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Convergence Bias in Lean Hog Futures: Are Hog Prices Reliable?

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  • Choe, Kyoungin
  • Goodwin, Barry K.

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  • Choe, Kyoungin & Goodwin, Barry K., 2024. "Convergence Bias in Lean Hog Futures: Are Hog Prices Reliable?," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343733, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea22:343733
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.343733
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Goswami, Alankrita & Adjemian, Michael K. & Karali, Berna, 2022. "The impact of futures contract storage rate policy on convergence expectations in domestic commodity markets," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    2. Robert J. Myers & Richard J. Sexton & William G. Tomek, 2010. "A Century of Research on Agricultural Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 92(2), pages 376-403.
    3. Mehdi Arzandeh & Julieta Frank, 2019. "Price Discovery in Agricultural Futures Markets: Should We Look beyond the Best Bid‐Ask Spread?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 101(5), pages 1482-1498, October.
    4. Nicole M. Aulerich & Raymond P. H. Fishe & Jeffrey H. Harris, 2011. "Why do expiring futures and cash prices diverge for grain markets?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(6), pages 503-533, June.
    5. Barry K. Goodwin & Ted C. Schroeder, 1991. "Cointegration Tests and Spatial Price Linkages in Regional Cattle Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 73(2), pages 452-464.
    6. Philip Garcia & Scott H. Irwin & Aaron Smith, 2015. "Futures Market Failure?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 97(1), pages 40-64.
    7. Mehdi Arzandeh & Julieta Frank, 2019. "Price Discovery in Agricultural Futures Markets: Should We Look beyond the Best Bid-Ask Spread?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 101(5), pages 1482-1498.
    8. Andrew McKenzie & Matthew Holt, 2002. "Market efficiency in agricultural futures markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(12), pages 1519-1532.
    9. Maples, Joshua G. & Lusk, Jayson L. & Peel, Derrell S., 2019. "Technology and evolving supply chains in the beef and pork industries," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 346-354.
    10. Jian Li & Jean‐Paul Chavas, 2023. "A dynamic analysis of the distribution of commodity futures and spot prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(1), pages 122-143, January.
    11. Colin A. Carter & Sandeep Mohapatra, 2008. "How Reliable Are Hog Futures as Forecasts?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 90(2), pages 367-378.
    12. Carter, Colin A., 1999. "Commodity futures markets: a survey," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 43(2), pages 1-39, June.
    13. Adjemian, Michael K. & Garcia, Philip & Irwin, Scott & Smith, Aaron, 2013. "Non-Convergence in Domestic Commodity Futures Markets: Causes, Consequences, and Remedies," Economic Information Bulletin 155381, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    14. Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip & Good, Darrel L. & Kunda, Eugene L., 2008. "Recent Convergence Performance of CBOT Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Futures Contracts," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 23(2), pages 1-6.
    15. William G. Tomek & Hikaru Hanawa Peterson, 2001. "Risk Management in Agricultural Markets: A Review," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(10), pages 953-985, October.
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    Keywords

    Risk And Uncertainty; Agricultural Finance; Agribusiness;
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