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Global Risk Aversion Spillover Dynamics and Investors' Attention Allocation

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  • Ozcan Ceylan

    (Istanbul Kemerburgaz University, Department of Business Admnistration)

Abstract

This paper investigates market-wide risk aversion in an international setting. Particularly, this empirical study evaluates risk aversion spillover dynamics as an uncertainty transmission mechanism for the period 2000-2015 to reveal if there has been a significant change in these dynamics when markets are going through turbulent periods. As a plausible proxy for risk aversion, variance risk premium (VRP) is computed through the difference between expected variances under risk-neutral and physical measures for seven markets studied: United States, United Kingdom, Germany, France, Netherlands, Switzerland and Japan. Effects of a shock to U.S. VRP on the other markets' VRPs are evaluated through Generalized Forecast Error Variance Decomposition. Results show that risk aversion spillovers from U.S. to other markets are stronger while the U.S. is going through turbulent periods confirming the intuition that investors are more focused on incidents in the turbulent market. Markets become more connected in terms of sentiments when a country is unexpectedly hit by a major crisis, limiting diversification opportunities.

Suggested Citation

  • Ozcan Ceylan, 2017. "Global Risk Aversion Spillover Dynamics and Investors' Attention Allocation," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 18(1), pages 99-109, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:cuf:journl:y:2017:v:18:i:1:ceylan
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    Cited by:

    1. Ceylan, Özcan, 2021. "Time-varying risk aversion and its macroeconomic and financial determinants - A comparative analysis in the U.S. and French financial markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    2. Zaremba, Adam, 2019. "Cross-sectional seasonalities in international government bond returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 80-94.
    3. Gong, Jue & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhou, Yang & Zhu, You & Xie, Chi & Foglia, Matteo, 2023. "Spreading of cross-market volatility information: Evidence from multiplex network analysis of volatility spillovers," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investor sentiment; Risk aversion spillovers; Variance risk premium; Generalized forecast error variance decomposition; Investors' attention allocation; Financial crises;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H77 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - Intergovernmental Relations; Federalism
    • O20 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - General

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