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Der Einfluss von long-only-Indexfonds auf die Preisbildung und das Marktergebnis an landwirtschaftlichen Warenterminmärkten

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  • Prehn, S.
  • Glauben, T.
  • Loy, J.-P.
  • Pies, I.
  • Will, M.G.

Abstract

Long-only-Indexfonds stehen seit geraumer Zeit unter Verdacht, für die Preisanstiege an landwirtschaftlichen Warenterminmärkten, insbesondere für Getreide, verantwortlich zu sein. Diese Arbeit untersucht anhand partieller Gleichgewichtskonzepte die langfristige Marktwirkung von Long-only-Indexfonds. Die Analyse zeigt, dass Long-only-Indexfonds keineswegs Preise treiben, sondern stabilisieren. Der Markteintritt von Long-only-Indexfonds verringert die Risikoprämie. Landwirte können sich zu geringeren Kosten am Warenterminmarkt absichern. Letzteres fördert die Lagerhaltung und schwächt so saisonale Preisschwankungen am Kassamarkt ab. Der Markteintritt von Long-only-Indexfonds ist somit auch im Interesse der Konsumenten. Lediglich Long-only-Indexfonds selbst profitieren nicht von einem weiteren Markteintritt von Long-only-Indexfonds, da deren Rentabilität negativ korreliert ist mit der Anzahl sich am Warenterminmarkt befindlichen Long-only-Indexfonds. Von einer Regulierung von Long-only-Indexfonds sollte abgesehen werden.
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Suggested Citation

  • Prehn, S. & Glauben, T. & Loy, J.-P. & Pies, I. & Will, M.G., 2015. "Der Einfluss von long-only-Indexfonds auf die Preisbildung und das Marktergebnis an landwirtschaftlichen Warenterminmärkten," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 50, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:gewipr:261708
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.261708
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    1. Pietz, Matthäus, 2009. "Risk premia in the German electricity futures market," CEFS Working Paper Series 2009-07, Technische Universität München (TUM), Center for Entrepreneurial and Financial Studies (CEFS).
    2. repec:zbw:iamodp:158731 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Pies, Ingo, 2012. "Wirtschaftsethik konkret: Wie (un)moralisch ist die Spekulation mit Agrarrohstoffen?," Discussion Papers 2012-15, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pies, Ingo & Will, Matthias Georg, 2013. "Finanzspekulation mit Agrarrohstoffen: Analyse und Bewertung aus wirtschaftsethischer Sicht," Discussion Papers 2013-24, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
    2. Pies, Ingo & Glauben, Thomas, 2013. "Wissenschaftliche Stellungnahme zum Argumentationspapier von Foodwatch," Discussion Papers 2013-26, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.
    3. Pies, Ingo, 2014. "Wirtschaftsethik der Welternährung," Discussion Papers 2014-13, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Chair of Economic Ethics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demand and Price Analysis; International Relations/Trade;

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • Q02 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Commodity Market
    • Q14 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Finance

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