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Scott H. Irwin

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2011. "New Evidence on the Impact of Index Funds in U.S. Grain Futures Markets," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 59(4), pages 519-532, December.

    Mentioned in:

    1. New Evidence on the Impact of Index Funds in U.S. Grain Futures Markets (CJAE 2011) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Scott H. Irwin & Kristen McCormack & James H. Stock, 2018. "The Price of Biodiesel RINs and Economic Fundamentals," NBER Working Papers 25341, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Gerveni, Maria & Hubbs, Todd & Irwin, Scott, . "Renewable Diesel and Biodiesel Supply Trends over 2011–2022," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 13(68).
    2. Herath, N. & Tyner, W.E., 2019. "Intended and unintended consequences of US renewable energy policies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).

  2. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H., 2016. "Market Reaction to Inefficiencies in USDA Crop Production Forecasts," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235507, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

    Cited by:

    1. Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2018. "Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273973, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Fiechter, Chad & Kuethe, Todd & Zhang, Wendong, 2023. "Information Rigidities and Farmland Value Expectations," ISU General Staff Papers 202306131414240000, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    3. Adrian Fernandez‐Perez & Bart Frijns & Ivan Indriawan & Alireza Tourani‐Rad, 2019. "Surprise and dispersion: informational impact of USDA announcements," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 50(1), pages 113-126, January.
    4. Jesse Tack & Keith H. Coble & Robert Johansson & Ardian Harri & Barry J. Barnett, 2019. "The Potential Implications of “Big Ag Data” for USDA Forecasts," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(4), pages 668-683, December.

  3. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K., 2016. "Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235580, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

    Cited by:

    1. Prilly Oktoviany & Robert Knobloch & Ralf Korn, 2021. "A machine learning-based price state prediction model for agricultural commodities using external factors," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 1063-1085, December.
    2. Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2018. "Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273973, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Cao, Xiang & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael & Johansson, Robert C., 2021. "When does USDA information have the most impact on crop and livestock markets?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    4. Arnade, Carlos & Hoffman, Linwood & Effland, Anne, 2021. "The Impact of Public Information on Commodity Market Performance: The Response of Corn Futures to USDA Corn Production Forecasts," Economic Research Report 327189, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    5. Siddhartha S. Bora & Ani L. Katchova & Todd H. Kuethe, 2021. "The Rationality of USDA Forecasts under Multivariate Asymmetric Loss," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(3), pages 1006-1033, May.
    6. An N. Q. Cao & Michel A. Robe, 2022. "Market uncertainty and sentiment around USDA announcements," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 250-275, February.
    7. Pierrick Piette, 2019. "Can Satellite Data Forecast Valuable Information from USDA Reports ? Evidences on Corn Yield Estimates," Working Papers hal-02149355, HAL.
    8. Capitani, Daniel H D & Mattos, Fabio L. & Cruz, Jose Cesar & Silva, Renato Moraes & Franco Da Silveira, Rodrigo Lanna, 2024. "The Reaction Of Corn Futures Prices To U.S. And Brazilian Crop Reports," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343571, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Ying, Jiahui & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, 2017. "A Temporal Impact Assessment Method for the Informational Content of USDA Reports in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258201, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Joshua Huang & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2021. "The Value of USDA Announcements in the Electronically Traded Corn Futures Market: A Modified Sufficient Test with Risk Adjustments," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(3), pages 712-734, September.
    11. Goyal, Raghav & Adjemian, Michael K., 2020. "The 2019 Government Shutdown Increased Uncertainty in Major Agricultural Commodity Markets," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304256, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    12. Jesse Tack & Keith H. Coble & Robert Johansson & Ardian Harri & Barry J. Barnett, 2019. "The Potential Implications of “Big Ag Data” for USDA Forecasts," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(4), pages 668-683, December.
    13. Adjemian, Michael K. & Irwin, Scott H., 2020. "The market response to government crop news under different release regimes," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 19(C).

  4. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Good, Darrel L., 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183477, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Chang & Katchova, Ani, 2018. "Predicting Soybean Yield with NDVI using a Flexible Fourier Transform Model," 2018 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2018, Jacksonville, Florida 266693, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    2. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K., 2016. "Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235580, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H Irwin, 2017. "Do Markets Correct for Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts? Evidence from Private Analysts and Futures Prices," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 39(4), pages 559-583.
    4. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark & Cooke, Bryce, 2017. "The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets," MPRA Paper 87545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.
    6. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2015. "Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    7. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2015. "Progression of USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Prospects for Final Estimates for 2015," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, October.

  5. Nicole M. Aulerich & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2013. "Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files," NBER Working Papers 19065, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2017. "Identifying the Impact of Financialization in Commodity Futures Prices from Index Rebalancing," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258504, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Kritika Mathur & Nidhi Kaicker & Raghav Gaiha & Katsushi Imai & Ganesh Thapa, 2013. "Financialisation of Food Commodity Markets, Price Surge and Volatility: New Evidence," Economics Discussion Paper Series 1312, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    3. Chiarucci, Riccardo & Loffredo, Maria I. & Ruzzenenti, Franco, 2017. "Evidences for a structural change in the oil market before a financial crisis: The flat horizon effect," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 912-921.
    4. Algieri, Bernardina & Leccadito, Arturo, 2019. "Price volatility and speculative activities in futures commodity markets: A combination of combinations of p-values test," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 40-54.
    5. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2016. "The "Necessity" of New Position Limits in Agricultural Futures Markets: The Verdict from Daily Firm-level Position Data," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 38(2), pages 292-317.
    6. Bohl, Martin T. & Sulewski, Christoph, 2019. "The impact of long-short speculators on the volatility of agricultural commodity futures prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(C).
    7. Michael Hachula & Malte Rieth, 2015. "Finanzspekulation und Rohstoffpreise," DIW Roundup: Politik im Fokus 63, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    8. Ordu, Beyza Mina & Oran, Adil & Soytas, Ugur, 2018. "Is food financialized? Yes, but only when liquidity is abundant," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 82-96.
    9. Sanders, Dwight R. & Irwin, Scott H., 2014. "Energy futures prices and commodity index investment: New evidence from firm-level position data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(S1), pages 57-68.
    10. Martin T. Bohl & Pierre L. Siklos & Claudia Wellenreuther, 2018. "Speculative activity and returns volatility of Chinese major agricultural commodity futures," CAMA Working Papers 2018-06, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    11. James D. Hamilton & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2014. "Effects of Index-Fund Investing on Commodity Futures Prices," NBER Working Papers 19892, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Mensi, Walid & Tiwari, Aviral & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis H., 2017. "The dependence structure across oil, wheat, and corn: A wavelet-based copula approach using implied volatility indexes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 122-139.
    13. Palazzi, Rafael Baptista & Figueiredo Pinto, Antonio Carlos & Klotzle, Marcelo Cabus & De Oliveira, Erick Meira, 2020. "Can we still blame index funds for the price movements in the agricultural commodities market?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 84-93.
    14. Bohl, Martin T. & Siklos, Pierre L. & Wellenreuther, Claudia, 2018. "Speculative activity and returns volatility of Chinese agricultural commodity futures," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 69-91.
    15. Haase, Marco & Seiler Zimmermann, Yvonne & Zimmermann, Heinz, 2016. "The impact of speculation on commodity futures markets – A review of the findings of 100 empirical studies," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 1-15.
    16. Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2022. "Sunshine vs. predatory trading effects in commodity futures markets: New evidence from index rebalancing," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    17. Irwin, Scott H., 2020. "Trilogy for troubleshooting convergence: Manipulation, structural imbalance, and storage rates," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
    18. Nicole M. Moran & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2020. "Who Wins and Who Loses? Trader Returns and Risk Premiums in Agricultural Futures Markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(4), pages 611-652, December.
    19. Algieri, Bernardina & Kalkuhl, Matthias & Koch, Nicolas, 2015. "A Tale for Two Tails: Explaining Extreme Events in Financialized Agricultural markets," 2015 Conference (59th), February 10-13, 2015, Rotorua, New Zealand 202529, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    20. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Fijorek, Kamil, 2018. "What drives food price volatility? Evidence based on a generalized VAR approach applied to the food, financial and energy markets," Economics Discussion Papers 2018-55, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    21. Huchet, Nicolas & Fam, Papa Gueye, 2016. "The role of speculation in international futures markets on commodity prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 49-65.
    22. Michael Hachula & Malte Rieth, 2017. "Identifying Speculative Demand Shocks in Commodity Futures Markets through Changes in Volatility," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1646, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    23. Wimmer, Thomas & Geyer-Klingeberg, Jerome & Hütter, Marie & Schmid, Florian & Rathgeber, Andreas, 2021. "The impact of speculation on commodity prices: A Meta-Granger analysis," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    24. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2017. "Bubbles, Froth and Facts: Another Look at the Masters Hypothesis in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(2), pages 345-365, June.
    25. Haase, Marco & Huss, Matthias, 2018. "Guilty speculators? Range-based conditional volatility in a cross-section of wheat futures," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 29-46.
    26. Philipp Adämmer & Martin T. Bohl, 2018. "Price discovery dynamics in European agricultural markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(5), pages 549-562, May.
    27. Zhepeng Hu & Mindy Mallory & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2017. "Measuring Price Discovery between Nearby and Deferred Contracts in Storable and Non-Storable Commodity Futures Markets," Papers 1711.03506, arXiv.org.
    28. Quanbiao Shang & Mindy Mallory & Philip Garcia, 2018. "The components of the bid†ask spread: Evidence from the corn futures market," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(3), pages 381-393, May.
    29. Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2018. "Mapping algorithms, agricultural futures, and the relationship between commodity investment flows and crude oil futures prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 486-504.
    30. Christopher L. Gilbert, 2018. "Investor sentiment and market fundamentals: the impact of index investment on energy and metals markets," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 31(1), pages 87-102, May.
    31. Michael Hachula & Malte Rieth, 2020. "Estimating the Impact of Financial Investments on Agricultural Futures Prices using Changes in Volatility," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(3), pages 759-785, May.
    32. Manera, Matteo & Nicolini, Marcella & Vignati, Ilaria, 2016. "Modelling futures price volatility in energy markets: Is there a role for financial speculation?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 220-229.
    33. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2013. "Dissecting Corn Price Movements with Directed Acyclic Graphs," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 151279, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  6. Adjemian, Michael K. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott & Smith, Aaron, 2013. "Non-Convergence in Domestic Commodity Futures Markets: Causes, Consequences, and Remedies," Economic Information Bulletin 155381, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.

    Cited by:

    1. Kevin Guo & Tim Leung, 2016. "Understanding the Non-Convergence of Agricultural Futures via Stochastic Storage Costs and Timing Options," Papers 1610.09403, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2017.
    2. Ahmed, Osama, 2021. "Do future markets protect the spot markets in developing countries? The case of the Egyptian wheat market," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 20(5), pages 65-83.
    3. Gianfranco Giulioni & Edmondo Di Giuseppe & Piero Toscano & Francesco Miglietta & Massimiliano Pasqui, 2019. "A Novel Computational Model of the Wheat Global Market with an Application to the 2010 Russian Federation Case," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 22(3), pages 1-4.
    4. Jean Loic Begue Turon & Jean Cordier & Sandrine Hallot & Jean Baptiste Plasmans & David Weiller, 2016. "Utilisation des marchés à terme par les acteurs commerciaux exposés à la volatilité des marchés de grains et du sucre," Working Papers hal-02068381, HAL.
    5. Domenica Tropeano, 2016. "Hedging, Arbitrage, and the Financialization of Commodities Markets," International Journal of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(3), pages 241-256, July.
    6. Sophie van Huellen, 2018. "How financial investment distorts food prices: evidence from U.S. grain markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(2), pages 171-181, March.
    7. O'Brien, Daniel M. & Barnaby, Glenn A. & Yeager, Elizabeth, "undated". "Causes and Solutions to Non-Convergence in CME Hard Red Winter Wheat Futures," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 259945, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Adjemian, Michael & Brorsen, B. Wade & Hahn, William & Saitone, Tina L. & Sexton, Richard J., 2016. "Thinning Markets in U.S. Agriculture," Economic Information Bulletin 232928, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    9. Karali, Berna & McNew, Kevin & Thurman, Walter N., 2018. "Price Discovery and the Basis Effects of Failures to Converge in Soft RedWinter Wheat Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 43(1), January.
    10. Zhige Wu & Alex Maynard & Alfons Weersink & Getu Hailu, 2018. "Asymmetric spot‐futures price adjustments in grain markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(12), pages 1549-1564, December.
    11. Bahman Angoshtari & Tim Leung, 2018. "Optimal Dynamic Basis Trading," Papers 1809.05961, arXiv.org, revised May 2019.
    12. Adjemian, Michael K. & Janzen, Joseph & Carter, Colin A. & Smith, Aaron, 2014. "Deconstructing Wheat Price Spikes: A Model of Supply and Demand, Financial Speculation, and Commodity Price Comovement," Economic Research Report 167369, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    13. Bekkerman, Anton & Brester, Gary W. & Taylor, Mykel, 2016. "Forecasting a Moving Target: The Roles of Quality and Timing for Determining Northern U.S. Wheat Basis," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 1-17, January.
    14. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Farhangdoost, Sara & Hoffman, Linwood A. & Adam, Brian D., 2023. "Forecasting the U.S. season-average farm price of corn: Derivation of an alternative futures-based forecasting model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    15. Choe, Kyoungin & Goodwin, Barry K., 2024. "Convergence Bias in Lean Hog Futures: Are Hog Prices Reliable?," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343733, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    16. Adjemian, Michael K. & Marshall, Kandice K. & Hubbs, Todd & Penn, Jerrod, 2016. "Decomposing Local Prices into Hedgeable and Unhedgeable Shocks," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235874, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  7. Irwin, Scott H., 2012. "Does the Masters Hypothesis Explain Recent Food Price Spikes?," Working Papers 126944, Structure and Performance of Agriculture and Agri-products Industry (SPAA).

    Cited by:

    1. Johan F. M. Swinnen & Louise Knops & Kristine van Herck, 2013. "Food Price Volatility and EU Policies," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2013-032, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Bohl, Martin T. & Stephan, Patrick M., 2013. "Does Futures Speculation Destabilize Spot Prices? New Evidence for Commodity Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45(4), pages 1-21, November.
    3. Will, Matthias Georg & Prehn, Sören & Pies, Ingo & Glauben, Thomas, 2012. "Schadet oder nützt die Finanzspekulation mit Agrarrohstoffen? Ein Literaturüberblick zum aktuellen Stand der empirischen Forschung," Discussion Papers 2012-26, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
    4. Itay Goldstein & Liyan Yang, 2022. "Commodity Financialization and Information Transmission," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(5), pages 2613-2667, October.

  8. Webber, Ricky L. & Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2012. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Hogs Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183429, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2012. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Cattle Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183430, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  9. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H., 2012. "When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes?," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124759, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

    Cited by:

    1. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark & Cooke, Bryce, 2017. "The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets," MPRA Paper 87545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Zhang, Tianyang & Li, Ziran, 2018. "How Well Do Rational Expectations Storage Model Forecast Crop Ending Stocks?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273803, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Li, Ziran & Li, Ding & Zhang, Tengfei & Zhang, Tianyang, 2022. "Climate impact on the USDA ending stocks forecast errors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    4. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.
    5. Tianyang Zhang & Ziran Li, 2022. "Can a rational expectation storage model explain the USDA ending grain stocks forecast errors?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 313-337, March.

  10. Mallory, Mindy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Hayes, Dermot J., 2012. "How Market Efficiency and the Theory of Storage Link Corn and Ethanol Markets Energy Economics," ISU General Staff Papers 201211010700001537, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Etienne, Xiaoli, 2015. "Financialization of Agricultural Commodity Markets: Do Financial Data Help to Forecast Agricultural Prices," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211626, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Zhu, Xueqin & Yan, Shiyu & Smeets, Edward & van Berkum, Siemen, 2017. "How to measure greenhouse gas emissions by fuel type for binary sustainability standards: Average or Marginal emissions? An example of fertilizer use and corn ethanol," Discussion Papers 2017/3, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    3. Zhou, Wei & Babcock, Bruce A., 2014. "Pricing RINs and Corn in a Competitive Storage Model," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170581, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Baumeister, Christiane & Ellwanger, Reinhard & Kilian, Lutz, 2016. "Did the renewable fuel standard shift market expectations of the price of ethanol?," CFS Working Paper Series 563, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    5. Yoon, Seong-Min, 2022. "On the interdependence between biofuel, fossil fuel and agricultural food prices: Evidence from quantile tests," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 536-545.
    6. Pick Schen Yip & Robert Brooks & Hung Xuan Do & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2019. "Dynamic Volatility Spillover Effect between Oil and Agricultural Products," Working Papers 2019-009, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    7. Li, Lisha, 2015. "Three essays on crop yield, crop insurance and climate change," ISU General Staff Papers 201501010800005371, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    8. Karel Janda & Ladislav Krištoufek, 2019. "The Relationship Between Fuel and Food Prices: Methods and Outcomes," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 11(1), pages 195-216, October.
    9. Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2013. "Do oil price increases cause higher food prices?," CFS Working Paper Series 2013/10, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    10. Guo, Jin & Tanaka, Tetsuji, 2022. "Energy security versus food security: An analysis of fuel ethanol- related markets using the spillover index and partial wavelet coherence approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    11. Joseph P Byrne & Ryuta Sakemoto & Bing Xu, 2020. "Commodity price co-movement: heterogeneity and the time-varying impact of fundamentals [Oil price shocks and the stock market: evidence from Japan]," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 47(2), pages 499-528.
    12. Albuquerquemello, Vinícius Phillipe de & Medeiros, Rennan Kertlly de & Jesus, Diego Pitta de & Oliveira, Felipe Araujo de, 2022. "The role of transition regime models for corn prices forecasting," Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural (RESR), Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural, vol. 60(2), January.
    13. Gert Peersman & Sebastian K. Rüth & Wouter Van der Veken, 2019. "The Interplay between Oil and Food Commodity Prices: Has It Changed over Time?," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 19/978, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    14. Karel Janda & Ladislav Kristoufek, 2019. "The relationship between fuel and food prices: Methods, outcomes, and lessons for commodity price risk management," CAMA Working Papers 2019-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    15. Filip, Ondrej & Janda, Karel & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Zilberman, David, 2019. "Food versus fuel: An updated and expanded evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 152-166.
    16. Sergio Adriani David & Claudio M. C. Inácio & José A. Tenreiro Machado, 2019. "Ethanol Prices and Agricultural Commodities: An Investigation of Their Relationship," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(9), pages 1-25, August.
    17. Ghoddusi, Hamed, 2017. "Blending under uncertainty: Real options analysis of ethanol plants and biofuels mandates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 110-120.
    18. Ahmadi, Maryam & Bashiri Behmiri, Niaz & Manera, Matteo, 2016. "How is volatility in commodity markets linked to oil price shocks?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 11-23.
    19. Declerck, Francis & Hikouatcha, Prince & Tchoffo, Guillaume & Tédongap, Roméo, 2023. "Biofuel policies and their ripple effects: An analysis of vegetable oil price dynamics and global consumer responses," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    20. Irwin, Scott, 2014. "Ethanol Production Profits Hit the Wall," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-4, October.
    21. Dalheimer, Bernhard & Herwartz, Helmut & Lange, Alexander, 2021. "The threat of oil market turmoils to food price stability in Sub-Saharan Africa," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    22. Zingbagba, Mark & Nunes, Rubens & Fadairo, Muriel, 2020. "The impact of diesel price on upstream and downstream food prices: Evidence from São Paulo," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    23. Palacio-Ciro, Santiago & Vasco-Correa, Carlos Andrés, 2020. "Biofuels policy in Colombia: A reconfiguration to the sugar and palm sectors?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    24. Drabik, Dusan & Ciaian, Pavel & Pokrivcak, Jan, 2014. "Biofuels and vertical price transmission: the case of the U.S. corn, ethanol and food markets," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 182697, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    25. Drabik, Dusan & de Gorter, Harry & Timilsina, Govinda R., 2014. "The effect of biodiesel policies on world biodiesel and oilseed prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 80-88.
    26. Gerveni, Maria & Serra, Teresa & Irwin, Scott H. & Hubbs, Todd, 2023. "Price connectedness in U.S. ethanol terminal markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    27. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin, 2013. "When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(36), pages 5086-5103, December.
    28. Puneet Vatsa & Dragan Miljkovic, 2022. "Energy and crop price cycles before and after the global financial crisis: A new approach," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(1), pages 220-233, February.
    29. Oliveira, Sydnei Marssal de & Ribeiro, Celma de Oliveira & Cicogna, Maria Paula Vieira, 2018. "Uncertainty effects on production mix and on hedging decisions: The case of Brazilian ethanol and sugar," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 516-524.
    30. Juan P. Sesmero & Richard K. Perrin & Lilyan E. Fulginiti, 2016. "A Variable Cost Function for Corn Ethanol Plants in the Midwest," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 64(3), pages 565-587, September.
    31. Benes, Ondrej & Janda, Karel, 2022. "Environmental Dimensions of Biofuels," EconStor Preprints 259403, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    32. Han, Liyan & Zhou, Yimin & Yin, Libo, 2015. "Exogenous impacts on the links between energy and agricultural commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 350-358.
    33. Drabik, Dušan & Ciaian, Pavel & Pokrivčák, Ján, 2016. "The effect of ethanol policies on the vertical price transmission in corn and food markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 189-199.
    34. Davison, Matt & Merener, Nicolas, 2023. "Equilibrium and real options in the ethanol industry: Modeling and empirical evidence," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    35. Aye, Goodness C., 2016. "Causality between Oil Price and South Africa's Food Price: Time Varying Approach - Relazione di causalità tra prezzo del petrolio e pr ezzo dei prodotti alimentari in Sud Africa: un approccio time var," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(3), pages 193-212.
    36. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2013. "Dissecting Corn Price Movements with Directed Acyclic Graphs," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 151279, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  11. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "Alternative 2011 Corn Production, Consumption, and Price Scenarios," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183526, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhu, Xueqin & Yan, Shiyu & Smeets, Edward & van Berkum, Siemen, 2017. "How to measure greenhouse gas emissions by fuel type for binary sustainability standards: Average or Marginal emissions? An example of fertilizer use and corn ethanol," Discussion Papers 2017/3, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.

  12. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183528, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2018. "Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273973, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K., 2016. "Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235580, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Corn Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, August.
    4. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Cao, Xiang & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael & Johansson, Robert C., 2021. "When does USDA information have the most impact on crop and livestock markets?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    5. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Good, Darrel L., 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183477, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, September.
    7. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2013. "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45(1), pages 1-13, February.
    8. An N. Q. Cao & Michel A. Robe, 2022. "Market uncertainty and sentiment around USDA announcements," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 250-275, February.
    9. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2015. "Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    10. GwanSeon Kim & Mehdi Nemati & Steven Buck & Nicholas Pates & Tyler Mark, 2020. "Recovering Forecast Distributions of Crop Composition: Method and Application to Kentucky Agriculture," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-17, April.

  13. Mindy L. Mallory & Dermot J. Hayes & Scott H. Irwin, 2010. "How Market Efficiency and the Theory of Storage Link Corn and Ethanol Markets," Midwest Agribusiness Trade Research and Information Center (MATRIC) Publications (archive only) 10-wp517, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.

    Cited by:

    1. Etienne, Xiaoli, 2015. "Financialization of Agricultural Commodity Markets: Do Financial Data Help to Forecast Agricultural Prices," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211626, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Zhu, Xueqin & Yan, Shiyu & Smeets, Edward & van Berkum, Siemen, 2017. "How to measure greenhouse gas emissions by fuel type for binary sustainability standards: Average or Marginal emissions? An example of fertilizer use and corn ethanol," Discussion Papers 2017/3, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    3. Zhou, Wei & Babcock, Bruce A., 2014. "Pricing RINs and Corn in a Competitive Storage Model," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170581, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Baumeister, Christiane & Ellwanger, Reinhard & Kilian, Lutz, 2016. "Did the renewable fuel standard shift market expectations of the price of ethanol?," CFS Working Paper Series 563, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    5. Drabik, Dusan, 2011. "The Theory of Biofuel Policy and Food Grain Prices," Working Papers 126615, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    6. Yoon, Seong-Min, 2022. "On the interdependence between biofuel, fossil fuel and agricultural food prices: Evidence from quantile tests," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 536-545.
    7. Pick Schen Yip & Robert Brooks & Hung Xuan Do & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2019. "Dynamic Volatility Spillover Effect between Oil and Agricultural Products," Working Papers 2019-009, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    8. Carriquiry, Miguel, "undated". "An Examination Of The Relationship Between Biodiesel And Soybean Oil Prices Using An Asset Pricing Model," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236167, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Li, Lisha, 2015. "Three essays on crop yield, crop insurance and climate change," ISU General Staff Papers 201501010800005371, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    10. Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2013. "Do oil price increases cause higher food prices?," CFS Working Paper Series 2013/10, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    11. Guo, Jin & Tanaka, Tetsuji, 2022. "Energy security versus food security: An analysis of fuel ethanol- related markets using the spillover index and partial wavelet coherence approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    12. Joseph P Byrne & Ryuta Sakemoto & Bing Xu, 2020. "Commodity price co-movement: heterogeneity and the time-varying impact of fundamentals [Oil price shocks and the stock market: evidence from Japan]," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 47(2), pages 499-528.
    13. Gert Peersman & Sebastian K. Rüth & Wouter Van der Veken, 2019. "The Interplay between Oil and Food Commodity Prices: Has It Changed over Time?," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 19/978, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    14. Pozo, Veronica F. & Bejan, Vladimir & Bachmeier, Lance, 2017. "Are Price Transmissions between U.S. Energy and Corn Markets Asymmetric?," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258232, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Karel Janda & Ladislav Kristoufek, 2019. "The relationship between fuel and food prices: Methods, outcomes, and lessons for commodity price risk management," CAMA Working Papers 2019-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    16. Filip, Ondrej & Janda, Karel & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Zilberman, David, 2019. "Food versus fuel: An updated and expanded evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 152-166.
    17. Sergio Adriani David & Claudio M. C. Inácio & José A. Tenreiro Machado, 2019. "Ethanol Prices and Agricultural Commodities: An Investigation of Their Relationship," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(9), pages 1-25, August.
    18. Ghoddusi, Hamed, 2017. "Blending under uncertainty: Real options analysis of ethanol plants and biofuels mandates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 110-120.
    19. Kafle, Kashi R. & Pullabhotla, Hemant K, 2014. "Food for the Stomach or Fuel for the Tank: What do Prices Tell Us?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170273, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    20. Ahmadi, Maryam & Bashiri Behmiri, Niaz & Manera, Matteo, 2016. "How is volatility in commodity markets linked to oil price shocks?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 11-23.
    21. Irwin, Scott, 2014. "Ethanol Production Profits Hit the Wall," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-4, October.
    22. Dalheimer, Bernhard & Herwartz, Helmut & Lange, Alexander, 2021. "The threat of oil market turmoils to food price stability in Sub-Saharan Africa," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    23. Zingbagba, Mark & Nunes, Rubens & Fadairo, Muriel, 2020. "The impact of diesel price on upstream and downstream food prices: Evidence from São Paulo," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    24. Palacio-Ciro, Santiago & Vasco-Correa, Carlos Andrés, 2020. "Biofuels policy in Colombia: A reconfiguration to the sugar and palm sectors?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    25. Drabik, Dusan & Ciaian, Pavel & Pokrivcak, Jan, 2014. "Biofuels and vertical price transmission: the case of the U.S. corn, ethanol and food markets," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 182697, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    26. Drabik, Dusan & de Gorter, Harry & Timilsina, Govinda R., 2014. "The effect of biodiesel policies on world biodiesel and oilseed prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 80-88.
    27. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin, 2013. "When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(36), pages 5086-5103, December.
    28. de Gorter, Harry & Drabik, Dusan, 2015. "Developing Countries' Policy Responses to Food Price Boom and Biofuel Policies," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211564, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    29. Trujillo-Barrera, Andres & Mallory, Mindy L. & Garcia, Philip, 2012. "Volatility Spillovers in U.S. Crude Oil, Ethanol, and Corn Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 1-16, August.
    30. Puneet Vatsa & Dragan Miljkovic, 2022. "Energy and crop price cycles before and after the global financial crisis: A new approach," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(1), pages 220-233, February.
    31. Serra, Teresa & Zilberman, David, 2013. "Biofuel-related price transmission literature: A review," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 141-151.
    32. Oliveira, Sydnei Marssal de & Ribeiro, Celma de Oliveira & Cicogna, Maria Paula Vieira, 2018. "Uncertainty effects on production mix and on hedging decisions: The case of Brazilian ethanol and sugar," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 516-524.
    33. Juan P. Sesmero & Richard K. Perrin & Lilyan E. Fulginiti, 2016. "A Variable Cost Function for Corn Ethanol Plants in the Midwest," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 64(3), pages 565-587, September.
    34. Rajcaniova, Miroslava & Drabik, Dusan & Ciaian, Pavel, 2013. "How policies affect international biofuel price linkages," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 857-865.
    35. Benes, Ondrej & Janda, Karel, 2022. "Environmental Dimensions of Biofuels," EconStor Preprints 259403, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    36. Han, Liyan & Zhou, Yimin & Yin, Libo, 2015. "Exogenous impacts on the links between energy and agricultural commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 350-358.
    37. Drabik, Dušan & Ciaian, Pavel & Pokrivčák, Ján, 2016. "The effect of ethanol policies on the vertical price transmission in corn and food markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 189-199.
    38. Aye, Goodness C., 2016. "Causality between Oil Price and South Africa's Food Price: Time Varying Approach - Relazione di causalità tra prezzo del petrolio e pr ezzo dei prodotti alimentari in Sud Africa: un approccio time var," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(3), pages 193-212.
    39. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2013. "Dissecting Corn Price Movements with Directed Acyclic Graphs," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 151279, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  14. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2010. "Alternative 2010 Corn Production Scenarios and Policy Implications," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183524, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kirwan, Barrett E., 2014. "The Crowd-out Effect of Crop Insurance on Farm Survival and Profitability," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170881, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  15. Scott H. Irwin & Dwight R. Sanders, 2010. "The Impact of Index and Swap Funds on Commodity Futures Markets: Preliminary Results," OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers 27, OECD Publishing.

    Cited by:

    1. Girardi, Daniele, 2013. "Financialization of food - The determinants of the time-varying relation between agricultural prices and stock market dynamics," MPRA Paper 52043, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Nov 2013.
    2. Duc Huynh, Toan Luu & Burggraf, Tobias & Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2020. "Financialisation of natural resources & instability caused by risk transfer in commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    3. Luciana Juvenal & Ivan Petrella, 2012. "Speculation in the oil market," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    4. William Arrata & Alejandro Bernales & Virginie Coudert, 2013. "The effects of Derivatives on Underlying Financial Markets: Equity Options, Commodity Futures and Credit Default Swaps," Post-Print hal-01410748, HAL.
    5. Huang, Wen & Huang, Zhuo & Matei, Marius & Wang, Tianyi, 2012. "Price Volatility Forecast for Agricultural Commodity Futures： The Role of High Frequency Data," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 83-103, December.
    6. Laha, Arindam & Sinha, Subhra, 2018. "Price Transmission and Volatility Spillover in Food Grain Market: Experience from Indian vis-à-vis World Market," Bangladesh Development Studies, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS), vol. 41(01), pages 31-64, March.
    7. Tania Salerno, 2017. "Cargill’s corporate growth in times of crises: how agro-commodity traders are increasing profits in the midst of volatility," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 34(1), pages 211-222, March.
    8. Scott H. Irwin & Dwight R. Sanders, 2011. "Index Funds, Financialization, and Commodity Futures Markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(1), pages 1-31.
    9. Vayanos, Dimitri & Kondor, Péter, 2014. "Liquidity Risk and the Dynamics of Arbitrage Capital," CEPR Discussion Papers 9885, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Niels C. Thygesen & Robert N. McCauley & Guonan Ma & William R. White & Jakob de Haan & Willem van den End & Jon Frost & Christiaan Pattipeilohy & Mostafa Tabbae & Ernest Gnan & Morten Balling & Paul , 2013. "50 Years of Money and Finance: Lessons and Challenges," SUERF 50th Anniversary Volume - 50 Years of Money and Finance: Lessons and Challenges, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 1 edited by Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan, March.
    11. Adjemian, Michael K. & Bruno, Valentina & Robe, Michel A. & Wallen, Jonathan, 2017. "What Drives Volatility Expectations in Grain and Oilseed Markets?," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258452, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    12. Ashima Goyal, 2011. "Inflationary Pressures in South Asia," MPDD Working Paper Series WP/11/14, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP).
    13. Bernardina Algieri, 2014. "A roller coaster ride: an empirical investigation of the main drivers of the international wheat price," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(4), pages 459-475, July.
    14. Stephan Schulmeister, 2012. "Technical Trading and Commodity Price Fluctuations," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 45238, April.
    15. Kim, Myung Suk, 2018. "Impacts of supply and demand factors on declining oil prices," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 1059-1065.
    16. van Huellen, Sophie, 2019. "Price discovery in commodity futures and cash markets with heterogeneous agents," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 1-13.
    17. Zhang, Yue-Jun, 2013. "Speculative trading and WTI crude oil futures price movement: An empirical analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 394-402.
    18. Olabode, Samuel & Ogunrinola, Adedeji, 2018. "Effect of Agricultural Price Volatility and Investment on the Economic Growth Of Nigeria: A Case of Cocoa Production (1981-2013)," MPRA Paper 100572, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2019.
    19. Steinhübel, Linda & Prehn, Sören & Brümmer, Bernhard & Pies, Ingo & Will, Matthias Georg, 2017. "The impact of index funds on grain futures markets revisited," 2017 International Congress, August 28-September 1, 2017, Parma, Italy 261428, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    20. Pies, Ingo, 2012. "Die zivilgesellschaftliche Kampagne gegen Finanzspekulationen mit Agrarrohstoffen: Eine wirtschaftsethische Stellungnahme," Discussion Papers 2012-23, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
    21. Olle Östensson, 2012. "The 2008 commodity price boom: did speculation play a role?," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 25(1), pages 17-28, July.
    22. Jena, Sangram Keshari & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Distributional predictability between commodity spot and futures: Evidence from nonparametric causality-in-quantiles tests," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 615-628.
    23. Ron Alquist & Olivier Gervais, 2011. "The Role of Financial Speculation in Driving the Price of Crude Oil," Discussion Papers 11-6, Bank of Canada.
    24. William Arrata & Alejandro Bernales & Virginie Coudert, 2013. "The Effects of Derivatives on Underlying Financial Markets: Equity Options, Commodity Derivatives and Credit Default Swaps," SUERF 50th Anniversary Volume Chapters, in: Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan (ed.), 50 Years of Money and Finance: Lessons and Challenges, chapter 13, pages 445-473, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
    25. Bozic, Marin, 2011. "Three essays in commodity futures and options price performance," Faculty and Alumni Dissertations 160678, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    26. Andrew Filardo & Marco Jacopo Lombardi, 2014. "Has Asian emerging market monetary policy been too procyclical when responding to swings in commodity prices?," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation, inflation and monetary policy in Asia and the Pacific, volume 77, pages 129-153, Bank for International Settlements.
    27. Pop Larisa Nicoleta, 2015. "Examining The Price Volatility On Agricultural Markets – Challenges And Implications Of The Current Economic Outline," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 3, pages 15-20, June.
    28. Adämmer, Philipp & Bohl, Martin T., 2015. "Speculative bubbles in agricultural prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 67-76.
    29. Féménia, Fabienne & Gohin, Alexandre, 2010. "Faut-il une intervention publique pour stabiliser les marchés agricoles ? Revue des questions non résolues," Review of Agricultural and Environmental Studies - Revue d'Etudes en Agriculture et Environnement (RAEStud), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), vol. 91(4).
    30. Zimmer, Yelto & Marques, Giulio V., 2021. "Energy cost to produce and transport crops – The driver for crop prices? Case study for Mato Grosso, Brazil," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    31. Jean-Marc Fournier & Isabell Koske & Isabelle Wanner & Vera Zipperer, 2013. "The Price of Oil – Will it Start Rising Again?," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1031, OECD Publishing.
    32. Will, Matthias Georg & Prehn, Sören & Pies, Ingo & Glauben, Thomas, 2012. "Schadet oder nützt die Finanzspekulation mit Agrarrohstoffen? Ein Literaturüberblick zum aktuellen Stand der empirischen Forschung," Discussion Papers 2012-26, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
    33. Varadi, Vijay Kumar, 2012. "An evidence of speculation in Indian commodity markets," MPRA Paper 38337, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    34. Haase, Marco & Seiler Zimmermann, Yvonne & Zimmermann, Heinz, 2016. "The impact of speculation on commodity futures markets – A review of the findings of 100 empirical studies," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 1-15.
    35. Karyotis, Catherine & Alijani, Sharam, 2016. "Soft commodities and the global financial crisis: Implications for the economy, resources and institutions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 350-359.
    36. Ashima Goyal & Shruti Tripathi, 2012. "Regulations and price discovery: oil spot and futures markets," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2012-016, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    37. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Tsangyao Chang & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "The Relationship between Commodity Markets and Commodity Mutual Funds: A Wavelet-Based Analysis," Working Papers 201619, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    38. Eickmeier, Sandra & Lombardi, Marco J., 2012. "Monetary policy and the oil futures market," Discussion Papers 35/2012, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    39. Baines, Joseph, 2017. "Accumulating through Food Crisis? Farmers, Commodity Traders and the Distributional Politics of Financialization," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 24(3), pages 497-537.
    40. Amedeo De Cesari & Maria Leone & Alberto Manelli & Roberta Pace, 2018. "The sustainability of the interaction between Financial and commodity markets," RIVISTA DI STUDI SULLA SOSTENIBILITA', FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 0(2), pages 133-153.
    41. M. Bel'en Arouxet & Aurelio F. Bariviera & Ver'onica Pastor & Victoria Vampa, 2023. "Time-frequency co-movements between commodities and economic policy uncertainty across different crises," Papers 2304.05517, arXiv.org.
    42. Ludwig, Michael, 2019. "Speculation and its impact on liquidity in commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 532-547.
    43. Algieri, Bernardina, 2013. "A Roller Coaster Ride: an empirical investigation of the main drivers of wheat price," Discussion Papers 145556, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).
    44. Nicholas Barberis & Robin Greenwood & Lawrence Jin & Andrei Shleifer, 2016. "Extrapolation and Bubbles," NBER Working Papers 21944, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    45. Chen, Yu-Lun & Chang, Ya-Kai, 2015. "Investor structure and the informational efficiency of commodity futures prices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 358-367.
    46. Ana I. Sanjuán-López & Philip J. Dawson, 2017. "Volatility Effects of Index Trading and Spillovers on US Agricultural Futures Markets: A Multivariate GARCH Approach," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(3), pages 822-838, September.
    47. Zuppiroli, Marco & Donati, Michele & Riani, Marco & Verga, Giovanni, 2015. "The Impact of Trading Activity in Agricultural Futures Markets," 2015 Fourth Congress, June 11-12, 2015, Ancona, Italy 207848, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
    48. ap Gwilym, Rhys & Ebrahim, M. Shahid, 2013. "Can position limits restrain ‘rogue’ trading?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 824-836.
    49. Lombardi, Marco J. & Van Robays, Ine, 2011. "Do financial investors destabilize the oil price?," Working Paper Series 1346, European Central Bank.
    50. Pies, Ingo, 2012. "Ethik der Spekulation: Wie (un-)moralisch sind Finanzmarktgeschäfte mit Agrarrohstoffen? Ein ausführliches Interview mit einem Ausblick auf die Rolle zivilgesellschaftlicher Organisationen," Discussion Papers 2012-12, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
    51. Mayer, Herbert & Rathgeber, Andreas & Wanner, Markus, 2017. "Financialization of metal markets: Does futures trading influence spot prices and volatility?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 300-316.
    52. Covindassamy, Genevre & Robe, Michel A. & Wallen, Jonathan, 2016. "Sugar With Your Coffee?: Financials, Fundamentals, and Soft Price Uncertainty," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8588, Inter-American Development Bank.
    53. Sean Field, 2016. "The financialization of food and the 2008–2011 food price spikes," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 48(11), pages 2272-2290, November.
    54. Tokic, Damir, 2012. "Speculation and the 2008 oil bubble: The DCOT Report analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 541-550.
    55. -, 2011. "Economic Survey of Latin America and the Caribbean 2010-2011: Internacional integration and macroeconomic policy challenges amid global economic turmoil," Estudio Económico de América Latina y el Caribe, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 1075 edited by Eclac.
    56. Bozic, Marin & Fortenbery, T., 2015. "Price Discovery, Volatility Spillovers and Adequacy of Speculation when Spot Prices are Stationary: The Case of U.S. Dairy Markets," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211369, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    57. Chen, Yu-Lun & Mo, Wan-Shin & Chang, Ya-Kai, 2022. "Investor sentiment spillover effect and market quality in crude oil futures," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 177-193.
    58. Colin A. Carter & Gordon C. Rausser & Aaron Smith, 2011. "Commodity Booms and Busts," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 3(1), pages 87-118, October.
    59. Oglend, Atle & Selland Kleppe, Tore, 2016. "How regular are directional movements in commodity and asset prices? A Wald test," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PA), pages 290-306.
    60. Will Devlin & Sarah Woods & Brendan Coates, 2011. "Commodity price volatility," Economic Roundup, The Treasury, Australian Government, issue 1, pages 1-12, April.
    61. Ho, Lok Sang, 2018. "In search of a unit of stable global purchasing power," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 99-108.
    62. Boyd, Naomi E. & Harris, Jeffrey H. & Li, Bingxin, 2018. "An update on speculation and financialization in commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 91-104.
    63. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2014. "Are there really bubbles in oil prices?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 631-638.
    64. Lang, Korbinian & Auer, Benjamin R., 2020. "The economic and financial properties of crude oil: A review," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    65. Günther Filler & Christian Franke & Martin Odening & Kay Schweppe & Xiaoliang Liu, 2012. "Spekulation mit Agrarrohstoffen: zuviel des Guten?," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 81(4), pages 9-28.
    66. Alexandra Dwyer & George Gardner & Thomas Williams, 2011. "Global Commodity Markets - Price Volatility and Financialisation," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 49-58, June.
    67. Staritz, Cornelia, 2012. "Financial markets and the commodity price boom: Causes and implications for developing countries," Working Papers 30, Austrian Foundation for Development Research (ÖFSE).

  16. Brittain, Lee & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2009. "Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53038, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Andres Trujillo-Barrera & Philip Garcia & Mindy L Mallory, 2018. "Short-term price density forecasts in the lean hog futures market," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 45(1), pages 121-142.
    2. Miao Zhen & James Rude & Feng Qiu, 2018. "Price Volatility Spillovers in the Western Canadian Feed Barley, U.S. Corn, and Alberta Cattle Markets," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 66(2), pages 209-229, June.
    3. Bozic, Marin & Newton, John & Thraen, Cameron S. & Gould, Brian W., 2012. "Parametric Bootstrap Tests for Futures Price and Implied Volatility Biases with Application to Rating Livestock Margin Insurance for Dairy Cattle," Staff Papers 135077, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    4. Adrian Fernandez‐Perez & Bart Frijns & Ilnara Gafiatullina & Alireza Tourani‐Rad, 2019. "Properties and the predictive power of implied volatility in the New Zealand dairy market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 612-631, May.

