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Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Economic Review

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Content

January 2023, Volume vol.108, Issue no.1

1-13 How Much Have Record Corporate Profits Contributed to Recent Inflation?
by Andrew Glover & Jose Mustre-del-Rio & Alice von Ende-Becker

June 2023, Volume vol. 108, Issue no. 3

1-15 Understanding State and Local Government Spending over the Business Cycle
by Huixin Bi & Chaitri Gulati & Nora Traum
1-22 Addressing Traditional Credit Scores as a Barrier to Accessing Affordable Credit
by Ying Lei Toh

July 2023, Volume vol. 108, Issue no. 3

1-23 How Mergers in the Farm Credit System Have Affected Ag Banks
by Francisco Scott

April 2023, Volume vol. 108, Issue no. 2

1-20 The Implications of Unrealized Losses for Banks
by Brendan Laliberte & W. Blake Marsh

March 2023, Volume vol. 108, Issue no. 2

1-15 The Employment Effect of an Increase in the National Minimum Wage: Review of International Evidence
by Taeyoung Doh & Luca Van der Meer
1-15 The Employment Effect of an Increase in the National Minimum Wage: Review of International Evidence
by Taeyoung Doh & Luca Van der Meer

November 2023, Volume Vol. 109, Issue no.1

1-16 A Strong Labor Market Has Narrowed Gaps in Participation and Employment between Black and White Non-College Men
by Didem Tuzemen & Deepak Venkatasubramanian

December 2022, Volume 108, Issue no.1

95389 Lifetime Earnings Differences across Black and White Individuals: Years Worked Matter
by Andrew Glover & Jose Mustre-del-Rio & Emily Pollard

November 2022, Volume 107, Issue no.4

95029 Can Higher Gasoline Prices Set Off an Inflationary Spiral?
by Nida Çakır Melek & Francis Dillon & Andrew Lee Smith
95118 The Evolving Role of the Fed’s Balance Sheet: Effects and Challenges
by Chaitri Gulati & Andrew Lee Smith

September 2022, Volume 107, Issue no.4

94859 Hybrid Working, Commuting Time, and the Coming Long-Term Boom in Home Construction
by Jordan Rappaport

June 2022, Volume 107, Issue no.3

1-16 Evaluating Quantitative Easing: The Importance of Accounting for Forward Guidance
by Brent Bundick & Andrew Lee Smith

July 2022, Volume 107, Issue no.3

94489 Cutting-Edge Methods Did Not Improve Inflation Forecasting during the COVID-19 Pandemic
by Amaze Lusompa & Sai Sattiraju

August 2022, Volume 107, Issue no.3

94766 Government Assistance and Moral Hazard: Evidence from the Savings and Loan Crisis
by Padma Sharma

March 2022, Volume 107, Issue no.2

93903 Monetary Policy and Intangible Investment
by Cooper Howes & Alice von Ende-Becker

May 2022, Volume 107, Issue no.2

94255 The Increasing Brick-and-Mortar Efficiency of Community Banks
by Stefan Jacewitz

June 2022, Volume 107, Issue no.2

94351 Considering Bank Age and Performance for De Novo Status
by Stephen Jones & Forest Myers & Jim Wilkinson

February 2022, Volume 107, Issue no.1

93662 How Did Banks and Investors Respond to the 2020 Stress Test Results?
by W. Blake Marsh
93700 Do Net Interest Margins for Small and Large Banks Vary Differently with Interest Rates?
by Rajdeep Sengupta & Fei Xue

December 2021, Volume vol.107, Issue no.1

93645 Long-Term Pressures and Prospects for the U.S. Cattle Industry
by Cortney Cowley

April 2021, Volume v.106, Issue no.1

41-55 The Evolving Link between Oil Prices and U.S. Consumer Spending
by Nida Çakır Melek & Robert J. Vigfusson

September 2021, Volume 106, Issue no.4

5-20 How Did the 2018–19 U.S. Tariff Hikes Influence Household Spending?
by Jun Nie & Alice von Ende-Becker & Shu-Kuei X. Yang

