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Investor attention on the Russia-Ukraine conflict and stock market volatility: Evidence from China

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  • Zhou, Haonan
  • Lu, Xinjie

Abstract

The Russia-Ukraine conflict has brought ripple effects to the global economy. This paper mainly investigates whether investor attention to the Russia-Ukraine conflict can affect the Chinese stock market volatility. Empirical results show investor attention to the Russia-Ukraine conflict contains more valuable information to predict Chinese stock market volatility than some popular predictors such as leverage, jump, geopolitical risk. Importantly, we find the model containing ATT_AU information and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method performs best among the models, especially during long-term horizons.

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  • Zhou, Haonan & Lu, Xinjie, 2023. "Investor attention on the Russia-Ukraine conflict and stock market volatility: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:52:y:2023:i:c:s1544612322007024
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2022.103526
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    Cited by:

    1. Kumari, Vineeta & Hassan, Majdi & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2024. "Are high-income and innovative nations resilient to the Russia-Ukraine war?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1268-1287.
    2. Zhang, Yaojie & He, Mengxi & Liao, Cunfei & Wang, Yudong, 2023. "Climate risk exposure and the cross-section of Chinese stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    3. Soliman, Alain & Le Saout, Erwan, 2024. "The impact of the war in Ukraine on the idiosyncratic risk and the market risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    4. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Li, Haibo & Wang, Jianqiong, 2023. "INE oil futures volatility prediction: Exchange rates or international oil futures volatility?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    5. Gao, Wang & Zhang, Hongwei, 2024. "The role of education attention on high-tech markets in an emerging economy: Evidence from QQR and NCQ techniques," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    6. Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "Blockchain: A carbon-neutral facilitator or an environmental destroyer?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 604-615.
    7. Zhang, Jiaming & Guo, Songlin & Dou, Bin & Xie, Bingyuan, 2023. "Evidence of the internationalization of China's crude oil futures: Asymmetric linkages to global financial risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    8. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Abdullah, Mohammad & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wali Ullah, G M, 2024. "Asymmetric dynamics between geopolitical conflict sentiment and cryptomarkets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    9. Huang, Xiaozhou & Wang, Yubao & Song, Juan, 2023. "The Chinese oil futures volatility: Evidence from high-low estimator information," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    10. Hossain, Ashrafee T. & Masum, Abdullah-Al & Saadi, Samir, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risks on foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the Russia–Ukraine war," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    11. Robertas Damaševičius & Ligita Zailskaitė-Jakštė, 2023. "The Impact of a National Crisis on Research Collaborations: A Scientometric Analysis of Ukrainian Authors 2019–2022," Publications, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-16, August.
    12. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2024. "Attention to climate change and eco-friendly financial-asset prices: A quantile ARDL approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    13. María José Ayala & Nicolás Gonzálvez-Gallego & Rocío Arteaga-Sánchez, 2024. "Google search volume index and investor attention in stock market: a systematic review," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-29, December.
    14. Lu, Jing & Chen, Rongze, 2023. "Do individual investors pay attention to the information acquisition activities of institutional investors?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    15. Whelsy Boungou & Alhonita Yatié, 2024. "Uncertainty, stock and commodity prices during the Ukraine-Russia war ," Post-Print hal-04746052, HAL.
    16. Ma, Tianyi & Zhou, Xuting, 2024. "Geopolitical risk hedging or timing: Evidence from hedge fund strategies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    17. Shen, Yiran & Feng, Qianqian & Sun, Xiaolei, 2024. "Stability and risk contagion in the global sovereign CDS market under Russia-Ukraine conflict," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

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