  17. Sanders, Dwight R. & Irwin, Scott H. & Merrin, Robert P., 2009. "A Speculative Bubble in Commodity Futures Prices? Cross-Sectional Evidence," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53050, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Wen, Jun & Khalid, Samia & Mahmood, Hamid & Zakaria, Muhammad, 2021. "Symmetric and asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on food prices in China: A new evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    2. Girardi, Daniele, 2012. "Do financial investors affect the price of wheat?," MPRA Paper 40285, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Libo Yin & Qingyuan Yang & Zhi Su, 2017. "Predictability of structural co-movement in commodity prices: the role of technical indicators," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 795-812, May.
    4. Modena, Matteo, 2011. "Agricultural commodities and financial markets," MPRA Paper 36416, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Sep 2011.
    5. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2012. "Financialization and Structural Change in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 44(3), pages 371-396, August.
    6. Hervé Ott, 2014. "Extent and possible causes of intrayear agricultural commodity price volatility," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(2), pages 225-252, March.
    7. Fatima, Hira & Ahmed, Mumtaz, 2019. "Testing for Exuberance Behavior in Agricultural Commodities of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 95304, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Czudaj Robert L., 2020. "The role of uncertainty on agricultural futures markets momentum trading and volatility," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(3), pages 1-39, June.
    9. Gnutzmann, Hinnerk & Spiewanowski, Piotr, 2016. "Did the Fertilizer Cartel Cause the Food Crisis?," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145777, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    10. Ulusoy, Veysel & Onbirler, Özgür Ünal, 2017. "Marginal speculation and hedging in commodity markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 269-282.
    11. Areal, Francisco J. & Balcombe, Kelvin G. & Rapsomanikis, George, 2014. "Testing for bubbles in agricultural commodity markets," ESA Working Papers 288981, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA).
    12. Chiarucci, Riccardo & Loffredo, Maria I. & Ruzzenenti, Franco, 2017. "Evidences for a structural change in the oil market before a financial crisis: The flat horizon effect," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 912-921.
    13. Long, Shaobo & Li, Jieyu & Luo, Tianyuan, 2023. "The asymmetric impact of global economic policy uncertainty on international grain prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    14. Scott H. Irwin & Dwight R. Sanders, 2011. "Index Funds, Financialization, and Commodity Futures Markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(1), pages 1-31.
    15. Go, You-How & Lau, Wee-Yeap, 2017. "Investor demand, market efficiency and spot-futures relation: Further evidence from crude palm oil," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 135-146.
    16. Zhou, Liyun & Huang, Jialiang, 2020. "Contagion of future-level sentiment in Chinese Agricultural Futures Markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    17. Stephanie-Carolin Grosche, 2014. "What Does Granger Causality Prove? A Critical Examination of the Interpretation of Granger Causality Results on Price Effects of Index Trading in Agricultural Commodity Markets," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(2), pages 279-302, June.
    18. Zhang, Yue-Jun, 2013. "Speculative trading and WTI crude oil futures price movement: An empirical analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 394-402.
    19. Pratap Kumar Jena, 2016. "Financialisation of Commodity Market in India : A Closer Look at the Evidence," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 19(60), pages 147-168, June.
    20. Benoît Guilleminot & Jean-Jacques Ohana & Steve Ohana, 2014. "The interaction of speculators and index investors in agricultural derivatives markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(6), pages 767-792, November.
    21. Perera, Devmali & Białkowski, Jędrzej & Bohl, Martin T., 2022. "Is the tracking error time-varying? Evidence from agricultural ETCs," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    22. Liu, Xiaoliang & Filler, Gunther & Odening, Martin, 2012. "Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Regime Switching Approach," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 122554, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    23. Qadan, Mahmoud & Idilbi-Bayaa, Yasmeen, 2020. "Risk appetite and oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    24. Ing-Haw Cheng & Wei Xiong, 2014. "Financialization of Commodity Markets," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 6(1), pages 419-441, December.
    25. Christopher L. Gilbert, 2010. "How to Understand High Food Prices," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 398-425, June.
    26. Westgaard, Sjur & Frydenberg, Stein & Mohanty, Sunil K., 2022. "Fourteen large commodity trading disasters: What happened and what can we learn?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    27. Ramesh Adhikari, 2024. "Performance of Commodity Futures-Based Dynamic Portfolios," Commodities, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-13, September.
    28. Peri, Massimo & Vandone, Daniela & Baldi, Lucia, 2014. "Internet, noise trading and commodity futures prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 82-89.
    29. Andrew Powell, 2012. "The World of Forking Paths: Latin America and the Caribbean Facing Global Economic Risks," Research Department Publications 4766, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    30. David Matesanz & Benno Torgler & Germán Dabat & Guillermo J. Ortega, 2014. "Co-movements in commodity prices: a note based on network analysis," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(S1), pages 13-21, November.
    31. Bohl Martin T., 2016. "Treiben Indexfonds Agrarrohstoffpreise? Nein!," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 155-171, July.
    32. Arora, Vipin & Gomis-Porqueras, Pedro & Shi, Shuping, 2013. "The divergence between core and headline inflation: Implications for consumers’ inflation expectations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 497-504.
    33. Gunther Capelle-Blancard & Dramane Coulibaly, 2012. "Index Trading and Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Panel Granger Causality Analysis," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00854079, HAL.
    34. Yin, Libo & Zhou, Yimin, 2016. "What drives long-term oil market volatility? Fundamentals versus Speculation," Economics Discussion Papers 2016-2, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    35. Varadi, Vijay Kumar, 2012. "An evidence of speculation in Indian commodity markets," MPRA Paper 38337, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    36. Derek Headey & Sangeetha Malaiyandi & Shenggen Fan, 2010. "Navigating the perfect storm: reflections on the food, energy, and financial crises," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(s1), pages 217-228, November.
    37. Libo Yin & Jing Nie & Liyan Han, 2021. "Intermediary capital risk and commodity futures volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 577-640, May.
    38. Aleksandra Hałka & Jacek Kotłowski, 2016. "Global or domestic? Which shocks drive inflation in European small open economies?," NBP Working Papers 232, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    39. Headey, Derek, 2011. "Rethinking the global food crisis: The role of trade shocks," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 136-146, April.
    40. Devmali Perera & Jędrzej Białkowski & Martin T. Bohl, 2022. "Is the Tracking Error Time-Varying? Evidence from Agricultural ETCs," Working Papers in Economics 22/13, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    41. Ana I. Sanjuán-López & Philip J. Dawson, 2017. "Volatility Effects of Index Trading and Spillovers on US Agricultural Futures Markets: A Multivariate GARCH Approach," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(3), pages 822-838, September.
    42. Troester, Bernhard & Staritz, Cornelia, 2013. "Fundamentals or financialisation of commodity markets: What determines recent wheat prices?," Working Papers 43, Austrian Foundation for Development Research (ÖFSE).
    43. Giray GOZGOR & Baris KABLAMACI, 2014. "The linkage between oil and agricultural commodity prices in the light of the perceived global risk," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 60(7), pages 332-342.
    44. Jennifer Clapp, 2017. "Responsibility to the rescue? Governing private financial investment in global agriculture," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 34(1), pages 223-235, March.
    45. Terrance Grieb & Nam Hoang, 2019. "The Effects of Hedging and Speculation on Cash-Futures Basis: Results from U.S. Wheat Markets," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 17, pages 1-15, August.
    46. Gilbert, Christopher L., 2012. "Speculative impacts on grains price volatility," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 122540, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    47. Ott, Herve, 2012. "Which factors drive which volatility in the grain sector?," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 122486, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    48. Mayer, Herbert & Rathgeber, Andreas & Wanner, Markus, 2017. "Financialization of metal markets: Does futures trading influence spot prices and volatility?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 300-316.
    49. Gutierrez, L. & Piras, F., 2013. "A Global Wheat Market Model (GLOWMM) for the Analysis of Wheat Export Prices," 2013 Second Congress, June 6-7, 2013, Parma, Italy 149760, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
    50. Bosch, David & Smimou, K., 2022. "Traders’ motivation and hedging pressure in commodity futures markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    51. Huchet, Nicolas & Fam, Papa Gueye, 2016. "The role of speculation in international futures markets on commodity prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 49-65.
    52. Brunetti, Celso & Büyükşahin, Bahattin & Harris, Jeffrey H., 2016. "Speculators, Prices, and Market Volatility," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(5), pages 1545-1574, October.
    53. Robert Czudaj & Joscha Beckmann, 2012. "Spot and futures commodity markets and the unbiasedness hypothesis - evidence from a novel panel unit root test," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(2), pages 1695-1707.
    54. Massimo PERI & Daniela VANDONE & Lucia BALDI, 2012. "Internet, noise trading and commodity prices," Departmental Working Papers 2012-07, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
    55. Tokic, Damir, 2012. "Speculation and the 2008 oil bubble: The DCOT Report analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 541-550.
    56. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2017. "Bubbles, Froth and Facts: Another Look at the Masters Hypothesis in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(2), pages 345-365, June.
    57. Haase, Marco & Huss, Matthias, 2018. "Guilty speculators? Range-based conditional volatility in a cross-section of wheat futures," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 29-46.
    58. Baldi, Lucia & Peri, Massimo & Vandone, Daniela, 2011. "Price Discovery in Agricultural Commodities: The Shifting Relationship Between Spot and Future Prices," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114237, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    59. Holst, Carsten, 2010. "How predictable are prices of agricultural commodities? The possibilities and constraints of forecasting wheat prices," IAMO Forum 2010: Institutions in Transition – Challenges for New Modes of Governance 52717, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO).
    60. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Wang, Jing, 2015. "Exploring the WTI crude oil price bubble process using the Markov regime switching model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 421(C), pages 377-387.
    61. Quanbiao Shang & Mindy Mallory & Philip Garcia, 2018. "The components of the bid†ask spread: Evidence from the corn futures market," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(3), pages 381-393, May.
    62. Oglend, Atle & Selland Kleppe, Tore, 2016. "How regular are directional movements in commodity and asset prices? A Wald test," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PA), pages 290-306.
    63. Xiao-Qing WANG & Chi-Wei SU & Ran TAO & Oana-Ramona LOBONŢ, 2018. "When will food price bubbles burst? A review," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 64(12), pages 566-573.
    64. Girardi, Daniele, 2011. "Do financial investors affect commodity prices? The case of Hard Red Winter Wheat," MPRA Paper 35670, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    65. Tolhurst, Tor N., 2018. "A Model-Free Bubble Detection Method: Application to the World Market for Superstar Wines," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274387, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    66. Ashutosh Vashishtha, 2020. "Cobweb price dynamics under the presence of agricultural futures market: theoretical analysis," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 67(2), pages 131-162, June.
    67. Xiaojie Xu, 2020. "Corn Cash Price Forecasting," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(4), pages 1297-1320, August.
    68. Aliaga Lordemann, Javier & Mora-García, Claudio & Mulder, Nanno, 2021. "Speculation and price volatility in the coffee market," Documentos de Proyectos 46923, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    69. Bernhard Troester, 2012. "The determinants of the recent food price surges – A basic supply and demand model," Competence Centre on Money, Trade, Finance and Development 1206, Hochschule fuer Technik und Wirtschaft, Berlin.
    70. Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2014. "Volatility transmission in agricultural futures markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 541-546.
    71. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2012. "Testing the Masters Hypothesis in commodity futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 256-269.
    72. Staritz, Cornelia, 2012. "Financial markets and the commodity price boom: Causes and implications for developing countries," Working Papers 30, Austrian Foundation for Development Research (ÖFSE).

  18. Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2009. "Do Composite Procedures Really Improve the Accuracy of Outlook Forecasts?," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53052, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Ferris, John N., 2010. "The USDA/Land Grant Extension Outlook Program -- A History and Assessment," 2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado 101723, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  19. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "Early Prospects for 2009 Soybean Yields in Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    2. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    3. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "2009 Final Corn and Soybean Yield Forecasts," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183521, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  20. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "2009 Corn Yield Prospects Continue to Improve," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183517, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "2009 Final Corn and Soybean Yield Forecasts," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183521, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  21. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soft Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183427, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Hard Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183428, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2012. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Cattle Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183430, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Webber, Ricky L. & Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2012. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Hogs Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183429, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  22. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "2009 Final Corn and Soybean Yield Forecasts," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183521, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2010. "Alternative 2010 Corn Production Scenarios and Policy Implications," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183524, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  23. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "Early Prospects for 2009 Corn Yields in Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183511, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    2. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    3. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2010. "Alternative 2010 Corn Production Scenarios and Policy Implications," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183524, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "2009 Corn Yield Prospects Continue to Improve," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183517, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "2009 Final Corn and Soybean Yield Forecasts," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183521, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.

  24. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "2009 Corn Yield Prospects Improving," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183515, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "2009 Corn Yield Prospects Continue to Improve," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183517, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  25. Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip & Good, Darrel L. & Kunda, Eugene L., 2009. "Poor Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean and Wheat Futures Contracts: Causes and Solutions," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183475, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Kevin Guo & Tim Leung, 2016. "Understanding the Non-Convergence of Agricultural Futures via Stochastic Storage Costs and Timing Options," Papers 1610.09403, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2017.
    2. Horváth, Lajos & Liu, Zhenya & Rice, Gregory & Wang, Shixuan, 2020. "A functional time series analysis of forward curves derived from commodity futures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 646-665.
    3. Hatchett, Robert B. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2009. "Optimal Length of Moving Average to Forecast Futures Basis," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53048, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    4. Irwin, Scott H., 2020. "Trilogy for troubleshooting convergence: Manipulation, structural imbalance, and storage rates," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
    5. Nonelelo Vuba & Thobekile Qabhobho, 2024. "The Risk Transfer among Exchange Rates, Energy Commodities, and Agricultural Commodity Prices in SADC Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(2), pages 287-298, March.
    6. Troester, Bernhard & Staritz, Cornelia, 2013. "Fundamentals or financialisation of commodity markets: What determines recent wheat prices?," Working Papers 43, Austrian Foundation for Development Research (ÖFSE).
    7. Revoredo-Giha, C. & Zuppiroli, M., 2013. "Commodity futures markets: are they an effective price risk management tool for the European wheat supply chain ?," 2013 Second Congress, June 6-7, 2013, Parma, Italy 149773, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
    8. Gilbert, Christopher L., 2012. "Speculative impacts on grains price volatility," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 122540, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    9. Gutierrez, L. & Piras, F., 2013. "A Global Wheat Market Model (GLOWMM) for the Analysis of Wheat Export Prices," 2013 Second Congress, June 6-7, 2013, Parma, Italy 149760, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
    10. Adjemian, Michael K. & Kuethe, Todd H. & Kunda, Eugene L., 2010. "The Inconvenience Cost: A Portfolio Approach to Non-Convergence Between Cash and Futures Prices," 2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado 61040, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Dark, Jonathan, 2012. "Will tighter futures price limits decrease hedge effectiveness?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 2717-2728.

  26. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "2009 Soybean Yield Prospects Improving," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183519, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "2009 Final Corn and Soybean Yield Forecasts," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183521, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  27. Sanders, Dwight R. & Irwin, Scott H. & Merrin, Robert P., 2008. "The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets:Too Much of a Good Thing?," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37615, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Martin T. Bohl & Nicole Branger & Mark Trede, 2022. "Measurement errors in index trader positions data: Is the price pressure hypothesis still invalid?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(3), pages 1534-1553, September.
    2. Bahloul, Walid & Bouri, Abdelfettah, 2016. "The impact of investor sentiment on returns and conditional volatility in U.S. futures markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 89-102.
    3. Libo Yin & Qingyuan Yang & Zhi Su, 2017. "Predictability of structural co-movement in commodity prices: the role of technical indicators," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 795-812, May.
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2012. "Financialization and Structural Change in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 44(3), pages 371-396, August.
    5. Wei-Ming Tian & Zhang-Yue Zhou, 2011. "Fluctuations of Prices in the World Grain Market: Policy Responses by the Chinese Government," Chapters, in: Lilai Xu (ed.), China’s Economy in the Post-WTO Environment, chapter 8, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    6. Martin T. Bohl & Martin Stefan, 2020. "Return dynamics during periods of high speculation in a thinly traded commodity market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 145-159, January.
    7. Miffre, Joëlle & Brooks, Chris, 2013. "Do long-short speculators destabilize commodity futures markets?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 230-240.
    8. Nicole M. Aulerich & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2014. "Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Food Price Volatility, pages 211-253, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Oscar V. De la Torre-Torres & José Álvarez-García & María de la Cruz del Río-Rama, 2024. "An EM/MCMC Markov-Switching GARCH Behavioral Algorithm for Random-Length Lumber Futures Trading," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-21, February.
    10. William Arrata & Alejandro Bernales & Virginie Coudert, 2013. "The effects of Derivatives on Underlying Financial Markets: Equity Options, Commodity Futures and Credit Default Swaps," Post-Print hal-01410748, HAL.
    11. Jaehwan Park, 2019. "Effect of Speculators’ Position Changes on the LME Futures Market," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-9, June.
    12. Marc J. M. Bohmann & David Michayluk & Vinay Patel, 2019. "Price discovery in commodity derivatives: Speculation or hedging?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(9), pages 1107-1121, September.
    13. Tokic, Damir, 2011. "Rational destabilizing speculation, positive feedback trading, and the oil bubble of 2008," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 2051-2061, April.
    14. Ulusoy, Veysel & Onbirler, Özgür Ünal, 2017. "Marginal speculation and hedging in commodity markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 269-282.
    15. Long, Shaobo & Guo, Jiaqi, 2022. "Infectious disease equity market volatility, geopolitical risk, speculation, and commodity returns: Comparative analysis of five epidemic outbreaks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    16. Valentina G. Bruno & Bahattin Büyükşahin & Michel A. Robe, 2017. "The Financialization of Food?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 99(1), pages 243-264.
    17. Moses M. Kupabado & Juergen Kaehler, 2021. "Financialization, common stochastic trends, and commodity prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(12), pages 1988-2008, December.
    18. Scott H. Irwin & Dwight R. Sanders, 2011. "Index Funds, Financialization, and Commodity Futures Markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(1), pages 1-31.
    19. Chan, Leo H. & Nguyen, Chi M. & Chan, Kam C., 2015. "A new approach to measure speculation in the oil futures market and some policy implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 133-141.
    20. Bredin, Don & Potì, Valerio & Salvador, Enrique, 2023. "Revisiting the Silver Crisis," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    21. Niels C. Thygesen & Robert N. McCauley & Guonan Ma & William R. White & Jakob de Haan & Willem van den End & Jon Frost & Christiaan Pattipeilohy & Mostafa Tabbae & Ernest Gnan & Morten Balling & Paul , 2013. "50 Years of Money and Finance: Lessons and Challenges," SUERF 50th Anniversary Volume - 50 Years of Money and Finance: Lessons and Challenges, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 1 edited by Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan, March.
    22. Go, You-How & Lau, Wee-Yeap, 2017. "Investor demand, market efficiency and spot-futures relation: Further evidence from crude palm oil," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 135-146.
    23. Manera, Matteo & Nicolini, Marcella & Vignati, Ilaria, 2013. "Futures Price Volatility in Commodities Markets: The Role of Short Term vs Long Term Speculation," Energy: Resources and Markets 151372, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    24. Büyükşahin, Bahattin & Robe, Michel A., 2014. "Speculators, commodities and cross-market linkages," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 38-70.
    25. Joe Dewbre & Céline Giner & Wyatt Thompson & Martin Von Lampe, 2008. "High food commodity prices: will they stay? who will pay?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 39(s1), pages 393-403, November.
    26. Adjemian, Michael K. & Bruno, Valentina & Robe, Michel A. & Wallen, Jonathan, 2017. "What Drives Volatility Expectations in Grain and Oilseed Markets?," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258452, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    27. Bernardina Algieri, 2014. "A roller coaster ride: an empirical investigation of the main drivers of the international wheat price," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(4), pages 459-475, July.
    28. Branger, Nicole & Grüning, Patrick & Schlag, Christian, 2016. "Commodities, financialization, and heterogeneous agents," SAFE Working Paper Series 131, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    29. Zapata, Hector O. & Detre, Joshua D. & Hanabuchi, Tatsuya, 2012. "Historical Performance of Commodity and Stock Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 44(3), pages 339-357, August.
    30. Mark Cummins & Michael Dowling & Fearghal Kearney, 2016. "Oil market modelling: A comparative analysis of fundamental and latent factor approaches," Post-Print hal-01387596, HAL.
    31. Manera, Matteo & Nicolini, Marcella & Vignati, Ilaria, 2012. "Returns in Commodities Futures Markets and Financial Speculation: A Multivariate GARCH Approach," Energy: Resources and Markets 122868, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    32. Baur, Dirk G. & Dimpfl, Thomas, 2018. "The asymmetric return-volatility relationship of commodity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 378-387.
    33. Bohl, Martin T. & Sulewski, Christoph, 2019. "The impact of long-short speculators on the volatility of agricultural commodity futures prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(C).
    34. Claudia Wellenreuther & Jan Voelzke, 2019. "Speculation and volatility—A time‐varying approach applied on Chinese commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 405-417, April.
    35. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2010. "A speculative bubble in commodity futures prices? Cross‐sectional evidence," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(1), pages 25-32, January.
    36. Liu, Xiaoliang & Filler, Gunther & Odening, Martin, 2012. "Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Agricultural Commodity Prices: A Regime Switching Approach," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 122554, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    37. Xiaodong Du & Cindy L. Yu & Dermot J. Hayes, 2009. "Speculation and Volatility Spillover in the Crude Oil and Agricultural Commodity Markets: A Bayesian Analysis," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 09-wp491, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    38. Ing-Haw Cheng & Wei Xiong, 2014. "Financialization of Commodity Markets," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 6(1), pages 419-441, December.
    39. Nicholas Mulligan & Daan Steenkamp, 2018. "Reassessing the information content of the Commitments of Traders positioning data for exchange rate changes," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2018/03, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    40. Ron Alquist & Olivier Gervais, 2011. "The Role of Financial Speculation in Driving the Price of Crude Oil," Discussion Papers 11-6, Bank of Canada.
    41. William Arrata & Alejandro Bernales & Virginie Coudert, 2013. "The Effects of Derivatives on Underlying Financial Markets: Equity Options, Commodity Derivatives and Credit Default Swaps," SUERF 50th Anniversary Volume Chapters, in: Morten Balling & Ernest Gnan (ed.), 50 Years of Money and Finance: Lessons and Challenges, chapter 13, pages 445-473, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
    42. Irwin, Scott H., 2012. "Does the Masters Hypothesis Explain Recent Food Price Spikes?," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 126877, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    43. Goyal, Raghav & Steinbach, Sandro, 2023. "Agricultural commodity markets in the wake of the black sea grain initiative," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
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    45. Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Sen Gupta, Abhijit, 2015. "Food Inflation in India: Causes and Consequences," Working Papers 15/151, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    46. Bozic, Marin, 2011. "Three essays in commodity futures and options price performance," Faculty and Alumni Dissertations 160678, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    47. Emiliano Magrini & Ayca Donmez, 2013. "Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility and Its Macroeconomic Determinants: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," JRC Research Reports JRC84138, Joint Research Centre.
    48. Chatellier, Vincent, 2011. "Price volatility, market regulation and risk management: challenges for the future of the CAP," Working Papers 208110, Institut National de la recherche Agronomique (INRA), Departement Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2).
    49. Martin T. Bohl & Pierre L. Siklos & Claudia Wellenreuther, 2018. "Speculative activity and returns volatility of Chinese major agricultural commodity futures," CAMA Working Papers 2018-06, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    50. Charoula Daskalaki & George Skiadopoulos, 2014. "The Effects of Margin Changes on Commodity Futures Markets," Working Papers 736, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    51. Palazzi, Rafael Baptista & Figueiredo Pinto, Antonio Carlos & Klotzle, Marcelo Cabus & De Oliveira, Erick Meira, 2020. "Can we still blame index funds for the price movements in the agricultural commodities market?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 84-93.
    52. Bohl, Martin T. & Siklos, Pierre L. & Wellenreuther, Claudia, 2018. "Speculative activity and returns volatility of Chinese agricultural commodity futures," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 69-91.
    53. Xiaoyang Wang & Philip Garcia & Scott H. Irwin, 2014. "The Behavior of Bid-Ask Spreads in the Electronically-Traded Corn Futures Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 96(2), pages 557-577.
    54. Prehn, Sören & Glauben, Thomas & Loy, Jens-Peter & Pies, Ingo & Will, Matthias Georg, 2013. "Der Einfluss von Long-only-Indexfonds auf die Preisfindung und das Marktergebnis an landwirtschaftlichen Warenterminmärkten [The impact of long-only index funds on the price development and the mar," IAMO Discussion Papers 142, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).
    55. Varadi, Vijay Kumar, 2012. "An evidence of speculation in Indian commodity markets," MPRA Paper 38337, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    56. Cooke, Bryce & Robles, Miguel, 2009. "Recent food prices movements: A time series analysis," IFPRI discussion papers 942, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    57. Haase, Marco & Seiler Zimmermann, Yvonne & Zimmermann, Heinz, 2016. "The impact of speculation on commodity futures markets – A review of the findings of 100 empirical studies," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 1-15.
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    60. Hua, Renhai & Liu, Qingfu & Tse, Yiuman & Yu, Qin, 2023. "The impact of natural disaster risk on the return of agricultural futures," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
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    64. Sania Wadud & Robert D. Durand & Marc Gronwald, 2021. "Connectedness between the Crude Oil Futures and Equity Markets during the Pre- and Post-Financialisation Eras," CESifo Working Paper Series 9202, CESifo.
    65. van Huellen, Sophie, 2020. "Too much of a good thing? Speculative effects on commodity futures curves," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    66. Minot, Nicholas, 2011. "Transmission of world food price changes to markets in Sub-Saharan Africa:," IFPRI discussion papers 1059, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    67. Algieri, Bernardina, 2013. "A Roller Coaster Ride: an empirical investigation of the main drivers of wheat price," Discussion Papers 145556, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).
    68. Chen, Yu-Lun & Chang, Ya-Kai, 2015. "Investor structure and the informational efficiency of commodity futures prices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 358-367.
    69. Martin T. Bohl & Pierre L. Siklos & Martin Stefan & Claudia Wellenreuther, 2018. "Price Discovery in Agricultural Commodity Markets: Do Speculators Contribute?," CQE Working Papers 7518, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    70. Will, Matthias Georg & Pies, Ingo, 2014. "Discourse and regulation failures: The ambivalent influence of NGOs on political organizations," Discussion Papers 2014-2, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
    71. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris A. & Oloko, Tirimisiyu O. & Ohemeng, William, 2020. "The heterogeneous behaviour of the inflation hedging property of cocoa," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
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    75. Algieri, Bernardina, 2018. "A Journey Through the History of Commodity Derivatives Markets and the Political Economy of (De)Regulation," Discussion Papers 281139, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).
    76. Awan, Obaid A., 2019. "Price discovery or noise: The role of arbitrage and speculation in explaining crude oil price behaviour," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(C).
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    78. Mixon, Scott & Onur, Esen & Riggs, Lynn, 2018. "Integrating swaps and futures: A new direction for commodity research," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 3-21.
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    80. Zaremba, Adam, 2016. "Strategies Based on Momentum and Term Structure in Financialized Commodity Markets," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 7(1), pages 31-46, January.
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    83. Haase, Marco & Huss, Matthias, 2018. "Guilty speculators? Range-based conditional volatility in a cross-section of wheat futures," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 29-46.
    84. Martin T. Bohl & Nicole Branger & Mark Trede, 2019. "Measurement Errors in Index Trader Positions Data: Is the Price Pressure Hypothesis Still Invalid?," CQE Working Papers 8019, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    85. Bernardina Algieri, 2021. "Fast & furious: Do psychological and legal factors affect commodity price volatility?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(4), pages 980-1017, April.
    86. Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip & Good, Darrel L. & Kunda, Eugene L., 2009. "Poor Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean and Wheat Futures Contracts: Causes and Solutions," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183475, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
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    91. Schroeder, Ted C. & Tonsor, Glynn T. & Coffey, Brian K., 2019. "Commodity futures with thinly traded cash markets: The case of live cattle," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 1-1.
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    104. Dimpfl, Thomas & Flad, Michael & Jung, Robert C., 2017. "Price discovery in agricultural commodity markets in the presence of futures speculation," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 50-62.
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    113. Martin T. Bohl & Christoph Sulewski, 2018. "The Impact of Long-Short Speculators on the Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Futures Prices," CQE Working Papers 7718, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
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    118. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2013. "Dissecting Corn Price Movements with Directed Acyclic Graphs," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 151279, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  28. Tannura, Michael A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008. "Weather, Technology, and Corn and Soybean Yields in the U.S. Corn Belt," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 37501, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    2. Vassalos, Michael & Dillon, Carl R. & Coolong, Timothy, 2013. "Optimal Land Allocation and Production Timing for Fresh Vegetable Growers under Price and Production Uncertainty," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45(4), pages 1-16, November.
    3. Vassalos, Michael & Dillon, Carl R. & Coolong, Tim, 2012. "Choice of Optimal Planting and Marketing Decisions for Fresh Vegetable Producers: A Mathematical Programming Approach," 2012 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2012, Birmingham, Alabama 120016, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    4. Cuppari, Rosa I. & Higgins, Chad W. & Characklis, Gregory W., 2021. "Agrivoltaics and weather risk: A diversification strategy for landowners," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    5. Niyibizi, Bart & Brorsen, Wade & Park, Eunchun, 2018. "Using Bayesian Kriging for Spatial Smoothing of Trends in the Means and Variances of Crop Yield Densities," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274403, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "Early Prospects for 2009 Soybean Yields in Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Good, Darrel L., 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183477, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    8. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    9. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    10. Lehecka, Georg V., 2013. "The Reaction of Corn and Soybean Futures Markets to USDA Crop Progress and Condition Information," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 142491, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    11. Awondo, Sebastain Nde & Datta, Gauri S. & Ramirez, Octavio A. & Fonsah, Esendugue Greg, 2012. "Estimation of crop yield distribution and Insurance Premium using Shrinkage Estimator: A Hierarchical Bayes and Small Area Estimation Approach," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 126778, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    12. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2008. "Forming Expectations About 2008 U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields — Application of Crop Weather Models that Incorporate Planting Progress," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183490, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    13. Conradt, Sarah & Bokusheva, Raushan & Finger, Robert & Kussaiynov, Talgat, 2014. "Yield Trend Estimation in the Presence of Farm Heterogeneity and Non-linear Technological Change," Quarterly Journal of International Agriculture, Humboldt-Universitaat zu Berlin, vol. 53(2), pages 1-20, May.
    14. Chung, Wonho, 2013. "Reducing the Social Cost of Federal Crop Insurance: A Role for US Government Hedging with Weather Derivatives," Journal of Rural Development/Nongchon-Gyeongje, Korea Rural Economic Institute, vol. 36(2), pages 1-26, August.
    15. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2013. "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45(1), pages 1-13, February.
    16. Adrian Fernandez‐Perez & Bart Frijns & Ivan Indriawan & Alireza Tourani‐Rad, 2019. "Surprise and dispersion: informational impact of USDA announcements," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 50(1), pages 113-126, January.
    17. Sheppard, Jessica, 2009. "Are Corn and Soybean Trend Yields Changing in Illinois?," SS-AAEA Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 2009, pages 1-17.
    18. Timothy Neal & Michael Keane, 2020. "Comparing Deep Neural Network and Econometric Approaches to Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Yield," Discussion Papers 2020-02, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    19. Esteban Thomasz & Ismael Pérez-Franco & Agustín García-García, 2020. "The Economic Impact of Climate Risk on Extensive Livestock: The Case of Lamb Production in Extremadura, Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-19, September.
    20. Paltasingh, Kirtti Ranjan & Goyari, Phanindra & Mishra, R.K., 2012. "Measuring Weather Impact on Crop Yield Using Aridity Index: Evidence from Odisha," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 25(2).
    21. Li, Hong & Porth, Lysa & Tan, Ken Seng & Zhu, Wenjun, 2021. "Improved index insurance design and yield estimation using a dynamic factor forecasting approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 208-221.
    22. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.
    23. Hennessy, David A., 2009. "Crop Yield Skewness and the Normal Distribution," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 34(1), pages 1-19, April.
    24. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "Early Prospects for 2009 Corn Yields in Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183511, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    25. Timothy Neal & Michael Keane, 2020. "Climate Change and U.S. Agriculture: Accounting for Multi-dimensional Slope Heterogeneity in Production Functions," Discussion Papers 2018-08a, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
    26. Conradt, Sarah & Bokusheva, Raushan & Finger, Robert & Kussaiynov, Talgat, 2012. "Yield trend estimation in the presence of non-constant technological change and weather effects," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 122541, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    27. Michael Keane & Timothy Neal, 2020. "Climate change and U.S. agriculture: Accounting for multidimensional slope heterogeneity in panel data," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(4), pages 1391-1429, November.
    28. Chengyi Huang & Sjoerd Willem Duiker & Liangji Deng & Conggang Fang & Weizhong Zeng, 2015. "Influence of Precipitation on Maize Yield in the Eastern United States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(5), pages 1-15, May.

  29. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2008. "The New Era of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183493, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Matekole, Augustus N. & Westra, John V. & Appelboom, Timothy W., 2009. "Best Management Practices: How Economical is it in Southern Agricultural Systems?," 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia 46757, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    2. Nikos Alexandratos, 2008. "Food Price Surges: Possible Causes, Past Experience, and Longer Term Relevance," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 34(4), pages 663-697, December.
    3. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, . "The New Era of Crop Prices: A 15-Year Review," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 13(176).
    4. Williams, Jeffery R. & Llewelyn, Richard V. & Pendell, Dustin L. & Schlegel, Alan J. & Troy, Dumler, 2009. "A Risk Analysis of Converting CRP Acres to a Wheat-Sorghum-Fallow Rotation," 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia 45985, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.

  30. Tannura, Michael A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008. "Are Corn Trend Yields Increasing at a Faster Rate?," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 37500, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    2. Irwin, Scott, 2020. "Revisiting South American Corn and Soybean Yield Trends and Risks," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 10(212), December.
    3. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2010. "Alternative 2010 Corn Production Scenarios and Policy Implications," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183524, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2008. "Forming Expectations About 2008 U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields — Application of Crop Weather Models that Incorporate Planting Progress," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183490, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Brockmeier, Martina & Urban, Kirsten, 2008. "Assessing the Impacts of Agricultural Policies on the Global, National and Farm level - A Survey of Model Systems," Conference papers 331684, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    7. Woodard, Joshua D. & Chiu Verteramo, Leslie & Miller, Alyssa P., 2015. "Adaptation of U.S. Agricultural Production to Drought and Climate Change," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205903, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Irwin, Scott & Hubbs, Todd, 2020. "How Sensitive Are Trend Yield Projections for U.S. Corn to the Starting Year of the Estimation Period?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 10(107), June.
    9. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.
    10. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2009. "Early Prospects for 2009 Corn Yields in Illinois, Indiana, and Iowa," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183511, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    11. Malcolm, Scott A. & Aillery, Marcel P. & Weinberg, Marca, 2009. "Ethanol and a Changing Agricultural Landscape," Economic Research Report 55671, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.

  31. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Tannura, Mike, 2008. "Forming Expectations About 2008 U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields — Application of Crop Weather Models that Incorporate Planting Progress," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183490, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott, 2022. "What Do We Know About the Impact of Late Planting on the U.S. Average Corn Yield?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 12(59), April.

  32. Dietz, Sarah N. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008. "The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37622, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Mattke, Alicia & Hansen, Kristiana & Peck, Dannele & Vivek, Sharma & Miller, Scott & Bastian, Christopher, 2024. "Potential Benefits of Water-Use Efficiency Technologies in Southeastern Wyoming," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2024, January.
    2. Mattos, Fabio & Fryza, Stefanie A., 2012. "Marketing Contracts, Overconfidence, and Timing in the Canadian Wheat Market," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(3), pages 1-16.
    3. Janzen, Joseph P., 2024. "Realized Farm-Level Returns to Post-Harvest Grain Storage and Marketing," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2024, January.
    4. Juan Sesmero & Richard Perrin & Lilyan Fulginiti, 2018. "A nonparametric frontier measure of marketing efficiency: An illustration with corn ethanol plants," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 579-596, June.

  33. Hoffman, Linwood A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Toasa, Jose, 2007. "Forecast Performance of Futures Price Models for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon 9889, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

    Cited by:

    1. Jian Hu & Sanjay Mehrotra, 2012. "Robust and Stochastically Weighted Multiobjective Optimization Models and Reformulations," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(4), pages 936-953, August.
    2. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Farhangdoost, Sara & Hoffman, Linwood A. & Adam, Brian D., 2023. "Forecasting the U.S. season-average farm price of corn: Derivation of an alternative futures-based forecasting model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).

  34. Sanders, Dwight R. & Irwin, Scott H. & Merrin, Robert P., 2007. "Smart Money? The Forecasting Ability of CFTC Large Traders," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37556, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Sanders, Dwight R. & Irwin, Scott H. & Merrin, Robert P., 2008. "The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing?," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 37512, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Umar M. Mustapha, 2012. "The Role of Speculation in the Determination of Energy Prices," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 2(4), pages 279-291.
    3. Andreasson, Pierre & Bekiros, Stelios & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2016. "Impact of speculation and economic uncertainty on commodity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 115-127.

  35. Aulerich, Nicole M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Nelson, Carl H., 2007. "The Impact of Measurement Error on Estimates of the Price Reaction to USDA Crop Reports," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37579, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2018. "Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273973, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.

  36. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2007. "2007 U.S Corn Production Risks: What Does History Teach Us?," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 37494, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2010. "Alternative 2010 Corn Production Scenarios and Policy Implications," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183524, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Diersen, Matthew A., 2008. "Hay Price Forecasts at the State Level," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37600, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

  37. Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip & Good, Darrel L., 2007. "The Performance of Chicago Board of Trade Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures Contracts after Recent Changes in Speculative Limits," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon 9951, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

    Cited by:

    1. Wei-Ming Tian & Zhang-Yue Zhou, 2011. "Fluctuations of Prices in the World Grain Market: Policy Responses by the Chinese Government," Chapters, in: Lilai Xu (ed.), China’s Economy in the Post-WTO Environment, chapter 8, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    2. Derek Headey & Shenggen Fan, 2008. "Anatomy of a crisis: the causes and consequences of surging food prices," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 39(s1), pages 375-391, November.
    3. Armah, Paul W. & Shanmugam, Velmurugan P., 2013. "Price Hikes in US Agricultural Commodity Futures Markets: An Empirical Efficiency Test," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 44(1), pages 1-9, March.
    4. MacDonald, Stephen & Meyer, Leslie A., 2009. "Futures Basis for Cotton: Impact of Globalization and Structural Change," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49269, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. MacDonald, Stephen & Meyer, Leslie, 2009. "Trends in U.S. Cotton Basis Since 2001," MPRA Paper 70909, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  38. Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H., 2007. "Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37577, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2009. "Do Composite Procedures Really Improve the Accuracy of Outlook Forecasts?," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53052, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Verteramo Chiu, Leslie J. & Tomek, William G., 2016. "Anticipatory Signals of Changes in Corn Demand," Working Papers 250032, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    3. Xu Xiaojie, 2018. "Using Local Information to Improve Short-Run Corn Price Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, De Gruyter, vol. 16(1), pages 1-15, January.
    4. Tannura, Michael A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008. "Weather, Technology, and Corn and Soybean Yields in the U.S. Corn Belt," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 37501, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2008. "How Much Can Outlook Forecasts be Improved? An Application to the U.S. Hog Market," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37620, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    6. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Good, Darrel L., 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183477, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Ates, Aaron M. & Lusk, Jayson L. & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2016. "Forecasting Meat Prices using Consumer Expectations from the Food Demand Survey (FooDS)," 2016 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2016, San Antonio, Texas 229858, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    8. Paolo Libenzio Brignoli & Alessandro Varacca & Cornelis Gardebroek & Paolo Sckokai, 2024. "Machine learning to predict grains futures prices," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 55(3), pages 479-497, May.
    9. Verteramo Chiu, Leslie J. & Tomek, William G., 2017. "Insights from Anticipatory Prices," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258115, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Xiaojie Xu, 2018. "Cointegration and price discovery in US corn cash and futures markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1889-1923, December.
    11. Elham Rahmani & Mohammad Khatami & Emma Stephens, 2024. "Using Probabilistic Machine Learning Methods to Improve Beef Cattle Price Modeling and Promote Beef Production Efficiency and Sustainability in Canada," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-19, February.
    12. Xiaojie Xu, 2017. "Short-run price forecast performance of individual and composite models for 496 corn cash markets," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(14), pages 2593-2620, October.
    13. Xiaojie Xu, 2019. "Price dynamics in corn cash and futures markets: cointegration, causality, and forecasting through a rolling window approach," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 33(2), pages 155-181, June.
    14. J. Yang & J. Beirne & G. Liu & P. Sheng, 2013. "Labour supply and pollution in China," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(10), pages 949-952, July.
    15. Verteramo Chiu, Leslie & Tomek, William, 2016. "Anticipatory Signals of Changes in U.S. Corn Demand," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235869, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    16. Bekkerman, Anton & Brester, Gary W. & Taylor, Mykel, 2016. "Forecasting a Moving Target: The Roles of Quality and Timing for Determining Northern U.S. Wheat Basis," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 1-17, January.
    17. Xiaojie Xu, 2020. "Corn Cash Price Forecasting," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(4), pages 1297-1320, August.
    18. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Farhangdoost, Sara & Hoffman, Linwood A. & Adam, Brian D., 2023. "Forecasting the U.S. season-average farm price of corn: Derivation of an alternative futures-based forecasting model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).

  39. Frank, Julieta & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2007. "To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond?," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37573, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2018. "Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273973, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Olga Isengildina Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin, 2024. "What do we know about the value and market impact of the US Department of Agriculture reports?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(2), pages 698-736, June.
    3. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H Irwin, 2017. "Do Markets Correct for Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts? Evidence from Private Analysts and Futures Prices," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 39(4), pages 559-583.
    4. Houser, Dwight M. & Karali, Berna, 2017. "How Scary Are Food Scares? Evidence from Animal Disease Outbreaks," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258500, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. R. Karina Gallardo & B. Wade Brorsen & Jayson Lusk, 2010. "Prediction markets: an experimental approach to forecasting cattle on feed," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 70(3), pages 414-426, November.

  40. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37484, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37485, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soft Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183427, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Hard Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183428, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  41. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37456, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37485, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Franken, Jason R.V. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2009. "Is Storage at a Loss Merely an Illusion of Spatial Aggregation?," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 27(1-2), pages 1-20.
    3. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2012. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Cattle Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183430, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Webber, Ricky L. & Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2012. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Hogs Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183429, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37484, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  42. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2005," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37514, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Gouel, 2020. "The Value of Public Information in Storable Commodity Markets: Application to the Soybean Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(3), pages 846-865, May.
    2. Sanders, Dwight & Altman, Ira J. & Manfredo, Mark R. & Anderson, Rachel, 2009. "Using USDA Production Forecasts: Adjusting for Smoothing," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2009, pages 1-9.
    3. Tannura, Michael A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008. "Weather, Technology, and Corn and Soybean Yields in the U.S. Corn Belt," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 37501, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Olga Isengildina Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin, 2024. "What do we know about the value and market impact of the US Department of Agriculture reports?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(2), pages 698-736, June.
    5. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Good, Darrel L., 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183477, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. MacLachlan, Matthew & Chelius, Carolyn & Short, Gianna, 2022. "Time-Series Methods for Forecasting and Modeling Uncertainty in the Food Price Outlook," USDA Miscellaneous 327370, United States Department of Agriculture.
    7. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark & Cooke, Bryce, 2017. "The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets," MPRA Paper 87545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2007. "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37563, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    9. Williams, Brian R. & Pounds-Barnett, Gayle, 2023. "Producer Supply Response for Area Planted of Seven Major U.S. Crops," Economic Research Report 340567, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    10. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2013. "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45(1), pages 1-13, February.
    11. Michael K Adjemian & Robert Johansson & Andrew McKenzie & Michael Thomsen, 2018. "Was the Missing 2013 WASDE Missed?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(4), pages 653-671, December.
    12. Aulerich, Nicole M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Nelson, Carl H., 2007. "The Impact of Measurement Error on Estimates of the Price Reaction to USDA Crop Reports," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37579, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    13. Boussios, David & Skorbiansky, Sharon Raszap & Maclachlan, Matthew, 2021. "Evaluating U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Long-Term Forecasts for U.S. Harvested Area," USDA Miscellaneous 309616, United States Department of Agriculture.
    14. Ying, Jiahui & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, 2017. "A Temporal Impact Assessment Method for the Informational Content of USDA Reports in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258201, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.
    16. Boussios, David & Skorbiansky, Sharon Raszap & MacLachlan, Matthew, 2021. "Evaluating U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Long-Term Forecasts for U.S. Harvested Area," Economic Research Report 327201, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    17. Boussios, David & Skoriansky, Sharon Raszap & MacLachlan, Matthew, 2021. "Evaluating U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Long-Term Forecasts for U.S. Harvested Area," USDA Miscellaneous 309619, United States Department of Agriculture.
    18. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183528, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  43. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37485, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soft Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183427, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Schulze, Birgit, 2011. "Dynamic Markets – Dynamic Relationships: The Example of Grain Marketing in Germany," 2011 International European Forum, February 14-18, 2011, Innsbruck-Igls, Austria 122001, International European Forum on System Dynamics and Innovation in Food Networks.
    3. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Hard Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183428, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37484, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  44. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37485, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Li, Xin & Paulson, Nicholas, 2014. "Is Farm Management Skill Persistent?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170170, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Zulauf, Carl R. & Schnitkey, Gary D. & Norden, Carl T., 2006. "Price and Profit: Investigating a Conundrum," 2006 Conference, April 17-18, 2006, St. Louis, Missouri 19000, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37456, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Franken, Jason R.V. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2009. "Is Storage at a Loss Merely an Illusion of Spatial Aggregation?," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 27(1-2), pages 1-20.
    6. Isengildina, Olga & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37489, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Joni M. Klumpp & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson, 2008. "Market Advisory Service Recommendations and Wheat Producers' Selling Decisions," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 56(1), pages 117-128, March.
    8. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    9. Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2012. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Cattle Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183430, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    10. Webber, Ricky L. & Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2012. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Hogs Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183429, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    11. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37484, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    12. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  45. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2006. "Empirical Confidence Intervals for WASDE Forecasts of Corn, Soybean and Wheat Prices," 2006 Conference, April 17-18, 2006, St. Louis, Missouri 18995, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Hedtrich, F. & Loy, J.-P. & Müller, R.A.E., 2010. "Prognosen auf Agrarmärkten: Prediction Markets – eine innovative Prognosemethode auch für die Landwirtschaft?," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 45, March.

  46. Botto, Augusto C. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2006. "Accuracy Trends and Sources of Forecast Errors in WASDE Balance Sheet Categories for Corn and Soybeans," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21332, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

    Cited by:

    1. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark, 2016. "Detecting the Sources of Information Rigidity: Analyzing Forecast Bias and Smoothing in USDA’s Soybean Forecasts," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235349, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark & Cooke, Bryce, 2017. "The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets," MPRA Paper 87545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Zhang, Tianyang & Li, Ziran, 2018. "How Well Do Rational Expectations Storage Model Forecast Crop Ending Stocks?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273803, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Xiao, Jinzhi & Lence, Sergio H. & Hart, Chad, 2014. "Usda And Private Analysts' Forecasts Of Ending Stocks: How Good Are They?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170642, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Jennifer K. Gomez, 2008. "Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 473-490.
    6. Tianyang Zhang & Ziran Li, 2022. "Can a rational expectation storage model explain the USDA ending grain stocks forecast errors?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 313-337, March.

  47. Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Dietz, Sarah N., 2005. "Wheat Forward Contract Pricing: Evidence on Forecast Power and Risk Premia," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19043, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Mallory, Mindy L. & Zhao, Wenjiao & Irwin, Scott H., 2012. "Farmer’s Income Shifting Option in Post-harvest Forward Contracting," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124692, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Taylor, Mykel R. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C. & Kastens, Terry L., 2006. "Forecasting Crop Basis Using Historical Averages Supplemented with Current Market Information," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(3), pages 1-19, December.