October 2021, Volume 106, Issue no.4

93294 Prepaid Cards: An Inadequate Solution for Digital Payments Inclusion
by Ying Lei Toh

September 2021, Volume 106, Issue no.3

5-24 What Happens When the Minimum Wage Rises? It Depends on Monetary Policy
by Andrew Glover & Jose Mustre-del-Rio

August 2021, Volume 106, Issue no.3

5-21 Cash or Debit Cards? Payment Acceptance Costs for Merchants
by Fumiko Hayashi
5-23 Women without a College Degree, Especially Minority Mothers, Face a Steeper Road to Recovery
by Didem Tuzemen

July 2021, Volume 106, Issue no.2

5-24 Fiscal Relief during the COVID-19 Pandemic
by Huixin Bi & Chaitri Gulati

June 2021, Volume 106, Issue no.2

5-49 Community Banks' Ongoing Role in the U.S. Economy
by Matt Hanauer & Brent Lytle & Chris Summers & Stephanie Ziadeh

May 2021, Volume 106, Issue no.2

5-16 Puzzlingly Divergent Trends in Household Wealth and Business Formation
by Justin Barnette & Andrew Glover

March 2021, Volume 106, Issue no.1

5-23 Did the Federal Reserve Anchor Inflation Expectations Too Low?
by Brent Bundick & Andrew Lee Smith

February 2021, Volume 106, Issue no.1

25-40 How You Say It Matters: Text Analysis of FOMC Statements Using Natural Language Processing
by Taeyoung Doh & Sungil Kim & Shu-Kuei X. Yang

November 2021, Volume 106, Issue no. 4

93452 How the Pandemic Influenced Trends in Domestic Migration across U.S. Urban Areas
by Jason Brown & Colton Tousey

November 2020, Volume v.105, Issue no.2

31-45 The Macroeconomic Fallout of Shutting Down the Banking System
by Qian Chen & Christoffer Koch & Gary Richardson & Padma Sharma

March 2020, Volume v.105, Issue no.1

87683 Population Turnover and the Growth of Urban Areas
by Jason Brown & Colton Tousey

February 2020, Volume v.105, Issue no.1

37-55 Corporate Leverage and Investment
by Karna Chelluri & W. Blake Marsh & David Rodziewicz

June 2020, Volume v. 105, Issue no.1

5-30 Reshuffling in Soybean Markets following Chinese Tariffs
by Cortney Cowley

October 2020, Volume 105, Issue no.2

47-60 Unconventional Monetary Policy and International Interest Rate Spillovers
by Karlye Dilts Stedman

December 2020, Volume 105, Issue no.2

61-86 Drought Risk to the Agriculture Sector
by Jacob Dice & David Rodziewicz

July 2020, Volume 105, Issue no.2

5-29 What to Do about Fannie and Freddie: A Primer on Housing Finance Reform
by Jordan Rappaport

April 2020, Volume 105, Issue no.1

1-5 Mobile Banking Use and Consumer Readiness to Benefit from Faster Payments
by Fumiko Hayashi & Ying Lei Toh

2019, Volume v.104, no.4, Issue Q IV

23-40 Payment Card Fraud Rates in the United States Relative to Other Countries since Migrating to Chip Cards
by Fumiko Hayashi

2019, Volume v. 104, no.4, Issue Q IV

41-72 Why Aren’t More People Working in Low- and Moderate-Income Areas?
by Kelly D. Edmiston

2019, Issue Special Issue 2019

1-3 Foreword: Exploring Agriculture's Path to the Long Term: Agricultural Symposium 2019
by Esther L. George
1-101 Exploring Agriculture's Path to the Long Term: Agricultural Symposium 2019
by Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Kansas City
5-25 Agricultural Cycles and Implications for the Near Term: Agricultural Symposium 2019
by
27-49 The “Normal” Normal: Supply and Demand Drivers over the Next 10 Years : Agricultural Symposium 2019
by
51-84 Long-Run Uncertainties for U.S. Agriculture : Agricultural Symposium 2019
by Rosamond L. Naylor
85-101 Transitioning to the Long Term : Agricultural Symposium 2019
by Michael A. Gunderson

2019, Issue Q IV

5-21 Spending Patterns and Cost of Living for Younger versus Older Households
by Akshat Gautam & Jun Nie

