the volatility of Nikkei 225 futures,"
Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(11), pages 1141-1152, November.
- Asai, M. & McAleer, M.J., 2017. "Forecasting the Volatility of Nikkei 225 Futures," Econometric Institute Research Papers TI 2017-017/III, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2017. "Forecasting the Volatility of Nikkei 225 Futures," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-017/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2017. "Forecasting the volatility of Nikkei 225 futures," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2017-07, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Maki, Daiki, 2024. "Forecasting downside and upside realized volatility: The role of asymmetric information," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
- Nick Taylor, 2017. "Risk Control: Who Cares?," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(1), pages 153-179, January.
- Giampiero M. Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2016. "Combining Markov Switching and Smooth Transition in Modeling Volatility: A Fuzzy Regime MEM," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2016_02, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2022.
"A moving average heterogeneous autoregressive model for forecasting the realized volatility of the US stock market: Evidence from over a century of data,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 384-400, January.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2019. "A Moving Average Heterogeneous Autoregressive Model for Forecasting the Realized Volatility of the US Stock Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 201978, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Kyj, Lada. M. & Malec, Peter, 2013.
"Do high-frequency data improve high-dimensional portfolio allocations?,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2013-014, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Nikolaus Hautsch & Lada M. Kyj & Peter Malec, 2015. "Do High‐Frequency Data Improve High‐Dimensional Portfolio Allocations?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(2), pages 263-290, March.
- Kyritsis, Evangelos & Serletis, Apostolos, 2017.
"The Zero Lower Bound and Market Spillovers: Evidence from the G7 and Norway,"
Discussion Papers
2017/7, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
- Kyritsis, Evangelos & Serletis, Apostolos, 2018. "The zero lower bound and market spillovers: Evidence from the G7 and Norway," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 100-123.
- Masato Ubukata & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2014. "Pricing Nikkei 225 Options Using Realized Volatility," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 65(4), pages 431-467, December.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2014. "Optimally sampled realized range-based volatility estimators," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 34-50.
- Wang, Jianxin, 2022. "Market distraction and near-zero daily volatility persistence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Buncic, Daniel & Gisler, Katja I.M., 2016.
"Global equity market volatility spillovers: A broader role for the United States,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1317-1339.
- Buncic, Daniel & Gisler, Katja I. M., 2015. "Global Equity Market Volatility Spillovers: A Broader Role for the United States," Economics Working Paper Series 1508, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Gong, Xue & Lai, Ping & He, Mengxi & Wen, Danyan, 2024. "Climate risk and energy futures high frequency volatility prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
- Hamid, Alain & Heiden, Moritz, 2015. "Forecasting volatility with empirical similarity and Google Trends," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 62-81.
- Raddant, Matthias, 2012.
"Structure in the Italian overnight loan market,"
Kiel Working Papers
1772, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Raddant, Matthias, 2014. "Structure in the Italian overnight loan market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 197-213.
- Behrendt, Simon & Schweikert, Karsten, 2021. "A Note on Adaptive Group Lasso for Structural Break Time Series," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 156-172.
- Bonato, Matteo & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021.
"A note on investor happiness and the predictability of realized volatility of gold,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
- Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "A Note on Investor Happiness and the Predictability of Realized Volatility of Gold," Working Papers 202004, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Klein, Tony, 2024. "Investor behavior in times of conflict: A natural experiment on the interplay of geopolitical risk and defense stocks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 294-313.
- Till Weigt & Bernd Wilfling, 2016. "A new combination approach to reducing forecast errors with an application to volatility forecasting," CQE Working Papers 4616, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- A Clements & D Preve, 2019.
"A Practical Guide to Harnessing the HAR Volatility Model,"
NCER Working Paper Series
120, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Clements, Adam & Preve, Daniel P.A., 2021. "A Practical Guide to harnessing the HAR volatility model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- Andersen, Torben G. & Todorov, Viktor & Ubukata, Masato, 2021. "Tail risk and return predictability for the Japanese equity market," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 344-363.
- Frederik Neugebauer, 2020. "ECB Announcements and Stock Market Volatility," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 20-02, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Potamia, Artemis, 2017.
"Multiple-days-ahead value-at-risk and expected shortfall forecasting for stock indices, commodities and exchange rates: Inter-day versus intra-day data,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 176-190.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Potamia, Artemis, 2016. "Multiple-days-ahead value-at-risk and expected shortfall forecasting for stock indices, commodities and exchange rates: inter-day versus intra-day data," MPRA Paper 74670, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ellington, Michael, 2022. "Fat tails, serial dependence, and implied volatility index connections," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 299(2), pages 768-779.
- Christian Conrad & Robert F. Engle, 2021. "Modelling Volatility Cycles: The (MF)2 GARCH Model," Working Paper series 21-05, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Luo, Jiawen & Klein, Tony & Ji, Qiang & Hou, Chenghan, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of agricultural commodity futures with infinite Hidden Markov HAR models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 51-73.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2016. "Incremental information of stock indicators," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 79-97.
- Chao Zhang & Yihuang Zhang & Mihai Cucuringu & Zhongmin Qian, 2022. "Volatility forecasting with machine learning and intraday commonality," Papers 2202.08962, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2021.
"Global Financial Cycle and the Predictability of Oil Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Model,"
Working Papers
202121, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Demirer, Riza, 2022. "Global financial cycle and the predictability of oil market volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- Varneskov, Rasmus & Voev, Valeri, 2013.
"The role of realized ex-post covariance measures and dynamic model choice on the quality of covariance forecasts,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 83-95.
- Rasmus Tangsgaard Varneskov & Valeri Voev, 2010. "The Role of Realized Ex-post Covariance Measures and Dynamic Model Choice on the Quality of Covariance Forecasts," CREATES Research Papers 2010-45, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq & Antonio Riccardo, 2018. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Measures with Multivariate and Univariate Models: The Case of The US Banking Sector," CEIS Research Paper 445, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 30 Oct 2018.
- Thomas Dimpfl & Tobias Langen, 2019. "How Unemployment Affects Bond Prices: A Mixed Frequency Google Nowcasting Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 551-573, August.
- Horpestad, Jone B. & Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Olsen, Torbjørn B., 2019. "Asymmetric volatility in equity markets around the world," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 540-554.
- Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta & Riza Demirer, 2018. "Forecasting Stock Market (Realized) Volatility in the United Kingdom: Is There a Role for Economic Inequality?," Working Papers 201880, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Lin, Xiaoqiang & Fei, Fangyu & Wang, Yudong, 2011. "Analysis of the efficiency of the Shanghai stock market: A volatility perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(20), pages 3486-3495.
- Jozef Barunik & Lukas Vacha, 2023. "The Dynamic Persistence of Economic Shocks," Papers 2306.01511, arXiv.org.
- José Renato Haas Ornelas & Roberto Baltieri Mauad, 2017.
"Volatility Risk Premia and Future Commodity Returns,"
Working Papers Series
455, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Ornelas, José Renato Haas & Mauad, Roberto Baltieri, 2019. "Volatility risk premia and future commodity returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 341-360.
- Hassanniakalager, Arman & Baker, Paul L. & Platanakis, Emmanouil, 2024. "A False Discovery Rate approach to optimal volatility forecasting model selection," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 881-902.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter, 2018. "Exploiting dependence: Day-ahead volatility forecasting for crude oil and natural gas exchange-traded funds," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 462-473.
- Mei, Dexiang & Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Chen, Wang, 2017. "Forecasting stock market volatility: Do realized skewness and kurtosis help?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 481(C), pages 153-159.
- Gaoxiu Qiao & Yangli Cao & Feng Ma & Weiping Li, 2023. "Liquidity and realized covariance forecasting: a hybrid method with model uncertainty," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 437-463, January.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2014.
"Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction,"
CEIS Research Paper
319, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 30 Jul 2014.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2015. "Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction," CREATES Research Papers 2015-51, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Proietti, Tommaso, 2014. "Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction," MPRA Paper 57230, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Huiling Yuan & Yong Zhou & Zhiyuan Zhang & Xiangyu Cui, 2019. "Forecasting security's volatility using low-frequency historical data, high-frequency historical data and option-implied volatility," Papers 1907.02666, arXiv.org.
- Nader Mahmoudi & Łukasz P. Olech & Paul Docherty, 2022. "A comprehensive study of domain-specific emoji meanings in sentiment classification," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 159-197, June.
- Li, Chenxing & Zhang, Zehua & Zhao, Ran, 2023.
"Volatility or higher moments: Which is more important in return density forecasts of stochastic volatility model?,"
MPRA Paper
118459, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Li, Chenxing & Zhang, Zehua & Zhao, Ran, 2024. "Volatility or higher moments: Which is more important in return density forecasts of stochastic volatility model?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
- Vincenzo Candila & Oguzhan Cepni & Giampiero M. Gallo & Rangan Gupta, 2024.
"Influence of Local and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Volatility of US State-Level Equity Returns: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach with Shrinkage and Cluster Analysis,"
Working Papers
202437, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- V. Candila & O. Cepni & G. M. Gallo & R. Gupta, 2024. "Influence of Local and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on the volatility of US state-level equity returns: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS approach with Shrinkage and Cluster Analysis," Working Paper CRENoS 202414, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Andrey Ermolov, 2023.
"The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models,"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(6), pages 1977-2014.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Andrey Ermolov, 2020. "The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models," NBER Working Papers 27108, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Zhu, Qinwen & Diao, Xundi & Wu, Chongfeng, 2023. "Volatility forecast with the regularity modifications," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
- Ma, Chaoqun & Mi, Xianhua & Cai, Zongwu, 2020. "Nonlinear and time-varying risk premia," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Sami Ben Jabeur & Rabeh Khalfaoui & Wissal Ben Arfi, 2021. "The effect of green energy, global environmental indexes, and stock markets in predicting oil price crashes: Evidence from explainable machine learning," Post-Print hal-03797577, HAL.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2011. "Conditional jumps in volatility and their economic determinants," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0138, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Seo, Sung Won & Kim, Jun Sik, 2015. "The information content of option-implied information for volatility forecasting with investor sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 106-120.
- Bauer, Gregory H. & Vorkink, Keith, 2011. "Forecasting multivariate realized stock market volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 93-101, January.
- Stanislav Khrapov, 2011.
"Pricing Central Tendency in Volatility,"
Working Papers
w0168, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
- Stanislav Khrapov, 2011. "Pricing Central Tendency in Volatility," Working Papers w0168, New Economic School (NES).
- Klein, Tony & Todorova, Neda, 2019. "Night Trading with Futures in China: The Case of Aluminum and Copper," QBS Working Paper Series 2019/06, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
- Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew & Tarassow, Artur, 2022. "Bootstrap-based probabilistic analysis of spillover scenarios in economic and financial networks," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 59(PA).
- Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Dionisio, Andreia & Pradhan, H.K. & Mahapatra, Biplab, 2021. "Hunting the quicksilver: Using textual news and causality analysis to predict market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Bent Jesper Christensen & Mads Markvart Kjær & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2021.
"The incremental information in the yield curve about future interest rate risk,"
CREATES Research Papers
2021-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Christensen, Bent Jesper & Kjær, Mads Markvart & Veliyev, Bezirgen, 2023. "The incremental information in the yield curve about future interest rate risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
- Liu, Li & Wan, Jieqiu, 2011. "A study of correlations between crude oil spot and futures markets: A rolling sample test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(21), pages 3754-3766.
- Gunnarsson, Elias Søvik & Isern, Håkon Ramon & Kaloudis, Aristidis & Risstad, Morten & Vigdel, Benjamin & Westgaard, Sjur, 2024. "Prediction of realized volatility and implied volatility indices using AI and machine learning: A review," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
- Takahashi, Makoto & Watanabe, Toshiaki & Omori, Yasuhiro, 2021. "Forecasting Daily Volatility of Stock Price Index Using Daily Returns and Realized Volatility," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-104, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- Dimpfl, Thomas & Langen, Tobias, 2015. "A Cross-Country Analysis of Unemployment and Bonds with Long-Memory Relations," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112921, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Huang, Jiefei & Xu, Yang & Song, Yuping, 2022. "A high-frequency approach to VaR measures and forecasts based on the HAR-QREG model with jumps," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 608(P1).
- Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2023. "Discovering the drivers of stock market volatility in a data-rich world," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Qu, Hui & Duan, Qingling & Niu, Mengyi, 2018. "Modeling the volatility of realized volatility to improve volatility forecasts in electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 767-776.
- Andre Lucas & Anne Opschoor, 2016. "Fractional Integration and Fat Tails for Realized Covariance Kernels and Returns," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-069/IV, Tinbergen Institute, revised 07 Jul 2017.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021.
"A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios,"
Working Papers
202158, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Wing-Keung Wong, 2021. "A Note on Forecasting the Historical Realized Variance of Oil-Price Movements: The Role of Gold-to-Silver and Gold-to-Platinum Price Ratios," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-12, October.
- Huiling Yuan & Guodong Li & Junhui Wang, 2022. "High-Frequency-Based Volatility Model with Network Structure," Papers 2204.12933, arXiv.org.
- Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Nielsen, Heino Bohn & Pedersen, Rasmus Søndergaard & Rahbek, Anders, 2022.
"Bootstrap inference on the boundary of the parameter space, with application to conditional volatility models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 241-263.
- Giuseppe Cavaliere & Heino Bohn Nielsen & Rasmus Søndergaard Pedersen & Anders Rahbek, 2018. "Bootstrap Inference On The Boundary Of The Parameter Space With Application To Conditional Volatility Models," Discussion Papers 18-10, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020.
"The predictive power of oil price shocks on realized volatility of oil: A note,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "The Predictive Power of Oil Price Shocks on Realized Volatility of Oil: A Note," Working Papers 202044, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Vighneswara Swamy & M. Dharani, 2020. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: Google Search Intensity and the Investor Attention Effect: A Quantile Regression Approach," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(2), pages 403-423, June.
- Papantonis Ioannis & Rompolis Leonidas S. & Tzavalis Elias & Agapitos Orestis, 2023. "Augmenting the Realized-GARCH: the role of signed-jumps, attenuation-biases and long-memory effects," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(2), pages 171-198, April.
- Francesco Audrino & Simon D. Knaus, 2016.
"Lassoing the HAR Model: A Model Selection Perspective on Realized Volatility Dynamics,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1485-1521, December.
- Audrino, Francesco & Knaus, Simon, 2012. "Lassoing the HAR model: A Model Selection Perspective on Realized Volatility Dynamics," Economics Working Paper Series 1224, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Bandi, Federico M. & Russell, Jeffrey R., 2011. "Market microstructure noise, integrated variance estimators, and the accuracy of asymptotic approximations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 145-159, January.
- Clements, Adam & Liao, Yin, 2017. "Forecasting the variance of stock index returns using jumps and cojumps," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 729-742.
- Li, Wenlan & Cheng, Yuxiang & Fang, Qiang, 2020. "Forecast on silver futures linked with structural breaks and day-of-the-week effect," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
- Christoffersen, Peter & Pan, Xuhui (Nick), 2018.
"Oil volatility risk and expected stock returns,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 5-26.
- Peter Christoffersen & Xuhui (Nick) Pan, 2014. "Oil Volatility Risk and Expected Stock Returns," CREATES Research Papers 2015-06, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Pyun, Sungjune, 2019. "Variance risk in aggregate stock returns and time-varying return predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 150-174.
- Atif Ellahie & Xiaoxia Peng, 2021. "Management forecasts of volatility," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 620-655, June.
- Wei, Yu & Wang, Zhuo & Li, Dongxin & Chen, Xiaodan, 2022. "Can infectious disease pandemic impact the long-term volatility and correlation of gold and crude oil markets?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo & Alessandro Palandri, 2020.
"A dynamic conditional approach to portfolio weights forecasting,"
Papers
2004.12400, arXiv.org.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero Gallo & Alessandro Palandri, 2020. "A Dynamic Conditional Approach to Portfolio Weights Forecasting," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2020_06, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Phillip, Andrew & Chan, Jennifer & Peiris, Shelton, 2019. "On long memory effects in the volatility measure of Cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 95-100.
- Zhu, Xuehong & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhong, Meirui, 2017. "Volatility forecasting using high frequency data: The role of after-hours information and leverage effects," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 58-70.
- Isao Ishida & Virmantas Kvedaras, 2015. "Modeling Autoregressive Processes with Moving-Quantiles-Implied Nonlinearity," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-53, January.
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & David T. Frazier & Gael M. Martin, 2024. "Probabilistic Predictions of Option Prices Using Multiple Sources of Data," Papers 2412.00658, arXiv.org.
- Philippe Mueller & Andrea Vedolin & Yu-min Yen, 2012.
"Bond Variance Risk Premia,"
FMG Discussion Papers
dp699, Financial Markets Group.
