My bibliography
Save this item
Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies
Citations
Blog mentions
As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:- Forecasting Volatility II
by Clive Jones in Business Forecasting on 2013-04-10 22:31:01
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Szabolcs Blazsek & Marco Villatoro, 2015. "Is Beta- t -EGARCH(1,1) superior to GARCH(1,1)?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(17), pages 1764-1774, April.
- Audrino, Francesco & Fengler, Matthias R., 2015.
"Are classical option pricing models consistent with observed option second-order moments? Evidence from high-frequency data,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 46-63.
- Audrino, Francesco & Fengler, Matthias, 2013. "Are classical option pricing models consistent with observed option second-order moments? Evidence from high-frequency data," Economics Working Paper Series 1311, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard & Frederiksen, Per, 2008.
"Finite sample accuracy and choice of sampling frequency in integrated volatility estimation,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 265-286, March.
- Morten Ø. Nielsen & Per Houmann Frederiksen, 2005. "Finite Sample Accuracy Of Integrated Volatility Estimators," Working Paper 1225, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- Andrea Bucci, 2020.
"Realized Volatility Forecasting with Neural Networks,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 502-531.
- Andrea Bucci, 0. "Realized Volatility Forecasting with Neural Networks," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 502-531.
- Bucci, Andrea, 2019. "Realized Volatility Forecasting with Neural Networks," MPRA Paper 95443, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Becker, Ralf & Clements, Adam E., 2008.
"Are combination forecasts of S&P 500 volatility statistically superior?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 122-133.
- Ralf Becker & Adam Clements, 2007. "Are combination forecasts of S&P 500 volatility statistically superior?," NCER Working Paper Series 17, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Harvey, Andrew & Palumbo, Dario, 2023.
"Score-driven models for realized volatility,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Harvey, A. & Palumbo, D., 2019. "Score-Driven Models for Realized Volatility," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1950, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Tae-Hwy Lee & Ekaterina Seregina & Yaojue Xu, 2023. "Elicitability and Encompassing for Volatility Forecasts by Bregman Functions," Working Papers 202311, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Christian T. Brownlees & Giampiero M. Gallo & David Veredas, 2010. "Disentangling Systematic and Idiosyncratic Risk for Large Panels of Assets," Econometrics Working Papers Archive wp2010_06, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Eduardo Rossi & Dean Fantazzini, 2015.
"Long Memory and Periodicity in Intraday Volatility,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(4), pages 922-961.
- Eduardo Rossi & Dean Fantazzini, 2012. "Long memory and Periodicity in Intraday Volatility," DEM Working Papers Series 015, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
- Aktham Maghyereh & Hussein Abdoh, 2022. "Global financial crisis versus COVID‐19: Evidence from sentiment analysis," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 218-248, August.
- Özbekler, Ali Gencay & Kontonikas, Alexandros & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2021.
"Volatility forecasting in European government bond markets,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1691-1709.
- Özbekler, Ali Gencay & Kontonikas, Alexandros & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2020. "Volatility Forecasting in European Government Bond Markets," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 27362, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2022.
"Forecasting realized volatility of agricultural commodities,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 74-96.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Agricultural Commodities," MPRA Paper 96267, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Xiaoning Kang & Xinwei Deng & Kam‐Wah Tsui & Mohsen Pourahmadi, 2020. "On variable ordination of modified Cholesky decomposition for estimating time‐varying covariance matrices," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 88(3), pages 616-641, December.
- Georgiana-Denisa Banulescu & Bertrand Candelon & Christophe Hurlin & Sébastien Laurent, 2014. "Do We Need Ultra-High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?," Working Papers halshs-01078158, HAL.
- Bermudez, P. de Zea & Marín, J. Miguel & Rue, Håvard & Veiga, Helena, 2024. "Integrated nested Laplace approximations for threshold stochastic volatility models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 15-35.
- Donggyu Kim & Minseok Shin & Yazhen Wang, 2023.
"Overnight GARCH-Itô Volatility Models,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1215-1227, October.
- Donggyu Kim & Minseok Shin & Yazhen Wang, 2021. "Overnight GARCH-It\^o Volatility Models," Papers 2102.13467, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
- Neil Shephard & Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Department of Mathematical Sciences & University of Aarhus & Denmark, 2005.
"Variation, jumps, market frictions and high frequency data in financial econometrics,"
Economics Series Working Papers
240, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2005. "Variation, jumps, market frictions and high frequency data in financial econometrics," OFRC Working Papers Series 2005fe08, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
- Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2005. "Variation, jumps, market frictions and high frequency data in financial econometrics," Economics Papers 2005-W16, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Cavit Pakel & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2009.
"Nuisance parameters, composite likelihoods and a panel of GARCH models,"
Economics Papers
2009-W12, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Cavit Pakel & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2009. "Nuisance parameters, composite likelihoods and a panel of GARCH models," OFRC Working Papers Series 2009fe03, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
- Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2009. "Nuisance parameters, composite likelihoods and a panel of GARCH models," Economics Series Working Papers 458, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2016.
"Intra-day realized volatility for European and USA stock indices,"
Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 24-41.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2014. "Intra-Day Realized Volatility for European and USA Stock Indices," MPRA Paper 64940, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jan 2015.
- Janus, Paweł & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André, 2014.
"Long memory dynamics for multivariate dependence under heavy tails,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 187-206.
- Pawel Janus & Siem Jan Koopman & André Lucas, 2011. "Long Memory Dynamics for Multivariate Dependence under Heavy Tails," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-175/2/DSF28, Tinbergen Institute.
- Segnon, Mawuli & Gupta, Rangan & Wilfling, Bernd, 2024.
"Forecasting stock market volatility with regime-switching GARCH-MIDAS: The role of geopolitical risks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 29-43.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Bernd Wilfling, 2022. "Forecasting Stock Market Volatility with Regime-Switching GARCH-MIDAS: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 202203, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- repec:lan:wpaper:3046 is not listed on IDEAS
- Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2023.
"DCC- and DECO-HEAVY: Multivariate GARCH models based on realized variances and correlations,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 938-955.
- Bauwens, Luc & Xu, Yongdeng, 2019. "DCC and DECO-HEAVY: a multivariate GARCH model based on realized variances and correlations," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2019/5, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Aug 2021.
- Geert Dhaene & Piet Sercu & Jianbin Wu, 2022. "Volatility spillovers: A sparse multivariate GARCH approach with an application to commodity markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(5), pages 868-887, May.
- Dean Fantazzini, 2024.
"Adaptive Conformal Inference for Computing Market Risk Measures: An Analysis with Four Thousand Crypto-Assets,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-44, June.
- Fantazzini, Dean, 2024. "Adaptive Conformal Inference for computing Market Risk Measures: an Analysis with Four Thousands Crypto-Assets," MPRA Paper 121214, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- N. Antonakakis & J. Darby, 2013.
"Forecasting volatility in developing countries' nominal exchange returns,"
Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(21), pages 1675-1691, November.
- Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Darby, Julia, 2012. "Forecasting Volatility in Developing Countries' Nominal Exchange Returns," MPRA Paper 40875, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Christophe Hurlin & Jérémy Leymarie & Antoine Patin, 2018.
"Loss functions for LGD model comparison,"
Working Papers
halshs-01516147, HAL.
- Jérémy Leymarie & Christophe Hurlin & Antoine Patin, 2018. "Loss Functions for LGD Models Comparison," Post-Print hal-01923050, HAL.
- Demetrio Lacava & Luca Scaffidi Domianello, 2021. "The Incidence of Spillover Effects during the Unconventional Monetary Policies Era," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, May.
- Ke Yang & Langnan Chen & Fengping Tian, 2015. "Realized Volatility Forecast of Stock Index Under Structural Breaks," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(1), pages 57-82, January.
- Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2009.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models,"
CARF F-Series
CARF-F-189, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Michael McAleer & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2010. "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models," Textos para discussão 568, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- McAleer, M.J. & Medeiros, M.C., 2009. "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2009-37, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Michael McAleer & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2009. "Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-686, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Shelton Peiris & Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2017.
"Estimating and Forecasting Generalized Fractional Long Memory Stochastic Volatility Models,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-16, December.
- Peiris, S. & Asai, M. & McAleer, M.J., 2016. "Estimating and Forecasting Generalized Fractional Long Memory Stochastic Volatility Models," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2016-27, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Shelton Peiris & Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2016. "Estimating and Forecasting Generalized Fractional Long Memory Stochastic Volatility Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-044/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Shelton Peiris & Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2016. "Estimating and forecasting generalized fractional Long memory stochastic volatility models," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2016-08, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chao Liang & Yin Liao & Feng Ma & Bo Zhu, 2022. "United States Oil Fund volatility prediction: the roles of leverage effect and jumps," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2239-2262, May.
- Cerovecki, Clément & Francq, Christian & Hörmann, Siegfried & Zakoïan, Jean-Michel, 2019.
"Functional GARCH models: The quasi-likelihood approach and its applications,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 209(2), pages 353-375.
- Cerovecki, Clément & Francq, Christian & Hormann, Siegfried & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2018. "Functional GARCH models: the quasi-likelihood approach and its applications," MPRA Paper 83990, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Aslan, Aydin & Posch, Peter N., 2022. "Does carbon price volatility affect European stock market sectors? A connectedness network analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2013.
"Modeling CAC40 volatility using ultra-high frequency data,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 68-81.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Floros, Christos, 2013. "Modeling CAC40 Volatility Using Ultra-high Frequency Data," MPRA Paper 80445, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Bauwens, Luc & Braione, Manuela & Storti, Giuseppe, 2017.
"A dynamic component model for forecasting high-dimensional realized covariance matrices,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 1(C), pages 40-61.
- BAUWENS, Luc & BRAIONE, Manuela & STORTI, Giuseppe, 2016. "A dynamic component model for forecasting high-dimensional realized covariance matrices," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2016001, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Luc Bauwens & Manuela Braione & Giuseppe Storti, 2020. "A Dynamic Component Model for Forecasting High-Dimensional Realized Covariances Matrices," Working Papers 3_234, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Statistiche, Università degli Studi di Salerno, revised Jul 2020.
- Luc BAUWENS, Manuela BRAIONE and Giuseppe STORTI & Luc BAUWENS, Manuela BRAIONE and Giuseppe STORTI & Luc BAUWENS, Manuela BRAIONE and Giuseppe STORTI, 2017. "A dynamic component model for forecasting high-dimensional realized covariance matrices," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2812, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Benavides, Guillermo & Capistrán, Carlos, 2012.
"Forecasting exchange rate volatility: The superior performance of conditional combinations of time series and option implied forecasts,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 627-639.
- Benavides Guillermo & Capistrán Carlos, 2009. "Forecasting Exchange Rate Volatility: The Superior Performance of Conditional Combinations of Time Series and Option Implied Forecasts," Working Papers 2009-01, Banco de México.
- Xilong Chen & Eric Ghysels, 2011. "News--Good or Bad--and Its Impact on Volatility Predictions over Multiple Horizons," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(1), pages 46-81, October.
- Mario V. Wuthrich & Johanna Ziegel, 2023. "Isotonic Recalibration under a Low Signal-to-Noise Ratio," Papers 2301.02692, arXiv.org.
- Hui Qu & Tianyang Wang & Peng Shangguan & Mengying He, 2024. "Revisiting the puzzle of jumps in volatility forecasting: The new insights of high‐frequency jump intensity," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 218-251, February.
- Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020.
"Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility and Co-volatility of Crude Oil and Gold Futures: Effects of Leverage, Jumps, Spillovers, and Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201951, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Byun, Suk Joon & Kim, Jun Sik, 2013. "The information content of risk-neutral skewness for volatility forecasting," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 142-161.
- Daisuke Nagakura & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2015.
"A State Space Approach to Estimating the Integrated Variance under the Existence of Market Microstructure Noise,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(1), pages 45-82.
- Daisuke Nagakura & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2010. "A State Space Approach to Estimating the Integrated Variance under the Existence of Market Microstructure Noise," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd09-115, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Daisuke Nagakura & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2011. "A State Space Approach to Estimating the Integrated Variance under the Existence of Market Microstructure Noise," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd11-200, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Liu, Yang & Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang, 2021. "The impact of geopolitical uncertainty on energy volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Tsiaras, Leonidas, 2009.
"The Forecast Performance of Competing Implied Volatility Measures: The Case of Individual Stocks,"
Finance Research Group Working Papers
F-2009-02, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies.
- Leonidas Tsiaras, 2010. "The Forecast Performance of Competing Implied Volatility Measures: The Case of Individual Stocks," CREATES Research Papers 2010-34, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Hung, Jui-Cheng & Liu, Hung-Chun & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2020. "Improving the realized GARCH’s volatility forecast for Bitcoin with jump-robust estimators," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2017-025 is not listed on IDEAS
- Shen, Zhiwei & Ritter, Matthias, 2016.
"Forecasting volatility of wind power production,"
Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 295-308.
- Shen, Zhiwei & Ritter, Matthias, 2015. "Forecasting volatility of wind power production," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2015-026, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Francq, Christian, 2023.
"Two-stage weighted least squares estimator of the conditional mean of observation-driven time series models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Francq, Christian, 2019. "Two-stage weighted least squares estimator of the conditional mean of observation-driven time series models," MPRA Paper 97382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yuta Kurose, 2021. "Stochastic volatility model with range-based correction and leverage," Papers 2110.00039, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
- Lu Wang & Feng Ma & Guoshan Liu & Qiaoqi Lang, 2023. "Do extreme shocks help forecast oil price volatility? The augmented GARCH‐MIDAS approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 2056-2073, April.
- Golosnoy, Vasyl & Hamid, Alain & Okhrin, Yarema, 2014. "The empirical similarity approach for volatility prediction," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 321-329.
- Sucarrat, Genaro, 2020. "Identification of Volatility Proxies as Expectations of Squared Financial Return," MPRA Paper 101953, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yafeng Shi & Tingting Ying & Yanlong Shi & Chunrong Ai, 2020. "A comparison of conditional predictive ability of implied volatility and realized measures in forecasting volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 1025-1034, November.
- Georgios Tsiotas, 2009. "On the use of non-linear transformations in Stochastic Volatility models," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 18(4), pages 555-583, November.
- Hui ‘Fox’ Ling & Christian Franzen, 2017. "Online learning of time-varying stochastic factor structure by variational sequential Bayesian factor analysis," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(8), pages 1277-1304, August.
- Takahashi, Makoto & Watanabe, Toshiaki & Omori, Yasuhiro, 2016.
"Volatility and quantile forecasts by realized stochastic volatility models with generalized hyperbolic distribution,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 437-457.
- Makoto Takahashi & Toshiaki Watanabe & Yasuhiro Omori, 2014. "Volatility and Quantile Forecasts by Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Hyperbolic Distribution," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-921, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Makoto Takahashi & Toshiaki Watanabe & Yasuhiro Omori, 2015. "Volatility and Quantile Forecasts by Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Hyperbolic Distribution," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-975, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Makoto Takahashi & Toshiaki Watanabe & Yasuhiro Omori, 2014. "Volatility and Quantile Forecasts by Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Hyperbolic Distribution," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-949, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Sheng, Lin Wen & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Sen, Ding & Hao, Zhu Shi, 2024. "The asymmetric volatility spillover across Shanghai, Hong Kong and the U.S. stock markets: A regime weighted measure and its forecast inference," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Hyunsu Kim, 2021. "Deep Hedging, Generative Adversarial Networks, and Beyond," Papers 2103.03913, arXiv.org.
- Nicholas Taylor, 2014. "The Economic Value of Volatility Forecasts: A Conditional Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 433-478.
- LAURENT, Sébastien & VIOLANTE, Francesco, 2012. "Volatility forecasts evaluation and comparison," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2414, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Kawakatsu Hiroyuki, 2021. "Simple Multivariate Conditional Covariance Dynamics Using Hyperbolically Weighted Moving Averages," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 33-52, January.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2021. "What drives volatility of the U.S. oil and gas firms?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
- Richard K. Crump & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018.
"Changing Risk-Return Profiles,"
Liberty Street Economics
20181004, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Richard K. Crump & Miro Everaert & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018. "Changing Risk-Return Profiles," Staff Reports 850, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Bu, Ruijun & Hizmeri, Rodrigo & Izzeldin, Marwan & Murphy, Anthony & Tsionas, Mike, 2023.
"The contribution of jump signs and activity to forecasting stock price volatility,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 144-164.
- , 2019. "The Contribution of Jump Signs and Activity to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility," Working Papers 1902, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 17 Dec 2022.
- Ruijun Bu & Rodrigo Hizmeri & Marwan Izzeldin & Anthony Murphy & Mike G. Tsionas, 2021. "The Contribution of Jump Signs and Activity to Forecasting Stock Price Volatility," Working Papers 202109, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
- Palandri, Alessandro, 2009. "Sequential conditional correlations: Inference and evaluation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 153(2), pages 122-132, December.
