Multi-Task Forecasting of the Realized Volatilities of Agricultural Commodity Prices
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
Other versions of this item:
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Multi-Task Forecasting of the Realized Volatilities of Agricultural Commodity Prices," Working Papers 202423, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
References listed on IDEAS
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2017.
"The impact of jumps and leverage in forecasting covolatility,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(6-9), pages 638-650, October.
- Asai, M. & McAleer, M.J., 2015. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting Co-Volatility," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2015-06, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2015. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting Co-Volatility," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2015-02, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2015. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting Co-Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-018/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Cornelis Gardebroek & Manuel A. Hernandez & Miguel Robles, 2016.
"Market interdependence and volatility transmission among major crops,"
Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 47(2), pages 141-155, March.
- Gardebroek, Cornelis & Hernandez, Manuel A. & Robles, Miguel, 2013. "Market interdependence and volatility transmission among major crops," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150119, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Gardebroek, Cornelis & Hernandez, Manuel A. & Robles, Miguel, 2014. "Market interdependence and volatility transmission among major crops:," IFPRI discussion papers 1344, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
- Luo, Jiawen & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony, 2023. "Co-volatility and asymmetric transmission of risks between the global oil and China's futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Jiawen Luo & Langnan Chen, 2019. "Multivariate realized volatility forecasts of agricultural commodity futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(12), pages 1565-1586, December.
- Ioannis Chatziantoniou, Stavros Degiannakis, George Filis, and Tim Lloyd, 2021.
"Oil price volatility is effective in predicting food price volatility. Or is it?,"
The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 6).
- Ioannis Chatziantoniou & Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis & Tim Lloyd, 2021. "Oil Price Volatility is Effective in Predicting Food Price Volatility. Or is it?," The Energy Journal, , vol. 42(6), pages 25-48, November.
- Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2009.
"Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets,"
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(534), pages 158-171, January.
- FrancisX. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2009. "Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(534), pages 158-171, January.
- Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yılmaz, 2007. "Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, With Application to Global Equity Markets," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 0705, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2008. "Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, With Application to Global Equity Markets," NBER Working Papers 13811, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2008. "Measuring financial asset return and volatility spillovers, with application to global equity markets," Working Papers 08-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2007. "Measuring financial asset return and volatility spillovers, with application to global equity markets," CFS Working Paper Series 2007/02, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2008. "Measuring financial asset return and volatilty spillovers, with application to global equity markets," CFS Working Paper Series 2008/26, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2007. "Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, With Application to Global Equity Markets," PIER Working Paper Archive 07-002, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Cagli, Efe Caglar & Mandaci, Pinar Evrim & Taskin, Dilvin, 2023. "The volatility connectedness between agricultural commodity and agri businesses: Evidence from time-varying extended joint approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Yang, Ke & Tian, Fengping & Chen, Langnan & Li, Steven, 2017. "Realized volatility forecast of agricultural futures using the HAR models with bagging and combination approaches," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 276-291.
- Zhao, Albert Bo & Cheng, Tingting, 2022. "Stock return prediction: Stacking a variety of models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 288-317.
- Bubák, Vít & Kocenda, Evzen & Zikes, Filip, 2011.
"Volatility transmission in emerging European foreign exchange markets,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 2829-2841, November.
- Vít Bubák & Evžen Kocenda & Filip Zikes, 2010. "Volatility Transmission in Emerging European Foreign Exchange Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 3063, CESifo.
- Evzen Kocenda & Vit Bubak & Filip Zikes, 2011. "Volatility Transmission in Emerging European Foreign Exchange Markets," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp1020, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
- Michael McAleer & Marcelo Medeiros, 2008.
"Realized Volatility: A Review,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1-3), pages 10-45.
- Michael McAleer & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2006. "Realized volatility: a review," Textos para discussão 531 Publication status: F, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Trujillo-Barrera, Andres & Mallory, Mindy L. & Garcia, Philip, 2012. "Volatility Spillovers in U.S. Crude Oil, Ethanol, and Corn Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 1-16, August.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2022.
"Forecasting realized volatility of agricultural commodities,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 74-96.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Agricultural Commodities," MPRA Paper 96267, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Friedman, Jerome H. & Hastie, Trevor & Tibshirani, Rob, 2010. "Regularization Paths for Generalized Linear Models via Coordinate Descent," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 33(i01).
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019.
"The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-17, September.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of jumps and leverage in forecasting the co-volatility of oil and gold futures," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-12, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Asai, M. & Gupta, R. & McAleer, M.J., 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2019-16, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "The Impact of Jumps and Leverage in Forecasting the Co-Volatility of Oil and Gold Futures," Working Papers 201925, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Luo, Jiawen & Chen, Langnan, 2020. "Realized volatility forecast with the Bayesian random compressed multivariate HAR model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 781-799.