- Mueller, Philippe & Vedolin, Andrea & Yen, Yu-Min, 2012. "Bond variance risk premia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119053, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Taylor, Nick, 2017. "Realised variance forecasting under Box-Cox transformations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 770-785.
- Buncic, Daniel & Stern, Cord, 2019.
"Forecast ranked tailored equity portfolios,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Buncic, Daniel & Stern, Cord, 2018. "Forecast ranked tailored equity portfolios," MPRA Paper 90382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2014.
"Volatility jumps and their economic determinants,"
CREATES Research Papers
2014-27, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2016. "Volatility Jumps and Their Economic Determinants," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 29-80.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marcel Scharth, 2011.
"The Analysis of Stochastic Volatility in the Presence of Daily Realised Measures,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
11-132/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marcel Scharth, 2012. "The Analysis of Stochastic Volatility in the Presence of Daily Realized Measures," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(1), pages 76-115, December.
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Zhuo Huang & Chen Tong & Tianyi Wang, 2024.
"Realized GARCH, CBOE VIX, and the Volatility Risk Premium,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(1), pages 187-223.
- Peter Reinhard Hansen & Zhuo Huang & Chen Tong & Tianyi Wang, 2021. "Realized GARCH, CBOE VIX, and the Volatility Risk Premium," Papers 2112.05302, arXiv.org.
- Stefano Grassi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2013.
"It’s all about volatility (of volatility): evidence from a two-factor stochastic volatility model,"
CREATES Research Papers
2013-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Grassi, Stefano & Santucci de Magistris, Paolo, 2015. "It's all about volatility of volatility: Evidence from a two-factor stochastic volatility model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 62-78.
- Stefano Grassi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2013. "It's all about volatility of volatility: evidence from a two-factor stochastic volatility model," Studies in Economics 1404, School of Economics, University of Kent.
- Alexander, Carol & Kaeck, Andreas & Sumawong, Anannit, 2019. "A parsimonious parametric model for generating margin requirements for futures," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 273(1), pages 31-43.
- Arnaud Dufays & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts, 2016.
"Sparse Change-point HAR Models for Realized Variance,"
Cahiers de recherche
1607, Centre de recherche sur les risques, les enjeux économiques, et les politiques publiques.
- Arnaud Dufays & Jeroen V. K. Rombouts, 2019. "Sparse Change-point HAR Models for Realized Variance," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(8), pages 857-880, September.
- Rangika Peiris & Minh-Ngoc Tran & Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach, 2024. "Loss-based Bayesian Sequential Prediction of Value at Risk with a Long-Memory and Non-linear Realized Volatility Model," Papers 2408.13588, arXiv.org.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Plíhal, Tomáš, 2022. "Russia’s ruble during the onset of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in early 2022: The role of implied volatility and attention," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
- Zhang, Yaojie & Wei, Yu & Zhang, Yi & Jin, Daxiang, 2019. "Forecasting oil price volatility: Forecast combination versus shrinkage method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 423-433.
- Tang, Yusui & Ma, Feng, 2023. "The volatility of natural resources implications for sustainable development: Crude oil volatility prediction based on the multivariate structural regime switching," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Olesya V. Grishchenko & Zhaogang Song & Hao Zhou, 2015. "Term Structure of Interest Rates with Short-run and Long-run Risks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-95, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Todorova, Neda & Worthington, Andrew & Souček, Michael, 2014. "Realized volatility spillovers in the non-ferrous metal futures market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 21-31.
- David Harris & Gael M. Martin & Indeewara Perera & Don S. Poskitt, 2017. "Construction and visualization of optimal confidence sets for frequentist distributional forecasts," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 9/17, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Christophe Boucher & Gilles de Truchis & Elena Ivona Dumitrescu & Sessi Tokpavi, 2017. "Testing for Extreme Volatility Transmission with Realized Volatility Measures," Working Papers hal-04141651, HAL.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar & Qiang Ji, 2021.
"Evolving United States Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies,"
Working Papers
202113, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Evolving United States stock market volatility: The role of conventional and unconventional monetary policies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Wei, Yu & Liang, Chao & Li, Yan & Zhang, Xunhui & Wei, Guiwu, 2020. "Can CBOE gold and silver implied volatility help to forecast gold futures volatility in China? Evidence based on HAR and Ridge regression models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
- Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022.
"Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
- Jiawen Luo & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Forecasting Oil and Gold Volatilities with Sentiment Indicators Under Structural Breaks," Working Papers 202130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Maki, Daiki & Ota, Yasushi, 2021. "Impacts of asymmetry on forecasting realized volatility in Japanese stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
- Audrino, Francesco & Hu, Yujia, 2011.
"Volatility Forecasting: Downside Risk, Jumps and Leverage Effect,"
Economics Working Paper Series
1138, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Francesco Audrino & Yujia Hu, 2016. "Volatility Forecasting: Downside Risk, Jumps and Leverage Effect," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-24, February.
- Jianjian Jin, 2013. "Jump-Diffusion Long-Run Risks Models, Variance Risk Premium and Volatility Dynamics," Staff Working Papers 13-12, Bank of Canada.
- Bryan Lim & Stefan Zohren & Stephen Roberts, 2020. "Detecting Changes in Asset Co-Movement Using the Autoencoder Reconstruction Ratio," Papers 2002.02008, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
- Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Climate Policy Uncertainty and Financial Stress: Evidence for China," Working Papers 202428, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gerlach, Richard & Naimoli, Antonio & Storti, Giuseppe, 2018.
"Time Varying Heteroskedastic Realized GARCH models for tracking measurement error bias in volatility forecasting,"
MPRA Paper
83893, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gerlach, Richard & Naimoli, Antonio & Storti, Giuseppe, 2018. "Time Varying Heteroskedastic Realized GARCH models for tracking measurement error bias in volatility forecasting," MPRA Paper 94289, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Francesco Poli, 2017. "Building News Measures from Textual Data and an Application to Volatility Forecasting," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-46, August.
- Rita Laura D’Ecclesia & Daniele Clementi, 2021. "Volatility in the stock market: ANN versus parametric models," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 1101-1127, April.
- Francesco Audrino & Jonathan Chassot, 2024. "HARd to Beat: The Overlooked Impact of Rolling Windows in the Era of Machine Learning," Papers 2406.08041, arXiv.org.
- He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Zeng, Qing & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Forecasting aggregate stock market volatility with industry volatilities: The role of spillover index," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
- Dohyun Chun & Donggyu Kim, 2021.
"State Heterogeneity Analysis of Financial Volatility Using High-Frequency Financial Data,"
Papers
2102.13404, arXiv.org.
- Dohyun Chun & Donggyu Kim, 2022. "State Heterogeneity Analysis of Financial Volatility using high‐frequency Financial Data," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(1), pages 105-124, January.
- Storhas, Dominik P. & De Mello, Lurion & Singh, Abhay Kumar, 2020. "Multiscale lead-lag relationships in oil and refined product return dynamics: A symbolic wavelet transfer entropy approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Caloia, Francesco Giuseppe & Cipollini, Andrea & Muzzioli, Silvia, 2018. "Asymmetric semi-volatility spillover effects in EMU stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 221-230.
- Souček, Michael & Todorova, Neda, 2014. "Realized volatility transmission: The role of jumps and leverage effects," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(2), pages 111-115.
- Yarovaya, Larisa & Matkovskyy, Roman & Jalan, Akanksha, 2021.
"The effects of a “black swan” event (COVID-19) on herding behavior in cryptocurrency markets,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Larisa Yarovaya & Roman Matkovskyy & Akanksha Jalan, 2021. "The effects of a “black swan” event (COVID-19) on herding behavior in cryptocurrency markets," Post-Print hal-03512931, HAL.
- Byung Yeon Kim & Heejoon Han, 2022. "Multi-Step-Ahead Forecasting of the CBOE Volatility Index in a Data-Rich Environment: Application of Random Forest with Boruta Algorithm," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 38, pages 541-569.
- Bruno Feunou & Ricardo Lopez Aliouchkin & Roméo Tedongap & Lai Xi, 2017. "Variance Premium, Downside Risk and Expected Stock Returns," Staff Working Papers 17-58, Bank of Canada.
- Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022.
"Climate risks and forecastability of the realized volatility of gold and other metal prices,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and Forecastability of the Realized Volatility of Gold and Other Metal Prices," Working Papers 202172, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Ines Wilms & Jacob Bien, 2021. "Tree-based Node Aggregation in Sparse Graphical Models," Papers 2101.12503, arXiv.org.
- Yu, Miao & Song, Jinguo, 2018. "Volatility forecasting: Global economic policy uncertainty and regime switching," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 511(C), pages 316-323.
- Arnaud Dufays & Maciej Augustyniak & Luc Bauwens, 2016.
"A new approach to volatility modeling: the High-Dimensional Markov model,"
Cahiers de recherche
1609, Centre de recherche sur les risques, les enjeux économiques, et les politiques publiques.
- AUGUSTYNIAK, Maciej & BAUWENS, Luc & DUFAYS, Arnaud, 2016. "A New Approach to Volatility Modeling : The High-Dimensional Markov Model," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2016042, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Jozef Barunik & Lukas Vacha, 2024.
"Predicting the volatility of major energy commodity prices: the dynamic persistence model,"
Papers
2402.01354, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
- Baruník, Jozef & Vácha, Lukáš, 2024. "Predicting the volatility of major energy commodity prices: The dynamic persistence model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
- Yao, Xingzhi & Izzeldin, Marwan & Li, Zhenxiong, 2019. "A novel cluster HAR-type model for forecasting realized volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1318-1331.
- González-Rivera, Gloria & Veiga, Helena, 2016. "A Bootstrap Approach for Generalized Autocontour Testing," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 23457, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Gkillas Konstantinos & Gupta Rangan & Vortelinos Dimitrios I., 2023. "Uncertainty and realized jumps in the pound-dollar exchange rate: evidence from over one century of data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 27(1), pages 25-47, February.
- Wilms, Ines & Rombouts, Jeroen & Croux, Christophe, 2021. "Multivariate volatility forecasts for stock market indices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 484-499.
- Zhang, Yue-Jun & Zhang, Han, 2023. "Volatility forecasting of crude oil futures market: Which structural change-based HAR models have better performance?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Markopoulou, Chrysi E. & Skintzi, Vasiliki D. & Refenes, Apostolos-Paul N., 2016. "Realized hedge ratio: Predictability and hedging performance," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 121-133.
- Wang, Jian-Xin, 2010. "A Multi-Factor Measure for Cross-Market Liquidity Commonality," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 230, Asian Development Bank.
- De Lira Salvatierra, Irving & Patton, Andrew J., 2015.
"Dynamic copula models and high frequency data,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 120-135.
- Irving Arturo De Lira Salvatierra & Andrew J. Patton, 2013. "Dynamic Copula Models and High Frequency Data," Working Papers 13-28, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Bonomo, Marco & Garcia, René & Meddahi, Nour & Tédongap, Roméo, 2015. "The long and the short of the risk-return trade-off," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 580-592.
- Golosnoy, Vasyl & Gribisch, Bastian & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2012. "Intra-daily volatility spillovers between the US and German stock markets," Economics Working Papers 2012-06, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Hui Qu & Ping Ji, 2016. "Modeling Realized Volatility Dynamics with a Genetic Algorithm," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(5), pages 434-444, August.
- Takayuki Morimoto & Yoshinori Kawasaki, 2017. "Forecasting Financial Market Volatility Using a Dynamic Topic Model," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 24(3), pages 149-167, September.
- Peterburgsky, Stanley, 2024. "Size, value and volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 752-763.
- Yao Axel Ehouman, 2020. "Volatility transmission between oil prices and banks’ stock prices as a new source of instability: Lessons from the United States experience," Post-Print hal-02960571, HAL.
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M Martin & Catherine S Forbes, 2018. "Dynamic price jumps: The performance of high frequency tests and measures, and the robustness of inference," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 17/18, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Hui Qu & Mengying He, 2022. "Predicting Volatility Based on Interval Regression Models," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-21, November.
- Ghysels, Eric & Kvedaras, Virmantas & Zemlys, Vaidotas, 2016. "Mixed Frequency Data Sampling Regression Models: The R Package midasr," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 72(i04).
- Fei, Tianlun & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2021. "Herding and market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2019. "Modeling stock market volatility using new HAR-type models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 194-211.
- Liu, Min, 2022. "The driving forces of green bond market volatility and the response of the market to the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 288-309.
- Chen, Wang & Lu, Xinjie & Wang, Jiqian, 2022. "Modeling and managing stock market volatility using MRS-MIDAS model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 625-635.
- Trucíos, Carlos, 2019. "Forecasting Bitcoin risk measures: A robust approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 836-847.
- Bams, Dennis & Blanchard, Gildas & Honarvar, Iman & Lehnert, Thorsten, 2017. "Does oil and gold price uncertainty matter for the stock market?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 270-285.
- Andrea Cipollini & Iolanda Lo Cascio & Silvia Muzzioli, 2015. "Financial connectedness among European volatility risk premia," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 0058, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
- Hwang, Eunju & Shin, Dong Wan, 2015. "A CUSUMSQ test for structural breaks in error variance for a long memory heterogeneous autoregressive model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 167-176.
- Algaba, Andres & Boudt, Kris, 2017. "Generalized financial ratios to predict the equity premium," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 244-257.
- Masato Ubukata & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2011. "Market Variance Risk Premiums in Japan as Predictor Variables and Indicators of Risk Aversion," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd11-214, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Yuru Sun & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Gael M. Martin, 2023. "Optimal probabilistic forecasts for risk management," Papers 2303.01651, arXiv.org.
- Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan, 2022. "Dynamic volatility connectedness between thermal coal futures and major cryptocurrencies: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Roxana Halbleib & Valerie Voev, 2010.
"Forecasting Multivariate Volatility Using the VARFIMA Model on Realized Covariance Cholesky Factors,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2010-041, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Halbleib Roxana & Voev Valeri, 2011. "Forecasting Multivariate Volatility using the VARFIMA Model on Realized Covariance Cholesky Factors," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(1), pages 134-152, February.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2011. "Forecasting multivariate volatility using the VARFIMA model on realized covariance cholesky factors," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/195065, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Ma, Feng & Li, Yu & Liu, Li & Zhang, Yaojie, 2018. "Are low-frequency data really uninformative? A forecasting combination perspective," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 92-108.
- Siu Hin Tang & Mathieu Rosenbaum & Chao Zhou, 2023. "Forecasting Volatility with Machine Learning and Rough Volatility: Example from the Crypto-Winter," Papers 2311.04727, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
- Daniel Borup & Bent Jesper Christensen & Yunus Emre Ergemen, 2019. "Assessing predictive accuracy in panel data models with long-range dependence," CREATES Research Papers 2019-04, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Chai, Edwina F.L. & Lee, Adrian D. & Wang, Jianxin, 2015. "Global information distribution in the gold OTC markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 206-217.
- Maynard, Alex & Shimotsu, Katsumi & Kuriyama, Nina, 2024.
"Inference in predictive quantile regressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 245(1).
- Alex Maynard & Katsumi Shimotsu & Nina Kuriyama, 2023. "Inference in Predictive Quantile Regressions," Papers 2306.00296, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
- Benoît Sévi, 2013.
"An empirical analysis of the downside risk-return trade-off at daily frequency,"
Post-Print
hal-01500860, HAL.
- Sévi, Benoît, 2013. "An empirical analysis of the downside risk-return trade-off at daily frequency," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 189-197.
- Bian, Siyu & Serra, Teresa & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott, 2022. "New evidence on market response to public announcements in the presence of microstructure noise," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(2), pages 785-800.
- Yuta yamauchi & Yasuhiro Omori, 2019. "Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Model with Realized Volatilities and Pairwise Realized Correlations," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1117, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Hollstein, Fabian & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2020. "Variance risk: A bird’s eye view," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(2), pages 517-535.
- Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2025.
"Multiplicative Error Models: 20 years on,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 209-229.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2021. "Multiplicative Error Models: 20 years on," Papers 2107.05923, arXiv.org.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017.
"The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns,"
Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne
17006, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01442618, HAL.
- Uribe, Jorge M. & Mosquera-López, Stephanía & Guillen, Montserrat, 2020. "Characterizing electricity market integration in Nord Pool," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
- Aganin, Artem, 2017. "Forecast comparison of volatility models on Russian stock market," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 48, pages 63-84.
- Alessio Brini & Jimmie Lenz, 2024. "A comparison of cryptocurrency volatility-benchmarking new and mature asset classes," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-38, December.
- Ceylan, Ozcan, 2012. "Time-Varying Volatility Asymmetry: A Conditioned HAR-RV(CJ) EGARCH-M Model," GIAM Working Papers 12-4, Galatasaray University Economic Research Center.
- Kurov, Alexander & Stan, Raluca, 2018. "Monetary policy uncertainty and the market reaction to macroeconomic news," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 127-142.
- Haugom, Erik & Ullrich, Carl J., 2012. "Forecasting spot price volatility using the short-term forward curve," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1826-1833.