- Pan, Ging-Ginq & Shiu, Yung-Ming & Wu, Tu-Cheng, 2024. "Extrapolation and option-implied kurtosis in volatility forecasting," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- David E. Rapach & Jack K. Strauss, 2008. "Structural breaks and GARCH models of exchange rate volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 65-90.
- P. de Zea Bermudez & J. Miguel Marín & Helena Veiga, 2020.
"Data cloning estimation for asymmetric stochastic volatility models,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(10), pages 1057-1074, November.
- Zea Bermudez, Patrícia de, 2019. "Data cloning estimation for asymmetric stochastic volatility models," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 28214, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Cipollini, Fabrizio & Gallo, Giampiero M. & Otranto, Edoardo, 2021.
"Realized volatility forecasting: Robustness to measurement errors,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 44-57.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2019. "Realized Volatility Forecasting: Robustness to Measurement Errors," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2019_04, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Chao Zhang & Xingyue Pu & Mihai Cucuringu & Xiaowen Dong, 2023. "Graph Neural Networks for Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility with Spillover Effects," Papers 2308.01419, arXiv.org.
- Lai T. Hoang & Dirk G. Baur, 2020. "Forecasting bitcoin volatility: Evidence from the options market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(10), pages 1584-1602, October.
- Matteo Luciani & David Veredas, 2012. "A model for vast panels of volatilities," Working Papers 1230, Banco de España.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Patton, Andrew J. & Quaedvlieg, Rogier, 2018.
"Modeling and forecasting (un)reliable realized covariances for more reliable financial decisions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 207(1), pages 71-91.
- Tim Bollerslev & Andrew J. Patton & Rogier Quaedvlieg, 2016. "Modeling and Forecasting (Un)Reliable Realized Covariances for More Reliable Financial Decisions," CREATES Research Papers 2016-10, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Taylor, Nicholas, 2007. "A note on the importance of overnight information in risk management models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 161-180, January.
- BAUWENS, Luc & BRAIONE, Manuela & STORTI, Giuseppe, 2016. "Multiplicative Conditional Correlation Models for Realized Covariance Matrices," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2016041, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Christensen, K. & Podolskij, M. & Thamrongrat, N. & Veliyev, B., 2017.
"Inference from high-frequency data: A subsampling approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(2), pages 245-272.
- Kim Christensen & Mark Podolskij & Nopporn Thamrongrat & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2015. "Inference from high-frequency data: A subsampling approach," CREATES Research Papers 2015-45, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- João F. Caldeira & Guilherme V. Moura & Francisco J. Nogales & André A. P. Santos, 2017. "Combining Multivariate Volatility Forecasts: An Economic-Based Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(2), pages 247-285.
- Kumar, Dilip, 2015. "Sudden changes in extreme value volatility estimator: Modeling and forecasting with economic significance analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 354-371.
- Dimitrios I. Vortelinos, 2015. "Out‐of‐sample evaluation of macro announcements, linearity, long memory, heterogeneity and jumps in mini‐futures markets," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 27(1), pages 58-67, November.
- Haukvik, Nicole & Cheraghali, Hamid & Molnár, Peter, 2024. "The role of investors’ fear in crude oil volatility forecasting," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
- Edoardo Otranto & Romana Gargano, 2015.
"Financial clustering in presence of dominant markets,"
Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 9(3), pages 315-339, September.
- R. Gargano & E. Otranto, 2013. "Financial Clustering in Presence of Dominant Markets," Working Paper CRENoS 201318, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
- Oliver Pfante & Nils Bertschinger, 2019. "Volatility Inference And Return Dependencies In Stochastic Volatility Models," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(03), pages 1-44, May.
- Zouheir Mighri & Raouf Jaziri, 2023. "Long-Memory, Asymmetry and Fat-Tailed GARCH Models in Value-at-Risk Estimation: Empirical Evidence from the Global Real Estate Markets," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 21(1), pages 41-97, March.
- Mika Meitz & Daniel Preve & Pentti Saikkonen, 2023.
"A mixture autoregressive model based on Student’s t–distribution,"
Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(2), pages 499-515, January.
- Mika Meitz & Daniel Preve & Pentti Saikkonen, 2018. "A mixture autoregressive model based on Student’s t–distribution," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2018_013, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Mika Meitz & Daniel Preve & Pentti Saikkonen, 2018. "A mixture autoregressive model based on Student's $t$-distribution," Papers 1805.04010, arXiv.org.
- Braione, Manuela, 2016.
"A time-varying long run HEAVY model,"
Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 36-44.
- BRAIONE, Manuela, 2016. "A time-varying long run HEAVY model," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2016002, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Fiszeder, Piotr & Perczak, Grzegorz, 2016. "Low and high prices can improve volatility forecasts during periods of turmoil," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 398-410.
- Dilip Kumar, 2016. "Sudden changes in crude oil price volatility: an application of extreme value volatility estimator," American Journal of Finance and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(3/4), pages 215-234.
- Hui ‘Fox’ Ling & Douglas B. Stone, 2016. "Time-varying forecasts by variational approximation of sequential Bayesian inference," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 43-67, January.
- Yi, Yongsheng & He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Out-of-sample prediction of Bitcoin realized volatility: Do other cryptocurrencies help?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Christian T. Brownlees & Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2011. "Multiplicative Error Models," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2011_03, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", revised Apr 2011.
- Heejoon Han & Myung D. Park & Shen Zhang, 2015. "A Multiplicative Error Model with Heterogeneous Components for Forecasting Realized Volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 209-219, April.
- Dimitris N. Politis & Dimitrios D. Thomakos, 2007.
"NoVaS Transformations: Flexible Inference for Volatility Forecasting,"
Working Paper series
44_07, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Politis, Dimitris N & Thomakos, Dimitrios D, 2008. "NoVaS Transformations: Flexible Inference for Volatility Forecasting," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt982208kx, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Dimitris Politis & Dimitrios Thomakos, 2007. "NoVaS Transformations: Flexible Inference for Volatility Forecasting," Working Papers 0005, University of Peloponnese, Department of Economics.
- Kruse, Robinson & Leschinski, Christian & Will, Michael, 2016.
"Comparing Predictive Accuracy under Long Memory - With an Application to Volatility Forecasting,"
Hannover Economic Papers (HEP)
dp-571, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Robinson Kruse & Christian Leschinski & Michael Will, 2016. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy under Long Memory - With an Application to Volatility Forecasting," CREATES Research Papers 2016-17, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Jian Liu & Ziting Zhang & Lizhao Yan & Fenghua Wen, 2021. "Forecasting the volatility of EUA futures with economic policy uncertainty using the GARCH-MIDAS model," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-19, December.
- Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Feng Ma & Yu Wei, 2022. "To jump or not to jump: momentum of jumps in crude oil price volatility prediction," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-31, December.
- Werge, Nicklas & Wintenberger, Olivier, 2022.
"AdaVol: An Adaptive Recursive Volatility Prediction Method,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 19-35.
- Nicklas Werge & Olivier Wintenberger, 2020. "AdaVol: An Adaptive Recursive Volatility Prediction Method," Papers 2006.02077, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
- Nicklas Werge & Olivier Wintenberger, 2022. "AdaVol: An Adaptive Recursive Volatility Prediction Method," Post-Print hal-02733439, HAL.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2017. "Forecasting realized volatility: HAR against Principal Components Combining, neural networks and GARCH," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 824-839.
- Alizadeh, Amir H. & Huang, Chih-Yueh & Marsh, Ian W., 2021. "Modelling the volatility of TOCOM energy futures: A regime switching realised volatility approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
- Ruijun Bu & Jie Cheng & Fredj Jawadi, 2022. "A latent‐factor‐driven endogenous regime‐switching non‐Gaussian model: Evidence from simulation and application," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 3881-3896, October.
- Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2013. "A No‐Arbitrage Fractional Cointegration Model for Futures and Spot Daily Ranges," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 77-102, January.
- Huang, Wen & Huang, Zhuo & Matei, Marius & Wang, Tianyi, 2012. "Price Volatility Forecast for Agricultural Commodity Futures: The Role of High Frequency Data," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 83-103, December.
- Boudt, Kris & Daníelsson, Jón & Laurent, Sébastien, 2013. "Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 244-257.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Gabriel G. Velo, 2011. "Modeling and forecasting realized range volatility," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0128, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Jun Lu & Shao Yi, 2022. "Reducing Overestimating and Underestimating Volatility via the Augmented Blending-ARCH Model," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 9(2), pages 48-59, May.
- Basistha, Arabinda & Kurov, Alexander & Wolfe, Marketa Halova, 2019. "Volatility Forecasting: The Role of Internet Search Activity and Implied Volatility," MPRA Paper 111037, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jianqiong & Dong, Dayong, 2022. "Singlehanded or joint race? Stock market volatility prediction," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 734-754.
- Rombouts, Jeroen & Stentoft, Lars & Violante, Franceso, 2014.
"The value of multivariate model sophistication: An application to pricing Dow Jones Industrial Average options,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 78-98.
- Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Lars Stentoft & Francesco Violante, 2012. "The Value of Multivariate Model Sophistication: An Application to pricing Dow Jones Industrial Average options," CREATES Research Papers 2012-04, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- ROMBOUTS, Jeroen V. K. & STENTOFT, Lars & VIOLANTE, Francesco, 2012. "The value of multivariate model sophistication: an application to pricing Dow Jones Industrial Average options," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2012003, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Jeroen Rombouts & Lars Stentoft & Francesco Violente, 2012. "The Value of Multivariate Model Sophistication: An Application to pricing Dow Jones Industrial Average Options," CIRANO Working Papers 2012s-05, CIRANO.
- Prateek Sharma & Swati Sharma, 2015. "Forecasting gains of robust realized variance estimators: evidence from European stock markets," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(1), pages 61-69.
- Conrad, Christian & Karanasos, Menelaos & Zeng, Ning, 2011. "Multivariate fractionally integrated APARCH modeling of stock market volatility: A multi-country study," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 147-159, January.
- Silvia Muzzioli & Luca Gambarelli & Bernard De Baets, 2018. "Indices for Financial Market Volatility Obtained Through Fuzzy Regression," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(06), pages 1659-1691, November.
- Constantin ANGHELACHE & Madalina-Gabriela ANGHEL & Tudor SAMSON & Radu STOICA, 2017. "Methods And Techniques For Preparing Forecasts," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 65(4), pages 26-36, April.
- M. Pilar Muñoz & M. Dolores Marquez & Lesly M. Acosta, 2007. "Forecasting volatility by means of threshold models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(5), pages 343-363.
- Qifa Xu & Lu Chen & Cuixia Jiang & Yezheng Liu, 2022. "Forecasting expected shortfall and value at risk with a joint elicitable mixed data sampling model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 407-421, April.
- Barunik, Jozef & Krehlik, Tomas & Vacha, Lukas, 2016.
"Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in time-frequency domain,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 251(1), pages 329-340.
- Jozef Barunik & Tomas Krehlik & Lukas Vacha, 2012. "Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in time-frequency domain," Papers 1204.1452, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2015.
- Barunik, Jozef & Krehlik, Tomas & Vacha, Lukas, 2016. "Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in time-frequency domain," FinMaP-Working Papers 55, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Isao Ishida & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2009.
"Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of the Nikkei 225 Realized Volatility Using the ARFIMA-GARCH Model,"
CIRJE F-Series
CIRJE-F-608, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Isao Ishida & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2009. "Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of the Nikkei 225 Realized Volatility Using the ARFIMA-GARCH Model," CARF F-Series CARF-F-145, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Isao Ishida & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2009. "Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of the Nikkei 225 Realized Volatility Using the ARFIMA-GARCH Model," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd08-032, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Catania, Leopoldo & Grassi, Stefano, 2022. "Forecasting cryptocurrency volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 878-894.
- Post, Thierry & Karabatı, Selçuk & Arvanitis, Stelios, 2019. "Robust optimization of forecast combinations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 910-926.
- Yudong Wang & Li Liu, 2016. "Crude oil and world stock markets: volatility spillovers, dynamic correlations, and hedging," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 1481-1509, June.
- Han, Lin & Kordzakhia, Nino & Trück, Stefan, 2020. "Volatility spillovers in Australian electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
- Pan, Zhiyuan & Wang, Yudong & Wu, Chongfeng & Yin, Libo, 2017. "Oil price volatility and macroeconomic fundamentals: A regime switching GARCH-MIDAS model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 130-142.
- Chao Liang & Yan Li & Feng Ma & Yaojie Zhang, 2022. "Forecasting international equity market volatility: A new approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1433-1457, November.
- Liu, Lily Y. & Patton, Andrew J. & Sheppard, Kevin, 2015.
"Does anything beat 5-minute RV? A comparison of realized measures across multiple asset classes,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 293-311.
- Kevin Sheppard & Lily Liu & Andrew J. Patton, 2013. "Does Anything Beat 5-Minute RV? A Comparison of Realized Measures Across Multiple Asset Classes," Economics Series Working Papers 645, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Laura Gianfagna & Armando Rungi, 2017. "Does corporate control matter to financial volatility?," Working Papers 09/2017, IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca, revised Nov 2017.
- Lucia Alessi & Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2006. "Generalized Dynamic Factor Model + GARCH Exploiting Multivariate Information for Univariate Prediction," LEM Papers Series 2006/13, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Venter, J.H. & de Jongh, P.J., 2014. "Extended stochastic volatility models incorporating realised measures," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 687-707.
- Bauwens, Luc & Sucarrat, Genaro, 2010.
"General-to-specific modelling of exchange rate volatility: A forecast evaluation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 885-907, October.
- BAUWENS, Luc & SUCARRAT, Genaro, 2006. "General to specific modelling of exchange rate volatility: a forecast evaluation," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2006021, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Luc, BAUWENS & Genaro, SUCARRAT, 2006. "General to Specific Modelling of Exchange Rate Volatility : a Forecast Evaluation," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2006013, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
- BAUWENS, Luc & SUCARRAT, Genaro, 2010. "General-to-specific modelling of exchange rate volatility: a forecast evaluation," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2234, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Bauwens, Luc & Sucarrat, Genaro, 2008. "General to specific modelling of exchange rate volatility : a forecast evaluation," UC3M Working papers. Economics we081810, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Cathy W.S. Chen & Toshiaki Watanabe, 2019. "Bayesian modeling and forecasting of Value‐at‐Risk via threshold realized volatility," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(3), pages 747-765, May.
- A. Amendola & V. Candila, 2016. "Evaluation of volatility predictions in a VaR framework," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(5), pages 695-709, May.
- Jorge M. Uribe, 2018. "“Scaling Down Downside Risk with Inter-Quantile Semivariances”," IREA Working Papers 201826, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Oct 2018.
- Ahmed, Shamim & Valente, Giorgio, 2015. "Understanding the price of volatility risk in carry trades," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 118-129.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2020. "Trading and non-trading period realized market volatility: Does it matter for forecasting the volatility of US stocks?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 628-645.
- Xu, Jiawen & Perron, Pierre, 2014.
"Forecasting return volatility: Level shifts with varying jump probability and mean reversion,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 449-463.
- Jiawen Xu & Pierre Perron, 2013. "Forecasting Return Volatility: Level Shifts with Varying Jump Probability and Mean Reversion," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2013-021, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian & Wang, Jianqiong, 2020. "Examining the predictive information of CBOE OVX on China’s oil futures volatility: Evidence from MS-MIDAS models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
- Muzzioli, Silvia, 2015. "The optimal corridor for implied volatility: From periods of calm to turmoil," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 77-94.
- Bollerslev, Tim & Patton, Andrew J. & Quaedvlieg, Rogier, 2020. "Multivariate leverage effects and realized semicovariance GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 411-430.
- Timmermann, Allan, 2018. "Forecasting Methods in Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 12692, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lyu, Zhichong & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Jixiang, 2023. "Oil futures volatility prediction: Bagging or combination?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 457-467.
- Roxana Chiriac & Valeri Voev, 2011.
"Modelling and forecasting multivariate realized volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(6), pages 922-947, September.
- Chiriac, Roxana & Voev, Valeri, 2008. "Modelling and forecasting multivariate realized volatility," CoFE Discussion Papers 08/06, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
- Roxana Chiriac & Valeri Voev, 2008. "Modelling and Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2008-39, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Frömmel, Michael & Han, Xing & Kratochvil, Stepan, 2014. "Modeling the daily electricity price volatility with realized measures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 492-502.
- Mikkel Bennedsen & Asger Lunde & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2017. "Decoupling the short- and long-term behavior of stochastic volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2017-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Claudiu Vinte & Marcel Ausloos, 2022. "The Cross-Sectional Intrinsic Entropy. A Comprehensive Stock Market Volatility Estimator," Papers 2205.00104, arXiv.org.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.