2019, Issue Q III

5-19 Tracking U.S. GDP in Real Time
by Jaeheung Bae & Taeyoung Doh
21-41 The Uneven Recovery in Prime-Age Labor Force Participation
by Thao Tran & Didem Tuzemen
43-64 Did Local Factors Contribute to the Decline in Bank Branches?
by Jacob Dice & Rajdeep Sengupta

2019, Issue Q II

5-31 The Phillips Curve and the Missing Disinflation from the Great Recession
by Willem Van Zandweghe
33-52 Capital Reallocation and Capital Investment
by David Rodziewicz & Nicholas Sly
53-70 Implementation Delays in Pension Retrenchment Reforms
by Huixin Bi & Kevin Hunt & Sarah Zubairy

2019, Issue Q I

5-34 Do Changes in Reserve Balances Still Influence the Federal Funds Rate?
by Andrew Lee Smith
35-56 What Explains Lifetime Earnings Differences Across Individuals?
by Jose Mustre-del-Rio & Emily Pollard
57-75 The Rise and Fall of College Tuition Inflation
by Brent Bundick & Emily Pollard

2018, Issue Special Issue

1-96 Agriculture in a Global Economy: 2018 Agricultural Symposium
by Federal Reserve Bank Kansas City

2018, Issue Q IV

5-38 The Faster Growth of Larger, Less Crowded Locations
by Jordan Rappaport
39-61 The Response of U.S. Investment to Oil Price Shocks: Does the Shale Boom Matter?
by Nida Çakır Melek
63-81 Machine Learning Approaches to Macroeconomic Forecasting
by Aaron Smalter Hall

2018, Issue Q III

5-25 The Widening Divide in Business Turnover between Large and Small Urban Areas
by Jason Brown
27-51 Mapping Stress in Agricultural Lending
by Cortney Cowley
53-75 Energy Investment Variability Within the Macroeconomy
by David Rodziewicz

2018, Issue Q II

5-24 Forecasting Current-Quarter U.S.Exports Using Satellite Data
by Jun Nie & Amy Oksol
25-53 Bank Financial Restatements and Market Discipline
by W. Blake Marsh & Raluca A. Roman
55-70 Who Are the Unbanked? Characteristics Beyond Income
by Fumiko Hayashi & Sabrina Minhas

2018, Issue Q I

5-30 Why Are Prime-Age Men Vanishing from the Labor Force?
by Didem Tuzemen
31-58 Has the Anchoring of Inflation Expectations Changed in the United States during the Past Decade?
by Taeyoung Doh & Amy Oksol
59-81 Structural and Cyclical Trends in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program
by Kelly D. Edmiston

2017, Issue Special Issue

1-105 Agricultural Consolidation: Causes and the Path Forward: Agricultural Symposium 2017
by Federal Reserve Bank Kansas City

2017, Issue Q IV

5-35 Fiscal Sustainability: A Cross-Country Analysis
by Huixin Bi
37-58 Labor Market Improvement and the Use of Subsidized Housing Programs
by Elizabeth Johnson & Nicholas Sly
59-86 Do Adverse Oil Price Shocks Change Loan Contract Terms for Energy Firms?
by W. Blake Marsh & David Rodziewicz & Rajdeep Sengupta

2017, Issue Q III

5-34 The Changing Cyclicality of Labor Force Participation
by Willem Van Zandweghe
35-52 Dissecting Wage Dispersion
by Sandra A. Cannon & Jose Mustre-del-Rio
53-77 Banking on Distributed Ledger Technology: Can It Help Banks Address Financial Inclusion?
by Jesse Leigh Maniff & W. Blake Marsh

2017, Issue Q II

5-22 How Do FOMC Projections Affect Policy Uncertainty?
by Brent Bundick & Trenton Herriford
23-49 The Changing Input-Output Network Structure of the U.S. Economy
by Jason Choi & Andrew T. Foerster
51-74 Lifting the U.S. Crude Oil Export Ban: Prospects for Increasing Oil Market Efficiency
by Nida Çakır Melek & Elena Ojeda

2017, Issue Q I

5-39 Bond Premiums and the Natural Real Rate of Interest
by Craig S. Hakkio & Andrew Lee Smith
41-83 Crowdedness, Centralized Employment, and Multifamily Home Construction
by Jordan Rappaport
85-108 Identifying State-Level Recessions
by Jason Brown