- Bahloul, Walid & Balcilar, Mehmet & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2018.
"The role of economic and financial uncertainties in predicting commodity futures returns and volatility: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test,"
Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 52-71.
- Walid Bahloul & Mehmet Balcilar & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Role of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Predicting Commodity Futures Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201725, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Nazlioglu, Saban & Erdem, Cumhur & Soytas, Ugur, 2013. "Volatility spillover between oil and agricultural commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 658-665.
- Muller, Ulrich A. & Dacorogna, Michel M. & Dave, Rakhal D. & Olsen, Richard B. & Pictet, Olivier V. & von Weizsacker, Jacob E., 1997. "Volatilities of different time resolutions -- Analyzing the dynamics of market components," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 4(2-3), pages 213-239, June.
- Luo, Jiawen & Klein, Tony & Ji, Qiang & Hou, Chenghan, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Futures with Infinite Hidden Markov HAR Models," QBS Working Paper Series 2019/10, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
- Fulvio Corsi, 2009. "A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 7(2), pages 174-196, Spring.
- Hardik A. Marfatia & Qiang Ji & Jiawen Luo, 2022. "Forecasting the volatility of agricultural commodity futures: The role of co‐volatility and oil volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 383-404, March.
- Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin & Olga Isengildina‐Massa, 2020.
"Supply Fundamentals and Grain Futures Price Movements,"
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 548-568, March.
- Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2018. "Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273973, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2014. "Volatility transmission in agricultural futures markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 541-546.
- Fengping Tian & Ke Yang & Langnan Chen, 2017. "Realized Volatility Forecasting of Agricultural Commodity Futures Using Long Memory and Regime Switching," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(4), pages 421-430, July.
- Dejan Živkov & Jasmina Đurašković & Marina Gajić‐Glamočlija, 2022. "Multiscale downside risk interdependence between the major agricultural commodities," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 990-1011, October.
- Andersen, Torben G & Bollerslev, Tim, 1998. "Answering the Skeptics: Yes, Standard Volatility Models Do Provide Accurate Forecasts," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 885-905, November.
- Chang, Chia-Lin & Liu, Chia-Ping & McAleer, Michael, 2019. "Volatility spillovers for spot, futures, and ETF prices in agriculture and energy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 779-792.
- Dahl, Roy Endré & Oglend, Atle & Yahya, Muhammad, 2020. "Dynamics of volatility spillover in commodity markets: Linking crude oil to agriculture," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
- Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012.
"Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
- Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2010. "Better to Give than to Receive: Predictive Directional Measurement of Volatility Spillovers," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1001, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, revised Mar 2010.
- Bonato, Matteo, 2019. "Realized correlations, betas and volatility spillover in the agricultural commodity market: What has changed?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 184-202.
- Nicola, Francesca de & De Pace, Pierangelo & Hernandez, Manuel A., 2016. "Co-movement of major energy, agricultural, and food commodity price returns: A time-series assessment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 28-41.
- Ser-Huang Poon & Clive W.J. Granger, 2003. "Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets: A Review," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 41(2), pages 478-539, June.
- Jiawen Luo & Qun Zhang, 2024. "Air pollution, weather factors, and realized volatility forecasts of agricultural commodity futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 151-217, February.
- Ji, Qiang & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2018. "Risk spillover between energy and agricultural commodity markets: A dependence-switching CoVaR-copula model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 14-27.
- Yaxian Lu & Longguang Yang & Lihong Liu, 2019. "Volatility Spillovers between Crude Oil and Agricultural Commodity Markets since the Financial Crisis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-12, January.
- Luis A. Gil-Alana & Juncal Cunado & Fernando Pérez de Gracia, 2012. "Persistence, Long Memory, and Unit Roots in Commodity Prices," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 60(4), pages 451-468, December.
- Kang, Sang Hoon & McIver, Ron & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2017. "Dynamic spillover effects among crude oil, precious metal, and agricultural commodity futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 19-32.
- Sisa Shiba & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Samrat Goswami, 2022.
"Forecastability of Agricultural Commodity Futures Realised Volatility with Daily Infectious Disease-Related Uncertainty,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-15, November.
- Sisa Shiba & Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Samrat Goswami, 2022. "Forecastability of Agricultural Commodity Futures Realised Volatility with Daily Infectious Disease-Related Uncertainty," Working Papers 202249, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Hui Zou & Trevor Hastie, 2005. "Addendum: Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 67(5), pages 768-768, November.
- Dejan Živkov & Jovan Njegić & Marko Pećanac, 2019. "Multiscale interdependence between the major agricultural commodities," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 65(2), pages 82-92.
