IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/r/cdl/ucsdec/qt06m3d6nv.html
   My bibliography  Save this item

CAViaR: Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles

Citations

Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
as


Cited by:

  1. Cho, Jin Seo & Kim, Tae-hwan & Shin, Yongcheol, 2015. "Quantile cointegration in the autoregressive distributed-lag modeling framework," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(1), pages 281-300.
  2. repec:wyi:journl:002112 is not listed on IDEAS
  3. Leopoldo Catania & Nima Nonejad, 2016. "Density Forecasts and the Leverage Effect: Some Evidence from Observation and Parameter-Driven Volatility Models," Papers 1605.00230, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2016.
  4. Kuan, Chung-Ming & Yeh, Jin-Huei & Hsu, Yu-Chin, 2009. "Assessing value at risk with CARE, the Conditional Autoregressive Expectile models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 261-270, June.
  5. Chan, Ngai Hang & Sit, Tony, 2016. "Artifactual unit root behavior of Value at risk (VaR)," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 88-93.
  6. James W. Taylor, 2012. "Density Forecasting of Intraday Call Center Arrivals Using Models Based on Exponential Smoothing," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(3), pages 534-549, March.
  7. Guo, Yawei & Li, Jianping & Li, Yehua & You, Wanhai, 2021. "The roles of political risk and crude oil in stock market based on quantile cointegration approach: A comparative study in China and US," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
  8. Kingston, Kato Gogo, 2010. "The Dynamics of Gang Criminality and Corruption in Nigeria Universities: A Time Series Analysis," MPRA Paper 28607, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  9. Jozef Baruník & Matěj Nevrla, 2023. "Quantile Spectral Beta: A Tale of Tail Risks, Investment Horizons, and Asset Prices," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(5), pages 1590-1646.
  10. Ray Chou & Chun-Chou Wu & Nathan Liu, 2009. "Forecasting time-varying covariance with a range-based dynamic conditional correlation model," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 327-345, November.
  11. Baur, Dirk G. & Dimpfl, Thomas & Jung, Robert C., 2012. "Stock return autocorrelations revisited: A quantile regression approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 254-265.
  12. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Papapanagiotou, Georgios & Stengos, Thanasis, 2022. "On the volatility of cryptocurrencies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  13. Hallin, Marc & Trucíos, Carlos, 2023. "Forecasting value-at-risk and expected shortfall in large portfolios: A general dynamic factor model approach," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 1-15.
  14. Grzegorz Hałaj & Christoffer Kok, 2013. "Assessing interbank contagion using simulated networks," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 157-186, June.
  15. Eric Ghysels & Leonardo Iania & Jonas Striaukas, 2018. "Quantile-based Inflation Risk Models," Working Paper Research 349, National Bank of Belgium.
  16. Cathy W. S. Chen & Takaaki Koike & Wei‐Hsuan Shau, 2024. "Tail risk forecasting with semiparametric regression models by incorporating overnight information," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1492-1512, August.
  17. Louzis, Dimitrios P. & Xanthopoulos-Sisinis, Spyros & Refenes, Apostolos P., 2011. "Are realized volatility models good candidates for alternative Value at Risk prediction strategies?," MPRA Paper 30364, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  18. Bertrand Candelon & Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2011. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A GMM Duration-Based Test," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(2), pages 314-343, Spring.
  19. Clements, Michael P., 2018. "Are macroeconomic density forecasts informative?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 181-198.
  20. Jian, Zhihong & Wu, Shuai & Zhu, Zhican, 2018. "Asymmetric extreme risk spillovers between the Chinese stock market and index futures market: An MV-CAViaR based intraday CoVaR approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 98-113.
  21. Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Figueiredo, Francisco Marcos Rodrigues, 2018. "Estimating inflation persistence by quantile autoregression with quantile-specific unit roots," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 407-430.
  22. Cathy W. S. Chen & Takaaki Koike & Wei-Hsuan Shau, 2024. "Tail risk forecasting with semi-parametric regression models by incorporating overnight information," Papers 2402.07134, arXiv.org.
  23. Xu, Xiu & Wang, Weining & Shin, Yongcheol, 2020. "Dynamic Spatial Network Quantile Autoregression," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2020-024, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
  24. Charle Augusto Llondono, 2011. "Regresión del cuantil aplicada al modelo de redes neuronales artificiales. Una aproximación de la estructura CAVIAR para el mercado de valores colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 29(64), pages 62-109, July.
  25. Elena-Ivona Dumitrescu & Christophe Hurlin & Vinson Pham, 2012. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk: From Dynamic Quantile to Dynamic Binary Tests," Finance, Presses universitaires de Grenoble, vol. 33(1), pages 79-112.
  26. Donggyu Kim & Minseok Shin & Yazhen Wang, 2023. "Overnight GARCH-Itô Volatility Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1215-1227, October.
  27. Meng, Xiaochun & Taylor, James W., 2018. "An approximate long-memory range-based approach for value at risk estimation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 377-388.
  28. Cerrato, Mario & Crosby, John & Kim, Minjoo & Zhao, Yang, 2014. "Modeling Dependence Structure and Forecasting Portfolio Value-at-Risk with Dynamic Copulas," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-25, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
  29. Zagaglia, Paolo, 2008. "Money-market segmentation in the euro area : what has changed during the turmoil?," Research Discussion Papers 23/2008, Bank of Finland.
  30. Klochkov, Yegor & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Xu, Xiu, 2019. "Localizing Multivariate CAViaR," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2019-007, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
  31. Philipp Ratz, 2022. "Nonparametric Value-at-Risk via Sieve Estimation," Papers 2205.07101, arXiv.org.
  32. Dean Fantazzini, 2024. "Adaptive Conformal Inference for Computing Market Risk Measures: An Analysis with Four Thousand Crypto-Assets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-44, June.
  33. Mateusz Buczyński & Marcin Chlebus, 2017. "Is CAViaR model really so good in Value at Risk forecasting? Evidence from evaluation of a quality of Value-at-Risk forecasts obtained based on the: GARCH(1,1), GARCH-t(1,1), GARCH-st(1,1), QML-GARCH(," Working Papers 2017-29, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  34. Lyu, Yongjian & Wang, Peng & Wei, Yu & Ke, Rui, 2017. "Forecasting the VaR of crude oil market: Do alternative distributions help?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 523-534.
  35. Demiralay, Sercan & Ulusoy, Veysel, 2014. "Value-at-risk Predictions of Precious Metals with Long Memory Volatility Models," MPRA Paper 53229, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  36. Beine, Michel & Cosma, Antonio & Vermeulen, Robert, 2010. "The dark side of global integration: Increasing tail dependence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 184-192, January.
  37. Adediran, Idris A. & Swaray, Raymond, 2023. "Carbon trading amidst global uncertainty: The role of policy and geopolitical uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
  38. Muhammadriyaj Faniband & Kedar Marulkar, 2020. "Do macroeconomic factors impact corporate debt? Evidence from India," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(1), pages 16-23, January.
  39. Jeremy Berkowitz & Peter Christoffersen & Denis Pelletier, 2011. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models with Desk-Level Data," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(12), pages 2213-2227, December.
  40. Martinez-Iriarte, Julian & Montes-Rojas, Gabriel & Sun, Yixiao, 2022. "Location-Scale and Compensated Effects in Unconditional Quantile Regressions," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt89z1w74z, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
  41. Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2013. "Modeling CAC40 volatility using ultra-high frequency data," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 68-81.
  42. Prat, Georges & Uctum, Remzi, 2011. "Modelling oil price expectations: Evidence from survey data," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 236-247, June.
  43. Zagaglia, Paolo, 2008. "Money-market segmentation in the euro area: what has changed during the turmoil?," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 23/2008, Bank of Finland.
  44. Wen, Danyan & Wang, Gang-Jin & Ma, Chaoqun & Wang, Yudong, 2019. "Risk spillovers between oil and stock markets: A VAR for VaR analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 524-535.
  45. Timo Dimitriadis & Yannick Hoga, 2023. "Regressions under Adverse Conditions," Papers 2311.13327, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
  46. Wang, Xinyu & Qi, Zikang & Huang, Jianglu, 2023. "How do monetary shock, financial crisis, and quotation reform affect the long memory of exchange rate volatility? Evidence from major currencies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  47. Xiu Xu & Andrija Mihoci & Wolfgang Karl Hardle, 2020. "lCARE -- localizing Conditional AutoRegressive Expectiles," Papers 2009.13215, arXiv.org.
  48. Elena-Ivona DUMITRESCU, 2011. "Backesting Value-at-Risk: From DQ (Dynamic Quantile) to DB (Dynamic Binary) Tests," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 262, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
  49. Tim Bollerslev, 2008. "Glossary to ARCH (GARCH)," CREATES Research Papers 2008-49, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  50. Peter S. Sephton, 2009. "Fractional integration in agricultural futures price volatilities revisited," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 40(1), pages 103-111, January.
  51. Liu Xiaochun & Luger Richard, 2018. "Markov-switching quantile autoregression: a Gibbs sampling approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 1, April.
  52. Yuzhi Cai & Julian Stander, 2020. "The Threshold GARCH Model: Estimation and Density Forecasting for Financial Returns," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(2), pages 395-424.
  53. Xu, Yan & Wang, Xinyu & Liu, Hening, 2021. "Quantile-based GARCH-MIDAS: Estimating value-at-risk using mixed-frequency information," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
  54. Antonio Díaz & Carlos Esparcia, 2021. "Dynamic optimal portfolio choice under time-varying risk aversion," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 166, pages 1-22.
  55. Hagfors, Lars Ivar & Bunn, Derek & Kristoffersen, Eline & Staver, Tiril Toftdahl & Westgaard, Sjur, 2016. "Modeling the UK electricity price distributions using quantile regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 231-243.
  56. Nowotarski, Jakub & Weron, Rafał, 2018. "Recent advances in electricity price forecasting: A review of probabilistic forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1548-1568.
  57. Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier, 2014. "Large shocks in the volatility of the Dow Jones Industrial Average index: 1928–2013," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 188-199.
  58. Nicholas Apergis, 2015. "Money Demand Sensitivity to Interest Rates: The Case of Japans Zero-Interest Rate Policy," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(9), pages 1043-1049, September.
  59. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Oil tail risks and the forecastability of the realized variance of oil-price: Evidence from over 150 years of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
  60. Uwe Hassler & Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Antonio Rubia, 2016. "Quantile Regression for Long Memory Testing: A Case of Realized Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(4), pages 693-724.
  61. Wang, Guochang & Zhu, Ke & Li, Guodong & Li, Wai Keung, 2022. "Hybrid quantile estimation for asymmetric power GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 264-284.
  62. Jean-Paul Laurent & Hassan Omidi Firouzi, 2022. "Market Risk and Volatility Weighted Historical Simulation After Basel III," Working Papers hal-03679434, HAL.
  63. Chao, Shih-Kang & Härdle, Wolfgang K. & Yuan, Ming, 2021. "Factorisable Multitask Quantile Regression," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(4), pages 794-816, August.
  64. Hartz, Christoph & Mittnik, Stefan & Paolella, Marc, 2006. "Accurate value-at-risk forecasting based on the normal-GARCH model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(4), pages 2295-2312, December.
  65. Gian Piero Aielli, 2011. "Dynamic Conditional Correlation: On properties and estimation," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0142, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
  66. Okhrin, Ostap & Ristig, Alexander & Sheen, Jeffrey R. & Trück, Stefan, 2015. "Conditional systemic risk with penalized copula," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2015-038, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  67. Stavros Degiannakis & Pamela Dent & Christos Floros, 2014. "A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach to Forecasting Multi-period Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Using the FIGARCH-skT Specification," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 82(1), pages 71-102, January.
  68. Mittnik, Stefan, 2014. "VaR-implied tail-correlation matrices," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 69-73.
  69. Henry, Jérôme & Zimmermann, Maik & Leber, Miha & Kolb, Markus & Grodzicki, Maciej & Amzallag, Adrien & Vouldis, Angelos & Hałaj, Grzegorz & Pancaro, Cosimo & Gross, Marco & Baudino, Patrizia & Sydow, , 2013. "A macro stress testing framework for assessing systemic risks in the banking sector," Occasional Paper Series 152, European Central Bank.
  70. Yongmiao Hong, 2013. "Serial Correlation and Serial Dependence," Working Papers 2013-10-14, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
  71. Ben Rejeb, Aymen & Arfaoui, Mongi, 2016. "Financial market interdependencies: A quantile regression analysis of volatility spillover," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 140-157.
  72. Thiele, Stephen, 2019. "Detecting underestimates of risk in VaR models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 12-20.
  73. James W. Taylor, 2005. "Generating Volatility Forecasts from Value at Risk Estimates," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(5), pages 712-725, May.
  74. Catania, Leopoldo & Luati, Alessandra, 2023. "Semiparametric modeling of multiple quantiles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
  75. George Kouretas & Leonidas Zarangas, 2005. "Conditional autoregressive valu at risk by regression quantile: Estimatingmarket risk for major stock markets," Working Papers 0521, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
  76. Ben Ameur, H. & Prigent, J.-L., 2018. "Risk management of time varying floors for dynamic portfolio insurance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 269(1), pages 363-381.
  77. Lin, Weidong & Taamouti, Abderrahim, 2024. "Portfolio selection under non-gaussianity and systemic risk: A machine learning based forecasting approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1179-1188.
  78. Cai, Zongwu & Xu, Xiaoping, 2009. "Nonparametric Quantile Estimations for Dynamic Smooth Coefficient Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(485), pages 371-383.
  79. Song, Shijia & Li, Handong, 2022. "Predicting VaR for China's stock market: A score-driven model based on normal inverse Gaussian distribution," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  80. Gery Geenens & Richard Dunn, 2017. "A nonparametric copula approach to conditional Value-at-Risk," Papers 1712.05527, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
  81. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2008_023 is not listed on IDEAS
  82. Xiaohong Chen & Roger Koenker & Zhijie Xiao, 2009. "Copula-based nonlinear quantile autoregression," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 12(s1), pages 50-67, January.
  83. Ilias Chronopoulos & Aristeidis Raftapostolos & George Kapetanios, 2024. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Deep Neural Network Quantile Regression," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(3), pages 636-669.
  84. Linton, Oliver & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2003. "A quantilogram approach to evaluating directional predictability," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2112, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  85. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2006. "Volatility and Correlation Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 777-878, Elsevier.
  86. repec:wyi:journl:002087 is not listed on IDEAS
  87. Mohamed Chikhi & Claude Diebolt & Tapas Mishra, 2019. "Measuring Success: Does Predictive Ability of an Asset Price Rest in 'Memory'? Insights from a New Approach," Working Papers 11-19, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
  88. Giacomini, Raffaella & Komunjer, Ivana, 2005. "Evaluation and Combination of Conditional Quantile Forecasts," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 23, pages 416-431, October.
  89. Rita Pimentel & Morten Risstad & Sjur Westgaard, 2022. "Predicting interest rate distributions using PCA & quantile regression," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 291-311, December.
  90. Jean-Francois Carpantier, 2010. "Commodities inventory effect," Working Papers hal-01821158, HAL.
  91. Yingying Jiang & Fuming Lin & Yong Zhou, 2021. "The kth power expectile regression," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 73(1), pages 83-113, February.
  92. Wanbing Zhang & Sisi Zhang & Peibiao Zhao, 2019. "On Double Value at Risk," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-22, March.
  93. Filip Žikeš & Jozef Baruník, 2016. "Semi-parametric Conditional Quantile Models for Financial Returns and Realized Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 185-226.
  94. Laporta, Alessandro G. & Merlo, Luca & Petrella, Lea, 2018. "Selection of Value at Risk Models for Energy Commodities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 628-643.
  95. Herrera, Rodrigo & González, Nicolás, 2014. "The modeling and forecasting of extreme events in electricity spot markets," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 477-490.
  96. Manuel Arellano & Stéphane Bonhomme, 2016. "Nonlinear panel data estimation via quantile regressions," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 19(3), pages 61-94, October.
  97. Nikola Radivojevic & Milena Cvjetkovic & Saša Stepanov, 2016. "The new hybrid value at risk approach based on the extreme value theory," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 43(1 Year 20), pages 29-52, June.
  98. Fuentes, Fernanda & Herrera, Rodrigo & Clements, Adam, 2018. "Modeling extreme risks in commodities and commodity currencies," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 108-120.
  99. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Hwang, Bruce B.K. & McAleer, Michael, 2012. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk using nonlinear regression quantiles and the intra-day range," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 557-574.
  100. López-Espinosa, Germán & Moreno, Antonio & Rubia, Antonio & Valderrama, Laura, 2015. "Systemic risk and asymmetric responses in the financial industry," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 471-485.
  101. Matteo Grigoletto & Francesco Lisi, 2011. "Practical implications of higher moments in risk management," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 20(4), pages 487-506, November.
  102. Hamidi, Benjamin & Maillet, Bertrand & Prigent, Jean-Luc, 2014. "A dynamic autoregressive expectile for time-invariant portfolio protection strategies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 1-29.
  103. CORONEO, Laura & VEREDAS, David, 2006. "Intradaily seasonality of returns distribution. A quantile regression approach and intradaily VaR estimation," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2006077, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  104. Olmo Jose & Pouliot William, 2011. "Early Detection Techniques for Market Risk Failure," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(4), pages 1-55, September.
  105. Jorge E. Galán & María Rodríguez Moreno, 2020. "At-risk measures and financial stability," Financial Stability Review, Banco de España, issue Autumn.
  106. Kawakatsu, Hiroyuki, 2007. "Specification and estimation of discrete time quadratic stochastic volatility models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 424-442, June.
  107. Taylor, Nicholas, 2007. "A note on the importance of overnight information in risk management models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 161-180, January.
  108. Taylor, James W., 2022. "Forecasting Value at Risk and expected shortfall using a model with a dynamic omega ratio," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
  109. Schaumburg, Julia, 2012. "Predicting extreme value at risk: Nonparametric quantile regression with refinements from extreme value theory," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(12), pages 4081-4096.
  110. Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Olmo, Jose, 2013. "Optimally harnessing inter-day and intra-day information for daily value-at-risk prediction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 28-42.
  111. Laura Garcia‐Jorcano & Alfonso Novales, 2021. "Volatility specifications versus probability distributions in VaR forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 189-212, March.
  112. Lambert, Philippe & Laurent, Sébastien & Veredas, David, 2012. "Testing conditional asymmetry: A residual-based approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1229-1247.
  113. Drew Creal & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2008. "A General Framework for Observation Driven Time-Varying Parameter Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-108/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  114. Baur, Dirk G. & Schulze, Niels, 2009. "Financial market stability--A test," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 506-519, July.
  115. Alex Huang, 2013. "Value at risk estimation by quantile regression and kernel estimator," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 225-251, August.
  116. Zouheir Mighri & Raouf Jaziri, 2023. "Long-Memory, Asymmetry and Fat-Tailed GARCH Models in Value-at-Risk Estimation: Empirical Evidence from the Global Real Estate Markets," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 21(1), pages 41-97, March.
  117. Cho, Haeran & Korkas, Karolos K., 2022. "High-dimensional GARCH process segmentation with an application to Value-at-Risk," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 187-203.
  118. Loriano Mancini & Fabio Trojani, 2011. "Robust Value at Risk Prediction," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 9(2), pages 281-313, Spring.
  119. Jian, Zhihong & Li, Xupei & Zhu, Zhican, 2022. "Extreme risk transmission channels between the stock index futures and spot markets: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  120. James, Robert & Leung, Henry & Leung, Jessica Wai Yin & Prokhorov, Artem, 2023. "Forecasting tail risk measures for financial time series: An extreme value approach with covariates," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 29-50.
  121. Yue Liu & Hao Dong & Pierre Failler, 2019. "The Oil Market Reactions to OPEC’s Announcements," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-15, August.
  122. Christis Katsouris, 2021. "Optimal Portfolio Choice and Stock Centrality for Tail Risk Events," Papers 2112.12031, arXiv.org.
  123. Robert Engle, 2001. "GARCH 101: The Use of ARCH/GARCH Models in Applied Econometrics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 157-168, Fall.
  124. Committee, Nobel Prize, 2003. "Time-series Econometrics: Cointegration and Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2003-1, Nobel Prize Committee.
  125. So Yeon Chun & Alexander Shapiro & Stan Uryasev, 2012. "Conditional Value-at-Risk and Average Value-at-Risk: Estimation and Asymptotics," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(4), pages 739-756, August.
  126. Auer, Benjamin R., 2016. "How does Germany's green energy policy affect electricity market volatility? An application of conditional autoregressive range models," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 621-628.
  127. White, Halbert & Kim, Tae-Hwan & Manganelli, Simone, 2015. "VAR for VaR: Measuring tail dependence using multivariate regression quantiles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 169-188.