- Xu, Yanyan & Huang, Dengshi & Ma, Feng & Qiao, Gaoxiu, 2019. "The heterogeneous impact of liquidity on volatility in Chinese stock index futures market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 73-85.
- Rice, Gregory & Wirjanto, Tony & Zhao, Yuqian, 2023. "Exploring volatility of crude oil intraday return curves: A functional GARCH-X model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
- Cenesizoglu, Tolga & Reeves, Jonathan J., 2018. "CAPM, components of beta and the cross section of expected returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 223-246.
- Wu, Lan & Xu, Weiju & Huang, Dengshi & Li, Pan, 2022. "Does the volatility spillover effect matter in oil price volatility predictability? Evidence from high-frequency data," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 299-306.
- Daniel PREVE & Anders ERIKSSON & Jun YU, 2009.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility Using A Nonnegative Semiparametric Model,"
Working Papers
22-2009, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Daniel Preve & Anders Eriksson & Jun Yu, 2009. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Using A Nonnegative Semiparametric Model," Finance Working Papers 23049, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Anders Eriksson & Daniel P. A. Preve & Jun Yu, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Using a Nonnegative Semiparametric Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-23, August.
- Daniel Preve & Anders Eriksson & Jun Yu, "undated". "Forecasting Realized Volatility Using A Nonnegative Semiparametric Model," Working Papers CoFie-02-2007, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics.
- Ye, Wuyi & Xia, Wenjing & Wu, Bin & Chen, Pengzhan, 2022. "Using implied volatility jumps for realized volatility forecasting: Evidence from the Chinese market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Alessandra Amendola & Vincenzo Candila & Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2020.
"Doubly Multiplicative Error Models with Long- and Short-run Components,"
Papers
2006.03458, arXiv.org.
- Amendola, A. & Candila, V. & Cipollini, F. & Gallo, G.M., 2024. "Doubly multiplicative error models with long- and short-run components," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Fulvio Corsi & Roberto Renò, 2012. "Discrete-Time Volatility Forecasting With Persistent Leverage Effect and the Link With Continuous-Time Volatility Modeling," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 368-380, January.
- Sergii Pypko, 2015. "Volatility Forecast in Crises and Expansions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-26, August.
- Naimoli, Antonio, 2022. "The information content of sentiment indices for forecasting Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall in equity markets," MPRA Paper 112588, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Wen, Fenghua & Gong, Xu & Cai, Shenghua, 2016. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using HAR-type models with structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 400-413.
- Gianluca Cubadda, 2024. "VAR models with an index structure: A survey with new results," Papers 2412.11278, arXiv.org.
- German Rodikov & Nino Antulov-Fantulin, 2023. "Introducing the $\sigma$-Cell: Unifying GARCH, Stochastic Fluctuations and Evolving Mechanisms in RNN-based Volatility Forecasting," Papers 2309.01565, arXiv.org.
- Manabu Asai & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2016.
"Realized Matrix-Exponential Stochastic Volatility with Asymmetry, Long Memory and Spillovers,"
Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE
2016-15, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Manabu Asai & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2016. "Realized Matrix-Exponential Stochastic Volatility with Asymmetry, Long Memory and Spillovers," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-076/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Asai, M. & Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2016. "Realized Matrix-Exponential Stochastic Volatility with Asymmetry, Long Memory and Spillovers," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2016-41, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Baumöhl, Eduard & Výrost, Tomáš & Molnár, Peter, 2020.
"Fear of the coronavirus and the stock markets,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Baumöhl, Eduard & Výrost, Tomáš & Molnár, Peter, 2020. "Fear of the coronavirus and the stock markets," EconStor Preprints 219336, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Delis, Panagiotis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Giannopoulos, Kostantinos, 2021.
"What should be taken into consideration when forecasting oil implied volatility index?,"
MPRA Paper
110831, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Panagiotis Delis & Stavros Degiannakis & Konstantinos Giannopoulos, 2023. "What Should be Taken into Consideration when Forecasting Oil Implied Volatility Index?," The Energy Journal, , vol. 44(5), pages 231-250, September.
- Zhang, Yaojie & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Liang, Chao, 2023. "Global economic policy uncertainty aligned: An informative predictor for crude oil market volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1318-1332.
- M. Eren Akbiyik & Mert Erkul & Killian Kaempf & Vaiva Vasiliauskaite & Nino Antulov-Fantulin, 2021. "Ask "Who", Not "What": Bitcoin Volatility Forecasting with Twitter Data," Papers 2110.14317, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
- Zhang, Hongwei & Zhao, Xinyi & Gao, Wang & Niu, Zibo, 2023. "The role of higher moments in predicting China's oil futures volatility: Evidence from machine learning models," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
- Chen, Zhonglu & Ye, Yong & Li, Xiafei, 2022. "Forecasting China's crude oil futures volatility: New evidence from the MIDAS-RV model and COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Hoerova, Marie & Bekaert, Geert, 2014.
"The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility,"
Working Paper Series
1675, European Central Bank.
- Bekaert, Geert & Hoerova, Marie, 2014. "The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 183(2), pages 181-192.
- Geert Bekaert & Marie Hoerova, 2013. "The VIX, the Variance Premium and Stock Market Volatility," NBER Working Papers 18995, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Tissaoui, Kais, 2019. "Forecasting implied volatility risk indexes: International evidence using Hammerstein-ARX approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 232-249.
- Qiu, Yue, 2021. "Complete subset least squares support vector regression," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
- Zhengyang Chi & Junbin Gao & Chao Wang, 2024. "Global Stock Market Volatility Forecasting Incorporating Dynamic Graphs and All Trading Days," Papers 2409.15320, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
- Behrendt, Simon & Schmidt, Alexander, 2018. "The Twitter myth revisited: Intraday investor sentiment, Twitter activity and individual-level stock return volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 355-367.
- Bu, Ruijun & Hizmeri, Rodrigo & Izzeldin, Marwan & Murphy, Anthony & Tsionas, Mike, 2023.
"The contribution of jump signs and activity to forecasting stock price volatility,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 144-164.
- , 2019. "The Contribution of Jump Signs and Activity to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility," Working Papers 1902, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 17 Dec 2022.
- Ruijun Bu & Rodrigo Hizmeri & Marwan Izzeldin & Anthony Murphy & Mike G. Tsionas, 2021. "The Contribution of Jump Signs and Activity to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility," Working Papers 202109, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
- Götz, Thomas B. & Hecq, Alain & Smeekes, Stephan, 2015.
"Testing for Granger causality in large mixed-frequency VARs,"
Discussion Papers
45/2015, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Götz, T.B. & Hecq, A.W. & Smeekes, S., 2015. "Testing for Granger Causality in Large Mixed-Frequency VARs," Research Memorandum 036, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
- Götz, Thomas B. & Hecq, Alain & Smeekes, Stephan, 2016. "Testing for Granger causality in large mixed-frequency VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 418-432.
- Götz, T.B. & Hecq, A.W., 2014. "Testing for Granger causality in large mixed-frequency VARs," Research Memorandum 028, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
- Xiao, Jihong & Wen, Fenghua & Zhao, Yupei & Wang, Xiong, 2021. "The role of US implied volatility index in forecasting Chinese stock market volatility: Evidence from HAR models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 311-333.
- Ahmed Khalifa, Massimiliano Caporin, Michele Costola, and Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2021.
"Systemic Risk for Financial Institutions in the Major Petroleum-based Economies: The Role of Oil,"
The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 6).
- Khalifa, Ahmed & Caporin, Massimiliano & Costola, Michele & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2017. "Systemic risk for financial institutions of major petroleum-based economies: The role of oil," SAFE Working Paper Series 172, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2017.
- Ahmed Khalif & Massimiliano Caporin & Michele Costola & Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2021. "Systemic Risk for Financial Institutions in the Major Petroleum-based Economies: The Role of Oil," The Energy Journal, , vol. 42(6), pages 247-274, November.
- Qiu, Yue & Wang, Zongrun & Xie, Tian & Zhang, Xinyu, 2021. "Forecasting Bitcoin realized volatility by exploiting measurement error under model uncertainty," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 179-201.
- Adam Clements & Mark Bernard Doolan, 2020.
"Combining multivariate volatility forecasts using weighted losses,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 628-641, July.
- A Clements & M Doolan, 2018. "Combining Multivariate Volatility Forecasts using Weighted Losses," NCER Working Paper Series 119, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Fernando Moreno-Pino & Stefan Zohren, 2022. "DeepVol: Volatility Forecasting from High-Frequency Data with Dilated Causal Convolutions," Papers 2210.04797, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Georges Dionne & Jingyuan Li & Cédric Okou, 2024. "An alternative representation of the C-CAPM with higher-order risks," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 49(2), pages 194-233, September.
- Kaminska, Iryna & Roberts-Sklar, Matt, 2017.
"Volatility in equity markets and monetary policy rate uncertainty,"
Bank of England working papers
700, Bank of England.
- Kaminska, Iryna & Roberts-Sklar, Matt, 2018. "Volatility in equity markets and monetary policy rate uncertainty," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 68-83.
- Qiao, Kenan & Ji, Zhehan & Xie, Haibin, 2023. "Unrealized return dispersion and the equity risk premium," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
- Benschop, Thijs & López Cabrera, Brenda, 2017. "Realized volatility of CO2 futures," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-025, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Artem Lensky & Mingyu Hao, 2023. "Learning to Predict Short-Term Volatility with Order Flow Image Representation," Papers 2304.02472, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2014.
"Chasing volatility - A persistent multiplicative error model with jumps,"
CREATES Research Papers
2014-29, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci De Magistris, 2014. "Chasing Volatility. A Persistent Multiplicative Error Model With Jumps," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0186, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Hollstein, Fabian & Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno & Prokopczuk, Marcel, 2019. "Asset prices and “the devil(s) you know”," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 20-35.
- Jim Griffin & Jia Liu & John M. Maheu, 2021.
"Bayesian Nonparametric Estimation of Ex Post Variance [Out of Sample Forecasts of Quadratic Variation],"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(5), pages 823-859.
- Griffin, Jim & Liu, Jia & Maheu, John M, 2016. "Bayesian Nonparametric Estimation of Ex-post Variance," MPRA Paper 71220, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tian Xie, 2019. "Forecast Bitcoin Volatility with Least Squares Model Averaging," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-20, September.
- Howard Caulfield & James P. Gleeson, 2024. "Systematic comparison of deep generative models applied to multivariate financial time series," Papers 2412.06417, arXiv.org.
- Nolte, Ingmar & Xu, Qi, 2015. "The economic value of volatility timing with realized jumps," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 45-59.
- Apostolos Kourtis & Raphael N. Markellos & Lazaros Symeonidis, 2016. "An International Comparison of Implied, Realized, and GARCH Volatility Forecasts," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(12), pages 1164-1193, December.
- Majewski, Adam A. & Bormetti, Giacomo & Corsi, Fulvio, 2015. "Smile from the past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 521-531.
- Allan Timmermann, 2018. "Forecasting Methods in Finance," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 449-479, November.
- Papantonis, Ioannis & Rompolis, Leonidas & Tzavalis, Elias, 2023. "Improving variance forecasts: The role of Realized Variance features," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1221-1237.
- Zhang, Yaojie & Ma, Feng & Liao, Yin, 2020. "Forecasting global equity market volatilities," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1454-1475.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009.
"On the realized volatility of the ECX CO2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting,"
Working Papers
halshs-00387286, HAL.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009. "On the realized volatility of the ECX CO2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting," EconomiX Working Papers 2009-24, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2011. "On the realized volatility of the ECX CO 2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-29, February.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009. "On the Realized Volatility of the ECX CO2 Emissions 2008 Futures Contract: Distribution, Dynamics and Forecasting," Working Papers 2009.113, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Chevallier, Julien & Benoit, Sevi, 2009. "On the Realized Volatility of the ECX CO2 Emissions 2008 Futures Contract: Distribution, Dynamics and Forecasting," Sustainable Development Papers 55834, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Dossani, Asad, 2024. "Monetary policy and currency variance risk premia," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Kolokolov, Aleksey & Renò, Roberto, 2014.
"Multi-jumps,"
MPRA Paper
58175, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Aleksey Kolokolov & Roberto RenoÕ, 2014. "Multi-jumps," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0185, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Ranaldo, Angelo & de Magistris, Paolo Santucci, 2022. "Liquidity in the global currency market," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 859-883.
- Roman Horváth & Štefan Lyócsa & Eduard Baumöhl, 2018.
"Stock market contagion in Central and Eastern Europe: unexpected volatility and extreme co-exceedance,"
The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(5), pages 391-412, March.
- Roman Horváth & Štefan Lyócsa & Eduard Baumöhl, 2016. "Stock Market Contagion in Central and Eastern Europe: Unexpected Volatility and Extreme Co-exceedance," Working Papers 357, Leibniz Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (Institute for East and Southeast European Studies).
- Christophe Boucher & Gilles de Truchis & Elena Dumitrescu & Sessi Tokpavi, 2017. "Testing for Extreme Volatility Transmission with Realized Volatility Measures," EconomiX Working Papers 2017-20, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Bernardi, Mauro & Costola, Michele, 2019. "High-dimensional sparse financial networks through a regularised regression model," SAFE Working Paper Series 244, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Izzeldin, Marwan & Muradoğlu, Yaz Gülnur & Pappas, Vasileios & Petropoulou, Athina & Sivaprasad, Sheeja, 2023. "The impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war on global financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
- Wang, Jianxin & Yang, Minxian, 2011. "Housewives of Tokyo versus the gnomes of Zurich: Measuring price discovery in sequential markets," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 82-108, February.
- Gong, Xue & Ye, Xin & Zhang, Weiguo & Zhang, Yue, 2023. "Predicting energy futures high-frequency volatility using technical indicators: The role of interaction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
- David Edmund Allen & Shelton Peiris, 2023. "GARMA, HAR and Rules of Thumb for Modelling Realized Volatility," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-15, October.
- M. Karanasos & S. Yfanti & J. Hunter, 2022. "Emerging stock market volatility and economic fundamentals: the importance of US uncertainty spillovers, financial and health crises," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1077-1116, June.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2024. "Ups and (Draw)Downs," CEIS Research Paper 576, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 03 May 2024.
- Wang, Jiqian & Guo, Xiaozhu & Tan, Xueping & Chevallier, Julien & Ma, Feng, 2023. "Which exogenous driver is informative in forecasting European carbon volatility: Bond, commodity, stock or uncertainty?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Matthew Greenwood‐Nimmo & Viet Hoang Nguyen & Eliza Wu, 2021.
"On the International Spillover Effects of Country‐Specific Financial Sector Bailouts and Sovereign Risk Shocks,"
The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 97(317), pages 285-309, June.
- Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Viet Hoang Nguyen & Eliza Wu, 2020. "On the International Spillover Effects of Country-Specific Financial Sector Bailouts and Sovereign Risk Shocks," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2020n22, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
- Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "Structural changes and out-of-sample prediction of realized range-based variance in the stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 494(C), pages 27-39.
- Liang, Chao & Luo, Qin & Li, Yan & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan, 2023. "Global financial stress index and long-term volatility forecast for international stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Yu, Xing & Li, Yanyan & Gong, Xue & Zhang, Nan, 2022. "Evaluating the performance of futures hedging using factors-driven realized volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Andrew J. Patton & Kevin Sheppard, 2015. "Good Volatility, Bad Volatility: Signed Jumps and The Persistence of Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(3), pages 683-697, July.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009. "On the realized volatility of the ECX CO2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting," Working Papers hal-04140871, HAL.
- Weijia Peng & Chun Yao, 2022. "Co-Jumps, Co-Jump Tests, and Volatility Forecasting: Monte Carlo and Empirical Evidence," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-21, July.
- Fabian Hollstein & Marcel Prokopczuk & Björn Tharann & Chardin Wese Simen, 2019.
"Predicting the equity market with option-implied variables,"
The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(10), pages 937-965, July.
- Prokopczuk, Marcel & Tharann, Björn & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2017. "Predicting the Equity Market with Option Implied Variables," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-619, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Zhang, Yaojie & Lei, Likun & Wei, Yu, 2020. "Forecasting the Chinese stock market volatility with international market volatilities: The role of regime switching," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Štefan Lyócsa & Roman Horváth, 2018. "Stock Market Contagion: a New Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 547-577, July.
- Becker, Janis & Leschinski, Christian, 2018. "Directional Predictability of Daily Stock Returns," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-624, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Xie, Nan & Wang, Zongrun & Chen, Sicen & Gong, Xu, 2019. "Forecasting downside risk in China’s stock market based on high-frequency data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 530-541.
- Richard T. Baillie & Dooyeon Cho & Seunghwa Rho, 2023. "Approximating long-memory processes with low-order autoregressions: Implications for modeling realized volatility," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(6), pages 2911-2937, June.