- Denisa Banulescu-Radu & Christophe Hurlin & Bertrand Candelon & Sébastien Laurent, 2016.
"Do We Need High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?,"
Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 135-174.
- Denisa Banulescu-Radu & Christophe Hurlin & Bertrand Candelon & Sébastien Laurent, 2016. "Do We Need High Frequency Data to Forecast Variances?," Post-Print hal-01448237, HAL.
- Matteo Luciani & David Veredas, "undated". "A simple model for vast panels of volatilities," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/136239, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Antonio Naimoli & Giuseppe Storti, 2021. "Forecasting Volatility and Tail Risk in Electricity Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-17, June.
- Wen Cheong Chin & Min Cherng Lee, 2018. "S&P500 volatility analysis using high-frequency multipower variation volatility proxies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 1297-1318, May.
- Fang, Tong & Lee, Tae-Hwy & Su, Zhi, 2020.
"Predicting the long-term stock market volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS model with variable selection,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 36-49.
- Tong Fang & Tae-Hwy Lee & Zhi Su, 2020. "Predicting the Long-term Stock Market Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Model with Variable Selection," Working Papers 202009, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Yuta Kurose, 2022. "Bayesian GARCH modeling for return and range," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(3), pages 1717-1727.
- Becker, R. & Clements, A.E. & Doolan, M.B. & Hurn, A.S., 2015. "Selecting volatility forecasting models for portfolio allocation purposes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 849-861.
- Abdelhakim Aknouche & Bader Almohaimeed & Stefanos Dimitrakopoulos, 2022. "Periodic autoregressive conditional duration," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(1), pages 5-29, January.
- Luc Bauwens & Manuela Braione & Giuseppe Storti, 2016.
"Forecasting Comparison of Long Term Component Dynamic Models for Realized Covariance Matrices,"
Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 103-134.
- BAUWENS, Luc & BRAIONE, Manuela & STORTI, Giuseppe, 2014. "Forecasting comparison of long term component dynamic models for realized covariance matrices," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2014053, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Luc Bauwens & Manuela Braione & Giuseppe Storti, 2016. "Forecasting comparison of long term component dynamic models for realized covariance matrices," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2923, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Hu, Shuowen & Poskitt, D.S. & Zhang, Xibin, 2021. "Bayesian estimation for a semiparametric nonlinear volatility model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 361-370.
- Li, Gang & Li, Yong, 2015. "Forecasting copper futures volatility under model uncertainty," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(P2), pages 167-176.
- Lu Wang & Feng Ma & Guoshan Liu, 2020. "Forecasting stock volatility in the presence of extreme shocks: Short‐term and long‐term effects," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 797-810, August.
- Sévi, Benoît, 2014.
"Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 235(3), pages 643-659.
- Benoît Sévi, 2014. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data," Post-Print hal-01463921, HAL.
- Benoît Sévi, 2014. "Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using intraday data," Working Papers 2014-53, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
- Santos, Douglas G. & Candido, Osvaldo & Tófoli, Paula V., 2022. "Forecasting risk measures using intraday and overnight information," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- F. Cipollini & G.M. Gallo & A. Palandri, 2023.
"Modeling and evaluating conditional quantile dynamics in VaR forecasts,"
Working Paper CRENoS
202308, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo & Alessandro Palandri, 2023. "Modeling and evaluating conditional quantile dynamics in VaR forecasts," Papers 2305.20067, arXiv.org.
- Qu, Hui & Chen, Wei & Niu, Mengyi & Li, Xindan, 2016. "Forecasting realized volatility in electricity markets using logistic smooth transition heterogeneous autoregressive models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 68-76.
- Huang, Xiaozhou & Wang, Yubao & Song, Juan, 2023. "The Chinese oil futures volatility: Evidence from high-low estimator information," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
- Thomas Chuffart, 2015.
"Selection Criteria in Regime Switching Conditional Volatility Models,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-28, May.
- Thomas Chuffart, 2013. "Selection Criteria in Regime Switching Conditional Volatility Models," AMSE Working Papers 1339, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France, revised 14 Jul 2013.
- Thomas Chuffart, 2015. "Selection Criteria in Regime Switching Conditional Volatility Models," Post-Print hal-01457388, HAL.
- Thomas Chuffart, 2013. "Selection Criteria in Regime Switching Conditional Volatility Models," Working Papers halshs-00844413, HAL.
- Wang, Jiqian & Lu, Xinjie & He, Feng & Ma, Feng, 2020. "Which popular predictor is more useful to forecast international stock markets during the coronavirus pandemic: VIX vs EPU?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Jonathan J. Reeves & Xuan Xie, 2014. "Forecasting stock return volatility at the quarterly frequency: an evaluation of time series approaches," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(5), pages 347-356, March.
- Wang Pu & Yixiang Chen & Feng Ma, 2016. "Forecasting the realized volatility in the Chinese stock market: further evidence," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(33), pages 3116-3130, July.
- Jun Lu & Shao Yi, 2022. "Reducing overestimating and underestimating volatility via the augmented blending-ARCH model," Papers 2203.12456, arXiv.org.
- Imene Ben El Hadj Said & Skander Slim, 2022. "The Dynamic Relationship between Investor Attention and Stock Market Volatility: International Evidence," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-25, February.
- José Dias Curto & João Tomaz & José Castro Pinto, 2009. "A new approach to bad news effects on volatility: the multiple-sign-volume sensitive regime EGARCH model (MSV-EGARCH)," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 8(1), pages 23-36, April.
- Di Sanzo, Silvestro, 2018. "A Markov switching long memory model of crude oil price return volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 351-359.
- Cordis, Adriana S. & Kirby, Chris, 2014. "Discrete stochastic autoregressive volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 160-178.
- Lehrer, Steven & Xie, Tian & Zhang, Xinyu, 2021. "Social media sentiment, model uncertainty, and volatility forecasting," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Fabian Hollstein & Marcel Prokopczuk & Chardin Wese Simen, 2020. "The Conditional Capital Asset Pricing Model Revisited: Evidence from High-Frequency Betas," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(6), pages 2474-2494, June.
- Sucarrat, Genaro, 2009. "Forecast Evaluation of Explanatory Models of Financial Variability," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-33.
- Klaus Herrmann & Marius Hofert & Melina Mailhot, 2017. "Multivariate Geometric Expectiles," Papers 1704.01503, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2018.
- Janis Becker & Christian Leschinski, 2021.
"Estimating the volatility of asset pricing factors,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 269-278, March.
- Becker, Janis & Leschinski, Christian, 2018. "Estimating the Volatility of Asset Pricing Factors," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-631, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2017. "Modeling Latin-American stock and Forex markets volatility: Empirical application of a model with random level shifts and genuine long memory," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 393-420.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2011.
"On the realized volatility of the ECX CO 2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting,"
Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-29, February.
- Chevallier, Julien & Benoit, Sevi, 2009. "On the Realized Volatility of the ECX CO2 Emissions 2008 Futures Contract: Distribution, Dynamics and Forecasting," Sustainable Development Papers 55834, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009. "On the Realized Volatility of the ECX CO2 Emissions 2008 Futures Contract: Distribution, Dynamics and Forecasting," Working Papers 2009.113, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009. "On the realized volatility of the ECX CO2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting," EconomiX Working Papers 2009-24, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Julien Chevallier & Benoît Sévi, 2009. "On the realized volatility of the ECX CO2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting," Working Papers halshs-00387286, HAL.
- Bannouh, K. & Martens, M.P.E. & Oomen, R.C.A. & van Dijk, D.J.C., 2012. "Realized mixed-frequency factor models for vast dimensional covariance estimation," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2012-017-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
- Douglas G. Santos & Flavio A. Ziegelmann, 2014. "Volatility Forecasting via MIDAS, HAR and their Combination: An Empirical Comparative Study for IBOVESPA," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 284-299, July.
- Heejoon Han & Myung D. Park, 2013. "Comparison of Realized Measure and Implied Volatility in Forecasting Volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), pages 522-533, September.
- Birkelund, Ole Henrik & Haugom, Erik & Molnár, Peter & Opdal, Martin & Westgaard, Sjur, 2015. "A comparison of implied and realized volatility in the Nordic power forward market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 288-294.
- Emilija Dzuverovic & Matteo Barigozzi, 2023. "Hierarchical DCC-HEAVY Model for High-Dimensional Covariance Matrices," Papers 2305.08488, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
- Štefan Lyócsa & Peter Molnár, 2016. "Volatility forecasting of strategically linked commodity ETFs: gold-silver," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(12), pages 1809-1822, December.
- Andrew J. Patton & Kevin Sheppard, 2008.
"Evaluating Volatility and Correlation Forecasts,"
OFRC Working Papers Series
2008fe22, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
- Kevin Sheppard & Andrew J. Patton, 2008. "Evaluating Volatility and Correlation Forecasts," Economics Series Working Papers 2008fe22, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Tim Bollerslev & Benjamin Hood & John Huss & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2018.
"Risk Everywhere: Modeling and Managing Volatility,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(7), pages 2729-2773.
- Pedersen, Lasse Heje & Bollerslev, Tim & Hood, Benjamin & Huss, John, 2018. "Risk Everywhere: Modeling and Managing Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 12687, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giovanni De Luca & Giampiero M. Gallo & Danilo Carità, 2017. "Evaluating Combined Forecasts for Realized Volatility Using Asymmetric Loss Functions," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 2(2), pages 99-111, December.
- Preve, Daniel, 2015.
"Linear programming-based estimators in nonnegative autoregression,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 225-234.
- Daniel Preve, "undated". "Linear programming-based estimators in nonnegative autoregression," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2016_001, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Casas Villalba, Maria Isabel, 2020. "Adaptative predictability of stock market returns," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 31648, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Shay Kee Tan & Kok Haur Ng & Jennifer So-Kuen Chan, 2022. "Predicting Returns, Volatilities and Correlations of Stock Indices Using Multivariate Conditional Autoregressive Range and Return Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-24, December.
- Semeyutin, Artur & Downing, Gareth, 2022. "Co-jumps in the U.S. interest rates and precious metals markets and their implications for investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikita Kobotaev, 2018.
"Modeling and forecasting realized covariance matrices with accounting for leverage,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 114-139, February.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikita Kobotaev, 2015. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Covariance Matrices with Accounting for Leverage," Working Papers w0213, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikita Kobotaev, 2015. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Covariance Matrices with Accounting for Leverage," Working Papers w0213, New Economic School (NES).
- Christophe Hurlin & Sébastien Laurent & Rogier Quaedvlieg & Stephan Smeekes, 2017.
"Risk Measure Inference,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 499-512, October.
- Christophe Hurlin & Sebastien Laurent & Rogier Quaedvlieg & Stephan Smeekes, 2015. "Risk Measure Inference," Working Papers halshs-00877279, HAL.
- Christophe Hurlin & Sébastien Laurent & Rogier Quaedvlieg & Stephan Smeekes, 2017. "Risk Measure Inference," Post-Print hal-01457393, HAL.
- repec:awi:wpaper:0472 is not listed on IDEAS
- Harry-Paul Vander Elst, 2015.
"FloGARCH: Realizing Long Memory and Asymmetries in Returns Valitility,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2015-12, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Harry Vander Elst, 2015. "FloGARCH : Realizing long memory and asymmetries in returns volatility," Working Paper Research 280, National Bank of Belgium.
- Corsi, Fulvio & Pirino, Davide & Renò, Roberto, 2010.
"Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(2), pages 276-288, December.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Reno', 2010. "Threshold Bipower Variation and the Impact of Jumps on Volatility Forecasting," LEM Papers Series 2010/11, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Renò, 2010. "Threshold bipower variation and the impact of jumps on volatility forecasting," Post-Print hal-00741630, HAL.
- Ding, Yashuang (Dexter), 2023. "A simple joint model for returns, volatility and volatility of volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 521-543.
- Ghani, Usman & Zhu, Bo & Ghani, Maria & Khan, Nasir & khan, Raja Danish Akbar, 2023. "Role of oil shocks in US stock market volatility: A new insight from GARCH-MIDAS perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
- Pan, Zhiyuan & Liu, Li, 2018. "Forecasting stock return volatility: A comparison between the roles of short-term and long-term leverage effects," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 168-180.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & McAleer, Michael, 2014.
"Robust ranking of multivariate GARCH models by problem dimension,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 172-185.
- Caporin, M. & McAleer, M.J., 2012. "Robust Ranking of Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2012-13, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Michael McAleer & Massimiliano Caporin, 2012. "Robust Ranking of Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension," KIER Working Papers 815, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2012. "Robust Ranking of Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension," Working Papers in Economics 12/06, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Massimiliano Caporin & Michael McAleer, 2012. "Robust Ranking of Multivariate GARCH Models by Problem Dimension," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2012-06, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, revised Apr 2012.
- Caporin, Massimiliano & Velo, Gabriel G., 2015. "Realized range volatility forecasting: Dynamic features and predictive variables," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 98-112.
- Haugom, Erik & Langeland, Henrik & Molnár, Peter & Westgaard, Sjur, 2014. "Forecasting volatility of the U.S. oil market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 1-14.
- Ding, Hui & Huang, Yisu & Wang, Jiqian, 2023. "Have the predictability of oil changed during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from international stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
- Isabel Casas & Xiuping Mao & Helena Veiga, 2018. "Reexamining financial and economic predictability with new estimators of realized variance and variance risk premium," CREATES Research Papers 2018-10, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Andrew Patton & Allan Timmermann, 2012.
"Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 1-17.
- Andrew J. Patton & Allan Timmermann, 2011. "Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 1-17, June.
- Timmermann, Allan & Patton, Andrew, 2011. "Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds," CEPR Discussion Papers 8194, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- D. Schneller & S. Heiden & M. Heiden & A. Hamid, 2018. "Home is Where You Know Your Volatility – Local Investor Sentiment and Stock Market Volatility," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 19(2), pages 209-236, May.
- Stefan Lyocsa & Peter Molnar & Igor Fedorko, 2016. "Forecasting Exchange Rate Volatility: The Case of the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(5), pages 453-475, October.
- Tian, Fengping & Yang, Ke & Chen, Langnan, 2017. "Realized volatility forecasting of agricultural commodity futures using the HAR model with time-varying sparsity," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 132-152.
- Luo, Jiawen & Chen, Langnan, 2020. "Realized volatility forecast with the Bayesian random compressed multivariate HAR model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 781-799.
- Jiang, Wei & Ruan, Qingsong & Li, Jianfeng & Li, Ye, 2018. "Modeling returns volatility: Realized GARCH incorporating realized risk measure," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 500(C), pages 249-258.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Huang, Xin, 2011.
"A reduced form framework for modeling volatility of speculative prices based on realized variation measures,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 176-189, January.
- Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Xin Huang, 2007. "A Reduced Form Framework for Modeling Volatility of Speculative Prices based on Realized Variation Measures," CREATES Research Papers 2007-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Sébastien Laurent & Jeroen V. K. Rombouts & Francesco Violante, 2012.
"On the forecasting accuracy of multivariate GARCH models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 934-955, September.
- Sébastien Laurent & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Francesco Violante, 2010. "On the Forecasting Accuracy of Multivariate GARCH Models," Cahiers de recherche 1021, CIRPEE.
- LAURENT, Sébastien & ROMBOUTS, Jeroen V. K. & VIOLANTE, Francesco, 2010. "On the forecasting accuracy of multivariate GARCH models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2010025, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Erik Kole & Thijs Markwat & Anne Opschoor & Dick van Dijk, 2017.
"Forecasting Value-at-Risk under Temporal and Portfolio Aggregation,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(4), pages 649-677.
- Erik Kole & Thijs Markwat & Anne Opschoor & Dick van Dijk, 2015. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk under Temporal and Portfolio Aggregation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-140/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 19 Apr 2017.
- Rasmus T. Varneskov & Pierre Perron, 2018.
"Combining long memory and level shifts in modelling and forecasting the volatility of asset returns,"
Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 371-393, March.
- Pierre Perron & Rasmus T. Varneskov, 2011. "Combining Long Memory and Level Shifts in Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Asset Returns," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2011-050, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Rasmus T. Varneskov & Pierre Perron, 2017. "Combining Long Memory and Level Shifts in Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Asset Returns," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2017-006, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Rasmus T. Varneskov & Pierre Perron, 2015. "Combining Long Memory and Level Shifts in Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Asset Returns," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2015-015, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Rasmus Tangsgaard Varneskov & Pierre Perron, 2011. "Combining Long Memory and Level Shifts in Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Asset Returns," CREATES Research Papers 2011-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Xiangjin B. Chen & Jiti Gao & Degui Li & Param Silvapulle, 2013. "Nonparametric Estimation and Parametric Calibration of Time-Varying Coefficient Realized Volatility Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 21/13, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Laurent, Sébastien & Lecourt, Christelle & Palm, Franz C., 2016.