  128. Rangika Peiris & Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach & Minh-Ngoc Tran, 2024. "Semi-parametric financial risk forecasting incorporating multiple realized measures," Papers 2402.09985, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
  129. Ke, Rui & Yang, Luyao & Tan, Changchun, 2022. "Forecasting tail risk for Bitcoin: A dynamic peak over threshold approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
  130. Iseringhausen, Martin, 2024. "A time-varying skewness model for Growth-at-Risk," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 229-246.
  131. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Konstantatos, Christoforos & Tsagkanos, Athanasios & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2021. "Do economic news releases affect tail risk? Evidence from an emerging market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
  132. Jozef Baruník & Tobias Kley, 2019. "Quantile coherency: A general measure for dependence between cyclical economic variables," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 22(2), pages 131-152.
  133. Lazar, Emese & Xue, Xiaohan, 2020. "Forecasting risk measures using intraday data in a generalized autoregressive score framework," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1057-1072.
  134. Oliver Linton & Dajing Shang & Yang Yan, 2012. "Efficient estimation of conditional risk measures in a semiparametric GARCH model," CeMMAP working papers CWP25/12, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  135. Samit Paul & Madhusudan Karmakar, 2017. "Relative Efficiency of Component GARCH-EVT Approach in Managing Intraday Market Risk," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 21(4), pages 247-283, December.
  136. Lee, Sangyeol & Meintanis, Simos G. & Pretorius, Charl, 2022. "Monitoring procedures for strict stationarity based on the multivariate characteristic function," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  137. Chlebus Marcin, 2017. "EWS-GARCH: New Regime Switching Approach to Forecast Value-at-Risk," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 3(50), pages 01-25, December.
  138. Komunjer, Ivana, 2005. "Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation for conditional quantiles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 128(1), pages 137-164, September.
  139. Moosup Kim & Sangyeol Lee, 2019. "Test for tail index constancy of GARCH innovations based on conditional volatility," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 71(4), pages 947-981, August.
  140. Krenar AVDULAJ & Jozef BARUNIK, 2013. "Can We Still Benefit from International Diversification? The Case of the Czech and German Stock Markets," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 63(5), pages 425-442, November.
  141. Pesaran, Bahram & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2010. "Conditional volatility and correlations of weekly returns and the VaR analysis of 2008 stock market crash," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 1398-1416, November.
  142. Sotirios Bersimis & Stavros Degiannakis & Dimitrios Georgakellos, 2017. "Real-time monitoring of carbon monoxide using value-at-risk measure and control charting," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(1), pages 89-108, January.
  143. Jimenez-Martin, Juan-Angel & McAleer, Michael & Pérez-Amaral, Teodosio & Santos, Paulo Araújo, 2013. "GFC-robust risk management under the Basel Accord using extreme value methodologies," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 223-237.
  144. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Hsu, Hsiao-Yun & Watanabe, Toshiaki, 2023. "Tail risk forecasting of realized volatility CAViaR models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  145. Jorge E. Galán & María Rodríguez Moreno, 2020. "At-risk measures and financial stability," Revista de Estabilidad Financiera, Banco de España, issue Otoño.
  146. Wu, JunFeng & Zhang, Chao & Chen, Yun, 2022. "Analysis of risk correlations among stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  147. Corsi, Fulvio & Lillo, Fabrizio & Pirino, Davide & Trapin, Luca, 2018. "Measuring the propagation of financial distress with Granger-causality tail risk networks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 18-36.
  148. Haugom, Erik & Ray, Rina, 2017. "Heterogeneous traders, liquidity, and volatility in crude oil futures market," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 36-49.
  149. Paolo Zagaglia & Massimiliano Marzo, 2013. "Gold and the U.S. dollar: tales from the turmoil," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(4), pages 571-582, March.
  150. Luc, BAUWENS & Walid, BEN OMRANE & Erick, Rengifo, 2006. "Intra-Daily FX Optimal Portfolio Allocation," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2006005, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
  151. Chorro, Christophe & Guégan, Dominique & Ielpo, Florian & Lalaharison, Hanjarivo, 2018. "Testing for leverage effects in the returns of US equities," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 290-306.
  152. Naceur Naguez, 2018. "Dynamic portfolio insurance strategies: risk management under Johnson distributions," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 262(2), pages 605-629, March.
  153. Tunc, Ahmet, 2024. "ETFs amidst the COVID-induced technological transformation: Sectoral insights from time-varying dynamics of tail risk transmissions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  154. Martin Gächter & Martin Geiger & Elias Hasler, 2023. "On the Structural Determinants of Growth-at-Risk," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(2), pages 251-293, June.
  155. Cerrato, Mario & Crosby, John & Kim, Minjoo & Zhao, Yang, 2015. "US Monetary and Fiscal Policies - Conflict or Cooperation?," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon TN 2015-78, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  156. Marrocu, Emanuela & Paci, Raffaele & Zara, Andrea, 2015. "Micro-economic determinants of tourist expenditure: A quantile regression approach," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 13-30.
  157. Fei, Fei & Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Kalotychou, Elena, 2017. "Dependence in credit default swap and equity markets: Dynamic copula with Markov-switching," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 662-678.
  158. Wei Kuang, 2021. "Dynamic VaR forecasts using conditional Pearson type IV distribution," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 500-511, April.
  159. Qifa Xu & Lu Chen & Cuixia Jiang & Yezheng Liu, 2022. "Forecasting expected shortfall and value at risk with a joint elicitable mixed data sampling model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 407-421, April.
  160. Antonio F. Galvao JR. & Gabriel Montes-Rojas & Sung Y. Park, 2013. "Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model with an Application to House Price Returns," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(2), pages 307-321, April.
  161. Shao, Xi-Dong & Lian, Yu-Jun & Yin, Lian-Qian, 2009. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk using high frequency data: The realized range model," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 128-136.
  162. Bonaccolto, Giovanni & Caporin, Massimiliano & Maillet, Bertrand B., 2022. "Dynamic large financial networks via conditional expected shortfalls," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(1), pages 322-336.
  163. Nath, Harmindar B. & Brooks, Robert D., 2020. "Investor-herding and risk-profiles: A State-Space model-based assessment," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  164. Ardia, David & Bluteau, Keven & Rüede, Maxime, 2019. "Regime changes in Bitcoin GARCH volatility dynamics," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 266-271.
  165. Catania, Leopoldo & Grassi, Stefano, 2022. "Forecasting cryptocurrency volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 878-894.
  166. Jeremy Berkowitz & James M. O'Brien, 2001. "How accurate are Value-at-Risk models at commercial banks?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2001-31, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  167. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Shahzad, Mohammad Rahim & Karim, Sitara & Assaf, Rima, 2023. "Tail risk transmission in technology-driven markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  168. Odusami, Babatunde O, 2021. "Forecasting the Value-at-Risk of REITs using realized volatility jump models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  169. O. Linton & E. Mammen, 2005. "Estimating Semiparametric ARCH(∞) Models by Kernel Smoothing Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 73(3), pages 771-836, May.
  170. Haugom, Erik & Ray, Rina & Ullrich, Carl J. & Veka, Steinar & Westgaard, Sjur, 2016. "A parsimonious quantile regression model to forecast day-ahead value-at-risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 196-207.
  171. Demiralay, Sercan & Ulusoy, Veysel, 2014. "Non-linear volatility dynamics and risk management of precious metals," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 183-202.
  172. Luca Merlo & Lea Petrella & Valentina Raponi, 2021. "Forecasting VaR and ES using a joint quantile regression and implications in portfolio allocation," Papers 2106.06518, arXiv.org.
  173. Onder Buberkoku, 2018. "Examining the Value-at-risk Performance of Fractionally Integrated GARCH Models: Evidence from Energy Commodities," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 36-50.
  174. Lin, Wei & Cai, Zongwu & Li, Zheng & Su, Li, 2015. "Optimal smoothing in nonparametric conditional quantile derivative function estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(2), pages 502-513.
  175. L. Kourouma & Denis Dupré & G. Sanfilippo & O. Taramasco, 2011. "Extreme Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall during Financial Crisis," Post-Print halshs-00658495, HAL.
  176. Candelon, Bertrand & Joëts, Marc & Tokpavi, Sessi, 2013. "Testing for Granger causality in distribution tails: An application to oil markets integration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 276-285.
  177. Aloui, Riadh & Aïssa, Mohamed Safouane Ben & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Dependence and extreme dependence of crude oil and natural gas prices with applications to risk management," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 332-342.
  178. Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2016. "CoVaR," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(7), pages 1705-1741, July.
    • Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2008. "CoVaR," Staff Reports 348, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    • Tobias Adrian & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2011. "CoVaR," NBER Working Papers 17454, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  179. Harvey,Andrew C., 2013. "Dynamic Models for Volatility and Heavy Tails," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107034723, January.
  180. Szubzda Filip & Chlebus Marcin, 2019. "Comparison of Block Maxima and Peaks Over Threshold Value-at-Risk models for market risk in various economic conditions," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 6(53), pages 70-85, January.
  181. Saissi Hassani, Samir & Dionne, Georges, 2021. "The new international regulation of market risk: Roles of VaR and CVaR in model validation," Working Papers 20-3, HEC Montreal, Canada Research Chair in Risk Management.
  182. Andreou, Elena & Werker, Bas J.M., 2015. "Residual-based rank specification tests for AR–GARCH type models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(2), pages 305-331.
  183. Louzis, Dimitrios P. & Xanthopoulos-Sisinis, Spyros & Refenes, Apostolos P., 2014. "Realized volatility models and alternative Value-at-Risk prediction strategies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 101-116.
  184. Sung Hoon Choi & Donggyu Kim, 2024. "Matrix-based Prediction Approach for Intraday Instantaneous Volatility Vector," Papers 2403.02591, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
  185. Saissi Hassani, Samir & Dionne, Georges, 2023. "Using skewed exponential power mixture for VaR and CVaR forecasts to comply with market risk regulation," Working Papers 23-2, HEC Montreal, Canada Research Chair in Risk Management.
  186. Cathy W.S. Chen & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2019. "Bayesian modeling and forecasting of Value‐at‐Risk via threshold realized volatility," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(3), pages 747-765, May.
  187. Ahmed Ali & Granberg Mark & Troster Victor & Uddin Gazi Salah, 2022. "Asymmetric dynamics between uncertainty and unemployment flows in the United States," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(1), pages 155-172, February.
  188. Wilson Calmon & Eduardo Ferioli & Davi Lettieri & Johann Soares & Adrian Pizzinga, 2021. "An Extensive Comparison of Some Well‐Established Value at Risk Methods," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 89(1), pages 148-166, April.
  189. Ahmed Khalifa, Massimiliano Caporin, Michele Costola, and Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2021. "Systemic Risk for Financial Institutions in the Major Petroleum-based Economies: The Role of Oil," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 6).
  190. Alex Yi-Hou Huang & Tsung-Wei Tseng, 2009. "Forecast of value at risk for equity indices: an analysis from developed and emerging markets," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 10(4), pages 393-409, August.
  191. Yuta Kurose & Yasuhiro Omori, 2012. "Bayesian Analysis of Time-Varying Quantiles Using a Smoothing Spline," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-845, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
  192. Liu, Xiaochun, 2017. "An integrated macro-financial risk-based approach to the stressed capital requirement," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 86-98.
  193. Pham, Linh & Kamal, Javed Bin, 2024. "Blessings or curse: How do media climate change concerns affect commodity tail risk spillovers?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
  194. Chen, Xiaohong & Fan, Yanqin, 2006. "Estimation of copula-based semiparametric time series models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 130(2), pages 307-335, February.
  195. Vacca, Gianmarco & Zoia, Maria Grazia & Bagnato, Luca, 2022. "Forecasting in GARCH models with polynomially modified innovations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 117-141.
  196. Pritsker, Matthew, 2006. "The hidden dangers of historical simulation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 561-582, February.
  197. Lucas, André & Zhang, Xin, 2016. "Score-driven exponentially weighted moving averages and Value-at-Risk forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 293-302.
  198. Durán Santomil, Pablo & Otero González, Luís & Martorell Cunill, Onofre & Merigó Lindahl, José M., 2018. "Backtesting an equity risk model under Solvency II," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 216-222.
  199. CARPANTIER, Jean-François & DUFAYS, Arnaud, 2012. "Commodities volatility and the theory of storage," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2012037, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  200. Zhengkun Li & Minh-Ngoc Tran & Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach & Junbin Gao, 2020. "A Bayesian Long Short-Term Memory Model for Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall Joint Forecasting," Papers 2001.08374, arXiv.org, revised May 2021.
  201. Weronika Ormaniec & Marcin Pitera & Sajad Safarveisi & Thorsten Schmidt, 2022. "Estimating value at risk: LSTM vs. GARCH," Papers 2207.10539, arXiv.org.
  202. Nicholas Apergis, 2022. "Evaluating tail risks for the U.S. economic policy uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 3971-3989, October.
  203. CHEN, Cathy W.S. & WENG, Monica M.C. & WATANABE, Toshiaki & 渡部, 渡部, 2015. "Employing Bayesian Forecasting of Value-at-Risk to Determine an Appropriate Model for Risk Management," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-16, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
  204. Peng, Wei, 2021. "The transmission of default risk between banks and countries based on CAViaR models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 500-509.
  205. Song, Shijia & Tian, Fei & Li, Handong, 2021. "An intraday-return-based Value-at-Risk model driven by dynamic conditional score with censored generalized Pareto distribution," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  206. Katarzyna Bien-Barkowska, 2012. ""Does it take volume to move fx rates?" Evidence from quantile regressions," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 12, pages 35-52.
  207. Hwai-Chung Ho, 2022. "Forecasting the distribution of long-horizon returns with time-varying volatility," Papers 2201.07457, arXiv.org.
  208. Krzysztof Echaust & Małgorzata Just, 2020. "Value at Risk Estimation Using the GARCH-EVT Approach with Optimal Tail Selection," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-24, January.
  209. Resul Aydemir & Huzeyfe Zahit Atan & Bulent Guloglu, 2022. "How do the global equity and bond markets affect Islamic and conventional banks? A comparative cross-country analysis using multivariate regression quantiles," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(1), pages 95-114, March.
  210. Giot, Pierre & Laurent, Sebastien, 2004. "Modelling daily Value-at-Risk using realized volatility and ARCH type models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 379-398, June.
  211. Adams, Zeno & Füss, Roland & Gropp, Reint, 2014. "Spillover Effects among Financial Institutions: A State-Dependent Sensitivity Value-at-Risk Approach," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 49(3), pages 575-598, June.
  212. Salisu, Afees A. & Olaniran, Abeeb & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2022. "Oil tail risk and the tail risk of the US Dollar exchange rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
  213. Zaichao Du & Pei Pei, 2020. "Backtesting portfolio value‐at‐risk with estimated portfolio weights," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(5), pages 605-619, September.
  214. Daniel Mariño-Ustacara & Luis Fernando Melo-Velandia, 2016. "Relación entre los valores en riesgo de los principales mercados financieros colombianos: un enfoque a través de modelos multivariados de regresión cuantílica," Borradores de Economia 975, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  215. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2014-012 is not listed on IDEAS
  216. Wen Cheong Chin & Min Cherng Lee, 2018. "S&P500 volatility analysis using high-frequency multipower variation volatility proxies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 1297-1318, May.
  217. Chuliá, Helena & Guillén, Montserrat & Uribe, Jorge M., 2017. "Spillovers from the United States to Latin American and G7 stock markets: A VAR quantile analysis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 32-46.
  218. DeRossi, G. & Harvey, A., 2006. "Time-Varying Quantiles," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0649, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  219. Foglia, Matteo & Angelini, Eliana, 2020. "The diabolical sovereigns/banks risk loop: A VAR quantile design," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
  220. Sullivan Hu'e & Christophe Hurlin & Yang Lu, 2024. "Backtesting Expected Shortfall: Accounting for both duration and severity with bivariate orthogonal polynomials," Papers 2405.02012, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
  221. Nicholas Apergis, 2023. "Forecasting energy prices: Quantile‐based risk models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 17-33, January.
  222. Denisa Banulescu-Radu & Christophe Hurlin & Jérémy Leymarie & Olivier Scaillet, 2021. "Backtesting Marginal Expected Shortfall and Related Systemic Risk Measures," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(9), pages 5730-5754, September.
  223. Luc Bauwens & Manuela Braione & Giuseppe Storti, 2016. "Forecasting Comparison of Long Term Component Dynamic Models for Realized Covariance Matrices," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 103-134.
  224. Maziar Sahamkhadam & Andreas Stephan, 2023. "Portfolio optimization based on forecasting models using vine copulas: An empirical assessment for global financial crises," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 2139-2166, December.
  225. Chi Ming Wong & Lei Lam Olivia Ting, 2016. "A Quantile Regression Approach to the Multiple Period Value at Risk Estimation," Journal of Economics and Management, College of Business, Feng Chia University, Taiwan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-35, February.
  226. Wang, Zijin & Chen, Peimin & Liu, Peng & Wu, Chunchi, 2024. "Volatility forecasts by clustering: Applications for VaR estimation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  227. Jinjarak, Yothin & Zheng, Huanhuan, 2014. "Granular institutional investors and global market interdependence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 61-81.
  228. Benjamin R. Auer & Benjamin Mögel, 2016. "How Accurate are Modern Value-at-Risk Estimators Derived from Extreme Value Theory?," CESifo Working Paper Series 6288, CESifo.
  229. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Huseyin Ozdemir, 2021. "Dynamic return and volatility spillovers among S&P 500, crude oil, and gold," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 153-170, January.
  230. F Blasques & P Gorgi & S Koopman & O Wintenberger, 2016. "Feasible Invertibility Conditions for Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Observation-Driven Models," Papers 1610.02863, arXiv.org.
  231. Han, Heejoon & Linton, Oliver & Oka, Tatsushi & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2016. "The cross-quantilogram: Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 251-270.
  232. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Transmission of US and EU Economic Policy Uncertainty Shock to Asian Economies in Bad and Good Times," IZA Discussion Papers 13274, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  233. Milan Szabo, 2020. "Growth-at-Risk: Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 2020/3, Czech National Bank.
  234. Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Javier Arroyo & Carlos Mate & A. Munoz San Roque, 2011. "Smoothing Methods for Histogram-valued Time Series. An Application to Value-at-Risk," Working Papers 201433, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
  235. Gregory, Allan W. & Reeves, Jonathan J., 2008. "Interpreting Value at Risk (VaR) forecasts," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 167-176, June.
  236. Anatolyev, Stanislav, 2009. "Dynamic modeling under linear-exponential loss," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 82-89, January.
  237. Santos, Douglas G. & Candido, Osvaldo & Tófoli, Paula V., 2022. "Forecasting risk measures using intraday and overnight information," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  238. Zhao, Yixiu & Upreti, Vineet & Cai, Yuzhi, 2021. "Stock returns, quantile autocorrelation, and volatility forecasting," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  239. Brunnermeier, Markus K. & Oehmke, Martin, 2013. "Bubbles, Financial Crises, and Systemic Risk," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1221-1288, Elsevier.
  240. F. Cipollini & G.M. Gallo & A. Palandri, 2023. "Modeling and evaluating conditional quantile dynamics in VaR forecasts," Working Paper CRENoS 202308, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
  241. Taylor, James W., 2021. "Evaluating quantile-bounded and expectile-bounded interval forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 800-811.
  242. Mohamed CHIKHI & Claude DIEBOLT & Tapas MISHRA, 2019. "Does Predictive Ability of an Asset Price Rest in 'Memory'? Insights from a New Approach," Working Papers of BETA 2019-43, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  243. Xu, Qifa & Li, Mengting & Jiang, Cuixia & He, Yaoyao, 2019. "Interconnectedness and systemic risk network of Chinese financial institutions: A LASSO-CoVaR approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
  244. Xing Yan & Weizhong Zhang & Lin Ma & Wei Liu & Qi Wu, 2020. "Parsimonious Quantile Regression of Financial Asset Tail Dynamics via Sequential Learning," Papers 2010.08263, arXiv.org.
  245. Ewa Ratuszny, 2015. "Risk Modeling of Commodities using CAViaR Models, the Encompassing Method and the Combined Forecasts," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 15, pages 129-156.
  246. Hartz, Christoph & Mittnik, Stefan & Paolella, Marc S., 2006. "Accurate Value-at-Risk forecast with the (good old) normal-GARCH model," CFS Working Paper Series 2006/23, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
  247. Escanciano, J. C. & Olmo, J., 2007. "Estimation risk effects on backtesting for parametric value-at-risk models," Working Papers 07/11, Department of Economics, City University London.
  248. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2003. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 579-625, March.
  249. Hong, Yongmiao & Liu, Yanhui & Wang, Shouyang, 2009. "Granger causality in risk and detection of extreme risk spillover between financial markets," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 271-287, June.
  250. Ren, Yinghua & Zhao, Wanru & You, Wanhai & Zhu, Huiming, 2022. "Multiscale features of extreme risk spillover networks among global stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  251. Marie Kratz & Yen H Lok & Alexander J Mcneil, 2016. "Multinomial var backtests: A simple implicit approach to backtesting expected shortfall," Working Papers hal-01424279, HAL.