  48. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19037, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Mattos, Fabio & Fryza, Stefanie A., 2012. "Marketing Contracts, Overconfidence, and Timing in the Canadian Wheat Market," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(3), pages 1-16.
    2. Schulze, Birgit, 2011. "Dynamic Markets – Dynamic Relationships: The Example of Grain Marketing in Germany," 2011 International European Forum, February 14-18, 2011, Innsbruck-Igls, Austria 122001, International European Forum on System Dynamics and Innovation in Food Networks.
    3. Juan Sesmero & Richard Perrin & Lilyan Fulginiti, 2018. "A nonparametric frontier measure of marketing efficiency: An illustration with corn ethanol plants," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 579-596, June.
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Jianying Xiao & Yan Song & Heyuan You, 2020. "Explaining Peasants’ Intention and Behavior of Farmland Trusteeship in China: Implications for Sustainable Agricultural Production," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-17, July.

  49. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Garcia, Philip & Frank, Julieta & Kuiper, W. Erno, 2005. "Complex Choices: Producers Risk Management Strategies," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19550, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

    Cited by:

    1. Kallas, Zein & Gil, Jose Maria & Serra, Teresa, 2009. "Effects of policy instruments on farm investments and production decisions in the Spanish cop sector," 113th Seminar, September 3-6, 2009, Chania, Crete, Greece 58036, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. MacNicol, R. & Ortmann, Gerald F. & Ferrer, Stuart R.D., 2008. "Management decisions on commercial sugarcane farms in KwaZulu-Natal: a focus on choice bracketing behaviour for risk management," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 47(1), pages 1-24, March.

  50. Park, Cheol-Ho & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in US Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14771, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Andrew Clare & James Seaton & Peter N Smith & Stephen Thomas, 2013. "Breaking into the blackbox: Trend following, stop losses and the frequency of trading – The case of the S&P500," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 14(3), pages 182-194, June.
    2. Dorfmann, Jeffrey & Karali, Berna, 2015. "A Nonparametric Search for Information Effects from USDA Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-20.
    3. Juan Carlos Ruilova & Pedro Alberto Morettin, 2020. "Parsimonious Heterogeneous ARCH Models for High Frequency Modeling," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-19, February.
    4. Jasdeep S. Banga & B. Wade Brorsen, 2019. "Profitability of alternative methods of combining the signals from technical trading systems," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 32-45, January.
    5. Hesham I. Almujamed & Suzanne G. M. Fifield & David M. Power, 2018. "An Investigation of the Weak Form of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis for the Kuwait Stock Exchange," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 17(1), pages 1-28, April.
    6. Karali, Berna, 2012. "Do USDA Announcements Affect Comovements Across Commodity Futures Returns?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-21, April.
    7. Lien, Donald & Yang, Li, 2008. "Asymmetric effect of basis on dynamic futures hedging: Empirical evidence from commodity markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 187-198, February.
    8. Stephan Schulmeister, 2012. "Technical Trading and Commodity Price Fluctuations," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 45238, April.
    9. Schulmeister, Stephan, 2009. "Profitability of technical stock trading: Has it moved from daily to intraday data?," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 190-201, October.
    10. Urcola, Hernan A. & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "Has the Performance of the Hog Options Market Changed?," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21479, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    11. Park, Cheol-Ho & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "A Reality Check on Technical Trading Rule Profits in US Futures Markets," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19039, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    12. Szakmary, Andrew C. & Shen, Qian & Sharma, Subhash C., 2010. "Trend-following trading strategies in commodity futures: A re-examination," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 409-426, February.
    13. Stephan Schulmeister, 2009. "Trading Practices and Price Dynamics in Commodity Markets and the Stabilising Effects of a Transaction Tax," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 34919, April.
    14. Lehecka, Georg V., 2014. "The Value of USDA Crop Progress and Condition Information: Reactions of Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(1), pages 1-18, April.
    15. Osama El Ansary & Mona Atuea, 2017. "Testing the Effect of Technical Analysis Strategies on Achieving Abnormal Return: Evidence from Egyptian Stock Market," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(2), pages 1-26, May.
    16. Joni M. Klumpp & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson, 2008. "Market Advisory Service Recommendations and Wheat Producers' Selling Decisions," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 56(1), pages 117-128, March.
    17. Benjamin R. Auer, 2021. "Have trend-following signals in commodity futures markets become less reliable in recent years?," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(4), pages 533-553, December.
    18. Stephan Schulmeister, 2009. "Technical Trading and Trends in the Dollar-Euro Exchange Rate," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 37582, April.

  51. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14785, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2005," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37514, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Sanders, Dwight & Altman, Ira J. & Manfredo, Mark R. & Anderson, Rachel, 2009. "Using USDA Production Forecasts: Adjusting for Smoothing," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2009, pages 1-9.
    3. Tannura, Michael A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008. "Weather, Technology, and Corn and Soybean Yields in the U.S. Corn Belt," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 37501, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Good, Darrel L., 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183477, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark & Cooke, Bryce, 2017. "The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets," MPRA Paper 87545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Ying, Jiahui & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, 2017. "A Temporal Impact Assessment Method for the Informational Content of USDA Reports in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258201, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.
    8. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183528, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  52. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19050, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Gomez, Jennifer K., 2008. "The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-15, April.
    2. Karali, Berna & Ramirez, Octavio A., 2014. "Macro determinants of volatility and volatility spillover in energy markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 413-421.
    3. Dorfmann, Jeffrey & Karali, Berna, 2015. "A Nonparametric Search for Information Effects from USDA Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-20.
    4. Adjemian, Michael K. & Johansson, Robert & McKenzie, Andrew & Thomsen, Michael, 2016. "The Value of Government Information in an Era of Declining Budgets," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235811, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K., 2016. "Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235580, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Farhangdoost, Sara & Etienne, Xiaoli L., 2020. "Time-Varying Storage Announcement Effect in Natural Gas Market," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304476, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Cao, Xiang & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael & Johansson, Robert C., 2021. "When does USDA information have the most impact on crop and livestock markets?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    8. Karali, Berna, 2012. "Do USDA Announcements Affect Comovements Across Commodity Futures Returns?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-21, April.
    9. Berna Karali & Jeffrey H. Dorfman & Walter N. Thurman, 2010. "Do volatility determinants vary across futures contracts? Insights from a smoothed Bayesian estimator," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 257-277, March.
    10. Brittain, Lee & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 36(1), pages 1-20, April.
    11. Lehecka, Georg V., 2013. "The Reaction of Corn and Soybean Futures Markets to USDA Crop Progress and Condition Information," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 142491, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    12. Sun, Zhining & Katchova, Ani & Giri, Anil K. & Subedi, Dipak, 2024. "The Announcement Effect of MFP and CFAP on Futures Commodity Prices," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343895, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Quanbiao Shang & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia & Mindy Mallory, 2021. "Looking under the surface: An analysis of iceberg orders in the U.S. agricultural futures markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(4), pages 679-699, July.
    14. Houser, Dwight M. & Karali, Berna, 2017. "How Scary Are Food Scares? Evidence from Animal Disease Outbreaks," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258500, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Michael K Adjemian & Robert Johansson & Andrew McKenzie & Michael Thomsen, 2018. "Was the Missing 2013 WASDE Missed?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(4), pages 653-671, December.
    16. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2014. "Bubbles in food commodity markets: Four decades of evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 129-155.
    17. Larue, Bruno & Pouliot, Sébastien, 2016. "Exporters’ Preferences over Import Protection Instruments when Markets are Volatile," 149th Seminar, October 27-28, 2016, Rennes, France 246419, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    18. Ying, Jiahui & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, 2017. "A Temporal Impact Assessment Method for the Informational Content of USDA Reports in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258201, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    19. Joshua Huang & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2021. "The Value of USDA Announcements in the Electronically Traded Corn Futures Market: A Modified Sufficient Test with Risk Adjustments," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(3), pages 712-734, September.
    20. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Jennifer K. Gomez, 2008. "Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 473-490.
    21. Tianyang Zhang & Ziran Li, 2022. "Can a rational expectation storage model explain the USDA ending grain stocks forecast errors?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 313-337, March.
    22. Lehecka, Georg V., 2014. "The Value of USDA Crop Progress and Condition Information: Reactions of Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(1), pages 1-18, April.
    23. Karali, Berna & Thurman, Walter N., 2007. "Announcement Effects and the Theory of Storage: An Empirical Study of Lumber Futures," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon 9865, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    24. Bethlem, Isadora Vercesi & Lima, Roberto Arruda de Souza & Lima, Lilian Maluf de, 2023. "The impact of the USDA soybean crop condition reports on CBOT futures prices," Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural (RESR), Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural, vol. 61(2), January.
    25. Zhepeng Hu & Mindy Mallory & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2017. "Measuring Price Discovery between Nearby and Deferred Contracts in Storable and Non-Storable Commodity Futures Markets," Papers 1711.03506, arXiv.org.
    26. Stephen P. Keef & Hui Zhu, 2009. "The Monday effect in U.S. cotton prices," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(3), pages 427-448.
    27. R. Karina Gallardo & B. Wade Brorsen & Jayson Lusk, 2010. "Prediction markets: an experimental approach to forecasting cattle on feed," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 70(3), pages 414-426, November.
    28. Lusk, Jayson L., 2016. "From Farm Income to Food Consumption: Valuing USDA Data Products," C-FARE Reports 266593, Council on Food, Agricultural, and Resource Economics (C-FARE).

  53. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Tong & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2006. "Heterogeneity in Producer's Marketing Strategy," 2006 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2006, Orlando, Florida 35299, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    2. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19037, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    3. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37456, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Franken, Jason R.V. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "Do Interest Rates Explain Disaggregate Commodity Price Growth?," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21319, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Klumpp, Joni M. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2005. "The Impact of Marketing Strategy Information on the Producer's Selling Decision," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19036, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

  54. Park, Cheol-Ho & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "A Reality Check on Technical Trading Rule Profits in US Futures Markets," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19039, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Montgomery, William & Raza, Ahmad & Ülkü, Numan, 2019. "Tests of technical trading rules and the 52-week high strategy in the corporate bond market," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 85-103.
    2. Wang, Shan & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Li, Sai-Ping & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2015. "Testing the performance of technical trading rules in the Chinese markets based on superior predictive test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 439(C), pages 114-123.
    3. Ikhlaas Gurrib & Mohammad Nourani & Rajesh Kumar Bhaskaran, 2022. "Energy crypto currencies and leading U.S. energy stock prices: are Fibonacci retracements profitable?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-27, December.
    4. Jasdeep S. Banga & B. Wade Brorsen, 2019. "Profitability of alternative methods of combining the signals from technical trading systems," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 32-45, January.
    5. Chiang, Mi-Hsiu & Chiu, Hsin-Yu & Kuo, Wei-Yu, 2021. "Predictive ability of similarity-based futures trading strategies," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    6. Nicolás Acevedo Vélez, 2007. "The cattle crush strategy: trading opportunities for cattle producers," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, October.
    7. Ikhlaas Gurrib & Firuz Kamalov & Elgilani Elshareif, 2021. "Can the Leading US Energy Stock Prices be Predicted using the Ichimoku Cloud?," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 41-51.
    8. Jying‐Nan Wang & Hung‐Chun Liu & Jiangze Du & Yuan‐Teng Hsu, 2019. "Economic benefits of technical analysis in portfolio management: Evidence from global stock markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(2), pages 890-902, April.
    9. Taylor, Mark & Hsu, Po-Hsuan, 2014. "Forty Years, Thirty Currencies and 21,000 Trading Rules: A Large-scale, Data-Snooping Robust Analysis of Technical Trading in t," CEPR Discussion Papers 10018, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Shynkevich, Andrei, 2016. "Predictability in bond returns using technical trading rules," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 55-69.
    11. Yamani, Ehab, 2021. "Foreign exchange market efficiency and the global financial crisis: Fundamental versus technical information," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 74-89.
    12. Menkhoff, Lukas & Taylor, Mark P., 2006. "The Obstinate Passion of Foreign Exchange Professionals : Technical Analysis," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 769, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    13. Flavio Ivo Riedlinger & João Nicolau, 2020. "The Profitability in the FTSE 100 Index: A New Markov Chain Approach," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 27(1), pages 61-81, March.
    14. Han, Yufeng & Hu, Ting & Yang, Jian, 2016. "Are there exploitable trends in commodity futures prices?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 214-234.
    15. Ioana-Andreea Boboc & Mihai-Cristian Dinică, 2013. "An Algorithm for Testing the Efficient Market Hypothesis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(10), pages 1-11, October.
    16. Andrei Shynkevich, 2021. "Impact of bitcoin futures on the informational efficiency of bitcoin spot market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 115-134, January.
    17. Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Taylor, Mark P. & Wang, Zigan, 2016. "Technical trading: Is it still beating the foreign exchange market?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 188-208.
    18. Qi Xu & Ying Wang, 2021. "Managing volatility in commodity momentum," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 758-782, May.
    19. Mihai Cristian Dinică & Erica Cristina (Balea) Dinică, 2015. "Testing the Weak-Form Market Eficiency of the Euronext Wheat," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 18(55), pages 25-38, March.
    20. Benjamin R. Auer, 2021. "Have trend-following signals in commodity futures markets become less reliable in recent years?," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(4), pages 533-553, December.
    21. Xiaojie Xu & Yun Zhang, 2022. "Commodity price forecasting via neural networks for coffee, corn, cotton, oats, soybeans, soybean oil, sugar, and wheat," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 169-181, July.
    22. Ikhlaas Gurrib & Firuz Kamalov & Olga Starkova & Adham Makki & Anita Mirchandani & Namrata Gupta, 2023. "Performance of Equity Investments in Sustainable Environmental Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-28, May.

  55. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2003: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37486, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Tong & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2006. "Heterogeneity in Producer's Marketing Strategy," 2006 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2006, Orlando, Florida 35299, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    2. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37456, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Franken, Jason R.V. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "Do Interest Rates Explain Disaggregate Commodity Price Growth?," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21319, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Klumpp, Joni M. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2005. "The Impact of Marketing Strategy Information on the Producer's Selling Decision," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19036, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

  56. Park, Cheol-Ho & Irwin, Scott H., 2004. "The Profitability of Technical Analysis: A Review," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37487, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Philippe Mathieu & Olivier Brandouy, 2006. "A Broad-Spectrum Computational Approach for Market Efficiency," Post-Print hal-00731962, HAL.
    2. Roscoe, Philip & Howorth, Carole, 2009. "Identification through technical analysis: A study of charting and UK non-professional investors," Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 206-221, February.
    3. Vitali Alexeev & Francis Tapon, 2010. "Testing Weak Form Efficiency on the Toronto Stock Exchange," Working Papers 1002, University of Guelph, Department of Economics and Finance.
    4. Perlin, M., 2007. "M of a kind: A Multivariate Approach at Pairs Trading," MPRA Paper 8309, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Jorge Faleiro & Edward Tsang, 2018. "Black Magic Investigation Made Simple: Monte Carlo Simulations and Historical Back Testing of Momentum Cross-Over Strategies Using FRACTI Patterns," Papers 1808.07949, arXiv.org.
    6. Batchelor, Roy & Kwan, Tai Yeong, 2007. "Judgemental bootstrapping of technical traders in the bond market," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 427-445.
    7. Park, Cheol-Ho & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in US Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14771, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    8. Stephan Schulmeister, 2005. "The Interaction between Technical Currency Trading and Exchange Rate Fluctuations," Finance 0512033, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Schulmeister, Stephan, 2009. "Profitability of technical stock trading: Has it moved from daily to intraday data?," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 190-201, October.
    10. Charlotte Christiansen, 2010. "Intertemporal Risk-Return Trade-off in Foreign Exchange Rates," CREATES Research Papers 2010-20, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    11. Huishu Zhang & Jianrong Wei & Jiping Huang, 2014. "Scaling and Predictability in Stock Markets: A Comparative Study," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(3), pages 1-5, March.
    12. Jiali Fang & Ben Jacobsen & Yafeng Qin, 2014. "Predictability of the simple technical trading rules: An out‐of‐sample test," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(1), pages 30-45, January.
    13. Stephan Schulmeister, 2005. "Components of the Profitability of Technical Currency Trading," WIFO Working Papers 263, WIFO.
    14. Guanqing Liu, 2019. "Technical Trading Behaviour: Evidence from Chinese Rebar Futures Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(2), pages 669-704, August.
    15. Janice How & Martin Ling & Peter Verhoeven, 2010. "Does size matter? A genetic programming approach to technical trading," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 131-140.
    16. Park, Cheol-Ho & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "A Reality Check on Technical Trading Rule Profits in US Futures Markets," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19039, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    17. Stephan Schulmeister, 2007. "The Interaction Between the Aggregate Behaviour of Technical Trading Systems and Stock Price Dynamics," WIFO Working Papers 290, WIFO.
    18. Marshall, Ben R. & Cahan, Rochester H. & Cahan, Jared M., 2008. "Can commodity futures be profitably traded with quantitative market timing strategies?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(9), pages 1810-1819, September.
    19. Menkhoff, Lukas & Taylor, Mark P., 2006. "The Obstinate Passion of Foreign Exchange Professionals : Technical Analysis," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 769, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    20. Stefanescu, Răzvan & Dumitriu, Ramona, 2015. "Buy and sell signals on Bucharest Stock Exchange," MPRA Paper 89014, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jan 2016.
    21. David Garcia & Frank Schweitzer, 2015. "Social signals and algorithmic trading of Bitcoin," Papers 1506.01513, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2015.
    22. Shangkun Deng & Haoran Yu & Chenyang Wei & Tianxiang Yang & Shimada Tatsuro, 2021. "The profitability of Ichimoku Kinkohyo based trading rules in stock markets and FX markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5321-5336, October.
    23. Perlin, M., 2007. "Evaluation of pairs trading strategy at the Brazilian financial market," MPRA Paper 8308, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Ben Moews & Gbenga Ibikunle, 2020. "Predictive intraday correlations in stable and volatile market environments: Evidence from deep learning," Papers 2002.10385, arXiv.org.
    25. Hannah Thinyane & Jonathan Millin, 2011. "An Investigation into the Use of Intelligent Systems for Currency Trading," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 37(4), pages 363-374, April.
    26. Cheol‐Ho Park & Scott H. Irwin, 2007. "What Do We Know About The Profitability Of Technical Analysis?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 786-826, September.
    27. Moews, Ben & Ibikunle, Gbenga, 2020. "Predictive intraday correlations in stable and volatile market environments: Evidence from deep learning," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 547(C).
    28. Stephan Schulmeister, 2009. "Technical Trading and Trends in the Dollar-Euro Exchange Rate," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 37582, April.
    29. Chen, Shi & Bao, Si & Zhou, Yu, 2016. "The predictive power of Japanese candlestick charting in Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 457(C), pages 148-165.
    30. Shangkun Deng & Kazuki Yoshiyama & Takashi Mitsubuchi & Akito Sakurai, 2015. "Hybrid Method of Multiple Kernel Learning and Genetic Algorithm for Forecasting Short-Term Foreign Exchange Rates," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 45(1), pages 49-89, January.
    31. Andreas Grönlund & Il Gu Yi & Beom Jun Kim, 2012. "Fractal Profit Landscape of the Stock Market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(4), pages 1-5, April.

  57. Urcola, Hernan A. & Schnitkey, Gary D. & Irwin, Scott H. & Sherrick, Bruce J., 2004. "Testing for Yield Persistency: Is It Skill or is It Luck?," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 19991, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

    Cited by:

    1. Li, Xin & Paulson, Nicholas, 2014. "Is Farm Management Skill Persistent?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170170, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Roman Keeney & Thomas W. Hertel, 2008. "U.S. Market Potential For Dried Distillers Grain With Solubles," Working Papers 08-13, Purdue University, College of Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    3. Keeney, Roman & Hertel, Thomas W., 2008. "Yield Response To Prices: Implications For Policy Modeling," Working papers 45969, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    4. Tamirat, Aderajew AS & Trujillo-Barrera, Andres A. & Pennings, Joost M. E., 2018. "Do Profit Rates Converge? Evidence on the Persistence of Farm Profit in the Long-run," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273791, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  58. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Are Revisions To Usda Crop Production Forecasts Smoothed?," 2004 Conference, April 19-20, 2004, St. Louis, Missouri 19027, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-14, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, revised Apr 2013.
    2. Christophe Gouel, 2020. "The Value of Public Information in Storable Commodity Markets: Application to the Soybean Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(3), pages 846-865, May.
    3. Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2018. "Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273973, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Fiechter, Chad & Kuethe, Todd & Zhang, Wendong, 2023. "Information Rigidities and Farmland Value Expectations," ISU General Staff Papers 202306131414240000, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    5. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2005," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37514, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Sanders, Dwight & Altman, Ira J. & Manfredo, Mark R. & Anderson, Rachel, 2009. "Using USDA Production Forecasts: Adjusting for Smoothing," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2009, pages 1-9.
    7. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2003. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: An Overview of Methods, Performance and Market Impacts," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37496, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    8. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Good, Darrel L., 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183477, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    9. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H Irwin, 2017. "Do Markets Correct for Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts? Evidence from Private Analysts and Futures Prices," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 39(4), pages 559-583.
    10. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark & Cooke, Bryce, 2017. "The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets," MPRA Paper 87545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Botto, Augusto C. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2006. "Accuracy Trends and Sources of Forecast Errors in WASDE Balance Sheet Categories for Corn and Soybeans," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21332, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    12. Siddhartha S. Bora & Ani L. Katchova & Todd H. Kuethe, 2021. "The Rationality of USDA Forecasts under Multivariate Asymmetric Loss," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(3), pages 1006-1033, May.
    13. Kuethe, Todd H. & Hubbs, Todd & Sanders, Dwight R., 2018. "Evaluating the USDA’s Net Farm Income Forecast," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 43(3), September.
    14. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2007. "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37563, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    15. Raghav Goyal & Michael K. Adjemian, 2023. "Information rigidities in USDA crop production forecasts," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(5), pages 1405-1425, October.
    16. Kusumastuti, Ratih Dyah & Donk, Dirk Pieter van & Teunter, Ruud, 2016. "Crop-related harvesting and processing planning: a review," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 76-92.
    17. Adrian Fernandez‐Perez & Bart Frijns & Ivan Indriawan & Alireza Tourani‐Rad, 2019. "Surprise and dispersion: informational impact of USDA announcements," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 50(1), pages 113-126, January.
    18. Aulerich, Nicole M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Nelson, Carl H., 2007. "The Impact of Measurement Error on Estimates of the Price Reaction to USDA Crop Reports," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37579, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    19. Olga Isengildina‐Massa & Berna Karali & Todd H. Kuethe & Ani L. Katchova, 2021. "Joint Evaluation of the System of USDA's Farm Income Forecasts," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(3), pages 1140-1160, September.
    20. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.
    21. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin, 2013. "When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(36), pages 5086-5103, December.
    22. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Does The Market Anticipate Smoothing In Usda Crop Production Forecasts?," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20145, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    23. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14785, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    24. Tianyang Zhang & Ziran Li, 2022. "Can a rational expectation storage model explain the USDA ending grain stocks forecast errors?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 313-337, March.
    25. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183528, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    26. Taylor, Christopher W., 2012. "Market Reactions to USDA Reports: State Analysis of Corn Price Response," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124661, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    27. MacDonald, Stephen & Isengildina-Massa, Olga, 2012. "Information Rigidity and Correcting Inefficiency in USDA’s Commodity Forecasts," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124890, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  59. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Joao, Martines-Filho, 2004. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans in 2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37507, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soft Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183427, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19037, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    3. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Hard Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183428, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Isengildina, Olga & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37489, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  60. Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2004. "The Cost Of Forward Contracting," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20409, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

    Cited by:

    1. Stringer, Chris & Sanders, Dwight, 2006. "Forward Contracting Costs for Illinois Corn and Soybeans: Implications for Producer Pricing Strategies," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2006, pages 1-8.
    2. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  61. Hagedorn, Lewis A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "The Marketing Performance Of Illinois Corn And Soybean Producers," 2004 Conference, April 19-20, 2004, St. Louis, Missouri 19029, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Klumpp, Joni M. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2005. "Determining Returns to Storage: USDA Data versus Micro Level Data," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19523, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

  62. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2004. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn in 2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37493, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soft Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183427, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19037, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    3. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Hard Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183428, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Isengildina, Olga & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37489, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  63. Isengildina, Olga & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37489, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "Efficient Portfolios of Market Advisory Services: An Application of Shrinkage Estimators," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19469, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Pascucci, Stefano & de-Magistris, Tiziana, 2011. "The effects of changing regional Agricultural Knowledge and Innovation System on Italian farmers’ strategies," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 104(9), pages 746-754.
    3. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Garcia, Philip & Frank, Julieta & Kuiper, W. Erno, 2005. "Complex Choices: Producers Risk Management Strategies," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19550, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Stark, Brian G. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2004. "Portfolios Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: How Much Diversification Is Enough?," 2004 Conference, April 19-20, 2004, St. Louis, Missouri 19013, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    5. Joost M.E. Pennings & Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia & Darrel L. Good, 2008. "Producers' complex risk management choices," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 31-54.
    6. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19037, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    7. Kliethermes, Brandon & Parcell, Joseph L. & Franken, Jason R.V., 2009. "Commercial Grain Merchandisers: What Do They Need to Know?," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53049, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    8. Joni M. Klumpp & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson, 2008. "Market Advisory Service Recommendations and Wheat Producers' Selling Decisions," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 56(1), pages 117-128, March.
    9. Klumpp, Joni M. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2005. "The Impact of Marketing Strategy Information on the Producer's Selling Decision," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19036, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    10. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  64. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "The Impact Of Marketing Advisory Service Recommendations On Producers' Marketing Decisions," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20389, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

    Cited by:

    1. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37485, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Garcia, Philip & Frank, Julieta & Kuiper, W. Erno, 2005. "Complex Choices: Producers Risk Management Strategies," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19550, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Xiaoli L. Etienne & Mindy L. Mallory & Scott H. Irwin, 2017. "Estimating the cost of pre‐harvest forward contracting corn and soybeans in Illinois before and after 2007," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 358-377, June.
    4. Zhang, Tong & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2006. "Heterogeneity in Producer's Marketing Strategy," 2006 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2006, Orlando, Florida 35299, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    5. Joost M.E. Pennings & Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia & Darrel L. Good, 2008. "Producers' complex risk management choices," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 31-54.
    6. Schulze, Birgit, 2011. "Dynamic Markets – Dynamic Relationships: The Example of Grain Marketing in Germany," 2011 International European Forum, February 14-18, 2011, Innsbruck-Igls, Austria 122001, International European Forum on System Dynamics and Innovation in Food Networks.
    7. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37456, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    8. Lewis T. Cunningham & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson & Emílio Tostão, 2008. "Gender differences in marketing styles," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 38(1), pages 1-7, January.
    9. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    10. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37484, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    11. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  65. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Does The Market Anticipate Smoothing In Usda Crop Production Forecasts?," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20145, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

    Cited by:

    1. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H Irwin, 2017. "Do Markets Correct for Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts? Evidence from Private Analysts and Futures Prices," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 39(4), pages 559-583.
    2. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.

  66. Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Stark, Brian G. & Shi, Wei & Webber, Rick L. & Hagedorn, Lewis A. & Williams, Steven L., 2003. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles For Corn Over 1995-2000," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14776, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soft Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183427, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19037, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    3. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Lewis T. Cunningham & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson & Emílio Tostão, 2008. "Gender differences in marketing styles," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 38(1), pages 1-7, January.
    5. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2001: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14770, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Hard Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183428, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Wei Shi & Scott H. Irwin, 2005. "Optimal Hedging with a Subjective View: An Empirical Bayesian Approach," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 87(4), pages 918-930.
    8. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2003: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37486, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    9. Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2004. "The Cost Of Forward Contracting," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20409, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    10. Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Irwin, Scott H., 2002. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2000," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14784, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    11. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  67. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Performance Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22256, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

    Cited by:

    1. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37485, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Li, Xin & Paulson, Nicholas, 2014. "Is Farm Management Skill Persistent?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170170, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Dietz, Sarah N. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008. "The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37622, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    4. Zulauf, Carl R. & Schnitkey, Gary D. & Norden, Carl T., 2006. "Price and Profit: Investigating a Conundrum," 2006 Conference, April 17-18, 2006, St. Louis, Missouri 19000, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    5. Cunningham, Lewis T., III & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2004. "Explaining Differences In Prices Received By Farmers: Testing Theory Based On Actual Farmer Transactions," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20275, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. Zhang, Tong & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2006. "Heterogeneity in Producer's Marketing Strategy," 2006 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2006, Orlando, Florida 35299, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    7. Schulze, Birgit, 2011. "Dynamic Markets – Dynamic Relationships: The Example of Grain Marketing in Germany," 2011 International European Forum, February 14-18, 2011, Innsbruck-Igls, Austria 122001, International European Forum on System Dynamics and Innovation in Food Networks.
    8. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19037, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    9. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    10. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2001: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14770, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    11. Franken, Jason R.V. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "Do Interest Rates Explain Disaggregate Commodity Price Growth?," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21319, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    12. Li, Xi & Paulson, Nicholas & Schnitkey, Gary, 2015. "Is Farm Management Skill Persistent?," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212047, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    13. Jacobs, Keri & Li, Ziran & Hayes, Dermot, 2016. "Price responses in forward contracting: do we limit the upside and expose the downside?," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235539, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    14. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    15. Isengildina, Olga & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37489, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    16. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    17. Webber, Ricky L. & Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2012. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Hogs Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183429, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    18. Klumpp, Joni M. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2005. "The Impact of Marketing Strategy Information on the Producer's Selling Decision," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19036, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    19. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37484, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    20. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  68. Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Stark, Brian G. & Shi, Wei & Webber, Rick L. & Hagedorn, Lewis A. & Williams, Steven L., 2003. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles For Soybeans Over 1995-2000," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14791, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37485, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soft Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183427, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19037, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Lewis T. Cunningham & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson & Emílio Tostão, 2008. "Gender differences in marketing styles," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 38(1), pages 1-7, January.
    6. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Hard Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183428, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Isengildina, Olga & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37489, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    8. Wei Shi & Scott H. Irwin, 2005. "Optimal Hedging with a Subjective View: An Empirical Bayesian Approach," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 87(4), pages 918-930.
    9. Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Irwin, Scott H., 2002. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2000," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14784, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    10. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37484, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  69. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2003. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: An Overview of Methods, Performance and Market Impacts," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37496, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2005," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37514, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14785, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183528, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  70. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2001: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14770, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

  71. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Zulauf, Carl R. & Schnitkey, Gary D. & Norden, Carl T., 2006. "Price and Profit: Investigating a Conundrum," 2006 Conference, April 17-18, 2006, St. Louis, Missouri 19000, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Zhang, Tong & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2006. "Heterogeneity in Producer's Marketing Strategy," 2006 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2006, Orlando, Florida 35299, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    3. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19037, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2001: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14770, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Franken, Jason R.V. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "Do Interest Rates Explain Disaggregate Commodity Price Growth?," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21319, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    8. Isengildina, Olga & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37489, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    9. Klumpp, Joni M. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2005. "The Impact of Marketing Strategy Information on the Producer's Selling Decision," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19036, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    10. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  72. Hagedorn, Lewis A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L. & Sherrick, Bruce J. & Schnitkey, Gary D., 2003. "New Generation Grain Marketing Contracts," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14782, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "Efficient Portfolios of Market Advisory Services: An Application of Shrinkage Estimators," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19469, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Stark, Brian G. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2004. "Portfolios Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: How Much Diversification Is Enough?," 2004 Conference, April 19-20, 2004, St. Louis, Missouri 19013, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    3. Anastassiadis, Friederieke & Feil, Jan-Henning & Musshoff, Oliver & Schilling, Philipp, 2013. "Analysing farmers' use of price hedging instruments: an experimental approach," DARE Discussion Papers 1306, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development (DARE).
    4. Elliott, Lisa & Elliott, Matthew & Slaa, Chad Te & Wang, Zhiguang, 2020. "New generation grain contracts in corn and soybean commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).

  73. Webber, Rick L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2003. "Evaluation Of Market Advisory Service Performance In Hogs," 2003 Conference, April 21-22, 2003, St. Louis, Missouri 18980, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Stark, Brian G. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2004. "Portfolios Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: How Much Diversification Is Enough?," 2004 Conference, April 19-20, 2004, St. Louis, Missouri 19013, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

  74. Stark, Brian G. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2003. "Portfolios Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: How Much Diversification Is Enough?," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14774, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  75. Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Irwin, Scott H., 2002. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2000," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14784, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "Efficient Portfolios of Market Advisory Services: An Application of Shrinkage Estimators," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19469, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Stark, Brian G. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2004. "Portfolios Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: How Much Diversification Is Enough?," 2004 Conference, April 19-20, 2004, St. Louis, Missouri 19013, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    3. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "The Impact Of Marketing Advisory Service Recommendations On Producers' Marketing Decisions," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20389, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "The Impact of Market Advisory Service Recommendations on Producers' Marketing Decisions," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(2), pages 1-20, August.
    5. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2001: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14770, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Kidd, Willis V. & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2002. "Can Structural Change Explain Changes In Returns To Technical Analysis?," 2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri 19066, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    8. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Performance Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22256, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    9. Kidd, Willis V. & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2002. "Can Structural Change Explain The Decrease In Returns To Technical Analysis?," 2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri 19059, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

  76. Schnitkey, Gary D. & Sherrick, Bruce J. & Irwin, Scott H., 2002. "Evaluation Of Risk Reductions Associated With Multi-Periol Crop Insurance Products," 2002 Annual meeting, July 28-31, Long Beach, CA 19778, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

    Cited by:

    1. Vedenov, Dmitry V. & Barnett, Barry J., 2004. "Efficiency of Weather Derivatives as Primary Crop Insurance Instruments," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(3), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Željko Kokot & Todor Marković & Sanjin Ivanović & Maja Meseldžija, 2020. "Whole-Farm Revenue Protection as a Factor of Economic Stability in Crop Production," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-11, August.
    3. Vedenov, Dmitry V. & Power, Gabriel J., 2008. "Risk-Reducing Effectiveness of Revenue versus Yield Insurance in the Presence of Government Payments," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(2), pages 443-459, August.
    4. Heidelbach, Olaf, 2007. "Efficiency of selected risk management instruments: An empirical analysis of risk reduction in Kazakhstani crop production," Studies on the Agricultural and Food Sector in Transition Economies, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO), volume 40, number 92323.
    5. Shaik, Saleem & Coble, Keith H. & Hudson, Darren & Miller, James C. & Hanson, Terrill R. & Sempier, Stephen H., 2008. "Willingness to Pay for a Potential Insurance Policy: Case Study of Trout Aquaculture," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-10, April.
    6. Lin, Shanshan & Mullen, Jeffrey D. & Hoogenboom, Gerrit, 2009. "Spatial and Temporal On-Farm Risk Management - Crop Production Scheduling and Index Insurance Strategies," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49350, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Carriazo, Fernando & Claassen, Roger & Cooper, Joseph C., 2009. "Crop Insurance, Disaster Payments, and Incentives for Land Use Change in Agriculture: A Preliminary Assessment," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49218, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Lin, Shanshan & Mullen, Jeffrey D. & Hoogenboom, Gerrit, 2008. "Farm-Level Risk Management Using Irrigation and Weather Derivatives," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(2), pages 1-8, August.
    9. Novak, James L. & Nadolnyak, Denis A. & McNider, Richard, 2008. "Analysis of Irrigated Corn Production Adoption Decisions in Alabama," 2008 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2008, Dallas, Texas 6756, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    10. Vedenov, Dmitry V., 2008. "Application of Copulas to Estimation of Joint Crop Yield Distributions," 2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida 6264, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    11. Heidelbach, Olaf, 2006. "Efficiency of Selected Risk Management Instruments - An Empirical Analysis of Risk Reduction in Kazakhstani Crop Production," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25243, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

  77. Egelkraut, Thorsten M. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2002. "An Evaluation Of Crop Forecast Accuracy For Corn And Soybeans: Usda And Private Information Services," 2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri 19068, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2005," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37514, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2003. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: An Overview of Methods, Performance and Market Impacts," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37496, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14785, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  78. Zanini, Fabio C. & Sherrick, Bruce J. & Schnitkey, Gary D. & Irwin, Scott H., 2001. "Crop Insurance Valuation Under Alternative Yield Distributions," 2001 Conference, April 23-24, 2001, St. Louis, Missouri 18953, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Phoebe Koundouri & Nikolaos Kourogenis, 2011. "On the Distribution of Crop Yields: Does the Central Limit Theorem Apply?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 93(5), pages 1341-1357.
    2. Clop-Gallart, M. Merce & Juarez-Rubio, Francisco, 2008. "Shape Persistence in Elicited Subjective Crop Yield Probability Density Functions," 2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium 44128, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. Tack, Jesse, 2013. "A Nested Test for Common Yield Distributions with Applications to U.S. Corn," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 38(1), pages 1-14, April.
    4. Mengmeng Qiang & Manhong Shen & Guanjun Xia, 2023. "The effectiveness of weather index insurance in managing mariculture production risk," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 67(2), pages 245-262, April.
    5. Bougherara, Douadia & Piet, Laurent, 2018. "On the role of probability weighting on WTP for crop insurance with and without yield skewness," Working Papers 279351, Institut National de la recherche Agronomique (INRA), Departement Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2).
    6. Kevin Donovan, 2011. "Risk, Farm Ownership, and International Productivity Differences," 2011 Meeting Papers 1088, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    7. Lysa Porth & Milton Boyd & Jeffrey Pai, 2016. "Reducing Risk Through Pooling and Selective Reinsurance Using Simulated Annealing: An Example from Crop Insurance," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 41(2), pages 163-191, September.
    8. Tack, Jesse B. & Ubilava, David, 2013. "El Ni˜no Southern Oscillation Impacts on Crop Insurance," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 151429, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Vitor Ozaki, 2009. "Pricing farm-level agricultural insurance: a Bayesian approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 231-242, May.
    10. David A. Hennessy, 2007. "Crop Yield Skewness under the Law of Minimum Technology," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 07-wp451, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    11. Huang, Pei & McCarl, Bruce A., 2014. "Estimating Decadal Climate Variability Effects on Crop Yields: A Bayesian Hierarchical Approach," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 169828, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    12. Gerlt, Scott & Westhoff, Patrick, 2013. "Analysis of the Supplemental Coverage Option," 2013 AAEA: Crop Insurance and the Farm Bill Symposium 156704, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Mitchell, Paul D. & Knight, Thomas O., 2008. "Economic Analysis of Supplemental Deductible Coverage as Recommended in the USDA's 2007 Farm Bill Proposal," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-15, April.
    14. Paloch Suchato & Taro Mieno & Karina Schoengold & Timothy Foster, 2022. "The potential for moral hazard behavior in irrigation decisions under crop insurance," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(2), pages 257-273, March.
    15. Qing Sun & Zaiqiang Yang & Xianghong Che & Wei Han & Fangmin Zhang & Fang Xiao, 2018. "Pricing weather index insurance based on artificial controlled experiment: a case study of cold temperature for early rice in Jiangxi, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 91(1), pages 69-88, March.
    16. Agarwal, Sandip Kumar, 2017. "Subjective beliefs and decision making under uncertainty in the field," ISU General Staff Papers 201701010800006248, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    17. Tor N. Tolhurst & Alan P. Ker, 2015. "On Technological Change in Crop Yields," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 97(1), pages 137-158.
    18. Chen, Shu-Ling & Miranda, Mario J., 2006. "Modeling Yield Distribution In High Risk Counties: Application To Texas Upland Cotton," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21392, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    19. Carriquiry, Miguel A. & Babcock, Bruce A. & Hart, Chad E., 2008. "Using a Farmer's Beta for Improved Estimation of Expected Yields," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 33(1), pages 1-17, April.
    20. Lei Xu & Qiao Zhang & Xi Zhang, 2011. "Evaluating agricultural catastrophic risk," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 3(4), pages 451-461, November.
    21. Yong Liu & Alan P. Ker, 2021. "Simultaneous borrowing of information across space and time for pricing insurance contracts: An application to rating crop insurance policies," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 88(1), pages 231-257, March.
    22. Ozaki, Vitor Augusto & Ghosh, Sujit K. & Goodwin, Barry K. & Shirota, Ricardo, 2005. "Spatio-Temporal Modeling Of Agricultural Yield Data With An Application To Pricing Crop Insurance Contracts," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19142, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    23. Jesse Tack & David Ubilava, 2013. "The effect of El Niño Southern Oscillation on U.S. corn production and downside risk," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(4), pages 689-700, December.
    24. Ker, Alan. P & Tolhurst, Tor & Liu, Yong, 2015. "Rating Area-yield Crop Insurance Contracts Using Bayesian Model Averaging and Mixture Models," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205211, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    25. Lanoue, Christopher & Sherrick, Bruce J. & Woodard, Joshua D. & Paulson, Nicholas D., 2010. "Evaluating Yield Models for Crop Insurance Rating," 2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado 61761, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    26. Awondo, Sebastain Nde & Datta, Gauri S. & Ramirez, Octavio A. & Fonsah, Esendugue Greg, 2012. "Estimation of crop yield distribution and Insurance Premium using Shrinkage Estimator: A Hierarchical Bayes and Small Area Estimation Approach," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 126778, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    27. Lobell, David B. & Ortiz-Monasterio, J. Ivan & Falcon, Walter P., 2007. "Yield uncertainty at the field scale evaluated with multi-year satellite data," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 92(1-3), pages 76-90, January.
    28. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2007. "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37563, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    29. Bokusheva, Raushan & Breustedt, Gunnar & Heidelbach, Olaf, 2006. "Measurement and Comparison of Risk Reduction by Means of Farm Yield, Area Yield, and Weather Index Crop Insurance Schemes - The Case of Kazakhstani Wheat Farms," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25523, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    30. Yong Liu & A. Ford Ramsey, 2023. "Incorporating historical weather information in crop insurance rating," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(2), pages 546-575, March.
    31. Lu, Yue & Ramirez, Octavio A. & Rejesus, Roderick M. & Knight, Thomas O. & Sherrick, Bruce J., 2008. "Empirically Evaluating the Flexibility of the Johnson Family of Distributions: A Crop Insurance Application," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-13, April.
    32. Chen, Xiaomei & Wang, H. Holly & Makus, Larry D., 2007. "Production Risk and Crop Insurance Effectiveness: Organic Versus Conventional Apples," SCC-76 Meeting, 2007, March 15-17, Gulf Shores, Alabama 9381, SCC-76: Economics and Management of Risk in Agriculture and Natural Resources.
    33. Gerlt, Scott & Thompson, Wyatt & Miller, Douglas, 2014. "Exploiting the Relationship between Farm-Level Yields and County-Level Yields for Applied Analysis," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(2), pages 1-18.
    34. Deng, Xiaohui & Barnett, Barry J. & Hoogenboom, Gerrit & Yu, Yingzhuo & Garcia, Axel, 2006. "Evaluating the Efficiency of Crop Index Insurance Products," 2006 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2006, Orlando, Florida 35333, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    35. Nadolnyak, Denis A. & Novak, James L. & Vedenov, Dmitry V. & Paz, Joel O. & Fraisse, Clyde W. & Hoogenboom, Gerrit, 2007. "Non-Parametric Analysis of ENSO Impacts on Yield Distributions: Implications for GRP Contract Design," 2007 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2007, Mobile, Alabama 34858, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    36. Peter J. Barry & Bruce J. Sherrick & Jianmei Zhao, 2009. "Integration of VaR and expected utility under departures from normality," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 40(6), pages 691-699, November.
    37. Myyra, Sami & Pietola, Kyosti, 2011. "Testing for Moral Hazard and Ranking Farms by Their Inclination to Collect Crop Damage Compensations," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114632, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    38. Boyer, Christopher M. & Lambert, Dayton M. & Larson, James A. & Tyler, Donald, 2017. "Investment Analysis of Long-term Cover Crops and Tillage Systems on Cotton Production," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258525, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    39. Lysa Porth & Milton Boyd & Jeffrey Pai, 2016. "Reducing Risk Through Pooling and Selective Reinsurance Using Simulated Annealing: An Example from Crop Insurance," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance Theory, Springer;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 41(2), pages 163-191, September.
    40. Arata, Linda & Fabrizi, Enrico & Sckokai, Paolo, 2020. "A worldwide analysis of trend in crop yields and yield variability: Evidence from FAO data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 190-208.
    41. Unknown, 2005. "Articles from Volume 1, Issue 2, 2005, Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development," Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, vol. 1(2).
    42. Jing Wang & Feng Fang & Qiang Zhang & Jinsong Wang & Yubi Yao & Wei Wang, 2016. "Risk evaluation of agricultural disaster impacts on food production in southern China by probability density method," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(3), pages 1605-1634, September.
    43. Ozaki, Vitor & Campos, Rogério, 2017. "Reduzindo a Incerteza no Mercado de Seguros: Uma Abordagem via Informações de Sensoriamento Remoto e Atuária," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 71(4), December.
    44. Jesse Tack & Rulon Pope & Jeffrey LaFrance & Ricardo Cavazos, 2014. "Modeling an Aggregate Agricultural Panel with Application to U.S. Farm Input Demands," Monash Economics Working Papers 23-14, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    45. Woodard, Joshua D. & Sherrick, Bruce J. & Schnitkey, Gary D., 2009. "Revenue Risk Reduction Impacts of Crop Insurance in a Multi-Crop Framework," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53043, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    46. Beach, Robert H. & Zhen, Chen & Thomson, Allison & Rejesus, Roderick M. & Sinha, Paramita & Lentz, Anthony W. & Vedenov, Dmitry V. & McCarl, Bruce A., 2010. "Climate Change Impacts on Crop Insurance," USDA Miscellaneous 338292, United States Department of Agriculture.
    47. Ji Guo & Jiajia Jin & Yinshan Tang & Xianhua Wu, 2019. "Design of Temperature Insurance Index and Risk Zonation for Single-Season Rice in Response to High-Temperature and Low-Temperature Damage: A Case Study of Jiangsu Province, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-13, April.
    48. Holden, Craig W. & Kim, Daniel S., 2017. "Performance share plans: Valuation and empirical tests," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 99-125.
    49. A. Ford Ramsey & Barry K. Goodwin, 2019. "Value-at-Risk and Models of Dependence in the U.S. Federal Crop Insurance Program," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-21, April.
    50. Ramirez, Octavio A. & Carpio, Carlos E. & Rejesus, Roderick M., 2009. "Can Crop Insurance Premiums be Reliably Estimated?," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49465, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    51. Vedenov, Dmitry V., 2008. "Application of Copulas to Estimation of Joint Crop Yield Distributions," 2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida 6264, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    52. Azadeh Falsafian & Mohammad Ghahremanzadeh & Taravat Aref Eshghi & Vali Rasooli Sharabiani & Mariusz Szymanek & Agata Dziwulska-Hunek, 2024. "Producer Welfare Benefits of Rating Area Yield Crop Insurance," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-21, September.
    53. Chen, Shu-Ling & Miranda, Mario J., 2008. "Modeling Texas Dryland Cotton Yields, With Application to Crop Insurance Actuarial Rating," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-14, April.
    54. Gerlt, Scott & Westhoff, Patrick, "undated". "Comparison of County ARC and SCO," 2014 AAEA: Crop Insurance and the 2014 Farm Bill Symposium: Implementing Change in U.S. Agricultural Policy, October 8-9, 2014, Louisville, KY 184289, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    55. Xuche Gong & David A. Hennessy & Hongli Feng, 2023. "Systemic risk, relative subsidy rates, and area yield insurance choice," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(3), pages 888-913, May.
    56. Belasco, Eric J., 2020. "WAEA Presidential Address: Moving Agricultural Policy Forward: Or, There and Back Again," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45(3), September.
    57. Tack, Jesse B. & Harri, Ardian & Coble, Keith H., 2012. "More than Mean Effects: Modeling the Effect of Climate on the Higher Order Moments of Crop Yields," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 123330, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    58. Ouedraogo, Frederic B. & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2014. "Bayesian Estimation of Optimal Nitrogen Rates with a Non-Normally Distributed Stochastic Plateau Function," 2014 Annual Meeting, February 1-4, 2014, Dallas, Texas 162447, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    59. Hao, Jianqiang & Bathke, Arne & Skees, Jerry R., 2005. "Modeling the Tail Distribution and Ratemaking: An Application of Extreme Value Theory," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19190, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    60. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    61. Hennessy, David A., 2009. "Crop Yield Skewness and the Normal Distribution," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 34(1), pages 1-19, April.
    62. Ramsey, Ford, 2014. "An Application of Kernel Density Estimation via Diffusion to Group Yield Insurance," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170173, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    63. Umarov, Alisher & Sherrick, Bruce J., 2005. "Farmers' Subjective Yield Distributions: Calibration and Implications for Crop Insurance Valuation," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19396, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    64. Egelkraut, Thorsten M. & Garcia, Philip & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Sherrick, Bruce J., 2006. "Producers' Yield and Yield Risk: Perceptions versus Reality and Crop Insurance Use," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21369, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    65. Christopher N. Boyer & B. Wade Brorsen & Emmanuel Tumusiime, 2015. "Modeling skewness with the linear stochastic plateau model to determine optimal nitrogen rates," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 46(1), pages 1-10, January.
    66. Walters, Cory G. & Preston, Richard, 2013. "Revenue Risk, Crop Insurance and Forward Contracting," 2013 AAEA: Crop Insurance and the Farm Bill Symposium 156821, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    67. Ghahremanzadeh, Mohammad & Mohammadrezaei, Rassul & Dashti, Ghader & Ainollahi, Moharram, 2018. "Designing a whole-farm revenue insurance for agricultural crops in Zanjan province of Iran," Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Spanish Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 17(02), January.