"Testing for jumps in conditionally Gaussian ARMA–GARCH models, a robust approach,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 383-400.
- Sébastien Laurent & Christelle Lecourt & Franz C. Palm, 2016. "Testing for jumps in conditionally Gaussian ARMA-GARCH models, a robust approach," Post-Print hal-01447861, HAL.
- Byun, Suk Joon & Cho, Hangjun, 2013. "Forecasting carbon futures volatility using GARCH models with energy volatilities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 207-221.
- Tomasz Skoczylas, 2014. "Modeling volatility with Range-based Heterogeneous Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity model," Working Papers 2014-06, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Meddahi, Nour, 2011. "Realized volatility forecasting and market microstructure noise," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 220-234, January.
- Tsiotas, Georgios, 2012. "On generalised asymmetric stochastic volatility models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 151-172, January.
- Gabriel Rodríguez, 2016. "Modeling Latin-American Stock and Forex Markets Volatility: Empirical Application of a Model with Random Level Shifts and Genuine Long Memory [Modelando la volatilidad de los mercados bursátiles y cam," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2016-416, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Jie Cheng, 2023. "Modelling and forecasting risk dependence and portfolio VaR for cryptocurrencies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(2), pages 899-924, August.
- Dimitrios I. Vortelinos & Konstantinos Gkillas, 2018. "Intraday realised volatility forecasting and announcements," International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(1), pages 88-118.
- Ekaterina Smetanina, 2017. "Real-Time GARCH," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(4), pages 561-601.
- Yves Dominicy & Harry-Paul Vander Elst, 2015. "Macro-Driven VaR Forecasts: From Very High to Very Low Frequency Data," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-41, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Yang, Cai & Gong, Xu & Zhang, Hongwei, 2019. "Volatility forecasting of crude oil futures: The role of investor sentiment and leverage effect," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 548-563.
- Lindblad, Annika, 2017. "Sentiment indicators and macroeconomic data as drivers for low-frequency stock market volatility," MPRA Paper 80266, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Davide De Gaetano, 2016. "Forecast Combinations For Realized Volatility In Presence Of Structural Breaks," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0208, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
- Lv, Wendai, 2018. "Does the OVX matter for volatility forecasting? Evidence from the crude oil market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 916-922.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2012.
"Realized Covariance Tick-by-Tick in Presence of Rounded Time Stamps and General Microstructure Effects,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 10(4), pages 591-616, September.
- Fulvio Corsi & Francesco Audrino, 2008. "Realized Covariance Tick-by-Tick in Presence of Rounded Time Stamps and General Microstructure Effects," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2008 2008-04, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
- Ahmed BenSaïda, 2021. "The Good and Bad Volatility: A New Class of Asymmetric Heteroskedastic Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(2), pages 540-570, April.
- Candia, Claudio & Herrera, Rodrigo, 2024. "An empirical review of dynamic extreme value models for forecasting value at risk, expected shortfall and expectile," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Luc Bauwens & Edoardo Otranto, 2023.
"Modeling Realized Covariance Matrices: A Class of Hadamard Exponential Models,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(4), pages 1376-1401.
- Bauwens, Luc & Otranto, Edoardo, 2020. "Modelling Realized Covariance Matrices: a Class of Hadamard Exponential Models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2020034, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Bauwens, Luc & Otranto, Edoardo, 2022. "Modeling Realized Covariance Matrices: A Class of Hadamard Exponential Models," LIDAM Reprints CORE 3202, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- L. Bauwens & E. Otranto, 2020. "Modelling Realized Covariance Matrices: a Class of Hadamard Exponential Models," Working Paper CRENoS 202007, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
- Dark, Jonathan, 2024. "An adaptive long memory conditional correlation model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Todorova, Neda, 2017. "Volatility forecasting of non-ferrous metal futures: Covariances, covariates or combinations?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 228-247.
- Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier, 2017.
"Forecasting crude-oil market volatility: Further evidence with jumps,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 508-519.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2017. "Forecasting crude-oil market volatility: Further evidence with jumps," Post-Print hal-01598141, HAL.
- Tae-Hwy Lee & Huiyu Huang, 2014. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Using Subsample Averaging," Working Papers 201410, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Palandri, Alessandro, 2015. "Do negative and positive equity returns share the same volatility dynamics?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 486-505.
- Michael McAleer & Marcelo Medeiros, 2008.
"Realized Volatility: A Review,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1-3), pages 10-45.
- Michael McAleer & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2006. "Realized volatility: a review," Textos para discussão 531 Publication status: F, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Bolko, Anine E. & Christensen, Kim & Pakkanen, Mikko S. & Veliyev, Bezirgen, 2023.
"A GMM approach to estimate the roughness of stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 745-778.
- Anine E. Bolko & Kim Christensen & Mikko S. Pakkanen & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2020. "A GMM approach to estimate the roughness of stochastic volatility," Papers 2010.04610, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2022.
- Wintenberger, Olivier & Cai, Sixiang, 2011. "Parametric inference and forecasting in continuously invertible volatility models," MPRA Paper 31767, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Leopoldo Catania & Roberto Di Mari & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2019. "Dynamic discrete mixtures for high frequency prices," Discussion Papers 19/05, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Silvia Muzzioli, 2013. "The Information Content of Option-Based Forecasts of Volatility: Evidence from the Italian Stock Market," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(01), pages 1-46.
- Dark, Jonathan, 2015. "Futures hedging with Markov switching vector error correction FIEGARCH and FIAPARCH," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(S2), pages 269-285.
- Shirota, Shinichiro & Hizu, Takayuki & Omori, Yasuhiro, 2014.
"Realized stochastic volatility with leverage and long memory,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 618-641.
- Shinichiro Shirota & Takayuki Hizu & Yasuhiro Omori, 2012. "Realized stochastic volatility with leverage and long memory," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-869, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Shinichiro Shirota & Takayuki Hizu & Yasuhiro Omori, 2013. "Realized Stochastic Volatility with Leverage and Long Memory," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-880, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Francesco Audrino & Fabio Trojani, 2011.
"A General Multivariate Threshold GARCH Model With Dynamic Conditional Correlations,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 138-149, January.
- Audrino, Francesco & Trojani, Fabio, 2011. "A General Multivariate Threshold GARCH Model With Dynamic Conditional Correlations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(1), pages 138-149.
- Fabio Trojani & Francesco Audrino, 2005. "A general multivariate threshold GARCH model with dynamic conditional correlations," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2005 2005-04, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
- Francesco Audrino & Fabio Trojani, 2007. "A general multivariate threshold GARCH model with dynamic conditional correlations," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2007 2007-25, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
- Zhikai Zhang & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang & Qunwei Wang, 2024. "The predictability of carbon futures volatility: New evidence from the spillovers of fossil energy futures returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 557-584, April.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Plíhal, Tomáš & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "FX market volatility modelling: Can we use low-frequency data?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
- Zhiyuan Pan & Jun Zhang & Yudong Wang & Juan Huang, 2024. "Modeling and forecasting stock return volatility using the HARGARCH model with VIX information," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(8), pages 1383-1403, August.
- Alain Hecq & Sébastien Laurent & Franz C. Palm, 2011.
"Common Intraday Periodicity,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 10(2), pages 325-353, 2012 20 1.
- Hecq, A.W. & Palm, F.C. & Laurent, S.F.J.A., 2011. "Common intraday periodicity," Research Memorandum 010, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Lin, Xiaoqiang & Fei, Fangyu, 2013. "Long memory revisit in Chinese stock markets: Based on GARCH-class models and multiscale analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 265-275.
- Li, Jia & Patton, Andrew J., 2018.
"Asymptotic inference about predictive accuracy using high frequency data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 223-240.
- Jia Li & Andrew J. Patton, 2013. "Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Accuracy Using High Frequency Data," Working Papers 13-27, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Thomas Dimpfl & Stephan Jank, 2016.
"Can Internet Search Queries Help to Predict Stock Market Volatility?,"
European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 22(2), pages 171-192, March.
- Dimpfl, Thomas & Jank, Stephan, 2011. "Can Internet search queries help to predict stock market volatility?," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 18, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
- Dimpfl, Thomas & Jank, Stephan, 2011. "Can internet search queries help to predict stock market volatility?," CFR Working Papers 11-15, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
- repec:lan:wpaper:3324 is not listed on IDEAS
- Shirota, Shinichiro & Omori, Yasuhiro & F. Lopes, Hedibert. & Piao, Haixiang, 2017.
"Cholesky realized stochastic volatility model,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 3(C), pages 34-59.
- Shinichiro Shirota & Yasuhiro Omori & Hedibert. F. Lopes & Haixiang Piao, 2015. "Cholesky Realized Stochastic Volatility Model," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-979, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Shinichiro Shirota & Yasuhiro Omori & Hedibert. F. Lopes & Haixiang Piao, 2016. "Cholesky Realized Stochastic Volatility Model," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1019, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Bjoern Schulte-Tillmann & Mawuli Segnon & Timo Wiedemann, 2023. "A comparison of high-frequency realized variance measures: Duration- vs. return-based approaches," CQE Working Papers 10523, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Wenbo Ge & Pooia Lalbakhsh & Leigh Isai & Artem Lensky & Hanna Suominen, 2023. "Comparing Deep Learning Models for the Task of Volatility Prediction Using Multivariate Data," Papers 2306.12446, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
- Liu, Tao & Guan, Xinyue & Wei, Yigang & Xue, Shan & Xu, Liang, 2023. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on the volatility of China's emission trading scheme pilots," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
- Chen, Cathy W.S. & Watanabe, Toshiaki & Lin, Edward M.H., 2023. "Bayesian estimation of realized GARCH-type models with application to financial tail risk management," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 30-46.
- Wei Zhang & Kai Yan & Dehua Shen, 2021. "Can the Baidu Index predict realized volatility in the Chinese stock market?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-31, December.
- Yusui Tang & Feng Ma & Yaojie Zhang & Yu Wei, 2022. "Forecasting the oil price realized volatility: A multivariate heterogeneous autoregressive model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4770-4783, October.
- Huang, Yisu & Xu, Weiju & Huang, Dengshi & Zhao, Chenchen, 2023. "Chinese crude oil futures volatility and sustainability: An uncertainty indices perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Patton, Andrew J. & Sheppard, Kevin, 2009. "Optimal combinations of realised volatility estimators," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 218-238.
- Carlos Pinho & Mara Madaleno, 2011. "Links between spot and futures allowances: ECX and EEX markets comparison," International Journal of Global Energy Issues, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 35(2/3/4), pages 101-131.
- Köchling, Gerrit & Schmidtke, Philipp & Posch, Peter N., 2020. "Volatility forecasting accuracy for Bitcoin," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
- Davide De Gaetano, 2018. "Forecast Combinations in the Presence of Structural Breaks: Evidence from U.S. Equity Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-19, March.
- Carlo Drago & Andrea Scozzari, 2022. "Evaluating conditional covariance estimates via a new targeting approach and a networks-based analysis," Papers 2202.02197, arXiv.org.
- Bergsli, Lykke Øverland & Lind, Andrea Falk & Molnár, Peter & Polasik, Michał, 2022. "Forecasting volatility of Bitcoin," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Chuffart Thomas & Flachaire Emmanuel & Péguin-Feissolle Anne, 2018.
"Testing for misspecification in the short-run component of GARCH-type models,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(5), pages 1-17, December.
- Thomas Chuffart & Emmanuel Flachaire & Anne Péguin-Feissolle, 2017. "Testing for misspecification in the short-run component of GARCH-type models," Post-Print hal-03157205, HAL.
- Thomas Chuffart & Emmanuel Flachaire & Anne Peguin-Feissolle, 2018. "Testing for misspecification in the short-run component of GARCH-type models," Post-Print hal-02083772, HAL.
- Andrea BUCCI, 2017.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility A Review,"
Journal of Advanced Studies in Finance, ASERS Publishing, vol. 8(2), pages 94-138.
- Bucci, Andrea, 2017. "Forecasting realized volatility: a review," MPRA Paper 83232, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kumar, Dilip & Maheswaran, S., 2014. "Modeling and forecasting the additive bias corrected extreme value volatility estimator," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 166-176.
- Min Liu & Chien‐Chiang Lee & Wei‐Chong Choo, 2021. "An empirical study on the role of trading volume and data frequency in volatility forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 792-816, August.
- Natalia Nolde & Johanna F. Ziegel, 2016. "Elicitability and backtesting: Perspectives for banking regulation," Papers 1608.05498, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2017.
- Valeri Voev, 2009. "On the Economic Evaluation of Volatility Forecasts," CREATES Research Papers 2009-56, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Gael M. Martin & Andrew Reidy & Jill Wright, 2009.
"Does the option market produce superior forecasts of noise-corrected volatility measures?,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 77-104.
- Gael M. Martin & Andrew Reidy & Jill Wright, 2007. "Does the Option Market Produce Superior Forecasts of Noise-Corrected Volatility Measures?," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 5/07, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Khalifa, Ahmed A.A. & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Otranto, Edoardo, 2014. "Extracting portfolio management strategies from volatility transmission models in regime-changing environments: Evidence from GCC and global markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 365-374.
- Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Izzeldin, Marwan & Kalotychou, Elena, 2009. "On forecasting daily stock volatility: The role of intraday information and market conditions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 259-281.
- I‐Ming Jiang & Jui‐Cheng Hung & Chuan‐San Wang, 2014. "Volatility Forecasts: Do Volatility Estimators and Evaluation Methods Matter?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(11), pages 1077-1094, November.
- Liu, Jing & Ma, Feng & Yang, Ke & Zhang, Yaojie, 2018. "Forecasting the oil futures price volatility: Large jumps and small jumps," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 321-330.
- Raúl De Jesús Gutiérrez & Reyna Vergara González & Miguel A. Díaz Carreño, 2015. "Predicción de la volatilidad en el mercado del petróleo mexicano ante la presencia de efectos asimétricos," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, March.
- Shan Lu, 2019. "Testing the Predictive Ability of Corridor Implied Volatility Under GARCH Models," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 26(2), pages 129-168, June.
- Lieli, Robert P. & Stinchcombe, Maxwell B. & Grolmusz, Viola M., 2019. "Unrestricted and controlled identification of loss functions: Possibility and impossibility results," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 878-890.
- Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2010.
"Realising the future: forecasting with high-frequency-based volatility (HEAVY) models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(2), pages 197-231.
- Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2009. "Realising the future: forecasting with high frequency based volatility (HEAVY) models," OFRC Working Papers Series 2009fe02, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
- Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2009. "Realising the future: forecasting with high frequency based volatility (HEAVY) models," Economics Series Working Papers 438, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2009. "Realising the future: forecasting with high frequency based volatility (HEAVY) models," Economics Papers 2009-W03, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Thomas Walther & Tony Klein, 2018. "Exogenous Drivers of Cryptocurrency Volatility - A Mixed Data Sampling Approach To Forecasting," Working Papers on Finance 1815, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
- Yang, Ke & Tian, Fengping & Chen, Langnan & Li, Steven, 2017. "Realized volatility forecast of agricultural futures using the HAR models with bagging and combination approaches," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 276-291.
- Barigozzi, Matteo & Hallin, Marc, 2017.
"Generalized dynamic factor models and volatilities: estimation and forecasting,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 307-321.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Marc Hallin, 2015. "Generalized Dynamic Factor Models and Volatilities: Estimation and Forecasting," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-22, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Barigozzi, Matteo & Hallin, Marc, 2017. "Generalized dynamic factor models and volatilities estimation and forecasting," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 67455, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Barigozzi, Matteo & Brownlees, Christian & Gallo, Giampiero M. & Veredas, David, 2014.
"Disentangling systematic and idiosyncratic dynamics in panels of volatility measures,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 182(2), pages 364-384.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Christian T. Brownlees & Giampiero M. Gallo & David Veredas, 2014. "Disentangling Systematic and Idiosyncratic Dynamics in Panels of Volatility Measures," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2014_02, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti", revised Feb 2014.
- Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Mudida, Robert & Yaya, OlaOluwa S & Osuolale, Kazeem & Ogbonna, Ephraim A, 2019. "Influence of US Presidential Terms on S&P500 Index Using a Time Series Analysis Approach," MPRA Paper 93941, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dimitrios Vortelinos & Angeliki Menegaki & Ioannis Passas & Alexandros Garefalakis & Georgios Viskadouros, 2024. "Heterogeneous Responses of Energy and Non-Energy Assets to Crises in Commodity Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-25, October.
- Asai, Manabu & McAleer, Michael & Peiris, Shelton, 2020.
"Realized stochastic volatility models with generalized Gegenbauer long memory,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 42-54.