  252. Frésard, Laurent & Pérignon, Christophe & Wilhelmsson, Anders, 2011. "The pernicious effects of contaminated data in risk management," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 2569-2583, October.
  253. Guillaume Carlier & Victor Chernozhukov & Alfred Galichon, 2014. "Vector quantile regression," CeMMAP working papers CWP48/14, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  254. Bauwens Luc & Storti Giuseppe, 2009. "A Component GARCH Model with Time Varying Weights," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(2), pages 1-33, May.
  255. Michal Franta, 2023. "The Application of Multiple-Output Quantile Regression on the US Financial Cycle," Working Papers 2023/2, Czech National Bank.
  256. Oka, Tatsushi & Qu, Zhongjun, 2011. "Estimating structural changes in regression quantiles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 248-267, June.
  257. Azam, Kazim, 2014. "Dependence Analysis between Foreign Exchange Rates: A Semi-Parametric Copula Approach," Economic Research Papers 270231, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
  258. Barbara Będowska-Sójka, 2018. "Is intraday data useful for forecasting VaR? The evidence from EUR/PLN exchange rate," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(4), pages 326-346, November.
  259. Lorenzo Cappiello & Bruno Gérard & Arjan Kadareja & Simone Manganelli, 2014. "Measuring Comovements by Regression Quantiles," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(4), pages 645-678.
  260. El Bouhadi, Abdelhamid & Achibane, Khalid, 2009. "The Predictive Power of Conditional Models: What Lessons to Draw with Financial Crisis in the Case of Pre-Emerging Capital Markets?," MPRA Paper 19482, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  261. Michele Leonardo Bianchi & Giovanni De Luca & Giorgia Rivieccio, 2020. "CoVaR with volatility clustering, heavy tails and non-linear dependence," Papers 2009.10764, arXiv.org.
  262. Lazar, Emese & Wang, Shixuan & Xue, Xiaohan, 2023. "Loss function-based change point detection in risk measures," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 310(1), pages 415-431.
  263. Turan Bali & Panayiotis Theodossiou, 2007. "A conditional-SGT-VaR approach with alternative GARCH models," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 151(1), pages 241-267, April.
  264. S Datta & C W J Granger & M Barari & T Gibbs, 2007. "Management of supply chain: an alternative modelling technique for forecasting," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 58(11), pages 1459-1469, November.
  265. Wolf, Elias, 2023. "Estimating Growth at Risk with Skewed Stochastic Volatility Models," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277696, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  266. Daniele Massacci, 2017. "Tail Risk Dynamics in Stock Returns: Links to the Macroeconomy and Global Markets Connectedness," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(9), pages 3072-3089, September.
  267. Raffaella Calabrese & Johan A. Elkink & Paolo S. Giudici, 2017. "Measuring bank contagion in Europe using binary spatial regression models," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(12), pages 1503-1511, December.
  268. Tomohiro Ando & Jushan Bai, 2020. "Quantile Co-Movement in Financial Markets: A Panel Quantile Model With Unobserved Heterogeneity," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 115(529), pages 266-279, January.
  269. Emmanuel Torsen & Peter N. Mwita & Joseph K. Mung’atu, 2019. "A Three-Step Nonparametric Estimation of Conditional Value-At-Risk Admitting a Location-Scale Model," Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 8(4), pages 1-1.
  270. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima & Oliver Linton & Daniel R. Smith, 2011. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 150-160, January.
  271. André A. P. Santos & Francisco J. Nogales & Esther Ruiz, 2013. "Comparing Univariate and Multivariate Models to Forecast Portfolio Value-at-Risk," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(2), pages 400-441, March.
  272. Bertrand Candelon & Sessi Tokpavi, 2016. "A Nonparametric Test for Granger Causality in Distribution With Application to Financial Contagion," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(2), pages 240-253, April.
  273. repec:wyi:journl:002098 is not listed on IDEAS
  274. Andrew J. Patton & Kevin Sheppard, 2008. "Evaluating Volatility and Correlation Forecasts," OFRC Working Papers Series 2008fe22, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
  275. Nikolaus Hautsch & Julia Schaumburg & Melanie Schienle, 2015. "Financial Network Systemic Risk Contributions," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 19(2), pages 685-738.
  276. Martins-Filho, Carlos & Yao, Feng & Torero, Maximo, 2018. "Nonparametric Estimation Of Conditional Value-At-Risk And Expected Shortfall Based On Extreme Value Theory," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(1), pages 23-67, February.
  277. Herwartz, Helmut, 2009. "Exact inference in diagnosing Value-at-Risk estimates -- A Monte Carlo device," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 103(3), pages 160-162, June.
  278. Yanqiong Liu & Zhenghui Li & Yanyan Yao & Hao Dong, 2021. "Asymmetry of Risk Evolution in Crude Oil Market: From the Perspective of Dual Attributes of Oil," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, July.
  279. Wied, Dominik & Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Ziggel, Daniel, 2016. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk forecasts: A new set of multivariate backtests," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 121-132.
  280. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins, 2014. "Risk Assessment of the Brazilian FX Rate," Working Papers Series 344, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  281. Hoga, Yannick, 2021. "The uncertainty in extreme risk forecasts from covariate-augmented volatility models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 675-686.
  282. Kwon, Ji Ho, 2019. "Tail risk and the consumption CAPM," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 69-75.
  283. Bee, Marco & Dupuis, Debbie J. & Trapin, Luca, 2016. "Realizing the extremes: Estimation of tail-risk measures from a high-frequency perspective," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 86-99.
  284. Geenens, Gery & Dunn, Richard, 2022. "A nonparametric copula approach to conditional Value-at-Risk," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 19-37.
  285. Zeng, Jhih-Hong & Peng, Chi-Lu & Chen, Ming-Chi & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2013. "Wealth effects on the housing markets: Do market liquidity and market states matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 488-495.
  286. Chowdhury, Biplob & Dungey, Mardi & Kangogo, Moses & Sayeed, Mohammad Abu & Volkov, Vladimir, 2019. "The changing network of financial market linkages: The Asian experience," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 71-92.
  287. Gilbert W. Bassett, 2004. "Pessimistic Portfolio Allocation and Choquet Expected Utility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2(4), pages 477-492.
  288. Pitselis, Georgios, 2017. "Risk measures in a quantile regression credibility framework with Fama/French data applications," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 122-134.
  289. Mohamed CHIKHI & Claude DIEBOLT & Tapas MISHRA, 2019. "Memory that Drives! New Insights into Forecasting Performance of Stock Prices from SEMIFARMA-AEGAS Model," Working Papers 07-19, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
  290. Cathy Chen & Richard Gerlach, 2013. "Semi-parametric quantile estimation for double threshold autoregressive models with heteroskedasticity," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 1103-1131, June.
  291. Wang, Meng & Chen, Zhao & Wang, Christina Dan, 2018. "Composite quantile regression for GARCH models using high-frequency data," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 7(C), pages 115-133.
  292. Sander Barendse & Erik Kole & Dick van Dijk, 2023. "Backtesting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall in the Presence of Estimation Error," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(2), pages 528-568.
  293. Hafner, Christian M. & Reznikova, Olga, 2010. "Efficient estimation of a semiparametric dynamic copula model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2609-2627, November.
  294. Alex YiHou Huang, 2010. "An optimization process in Value‐at‐Risk estimation," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(3), pages 109-116, August.
  295. Barbara Choroś-Tomczyk & Wolfgang Karl H�rdle & Ludger Overbeck, 2014. "Copula dynamics in CDOs," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(9), pages 1573-1585, September.
  296. Shekar Bose & Hafizur Rahman, 2022. "Are News Effects Necessarily Asymmetric? Evidence from Bangladesh Stock Market," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(4), pages 21582440221, October.
  297. Wang, Gang-Jin & Chen, Yang-Yang & Si, Hui-Bin & Xie, Chi & Chevallier, Julien, 2021. "Multilayer information spillover networks analysis of China’s financial institutions based on variance decompositions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 325-347.
  298. Huang Dashan & Yu Baimin & Lu Zudi & Fabozzi Frank J. & Focardi Sergio & Fukushima Masao, 2010. "Index-Exciting CAViaR: A New Empirical Time-Varying Risk Model," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 1-26, March.
  299. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Peter F. Christoffersen & Francis X. Diebold, 2005. "Volatility Forecasting," PIER Working Paper Archive 05-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
  300. Jozef Barunik & Martin Hronec & Ondrej Tobek, 2024. "Predicting the distributions of stock returns around the globe in the era of big data and learning," Papers 2408.07497, arXiv.org.
  301. Aloui, Riadh & Aïssa, Mohamed Safouane Ben & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2011. "Global financial crisis, extreme interdependences, and contagion effects: The role of economic structure?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 130-141, January.
  302. Oliver Linton & Dajing Shang & Yang Yan, 2012. "Efficient estimation of conditional risk measures in a semiparametric GARCH model," CeMMAP working papers CWP25/12, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  303. Ayoub Ammy-Driss & Matthieu Garcin, 2021. "Efficiency of the financial markets during the COVID-19 crisis: time-varying parameters of fractional stable dynamics," Working Papers hal-02903655, HAL.
  304. Abad, Pilar & Benito, Sonia, 2013. "A detailed comparison of value at risk estimates," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 258-276.
  305. Alain Hecq & Li Sun, 2021. "Adaptive Random Bandwidth for Inference in CAViaR Models," Papers 2102.01636, arXiv.org.
  306. F. Lilla, 2016. "High Frequency vs. Daily Resolution: the Economic Value of Forecasting Volatility Models," Working Papers wp1084, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
  307. Yuya Sasaki & Yulong Wang, 2022. "Fixed-k Inference for Conditional Extremal Quantiles," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(2), pages 829-837, April.
  308. Storti, Giuseppe & Wang, Chao, 2022. "Nonparametric expected shortfall forecasting incorporating weighted quantiles," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 224-239.
  309. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Casas, Isabel, 2011. "Modelling asset correlations: A nonparametric approach," Working Papers 2011-01, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
  310. Cameron Cornell & Lewis Mitchell & Matthew Roughan, 2024. "Enhancing Causal Discovery in Financial Networks with Piecewise Quantile Regression," Papers 2408.12210, arXiv.org.
  311. Zhang-Hangjian Chen & Xiang Gao & Apicha Insuwan, 2023. "Dynamic information spillover between Chinese carbon and stock markets under extreme weather shocks," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
  312. Wuyi Ye & Kebing Luo & Shaofu Du, 2014. "Measuring Contagion of Subprime Crisis Based on MVMQ-CAViaR Method," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2014, pages 1-12, June.
  313. Erik Kole & Thijs Markwat & Anne Opschoor & Dick van Dijk, 2017. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk under Temporal and Portfolio Aggregation," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(4), pages 649-677.
  314. Charles-Olivier Amédée-Manesme & Fabrice Barthélémy, 2022. "Proper use of the modified Sharpe ratios in performance measurement: rearranging the Cornish Fisher expansion," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 691-712, June.
  315. Xiaochun Liu, 2016. "Markov switching quantile autoregression," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 70(4), pages 356-395, November.
  316. Deniz Erer, 2023. "The Impact of News Related Covid-19 on Exchange Rate Volatility:A New Evidence From Generalized Autoregressive Score Model," EKOIST Journal of Econometrics and Statistics, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 0(38), pages 105-126, June.
  317. Aramonte, Sirio & Giudice Rodriguez, Marius del & Wu, Jason, 2013. "Dynamic factor Value-at-Risk for large heteroskedastic portfolios," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4299-4309.
  318. Michael P. Clements & Nick Taylor, 2003. "Evaluating interval forecasts of high-frequency financial data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(4), pages 445-456.
  319. Chen, Qian & Gerlach, Richard & Lu, Zudi, 2012. "Bayesian Value-at-Risk and expected shortfall forecasting via the asymmetric Laplace distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3498-3516.
  320. Fukker, Gábor & Kaijser, Michiel & Mingarelli, Luca & Sydow, Matthias, 2022. "Contagion from market price impact: a price-at-risk perspective," Working Paper Series 2692, European Central Bank.
  321. Christophe Hurlin & Christophe Pérignon, 2012. "Margin Backtesting," Working Papers halshs-00746274, HAL.
  322. Lima, Luiz Renato & Néri, Breno Pinheiro, 2007. "Comparing Value-at-Risk Methodologies," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 27(1), May.
  323. Tae-Hwan Kim & Dong Jin Lee & Paul Mizen, 2020. "Impulse Response Analysis in Conditional Quantile Models and an Application to Monetary Policy," Working papers 2020rwp-164, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
  324. Bonaccolto, Giovanni & Caporin, Massimiliano & Paterlini, Sandra, 2019. "Decomposing and backtesting a flexible specification for CoVaR," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  325. Harmindar B. Nath & Vasilis Sarafidis, 2017. "Does persistence in idiosyncratic risk proxy return-reversals?," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 2(8), pages 27-53, October.
  326. Feng, Yusen & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhu, You & Xie, Chi, 2023. "Systemic risk spillovers and the determinants in the stock markets of the Belt and Road countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
  327. YiHao Lai, 2008. "Does Asymmetric Dependence Structure Matter? A Value-at-Risk View," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 7(3), pages 249-268, December.
  328. Ostap Okhrin & Anastasija Tetereva, 2017. "The Realized Hierarchical Archimedean Copula in Risk Modelling," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-31, June.
  329. Christophe Boucher & Sessi Tokpavi, 2019. "Stocks and Bonds: Flight-to-Safety for Ever?," Post-Print hal-02067096, HAL.
  330. Nguyen, Giang & Engle, Robert & Fleming, Michael & Ghysels, Eric, 2020. "Liquidity and volatility in the U.S. Treasury market," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 207-229.
  331. Wang, Keli & Liu, Xiaoquan & Ye, Wuyi, 2023. "Intraday VaR: A copula-based approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  332. Stavroyiannis, S. & Makris, I. & Nikolaidis, V. & Zarangas, L., 2012. "Econometric modeling and value-at-risk using the Pearson type-IV distribution," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 10-17.
  333. Gaoke Liao & Zhenghui Li & Ziqing Du & Yue Liu, 2019. "The Heterogeneous Interconnections between Supply or Demand Side and Oil Risks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-17, June.
  334. Chowdhury, Biplob & Jeyasreedharan, Nagaratnam & Dungey, Mardi, 2018. "Quantile relationships between standard, diffusion and jump betas across Japanese banks," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 29-47.
  335. Ra l De Jes s Guti rrez & Lidia E. Carvajal Guti rrez & Oswaldo Garcia Salgado, 2023. "Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall Estimation for Mexico s Isthmus Crude Oil Using Long-Memory GARCH-EVT Combined Approaches," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 467-480, July.
  336. Braione, Manuela & Scholtes, Nicolas K., 2014. "Construction of value-at-risk forecasts under different distributional assumptions within a BEKK framework," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2014059, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  337. Gordy, Michael B. & McNeil, Alexander J., 2020. "Spectral backtests of forecast distributions with application to risk management," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  338. Tafakori, Laleh & Pourkhanali, Armin & Fard, Farzad Alavi, 2018. "Forecasting spikes in electricity return innovations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 508-526.
  339. Sonia Benito Muela & Mª Ángeles Navarro, 2018. "Assessing the importance of the choice threshold in quantifying market risk under the POT method (EVT)," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2018-20, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
  340. Tjeerd de Vries, 2021. "A Tale of Two Tails: A Model-free Approach to Estimating Disaster Risk Premia and Testing Asset Pricing Models," Papers 2105.08208, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
  341. Afees A. Salisu & Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta & Reneé van Eyden, 2023. "Climate risks and U.S. stock‐market tail risks: A forecasting experiment using over a century of data," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 228-244, June.
  342. Joanna Bruzda, 2020. "Multistep quantile forecasts for supply chain and logistics operations: bootstrapping, the GARCH model and quantile regression based approaches," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 28(1), pages 309-336, March.
  343. Ye, Wuyi & Luo, Kebing & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2017. "Time-varying quantile association regression model with applications to financial contagion and VaR," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 256(3), pages 1015-1028.
  344. Luciano de Castro & Antonio F. Galvao & Gabriel Montes-Rojas & Jose Olmo, 2022. "Portfolio selection in quantile decision models," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 133-181, June.
  345. Donggyu Kim & Minseog Oh & Yazhen Wang, 2022. "Conditional quantile analysis for realized GARCH models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(4), pages 640-665, July.
  346. Reber, Beat, 2017. "Does mispricing, liquidity or third-party certification contribute to IPO downside risk?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 25-53.
  347. Shen, Yifan & Shi, Xunpeng & Variam, Hari Malamakkavu Padinjare, 2018. "Risk transmission mechanism between energy markets: A VAR for VaR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 377-388.
  348. Charles-Olivier Amédée-Manesme & Fabrice Barthélémy & Didier Maillard, 2019. "Computation of the corrected Cornish–Fisher expansion using the response surface methodology: application to VaR and CVaR," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 281(1), pages 423-453, October.
  349. Makushkin, Mikhail & Lapshin, Victor, 2020. "Modelling tail dependencies between Russian and foreign stock markets: Application for market risk valuation," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 57, pages 30-52.
  350. Bertrand Candelon & Marc Joëts & Sessi Tokpavi, 2012. "Testing for crude oil markets globalization during extreme price movements," Post-Print hal-01411687, HAL.
  351. Philippe Charlot & Vêlayoudom Marimoutou, 2011. "Hierarchical hidden Markov structure for dynamic correlations: the hierarchical RSDC model (version révisée)," Working Papers hal-00605965, HAL.
  352. Dahen, Hela & Dionne, Georges, 2010. "Scaling models for the severity and frequency of external operational loss data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(7), pages 1484-1496, July.
  353. Xiao, Zhijie, 2009. "Quantile cointegrating regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 248-260, June.
  354. Patra, Saswat, 2021. "Revisiting value-at-risk and expected shortfall in oil markets under structural breaks: The role of fat-tailed distributions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  355. M. Hashem Pesaran & Bahram Pesaran, 2007. "Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate t Distribution," CESifo Working Paper Series 2056, CESifo.
  356. He, Kaijian & Tso, Geoffrey K.F. & Zou, Yingchao & Liu, Jia, 2018. "Crude oil risk forecasting: New evidence from multiscale analysis approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 574-583.
  357. Martínez-Iriarte, Julián & Montes-Rojas, Gabriel & Sun, Yixiao, 2024. "Unconditional effects of general policy interventions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
  358. Liu, Shouwei & Tse, Yiu-Kuen, 2015. "Intraday Value-at-Risk: An asymmetric autoregressive conditional duration approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(2), pages 437-446.
  359. Lu-Tao Zhao & Li-Na Liu & Zi-Jie Wang & Ling-Yun He, 2019. "Forecasting Oil Price Volatility in the Era of Big Data: A Text Mining for VaR Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-20, July.
  360. Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir & Huseyin Ozdemir & Gurcan Aygun & Mark E. Wohar, 2022. "Effectiveness of monetary policy under the high and low economic uncertainty states: evidence from the major Asian economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1741-1769, October.
  361. Robert F. Engle & Kevin Sheppard, 2001. "Theoretical and Empirical properties of Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH," NBER Working Papers 8554, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  362. Corbet, Shaen & Katsiampa, Paraskevi & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2020. "Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between Bitcoin, altcoins and traditional financial assets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  363. Mighri, Zouheir & Ragoubi, Hanen & Sarwar, Suleman & Wang, Yihan, 2022. "Quantile Granger causality between US stock market indices and precious metal prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  364. Chao, Shih-Kang & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Wang, Weining, 2012. "Quantile regression in risk calibration," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2012-006, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  365. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023. "Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
  366. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2015-038 is not listed on IDEAS
  367. Diks, Cees & Fang, Hao, 2020. "Comparing density forecasts in a risk management context," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 531-551.
  368. Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhu, Chun-Long, 2021. "BP-CVaR: A novel model of estimating CVaR with back propagation algorithm," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
  369. Taylor, James W., 2017. "Probabilistic forecasting of wind power ramp events using autoregressive logit models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 259(2), pages 703-712.
  370. Altınkeski, Buket Kırcı & Cevik, Emrah Ismail & Dibooglu, Sel & Kutan, Ali M., 2022. "Financial stress transmission between the U.S. and the Euro Area," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  371. Abdul Hakim, 2009. "Forcasting portofolio value-at-risk for international stocks, bonds, and foreign exchange emerging market evidence," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 1(1), pages 13-26, April.
  372. Steven Kou & Xianhua Peng, 2016. "On the Measurement of Economic Tail Risk," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(5), pages 1056-1072, October.
  373. Miguel A. Ferreira, 2005. "Evaluating Interest Rate Covariance Models Within a Value-at-Risk Framework," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 3(1), pages 126-168.