  79. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Gomez, Jennifer K., 2001. "The Value Of Usda Outlook Information: An Investigation Using Event Study Analysis," 2001 Conference, April 23-24, 2001, St. Louis, Missouri 18948, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Dorfmann, Jeffrey & Karali, Berna, 2015. "A Nonparametric Search for Information Effects from USDA Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-20.
    2. Karali, Berna, 2012. "Do USDA Announcements Affect Comovements Across Commodity Futures Returns?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-21, April.
    3. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2003. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: An Overview of Methods, Performance and Market Impacts," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37496, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R., 2002. "Usda Production Forecasts For Pork, Beef, And Broilers: An Evaluation," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 27(1), pages 1-14, July.
    5. Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R. & Boris, Keith, 2008. "Accuracy and efficiency in the U.S. Department of Energy's short-term supply forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 1192-1207, May.
    6. Pruitt, J. Ross & Tonsor, Glynn T. & Brooks, Kathleen R. & Johnson, Rachel J., 2013. "End User Preferences for USDA Market Information," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 143007, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    7. Pierrick Piette, 2019. "Can Satellite Data Forecast Valuable Information from USDA Reports ? Evidences on Corn Yield Estimates," Working Papers hal-02149355, HAL.
    8. Ferris, John N., 2010. "The USDA/Land Grant Extension Outlook Program -- A History and Assessment," 2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado 101723, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R., 2003. "USDA Livestock Price Forecasts: A Comprehensive Evaluation," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 28(2), pages 1-19, August.
    10. Ying, Jiahui & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, 2017. "A Temporal Impact Assessment Method for the Informational Content of USDA Reports in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258201, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.
    12. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14785, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    13. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19050, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

  80. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Gomez, Jennifer K., 2001. "The Role Of Market Advisory Services In Crop Marketing And Risk Management: A Preliminary Report Of Survey Results," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14772, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2001: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14770, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Irwin, Scott H., 2002. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2000," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14784, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Webber, Ricky L. & Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2012. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Hogs Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183429, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  81. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2001. "Modeling Farmers' Use of Market Advisory Services," 2001 Conference, April 23-24, 2001, St. Louis, Missouri 18950, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19037, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Todd H. Kuethe & Mitch Morehart, 2012. "The profit impacts of risk management tool adoption," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 72(1), pages 104-116, May.
    3. Joni M. Klumpp & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson, 2008. "Market Advisory Service Recommendations and Wheat Producers' Selling Decisions," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 56(1), pages 117-128, March.
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2003: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37486, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Klumpp, Joni M. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2005. "The Impact of Marketing Strategy Information on the Producer's Selling Decision," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19036, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

  82. Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2001. "1999 Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Servives For Wheat," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14788, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Dietz, Sarah N. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008. "The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37622, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "The Impact Of Marketing Advisory Service Recommendations On Producers' Marketing Decisions," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20389, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "The Impact of Market Advisory Service Recommendations on Producers' Marketing Decisions," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(2), pages 1-20, August.
    4. Joni M. Klumpp & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson, 2008. "Market Advisory Service Recommendations and Wheat Producers' Selling Decisions," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 56(1), pages 117-128, March.
    5. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Klumpp, Joni M. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2005. "The Impact of Marketing Strategy Information on the Producer's Selling Decision," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19036, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

  83. Jirik, Mark A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Jackson, Thomas E., 2001. "Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat The Market? Evidence From The Wheat Market Over 1995-1998," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14778, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2002. "Actual Farmer Market Timing," 2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri 19065, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  84. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Jirik, Mark A. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2000. "1998 Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services For Corn And Soybeans," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14793, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Dietz, Sarah N. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008. "The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37622, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Jirik, Mark A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2000. "The Performance Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services In Marketing Wheat," 2000 Conference, April 17-18 2000, Chicago, Illinois 18928, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa & Tomek, William G., 2001. "Income-Enhancing And Risk-Reducing Properties Of Marketing Practices," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20613, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Irwin, Scott H., 2002. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2000," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14784, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    8. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  85. Jirik, Mark A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2000. "The Performance Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services In Marketing Wheat," 2000 Conference, April 17-18 2000, Chicago, Illinois 18928, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Vergara, Oscar & Coble, Keith H. & Hudson, Darren & Knight, Thomas O. & Patrick, George F. & Baquet, Alan E., 2005. "Target Markets for Grain and Cotton Marketing Consultants and Market Information Systems," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 30(1), pages 1-17, April.
    3. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Isengildina, Olga & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37489, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  86. Zanini, Fabio C. & Irwin, Scott H. & Schnitkey, Gary D. & Sherrick, Bruce J., 2000. "Estimating Farm-Level Yield Distributions For Corn And Soybeans In Illinois," 2000 Annual meeting, July 30-August 2, Tampa, FL 21720, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

    Cited by:

    1. Chama CHIPETA & Daniel Francois MEYER, 2018. "Trade Openness, FDI and Exchange Rate Effects on Job Creation in South Africa's Tradable Sectors," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(4), pages 197-212.
    2. Chipeta Chama & Meyer Daniel Francois & Muzindutsi Paul-Francois, 2017. "The Effect of Exchange Rate Movements and Economic Growth on Job Creation," Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, Sciendo, vol. 62(2), pages 20-41, August.

  87. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Jackson, Thomas E., 2000. "The Private Sector Approach To Grain Marketing: The Case Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2000 Producer Marketing and Risk Management Conference, January 13-14, Orlando, FL 19579, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

    Cited by:

    1. Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa & Tomek, William G., 2001. "Income-Enhancing And Risk-Reducing Properties Of Marketing Practices," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20613, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa & Tomek, William G., 2001. "Income Enhancing and Risk Management Properties of Marketing Practices," 2001 Conference, April 23-24, 2001, St. Louis, Missouri 18963, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

  88. Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2000. "1999 Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services For Corn And Soybeans," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14779, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Vergara, Oscar & Coble, Keith H. & Hudson, Darren & Knight, Thomas O. & Patrick, George F. & Baquet, Alan E., 2005. "Target Markets for Grain and Cotton Marketing Consultants and Market Information Systems," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 30(1), pages 1-17, April.
    3. Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Irwin, Scott H., 2002. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2000," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14784, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  89. Holt, Bryce R. & Irwin, Scott H., 2000. "The Effects Of Futures Trading By Large Hedge Funds And Ctas On Market Volatility," 2000 Conference, April 17-18 2000, Chicago, Illinois 18935, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

    Cited by:

    1. Yiuman Tse & Michael Williams, 2011. "Does Index Speculation Impact Commodity Prices? An Intraday Futures Analysis Using intraday data, we find that unidirectional causality runs from commodity index linked commodity futures to non-index ," Working Papers 0007, College of Business, University of Texas at San Antonio.
    2. Kidd, Willis V. & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2004. "Why have the returns to technical analysis decreased?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(3), pages 159-176.
    3. Nardella, Michele, 2007. "Price efficiency and speculative trading in cocoa futures markets," 81st Annual Conference, April 2-4, 2007, Reading University, UK 7970, Agricultural Economics Society.
    4. Yiuman Tse & Michael R. Williams, 2013. "Does Index Speculation Impact Commodity Prices? An Intraday Analysis," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 48(3), pages 365-383, August.

  90. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Jackson, Thomas E., 2000. "Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat The Market? Evidence From The Corn And Soybean Markets Over 1995-1998," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14786, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa & Tomek, William G., 2001. "Income-Enhancing And Risk-Reducing Properties Of Marketing Practices," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20613, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa & Tomek, William G., 2001. "Income Enhancing and Risk Management Properties of Marketing Practices," 2001 Conference, April 23-24, 2001, St. Louis, Missouri 18963, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

  91. Jirik, Mark A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2000. "The 1995 Through 1998 Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services For Wheat," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14777, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Dietz, Sarah N. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008. "The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37622, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Jirik, Mark A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2000. "The Performance Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services In Marketing Wheat," 2000 Conference, April 17-18 2000, Chicago, Illinois 18928, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Irwin, Scott H., 2002. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2000," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14784, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  92. Bertoli, Roberto & Zuluaf, Carl R. & Irwin, Scott H. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Good, Darrel L., 1999. "The Marketing Style Of Advisory Services For Corn And Soybeans In 1995," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14792, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37485, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2004. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn in 2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37493, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Joao, Martines-Filho, 2004. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans in 2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37507, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soft Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183427, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Hard Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183428, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Performance Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22256, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Jackson, Thomas E., 2000. "The Private Sector Approach To Grain Marketing: The Case Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2000 Producer Marketing and Risk Management Conference, January 13-14, Orlando, FL 19579, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    8. Isengildina, Olga & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37489, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    9. Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2012. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Cattle Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183430, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    10. Webber, Ricky L. & Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2012. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Hogs Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183429, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    11. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37484, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  93. Irwin, Scott H. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Good, Darrel L., 1999. "Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat The Market? Evidence From The Corn And Soybean Markets Over 1995-1997," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14789, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Jackson, Thomas E., 2000. "The Private Sector Approach To Grain Marketing: The Case Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2000 Producer Marketing and Risk Management Conference, January 13-14, Orlando, FL 19579, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

  94. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 1999. "Surveying Farmers: A Research Note," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14781, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Heberling, Matthew & Shortle, James S. & Fisher, Ann, 2000. "The Effect Of The Number Of Choice Sets On Responses In A Stated Choice Survey," 2000 Annual meeting, July 30-August 2, Tampa, FL 21832, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

  95. Jackson, Thomas E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 1999. "1997 Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services For Corn And Soybeans," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14780, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Vergara, Oscar & Coble, Keith H. & Hudson, Darren & Knight, Thomas O. & Patrick, George F. & Baquet, Alan E., 2005. "Target Markets for Grain and Cotton Marketing Consultants and Market Information Systems," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 30(1), pages 1-17, April.
    2. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Jackson, Thomas E., 2000. "The Private Sector Approach To Grain Marketing: The Case Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2000 Producer Marketing and Risk Management Conference, January 13-14, Orlando, FL 19579, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Irwin, Scott H. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Good, Darrel L., 1999. "Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat The Market? Evidence From The Corn And Soybean Markets Over 1995-1997," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14789, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Irwin, Scott H., 2002. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2000," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14784, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    6. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  96. Jackson, Thomas E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 1998. "1996 Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services For Corn And Soybeans," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14787, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yoon, Byung-Sam & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2002. "Market Inversion in Commodity Futures Prices," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(3), pages 459-476, December.
    2. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Jackson, Thomas E., 1998. "Development Of A Market Benchmark Price For Agmas Performance Evaluations," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14783, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Bertoli, Roberto & Zuluaf, Carl R. & Irwin, Scott H. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Good, Darrel L., 1999. "The Marketing Style Of Advisory Services For Corn And Soybeans In 1995," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14792, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Jirik, Mark A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2000. "The Performance Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services In Marketing Wheat," 2000 Conference, April 17-18 2000, Chicago, Illinois 18928, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    6. Irwin, Scott H. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Good, Darrel L., 1999. "Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat The Market? Evidence From The Corn And Soybean Markets Over 1995-1997," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14789, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Tomek, William G. & Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa, 2000. "Risk Management in Agricultural Markets: A Survey," Staff Papers 121140, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    8. Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa & Tomek, William G., 2001. "Income-Enhancing And Risk-Reducing Properties Of Marketing Practices," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20613, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    9. Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Irwin, Scott H., 2002. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2000," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14784, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    10. Kastens, Terry L. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C., 1999. "Post-Harvest Grain Storing And Hedging With Efficient Futures," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 1-24, December.
    11. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  97. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Jackson, Thomas E., 1998. "Development Of A Market Benchmark Price For Agmas Performance Evaluations," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14783, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Jackson, Thomas E., 2000. "Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat The Market? Evidence From The Corn And Soybean Markets Over 1995-1998," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14786, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Jirik, Mark A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Jackson, Thomas E., 2001. "Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat The Market? Evidence From The Wheat Market Over 1995-1998," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14778, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Jackson, Thomas E., 2000. "The Private Sector Approach To Grain Marketing: The Case Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2000 Producer Marketing and Risk Management Conference, January 13-14, Orlando, FL 19579, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. Jirik, Mark A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2000. "The Performance Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services In Marketing Wheat," 2000 Conference, April 17-18 2000, Chicago, Illinois 18928, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    6. Irwin, Scott H. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Good, Darrel L., 1999. "Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat The Market? Evidence From The Corn And Soybean Markets Over 1995-1997," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14789, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    8. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  98. Carl R. Zulauf & Scott H. Irwin, 1997. "Market Efficiency and Marketing to Enhance Income of Crop Producers," Finance 9711004, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Gomez, Jennifer K., 2008. "The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-15, April.
    2. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Jackson, Thomas E., 2000. "Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat The Market? Evidence From The Corn And Soybean Markets Over 1995-1998," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14786, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Scott H. Irwin & Dwight R. Sanders, 2011. "Index Funds, Financialization, and Commodity Futures Markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(1), pages 1-31.
    4. McNew, Kevin & Musser, Wesley N., 2000. "Evidence Of Farmer Forward Pricing Behavior," Working Papers 28568, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    5. Lai, Jing-Yi & Myers, Robert J. & Hanson, Steven D., 2003. "Optimal On-Farm Grain Storage by Risk-Averse Farmers," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 28(3), pages 1-22, December.
    6. Jirik, Mark A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Jackson, Thomas E., 2001. "Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat The Market? Evidence From The Wheat Market Over 1995-1998," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14778, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Lewis T. Cunningham & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson & Emílio Tostão, 2008. "Gender differences in marketing styles," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 38(1), pages 1-7, January.
    8. Taylor, Mykel R. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C. & Kastens, Terry L., 2006. "Forecasting Crop Basis Using Historical Averages Supplemented with Current Market Information," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(3), pages 1-19, December.
    9. O'Brien, Daniel M., 2000. "Do Profitable Grain Marketing Strategies Exist For Kansas Crops?," 2000 Annual meeting, July 30-August 2, Tampa, FL 21758, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    10. McKenzie, Andrew M. & Holt, Matthew T., 1998. "Market Efficiency In Agricultural Futures Markets," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20933, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    11. Karali, Berna & McNew, Kevin & Thurman, Walter N., 2018. "Price Discovery and the Basis Effects of Failures to Converge in Soft RedWinter Wheat Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 43(1), January.
    12. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Performance Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22256, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    13. Jirik, Mark A. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2000. "The Performance Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services In Marketing Wheat," 2000 Conference, April 17-18 2000, Chicago, Illinois 18928, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    14. Jacobs, Keri & Li, Ziran & Hayes, Dermot, 2016. "Price responses in forward contracting: do we limit the upside and expose the downside?," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235539, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Joni M. Klumpp & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson, 2008. "Market Advisory Service Recommendations and Wheat Producers' Selling Decisions," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 56(1), pages 117-128, March.
    16. Nivens, Heather D. & Kastens, Terry L. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C., 2002. "Payoffs to Farm Management: How Important is Crop Marketing?," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(1), pages 193-204, April.
    17. Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Irwin, Scott H., 2002. "The Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services In Corn And Soybeans Over 1995-2000," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14784, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    18. Kastens, Terry L. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C., 1999. "Post-Harvest Grain Storing And Hedging With Efficient Futures," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 1-24, December.
    19. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  99. W. Bruce Canoles & Sarahelen R. Thompson & Scott H. Irwin & Virginia G. France & ., 1997. "An Analysis of the Profiles and Motivations of Habitual Commodity Speculators," Finance 9705001, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Stefan Reitz & Frank Westerhoff, 2007. "Commodity price cycles and heterogeneous speculators: a STAR–GARCH model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 231-244, September.
    2. Günter Bamberg & Gregor Dorfleitner, 2000. "Concentration on the nearby contract in financial futures markets: A stochastic model to explain the phenomenon," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 24(3), pages 246-259, September.
    3. Reitz, Stefan & Slopek, Ulf Dieter, 2008. "Nonlinear oil price dynamics: a tale of heterogeneous speculators?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2008,10, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    4. Heemeijer, Peter & Hommes, Cars & Sonnemans, Joep & Tuinstra, Jan, 2009. "Price stability and volatility in markets with positive and negative expectations feedback: An experimental investigation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 1052-1072, May.
    5. Vansteenkiste, Isabel, 2011. "What is driving oil futures prices? Fundamentals versus speculation," Working Paper Series 1371, European Central Bank.
    6. Cristian Wieland & Frank Westerhoff, 2004. "A behavioral cobweb model with heterogeneous speculators," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 171, Society for Computational Economics.
    7. Georg Lehecka, 2015. "Do hedging and speculative pressures drive commodity prices, or the other way round?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(2), pages 575-603, September.
    8. Ellen, Saskia ter & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2010. "Oil price dynamics: A behavioral finance approach with heterogeneous agents," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1427-1434, November.
    9. He, Xue-Zhong & Westerhoff, Frank H., 2005. "Commodity markets, price limiters and speculative price dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 29(9), pages 1577-1596, September.
    10. Westerhoff, Frank & Wieland, Cristian, 2010. "A behavioral cobweb-like commodity market model with heterogeneous speculators," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 1136-1143, September.

  100. Jackson, Thomas E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 1997. "1995 Pricing Performance Of Market Advisory Services For Corn And Soybeans," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14790, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Yoon, Byung-Sam & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2002. "Market Inversion in Commodity Futures Prices," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(3), pages 459-476, December.
    2. Bertoli, Roberto & Zuluaf, Carl R. & Irwin, Scott H. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Good, Darrel L., 1999. "The Marketing Style Of Advisory Services For Corn And Soybeans In 1995," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14792, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Jackson, Thomas E., 2000. "The Private Sector Approach To Grain Marketing: The Case Of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," 2000 Producer Marketing and Risk Management Conference, January 13-14, Orlando, FL 19579, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Good, Darrel L., 1999. "Do Agricultural Market Advisory Services Beat The Market? Evidence From The Corn And Soybean Markets Over 1995-1997," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14789, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Tomek, William G. & Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa, 2000. "Risk Management in Agricultural Markets: A Survey," Staff Papers 121140, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    6. Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa & Tomek, William G., 2001. "Income-Enhancing And Risk-Reducing Properties Of Marketing Practices," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20613, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Kastens, Terry L. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C., 1999. "Post-Harvest Grain Storing And Hedging With Efficient Futures," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 1-24, December.

  101. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin & Raymond M. Leuthold, 1997. "Noise Traders, Market Sentiment, and Futures Price Behavior," Finance 9707001, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Jiang, Rui & Wen, Conghua & Zhang, Ruonan & Cui, Yu, 2022. "Investor's herding behavior in Asian equity markets during COVID-19 period," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    2. Khasawneh, Ohoud Abdel Hafiez, 2017. "Noise trading in small markets: Evidence from Amman Stock Exchange (ASE)," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 422-428.
    3. Changyun Wang, 2001. "Investor Sentiment and Return Predictability in Agricultural Futures Markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(10), pages 929-952, October.
    4. Weiping Li & Wenwen Liu, 2021. "Investor sentiment‐styled index in index futures market," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(1), pages 51-72, January.
    5. Ahmed Salhin & Mo Sherif & Edward Jones, 2016. "Investor Sentiment and Sector Returns," CFI Discussion Papers 1602, Centre for Finance and Investment, Heriot Watt University.

  102. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin & Raymond M. Leuthold, 1996. "Noise Trader Demand in Futures Markets," Finance 9609001, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2002. "Actual Farmer Market Timing," 2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri 19065, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Olle Östensson, 2012. "The 2008 commodity price boom: did speculation play a role?," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 25(1), pages 17-28, July.
    3. Go, You-How & Lau, Wee-Yeap, 2020. "The impact of global financial crisis on informational efficiency: Evidence from price-volume relation in crude palm oil futures market," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
    4. Czarnitzki, Dirk & Stadtmann, Georg, 2000. "The behaviour of noise traders: empirical evidence on purchases of business magazines," ZEW Discussion Papers 00-65, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    5. Cristian Wieland & Frank Westerhoff, 2004. "A behavioral cobweb model with heterogeneous speculators," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 171, Society for Computational Economics.
    6. Yiuman Tse & Michael Williams, 2011. "Does Index Speculation Impact Commodity Prices? An Intraday Futures Analysis Using intraday data, we find that unidirectional causality runs from commodity index linked commodity futures to non-index ," Working Papers 0007, College of Business, University of Texas at San Antonio.
    7. Frechette, Darren L., 1999. "The Supply Of Storage Under Heterogeneous Expectations," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(3), pages 1-14, December.
    8. Yiuman Tse & Michael R. Williams, 2013. "Does Index Speculation Impact Commodity Prices? An Intraday Analysis," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 48(3), pages 365-383, August.
    9. Klumpp, Joni M. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2005. "The Impact of Marketing Strategy Information on the Producer's Selling Decision," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19036, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

  103. Irwin, Scott H. & Pelly, Robert A. & Zulauf, Carl R., 1989. "An Investigation of Pricing Models for Live Cattle and Feeder Cattle Options," Staff Papers 232393, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Li, Jian & Wang, Linjie, 2024. "Option pricing revisited: The role of price volatility and dynamics," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    2. Andrew M. McKenzie & Michael R. Thomsen & Michael K. Adjemian, 2022. "Characterizing implied volatility functions from agricultural options markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 104(5), pages 1605-1624, October.
    3. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Li, Jian & Wang, Linjie, 2024. "Option Pricing Revisited: The Role of Price Volatility and Dynamics," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343544, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  104. Joseph, Kishore & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, "undated". "Commodity Storage under Backwardation: Does the Working Curve Still Work?," 2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 103888, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Gouel, 2020. "The Value of Public Information in Storable Commodity Markets: Application to the Soybean Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(3), pages 846-865, May.
    2. Adjemian, Michael K. & Bruno, Valentina & Robe, Michel A. & Wallen, Jonathan, 2017. "What Drives Volatility Expectations in Grain and Oilseed Markets?," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258452, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Verteramo Chiu, Leslie J. & Tomek, William G., 2017. "Insights from Anticipatory Prices," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258115, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Athanasios Triantafyllou & George Dotsis & Alexandros Sarris, 2020. "Assessing the Vulnerability to Price Spikes in Agricultural Commodity Markets," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(3), pages 631-651, September.
    5. Covindassamy, Genevre & Robe, Michel A. & Wallen, Jonathan, 2016. "Sugar With Your Coffee?: Financials, Fundamentals, and Soft Price Uncertainty," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8588, Inter-American Development Bank.

  105. Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., "undated". "The Relationship between Commodity Investment Flows and Crude Oil Futures Prices: Real or Spurious?," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235933, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

    Cited by:

    1. Moses M. Kupabado & Juergen Kaehler, 2021. "Financialization, common stochastic trends, and commodity prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(12), pages 1988-2008, December.
    2. Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel & McCrorie, J. Roderick & Paraskevopoulos, Ioannis, 2020. "Mild explosivity in recent crude oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    3. Peng-Fei Dai & Xiong Xiong & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2020. "The role of global economic policy uncertainty in predicting crude oil futures volatility: Evidence from a two-factor GARCH-MIDAS model," Papers 2007.12838, arXiv.org.
    4. He, Huizi & Sun, Mei & Gao, Cuixia & Li, Xiuming, 2021. "Detecting lag linkage effect between economic policy uncertainty and crude oil price: A multi-scale perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 580(C).
    5. Christopher L. Gilbert, 2018. "Investor sentiment and market fundamentals: the impact of index investment on energy and metals markets," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 31(1), pages 87-102, May.
    6. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Lin, Jia-Juan, 2019. "Can the VAR model outperform MRS model for asset allocation in commodity market under different risk preferences of investors?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).

Articles

  1. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2017. "New Evidence that Index Traders Did Not Drive Bubbles in Grain Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 42(1), pages 1-23, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Fatima, Hira & Ahmed, Mumtaz, 2019. "Testing for Exuberance Behavior in Agricultural Commodities of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 95304, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Adjemian, Michael K. & Bruno, Valentina & Robe, Michel A. & Wallen, Jonathan, 2017. "What Drives Volatility Expectations in Grain and Oilseed Markets?," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258452, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Fan, John Hua & Mo, Di & Zhang, Tingxi, 2022. "The “necessary evil” in Chinese commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    4. Derek Bunn & Julien Chevallier & Yannick Le Pen & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "Fundamental and Financial Influences on the Co-movement of Oil and Gas prices," Post-Print hal-01619890, HAL.
    5. Fang, Ming & Lin, Yizhou & Chang, Chiu-Lan, 2023. "Positive and negative price bubbles of Chinese agricultural commodity futures," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 456-471.
    6. Wimmer, Thomas & Geyer-Klingeberg, Jerome & Hütter, Marie & Schmid, Florian & Rathgeber, Andreas, 2021. "The impact of speculation on commodity prices: A Meta-Granger analysis," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    7. Algirdas Justinas Staugaitis & Bernardas Vaznonis, 2022. "Short-Term Speculation Effects on Agricultural Commodity Returns and Volatility in the European Market Prior to and during the Pandemic," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-26, April.
    8. Zhuo Chen & Bo Yan & Hanwen Kang, 2023. "Price bubbles of agricultural commodities: evidence from China’s futures market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 195-222, January.
    9. Xiaojie Xu, 2020. "Corn Cash Price Forecasting," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(4), pages 1297-1320, August.

  2. Irwin, Scott, 2016. "The Profitability of Biodiesel Production in 2015," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott, . "Biodiesel Production Profits in 2019," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 10(21).

  3. Kishore Joseph & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2016. "Commodity Storage under Backwardation: Does the Working Curve Still Work?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 38(1), pages 152-173.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "The Competitive Position of Ethanol as an Octane Enhancer," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "More on the Competitive Position of Ethanol as an Octane Enhancer," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, February.
    2. Good, Darrel, 2016. "Weekly Outlook: Exports of Ethanol and Distillers' Grains Remain Strong," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, February.

  5. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2016. "The Crop Acreage Puzzle Revisited--With Implications for 2016," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott, 2021. "Where Did All the Crop Acres Go?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 11(95), June.

  6. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2016. "The "Necessity" of New Position Limits in Agricultural Futures Markets: The Verdict from Daily Firm-level Position Data," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 38(2), pages 292-317.

    Cited by:

    1. Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2022. "Sunshine vs. predatory trading effects in commodity futures markets: New evidence from index rebalancing," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    2. Irwin, Scott H., 2020. "Trilogy for troubleshooting convergence: Manipulation, structural imbalance, and storage rates," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).

  7. Irwin, Scott, 2016. "The Profitability of Ethanol Production in 2015," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "More on the Competitive Position of Ethanol as an Octane Enhancer," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, February.
    2. Cutz, L. & Tomei, J. & Nogueira, L.A.H., 2020. "Understanding the failures in developing domestic ethanol markets: Unpacking the ethanol paradox in Guatemala," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    3. Davison, Matt & Merener, Nicolas, 2023. "Equilibrium and real options in the ethanol industry: Modeling and empirical evidence," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).

  8. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "The New Upside-Down Relationship of Ethanol and Gasoline Prices," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "More on the Competitive Position of Ethanol as an Octane Enhancer," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, February.
    2. Good, Darrel, 2016. "Weekly Outlook: Exports of Ethanol and Distillers' Grains Remain Strong," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, February.
    3. Curtis McKnight & Feng Qiu & Marty Luckert & Grant Hauer, 2021. "Prices for a second‐generation biofuel industry in Canada: Market linkages between Canadian wheat and US energy and agricultural commodities," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 69(3), pages 337-351, September.
    4. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "The Competitive Position of Ethanol as an Octane Enhancer," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, February.

  9. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2016. "Using FSA Acreage Data to Project NASS January Planted Acreage Estimates for Corn and Soybeans," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Hubbs, Todd, 2020. "Using Preliminary FSA Data to Project Final Prevented Plant Acreage for Corn, Soybeans, and All Crops," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 10(153), August.
    2. Irwin, Scott & Hubbs, Todd, 2020. "Using Preliminary FSA Data to Project Final Planted Acreage for Corn and Soybeans," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 10(156), August.
    3. Irwin, Scott, 2021. "The Relationship of USDA Planted Acreage Revisions for Corn and Soybeans to Prevented Plant Acreage," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 11(69), April.
    4. Irwin, Scott, . "Using Preliminary August FSA Data to Project Final 2021 Planted Acreage for Corn and Soybeans," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 11(128).

  10. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.

  11. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Long-Term Corn Price Forecasts and the Farm Bill Program Choice," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2015. "Projecting the 2015-16 Corn Balance Sheet and Price Implications," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    2. Schnitkey, Gary, 2015. "Forecasts of 2015 Market Year Average Prices based on Projected Prices for Crop Insurance," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.
    3. Newton, John & Coppess, Jonathan & Schnitkey, Gary, 2015. "Decision Time on Farm Programs: A Closing Perspective on ARC-CO vs. PLC," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    4. Coppess, Jonathan & Schnitkey, Gary & Paulson, Nick & Newton, John & Zulauf, Carl, 2015. "Trying to Reason with Price Forecasts and Program Decisions," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    5. Zulauf, Carl, 2015. "The Case for Considering the Diversification of Crop Program Choice for a Crop," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.
    6. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Long-Term Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat Price Forecasts and the Farm Bill Program Choice," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.

  12. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    2. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Winter Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    3. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    4. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    5. Gonzalo Rondinone & Esteban Otto Thomasz & Ana Silvia Vilker, 2019. "The economic cost of extreme and severe droughts in soybean production in Argentina," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 64(1), pages 31-32, Enero-Mar.
    6. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2015. "Projecting the 2015-16 Corn Balance Sheet and Price Implications," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    7. Good, Darrel, 2015. "USDA Stocks and Acreage Estimates Smaller than Expected for Soybeans and Larger than Expected for Corn," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    8. Irwin, Scott & Hubbs, Todd, 2020. "How Sensitive Are Trend Yield Projections for U.S. Corn to the Starting Year of the Estimation Period?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 10(107), June.
    9. Manyowa N. Meki & Javier M. Osorio & Evelyn M. Steglich & James R. Kiniry, 2022. "Drought-Induced Nitrogen and Phosphorus Carryover Nutrients in Corn/Soybean Rotations in the Upper Mississippi River Basin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
    10. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2015. "Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    11. Irwin, Scott & Good, Scott, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Spring Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.

  13. Irwin, Scott & Good, Scott, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Spring Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    2. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Winter Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    3. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    4. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    5. Gonzalo Rondinone & Esteban Otto Thomasz & Ana Silvia Vilker, 2019. "The economic cost of extreme and severe droughts in soybean production in Argentina," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 64(1), pages 31-32, Enero-Mar.
    6. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2015. "Projecting the 2015-16 Corn Balance Sheet and Price Implications," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    7. Good, Darrel, 2015. "USDA Stocks and Acreage Estimates Smaller than Expected for Soybeans and Larger than Expected for Corn," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    8. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2015. "Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.

  14. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2015. "The Acreage Puzzle," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2016. "The Crop Acreage Puzzle Revisited--With Implications for 2016," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, January.
    2. Irwin, Scott, 2021. "Where Did All the Crop Acres Go?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 11(95), June.
    3. Irwin, Scott, 2021. "Estimating Total Crop Acres in the U.S," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 11(91), June.

  15. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2015. "Progression of USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Prospects for Final Estimates for 2015," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, October.

    Cited by:

    1. GwanSeon Kim & Mehdi Nemati & Steven Buck & Nicholas Pates & Tyler Mark, 2020. "Recovering Forecast Distributions of Crop Composition: Method and Application to Kentucky Agriculture," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-17, April.
    2. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2016. "Using FSA Acreage Data to Project NASS January Planted Acreage Estimates for Corn and Soybeans," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, January.

  16. Mindy L. Mallory & Wenjiao Zhao & Scott H. Irwin, 2015. "The Cost of Post‐Harvest Forward Contracting in Corn and Soybeans," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 47-62, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Xiaoli L. Etienne & Mindy L. Mallory & Scott H. Irwin, 2017. "Estimating the cost of pre‐harvest forward contracting corn and soybeans in Illinois before and after 2007," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 358-377, June.
    2. Coffey, Brian K. & Tonsor, Glynn T. & Schroeder, Ted C., 2018. "Impacts of Changes in Market Fundamentals and Price Momentum on Hedging Live Cattle," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 43(1), January.
    3. Caroline Roussy & Aude Ridier & Karim Chaib & Marie Boyet, 2018. "Marketing contracts and risk management for cereal producers," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 616-630, June.
    4. Jacobs, Keri & Li, Ziran & Hayes, Dermot, 2016. "Price responses in forward contracting: do we limit the upside and expose the downside?," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235539, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Hungerford, Ashley & Rosch, Stephanie, 2016. "The Effect of Crop Insurance Premium Subsidies on Soybean Producers' Risk Management Portfolios," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235341, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Roussy, Caroline & Rider, Aude & Chaib, Karim & Boyet, Marie, 2017. "Marketing Contracts and Risk Management for Cereal Producers," 2017 International Congress, August 28-September 1, 2017, Parma, Italy 261106, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

  17. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "What if the EPA Implements RFS Mandates for Renewable Fuels at Statutory Levels?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Moschini, GianCarlo & Lapan, Harvey & Kim, Hyunseok, 2016. "The Renewable Fuel Standard: Market and Welfare Effects of Alternative Policy Scenarios," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235721, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Bielen, David A. & Newell, Richard G. & Pizer, William A., 2018. "Who did the ethanol tax credit benefit? An event analysis of subsidy incidence," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 1-14.
    3. Paulson, Nick, 2015. "2015 1st Quarter RIN Update," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.

  18. Xiaoli L. Etienne & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2015. "Price Explosiveness, Speculation, and Grain Futures Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 97(1), pages 65-87.

    Cited by:

    1. Wen, Jun & Khalid, Samia & Mahmood, Hamid & Zakaria, Muhammad, 2021. "Symmetric and asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on food prices in China: A new evidence," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    2. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2016. "Tests for explosive financial bubbles in the presence of non-stationary volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 548-574.
    3. Yang Hu, 2023. "A review of Phillips‐type right‐tailed unit root bubble detection tests," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 141-158, February.
    4. Martin T. Bohl & Martin Stefan, 2020. "Return dynamics during periods of high speculation in a thinly traded commodity market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 145-159, January.
    5. Peter C.B. Phillips & Shuping Shi, 2018. "Real Time Monitoring of Asset Markets: Bubbles and Crises," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2152, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    6. Escobari, Diego & Garcia, Sergio & Mellado, Cristhian, 2017. "Identifying bubbles in Latin American equity markets: Phillips-Perron-based tests and linkages," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 90-101.
    7. Long, Shaobo & Guo, Jiaqi, 2022. "Infectious disease equity market volatility, geopolitical risk, speculation, and commodity returns: Comparative analysis of five epidemic outbreaks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    8. Pies, Ingo, 2015. "Kommentar zur Spekulation mit Agrarrohstoffen: Eine Replik auf Christian Conrad," Discussion Papers 2015-11, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
    9. Jian Li & Jean-Paul Chavas & Xiaoli L. Etienne & Chongguang Li, 2017. "Commodity price bubbles and macroeconomics: evidence from the Chinese agricultural markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 48(6), pages 755-768, November.
    10. Anna Creti & Marc Joëts, 2017. "Multiple bubbles in the European Union Emission Trading Scheme," Post-Print hal-01549809, HAL.
    11. Emily J. Whitehouse & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2023. "Real‐Time Monitoring of Bubbles and Crashes," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 482-513, June.
    12. Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel & McCrorie, J. Roderick & Paraskevopoulos, Ioannis, 2020. "Mild explosivity in recent crude oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    13. Mao, Qianqian & Loy, Jens-Peter & Glauben, Thomas & Ren, Yanjun, 2023. "Are futures markets functioning well for agricultural perishables? Evidence from China's apple futures market," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 69(12), pages 471-484.
    14. Goyal, Raghav & Steinbach, Sandro, 2023. "Agricultural commodity markets in the wake of the black sea grain initiative," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    15. Liu, Pan & Power, Gabriel J. & Vedenov, Dmitry, 2021. "Fair-weather Friends? Sector-specific volatility connectedness and transmission," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 712-736.
    16. Yujie Chen & Jiangwei Tang, 2024. "Will the financialisation of agricultural products exacerbate food security risks? Empirical analysis from major grain-producing countries worldwide," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 70(4), pages 178-186.
    17. Bohl Martin T., 2016. "Treiben Indexfonds Agrarrohstoffpreise? Nein!," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 155-171, July.
    18. Skrobotov Anton, 2023. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, January.
    19. Anton Skrobotov, 2022. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Papers 2207.08249, arXiv.org.
    20. Irwin, Scott H., 2020. "Trilogy for troubleshooting convergence: Manipulation, structural imbalance, and storage rates," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
    21. M.B. Dastagiri & L. Bhavigna, 2019. "The Theory of Agricultural Price Bubble & Price Crash in Global Economy," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 6(5), pages 168-176, September.
    22. Ana I. Sanjuán-López & Philip J. Dawson, 2017. "Volatility Effects of Index Trading and Spillovers on US Agricultural Futures Markets: A Multivariate GARCH Approach," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(3), pages 822-838, September.
    23. Fang, Ming & Lin, Yizhou & Chang, Chiu-Lan, 2023. "Positive and negative price bubbles of Chinese agricultural commodity futures," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 456-471.
    24. Algieri, Bernardina & Kalkuhl, Matthias & Koch, Nicolas, 2015. "A Tale for Two Tails: Explaining Extreme Events in Financialized Agricultural markets," 2015 Conference (59th), February 10-13, 2015, Rotorua, New Zealand 202529, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    25. Lai, Tianyun & Hu, Zhepeng, 2024. "Nitrogen Fertilizer Price Bubbles and Contributing Factors: Evidence from the Chinese Urea Fertilizer Market," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343535, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    26. Ma, Richie Ruchuan & Xiong, Tao, 2021. "Price explosiveness in nonferrous metal futures markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 75-90.
    27. Jeanne Diesteldorf & Sarah Meyer & Jan Voelzke, 2016. "New evidence for explosive behavior of commodity prices," CQE Working Papers 5016, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    28. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Whitehouse, Emily J., 2020. "Date-stamping multiple bubble regimes," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 226-246.
    29. Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel & McCrorie, J. Roderick, 2016. "The shine of precious metals around the global financial crisis," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 717-738.
    30. Zhuo Chen & Bo Yan & Hanwen Kang, 2023. "Price bubbles of agricultural commodities: evidence from China’s futures market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 195-222, January.
    31. Dimpfl, Thomas & Flad, Michael & Jung, Robert C., 2017. "Price discovery in agricultural commodity markets in the presence of futures speculation," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 50-62.
    32. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Farhangdoost, Sara & Hoffman, Linwood A. & Adam, Brian D., 2023. "Forecasting the U.S. season-average farm price of corn: Derivation of an alternative futures-based forecasting model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    33. Alexakis, Christos & Bagnarosa, Guillaume & Dowling, Michael, 2017. "Do cointegrated commodities bubble together? the case of hog, corn, and soybean," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 96-102.
    34. Martin T. Bohl & Martin Stefan, 2018. "Return Dynamics During Periods of High Speculation in a Thinly-Traded Commodity Market," CQE Working Papers 7418, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    35. Apperson, George P., 2017. "Agricultural Commodity Futures Price Volatility: A Market Regulatory Policy Study," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258210, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  19. Xiaoli Liao Etienne & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2015. "$25 spring wheat was a bubble, right?," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 75(1), pages 114-132, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Fatima, Hira & Ahmed, Mumtaz, 2019. "Testing for Exuberance Behavior in Agricultural Commodities of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 95304, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Joshua G. Maples & B. Wade Brorsen, 2022. "Handling the discontinuity in futures prices when time series modeling of commodity cash and futures prices," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 70(2), pages 139-152, June.

  20. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Why Isn't the Price of Ethanol RINs Plummeting?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott, . "Biodiesel Production Profits in 2019," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 10(21).
    2. Gerveni, Maria & Serra, Teresa & Irwin, Scott H. & Hubbs, Todd, 2023. "Price connectedness in U.S. ethanol terminal markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).

  21. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "Why is the Price of Biodiesel RINs Plummeting?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott, 2022. "2021 Was a Devastating Year for Biodiesel Production Profits," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 12(21), February.
    2. Irwin, Scott, . "Biodiesel Production Profits in 2019," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 10(21).
    3. Irwin, Scott, . "Biodiesel Production Profits in 2020: A Real Rollercoaster Ride," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 11(17).
    4. Irwin, Scott, 2016. "The Profitability of Biodiesel Production in 2015," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, February.
    5. Franken, Jason R.V. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2021. "Biodiesel hedging under binding renewable fuel standard mandates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).

  22. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "RINs Gone Wild? (round 2)," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Coppess, Jonathan & Irwin, Scott, 2020. "EPA and the Small Refinery Exemption Issue in the Renewable Fuel Standard Mandates," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 10(46), March.
    2. Paulson, Nick, 2016. "2015 Year End RIN Update," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    3. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "The New Upside-Down Relationship of Ethanol and Gasoline Prices," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, January.

  23. Philip Garcia & Scott H. Irwin & Aaron Smith, 2015. "Futures Market Failure?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 97(1), pages 40-64.