2016, Issue Special Issue

3-142 Agriculture’s Water Economy: Agricultural Symposium 2016
by Federal Reserve Bank Kansas City

2016, Issue Q IV

5-27 Residential Rent Affordability across U.S. Metropolitan Areas
by Kelly D. Edmiston
29-67 The Dispersion of Farmland Values in the Tenth District
by Cortney Cowley
69-100 Enforcement Actions and Bank Loan Contracting
by Raluca Roman

2016, Issue Q III

5-24 Measuring the Stance of Monetary Policy on and off the Zero Lower Bound
by Jason Choi & Taeyoung Doh
25-49 Consumer Spending in China: The Past and the Future
by Jun Nie & Andrew Palmer
51-76 Access to Electronic Payments Systems by Unbanked Consumers
by Fumiko Hayashi

2016, Issue Q II

5-23 Global Uncertainty and U.S. Exports
by Nicholas Sly
25-48 Consumption Growth Regimes and the Post-Financial Crisis Recovery
by Jason Choi & Andrew T. Foerster
49-72 Has the Relationship between Bank Size and Profitability Changed?
by Kristin Regehr & Rajdeep Sengupta

2016, Issue Q I

5-37 Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound: Revelations from the FOMC's Summary of Economic Projections
by George A. Kahn & Andrew Palmer
39-64 The Lasting Damage from the Financial Crisis to U.S. Productivity
by Michael Redmond & Willem Van Zandweghe
65-85 Data Breach Notification Laws
by Jesse Leigh Maniff & Richard J. Sullivan

2015, Issue Q IV

5-31 Sentiment of the FOMC: Unscripted
by Sandra A. Cannon
33-49 Estimating the Monetary Policy Rule Perceived by Forecasters
by Brent Bundick
51-78 Competition in Local Agricultural Lending Markets: The Effect of the Farm Credit System
by Eric W. Hogue & Charles S. Morris & James Wilkinson

2015, Issue Q III

5-30 Evaluating a Year of Oil Price Volatility
by Nida Çakır Melek & Troy Davig & Jun Nie & Andrew Lee Smith & Didem Tuzemen
31-56 Monetary Policy Shocks and Aggregate Supply
by Willem Van Zandweghe
57-78 Has Forward Guidance Been Effective?
by Thealexa Becker & Andrew Lee Smith

2015, Issue Q II

5-36 Has the U.S. economy become less interest rate sensitive?
by Guangye Cao & Jonathan L. Willis
37-55 Millennials, baby boomers, and rebounding multifamily home construction
by Jordan Rappaport
57-81 The response of employment to changes in oil and gas exploration and drilling
by Jason Brown

2015, Issue Q I

5-6 Commemorating 100 years of research
by Esther L. George
7-30 Should monetary policy monitor risk premiums in financial markets?
by Guangye Cao & Taeyoung Doh & Daniel Molling
31-49 Bank consolidation and merger activity following the crisis
by Troy Davig & Michal Kowalik & Charles S. Morris & Kristen Regehr
51-69 What could lower prices mean for U.S. oil production?
by Nida Çakır Melek

2014, Issue Q IV

5-28 Accounting for changes in the U.S. budget deficit
by Troy Davig & Michael Redmond
29-51 Implications of recent U.S. energy trends for trade forecasts
by Craig S. Hakkio & Jun Nie
53-70 The Effect of risk and organizational structures on bank capital ratios
by Eric W. Hogue & Rajdeep Sengupta

2014, Issue Q III

5-23 Does health care reform support self-employment?
by Thealexa Becker & Didem Tuzemen
5-26 The asymmetric effects of uncertainty
by Andrew T. Foerster
5-36 Controlling security risk and fraud in payment systems
by Richard J. Sullivan

2014, Issue Q II

5-32 Evaluating monetary policy at the zero lower bound
by Craig S. Hakkio & George A. Kahn
33-58 Mobile payments : merchants’ perspectives
by Terri Bradford & Fumiko Hayashi
59-87 What explains low net interest income at community banks?
by Charles S. Morris & Kristen Regehr