  374. Yong Ma & Lu Yan & Dongtao Pan, 2024. "The power of news data in forecasting tail risk: evidence from China," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(6), pages 2607-2642, December.
  375. Laura Garcia-Jorcano & Alfonso Novales, 2020. "A dominance approach for comparing the performance of VaR forecasting models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 1411-1448, September.
  376. López-Espinosa, Germán & Rubia, Antonio & Valderrama, Laura & Antón, Miguel, 2013. "Good for one, bad for all: Determinants of individual versus systemic risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 287-299.
  377. Gelos, Gaston & Gornicka, Lucyna & Koepke, Robin & Sahay, Ratna & Sgherri, Silvia, 2022. "Capital flows at risk: Taming the ebbs and flows," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
  378. Ye, Wuyi & Zhu, Yangguang & Wu, Yuehua & Miao, Baiqi, 2016. "Markov regime-switching quantile regression models and financial contagion detection," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 21-26.
  379. Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi & Azin Sharifi & Hamidreza Arian, 2020. "Portfolio Risk Measurement Using a Mixture Simulation Approach," Papers 2011.07994, arXiv.org.
  380. Clancy, Daragh & Gabriele, Carmine & Žigraiová, Diana, 2022. "Sovereign bond market spillovers from crisis-time developments in Greece," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  381. Liu, Peipei & Huang, Wei-Qiang, 2022. "Modelling international sovereign risk information spillovers: A multilayer network approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  382. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2019. "A Survey on Empirical Findings about Spillovers in Cryptocurrency Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-17, November.
  383. Boudt, Kris & Laurent, Sébastien & Lunde, Asger & Quaedvlieg, Rogier & Sauri, Orimar, 2017. "Positive semidefinite integrated covariance estimation, factorizations and asynchronicity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 347-367.
  384. Şener, Emrah & Baronyan, Sayad & Ali Mengütürk, Levent, 2012. "Ranking the predictive performances of value-at-risk estimation methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 849-873.
  385. Cheng, Wan-Hsiu & Hung, Jui-Cheng, 2011. "Skewness and leptokurtosis in GARCH-typed VaR estimation of petroleum and metal asset returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 160-173, January.
  386. Brownlees, Christian & Souza, André B.M., 2021. "Backtesting global Growth-at-Risk," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 312-330.
  387. Polanski, Arnold & Stoja, Evarist, 2017. "Forecasting multidimensional tail risk at short and long horizons," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 958-969.
  388. Ayoub Ammy-Driss & Matthieu Garcin, 2020. "Efficiency of the financial markets during the COVID-19 crisis: time-varying parameters of fractional stable dynamics," Papers 2007.10727, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
  389. Katerina Rigana & Ernst C. Wit & Samantha Cook, 2024. "Navigating Market Turbulence: Insights from Causal Network Contagion Value at Risk," Papers 2402.06032, arXiv.org.
  390. Karoll Gómez Portilla & Santiago Gallón Gómez, 2007. "Distribución condicional de los retornos de la tasa de cambio colombiana: un ejercicio empírico a partir de modelos GARCH multivariados," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, December.
  391. Yuting Gong & Zhongzhi He & Wenjun Xue, 2023. "EPU spillovers and sovereign CDS spreads: A cross‐country study," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(12), pages 1770-1806, December.
  392. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Watanabe, Toshiaki & Lin, Edward M.H., 2023. "Bayesian estimation of realized GARCH-type models with application to financial tail risk management," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 30-46.
  393. Christophe Boucher & Sessi Tokpavi, 2018. "Stocks and Bonds: Flight-to-Safety for Ever?," Working Papers hal-04141705, HAL.
  394. Halbleib, Roxana & Pohlmeier, Winfried, 2012. "Improving the value at risk forecasts: Theory and evidence from the financial crisis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1212-1228.
  395. Iseringhausen, Martin & Petrella, Ivan & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2021. "Aggregate Skewness and the Business Cycle," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2021/30, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
  396. Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Sanchis-Marco, Lidia, 2022. "Spillover effects between commodity and stock markets: A SDSES approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  397. Jozef Barunik & Lubos Hanus, 2022. "Learning Probability Distributions in Macroeconomics and Finance," Papers 2204.06848, arXiv.org.
  398. Huiling Yuan & Yulei Sun & Lu Xu & Yong Zhou & Xiangyu Cui, 2022. "A new volatility model: GQARCH‐ItÔ model," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(3), pages 345-370, May.
  399. Stavros Degiannakis & Apostolos Kiohos, 2014. "Multivariate modelling of 10-day-ahead VaR and dynamic correlation for worldwide real estate and stock indices," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 41(2), pages 216-232, March.
  400. James W. Taylor & Keming Yu, 2016. "Using auto-regressive logit models to forecast the exceedance probability for financial risk management," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 179(4), pages 1069-1092, October.
  401. Frantisek Cech & Jozef Barunik, 2017. "Measurement of Common Risk Factors: A Panel Quantile Regression Model for Returns," Papers 1708.08622, arXiv.org.
  402. Xin Sheng & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2023. "The Effects of Disaggregate Oil Shocks on the Aggregate Expected Skewness of the United States," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-9, October.
  403. Chen, Qian & Gerlach, Richard H., 2013. "The two-sided Weibull distribution and forecasting financial tail risk," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 527-540.
  404. BAUWENS, Luc & HAFNER, Christian & LAURENT, Sébastien, 2011. "Volatility models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011058, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    • Bauwens, L. & Hafner, C. & Laurent, S., 2012. "Volatility Models," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2012028, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    • Bauwens, L. & Hafner C. & Laurent, S., 2011. "Volatility Models," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2011044, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
  405. Escanciano, J. Carlos & Olmo, Jose, 2010. "Backtesting Parametric Value-at-Risk With Estimation Risk," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 28(1), pages 36-51.
  406. Sousa, Ricardo M. & Vivian, Andrew & Wohar, Mark E., 2016. "Predicting asset returns in the BRICS: The role of macroeconomic and fundamental predictors," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 122-143.
  407. Georges Prat & Remzi Uctum, 2009. "Modelling oil price expectations: evidence from survey data," Working Papers hal-04140866, HAL.
  408. Mauro Bernardi & Ghislaine Gayraud & Lea Petrella, 2013. "Bayesian inference for CoVaR," Papers 1306.2834, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2013.
  409. Chao Wang & Qian Chen & Richard Gerlach, 2017. "Bayesian Realized-GARCH Models for Financial Tail Risk Forecasting Incorporating Two-sided Weibull Distribution," Papers 1707.03715, arXiv.org.
  410. Sonia Benito & Carmen López-Martín & Mª Ángeles Navarro, 2023. "Assessing the importance of the choice threshold in quantifying market risk under the POT approach (EVT)," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(1), pages 1-31, March.
  411. Jian, Zhihong & Lu, Haisong & Zhu, Zhican & Xu, Huiling, 2023. "Frequency heterogeneity of tail connectedness: Evidence from global stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  412. Emrah Altun, 2019. "Two-sided exponential–geometric distribution: inference and volatility modeling," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 1215-1245, September.
  413. Drakos, Anastassios A. & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2015. "Bank ownership, financial segments and the measurement of systemic risk: An application of CoVaR," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 127-140.
  414. Bose, Udichibarna & MacDonald, Ronald & Tsoukas, Serafeim, 2014. "The role of education in equity portfolios during the recent financial crisis," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-26, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
  415. R. Khalfaoui & M. Boutahar, 2012. "Portfolio Risk Evaluation: An Approach Based on Dynamic Conditional Correlations Models and Wavelet Multi-Resolution Analysis," Working Papers halshs-00793068, HAL.
  416. Peng, Wei, 2023. "The impact of oil and natural gas prices on overnight risk in exchange rates based on the MVMQ-CAViaR models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 616-625.
  417. Benjamin Mögel & Benjamin R. Auer, 2018. "How accurate are modern Value-at-Risk estimators derived from extreme value theory?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 979-1030, May.
  418. Bakshi, Gurdip & Panayotov, George, 2010. "First-passage probability, jump models, and intra-horizon risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 20-40, January.
  419. Jying‐Nan Wang & Yuan‐Teng Hsu & Joe‐Ming Lee & Chih‐Chun Chen, 2021. "Measuring Systemic Risk: Capital Shortfall and CSRISK," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 358-369, March.
  420. Bayer, Sebastian, 2018. "Combining Value-at-Risk forecasts using penalized quantile regressions," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 56-77.
  421. Cerrato, Mario & Crosby, John & Kim, Minjoo & Zhao, Yang, 2015. "US Monetary and Fiscal Policies - Conflict or Cooperation?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-78, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
  422. Vica Tendenan & Richard Gerlach & Chao Wang, 2020. "Tail risk forecasting using Bayesian realized EGARCH models," Papers 2008.05147, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
  423. Piero Mazzarisi & Silvia Zaoli & Carlo Campajola & Fabrizio Lillo, 2020. "Tail Granger causalities and where to find them: extreme risk spillovers vs. spurious linkages," Papers 2005.01160, arXiv.org, revised May 2021.
  424. Schaumburg, Julia, 2010. "Predicting extreme VaR: Nonparametric quantile regression with refinements from extreme value theory," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-009, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  425. Zhang, Dongxue & Wang, Shuai & Liang, Yuqiu & Du, Zhiyuan, 2023. "A novel combined model for probabilistic load forecasting based on deep learning and improved optimizer," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
  426. Yi-Ting Chen, 2016. "Testing for Granger Causality in Moments," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(2), pages 265-288, April.
  427. De Rossi, Giuliano & Harvey, Andrew, 2009. "Quantiles, expectiles and splines," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 152(2), pages 179-185, October.
  428. Natalia Nolde & Johanna F. Ziegel, 2016. "Elicitability and backtesting: Perspectives for banking regulation," Papers 1608.05498, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2017.
  429. Bonaccolto, Giovanni & Borri, Nicola & Consiglio, Andrea, 2023. "Breakup and default risks in the great lockdown," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
  430. Dimitriadis, Timo & Schnaitmann, Julie, 2021. "Forecast encompassing tests for the expected shortfall," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 604-621.
  431. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Iqbal, Najaf & Karim, Sitara & Lucey, Brian M., 2023. "From forests to faucets to fuel: Investigating the domino effect of extreme risk in timber, water, and energy markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
  432. Busettti, F. & Harvey, A., 2007. "Tests of time-invariance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0701, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  433. Manganelli, Simone, 2007. "Asset allocation by penalized least squares," Working Paper Series 723, European Central Bank.
  434. Ning Zhang & Yujing Gong & Xiaohan Xue, 2023. "Less disagreement, better forecasts: Adjusted risk measures in the energy futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(10), pages 1332-1372, October.
  435. Jan G. De Gooijer & Rob J. Hyndman, 2005. "25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 12/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  436. Bastianin, Andrea & Galeotti, Marzio & Manera, Matteo, 2014. "Causality and predictability in distribution: The ethanol–food price relation revisited," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 152-160.
  437. Kay Giesecke & Baeho Kim, 2011. "Systemic Risk: What Defaults Are Telling Us," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(8), pages 1387-1405, August.
  438. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Zekokh, Timur, 2019. "Modelling volatility of cryptocurrencies using Markov-Switching GARCH models," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 143-155.
  439. Naeem, Muhammad & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mubashra, Sana & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2019. "Modeling volatility of precious metals markets by using regime-switching GARCH models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  440. Cappiello, Lorenzo & Manganelli, Simone & Kadareja, Arjan, 2008. "The impact of the euro on equity markets: a country and sector decomposition," Working Paper Series 906, European Central Bank.
  441. Zongwu Cai & Qi Li, 2013. "Some Recent Develop- ments on Nonparametric Econometrics," Working Papers 2013-10-14, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
  442. Chaker Aloui & Hela BEN HAMIDA, 2015. "Estimation and Performance Assessment of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Based on Long-Memory GARCH-Class Models," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(1), pages 30-54, January.
  443. Carol Alexander & José María Sarabia, 2012. "Quantile Uncertainty and Value‐at‐Risk Model Risk," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(8), pages 1293-1308, August.
  444. Amiri , Hossein & Najafi Nejad , Mahmood & Mousavi , Seyede Mohadese, 2021. "Estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) Based On Lévy-GARCH Models: Evidence from Tehran Stock Exchange," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 16(2), pages 165-186, June.
  445. Papanikolaou, Nikolaos I. & Wolff, Christian C.P., 2014. "The role of on- and off-balance-sheet leverage of banks in the late 2000s crisis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 3-22.
  446. Enzo D'Innocenzo & Andre Lucas & Bernd Schwaab & Xin Zhang, 2024. "Joint extreme Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall dynamics with a single integrated tail shape parameter," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 24-069/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  447. Polanski, Arnold & Stoja, Evarist, 2017. "Forecasting multidimensional tail risk at short and long horizons," Bank of England working papers 660, Bank of England.
  448. Tihana Skrinjaric, 2022. "Macroeconomic effects of systemic stress: a rolling spillover index approach," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 46(1), pages 109-140.
  449. Jin, Xisong & Nadal De Simone, Francisco de A., 2014. "Banking systemic vulnerabilities: A tail-risk dynamic CIMDO approach," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 81-101.
  450. Akio Hattori & Kentaro Kikuchi & Fuminori Niwa & Yoshihiko Uchida, 2014. "A Survey of Systemic Risk Measures: Methodology and Application to the Japanese Market," IMES Discussion Paper Series 14-E-03, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
  451. repec:syb:wpbsba:03/2011 is not listed on IDEAS
  452. Li, Yushu & Andersson, Jonas, 2014. "A Likelihood Ratio and Markov Chain Based Method to Evaluate Density Forecasting," Discussion Papers 2014/12, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
  453. Ding, Haoyuan & Kim, Hyung-Gun & Park, Sung Y., 2016. "Crude oil and stock markets: Causal relationships in tails?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 58-69.
  454. De Santis, Roberto A. & Van der Veken, Wouter, 2020. "Forecasting macroeconomic risk in real time: Great and Covid-19 Recessions," Working Paper Series 2436, European Central Bank.
  455. López-Espinosa, Germán & Moreno, Antonio & Rubia, Antonio & Valderrama, Laura, 2012. "Short-term wholesale funding and systemic risk: A global CoVaR approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 3150-3162.
  456. Tan, Shay-Kee & Ng, Kok-Haur & Chan, Jennifer So-Kuen & Mohamed, Ibrahim, 2019. "Quantile range-based volatility measure for modelling and forecasting volatility using high frequency data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 537-551.
  457. Cheng-Few Lee & Jung-Bin Su, 2012. "Alternative statistical distributions for estimating value-at-risk: theory and evidence," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 309-331, October.
  458. Li, Ming-Yuan Leon & Miu, Peter, 2010. "A hybrid bankruptcy prediction model with dynamic loadings on accounting-ratio-based and market-based information: A binary quantile regression approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 818-833, September.
  459. Marco Piña & Rodrigo Herrera, 2021. "Risk modeling with option-implied correlations and score-driven dynamics," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 932, Central Bank of Chile.
  460. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Lin, Edward M.H., 2014. "Bayesian estimation of smoothly mixing time-varying parameter GARCH models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 194-209.
  461. Frank Tuyl & Richard Gerlach & Kerrie Mengersen, 2009. "The Rule of Three, its Variants and Extensions," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 77(2), pages 266-275, August.
  462. Dibooglu, Sel & Cevik, Emrah I. & Gillman, Max, 2022. "Gold, silver, and the US dollar as harbingers of financial calm and distress," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 200-210.
  463. Lin, Edward M.H. & Sun, Edward W. & Yu, Min-Teh, 2020. "Behavioral data-driven analysis with Bayesian method for risk management of financial services," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
  464. Andrei Rusu, 2020. "Multivariate VaR: A Romanian Market study," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 12(1), pages 79-95, June.
  465. Rutger-Jan Lange & Bram van Os & Dick van Dijk, 2022. "Implicit score-driven filters for time-varying parameter models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-066/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 21 Nov 2024.
  466. Huang, Jinbo & Ding, Ashley & Li, Yong & Lu, Dong, 2020. "Increasing the risk management effectiveness from higher accuracy: A novel non-parametric method," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  467. De Sola Perea, Maite & Dunne, Peter G. & Puhl, Martin & Reininger, Thomas, 2019. "Sovereign bond-backed securities: A VAR-for-VaR and marginal expected shortfall assessment," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 33-52.
  468. Benjamin Hamidi & Emmanuel Jurczenko & Bertrand Maillet, 2009. "D'un multiple conditionnel en assurance de portefeuille : CAViaR pour les gestionnaires ?," Post-Print halshs-00389773, HAL.
  469. Benjamin Hamidi & Bertrand Maillet & Jean-Luc Prigent, 2009. "A Risk Management Approach for Portfolio Insurance Strategies," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 09034, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
  470. Vincenzo Candila, 2013. "A Comparison of the Forecasting Performances of Multivariate Volatility Models," Working Papers 3_228, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Statistiche, Università degli Studi di Salerno.
  471. Bernardi, Mauro & Maruotti, Antonello & Petrella, Lea, 2017. "Multiple risk measures for multivariate dynamic heavy–tailed models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-32.
  472. Rossi, E. & Spazzini, F., 2010. "Model and distribution uncertainty in multivariate GARCH estimation: A Monte Carlo analysis," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2786-2800, November.
  473. Shah, Attaullah & Shah, Hamid Ali & Smith, Jason M. & Labianca, Giuseppe (Joe), 2017. "Judicial efficiency and capital structure: An international study," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 255-274.
  474. Cappiello, Lorenzo & Gérard, Bruno & Kadareja, Arjan & Manganelli, Simone, 2006. "Financial integration of new EU Member States," Working Paper Series 683, European Central Bank.
  475. Enilov, Martin & Mensi, Walid & Stankov, Petar, 2023. "Does safe haven exist? Tail risks of commodity markets during COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
  476. Dingshi Tian & Zongwu Cai & Ying Fang, 2018. "Econometric Modeling of Risk Measures: A Selective Review of the Recent Literature," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201807, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2018.
  477. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan, 2021. "Geopolitical risk and forecastability of tail risk in the oil market: Evidence from over a century of monthly data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
  478. Kwangmin Jung & Donggyu Kim & Seunghyeon Yu, 2022. "Next generation models for portfolio risk management: An approach using financial big data," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 89(3), pages 765-787, September.
  479. Qiu, Zhiguo & Lazar, Emese & Nakata, Keiichi, 2024. "VaR and ES forecasting via recurrent neural network-based stateful models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  480. Diamandis, Panayiotis F. & Drakos, Anastassios A. & Kouretas, Georgios P. & Zarangas, Leonidas, 2011. "Value-at-risk for long and short trading positions: Evidence from developed and emerging equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 165-176, June.
  481. David E. Allen & Abhay K. Singh & Robert J. Powell & Michael McAleer & James Taylor & Lyn Thomas, 2013. "Return-Volatility Relationship: Insights from Linear and Non-Linear Quantile Regression," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-020/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  482. Timo Dimitriadis & Julie Schnaitmann, 2019. "Forecast Encompassing Tests for the Expected Shortfall," Papers 1908.04569, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
  483. Makushkin, Mikhail & Lapshin, Victor, 2023. "Dynamic Nelson–Siegel model for market risk estimation of bonds: Practical implementation," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 69, pages 5-27.
  484. Iddrisu, Abdul-Aziz & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul, 2020. "Monetary policy and food inflation in South Africa: A quantile regression analysis," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  485. Vincenzo Candila & Giampiero M. Gallo & Lea Petrella, 2020. "Mixed--frequency quantile regressions to forecast Value--at--Risk and Expected Shortfall," Papers 2011.00552, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
  486. V L Miguéis & D F Benoit & D Van den Poel, 2013. "Enhanced decision support in credit scoring using Bayesian binary quantile regression," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 64(9), pages 1374-1383, September.
  487. Dong Jin Lee, 2020. "Optimal tests for parameter breaking process in conditional quantile models," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 71(3), pages 479-510, July.
  488. Philippe Lambert & Sébastien Laurent, 2008. "Testing Conditional Dynamics in Asymmetry. A Residual-Based Approach," Working Papers ECARES 2008_009, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  489. Nicole M. Boyson & Christof W. Stahel & René M. Stulz, 2010. "Hedge Fund Contagion and Liquidity Shocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 65(5), pages 1789-1816, October.
  490. López-Martín, Carmen & Arguedas-Sanz, Raquel & Muela, Sonia Benito, 2022. "A cryptocurrency empirical study focused on evaluating their distribution functions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 387-407.
  491. Roberto Buizza & James W. Taylor, 2004. "A comparison of temperature density forecasts from GARCH and atmospheric models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(5), pages 337-355.
  492. Lu, Xinjie & Zeng, Qing & Zhong, Juandan & Zhu, Bo, 2024. "International stock market volatility: A global tail risk sight," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  493. Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2015. "Predictable Return Distributions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 114-132, March.
