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Intra-daily volatility spillovers in international stock markets

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  • Golosnoy, Vasyl
  • Gribisch, Bastian
  • Liesenfeld, Roman

Abstract

Using a novel four-phase model based upon a conditional autoregressive Wishart framework for realized variances and covariances we quantify intra-daily volatility spillovers within and across the US, German and Japanese stock markets before and during the subprime crisis. We find significant short-term spillovers from one stock market to the next-trading market, which have substantially intensified during the crisis indicating a global volatility contagion coming from the US market. The strongest contagion with the largest burst of spillover effects from and to foreign markets is observed for the Japanese market, which was prior to the crisis fairly uncoupled from the German and US market. We also find that the crisis leads to a significant reduction of the general persistence of volatility shocks in international stock markets. Hence, it appears that during the turmoil of the crisis news generating volatility become outdated more quickly than before the crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Golosnoy, Vasyl & Gribisch, Bastian & Liesenfeld, Roman, 2015. "Intra-daily volatility spillovers in international stock markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 95-114.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:53:y:2015:i:c:p:95-114
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.01.002
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Conditional autoregressive Wishart model; Impulse response analysis; Observation-driven models; Realized covariance matrix; Subprime crisis; Volatility contagion;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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