- Manabu Asai & Shelton Peiris & Michael McAleer, 2017. "Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Gegenbauer Long Memory," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2017-26, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Asai, M. & McAleer, M.J. & Peiris, S., 2017. "Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Gegenbauer Long Memory," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2017-29, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer & Shelton Peiris, 2017. "Realized Stochastic Volatility Models with Generalized Gegenbauer Long Memory," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-105/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Rhenan G. S. Queiroz & Sergio A. David, 2023. "Performance of the Realized-GARCH Model against Other GARCH Types in Predicting Cryptocurrency Volatility," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-13, December.
- Chen Xilong & Ghysels Eric & Wang Fangfang, 2011. "HYBRID GARCH Models and Intra-Daily Return Periodicity," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 1-28, February.
- Amendola, A. & Candila, V. & Cipollini, F. & Gallo, G.M., 2024.
"Doubly multiplicative error models with long- and short-run components,"
Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Alessandra Amendola & Vincenzo Candila & Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2020. "Doubly Multiplicative Error Models with Long- and Short-run Components," Papers 2006.03458, arXiv.org.
- Zhu, Haibin & Bai, Lu & He, Lidan & Liu, Zhi, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility with machine learning: Panel data perspective," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 251-271.
- Peter Malec, 2016. "A Semiparametric Intraday GARCH Model," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1633, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Fantazzini, Dean, 2023. "Assessing the Credit Risk of Crypto-Assets Using Daily Range Volatility Models," MPRA Paper 117141, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Eghbal Rahimikia & Stefan Zohren & Ser-Huang Poon, 2021. "Realised Volatility Forecasting: Machine Learning via Financial Word Embedding," Papers 2108.00480, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
- Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian & Zhu, Bo, 2021. "Oil shocks and stock market volatility: New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
- Han, Heejoon & Kutan, Ali M. & Ryu, Doojin, 2015. "Effects of the US stock market return and volatility on the VKOSPI," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 9, pages 1-34.
- repec:lan:wpaper:592830 is not listed on IDEAS
- Preminger, Arie & Storti, Giuseppe, 2014.
"Least squares estimation for GARCH (1,1) model with heavy tailed errors,"
MPRA Paper
59082, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- PREMINGER Arie & STORTI Giuseppe, 2017. "Least squares estimation for GARCH (1,1) model with heavy tailed errors," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2017015, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- repec:cte:wsrepe:36569 is not listed on IDEAS
- Clements, Adam & Vasnev, Andrey, 2021. "Forecast combination puzzle in the HAR model," Working Papers BAWP-2021-01, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Jan Patrick Hartkopf, 2023. "Composite forecasting of vast-dimensional realized covariance matrices using factor state-space models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 393-436, January.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné, 2019.
"The accuracy of asymmetric GARCH model estimation,"
International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 157, pages 179-202.
- Charles, Amélie & Darné, Olivier, 2019. "The accuracy of asymmetric GARCH model estimation," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 179-202.
- Elena Ivona Dumitrescu & Georgiana-Denisa Banulescu, 2019.
"Do High-frequency-based Measures Improve Conditional Covariance Forecasts?,"
Post-Print
hal-03331122, HAL.
- Denisa BANULESCU-RADU & Elena Ivona DUMITRESCU, 2019. "Do High-frequency-based Measures Improve Conditional Covariance Forecasts?," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2709, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Junjie Hu & Wolfgang Karl Hardle & Weiyu Kuo, 2019.
"Risk of Bitcoin Market: Volatility, Jumps, and Forecasts,"
Papers
1912.05228, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
- Hu, Junjie & Kuo, Weiyu & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2019. "Risk of Bitcoin Market: Volatility, Jumps, and Forecasts," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2019-024, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
- Bonaparte, Yosef & Chatrath, Arjun & Christie-David, Rohan, 2023. "S&P volatility, VIX, and asymptotic volatility estimates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2021. "Autoregressive conditional proportion: A multiplicative-error model for (0,1)-valued time series," MPRA Paper 110954, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Dec 2021.
- Diaa Noureldin & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2012.
"Multivariate high‐frequency‐based volatility (HEAVY) models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(6), pages 907-933, September.
- Diaa Noureldin & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2011. "Multivariate High-Frequency-Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models," Economics Series Working Papers 533, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Diaa Noureldin & Neil Shephard & Kevin Sheppard, 2011. "Multivariate High-Frequency-Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models," Economics Papers 2011-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
- Wei Kuang, 2022. "Oil tail-risk forecasts: from financial crisis to COVID-19," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(4), pages 420-460, December.
- Zhongbao Zhou & Ke Duan & Ling Lin & Qianying Jin, 2015. "Forecasting long-term and short-term crude oil price: a comparison of the predictive abilities of competing models," International Journal of Global Energy Issues, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 38(4/5/6), pages 286-297.
- Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Xu, Jin & Zhang, Zehui, 2022. "Oil futures volatility predictability: New evidence based on machine learning models11All the authors contribute to the paper equally," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Vincenzo Candila, 2013. "A Comparison of the Forecasting Performances of Multivariate Volatility Models," Working Papers 3_228, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Statistiche, Università degli Studi di Salerno.
- Li, Xingyi & Zakamulin, Valeriy, 2020. "The term structure of volatility predictability," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 723-737.
- Yan Sun & Guanghua Lian & Zudi Lu & Jennifer Loveland & Isaac Blackhurst, 2020. "Modeling the Variance of Return Intervals Toward Volatility Prediction," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(4), pages 492-519, July.
- Piotr Fiszeder & Marta Ma³ecka, 2022. "Forecasting volatility during the outbreak of Russian invasion of Ukraine: application to commodities, stock indices, currencies, and cryptocurrencies," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 17(4), pages 939-967, December.
- Martin Magris & Alexandros Iosifidis, 2023. "Variational Inference for GARCH-family Models," Papers 2310.03435, arXiv.org.
- Vassallo, Danilo & Buccheri, Giuseppe & Corsi, Fulvio, 2021. "A DCC-type approach for realized covariance modeling with score-driven dynamics," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 569-586.
- Marcelo C. Carvalho & Marco Aurélio S. Freire & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros & Leonardo R. Souza, 2006. "Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Brazilian Asset Returns: a Realized Variance Approach," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 4(1), pages 55-77.
- Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Almohaimeed, Bader & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2020. "Periodic autoregressive conditional duration," MPRA Paper 101696, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Jul 2020.
- Hansen, Peter R. & Lunde, Asger, 2014.
"Estimating The Persistence And The Autocorrelation Function Of A Time Series That Is Measured With Error,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(1), pages 60-93, February.
- Peter R. Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2010. "Estimating the Persistence and the Autocorrelation Function of a Time Series that is Measured with Error," CREATES Research Papers 2010-08, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Luo, Jiawen & Ji, Qiang & Klein, Tony & Todorova, Neda & Zhang, Dayong, 2020. "On realized volatility of crude oil futures markets: Forecasting with exogenous predictors under structural breaks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- Roy Cerqueti & Massimiliano Giacalone & Raffaele Mattera, 2020. "Skewed non-Gaussian GARCH models for cryptocurrencies volatility modelling," Papers 2004.11674, arXiv.org.
- Naimoli, Antonio, 2022. "Modelling the persistence of Covid-19 positivity rate in Italy," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 82(PA).
- Hollstein, Fabian & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2017. "How to Estimate Beta?," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-617, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Bucci, Andrea & Palomba, Giulio & Rossi, Eduardo, 2023. "The role of uncertainty in forecasting volatility comovements across stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Ji‐Eun Choi & Dong Wan Shin, 2018. "Forecasts for leverage heterogeneous autoregressive models with jumps and other covariates," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 691-704, September.
- Reisenhofer, Rafael & Bayer, Xandro & Hautsch, Nikolaus, 2022.
"HARNet: A convolutional neural network for realized volatility forecasting,"
CFS Working Paper Series
680, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Rafael Reisenhofer & Xandro Bayer & Nikolaus Hautsch, 2022. "HARNet: A Convolutional Neural Network for Realized Volatility Forecasting," Papers 2205.07719, arXiv.org.
- Ma, Feng & Wahab, M.I.M. & Zhang, Yaojie, 2019. "Forecasting the U.S. stock volatility: An aligned jump index from G7 stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 132-146.
- Szabolcs Blazsek & Anna Downarowicz, 2013. "Forecasting hedge fund volatility: a Markov regime-switching approach," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 243-275, April.
- Fang, Libing & Yu, Honghai & Xiao, Wen, 2018. "Forecasting gold futures market volatility using macroeconomic variables in the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 249-259.
- Hollstein, Fabian & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2019. "Estimating beta: Forecast adjustments and the impact of stock characteristics for a broad cross-section," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 91-118.
- Blasques, F. & Gorgi, P. & Koopman, S.J., 2019. "Accelerating score-driven time series models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(2), pages 359-376.
- Mucahit Aygun & Fabio Bellini & Roger J. A. Laeven, 2023. "Elicitability of Return Risk Measures," Papers 2302.13070, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
- Horta, Eduardo & Ziegelmann, Flavio, 2018. "Dynamics of financial returns densities: A functional approach applied to the Bovespa intraday index," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 75-88.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan, 2022.
"Financial turbulence, systemic risk and the predictability of stock market volatility,"
Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Financial Turbulence, Systemic Risk and the Predictability of Stock Market Volatility," Working Papers 202162, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Yudong Wang & Zhiyuan Pan & Chongfeng Wu, 2017. "Time‐Varying Parameter Realized Volatility Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 566-580, August.
- Davide De Gaetano, 2017. "Forecasting With Garch Models Under Structural Breaks: An Approach Based On Combinations Across Estimation Windows," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0219, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
- Yaojie Zhang & Yu Wei & Li Liu, 2019. "Improving forecasting performance of realized covariance with extensions of HAR-RCOV model: statistical significance and economic value," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(9), pages 1425-1438, September.
- Tian, Shuairu & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2015. "Modeling interest rate volatility: A Realized GARCH approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 158-171.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valerie Voev, 2011.
"Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2011-002, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2011. "Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2011-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2012. "Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Frequency Approach," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2012-30, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Ciciretti, Vito & Bucci, Andrea, 2023. "Building optimal regime-switching portfolios," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Masato Ubukata, 2022. "A time-varying jump tail risk measure using high-frequency options data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2633-2653, November.
- Manabu Asai, 2023. "Estimation of Realized Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models Using Kalman Filter," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-14, July.
- Arnerić, Josip & Matković, Mario & Sorić, Petar, 2019. "Comparison of range-based volatility estimators against integrated volatility in European emerging markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 118-124.
- Bentes, Sonia R., 2015. "Forecasting volatility in gold returns under the GARCH, IGARCH and FIGARCH frameworks: New evidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 438(C), pages 355-364.
- Chao Liang & Yaojie Zhang & Xiafei Li & Feng Ma, 2022. "Which predictor is more predictive for Bitcoin volatility? And why?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 1947-1961, April.
- Christian Francq & Baye Matar Kandji & Jean-Michel Zakoian, 2022. "Inference on Multiplicative Component GARCH without any Small-Order Moment," Working Papers 2022-09, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Sattarhoff, Cristina & Lux, Thomas, 2023. "Forecasting the variability of stock index returns with the multifractal random walk model for realized volatilities," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1678-1697.
- Qiao, Gaoxiu & Ma, Xuekun & Jiang, Gongyue & Wang, Lu, 2024. "Crude oil volatility index forecasting: New evidence based on positive and negative jumps from Chinese stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 415-437.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "Predicting risk in energy markets: Low-frequency data still matter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
- Dimitrios Kartsonakis Mademlis & Nikolaos Dritsakis, 2021. "Volatility Forecasting using Hybrid GARCH Neural Network Models: The Case of the Italian Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 49-60.
- Becker Ralf & Clements Adam E & Hurn Stan, 2011. "Semi-Parametric Forecasting of Realized Volatility," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(3), pages 1-23, May.
- Mikkel Bennedsen & Asger Lunde & Mikko S. Pakkanen, 2016. "Decoupling the short- and long-term behavior of stochastic volatility," Papers 1610.00332, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Constantinos Kourouyiannis, 2012. "Robust volatility forecasts in the presence of structural breaks," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 08-2012, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
- Alexander Zeitlberger & Alexander Brauneis, 2016. "Modeling carbon spot and futures price returns with GARCH and Markov switching GARCH models," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 24(1), pages 149-176, March.
- Liu, Guangqiang & Wang, Yan & Chen, Xiaodan & Zhang, Yifeng & Shang, Yue, 2020. "Forecasting volatility of the Chinese stock markets using TVP HAR-type models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 542(C).
- Korkusuz, Burak & Kambouroudis, Dimos & McMillan, David G., 2023. "Do extreme range estimators improve realized volatility forecasts? Evidence from G7 Stock Markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
- Anders Eriksson & Daniel P. A. Preve & Jun Yu, 2019.
"Forecasting Realized Volatility Using a Nonnegative Semiparametric Model,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-23, August.
- Daniel Preve & Anders Eriksson & Jun Yu, "undated". "Forecasting Realized Volatility Using A Nonnegative Semiparametric Model," Working Papers CoFie-02-2007, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics.
- Daniel Preve & Anders Eriksson & Jun Yu, 2009. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Using A Nonnegative Semiparametric Model," Finance Working Papers 23049, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Daniel PREVE & Anders ERIKSSON & Jun YU, 2009. "Forecasting Realized Volatility Using A Nonnegative Semiparametric Model," Working Papers 22-2009, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Nikitopoulos, Christina Sklibosios & Thomas, Alice Carole & Wang, Jianxin, 2023. "The economic impact of daily volatility persistence on energy markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
- Dimos Kambouroudis & David McMillan & Katerina Tsakou, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Volatility: The role of implied volatility, leverage effect, overnight returns and volatility of realized volatility," Working Papers 2019-03, Swansea University, School of Management.
- Perera, Indeewara & Koul, Hira L., 2017. "Fitting a two phase threshold multiplicative error model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(2), pages 348-367.
- Walther, Thomas & Klein, Tony & Bouri, Elie, 2019.
"Exogenous drivers of Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency volatility – A mixed data sampling approach to forecasting,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Walther, Thomas & Klein, Tony & Bouri, Elie, 2018. "Exogenous Drivers of Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Volatility – A Mixed Data Sampling Approach to Forecasting," QBS Working Paper Series 2018/02, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
- Xiafei Li & Yu Wei & Xiaodan Chen & Feng Ma & Chao Liang & Wang Chen, 2022. "Which uncertainty is powerful to forecast crude oil market volatility? New evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4279-4297, October.
- Alvaro Escribano & Genaro Sucarrat, 2011. "Automated model selection in finance: General-to-speci c modelling of the mean and volatility speci cations," Working Papers 2011-09, Instituto Madrileño de Estudios Avanzados (IMDEA) Ciencias Sociales.
- Chen, Hongtao & Liu, Li & Li, Xiaolei, 2018. "The predictive content of CBOE crude oil volatility index," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 492(C), pages 837-850.
- Guo, Yangli & Li, Pan & Wu, Hanlin, 2023. "Jumps in the Chinese crude oil futures volatility forecasting: New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Magdalena E. Sokalska & Ananda Chanda & Robert F. Engle, 2005. "High Frequency Multiplicative Component Garch," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 409, Society for Computational Economics.
- Yu-Sheng Lai, 2018. "Dynamic hedging with futures: a copula-based GARCH model with high-frequency data," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 307-329, October.
- Laurent, Sébastien & Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Violante, Francesco, 2013.
"On loss functions and ranking forecasting performances of multivariate volatility models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 173(1), pages 1-10.
- Sébastien Laurent & Jeroen Rombouts & Francesco Violente, 2009. "On Loss Functions and Ranking Forecasting Performances of Multivariate Volatility Models," CIRANO Working Papers 2009s-45, CIRANO.
- Sébastien Laurent & Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Francesco Violante, 2009. "On Loss Functions and Ranking Forecasting Performances of Multivariate Volatility Models," Cahiers de recherche 0948, CIRPEE.
- Luis A. Gil‐Alana & Robert Mudida & OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Kazeem A. Osuolale & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Mapping US presidential terms with S&P500 index: Time series analysis approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1938-1954, April.
- Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Liu, Jing & Yang, Lin, 2020. "Forecasting stock price volatility: New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 684-694.
- Gong, Xiao-Li & Liu, Xi-Hua & Xiong, Xiong & Zhuang, Xin-Tian, 2018. "Modeling volatility dynamics using non-Gaussian stochastic volatility model based on band matrix routine," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 193-201.
- Maki, Daiki, 2024. "Forecasting downside and upside realized volatility: The role of asymmetric information," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
- Dark, Jonathan, 2018. "Multivariate models with long memory dependence in conditional correlation and volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 162-180.