  494. Sobreira, Nuno & Louro, Rui, 2020. "Evaluation of volatility models for forecasting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall in the Portuguese stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
  495. Asadi, Mehrad & Balcilar, Mehmet & Sheikh, Umaid A. & Roubaud, David & Ghasemi, Hamid Reza, 2023. "Are there inextricable connections among automobile stocks, crude oil, steel, and the US dollar?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
  496. Díaz, Antonio & Esparcia, Carlos & Huélamo, Diego, 2023. "Stablecoins as a tool to mitigate the downside risk of cryptocurrency portfolios," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  497. David Happersberger & Harald Lohre & Ingmar Nolte, 2020. "Estimating portfolio risk for tail risk protection strategies," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(4), pages 1107-1146, September.
  498. Aleksander Schiffers & Marcin Chlebus, 2021. "The effectiveness of Value-at-Risk models in various volatility regimes," Working Papers 2021-28, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  499. F. Lilla, 2017. "High Frequency vs. Daily Resolution: the Economic Value of Forecasting Volatility Models - 2nd ed," Working Papers wp1099, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
  500. Jian, Zhihong & Li, Xupei & Zhu, Zhican, 2020. "Sequential forecasting of downside extreme risk during overnight and daytime: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Market☆," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  501. Aielli, Gian Piero & Caporin, Massimiliano, 2014. "Variance clustering improved dynamic conditional correlation MGARCH estimators," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 556-576.
  502. Umer Jeelanie Banday & Mustafa Kocoglu, 2023. "Modelling Simultaneous Relationships Between Human Development, Energy, and Environment: Fresh Evidence from Panel Quantile Regression," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(2), pages 1559-1581, June.
  503. Bouri, Elie & Gök, Remzi & Gemi̇ci̇, Eray & Kara, Erkan, 2024. "Do geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty, and oil implied volatility drive assets across quantiles and time-horizons?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 137-154.
  504. repec:wyi:journl:002094 is not listed on IDEAS
  505. Angelica Gianfreda & Derek Bunn, 2018. "A Stochastic Latent Moment Model for Electricity Price Formation," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS46, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
  506. Chen, Yi-Hsuan & Tu, Anthony H., 2013. "Estimating hedged portfolio value-at-risk using the conditional copula: An illustration of model risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 514-528.
  507. Hu, Yang & Lang, Chunlin & Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Oxley, Les, 2023. "Exploring the dynamic behaviour of commodity market tail risk connectedness during the negative WTI pricing event," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  508. Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Sanchis-Marco, Lidia, 2024. "Forecasting the effect of extreme sea-level rise on financial market risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 1-27.
  509. Ardia, David & Bluteau, Keven & Boudt, Kris & Catania, Leopoldo, 2018. "Forecasting risk with Markov-switching GARCH models:A large-scale performance study," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 733-747.
  510. Kok, Christoffer & Gross, Marco, 2013. "Measuring contagion potential among sovereigns and banks using a mixed-cross-section GVAR," Working Paper Series 1570, European Central Bank.
  511. Agbeyegbe, Terence D., 2015. "An inverted U-shaped crude oil price return-implied volatility relationship," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 28-45.
  512. Leopoldo Catania & Alessandra Luati & Pierluigi Vallarino, 2021. "Economic vulnerability is state dependent," CREATES Research Papers 2021-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  513. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Arfaoui, Nadia, 2023. "Exploring downside risk dependence across energy markets: Electricity, conventional energy, carbon, and clean energy during episodes of market crises," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
  514. František Čech & Jozef Baruník, 2019. "Panel quantile regressions for estimating and predicting the value‐at‐risk of commodities," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(9), pages 1167-1189, September.
  515. Zeng, Zijian & Li, Meng, 2021. "Bayesian median autoregression for robust time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 1000-1010.
  516. Zeno Adams & Roland Füss & Felix Schindler, 2015. "The Sources of Risk Spillovers among U.S. REITs: Financial Characteristics and Regional Proximity," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 43(1), pages 67-100, March.
  517. Marc Joëts, 2012. "Energy price transmissions during extreme movements," Working Papers hal-04141047, HAL.
  518. Bianconi, Marcelo & Hua, Xiaxin & Tan, Chih Ming, 2015. "Determinants of systemic risk and information dissemination," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 352-368.
  519. Jürgen Franke & Peter Mwita & Weining Wang, 2015. "Nonparametric estimates for conditional quantiles of time series," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 99(1), pages 107-130, January.
  520. Antonio Rubia Serrano & Lidia Sanchis-Marco, 2015. "Measuring Tail-Risk Cross-Country Exposures in the Banking Industry," Working Papers. Serie AD 2015-01, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
  521. Peng, Wei & Hu, Shichao & Chen, Wang & Zeng, Yu-feng & Yang, Lu, 2019. "Modeling the joint dynamic value at risk of the volatility index, oil price, and exchange rate," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 137-149.
  522. Escanciano, Juan Carlos & Pei, Pei, 2012. "Pitfalls in backtesting Historical Simulation VaR models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 2233-2244.
  523. Arturo Leccadito & Alessandro Staino & Pietro Toscano, 2024. "A novel robust method for estimating the covariance matrix of financial returns with applications to risk management," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-28, December.
  524. Ji Ho Kwon, 2021. "On the factors of Bitcoin’s value at risk," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-31, December.
  525. Gao, Lingbo & Ye, Wuyi & Guo, Ranran, 2022. "Jointly forecasting the value-at-risk and expected shortfall of Bitcoin with a regime-switching CAViaR model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
  526. Xisong Jin & Francisco Nadal De Simone, 2017. "Systemic Financial Sector and Sovereign Risks," BCL working papers 109, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
  527. Francine Gresnigt & Erik Kole & Philip Hans Franses, 2017. "Exploiting Spillovers to Forecast Crashes," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(8), pages 936-955, December.
  528. Zongwu Cai & Xiyuan Liu, 2020. "A Functional-Coefficient VAR Model for Dynamic Quantiles with Constructing Financial Network," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202017, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2020.
  529. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & Wen, Danyan & Zhao, Longfeng, 2019. "When Bitcoin meets economic policy uncertainty (EPU): Measuring risk spillover effect from EPU to Bitcoin," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
  530. Taylor, James W., 2020. "A strategic predictive distribution for tests of probabilistic calibration," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1380-1388.
  531. Ewald, Christian & Hadina, Jelena & Haugom, Erik & Lien, Gudbrand & Størdal, Ståle & Yahya, Muhammad, 2023. "Sample frequency robustness and accuracy in forecasting Value-at-Risk for Brent Crude Oil futures," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
  532. Bauwens, Luc & Ben Omrane, Walid & Rengifo, Erick, 2010. "Intradaily dynamic portfolio selection," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2400-2418, November.
  533. Lazar, Emese & Zhang, Ning, 2019. "Model risk of expected shortfall," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 74-93.
  534. Troster, Victor & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David, 2019. "A quantile regression analysis of flights-to-safety with implied volatilities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 482-495.
  535. Zongwu Cai & Xian Wang, 2013. "Nonparametric Methods for Estimating Conditional VaR and Expected Shortfall," Working Papers 2013-10-14, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
  536. Gourieroux, C. & Jasiak, J., 2008. "Dynamic quantile models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 198-205, November.
  537. Hua, Jian & Manzan, Sebastiano, 2013. "Forecasting the return distribution using high-frequency volatility measures," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4381-4403.
  538. Matthew Pritsker, 2001. "The hidden dangers of historical simulation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2001-27, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  539. Arnold Polanski & Evarist Stoja, 2010. "Incorporating higher moments into value-at-risk forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(6), pages 523-535.
  540. Renan O. Regis & Raydonal Ospina & Wilton Bernardino & Francisco Cribari-Neto, 2023. "Asset pricing in the Brazilian financial market: five-factor GAMLSS modeling," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 2373-2409, May.
  541. Nieto, María Rosa, 2008. "Measuring financial risk : comparison of alternative procedures to estimate VaR and ES," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws087326, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  542. Wolf, Elias, 2022. "Estimating growth at risk with skewed stochastic volatility models," Discussion Papers 2022/2, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
  543. Henning Fischer & Ángela Blanco‐FERNÁndez & Peter Winker, 2016. "Predicting Stock Return Volatility: Can We Benefit from Regression Models for Return Intervals?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(2), pages 113-146, March.
  544. Ñíguez, Trino-Manuel & Perote, Javier, 2017. "Moments expansion densities for quantifying financial risk," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 53-69.
  545. Gerlach, Richard & Wang, Chao, 2020. "Semi-parametric dynamic asymmetric Laplace models for tail risk forecasting, incorporating realized measures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 489-506.
  546. Alice X. D. Dong & Jennifer S. K. Chan & Gareth W. Peters, 2014. "Risk Margin Quantile Function Via Parametric and Non-Parametric Bayesian Quantile Regression," Papers 1402.2492, arXiv.org.
  547. Kawakami, Tabito, 2023. "Quantile prediction for Bitcoin returns using financial assets’ realized measures," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
  548. Fabian Hollstein & Marcel Prokopczuk & Christoph Würsig, 2020. "Volatility term structures in commodity markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 527-555, April.
  549. Salisu, Afees A. & Ogbonna, Ahamuefula E. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Oil tail risks and the realized variance of consumer prices in advanced economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  550. Escanciano, Juan Carlos & Pei, Pei, 2012. "Pitfalls in backtesting Historical Simulation VaR models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 2233-2244.
  551. Argyropoulos, Christos & Panopoulou, Ekaterini, 2019. "Backtesting VaR and ES under the magnifying glass," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 22-37.
  552. Victor Chernozhukov & Iván Fernández-Val, 2011. "Inference for Extremal Conditional Quantile Models, with an Application to Market and Birthweight Risks," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 78(2), pages 559-589.
  553. Prodosh Simlai, 2021. "Accrual mispricing, value-at-risk, and expected stock returns," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 1487-1517, November.
  554. Eric Bouye & Mark Salmon, 2009. "Dynamic copula quantile regressions and tail area dynamic dependence in Forex markets," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(7-8), pages 721-750.
  555. Velasco, Sofia, 2024. "Asymmetries in the transmission of monetary policy shocks over the business cycle: a Bayesian Quantile Factor Augmented VAR," Working Paper Series 2983, European Central Bank.
  556. Kim, Minjo & Lee, Sangyeol, 2016. "Nonlinear expectile regression with application to Value-at-Risk and expected shortfall estimation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1-19.
  557. Maziar Sahamkhadam & Andreas Stephan, 2019. "Portfolio optimization based on forecasting models using vine copulas: An empirical assessment for the financial crisis," Papers 1912.10328, arXiv.org.
  558. Zhimin Wu & Guanghui Cai, 2024. "Can intraday data improve the joint estimation and prediction of risk measures? Evidence from a variety of realized measures," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1956-1974, September.
  559. Stindl, Tom, 2023. "Forecasting intraday market risk: A marked self-exciting point process with exogenous renewals," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 182-198.
  560. Mateusz Buczynski & Marcin Chlebus, 2024. "GARCHNet: Value-at-Risk Forecasting with GARCH Models Based on Neural Networks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(5), pages 1949-1979, May.
  561. Righi, Marcelo Brutti & Ceretta, Paulo Sergio, 2015. "A comparison of Expected Shortfall estimation models," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 14-47.
  562. Wang, Zhuqing & Wang, Xinyu & Cheng, Qiuying & Shi, Song, 2024. "Heterogeneous impact of economic and political uncertainty on green bond volatility: Evidence from the MRS-GARCH-MIDAS-Skewed T model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
  563. Herrera, Rodrigo & González, Sergio & Clements, Adam, 2018. "Mutual excitation between OECD stock and oil markets: A conditional intensity extreme value approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 70-88.
  564. Shen, Yifan, 2018. "International risk transmission of stock market movements," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 220-236.
  565. Joëts, Marc, 2014. "Energy price transmissions during extreme movements," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 392-399.
  566. Vidal-Llana, Xenxo & Guillén, Montserrat, 2022. "Cross-sectional quantile regression for estimating conditional VaR of returns during periods of high volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  567. Mensi, Walid & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Zeitun, Rami & Rehman, Mobeen Ur, 2017. "Diversification potential of Asian frontier, BRIC emerging and major developed stock markets: A wavelet-based value at risk approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 130-147.
  568. Patton, Andrew J. & Ziegel, Johanna F. & Chen, Rui, 2019. "Dynamic semiparametric models for expected shortfall (and Value-at-Risk)," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 211(2), pages 388-413.
  569. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Vinh Vo, Xuan & Hoon Kang, Sang, 2021. "Volatility spillovers between oil and equity markets and portfolio risk implications in the US and vulnerable EU countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  570. Carlos Trucíos & James W. Taylor, 2023. "A comparison of methods for forecasting value at risk and expected shortfall of cryptocurrencies," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 989-1007, July.
  571. Ghysels, Eric & Liu, Hanwei & Raymond, Steve, 2021. "Institutional Investors and Granularity in Equity Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 15654, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  572. Maghyereh Aktham Issa & Awartani Basel, 2012. "Modeling and Forecasting Value-at-Risk in the UAE Stock Markets: The Role of Long Memory, Fat Tails and Asymmetries in Return Innovations," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 1-22, August.
  573. Bárbara Ruth Trejo Becerril & Alberto Gallegos David, 2021. "Estimación del Riesgo de Mercado utilizando el VaR y la Beta del CAPM," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(2), pages 1-26, Abril - J.
  574. Zhu, Xuening & Wang, Weining & Wang, Hansheng & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2019. "Network quantile autoregression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 345-358.
  575. Boucher, Christophe M. & Daníelsson, Jón & Kouontchou, Patrick S. & Maillet, Bertrand B., 2014. "Risk models-at-risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 72-92.
  576. Corradi, Valentina & Fosten, Jack & Gutknecht, Daniel, 2023. "Out-of-sample tests for conditional quantile coverage an application to Growth-at-Risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(2).
  577. Pitselis, Georgios, 2016. "Credible risk measures with applications in actuarial sciences and finance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 373-386.
  578. Hongtao Guo & Miranda S. Lam & Guojun Wu & Zhijie Xiao, 2013. "Risk Analysis Using Regression Quantiles: Evidence from International Equity Markets," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 7(2), pages 1-15.
  579. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Brahim, Mariem & Carlotti, Jean-Etienne & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Mensi, Walid, 2024. "Extreme downside risk connectedness and portfolio hedging among the G10 currencies," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
  580. Christian Francq & Jean-Michel Zakoian, 2014. "Multi-level Conditional VaR Estimation in Dynamic Models," Working Papers 2014-01, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  581. Faria, Adriano & Almeida, Caio, 2018. "A hybrid spline-based parametric model for the yield curve," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 72-94.
  582. James D. Hamilton, 2008. "Macroeconomics and ARCH," NBER Working Papers 14151, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  583. Sio Chong U & Jacky So & Deng Ding & Lihong Liu, 2016. "An efficient Fourier expansion method for the calculation of value-at-risk: Contributions of extra-ordinary risks," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(01), pages 1-27, March.
  584. Taylor, James W., 2020. "Forecast combinations for value at risk and expected shortfall," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 428-441.
  585. Jorge E. Galán & María Rodríguez Moreno, 2020. "At-risk measures and financial stability," Revista de Estabilidad Financiera, Banco de España, issue Autumn.
  586. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Muhammad Shahbaz & Rabeh Khalfaoui & Rizwan Ahmed & Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2024. "Directional predictability from energy markets to exchange rates and stock markets in the emerging market countries (E7 + 1): New evidence from cross‐quantilogram approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 719-789, January.
  587. Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin, 2016. "The Determinants of Equity Risk and Their Forecasting Implications: A Quantile Regression Perspective," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-25, July.
  588. João Caldeira & Guilherme Moura & André Santos, 2015. "Measuring Risk in Fixed Income Portfolios using Yield Curve Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 46(1), pages 65-82, June.
  589. Ammy-Driss, Ayoub & Garcin, Matthieu, 2023. "Efficiency of the financial markets during the COVID-19 crisis: Time-varying parameters of fractional stable dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 609(C).
  590. Zhang, Ning & Su, Xiaoman & Qi, Shuyuan, 2023. "An empirical investigation of multiperiod tail risk forecasting models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  591. Fengler, Matthias R. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2015. "Measuring spot variance spillovers when (co)variances are time-varying – the case of multivariate GARCH models," Economics Working Paper Series 1517, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  592. Sonia Benito Muela & Carmen López-Martín & Mª Ángeles Navarro, 2017. "The Role of the Skewed Distributions in the Framework of Extreme Value Theory (EVT)," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(11), pages 88-102, November.
  593. repec:wyi:journl:002095 is not listed on IDEAS
  594. Anginer, Deniz & Demirguc-Kunt, Asli, 2014. "Has the global banking system become more fragile over time?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 202-213.
  595. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David & Perez de Gracia, Fernando, 2022. "Tail risk connectedness in the refined petroleum market: A first look at the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
  596. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2012-032 is not listed on IDEAS
  597. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Konstantatos, Christoforos & Papathanasiou, Spyros & Wohar, Mark, 2023. "Estimation of value at risk for copper," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
  598. Aloui, Chaker & Hamida, Hela ben, 2014. "Modelling and forecasting value at risk and expected shortfall for GCC stock markets: Do long memory, structural breaks, asymmetry, and fat-tails matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 349-380.
  599. Trino-Manuel Ñíguez, 2008. "Volatility and VaR forecasting in the Madrid Stock Exchange," Spanish Economic Review, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 10(3), pages 169-196, September.
  600. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Ashraf, Sania & Karim, Sitara & Moussa, Faten, 2024. "Green finance under stress: Unraveling the spillover effects of tail risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 225-236.
  601. Yao, Yinhong & Li, Jingyu & Chen, Wei, 2024. "Multiscale extreme risk spillovers among the Chinese mainland, Hong Kong, and London stock markets: Comparing the impacts of three Stock Connect programs," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1217-1233.
  602. Bruzda, Joanna, 2019. "Quantile smoothing in supply chain and logistics forecasting," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 122-139.
  603. Sunil K. Mohanty & Stein Frydenberg & Petter Osmundsen & Sjur Westgaard & Christian Skjøld, 2023. "Risk factors in stock returns of U.S. oil and gas companies: evidence from quantile regression analysis," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 715-746, February.
  604. Taylor, James W., 2007. "Forecasting daily supermarket sales using exponentially weighted quantile regression," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 178(1), pages 154-167, April.
  605. Storti, Giuseppe & Wang, Chao, 2022. "A multivariate semi-parametric portfolio risk optimization and forecasting framework," MPRA Paper 115266, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  606. Jungsik Noh & Sangyeol Lee, 2016. "Quantile Regression for Location-Scale Time Series Models with Conditional Heteroscedasticity," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 43(3), pages 700-720, September.
  607. Yannick Hoga & Matei Demetrescu, 2023. "Monitoring Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Forecasts," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(5), pages 2954-2971, May.
  608. Niels S. Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2013. "Analyzing Oil Futures with a Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Model," CREATES Research Papers 2013-36, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  609. Po-Cheng Wu & Cheng-Kun Kuo & Chih-Wei Lee, 2012. "Evaluation Of Multi-Asset Value At Risk: Evidence From Taiwan," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 6(4), pages 23-34.
  610. Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach & Qian Chen, 2018. "A Semi-parametric Realized Joint Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Regression Framework," Papers 1807.02422, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
  611. Spierdijk, Laura, 2016. "Confidence intervals for ARMA–GARCH Value-at-Risk: The case of heavy tails and skewness," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 545-559.
  612. Georges Tsafack & James Cataldo, 2021. "Backtesting and estimation error: value-at-risk overviolation rate," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 1351-1396, September.
  613. repec:wyi:journl:002064 is not listed on IDEAS
  614. Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Olusanya E. Olubusoye, 2021. "Tail Risks and Stock Return Predictability - Evidence From Asia-Pacific," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(3), pages 1-6.
  615. repec:ipg:wpaper:28 is not listed on IDEAS
  616. Huang, Jiefei & Xu, Yang & Song, Yuping, 2022. "A high-frequency approach to VaR measures and forecasts based on the HAR-QREG model with jumps," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 608(P1).
  617. Timo Dimitriadis & Yannick Hoga, 2022. "Dynamic CoVaR Modeling," Papers 2206.14275, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
  618. Kratz, Marie & Lok, Y-H & McNeil, Alexander J., 2016. "Multinomial VaR Backtests: A simple implicit approach to backtesting expected shortfall," ESSEC Working Papers WP1617, ESSEC Research Center, ESSEC Business School.
  619. Angus Campbell & Daniel R. Smith, 2022. "An empirical investigation of the quality of value‐at‐risk disclosure in Australia," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(1), pages 469-491, March.
  620. Engle, Robert F. & Manganelli, Simone, 2001. "Value at risk models in finance," Working Paper Series 75, European Central Bank.