2014, Issue Q I

1-26 The weakened transmission of monetary policy to consumer loan rates
by Nada Mora
1-29 Production of natural gas from shale in local economies: a resource blessing or curse?
by Jason Brown
5-31 Global effects of U.S. monetary policy: is unconventional policy different?
by Travis J. Berge & Guangye Cao
5-64 Evolving market perceptions of Federal Reserve policy objectives
by George A. Kahn & Lisa Taylor

2013, Volume 98, Issue Q I

5-32 The vanishing middle: job polarization and workers’ response to the decline in middle-skill jobs
by Didem Tuzemen & Jonathan L. Willis
33-57 The low- and moderate- income population in recession and recovery: results from a new survey
by Kelly D. Edmiston
89-118 The new debit card regulations: effects on merchants, consumers, and payments system efficiency
by Fumiko Hayashi

2013, Issue Q IV

5-27 Has durable goods spending become less sensitive to interest rates?
by John Carter Braxton & Willem Van Zandweghe
29-58 The demographic shift from single-family to multifamily housing
by Jordan Rappaport
59-93 The impact of debit card regulation on checking account fees
by Richard J. Sullivan
95-127 The impact of an aging U.S. population on state tax revenues
by Alison Felix & Kate Watkins

2013, Issue Q III

5-29 The shadow labor supply and its implications for the unemployment rate
by Troy Davig & Jose Mustre-del-Rio
31-65 Has the effect of monetary policy announcements on asset prices changed?
by Michael Connolly & Taeyoung Doh
67-94 Have extended trading hours made agricultural commodity markets riskier?
by Nathan Kauffman
95-117 Senator Robert Owen of Oklahoma and the Federal Reserve's formative years
by Chad R. Wilkerson

2013, Issue Q II

5-29 Expectations of large-scale asset purchases
by Guangye Cao & Andrew Foerster
31-63 Economic growth in foreign regions and U.S. export growth
by Jun Nie & Lisa Taylor
65-87 Basel liquidity regulation: was it improved with the 2013 revisions?
by Michal Kowalik
89-114 Farm investment and leverage cycles: will this time be different?
by Jason Henderson & Nathan Kauffman

2013, Issue Q I

59-87 The U.S. adoption of computer-chip payment cards: implications for payment fraud
by Richard J. Sullivan

2012, Volume 97, Issue Q IV

y:2012:i:qiv:n:v.97no.4:x:1 What drives consumer debt dynamics?
by John Carter Braxton & Edward S. Knotek
y:2012:i:qiv:n:v.97no.4:x:2 Industrial diversity, growth, and volatility in the seven states of the Tenth District
by Alison Felix
y:2012:i:qiv:n:v.97no.4:x:3 The new debit card regulations: initial effects on networks and banks
by Fumiko Hayashi
y:2012:i:qiv:n:v.97no.4 Estimated rules for monetary policy
by George A. Kahn

2012, Volume 97, Issue Q III

y:2012:i:qiii:n:v.97no.3:x:1 New person-to-person payment methods: have checks met their match?
by Terri Bradford & William R. Keeton
y:2012:i:qiii:n:v.97no.3:x:2 The Federal Reserve’s reduced role in retail payments: implications for efficiency and risk
by Richard J. Sullivan
y:2012:i:qiii:n:v.97no.3:x:3 Has globalization increased the synchronicity of international business cycles?
by Travis J. Berge
y:2012:i:qiii:n:v.97no.3 Kansas banking in the 1930s: the deposit insurance choice and implications for public policy
by Kristen Regehr & Kenneth Spong

2012, Volume 97, Issue Q II

y:2012:i:qii:n:v.97no.2:x:1 Measuring the costs of retail payment methods
by Fumiko Hayashi & William R. Keeton
y:2012:i:qii:n:v.97no.2:x:2 What determines creditor recovery rates?
by Nada Mora
y:2012:i:qii:n:v.97no.2:x:3 The transformation of manufacturing across Federal Reserve Districts: success for the Great Plains?
by Chad R. Wilkerson & Megan D. Williams
y:2012:i:qii:n:v.97no.2 Why does unemployment differ persistently across metro areas?
by Jordan Rappaport