- Conrad, Christian & Kleen, Onno, 2016. "On the statistical properties of multiplicative GARCH models," Working Papers 0613, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
- Wu, Xinyu & Hou, Xinmeng, 2019. "Forecasting realized variance using asymmetric HAR model with time-varying coefficients," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 89-95.
- Gavriilidis, Konstantinos & Kambouroudis, Dimos S. & Tsakou, Katerina & Tsouknidis, Dimitris A., 2018.
"Volatility forecasting across tanker freight rates: The role of oil price shocks,"
Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 376-391.
- Konstantinos Gavriilidis & Dimos S. Kambouroudis & Katerina Tsakou & Dimitris S. Tsouknidis, 2018. "Volatility forecasting across tanker freight rates: the role of oil price shocks," Working Papers 2018-27, Swansea University, School of Management.
- Henning Fischer & Ángela Blanco‐FERNÁndez & Peter Winker, 2016. "Predicting Stock Return Volatility: Can We Benefit from Regression Models for Return Intervals?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(2), pages 113-146, March.
- Victor Richmond R. Jose, 2017. "Percentage and Relative Error Measures in Forecast Evaluation," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 65(1), pages 200-211, February.
- Ñíguez, Trino-Manuel & Perote, Javier, 2017. "Moments expansion densities for quantifying financial risk," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 53-69.
- Jiawen Luo & Langnan Chen, 2019. "Multivariate realized volatility forecasts of agricultural commodity futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(12), pages 1565-1586, December.
- Hiroyuki Kawakatsu, 2022. "Local projection variance impulse response," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1219-1244, March.
- Hamid, Alain & Heiden, Moritz, 2015. "Forecasting volatility with empirical similarity and Google Trends," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 62-81.
- Clements, Adam & Preve, Daniel P.A., 2021.
"A Practical Guide to harnessing the HAR volatility model,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- A Clements & D Preve, 2019. "A Practical Guide to Harnessing the HAR Volatility Model," NCER Working Paper Series 120, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Alia Afzal & Philipp Sibbertsen, 2021. "Modeling fractional cointegration between high and low stock prices in Asian countries," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 661-682, February.
- Richard Hawkes & Paresh Date, 2007. "Medium‐term horizon volatility forecasting: A comparative study," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(6), pages 465-481, November.
- Wang, Chengyang & Nishiyama, Yoshihiko, 2015. "Volatility forecast of stock indices by model averaging using high-frequency data," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 324-337.
- Claudiu Vinte & Marcel Ausloos & Titus Felix Furtuna, 2022. "A Volatility Estimator of Stock Market Indices Based on the Intrinsic Entropy Model," Papers 2205.01370, arXiv.org.
- Axel A. Araneda, 2021. "Asset volatility forecasting:The optimal decay parameter in the EWMA model," Papers 2105.14382, arXiv.org.
- David Feldman & Xin Xu, 2018. "Equilibrium-based volatility models of the market portfolio rate of return (peacock tails or stotting gazelles)," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 262(2), pages 493-518, March.
- Hollstein, Fabian, 2020. "Estimating beta: The international evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
- Jiang, George J. & Tian, Yisong S., 2010. "Forecasting Volatility Using Long Memory and Comovements: An Application to Option Valuation under SFAS 123R," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(2), pages 503-533, April.
- Silvia Muzzioli, 2011. "Corridor implied volatility and the variance risk premium in the Italian market," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 11112, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
- Chao Zhang & Yihuang Zhang & Mihai Cucuringu & Zhongmin Qian, 2022. "Volatility forecasting with machine learning and intraday commonality," Papers 2202.08962, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
- Piotr Fiszeder, 2018. "Low and high prices can improve covariance forecasts: The evidence based on currency rates," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 641-649, September.
- Andrea Bucci, 2020.
"Cholesky–ANN models for predicting multivariate realized volatility,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 865-876, September.
- Bucci, Andrea, 2019. "Cholesky-ANN models for predicting multivariate realized volatility," MPRA Paper 95137, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Martens, Martin & van Dijk, Dick & de Pooter, Michiel, 2009. "Forecasting S&P 500 volatility: Long memory, level shifts, leverage effects, day-of-the-week seasonality, and macroeconomic announcements," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 282-303.
- Patton, Andrew J. & Ziegel, Johanna F. & Chen, Rui, 2019.
"Dynamic semiparametric models for expected shortfall (and Value-at-Risk),"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 211(2), pages 388-413.
- Andrew J. Patton & Johanna F. Ziegel & Rui Chen, 2017. "Dynamic Semiparametric Models for Expected Shortfall (and Value-at-Risk)," Papers 1707.05108, arXiv.org.
- Varneskov, Rasmus & Voev, Valeri, 2013.
"The role of realized ex-post covariance measures and dynamic model choice on the quality of covariance forecasts,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 83-95.
- Rasmus Tangsgaard Varneskov & Valeri Voev, 2010. "The Role of Realized Ex-post Covariance Measures and Dynamic Model Choice on the Quality of Covariance Forecasts," CREATES Research Papers 2010-45, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Dudley Gilder & Leonidas Tsiaras, 2020. "Volatility forecasts embedded in the prices of crude‐oil options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1127-1159, July.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2017.
"The one-trading-day-ahead forecast errors of intra-day realized volatility,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1298-1314.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2016. "The one-trading-day-ahead forecast errors of intra-day realized volatility," MPRA Paper 80163, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Li, Xiaoqian & Ma, Xiaoqi, 2023. "Jumps and gold futures volatility prediction," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
- Horpestad, Jone B. & Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Olsen, Torbjørn B., 2019. "Asymmetric volatility in equity markets around the world," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 540-554.
- BAUWENS Luc, & XU Yongdeng,, 2019. "DCC-HEAVY: A multivariate GARCH model based on realized variances and correlations," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2019025, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Stavroula Yfanti & Georgios Chortareas & Menelaos Karanasos & Emmanouil Noikokyris, 2022. "A three‐dimensional asymmetric power HEAVY model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2737-2761, July.
- James Brugler & Oliver Linton, 2014. "Circuit Breakers on the London Stock Exchange: Do they improve subsequent market quality?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1453, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Oikonomou, Ioannis & Stancu, Andrei & Symeonidis, Lazaros & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2019. "The information content of short-term options," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
- Heejoon Han & Shen Zhang, 2012. "Non‐stationary non‐parametric volatility model," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 15(2), pages 204-225, June.
- Thibaut Moyaert & Mikael Petitjean, 2011. "The performance of popular stochastic volatility option pricing models during the subprime crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(14), pages 1059-1068.
- Lars Forsberg & Eric Ghysels, 2007. "Why Do Absolute Returns Predict Volatility So Well?," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 5(1), pages 31-67.
- Lukáš Frýd, 2018. "Asymetrie během finančních krizí: asymetrická volatilita převyšuje důležitost asymetrické korelace [Asymmetry of Financial Time Series During the Financial Crisis: Asymmetric Volatility Outperforms," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2018(3), pages 302-329.
- Hassanniakalager, Arman & Baker, Paul L. & Platanakis, Emmanouil, 2024. "A False Discovery Rate approach to optimal volatility forecasting model selection," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 881-902.
- Linlan Xiao, 2013. "Realized volatility forecasting: empirical evidence from stock market indices and exchange rates," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 57-69, January.
- Hiroyuki Kawakatsu, 2022. "Modeling Realized Variance with Realized Quarticity," Stats, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-25, September.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter, 2018. "Exploiting dependence: Day-ahead volatility forecasting for crude oil and natural gas exchange-traded funds," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 462-473.
- repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-053 is not listed on IDEAS
- de Almeida, Daniel & Hotta, Luiz K. & Ruiz, Esther, 2018.
"MGARCH models: Trade-off between feasibility and flexibility,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 45-63.
- Almeida, Daniel de & Hotta, Luiz, 2015. "MGARCH models: tradeoff between feasibility and flexibility," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws1516, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Silvia Muzzioli, 2013. "The Optimal Corridor for Implied Volatility: from Calm to Turmoil Periods," Department of Economics (DEMB) 0029, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Department of Economics "Marco Biagi".
- repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2015-026 is not listed on IDEAS
- McAleer, Michael & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2008.
"A multiple regime smooth transition Heterogeneous Autoregressive model for long memory and asymmetries,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 104-119, November.
- Michael McAller & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2007. "A multiple regime smooth transition heterogeneous autoregressive model for long memory and asymmetries," Textos para discussão 544, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Li, Chenxing & Zhang, Zehua & Zhao, Ran, 2024.
"Volatility or higher moments: Which is more important in return density forecasts of stochastic volatility model?,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
- Li, Chenxing & Zhang, Zehua & Zhao, Ran, 2023. "Volatility or higher moments: Which is more important in return density forecasts of stochastic volatility model?," MPRA Paper 118459, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Bruzda, Joanna, 2019. "Quantile smoothing in supply chain and logistics forecasting," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 122-139.
- Huawei Niu & Tianyu Liu, 2024. "Forecasting the volatility of European Union allowance futures with macroeconomic variables using the GJR-GARCH-MIDAS model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(1), pages 75-96, July.
- Seo, Sung Won & Kim, Jun Sik, 2015. "The information content of option-implied information for volatility forecasting with investor sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 106-120.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2018.
"Multiple days ahead realized volatility forecasting: Single, combined and average forecasts,"
Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 41-61.
- Degiannakis, Stavros, 2018. "Multiple Days Ahead Realized Volatility Forecasting: Single, Combined and Average Forecasts," MPRA Paper 96272, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Wu, Xinyu & Zhao, An & Cheng, Tengfei, 2023. "A Real-Time GARCH-MIDAS model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
- Yu‐Sheng Lai, 2022. "Use of high‐frequency data to evaluate the performance of dynamic hedging strategies," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 104-124, January.
- Adam E Clements & Mark Doolan & Stan Hurn & Ralf Becker, 2012. "Selecting forecasting models for portfolio allocation," NCER Working Paper Series 85, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Ding, Y., 2021. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in the Volatility of Asset Returns," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2179, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Genaro Sucarrat & Alvaro Escribano, 2012. "Automated Model Selection in Finance: General-to-Specific Modelling of the Mean and Volatility Specifications," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 74(5), pages 716-735, October.
- Lin, Boqiang & Wesseh, Presley K., 2013. "What causes price volatility and regime shifts in the natural gas market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 553-563.
- Gregory Connor & Lisa R. Goldberg & Robert A. Korajczyk, 2010. "Portfolio Risk Analysis," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 9224.
- Onno Kleen, 2024. "Scaling and measurement error sensitivity of scoring rules for distribution forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 833-849, August.
- Takahashi, Makoto & Watanabe, Toshiaki & Omori, Yasuhiro, 2021. "Forecasting Daily Volatility of Stock Price Index Using Daily Returns and Realized Volatility," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-104, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- Pietro Coretto & Michele La Rocca & Giuseppe Storti, 2020. "Improving Many Volatility Forecasts Using Cross-Sectional Volatility Clusters," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, March.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter, 2017. "The effect of non-trading days on volatility forecasts in equity markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 39-49.
- Andre Lucas & Anne Opschoor, 2016. "Fractional Integration and Fat Tails for Realized Covariance Kernels and Returns," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-069/IV, Tinbergen Institute, revised 07 Jul 2017.
- Patton, Andrew J., 2011.
"Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 246-256, January.
- Andrew Patton, 2006. "Volatility Forecast Comparison using Imperfect Volatility Proxies," Research Paper Series 175, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Huiling Yuan & Guodong Li & Junhui Wang, 2022. "High-Frequency-Based Volatility Model with Network Structure," Papers 2204.12933, arXiv.org.
- Byun, Sung Je, 2016. "The usefulness of cross-sectional dispersion for forecasting aggregate stock price volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 162-180.
- Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Shaiban, Mohammed Sharaf & Al-Freedi, Ajab, 2020. "Forecasting volatility in the petroleum futures markets: A re-examination and extension," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Samuel Solgon Santos & Marcelo Brutti Righi & Eduardo de Oliveira Horta, 2022. "The limitations of comonotonic additive risk measures: a literature review," Papers 2212.13864, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Bekaert, Geert & Hoerova, Marie, 2014.
"The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 183(2), pages 181-192.
- Geert Bekaert & Marie Hoerova, 2013. "The VIX, the Variance Premium and Stock Market Volatility," NBER Working Papers 18995, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hoerova, Marie & Bekaert, Geert, 2014. "The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility," Working Paper Series 1675, European Central Bank.
- Xiao Xiao & Chen Zhou, 2017. "Entropy-based implied moments," DNB Working Papers 581, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Wei Kuang, 2021. "Conditional covariance matrix forecast using the hybrid exponentially weighted moving average approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1398-1419, December.
- Halkos, George E. & Tsirivis, Apostolos S., 2019. "Effective energy commodity risk management: Econometric modeling of price volatility," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 234-250.
- Skander Slim & Ibrahim Tabche & Yosra Koubaa & Mohamed Osman & Andreas Karathanasopoulos, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility of Bitcoin: The informative role of price duration," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1909-1929, November.
- Aguilar, Mike & Hill, Jonathan B., 2015. "Robust score and portmanteau tests of volatility spillover," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(1), pages 37-61.
- Clements, Adam & Liao, Yin, 2017. "Forecasting the variance of stock index returns using jumps and cojumps," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 729-742.
- Huang, Zhuo & Liu, Hao & Wang, Tianyi, 2016. "Modeling long memory volatility using realized measures of volatility: A realized HAR GARCH model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 812-821.
- Jeff Fleming & Chris Kirby, 2013. "Component-Driven Regime-Switching Volatility," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(2), pages 263-301, March.
- Albert J. Menkveld & Marius A. Zoican, 2017.
"Need for Speed? Exchange Latency and Liquidity,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(4), pages 1188-1228.
- Albert J. Menkveld & Marius A. Zoican, 2014. "Need for Speed? Exchange Latency and Liquidity," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-097/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
- Albert Menkveld & Marius Andrei Zoican, 2016. "Need for Speed? Exchange Latency and Liquidity," Working Papers hal-01253615, HAL.
- Albert Menkveld & Marius Andrei Zoican, 2017. "Need for Speed? Exchange Latency and Liquidity," Post-Print hal-01501352, HAL.
- Wang, Ping & Han, Wei & Huang, Chengcheng & Duong, Duy, 2022. "Forecasting realised volatility from search volume and overnight sentiment: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Chen, Wang & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Liu, Jing, 2020. "Forecasting oil price volatility using high-frequency data: New evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 1-12.
- Taylor, Nick, 2017. "Realised variance forecasting under Box-Cox transformations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 770-785.
- Demetrio Lacava & Giampiero M. Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2022.
"Unconventional policies effects on stock market volatility: The MAP approach,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(5), pages 1245-1265, November.
- Demetrio Lacava & Giampiero M. Gallo & Edoardo Otranto, 2020. "Unconventional Policies Effects on Stock Market Volatility: A MAP Approach," Papers 2010.08259, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
- Noureddine Benlagha & Slim Mseddi, 2019. "Return and volatility spillovers in the presence of structural breaks: evidence from GCC Islamic and conventional banks," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(1), pages 72-90, February.
- Eduardo Rossi & Paolo Santucci de Magistris, 2009. "A No Arbitrage Fractional Cointegration Analysis Of The Range Based Volatility," CREATES Research Papers 2009-31, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Jian Zhou, 2017. "Forecasting REIT volatility with high-frequency data: a comparison of alternative methods," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(26), pages 2590-2605, June.
- Dimos S. Kambouroudis & David G. McMillan & Katerina Tsakou, 2021. "Forecasting realized volatility: The role of implied volatility, leverage effect, overnight returns, and volatility of realized volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(10), pages 1618-1639, October.
- Zhang, Yaojie & Wei, Yu & Zhang, Yi & Jin, Daxiang, 2019. "Forecasting oil price volatility: Forecast combination versus shrinkage method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 423-433.
- Halkos, George & Tzirivis, Apostolos, 2018. "Effective energy commodities’ risk management: Econometric modeling of price volatility," MPRA Paper 90781, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Heejoon Han, 2016. "Quantile Dependence between Stock Markets and its Application in Volatility Forecasting," Papers 1608.07193, arXiv.org.
- Gneiting, Tilmann, 2011. "Making and Evaluating Point Forecasts," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 106(494), pages 746-762.
- Mei, Xueting & Wang, Xinyu, 2024. "Forecasting stock volatility using time-distance weighting fundamental’s shocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
- Amendola, Alessandra & Christian, Francq, 2009. "Concepts and tools for nonlinear time series modelling," MPRA Paper 15140, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gao, Shang & Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Forecasting stock market volatility: The sum of the parts is more than the whole," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
- Mehmet Sahiner & David G. McMillan & Dimos Kambouroudis, 2023. "Do artificial neural networks provide improved volatility forecasts: Evidence from Asian markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(3), pages 723-762, September.
