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Commodity futures markets: are they an effective price risk management tool for the European wheat supply chain ?

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  • Revoredo-Giha, C.
  • Zuppiroli, M.

Abstract

The instability of commodity prices and the hypothesis that speculative behaviour was one of its causes has brought renewed interest in futures markets. In this paper, we analyse the European wheat futures markets (feed and milling) and the CBOT’s wheat contract as a comparison, to study their efficiency, hedging effectiveness and whether they were affected during the period of high instability after 2007. Implicitly this is a test of whether the increasing presence of speculation in futures markets have made them divorced from the physical markets, and therefore, not useful for commercial entities aiming to exchange price risk for basis risk.

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  • Revoredo-Giha, C. & Zuppiroli, M., 2013. "Commodity futures markets: are they an effective price risk management tool for the European wheat supply chain ?," 2013 Second Congress, June 6-7, 2013, Parma, Italy 149773, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aiea13:149773
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.149773
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    1. Marco Zuppiroli & Cesar Revoredo-Giha, 2016. "Hedging effectiveness of European wheat futures markets: an application of multivariate GARCH models," International Journal of Applied Management Science, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 8(2), pages 132-148.
    2. Samuele Trestini & Carlotta Penone, 2018. "Transmission of futures prices to the Italian spot market: Are there opportunities to hedge corn price risk?," Economia agro-alimentare, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 20(2), pages 193-204.
    3. Jędrzej Białkowski & Martin T. Bohl & Devmali Perera, 2022. "Commodity Futures Hedge Ratios: A Meta-Analysis," Working Papers in Economics 22/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    4. Gianluca Stefani & Marco Tiberti, 2013. "Textbook Estimators of Multiperiod Optimal Hedging Ratios: Methodological Aspects and Application to the European Wheat Market," Working Papers - Economics wp2013_29.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
    5. Białkowski, Jędrzej & Bohl, Martin T. & Perera, Devmali, 2023. "Commodity futures hedge ratios: A meta-analysis," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    6. Revoredo-Giha, Cesar & Zuppiroli, Marco, 2014. "Hedging effectiveness of European wheat futures markets," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 182948, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demand and Price Analysis; Farm Management; International Relations/Trade;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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