- Cheng, Hang & Guo, Hui & Shi, Yongdong, 2024. "Multifactor conditional equity premium model: Evidence from China's stock market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
- Jin, Daxiang & He, Mengxi & Xing, Lu & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Forecasting China's crude oil futures volatility: How to dig out the information of other energy futures volatilities?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Likai Chen & Ekaterina Smetanina & Wei Biao Wu, 2022. "Estimation of nonstationary nonparametric regression model with multiplicative structure [Income and wealth distribution in macroeconomics: A continuous-time approach]," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 25(1), pages 176-214.
- Linlan Xiao & Vigdis Boasson & Sergey Shishlenin & Victoria Makushina, 2018. "Volatility forecasting: combinations of realized volatility measures and forecasting models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(13), pages 1428-1441, March.
- Golosnoy, Vasyl & Gribisch, Bastian & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2015. "Intra-daily volatility spillovers in international stock markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 95-114.
- Cheng, Mingmian & Swanson, Norman R. & Yang, Xiye, 2021. "Forecasting volatility using double shrinkage methods," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 46-61.
- Carl Chiarella & Xue-Zhong He & Remco C.J. Zwinkels, 2014.
"Heterogeneous Expectations in Asset Pricing: Empirical Evidence from the S&P500,"
Research Paper Series
344, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Chiarella, Carl & He, Xue-Zhong & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2014. "Heterogeneous expectations in asset pricing: Empirical evidence from the S&P500," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 1-16.
- Rice, Gregory & Wirjanto, Tony & Zhao, Yuqian, 2021. "Exploring volatility of crude oil intra-day return curves: a functional GARCH-X Model," MPRA Paper 109231, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Markopoulou, Chryssa & Skintzi, Vasiliki & Refenes, Apostolos, 2016. "On the predictability of model-free implied correlation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 527-547.
- Wink Junior, Marcos Vinício & Pereira, Pedro Luiz Valls, 2011. "Modeling and Forecasting of Realized Volatility: Evidence from Brazil," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 31(2), December.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Li, Yingying & Todorov, Viktor & Zhou, Bo, 2023. "Volatility measurement with pockets of extreme return persistence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Song, Yuping & Huang, Jiefei & Zhang, Qichao & Xu, Yang, 2024. "Heterogeneity effect of positive and negative jumps on the realized volatility: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Asai, Manabu & Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael, 2022. "Realized matrix-exponential stochastic volatility with asymmetry, long memory and higher-moment spillovers," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 285-304.
- T. Bazhenov & D. Fantazzini, 2019.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility of Russian stocks using Google Trends and Implied Volatility,"
Russian Journal of Industrial Economics, MISIS, vol. 12(1).
- Bazhenov, Timofey & Fantazzini, Dean, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Russian stocks using Google Trends and Implied Volatility," MPRA Paper 93544, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2015. "Out-of-sample evaluation of macro announcements, linearity, long memory, heterogeneity and jumps in mini-futures markets," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 58-67.
- Kaminska, Iryna & Roberts-Sklar, Matt, 2015. "A global factor in variance risk premia and local bond pricing," Bank of England working papers 576, Bank of England.
- Zongwu Cai & Chaoqun Ma & Xianhua Mi, 2020. "Realized Volatility Forecasting Based on Dynamic Quantile Model Averaging," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202016, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2020.
- Santino Del Fava & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Lavinia Rognone, 2023.
"Forecasting International Financial Stress: The Role of Climate Risks,"
Working Papers
202329, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Fava, Santino Del & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Rognone, Lavinia, 2024. "Forecasting international financial stress: The role of climate risks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Yuan, Ying & Zhang, Tonghui, 2020. "Forecasting stock market in high and low volatility periods: a modified multifractal volatility approach," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
- Chiranjit Dutta & Nalini Ravishanker & Sumanta Basu, 2022. "Modeling Multivariate Positive-Valued Time Series Using R-INLA," Papers 2206.05374, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
- Slim, Skander & Dahmene, Meriam & Boughrara, Adel, 2020. "How informative are variance risk premium and implied volatility for Value-at-Risk prediction? International evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 22-37.
- Wang, Yuejing & Ye, Wuyi & Jiang, Ying & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2024. "Volatility prediction for the energy sector with economic determinants: Evidence from a hybrid model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Liang, Chao & Tang, Linchun & Li, Yan & Wei, Yu, 2020. "Which sentiment index is more informative to forecast stock market volatility? Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Yuping Song & Bolin Lei & Xiaolong Tang & Chen Li, 2024. "Volatility forecasting for stock market index based on complex network and hybrid deep learning model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 544-566, April.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2018.
"Modeling Euro STOXX 50 Volatility with Common and Market–specific Components,"
Working Paper series
18-26, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2019. "Modeling Euro STOXX 50 volatility with common and market-specific components," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 11(C), pages 22-42.
- Lin, Boqiang & Wu, Nan, 2022. "Do heterogeneous oil price shocks really have different effects on earnings management?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
- Naimoli, Antonio, 2023. "The information content of sentiment indices in forecasting Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall: a Complete Realized Exponential GARCH-X approach," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
- Yaxian Lu & Longguang Yang & Lihong Liu, 2019. "Volatility Spillovers between Crude Oil and Agricultural Commodity Markets since the Financial Crisis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-12, January.
- Gong, Xue & Zhang, Weiguo & Wang, Junbo & Wang, Chao, 2022. "Investor sentiment and stock volatility: New evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022.
"Business Applications and State-Level Stock Market Realized Volatility: A Forecasting Experiment,"
Working Papers
202247, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Business applications and state‐level stock market realized volatility: A forecasting experiment," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 456-472, March.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Halousková, Martina & Haugom, Erik, 2023. "The US banking crisis in 2023: Intraday attention and price variation of banks at risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Kyj, Lada M. & Malec, Peter, 2011.
"The merit of high-frequency data in portfolio allocation,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2011-059, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Hautsch, Nikolaus & Kyj, Lada M. & Malec, Peter, 2011. "The merit of high-frequency data in portfolio allocation," CFS Working Paper Series 2011/24, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Li, Tao & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Xuehua & Zhang, Yaojie, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and the Chinese stock market volatility: Novel evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 24-33.
- Angelo Ranaldo & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2018. "Trading Volume, Illiquidity and Commonalities in FX Markets," Working Papers on Finance 1823, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Oct 2019.
- Emiliano A. Carlevaro & Leandro M. Magnusson, 2020. "The (in)stability of stock returns and monetary policy interdependence in the US," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 20-27, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
- Aharon, David Y. & Baig, Ahmed S. & Jacoby, Gady & Wu, Zhenyu, 2024. "Greenhouse gas emissions and the stability of equity markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Fei, Tianlun & Liu, Xiaoquan & Wen, Conghua, 2019. "Cross-sectional return dispersion and volatility prediction," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Hecq, A.W. & Palm, F.C. & Laurent, S.F.J.A., 2011.
"Common intraday periodicity,"
Research Memorandum
010, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Alain Hecq & Sébastien Laurent & Franz C. Palm, 2011. "Common Intraday Periodicity," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 10(2), pages 325-353, 2012 20 1.
- Blake LeBaron, 2010. "Heterogeneous Gain Learning and Long Swings in Asset Prices," Working Papers 10, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Mathieu Rosenbaum & Jianfei Zhang, 2022. "On the universality of the volatility formation process: when machine learning and rough volatility agree," Papers 2206.14114, arXiv.org.
- Li, Zhenxiong & Yao, Xingzhi & Izzeldin, Marwan, 2023. "On the right jump tail inferred from the VIX market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Cedric Okou & Eric Jacquier, 2014. "Horizon Effect in the Term Structure of Long-Run Risk-Return Trade-Offs," CIRANO Working Papers 2014s-36, CIRANO.
- Loi, Tian Sheng Allan & Ng, Jia Le, 2018. "Anticipating electricity prices for future needs – Implications for liberalised retail markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 244-264.
- Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-02505861, HAL.
- Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars & Violante, Francesco, 2020. "Dynamics of variance risk premia: A new model for disentangling the price of risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 312-334.
- Bianchi, Daniele & Tamoni, Andrea, 2016. "The dynamics of expected returns: evidence from multi-scale time series modelling," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118992, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Fengler, Matthias R. & Mammen, Enno & Vogt, Michael, 2013. "Additive modeling of realized variance: tests for parametric specifications and structural breaks," Economics Working Paper Series 1332, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Ciarreta, Aitor & Zarraga, Ainhoa, 2016. "Modeling realized volatility on the Spanish intra-day electricity market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 152-163.
- Louzis, Dimitrios P. & Xanthopoulos-Sisinis, Spyros & Refenes, Apostolos P., 2011. "Are realized volatility models good candidates for alternative Value at Risk prediction strategies?," MPRA Paper 30364, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ng, Jason & Forbes, Catherine S. & Martin, Gael M. & McCabe, Brendan P.M., 2013.
"Non-parametric estimation of forecast distributions in non-Gaussian, non-linear state space models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 411-430.
- Jason Ng & Catherine S. Forbes & Gael M. Martin & Brendan P.M. McCabe, 2011. "Non-Parametric Estimation of Forecast Distributions in Non-Gaussian, Non-linear State Space Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 11/11, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Brini, Alessio & Lenz, Jimmie, 2024. "Pricing cryptocurrency options with machine learning regression for handling market volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Qadan, Mahmoud & Shuval, Kerem, 2022. "Variance risk and the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
- Ding, Shusheng & Cui, Tianxiang & Zhang, Yongmin, 2022. "Futures volatility forecasting based on big data analytics with incorporating an order imbalance effect," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Georgiana-Denisa Banulescu & Bertrand Candelon & Christophe Hurlin & Sébastien Laurent, 2014. "Do We Need Ultra-High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?," Working Papers halshs-01078158, HAL.
- Donggyu Kim & Minseok Shin & Yazhen Wang, 2023.
"Overnight GARCH-Itô Volatility Models,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1215-1227, October.
- Donggyu Kim & Minseok Shin & Yazhen Wang, 2021. "Overnight GARCH-It\^o Volatility Models," Papers 2102.13467, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
- Meng, Xiaochun & Taylor, James W., 2018. "An approximate long-memory range-based approach for value at risk estimation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 377-388.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2017.
"Forecasting oil price realized volatility using information channels from other asset classes,"
MPRA Paper
96276, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2017. "Forecasting oil price realized volatility using information channels from other asset classes," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 28-49.
- Oh, Dong Hwan & Patton, Andrew J., 2024. "Better the devil you know: Improved forecasts from imperfect models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 242(1).
- Ke Yang & Langnan Chen & Fengping Tian, 2015. "Realized Volatility Forecast of Stock Index Under Structural Breaks," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(1), pages 57-82, January.
- Ferrara, Gerardo & Mueller, Philippe & Viswanath-Natraj, Ganesh & Wang, Junxuan, 2022. "Central bank swap lines: micro-level evidence," Bank of England working papers 977, Bank of England.
- David E. Allen & Michael McAleer, 2020. "Do We Need Stochastic Volatility and Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity? Comparing Squared End-Of-Day Returns on FTSE," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-20, February.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Rossen Valkanov & Allan Timmermann, 2014.
"A Bayesian MIDAS Approach to Modeling First and Second Moment Dynamics,"
Working Papers
76, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Timmermann, Allan & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Valkanov, Rossen, 2014. "A Bayesian MIDAS Approach to Modeling First and Second Moment Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 10160, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cerovecki, Clément & Francq, Christian & Hörmann, Siegfried & Zakoïan, Jean-Michel, 2019.
"Functional GARCH models: The quasi-likelihood approach and its applications,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 209(2), pages 353-375.
- Cerovecki, Clément & Francq, Christian & Hormann, Siegfried & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2018. "Functional GARCH models: the quasi-likelihood approach and its applications," MPRA Paper 83990, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Michael Frömmel & Eyup Kadioglu, 2023. "Impact of trading hours extensions on foreign exchange volatility: intraday evidence from the Moscow exchange," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, December.
- Valadkhani, Abbas, 2023. "Asymmetric downside risk across different sectors of the US equity market," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Becker, Janis & Leschinski, Christian & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2019. "Robust Multivariate Local Whittle Estimation and Spurious Fractional Cointegration," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-660, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Kolokolov, Alexey & Renò, Roberto, 2016.
"Systemic co-jumps,"
SAFE Working Paper Series
149, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Kolokolov, Aleksey & Renò, Roberto, 2017. "Systemic co-jumps," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(3), pages 563-591.
- Anne Opschoor & André Lucas, 2019. "Time-varying tail behavior for realized kernels," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 19-051/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
- Yin Liao, 2012. "Does Modeling Jumps Help? A Comparison of Realized Volatility Models for Risk Prediction," CAMA Working Papers 2012-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Gilles de Truchis & Benjamin Keddad, 2014.
"On the Risk Comovements between the Crude Oil Market and the U.S. Dollar Exchange Rates,"
AMSE Working Papers
1421, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France, revised May 2014.
- de Truchis, Gilles & Keddad, Benjamin, 2016. "On the risk comovements between the crude oil market and U.S. dollar exchange rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 206-215.
- Gilles De Truchis & Benjamin Keddad, 2016. "On the risk comovements between the crude oil market and U.S. dollar exchange rates," Post-Print hal-01447859, HAL.
- Gilles de Truchis & Benjamin Keddad, 2014. "On the Risk Comovements between the Crude Oil Market and the U.S. Dollar Exchange Rates," Working Papers halshs-00999225, HAL.
- Gilles de Truchis & Benjamin Keddad, 2014. "On the risk comovements between the crude oil market and the U.S. dollar exchange rates," Working Papers 2014-383, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Delis, Panagiotis & Filis, George, 2021. "Forecasting oil price volatility using spillover effects from uncertainty indices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
- Avraham Turgeman & Claudiu Botoc & Marilen Pirtea & Octavian Jude, 0000. "Modelling Intraday Realized Volatility: The Role Of Vix, Oil And Gold," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 14115804, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
- Groß-Klußmann, Axel & Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2011.
"Predicting bid-ask spreads using long memory autoregressive conditional poisson models,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2011-044, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Axel Groß‐KlußMann & Nikolaus Hautsch, 2013. "Predicting Bid–Ask Spreads Using Long‐Memory Autoregressive Conditional Poisson Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(8), pages 724-742, December.
- Golosnoy, Vasyl & Hamid, Alain & Okhrin, Yarema, 2014. "The empirical similarity approach for volatility prediction," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 321-329.
- Lidan Grossmass, 2014. "Obtaining and Predicting the Bounds of Realized Correlations," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 150(III), pages 191-226, September.
- Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Degiannakis, Stavros & Delis, Panagiotis & Filis, George, 2019. "Can spillover effects provide forecasting gains? The case of oil price volatility," MPRA Paper 96266, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dräger, Lena & Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2020. "The Long Memory of Equity Volatility and the Macroeconomy: International Evidence," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-667, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Chortareas, Georgios & Jiang, Ying & Nankervis, John. C., 2011. "Forecasting exchange rate volatility using high-frequency data: Is the euro different?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1089-1107, October.
- Sheng, Lin Wen & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Sen, Ding & Hao, Zhu Shi, 2024. "The asymmetric volatility spillover across Shanghai, Hong Kong and the U.S. stock markets: A regime weighted measure and its forecast inference," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Gilles Zumbach, 2021. "On the short term stability of financial ARCH price processes," Papers 2107.06758, arXiv.org.
- Nicholas Taylor, 2014. "The Economic Value of Volatility Forecasts: A Conditional Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 433-478.
- Wang, Wenzhao & Duxbury, Darren, 2021. "Institutional investor sentiment and the mean-variance relationship: Global evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 415-441.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2021. "What drives volatility of the U.S. oil and gas firms?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
- Fan, Lina & Yang, Hao & Zhai, Jia & Zhang, Xiaotao, 2023. "Forecasting stock volatility during the stock market crash period: The role of Hawkes process," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
- Mustafayeva, Konul & Wang, Weining, 2020. "Non-Parametric Estimation of Spot Covariance Matrix with High-Frequency Data," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2020-025, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
- Rim Ammar Lamouchi & Ruba Khalid Shira, 2023. "Heterogeneous Behavior and Volatility Transmission in the Forex Market using High-Frequency Data," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 13(3), pages 1-3.
- Pettenuzzo, Davide & Timmermann, Allan & Valkanov, Rossen, 2016. "A MIDAS approach to modeling first and second moment dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 315-334.
- Chen, Fei & Diebold, Francis X. & Schorfheide, Frank, 2013.
"A Markov-switching multifractal inter-trade duration model, with application to US equities,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 320-342.
