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Nitrogen Fertilizer Price Bubbles and Contributing Factors: Evidence from the Chinese Urea Fertilizer Market

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  • Lai, Tianyun
  • Hu, Zhepeng

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  • Lai, Tianyun & Hu, Zhepeng, 2024. "Nitrogen Fertilizer Price Bubbles and Contributing Factors: Evidence from the Chinese Urea Fertilizer Market," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343535, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea22:343535
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.343535
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2001. "Applications of Generalized Method of Moments Estimation," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 87-100, Fall.
    2. Zhepeng Hu & B. Wade Brorsen, 2017. "Spatial Price Transmission and Efficiency in the Urea Market," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 98-115, January.
    3. Peter C. B. Phillips & Yangru Wu & Jun Yu, 2011. "EXPLOSIVE BEHAVIOR IN THE 1990s NASDAQ: WHEN DID EXUBERANCE ESCALATE ASSET VALUES?," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 52(1), pages 201-226, February.
    4. Xiaoli L. Etienne & Scott H. Irwin & Philip Garcia, 2015. "Price Explosiveness, Speculation, and Grain Futures Prices," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 97(1), pages 65-87.
    5. Hebebrand, Charlotte & Laborde Debucquet, David, 2023. "High fertilizer prices contribute to rising global food security concerns," IFPRI book chapters, in: The Russia-Ukraine conflict and global food security, chapter 7, pages 38-42, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    6. Peter C. B. Phillips & Shuping Shi & Jun Yu, 2015. "Testing For Multiple Bubbles: Limit Theory Of Real‐Time Detectors," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1079-1134, November.
    7. Pengfei Wang & Yi Wen, 2012. "Speculative Bubbles and Financial Crises," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(3), pages 184-221, July.
    8. Su, Chi-Wei & Wang, Kai-Hua & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Dumitrescu–Peculea, Adelina, 2017. "Do iron ore price bubbles occur?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 340-346.
    9. Peter C. B. Phillips & Shuping Shi & Jun Yu, 2015. "Testing For Multiple Bubbles: Limit Theory Of Real‐Time Detectors," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 56, pages 1079-1134, November.
    10. Jianjun Miao & Zhouxiang Shen & Pengfei Wang, 2019. "Monetary Policy and Rational Asset Price Bubbles: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(5), pages 1969-1990, May.
    11. Diba, Behzad T & Grossman, Herschel I, 1988. "The Theory of Rational Bubbles in Stock Prices," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 98(392), pages 746-754, September.
    12. Xiaoli Liao Etienne & Andrés Trujillo-Barrera & Seth Wiggins, 2016. "Price and volatility transmissions between natural gas, fertilizer, and corn markets," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 76(1), pages 151-171, May.
    13. Etienne, Xiaoli L. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2014. "Bubbles in food commodity markets: Four decades of evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 129-155.
    14. Patrick Bayer & Kyle Mangum & James W. Roberts, 2021. "Speculative Fever: Investor Contagion in the Housing Bubble," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(2), pages 609-651, February.
    15. Hamilton, James D. & Whiteman, Charles H., 1985. "The observable implications of self-fulfilling expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 353-373, November.
    16. Jian Li & Chongguang Li & Jean-Paul Chavas, 2017. "Food Price Bubbles and Government Intervention: Is China Different?," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 65(1), pages 135-157, March.
    17. Geman, Helyette & Vergel Eleuterio, Pedro, 2013. "Investing in fertilizer–mining companies in times of food scarcity," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 470-480.
    18. Hebebrand, Charlotte & Glauber, Joseph W., 2023. "The Russia-Ukraine war after a year: Impacts on fertilizer production, prices, and trade flows," IFPRI book chapters, in: The Russia-Ukraine conflict and global food security, chapter 43, pages 8, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    19. Goyal, Raghav & Steinbach, Sandro, 2023. "Agricultural commodity markets in the wake of the black sea grain initiative," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    20. Xiaoli L. Etienne, 2017. "Irrational exuberance in the Chinese iron ore market?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(16), pages 1161-1166, September.
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    Keywords

    Demand and Price Analysis; Agribusiness; Risk and Uncertainty;
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