IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/illufd/204284.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts

Author

Listed:
  • Irwin, Scott
  • Good, Darrel
  • Sanders, Dwight

Abstract

No abstract is available for this item.

Suggested Citation

  • Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2015. "Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:illufd:204284
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.204284
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/204284/files/fdd300415.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.204284?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Corn Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, August.
    2. Good, Darrel, 2015. "Weekly Outlook: Corn Market Expects Large Supply and Weak Demand," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    3. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Good, Darrel L., 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183477, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    4. Irwin , Scott & Good, Darrel, 2011. "USDA Corn and Soybean Yield Forecast Errors Across Report Release Months," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 1, September.
    5. Irwin , Scott & Good, Darrel, 2011. "Have the Accuracy of USDA's August Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts Changed?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 1, August.
    6. Good, Darrel L. & Irwin, Scott H., 2011. "USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings," Marketing and Outlook Briefs 183528, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    7. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2012. "What is a Reasonable Starting Point for Estimating the U.S. Corn Yield in 2012?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 2, May.
    8. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L. & Gomez, Jennifer K., 2008. "The Impact of Situation and Outlook Information in Corn and Soybean Futures Markets: Evidence from WASDE Reports," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(1), pages 89-103, April.
    9. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, September.
    10. Irwin, Scott & Sanders, Dwight & Good, Darrel, 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, January.
    11. Irwin, Scott & Good, Scott, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Spring Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    12. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    13. repec:cup:jagaec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:89-103_6 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2013. "USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasting Procedures Revisited With a Focus on Derived Ear Weights," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 3, August.
    15. Westcott, Paul C. & Jewison, Michael, 2013. "Weather Effects on Expected Corn and Soybean Yields," Agricultural Outlook Forum 2013 146846, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum.
    16. Good , Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2011. "USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 1, March.
    17. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Nelson, Rohan & Cameron, Andrew & Xia, Charley & Gooday, Peter, 2022. "The ABARES Approach to Forecasting Agricultural Commodity Markets," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 30(6), November.
    2. Jesse Tack & Keith H. Coble & Robert Johansson & Ardian Harri & Barry J. Barnett, 2019. "The Potential Implications of “Big Ag Data” for USDA Forecasts," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(4), pages 668-683, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Karali, Berna & Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael K. & Johansson, Robert, 2019. "Are USDA reports still news to changing crop markets?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 66-76.
    2. Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R. & Good, Darrel L., 2014. "Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans," Marketing and Outlook Research Reports 183477, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics.
    3. Berna Karali & Scott H. Irwin & Olga Isengildina‐Massa, 2020. "Supply Fundamentals and Grain Futures Price Movements," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 548-568, March.
    4. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Corn Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, August.
    5. Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Cao, Xiang & Karali, Berna & Irwin, Scott H. & Adjemian, Michael & Johansson, Robert C., 2021. "When does USDA information have the most impact on crop and livestock markets?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    6. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    7. Good, Darrel, 2015. "USDA Stocks and Acreage Estimates Smaller than Expected for Soybeans and Larger than Expected for Corn," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    8. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel & Sanders, Dwight, 2014. "Are USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-8, September.
    9. Good, Darrel & Irwin, Scott, 2015. "Projecting the 2015-16 Corn Balance Sheet and Price Implications," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    10. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Winter Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    11. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2016. "Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What About El Niño?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 6, March.
    12. Irwin, Scott & Good, Darrel, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, March.
    13. MacDonald, Stephen & Ash, Mark & Cooke, Bryce, 2017. "The Evolution of Inefficiency in USDA’s Forecasts of U.S. and World Soybean Markets," MPRA Paper 87545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Gonzalo Rondinone & Esteban Otto Thomasz & Ana Silvia Vilker, 2019. "The economic cost of extreme and severe droughts in soybean production in Argentina," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 64(1), pages 31-32, Enero-Mar.
    15. An N. Q. Cao & Michel A. Robe, 2022. "Market uncertainty and sentiment around USDA announcements," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 250-275, February.
    16. Bahram Sanginabadi, 2018. "USDA Forecasts: A meta-analysis study," Papers 1801.06575, arXiv.org.
    17. Olga Isengildina-Massa & Berna Karali & Scott H Irwin, 2017. "Do Markets Correct for Smoothing in USDA Crop Production Forecasts? Evidence from Private Analysts and Futures Prices," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 39(4), pages 559-583.
    18. Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2013. "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45(1), pages 1-13, February.
    19. Irwin, Scott & Good, Scott, 2015. "Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Spring Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us?," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 5, April.
    20. GwanSeon Kim & Mehdi Nemati & Steven Buck & Nicholas Pates & Tyler Mark, 2020. "Recovering Forecast Distributions of Crop Composition: Method and Application to Kentucky Agriculture," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-17, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:illufd:204284. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dauiuus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.