Unrealized return dispersion and the equity risk premium
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104316
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Haibin Xie & Shouyang Wang, 2015. "Risk-return trade-off, information diffusion, and U.S. stock market predictability," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(04), pages 1-20, December.
- Ian W. R. Martin & Christian Wagner, 2019.
"What Is the Expected Return on a Stock?,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(4), pages 1887-1929, August.
- Martin, Ian & Wagner, Christian, 2016. "What is the Expected Return on a Stock?," CEPR Discussion Papers 11608, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martin, Ian & Wagner, Christian, 2016. "What is the expected return on a stock?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118957, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Christian Wagner & Ian Martin, 2017. "What Is the Expected Return on a Stock?," 2017 Meeting Papers 146, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Martin, Ian & Wagner, Christian, 2019. "What is the expected return on a stock?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90158, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert, 2007.
"Stock Return Predictability: Is it There?,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(3), pages 651-707.
- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert, 2001. "Stock Return Predictability: Is it There?," NBER Working Papers 8207, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Tversky, Amos & Kahneman, Daniel, 1992. "Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 297-323, October.
- Andrea Frazzini, 2006. "The Disposition Effect and Underreaction to News," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(4), pages 2017-2046, August.
- Fulvio Corsi, 2009. "A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 7(2), pages 174-196, Spring.
- Grinblatt, Mark & Han, Bing, 2005. "Prospect theory, mental accounting, and momentum," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(2), pages 311-339, November.
- repec:bla:jfinan:v:53:y:1998:i:5:p:1775-1798 is not listed on IDEAS
- Liu, Haijun & Wang, Longfei, 2018. "The price momentum of stock in distribution," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 2336-2344.
- Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013.
"Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk,"
World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127,
World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- Kahneman, Daniel & Tversky, Amos, 1979. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(2), pages 263-291, March.
- Amos Tversky & Daniel Kahneman, 1979. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk," Levine's Working Paper Archive 7656, David K. Levine.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2003.
"Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 579-625, March.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2001. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 01-01, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
- Anderson, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Diebold, Francis X. & Labys, Paul, 2002. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility," Working Papers 02-12, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2001. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility," NBER Working Papers 8160, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ian Martin, 2017.
"What is the Expected Return on the Market?,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(1), pages 367-433.
- Martin, Ian, 2015. "What is the Expected Return on the Market?," CEPR Discussion Papers 10715, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martin, Ian, 2017. "What is the expected return on the market?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 67036, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Martin, Ian, 2016. "What is the expected return on the market?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119013, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Lei Gao & Gerhard Kling, 2005. "Calendar Effects in Chinese Stock Market," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 6(1), pages 75-88, May.
- Li, Yan & Yang, Liyan, 2013. "Prospect theory, the disposition effect, and asset prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(3), pages 715-739.
- Shen, YuJan & Shen, KuanFu, 2022. "Short-term contrarian profits and the disposition effect," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
- Chabi-Yo, Fousseni & Loudis, Johnathan, 2020. "The conditional expected market return," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(3), pages 752-786.
- Honghai Yu & Xianfeng Hao & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Good volatility, bad volatility, and time series return predictability," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(6), pages 571-595, April.
- Li An & Huijun Wang & Jian Wang & Jianfeng Yu, 2020. "Lottery-Related Anomalies: The Role of Reference-Dependent Preferences," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(1), pages 473-501, January.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Kenan Qiao & Haibin Xie, 2024. "Time‐varying risk preference and equity risk premium forecasting: The role of the disposition effect," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 2659-2674, November.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Nicholas Barberis & Lawrence J. Jin & Baolian Wang, 2021. "Prospect Theory and Stock Market Anomalies," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(5), pages 2639-2687, October.
- Jack Clark Francis, 2021. "Reformulating prospect theory to become a von Neumann–Morgenstern theory," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 965-985, April.
- Sarmiento, Julio & Rendón, Jairo & Sandoval, Juan S. & Cayon, Edgardo, 2019. "The disposition effect and the relevance of the reference period: Evidence among sophisticated investors," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
- Gao, Jianjun & Li, Duan & Xie, Jinyan & Yang, Yiwen & Yao, Jing, 2024. "When Prospect Theory Meets Mean-Reverting Asset Returns: A Behavioral Dynamic Trading Model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
- Yu, Bin & Shen, Yifan & Jin, Xuejun & Xu, Qi, 2022. "Does prospect theory explain mutual fund performance? Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Jonathan E. Ingersoll Jr. & Lawrence J. Jin, 2014. "Realization Utility with Reference-Dependent Preferences," Papers 1408.2859, arXiv.org.