  621. repec:ipg:wpaper:2013-028 is not listed on IDEAS
  622. Guochang Wang & Ke Zhu & Guodong Li & Wai Keung Li, 2019. "Hybrid quantile estimation for asymmetric power GARCH models," Papers 1911.09343, arXiv.org.
  623. Ben Rejeb, Aymen, 2016. "Volatility Spillover between Islamic and conventional stock markets: evidence from Quantile Regression analysis," MPRA Paper 73302, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  624. Youssef, Manel & Belkacem, Lotfi & Mokni, Khaled, 2015. "Value-at-Risk estimation of energy commodities: A long-memory GARCH–EVT approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 99-110.
  625. Escanciano, J. Carlos & Olmo, Jose, 2010. "Backtesting Parametric Value-at-Risk With Estimation Risk," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 28(1), pages 36-51.
  626. Karol Kielak & Robert Ślepaczuk, 2020. "Value-at-risk — the comparison of state-of-the-art models on various assets," Working Papers 2020-28, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  627. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Christiansen, Charlotte, 2014. "Quantiles of the realized stock–bond correlation and links to the macroeconomy," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 321-331.
  628. Niango Ange Joseph Yapi, 2020. "Exchange rate predictive densities and currency risks: A quantile regression approach," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-16, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
  629. Taylor, James W. & Jeon, Jooyoung, 2015. "Forecasting wind power quantiles using conditional kernel estimation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 370-379.
  630. Yu, Jing-Rung & Chiou, Wan-Jiun Paul & Mu, Da-Ren, 2015. "A linearized value-at-risk model with transaction costs and short selling," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 247(3), pages 872-878.
  631. Lang, Chunlin & Hu, Yang & Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg), 2024. "Tail risk connectedness in G7 stock markets: Understanding the impact of COVID-19 and related variants," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
  632. Zhijie Xiao & Roger Koenker, 2009. "Conditional Quantile Estimation for GARCH Models," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 725, Boston College Department of Economics.
  633. Wang, Jying-Nan & Du, Jiangze & Hsu, Yuan-Teng, 2018. "Measuring long-term tail risk: Evaluating the performance of the square-root-of-time rule," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 120-138.
  634. Stavros Stavroyiannis & Leonidas Zarangas, 2013. "Out of Sample Value-at-Risk and Backtesting with the Standardized Pearson Type-IV Skewed Distribution," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 60(2), pages 231-247, April.
  635. Chao, Shih-Kang & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Yuan, Ming, 2015. "Factorisable sparse tail event curves," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2015-034, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  636. Aymen BEN REJEB & Ousama BEN SALHA & Jaleleddine BEN REJEB, 2012. "Value-at-Risk Analysis for the Tunisian Currency Market: A Comparative Study," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 2(2), pages 110-125.
  637. Gang-Jin Wang & Chi Xie & Kaijian He & H. Eugene Stanley, 2017. "Extreme risk spillover network: application to financial institutions," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(9), pages 1417-1433, September.
  638. Wu, Qi & Yan, Xing, 2019. "Capturing deep tail risk via sequential learning of quantile dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
  639. Fabio Busetti & Michele Caivano & Lisa Rodano, 2015. "On the conditional distribution of euro area inflation forecast," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1027, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  640. Korobilis, Dimitris, 2017. "Quantile regression forecasts of inflation under model uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 11-20.
  641. Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2007. "Une Evaluation des Procédures de Backtesting," Working Papers halshs-00159846, HAL.
  642. Timmy Elenjical & Patrick Mwangi & Barry Panulo & Chun-Sung Huang, 2016. "A comparative cross-regime analysis on the performance of GARCH-based value-at-risk models: Evidence from the Johannesburg stock exchange," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(2), pages 89-110, August.
  643. Dias, Alexandra, 2013. "Market capitalization and Value-at-Risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5248-5260.
  644. Giampiero Gallo & Ostap Okhrin & Giuseppe Storti, 2024. "Dynamic tail risk forecasting: what do realized skewness and kurtosis add?," Papers 2409.13516, arXiv.org.
  645. Lazar, Emese & Pan, Jingqi & Wang, Shixuan, 2024. "On the estimation of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall at extreme levels," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
  646. Zhou, Xinmiao & Qian, Huanhuan & Pérez-Rodríguez, Jorge. V. & González López-Valcárcel, Beatriz, 2020. "Risk dependence and cointegration between pharmaceutical stock markets: The case of China and the USA," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  647. Rangika Peiris & Minh-Ngoc Tran & Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach, 2024. "Loss-based Bayesian Sequential Prediction of Value at Risk with a Long-Memory and Non-linear Realized Volatility Model," Papers 2408.13588, arXiv.org.
  648. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Reboredo, Juan Carlos & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Do global factors impact BRICS stock markets? A quantile regression approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 1-17.
  649. Nico Katzke & Chris Garbers, 2015. "Do Long Memory and Asymmetries Matter When Assessing Downside Return Risk?," Working Papers 06/2015, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
  650. Weidong Lin & Jose Olmo & Abderrahim Taamouti, 2022. "Portfolio Selection Under Systemic Risk," Working Papers 202208, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
  651. Carol Alexander & Emese Lazar & Silvia Stanescu, 2011. "Analytic Approximations to GARCH Aggregated Returns Distributions with Applications to VaR and ETL," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2011-08, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
  652. Duan, Fang, 2022. "Forecasting risk measures based on structural breaks in the correlation matrix," Ruhr Economic Papers 945, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
  653. Marc Hallin & Carlos Trucíos, 2020. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall in Large Portfolios: a General Dynamic Factor Approach," Working Papers ECARES 2020-50, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  654. Araújo Santos, P. & Fraga Alves, M.I., 2012. "A new class of independence tests for interval forecasts evaluation," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3366-3380.
  655. Dongming Jiang & Fang Jia, 2022. "Extreme Spillover between Green Bonds and Clean Energy Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-15, May.
  656. Bárbara Ruth Trejo Becerril & Alberto Gallegos David, 2021. "Estimación del Riesgo de Mercado utilizando el VaR y la Beta del CAPM," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(2), pages 1-26, Abril - J.
  657. Mehmet Sahiner & David G. McMillan & Dimos Kambouroudis, 2023. "Do artificial neural networks provide improved volatility forecasts: Evidence from Asian markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(3), pages 723-762, September.
  658. Richard Gerlach & Zudi Lu & Hai Huang, 2013. "Exponentially Smoothing the Skewed Laplace Distribution for Value‐at‐Risk Forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), pages 534-550, September.
  659. Zargar, Faisal Nazir & Mohnot, Rajesh & Hamouda, Foued & Arfaoui, Nadia, 2024. "Risk dynamics in energy transition: Evaluating downside risks and interconnectedness in fossil fuel and renewable energy markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  660. Chaker Aloui, 2015. "Volatility forecasting and risk management in some MENA stock markets: a nonlinear framework," Afro-Asian Journal of Finance and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(2), pages 160-192.
  661. Lee, Dong Jin & Kim, Tae-Hwan & Mizen, Paul, 2021. "Impulse response analysis in conditional quantile models with an application to monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
  662. Yonghong JIANG & Juan MENG & He NIE, 2018. "Visiting the Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks - Economic Growth Relationship: Wavelet-based Granger-Causality in Quantiles Approac," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 80-94, December.
  663. Calabrese, Raffaella & Osmetti, Silvia Angela, 2019. "A new approach to measure systemic risk: A bivariate copula model for dependent censored data," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 279(3), pages 1053-1064.
  664. Chuliá, Helena & Gupta, Rangan & Uribe, Jorge M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Impact of US uncertainties on emerging and mature markets: Evidence from a quantile-vector autoregressive approach," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 178-191.
  665. Salisu, Afees A. & Pierdzioch, Christian & Gupta, Rangan & Gabauer, David, 2022. "Forecasting stock-market tail risk and connectedness in advanced economies over a century: The role of gold-to-silver and gold-to-platinum price ratios," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  666. De Gooijer, Jan G. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2006. "25 years of time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 443-473.
  667. Christian M. Hafner & Dick van Dijk & Philip Hans Franses, 2006. "Semi-Parametric Modelling of Correlation Dynamics," Advances in Econometrics, in: Econometric Analysis of Financial and Economic Time Series, pages 59-103, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  668. Jui‐Cheng Hung & Hung‐Chun Liu & J. Jimmy Yang, 2023. "Does the tail risk index matter in forecasting downside risk?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3451-3466, July.
  669. Huang, Dashan & Yu, Baimin & Fabozzi, Frank J. & Fukushima, Masao, 2009. "CAViaR-based forecast for oil price risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 511-518, July.
  670. Shaddady, Ali & Moore, Tomoe, 2019. "Investigation of the effects of financial regulation and supervision on bank stability: The application of CAMELS-DEA to quantile regressions," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 96-116.
  671. d’Addona, Stefano & Khanom, Najrin, 2022. "Estimating tail-risk using semiparametric conditional variance with an application to meme stocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 241-260.
  672. Huang, Chun-Kai & North, Delia & Zewotir, Temesgen, 2017. "Exchangeability, extreme returns and Value-at-Risk forecasts," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 477(C), pages 204-216.
  673. Le-Yu Chen & Yu-Min Yen, 2021. "Estimations of the Local Conditional Tail Average Treatment Effect," Papers 2109.08793, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
  674. Hubner, Stefan, 2016. "Topics in nonparametric identification and estimation," Other publications TiSEM 08fce56b-3193-46e0-871b-0, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
  675. David McMillan & Pako Thupayagale, 2010. "Evaluating Stock Index Return Value-at-Risk Estimates in South Africa," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 9(3), pages 325-345, December.
  676. Mazzarisi, Piero & Zaoli, Silvia & Campajola, Carlo & Lillo, Fabrizio, 2020. "Tail Granger causalities and where to find them: Extreme risk spillovers vs spurious linkages," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
  677. Stanislav Anatolyev & Natalia Kryzhanovskaya, 2009. "Directional Prediction of Returns under Asymmetric Loss: Direct and Indirect Approaches," Working Papers w0136, New Economic School (NES).
  678. Roland Füss & Zeno Adams & Dieter G Kaiser, 2010. "The predictive power of value-at-risk models in commodity futures markets," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(4), pages 261-285, October.
  679. Li, Dan & Clements, Adam & Drovandi, Christopher, 2023. "A Bayesian approach for more reliable tail risk forecasts," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  680. Trung H. Le, 2024. "Forecasting VaR and ES in emerging markets: The role of time‐varying higher moments," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 402-414, March.
  681. Mario Cerrato & John Crosby & Minjoo Kim & Yang Zhao, 2015. "Modeling Dependence Structure and Forecasting Market Risk with Dynamic Asymmetric Copula," Working Papers 2015_15, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
  682. Khoo, Zhi De & Ng, Kok Haur & Koh, You Beng & Ng, Kooi Huat, 2024. "Forecasting volatility of stock indices: Improved GARCH-type models through combined weighted volatility measure and weighted volatility indicators," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  683. Xu, Qiuhua & Zhang, Yixuan & Zhang, Ziyang, 2021. "Tail-risk spillovers in cryptocurrency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
  684. Ines Fortin & Christoph Kuzmics, 2002. "Tail‐dependence in stock‐return pairs," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(2), pages 89-107, April.
  685. Leonidas Tsiaras, 2010. "Dynamic Models of Exchange Rate Dependence Using Option Prices and Historical Returns," CREATES Research Papers 2010-35, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  686. Gerlach, Richard & Abeywardana, Sachin, 2016. "Variational Bayes for assessment of dynamic quantile forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1385-1402.
  687. Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Boubaker, Sabri & Moussa, Faten, 2023. "Does green improve portfolio optimisation?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
  688. Xu, Xiu & Mihoci, Andrija & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2018. "lCARE - localizing conditional autoregressive expectiles," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 198-220.
  689. Taylor, James W., 2010. "Exponentially weighted methods for forecasting intraday time series with multiple seasonal cycles," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 627-646, October.
  690. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & Francisco Marcos Rodrigues Figueiredo, 2015. "Local Unit Root and Inflationary Inertia in Brazil," Working Papers Series 406, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  691. Emre Cevik & Emrah I Cevik & Sel Dibooglu & Raif Cergibozan & Mehmet Fatih Bugan & Mehmet Akif Destek, 2024. "Connectedness and risk spillovers between crude oil and clean energy stock markets," Energy & Environment, , vol. 35(7), pages 3319-3339, November.
  692. Liu, Qingfu & Tse, Yiuman, 2017. "Overnight returns of stock indexes: Evidence from ETFs and futures," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 440-451.
  693. Su, Tong & Zhang, Zuopeng (Justin) & Lin, Boqiang, 2022. "Green bonds and conventional financial markets in China: A tale of three transmission modes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  694. Lee, Yun Shin & Scholtes, Stefan, 2014. "Empirical prediction intervals revisited," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 217-234.
  695. Manuela Braione & Nicolas K. Scholtes, 2016. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk under Different Distributional Assumptions," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-27, January.
  696. David E Allen & Abhay K Singh & Robert J Powell & Michael McAleer & James Taylor & Lyn Thomas, 2012. "The Volatility-Return Relationship:Insights from Linear and Non-Linear Quantile Regressions," KIER Working Papers 831, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
  697. Marco Bottone & Lea Petrella & Mauro Bernardi, 2021. "Unified Bayesian conditional autoregressive risk measures using the skew exponential power distribution," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 30(3), pages 1079-1107, September.
  698. Derek Bunn, Arne Andresen, Dipeng Chen, Sjur Westgaard, 2016. "Analysis and Forecasting of Electricty Price Risks with Quantile Factor Models," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
  699. Ophélie Couperier & Jérémy Leymarie, 2020. "Backtesting Expected Shortfall via Multi-Quantile Regression," Working Papers halshs-01909375, HAL.
  700. Ziggel, Daniel & Berens, Tobias & Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Wied, Dominik, 2014. "A new set of improved Value-at-Risk backtests," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 29-41.
  701. Raffaele Miniaci & Paolo Panteghini, 2021. "On the Capital Structure of Foreign Subsidiaries: Evidence from a Panel Data Quantile Regression Model," CESifo Working Paper Series 9085, CESifo.
  702. Arian, Hamid & Moghimi, Mehrdad & Tabatabaei, Ehsan & Zamani, Shiva, 2022. "Encoded Value-at-Risk: A machine learning approach for portfolio risk measurement," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 500-525.
  703. Po Yun & Chen Zhang & Yaqi Wu & Yu Yang, 2022. "Forecasting Carbon Dioxide Price Using a Time-Varying High-Order Moment Hybrid Model of NAGARCHSK and Gated Recurrent Unit Network," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(2), pages 1-19, January.
  704. Song, Shijia & Li, Handong, 2023. "A method for predicting VaR by aggregating generalized distributions driven by the dynamic conditional score," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 203-214.
  705. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2015-034 is not listed on IDEAS
  706. Ghysels, Eric & Liu, Hanwei, 2017. "Downside Risk in the Chinese Stock Market - Has it Fundamentally Changed?," CEPR Discussion Papers 12180, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  707. Fabio Busetti & Andrew Harvey, 2010. "Tests of strict stationarity based on quantile indicators," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(6), pages 435-450, November.
  708. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The role of spillovers and oil tail Risks☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  709. Zhang, Xu & Yang, Xian & He, Qizhi, 2022. "Multi-scale systemic risk and spillover networks of commodity markets in the bullish and bearish regimes," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  710. Francisco Blasques & Paolo Gorgi & Siem Jan Koopman & Olivier Wintenberger, 2016. "Feasible Invertibility Conditions and Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Observation-Driven Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-082/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  711. Wei, Yu & Chen, Wang & Lin, Yu, 2013. "Measuring daily Value-at-Risk of SSEC index: A new approach based on multifractal analysis and extreme value theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(9), pages 2163-2174.
  712. Leccadito, Arturo & Boffelli, Simona & Urga, Giovanni, 2014. "Evaluating the accuracy of value-at-risk forecasts: New multilevel tests," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 206-216.
  713. Farhat Iqbal, 2013. "Robust estimation of the simplified multivariate GARCH model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 1353-1372, June.
  714. Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Awartani, Basel & Abdoh, Hussein, 2019. "The co-movement between oil and clean energy stocks: A wavelet-based analysis of horizon associations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 895-913.
  715. Sessi Tokpavi & Christophe Boucher, 2018. "Stocks and Bonds: Flight-to-Safety for Ever?," EconomiX Working Papers 2018-39, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
  716. Christian T. Brownlees & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2010. "Comparison of Volatility Measures: a Risk Management Perspective," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 8(1), pages 29-56, Winter.
  717. Avdulaj, Krenar & Barunik, Jozef, 2015. "Are benefits from oil–stocks diversification gone? New evidence from a dynamic copula and high frequency data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 31-44.
  718. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  719. Zhang, Hanyu & Dufour, Alfonso, 2024. "Managing portfolio risk during crisis times: A dynamic conditional correlation perspective," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 241-251.
  720. Bauwens, Luc & Grigoryeva, Lyudmila & Ortega, Juan-Pablo, 2016. "Estimation and empirical performance of non-scalar dynamic conditional correlation models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 17-36.
  721. Assaf, Ata, 2015. "Value-at-Risk analysis in the MENA equity markets: Fat tails and conditional asymmetries in return distributions," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 30-45.
  722. Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Sanchis-Marco, Lidia, 2021. "Systemic-systematic risk in financial system: A dynamic ranking based on expectiles," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 330-365.
  723. Zongxin Zhang & Ying Chen, 2022. "Tail Risk Early Warning System for Capital Markets Based on Machine Learning Algorithms," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(3), pages 901-923, October.
  724. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2016-057 is not listed on IDEAS
  725. Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos & Livada, Alexandra, 2012. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models before and after the Financial Crisis of 2008: International Evidence," MPRA Paper 80463, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  726. Su, Ender & Wong, Kai Wen, 2018. "Measuring bank downside systemic risk in Taiwan," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 172-193.
  727. Daragh Clancy & Peter G. Dunne & Pasquale Filiani, 2019. "Liquidity and tail-risk interdependencies in the euro area sovereign bond market," Working Papers 41, European Stability Mechanism.
  728. Rebekka Buse & Konstantin Gorgen & Melanie Schienle, 2022. "Predicting Value at Risk for Cryptocurrencies With Generalized Random Forests," Papers 2203.08224, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
  729. Kratz, Marie & Lok, Yen H. & McNeil, Alexander J., 2018. "Multinomial VaR backtests: A simple implicit approach to backtesting expected shortfall," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 393-407.
  730. Seyfi, Seyed Mohammad Sina & Sharifi, Azin & Arian, Hamidreza, 2021. "Portfolio Value-at-Risk and expected-shortfall using an efficient simulation approach based on Gaussian Mixture Model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1056-1079.
  731. Derek Bunn & Arne Andresen & Dipeng Chen & Sjur Westgaard, 2016. "Analysis and Forecasting of Electricity Price Risks with Quantile Factor Models," The Energy Journal, , vol. 37(1), pages 101-122, January.
  732. Trucíos, Carlos, 2019. "Forecasting Bitcoin risk measures: A robust approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 836-847.
  733. Subhadeep Mukhopadhyay & Emanuel Parzen, 2018. "Nonlinear Time Series Modeling: A Unified Perspective, Algorithm and Application," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-17, July.
  734. Wei-Ting Tang & Yin-Feng Gau, 2004. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using the Markov-Switching ARCH Model," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 715, Econometric Society.
  735. Denisa Georgiana Banulescu & Gilbert Colletaz & Christophe Hurlin & Sessi Tokpavi, 2013. "High-Frequency Risk Measures," Working Papers halshs-00859456, HAL.
  736. Lu Yang & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2020. "Forecasts of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall in the Crude Oil Market: A Wavelet-Based Semiparametric Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-27, July.
  737. Miguel Rivera-Castro & Andrea Ugolini & Juan Arismendi Z, 2016. "Tail Systemic Risk And Banking Network Contagion: Evidence From the Brazilian Banking System," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2016-05, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
  738. Tomáš Jeøábek, 2020. "The Efficiency of GARCH Models in Realizing Value at Risk Estimates," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 14(1), pages 32-50.
  739. White, Halbert & Kim, Tae-Hwan & Manganelli, Simone, 2010. "VAR for VaR: measuring systemic risk using multivariate regression quantiles," MPRA Paper 35372, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  740. Mitrodima, Gelly & Oberoi, Jaideep, 2024. "CAViaR models for Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall with long range dependency features," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120880, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  741. Tolikas, Konstantinos, 2014. "Unexpected tails in risk measurement: Some international evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 476-493.
  742. Nader Trabelsi & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2023. "CO2 Emission Allowances Risk Prediction with GAS and GARCH Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(2), pages 775-805, February.
