IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/sfb649/sfb649dp2011-005.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Local quantile regression

Author

Listed:
  • Härdle, Wolfgang Karl
  • Spokoiny, Vladimir
  • Wang, Weining

Abstract

Conditional quantile curves provide a comprehensive picture of a response contingent on explanatory variables. Quantile regression is a technique to estimate such curves. In a flexible modeling framework, a specific form of the quantile is not a priori fixed. Indeed, the majority of applications do not per se require specific functional forms. This motivates a local parametric rather than a global fixed model fitting approach. A nonparametric smoothing estimate of the conditional quantile curve requires to consider a balance between local curvature and variance. In this paper, we analyze a method based on a local model selection technique that provides an adaptive estimate. Theoretical properties on mimicking the oracle choice are offered and applications to stock market and weather analysis are presented.

Suggested Citation

  • Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Spokoiny, Vladimir & Wang, Weining, 2010. "Local quantile regression," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-005, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:sfb649:sfb649dp2011-005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/56710/1/642769036.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cai, Zongwu & Wang, Xian, 2008. "Nonparametric estimation of conditional VaR and expected shortfall," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 120-130, November.
    2. Robert F. Engle & Simone Manganelli, 2004. "CAViaR: Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 367-381, October.
    3. Kong, Efang & Linton, Oliver & Xia, Yingcun, 2010. "Uniform Bahadur Representation For Local Polynomial Estimates Of M-Regression And Its Application To The Additive Model," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(5), pages 1529-1564, October.
    4. Bernd Fitzenberger & Ralf Wilke, 2006. "Using quantile regression for duration analysis," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 90(1), pages 105-120, March.
    5. Härdle, Wolfgang K. & Song, Song, 2010. "Confidence Bands In Quantile Regression," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(4), pages 1180-1200, August.
    6. Ruppert,David & Wand,M. P. & Carroll,R. J., 2003. "Semiparametric Regression," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521785167, November.
    7. H. A. Hauksson & M. Dacorogna & T. Domenig & U. Mller & G. Samorodnitsky, 2001. "Multivariate extremes, aggregation and risk estimation," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(1), pages 79-95.
    8. Yu, Keming & Jones, M. C., 1997. "A comparison of local constant and local linear regression quantile estimators," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 159-166, July.
    9. Cai, Zongwu & Xu, Xiaoping, 2009. "Nonparametric Quantile Estimations for Dynamic Smooth Coefficient Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(485), pages 371-383.
    10. Ruppert,David & Wand,M. P. & Carroll,R. J., 2003. "Semiparametric Regression," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521780506, November.
    11. Inyoung Kim & Noah D. Cohen & Raymond J. Carroll, 2003. "Semiparametric Regression Splines in Matched Case-Control Studies," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 59(4), pages 1158-1169, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Schaumburg, Julia, 2010. "Predicting extreme VaR: Nonparametric quantile regression with refinements from extreme value theory," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-009, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    2. Guo, Mengmeng & Zhou, Lhan & Huang, Jianhua Z. & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2013. "Functional data analysis of generalized quantile regressions," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2013-001, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    3. Otto-Sobotka, Fabian & Salvati, Nicola & Ranalli, Maria Giovanna & Kneib, Thomas, 2019. "Adaptive semiparametric M-quantile regression," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 11(C), pages 116-129.
    4. Arthur Charpentier & Emmanuel Flachaire & Antoine Ly, 2017. "Econom\'etrie et Machine Learning," Papers 1708.06992, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2018.
    5. Hyunju Son & Youyi Fong, 2021. "Fast grid search and bootstrap‐based inference for continuous two‐phase polynomial regression models," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), May.
    6. Dingshi Tian & Zongwu Cai & Ying Fang, 2018. "Econometric Modeling of Risk Measures: A Selective Review of the Recent Literature," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201807, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2018.
    7. Wei Huang & Oliver Linton & Zheng Zhang, 2022. "A Unified Framework for Specification Tests of Continuous Treatment Effect Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(4), pages 1817-1830, October.
    8. Dlugosz, Stephan & Mammen, Enno & Wilke, Ralf A., 2017. "Generalized partially linear regression with misclassified data and an application to labour market transitions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 145-159.
    9. Zi Ye & Giles Hooker & Stephen P. Ellner, 2021. "Generalized Single Index Models and Jensen Effects on Reproduction and Survival," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 26(3), pages 492-512, September.
    10. Ferraccioli, Federico & Sangalli, Laura M. & Finos, Livio, 2022. "Some first inferential tools for spatial regression with differential regularization," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    11. Akdeniz Duran, Esra & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Osipenko, Maria, 2012. "Difference based ridge and Liu type estimators in semiparametric regression models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 164-175.
    12. Nagler Thomas & Schellhase Christian & Czado Claudia, 2017. "Nonparametric estimation of simplified vine copula models: comparison of methods," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 99-120, January.
    13. Basile, Roberto & Durbán, María & Mínguez, Román & María Montero, Jose & Mur, Jesús, 2014. "Modeling regional economic dynamics: Spatial dependence, spatial heterogeneity and nonlinearities," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 229-245.
    14. Morteza Amini & Mahdi Roozbeh & Nur Anisah Mohamed, 2024. "Separation of the Linear and Nonlinear Covariates in the Sparse Semi-Parametric Regression Model in the Presence of Outliers," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-17, January.
    15. Chen, Haiqiang & Fang, Ying & Li, Yingxing, 2015. "Estimation And Inference For Varying-Coefficient Models With Nonstationary Regressors Using Penalized Splines," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(4), pages 753-777, August.
    16. Wahba, Jackline & Schluter, Christian, 2009. "Illegal migration, wages and remittances- semi-parametric estimation of illegality effects," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 913, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    17. Feng, Yuanhua & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2020. "A data-driven P-spline smoother and the P-Spline-GARCH models," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2020-016, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    18. Schmidt, Rouven & Kneib, Thomas, 2023. "Multivariate distributional stochastic frontier models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    19. Clark, Andrew E. & Etilé, Fabrice, 2011. "Happy house: Spousal weight and individual well-being," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 1124-1136.
    20. Hannes Matuschek & Reinhold Kliegl & Matthias Holschneider, 2015. "Smoothing Spline ANOVA Decomposition of Arbitrary Splines: An Application to Eye Movements in Reading," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-15, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    conditional quantiles; semiparametric and nonparametric methods; asymmetric Laplace distribution; exponential risk bounds; adaptive bandwidth selection;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C00 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • J01 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General - - - Labor Economics: General
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:sfb649:sfb649dp2011-005. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/sohubde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.