- Francisco Gomes & Michael Haliassos & Tarun Ramadorai, 2021.
"Household Finance,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 59(3), pages 919-1000, September.
- Haliassos, Michael & Gomes, Francisco, 2020. "Household Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 14502, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gomes, Francisco J. & Haliassos, Michael & Ramadorai, Tarun, 2020. "Household finance," IMFS Working Paper Series 138, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Jun Yuan & Qi Xu & Ying Wang, 2023. "Probability weighting in commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 516-548, April.
- Baars, Maren & Mohrschladt, Hannes, 2021. "An alternative behavioral explanation for the MAX effect," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 868-886.
- Daniela Vesselinova Balkanska, 2018. "Disposition effect and analyst forecast dispersion," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 837-859, April.
- Li An & Huijun Wang & Jian Wang & Jianfeng Yu, 2020. "Lottery-Related Anomalies: The Role of Reference-Dependent Preferences," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(1), pages 473-501, January.
- EOM, Cheoljun & EOM, Yunsung & PARK, Jong Won, 2024. "Intermediate cross-sectional prospect theory value in stock markets: A novel method," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
- Shi, Leilei & Wang, Binghong & Guo, Xinshuai & Li, Honggang, 2021. "A price dynamic equilibrium model with trading volume weights based on a price-volume probability wave differential equation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Nicholas C. Barberis & Lawrence J. Jin & Baolian Wang, 2020. "Prospect Theory and Stock Market Anomalies," NBER Working Papers 27155, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Matteo Ploner, 2017.
"Hold on to it? An experimental analysis of the disposition effect,"
Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 12(2), pages 118-127, March.
- Matteo Ploner, 2014. "Hold on to it? An Experimental Analysis of the Disposition Effect," CEEL Working Papers 1405, Cognitive and Experimental Economics Laboratory, Department of Economics, University of Trento, Italia.
- David Hirshleife, 2015.
"Behavioral Finance,"
Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 133-159, December.
- Hirshleifer, David, 2014. "Behavioral Finance," MPRA Paper 59028, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Alasdair Brown & Fuyu Yang, 2017.
"Salience and the Disposition Effect: Evidence from the Introduction of “Cash‐Outs” in Betting Markets,"
Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 83(4), pages 1052-1073, April.
- Alasdair Brown & Fuyu Yang, 2015. "Salience and the Disposition Effect: Evidence from the Introduction of `Cash-Outs' in Betting Markets," University of East Anglia Applied and Financial Economics Working Paper Series 071, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
- Bansal, Avijit & Jacob, Joshy, 2018. "Impact of Price Path on Disposition Bias," IIMA Working Papers WP 2018-10-01, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
- Weber, Martin & Welfens, Frank, 2007.
"How do markets react to fundamental shocks? : An experimental analysis on underreaction and momentum,"
Papers
07-42, Sonderforschungsbreich 504.
- Weber, Martin & Welfens, Frank, 2007. "How do Markets React to Fundamental Shocks? An Experimental Analysis on Underreaction and Momentum," Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications 07-42, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim;Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim.
- Arvanitis, Stelios & Scaillet, Olivier & Topaloglou, Nikolas, 2020.
"Spanning analysis of stock market anomalies under prospect stochastic dominance,"
Working Papers
unige:134101, University of Geneva, Geneva School of Economics and Management.
- Stelios Arvanitis & Olivier Scaillet & Nikolas Topaloglou, 2020. "Spanning analysis of stock market anomalies under Prospect Stochastic Dominance," Papers 2004.02670, arXiv.org.
- Stelios Arvanitis & O. Scaillet & Nikolas Topaloglou, 2020. "Spanning analysis of stock market anomalies under Prospect Stochastic Dominance," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 20-18, Swiss Finance Institute.
More about this item
Keywords
Disposition effect; Unrealized return dispersion; Equity risk premium;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
- G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:58:y:2023:i:pa:s1544612323006888. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.