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Strategies Based on Momentum and Term Structure in Financialized Commodity Markets

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  • Zaremba, Adam

    (Poznan University of Economics)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate the impact of the financialization of commodity markets on the profitability of strategies based on momentum and term structure. The performance of an array of portfolios from double-sorts on non-commercial traders’ participation, historical returns and term spreads are tested against a risk model. The analysis covers the listing of 26 commodities in the period 1986 – 2013. First and foremost, the paper provides a fresh evidence for the validity of strategies based on momentum and term structure investing in commodity markets. Secondly, it proves that term structure strategies generate significantly higher performance results in non-financialized markets. Moreover, it supports the thesis that market financialization adversely affects momentum profits. The results are important in terms of tactical and strategic asset allocation in commodity markets. They imply that investors who implement momentum or term structure based strategies should also consider the composition of market participants.

Suggested Citation

  • Zaremba, Adam, 2016. "Strategies Based on Momentum and Term Structure in Financialized Commodity Markets," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 7(1), pages 31-46, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:buecrj:0212
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, June.
    2. Adam Zaremba & Jan Jakub Szczygielski, 2019. "Limits to arbitrage, investor sentiment, and factor returns in international government bond markets," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 1727-1743, January.
    3. Benjamin R. Auer, 2021. "Have trend-following signals in commodity futures markets become less reliable in recent years?," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(4), pages 533-553, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Commodity Futures; Commodity Markets; Financialization; Momentum; Term Structure; Backwardation; Contango; Double-Sort Strategy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • Q02 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Commodity Market

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