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Behavioural heterogeneity in wine investments

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  • Adrian Fernandez-Perez
  • Bart Frijns
  • Alireza Tourani-Rad
  • Jean-Philippe Weisskopf

Abstract

We introduce a heterogeneous agent model to explain the dynamics of fine wine investments. Our results show evidence of the existence of both fundamentalists – those who trade on mean-reversion towards a fair value – and chartists – those who extrapolate recently observed price trends – in the wine market. Moreover, we document that market participants switch between the two trading strategies, allocating more weight to the strategy that has been the most accurate in forecasting wine index values in the recent past. This switching behaviour can explain the large variations in index values (bubbles and crashes) that are observed in the fine wine market.

Suggested Citation

  • Adrian Fernandez-Perez & Bart Frijns & Alireza Tourani-Rad & Jean-Philippe Weisskopf, 2019. "Behavioural heterogeneity in wine investments," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(30), pages 3236-3255, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:30:p:3236-3255
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1566686
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    2. Sacha Bourgeois-Gironde & Marcin Czupryna, 2021. "On the Extension of the Kiyotaki and Wright model to Transformable Goods," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(4), pages 989-1014, April.
    3. ter Ellen, Saskia & Hommes, Cars H. & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2021. "Comparing behavioural heterogeneity across asset classes," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 747-769.
    4. Potrykus, Marcin, 2023. "Investing in wine, precious metals and G-7 stock markets – A co-occurrence analysis for price bubbles," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    5. Hu, Chunhua & Feng, Huarong, 2024. "Kinetic model for asset allocation with strategy switching," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 636(C).
    6. Hachmi Ben Ameur & Zied Ftiti & Eric Le Fur, 2024. "What can we learn from the analysis of the fine wines market efficiency?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 703-718, January.
    7. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Havrylina, Ahniia & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Calendar anomalies in passion investments: Price patterns and profit opportunities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

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