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Nitrogen Fertilizer Price Bubbles and Contributing Factors: Evidence from the Chinese Urea Fertilizer Market

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  • Lai, Tianyun
  • Hu, Zhepeng

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  • Lai, Tianyun & Hu, Zhepeng, 2024. "Nitrogen Fertilizer Price Bubbles and Contributing Factors: Evidence from the Chinese Urea Fertilizer Market," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343535, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea22:343535
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.343535
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Peter C. B. Phillips & Yangru Wu & Jun Yu, 2011. "EXPLOSIVE BEHAVIOR IN THE 1990s NASDAQ: WHEN DID EXUBERANCE ESCALATE ASSET VALUES?," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 52(1), pages 201-226, February.
    5. Jian Li & Chongguang Li & Jean-Paul Chavas, 2017. "Food Price Bubbles and Government Intervention: Is China Different?," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 65(1), pages 135-157, March.
    6. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2014. "Bubbles in food commodity markets: Four decades of evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 129-155.
    7. Xiaoli Liao Etienne & Andrés Trujillo-Barrera & Seth Wiggins, 2016. "Price and volatility transmissions between natural gas, fertilizer, and corn markets," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 76(1), pages 151-171, May.
    8. Diba, Behzad T & Grossman, Herschel I, 1988. "The Theory of Rational Bubbles in Stock Prices," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 98(392), pages 746-754, September.
    9. Peter C. B. Phillips & Shuping Shi & Jun Yu, 2015. "Testing For Multiple Bubbles: Limit Theory Of Real‐Time Detectors," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1079-1134, November.
    10. Hebebrand, Charlotte & Laborde Debucquet, David, 2023. "High fertilizer prices contribute to rising global food security concerns," IFPRI book chapters, in: The Russia-Ukraine conflict and global food security, chapter 7, pages 38-42, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    11. Peter C. B. Phillips & Shuping Shi & Jun Yu, 2015. "Testing For Multiple Bubbles: Limit Theory Of Real‐Time Detectors," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56, pages 1079-1134, November.
    12. Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2001. "Applications of Generalized Method of Moments Estimation," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 87-100, Fall.
    13. Jianjun Miao & Zhouxiang Shen & Pengfei Wang, 2019. "Monetary Policy and Rational Asset Price Bubbles: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(5), pages 1969-1990, May.
    14. Su, Chi-Wei & Wang, Kai-Hua & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Dumitrescu–Peculea, Adelina, 2017. "Do iron ore price bubbles occur?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 340-346.
    15. Geman, Helyette & Vergel Eleuterio, Pedro, 2013. "Investing in fertilizer–mining companies in times of food scarcity," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 470-480.
    16. Xiaoli L. Etienne, 2017. "Irrational exuberance in the Chinese iron ore market?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(16), pages 1161-1166, September.
    17. Zhepeng Hu & B. Wade Brorsen, 2017. "Spatial Price Transmission and Efficiency in the Urea Market," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 98-115, January.
    18. Hebebrand, Charlotte & Glauber, Joseph W., 2023. "The Russia-Ukraine war after a year: Impacts on fertilizer production, prices, and trade flows," IFPRI book chapters, in: The Russia-Ukraine conflict and global food security, chapter 43, pages 8, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    19. Xiaoli L. Etienne & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2015. "Price Explosiveness, Speculation, and Grain Futures Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 97(1), pages 65-87.
    20. Goyal, Raghav & Steinbach, Sandro, 2023. "Agricultural commodity markets in the wake of the black sea grain initiative," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
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    Keywords

    Demand and Price Analysis; Agribusiness; Risk and Uncertainty;
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