- Fei Chen & Francis X. Diebold & Frank Schorfheide, 2012. "A Markov-Switching Multi-Fractal Inter-Trade Duration Model, with Application to U.S. Equities," PIER Working Paper Archive 12-020, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Fei Chen & Francis X. Diebold & Frank Schorfheide, 2012. "A Markov-Switching Multi-Fractal Inter-Trade Duration Model, with Application to U.S. Equities," NBER Working Papers 18078, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Chen, Fei & Diebold, Francis X. & Schorfheide, Frank, 2012. "A Markov-Switching Multi-Fractal Inter-Trade Duration Model, with Application to U.S. Equities," Working Papers 12-09, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
- Corsi, Fulvio & Fusari, Nicola & La Vecchia, Davide, 2013. "Realizing smiles: Options pricing with realized volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(2), pages 284-304.
- Chao Zhang & Xingyue Pu & Mihai Cucuringu & Xiaowen Dong, 2023. "Graph Neural Networks for Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility with Spillover Effects," Papers 2308.01419, arXiv.org.
- BAUWENS, Luc & BRAIONE, Manuela & STORTI, Giuseppe, 2016. "Multiplicative Conditional Correlation Models for Realized Covariance Matrices," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2016041, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Marius Matei & Xari Rovira & Núria Agell, 2019. "Bivariate Volatility Modeling with High-Frequency Data," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-15, September.
- Wang, Tianyi & Liang, Fang & Huang, Zhuo & Yan, Hong, 2022. "Do realized higher moments have information content? - VaR forecasting based on the realized GARCH-RSRK model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Hollstein, Fabian & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2020. "Beta uncertainty," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Malec, Peter & Schienle, Melanie, 2012.
"Nonparametric Kernel density estimation near the boundary,"
SFB 649 Discussion Papers
2012-047, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Malec, Peter & Schienle, Melanie, 2014. "Nonparametric kernel density estimation near the boundary," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 57-76.
- Greeshma Balabhadra & El Mehdi Ainasse & Pawel Polak, 2023. "High-Frequency Volatility Estimation with Fast Multiple Change Points Detection," Papers 2303.10550, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
- Fantazzini, Dean & Shangina, Tamara, 2019.
"The importance of being informed: forecasting market risk measures for the Russian RTS index future using online data and implied volatility over two decades,"
Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 55, pages 5-31.
- Fantazzini, Dean & Shangina, Tamara, 2019. "The importance of being informed: forecasting market risk measures for the Russian RTS index future using online data and implied volatility over two decades," MPRA Paper 95992, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Klein, Tony & Todorova, Neda, 2021. "Night trading with futures in China: The case of Aluminum and Copper," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Yi, Yongsheng & He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Out-of-sample prediction of Bitcoin realized volatility: Do other cryptocurrencies help?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Christian T. Brownlees & Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2011. "Multiplicative Error Models," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2011_03, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", revised Apr 2011.
- Grammig, Joachim & Küchlin, Eva-Maria, 2018. "A two-step indirect inference approach to estimate the long-run risk asset pricing model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 205(1), pages 6-33.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M Gallo & Alessandro Palandri, 2020.
"Realized Variance Modeling: Decoupling Forecasting from Estimation,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 532-555.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo & Alessandro Palandri, 2019. "Realized variance modeling: decoupling forecasting from estimation," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2019_05, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M Gallo & Alessandro Palandri, 0. "Realized Variance Modeling: Decoupling Forecasting from Estimation," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 532-555.
- Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian & Wahab, M.I.M. & Ma, Yuanhui, 2023. "Stock market volatility predictability in a data-rich world: A new insight," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1804-1819.
- Liu, Li & Zhang, Tao, 2015. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 99-105.
- Halbleib, Roxana & Dimitriadis, Timo, 2019. "How informative is high-frequency data for tail risk estimation and forecasting? An intrinsic time perspectice," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203669, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Bauwens, Luc & Dzuverovic, Emilija & Hafner, Christian, 2024.
"Asymmetric Models for Realized Covariances,"
LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA
2024022, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
- Bauwens, Luc & Dzuverovic, Emilija & Hafner, Christian, 2024. "Asymmetric Models for Realized Covariances," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2024024, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2014. "Non-parametric analysis of equity arbitrage," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 199-216.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Patton, Andrew J. & Quaedvlieg, Rogier, 2016.
"Exploiting the errors: A simple approach for improved volatility forecasting,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 1-18.
- Tim Bollerslev & Andrew J. Patton & Rogier Quaedvlieg, 2015. "Exploiting the Errors: A Simple Approach for Improved Volatility Forecasting," CREATES Research Papers 2015-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Feng Ma & Yu Wei, 2022. "To jump or not to jump: momentum of jumps in crude oil price volatility prediction," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-31, December.
- Alizadeh, Amir H. & Huang, Chih-Yueh & Marsh, Ian W., 2021. "Modelling the volatility of TOCOM energy futures: A regime switching realised volatility approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
- Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2013. "A No‐Arbitrage Fractional Cointegration Model for Futures and Spot Daily Ranges," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 77-102, January.
- Aromí, J. Daniel, 2019. "Medium term growth forecasts: Experts vs. simple models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1085-1099.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Rossi, Eduardo & Santucci de Magistris, Paolo, 2017. "Chasing volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 198(1), pages 122-145.
- Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jianqiong & Dong, Dayong, 2022. "Singlehanded or joint race? Stock market volatility prediction," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 734-754.
- Feng, Lingbing & Qi, Jiajun & Lucey, Brian, 2024. "Enhancing cryptocurrency market volatility forecasting with daily dynamic tuning strategy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
- Mauro Bernardi & Daniele Bianchi & Nicolas Bianco, 2022. "Smoothing volatility targeting," Papers 2212.07288, arXiv.org.
- Haugom, Erik & Ray, Rina, 2017. "Heterogeneous traders, liquidity, and volatility in crude oil futures market," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 36-49.
- Massimo Guidolin & Giulia F. Panzeri, 2024. "Forecasting the CBOE VIX and SKEW Indices Using Heterogeneous Autoregressive Models," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-33, September.
- Christophe Chorro & Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo & Hanjarivo Lalaharison, 2014.
"Testing for Leverage Effects in the Returns of US Equities,"
Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne
14022r, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Jan 2017.
- Christophe Chorro & Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo & Hanjarivo Lalaharison, 2017. "Testing for Leverage Effects in the Returns of US Equities," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00973922, HAL.
- Christophe Chorro & Dominique Guegan & Florian Ielpo & Hanjarivo Lalaharison, 2018. "Testing for leverage effects in the returns of US equities," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01917590, HAL.
- Chorro, Christophe & Guégan, Dominique & Ielpo, Florian & Lalaharison, Hanjarivo, 2018. "Testing for leverage effects in the returns of US equities," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 290-306.
- Torben G. Andersen & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2018. "Consistent Inference for Predictive Regressions in Persistent VAR Economies," CREATES Research Papers 2018-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Plíhal, Tomáš, 2019. "Central bank announcements and realized volatility of stock markets in G7 countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 117-135.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Plíhal, Tomáš & Širaňová, Mária, 2020. "Impact of macroeconomic news, regulation and hacking exchange markets on the volatility of bitcoin," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
- Bissoondoyal-Bheenick, Emawtee & Brooks, Robert & Do, Hung Xuan & Smyth, Russell, 2020. "Exploiting the heteroskedasticity in measurement error to improve volatility predictions in oil and biofuel feedstock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Proelss, Juliane & Schweizer, Denis & Seiler, Volker, 2020.
"The economic importance of rare earth elements volatility forecasts,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Juliane Proelss & Denis Schweizer & Volker Seiler, 2019. "The economic importance of rare earth elements volatility forecasts," Post-Print hal-02983233, HAL.
- Catania, Leopoldo & Grassi, Stefano, 2022. "Forecasting cryptocurrency volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 878-894.
- Odusami, Babatunde O, 2021. "Forecasting the Value-at-Risk of REITs using realized volatility jump models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Ran Xiao, 2019. "Essays on Price Discovery and Volatility Dynamics in Emerging Market Currencies," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 5-2019, January-A.
- Haugom, Erik & Ray, Rina & Ullrich, Carl J. & Veka, Steinar & Westgaard, Sjur, 2016. "A parsimonious quantile regression model to forecast day-ahead value-at-risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 196-207.
- Li, Zhao-Chen & Xie, Chi & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhu, You & Zeng, Zhi-Jian & Gong, Jue, 2024. "Forecasting global stock market volatilities: A shrinkage heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model with a large cross-market predictor set," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 673-711.
- Hussain, Syed Mujahid & Ahmad, Nisar & Ahmed, Sheraz, 2023. "Applications of high-frequency data in finance: A bibliometric literature review," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- E. Otranto, 2024. "A Vector Multiplicative Error Model with Spillover Effects and Co-movements," Working Paper CRENoS 202404, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
- Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Sibbertsen, Philipp, 2017. "The Long Memory of Equity Volatility: International Evidence," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-614, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Louzis, Dimitrios P. & Xanthopoulos-Sisinis, Spyros & Refenes, Apostolos P., 2014. "Realized volatility models and alternative Value-at-Risk prediction strategies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 101-116.
- Ye, Chuxin & Lv, Jiamin & Xue, Yinsong & Luo, Xingguo, 2023. "Intraday volatility predictability in china gold futures market: The case of last half-hour realized volatility forecasting," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
- Bazán-Palomino, Walter, 2023. "The increased interest in Bitcoin and the immediate and long-term impact of Bitcoin volatility on global stock markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1080-1095.
- Cem Cakmakli & Verda Ozturk, 2021. "Economic Value of Modeling the Joint Distribution of Returns and Volatility: Leverage Timing," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2110, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Psaradellis, Ioannis & Sermpinis, Georgios, 2016. "Modelling and trading the U.S. implied volatility indices. Evidence from the VIX, VXN and VXD indices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1268-1283.
- Eric Jacquier & Cedric Okou, 2013. "Disentangling Continuous Volatility from Jumps in Long-Run Risk-Return Relationships," CIRANO Working Papers 2013s-14, CIRANO.
- Masato Ubukata & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2011. "Pricing Nikkei 225 Options Using Realized Volatility," IMES Discussion Paper Series 11-E-18, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Weigand, Roland, 2014.
"Matrix Box-Cox Models for Multivariate Realized Volatility,"
University of Regensburg Working Papers in Business, Economics and Management Information Systems
478, University of Regensburg, Department of Economics.
- Roland Weigand, 2014. "Matrix Box-Cox Models for Multivariate Realized Volatility," Working Papers 144, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
- Qiao, Fang & Xu, Lai & Zhang, Xiaoyan & Zhou, Hao, 2024. "Variance risk premiums in emerging markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
- Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Caporin, Massimiliano, 2020. "On the volatilities of tourism stocks and oil," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
- Fiammetta Menchetti & Fabrizio Cipollini & Fabrizia Mealli, 2021. "Causal effect of regulated Bitcoin futures on volatility and volume," Papers 2109.15052, arXiv.org.
- Li, Zhao-Chen & Xie, Chi & Zeng, Zhi-Jian & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhang, Ting, 2023. "Forecasting global stock market volatilities in an uncertain world," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Santos, Douglas G. & Candido, Osvaldo & Tófoli, Paula V., 2022. "Forecasting risk measures using intraday and overnight information," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Dirk G. Baur & Thomas Dimpfl, 2021. "The volatility of Bitcoin and its role as a medium of exchange and a store of value," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2663-2683, November.
- Qu, Hui & Chen, Wei & Niu, Mengyi & Li, Xindan, 2016. "Forecasting realized volatility in electricity markets using logistic smooth transition heterogeneous autoregressive models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 68-76.
- David Edmund Allen, 2020. "Stochastic Volatility and GARCH: Do Squared End-of-Day Returns Provide Similar Information?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-25, September.
- Wang Pu & Yixiang Chen & Feng Ma, 2016. "Forecasting the realized volatility in the Chinese stock market: further evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(33), pages 3116-3130, July.
- Imene Ben El Hadj Said & Skander Slim, 2022. "The Dynamic Relationship between Investor Attention and Stock Market Volatility: International Evidence," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-25, February.
- Lehrer, Steven & Xie, Tian & Zhang, Xinyu, 2021. "Social media sentiment, model uncertainty, and volatility forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Janis Becker & Christian Leschinski, 2021.
"Estimating the volatility of asset pricing factors,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 269-278, March.
- Becker, Janis & Leschinski, Christian, 2018. "Estimating the Volatility of Asset Pricing Factors," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-631, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Gustavo Fruet Dias & Cristina M. Scherrer & Fotis Papailias, 2016. "Volatility Discovery," CREATES Research Papers 2016-07, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Jian, Zhihong & Deng, Pingjun & Zhu, Zhican, 2018. "High-dimensional covariance forecasting based on principal component analysis of high-frequency data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 422-431.
- Prokopczuk, Marcel & Stancu, Andrei & Symeonidis, Lazaros, 2019. "The economic drivers of commodity market volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-1.
- Niu, Zibo & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "The role of uncertainty measures in volatility forecasting of the crude oil futures market before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Lee, Oesook, 2014. "The functional central limit theorem and structural change test for the HAR(∞) model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(3), pages 370-373.
- Okou, Cédric & Jacquier, Éric, 2016. "Horizon effect in the term structure of long-run risk-return trade-offs," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 445-466.
- Renee van Eyden & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel & Elie Bouri, 2021. "Rare Disaster Risks and Volatility of the Term-Structure of US Treasury Securities: The Role of El Nino and La Nina Events," Working Papers 202155, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023.
"Financial Stress and Realized Volatility: The Case of Agricultural Commodities,"
Working Papers
202320, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024. "Financial stress and realized volatility: The case of agricultural commodities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Giovanni De Luca & Giampiero M. Gallo & Danilo Carità, 2017. "Evaluating Combined Forecasts for Realized Volatility Using Asymmetric Loss Functions," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 2(2), pages 99-111, December.
- Bee, Marco & Dupuis, Debbie J. & Trapin, Luca, 2016. "Realizing the extremes: Estimation of tail-risk measures from a high-frequency perspective," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 86-99.
- Wang, Wenzhao, 2018. "Investor sentiment and the mean-variance relationship: European evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 227-239.
- Erik Vogt, 2014. "Option-implied term structures," Staff Reports 706, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Velo, Gabriel G., 2015. "Realized range volatility forecasting: Dynamic features and predictive variables," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 98-112.
- Campos, I. & Cortazar, G. & Reyes, T., 2017. "Modeling and predicting oil VIX: Internet search volume versus traditional mariables," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 194-204.
- Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Forecasting Realized US Stock Market Volatility: Is there a Role for Economic Policy Uncertainty?," Working Papers 202408, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Bekierman, Jeremias & Manner, Hans, 2018. "Forecasting realized variance measures using time-varying coefficient models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 276-287.
- F. Lilla, 2016. "High Frequency vs. Daily Resolution: the Economic Value of Forecasting Volatility Models," Working Papers wp1084, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Isabel Casas & Xiuping Mao & Helena Veiga, 2018. "Reexamining financial and economic predictability with new estimators of realized variance and variance risk premium," CREATES Research Papers 2018-10, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Arnerić Josip & Poklepović Tea & Teai Juin Wen, 2018. "Neural Network Approach in Forecasting Realized Variance Using High-Frequency Data," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, vol. 9(2), pages 18-34, July.
- D. Schneller & S. Heiden & M. Heiden & A. Hamid, 2018. "Home is Where You Know Your Volatility – Local Investor Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 19(2), pages 209-236, May.
- Panayotis G. Papaioannou & George P. Papaioannou & George Evangelidis & George Gavalakis, 2024. "Detecting Structural breakpoints in natural gas and electricity wholesale prices via Bayesian ensemble approach, in the era of energy prices turmoil of 2022 period: the cases of ten European markets," Papers 2410.07224, arXiv.org.
- Stefan Lyocsa & Peter Molnar & Igor Fedorko, 2016. "Forecasting Exchange Rate Volatility: The Case of the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(5), pages 453-475, October.
- Liu, Chun & Maheu, John M., 2012. "Intraday dynamics of volatility and duration: Evidence from Chinese stocks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 329-348.
- Luo, Jiawen & Chen, Langnan, 2020. "Realized volatility forecast with the Bayesian random compressed multivariate HAR model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 781-799.
- Manabu Asai, 2013. "Heterogeneous Asymmetric Dynamic Conditional Correlation Model with Stock Return and Range," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 469-480, August.
- Andrada-Félix, Julián & Fernández-Rodríguez, Fernando & Fuertes, Ana-Maria, 2016. "Combining nearest neighbor predictions and model-based predictions of realized variance: Does it pay?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 695-715.
- Petar Sabtchevsky & Paul Whelan & Andrea Vedolin & Philippe Mueller, 2017. "Variance Risk Premia on Stocks and Bonds," 2017 Meeting Papers 1161, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Morelli, Giacomo & Santucci de Magistris, Paolo, 2019. "Volatility tail risk under fractionality," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- Neda Todorova & Michael Soucek & Eduardo Roca, 2015. "Volatility spillovers from international commodity markets to the Australian equity market," Discussion Papers in Finance finance:201505, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
- Ostap Okhrin & Anastasija Tetereva, 2017. "The Realized Hierarchical Archimedean Copula in Risk Modelling," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-31, June.