    Cited by:

    1. Shrestha, Keshab & Subramaniam, Ravichandran & Thiyagarajan, Thangarajah, 2020. "Price Discovery in Agricultural Markets," American Business Review, Pompea College of Business, University of New Haven, vol. 23(1), pages 53-69, May.
    2. Xiaoli L. Etienne & Mindy L. Mallory & Scott H. Irwin, 2017. "Estimating the cost of pre‐harvest forward contracting corn and soybeans in Illinois before and after 2007," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 358-377, June.
    3. Shi, Ruoding & Isengildina Massa, Olga, 2018. "Double-Edged Sword: Liquidity Implications of Futures Hedging," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274106, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Joshua G. Maples & B. Wade Brorsen, 2022. "Handling the discontinuity in futures prices when time series modeling of commodity cash and futures prices," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 70(2), pages 139-152, June.
    5. Main, Scott & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Smith, Aaron, 2018. "Financialization and the returns to commodity investments," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 22-28.
    6. van Huellen, Sophie, 2019. "Price discovery in commodity futures and cash markets with heterogeneous agents," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 1-13.
    7. Ziliang Yu & Jian Yang & Robert I. Webb, 2023. "Price discovery in China's crude oil futures markets: An emerging Asian benchmark?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 297-324, March.
    8. Bernardina Algieri & Matthias Kalkuhl, 2019. "Efficiency and Forecast Performance of Commodity Futures Markets," American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, Science Publications, vol. 11(1), pages 19-34, June.
    9. Carter, Colin A & Rausser, Gordon C & Smith, Aaron, 2017. "Commodity Storage and the Market Effects of Biofuel Policies," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt61t114zb, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
    10. Jian Yang & Zheng Li & Tao Wang, 2021. "Price discovery in chinese agricultural futures markets: A comprehensive look," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(4), pages 536-555, April.
    11. A.N. Vijayakumar, 2023. "Declining trade interest in Indian commodity derivatives: a survey-based study on cardamom futures contract," Global Business and Economics Review, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 28(3), pages 333-346.
    12. Ortiz, Laura Villegas, 2016. "No Train No Grain: The Impact Of Increased Demand For Rail Services By The Energy Sector On Wheat Prices—A Preliminary Analysis," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 4(3), pages 1-23, July.
    13. Shi, Ruoding & Isengildina Massa, Olga, 2022. "Costs of Futures Hedging in Corn and Soybean Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 47(2), May.
    14. Jędrzej Białkowski & Jan Koeman, 2017. "Does the Design of Spot Markets Matter for the Success of Futures Markets? Evidence from Dairy Futures," Working Papers in Economics 17/18, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    15. Christophe Gouel & Nicolas Legrand, 2022. "The Role of Storage in Commodity Markets: Indirect Inference Based on Grains Data," Working Papers 2022-04, CEPII research center.
    16. Jędrzej Białkowski & Jan Koeman, 2018. "Does the design of spot markets matter for the success of futures markets? Evidence from dairy futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 373-389, March.
    17. Sophie van Huellen, 2018. "How financial investment distorts food prices: evidence from U.S. grain markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(2), pages 171-181, March.
    18. Irwin, Scott H., 2020. "Trilogy for troubleshooting convergence: Manipulation, structural imbalance, and storage rates," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
    19. Scott H. Irwin & Dwight R. Sanders & Aaron Smith & Scott Main, 2020. "Returns to Investing in Commodity Futures: Separating the Wheat from the Chaff," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(4), pages 583-610, December.
    20. Osama Ahmed, 2021. "Assessing the Current Situation of the World Wheat Market Leadership: Using the Semi-Parametric Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-21, January.
    21. Trin Sittisawad & Pariyada Sukcharoensin, 2018. "Success Factors of Financial Derivatives Markets in Asia," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 25(2), pages 71-86, June.
    22. Zhige Wu & Alex Maynard & Alfons Weersink & Getu Hailu, 2018. "Asymmetric spot‐futures price adjustments in grain markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(12), pages 1549-1564, December.
    23. Goswami, Alankrita & Karali, Berna & Adjemian, Michael K., 2023. "Hedging with futures during nonconvergence in commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    24. Bahman Angoshtari & Tim Leung, 2018. "Optimal Dynamic Basis Trading," Papers 1809.05961, arXiv.org, revised May 2019.
    25. Hayhurst, Emma & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2023. "Resilience of Grain Storage Markets to Upheaval in Futures Markets," Research on World Agricultural Economy, Nan Yang Academy of Sciences Pte Ltd (NASS), vol. 4(2), April.
    26. Zhepeng Hu & Mindy Mallory & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2017. "Measuring Price Discovery between Nearby and Deferred Contracts in Storable and Non-Storable Commodity Futures Markets," Papers 1711.03506, arXiv.org.
    27. Goswami, Alankrita & Adjemian, Michael K. & Karali, Berna, 2022. "The impact of futures contract storage rate policy on convergence expectations in domestic commodity markets," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    28. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Farhangdoost, Sara & Hoffman, Linwood A. & Adam, Brian D., 2023. "Forecasting the U.S. season-average farm price of corn: Derivation of an alternative futures-based forecasting model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    29. Ahmed, Osama, 2021. "Assessing the current situation of the world wheat market leadership: Using the semi-parametric approach," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 9(2).
    30. Huda, Md Nazmul & Hossain, Sayed Mohammad Athar & Shaturaev, Jakhongir, 2023. "Effect of Commodity Exchange on the Economy- Prospects and Challenges," MPRA Paper 118331, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Mar 2023.
    31. Choe, Kyoungin & Goodwin, Barry K., 2024. "Convergence Bias in Lean Hog Futures: Are Hog Prices Reliable?," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343733, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    32. Zhou, Xinquan & Bagnarosa, Guillaume & Gohin, Alexandre & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Debie, Philippe, 2023. "Microstructure and high-frequency price discovery in the soybean complex," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    33. Burns, Christopher B. & Kane, Stephen, 2022. "Arbitrage breakdown in WTI crude oil futures: An analysis of the events on April 20, 2020," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).

  24. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Winter Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Gonzalo Rondinone & Esteban Otto Thomasz & Ana Silvia Vilker, 2019. "The economic cost of extreme and severe droughts in soybean production in Argentina," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 64(1), pages 31-32, Enero-Mar.
    2. Irwin, Scott & Good, Scott, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Spring Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.

  25. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Long-Term Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat Price Forecasts and the Farm Bill Program Choice," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Williams, Brian R. & Pounds-Barnett, Gayle, 2023. "Producer Supply Response for Area Planted of Seven Major U.S. Crops," Economic Research Report 340567, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    2. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2015. "Projecting the 2015-16 Corn Balance Sheet and Price Implications," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    3. Schnitkey, Gary, 2015. "Forecasts of 2015 Market Year Average Prices based on Projected Prices for Crop Insurance," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.
    4. Boussios, David & Skorbiansky, Sharon Raszap & MacLachlan, Matthew, 2021. "Evaluating U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Long-Term Forecasts for U.S. Harvested Area," Economic Research Report 327201, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    5. Newton, John & Coppess, Jonathan & Schnitkey, Gary, 2015. "Decision Time on Farm Programs: A Closing Perspective on ARC-CO vs. PLC," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    6. Coppess, Jonathan & Schnitkey, Gary & Paulson, Nick & Newton, John & Zulauf, Carl, 2015. "Trying to Reason with Price Forecasts and Program Decisions," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    7. Zulauf, Carl, 2015. "The Case for Considering the Diversification of Crop Program Choice for a Crop," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.

  26. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2015. "Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Nelson, Rohan & Cameron, Andrew & Xia, Charley & Gooday, Peter, 2022. "The ABARES Approach to Forecasting Agricultural Commodity Markets," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 30(6), November.
    2. Jesse Tack & Keith H. Coble & Robert Johansson & Ardian Harri & Barry J. Barnett, 2019. "The Potential Implications of “Big Ag Data” for USDA Forecasts," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(4), pages 668-683, December.

  27. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "The Real Price of Natural Gas," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Zulauf, Carl, 2015. "Declining Real Cash Cost of Producing Corn, Soybean, and Wheat: Historical Perspective and Potential Implications for the Future," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, November.

  28. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2015. "The Relationship between Stocks-to-Use and Corn Prices Revisited," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Flanders, Archie, 2017. "Equilibrium Analysis of Stocks-to-Use and Price for Long-Grain Rice," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2017.
    2. Janzen, Joe, . "What Happens When USDA Updates Yield Expectations?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 12(105).
    3. Newton, John, 2015. "Could the Corn Carryout Really Reach Two Billion Bushels?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    4. Janzen, Joe, . "Yield News Now, Demand News to Come," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 12(122).

  29. Linwood A. Hoffman & Xiaoli L. Etienne & Scott H. Irwin & Evelyn V. Colino & Jose I. Toasa, 2015. "Forecast performance of WASDE price projections for U.S. corn," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 46(S1), pages 157-171, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Adjemian, Michael K. & Bruno, Valentina G. & Robe, Michel A., 2016. "Forward‐Looking USDA Price Forecasts," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235931, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Albuquerquemello, Vinícius Phillipe de & Medeiros, Rennan Kertlly de & Jesus, Diego Pitta de & Oliveira, Felipe Araujo de, 2022. "The role of transition regime models for corn prices forecasting," Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural (RESR), Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural, vol. 60(2), January.
    3. Arnade, Carlos & Hoffman, Linwood & Effland, Anne, 2021. "The Impact of Public Information on Commodity Market Performance: The Response of Corn Futures to USDA Corn Production Forecasts," Economic Research Report 327189, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    4. Troy G. Schmitz, 2018. "Impact of the 2014 Suspension Agreement on sugar between the United States and Mexico," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(1), pages 55-69, January.
    5. Paolo Libenzio Brignoli & Alessandro Varacca & Cornelis Gardebroek & Paolo Sckokai, 2024. "Machine learning to predict grains futures prices," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 55(3), pages 479-497, May.
    6. Adrian Fernandez‐Perez & Bart Frijns & Ivan Indriawan & Alireza Tourani‐Rad, 2019. "Surprise and dispersion: informational impact of USDA announcements," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 50(1), pages 113-126, January.
    7. Irina Pilvere & Aleksejs Nipers & Agnese Krievina & Ilze Upite & Daniels Kotovs, 2022. "LASAM Model: An Important Tool in the Decision Support System for Policymakers and Farmers," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-26, May.
    8. Xiaojie Xu, 2017. "Short-run price forecast performance of individual and composite models for 496 corn cash markets," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(14), pages 2593-2620, October.
    9. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.
    10. Tianyang Zhang & Ziran Li, 2022. "Can a rational expectation storage model explain the USDA ending grain stocks forecast errors?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 313-337, March.
    11. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Farhangdoost, Sara & Hoffman, Linwood A. & Adam, Brian D., 2023. "Forecasting the U.S. season-average farm price of corn: Derivation of an alternative futures-based forecasting model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    12. Xiaokang Hou & Shah Fahad & Peipei Zhao & Beibei Yan & Tianjun Liu, 2022. "The Trilogy of the Chinese Apple Futures Market: Price Discovery, Risk-Hedging and Cointegration," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-16, October.

  30. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "2014 Really Was an Amazing Year for Ethanol Production Profits," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "More on the Competitive Position of Ethanol as an Octane Enhancer," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, February.
    2. Paulson, Nick, 2015. "2015 1st Quarter RIN Update," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    3. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "The Real Price of Natural Gas," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, November.
    4. Irwin, Scott, 2016. "The Profitability of Ethanol Production in 2015," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, January.

  31. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "Where Are Diesel Prices Headed?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "Why are Gasoline and Diesel Prices So High? (Relative to Crude Oil Prices)," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, October.

  32. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    2. Irwin, Scott & Hubbs, Todd, 2020. "How Sensitive Are Trend Yield Projections for U.S. Soybeans to the Starting Year of the Estimation Period?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 10(111), June.
    3. Newton, Jonathan & Kuethe, Todd, 2015. "The Footprint of Chinese Demand for U.S. Soybeans," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    4. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Winter Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    5. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    6. Gonzalo Rondinone & Esteban Otto Thomasz & Ana Silvia Vilker, 2019. "The economic cost of extreme and severe droughts in soybean production in Argentina," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 64(1), pages 31-32, Enero-Mar.
    7. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2015. "Projecting the 2015-16 Corn Balance Sheet and Price Implications," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    8. Good, Darrel, 2015. "USDA Stocks and Acreage Estimates Smaller than Expected for Soybeans and Larger than Expected for Corn," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    9. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2015. "Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    10. Irwin, Scott & Good, Scott, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Spring Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.

  33. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Further Evidence on the Competitiveness of Ethanol in Gasoline Blends," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "The Competitive Position of Ethanol as an Octane Enhancer," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, February.
    2. Beckman, Jayson, 2015. "Biofuel Use in International Markets: The Importance of Trade," Economic Information Bulletin 262114, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "The New Upside-Down Relationship of Ethanol and Gasoline Prices," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, January.
    4. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "2014 Really Was an Amazing Year for Ethanol Production Profits," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.

  34. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "The Profitability of Biodiesel Production in 2014," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, January.

    Cited by:

    1. Beckman, Jayson, 2015. "Biofuel Use in International Markets: The Importance of Trade," Economic Information Bulletin 262114, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    2. Irwin, Scott, 2016. "The Profitability of Biodiesel Production in 2015," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, February.

  35. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Ethanol Production Profits: The Risk from Lower Prices of Distillers Grains," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.

    Cited by:

    1. Popp, József & Harangi–Rákos, Mónika & Antal, Gabriella & Balogh, Péter & Lengyel, Péter & Oláh, Judit, 2016. "Substitution Of Traditional Animal Feed With Co-Products Of Biofuel Production: Economic, Land-Use And Ghg Emissions Implications," Journal of Central European Green Innovation, Karoly Robert University College, vol. 4(3), pages 1-17.

  36. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2015. "Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    2. Newton, John & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2014. "Do Big Soybean Crops Always Get Bigger?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-7, September.

  37. Xiaoyang Wang & Philip Garcia & Scott H. Irwin, 2014. "The Behavior of Bid-Ask Spreads in the Electronically-Traded Corn Futures Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 96(2), pages 557-577.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehdi Arzandeh & Julieta Frank, 2019. "Price Discovery in Agricultural Futures Markets: Should We Look beyond the Best Bid-Ask Spread?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 101(5), pages 1482-1498.
    2. Indriawan, Ivan & Martinez, Valeria & Tse, Yiuman, 2021. "The impact of the change in USDA announcement release procedures on agricultural commodity futures," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    3. Li, Miao & Xiong, Tao, 2023. "Is China's new live hog futures market efficient? Evidence from an analysis of market quality, price discovery and hedging effectiveness," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 68(01), September.
    4. Rashmi Ranjan Paital & Naresh Kumar Sharma, 2016. "Bid-Ask Spreads, Trading Volume and Return Volatility: Intraday Evidence from Indian Stock Market," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 4(1), pages 24-40.
    5. Costa, Geraldo Jr. & Trujillo-Barrera, Andres & Pennings, Joost M.E., 2018. "Concentration and Liquidity Costs in Emerging Commodity Exchanges," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 43(3), September.
    6. Adrian Fernandez‐Perez & Bart Frijns & Ivan Indriawan & Alireza Tourani‐Rad, 2019. "Surprise and dispersion: informational impact of USDA announcements," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 50(1), pages 113-126, January.
    7. Kun Peng & Zhepeng Hu & Michel A. Robe, 2024. "Maximum order size and market quality: Evidence from a natural experiment in commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(5), pages 803-825, May.
    8. Haugom, Erik & Ray, Rina, 2017. "Heterogeneous traders, liquidity, and volatility in crude oil futures market," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 36-49.
    9. Miao Li & Tao Xiong & Ziran Li, 2023. "A tale of two contracts: Examining the behavior of bid–ask spreads of corn futures in China," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 792-806, June.
    10. Arzandeh, Mehdi & Frank, Julieta, 2017. "The Information Content of the Limit Order Book," 7th Annual Canadian Agri-Food Policy Conference, January 11-13, 2017, Ottawa, ON 253251, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society.
    11. Quanbiao Shang & Mindy Mallory & Philip Garcia, 2018. "The components of the bid†ask spread: Evidence from the corn futures market," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(3), pages 381-393, May.

  38. Irwin, Scott, 2014. "Understanding the Behavior of Biodiesel RINs Prices," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-7, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Scott H. Irwin & Kristen McCormack & James H. Stock, 2020. "The Price of Biodiesel RINs and Economic Fundamentals," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(3), pages 734-752, May.
    2. Markel, Evan & Sims, Charles & English, Burton C., 2018. "Policy uncertainty and the optimal investment decisions of second-generation biofuel producers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 89-100.
    3. Irwin, Scott, 2014. "Pricing of 2014 Biodiesel RINs under Alternative Policy Scenarios," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-5, October.
    4. Stevens, Jeremiah H. & Taheripour, Farzad, 2020. "A stochastic techno-economic analysis of aviation biofuel production from pennycress seed oil," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304524, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Markel, Evan & Sims, Charles & English, Burton C., 2016. "Examining the effects of uncertainty on second-generation biofuel investment by using a two stochastic process approach," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235827, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "Why is the Price of Biodiesel RINs Plummeting?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, September.

  39. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2014. "How Much Will Falling Gasoline Prices Affect Ethanol and Corn Demand?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Further Evidence on the Competitiveness of Ethanol in Gasoline Blends," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, January.
    2. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2014. "Prospects for Ethanol Production Profits Dim as Gasoline Prices Plummet," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, December.
    3. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "The New Upside-Down Relationship of Ethanol and Gasoline Prices," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, January.
    4. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "What if the EPA Implements RFS Mandates for Renewable Fuels at Statutory Levels?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.
    5. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "2014 Really Was an Amazing Year for Ethanol Production Profits," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.

  40. Irwin, Scott, 2014. "Rolling Back the Write Down of the Renewable Mandate for 2014: The RINs Market Rings the Bell Again," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-7, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Li, Jing & Stock, James H., 2019. "Cost pass-through to higher ethanol blends at the pump: Evidence from Minnesota gas station data," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 1-19.
    2. Gabriel E Lade & C -Y Cynthia Lin Lawell & Aaron Smith, 2018. "Policy Shocks and Market-Based Regulations: Evidence from the Renewable Fuel Standard," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 100(3), pages 707-731.
    3. Burkhardt, Jesse, 2019. "The impact of the Renewable Fuel Standard on US oil refineries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 429-437.
    4. Irwin, Scott, 2014. "Understanding the Behavior of Biodiesel RINs Prices," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-7, October.
    5. Irwin, Scott, 2014. "Pricing of 2014 Biodiesel RINs under Alternative Policy Scenarios," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-5, October.
    6. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "What if the EPA Implements RFS Mandates for Renewable Fuels at Statutory Levels?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.
    7. Christopher R. Knittel & Ben S. Meiselman & James H. Stock, 2017. "The Pass-Through of RIN Prices to Wholesale and Retail Fuels under the Renewable Fuel Standard," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 4(4), pages 1081-1119.
    8. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "RINs Gone Wild? (round 2)," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, December.

  41. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Newton, John, 2014. "Do Big Corn Crops Always Get Bigger?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Corn Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, August.
    2. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, September.
    3. Tianyang Zhang & Ziran Li, 2022. "Can a rational expectation storage model explain the USDA ending grain stocks forecast errors?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 313-337, March.
    4. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Schnitkey, Gary, 2014. "What Can We Learn About Corn and Soybean Yields From Crop Tours?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-5, August.
    5. Newton, John & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2014. "Do Big Soybean Crops Always Get Bigger?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-7, September.

  42. Sanders, Dwight R. & Irwin, Scott H., 2014. "Energy futures prices and commodity index investment: New evidence from firm-level position data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(S1), pages 57-68.

    Cited by:

    1. Martin T. Bohl & Nicole Branger & Mark Trede, 2022. "Measurement errors in index trader positions data: Is the price pressure hypothesis still invalid?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(3), pages 1534-1553, September.
    2. Amaro, Raphael & Pinho, Carlos & Madaleno, Mara, 2022. "Forecasting the Value-at-Risk of energy commodities: A comparison of models and alternative distribution functions," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 65, pages 77-101.
    3. Sharma, Shahil & Escobari, Diego, 2017. "Identifying Price Bubble Periods in the Energy Sector," MPRA Paper 83355, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Daniele Valenti & Matteo Manera & Alessandro Sbuelz, 2018. "Interpreting the Oil Risk Premium: do Oil Price Shocks Matter?," Working Papers 2018.03, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    5. Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel & McCrorie, J. Roderick & Paraskevopoulos, Ioannis, 2020. "Mild explosivity in recent crude oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    6. Scott H. Irwin & Dwight R. Sanders & Lei Yan, 2023. "The order flow cost of index rolling in commodity futures markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(2), pages 1025-1050, June.
    7. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2017. "Bubbles, Froth and Facts: Another Look at the Masters Hypothesis in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(2), pages 345-365, June.
    8. Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2018. "Mapping algorithms, agricultural futures, and the relationship between commodity investment flows and crude oil futures prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 486-504.
    9. Shahzad, Umer & Jena, Sangram Keshari & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Doğan, Buhari & Magazzino, Cosimo, 2022. "Time-frequency analysis between Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) and WTI crude oil prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    10. Gronwald, Marc, 2016. "Explosive oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-5.

  43. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Schnitkey, Gary, 2014. "What Can We Learn About Corn and Soybean Yields From Crop Tours?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-5, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Jesse Tack & Keith H. Coble & Robert Johansson & Ardian Harri & Barry J. Barnett, 2019. "The Potential Implications of “Big Ag Data” for USDA Forecasts," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(4), pages 668-683, December.

  44. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2014. "Bubbles in food commodity markets: Four decades of evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 129-155.

    Cited by:

    1. Etienne, Xiaoli, 2015. "Financialization of Agricultural Commodity Markets: Do Financial Data Help to Forecast Agricultural Prices," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211626, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Sollis, Robert & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2016. "Tests for explosive financial bubbles in the presence of non-stationary volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 548-574.
    3. Yang Hu, 2023. "A review of Phillips‐type right‐tailed unit root bubble detection tests," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 141-158, February.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Identifying Periods of US Housing Market Explosivity," Working Papers 201544, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Fatima, Hira & Ahmed, Mumtaz, 2019. "Testing for Exuberance Behavior in Agricultural Commodities of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 95304, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Peter C.B. Phillips & Shuping Shi, 2018. "Real Time Monitoring of Asset Markets: Bubbles and Crises," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2152, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    7. Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Gabriele Mingoli, 2023. "Observation-Driven filters for Time- Series with Stochastic Trends and Mixed Causal Non-Causal Dynamics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-065/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 01 Mar 2024.
    8. Peter C.B. Phillips & Shu-Ping Shi, 2014. "Financial Bubble Implosion," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1967, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    9. Philipp Adämmer & Martin T. Bohl & Ernst-Oliver Ledebur, 2017. "Dynamics Between North American And European Agricultural Futures Prices During Turmoil And Financialization," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(1), pages 57-76, January.
    10. Jasdeep S. Banga & B. Wade Brorsen, 2019. "Profitability of alternative methods of combining the signals from technical trading systems," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 32-45, January.
    11. Caspi, Itamar & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2018. "Date stamping historical periods of oil price explosivity: 1876–2014," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 582-587.
    12. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Li, Jian & Wang, Linjie, 2024. "Option pricing revisited: The role of price volatility and dynamics," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    13. Areal, Francisco J. & Balcombe, Kelvin G. & Rapsomanikis, George, 2014. "Testing for bubbles in agricultural commodity markets," ESA Working Papers 288981, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA).
    14. Peter C. B. Phillips & Shuping Shi, 2019. "Detecting Financial Collapse and Ballooning Sovereign Risk," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(6), pages 1336-1361, December.
    15. Tsai, I-Chun & Chiang, Shu-Hen, 2019. "Exuberance and spillovers in housing markets: Evidence from first- and second-tier cities in China," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 75-86.
    16. Go, You-How & Lau, Wee-Yeap, 2017. "Investor demand, market efficiency and spot-futures relation: Further evidence from crude palm oil," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 135-146.
    17. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste & Omid Ranjbar, 2015. "Characterising the South African Business Cycle: Is GDP Difference-Stationary or Trend-Stationary in a Markov-Switching Setup?," Working Papers 201529, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    18. Wei-Fong Pan, 2019. "Detecting bubbles in China’s regional housing markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1413-1432, April.
    19. Jian Li & Jean-Paul Chavas & Xiaoli L. Etienne & Chongguang Li, 2017. "Commodity price bubbles and macroeconomics: evidence from the Chinese agricultural markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 48(6), pages 755-768, November.
    20. Blasques, Francisco & Koopman, Siem Jan & Nientker, Marc, 2022. "A time-varying parameter model for local explosions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 65-84.
    21. Sébastien Laurent & Shuping Shi, 2018. "Volatility Estimation and Jump Detection for drift-diffusion Processes," Working Papers halshs-01944449, HAL.
    22. Shuping Shi, 2016. "Speculative bubbles or market fundamentals? An investigation of US regional housing markets," CAMA Working Papers 2016-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    23. Chi-Wei Su & Lu Liu & Kai-Hua Wang, 2020. "Do Bubble Behaviors Exist in Chinese Film Stocks?," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(4), pages 21582440209, December.
    24. Kruse, Robinson & Kaufmann, Hendrik & Wegener, Christoph, 2018. "Bias-corrected estimation for speculative bubbles in stock prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 354-364.
    25. Bohl, Martin T. & Sulewski, Christoph, 2019. "The impact of long-short speculators on the volatility of agricultural commodity futures prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(C).
    26. Koy, Ayben, 2018. "Testing Multi Bubbles for Commodity Derivative Markets: A Study on MCX," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 9(2), pages 291-299, April.
    27. Anna Creti & Marc Joëts, 2017. "Multiple bubbles in the European Union Emission Trading Scheme," Post-Print hal-01549809, HAL.
    28. Emily J. Whitehouse & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne, 2023. "Real‐Time Monitoring of Bubbles and Crashes," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(3), pages 482-513, June.
    29. Balcilar, Mehmet & Katzke, Nico & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Date-stamping US housing market explosivity," Economics Discussion Papers 2017-44, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    30. Arnade, Carlos & Hoffman, Linwood, 2015. "The Impact of Price Variability on Cash/Futures Market Relationships: Implications for Market Efficiency and Price Discovery," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 201850, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    31. Adrian Fernandez-Perez & Bart Frijns & Alireza Tourani-Rad & Jean-Philippe Weisskopf, 2019. "Behavioural heterogeneity in wine investments," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(30), pages 3236-3255, June.
    32. Roman Kräussl & Thorsten Lehnert & Nicolas Martelin, 2014. "Is there a Bubble in the Art Market?," LSF Research Working Paper Series 14-07, Luxembourg School of Finance, University of Luxembourg.
    33. Grosche, Stephanie & Heckelei, Thomas, 2014. "Price dynamics and financialization effects in corn futures markets with heterogeneous traders," Discussion Papers 172077, University of Bonn, Institute for Food and Resource Economics.
    34. Itamar Caspi & Nico Katzke & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Date stamping historical oil price bubbles: 1876 - 2014," Working Papers 20/2014, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    35. Oliver Borgards & Robert L. Czudaj, 2022. "Long-short speculator sentiment in agricultural commodity markets," Chemnitz Economic Papers 055, Department of Economics, Chemnitz University of Technology, revised Jan 2022.
    36. Yang, Lu, 2023. "Oil price bubbles: The role of network centrality on idiosyncratic sovereign risk," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    37. Kumar, Satish, 2022. "Speed of adjustment in energy and metal prices: Evidence from India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    38. Peter C. B. Phillips & Shu-Ping Shi & Jun Yu, 2013. "Testing for Multiple Bubbles 2: Limit Theory of Real Time Detectors," Working Papers CoFie-04-2013, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics.
    39. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Simon C. Rother & Isabel Schnabel, 2019. "Asset Price Bubbles and Systemic Risk," NBER Working Papers 25775, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    40. Wen-Yi Chen & Yia-Wun Liang & Yu-Hui Lin, 2016. "Is the United States in the middle of a healthcare bubble?," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 17(1), pages 99-111, January.
    41. Wei, Yigang & Li, Yan & Wang, Zhicheng, 2022. "Multiple price bubbles in global major emission trading schemes: Evidence from European Union, New Zealand, South Korea and China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    42. Skrobotov Anton, 2023. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, January.
    43. Anton Skrobotov, 2022. "Testing for explosive bubbles: a review," Papers 2207.08249, arXiv.org.
    44. Chowdhury, Md Shahedur R. & Damianov, Damian S., 2024. "Uncertainty and bubbles in cryptocurrencies: Evidence from newly developed uncertainty indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    45. Markus Reischmann, 2016. "Empirical Studies on Public Debt and Fiscal Transfers," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 63.
    46. Luna Méndez, Nexeai & Jaramillo Villanueva, José Luis & Ramírez Juárez, Javier, 2016. "Factores explicativos de la disposición a pagar por atributos culturales en nuez de Castilla," Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Spanish Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 16(01), June.
    47. Nicolas Merener, 2016. "Concentrated Production and Conditional Heavy Tails in Commodity Returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 46-65, January.
    48. Vogel, Harold L. & Werner, Richard A., 2015. "An analytical review of volatility metrics for bubbles and crashes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 15-28.
    49. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Anas, Muhammad & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Price explosiveness in cryptocurrencies and Elon Musk's tweets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    50. Potrafke, Niklas & Reischmann, Markus, 2014. "Explosive Target balances of the German Bundesbank," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 439-444.
    51. Martin Sola, 2023. "Rational Bubbles: Too Many to be True?," Working Papers 240, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    52. Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Isabel Figuerola-Ferretti & Christopher L. Gilbert & J. Roderick McCrorie, 2015. "Testing for Mild Explosivity and Bubbles in LME Non-Ferrous Metals Prices," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 763-782, September.
    53. Yves Jégourel, 2018. "Tendances et cyclicité du prix des matières premières (partie 2) : le super-cycle des matières premières en question," Research papers & Policy papers on Commodities & Energy 1801, Policy Center for the New South.
    54. Wurm, Laura, 2021. "Strangling speculation: The effect of the 1903 Viennese futures trading ban," QUCEH Working Paper Series 21-09, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's University Centre for Economic History.
    55. Li, Wei-Xuan & Chen, Clara Chia-Sheng & Nguyen, James, 2022. "Which market dominates the price discovery in currency futures? The case of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and the Intercontinental Exchange," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    56. Babalos, Vassilios & Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Do commodity investors herd? Evidence from a time-varying stochastic volatility model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(P2), pages 281-287.
    57. Fang, Ming & Lin, Yizhou & Chang, Chiu-Lan, 2023. "Positive and negative price bubbles of Chinese agricultural commodity futures," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 456-471.
    58. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Fijorek, Kamil, 2018. "What drives food price volatility? Evidence based on a generalized VAR approach applied to the food, financial and energy markets," Economics Discussion Papers 2018-55, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    59. Oladosu, Gbadebo, 2022. "Bubbles in US gasoline prices: Assessing the role of hurricanes and anti–price gouging laws," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    60. El Montasser, Ghassen & Malek Belhoula, Mohamed & Charfeddine, Lanouar, 2023. "Co-explosivity versus leading effects: Evidence from crude oil and agricultural commodities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    61. Narayan, Seema & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2017. "Estimating the speed of adjustment to target levels: The case of energy prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 419-427.
    62. Xi-Xi Zhang & Lu Liu & Chi-Wei Su & Ran Tao & Oana-Ramona Lobonţ & Nicoleta-Claudia Moldovan, 2019. "Bubbles in Agricultural Commodity Markets of China," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-7, December.
    63. Steenkamp, Daan, 2018. "Explosiveness in G11 currencies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 388-408.
    64. Yang Hu & Les Oxley, 2017. "Bubble Contagion: Evidence from Japan's Asset Price Bubble of the 1980-90s," Working Papers in Economics 17/20, University of Waikato.
    65. Lai, Tianyun & Hu, Zhepeng, 2024. "Nitrogen Fertilizer Price Bubbles and Contributing Factors: Evidence from the Chinese Urea Fertilizer Market," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343535, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    66. MacDonald, Stephen & Meyer, Leslie, 2018. "Long Run Trends and Fluctuations In Cotton Prices," MPRA Paper 84484, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Feb 2018.
    67. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2017. "Bubbles, Froth and Facts: Another Look at the Masters Hypothesis in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(2), pages 345-365, June.
    68. Georg Lehecka, 2015. "Do hedging and speculative pressures drive commodity prices, or the other way round?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(2), pages 575-603, September.
    69. Ma, Richie Ruchuan & Xiong, Tao, 2021. "Price explosiveness in nonferrous metal futures markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 75-90.
    70. Burakov, D. & Freidin, M., 2018. "Is the Halloween Effect Present on the Markets for Agricultural Commodities?," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 10(2).
    71. Jeanne Diesteldorf & Sarah Meyer & Jan Voelzke, 2016. "New evidence for explosive behavior of commodity prices," CQE Working Papers 5016, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    72. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Whitehouse, Emily J., 2020. "Date-stamping multiple bubble regimes," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 226-246.
    73. Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel & McCrorie, J. Roderick, 2016. "The shine of precious metals around the global financial crisis," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 717-738.
    74. Zhuo Chen & Bo Yan & Hanwen Kang, 2023. "Price bubbles of agricultural commodities: evidence from China’s futures market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 195-222, January.
    75. Ye Chen & Jian Li & Qiyuan Li, 2023. "Seemingly Unrelated Regression Estimation for VAR Models with Explosive Roots," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(4), pages 910-937, August.
    76. Caramugan, Karlo Martin & Bayacag, Purisima, 2016. "Price Bubble in Selected ASEAN Agricultural Exports: An Application of the Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey Fuller," MPRA Paper 74807, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    77. Jun Yuan & Qi Xu & Ying Wang, 2023. "Probability weighting in commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 516-548, April.
    78. Kübra Akyol Özcan, 2023. "Food Price Bubbles: Food Price Indices of Turkey, the FAO, the OECD, and the IMF," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-21, June.
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    80. Christopher L. Gilbert, 2018. "Investor sentiment and market fundamentals: the impact of index investment on energy and metals markets," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 31(1), pages 87-102, May.
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    85. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Farhangdoost, Sara & Hoffman, Linwood A. & Adam, Brian D., 2023. "Forecasting the U.S. season-average farm price of corn: Derivation of an alternative futures-based forecasting model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
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    88. Martin T. Bohl & Christoph Sulewski, 2018. "The Impact of Long-Short Speculators on the Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Futures Prices," CQE Working Papers 7718, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
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  45. Irwin, Scott, 2014. "2014: A Tough Year for Biodiesel Producers," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-4, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2014. "Do Falling Gasoline Prices Threaten the Competitiveness of Ethanol?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-6, November.
    2. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "The Profitability of Biodiesel Production in 2014," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, January.
    3. Irwin, Scott, 2016. "The Profitability of Biodiesel Production in 2015," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, February.

  46. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2014. "Prospects for Ethanol Production Profits Dim as Gasoline Prices Plummet," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Good, Darrel, 2014. "Corn Price Strength Continues," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, December.

  47. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Corn Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2015. "Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    2. Newton, John & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2014. "Do Big Soybean Crops Always Get Bigger?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-7, September.

  48. Newton, John & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2014. "Do Big Soybean Crops Always Get Bigger?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-7, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Corn Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, August.
    2. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, September.
    3. Tianyang Zhang & Ziran Li, 2022. "Can a rational expectation storage model explain the USDA ending grain stocks forecast errors?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 313-337, March.
    4. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Schnitkey, Gary, 2014. "What Can We Learn About Corn and Soybean Yields From Crop Tours?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-5, August.

  49. Irwin, Scott, 2014. "Ethanol Production Profits Hit the Wall," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-4, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "2014 Really Was an Amazing Year for Ethanol Production Profits," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.

  50. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2014. "Do Falling Gasoline Prices Threaten the Competitiveness of Ethanol?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-6, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2014. "How Much Will Falling Gasoline Prices Affect Ethanol and Corn Demand?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, December.
    2. Ederington, Louis H. & Fernando, Chitru S. & Hoelscher, Seth A. & Lee, Thomas K. & Linn, Scott C., 2019. "A review of the evidence on the relation between crude oil prices and petroleum product prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 1-15.
    3. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Further Evidence on the Competitiveness of Ethanol in Gasoline Blends," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, January.
    4. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2014. "Prospects for Ethanol Production Profits Dim as Gasoline Prices Plummet," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, December.
    5. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "The New Upside-Down Relationship of Ethanol and Gasoline Prices," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, January.
    6. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "2014 Really Was an Amazing Year for Ethanol Production Profits," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.

  51. Irwin, Scott, 2014. "Pricing of 2014 Biodiesel RINs under Alternative Policy Scenarios," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-5, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Irwin, Scott, 2014. "2014: A Tough Year for Biodiesel Producers," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-4, October.
    2. Irwin, Scott, 2015. "Why is the Price of Biodiesel RINs Plummeting?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, September.

  52. Nicole M. Aulerich & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2013. "Returns to individual traders in agricultural futures markets: skill or luck?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(25), pages 3650-3666, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Li, Xin & Paulson, Nicholas, 2014. "Is Farm Management Skill Persistent?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170170, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Çınar, Gökhan & Uzmay, Ayse, 2017. "Does Fear (Vix Index) Incite Volatility In Food Prices?," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 5(2), April.
    3. Cornelia Staritz & Bernhard Tröster & Jan Grumiller & Felix Maile, 2023. "Price-Setting Power in Global Value Chains: The Cases of Price Stabilisation in the Cocoa Sectors in Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 35(4), pages 840-868, August.
    4. Heumesser, Christine & Staritz, Cornelia, 2013. "Financialisation and the microstructure of commodity markets: A qualitative investigation of trading strategies of financial investors and commercial traders," Working Papers 44, Austrian Foundation for Development Research (ÖFSE).
    5. Li, Ziran, 2017. "Three essays on commodity markets," ISU General Staff Papers 201701010800006361, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    6. Nicole M. Moran & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2020. "Who Wins and Who Loses? Trader Returns and Risk Premiums in Agricultural Futures Markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(4), pages 611-652, December.
    7. Ziran Li & Dermot J. Hayes & Keri L. Jacobs, 2018. "The weather premium in the U.S. corn market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 359-372, March.
    8. Li, Xi & Paulson, Nicholas & Schnitkey, Gary, 2015. "Is Farm Management Skill Persistent?," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212047, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    9. Georg Lehecka, 2015. "Do hedging and speculative pressures drive commodity prices, or the other way round?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(2), pages 575-603, September.

  53. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin, 2013. "When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(36), pages 5086-5103, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  54. Dwight R. Sanders and Scott H. Irwin, 2013. "Measuring Index Investment in Commodity Futures Markets," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).

    Cited by:

    1. Ahn, Jung-Hyun & Six, Pierre, 2019. "A study of first generation commodity indices: Indices based on financial diversification," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 194-200.
    2. Manera, Matteo & Nicolini, Marcella & Vignati, Ilaria, 2013. "Futures Price Volatility in Commodities Markets: The Role of Short Term vs Long Term Speculation," Energy: Resources and Markets 151372, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    3. Viktor Manahov, 2018. "The rise of the machines in commodities markets: new evidence obtained using Strongly Typed Genetic Programming," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 260(1), pages 321-352, January.
    4. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2016. "The "Necessity" of New Position Limits in Agricultural Futures Markets: The Verdict from Daily Firm-level Position Data," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 38(2), pages 292-317.
    5. Bernhard Brümmer & Olaf Korn & Kristina Schlüßler & Tinoush Jamali Jaghdani, 2016. "Volatility in Oilseeds and Vegetable Oils Markets: Drivers and Spillovers," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(3), pages 685-705, September.
    6. Celso Brunetti & Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon, 2024. "Reasons Behind Words: OPEC Narratives and the Oil Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-003, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Sanders, Dwight R. & Irwin, Scott H., 2014. "Energy futures prices and commodity index investment: New evidence from firm-level position data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(S1), pages 57-68.
    8. Bierbaumer, Daniel & Rieth, Malte & Velinov, Anton, 2021. "The state-dependent trading behavior of banks in the oil futures market," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 1011-1024.
    9. Adams, Zeno & Glück, Thorsten, 2015. "Financialization in commodity markets: A passing trend or the new normal?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 93-111.
    10. Marcella Nicolini & Matteo Manera & Ilaria Vignati, 2013. "Detecting speculation in volatility of commodities futures markets," EcoMod2013 5125, EcoMod.
    11. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2017. "Bubbles, Froth and Facts: Another Look at the Masters Hypothesis in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(2), pages 345-365, June.
    12. Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2018. "Mapping algorithms, agricultural futures, and the relationship between commodity investment flows and crude oil futures prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 486-504.
    13. Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Mensi, Walid & Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad Wanas & Hamdi, Atef & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "Volatility forecasting, downside risk, and diversification benefits of Bitcoin and oil and international commodity markets: A comparative analysis with yellow metal," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 104-120.
    14. Manera, Matteo & Nicolini, Marcella & Vignati, Ilaria, 2016. "Modelling futures price volatility in energy markets: Is there a role for financial speculation?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 220-229.
    15. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2014. "Are there really bubbles in oil prices?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 631-638.
    16. Lang, Korbinian & Auer, Benjamin R., 2020. "The economic and financial properties of crude oil: A review," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).

  55. Scott H. Irwin, 2013. "Commodity index investment and food prices: does the “Masters Hypothesis” explain recent price spikes?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 44(s1), pages 29-41, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Adjemian, Michael K. & Bruno, Valentina & Robe, Michel A. & Wallen, Jonathan, 2017. "What Drives Volatility Expectations in Grain and Oilseed Markets?," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258452, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Mark Cummins & Michael Dowling & Fearghal Kearney, 2016. "Oil market modelling: A comparative analysis of fundamental and latent factor approaches," Post-Print hal-01387596, HAL.
    3. Clare, Andrew & Seaton, James & Smith, Peter N. & Thomas, Stephen, 2014. "Trend following, risk parity and momentum in commodity futures," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 1-12.
    4. van Huellen, Sophie, 2019. "Price discovery in commodity futures and cash markets with heterogeneous agents," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 1-13.
    5. Sophie van Huellen, 2020. "Approaches To Price Formation In Financialized Commodity Markets," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1), pages 219-237, February.
    6. Sanders, Dwight R. & Irwin, Scott H., 2014. "Energy futures prices and commodity index investment: New evidence from firm-level position data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(S1), pages 57-68.
    7. Drachal, Krzysztof, 2016. "Forecasting spot oil price in a dynamic model averaging framework — Have the determinants changed over time?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 35-46.
    8. Bohl Martin T., 2016. "Treiben Indexfonds Agrarrohstoffpreise? Nein!," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 155-171, July.
    9. Palazzi, Rafael Baptista & Figueiredo Pinto, Antonio Carlos & Klotzle, Marcelo Cabus & De Oliveira, Erick Meira, 2020. "Can we still blame index funds for the price movements in the agricultural commodities market?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 84-93.
    10. Karyotis, Catherine & Alijani, Sharam, 2016. "Soft commodities and the global financial crisis: Implications for the economy, resources and institutions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 350-359.
    11. Sophie van Huellen, 2018. "How financial investment distorts food prices: evidence from U.S. grain markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(2), pages 171-181, March.
    12. Irwin, Scott H., 2020. "Trilogy for troubleshooting convergence: Manipulation, structural imbalance, and storage rates," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
    13. Georg V. Lehecka, 2014. "Have food and financial markets integrated?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(18), pages 2087-2095, June.
    14. van Huellen, Sophie, 2020. "Too much of a good thing? Speculative effects on commodity futures curves," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    15. Ana I. Sanjuán-López & Philip J. Dawson, 2017. "Volatility Effects of Index Trading and Spillovers on US Agricultural Futures Markets: A Multivariate GARCH Approach," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(3), pages 822-838, September.
    16. Zuppiroli, Marco & Donati, Michele & Riani, Marco & Verga, Giovanni, 2015. "The Impact of Trading Activity in Agricultural Futures Markets," 2015 Fourth Congress, June 11-12, 2015, Ancona, Italy 207848, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
    17. Pavel Kotyza & Katarzyna Czech & Michał Wielechowski & Luboš Smutka & Petr Procházka, 2021. "Sugar Prices vs. Financial Market Uncertainty in the Time of Crisis: Does COVID-19 Induce Structural Changes in the Relationship?," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-16, January.
    18. Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Fijorek, Kamil, 2018. "What drives food price volatility? Evidence based on a generalized VAR approach applied to the food, financial and energy markets," Economics Discussion Papers 2018-55, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    19. Covindassamy, Genevre & Robe, Michel A. & Wallen, Jonathan, 2016. "Sugar With Your Coffee?: Financials, Fundamentals, and Soft Price Uncertainty," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8588, Inter-American Development Bank.
    20. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2017. "Bubbles, Froth and Facts: Another Look at the Masters Hypothesis in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(2), pages 345-365, June.
    21. Adams, Zeno & Kartsakli, Maria, 2017. "Has Crude Oil Become a Financial Asset? Evidence from Ten Years of Financialization," Working Papers on Finance 1710, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    22. Quanbiao Shang & Mindy Mallory & Philip Garcia, 2018. "The components of the bid†ask spread: Evidence from the corn futures market," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(3), pages 381-393, May.
    23. Andreasson, Pierre & Bekiros, Stelios & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2016. "Impact of speculation and economic uncertainty on commodity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 115-127.
    24. Michel A. Robe & Jonathan Wallen, 2016. "Fundamentals, Derivatives Market Information and Oil Price Volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(4), pages 317-344, April.
    25. Shahzad, Umer & Jena, Sangram Keshari & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Doğan, Buhari & Magazzino, Cosimo, 2022. "Time-frequency analysis between Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) and WTI crude oil prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

  56. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2013. "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45(1), pages 1-13, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Fiechter, Chad & Kuethe, Todd & Zhang, Wendong, 2023. "Information Rigidities and Farmland Value Expectations," ISU General Staff Papers 202306131414240000, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    2. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark & Cooke, Bryce, 2017. "The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets," MPRA Paper 87545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Raghav Goyal & Michael K. Adjemian, 2023. "Information rigidities in USDA crop production forecasts," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(5), pages 1405-1425, October.
    4. Olga Isengildina‐Massa & Berna Karali & Todd H. Kuethe & Ani L. Katchova, 2021. "Joint Evaluation of the System of USDA's Farm Income Forecasts," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(3), pages 1140-1160, September.
    5. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.
    6. Newton, John & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2014. "Do Big Soybean Crops Always Get Bigger?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-7, September.

