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Impact of Ranch and Market Factors on an Index of Agricultural Holding Period Returns

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Abstract

This study develops nominal and real holding period return indices for operating ranches. The indices contain two components, monthly ranch operating profit and capital appreciation. A regression model that determines the effect of various attributes on total market value is used to estimate capital appreciation, and a second model determines operating profit. The two different ranch data series are compared with United States Long Term Government Bonds, the S&P 500 Index and Small Capitalization Stocks. Both ranch indices show very low correlation with the S&P 500 Index and very low or negative betas. Further, both ranch series have excess actual nominal and real returns when compared to expected returns determined from the Capital Asset Pricing Model.

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  • Mark A. Sunderman & Ronald W. Spahr & John W. Birch & Russell M. Oster, 2000. "Impact of Ranch and Market Factors on an Index of Agricultural Holding Period Returns," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 19(2), pages 209-234.
    • Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:19:n:2:2000:p:209-234
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    Cited by:

    1. Ronald W. Spahr & Mark A. Sunderman, 2009. "A Model for Federal Public Land Surface Rights' Management," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 31(2), pages 119-146.
    2. Sengupta, Sanchita & Osgood, Daniel Edward, 2003. "The value of remoteness: a hedonic estimation of ranchette prices," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 91-103, February.
    3. Zheng Liu & Ron Fleming & Angelos Pagoulatos & Wuyang Hu, 2010. "The Supply of Private Acreage for Public Recreational Use in Southern and Central Appalachia," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(4), pages 540-555, December.
    4. Tanaka, John A. & Torell, L. Allen & Rimbey, Neil R., 2005. "Who Are Public Land Ranchers and Why Are They Out There?," Western Economics Forum, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 4(2), pages 1-7.

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    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

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