- A. Can Inci, 2018. "Financials sector intraday volatility characteristics in the emerging Turkish economy," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 8(2), pages 215-229, August.
- Brunetti, Celso & Büyükşahin, Bahattin & Harris, Jeffrey H., 2016.
"Speculators, Prices, and Market Volatility,"
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(5), pages 1545-1574, October.
- Celso Brunetti & Bahattin Buyuksahin & Jeffrey H. Harris, 2015. "Speculators, Prices and Market Volatility," Staff Working Papers 15-42, Bank of Canada.
- Souček, Michael & Todorova, Neda, 2013. "Realized volatility transmission between crude oil and equity futures markets: A multivariate HAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 586-597.
- Yves Dominicy & Harry-Paul Vander Elst, 2015. "Macro-Driven VaR Forecasts: From Very High to Very Low Frequency Data," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-41, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Yang, Cai & Gong, Xu & Zhang, Hongwei, 2019. "Volatility forecasting of crude oil futures: The role of investor sentiment and leverage effect," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 548-563.
- Kuang, Wei, 2022. "The economic value of high-frequency data in equity-oil hedge," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
- Chanatásig-Niza, Evelyn & Ciarreta, Aitor & Zarraga, Ainhoa, 2022. "A volatility spillover analysis with realized semi(co)variances in Australian electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
- Aitor Ciarreta & Peru Muniainy & Ainhoa Zarraga, 2017. "Modelling Realized Volatility in Electricity Spot Prices: New insights and Application to the Japanese Electricity Market," ISER Discussion Paper 0991, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
- Rafael Alves & Diego S. de Brito & Marcelo C. Medeiros & Ruy M. Ribeiro, 2023. "Forecasting Large Realized Covariance Matrices: The Benefits of Factor Models and Shrinkage," Papers 2303.16151, arXiv.org.
- Palandri, Alessandro, 2015. "Do negative and positive equity returns share the same volatility dynamics?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 486-505.
- Adam Aleksander Majewski & Giacomo Bormetti & Fulvio Corsi, 2014. "Smile from the Past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components," Papers 1404.3555, arXiv.org.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Plíhal, Tomáš & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "FX market volatility modelling: Can we use low-frequency data?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
- Xue Gong & Weiguo Zhang & Weijun Xu & Zhe Li, 2022. "Uncertainty index and stock volatility prediction: evidence from international markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-44, December.
- Benoît Sévi & César Baena, 2013.
"The explanatory power of signed jumps for the risk-return tradeoff,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(2), pages 1029-1046.
- Benoît Sévi & César Baena, 2013. "The explanatory power of signed jumps for the risk-return tradeoff," Post-Print hal-01500858, HAL.
- Li, Jia & Patton, Andrew J., 2018.
"Asymptotic inference about predictive accuracy using high frequency data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 223-240.
- Jia Li & Andrew J. Patton, 2013. "Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Accuracy Using High Frequency Data," Working Papers 13-27, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Won-Tak Hong & Jiwon Lee & Eunju Hwang, 2020. "A Note on the Asymptotic Normality Theory of the Least Squares Estimates in Multivariate HAR-RV Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-18, November.
- Chen, Cathy W.S. & Watanabe, Toshiaki & Lin, Edward M.H., 2023. "Bayesian estimation of realized GARCH-type models with application to financial tail risk management," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 30-46.
- Wei Zhang & Kai Yan & Dehua Shen, 2021. "Can the Baidu Index predict realized volatility in the Chinese stock market?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-31, December.
- Nima Nonejad, 2013. "Long Memory and Structural Breaks in Realized Volatility: An Irreversible Markov Switching Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2013-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Mikkel Bennedsen & Kim Christensen & Peter Christensen, 2024. "Composite likelihood estimation of stationary Gaussian processes with a view toward stochastic volatility," Papers 2403.12653, arXiv.org.
- Vladimir Pyrlik & Pavel Elizarov & Aleksandra Leonova, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Using Machine Learning and Mixed-Frequency Data (the Case of the Russian Stock Market)," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp713, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew & Huang, Jingong & Nguyen, Viet Hoang, 2019. "Financial sector bailouts, sovereign bailouts, and the transfer of credit risk," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 121-142.
- Dooyeon Cho & Seunghwa Rho, 2022. "On asymmetric volatility effects in currency markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2149-2177, May.
- Gongyue Jiang & Gaoxiu Qiao & Feng Ma & Lu Wang, 2022. "Directly pricing VIX futures with observable dynamic jumps based on high‐frequency VIX," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 1518-1548, August.
- Giampiero M. Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2014. "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Changes of Regimes," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2014_03, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", revised Feb 2014.
- Andrea BUCCI, 2017.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility A Review,"
Journal of Advanced Studies in Finance, ASERS Publishing, vol. 8(2), pages 94-138.
- Bucci, Andrea, 2017. "Forecasting realized volatility: a review," MPRA Paper 83232, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Adam E Clements & Yin Liao, 2013. "Modeling and forecasting realized volatility: getting the most out of the jump component," NCER Working Paper Series 93, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Izzeldin, Marwan & Muradoğlu, Yaz Gülnur & Pappas, Vasileios & Sivaprasad, Sheeja, 2021. "The impact of Covid-19 on G7 stock markets volatility: Evidence from a ST-HAR model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Huang, Dengshi & Chen, Yixiang, 2014. "Which is the better forecasting model? A comparison between HAR-RV and multifractality volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 405(C), pages 171-180.
- Mihaela Craioveanu & Eric Hillebrand, 2012. "Level changes in volatility models," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(2), pages 277-308, May.
- Gradojevic, Nikola & Tsiakas, Ilias, 2021. "Volatility cascades in cryptocurrency trading," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 252-265.
- Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2017. "Forecasting the good and bad uncertainties of crude oil prices using a HAR framework," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 315-327.
- Maria Socorro Gochoco-Bautista & Jianxin Wang & Minxian Yang, 2014. "Commodity Price, Carry Trade, and the Volatility and Liquidity of Asian Currencies," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(6), pages 811-833, June.
- Dragos Gorduza & Xiaowen Dong & Stefan Zohren, 2022. "Understanding stock market instability via graph auto-encoders," Papers 2212.04974, arXiv.org.
- Valeri Voev, 2009. "On the Economic Evaluation of Volatility Forecasts," CREATES Research Papers 2009-56, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Cipollini, Andrea & Lo Cascio, Iolanda & Muzzioli, Silvia, 2018. "Risk aversion connectedness in five European countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 68-79.
- Philip, Dennis & Shi, Yukun, 2015. "Impact of allowance submissions in European carbon emission markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 27-37.
- Liu, Xufeng & Wan, Die, 2023. "Retail investor trading and ESG pricing in China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
- Keiichi Goshima & Hiroshi Ishijima & Mototsugu Shintani & Hiroki Yamamoto, 2019. "Forecasting Japanese inflation with a news-based leading indicator of economic activities," CARF F-Series CARF-F-458, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Daan Steenkamp & Rossouw van Jaarsveld, 2022. "CaninformationonthedistributionofZARreturnsbeusedtoimproveSARBsZARforecasts," Working Papers 11035, South African Reserve Bank.
- Dong Hwan Oh & Andrew J. Patton, 2021. "Better the Devil You Know: Improved Forecasts from Imperfect Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-071, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2016. "Forecasting oil price realized volatility: A new approach," MPRA Paper 69105, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Hassani, Hossein, 2018. "Forecasting global stock market implied volatility indices," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 111-129.
- Yang, Ke & Tian, Fengping & Chen, Langnan & Li, Steven, 2017. "Realized volatility forecast of agricultural futures using the HAR models with bagging and combination approaches," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 276-291.
- Masato Ubukata & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2013. "Pricing Nikkei 225 Options Using Realized Volatility," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-273, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Bucci, Andrea & Sanmarchi, Francesco & Santi, Luca & Golinelli, Davide, 2024. "Evaluating the nonlinear association between PM10 and emergency department visits," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
- Wenjing Wang & Minjing Tao, 2020. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Matrix With Copula-Based Models," Papers 2002.08849, arXiv.org.
- Amendola, Alessandra & Candila, Vincenzo & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2021. "Choosing the frequency of volatility components within the Double Asymmetric GARCH–MIDAS–X model," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 12-28.
- Fantazzini, Dean, 2023. "Assessing the Credit Risk of Crypto-Assets Using Daily Range Volatility Models," MPRA Paper 117141, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Bauwens, Luc & Otranto, Edoardo, 2023. "Realized Covariance Models with Time-varying Parameters and Spillover Effects," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2023019, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Han, Heejoon & Kutan, Ali M. & Ryu, Doojin, 2015. "Effects of the US stock market return and volatility on the VKOSPI," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 9, pages 1-34.
- Andre Lucas & Anne Opschoor & Luca Rossini, 2021. "Tail Heterogeneity for Dynamic Covariance Matrices: the F-Riesz Distribution," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-010/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 11 Jul 2023.
- Georg Dettmann, 2011. "A View on Global Imbalances and their Contribution to the Financial Crisis," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1102, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Liu, Xufeng & Wan, Die, 2022. "Asymmetric positive feedback trading and stock pricing in China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Guido Russi, 2012. "Estimating the Leverage Effect Using High Frequency Data," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 2, pages 1-24, February.
- Ehouman, Yao Axel, 2020. "Volatility transmission between oil prices and banks' stock prices as a new source of instability: Lessons from the United States experience," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 198-217.
- Virbickaitė, Audronė & Frey, Christoph & Macedo, Demian N., 2020. "Bayesian sequential stock return prediction through copulas," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2021.
"Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data,"
Working Papers
202122, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Geopolitical risk and forecastability of tail risk in the oil market: Evidence from over a century of monthly data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
- Ji‐Eun Choi & Dong Wan Shin, 2018. "Forecasts for leverage heterogeneous autoregressive models with jumps and other covariates," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 691-704, September.
- Ma, Feng & Wahab, M.I.M. & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Forecasting the U.S. stock volatility: An aligned jump index from G7 stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 132-146.
- Wang, Hao & Yue, Mengqi & Zhao, Hua, 2015. "Cojumps in China's spot and stock index futures markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(PB), pages 541-557.
- Horta, Eduardo & Ziegelmann, Flavio, 2018. "Dynamics of financial returns densities: A functional approach applied to the Bovespa intraday index," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 75-88.
- Aalborg, Halvor Aarhus & Molnár, Peter & de Vries, Jon Erik, 2019. "What can explain the price, volatility and trading volume of Bitcoin?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 255-265.
- Yudong Wang & Zhiyuan Pan & Chongfeng Wu, 2017. "Time‐Varying Parameter Realized Volatility Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 566-580, August.
- Díaz, Juan D. & Hansen, Erwin & Cabrera, Gabriel, 2024. "Machine-learning stock market volatility: Predictability, drivers, and economic value," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
- Han, Heejoon & Kutan, Ali M. & Ryu, Doojin, 2015. "Modeling and predicting the market volatility index: The case of VKOSPI," Economics Discussion Papers 2015-7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Masato Ubukata, 2022. "A time-varying jump tail risk measure using high-frequency options data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2633-2653, November.
- Jayawardena, Nirodha I. & Todorova, Neda & Li, Bin & Su, Jen-Je, 2016. "Forecasting stock volatility using after-hour information: Evidence from the Australian Stock Exchange," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 592-608.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Golosnoy, Vasyl & Titova, Anna, 2020. "Bias corrections for exponentially transformed forecasts: Are they worth the effort?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 761-780.
- Michelle T. Armesto & Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang, 2010. "Forecasting with mixed frequencies," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 92(Nov), pages 521-536.
- Qiao, Gaoxiu & Ma, Xuekun & Jiang, Gongyue & Wang, Lu, 2024. "Crude oil volatility index forecasting: New evidence based on positive and negative jumps from Chinese stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 415-437.
- Alain Hecq & Marie Ternes & Ines Wilms, 2023. "Hierarchical Regularizers for Reverse Unrestricted Mixed Data Sampling Regressions," Papers 2301.10592, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
- Zargar, Faisal Nazir & Kumar, Dilip, 2020. "Heterogeneous market hypothesis approach for modeling unbiased extreme value volatility estimator in presence of leverage effect: An individual stock level study with economic significance analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 271-285.
- Benoît Sévi & César Baena, 2012. "A reassessment of the risk-return tradeoff at the daily horizon," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(1), pages 190-203.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Constantinos Kourouyiannis, 2012. "Robust volatility forecasts in the presence of structural breaks," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 08-2012, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
- Chuxuan Xiao & Winifred Huang & David P. Newton, 2024. "Predicting expected idiosyncratic volatility: Empirical evidence from ARFIMA, HAR, and EGARCH models," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 979-1006, October.
- Torben G. Andersen & Nicola Fusari & Viktor Todorov, 2018.
"The Pricing of Tail Risk and the Equity Premium: Evidence from International Option Markets,"
CREATES Research Papers
2018-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Torben G. Andersen & Nicola Fusari & Viktor Todorov, 2020. "The Pricing of Tail Risk and the Equity Premium: Evidence From International Option Markets," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 662-678, July.
- Zhentao Shi & Liangjun Su & Tian Xie, 2020. "L2-Relaxation: With Applications to Forecast Combination and Portfolio Analysis," Papers 2010.09477, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
- Deev, Oleg & Plíhal, Tomáš, 2022. "How to calm down the markets? The effects of COVID-19 economic policy responses on financial market uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Jawadi, Fredj & Bourghelle, David & Rozin, Philippe & Cheffou, Abdoulkarim Idi & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2024. "Sentiment and energy price volatility: A nonlinear high frequency analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- Guo, Yangli & Li, Pan & Wu, Hanlin, 2023. "Jumps in the Chinese crude oil futures volatility forecasting: New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Mauricio Zevallos, 2019. "A Note on Forecasting Daily Peruvian Stock Market VolatilityRisk Using Intraday Returns," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 42(84), pages 94-101.
- Giuseppe Buccheri & Davide Pirino & Luca Trapin, 2021. "Managing liquidity with portfolio staleness," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(1), pages 215-239, June.
- Dark, Jonathan, 2018. "Multivariate models with long memory dependence in conditional correlation and volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 162-180.
- Wu, Xinyu & Hou, Xinmeng, 2019. "Forecasting realized variance using asymmetric HAR model with time-varying coefficients," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 89-95.
- Opschoor, Anne & Lucas, André, 2023. "Time-varying variance and skewness in realized volatility measures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 827-840.
- Hua, Jian & Manzan, Sebastiano, 2013. "Forecasting the return distribution using high-frequency volatility measures," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4381-4403.
- Li, Xiaodan & Gong, Xue & Ge, Futing & Huang, Jingjing, 2024. "Forecasting stock volatility using pseudo-out-of-sample information," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 123-135.
- Jiawen Luo & Langnan Chen, 2019. "Multivariate realized volatility forecasts of agricultural commodity futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(12), pages 1565-1586, December.
- Hiroyuki Kawakatsu, 2022. "Local projection variance impulse response," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1219-1244, March.
- Naeem, Muhammad & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Saleem, Kashif & Mustafa, Faisal, 2019. "Risk analysis of high frequency precious metals returns by using long memory model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 399-409.
- Lorenzo Danieli & Petr Jakubik, 2018.
"Early warning system for the European Insurance Sector,"
EIOPA Financial Stability Report - Thematic Articles
13, EIOPA, Risks and Financial Stability Department.
- Lorenzo Danieli & Petr Jakubik, 2022. "Early Warning System for the European Insurance Sector," Journal of Economics / Ekonomicky casopis, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, vol. 70(1), pages 3-21, January.
- Hwang, Eunju & Hong, Won-Tak, 2021. "A multivariate HAR-RV model with heteroscedastic errors and its WLS estimation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
- Gao, Guangyuan & Ho, Kin-Yip & Shi, Yanlin, 2020. "Long memory or regime switching in volatility? Evidence from high-frequency returns on the U.S. stock indices," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
- Alia Afzal & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2021. "Modeling fractional cointegration between high and low stock prices in Asian countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 661-682, February.
- Liu, Yuanyuan & Niu, Zibo & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Yin, Libo & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures: The role of oil investor attention and its regime switching characteristics under a high-frequency framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PA).
- Fu, Tong & Huang, Dasen & Feng, Lingbing & Tang, Xiaoping, 2024. "More is better? The impact of predictor choice on the INE oil futures volatility forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
- Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility of International REITs: The Role of Realized Skewness and Realized Kurtosis,"
Working Papers
202114, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of international REITs: The role of realized skewness and realized kurtosis," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 303-315, March.
- Bekaert, Geert & Hoerova, Marie, 2016.