  57. Mallory, Mindy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Hayes, Dermot J., 2012. "How market efficiency and the theory of storage link corn and ethanol markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 2157-2166.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  58. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2012. "Financialization and Structural Change in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 44(3), pages 1-26, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Julyerme M. Tonin & Carlos M. R. Vieira & Rui M. de Sousa Fragoso & João G. Martines Filho, 2020. "Conditional correlation and volatility between spot and futures markets for soybean and corn," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(4), pages 707-724, October.
    2. Wu, Nan & Wen, Fenghua & Gong, Xu, 2022. "Marionettes behind co-movement of commodity prices: Roles of speculative and hedging activities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    3. Shernaz Bodhanwala & Harsh Purohit & Nidhi Choudhary, 2020. "The Causal Dynamics in Indian Agriculture Commodity Prices and Macro-Economic Variables in the Presence of a Structural Break," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 21(1), pages 241-261, February.
    4. Bakas, Dimitrios & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2018. "The impact of uncertainty shocks on the volatility of commodity prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 96-111.
    5. Miffre, Joëlle & Brooks, Chris, 2013. "Do long-short speculators destabilize commodity futures markets?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 230-240.
    6. Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2018. "Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273973, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Francesco Ravazzolo & Tommy Sveen & Sepideh K. Zahiri, 2016. "Commodity Futures and Forecasting Commodity Currencies," Working Papers No 7/2016, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    8. Mehdi Arzandeh & Julieta Frank, 2019. "Price Discovery in Agricultural Futures Markets: Should We Look beyond the Best Bid-Ask Spread?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 101(5), pages 1482-1498.
    9. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K., 2016. "Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235580, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Kuruppuarachchi, Duminda & Premachandra, I.M. & Roberts, Helen, 2019. "A novel market efficiency index for energy futures and their term structure risk premiums," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 23-33.
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    13. Just, Margaret & Echaust, Krzysztof, 2023. "Price volatility transfer between agricultural and energy markets – the perspective of European markets during the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian-Ukrainian war," International Journal of Agricultural Sciences and Technology (IJAGST), SvedbergOpen, vol. 199(2), August.
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    82. Ouyang, Ruolan & Zhang, Xuan, 2020. "Financialization of agricultural commodities: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 381-389.
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  59. Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip & Etienne, Xiaoli, 2012. "Composite and Outlook Forecast Accuracy," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 1-19, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Michael K. Adjemian & Valentina G. Bruno & Michel A. Robe, 2020. "Incorporating Uncertainty into USDA Commodity Price Forecasts," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 696-712, March.
    2. Bekkerman, Anton & Brester, Gary W. & Taylor, Mykel, 2016. "Forecasting a Moving Target: The Roles of Quality and Timing for Determining Northern U.S. Wheat Basis," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 1-17, January.
    3. Xiaojie Xu, 2020. "Corn Cash Price Forecasting," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(4), pages 1297-1320, August.
    4. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Farhangdoost, Sara & Hoffman, Linwood A. & Adam, Brian D., 2023. "Forecasting the U.S. season-average farm price of corn: Derivation of an alternative futures-based forecasting model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    5. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Sharp, Julia L., 2013. "Interval Forecast Comparison," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150791, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  60. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2012. "Testing the Masters Hypothesis in commodity futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 256-269.

    Cited by:

    1. Etienne, Xiaoli, 2015. "Financialization of Agricultural Commodity Markets: Do Financial Data Help to Forecast Agricultural Prices," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211626, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Bahloul, Walid & Bouri, Abdelfettah, 2016. "The impact of investor sentiment on returns and conditional volatility in U.S. futures markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 89-102.
    3. Jarrett, Uchechukwu & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Mohtadi, Hamid, 2019. "Oil price volatility, financial institutions and economic growth," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 131-144.
    4. Bessembinder, Hendrik & Carrion, Allen & Tuttle, Laura & Venkataraman, Kumar, 2016. "Liquidity, resiliency and market quality around predictable trades: Theory and evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(1), pages 142-166.
    5. Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2017. "Identifying the Impact of Financialization in Commodity Futures Prices from Index Rebalancing," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258504, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Ohashi, Kazuhiko & Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi, 2016. "Increasing trends in the excess comovement of commodity prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 48-64.
    7. Martin T. Bohl & Martin Stefan, 2020. "Return dynamics during periods of high speculation in a thinly traded commodity market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 145-159, January.
    8. Duc Huynh, Toan Luu & Burggraf, Tobias & Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2020. "Financialisation of natural resources & instability caused by risk transfer in commodity markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    9. Fatima, Hira & Ahmed, Mumtaz, 2019. "Testing for Exuberance Behavior in Agricultural Commodities of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 95304, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Prehn, Sören & Glauben, Thomas & Loy, Jens-Peter & Pies, Ingo & Will, Matthias Georg, 2014. "The impact of long-only index funds on price discovery and market performance in agricultural futures markets [Der Einfluss von Long-only-Indexfonds auf die Preisfindung und das Marktergebnis an la," IAMO Discussion Papers 147, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).
    11. Nicole M. Aulerich & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2014. "Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Food Price Volatility, pages 211-253, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Kim, Soohyeon & Kim, Jihyo & Heo, Eunnyeong, 2021. "Speculative incentives to hoard aluminum: Relationship between capital gains and inventories," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    13. Jaehwan Park, 2019. "Effect of Speculators’ Position Changes on the LME Futures Market," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-9, June.
    14. Philipp Adämmer & Martin T. Bohl & Ernst-Oliver Ledebur, 2017. "Dynamics Between North American And European Agricultural Futures Prices During Turmoil And Financialization," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(1), pages 57-76, January.
    15. Abid, Ilyes & Goutte, Stéphane & Guesmi, Khaled & Jamali, Ibrahim, 2019. "Transmission of shocks and contagion from U.S. to MENA equity markets: The role of oil and gas markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    16. Sun, Hang & Bos, Jaap W.B. & Li, Zhuo, 2017. "In the Nick of Time: A Heteroskedastic SVAR Model and Its Application to the Crude Oil Futures Market," Research Memorandum 019, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
    17. Gnutzmann, Hinnerk & Spiewanowski, Piotr, 2016. "Did the Fertilizer Cartel Cause the Food Crisis?," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145777, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    18. Long, Shaobo & Guo, Jiaqi, 2022. "Infectious disease equity market volatility, geopolitical risk, speculation, and commodity returns: Comparative analysis of five epidemic outbreaks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    19. Moses M. Kupabado & Juergen Kaehler, 2021. "Financialization, common stochastic trends, and commodity prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(12), pages 1988-2008, December.
    20. Scott H. Irwin & Dwight R. Sanders, 2011. "Index Funds, Financialization, and Commodity Futures Markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(1), pages 1-31.
    21. Diaz-Rainey, Ivan & Roberts, Helen & Lont, David H., 2017. "Crude inventory accounting and speculation in the physical oil market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 508-522.
    22. Davide, Marinella & Vesco, Paola, 2016. "Alternative Approaches for Rating INDCs: a Comparative Analysis," MITP: Mitigation, Innovation and Transformation Pathways 232716, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
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    27. Byungkwon Lim & Hyeon Sook Kim & Jaehwan Park, 2020. "Direct Effect of TC on the LME Copper Prices," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-9, May.
    28. Morana, Claudio, 2013. "Oil price dynamics, macro-finance interactions and the role of financial speculation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 206-226.
    29. Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Miffre, Joelle, 2021. "The risk premia of energy futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    30. Marc Gronwald & Jana Lippelt, 2014. "Kurz zum Klima: Fundamentales zu Spekulation," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(21), pages 58-59, November.
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    32. Manera, Matteo & Nicolini, Marcella & Vignati, Ilaria, 2012. "Returns in Commodities Futures Markets and Financial Speculation: A Multivariate GARCH Approach," Energy: Resources and Markets 122868, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    33. Li, Yingzi & Fortenbery, T. Randall, 2013. "Do Speculators in Futures Markets Make Cash Markets More Volatile?," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 151296, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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    36. van Huellen, Sophie, 2019. "Price discovery in commodity futures and cash markets with heterogeneous agents," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 1-13.
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    39. Michael Hachula & Malte Rieth, 2015. "Finanzspekulation und Rohstoffpreise," DIW Roundup: Politik im Fokus 63, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    40. Bassam Fattouh, Lutz Kilian, and Lavan Mahadeva, 2013. "The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets: What Have We Learned So Far?," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    41. Bernhard Brümmer & Olaf Korn & Kristina Schlüßler & Tinoush Jamali Jaghdani, 2016. "Volatility in Oilseeds and Vegetable Oils Markets: Drivers and Spillovers," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(3), pages 685-705, September.
    42. Steinhübel, Linda & Prehn, Sören & Brümmer, Bernhard & Pies, Ingo & Will, Matthias Georg, 2017. "The impact of index funds on grain futures markets revisited," 2017 International Congress, August 28-September 1, 2017, Parma, Italy 261428, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    43. Benoît Guilleminot & Jean-Jacques Ohana & Steve Ohana, 2014. "The interaction of speculators and index investors in agricultural derivatives markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(6), pages 767-792, November.
    44. Perera, Devmali & Białkowski, Jędrzej & Bohl, Martin T., 2022. "Is the tracking error time-varying? Evidence from agricultural ETCs," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    45. Christophe Gouel, 2013. "Food Price Volatility and Domestic Stabilization Policies in Developing Countries," NBER Working Papers 18934, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    46. Pies, Ingo, 2012. "Die zivilgesellschaftliche Kampagne gegen Finanzspekulationen mit Agrarrohstoffen: Eine wirtschaftsethische Stellungnahme," Discussion Papers 2012-23, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
    47. Qadan, Mahmoud & Idilbi-Bayaa, Yasmeen, 2020. "Risk appetite and oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    48. Ordu, Beyza Mina & Oran, Adil & Soytas, Ugur, 2018. "Is food financialized? Yes, but only when liquidity is abundant," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 82-96.
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    51. Grosche, Stephanie & Heckelei, Thomas, 2014. "Price dynamics and financialization effects in corn futures markets with heterogeneous traders," Discussion Papers 172077, University of Bonn, Institute for Food and Resource Economics.
    52. Irwin, Scott H., 2012. "Does the Masters Hypothesis Explain Recent Food Price Spikes?," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 126877, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
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    126. Wimmer, Thomas & Geyer-Klingeberg, Jerome & Hütter, Marie & Schmid, Florian & Rathgeber, Andreas, 2021. "The impact of speculation on commodity prices: A Meta-Granger analysis," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    127. Yanhong Feng & Xiaolei Wang & Shuanglian Chen & Yanqiong Liu, 2022. "Impact of Oil Financialization on Oil Price Fluctuation: A Perspective of Heterogeneity," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-20, June.
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    129. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2017. "Bubbles, Froth and Facts: Another Look at the Masters Hypothesis in Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(2), pages 345-365, June.
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    135. Ederington, Louis H. & Fernando, Chitru S. & Hoelscher, Seth A. & Lee, Thomas K. & Linn, Scott C., 2019. "Characteristics of petroleum product prices: A survey," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 1-15.
    136. Bozic, Marin & Fortenbery, T., 2015. "Price Discovery, Volatility Spillovers and Adequacy of Speculation when Spot Prices are Stationary: The Case of U.S. Dairy Markets," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211369, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    137. Anja Vinzelberg & Benjamin R. Auer, 2022. "Unprofitability of food market investments," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 2887-2910, October.
    138. Miroslava Zavadska & Lucía Morales & Joseph Coughlan, 2018. "The Lead–Lag Relationship between Oil Futures and Spot Prices—A Literature Review," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-22, October.
    139. Dwight R. Sanders and Scott H. Irwin, 2013. "Measuring Index Investment in Commodity Futures Markets," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    140. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Wang, Jing, 2015. "Exploring the WTI crude oil price bubble process using the Markov regime switching model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 421(C), pages 377-387.
    141. Zhuo Chen & Bo Yan & Hanwen Kang, 2023. "Price bubbles of agricultural commodities: evidence from China’s futures market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 195-222, January.
    142. Pierluigi Vellucci, 2021. "A critique of financial neoliberalism: a perspective combining multidisciplinary methods and commodity markets," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 1-11, March.
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    144. Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2018. "Mapping algorithms, agricultural futures, and the relationship between commodity investment flows and crude oil futures prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 486-504.
    145. Andreasson, Pierre & Bekiros, Stelios & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2016. "Impact of speculation and economic uncertainty on commodity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 115-127.
    146. Matteo Manera & Marcella Nicolini & Ilaria Vignati, 2013. "Financial Speculation in Energy and Agriculture Futures Markets: A Multivariate GARCH Approach," The Energy Journal, , vol. 34(3), pages 55-82, July.
    147. Michel A. Robe & Jonathan Wallen, 2016. "Fundamentals, Derivatives Market Information and Oil Price Volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(4), pages 317-344, April.
    148. Michael Hachula & Malte Rieth, 2020. "Estimating the Impact of Financial Investments on Agricultural Futures Prices using Changes in Volatility," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(3), pages 759-785, May.
    149. Baptista Palazzi, Rafael & Van Huellen, Sophie, 2024. "Can Fuel Policies Tame Exchange Rate Volatility? Fuel Policy Legacy in Brazil," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343668, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    150. Boyd, Naomi E. & Harris, Jeffrey H. & Li, Bingxin, 2018. "An update on speculation and financialization in commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 91-104.
    151. Manera, Matteo & Nicolini, Marcella & Vignati, Ilaria, 2016. "Modelling futures price volatility in energy markets: Is there a role for financial speculation?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 220-229.
    152. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2014. "Are there really bubbles in oil prices?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 631-638.
    153. Algieri, Bernardina, 2012. "Price Volatility, Speculation and Excessive Speculation in Commodity Markets: sheep or shepherd behaviour?," Discussion Papers 124390, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).
    154. Prehn, Soren & Glauben, Thomas & Loy, Jens-Peter & Pies, Ingo & Will, Matthias Georg, 2014. "Der Einfluss Von Long-Only-Indexfonds Auf Die Preisbildung Und Das Marktergebnis An Warenterminmärkten," 54th Annual Conference, Goettingen, Germany, September 17-19, 2014 187363, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).
    155. Ahmed, Osama, 2021. "Assessing the current situation of the world wheat market leadership: Using the semi-parametric approach," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 9(2).
    156. Martin T. Bohl & Martin Stefan & Claudia Wellenreuther, 2019. "An Introduction to ESMA’s Commitments of Traders Reports: Do Hedgers Really Hedge?," CQE Working Papers 8619, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    157. Gronwald, Marc, 2016. "Explosive oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-5.
    158. Alexakis, Christos & Bagnarosa, Guillaume & Dowling, Michael, 2017. "Do cointegrated commodities bubble together? the case of hog, corn, and soybean," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 96-102.
    159. Theodosios Perifanis, 2019. "Detecting West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Prices’ Bubble Periods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-16, July.
    160. Jose Eduardo Gomez-Gonzalez & Jorge Hirs-Garzon & Jorge M. Uribe, 2017. "Dynamic Connectedness and Causality between Oil prices and Exchange Rates," Borradores de Economia 1025, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    161. Julien Chevallier, 2013. "Price relationships in crude oil futures: new evidence from CFTC disaggregated data," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 15(2), pages 133-170, April.
    162. Martin T. Bohl & Martin Stefan, 2018. "Return Dynamics During Periods of High Speculation in a Thinly-Traded Commodity Market," CQE Working Papers 7418, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    163. Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2014. "Volatility transmission in agricultural futures markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 541-546.
    164. Martin T. Bohl & Christoph Sulewski, 2018. "The Impact of Long-Short Speculators on the Volatility of Agricultural Commodity Futures Prices," CQE Working Papers 7718, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    165. Sumudu W. Watugala, 2019. "Economic uncertainty, trading activity, and commodity futures volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(8), pages 921-945, August.
    166. Sun, Hang & Bos, Jaap.W.B. & Rodrigues, Paulo, 2023. "Destabilizing or passive? The impact of commodity index traders on equilibrium prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 271-285.
    167. Will, Matthias Georg & Prehn, Sören & Pies, Ingo & Glauben, Thomas, 2012. "Is financial speculation with agricultural commodities harmful or helpful? A literature review of current empirical research," Discussion Papers 2012-27, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
    168. Adams, Zeno & Glueck, Thorsten, 2014. "Financialization in Commodity Markets: A Passing Trend or the New Normal?," Working Papers on Finance 1413, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance, revised Aug 2015.

  61. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2012. "A Reappraisal of Investing in Commodity Futures Markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 34(3), pages 515-530.

    Cited by:

    1. Prehn, Sören & Glauben, Thomas & Loy, Jens-Peter & Pies, Ingo & Will, Matthias Georg, 2014. "The impact of long-only index funds on price discovery and market performance in agricultural futures markets [Der Einfluss von Long-only-Indexfonds auf die Preisfindung und das Marktergebnis an la," IAMO Discussion Papers 147, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).
    2. Yan, Lei & Garcia, Philip, 2017. "Portfolio investment: Are commodities useful?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 43-55.
    3. Main, Scott & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Smith, Aaron, 2018. "Financialization and the returns to commodity investments," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 22-28.
    4. Chad E. Hart & Sergio H. Lence & Dermot J. Hayes & Na Jin, 2016. "Price Mean Reversion, Seasonality, and Options Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 98(3), pages 707-725.
    5. Carter, Colin A & Rausser, Gordon C & Smith, Aaron, 2017. "Commodity Storage and the Market Effects of Biofuel Policies," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt61t114zb, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
    6. Anna Szczepanska-Przekota, 2020. "Conditions of Agriculture Compared to Economic Growth in Selected Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 1), pages 693-707.
    7. Renata Guobužaitė & Deimantė Teresienė, 2021. "Can Economic Factors Improve Momentum Trading Strategies? The Case of Managed Futures during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-16, May.
    8. Prehn, Sören & Glauben, Thomas & Loy, Jens-Peter & Pies, Ingo & Will, Matthias Georg, 2013. "Der Einfluss von Long-only-Indexfonds auf die Preisfindung und das Marktergebnis an landwirtschaftlichen Warenterminmärkten [The impact of long-only index funds on the price development and the mar," IAMO Discussion Papers 142, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).
    9. D'Ecclesia, Rita L. & Magrini, Emiliano & Montalbano, Pierluigi & Triulzi, Umberto, 2014. "Understanding recent oil price dynamics: A novel empirical approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(S1), pages 11-17.
    10. Tom Erik Sønsteng Henriksen & Alois Pichler & Sjur Westgaard & Stein Frydenberg, 2019. "Can commodities dominate stock and bond portfolios?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 282(1), pages 155-177, November.
    11. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2014. "Bubbles in food commodity markets: Four decades of evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 129-155.
    12. Schroeder, Ted C. & Tonsor, Glynn T. & Coffey, Brian K., 2019. "Commodity futures with thinly traded cash markets: The case of live cattle," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 1-1.
    13. Quanbiao Shang & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2023. "Ride the trend: Is there spread momentum profit in the US commodity markets?," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(1), pages 24-47, February.
    14. Prehn, Soren & Glauben, Thomas & Loy, Jens-Peter & Pies, Ingo & Will, Matthias Georg, 2014. "Der Einfluss Von Long-Only-Indexfonds Auf Die Preisbildung Und Das Marktergebnis An Warenterminmärkten," 54th Annual Conference, Goettingen, Germany, September 17-19, 2014 187363, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).

  62. Urcola, Hernan A. & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "Are Agricultural Options Overpriced?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 36(1), pages 1-15, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Li, Jian & Wang, Linjie, 2024. "Option pricing revisited: The role of price volatility and dynamics," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    2. Bozic, Marin & Newton, John & Thraen, Cameron S. & Gould, Brian W., 2012. "Parametric Bootstrap Tests for Futures Price and Implied Volatility Biases with Application to Rating Livestock Margin Insurance for Dairy Cattle," Staff Papers 135077, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    3. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Li, Jian & Wang, Linjie, 2024. "Option Pricing Revisited: The Role of Price Volatility and Dynamics," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343544, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  63. Evelyn V. Colino & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2011. "Improving the accuracy of outlook price forecasts," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 42(3), pages 357-371, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Andres Trujillo-Barrera & Philip Garcia & Mindy L Mallory, 2018. "Short-term price density forecasts in the lean hog futures market," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 45(1), pages 121-142.
    2. Frank Davenport & Chris Funk, 2015. "Using time series structural characteristics to analyze grain prices in food insecure countries," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 7(5), pages 1055-1070, October.
    3. Paolo Libenzio Brignoli & Alessandro Varacca & Cornelis Gardebroek & Paolo Sckokai, 2024. "Machine learning to predict grains futures prices," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 55(3), pages 479-497, May.
    4. Liwen Ling & Dabin Zhang & Shanying Chen & Amin W. Mugera, 2020. "Can online search data improve the forecast accuracy of pork price in China?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 671-686, July.
    5. Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip & Etienne, Xiaoli, 2012. "Composite and Outlook Forecast Accuracy," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 1-19, August.
    6. Hansen, Bjørn Gunnar & Li, Yushu, 2015. "Future world market prices of milk and feed looking into the crystal ball," Discussion Papers 2015/17, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    7. Xiaojie Xu, 2020. "Corn Cash Price Forecasting," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(4), pages 1297-1320, August.

  64. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2011. "New Evidence on the Impact of Index Funds in U.S. Grain Futures Markets," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 59(4), pages 519-532, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Etienne, Xiaoli, 2015. "Financialization of Agricultural Commodity Markets: Do Financial Data Help to Forecast Agricultural Prices," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211626, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Martin T. Bohl & Nicole Branger & Mark Trede, 2022. "Measurement errors in index trader positions data: Is the price pressure hypothesis still invalid?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(3), pages 1534-1553, September.
    3. Modena, Matteo, 2011. "Agricultural commodities and financial markets," MPRA Paper 36416, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Sep 2011.
    4. Miffre, Joëlle & Brooks, Chris, 2013. "Do long-short speculators destabilize commodity futures markets?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 230-240.
    5. Baines, Joseph, 2014. "Food Price Inflation as Redistribution: Towards a New Analysis of Corporate Power in the World Food System (Preprint)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 19(1), pages 79-112.
    6. Bonnier, Jean-Baptiste, 2021. "Speculation and informational efficiency in commodity futures markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    7. Areal, Francisco J. & Balcombe, Kelvin G. & Rapsomanikis, George, 2014. "Testing for bubbles in agricultural commodity markets," ESA Working Papers 288981, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA).
    8. Çınar, Gökhan & Uzmay, Ayse, 2017. "Does Fear (Vix Index) Incite Volatility In Food Prices?," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 5(2), April.
    9. Bredin, Don & Potì, Valerio & Salvador, Enrique, 2023. "Revisiting the Silver Crisis," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    10. Go, You-How & Lau, Wee-Yeap, 2017. "Investor demand, market efficiency and spot-futures relation: Further evidence from crude palm oil," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 135-146.
    11. Cornelia Staritz & Bernhard Tröster & Jan Grumiller & Felix Maile, 2023. "Price-Setting Power in Global Value Chains: The Cases of Price Stabilisation in the Cocoa Sectors in Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 35(4), pages 840-868, August.
    12. Stephan Schulmeister, 2012. "Technical Trading and Commodity Price Fluctuations," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 45238, April.
    13. Branger, Nicole & Grüning, Patrick & Schlag, Christian, 2016. "Commodities, financialization, and heterogeneous agents," SAFE Working Paper Series 131, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    14. Karol Szafranek, 2015. "Financialisation of the commodity markets. Conclusions from the VARX DCC GARCH," NBP Working Papers 213, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    15. Gonzalo Cortazar & Ivo Kovacevic & Eduardo S. Schwartz, 2013. "Commodity and Asset Pricing Models: An Integration," NBER Working Papers 19167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Bohl, Martin T. & Sulewski, Christoph, 2019. "The impact of long-short speculators on the volatility of agricultural commodity futures prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(C).
    17. Will, Matthias Georg & Pies, Ingo, 2014. "Insiderhandel und die Regulierung der Kapitalmärkte: Ein Beitrag zur MiFID-Debatte," Discussion Papers 2014-7, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
    18. Ye, Shiyu & Karali, Berna, 2015. "The Informational Content of Inventory Announcements: Intraday Evidence from Crude Oil Futures Market," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205595, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    19. Adämmer, Philipp & Bohl, Martin T., 2015. "Speculative bubbles in agricultural prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 67-76.
    20. Chatellier, Vincent, 2011. "Price volatility, market regulation and risk management: challenges for the future of the CAP," Working Papers 208110, Institut National de la recherche Agronomique (INRA), Departement Sciences Sociales, Agriculture et Alimentation, Espace et Environnement (SAE2).
    21. Torun Fretheim & Glenn Kristiansen, 2015. "Commodity market risk from 1995 to 2013: an extreme value theory approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(26), pages 2768-2782, June.
    22. Will, Matthias Georg & Prehn, Sören & Pies, Ingo & Glauben, Thomas, 2012. "Schadet oder nützt die Finanzspekulation mit Agrarrohstoffen? Ein Literaturüberblick zum aktuellen Stand der empirischen Forschung," Discussion Papers 2012-26, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
    23. Haase, Marco & Seiler Zimmermann, Yvonne & Zimmermann, Heinz, 2016. "The impact of speculation on commodity futures markets – A review of the findings of 100 empirical studies," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 1-15.
    24. Georg V. Lehecka, 2014. "Have food and financial markets integrated?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(18), pages 2087-2095, June.
    25. Gabriel J. Power & John R. C. Robinson, 2013. "Commodity futures price volatility, convenience yield and economic fundamentals," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(11), pages 1089-1095, July.
    26. Auer, Benjamin R., 2015. "Does the choice of performance measure influence the evaluation of commodity investments?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 142-150.
    27. Niaz Bashiri Behmiri & Matteo Manera & Marcella Nicolini, 2016. "Understanding Dynamic Conditional Correlations between Commodities Futures Markets," Working Papers 2016.17, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    28. El Montasser, Ghassen & Malek Belhoula, Mohamed & Charfeddine, Lanouar, 2023. "Co-explosivity versus leading effects: Evidence from crude oil and agricultural commodities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    29. Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "Detection of bubbles in WTI, brent, and Dubai oil prices: A novel double recursive algorithm," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    30. Awan, Obaid A., 2019. "Price discovery or noise: The role of arbitrage and speculation in explaining crude oil price behaviour," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(C).
    31. Mei, Dexiang & Xie, Yutang, 2022. "U.S. grain commodity futures price volatility: Does trade policy uncertainty matter?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    32. Bosch, David & Smimou, K., 2022. "Traders’ motivation and hedging pressure in commodity futures markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    33. Chincarini, Ludwig B. & Moneta, Fabio, 2021. "The challenges of oil investing: Contango and the financialization of commodities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    34. Baines, Joseph, 2015. "Price and Income Dynamics in the Agri-Food System: A Disaggregate Perspective," EconStor Theses, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 157992, September.
    35. Pies, Ingo, 2014. "Wirtschaftsethik der Welternährung," Discussion Papers 2014-13, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
    36. Wimmer, Thomas & Geyer-Klingeberg, Jerome & Hütter, Marie & Schmid, Florian & Rathgeber, Andreas, 2021. "The impact of speculation on commodity prices: A Meta-Granger analysis," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    37. Martin T. Bohl & Nicole Branger & Mark Trede, 2019. "Measurement Errors in Index Trader Positions Data: Is the Price Pressure Hypothesis Still Invalid?," CQE Working Papers 8019, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    38. Georg Lehecka, 2015. "Do hedging and speculative pressures drive commodity prices, or the other way round?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(2), pages 575-603, September.
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    Cited by:

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    166. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Apergis, Nicholas, 2019. "Determining the predictive power between cryptocurrencies and real time commodity futures: Evidence from quantile causality tests," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 603-616.
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    169. Baptista Palazzi, Rafael & Van Huellen, Sophie, 2024. "Can Fuel Policies Tame Exchange Rate Volatility? Fuel Policy Legacy in Brazil," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343668, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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    172. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Yetkiner, Hakan, 2014. "Are there really bubbles in oil prices?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 631-638.
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    175. Prehn, Soren & Glauben, Thomas & Loy, Jens-Peter & Pies, Ingo & Will, Matthias Georg, 2014. "Der Einfluss Von Long-Only-Indexfonds Auf Die Preisbildung Und Das Marktergebnis An Warenterminmärkten," 54th Annual Conference, Goettingen, Germany, September 17-19, 2014 187363, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).
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    177. Li, Zheng-Zheng & Su, Chi-Wei & Chang, Tsangyao & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2022. "Policy-driven or market-driven? Evidence from steam coal price bubbles in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
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    187. Sergio Luis Náñez Alonso & Javier Jorge-Vázquez & Miguel Ángel Echarte Fernández & David Sanz-Bas, 2024. "Bitcoin’s bubbly behaviors: does it resemble other financial bubbles of the past?," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, December.
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    190. Adjemian, Michael K. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott & Smith, Aaron, 2013. "Non-Convergence in Domestic Commodity Futures Markets: Causes, Consequences, and Remedies," Economic Information Bulletin 155381, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.

  66. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott Irwin & Darrel Good & Luca Massa, 2011. "Empirical confidence intervals for USDA commodity price forecasts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(26), pages 3789-3803.

    Cited by:

    1. Feras A. Batarseh & Munisamy Gopinath & Anderson Monken, 2020. "Artificial Intelligence Methods for Evaluating Global Trade Flows," International Finance Discussion Papers 1296, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Trapero, Juan R., 2016. "Calculation of solar irradiation prediction intervals combining volatility and kernel density estimates," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 266-274.
    3. Adjemian, Michael K. & Bruno, Valentina G. & Robe, Michel A., 2016. "Forward‐Looking USDA Price Forecasts," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235931, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Michael K. Adjemian & Valentina G. Bruno & Michel A. Robe, 2020. "Incorporating Uncertainty into USDA Commodity Price Forecasts," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 696-712, March.
    5. Lee, Yun Shin & Scholtes, Stefan, 2014. "Empirical prediction intervals revisited," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 217-234.
    6. Romanus, Eduardo E. & Silva, Eugênio & Goldschmidt, Ronaldo R., 2024. "Empirical probabilistic forecasting: An approach solely based on deterministic explanatory variables for the selection of past forecast errors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 184-201.
    7. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.
    8. Trapero, Juan R. & Cardós, Manuel & Kourentzes, Nikolaos, 2019. "Empirical safety stock estimation based on kernel and GARCH models," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 199-211.

  67. Cruz Júnior, José César & Irwin, Scott H. & Marques, Pedro Valentim & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Bacchi, Mirian Rumenos Piedade, 2011. "O Excesso de Confiança dos Produtores de Milho no Brasil e o Uso de Contratos Futuros," Brazilian Journal of Rural Economy and Sociology (Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural-RESR), Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural, vol. 49(2), pages 1-22, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Julyerme M. Tonin & Carlos M. R. Vieira & Rui M. de Sousa Fragoso & João G. Martines Filho, 2020. "Conditional correlation and volatility between spot and futures markets for soybean and corn," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(4), pages 707-724, October.

  68. Brittain, Lee & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 36(1), pages 1-20, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  69. Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia & Darrel L. Good & Eugene L. Kunda, 2011. "Spreads and Non-Convergence in Chicago Board of Trade Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures: Are Index Funds to Blame?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(1), pages 116-142.

    Cited by:

    1. Taylor, Mykel & Tonsor, Glynn & Dhuyvetter, Kevin, 2014. "Structural Change in Forward Contracting Costs for Kansas Wheat," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(2), pages 1-13.
    2. Kevin Guo & Tim Leung, 2016. "Understanding the Non-Convergence of Agricultural Futures via Stochastic Storage Costs and Timing Options," Papers 1610.09403, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2017.
    3. Carlotta Penone & Elisa Giampietri & Samuele Trestini, 2022. "Futures–spot price transmission in EU corn markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 679-709, July.
    4. Minnix, Luke A. & Yeager, Elizabeth A., 2019. "Kansas Wheat Basis Expectations During Periods of Nonconvergence," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2019.
    5. Stephanie-Carolin Grosche, 2014. "What Does Granger Causality Prove? A Critical Examination of the Interpretation of Granger Causality Results on Price Effects of Index Trading in Agricultural Commodity Markets," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(2), pages 279-302, June.
    6. van Huellen, Sophie, 2019. "Price discovery in commodity futures and cash markets with heterogeneous agents," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 1-13.
    7. Jean Loic Begue Turon & Jean Cordier & Sandrine Hallot & Jean Baptiste Plasmans & David Weiller, 2016. "Utilisation des marchés à terme par les acteurs commerciaux exposés à la volatilité des marchés de grains et du sucre," Working Papers hal-02068381, HAL.
    8. Onel, Gulcan & Karali, Berna, 2014. "Relative Performance of Semi-Parametric Nonlinear Models in Forecasting Basis," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 169795, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Haase, Marco & Seiler Zimmermann, Yvonne & Zimmermann, Heinz, 2016. "The impact of speculation on commodity futures markets – A review of the findings of 100 empirical studies," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 1-15.
    10. Xiaojie Xu, 2018. "Cointegration and price discovery in US corn cash and futures markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1889-1923, December.
    11. Sophie van Huellen, 2018. "How financial investment distorts food prices: evidence from U.S. grain markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(2), pages 171-181, March.
    12. Irwin, Scott H., 2020. "Trilogy for troubleshooting convergence: Manipulation, structural imbalance, and storage rates," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
    13. van Huellen, Sophie, 2020. "Too much of a good thing? Speculative effects on commodity futures curves," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    14. Anton Bekkerman & Mykel Taylor, 2020. "The Role of Spatial Density and Technological Investment on Optimal Pricing Strategies in the Grain Handling Industry," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 57(1), pages 27-58, August.
    15. Osama Ahmed, 2021. "Assessing the Current Situation of the World Wheat Market Leadership: Using the Semi-Parametric Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-21, January.
    16. Sean Field, 2016. "The financialization of food and the 2008–2011 food price spikes," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 48(11), pages 2272-2290, November.
    17. Zhige Wu & Alex Maynard & Alfons Weersink & Getu Hailu, 2018. "Asymmetric spot‐futures price adjustments in grain markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(12), pages 1549-1564, December.
    18. Wimmer, Thomas & Geyer-Klingeberg, Jerome & Hütter, Marie & Schmid, Florian & Rathgeber, Andreas, 2021. "The impact of speculation on commodity prices: A Meta-Granger analysis," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    19. Goswami, Alankrita & Karali, Berna & Adjemian, Michael K., 2023. "Hedging with futures during nonconvergence in commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    20. Seok, Juheon & Brorsen, B. Wade & Li, Weiping, 2013. "Calendar Spread Options for Storable Commodities," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150294, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    21. Bahman Angoshtari & Tim Leung, 2018. "Optimal Dynamic Basis Trading," Papers 1809.05961, arXiv.org, revised May 2019.
    22. Sophie van Huellen, 2013. "Price Non-Convergence in Commodities: A Case Study of the Wheat Conundrum," Working Papers 185, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
    23. Goswami, Alankrita & Adjemian, Michael K. & Karali, Berna, 2022. "The impact of futures contract storage rate policy on convergence expectations in domestic commodity markets," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    24. Bekkerman, Anton & Brester, Gary W. & Taylor, Mykel, 2016. "Forecasting a Moving Target: The Roles of Quality and Timing for Determining Northern U.S. Wheat Basis," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 1-17, January.
    25. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Farhangdoost, Sara & Hoffman, Linwood A. & Adam, Brian D., 2023. "Forecasting the U.S. season-average farm price of corn: Derivation of an alternative futures-based forecasting model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    26. Ahmed, Osama, 2021. "Assessing the current situation of the world wheat market leadership: Using the semi-parametric approach," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 9(2).
    27. Anton Bekkerman & Thomas Gumbley & Gary W. Brester, 2021. "The Impacts of Biofuel Policies on Spatial and Vertical Price Relationships in the US Fertilizer Industry," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(2), pages 802-822, June.
    28. Adjemian, Michael K. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott & Smith, Aaron, 2013. "Non-Convergence in Domestic Commodity Futures Markets: Causes, Consequences, and Remedies," Economic Information Bulletin 155381, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.

  70. Evelyn V. Colino & Scott H. Irwin, 2010. "Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 92(1), pages 1-15.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  71. Silvina M. Cabrini & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good, 2010. "Should Farmers Follow the Recommendations of Market Advisory Services? A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach to Estimation of Expected Performance," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 92(3), pages 622-637.

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    1. Douglas MacKinnon & Martin Pavlovič, 2020. "A Bayesian analysis of hop price fluctuations," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 66(12), pages 519-526.
    2. Jacobs, Keri & Li, Ziran & Hayes, Dermot, 2016. "Price responses in forward contracting: do we limit the upside and expose the downside?," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235539, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Riley, John M., 2013. "Extension’s Role in Commodity Marketing Education: Past, Present, and Future," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45, pages 1-19, August.

  72. Cheol‐Ho Park & Scott H. Irwin, 2010. "A reality check on technical trading rule profits in the U.S. futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(7), pages 633-659, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  73. Urcola, Hernan A. & Irwin, Scott H., 2010. "Hog Options: Contract Redesign and Market Efficiency," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 42(4), pages 1-18, November.

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    1. Andres Trujillo-Barrera & Philip Garcia & Mindy L Mallory, 2018. "Short-term price density forecasts in the lean hog futures market," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 45(1), pages 121-142.

  74. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin & Robert P. Merrin, 2010. "The Adequacy of Speculation in Agricultural Futures Markets: Too Much of a Good Thing?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 32(1), pages 77-94.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  75. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2010. "A speculative bubble in commodity futures prices? Cross‐sectional evidence," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(1), pages 25-32, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  76. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2010. "Quantile Regression Estimates of Confidence Intervals for WASDE Price Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 35(3), pages 1-23, December.

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    1. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Li, Jian & Wang, Linjie, 2024. "Option pricing revisited: The role of price volatility and dynamics," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    2. Adjemian, Michael K. & Bruno, Valentina G. & Robe, Michel A., 2016. "Forward‐Looking USDA Price Forecasts," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235931, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Michael K. Adjemian & Valentina G. Bruno & Michel A. Robe, 2020. "Incorporating Uncertainty into USDA Commodity Price Forecasts," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 696-712, March.
    4. Sun, Zhining & Katchova, Ani, 2024. "Herding in the WASDE," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 344064, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Li, Jian & Wang, Linjie, 2024. "Option Pricing Revisited: The Role of Price Volatility and Dynamics," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343544, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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    Cited by:

    1. Guillermo Llorente & Jiang Wang, 2020. "Trading and information in futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1231-1263, August.
    2. Nicole M. Aulerich & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2014. "Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Food Price Volatility, pages 211-253, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Marc J. M. Bohmann & David Michayluk & Vinay Patel, 2019. "Price discovery in commodity derivatives: Speculation or hedging?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(9), pages 1107-1121, September.
    4. Xingguo Luo & Yuting Lin & Xiaoli Yu & Feng He, 2021. "How trading in commodity futures option markets impacts commodity futures prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(8), pages 1333-1347, August.
    5. Scott H. Irwin & Dwight R. Sanders, 2011. "Index Funds, Financialization, and Commodity Futures Markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 33(1), pages 1-31.
    6. Bernardina Algieri, 2014. "A roller coaster ride: an empirical investigation of the main drivers of the international wheat price," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(4), pages 459-475, July.
    7. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2023. "Predictability of crypto returns: The impact of trading behavior," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    8. Stephanie-Carolin Grosche, 2014. "What Does Granger Causality Prove? A Critical Examination of the Interpretation of Granger Causality Results on Price Effects of Index Trading in Agricultural Commodity Markets," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(2), pages 279-302, June.
    9. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2010. "A speculative bubble in commodity futures prices? Cross‐sectional evidence," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(1), pages 25-32, January.
    10. Ordu, Beyza Mina & Oran, Adil & Soytas, Ugur, 2018. "Is food financialized? Yes, but only when liquidity is abundant," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 82-96.
    11. Dirk G. Baur & Lee A. Smales, 2022. "Trading behavior in bitcoin futures: Following the “smart money”," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1304-1323, July.
    12. Chen, Haojun & Maher, Daniela, 2013. "On the predictive role of large futures trades for S&P500 index returns: An analysis of COT data as an informative trading signal," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 177-201.
    13. Hossfeld, Oliver & Röthig, Andreas, 2015. "Do speculative traders anticipate or follow USD/EUR exchange rate movements? New evidence on the efficiency of the EUR currency futures market," Discussion Papers 41/2015, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    14. Haase, Marco & Seiler Zimmermann, Yvonne & Zimmermann, Heinz, 2016. "The impact of speculation on commodity futures markets – A review of the findings of 100 empirical studies," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 1-15.
    15. Chkir, Imed & Guesmi, Khaled & Brayek, Angham Ben & Naoui, Kamel, 2020. "Modelling the nonlinear relationship between oil prices, stock markets, and exchange rates in oil-exporting and oil-importing countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    16. Lee A. Smales, 2022. "Trading Behavior in Agricultural Commodity Futures around the 52-Week High," Commodities, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-15, June.
    17. Georg Lehecka, 2015. "Do hedging and speculative pressures drive commodity prices, or the other way round?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(2), pages 575-603, September.
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    20. Mutafoglu, Takvor H. & Tokat, Ekin & Tokat, Hakki A., 2012. "Forecasting precious metal price movements using trader positions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 273-280.
    21. Ederer, Stefan & Heumesser, Christine & Staritz, Cornelia, 2013. "The role of fundamentals and financialisation in recent commodity price developments: An empirical analysis for wheat, coffee, cotton, and oil," Working Papers 42, Austrian Foundation for Development Research (ÖFSE).
    22. Boyd, Naomi E. & Harris, Jeffrey H. & Li, Bingxin, 2018. "An update on speculation and financialization in commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 91-104.
    23. Algieri, Bernardina, 2012. "Price Volatility, Speculation and Excessive Speculation in Commodity Markets: sheep or shepherd behaviour?," Discussion Papers 124390, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).
    24. Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2023. "Predicting inflation expectations: A habit-based explanation under hedging," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    25. Grosche, Stephanie, 2012. "Limitations of Granger Causality Analysis to assess the price effects from the financialization of agricultural commodity markets under bounded rationality," Discussion Papers 121868, University of Bonn, Institute for Food and Resource Economics.

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    1. Luigi Russi & Tomaso Ferrando, 2015. ""Capitalism A Nuh' Wi Frien'": The Formatting of Farming Into an Asset From Financial Speculation to International Aid," IUC Research Commons 1-15, International University College of Turin.
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    6. Miffre, Joëlle & Brooks, Chris, 2013. "Do long-short speculators destabilize commodity futures markets?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 230-240.
    7. Prehn, Sören & Glauben, Thomas & Loy, Jens-Peter & Pies, Ingo & Will, Matthias Georg, 2014. "The impact of long-only index funds on price discovery and market performance in agricultural futures markets [Der Einfluss von Long-only-Indexfonds auf die Preisfindung und das Marktergebnis an la," IAMO Discussion Papers 147, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO).
    8. Nicole M. Aulerich & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2014. "Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Food Price Volatility, pages 211-253, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Jena, Sangram Keshari & Lahiani, Amine & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Roubaud, David, 2021. "Uncovering the complex asymmetric relationship between trading activity and commodity futures price: Evidenced from QNARDL study," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    10. David S. Jacks & Martin Stuermer, 2016. "What drives commodity price booms and busts?," Working Papers 1614, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    11. Abid, Ilyes & Goutte, Stéphane & Guesmi, Khaled & Jamali, Ibrahim, 2019. "Transmission of shocks and contagion from U.S. to MENA equity markets: The role of oil and gas markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
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    118. Dirk G. Baur & Thomas Dimpfl, 2019. "Price discovery in bitcoin spot or futures?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 803-817, July.
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  80. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Market Instability in a New Era of Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Prices," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 24(1), pages 1-6.

    Cited by:

    1. Lawes, R.A. & Kingwell, R.S., 2012. "A longitudinal examination of business performance indicators for drought-affected farms," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 106(1), pages 94-101.
    2. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K., 2016. "Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235580, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Xiaoli L. Etienne & Mindy L. Mallory & Scott H. Irwin, 2017. "Estimating the cost of pre‐harvest forward contracting corn and soybeans in Illinois before and after 2007," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 358-377, June.
    4. Naveen Musunuru, 2014. "Modeling Price Volatility Linkages between Corn and Wheat: A Multivariate GARCH Estimation," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 20(3), pages 269-280, August.
    5. Mahdi Asgari & Sayed H. Saghaian & Michael R. Reed, 2020. "The Impact of Energy Sector on Overshooting of Agricultural Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 589-606, March.
    6. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2010. "A speculative bubble in commodity futures prices? Cross‐sectional evidence," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(1), pages 25-32, January.
    7. Xiaodong Du & Cindy L. Yu & Dermot J. Hayes, 2009. "Speculation and Volatility Spillover in the Crude Oil and Agricultural Commodity Markets: A Bayesian Analysis," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 09-wp491, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    8. Hamulczuk, Mariusz & Łopaciuk, Wiesław, 2013. "Price linkage between milling and feed wheat prices in Poland and Germany," Problems of World Agriculture / Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, vol. 13(28), pages 1-11, December.
    9. Nanying Wang & Jack E. Houston, 2016. "The Co-Movement between Non-GM and GM Soybean Prices in China: Evidence from Dalian Futures Market (2004-2014)," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 3(4), pages 37-47, November.
    10. Onel, Gulcan & Karali, Berna, 2014. "Relative Performance of Semi-Parametric Nonlinear Models in Forecasting Basis," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 169795, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Chen, Kuan-Ju & Chen, Kuan-Heng, 2016. "Analysis of Energy and Agricultural Commodity Markets with the Policy Mandated: A Vine Copula-based ARMA-EGARCH Model," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236028, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    12. Musunuru, Naveen Musunuru, 2017. "Causal Relationships Between Grain, Meat Prices And Exchange Rates," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 5(4), October.
    13. Paulson, Nicholas D. & Schnitkey, Gary D., 2010. "Expected Payments and Considerations for the New ACRE Program," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2010, pages 1-12.
    14. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2015. "The Relationship between Stocks-to-Use and Corn Prices Revisited," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    15. Yaxian Lu & Longguang Yang & Lihong Liu, 2019. "Volatility Spillovers between Crude Oil and Agricultural Commodity Markets since the Financial Crisis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-12, January.
    16. Capitani, Daniel Henrique Dario & Gaio, Luiz Eduardo, 2023. "Volatility Transmissionin Agricultural Markets: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine Conflict," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 11(2), April.
    17. Saghaian, Sayed & Nemati, Mehdi & Walters, Cory & Chen, Bo, 2018. "Asymmetric Price Volatility Transmission between U.S. Biofuel, Corn, and Oil Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 43(1), January.
    18. Walters, Cory, 2018. "Price Volatility Transmission between U.S. Biofuel, Corn, and Oil Markets," Cornhusker Economics 307037, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    19. David Ubilava, 2012. "Modeling Nonlinearities in the U.S. Soybean‐to‐Corn Price Ratio: A Smooth Transition Autoregression Approach," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 29-41, January.
    20. Trujillo-Barrera, Andres & Mallory, Mindy L. & Garcia, Philip, 2012. "Volatility Spillovers in U.S. Crude Oil, Ethanol, and Corn Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 1-16, August.
    21. Roberto Esposti & Giulia Listorti, 2013. "Agricultural price transmission across space and commodities during price bubbles," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 44(1), pages 125-139, January.
    22. Roberto Esposti, 2009. "Biofuels between International Markets, Policies and the Wto," QA - Rivista dell'Associazione Rossi-Doria, Associazione Rossi Doria, issue 4, December.
    23. Dimitrios Dimitriadis & Constantinos Katrakilidis, 2020. "An empirical analysis of the dynamic interactions among ethanol, crude oil and corn prices in the US market," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 294(1), pages 47-57, November.
    24. Esposti, Roberto & Listorti, Giulia, 2014. "Price transmission in the Swiss wheat market: does sophisticated border protection make the difference?," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 182695, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    25. Capitani, Daniel H D & Gaio, Luiz Eduardo & Mattos, Fabio L. & Franco Da Silveira, Rodrigo Lanna & Cruz, Jose Cesar, 2024. "Corn ethanol expansion in Brazil: Are volatility interconnectedness changing?," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343612, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    26. José César Cruz Junior & Daniel H D Capitani & Rodrigo L F Silveira, 2018. "The effect of Brazilian corn and soybean crop expansion on price and volatility transmission," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(4), pages 2273-2283.
    27. Saghaian, Sayed H. & Nemati, Mehdi & Walters, Cory G. & Chen, Bo, 2017. "Asymmetric Price Volatility Interaction between U.S. Food and Energy Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258240, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  81. Franken, Jason R.V. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2009. "Is Storage at a Loss Merely an Illusion of Spatial Aggregation?," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 27(1-2), pages 1-20.