- Zian Wang & Xinyi Lu, 2024. "COMEX Copper Futures Volatility Forecasting: Econometric Models and Deep Learning," Papers 2409.08356, arXiv.org.
- Martens, Martin & van Dijk, Dick, 2007.
"Measuring volatility with the realized range,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 181-207, May.
- Martens, M.P.E. & van Dijk, D.J.C., 2006. "Measuring volatility with the realized range," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2006-10, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Tim Bollerslev & Jia Li & Andrew J. Patton & Rogier Quaedvlieg, 2020. "Realized Semicovariances," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(4), pages 1515-1551, July.
- Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022.
"Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
- Jiawen Luo & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Forecasting Oil and Gold Volatilities with Sentiment Indicators Under Structural Breaks," Working Papers 202130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Chaker Aloui, 2015. "Volatility forecasting and risk management in some MENA stock markets: a nonlinear framework," Afro-Asian Journal of Finance and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(2), pages 160-192.
- Francesco Audrino & Yujia Hu, 2016.
"Volatility Forecasting: Downside Risk, Jumps and Leverage Effect,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-24, February.
- Audrino, Francesco & Hu, Yujia, 2011. "Volatility Forecasting: Downside Risk, Jumps and Leverage Effect," Economics Working Paper Series 1138, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Andrea Bucci & Giulio Palomba & Eduardo Rossi, 2019. "Does macroeconomics help in predicting stock markets volatility comovements? A nonlinear approach," Working Papers 440, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
- Koubaa, Yosra & Slim, Skander, 2019. "The relationship between trading activity and stock market volatility: Does the volume threshold matter?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 168-184.
- Guo, Yangli & Ma, Feng & Li, Haibo & Lai, Xiaodong, 2022. "Oil price volatility predictability based on global economic conditions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Xie, Haibin & Yu, Chengtan, 2020. "Realized GARCH models: Simpler is better," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
- Francesco Audrino & Jonathan Chassot, 2024. "HARd to Beat: The Overlooked Impact of Rolling Windows in the Era of Machine Learning," Papers 2406.08041, arXiv.org.
- Khoo, Zhi De & Ng, Kok Haur & Koh, You Beng & Ng, Kooi Huat, 2024. "Forecasting volatility of stock indices: Improved GARCH-type models through combined weighted volatility measure and weighted volatility indicators," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- Gribisch, Bastian & Hartkopf, Jan Patrick, 2023. "Modeling realized covariance measures with heterogeneous liquidity: A generalized matrix-variate Wishart state-space model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(1), pages 43-64.
- Vidal-Tomás, David, 2023. "The illusion of the metaverse and meta-economy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Ezzat, Hassan, 2012. "The Application of GARCH and EGARCH in Modeling the Volatility of Daily Stock Returns During Massive Shocks: The Empirical Case of Egypt," MPRA Paper 50530, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Elena Andreou & Constantinos Kourouyiannis & Andros Kourtellos, 2012. "Volatility Forecast Combinations using Asymmetric Loss Functions," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 07-2012, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
- Wilms, Ines & Rombouts, Jeroen & Croux, Christophe, 2021. "Multivariate volatility forecasts for stock market indices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 484-499.
- Feng Ma & M. I. M. Wahab & Julien Chevallier & Ziyang Li, 2023. "A tug of war of forecasting the US stock market volatility: Oil futures overnight versus intraday information," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 60-75, January.
- Jondeau, Eric, 2015. "The dynamics of squared returns under contemporaneous aggregation of GARCH models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 80-93.
- Hui Qu & Ping Ji, 2016. "Modeling Realized Volatility Dynamics with a Genetic Algorithm," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(5), pages 434-444, August.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Renò, 2008.
"Volatility forecasting: the jumps do matter,"
Department of Economics University of Siena
534, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
- Fulvio Corsi & Davide Pirino & Roberto Reno, 2009. "Volatility Forecasting: The Jumps Do Matter," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd08-036, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Gian Piero Aielli & Massimiliano Caporin, 2015. "Dynamic Principal Components: a New Class of Multivariate GARCH Models," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0193, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Lai, Yu-Sheng, 2023. "Economic evaluation of dynamic hedging strategies using high-frequency data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Çepni, Oğuzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pienaar, Daniel & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022.
"Forecasting the realized variance of oil-price returns using machine learning: Is there a role for U.S. state-level uncertainty?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Daniel Pienaar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Forecasting the Realized Variance of Oil-Price Returns Using Machine-Learning: Is there a Role for U.S. State-Level Uncertainty?," Working Papers 202205, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Liang, Chao & Li, Yan & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu, 2021. "Global equity market volatilities forecasting: A comparison of leverage effects, jumps, and overnight information," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Kevin Sheppard & Wen Xu, 2014. "Factor High-Frequency Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models," Economics Series Working Papers 710, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Panagiotis Delis & Stavros Degiannakis & George Filis, 2022. "What matters when developing oil price volatility forecasting frameworks?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 361-382, March.
- James Brugler & Oliver Linton, 2014. "Single stock circuit breakers on the London Stock Exchange: do they improve subsequent market quality?," CeMMAP working papers CWP07/14, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Chen, Wang & Lu, Xinjie & Wang, Jiqian, 2022. "Modeling and managing stock market volatility using MRS-MIDAS model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 625-635.
- Tomasz Skoczylas, 2015. "Bivariate GARCH models for single asset returns," Working Papers 2015-03, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
- Trucíos, Carlos, 2019. "Forecasting Bitcoin risk measures: A robust approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 836-847.
- Denisa Georgiana Banulescu & Ferrara Laurent & Marsilli Clément, 2019.
"Prévoir la volatilité d’un actif financier à l’aide d’un modèle à mélange de fréquences,"
Working Papers
hal-03563168, HAL.
- Denisa BANULESCU-RADU & Laurent FERRARA & Clément MARSILLI, 2019. "Prévoir la volatilité d’un actif financier à l’aide d’un modèle à mélange de fréquences," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2710, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
- Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian & Rohloff, Sebastian, 2016. "A boosting approach to forecasting the volatility of gold-price fluctuations under flexible loss," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 95-107.
- Andrew J. Patton & Yasin Simsek, 2023. "Generalized Autoregressive Score Trees and Forests," Papers 2305.18991, arXiv.org.
- Mark Johnman & Bruce James Vanstone & Adrian Gepp, 2018. "Predicting FTSE 100 returns and volatility using sentiment analysis," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(S1), pages 253-274, November.
- Kris Boudt & Hong Anh Luu, 2022. "Estimation and decomposition of food price inflation risk," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 31(2), pages 295-319, June.
- Romero, Eva, 2024. "Fitting complex stochastic volatility models using Laplace approximation," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 43947, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Atak, Alev & Kapetanios, George, 2013. "A factor approach to realized volatility forecasting in the presence of finite jumps and cross-sectional correlation in pricing errors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 224-228.
- Cristina Amado & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Terasvirta, 2017.
"Modelling and Forecasting WIG20 Daily Returns,"
Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 9(3), pages 173-200, September.
- Cristina Amado & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2017. "Modelling and forecasting WIG20 daily returns," NIPE Working Papers 09/2017, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Cristina Amado & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta, 2017. "Modelling and forecasting WIG20 daily returns," CREATES Research Papers 2017-29, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Reschenhofer, Erhard & Mangat, Manveer Kaur & Stark, Thomas, 2020. "Volatility forecasts, proxies and loss functions," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 133-153.
- Wang, Weichen & An, Ran & Zhu, Ziwei, 2024. "Volatility prediction comparison via robust volatility proxies: An empirical deviation perspective," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 239(2).
- Ma, Feng & Li, Yu & Liu, Li & Zhang, Yaojie, 2018. "Are low-frequency data really uninformative? A forecasting combination perspective," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 92-108.
- Feng Ma & Chao Liang & Yuanhui Ma & M.I.M. Wahab, 2020. "Cryptocurrency volatility forecasting: A Markov regime‐switching MIDAS approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(8), pages 1277-1290, December.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Edward M. H. Lin & Tara F. J. Huang, 2022. "Bayesian quantile forecasting via the realized hysteretic GARCH model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1317-1337, November.
- Siu Hin Tang & Mathieu Rosenbaum & Chao Zhou, 2023. "Forecasting Volatility with Machine Learning and Rough Volatility: Example from the Crypto-Winter," Papers 2311.04727, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
- Chao Liang & Yongan Xu & Zhonglu Chen & Xiafei Li, 2023. "Forecasting China's stock market volatility with shrinkage method: Can Adaptive Lasso select stronger predictors from numerous predictors?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3689-3699, October.
- Niu, Zibo & Wang, Chenlu & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "Forecasting stock market volatility with various geopolitical risks categories: New evidence from machine learning models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- Yuqing Feng & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang, 2024. "Out‐of‐sample volatility prediction: Rolling window, expanding window, or both?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 567-582, April.
- Tseng, Tseng-Chan & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Chen, Mei-Ping, 2015. "Volatility forecast of country ETF: The sequential information arrival hypothesis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 228-234.
- Mehmet Sahiner, 2022. "Forecasting volatility in Asian financial markets: evidence from recursive and rolling window methods," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(10), pages 1-74, October.
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Todorova, Neda, 2024. "Forecasting of clean energy market volatility: The role of oil and the technology sector," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Výrost, Tomáš, 2021. "Stock market volatility forecasting: Do we need high-frequency data?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1092-1110.
- Timo Dimitriadis & Tobias Fissler & Johanna Ziegel, 2020. "The Efficiency Gap," Papers 2010.14146, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
- Amendola, Alessandra & Candila, Vincenzo & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2019. "On the asymmetric impact of macro–variables on volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 135-152.
- Silvia Muzzioli, 2013. "The Forecasting Performance of Corridor Implied Volatility in the Italian Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 41(3), pages 359-386, March.
- Marchese, Malvina & Kyriakou, Ioannis & Tamvakis, Michael & Di Iorio, Francesca, 2020. "Forecasting crude oil and refined products volatilities and correlations: New evidence from fractionally integrated multivariate GARCH models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Kumar, Dilip & Maheswaran, S., 2014. "A new approach to model and forecast volatility based on extreme value of asset prices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 128-140.
- Daniel Borup & Martin Thyrsgaard, 2017. "Statistical tests for equal predictive ability across multiple forecasting methods," CREATES Research Papers 2017-19, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Berger, Theo & Gençay, Ramazan, 2018. "Improving daily Value-at-Risk forecasts: The relevance of short-run volatility for regulatory quality assessment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 30-46.
- Evangelia Kasimati & Nikolaos Veraros, 2017. "Is there accuracy of forward freight agreements in forecasting future freight rates? An empirical investigation," Working Papers 230, Bank of Greece.
- Xu, Yanyan & Huang, Dengshi & Ma, Feng & Qiao, Gaoxiu, 2019. "The heterogeneous impact of liquidity on volatility in Chinese stock index futures market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 73-85.
- Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein & Awartani, Basel, 2022. "Have returns and volatilities for financial assets responded to implied volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
- Werner Ehm & Tilmann Gneiting & Alexander Jordan & Fabian Krüger, 2016. "Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(3), pages 505-562, June.
- Rice, Gregory & Wirjanto, Tony & Zhao, Yuqian, 2023. "Exploring volatility of crude oil intraday return curves: A functional GARCH-X model," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
- Christian Brownlees & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Alice Monti, 2018. "Evaluating The Accuracy Of Tail Risk Forecasts For Systemic Risk Measurement," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(02), pages 1-25, June.
- Ralf Becker & Adam Clements & Christopher Coleman-Fenn, 2009. "Forecast performance of implied volatility and the impact of the volatility risk premium," NCER Working Paper Series 45, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Liu, Min & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2021. "Capturing the dynamics of the China crude oil futures: Markov switching, co-movement, and volatility forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
- Chao Liang & Yu Wei & Likun Lei & Feng Ma, 2022. "Global equity market volatility forecasting: New evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 594-609, January.
- Fulvio Corsi & Roberto Renò, 2012. "Discrete-Time Volatility Forecasting With Persistent Leverage Effect and the Link With Continuous-Time Volatility Modeling," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 368-380, January.
- Adam Clements & Annastiina Silvennoinen, 2009. "On the economic benefit of utility based estimation of a volatility model," NCER Working Paper Series 44, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Radovan Parrák, 2013. "The Economic Valuation of Variance Forecasts: An Artificial Option Market Approach," Working Papers IES 2013/09, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Aug 2013.
- Blazsek, Szabolcs & Carrizo, Daniela & Eskildsen, Ricardo & Gonzalez, Humberto, 2018. "Forecasting rate of return after extreme values when using AR-t-GARCH and QAR-Beta-t-EGARCH," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 193-198.
- Virk, Nader & Javed, Farrukh & Awartani, Basel, 2021. "A reality check on the GARCH-MIDAS volatility models," Working Papers 2021:2, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Ezzat, Hassan & Kirkulak, Berna, 2014. "Information Arrival and Volatility: Evidence from the Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange (Tadawul)," MPRA Paper 61160, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Clements, A.E. & Liao, Y., 2020. "Firm-specific information and systemic risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 480-493.
- Maria Ghani & Usman Ghani, 2024. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Emerging Stock Market Volatility," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 31(1), pages 165-181, March.
- Alessandra Amendola & Vincenzo Candila & Antonio Naimoli & Giuseppe Storti, 2024. "Adaptive combinations of tail-risk forecasts," Papers 2406.06235, arXiv.org.
- Min Liu & Wei‐Chong Choo & Chi‐Chuan Lee & Chien‐Chiang Lee, 2023. "Trading volume and realized volatility forecasting: Evidence from the China stock market," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 76-100, January.
- Watanabe, Toshiaki & Nakajima, Jouchi, 2023. "High-frequency realized stochastic volatility model," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-127, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
- Marcin Fałdziński & Piotr Fiszeder & Witold Orzeszko, 2020. "Forecasting Volatility of Energy Commodities: Comparison of GARCH Models with Support Vector Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-18, December.
- Silvia Muzzioli, 2011. "Corridor implied volatility and the variance risk premium in the Italian market," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 0030, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
- Ghysels, Eric & Sohn, Bumjean, 2009. "Which power variation predicts volatility well?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 686-700, September.
- Zhang, Yaojie & He, Mengxi & Wang, Yudong & Liang, Chao, 2023. "Global economic policy uncertainty aligned: An informative predictor for crude oil market volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1318-1332.
- Matei, Marius, 2011. "Non-Linear Volatility Modeling of Economic and Financial Time Series Using High Frequency Data," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 116-141, June.
- Batten, Jonathan A. & Mo, Di & Pourkhanali, Armin, 2024. "Can inflation predict energy price volatility?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
- Zhang, Hongwei & Zhao, Xinyi & Gao, Wang & Niu, Zibo, 2023. "The role of higher moments in predicting China's oil futures volatility: Evidence from machine learning models," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
- Bleher, Johannes & Dimpfl, Thomas, 2019. "Today I got a million, tomorrow, I don't know: On the predictability of cryptocurrencies by means of Google search volume," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 147-159.
- Fuentes, Fernanda & Herrera, Rodrigo & Clements, Adam, 2023. "Forecasting extreme financial risk: A score-driven approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 720-735.
- Ke Yang & Langnan Chen, 2014. "Realized Volatility Forecast: Structural Breaks, Long Memory, Asymmetry, and Day-of-the-Week Effect," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 14(3), pages 345-392, September.
- Gneiting, Tilmann, 2011. "Quantiles as optimal point forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 197-207.
- Harris, Richard D.F. & Nguyen, Anh, 2013. "Long memory conditional volatility and asset allocation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 258-273.
- Bugge, Sebastian A. & Guttormsen, Haakon J. & Molnár, Peter & Ringdal, Martin, 2016. "Implied volatility index for the Norwegian equity market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 133-141.
- Yan, Han & Liu, Bin & Zhu, Xingting & Wu, Yan, 2024. "Systemic risk monitoring model from the perspective of public information arrival," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin, 2021. "A realized EGARCH-MIDAS model with higher moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
- Stavroula P. Fameliti & Vasiliki D. Skintzi, 2020. "Predictive ability and economic gains from volatility forecast combinations," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 200-219, March.
- Byounghyun Jeon & Sung Won Seo & Jun Sik Kim, 2020. "Uncertainty and the volatility forecasting power of option‐implied volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1109-1126, July.
- Kevin Sheppard & Wen Xu, 2019. "Factor High-Frequency-Based Volatility (HEAVY) Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 17(1), pages 33-65.
- Amendola, Alessandra & Storti, Giuseppe, 2008. "A GMM procedure for combining volatility forecasts," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(6), pages 3047-3060, February.