"What do asset prices have to say about risk appetite and uncertainty?,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 103-118.
- Bekaert, Geert & Hoerova, Marie & Scheicher, Martin, 2009. "What do asset prices have to say about risk appetite and uncertainty?," Working Paper Series 1037, European Central Bank.
- Duan, Huayou & Zhao, Chenchen & Wang, Lu & Liu, Guangqiang, 2024. "The relationship between renewable energy attention and volatility: A HAR model with markov time-varying transition probability," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Laurent A. F. Callot & Anders B. Kock & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2014.
"Estimation and Forecasting of Large Realized Covariance Matrices and Portfolio Choice,"
CREATES Research Papers
2014-42, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Laurent Callot & Anders B. Kock & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2014. "Estimation and Forecasting of Large Realized Covariance Matrices and Portfolio Choice," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-147/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Dilip Kumar, 2019. "Structural Breaks in Volatility Transmission from Developed Markets to Major Asian Emerging Markets," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 18(2), pages 172-209, August.
- Michael Creel, 2021.
"Inference Using Simulated Neural Moments,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-15, September.
- Michael Creel, 2020. "Inference Using Simulated Neural Moments," Working Papers 1182, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War,"
Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 29-53, January.
- Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Working Papers 202003, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- BAUWENS Luc, & XU Yongdeng,, 2019. "DCC-HEAVY: A multivariate GARCH model based on realized variances and correlations," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2019025, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Danilo Delpini & Giacomo Bormetti, 2012. "Stochastic Volatility with Heterogeneous Time Scales," Papers 1206.0026, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.
- Oikonomou, Ioannis & Stancu, Andrei & Symeonidis, Lazaros & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2019. "The information content of short-term options," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
- Qinkai Chen & Christian-Yann Robert, 2021. "Multivariate Realized Volatility Forecasting with Graph Neural Network," Papers 2112.09015, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
- Taylor, James W., 2020. "Forecast combinations for value at risk and expected shortfall," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 428-441.
- Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin, 2016. "The Determinants of Equity Risk and Their Forecasting Implications: A Quantile Regression Perspective," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-25, July.
- Linlan Xiao, 2013. "Realized volatility forecasting: empirical evidence from stock market indices and exchange rates," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 57-69, January.
- Hiroyuki Kawakatsu, 2022. "Modeling Realized Variance with Realized Quarticity," Stats, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-25, September.
- Chao Liang & Yi Zhang & Yaojie Zhang, 2022. "Forecasting the volatility of the German stock market: New evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(9), pages 1055-1070, February.
- Alfeus, Mesias & Nikitopoulos, Christina Sklibosios, 2022. "Forecasting volatility in commodity markets with long-memory models," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
- Calvet, Laurent E. & Fearnley, Marcus & Fisher, Adlai J. & Leippold, Markus, 2015.
"What is beneath the surface? Option pricing with multifrequency latent states,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 498-511.
- Calvet , Laurent E. & Fearnley, Marcus & Adlai J. , Fisher & Markus, Leippold, 2013. "What's Beneath the Surface? Option Pricing with Multifrequency Latent States," HEC Research Papers Series 969, HEC Paris.
- Lahaye, Jerome & Shaw, Philip, 2014. "Can we reject linearity in an HAR-RV model for the S&P 500? Insights from a nonparametric HAR-RV," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 125(1), pages 43-46.
- Feng Ma & Yu Wei & Wang Chen & Feng He, 2018. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using high-frequency data: further evidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 653-678, September.
- Gajurel, Dinesh & Chowdhury, Biplob, 2020. "Realized volatility, jump and beta: evidence from Canadian stock market," Working Papers 2020-11, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Peng, Huan & Chen, Ruoxun & Mei, Dexiang & Diao, Xiaohua, 2018. "Forecasting the realized volatility of the Chinese stock market: Do the G7 stock markets help?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 501(C), pages 78-85.
- Clements, Adam & Vasnev, Andrey L., 2023. "Combining simple multivariate HAR-like models for portfolio construction," Working Papers BAWP-2023-03, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Beatriz Vaz de Melo Mendes & Victor Bello Accioly, 2017. "Improving (E)GARCH forecasts with robust realized range measures: Evidence from international markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(4), pages 631-658, October.
- Jiahao Weng & Yan Xie, 2024. "Degree of Irrationality: Sentiment and Implied Volatility Surface," Papers 2405.11730, arXiv.org.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2018.
"Multiple Days Ahead Realized Volatility Forecasting: Single, Combined and Average Forecasts,"
MPRA Paper
96272, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2018. "Multiple days ahead realized volatility forecasting: Single, combined and average forecasts," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 41-61.
- Opschoor, Anne & Lucas, André, 2021. "Observation-driven models for realized variances and overnight returns applied to Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 622-633.
- Aida Karmous & Heni Boubaker & Lotfi Belkacem, 2021. "Forecasting Volatility for an Optimal Portfolio with Stylized Facts Using Copulas," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 58(2), pages 461-482, August.
- Nima Nonejad, 2013. "A Mixture Innovation Heterogeneous Autoregressive Model for Structural Breaks and Long Memory," CREATES Research Papers 2013-24, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Masato Ubukata, 2019. "Jump tail risk premium and predicting US and Japanese credit spreads," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 79-104, July.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Ranaldo, Angelo & Velo, Gabriel G., 2013. "Stylized Facts and Dynamic Modeling of High-frequency Data on Precious Metals," Working Papers on Finance 1318, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter, 2017. "The effect of non-trading days on volatility forecasts in equity markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 39-49.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Osterrieder, Daniela & Sizova, Natalia & Tauchen, George, 2013. "Risk and return: Long-run relations, fractional cointegration, and return predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(2), pages 409-424.
- Bruno Deschamps & Tianlun Fei & Ying Jiang & Xiaoquan Liu, 2022. "Procyclical volatility in Chinese stock markets," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1117-1144, April.
- Zhang, Yaojie & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu, 2019. "Out-of-sample prediction of the oil futures market volatility: A comparison of new and traditional combination approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1109-1120.
- Huang, Zhuo & Liu, Hao & Wang, Tianyi, 2016. "Modeling long memory volatility using realized measures of volatility: A realized HAR GARCH model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 812-821.
- Yoontae Jeon & Thomas H. McCurdy, 2017. "Time-Varying Window Length for Correlation Forecasts," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-29, December.
- Bolin Lei & Boyu Zhang & Yuping Song, 2021. "Volatility Forecasting for High-Frequency Financial Data Based on Web Search Index and Deep Learning Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-17, February.
- Wang, Ping & Han, Wei & Huang, Chengcheng & Duong, Duy, 2022. "Forecasting realised volatility from search volume and overnight sentiment: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Chen, Wang & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Liu, Jing, 2020. "Forecasting oil price volatility using high-frequency data: New evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 1-12.
- Xu, Yongdeng, 2022. "The Exponential HEAVY Model: An Improved Approach to Volatility Modeling and Forecasting," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2022/5, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2009. "A No Arbitrage Fractional Cointegration Analysis Of The Range Based Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2009-31, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Dong, Yingjie & Tse, Yiu-Kuen, 2020. "Forecasting large covariance matrix with high-frequency data using factor approach for the correlation matrix," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
- Todorova, Neda, 2017. "The asymmetric volatility in the gold market revisited," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 138-141.
- Andreou, Elena, 2016. "On the use of high frequency measures of volatility in MIDAS regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 367-389.
- Li, Yan & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan & Xu, Yongan & Liang, Hao, 2023. "The forecast ability of a belief-based momentum indicator in full-day, daytime, and nighttime volatilities of Chinese oil futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
- Luo, Jiawen & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony, 2023. "Co-volatility and asymmetric transmission of risks between the global oil and China's futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Bannigidadmath, Deepa & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2022. "Economic importance of correlations for energy and other commodities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
- Hwang, Eunju & Shin, Dong Wan, 2013. "A CUSUM test for a long memory heterogeneous autoregressive model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(3), pages 379-383.
- Gao, Shang & Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Forecasting stock market volatility: The sum of the parts is more than the whole," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
- Oglend, Atle, 2022. "The commodities/equities beta term-structure," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
- Liu, Zhenya & Lu, Shanglin & Li, Bo & Wang, Shixuan, 2023. "Time series momentum and reversal: Intraday information from realized semivariance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 54-77.
- BAUWENS, Luc & STORTI, Giuseppe & VIOLANTE, Francesco, 2012. "Dynamic conditional correlation models for realized covariance matrices," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2012060, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Asgharian, Hossein & Christiansen, Charlotte & Hou, Ai Jun, 2023. "The effect of uncertainty on stock market volatility and correlation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Zema, Sebastiano Michele, 2022. "Directed acyclic graph based information shares for price discovery," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Swamy, Vighneswara & Dharani, M. & Takeda, Fumiko, 2019. "Investor attention and Google Search Volume Index: Evidence from an emerging market using quantile regression analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1-17.
- Jung, R.C. & Maderitsch, R., 2014. "Structural breaks in volatility spillovers between international financial markets: Contagion or mere interdependence?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 331-342.
- Wang, Jying-Nan & Liu, Hung-Chun & Lee, Yen-Hsien & Hsu, Yuan-Teng, 2023. "FoMO in the Bitcoin market: Revisiting and factors," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 244-253.
- Gallo, Giampiero M. & Otranto, Edoardo, 2015. "Forecasting realized volatility with changing average levels," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 620-634.
- Marc Hallin & Davide La Vecchia, 2014. "Semiparametrically Efficient R-Estimation for Dynamic Location-Scale Models," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-45, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Tomohiro Ando & Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Yongcheol Shin, 2022. "Quantile Connectedness: Modeling Tail Behavior in the Topology of Financial Networks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(4), pages 2401-2431, April.
- Elena Andreou & Constantinos Kourouyiannis & Andros Kourtellos, 2012. "Volatility Forecast Combinations using Asymmetric Loss Functions," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 07-2012, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
- Wen, Conghua & Zhai, Jia & Wang, Yinuo & Cao, Yi, 2024. "Implied volatility is (almost) past-dependent: Linear vs non-linear models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2021.
"A note on oil price shocks and the forecastability of gold realized volatility,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(21), pages 1889-1897, December.
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "A Note on Oil Price Shocks and the Forecastability of Gold Realized Volatility," Working Papers 202010, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Vasyl Golosnoy & Benno Hildebrandt & Steffen Köhler, 2019. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Portfolio Diversification Benefits," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-16, July.
- Asuka Takeuchi-Nogimori, 2012. "An Empirical Analysis of the Nikkei 225 Put Options Using Realized GARCH Models," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd12-241, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "A Survey on Volatility Fluctuations in the Decentralized Cryptocurrency Financial Assets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-46, June.
- Takuo Higashide & Katsuyuki Tanaka & Takuji Kinkyo & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2021. "New Dataset for Forecasting Realized Volatility: Is the Tokyo Stock Exchange Co-Location Dataset Helpful for Expansion of the Heterogeneous Autoregressive Model in the Japanese Stock Market?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-18, May.
- Buncic, Daniel & Gisler, Katja I.M., 2017. "The role of jumps and leverage in forecasting volatility in international equity markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1-19.
- YuZhi Chen & Yi Fang & XinYue Li & Jian Wei, 2023. "A factor pricing model based on double moving average strategy," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-13, December.
- Liang, Chao & Li, Yan & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu, 2021. "Global equity market volatilities forecasting: A comparison of leverage effects, jumps, and overnight information," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Dumitru, Ana-Maria & Hizmeri, Rodrigo & Izzeldin, Marwan, 2019. "Forecasting the Realized Variance in the Presence of Intraday Periodicity," EconStor Preprints 193631, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Pogorelova, Polina & Peresetsky, Anatoly, 2020. "Extracting the global stochastic trend from non-synchronous data on the volatility of financial indices," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 57, pages 53-71.
- Feng, Lingbing & Rao, Haicheng & Lucey, Brian & Zhu, Yiying, 2024. "Volatility forecasting on China's oil futures: New evidence from interpretable ensemble boosting trees," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 1595-1615.
- Wenfeng Ma & Yuxuan Hong & Yuping Song, 2024. "On Stock Volatility Forecasting under Mixed-Frequency Data Based on Hybrid RR-MIDAS and CNN-LSTM Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-21, May.
- Su, Fei, 2021. "Conditional volatility persistence and volatility spillovers in the foreign exchange market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
- Wang, Yifu & Lu, Wanbo & Lin, Min-Bin & Ren, Rui & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2024. "Cross-exchange crypto risk: A high-frequency dynamic network perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
- Jianjian Jin, 2015. "Jump-Diffusion Long-Run Risks Models, Variance Risk Premium, and Volatility Dynamics," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 1223-1279.
- Denisa BANULESCU-RADU & Laurent FERRARA & Clément MARSILLI, 2019.
"Prévoir la volatilité d’un actif financier à l’aide d’un modèle à mélange de fréquences,"
LEO Working Papers / DR LEO
2710, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Denisa Georgiana Banulescu & Ferrara Laurent & Marsilli Clément, 2019. "Prévoir la volatilité d’un actif financier à l’aide d’un modèle à mélange de fréquences," Working Papers hal-03563168, HAL.
- Mitrodima, Gelly & Oberoi, Jaideep, 2024. "CAViaR models for Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall with long range dependency features," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120880, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2017. "The impact of foreign equity flows on market volatility during politically tranquil and turbulent times: The Egyptian experience," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 61-77.
- Andrew J. Patton & Yasin Simsek, 2023. "Generalized Autoregressive Score Trees and Forests," Papers 2305.18991, arXiv.org.
- Atak, Alev & Kapetanios, George, 2013. "A factor approach to realized volatility forecasting in the presence of finite jumps and cross-sectional correlation in pricing errors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 224-228.
- Le, Trung H., 2020. "Forecasting value at risk and expected shortfall with mixed data sampling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1362-1379.
- Reschenhofer, Erhard & Mangat, Manveer Kaur & Stark, Thomas, 2020. "Volatility forecasts, proxies and loss functions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 133-153.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2022.
"Oil price volatility forecasts: What do investors need to know?,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2019. "Oil price volatility forecasts: What do investors need to know?," MPRA Paper 94445, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Wang, Xunxiao & Wu, Chongfeng & Xu, Weidong, 2015. "Volatility forecasting: The role of lunch-break returns, overnight returns, trading volume and leverage effects," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 609-619.
- Fei Su, 2018. "Essays on Price Discovery and Volatility Dynamics in the Foreign Exchange Market," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 2-2018, January-A.
- Alfelt, Gustav & Bodnar, Taras & Javed, Farrukh & Tyrcha, Joanna, 2020. "Singular conditional autoregressive Wishart model for realized covariance matrices," Working Papers 2021:1, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Chen Liu & Chao Wang & Minh-Ngoc Tran & Robert Kohn, 2023. "Deep Learning Enhanced Realized GARCH," Papers 2302.08002, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Dinesh Gajurel & Biplob Chowdhury, 2021. "Realized Volatility, Jump and Beta: evidence from Canadian Stock Market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(55), pages 6376-6397, November.
- Grammig, Joachim & Küchlin, Eva-Maria, 2017. "A two-step indirect inference approach to estimate the long-run risk asset pricing model," CFS Working Paper Series 572, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Karmous, Aida & Boubaker, Heni & Belkacem, Lotfi, 2019. "A dynamic factor model with stylized facts to forecast volatility for an optimal portfolio," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
- Dutta, Anupam & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Sheng, Lin Wen & Park, Donghyun & Zhu, Xuening, 2024. "Volatility dynamics of agricultural futures markets under uncertainties," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2024. "Forecasting of clean energy market volatility: The role of oil and the technology sector," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Chou, Ray Yeutien & Yen, Tso-Jung & Yen, Yu-Min, 2017. "Risk evaluations with robust approximate factor models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 244-264.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "Stock market volatility forecasting: Do we need high-frequency data?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1092-1110.
- Alessio Brini & Jimmie Lenz, 2024. "A Comparison of Cryptocurrency Volatility-benchmarking New and Mature Asset Classes," Papers 2404.04962, arXiv.org.
- Qu, Hui & Li, Guo, 2023. "Multi-perspective investor attention and oil futures volatility forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
- Didit Budi Nugroho & Takayuki Morimoto, 2019. "Incorporating Realized Quarticity into a Realized Stochastic Volatility Model," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 26(4), pages 495-528, December.
- Daniel Borup & Martin Thyrsgaard, 2017. "Statistical tests for equal predictive ability across multiple forecasting methods," CREATES Research Papers 2017-19, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Infectious Diseases, Market Uncertainty and Oil Market Volatility," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-8, August.
- v{S}tefan Ly'ocsa & Tom'av{s} Pl'ihal, 2022. "Russia's Ruble during the onset of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in early 2022: The role of implied volatility and attention," Papers 2205.09179, arXiv.org.