    Cited by:

    1. Seok, Juheon & Brorsen, B. Wade & Li, Weiping, 2013. "Calendar Spread Options for Storable Commodities," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150294, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Colin A. Carter & Gordon C. Rausser & Aaron Smith, 2011. "Commodity Booms and Busts," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 3(1), pages 87-118, October.

  82. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Gomez, Jennifer K., 2008. "The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-15, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2018. "Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273973, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Dorfmann, Jeffrey & Karali, Berna, 2015. "A Nonparametric Search for Information Effects from USDA Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-20.
    3. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K., 2016. "Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235580, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Cao, Xiang & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael & Johansson, Robert C., 2021. "When does USDA information have the most impact on crop and livestock markets?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    5. Karali, Berna, 2012. "Do USDA Announcements Affect Comovements Across Commodity Futures Returns?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-21, April.
    6. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark, 2016. "Detecting the Sources of Information Rigidity: Analyzing Forecast Bias and Smoothing in USDA’s Soybean Forecasts," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235349, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Good, Darrel L., 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183477, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    8. Alex Frino & Michael Garcia, 2018. "Should macroeconomic information be released during trading breaks in futures markets?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 775-787, July.
    9. Bunek, Gabriel D. & Janzen, Joseph P., 2024. "Does public information facilitate price consensus? Characterizing USDA announcement effects using realized volatility," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    10. Lehecka, Georg V., 2013. "The Reaction of Corn and Soybean Futures Markets to USDA Crop Progress and Condition Information," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 142491, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    11. Nicolas Merener, 2012. "Globally Distributed Production and Asset Pricing:the Rise of Latin America in CME Soybean Futures," Business School Working Papers 2012-01, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.
    12. Ferguson, Shon & Ubilava, David, 2022. "Global commodity market disruption and the fallout," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(04), January.
    13. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark & Cooke, Bryce, 2017. "The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets," MPRA Paper 87545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Kaus, Taylor T. & Mattos, Fabio L., 2017. "Too much information? How relevant are agricultural reports that provide similar information?," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258367, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Siddhartha S. Bora & Ani L. Katchova & Todd H. Kuethe, 2021. "The Rationality of USDA Forecasts under Multivariate Asymmetric Loss," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(3), pages 1006-1033, May.
    16. Xiao, Jinzhi, 2015. "Essays on the forecasts of ending stocks," ISU General Staff Papers 201501010800005902, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    17. Pierrick Piette, 2019. "Can Satellite Data Forecast Valuable Information from USDA Reports ? Evidences on Corn Yield Estimates," Working Papers hal-02149355, HAL.
    18. Xiaoyang Wang & Philip Garcia & Scott H. Irwin, 2014. "The Behavior of Bid-Ask Spreads in the Electronically-Traded Corn Futures Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 96(2), pages 557-577.
    19. Adjemian, Michael K. & Arnade, Carlos Anthony, 2017. "Not Lost in Translation: The Impact of USDA Reports on International Corn Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258362, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    20. Adrian Fernandez‐Perez & Bart Frijns & Ivan Indriawan & Alireza Tourani‐Rad, 2019. "Surprise and dispersion: informational impact of USDA announcements," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 50(1), pages 113-126, January.
    21. Joseph, Kishore & Garcia, Philip, 2016. "Intraday Market Effects in Electronic Soybean Futures Market during Non-Trading and Trading Hour Announcements," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235772, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    22. Xiao, Jinzhi & Lence, Sergio H. & Hart, Chad, 2014. "Usda And Private Analysts' Forecasts Of Ending Stocks: How Good Are They?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170642, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    23. Ying, Jiahui & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, 2017. "A Temporal Impact Assessment Method for the Informational Content of USDA Reports in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258201, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    24. McKenzie, Andrew M. & Ke, Yangmin, 2022. "How do USDA announcements affect international commodity prices?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    25. Joshua Huang & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2021. "The Value of USDA Announcements in the Electronically Traded Corn Futures Market: A Modified Sufficient Test with Risk Adjustments," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(3), pages 712-734, September.
    26. Goyal, Raghav & Adjemian, Michael K., 2020. "The 2019 Government Shutdown Increased Uncertainty in Major Agricultural Commodity Markets," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304256, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    27. Andrew M. McKenzie & Jessica L. Darby, 2017. "Information Content of USDA Rice Reports and Price Reactions of Rice Futures," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 552-568, September.
    28. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Jennifer K. Gomez, 2008. "Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 473-490.
    29. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & MacDonald, Stephen & Xie, Ran, 2012. "A Comprehensive Evaluation of USDA Cotton Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-16, April.
    30. Tianyang Zhang & Ziran Li, 2022. "Can a rational expectation storage model explain the USDA ending grain stocks forecast errors?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 313-337, March.
    31. Lehecka, Georg V., 2014. "The Value of USDA Crop Progress and Condition Information: Reactions of Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(1), pages 1-18, April.
    32. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183528, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    33. Urcola, Hernan A. & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "Are Agricultural Options Overpriced?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 36(1), pages 1-15, April.
    34. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2015. "Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    35. Dominik Boos, 2024. "Risky times: Seasonality and event risk of commodities," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(5), pages 767-783, May.
    36. Lusk, Jayson L., 2016. "From Farm Income to Food Consumption: Valuing USDA Data Products," C-FARE Reports 266593, Council on Food, Agricultural, and Resource Economics (C-FARE).

  83. Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip & Good, Darrel L. & Kunda, Eugene L., 2008. "Recent Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures Contracts," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 23(2), pages 1-6.

    Cited by:

    1. Power, Gabriel J. & Robinson, John R.C., 2009. "Cotton Futures Dynamics: Structural Change, Index Traders and the Returns to Storage," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53044, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Jean Loic Begue Turon & Jean Cordier & Sandrine Hallot & Jean Baptiste Plasmans & David Weiller, 2016. "Utilisation des marchés à terme par les acteurs commerciaux exposés à la volatilité des marchés de grains et du sucre," Working Papers hal-02068381, HAL.
    3. Cooke, Bryce & Robles, Miguel, 2009. "Recent food prices movements: A time series analysis," IFPRI discussion papers 942, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    4. Karali, Berna & McNew, Kevin & Thurman, Walter N., 2018. "Price Discovery and the Basis Effects of Failures to Converge in Soft RedWinter Wheat Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 43(1), January.
    5. Adjemian, Michael K. & Kuethe, Todd H. & Kunda, Eugene L., 2010. "The Inconvenience Cost: A Portfolio Approach to Non-Convergence Between Cash and Futures Prices," 2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado 61040, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Zhige Wu & Alex Maynard & Alfons Weersink & Getu Hailu, 2018. "Asymmetric spot‐futures price adjustments in grain markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(12), pages 1549-1564, December.
    7. Goswami, Alankrita & Karali, Berna & Adjemian, Michael K., 2023. "Hedging with futures during nonconvergence in commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    8. Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip & Good, Darrel L. & Kunda, Eugene L., 2009. "Poor Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean and Wheat Futures Contracts: Causes and Solutions," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183475, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    9. Choe, Kyoungin & Goodwin, Barry K., 2024. "Convergence Bias in Lean Hog Futures: Are Hog Prices Reliable?," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343733, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  84. Joost M.E. Pennings & Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia & Darrel L. Good, 2008. "Producers' complex risk management choices," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 31-54.

    Cited by:

    1. Loughrey, Jason & Thorne, Fiona & Hennessy, Thia, 2015. "The Direct Impact of Risk Management Tools on Farm Income: The Case of Irelands Spring Barley Producers," 89th Annual Conference, April 13-15, 2015, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 204228, Agricultural Economics Society.
    2. Hoffmann, A.O.I. & Pennings, J.M.E., 2008. "Shareholder activism and the role of marketing: a framework for analyzing and managing investor relations," Research Memorandum 007, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    3. Nchanji, Eileen Bogweh & Nchanji, Yvonne Kiki, 2022. "Urban farmers coping strategies in the wake of urbanization and changing market in Tamale, Northern Ghana," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    4. Muhammad Amjed Iqbal & Azhar Abbas & Syed Asif Ali Naqvi & Muhammad Rizwan & Abdus Samie & Umar Ijaz Ahmed, 2020. "Drivers of Farm Households’ Perceived Risk Sources and Factors Affecting Uptake of Mitigation Strategies in Punjab Pakistan: Implications for Sustainable Agriculture," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-17, November.
    5. Aymeric Ricome & Arnaud Reynaud, 2022. "Marketing contract choices in agriculture: The role of price expectation and price risk management," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(1), pages 170-186, January.
    6. Frasa, Stefanie & Carlberg, Jared & Hogan, Robert, 2015. "Use of Contracts by Prairie Agricultural Producers," Working Papers 232328, Structure and Performance of Agriculture and Agri-products Industry (SPAA).
    7. Caroline Roussy & Aude Ridier & Karim Chaib & Marie Boyet, 2018. "Marketing contracts and risk management for cereal producers," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 616-630, June.
    8. Jason Loughrey & Fiona Thorne & Thia Hennessy, 2016. "A Microsimulation Model for Risk in Irish Tillage Farming," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 9(2), pages 41-76.
    9. Larsen, Ryan A. & Vedenov, Dmitry V. & Leatham, David J., 2009. "Enterprise-level risk assessment of geographically diversified commercial farms: a copula approach," 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia 46763, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    10. Leppälä, Jarkko & Rautiainen, Risto & Kauranen, Ilkka, 2015. "Analysis of risk management tools applicable in managing farm risks: A literature review," International Journal of Agricultural Management, Institute of Agricultural Management, vol. 4(3), April.
    11. Mbonane, Nobuhle Duduzile, 2018. "An analysis of farmers’ preferences for crop insurance: a case of maize farmers in Swaziland," Research Theses 334771, Collaborative Masters Program in Agricultural and Applied Economics.

  85. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Jennifer K. Gomez, 2008. "Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 473-490.

    Cited by:

    1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Cao, Xiang & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael & Johansson, Robert C., 2021. "When does USDA information have the most impact on crop and livestock markets?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    2. Adjemian, Michael K. & Bruno, Valentina & Robe, Michel A. & Wallen, Jonathan, 2017. "What Drives Volatility Expectations in Grain and Oilseed Markets?," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258452, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Olga Isengildina Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin, 2024. "What do we know about the value and market impact of the US Department of Agriculture reports?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(2), pages 698-736, June.
    4. Marin Bozic, 2010. "Pricing Options on Commodity Futures: The Role of Weather and Storage," Working Papers 1003, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb.
    5. Bunek, Gabriel D. & Janzen, Joseph P., 2024. "Does public information facilitate price consensus? Characterizing USDA announcement effects using realized volatility," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    6. Adrian Fernandez‐Perez & Raquel López, 2023. "The effect of macroeconomic news announcements on the implied volatility of commodities: The role of survey releases," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(11), pages 1499-1530, November.
    7. Ferguson, Shon & Ubilava, David, 2022. "Global commodity market disruption and the fallout," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(04), January.
    8. Sun, Zhining & Katchova, Ani & Giri, Anil K. & Subedi, Dipak, 2024. "The Announcement Effect of MFP and CFAP on Futures Commodity Prices," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343895, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Arnade, Carlos & Hoffman, Linwood & Effland, Anne, 2021. "The Impact of Public Information on Commodity Market Performance: The Response of Corn Futures to USDA Corn Production Forecasts," Economic Research Report 327189, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    10. Raghav Goyal & Michael K. Adjemian, 2023. "Information rigidities in USDA crop production forecasts," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(5), pages 1405-1425, October.
    11. Xiao, Jinzhi, 2015. "Essays on the forecasts of ending stocks," ISU General Staff Papers 201501010800005902, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    12. An N. Q. Cao & Michel A. Robe, 2022. "Market uncertainty and sentiment around USDA announcements," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 250-275, February.
    13. Sun, Zhining & Katchova, Ani, 2024. "Herding in the WASDE," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 344064, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    14. Bozic, Marin & Fortenbery, T. Randall, 2011. "Pricing Options on Commodity Futures: The Role of Weather and Storage," 2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 103638, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Capitani, Daniel H D & Mattos, Fabio L. & Cruz, Jose Cesar & Silva, Renato Moraes & Franco Da Silveira, Rodrigo Lanna, 2024. "The Reaction Of Corn Futures Prices To U.S. And Brazilian Crop Reports," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343571, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    16. McKenzie, Andrew M. & Ke, Yangmin, 2022. "How do USDA announcements affect international commodity prices?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    17. Andrew M. McKenzie & Jessica L. Darby, 2017. "Information Content of USDA Rice Reports and Price Reactions of Rice Futures," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 552-568, September.
    18. Tianyang Zhang & Ziran Li, 2022. "Can a rational expectation storage model explain the USDA ending grain stocks forecast errors?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 313-337, March.
    19. Covindassamy, Genevre & Robe, Michel A. & Wallen, Jonathan, 2016. "Sugar With Your Coffee?: Financials, Fundamentals, and Soft Price Uncertainty," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8588, Inter-American Development Bank.
    20. Lihong Lu McPhail & Bruce A. Babcock, 2008. "Short-Run Price and Welfare Impacts of Federal Ethanol Policies," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 08-wp468, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    21. López, Raquel, 2018. "The behaviour of energy-related volatility indices around scheduled news announcements: Implications for variance swap investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 356-364.
    22. Roberto Andreotti Bodra & Afonso De Campos Pint, 2014. "Modelo De Volatilidade Estocástica Com Saltos Aplicado A Commodities Agrícolas," Anais do XLI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 41st Brazilian Economics Meeting] 142, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    23. Dominik Boos, 2024. "Risky times: Seasonality and event risk of commodities," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(5), pages 767-783, May.
    24. Nathan Kauffman, 2013. "Have extended trading hours made agricultural commodity markets riskier?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q III, pages 67-94.
    25. Lusk, Jayson L., 2016. "From Farm Income to Food Consumption: Valuing USDA Data Products," C-FARE Reports 266593, Council on Food, Agricultural, and Resource Economics (C-FARE).

  86. Frank, Julieta & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2008. "To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond?," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-15, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  87. Silvina M. Cabrini & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good, 2007. "Style and Performance of Agricultural Market Advisory Services," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 89(3), pages 607-623.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  88. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Isengildina, Olga, 2006. "The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(2), pages 1-21, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  89. Olga Isengildina & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good, 2006. "Are Revisions to USDA Crop Production Forecasts Smoothed?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 88(4), pages 1091-1104.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  90. Wei Shi & Scott H. Irwin, 2005. "Optimal Hedging with a Subjective View: An Empirical Bayesian Approach," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 87(4), pages 918-930.

    Cited by:

    1. Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "A Bayesian Implementation of the Standard Optimal Hedging Model: Parameter Estimation Risk and Subjective Views," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19155, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Pannell, David J. & Hailu, Getu & Weersink, Alfons & Burt, Amanda, 2007. "More Reasons Why Farmers Have So Little Interest in Futures Markets," Working Papers 9232, University of Western Australia, School of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    3. Giulio Palomba, 2008. "Multivariate GARCH models and the Black-Litterman approach for tracking error constrained portfolios: an empirical analysis," Global Business and Economics Review, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 10(4), pages 379-413.
    4. Bessler, Wolfgang & Leonhardt, Alexander & Wolff, Dominik, 2016. "Analyzing hedging strategies for fixed income portfolios: A Bayesian approach for model selection," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 239-256.

  91. Joost M.E. Pennings & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Olga Isengildina, 2005. "Heterogeneity in the likelihood of market advisory service use by U.S. crop producers," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 109-128.

    Cited by:

    1. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37485, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    2. Pascucci, Stefano & de-Magistris, Tiziana, 2011. "The effects of changing regional Agricultural Knowledge and Innovation System on Italian farmers’ strategies," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 104(9), pages 746-754.
    3. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Joao, Martines-Filho, 2004. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soybeans in 2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37507, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Soft Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183427, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Kliethermes, Brandon & Parcell, Joseph L. & Franken, Jason R.V., 2009. "Commercial Grain Merchandisers: What Do They Need to Know?," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53049, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    6. Batts, Ryan M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2009. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Hard Red Winter Wheat over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183428, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Isengildina, Olga & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37489, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    8. Colino, Evelyn V. & Cabrini, Silvina M. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Brandenberger, Tracy L. & Merrin, Robert P. & Shi, Wei & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2006. "Advisory Service Marketing Profiles for Corn over 2002-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37484, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  92. Lewis A. Hagedorn & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Evelyn V. Colino, 2005. "Does the Performance of Illinois Corn and Soybean Farmers Lag the Market?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 87(5), pages 1271-1279.

    Cited by:

    1. Dietz, Sarah N. & Aulerich, Nicole M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008. "The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37622, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37456, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Mattos, Fabio, 2012. "Do producers exhibit disposition effect? Evidence from grain marketing," Working Papers 125279, Structure and Performance of Agriculture and Agri-products Industry (SPAA).
    4. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    5. Hyun Seok Kim & B. Wade Brorsen, 2012. "Can real option values explain apparent storage at a loss?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(16), pages 2081-2090, June.
    6. Diersen, Matthew A., 2008. "Hay Price Forecasts at the State Level," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37600, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

  93. Cabrini, Silvina M. & Stark, Brian G. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes, 2005. "Portfolios of Agricultural Market Advisory Services: How Much Diversification is Enough?," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-14, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  94. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "The Impact of Market Advisory Service Recommendations on Producers' Marketing Decisions," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(2), pages 1-20, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Garcia, Philip & Frank, Julieta & Kuiper, W. Erno, 2005. "Complex Choices: Producers Risk Management Strategies," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19550, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Xiaoli L. Etienne & Mindy L. Mallory & Scott H. Irwin, 2017. "Estimating the cost of pre‐harvest forward contracting corn and soybeans in Illinois before and after 2007," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 358-377, June.
    3. Zhang, Tong & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2006. "Heterogeneity in Producer's Marketing Strategy," 2006 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2006, Orlando, Florida 35299, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    4. Joost M.E. Pennings & Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia & Darrel L. Good, 2008. "Producers' complex risk management choices," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 31-54.
    5. Schulze, Birgit, 2011. "Dynamic Markets – Dynamic Relationships: The Example of Grain Marketing in Germany," 2011 International European Forum, February 14-18, 2011, Innsbruck-Igls, Austria 122001, International European Forum on System Dynamics and Innovation in Food Networks.
    6. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004: A Non-Technical Summary," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37456, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Vergara, Oscar & Coble, Keith H. & Hudson, Darren & Knight, Thomas O. & Patrick, George F. & Baquet, Alan E., 2005. "Target Markets for Grain and Cotton Marketing Consultants and Market Information Systems," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 30(1), pages 1-17, April.
    8. Lewis T. Cunningham & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson & Emílio Tostão, 2008. "Gender differences in marketing styles," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 38(1), pages 1-7, January.
    9. Isengildina, Olga & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37489, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  95. Scott H. Irwin & Gary D. Schnitkey & Darrel L. Good & Paul N. Ellinger, 2004. "The Farmdoc Project: This Is Still Your Father's Extension Program," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 86(3), pages 772-777.

    Cited by:

    1. Watson, Heather, 2011. "Complementing tradition, managing change: using communication technology to connect an industry; the case of AGRIWEBINAR," International Journal of Agricultural Management, Institute of Agricultural Management, vol. 1(1), pages 1-6.
    2. Jeremy D. Foltz & Bradford L. Barham, 2009. "The Productivity Effects of Extension Appointments in Land-Grant Colleges," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 31(4), pages 712-733.
    3. Brenna Ellison & Nicholas D Paulson & Mykel R Taylor & Glynn T Tonsor & Jonathan Coppess & Gary D Schnitkey, 2017. "Evaluation of Educational Offerings Associated with the 2014 Farm Bill," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 39(4), pages 547-558.
    4. Malone, Trey & Monahan, Jim & Nicpon, Katie & Schaefer, K. Aleks & Cary, Madelyn, 2022. "On the Strategic Creation of Extension and Outreach Content in a New Media Environment," Applied Economics Teaching Resources (AETR), Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 4(2), July.
    5. Watson, Heather, 2011. "NPR - Complementing Tradition, Managing Change: Using Communication Technology To Connect An Industry; The Case Of Agriwebinarâ„¢ (p27-37)," 18th Congress, Methven, New Zealand, 2011 345641, International Farm Management Association.

  96. Bruce J. Sherrick & Fabio C. Zanini & Gary D. Schnitkey & Scott H. Irwin, 2004. "Crop Insurance Valuation under Alternative Yield Distributions," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 86(2), pages 406-419.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  97. Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good, 2004. "Evaluation of USDA Interval Forecasts of Corn and Soybean Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 86(4), pages 990-1004.

    Cited by:

    1. Andres Trujillo-Barrera & Philip Garcia & Mindy L Mallory, 2018. "Short-term price density forecasts in the lean hog futures market," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 45(1), pages 121-142.
    2. Adjemian, Michael K. & Bruno, Valentina G. & Robe, Michel A., 2016. "Forward‐Looking USDA Price Forecasts," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235931, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Botto, Augusto C. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2006. "Accuracy Trends and Sources of Forecast Errors in WASDE Balance Sheet Categories for Corn and Soybeans," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21332, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Williams, Brian R. & Pounds-Barnett, Gayle, 2023. "Producer Supply Response for Area Planted of Seven Major U.S. Crops," Economic Research Report 340567, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    5. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2008. "Quantile Regression Methods of Estimating Confidence Intervals for WASDE Price Forecasts," 2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida 6409, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    6. Xiao, Jinzhi & Lence, Sergio H. & Hart, Chad, 2014. "Usda And Private Analysts' Forecasts Of Ending Stocks: How Good Are They?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170642, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2022. "Evaluating the European Central Bank’s uncertainty forecasts," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 321-330.
    8. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & MacDonald, Stephen & Xie, Ran, 2012. "A Comprehensive Evaluation of USDA Cotton Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-16, April.
    9. Tianyang Zhang & Ziran Li, 2022. "Can a rational expectation storage model explain the USDA ending grain stocks forecast errors?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 313-337, March.
    10. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Farhangdoost, Sara & Hoffman, Linwood A. & Adam, Brian D., 2023. "Forecasting the U.S. season-average farm price of corn: Derivation of an alternative futures-based forecasting model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    11. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Sharp, Julia L., 2013. "Interval Forecast Comparison," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150791, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  98. Sanders, Dwight R. & Irwin, Scott H. & Leuthold, Raymond M., 2003. "The Theory Of Contrary Opinion: A Test Using Sentiment Indices In Futures Markets," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 21(1), pages 1-26.

    Cited by:

    1. Bahloul, Walid & Bouri, Abdelfettah, 2016. "The impact of investor sentiment on returns and conditional volatility in U.S. futures markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 89-102.
    2. Maslyuk-Escobedo, Svetlana & Rotaru, Kristian & Dokumentov, Alexander, 2017. "News sentiment and jumps in energy spot and futures markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 186-210.
    3. Zhou, Liyun & Huang, Jialiang, 2020. "Contagion of future-level sentiment in Chinese Agricultural Futures Markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    4. Li, Xin & Ma, Jian & Wang, Shouyang & Zhang, Xun, 2015. "How does Google search affect trader positions and crude oil prices?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 162-171.
    5. Peri, Massimo & Vandone, Daniela & Baldi, Lucia, 2014. "Internet, noise trading and commodity futures prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 82-89.
    6. Sanders, Dwight R. & Irwin, Scott H. & Merrin, Robert P., 2007. "Smart Money? The Forecasting Ability of CFTC Large Traders," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37556, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    7. Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Niu, Tianjiao & Liang, Chao, 2021. "The importance of extreme shock: Examining the effect of investor sentiment on the crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    8. Bahloul, Walid & Bouri, Abdelfettah, 2016. "Profitability of return and sentiment-based investment strategies in US futures markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 254-270.
    9. Chen, Rongda & Bao, Weiwei & Jin, Chenglu, 2021. "Investor sentiment and predictability for volatility on energy futures Markets: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 112-129.

  99. Egelkraut, Thorsten M. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "An Evaluation of Crop Forecast Accuracy for Corn and Soybeans: USDA and Private Information Agencies," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 35(1), pages 1-17, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Gouel, 2020. "The Value of Public Information in Storable Commodity Markets: Application to the Soybean Market," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(3), pages 846-865, May.
    2. Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2018. "Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273973, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K., 2016. "Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235580, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Covey, Theodore & Erickson, Kenneth W., 2003. "Evaluating USDA Forecasts of Farm Assets: 1986-2002," 2003 Regional Committee NCT-194, October 6-7, 2003; Kansas City, Missouri 132405, Regional Research Committee NC-1014: Agricultural and Rural Finance Markets in Transition.
    5. Adjemian, Michael K. & Bruno, Valentina G. & Robe, Michel A., 2016. "Forward‐Looking USDA Price Forecasts," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235931, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H Irwin, 2017. "Do Markets Correct for Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts? Evidence from Private Analysts and Futures Prices," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 39(4), pages 559-583.
    7. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark & Cooke, Bryce, 2017. "The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets," MPRA Paper 87545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Botto, Augusto C. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2006. "Accuracy Trends and Sources of Forecast Errors in WASDE Balance Sheet Categories for Corn and Soybeans," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21332, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    9. Xiao, Jinzhi, 2015. "Essays on the forecasts of ending stocks," ISU General Staff Papers 201501010800005902, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    10. Michael K. Adjemian & Valentina G. Bruno & Michel A. Robe, 2020. "Incorporating Uncertainty into USDA Commodity Price Forecasts," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 696-712, March.
    11. Williams, Brian R. & Pounds-Barnett, Gayle, 2023. "Producer Supply Response for Area Planted of Seven Major U.S. Crops," Economic Research Report 340567, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    12. Michael K Adjemian & Robert Johansson & Andrew McKenzie & Michael Thomsen, 2018. "Was the Missing 2013 WASDE Missed?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(4), pages 653-671, December.
    13. Aulerich, Nicole M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Nelson, Carl H., 2007. "The Impact of Measurement Error on Estimates of the Price Reaction to USDA Crop Reports," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37579, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    14. Xiao, Jinzhi & Lence, Sergio H. & Hart, Chad, 2014. "Usda And Private Analysts' Forecasts Of Ending Stocks: How Good Are They?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170642, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Boussios, David & Skorbiansky, Sharon Raszap & Maclachlan, Matthew, 2021. "Evaluating U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Long-Term Forecasts for U.S. Harvested Area," USDA Miscellaneous 309616, United States Department of Agriculture.
    16. Xiao, Jinzhi & Lence, Sergio H. & Hart, Chad E., 2015. "Do analysts forecast the ending stocks or the USDA forecasts?," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205759, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    17. Ying, Jiahui & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, 2017. "A Temporal Impact Assessment Method for the Informational Content of USDA Reports in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258201, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    18. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.
    19. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Does The Market Anticipate Smoothing In Usda Crop Production Forecasts?," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20145, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    20. Goyal, Raghav & Adjemian, Michael K., 2020. "The 2019 Government Shutdown Increased Uncertainty in Major Agricultural Commodity Markets," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304256, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    21. Andrew M. McKenzie & Jessica L. Darby, 2017. "Information Content of USDA Rice Reports and Price Reactions of Rice Futures," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 552-568, September.
    22. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Jennifer K. Gomez, 2008. "Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 473-490.
    23. Boussios, David & Skorbiansky, Sharon Raszap & MacLachlan, Matthew, 2021. "Evaluating U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Long-Term Forecasts for U.S. Harvested Area," Economic Research Report 327201, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    24. Lehecka, Georg V., 2014. "The Value of USDA Crop Progress and Condition Information: Reactions of Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(1), pages 1-18, April.
    25. Boussios, David & Skoriansky, Sharon Raszap & MacLachlan, Matthew, 2021. "Evaluating U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Long-Term Forecasts for U.S. Harvested Area," USDA Miscellaneous 309619, United States Department of Agriculture.
    26. Taylor, Christopher W., 2012. "Market Reactions to USDA Reports: State Analysis of Corn Price Response," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124661, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    27. Unknown, 2004. "Agricultural Finance Markets in Transition Proceedings of The Annual Meeting of NCT-194 Hosted by the Center for the Study of Rural America, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City October 6 - 7, 2003," Research Bulletins 122103, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    28. Fritz, Steffen & See, Linda & Bayas, Juan Carlos Laso & Waldner, François & Jacques, Damien & Becker-Reshef, Inbal & Whitcraft, Alyssa & Baruth, Bettina & Bonifacio, Rogerio & Crutchfield, Jim & Rembo, 2019. "A comparison of global agricultural monitoring systems and current gaps," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 258-272.
    29. Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R., 2004. "Predicting Pork Supplies: An Application of Multiple Forecast Encompassing," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(3), pages 605-615, December.
    30. GwanSeon Kim & Mehdi Nemati & Steven Buck & Nicholas Pates & Tyler Mark, 2020. "Recovering Forecast Distributions of Crop Composition: Method and Application to Kentucky Agriculture," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-17, April.
    31. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Sharp, Julia L., 2013. "Interval Forecast Comparison," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150791, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  100. Joost M.E. Pennings & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good, 2002. "Surveying Farmers: A Case Study," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 24(1), pages 266-277.

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    1. Shakir Hussain Parrey & Suhail Ahmad Bhat, 2019. "Individual risk propensity and agri-entrepreneurial financing effectiveness: strategy for sustainable agri-financing," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 46(1), pages 75-90, March.
    2. Lees, Nic J. & Nuthall, P.L. & Wilson, M.M.J., 2016. "The impact of relationship quality on supplier performance in New Zealand agri-food supply chains," 26th International Food and Agribusiness Management Association (IFAMA) World Forum, 2016, Aarhus, Denmark 273035, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association (IFAMA).
    3. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Garcia, Philip & Frank, Julieta & Kuiper, W. Erno, 2005. "Complex Choices: Producers Risk Management Strategies," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19550, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Tingey-Holyoak, Joanne, 2014. "Sustainable water storage by agricultural businesses: Strategic responses to institutional pressures," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 67(12), pages 2590-2602.
    5. Eric T. Micheels & Hamish R. Gow, 2015. "The Effect of Market Orientation on Learning, Innovativeness, and Performance in Primary Agriculture," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 63(2), pages 209-233, June.
    6. Joost M.E. Pennings & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Olga Isengildina, 2005. "Heterogeneity in the likelihood of market advisory service use by U.S. crop producers," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 109-128.
    7. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "The Impact Of Marketing Advisory Service Recommendations On Producers' Marketing Decisions," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20389, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    8. Pellegrin, Claire & Grolleau, Gilles & Mzoughi, Naoufel & Napoleone, Claude, 2018. "Does the Identifiable Victim Effect Matter for Plants? Results From a Quasi-experimental Survey of French Farmers," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 106-113.
    9. Pennings, Joost M.E. & Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "The Impact of Market Advisory Service Recommendations on Producers' Marketing Decisions," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(2), pages 1-20, August.
    10. Joost M.E. Pennings & Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia & Darrel L. Good, 2008. "Producers' complex risk management choices," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 31-54.
    11. Boris E. Bravo‐Ureta & Víctor H. Moreira & Javier L. Troncoso & Alan Wall, 2020. "Plot‐level technical efficiency accounting for farm‐level effects: Evidence from Chilean wine grape producers," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 51(6), pages 811-824, November.
    12. Vassalos, Michael & Li, Yingbo, 2016. "Assessing the Impact of Fresh Vegetable Growers’ Risk Aversion Levels and Risk Preferences on the Probability of Adopting Marketing Contracts: A Bayesian Approach," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 19(1), pages 1-18, February.
    13. Collin Weigel & Laura A. Paul & Paul J. Ferraro & Kent D. Messer, 2021. "Challenges in Recruiting U.S. Farmers for Policy‐Relevant Economic Field Experiments," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(2), pages 556-572, June.
    14. Giovanni Pino & Pierluigi Toma & Cristian Rizzo & Pier Paolo Miglietta & Alessandro M. Peluso & Gianluigi Guido, 2017. "Determinants of Farmers’ Intention to Adopt Water Saving Measures: Evidence from Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-14, January.
    15. Zeuli, Kimberly A. & Foltz, Jeremy D., 2005. "Managerial Incentives, Moral Hazard, and Structural Change in Agricultural Cooperatives," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19226, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    16. Bergevoet, R. H. M. & Ondersteijn, C. J. M. & Saatkamp, H. W. & van Woerkum, C. M. J. & Huirne, R. B. M., 2004. "Entrepreneurial behaviour of dutch dairy farmers under a milk quota system: goals, objectives and attitudes," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 1-21, April.
    17. Ian J. Mauro & Stéphane M. McLachlan, 2008. "Farmer Knowledge and Risk Analysis: Postrelease Evaluation of Herbicide‐Tolerant Canola in Western Canada," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(2), pages 463-476, April.
    18. Harvey S. James Jr. & Michael E. Sykuta, 2006. "Farmer trust in producer- and investor-owned firms: Evidence from Missouri corn and soybean producers," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 135-153.
    19. James, Harvey S., Jr. & Sykuta, Michael E., 2004. "Farmer Trust In Agricultural Cooperatives: Evidence From Missouri Corn And Soybean Producers," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 19974, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    20. Joanne L. Tingey-Holyoak & John D. Pisaniello, 2017. "Strategic Responses to Resource Management Pressures in Agriculture: Institutional, Gender and Location Effects," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 144(2), pages 381-400, August.
    21. James, Harvey S., Jr. & Henrickson, Mary K., 2007. "Perceived Economic Pressures and Farmer Ethics," Working Papers 7361, University of Missouri Columbia, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    22. Michael Vassalos & Wuyang Hu & Timothy Woods & Jack Schieffer & Carl Dillon, 2016. "Risk Preferences, Transaction Costs, and Choice of Marketing Contracts: Evidence from a Choice Experiment with Fresh Vegetable Producers," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 379-396, July.
    23. Darren Hudson & Karina Gallardo & Terry Hanson, 2005. "Hypothetical (Non)Bias In Choice Experiments: Evidence From Freshwater Prawns," Experimental 0503003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Tingey-Holyoak, Joanne Louise, 2014. "Water sharing risk in agriculture: Perceptions of farm dam management accountability in Australia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 123-133.
    25. Steven A. Conrad & Murray B. Rutherford & Wolfgang Haider, 2017. "Profiling Farmers’ Preferences about Drought Response Policies Using a Choice Experiment in the Okanagan Basin, Canada," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(9), pages 2837-2851, July.
    26. Ane Kirstine Aare & Hanne Cooreman & Cristina Virto Garayoa & Esther Sótil Arrieta & Natalia Bellostas & Fleur Marchand & Henrik Hauggaard-Nielsen, 2020. "Methodological Reflections on Monitoring Interactive Knowledge Creation during Farming Demonstrations by Means of Surveys and Observations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-26, July.
    27. Isengildina, Olga & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Crop Farmers’ Use of Market Advisory Services," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37489, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    28. Yari Vecchio & Giulio Paolo Agnusdei & Pier Paolo Miglietta & Fabian Capitanio, 2020. "Adoption of Precision Farming Tools: The Case of Italian Farmers," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-16, January.
    29. David P. Carter & Saba Siddiki, 2021. "Participation rationales, regulatory enforcement, and compliance motivations in a voluntary program context," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(2), pages 317-332, April.
    30. Yong Jiang & Won Koo, 2014. "The Short-Term Impact of a Domestic Cap-and-Trade Climate Policy on Local Agriculture: A Policy Simulation with Producer Behavior," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 58(4), pages 511-537, August.
    31. Raelin Kronenberg & Sarah Lovell & Bhuwan Thapa & Christine Spinka & Corinne Valdivia & Michael Gold & Sougata Bardhan, 2023. "Survey of Missouri Landowners to Explore the Potential of Woody Perennials to Integrate Conservation and Production," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-17, October.
    32. Mills, Sarah Banas & Bessette, Douglas & Smith, Hannah, 2019. "Exploring landowners’ post-construction changes in perceptions of wind energy in Michigan," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 754-762.
    33. Darren Hudson & Lee-Hong Seah & Diane Hite & Tim Haab, 2004. "Telephone presurveys, self-selection, and non-response bias to mail and Internet surveys in economic research," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(4), pages 237-240.
    34. Tensi, Annika Francesca & Ang, Frederic & van der Fels-Klerx, H.J., 2022. "Behavioural drivers and barriers for adopting microbial applications in arable farms: Evidence from the Netherlands and Germany," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    35. David Worden & Getu Hailu & Kate Jones & Yu Na Lee, 2022. "The effects of bundling on livestock producers' valuations of environmentally friendly traits available through genomic selection," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 70(4), pages 263-286, December.

  101. Zulauf, Carl R. & Larson, Donald W. & Alexander, Christopher K. & Irwin, Scott H., 2001. "Pre-Harvest Pricing Strategies In Ohio Corn Markets: Their Effect On Returns And Cash Flow," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 33(1), pages 1-13, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Carl R. Zulauf & Scott H. Irwin, 1998. "Market Efficiency and Marketing to Enhance Income of Crop Producers," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 20(2), pages 308-331.
    2. Markus Arlindo Monteiro & Bennie Grové & Nicolette Matthews, 2022. "Developing a Moving Average Crossover Strategy as an Alternative Hedging Strategy for the South Africa Maize Market," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-14, August.
    3. Neyhard, James & Tauer, Loren & Gloy, Brent, 2013. "Analysis of Price Risk Management Strategies in Dairy Farming Using Whole-Farm Simulations," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(2), pages 313-327, May.

  102. Manfredo, Mark R. & Leuthold, Raymond M. & Irwin, Scott H., 2001. "Forecasting Fed Cattle, Feeder Cattle, And Corn Cash Price Volatility: The Accuracy Of Time Series, Implied Volatility, And Composite Approaches," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 33(3), pages 1-16, December.

    Cited by:

    1. Benavides Guillermo, 2010. "Forecasting Short-Run Inflation Volatility using Futures Prices: An Empirical Analysis from a Value at Risk Perspective," Working Papers 2010-12, Banco de México.
    2. Guillermo Benavides, 2021. "Asymmetric Volatility Relevance in Risk Management: An Empirical Analysis using Stock Index Futures," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(TNEA), pages 1-18, Septiembr.
    3. Benavides Guillermo & Capistrán Carlos, 2009. "Forecasting Exchange Rate Volatility: The Superior Performance of Conditional Combinations of Time Series and Option Implied Forecasts," Working Papers 2009-01, Banco de México.
    4. Bekkerman, Anton & Pelletier, Denis, 2009. "Basis Volatilities of Corn and Soybean in Spatially Separated Markets: The Effect of Ethanol Demand," 2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 49281, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Benavides Guillermo, 2020. "Asymmetric Volatility Effects in Risk Management: An Empirical Analysis using a Stock Index Futures," Working Papers 2020-10, Banco de México.
    6. Guillermo Benavides, 2010. "Forecasting Short-Run Inflation Volatility using Futures Prices: An Empirical Analysis from a Value at Risk Perspective," Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía (Journal of Management, Finance and Economics), Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Ciudad de México, vol. 4(2), pages 1-27.
    7. Rosa, Franco & Vasciaveo, Michela, 2012. "Volatility in US and Italian agricultural markets, interactions and policy evaluation," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 122530, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

  103. Scott H. Irwin & Satoko Yoshimaru, 1999. "Managed futures, positive feedback trading, and futures price volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(7), pages 759-776, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Ji, Qiang & Bahloul, Walid & Geng, Jiang-Bo & Gupta, Rangan, 2020. "Trading behaviour connectedness across commodity markets: Evidence from the hedgers’ sentiment perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    2. Batista Soares, David & Borocco, Etienne, 2022. "Rational destabilization in commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    3. Christopher L. Gilbert, 2010. "How to Understand High Food Prices," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 398-425, June.
    4. Sigl-Grüb, C. & Schiereck, D., 2010. "Speculation and Nonlinear Price Dynamics in Commodity Futures Markets," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 56603, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    5. David Batista Soares & Etienne Borocco, 2022. "Rational destabilization in commodity markets [Déstabilisation rationnelle des marchés de matières premières]," Post-Print hal-03256534, HAL.
    6. Fotini Economou & Konstantinos Gavriilidis & Bartosz Gebka & Vasileios Kallinterakis, 2022. "Feedback trading: a review of theory and empirical evidence," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(4), pages 429-476, February.
    7. Weiner, Robert J., 2000. "Sheep in Wolves' Clothing?," Cahiers de recherche 0001, GREEN.
    8. Yiuman Tse & Michael Williams, 2011. "Does Index Speculation Impact Commodity Prices? An Intraday Futures Analysis Using intraday data, we find that unidirectional causality runs from commodity index linked commodity futures to non-index ," Working Papers 0007, College of Business, University of Texas at San Antonio.
    9. Chen, Yu-Lun & Mo, Wan-Shin & Chang, Ya-Kai, 2022. "Investor sentiment spillover effect and market quality in crude oil futures," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 177-193.
    10. Benjamin R. Auer, 2021. "Have trend-following signals in commodity futures markets become less reliable in recent years?," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(4), pages 533-553, December.
    11. Yiuman Tse & Michael R. Williams, 2013. "Does Index Speculation Impact Commodity Prices? An Intraday Analysis," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 48(3), pages 365-383, August.
    12. Sanders, Dwight R. & Boris, Keith & Manfredo, Mark, 2004. "Hedgers, funds, and small speculators in the energy futures markets: an analysis of the CFTC's Commitments of Traders reports," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 425-445, May.

  104. Carl R. Zulauf & Scott H. Irwin & Jason E. Ropp & Anthony J. Sberna, 1999. "A reappraisal of the forecasting performance of corn and soybean new crop futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(5), pages 603-618, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Tao Xiong & Miao Li & Jia Cao, 2023. "Do Futures Prices Help Forecast Spot Prices? Evidence from China’s New Live Hog Futures," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-16, August.
    2. Frank, Julieta & Garcia, Philip, 2005. "Time-Varying Risk Premium or Informational Inefficiency? Further Evidence in Agricultural Futures Markets," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19051, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    3. Rasheed Saleuddin, 2014. "Can Inflation Expectations Be Measured Using Commodity Futures Prices?," Working Papers 20, Department of Economic and Social History at the University of Cambridge.
    4. McKenzie, Andrew M. & Holt, Matthew T., 1998. "Market Efficiency In Agricultural Futures Markets," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20933, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    5. Varshini, Anu & Kayal, Parthajit & Maiti, Moinak, 2024. "How good are different machine and deep learning models in forecasting the future price of metals? Full sample versus sub-sample," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    6. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Farhangdoost, Sara & Hoffman, Linwood A. & Adam, Brian D., 2023. "Forecasting the U.S. season-average farm price of corn: Derivation of an alternative futures-based forecasting model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).

