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Impacts of Changes in Market Fundamentals and Price Momentum on Hedging Live Cattle

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  • Coffey, Brian K.
  • Tonsor, Glynn T.
  • Schroeder, Ted C.

Abstract

Basis prediction errors for live cattle in the five major Mandatory Livestock Price Reporting areas are analyzed to determine how shifts in the live cattle market fundamentals and contemporaneous market conditions, including price momentum, impact ability to hedge. Results reveal that thinness of the negotiated cash market, weight of cattle marketed, and contemporaneous factors statistically impact basis prediction errors. Impacts vary across region. Volatility in cost of gain and delivery costs have greater effects on basis prediction error than do market trends.

Suggested Citation

  • Coffey, Brian K. & Tonsor, Glynn T. & Schroeder, Ted C., 2018. "Impacts of Changes in Market Fundamentals and Price Momentum on Hedging Live Cattle," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 43(1), January.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:267607
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.267607
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    Cited by:

    1. Augusto Hauber Gameiro, 2022. "Factors Defining Prices of Finished Cattle in Mato Grosso Contrasted Within Brazil’s Pricing Structure," Journal of Agricultural Studies, Macrothink Institute, vol. 10(4), pages 218-235, December.
    2. Schroeder, Ted C. & Tonsor, Glynn T. & Coffey, Brian K., 2019. "Commodity futures with thinly traded cash markets: The case of live cattle," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 1-1.
    3. Ted C. Schroeder & Brian K. Coffey & Glynn T. Tonsor, 2023. "Hedonic modeling to facilitate price reporting and fed cattle market transparency," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(3), pages 1716-1733, September.
    4. Shi, Ruoding & Isengildina Massa, Olga, 2022. "Costs of Futures Hedging in Corn and Soybean Markets," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 47(2), May.

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