  743. Morelli, Giacomo, 2023. "Stochastic ordering of systemic risk in commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
  744. Huang, Yu-Fan & Liao, Wenting & Luo, Sui & Ma, Jun, 2024. "Financial conditions, macroeconomic uncertainty, and macroeconomic tail risks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
  745. Hotta, Luiz Koodi & Trucíos Maza, Carlos César & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls & Zevallos Herencia, Mauricio Henrique, 2024. "Forecasting VaR and ES through Markov-switching GARCH models: does the specication matter?," Textos para discussão 567, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
  746. Georg Keilbar & Weining Wang, 2022. "Modelling systemic risk using neural network quantile regression," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(1), pages 93-118, January.
  747. Jiang, Kunliang & Ye, Wuyi, 2022. "Does the asymmetric dependence volatility affect risk spillovers between the crude oil market and BRICS stock markets?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
  748. Inés Jiménez & Andrés Mora-Valencia & Trino-Manuel Ñíguez & Javier Perote, 2020. "Portfolio Risk Assessment under Dynamic (Equi)Correlation and Semi-Nonparametric Estimation: An Application to Cryptocurrencies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-24, November.
  749. Gonzalo Cortazar & Alejandro Bernales & Diether Beuermann, 2005. "Methodology and Implementation of Value-at-Risk Measures in Emerging Fixed-Income Markets with Infrequent Trading," Finance 0512030, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  750. Le, Trung H., 2020. "Forecasting value at risk and expected shortfall with mixed data sampling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1362-1379.
  751. Yuru Sun & Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Gael M. Martin, 2023. "Optimal probabilistic forecasts for risk management," Papers 2303.01651, arXiv.org.
  752. Jiang, Yifu & Olmo, Jose & Atwi, Majed, 2024. "Dynamic robust portfolio selection under market distress," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
  753. David Kohns & Tibor Szendrei, 2020. "Horseshoe Prior Bayesian Quantile Regression," Papers 2006.07655, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
  754. Ze Shen & Minglu Wang & Qing Wan, 2023. "Tail risk of coal futures in China's market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(S2), pages 2827-2845, June.
  755. Enrique Molina‐Muñoz & Andrés Mora‐Valencia & Javier Perote, 2021. "Backtesting expected shortfall for world stock index ETFs with extreme value theory and Gram–Charlier mixtures," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4163-4189, July.
  756. Marius Galabe Sampid & Haslifah M Hasim & Hongsheng Dai, 2018. "Refining value-at-risk estimates using a Bayesian Markov-switching GJR-GARCH copula-EVT model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(6), pages 1-33, June.
  757. Chao Wang & Richard Gerlach, 2019. "Semi-parametric Realized Nonlinear Conditional Autoregressive Expectile and Expected Shortfall," Papers 1906.09961, arXiv.org.
  758. Gebka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Stock return distribution and predictability: Evidence from over a century of daily data on the DJIA index," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-25.
  759. Cathy W. S. Chen & Edward M. H. Lin & Tara F. J. Huang, 2022. "Bayesian quantile forecasting via the realized hysteretic GARCH model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1317-1337, November.
  760. Stephen Lawrence, 2000. "Value At Risk Incorporating Dynamic Portfolio Management," Computing in Economics and Finance 2000 147, Society for Computational Economics.
  761. Maynard, Alex & Shimotsu, Katsumi & Kuriyama, Nina, 2024. "Inference in predictive quantile regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 245(1).
  762. Federico Gatta & Fabrizio Lillo & Piero Mazzarisi, 2024. "CAESar: Conditional Autoregressive Expected Shortfall," Papers 2407.06619, arXiv.org.
  763. Chen, Yu & Wang, Zhicheng & Zhang, Zhengjun, 2019. "Mark to market value at risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 299-321.
  764. Songhua Tan & Qianqian Zhu, 2022. "Asymmetric linear double autoregression," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(3), pages 371-388, May.
  765. Petrella, Lea & Raponi, Valentina, 2019. "Joint estimation of conditional quantiles in multivariate linear regression models with an application to financial distress," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 70-84.
  766. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Casas, Isabel, 2013. "Nonparametric correlation models for portfolio allocation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 2268-2283.
  767. Bogdan, Dima & Ştefana Maria, Dima & Roxana, Ioan, 2022. "A Value-at-Risk forecastability indicator in the framework of a Generalized Autoregressive Score with “Asymmetric Laplace Distribution”," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
  768. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Gul, Raazia & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Karim, Sitara & Lucey, Brian M., 2024. "Tail risk spillovers between Shanghai oil and other markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  769. Helmut Herwartz & Israel Waichman, 2010. "A comparison of bootstrap and Monte-Carlo testing approaches to value-at-risk diagnosis," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 725-732, December.
  770. Ye, Wuyi & Li, Mingge & Wu, Yuehua, 2022. "A novel estimation of time-varying quantile correlation for financial contagion detection," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  771. Marcin Chlebus, 2016. "Can Lognormal, Weibull or Gamma Distributions Improve the EWS-GARCH Value-at-Risk Forecasts?," FindEcon Chapters: Forecasting Financial Markets and Economic Decision-Making, in: Magdalena Osińska (ed.), Statistical Review, vol. 63, 2016, 3, edition 1, volume 63, chapter 4, pages 329-350, University of Lodz.
  772. Timo Dimitriadis & Tobias Fissler & Johanna Ziegel, 2020. "The Efficiency Gap," Papers 2010.14146, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
  773. Liu, Qingfu & An, Yunbi, 2014. "Risk contributions of trading and non-trading hours: Evidence from Chinese commodity futures markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 17-29.
  774. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2012-006 is not listed on IDEAS
  775. Zhang, Heng-Guo & Su, Chi-Wei & Song, Yan & Qiu, Shuqi & Xiao, Ran & Su, Fei, 2017. "Calculating Value-at-Risk for high-dimensional time series using a nonlinear random mapping model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 355-367.
  776. Peter Horvath & Jia Li & Zhipeng Liao & Andrew J. Patton, 2022. "A consistent specification test for dynamic quantile models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(1), pages 125-151, January.
  777. Nath, Harmindar B. & Brooks, Robert D., 2015. "Assessing the idiosyncratic risk and stock returns relation in heteroskedasticity corrected predictive models using quantile regression," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 94-111.
  778. Sulkhan Chavleishvili & Simone Manganelli, 2024. "Forecasting and stress testing with quantile vector autoregression," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 66-85, January.
  779. Berger, Theo & Gençay, Ramazan, 2018. "Improving daily Value-at-Risk forecasts: The relevance of short-run volatility for regulatory quality assessment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 30-46.
  780. Huang, Alex YiHou & Peng, Sheng-Pen & Li, Fangjhy & Ke, Ching-Jie, 2011. "Volatility forecasting of exchange rate by quantile regression," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 591-606, October.
  781. Jack Fosten & Daniel Gutknecht & Marc-Oliver Pohle, 2023. "Testing Quantile Forecast Optimality," Papers 2302.02747, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
  782. Cai, Zongwu & Wang, Xian, 2008. "Nonparametric estimation of conditional VaR and expected shortfall," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 120-130, November.
  783. Alessandra Pasqualina Viola & Marcelo Cabus Klotzle & Antonio Carlos Figueiredo Pinto & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2017. "Predicting Exchange Rate Volatility in Brazil: an approach using quantile autoregression," Working Papers Series 466, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  784. Lee, Bong Soo & Li, Ming-Yuan Leon, 2012. "Diversification and risk-adjusted performance: A quantile regression approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 2157-2173.
  785. Szymon Lis & Marcin Chlebus, 2021. "Comparison of the accuracy in VaR forecasting for commodities using different methods of combining forecasts," Working Papers 2021-11, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  786. Liu, Wei & Semeyutin, Artur & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Gozgor, Giray, 2020. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk of Cryptocurrencies with RiskMetrics type models," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  787. Amiri, Aboubacar & Thiam, Baba, 2014. "A smoothing stochastic algorithm for quantile estimation," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 116-125.
  788. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2012-053 is not listed on IDEAS
  789. Christian Brownlees & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Alice Monti, 2018. "Evaluating The Accuracy Of Tail Risk Forecasts For Systemic Risk Measurement," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(02), pages 1-25, June.
  790. Li, Z. & Hurn, A.S. & Clements, A.E., 2017. "Forecasting quantiles of day-ahead electricity load," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 60-71.
  791. Dionne, Georges & Duchesne, Pierre & Pacurar, Maria, 2009. "Intraday Value at Risk (IVaR) using tick-by-tick data with application to the Toronto Stock Exchange," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 777-792, December.
  792. F Blasques & P Gorgi & S J Koopman & O Wintenberger, 2016. "Feasible Invertibility Conditions for Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Observation-Driven Models ," Working Papers hal-01377971, HAL.
  793. Khalifa, Maha & Othman, Hakim Ben & Hussainey, Khaled, 2018. "The effect of ex ante and ex post conservatism on the cost of equity capital: A quantile regression approach for MENA countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 239-255.
  794. Jiménez, Inés & Mora-Valencia, Andrés & Perote, Javier, 2022. "Semi-nonparametric risk assessment with cryptocurrencies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  795. Xu, Qiuhua & Yan, Haoyang & Zhao, Tianyu, 2022. "Contagion effect of systemic risk among industry sectors in China’s stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  796. Pesaran, Bahram & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2007. "Modelling Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate t Distribution," IZA Discussion Papers 2906, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  797. Tan, Xueping & Geng, Yong & Vivian, Andrew & Wang, Xinyu, 2021. "Measuring risk spillovers between oil and clean energy stocks: Evidence from a systematic framework," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  798. Harvey, Andrew & Oryshchenko, Vitaliy, 2012. "Kernel density estimation for time series data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 3-14.
  799. Rivera-Castro, Miguel A. & Ugolini, Andrea & Arismendi Zambrano, Juan, 2018. "Tail systemic risk and contagion: Evidence from the Brazilian and Latin America banking network," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 164-189.
  800. Wu, Chuanzhen, 2021. "Window effect with Markov-switching GARCH model in cryptocurrency market," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  801. Bei, Shuhua & Yang, Aijun & Pei, Haotian & Si, Xiaoli, 2023. "Price Risk Analysis using GARCH Family Models: Evidence from Shanghai Crude Oil Futures Market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  802. Naimoli, Antonio, 2022. "The information content of sentiment indices for forecasting Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall in equity markets," MPRA Paper 112588, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  803. Azizpour, S & Giesecke, K. & Schwenkler, G., 2018. "Exploring the sources of default clustering," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(1), pages 154-183.
  804. Huang, Yujun, 2024. "Do ESG ETFs provide downside risk protection during Covid-19? Evidence from forecast combination models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  805. Emrah Altun & Huseyin Tatlidil & Gamze Ozel & Saralees Nadarajah, 2018. "Does the Assumption on Innovation Process Play an Important Role for Filtered Historical Simulation Model?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-13, January.
  806. Herrera, Rodrigo & Piña, Marco, 2024. "Market risk modeling with option-implied covariances and score-driven dynamics," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  807. Colletaz, Gilbert & Hurlin, Christophe & Pérignon, Christophe, 2013. "The Risk Map: A new tool for validating risk models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 3843-3854.
  808. Georgios Fatouros & Georgios Makridis & Dimitrios Kotios & John Soldatos & Michael Filippakis & Dimosthenis Kyriazis, 2023. "DeepVaR: a framework for portfolio risk assessment leveraging probabilistic deep neural networks," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 29-56, March.
  809. Jian, Zhihong & Li, Xupei, 2021. "Skewness-based market integration: A systemic risk measure across international equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  810. Alessandra Amendola & Vincenzo Candila & Antonio Naimoli & Giuseppe Storti, 2024. "Adaptive combinations of tail-risk forecasts," Papers 2406.06235, arXiv.org.
  811. Stelios Bekiros & Nikolaos Loukeris & Iordanis Eleftheriadis & Christos Avdoulas, 2019. "Tail-Related Risk Measurement and Forecasting in Equity Markets," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(2), pages 783-816, February.
  812. Robert Wojciechowski, 2024. "A Structural Approach to Growth-at-Risk," Papers 2410.04431, arXiv.org.
  813. Bu, Di & Liao, Yin & Shi, Jing & Peng, Hongfeng, 2019. "Dynamic expected shortfall: A spectral decomposition of tail risk across time horizons," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  814. Taylor, James W., 2010. "Triple seasonal methods for short-term electricity demand forecasting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 139-152, July.
  815. Wang, Chuan-Sheng & Zhao, Zhibiao, 2016. "Conditional Value-at-Risk: Semiparametric estimation and inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 195(1), pages 86-103.
  816. Rob van den Goorbergh, 2004. "A Copula-Based Autoregressive Conditional Dependence Model of International Stock Markets," DNB Working Papers 022, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
  817. Timo Dimitriadis & Sebastian Bayer, 2017. "A Joint Quantile and Expected Shortfall Regression Framework," Papers 1704.02213, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2017.
  818. Silahli, Baykar & Dingec, Kemal Dincer & Cifter, Atilla & Aydin, Nezir, 2021. "Portfolio value-at-risk with two-sided Weibull distribution: Evidence from cryptocurrency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
  819. Zhang, Bangzheng & Wei, Yu & Yu, Jiang & Lai, Xiaodong & Peng, Zhenfeng, 2014. "Forecasting VaR and ES of stock index portfolio: A Vine copula method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 112-124.
  820. Abdellah Tahiri & Brahim Benaid & Hassane Bouzahir & Naushad Ali Mamode Khan, 2021. "Testing for the Number of Regimes in Financial Time Series GARCH Volatility," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 9(2), pages 82-94.
  821. Linton, O. & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2007. "The quantilogram: With an application to evaluating directional predictability," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 250-282, November.
  822. Shige Peng & Shuzhen Yang & Jianfeng Yao, 2018. "Improving Value-at-Risk prediction under model uncertainty," Papers 1805.03890, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
  823. Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang & Pierdzioch, Christian & Plakandaras, Vasilios, 2023. "Forecasting the conditional distribution of realized volatility of oil price returns: The role of skewness over 1859 to 2023," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
  824. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2015-052 is not listed on IDEAS
  825. Fuentes, Fernanda & Herrera, Rodrigo & Clements, Adam, 2023. "Forecasting extreme financial risk: A score-driven approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 720-735.
  826. Giuseppe Storti & Chao Wang, 2021. "Modelling uncertainty in financial tail risk: a forecast combination and weighted quantile approach," Papers 2104.04918, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
  827. Amirreza Attarzadeh & Mehmet Balcilar, 2022. "On the Dynamic Connectedness of the Stock, Oil, Clean Energy, and Technology Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-18, March.
  828. Zong Ke & Yuchen Yin, 2024. "Tail Risk Alert Based on Conditional Autoregressive VaR by Regression Quantiles and Machine Learning Algorithms," Papers 2412.06193, arXiv.org.
  829. Alfonso Novales & Laura Garcia-Jorcano, 2019. "Backtesting Extreme Value Theory models of expected shortfall," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-24, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
  830. Krzysztof Echaust & Małgorzata Just, 2021. "Tail Dependence between Crude Oil Volatility Index and WTI Oil Price Movements during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-21, July.
  831. Luca Spadafora & Marco Dubrovich & Marcello Terraneo, 2014. "Value-at-Risk time scaling for long-term risk estimation," Papers 1408.2462, arXiv.org.
  832. McMillan, David G. & Kambouroudis, Dimos, 2009. "Are RiskMetrics forecasts good enough? Evidence from 31 stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 117-124, June.
  833. Mauricio Lopera & Ramón Javier Mesa & Charle Londoño, 2014. "Evaluando las intervenciones cambiarias en Colombia: 2004-2012," Estudios Gerenciales, Universidad Icesi, March.
  834. Anatolyev, Stanislav & Baruník, Jozef, 2019. "Forecasting dynamic return distributions based on ordered binary choice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 823-835.
  835. Zhu, Ke, 2023. "A new generalized exponentially weighted moving average quantile model and its statistical inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(1).
  836. Ana Monteiro & Nuno Silva & Helder Sebastião, 2023. "Industry return lead-lag relationships between the US and other major countries," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-48, December.
  837. Timo Dimitriadis & iaochun Liu & Julie Schnaitmann, 2023. "Encompassing Tests for Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall Multistep Forecasts Based on Inference on the Boundary," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(2), pages 412-444.
  838. Shuzhen Yang, 2021. "Compensatory model for quantile estimation and application to VaR," Papers 2112.07278, arXiv.org.
  839. Azam, Kazim, 2014. "Dependence Analysis between Foreign Exchange Rates: A Semi-Parametric Copula Approach," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1052, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
  840. Donald Lien & Keshab Shrestha & Jing Wu, 2016. "Quantile Estimation of Optimal Hedge Ratio," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 194-214, February.
  841. Lyu, Yongjian & Qin, Fanshu & Ke, Rui & Wei, Yu & Kong, Mengzhen, 2024. "Does mixed frequency variables help to forecast value at risk in the crude oil market?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  842. Bams, Dennis & Blanchard, Gildas & Lehnert, Thorsten, 2017. "Volatility measures and Value-at-Risk," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 848-863.
  843. Chan Jennifer So Kuen & Ng Kok-Haur & Nitithumbundit Thanakorn & Peiris Shelton, 2019. "Efficient estimation of financial risk by regressing the quantiles of parametric distributions: An application to CARR models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 23(2), pages 1-22, April.
  844. Tae-Hwy Lee & Yong Bao & Burak Saltoglu, 2006. "Evaluating predictive performance of value-at-risk models in emerging markets: a reality check," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(2), pages 101-128.
  845. Dimitrios P. Louzis & Spyros Xanthopoulos - Sissinis & Apostolos P. Refenes, 2012. "Stock index Value-at-Risk forecasting: A realized volatility extreme value theory approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(1), pages 981-991.
  846. Jiang, Wen & Xu, Qiuhua & Zhang, Ruige, 2022. "Tail-event driven network of cryptocurrencies and conventional assets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
  847. Sandrine Lardic & Valérie Mignon, 2004. "Robert F. Engle et Clive W.J. Granger prix Nobel d'économie 2003," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 114(1), pages 1-15.
  848. Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Engle, Robert F. & Fahr, Stephan & Kremer, Manfred & Manganelli, Simone & Schwaab, Bernd, 2021. "The risk management approach to macro-prudential policy," Working Paper Series 2565, European Central Bank.
  849. Ferreira, Miguel A., 2005. "Forecasting the comovements of spot interest rates," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 766-792, September.
  850. Montes-Rojas, Gabriel, 2017. "Reduced form vector directional quantiles," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 20-30.
  851. Egorov, Alexei V. & Hong, Yongmiao & Li, Haitao, 2006. "Validating forecasts of the joint probability density of bond yields: Can affine models beat random walk?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 255-284.
  852. Herwartz, Helmut, 2008. "Exact inference in diagnosing value-at-risk estimates: A Monte Carlo device," Economics Working Papers 2008-16, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  853. Lu Ou & Zhibiao Zhao, 2021. "Value‐at‐risk forecasting via dynamic asymmetric exponential power distributions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 291-300, March.
  854. Ewa Ratuszny, 2013. "Robust Estimation in VaR Modelling - Univariate Approaches using Bounded Innovation Propagation and Regression Quantiles Methodology," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 5(1), pages 35-63, March.
  855. Robert J. Powell & Duc H. Vo & Thach N. Pham, 2018. "Economic cycles and downside commodities risk," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(4), pages 258-263, February.
  856. Emmanuel Jurczenko & Bertrand Maillet & Paul Merlin, 2008. "Efficient Frontier for Robust Higher-order Moment Portfolio Selection," Post-Print halshs-00336475, HAL.
  857. Su, Jung-Bin & Hung, Jui-Cheng, 2011. "Empirical analysis of jump dynamics, heavy-tails and skewness on value-at-risk estimation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 1117-1130, May.
  858. Cathy Yi†Hsuan Chen & Thomas C. Chiang, 2016. "Empirical Analysis of the Intertemporal Relationship between Downside Risk and Expected Returns: Evidence from Time†varying Transition Probability Models," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 22(5), pages 749-796, November.
  859. Kwon, Ji Ho, 2020. "Tail behavior of Bitcoin, the dollar, gold and the stock market index," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  860. Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Marins, Jaqueline Terra Moura, 2017. "Evaluation of exchange rate point and density forecasts: An application to Brazil," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 707-728.
  861. Zhang, Yi & Zhou, Long & Wu, Baoxiu & Liu, Fang, 2024. "Tail risk transmission from the United States to emerging stock Markets: Empirical evidence from multivariate quantile analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  862. Dionne, Georges & Saissi-Hassani, Samir, 2016. "Hidden Markov Regimes in Operational Loss Data: Application to the Recent Financial Crisis," Working Papers 15-3, HEC Montreal, Canada Research Chair in Risk Management.
  863. Zhu, Bo & Deng, Yuanyue & Lin, Renda & Hu, Xin & Chen, Pingshe, 2022. "Energy security: Does systemic risk spillover matter? Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
  864. Avdulaj Krenar & Barunik Jozef, 2017. "A semiparametric nonlinear quantile regression model for financial returns," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(1), pages 81-97, February.