  105. Carl R. Zulauf & Scott H. Irwin, 1998. "Market Efficiency and Marketing to Enhance Income of Crop Producers," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 20(2), pages 308-331.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  106. W. Bruce Canoles & Sarahelen Thompson & Scott Irwin & Virginia Grace France, 1998. "An analysis of the profiles and motivations of habitual commodity speculators," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(7), pages 765-801, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  107. Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H. & Leuthold, Raymond M. & Yang, Li, 1997. "The value of public information in commodity futures markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 559-570, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Gomez, Jennifer K., 2008. "The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-15, April.
    2. Prilly Oktoviany & Robert Knobloch & Ralf Korn, 2021. "A machine learning-based price state prediction model for agricultural commodities using external factors," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 1063-1085, December.
    3. Guo, Jian-Feng & Ji, Qiang, 2013. "How does market concern derived from the Internet affect oil prices?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 1536-1543.
    4. Adjemian, Michael K. & Johansson, Robert & McKenzie, Andrew & Thomsen, Michael, 2016. "The Value of Government Information in an Era of Declining Budgets," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235811, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K., 2016. "Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235580, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2006. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: Methods, Performance and Market Impacts over 1970 - 2005," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37514, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Cao, Xiang & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael & Johansson, Robert C., 2021. "When does USDA information have the most impact on crop and livestock markets?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    8. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2003. "Understanding USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts: An Overview of Methods, Performance and Market Impacts," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37496, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    9. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H Irwin, 2017. "Do Markets Correct for Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts? Evidence from Private Analysts and Futures Prices," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 39(4), pages 559-583.
    10. Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R., 2002. "Usda Production Forecasts For Pork, Beef, And Broilers: An Evaluation," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 27(1), pages 1-14, July.
    11. Lehecka, Georg V., 2013. "The Reaction of Corn and Soybean Futures Markets to USDA Crop Progress and Condition Information," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 142491, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    12. Sonia Marongiu & Barbara Bimbati & Mauro Santamgelo, 2021. "Use and users of FADN data in Italy," Economia agro-alimentare, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 23(3), pages 1-21.
    13. McKenzie, Andrew M. & Thomsen, Michael R., 2001. "The Effect Of E. Coli O157:H7 On Beef Prices," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 26(2), pages 1-14, December.
    14. Kaus, Taylor T. & Mattos, Fabio L., 2017. "Too much information? How relevant are agricultural reports that provide similar information?," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258367, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Xiao, Jinzhi, 2015. "Essays on the forecasts of ending stocks," ISU General Staff Papers 201501010800005902, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    16. Pruitt, J. Ross & Tonsor, Glynn T. & Brooks, Kathleen R. & Johnson, Rachel J., 2013. "End User Preferences for USDA Market Information," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 143007, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    17. Pierrick Piette, 2019. "Can Satellite Data Forecast Valuable Information from USDA Reports ? Evidences on Corn Yield Estimates," Working Papers hal-02149355, HAL.
    18. Michael K Adjemian & Robert Johansson & Andrew McKenzie & Michael Thomsen, 2018. "Was the Missing 2013 WASDE Missed?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(4), pages 653-671, December.
    19. Egelkraut, Thorsten M. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2002. "An Evaluation Of Crop Forecast Accuracy For Corn And Soybeans: Usda And Private Information Services," 2002 Conference, April 22-23, 2002, St. Louis, Missouri 19068, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    20. Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R. & Boris, Keith, 2009. "Evaluating information in multiple horizon forecasts: The DOE's energy price forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 189-196.
    21. Adrian Fernandez‐Perez & Bart Frijns & Ivan Indriawan & Alireza Tourani‐Rad, 2019. "Surprise and dispersion: informational impact of USDA announcements," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 50(1), pages 113-126, January.
    22. Aulerich, Nicole M. & Irwin, Scott H. & Nelson, Carl H., 2007. "The Impact of Measurement Error on Estimates of the Price Reaction to USDA Crop Reports," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37579, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    23. Joseph, Kishore & Garcia, Philip, 2016. "Intraday Market Effects in Electronic Soybean Futures Market during Non-Trading and Trading Hour Announcements," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235772, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    24. Xiao, Jinzhi & Lence, Sergio H. & Hart, Chad, 2014. "Usda And Private Analysts' Forecasts Of Ending Stocks: How Good Are They?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170642, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    25. Ying, Jiahui & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, 2017. "A Temporal Impact Assessment Method for the Informational Content of USDA Reports in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258201, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    26. R. Xie & O. Isengildina-Massa & G. P. Dwyer & J. L. Sharp, 2016. "The impact of public and semi-public information on cotton futures market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(36), pages 3416-3431, August.
    27. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Does The Market Anticipate Smoothing In Usda Crop Production Forecasts?," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20145, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    28. Joshua Huang & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2021. "The Value of USDA Announcements in the Electronically Traded Corn Futures Market: A Modified Sufficient Test with Risk Adjustments," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(3), pages 712-734, September.
    29. Andrew M. McKenzie & Jessica L. Darby, 2017. "Information Content of USDA Rice Reports and Price Reactions of Rice Futures," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 552-568, September.
    30. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Jennifer K. Gomez, 2008. "Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 473-490.
    31. Lehecka, Georg V., 2014. "The Value of USDA Crop Progress and Condition Information: Reactions of Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(1), pages 1-18, April.
    32. Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa & Tomek, William G., 2000. "Commodity Price Behavior: A Rational Expectations Storage Model of Corn," Working Papers 127682, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    33. Jesse Tack & Keith H. Coble & Robert Johansson & Ardian Harri & Barry J. Barnett, 2019. "The Potential Implications of “Big Ag Data” for USDA Forecasts," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(4), pages 668-683, December.
    34. Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R., 2006. "Multiple Horizons and Information in USDA Production Forecasts," 2006 Conference, April 17-18, 2006, St. Louis, Missouri 18997, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    35. Ji, Qiang & Guo, Jian-Feng, 2015. "Market interdependence among commodity prices based on information transmission on the Internet," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 426(C), pages 35-44.
    36. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Farhangdoost, Sara & Hoffman, Linwood A. & Adam, Brian D., 2023. "Forecasting the U.S. season-average farm price of corn: Derivation of an alternative futures-based forecasting model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    37. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19050, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.

  108. Phil L. Colling & Scott H. Irwin & Carl R. Zulauf, 1997. "Future price responses to USDA's Cold Storage report," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(4), pages 393-400.

    Cited by:

    1. Olga Isengildina Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin, 2024. "What do we know about the value and market impact of the US Department of Agriculture reports?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(2), pages 698-736, June.
    2. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.

  109. Sherrick, Bruce J & Irwin, Scott H & Forster, D Lynn, 1996. "An Examination of Option-Implied S&P 500 Futures Price Distributions," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 31(3), pages 667-694, August.

    Cited by:

    1. Shan Lu, 2019. "Monte Carlo analysis of methods for extracting risk‐neutral densities with affine jump diffusions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(12), pages 1587-1612, December.

  110. Brorsen, B. Wade & Irwin, Scott H., 1996. "Improving The Relevance Of Research On Price Forecasting And Marketing Strategies," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 25(1), pages 1-8, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Taylor, Mykel & Tonsor, Glynn & Dhuyvetter, Kevin, 2014. "Structural Change in Forward Contracting Costs for Kansas Wheat," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(2), pages 1-13.
    2. Carl R. Zulauf & Scott H. Irwin, 1998. "Market Efficiency and Marketing to Enhance Income of Crop Producers," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 20(2), pages 308-331.
    3. Andrea E. Woolverton & Michael E. Sykuta, 2009. "Do Income Support Programs Impact Producer Hedging Decisions? Evidence from a Cross-Country Comparative," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 31(4), pages 834-852.
    4. Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R., 2006. "Forecasting Basis Levels in the Soybean Complex: A Comparison of Time Series Methods," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 38(3), pages 1-11, December.
    5. Kastens, Terry L. & Schroeder, Ted C. & Plain, Ronald L., 1998. "Evaluation Of Extension And Usda Price And Production Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 23(1), pages 1-18, July.
    6. Cunningham, Lewis T., III & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2004. "Explaining Differences In Prices Received By Farmers: Testing Theory Based On Actual Farmer Transactions," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20275, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Carter, Colin A. & Schaefer, K. Aleks & Scheitrum, Daniel, 2021. "Raising cane: Hedging calamity in Australian sugar," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    8. Paroissien, Emmanuel, 2020. "Forecasting bulk prices of Bordeaux wines using leading indicators," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 292-309.
    9. McNew, Kevin & Musser, Wesley N., 2000. "Evidence Of Farmer Forward Pricing Behavior," Working Papers 28568, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    10. Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H., 2007. "Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37577, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    11. Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Good, Darrel L., 2003. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2001," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37510, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    12. Lewis T. Cunningham & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson & Emílio Tostão, 2008. "Gender differences in marketing styles," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 38(1), pages 1-7, January.
    13. Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R., 2003. "USDA Livestock Price Forecasts: A Comprehensive Evaluation," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 28(2), pages 1-19, August.
    14. Bertoli, Roberto & Zuluaf, Carl R. & Irwin, Scott H. & Jackson, Thomas E. & Good, Darrel L., 1999. "The Marketing Style Of Advisory Services For Corn And Soybeans In 1995," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14792, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    15. Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 1999. "Agricultural Economics Research And Extension Marketing Programs: How Well Are They Integrated?," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 17(2), pages 1-13.
    16. Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa & Tomek, William G., 2000. "Commodity Price Behavior: A Rational Expectations Storage Model of Corn," Working Papers 127682, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    17. Schroeder, Ted C. & Parcell, Joseph L. & Kastens, Terry L. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C., 1998. "Perceptions Of Marketing Strategies: Producers Versus Extension Economists," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 23(1), pages 1-15, July.
    18. Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Batts, Ryan M., 2006. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 37513, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    19. Joni M. Klumpp & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson, 2008. "Market Advisory Service Recommendations and Wheat Producers' Selling Decisions," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 56(1), pages 117-128, March.
    20. Batts, Ryan M. & Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2009. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Wheat Over 1995-2004," AgMAS Project Research Reports 183426, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    21. Sanders, Dwight & Apgar, Gary & Manfredo, Mark R., 2005. "Using Farm-Level Data to Improve Marketing and Planning: An Illustration with Live Hogs," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2005, pages 1-8.
    22. Stamatina, Stamatina & Banerjee, Simanti & Walters, Cory, 2020. "Safety First Risk Preferences and Post-Harvest Grain Marketing A Context-rich Lab Experiment," Cornhusker Economics 307131, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    23. Tomek, William G., 2000. "Commodity Prices Revisited," Staff Papers 121146, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    24. Tomek, William G. & Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa, 2000. "Risk Management in Agricultural Markets: A Survey," Staff Papers 121140, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    25. Carter, Colin A., 1999. "Commodity futures markets: a survey," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 43(2), pages 1-39, June.
    26. Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa & Tomek, William G., 2001. "Income-Enhancing And Risk-Reducing Properties Of Marketing Practices," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20613, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    27. Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa & Tomek, William G., 2001. "Income Enhancing and Risk Management Properties of Marketing Practices," 2001 Conference, April 23-24, 2001, St. Louis, Missouri 18963, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    28. Klumpp, Joni M. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2005. "The Impact of Marketing Strategy Information on the Producer's Selling Decision," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19036, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    29. Loy, Jens-Peter & Pieniadz, Agata, 2009. "Optimal Grain Marketing Revisited: A German and Polish Perspective," 2009 Conference, August 16-22, 2009, Beijing, China 51058, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    30. Tomek, William G., 2000. "Commodity Prices Revisited," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 29(2), pages 1-13, October.
    31. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes & Hagedorn, Lewis A., 2005. "The Pricing Performance of Market Advisory Services in Corn and Soybeans over 1995-2003," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14775, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.

  111. Scott H. Irwin & Carl R. Zulauf & Thomas E. Jackson, 1996. "Monte Carlo Analysis of Mean Reversion in Commodity Futures Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 78(2), pages 387-399.

    Cited by:

    1. Carl R. Zulauf & Scott H. Irwin, 1998. "Market Efficiency and Marketing to Enhance Income of Crop Producers," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 20(2), pages 308-331.
    2. Mr. Aasim M. Husain & Chakriya Bowman, 2004. "Forecasting Commodity Prices: Futures Versus Judgment," IMF Working Papers 2004/041, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Unterschultz, James R., 2000. "New Instruments For Co-Ordination And Risk Sharing Within The Canadian Beef Industry," Project Report Series 24046, University of Alberta, Department of Resource Economics and Environmental Sociology.
    4. Yoon, Byung-Sam & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2005. "Can Multiyear Rollover Hedging Increase Mean Returns?," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-14, April.
    5. Joshua G. Maples & B. Wade Brorsen, 2022. "Handling the discontinuity in futures prices when time series modeling of commodity cash and futures prices," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 70(2), pages 139-152, June.
    6. Sushil Mohan, 2007. "Market-Based Price-Risk Management for Coffee Producers," Dundee Discussion Papers in Economics 199, Economic Studies, University of Dundee.
    7. Chad E. Hart & Sergio H. Lence & Dermot J. Hayes & Na Jin, 2016. "Price Mean Reversion, Seasonality, and Options Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 98(3), pages 707-725.
    8. Tim Leung & Jiao Li & Xin Li & Zheng Wang, 2016. "Speculative Futures Trading under Mean Reversion," Papers 1601.04210, arXiv.org.
    9. Hikaru Hanawa Peterson & William G. Tomek, 2005. "How much of commodity price behavior can a rational expectations storage model explain?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 33(3), pages 289-303, November.
    10. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, January.
    11. Ma, Zonggang & Ma, Chaoqun & Wu, Zhijian, 2020. "Closed-form analytical solutions for options on agricultural futures with seasonality and stochastic convenience yield," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    12. Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa & Tomek, William G., 2000. "Commodity Price Behavior: A Rational Expectations Storage Model of Corn," Working Papers 127682, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    13. Power, Gabriel J. & Turvey, Calum G., 2008. "On Term Structure Models of Commodity Futures Prices and the Kaldor-Working Hypothesis," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37608, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    14. Yoon, Byung-Sam & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2000. "Rollover Hedging," 2000 Conference, April 17-18 2000, Chicago, Illinois 18938, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    15. Tomek, William G. & Peterson, Hikaru Hanawa, 2000. "Risk Management in Agricultural Markets: A Survey," Staff Papers 121140, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    16. Lordkipanidze, Nasibrola & Tomek, William, 2014. "Pricing of Options with STochastic Volatilities: Application to Agricultural Commodity Contracts," Staff Papers 189185, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    17. Daniel Ziegler & Katrin Schmitz & Christoph Weber, 2012. "Optimal electricity generation portfolios," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 9(3), pages 381-399, August.

  112. Phil L. Colling & Scott H. Irwin & Carl R. Zulauf, 1996. "Reaction of Wheat, Corn, and Soybean Futures Prices to USDA "Export Inspections" Reports," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 18(1), pages 127-136.

    Cited by:

    1. Parcell, Joseph L. & Kalaitzandonakes, Nicholas G., 2001. "The Response Of Corn Futures Markets To Agro-Biotechnology News," 2001 Annual Meeting, July 8-11, 2001, Logan, Utah 36124, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    2. Klomp, Jeroen, 2020. "The impact of Russian sanctions on the return of agricultural commodity futures in the EU," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    3. Capitani, Daniel H D & Mattos, Fabio L. & Cruz, Jose Cesar & Silva, Renato Moraes & Franco Da Silveira, Rodrigo Lanna, 2024. "The Reaction Of Corn Futures Prices To U.S. And Brazilian Crop Reports," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343571, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.
    5. Zilberman, David & Biemer, Paul & Bonnen, James T. & Capalbo, Susan M. & Chalfant, James A. & Fuller, Wayne A. & Gardner, Bruce L. & Jensen, Helen H. & Kinsey, Jean & Smith, V. Kerry & LeBlanc, Michae, 1997. "AAEA Data Task Force Final Report," AAEA Miscellaneous Paper Archive 337240, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

  113. Phil L. Colling & Scott H. Irwin, 1995. "Informational Content of Government Hogs and Pigs Reports: Comment," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 77(3), pages 698-702.

    Cited by:

    1. Frank, Julieta & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2007. "To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond?," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37573, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    2. Olga Isengildina Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin, 2024. "What do we know about the value and market impact of the US Department of Agriculture reports?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(2), pages 698-736, June.
    3. Joshua Huang & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2021. "The Value of USDA Announcements in the Electronically Traded Corn Futures Market: A Modified Sufficient Test with Risk Adjustments," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(3), pages 712-734, September.

  114. Liu, Te-Ru & Gerlow, Mary E. & Irwin, Scott H., 1994. "The performance of alternative VAR models in forecasting exchange rates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 419-433, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Andrea Bonilla Bolanos, 2014. "External Vulnerabilities And Economic Integration: Is The Union Of South American Nations A Promising Project?," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 39(2), pages 97-131, June.
    2. P. Geoffrey Allen & Robert Fildes, 2005. "Levels, Differences and ECMs – Principles for Improved Econometric Forecasting," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(s1), pages 881-904, December.
    3. De Gooijer, Jan G. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2006. "25 years of time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 443-473.
    4. Thomas Lux, 2011. "Sentiment dynamics and stock returns: the case of the German stock market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 663-679, December.
    5. Wu, Yih-Jiuan, 1998. "Exchange rate forecasting: an application of radial basis function neural networks," ISU General Staff Papers 1998010108000013540, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    6. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    7. Kumar, Utkarsh & Ahmad, Wasim & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2024. "Bayesian Markov switching model for BRICS currencies' exchange rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 122816, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Jan G. De Gooijer & Rob J. Hyndman, 2005. "25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 12/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    9. Pollock, Andrew C. & Macaulay, Alex & Onkal-Atay, Dilek & Wilkie-Thomson, Mary E., 1999. "Evaluating predictive performance of judgemental extrapolations from simulated currency series," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 281-293, April.
    10. Winston T. Lin, 2005. "Currency forecasting based on an error components-seemingly unrelated nonlinear regression model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(8), pages 593-605.
    11. Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Jaroslava Hlouskova, 2005. "Beating the random walk in Central and Eastern Europe," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(3), pages 189-201.
    12. Brian D. Deaton, 2018. "Effects of the Swiss Franc/Euro Exchange Rate Floor on the Calibration of Probability Forecasts," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-23, May.
    13. Kim, Jae H., 1999. "Asymptotic and bootstrap prediction regions for vector autoregression," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 393-403, October.
    14. Shaghayegh KORDNOORI & Hamidreza MOSTAFAEI & Shirin KORDNOORI, 2015. "Applied SCGM(1,1)c Model and Weighted Markov Chain for Exchange Rate Ratios," Hyperion Economic Journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Hyperion University of Bucharest, Romania, vol. 3(4), pages 12-22, December.
    15. Samuel W. Malone & Robert B. Gramacy & Enrique Ter Horst, 2016. "Timing Foreign Exchange Markets," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-23, March.

  115. Scott H. Irwin & Mary E. Gerlow & Te‐Ru Liu, 1994. "The forecasting performance of livestock futures prices: A comparison to USDA expert predictions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(7), pages 861-875, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Lanfranco, Bruno, 1997. "Beef cattle futures markets: Is it possible in Uruguay?," Research Reports and Working Papers 310392, Instituto Nacional de Investigacion Agropecuaria (INIA).
    2. Raghav Goyal & Michael K. Adjemian, 2023. "Information rigidities in USDA crop production forecasts," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(5), pages 1405-1425, October.
    3. Ates, Aaron M. & Lusk, Jayson L. & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2016. "Forecasting Meat Prices using Consumer Expectations from the Food Demand Survey (FooDS)," 2016 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2016, San Antonio, Texas 229858, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    4. Xiao, Jinzhi & Lence, Sergio H. & Hart, Chad, 2014. "Usda And Private Analysts' Forecasts Of Ending Stocks: How Good Are They?," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170642, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  116. Scott H. Irwin & Cameron S. Thraen, 1994. "Rational Expectations in Agriculture? A Review of the Issues and the Evidence," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 16(1), pages 133-158.

    Cited by:

    1. Christophe C. Gouel, 2012. "Agricultural price instability: a survey of competing explanations and remedies," Post-Print hal-01001218, HAL.
    2. Fiechter, Chad & Kuethe, Todd & Zhang, Wendong, 2023. "Information Rigidities and Farmland Value Expectations," ISU General Staff Papers 202306131414240000, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    3. Neibergs, J. Shannon & Thalheimer, Richard, 1997. "Price Expectations And Supply Response In The Thoroughbred Yearling Market," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(2), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Parise, Gerald F., 1994. "Permanent income hypothesis and the cost of adjustment," ISU General Staff Papers 1994010108000012303, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    5. Tóth, József & Nemes, Anna, 2014. "Market-type and government supported risk management in the Hungarian agriculture," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 182854, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Berg, Ernst, 2017. "Impacts of Inventory Management on Price Volatility in Agricultural Commodity Markets: Insights from a System Dynamics Model," 2017 International Congress, August 28-September 1, 2017, Parma, Italy 261281, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    7. Céline Nauges & Sarah Ann Wheeler & Alec Zuo, 2016. "Elicitation of irrigators' risk preferences from observed behaviour," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 60(3), pages 442-458, July.
    8. Brorsen, B. Wade & Irwin, Scott H., 1996. "Improving The Relevance Of Research On Price Forecasting And Marketing Strategies," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 25(1), pages 1-8, April.
    9. Frechette, Darren L., 1999. "The Supply Of Storage Under Heterogeneous Expectations," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(3), pages 1-14, December.
    10. Joni M. Klumpp & B. Wade Brorsen & Kim B. Anderson, 2008. "Market Advisory Service Recommendations and Wheat Producers' Selling Decisions," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 56(1), pages 117-128, March.
    11. Anderson, John D. & Ward, Clement E. & Koontz, Stephen R. & Peel, Derrell S. & Trapp, James N., 1997. "Public Information Impacts on Price Discovery and Marketing Efficiency in the Fed Cattle Market," Staff Papers 232523, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    12. Chaudhry, Muhammad Imran & Katchova, Ani & Miranda, Mario Javier, 2016. "Examining pricing mechanics in the poultry value chain - empirical evidence from Pakistan," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235953, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  117. Gerlow, Mary E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Liu, Te-Ru, 1993. "Economic evaluation of commodity price forecasting models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 387-397, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Aasim M. Husain & Chakriya Bowman, 2004. "Forecasting Commodity Prices: Futures Versus Judgment," IMF Working Papers 2004/041, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Kastens, Terry L. & Schroeder, Ted C. & Plain, Ronald L., 1998. "Evaluation Of Extension And Usda Price And Production Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 23(1), pages 1-18, July.
    3. Rituparna Kar & Nityananda Sarkar, 2006. "Mean and volatility dynamics of Indian rupee/US dollar exchange rate series: an empirical investigation," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 13(1), pages 41-69, March.
    4. Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2008. "How Much Can Outlook Forecasts be Improved? An Application to the U.S. Hog Market," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37620, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    5. Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip & Etienne, Xiaoli, 2012. "Composite and Outlook Forecast Accuracy," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 1-19, August.
    6. Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H. & Leuthold, Raymond M. & Yang, Li, 1997. "The value of public information in commodity futures markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 559-570, April.
    7. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    8. Guney, Selin, 2015. "An evaluation of price forecasts of the cattle market under structural changes," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205109, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Li, Anzhi & Dorfman, Jeffrey H., 2014. "Composite Qualitative Forecasting of Futures Prices: Using One Commodity to Help Forecast Another," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 169790, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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    12. Koki, Constandina & Leonardos, Stefanos & Piliouras, Georgios, 2022. "Exploring the predictability of cryptocurrencies via Bayesian hidden Markov models," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    13. Chau, Frankie & Kuo, Jing-Ming & Shi, Yukun, 2015. "Arbitrage opportunities and feedback trading in emissions and energy markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 130-147.
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    1. Galvani, Valentina & Plourde, Andre, 2009. "Portfolio Diversification in Energy Markets," Working Papers 2009-6, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
    2. Duc Khuong Nguyen & Nikolas Topaloglou & Thomas Walther, 2020. "Asset Classes and Portfolio Diversification: Evidence from a Stochastic Spanning Approach," Working Papers 2020-009, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.

  119. Bruce J. Sherrick & Scott H. Irwin & D. Lynn Forster, 1992. "Option‐based evidence of the nonstationarity of expected S&P 500 futures price distributions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(3), pages 275-290, June.

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    1. Joshua V. Rosenberg, 2003. "Nonparametric pricing of multivariate contingent claims," Staff Reports 162, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    2. Rosenberg, Joshua V., 1998. "Pricing multivariate contingent claims using estimated risk-neutral density functions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 229-247, April.
    3. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    4. Liyuan Jiang & Shuang Zhou & Keren Li & Fangfang Wang & Jie Yang, 2018. "A New Nonparametric Estimate of the Risk-Neutral Density with Applications to Variance Swaps," Papers 1808.05289, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2019.
    5. Joshua Rosenberg, 1999. "Semiparametric Pricing of Multivariate Contingent Claims," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 99-028, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.

  120. Phil L. Colling & Scott H. Irwin & Carl R. Zulauf, 1992. "Weak- and Strong-Form Rationality Tests of Market Analysts' Expectations of USDA Hogs and Pigs Reports," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 14(2), pages 263-270.

    Cited by:

    1. Burton, Diana M. & Love, H. Alan, 1996. "A Review Of Alternative Expectations Regimes In Commodity Markets: Specification, Estimation, And Hypothesis Testing Using Structural Models," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 25(2), pages 1-19, October.
    2. Frank, Julieta & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2007. "To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond?," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37573, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    3. Klomp, Jeroen, 2020. "The impact of Russian sanctions on the return of agricultural commodity futures in the EU," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    4. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.

  121. Robert L. Johnson & Carl R. Zulauf & Scott H. Irwin & Mary E. Gerlow, 1991. "The soybean complex spread: An examination of market efficiency from the viewpoint of a production process," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(1), pages 25-37, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Hussein Abdoh & Michael Chitavi, 2024. "The impact of deviations from soybean product crushing estimates on return and risk," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 55(2), pages 181-199, March.
    2. Yang, Yao & Karali, Berna, 2022. "How far is too far for volatility transmission?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    3. Baur, Robert Frederick, 1992. "Overreaction in futures markets," ISU General Staff Papers 1992010108000010973, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    4. Li, Minqiang, 2008. "Closed-Form Approximations for Spread Option Prices and Greeks," MPRA Paper 6994, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Ziran Li & Dermot J. Hayes, 2022. "The hedging pressure hypothesis and the risk premium in the soybean reverse crush spread," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 428-445, March.
    6. Liu, Jianhe & Lu, Luze & Zong, Xiangyu & Xie, Baao, 2023. "Nonlinear relationships in soybean commodities Pairs trading-test by deep reinforcement learning," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    7. Fousekis, Panos & Tzaferi, Dimitra, 2022. "Price multifractality and informational efficiency in the futures markets of the US soybean complex," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 66, pages 68-84.
    8. Kevin Shuai Zhang & Traian Pirvu, 2021. "Pricing spread option with liquidity adjustments," Papers 2101.00223, arXiv.org.
    9. Ruan, Qingsong & Cui, Hao & Fan, Liming, 2020. "China’s soybean crush spread: Nonlinear analysis based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 554(C).
    10. Zhou, Xinquan & Bagnarosa, Guillaume & Gohin, Alexandre & Pennings, Joost M.E. & Debie, Philippe, 2023. "Microstructure and high-frequency price discovery in the soybean complex," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).

  122. Phil L. Colling & Scott H. Irwin, 1990. "The Reaction of Live Hog Futures Prices to USDA Hogs and Pigs Reports," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 72(1), pages 84-94.

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    1. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Gomez, Jennifer K., 2008. "The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-15, April.
    2. Karali, Berna & Isengildina Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H., 2018. "Does Noise in Market Expectations Dilute Price Reactions to USDA Reports?," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 273973, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Dorfmann, Jeffrey & Karali, Berna, 2015. "A Nonparametric Search for Information Effects from USDA Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-20.
    4. Adjemian, Michael K. & Johansson, Robert & McKenzie, Andrew & Thomsen, Michael, 2016. "The Value of Government Information in an Era of Declining Budgets," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235811, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K., 2016. "Changes in Informational Value and the Market Reaction to USDA Reports in the Big Data Era," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235580, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Frank, Julieta & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H., 2007. "To What Surprises Do Hog Futures Markets Respond?," 2007 Conference, April 16-17, 2007, Chicago, Illinois 37573, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    7. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Cao, Xiang & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael & Johansson, Robert C., 2021. "When does USDA information have the most impact on crop and livestock markets?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    8. Karali, Berna, 2012. "Do USDA Announcements Affect Comovements Across Commodity Futures Returns?," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(1), pages 1-21, April.
    9. Berna Karali & Jeffrey H. Dorfman & Walter N. Thurman, 2010. "Do volatility determinants vary across futures contracts? Insights from a smoothed Bayesian estimator," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 257-277, March.
    10. Olga Isengildina Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin, 2024. "What do we know about the value and market impact of the US Department of Agriculture reports?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(2), pages 698-736, June.
    11. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Good, Darrel L., 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183477, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    12. Parcell, Joseph L. & Kalaitzandonakes, Nicholas G., 2001. "The Response Of Corn Futures Markets To Agro-Biotechnology News," 2001 Annual Meeting, July 8-11, 2001, Logan, Utah 36124, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    13. Smith, Vincent H., 1998. "Measuring the benefits of social science research," Impact assessments 2, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    14. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H Irwin, 2017. "Do Markets Correct for Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts? Evidence from Private Analysts and Futures Prices," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 39(4), pages 559-583.
    15. Mills, Jeffrey B. & Schroeder, Ted C., 2002. "Are Cattle On Feed Report Revisions Random And Does Industry Anticipate Them?," 2002 Annual Meeting, July 28-31, 2002, Long Beach, California 36643, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    16. Lehecka, Georg V., 2013. "The Reaction of Corn and Soybean Futures Markets to USDA Crop Progress and Condition Information," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 142491, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    17. McKenzie, Andrew M. & Thomsen, Michael R., 2001. "The Effect Of E. Coli O157:H7 On Beef Prices," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 26(2), pages 1-14, December.
    18. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark & Cooke, Bryce, 2017. "The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets," MPRA Paper 87545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Karali, Berna & Dorfman, Jeffrey H. & Thurman, Walter N., 2009. "Does Futures Price Volatility Differ Across Delivery Horizon?," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53036, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    20. Dhuyvetter, Kevin C. & Schroeder, Ted C. & Parcell, Joseph L., 1997. "The Effect of USDA Cattle on Feed Reports on Feeder Cattle Futures Prices," 1997 Annual Meeting, July 13-16, 1997, Reno\ Sparks, Nevada 35751, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    21. Klomp, Jeroen, 2020. "The impact of Russian sanctions on the return of agricultural commodity futures in the EU," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    22. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2013. "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45(1), pages 1-13, February.
    23. Houser, Dwight M. & Karali, Berna, 2017. "How Scary Are Food Scares? Evidence from Animal Disease Outbreaks," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258500, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    24. Schaefer, Matthew P. & Myers, Robert J., 1999. "Forecasting Accuracy, Rational Expectations And Market Efficiency In The Us Beef Cattle Industry," 1999 Annual meeting, August 8-11, Nashville, TN 21487, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    25. Colling, Phil L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Zulauf, Carl R., 1991. "The Reaction Of Livestock Futures Prices To New Information," 1991 Annual Meeting, August 4-7, Manhattan, Kansas 271203, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    26. Michael K Adjemian & Robert Johansson & Andrew McKenzie & Michael Thomsen, 2018. "Was the Missing 2013 WASDE Missed?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(4), pages 653-671, December.
    27. Andrew M. McKenzie & Michael R. Thomsen & Michael K. Adjemian, 2022. "Characterizing implied volatility functions from agricultural options markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 104(5), pages 1605-1624, October.
    28. Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott H. & Leuthold, Raymond M. & Yang, Li, 1997. "The value of public information in commodity futures markets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 559-570, April.
    29. Koontz Stephen R & Ward Clement E, 2011. "Livestock Mandatory Price Reporting: A Literature Review and Synthesis of Related Market Information Research," Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-33, July.
    30. Barry A. Goss & S. Gulay Avsar & Siang‐Choo Chan, 1992. "Rational Expectations and Price Determination in the US Oats Market," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 68(S1), pages 16-26, December.
    31. Ying, Jiahui & Shonkwiler, J. Scott, 2017. "A Temporal Impact Assessment Method for the Informational Content of USDA Reports in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258201, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    32. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.
    33. R. Xie & O. Isengildina-Massa & G. P. Dwyer & J. L. Sharp, 2016. "The impact of public and semi-public information on cotton futures market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(36), pages 3416-3431, August.
    34. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2004. "Does The Market Anticipate Smoothing In Usda Crop Production Forecasts?," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20145, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    35. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Scott H. Irwin & Darrel L. Good & Jennifer K. Gomez, 2008. "Impact of WASDE reports on implied volatility in corn and soybean markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 473-490.
    36. Lehecka, Georg V., 2014. "The Value of USDA Crop Progress and Condition Information: Reactions of Corn and Soybean Futures Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(1), pages 1-18, April.
    37. Bailey, DeeVon & Brorsen, B. Wade, 1998. "Trends In The Accuracy Of Usda Production Forecasts For Beef And Pork," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 23(2), pages 1-11, December.
    38. Christie-David, Rohan & Chaudhry, Mukesh, 2000. "Currency futures, news releases, and uncertainty resolution," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 11(1-2), pages 109-127.
    39. Frank, Deon, 1992. "Agricultural Commodity Futures Markets In South Africa," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 31(4), December.
    40. Anderson, John D. & Ward, Clement E. & Koontz, Stephen R. & Peel, Derrell S. & Trapp, James N., 1998. "Experimental Simulation Of Public Information Impacts On Price Discovery And Marketing Efficiency In The Fed Cattle Market," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 23(1), pages 1-17, July.
    41. Anderson, John D. & Ward, Clement E. & Koontz, Stephen R. & Peel, Derrell S. & Trapp, James N., 1997. "Public Information Impacts on Price Discovery and Marketing Efficiency in the Fed Cattle Market," Staff Papers 232523, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    42. Taylor, Christopher W., 2012. "Market Reactions to USDA Reports: State Analysis of Corn Price Response," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124661, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    43. R. Karina Gallardo & B. Wade Brorsen & Jayson Lusk, 2010. "Prediction markets: an experimental approach to forecasting cattle on feed," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 70(3), pages 414-426, November.
    44. Pritchett, James G. & Thilmany, Dawn D. & Johnson, Kamina K., 2005. "Animal Disease Economic Impacts: A Survey of Literature and Typology of Research Approaches," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 8(1), pages 1-23.
    45. Valcarcel, Victor J. & Vivian, Andrew J. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Predictability and underreaction in industry-level returns: Evidence from commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 6(C), pages 1-15.
    46. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2005. "The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets," 2005 Conference, April 18-19, 2005, St. Louis, Missouri 19050, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
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    1. Kim, MinKyoung & Leuthold, Raymond M., 2000. "The Distributional Behavior Of Futures Price Spreads," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(1), pages 1-15, April.
    2. Lee, Yoonsuk & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2012. "Impacts of Permanent and Transitory Shocks on Optimal Length of Moving Average to Predict Wheat Basis," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 125001, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Sherrick, Bruce J. & Irwin, Scott H. & Forster, D. Lynn, 1990. "Nonstationarity Of Soybean Futures Price Distributions: Option-Based Evidence," 1990 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Vancouver, Canada 270920, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Dorfmann, Jeffrey & Karali, Berna, 2015. "A Nonparametric Search for Information Effects from USDA Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 1-20.
    5. Huang, Wen & Huang, Zhuo & Matei, Marius & Wang, Tianyi, 2012. "Price Volatility Forecast for Agricultural Commodity Futures： The Role of High Frequency Data," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 83-103, December.
    6. Zhiping Chen & Shen Peng & Jia Liu, 2018. "Data-Driven Robust Chance Constrained Problems: A Mixture Model Approach," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 179(3), pages 1065-1085, December.
    7. Coppes, R. C., 1995. "Are exchange rate changes normally distributed?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 117-121, February.
    8. Hyun Jin & Darren Frechette, 2004. "A new t-test for the R/S analysis and long memory in agricultural commodity prices," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(11), pages 661-667.
    9. Cotter, John, 2001. "Margin exceedences for European stock index futures using extreme value theory," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(8), pages 1475-1502, August.
    10. Meenakshi Venkateswaran & B. Wade Brorsen & Joyce A. Hall, 1993. "The distribution of standardized futures price changes," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(3), pages 279-298, May.
    11. Kaehler, Jürgen, 1993. "On the modelling of speculative prices by stable Paretian distributions and regularly varying tails," ZEW Discussion Papers 93-25, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    12. D. M. Mahinda Samarakoon & Keith Knight, 2009. "A Note on Unit Root Tests with Infinite Variance Noise," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 314-334.
    13. Liuren Wu, 2006. "Dampened Power Law: Reconciling the Tail Behavior of Financial Security Returns," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 79(3), pages 1445-1474, May.
    14. Inci, Ahmet Can, 2005. "ERM effects on currency spot and futures markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 145-163, December.
    15. {L}ukasz Bielak & Aleksandra Grzesiek & Joanna Janczura & Agnieszka Wy{l}oma'nska, 2021. "Market risk factors analysis for an international mining company. Multi-dimensional, heavy-tailed-based modelling," Papers 2107.07142, arXiv.org.
    16. Lau, Hon-Shiang & Lau, Amy Hing Ling, 1997. "The confounding effects of distribution mixtures on some basic methods for handling stable-Paretian distributions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 60-71, July.
    17. Guo, Yaoqi & Shi, Fengyuan & Yu, Zhuling & Yao, Shanshan & Zhang, Hongwei, 2022. "Asymmetric multifractality in China’s energy market based on improved asymmetric multifractal cross-correlation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 594(C).
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    20. Kim, MinKyoung & Leuthold, Raymond M., 1997. "The Distributional Behavior Of Futures Price Spread Charges: Parametric And Nonparametric Tests For Gold, T-Bonds, Corn And Live Cattle," ACE OFOR Reports 14767, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    21. Goodwin, Barry K. & Roberts, Matthew C. & Coble, Keith H., 2000. "Measurement Of Price Risk In Revenue Insurance: Implications Of Distributional Assumptions," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 25(1), pages 1-20, July.
    22. Lonnie Hamm & B. Wade Brorsen, 2000. "Trading futures markets based on signals from a neural network," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 137-140.
    23. Min-Kyoung Kim & Raymond M. Leuthold & ., 1997. "The Distributional Behavior of Futures Price Spread Changes: Parametric and Nonparametric Tests for Gold, T-Bonds, Corn and Live Cattle," Finance 9711001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Koekebakker, Steen & Lien, Gudbrand D., 2002. "Term Structure of Volatility and Price Jumps in Agricultural Markets - Evidence from Option Data," 2002 International Congress, August 28-31, 2002, Zaragoza, Spain 24874, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
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    45. Jin, Hyun Joung, 2008. "A Long Memory Conditional Variance Model for International Grain Markets," Journal of Rural Development/Nongchon-Gyeongje, Korea Rural Economic Institute, vol. 31(2), pages 1-23, May.
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  124. Stuart D. Frank & Scott H. Irwin & George H. Pfeiffer & Charles E. Curtis, 1989. "Further Evidence on Soybean Marketing Strategies: The Role of Options," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 11(2), pages 213-219.

    Cited by:

    1. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Li, Jian & Wang, Linjie, 2024. "Option pricing revisited: The role of price volatility and dynamics," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    2. Markus Arlindo Monteiro & Bennie Grové & Nicolette Matthews, 2022. "Developing a Moving Average Crossover Strategy as an Alternative Hedging Strategy for the South Africa Maize Market," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-14, August.
    3. Chavas, Jean-Paul & Li, Jian & Wang, Linjie, 2024. "Option Pricing Revisited: The Role of Price Volatility and Dynamics," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343544, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

  125. Scott H. Irwin & D. Lynn Forster & Bruce J. Sherrick, 1988. "Returns to Farm Real Estate Revisited," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 70(3), pages 580-587.

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    1. Tauer, Loren W., 2000. "Estimating Risk-Adjusted Interest Rates for Dairy Farms," Staff Papers 121149, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    2. Hertel, Thomas W., 1991. "Applied General Equilibrium Analysis of Agricultural Policies," Staff Papers 200396, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    3. Dehong Gu, 1996. "Capital Asset Pricing And Agricultural Assets In England And Wales," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(1‐4), pages 99-108, January.
    4. Timothy G. Baker & Michael D. Boehlje & Michael R. Langemeier, 2014. "Farmland: Is It Currently Priced as an Attractive Investment?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 96(5), pages 1321-1333.
    5. Erickson, Kenneth W. & Mishra, Ashok K. & Moss, Charles B., 2001. "Rates Of Return In The Farm And Non-Farm Sectors: A Time Series Comparison," 2001 Annual Meeting, July 8-11, 2001, Logan, Utah 36148, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    6. Miller, Lynn H. & Sherrick, Bruce J., 1991. "An Examination Of Farm Real Estate Return Definitions. Inflationary Effects, And The Riskiness Of Nonland Farm Equity," Illinois Agricultural Economics Staff Paper 244668, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Chen, Songjiao & Wilson, William W. & Larsen, Ryan A. & Dahl, Bruce L., 2013. "Investing in Agriculture as an Asset Class," Agribusiness & Applied Economics Report 147053, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    8. Li, Xin, 2016. "The Farmland Valuation Revisited," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 4(2), pages 1-14, April.
    9. Libbin, James D. & Kohler, Jeremy D. & Hawkes, Jerry M., 2004. "Does Modern Portfolio Theory Apply to Agricultural Land Ownership? Concepts for Farmers and Farm Managers," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2004, pages 1-12.
    10. Teresa Serra & Barry K. Goodwin & Allen M. Featherstone, 2004. "Determinants of investments in non‐farm assets by farm households," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 64(1), pages 17-32, May.
    11. Forster, D. Lynn, 2006. "An Overview of U.S. Farm Real Estate Markets," Working Papers 28319, Ohio State University, Department of Agricultural, Environmental and Development Economics.
    12. Blank, Steven C., 1990. "Returns To Limited Crop Diversification," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 15(2), pages 1-9, December.
    13. Noumir, Ashraf & Langemeier, Michael, 2022. "Risk and return of heterogenous farmland locations and qualities," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 25(4), September.
    14. Dahl, Cody P. & Gunderson, Michael A. & Moss, Charles B., 2011. "Assessing the Rationality of Farmland Price Movements," 2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 103827, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    15. Shiha, Amr N. & Chavas, Jean-Paul, 1992. "Capital Market Segmentation and US Farm Real Estate Pricing: A Study of the Effects of Barriers to Nonfarm Equity Capital in Agriculture," Staff Papers 200559, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    16. Feng, Xiaoguang, 2017. "Three essays on agricultural insurance and farm real estate investment," ISU General Staff Papers 201701010800007133, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    17. Bjornson, Bruce & Innes, Robert, 1992. "Risk And Return In Agriculture: Evidence From An Explicit-Factor Arbitrage Pricing Model," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 17(2), pages 1-21, December.
    18. Stokes, Jeff & Jansen, Jim, 2018. "The Economics of the Capitalization Rate for Farmland," Cornhusker Economics 307070, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    19. Gustafson, Cole R. & Chama, Sydney L., 1992. "Savings and Investments of North Dakota Farmers," Agricultural Economics Miscellaneous Reports 51171, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    20. Unknown, 1998. "References/Literature Cited," Commodity Costs and Returns Estimation Handbook,, Iowa State University.
    21. Andersson, Hans & Ramaswami, Bharat & Moss, Charles B. & Erickson, Kenneth W. & Hallahan, Charles B. & Nehring, Richard F., 2005. "Off-farm Income and Risky Investments: What Happens to Farm and Nonfarm Assets?," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19480, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    22. Mark A. Sunderman & Ronald W. Spahr & John W. Birch & Russell M. Oster, 2000. "Impact of Ranch and Market Factors on an Index of Agricultural Holding Period Returns," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 19(2), pages 209-234.
    23. Allen, Pamela & McConnell, Kenneth E., 1991. "Explaining Risk in Asset Markets: A Varying Parameters Approach," 1991 Annual Meeting, August 4-7, Manhattan, Kansas 271159, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

  126. Louis P. Lukac & B. Wade Brorsen & Scott H. Irwin, 1988. "Similarity of computer guided technical trading systems," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(1), pages 1-13, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Jasdeep S. Banga & B. Wade Brorsen, 2019. "Profitability of alternative methods of combining the signals from technical trading systems," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 32-45, January.
    2. Blank, Steven C., 1989. "Research On Futures Markets: Issues, Approaches, And Empirical Findings," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, July.
    3. Batista Soares, David & Borocco, Etienne, 2022. "Rational destabilization in commodity markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    4. David Batista Soares & Etienne Borocco, 2022. "Rational destabilization in commodity markets [Déstabilisation rationnelle des marchés de matières premières]," Post-Print hal-03256534, HAL.
    5. Lee, Chun I & Gleason, Kimberly C. & Mathur, Ike, 2001. "Trading rule profits in Latin American currency spot rates," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 135-156.
    6. Kidd, Willis V. & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2004. "Why have the returns to technical analysis decreased?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(3), pages 159-176.

  127. Scott H. Irwin & B. Wade Brorsen, 1987. "A note on the factors affecting technical trading system returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(5), pages 591-595, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Ülkü, Numan & Prodan, Eugeniu, 2013. "Drivers of technical trend-following rules' profitability in world stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 214-229.
    2. Blank, Steven C., 1989. "Research On Futures Markets: Issues, Approaches, And Empirical Findings," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, July.
    3. Kidd, Willis V. & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2004. "Why have the returns to technical analysis decreased?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(3), pages 159-176.

  128. Scott H. Irwin & B. Wade Brorsen, 1985. "Public futures funds," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 5(2), pages 149-171, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Dale, Charles & Zyren, John, 1996. "Noncommercial Trading in the Energy Futures Market," MPRA Paper 47463, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Garcia, Philip & Hudson, Michael A. & Waller, Mark L., 1988. "The Pricing Efficiency of Agricultural Futures Markets: An Analysis of Previous Research Results," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(1), pages 119-130, July.
    3. Park, Cheol-Ho & Irwin, Scott H., 2005. "The Profitability of Technical Trading Rules in US Futures Markets: A Data Snooping Free Test," AgMAS Project Research Reports 14771, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Mukherjee, Dr. Kedar nath, 2011. "Commodity investments: opportunities for Indian institutional investors," MPRA Paper 33510, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Baur, Robert Frederick, 1992. "Overreaction in futures markets," ISU General Staff Papers 1992010108000010973, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    6. Elam, Emmett & Vaught, Dan, 1987. "Trading a Portfolio of Commodity Futures Using a 10-Day Channel Strategy," 1987 Annual Meeting, August 2-5, East Lansing, Michigan 269965, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Kidd, Willis V. & Brorsen, B. Wade, 2004. "Why have the returns to technical analysis decreased?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(3), pages 159-176.
    8. Shah, Samarth & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2009. "Liquidity Costs in Futures Options Markets," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53047, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    9. Cheol‐Ho Park & Scott H. Irwin, 2007. "What Do We Know About The Profitability Of Technical Analysis?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 786-826, September.
    10. Robert Ślepaczuk & Grzegorz Zakrzewski & Paweł Sakowski, 2012. "Investment strategies beating the market. What can we squeeze from the market?," Working Papers 2012-04, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.

Chapters

  1. Nicole M. Aulerich & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2014. "Bubbles, Food Prices, and Speculation: Evidence from the CFTC's Daily Large Trader Data Files," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Food Price Volatility, pages 211-253, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of chapters recorded.
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