2012, Volume 97, Issue Q I

5-34 Interpreting the recent decline in labor force participation
by Willem Van Zandweghe
35-66 Mobile payments: What’s in it for consumers?
by Fumiko Hayashi
67-96 Nonprofit housing investment and local area home values
by Kelly D. Edmiston
97-127 Electricity production under carbon constraints: implications for the Tenth District
by Mark C. Snead

2011, Volume 96, Issue Q IV

5-26 Is unemployment helpful in understanding inflation?
by Taeyoung Doh
27-53 Have rising oil prices become a greater threat to price stability?
by Martin Fukac
55-80 What should banks be allowed to do?
by Charles S. Morris
81-103 Agriculture’s boom-bust cycles: is this time different?
by Michael D. Boehlje & Brent A. Gloy & Jason Henderson

2011, Volume 96, Issue Q III

35-69 Would active labor market policies help combat high U.S. unemployment?
by Jun Nie & Ethan Struby
71-100 What is the outlook for local government revenues in the Tenth District?
by Alison Felix
101-110 Recognizing risk in global agriculture: a summary of the 2011 Agricultural Symposium
by Jason Henderson

2011, Volume 96, Issue Q II

y:2011:i:qii:n:v.96no.2:x:1 Countercyclical capital regulation: should bank regulators use rules or discretion?
by Michal Kowalik
y:2011:i:qii:n:v.96no.2:x:2 Booms and busts in household wealth: implications for Tenth District states
by Chad R. Wilkerson & Megan D. Williams
y:2011:i:qii:n:v.96no.2:x:3 Can the supply of small business loans be increased?
by Jon Christensson & Jim Wilkinson
y:2011:i:qii:n:v.96no.2 How do households respond to uncertainty shocks?
by Shujaat Khan & Edward S. Knotek

2011, Volume 96, Issue Q I

y:2011:i:qi:n:v.96no.1:x:1 The importance of off-farm income to servicing farm debt
by Brian C. Briggeman
y:2011:i:qi:n:v.96no.1:x:2 Could restrictions on payday lending hurt consumers?
by Kelly D. Edmiston
y:2011:i:qi:n:v.96no.1:x:3 Building U.S. agricultural exports: one BRIC at a time
by Jason Henderson
y:2011:i:qi:n:v.96no.1 Output gaps and monetary policy at low interest rates
by Roberto M. Billi

2011, Issue Q III

5-34 Employment patterns during the recovery: Who are getting the jobs and why?
by Ayşegül Şahin & Jonathan L. Willis

2010, Volume 95, Issue Q IV

5-34 Monetary policy under a corridor operating framework
by George A. Kahn
35-65 The effectiveness of homeownership in building household wealth
by Jordan Rappaport
67-96 Are U.S. states equally prepared for a carbon-constrained world?
by Amy A. Jones & Mark C. Snead

2010, Volume 95, Issue Q III

5-30 Why have the dynamics of labor productivity changed?
by Willem Van Zandweghe
31-67 Can banks provide liquidity in a financial crisis?
by Nada Mora
69-93 The importance of community colleges to the Tenth District economy
by Alison Felix & Adam Pope
93-114 The export potential of Tenth District states
by Chad R. Wilkerson & Megan D. Williams

2010, Volume 95, Issue Q II

5-34 The efficacy of large-scale asset purchases at the zero lower bound
by Taeyoung Doh
35-62 What is the effect of financial stress on economic activity
by Troy Davig & Craig S. Hakkio
63-99 Taylor rule deviations and financial imbalances
by George A. Kahn
101-133 The changing nature of U.S. card payment fraud: industry and public policy options
by Richard J. Sullivan

2010, Volume 95, Issue Q I

5-39 Coordination of expectations in the recent crisis: private actions and policy responses
by Russell W. Cooper & Jonathan L. Willis
41-70 Financial stability reports: how useful during a financial crisis?
by Jon Christensson & Kenneth Spong & Jim Wilkinson
71-93 Regulating debit cards: the case of ad valorem fees
by Zhu Wang
95-119 Will the rural economy rebound in 2010?
by Jason Henderson

2009, Volume 94, Issue Q IV

5-42 Is the Great Moderation over? an empirical analysis
by Todd E. Clark

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