  865. Andreas Marcus Gohs, 2022. "The Choice of GARCH Models to Forecast Value-at-Risk for Currencies (Euro Exchange Rates), Crypto Assets (Bitcoin and Ethereum), Gold, Silver and Crude Oil: Automated Processes, Statistical Distributi," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202246, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  866. Ben Rejeb, Aymen, 2017. "On the volatility spillover between lslamic and conventional stock markets: A quantile regression analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 794-815.
  867. Giuseppe Storti & Chao Wang, 2022. "A semi-parametric dynamic conditional correlation framework for risk forecasting," Papers 2207.04595, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
  868. Mateusz Buczyński & Marcin Chlebus, 2021. "GARCHNet - Value-at-Risk forecasting with novel approach to GARCH models based on neural networks," Working Papers 2021-08, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  869. Guermat, Cherif & Harris, Richard D. F., 2002. "Forecasting value at risk allowing for time variation in the variance and kurtosis of portfolio returns," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 409-419.
  870. Nieto, Maria Rosa & Ruiz, Esther, 2016. "Frontiers in VaR forecasting and backtesting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 475-501.
  871. Zijian Zeng & Meng Li, 2020. "Bayesian Median Autoregression for Robust Time Series Forecasting," Papers 2001.01116, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
  872. Ana-Maria Fuertes & Jose Olmo, 2016. "On Setting Day-Ahead Equity Trading Risk Limits: VaR Prediction at Market Close or Open?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-20, September.
  873. Ming-Yuan Leon Li, 2008. "Re-examining the risk--return relationship in banks using quantile regression," The Service Industries Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(11), pages 1871-1881, October.
  874. Jorge V Pérez-Rodríguez & María Santana-Gallego, 2020. "Modelling tourism receipts and associated risks, using long-range dependence models," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(1), pages 70-96, February.
  875. Mauro Bernardi & Leopoldo Catania & Lea Petrella, 2014. "Are news important to predict large losses?," Papers 1410.6898, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2014.
  876. Zhu, Qianqian & Zheng, Yao & Li, Guodong, 2018. "Linear double autoregression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 207(1), pages 162-174.
  877. Naimoli, Antonio & Gerlach, Richard & Storti, Giuseppe, 2022. "Improving the accuracy of tail risk forecasting models by combining several realized volatility estimators," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
  878. Mabrouk, Samir & Saadi, Samir, 2012. "Parametric Value-at-Risk analysis: Evidence from stock indices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 305-321.
  879. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Oil Price Returns Skewness and Forecastability of International Stock Returns Over One Century of Data," Working Papers 202339, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  880. Meligkotsidou, Loukia & Vrontos, Ioannis D. & Vrontos, Spyridon D., 2009. "Quantile regression analysis of hedge fund strategies," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 264-279, March.
  881. Boyson, Nicole M. & Stahel, Christof W. & Stulz, Rene M., 2011. "Liquidity Shocks and Hedge Fund Contagion," Working Paper Series 2011-12, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
  882. McMillan, David G. & Speight, Alan E.H. & Evans, Kevin P., 2008. "How useful is intraday data for evaluating daily Value-at-Risk?: Evidence from three Euro rates," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 488-503, December.
  883. Buczyński Mateusz & Chlebus Marcin, 2018. "Comparison of Semi-Parametric and Benchmark Value-At-Risk Models in Several Time Periods with Different Volatility Levels," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 14(2), pages 67-82, June.
  884. Bekaert, Geert & Engstrom, Eric & Ermolov, Andrey, 2015. "Bad environments, good environments: A non-Gaussian asymmetric volatility model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(1), pages 258-275.
  885. Tan, Chia-Yen & Koh, You-Beng & Ng, Kok-Haur & Ng, Kooi-Huat, 2021. "Dynamic volatility modelling of Bitcoin using time-varying transition probability Markov-switching GARCH model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  886. Pilar Abad Romero & Sonia Benito Muela & Miguel Angel Sánchez Granero & Carmen López, 2013. "Evaluating the performance of the skewed distributions to forecast Value at Risk in the Global Financial Crisis," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-40, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
  887. Panagiotis Tzouvanas & Renatas Kizys & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & Roza Sagitova, 2019. "Can Variations in Temperature Explain the Systemic Risk of European Firms?," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 74(4), pages 1723-1759, December.
  888. Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "Can Tail Risk Predict Asia-Pacific Exchange Rates Out of Sample?," Asian Economics Letters, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 2(3), pages 1-6.
  889. Zongwu Cai & Ying Fang & Dingshi Tian, 2024. "CAViaR Model Selection Via Adaptive Lasso," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202403, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2024.
  890. Troster, Victor & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Macedo, Demian Nicolás, 2019. "Bitcoin returns and risk: A general GARCH and GAS analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 187-193.
  891. Mauro Bernardi & Leopoldo Catania, 2016. "Comparison of Value-at-Risk models using the MCS approach," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 579-608, June.
  892. Slim, Skander & Koubaa, Yosra & BenSaïda, Ahmed, 2017. "Value-at-Risk under Lévy GARCH models: Evidence from global stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 30-53.
  893. Allen, David E. & Singh, Abhay K. & Powell, Robert J., 2013. "EVT and tail-risk modelling: Evidence from market indices and volatility series," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 355-369.
  894. Smile Dube, 2019. "GARCH Modelling of Conditional Correlations and Volatility of Exchange rates in BRICS Countries," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 9(1), pages 1-7.
  895. Lidia Sanchis-Marco & Antonio Rubia Serrano, 2011. "On downside risk predictability through liquidity and trading activity: a quantile regression approach," Working Papers. Serie AD 2011-14, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
  896. Wang Yu-Jen & Chung Huimin & Guo Jia-Hau, 2013. "A value-at-risk analysis of carry trades using skew-GARCH models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(4), pages 439-459, September.
  897. Selma Chaker & Nour Meddahi, 2013. "CoMargin," Staff Working Papers 13-47, Bank of Canada.
  898. Mirjana Miletić & Siniša Miletić, 2016. "Performance of VaR in Developed and CEE Countries during the Global Financial Crisis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 54-75, March.
  899. Uribe, Jorge M. & Chuliá, Helena & Guillén, Montserrat, 2017. "Uncertainty, systemic shocks and the global banking sector: Has the crisis modified their relationship?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 52-68.
  900. Trino-Manuel Ñíguez & Javier Perote, 2012. "Forecasting Heavy-Tailed Densities with Positive Edgeworth and Gram-Charlier Expansions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 74(4), pages 600-627, August.
  901. Peter Christoffersen & Silvia Gonçalves, 2004. "Estimation Risk in Financial Risk Management," CIRANO Working Papers 2004s-15, CIRANO.
  902. Carlos Madeira & Joao Madeira, 2015. "Dissent in FOMC Meeting and the Announcement Drift," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 749, Central Bank of Chile.
  903. Dilip Kumar, 2016. "Estimating and forecasting value-at-risk using the unbiased extreme value volatility estimator," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 3205528, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
  904. Neto, David, 2021. "Are Google searches making the Bitcoin market run amok? A tail event analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  905. Jung-Bin Su & Jui-Cheng Hung, 2018. "The Value-At-Risk Estimate of Stock and Currency-Stock Portfolios’ Returns," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-42, November.
  906. Michał Woźniak & Marcin Chlebus, 2021. "HCR & HCR-GARCH – novel statistical learning models for Value at Risk estimation," Working Papers 2021-10, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  907. Xiaochun Meng & James W. Taylor & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Siran Li, 2020. "Scores for Multivariate Distributions and Level Sets," Papers 2002.09578, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
  908. Herman Mørkved Blom & Petter Eilif de Lange & Morten Risstad, 2023. "Estimating Value-at-Risk in the EURUSD Currency Cross from Implied Volatilities Using Machine Learning Methods and Quantile Regression," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-23, June.
  909. Beum‐Jo Park, 2007. "Trading Volume, Volatility, And Garch Effects In The South Korean Won/Us Dollar Exchange Market: Evidence From Conditional Quantile Estimation," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 58(3), pages 382-399, September.
  910. Komunjer, Ivana, 2013. "Quantile Prediction," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 961-994, Elsevier.
  911. Stavros Stavroyiannis, 2016. "Value-at-Risk and backtesting with the APARCH model and the standardized Pearson type IV distribution," Papers 1602.05749, arXiv.org.
  912. Petros Messis & Antonis Alexandridis & Achilleas Zapranis, 2021. "Testing and comparing conditional risk‐return relationship with a new approach in the cross‐sectional framework," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 218-240, January.
  913. Audrino, Francesco & Sigrist, Fabio & Ballinari, Daniele, 2020. "The impact of sentiment and attention measures on stock market volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 334-357.
  914. Laura Ferrando & Román Ferrer & Francisco Jareño, 2017. "Interest Rate Sensitivity of Spanish Industries: A Quantile Regression Approach," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 85(2), pages 212-242, March.
  915. Rubia, Antonio & Sanchis-Marco, Lidia, 2013. "On downside risk predictability through liquidity and trading activity: A dynamic quantile approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 202-219.
  916. Gareth W. Peters, 2018. "General Quantile Time Series Regressions for Applications in Population Demographics," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-47, September.
  917. Raffaella Calabrese & Silvia Osmetti, 2014. "Modelling cross-border systemic risk in the European banking sector: a copula approach," Papers 1411.1348, arXiv.org.
  918. Bali, Turan G. & Mo, Hengyong & Tang, Yi, 2008. "The role of autoregressive conditional skewness and kurtosis in the estimation of conditional VaR," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 269-282, February.
  919. Lang, Korbinian & Auer, Benjamin R., 2020. "The economic and financial properties of crude oil: A review," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  920. Tan, Xue-Ping & Wang, Xin-Yu, 2017. "Dependence changes between the carbon price and its fundamentals: A quantile regression approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 306-325.
  921. Laurini, Márcio Poletti & Furlani, Luiz Gustavo Cassilatti & Portugal, Marcelo Savino, 2008. "Empirical market microstructure: An analysis of the BRL/US$ exchange rate market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 247-265, December.
  922. Di, Junpeng & Zhu, Pingfang, 2015. "A method for evaluating the extreme risk sources of financial markets: The case of stock markets in China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 18-28.
  923. Georges Dionne & Amir Saissi Hassani, 2015. "Endogenous Hidden Markov Regimes in Operational Loss Data: Application to the Recent Financial Crisis," Cahiers de recherche 1516, CIRPEE.
  924. Ahmed BenSaïda & Sabri Boubaker & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Skander Slim, 2018. "Value‐at‐risk under market shifts through highly flexible models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(8), pages 790-804, December.
  925. Yuzhi Cai & Guodong Li, 2018. "A novel approach to modelling the distribution of financial returns," Working Papers 2018-22, Swansea University, School of Management.
  926. René Garcia & Éric Renault & Georges Tsafack, 2007. "Proper Conditioning for Coherent VaR in Portfolio Management," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 53(3), pages 483-494, March.
  927. repec:dau:papers:123456789/15232 is not listed on IDEAS
  928. Ouyang, Minhua & Xiao, Hailian, 2024. "Tail risk spillovers among Chinese stock market sectors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PB).
  929. Giessing, Alexander & He, Xuming, 2019. "On the predictive risk in misspecified quantile regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 235-260.
  930. Rabbani, Mustafa Raza & Billah, Syed Mabruk & Shaik, Muneer & Rahman, Mashuk & Boujlil, Rhada, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness, spillover, and optimal hedging strategy among FinTech, Sukuk, and Islamic equity markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  931. Karim, Sitara & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2024. "When one domino falls, others follow: A machine learning analysis of extreme risk spillovers in developed stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  932. Lyu, Yongjian & Qin, Fanshu & Ke, Rui & Yang, Mo & Chang, Jianing, 2024. "Forecasting the VaR of the crude oil market: A combination of mixed data sampling and extreme value theory," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  933. Baruník, Jozef & Čech, František, 2021. "Measurement of common risks in tails: A panel quantile regression model for financial returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  934. Mauricio Lopera Castano & Ramón Javier Mesa Callejas & Sergio Iván Restrepo Ochoa & Charle Augusto Londono Henao, 2013. "Modelando el esquema de intervenciones del tipo de cambio para Colombia. una aplicación empírica de la técnica de regresión del cuantil bajo redes neu," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, May.
  935. Giglio, Stefano & Kelly, Bryan & Pruitt, Seth, 2016. "Systemic risk and the macroeconomy: An empirical evaluation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(3), pages 457-471.
  936. Balboa, Marina & López-Espinosa, Germán & Rubia, Antonio, 2015. "Granger causality and systemic risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 49-58.
  937. Araújo Santos, P. & Fraga Alves, M.I., 2013. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk with a duration-based POT method," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 295-309.
  938. Christoffersen, Peter & Hahn, Jinyong & Inoue, Atsushi, 2001. "Testing and comparing Value-at-Risk measures," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 325-342, July.
  939. Georgios Tsiotas, 2020. "On the use of power transformations in CAViaR models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 296-312, March.
  940. Manel Youssef & Lotfi Belkacem & Khaled Mokni, 2015. "Extreme Value Theory and long-memory-GARCH Framework: Application to Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 3(8), pages 371-388, August.
  941. Bernard, Carole & Czado, Claudia, 2015. "Conditional quantiles and tail dependence," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 104-126.
  942. Maynard, Alex & Shimotsu, Katsumi & Kuriyama, Nina, 2024. "Inference in predictive quantile regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 245(1).
  943. Zongwu Cai & Chaoqun Ma & Xianhua Mi, 2020. "Realized Volatility Forecasting Based on Dynamic Quantile Model Averaging," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202016, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2020.
  944. Richard Gerlach & Chao Wang, 2016. "Bayesian Semi-parametric Realized-CARE Models for Tail Risk Forecasting Incorporating Realized Measures," Papers 1612.08488, arXiv.org.
  945. Stanislav Anatolyev, 2013. "Objects of nonstructural time series modeling (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 11, pages 1-12, December.
  946. Cerrato, Mario & Crosby, John & Kim, Minjoo & Zhao, Yang, 2014. "Modeling Dependence Structure and Forecasting Portfolio Value-at-Risk with Dynamic Copulas," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon TN 2015-25, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  947. Jooyong Shim & Yongtae Kim & Jangtaek Lee & Changha Hwang, 2012. "Estimating value at risk with semiparametric support vector quantile regression," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 685-700, December.
  948. Su, Jung-Bin, 2015. "Value-at-risk estimates of the stock indices in developed and emerging markets including the spillover effects of currency market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 204-224.
  949. Cheuathonghua, Massaporn & de Boyrie, Maria E. & Pavlova, Ivelina & Wongkantarakorn, Jutamas, 2022. "Extreme risk spillovers from commodity indexes to sovereign CDS spreads of commodity dependent countries: A VAR quantile analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  950. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris & Omoke, Philip C. & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2023. "Gold and tail risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  951. Juan Carlos Escanciano & Jose Olmo, 2007. "Backtesting Parametric Value-at-Risk with Estimation Risk Abstract: One of the implications of the creation of Basel Committee on Banking Supervision was the implementation of Value-at-Risk (VaR) as t," Caepr Working Papers 2007-005, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Economics Department, Indiana University Bloomington.
  952. Chuliá, Helena & Fernández, Julián & Uribe, Jorge M., 2018. "Currency downside risk, liquidity, and financial stability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 83-102.
  953. Slim, Skander & Dahmene, Meriam & Boughrara, Adel, 2020. "How informative are variance risk premium and implied volatility for Value-at-Risk prediction? International evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 22-37.
  954. Manner, Hans & Alavi Fard, Farzad & Pourkhanali, Armin & Tafakori, Laleh, 2019. "Forecasting the joint distribution of Australian electricity prices using dynamic vine copulae," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 143-164.
  955. Lisi, Francesco & Grossi, Luigi & Quaglia, Federico, 2023. "Evaluation of Cost-at-Risk related to the procurement of resources in the ancillary services market. The case of the Italian electricity market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
  956. Allen, D.E. & Powell, R.J. & Singh, A.K., 2016. "Take it to the limit: Innovative CVaR applications to extreme credit risk measurement," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 249(2), pages 465-475.
  957. Thomakos, Dimitrios D. & Wang, Tao, 2010. "'Optimal' probabilistic and directional predictions of financial returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 102-119, January.
  958. Laura Garcia-Jorcano & Lidia Sanchis-Marco, 2023. "Measuring Systemic Risk Using Multivariate Quantile-Located ES Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 1-72.
  959. Stavros Degiannakis & Apostolos Kiohos, 2014. "Multivariate modelling of 10-day-ahead VaR and dynamic correlation for worldwide real estate and stock indices," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 41(2), pages 216 - 232, March.
  960. Bianchi, Michele Leonardo & De Luca, Giovanni & Rivieccio, Giorgia, 2023. "Non-Gaussian models for CoVaR estimation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 391-404.
  961. Svetlana Mira & Nicholas Taylor, 2013. "An International Perspective on Risk Management Quality," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 19(5), pages 935-955, November.
  962. Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Spokoiny, Vladimir & Wang, Weining, 2010. "Local quantile regression," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-005, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
  963. Xu, Qifa & Chen, Lu & Jiang, Cuixia & Yu, Keming, 2020. "Mixed data sampling expectile regression with applications to measuring financial risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 469-486.
  964. Yen, Yu-Min & Yen, Tso-Jung, 2021. "Testing forecast accuracy of expectiles and quantiles with the extremal consistent loss functions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 733-758.
  965. Bonaccolto, Giovanni & Caporin, Massimiliano & Panzica, Roberto Calogero, 2017. "Estimation and model-based combination of causality networks," SAFE Working Paper Series 165, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
  966. Naimoli, Antonio, 2023. "The information content of sentiment indices in forecasting Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall: a Complete Realized Exponential GARCH-X approach," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
  967. Engle, Robert, 2001. "Financial econometrics - A new discipline with new methods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 53-56, January.
  968. Haowen Bao & Zongwu Cai & Yuying Sun & Shouyang Wang, 2023. "Penalized Model Averaging for High Dimensional Quantile Regressions," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202302, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2023.
  969. Taylor, James W. & Buizza, Roberto, 2006. "Density forecasting for weather derivative pricing," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 29-42.
  970. Noh, Jungsik & Lee, Seung Y. & Lee, Sangyeol, 2012. "Quantile regression estimation for discretely observed SDE models with compound Poisson jumps," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 734-738.
  971. Luigi Aldieri & Alessandra Amendola & Vincenzo Candila, 2023. "The Impact of ESG Scores on Risk Market Performance," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-16, April.
  972. Chong-Chuo Chang & Oshamah Lin Lin & Oshamah Yu-Cheng Chang & Oshamah Kun-Zhan Hsu, 2023. "Impact of Financial Liberalization on Firm Risk," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 27(3), pages 14-45, September.
  973. Yingying Xu & Donald Lien, 2020. "Optimal futures hedging for energy commodities: An application of the GAS model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1090-1108, July.
  974. Merlo, Luca & Petrella, Lea & Raponi, Valentina, 2021. "Forecasting VaR and ES using a joint quantile regression and its implications in portfolio allocation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  975. Christophe HURLIN & Sessi TOKPAVI, 2006. "Backtesting VaR Accuracy: A Simple and Powerful Test," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 268, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
  976. Marco Bee & Luca Trapin, 2018. "Estimating and Forecasting Conditional Risk Measures with Extreme Value Theory: A Review," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-16, April.
  977. Yuzhi Cai, 2021. "Estimating expected shortfall using a quantile function model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4332-4360, July.
  978. Yu-Yen Ku & Tze-Yu Yen, 2016. "Heterogeneous Effect of Financial Leverage on Corporate Performance: A Quantile Regression Analysis of Taiwanese Companies," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(03), pages 1-33, September.
  979. Xisong Jin & Francisco Nadal De Simone, 2016. "Tracking Changes in the Intensity of Financial Sector's Systemic Risk," BCL working papers 102, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
  980. Stéphane Goutte & David Guerreiro & Bilel Sanhaji & Sophie Saglio & Julien Chevallier, 2019. "International Financial Markets," Post-Print halshs-02183053, HAL.
  981. Harold D. Chiang & Ryutah Kato & Yuya Sasaki, 2024. "Extremal quantiles of intermediate orders under two-way clustering," Papers 2402.19268, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
  982. Manner, Hans & Reznikova, Olga, 2010. "Forecasting international stock market correlations: does anything beat a CCC?," Discussion Papers in Econometrics and Statistics 7/10, University of Cologne, Institute of Econometrics and Statistics.
  983. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "The Nexus of Sophisticated Digital Assets with Economic Policy Uncertainty: A Survey of Empirical Findings and an Empirical Investigation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-25, May.
  984. Giuseppe Storti & Chao Wang, 2023. "Modeling uncertainty in financial tail risk: A forecast combination and weighted quantile approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1648-1663, November.
  985. Hammadi Zouari, 2022. "On the Effectiveness of Stock Index Futures for Tail Risk Protection," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 38-52, May.
IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.