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Functional stable limit theorems for quasi-efficient spectral covolatility estimators

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  • Altmeyer, Randolf
  • Bibinger, Markus

Abstract

We consider noisy non-synchronous discrete observations of a continuous semimartingale with random volatility. Functional stable central limit theorems are established under high-frequency asymptotics in three setups: one-dimensional for the spectral estimator of integrated volatility, from two-dimensional asynchronous observations for a bivariate spectral covolatility estimator and multivariate for a local method of moments. The results demonstrate that local adaptivity and smoothing noise dilution in the Fourier domain facilitate substantial efficiency gains compared to previous approaches. In particular, the derived asymptotic variances coincide with the benchmarks of semiparametric Cramér–Rao lower bounds and the considered estimators are thus asymptotically efficient in idealized sub-experiments. Feasible central limit theorems allowing for confidence bounds are provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Altmeyer, Randolf & Bibinger, Markus, 2015. "Functional stable limit theorems for quasi-efficient spectral covolatility estimators," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(12), pages 4556-4600.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:125:y:2015:i:12:p:4556-4600
    DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2015.07.009
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    12. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Fan, Jianqing & Xiu, Dacheng, 2010. "High-Frequency Covariance Estimates With Noisy and Asynchronous Financial Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 105(492), pages 1504-1517.
    13. Jacod, Jean & Li, Yingying & Mykland, Per A. & Podolskij, Mark & Vetter, Mathias, 2009. "Microstructure noise in the continuous case: The pre-averaging approach," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 119(7), pages 2249-2276, July.
    14. Markus Bibinger, 2011. "Efficient Covariance Estimation for Asynchronous Noisy High‐Frequency Data," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 38(1), pages 23-45, March.
    15. Jacod, Jean & Mykland, Per A., 2015. "Microstructure noise in the continuous case: Approximate efficiency of the adaptive pre-averaging method," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(8), pages 2910-2936.
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    18. Bibinger, Markus & Hautsch, Nikolaus & Malec, Peter & Reiss, Markus, 2013. "Estimating the quadratic covariation matrix from noisy observations: Local method of moments and efficiency," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2013-017, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Mykland, Per A. & Zhang, Lan & Chen, Dachuan, 2019. "The algebra of two scales estimation, and the S-TSRV: High frequency estimation that is robust to sampling times," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 101-119.
    3. Clinet, Simon & Potiron, Yoann, 2018. "Efficient asymptotic variance reduction when estimating volatility in high frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 206(1), pages 103-142.
    4. Simon Clinet & Yoann Potiron, 2021. "Estimation for high-frequency data under parametric market microstructure noise," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 73(4), pages 649-669, August.
    5. Shephard, Neil & Xiu, Dacheng, 2017. "Econometric analysis of multivariate realised QML: Estimation of the covariation of equity prices under asynchronous trading," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(1), pages 19-42.
    6. Bibinger, Markus & Neely, Christopher & Winkelmann, Lars, 2019. "Estimation of the discontinuous leverage effect: Evidence from the NASDAQ order book," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 209(2), pages 158-184.
    7. Bibinger, Markus & Madensoy, Mehmet, 2019. "Change-point inference on volatility in noisy Itô semimartingales," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(12), pages 4878-4925.

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