- Liu, Min & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2021. "Capturing the dynamics of the China crude oil futures: Markov switching, co-movement, and volatility forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
- Liu, Guangqiang & Wei, Yu & Chen, Yongfei & Yu, Jiang & Hu, Yang, 2018. "Forecasting the value-at-risk of Chinese stock market using the HARQ model and extreme value theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 499(C), pages 288-297.
- Caio Mário Mesquita & Cristiano Arbex Valle & Adriano César Machado Pereira, 2024. "Scenario Generation for Financial Data with a Machine Learning Approach Based on Realized Volatility and Copulas," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(5), pages 1879-1919, May.
- Liang, Chao & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan & Li, Yan, 2023. "Market momentum amplifies market volatility risk: Evidence from China’s equity market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Todorova, Neda, 2015. "The course of realized volatility in the LME non-ferrous metal market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-12.
- Radovan Parrák, 2013. "The Economic Valuation of Variance Forecasts: An Artificial Option Market Approach," Working Papers IES 2013/09, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Aug 2013.
- Ouandlous, Arav & Barkoulas, John T. & Alhaj-Yaseen, Yaseen, 2018. "Persistence and discontinuity in the VIX dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 333-344.
- Francesca Lilla, 2021. "Volatility Bursts: A discrete-time option model with multiple volatility components," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1336, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Bandi, Federico M. & Renò, Roberto, 2012. "Time-varying leverage effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(1), pages 94-113.
- Odusami, Babatunde O., 2021. "Volatility jumps and their determinants in REIT returns," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Alessandra Amendola & Vincenzo Candila & Antonio Naimoli & Giuseppe Storti, 2024. "Adaptive combinations of tail-risk forecasts," Papers 2406.06235, arXiv.org.
- Telegin, O., 2022. "Bank of Russia regular communications and volatility short-term effects in financial markets," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 54(2), pages 130-155.
- Cattivelli, Luca & Pirino, Davide, 2019. "A SHARP model of bid–ask spread forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1211-1225.
- Uwe Hassler & Marc-Oliver Pohle, 2019. "Forecasting under Long Memory and Nonstationarity," Papers 1910.08202, arXiv.org.
- Fuentes, Fernanda & Herrera, Rodrigo & Clements, Adam, 2023. "Forecasting extreme financial risk: A score-driven approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 720-735.
- Ke Yang & Langnan Chen, 2014. "Realized Volatility Forecast: Structural Breaks, Long Memory, Asymmetry, and Day-of-the-Week Effect," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 14(3), pages 345-392, September.
- Bertrand B. Maillet & Jean-Philippe R. M�decin, 2010. "Extreme Volatilities, Financial Crises and L-moment Estimations of Tail-indexes," Working Papers 2010_10, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Bugge, Sebastian A. & Guttormsen, Haakon J. & Molnár, Peter & Ringdal, Martin, 2016. "Implied volatility index for the Norwegian equity market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 133-141.
- Fruet Dias, Gustavo & Papailias, Fotis & Scherrer, Cristina, 2023. "An econometric analysis of volatility discovery," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121363, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Vít Bubák & Filip Žikeš, 2009. "Distribution and Dynamics of Central-European Exchange Rates: Evidence from Intraday Data," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 59(4), pages 334-359, Oktober.
- Delong Li & Mr. Nicolas E Magud & Alejandro M. Werner & Samantha Witte, 2021.
"The Long-Run Impact of Sovereign Yields on Corporate Yields in Emerging Markets,"
IMF Working Papers
2021/155, International Monetary Fund.
- Li, Delong & Magud, Nicolas E. & Werner, Alejandro, 2023. "The long-run impact of sovereign yields on corporate yields in emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
- Stavroula P. Fameliti & Vasiliki D. Skintzi, 2020. "Predictive ability and economic gains from volatility forecast combinations," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 200-219, March.
- Ding, Yi & Kambouroudis, Dimos & McMillan, David G., 2021. "Forecasting realised volatility: Does the LASSO approach outperform HAR?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Lin-Yee Hin & Nikolai Dokuchaev, 2016. "Short Rate Forecasting Based On The Inference From The Cir Model For Multiple Yield Curve Dynamics," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(01), pages 1-33, March.
- Cheraghali, Hamid & Molnár, Peter & Storsveen, Mattis & Veliqi, Florent, 2024. "The impact of cryptocurrency-related cyberattacks on return, volatility, and trading volume of cryptocurrencies and traditional financial assets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
- Su, Fei & Zhang, Jingjing, 2018. "Global price discovery in the Australian dollar market and its determinants," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 35-55.
- Vasyl Golosnoy & Yarema Okhrin, 2015. "Using information quality for volatility model combinations," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(6), pages 1055-1073, June.
- Torun, Erdost & Chang, Tzu-Pu & Chou, Ray Y., 2020. "Causal relationship between spot and futures prices with multiple time horizons: A nonparametric wavelet Granger causality test," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Nicolás Magner Pulgar & Esteban José Antonio Terán Sánchez & Vicente Alfonso Guzmán Muñoz, 2022. "Stock Market Synchronization and Stock Volatility: The Case of an Emerging Market," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 17(3), pages 1-22, Julio - S.
- Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Uncertainty due to Infectious Diseases and Forecastability of the Realized Variance of US REITs: A Note," Working Papers 202099, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gaoxiu Qiao & Yijun Pan & Chao Liang & Lu Wang & Jinghui Wang, 2024. "Forecasting Chinese crude oil futures volatility: New evidence based on dual feature processing of large‐scale variables," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 2495-2521, November.
- Asger Lunde & Kasper V. Olesen, 2014. "Modeling and Forecasting the Distribution of Energy Forward Returns - Evidence from the Nordic Power Exchange," CREATES Research Papers 2013-19, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Gribisch, Bastian & Hartkopf, Jan Patrick & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2020. "Factor state–space models for high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of asset returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 1-20.
- Gulasekaran Rajaguru & Michael O’Neill & Tilak Abeysinghe, 2018. "Does Systematic Sampling Preserve Granger Causality with an Application to High Frequency Financial Data?," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-24, June.
- Zhou, Dong-hai & Liu, Xiao-xing, 2023. "Do world stock markets “jump” together? A measure of high-frequency volatility risk spillover networks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Wang, Jiazhen & Jiang, Yuexiang & Zhu, Yanjian & Yu, Jing, 2020. "Prediction of volatility based on realized-GARCH-kernel-type models: Evidence from China and the U.S," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 428-444.
- Li, Zhenghui & Chen, Liming & Dong, Hao, 2021. "What are bitcoin market reactions to its-related events?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 1-10.
- Dimitrios Louzis & Spyros Xanthopoulos-Sisinis & Apostolos Refenes, 2011.
"Stock index realized volatility forecasting in the presence of heterogeneous leverage effects and long range dependence in the volatility of realized volatility,"
Post-Print
hal-00709559, HAL.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis & Spyros Xanthopoulos-Sisinis & Apostolos P. Refenes, 2012. "Stock index realized volatility forecasting in the presence of heterogeneous leverage effects and long range dependence in the volatility of realized volatility," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(27), pages 3533-3550, September.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I. & Thomakos, Dimitrios D., 2013. "Nonparametric realized volatility estimation in the international equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 34-45.
- Luo, Jiawen & Wang, Shengquan, 2019. "The asymmetric high-frequency volatility transmission across international stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 104-109.
- Ghysels, Eric & Qian, Hang, 2019. "Estimating MIDAS regressions via OLS with polynomial parameter profiling," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 9(C), pages 1-16.
- Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Catherine S. Forbes, 2017. "Dynamic asset price jumps and the performance of high frequency tests and measures," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/17, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Chu, Xiaojun & Wan, Xinmin & Qiu, Jianying, 2023. "The relative importance of overnight sentiment versus trading-hour sentiment in volatility forecasting," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
- Nick Taylor, 2023. "The Determinants of Volatility Timing Performance," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(4), pages 1228-1257.
- Niu, Zibo & Liu, Yuanyuan & Gao, Wang & Zhang, Hongwei, 2021. "The role of coronavirus news in the volatility forecasting of crude oil futures markets: Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Bazán-Palomino, Walter & Svogun, Daniel, 2023. "On the drivers of technical analysis profits in cryptocurrency markets: A Distributed Lag approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2016. "Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(2), pages 383-417.
- Daiki Maki & Yasushi Ota, 2020. "The impacts of asymmetry on modeling and forecasting realized volatility in Japanese stock markets," Papers 2006.00158, arXiv.org.
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Forecasting Realized Stock-Market Volatility: Do Industry Returns have Predictive Value?," Working Papers 2020107, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- F. Campigli & G. Bormetti & F. Lillo, 2022. "Measuring price impact and information content of trades in a time-varying setting," Papers 2212.12687, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
- Jiawen Luo & Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Forecasting Multivariate Volatilities with Exogenous Predictors: An Application to Industry Diversification Strategies," Working Papers 202258, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Martin Magris, 2019. "A Vine-copula extension for the HAR model," Papers 1907.08522, arXiv.org.
- Saad Mouti, 2023. "Rough volatility: evidence from range volatility estimators," Papers 2312.01426, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
- Niu, Zibo & Demirer, Riza & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhu, Xuehong, 2024. "Do industries predict stock market volatility? Evidence from machine learning models," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
- Patton, Andrew J., 2011. "Data-based ranking of realised volatility estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 161(2), pages 284-303, April.
- Audrino, Francesco & Sigrist, Fabio & Ballinari, Daniele, 2020. "The impact of sentiment and attention measures on stock market volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 334-357.
- Xin Du & Kai Moriyama & Kumiko Tanaka-Ishii, 2023. "Co-Training Realized Volatility Prediction Model with Neural Distributional Transformation," Papers 2310.14536, arXiv.org.
- Giacomo Toscano & Giulia Livieri & Maria Elvira Mancino & Stefano Marmi, 2021. "Volatility of volatility estimation: central limit theorems for the Fourier transform estimator and empirical study of the daily time series stylized facts," Papers 2112.14529, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
- Zhou, Haonan & Lu, Xinjie, 2023. "Investor attention on the Russia-Ukraine conflict and stock market volatility: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Dlugosch, Dennis & Wang, Mei, 2022. "Ambiguity, ambiguity aversion and foreign bias: New evidence from international panel data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
- Sander Barendse, 2017. "Interquantile Expectation Regression," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-034/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Minxian Yang, 2014. "The Risk Return Relationship: Evidence from Index Return and Realised Variance Series," Discussion Papers 2014-16, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Donggyu Kim, 2021. "Exponential GARCH-Ito Volatility Models," Papers 2111.04267, arXiv.org.
- Asadi, Mehrad & Pham, Son D. & Nguyen, Thao T.T. & Do, Hung Xuan & Brooks, Robert, 2023. "The nexus between oil and airline stock returns: Does time frequency matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Ma, Feng & Wahab, M.I.M. & Huang, Dengshi & Xu, Weiju, 2017. "Forecasting the realized volatility of the oil futures market: A regime switching approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 136-145.
- Virbickaitė, Audronė & Ausín, M. Concepción & Galeano, Pedro, 2020. "Copula stochastic volatility in oil returns: Approximate Bayesian computation with volatility prediction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Symitsi, Efthymia & Symeonidis, Lazaros & Kourtis, Apostolos & Markellos, Raphael, 2018. "Covariance forecasting in equity markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 153-168.
- Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M. & Palandri, Alessandro, 2021. "A dynamic conditional approach to forecasting portfolio weights," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1111-1126.
- Wang, Jiqian & Ma, Feng & Wang, Tianyang & Wu, Lan, 2023. "International stock volatility predictability: New evidence from uncertainties," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin & Zhang, Huanming, 2022. "Time-varying risk aversion and renminbi exchange rate volatility: Evidence from CARR-MIDAS model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
- Donggyu Kim & Minseog Oh, 2024.
"Dynamic Realized Minimum Variance Portfolio Models,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(4), pages 1238-1249, October.
- Donggyu Kim & Minseog Oh, 2023. "Dynamic Realized Minimum Variance Portfolio Models," Papers 2310.13511, arXiv.org.
- Eric Hillebrand & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2010. "Asymmetries, breaks, and long-range dependence: An estimation framework for daily realized volatility," Textos para discussão 578, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Bonnier, Jean-Baptiste, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil volatility with exogenous predictors: As good as it GETS?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
- Bandi, Federico M. & Pirino, Davide & Renò, Roberto, 2024. "Systematic staleness," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(1).
- Sebastiano Michele Zema, 2020. "Directed Acyclic Graph based Information Shares for Price Discovery," LEM Papers Series 2020/28, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Cho, Dooyeon & Han, Heejoon, 2021. "The tail behavior of safe haven currencies: A cross-quantilogram analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
- Iuri H. Ferreira & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2021. "Modeling and Forecasting Intraday Market Returns: a Machine Learning Approach," Papers 2112.15108, arXiv.org.
- Wang, Jianxin, 2013. "Liquidity commonality among Asian equity markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 1209-1231.
- Kumar, Dilip, 2017. "Realized volatility transmission from crude oil to equity sectors: A study with economic significance analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 149-167.
- Czado, Claudia & Ivanov, Eugen & Okhrin, Yarema, 2019. "Modelling temporal dependence of realized variances with vines," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 198-216.
- Dilip Kumar, 2018. "Modeling and Forecasting Unbiased Extreme Value Volatility Estimator in Presence of Leverage Effect," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 16(2), pages 313-335, June.
- Maki, Daiki, 2024. "Asymmetric effect of trading volume on realized volatility," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
- Matteo Barigozzi & Marc Hallin & Stefano Soccorsi, 2017. "Identification of Global and National Shocks in International Financial Markets via General Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2017-10, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Shen, Lihua & Lu, Xinjie & Luu Duc Huynh, Toan & Liang, Chao, 2023. "Air quality index and the Chinese stock market volatility: Evidence from both market and sector indices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 224-239.
- Plíhal, Tomáš & Lyócsa, Štefan, 2021. "Modeling realized volatility of the EUR/USD exchange rate: Does implied volatility really matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 811-829.
- Augustyniak, Maciej & Badescu, Alexandru & Bégin, Jean-François, 2023. "A discrete-time hedging framework with multiple factors and fat tails: On what matters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 416-444.
- Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie & Huang, Dengshi & Lai, Xiaodong, 2018. "Forecasting oil futures price volatility: New evidence from realized range-based volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 400-409.
- Romero, Eva, 2024. "A stochastic volatility model for volatility asymmetry and propagation," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 43887, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Barbaglia, Luca & Croux, Christophe & Wilms, Ines, 2020. "Volatility spillovers in commodity markets: A large t-vector autoregressive approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- Sung Hoon Choi & Donggyu Kim, 2024. "Cubic-based Prediction Approach for Large Volatility Matrix using High-Frequency Financial Data," Papers 2412.04293, arXiv.org.
- Todorova, Neda & Souček, Michael, 2014. "The impact of trading volume, number of trades and overnight returns on forecasting the daily realized range," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 332-340.
- Pham, Manh Cuong & Anderson, Heather Margot & Duong, Huu Nhan & Lajbcygier, Paul, 2020. "The effects of trade size and market depth on immediate price impact in a limit order book market," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
- Wang, Yudong & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng, 2016. "Forecasting realized volatility in a changing world: A dynamic model averaging approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 136-149.
- Adam Clements & Yin Liao, 2013. "The dynamics of co-jumps, volatility and correlation," NCER Working Paper Series 91, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Wamg, Jianxin, 2011. "Forecasting Volatility in Asian Stock Markets: Contributions of Local, Regional, and Global Factors," Asian Development Review, Asian Development Bank, vol. 28(2), pages 32-57.
- Marco Bee & Luca Trapin, 2018. "Estimating and Forecasting Conditional Risk Measures with Extreme Value Theory: A Review," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-16, April.
- Chen, Yixiang & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Good, bad cojumps and volatility forecasting: New evidence from crude oil and the U.S. stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 52-62.
- Liu, Li & Wan, Jieqiu, 2012. "A study of Shanghai fuel oil futures price volatility based on high frequency data: Long-range dependence, modeling and forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2245-2253.
- Yang, Minxian, 2019. "The risk return relationship: Evidence from index returns and realised variances," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-1.
- Herrera, Gabriel Paes & Constantino, Michel & Su, Jen-Je & Naranpanawa, Athula, 2022. "Renewable energy stocks forecast using Twitter investor sentiment and deep learning," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2010.
"Aggregation, Heterogeneous Autoregression and Volatility of Daily International Tourist Arrivals and Exchange Rates,"
KIER Working Papers
712, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Fulvio Corsi & Stefan Mittnik & Christian Pigorsch & Uta Pigorsch, 2008.
"The Volatility of Realized Volatility,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1-3), pages 46-78.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Corsi, Fulvio & Kretschmer, Uta & Mittnik, Stefan & Pigorsch, Christian, 2005. "The volatility of realized volatility," CFS Working Paper Series 2005/33, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).