- Ordu, Beyza Mina & Oran, Adil & Soytas, Ugur, 2018. "Is food financialized? Yes, but only when liquidity is abundant," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 82-96.
- František Čech & Jozef Baruník, 2017.
"On the Modelling and Forecasting of Multivariate Realized Volatility: Generalized Heterogeneous Autoregressive (GHAR) Model,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 181-206, March.
- Jozef Baruník & Frantisek Cech, 2014. "On the modelling and forecasting multivariate realized volatility: Generalized Heterogeneous Autoregressive (GHAR) model," Working Papers IES 2014/23, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Aug 2014.
- Hui Zou & Trevor Hastie, 2005. "Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 67(2), pages 301-320, April.
- Jiawen Luo & Langnan Chen, 2020. "Modeling and Forecasting the Multivariate Realized Volatility of Financial Markets with Time-Varying Sparsity," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(2), pages 392-408, January.
- Mensi, Walid & Tiwari, Aviral & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis H., 2017. "The dependence structure across oil, wheat, and corn: A wavelet-based copula approach using implied volatility indexes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 122-139.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2024.
"Financial stress and realized volatility: The case of agricultural commodities,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Financial Stress and Realized Volatility: The Case of Agricultural Commodities," Working Papers 202320, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Matteo Bonato & Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023.
"El Niño, La Niña, and forecastability of the realized variance of agricultural commodity prices: Evidence from a machine learning approach,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 785-801, July.
- Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "El Nino, La Nina, and Forecastability of the Realized Variance of Agricultural Commodity Prices: Evidence from a Machine Learning Approach," Working Papers 202179, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Hardik A. Marfatia & Qiang Ji & Jiawen Luo, 2022. "Forecasting the volatility of agricultural commodity futures: The role of co‐volatility and oil volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 383-404, March.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Arif, Muhammad & Hasan, Mudassar & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad, 2021. "Asymmetric and time-frequency spillovers among commodities using high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
- Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022.
"Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
- Jiawen Luo & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Forecasting Oil and Gold Volatilities with Sentiment Indicators Under Structural Breaks," Working Papers 202130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Lu, Xinjie & Su, Yuandong & Huang, Dengshi, 2023. "Chinese agricultural futures volatility: New insights from potential domestic and global predictors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- Luo, Jiawen & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony, 2023. "Co-volatility and asymmetric transmission of risks between the global oil and China's futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Adewuyi, Adeolu O. & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2022. "Quantile risk spillovers between energy and agricultural commodity markets: Evidence from pre and during COVID-19 outbreak," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
- Yip, Pick Schen & Brooks, Robert & Do, Hung Xuan & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2020.
"Dynamic volatility spillover effects between oil and agricultural products,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
- Pick Schen Yip & Robert Brooks & Hung Xuan Do & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2019. "Dynamic Volatility Spillover Effect between Oil and Agricultural Products," Working Papers 2019-009, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020.
"Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price,"
Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-11, May.
- Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Investor Happiness and Predictability of the Realized Volatility of Oil Price," Working Papers 202009, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham & Goh, Mark & Zou, Huiwen, 2022. "Risk spillovers and time-varying links between international oil and China’s commodity futures markets: Fresh evidence from the higher-order moments," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
- Eissa, Mohamad Abdelaziz & Al Refai, Hisham, 2019. "Modelling the symmetric and asymmetric relationships between oil prices and those of corn, barley, and rapeseed oil," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021.
"Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, December.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Climate Risks and the Realized Volatility Oil and Gas Prices: Results of an Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment," Working Papers 202175, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Luo, Jiawen & Ji, Qiang, 2018. "High-frequency volatility connectedness between the US crude oil market and China's agricultural commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 424-438.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
- Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Sanchis-Marco, Lidia, 2022. "Spillover effects between commodity and stock markets: A SDSES approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
- Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020.
"Forecasting realized oil-price volatility: The role of financial stress and asymmetric loss,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Oil-Price Volatility: The Role of Financial Stress and Asymmetric Loss," Working Papers 201903, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Chen, Peng & He, Limin & Yang, Xuan, 2021. "On interdependence structure of China's commodity market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022.
"Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Daniel Pienaar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Forecasting the Realized Variance of Oil-Price Returns Using Machine-Learning: Is there a Role for U.S. State-Level Uncertainty?," Working Papers 202205, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020.
"Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility and Co-volatility of Crude Oil and Gold Futures: Effects of Leverage, Jumps, Spillovers, and Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201951, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
More about this item
Keywords
agricultural commodities; realized volatility; multi-task forecasting;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:12:y:2024:i:18:p:2952-:d:1483479. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.