- Jiang, Feiyu & Li, Dong & Zhu, Ke, 2021. "Adaptive inference for a semiparametric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(2), pages 306-329.
- Vasyl Golosnoy & Yarema Okhrin, 2015. "Using information quality for volatility model combinations," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(6), pages 1055-1073, June.
- Tomáš Plíhal, 2021. "Scheduled macroeconomic news announcements and Forex volatility forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1379-1397, December.
- Astrid Ayala & Szabolcs Blazsek, 2018. "Equity market neutral hedge funds and the stock market: an application of score-driven copula models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(37), pages 4005-4023, August.
- Taylor, Nicholas, 2008. "Can idiosyncratic volatility help forecast stock market volatility?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 462-479.
- Ding, Y., 2021. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in the Volatility of Asset Returns," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2111, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Donggyu Kim & Minseok Shin, 2023. "Volatility models for stylized facts of high‐frequency financial data," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(3), pages 262-279, May.
- Tomasz Skoczylas, 2015. "Log-volatility enhanced GARCH models for single asset returns," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 46(5), pages 411-432.
- Robert Ślepaczuk & Grzegorz Zakrzewski, 2009. "High-Frequency and Model-Free Volatility Estimators," Working Papers 2009-13, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
- Bjoern Schulte-Tillman & Mawuli Segnon & Bernd Wilfling, 2022. "Financial-market volatility prediction with multiplicative Markov-switching MIDAS components," CQE Working Papers 9922, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Benschop, Thijs & López Cabrera, Brenda, 2017. "Realized volatility of CO2 futures," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-025, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Bonaparte, Yosef, 2023. "Introducing the Cryptocurrency VIX: CVIX✰," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Fałdziński, Marcin & Fiszeder, Piotr & Molnár, Peter, 2024. "Improving volatility forecasts: Evidence from range-based models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
- Victor Richmond R. Jose, 2017. "Percentage and Relative Error Measures in Forecast Evaluation," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 65(1), pages 200-211, February.
- Richard D. F. Harris & Murat Mazibas, 2022. "A component Markov regime‐switching autoregressive conditional range model," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(2), pages 650-683, April.
- Tianlun Fei & Xiaoquan Liu & Conghua Wen, 2023. "Forecasting stock return volatility: Realized volatility‐type or duration‐based estimators," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1594-1621, November.
- Xingzhi Yao & Marwan Izzeldin, 2018. "Forecasting using alternative measures of model‐free option‐implied volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 199-218, February.
- repec:ebl:ecbull:eb-14-00886 is not listed on IDEAS
- Armin Pourkhanali & Jonathan Keith & Xibin Zhang, 2021. "Conditional Heteroscedasticity Models with Time-Varying Parameters: Estimation and Asymptotics," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Hollstein, Fabian & Prokopczuk, Marcel, 2016. "Estimating Beta," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(4), pages 1437-1466, August.
- Ding, Y., 2021. "Augmented Real-Time GARCH: A Joint Model for Returns, Volatility and Volatility of Volatility," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2112, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Apostolos Kourtis & Raphael N. Markellos & Lazaros Symeonidis, 2016. "An International Comparison of Implied, Realized, and GARCH Volatility Forecasts," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(12), pages 1164-1193, December.
- Zhao, Ling, 2023. "Global economic policy uncertainty and oil futures volatility prediction," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Allan Timmermann, 2018. "Forecasting Methods in Finance," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 449-479, November.
- Papantonis, Ioannis & Rompolis, Leonidas & Tzavalis, Elias, 2023. "Improving variance forecasts: The role of Realized Variance features," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1221-1237.
- Fang, Libing & Qian, Yichuo & Chen, Ying & Yu, Honghai, 2018. "How does stock market volatility react to NVIX? Evidence from developed countries," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 490-499.
- Chun Liu & John M. Maheu, 2009.
"Forecasting realized volatility: a Bayesian model-averaging approach,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(5), pages 709-733.
- Chun Liu & John M Maheu, 2008. "Forecasting Realized Volatility: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach," Working Papers tecipa-313, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
- Ahoniemi, Katja & Lanne, Markku, 2013. "Overnight stock returns and realized volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 592-604.
- Herrera, Ana María & Hu, Liang & Pastor, Daniel, 2018. "Forecasting crude oil price volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 622-635.
- Robert F. Engle & Emil N. Siriwardane, 2018.
"Structural GARCH: The Volatility-Leverage Connection,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(2), pages 449-492.
- Robert Engle & Emil Siriwardane, 2014. "Structural GARCH: The Volatility-Leverage Connection," Working Papers 14-07, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
- Wang, Jiazhen & Jiang, Yuexiang & Zhu, Yanjian & Yu, Jing, 2020. "Prediction of volatility based on realized-GARCH-kernel-type models: Evidence from China and the U.S," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 428-444.
- Zhang, Yaojie & Ma, Feng & Liao, Yin, 2020. "Forecasting global equity market volatilities," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1454-1475.
- Fiszeder, Piotr & Fałdziński, Marcin, 2019. "Improving forecasts with the co-range dynamic conditional correlation model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- Sharma, Prateek & Vipul,, 2016. "Forecasting stock market volatility using Realized GARCH model: International evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 222-230.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis & Spyros Xanthopoulos-Sisinis & Apostolos P. Refenes, 2012.
"Stock index realized volatility forecasting in the presence of heterogeneous leverage effects and long range dependence in the volatility of realized volatility,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(27), pages 3533-3550, September.
- Dimitrios Louzis & Spyros Xanthopoulos-Sisinis & Apostolos Refenes, 2011. "Stock index realized volatility forecasting in the presence of heterogeneous leverage effects and long range dependence in the volatility of realized volatility," Post-Print hal-00709559, HAL.
- Raúl de Jesús Gutiérrez & Edgar Ortiz & Oswaldo García Salgado, 2017. "Los efectos de largo plazo de la asimetría y persistencia en la predicción de la volatilidad: evidencia para mercados accionarios de América Latina," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 62(4), pages 1063-1080, Octubre-D.
- Tan, Chia-Yen & Koh, You-Beng & Ng, Kok-Haur & Ng, Kooi-Huat, 2021. "Dynamic volatility modelling of Bitcoin using time-varying transition probability Markov-switching GARCH model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
- Panayiotis Andreou & Chris Charalambous & Spiros Martzoukos, 2014. "Assessing the performance of symmetric and asymmetric implied volatility functions," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 373-397, April.
- Gabriel Rodríguez & José Carlos Gonzáles Tanaka, 2016. "An Empirical Application of a Random Level Shifts Model with Time-Varying Probability and Mean Reversion to the Volatility of Latin-American Forex Markets Returns [Una aplicación empírica de un modelo," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2016-415, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- M. Karanasos & S. Yfanti & J. Hunter, 2022. "Emerging stock market volatility and economic fundamentals: the importance of US uncertainty spillovers, financial and health crises," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1077-1116, June.
- Joslin, Scott & Konchitchki, Yaniv, 2018. "Interest rate volatility, the yield curve, and the macroeconomy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 344-362.
- Trino-Manuel Ñíguez & Javier Perote, 2012. "Forecasting Heavy-Tailed Densities with Positive Edgeworth and Gram-Charlier Expansions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 74(4), pages 600-627, August.
- Roxana Halbleib & Valeri Voev, 2016. "Forecasting Covariance Matrices: A Mixed Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(2), pages 383-417.
- Liang, Chao & Luo, Qin & Li, Yan & Huynh, Luu Duc Toan, 2023. "Global financial stress index and long-term volatility forecast for international stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Yu, Xing & Li, Yanyan & Gong, Xue & Zhang, Nan, 2022. "Evaluating the performance of futures hedging using factors-driven realized volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Forecasting Realized Stock-Market Volatility: Do Industry Returns have Predictive Value?," Working Papers 2020107, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Silvia Muzzioli & Luca Gambarelli & Bernard Baets, 2020. "Option implied moments obtained through fuzzy regression," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 211-238, June.
- Andrew J. Patton & Kevin Sheppard, 2015. "Good Volatility, Bad Volatility: Signed Jumps and The Persistence of Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(3), pages 683-697, July.
- Timotheos Angelidis & Stavros Degiannakis, 2007. "Backtesting VaR Models: An Expected Shortfall Approach," Working Papers 0701, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
- Pedro Correia S. Bezerra & Pedro Henrique M. Albuquerque, 2017. "Volatility forecasting via SVR–GARCH with mixture of Gaussian kernels," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 179-196, April.
- IORGULESCU Filip, 2012. "The Stylized Facts Of Asset Returns And Their Impact On Value-At-Risk Models," Revista Economica, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(4), pages 360-368.
- Adam Clements & Ralf Becker, 2009. "A nonparametric approach to forecasting realized volatility," NCER Working Paper Series 43, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Paolo Chirico, 2024. "Iterative QML estimation for asymmetric stochastic volatility models," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 33(3), pages 885-900, July.
- Patton, Andrew J., 2011. "Data-based ranking of realised volatility estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 161(2), pages 284-303, April.
- Sucarrat, Genaro, 2009. "Automated financial multi-path GETS modelling," UC3M Working papers. Economics we093620, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Denuit, Michel & Trufin, Julien, 2022. "Autocalibration by balance correction in nonlife insurance pricing," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2022041, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
- repec:hal:journl:peer-00741630 is not listed on IDEAS
- Luo, Qin & Bu, Jinfeng & Xu, Weiju & Huang, Dengshi, 2023. "Stock market volatility prediction: Evidence from a new bagging model," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 445-456.
- Zhou, Haonan & Lu, Xinjie, 2023. "Investor attention on the Russia-Ukraine conflict and stock market volatility: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Panos Pouliasis & Ioannis Kyriakou & Nikos Papapostolou, 2017. "On equity risk prediction and tail spillovers," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(4), pages 379-393, October.
- Prateek Sharma & Vipul _, 2015. "Forecasting stock index volatility with GARCH models: international evidence," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 32(4), pages 445-463, October.
- Davide De Gaetano, 2018. "Forecast Combinations for Structural Breaks in Volatility: Evidence from BRICS Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-13, October.
- Chin Wen CHEONG & Lee Min CHERNG & Grace Lee Ching YAP, 2016. "Heterogeneous Market Hypothesis Evaluations using Various Jump-Robust Realized Volatility," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 50-64, December.
- Wu, Xinyu & Yin, Xuebao & Umar, Zaghum & Iqbal, Najaf, 2023. "Volatility forecasting in the Bitcoin market: A new proposed measure based on the VS-ACARR approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
- Ahmed BenSaïda & Sabri Boubaker & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Skander Slim, 2018. "Value‐at‐risk under market shifts through highly flexible models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(8), pages 790-804, December.
- Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin & Zhang, Huanming, 2022. "Time-varying risk aversion and renminbi exchange rate volatility: Evidence from CARR-MIDAS model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
- Constantin Anghelache & Madalina-Gabriela Anghel & Alina-Georgiana Solomon, 2017. "National Accounts System: Source of Information in Macroeconomic Forecast," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 7(2), pages 76-82, April.
- Eric Hillebrand & Marcelo Cunha Medeiros, 2010. "Asymmetries, breaks, and long-range dependence: An estimation framework for daily realized volatility," Textos para discussão 578, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
- Bonnier, Jean-Baptiste, 2022. "Forecasting crude oil volatility with exogenous predictors: As good as it GETS?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
- Jin, Daxiang & He, Mengxi & Xing, Lu & Zhang, Yaojie, 2022. "Forecasting China's crude oil futures volatility: How to dig out the information of other energy futures volatilities?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Christian Conrad & Onno Kleen, 2020. "Two are better than one: Volatility forecasting using multiplicative component GARCH‐MIDAS models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 19-45, January.
- Linlan Xiao & Vigdis Boasson & Sergey Shishlenin & Victoria Makushina, 2018. "Volatility forecasting: combinations of realized volatility measures and forecasting models," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(13), pages 1428-1441, March.
- Julien Chevallier & Bilel Sanhaji, 2023.
"Jump-Robust Realized-GARCH-MIDAS-X Estimators for Bitcoin and Ethereum Volatility Indices,"
Stats, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-32, December.
- Julien Chevallier & Bilel Sanhaji, 2023. "Jump-Robust Realized-GARCH-MIDAS-X Estimators for Bitcoin and Ethereum Volatility Indices," Post-Print halshs-04344131, HAL.
- Wang, Lu & Ma, Feng & Hao, Jianyang & Gao, Xinxin, 2021. "Forecasting crude oil volatility with geopolitical risk: Do time-varying switching probabilities play a role?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
- Mike Buckle & Jing Chen & Julian Williams, 2014. "How Predictable Are Equity Covariance Matrices? Evidence from High‐Frequency Data for Four Markets," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(7), pages 542-557, November.
- Sucarrat, Genaro, 2021. "Identification of volatility proxies as expectations of squared financial returns," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1677-1690.
- Andersen, Torben G. & Li, Yingying & Todorov, Viktor & Zhou, Bo, 2023. "Volatility measurement with pockets of extreme return persistence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Leopoldo Catania & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2018. "Predicting the Volatility of Cryptocurrency Time Series," Working Papers No 3/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Wang, Jiqian & Huang, Yisu & Ma, Feng & Chevallier, Julien, 2020. "Does high-frequency crude oil futures data contain useful information for predicting volatility in the US stock market? New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Yu‐Sheng Lai, 2023. "Optimal futures hedging by using realized semicovariances: The information contained in signed high‐frequency returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 677-701, May.
- Asai, Manabu & Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael, 2022. "Realized matrix-exponential stochastic volatility with asymmetry, long memory and higher-moment spillovers," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 285-304.
- Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Poon, Wai Ching & Al-Freedi, Ajab & Heng, Zin Yau, 2018. "Forecasting volatility in the biofuel feedstock markets in the presence of structural breaks: A comparison of alternative distribution functions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 307-333.
- Eric Jondeau, 2008. "Contemporaneous Aggregation of GARCH Models and Evaluation of the Aggregation Bias," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 08-06, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Vortelinos, Dimitrios I., 2015. "Out-of-sample evaluation of macro announcements, linearity, long memory, heterogeneity and jumps in mini-futures markets," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 58-67.
- Czado, Claudia & Ivanov, Eugen & Okhrin, Yarema, 2019. "Modelling temporal dependence of realized variances with vines," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 198-216.
- Hu, Min & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang & Wei, Lijian, 2020. "Macro factors and the realized volatility of commodities: A dynamic network analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Xiangjin B. Chen & Jiti Gao & Degui Li & Param Silvapulle, 2018. "Nonparametric Estimation and Forecasting for Time-Varying Coefficient Realized Volatility Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 88-100, January.
- Mao, Xiuping & Ruiz, Esther & Veiga, Helena, 2017. "Threshold stochastic volatility: Properties and forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1105-1123.
- Zhang, Hanyu & Dufour, Alfonso, 2019. "Modeling intraday volatility of European bond markets: A data filtering application," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 131-146.
- Danyan Wen & Mengxi He & Yaojie Zhang & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility of Chinese stock market: A simple but efficient truncated approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 230-251, March.
- Lin, Yu & Xiao, Yang & Li, Fuxing, 2020. "Forecasting crude oil price volatility via a HM-EGARCH model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
- James Ming Chen, 2018. "On Exactitude in Financial Regulation: Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and Expectiles," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-28, June.
- Jonathan Haynes & Daniel Schmitt & Lukas Grimm, 2019. "Estimating stochastic volatility: the rough side to equity returns," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 42(2), pages 449-469, December.
- Wang, Yuejing & Ye, Wuyi & Jiang, Ying & Liu, Xiaoquan, 2024. "Volatility prediction for the energy sector with economic determinants: Evidence from a hybrid model," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Menelaos Karanasos & Stavroula Yfanti, 2019. "Macro-Financial Linkages in the High-Frequency Domain: The Effects of Uncertainty on Realized Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 8000, CESifo.
- Adam Clements & Yin Liao & Yusui Tang, 2022. "Moving beyond Volatility Index (VIX): HARnessing the term structure of implied volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 86-99, January.
- Anine E. Bolko & Kim Christensen & Mikko S. Pakkanen & Bezirgen Veliyev, 2020. "Roughness in spot variance? A GMM approach for estimation of fractional log-normal stochastic volatility models using realized measures," CREATES Research Papers 2020-12, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Yen, Yu-Min & Yen, Tso-Jung, 2021. "Testing forecast accuracy of expectiles and quantiles with the extremal consistent loss functions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 733-758.
- Huang, Yirong & Luo, Yi, 2024. "Forecasting conditional volatility based on hybrid GARCH-type models with long memory, regime switching, leverage effect and heavy-tail: Further evidence from equity market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Plíhal, Tomáš & Lyócsa, Štefan, 2021. "Modeling realized volatility of the EUR/USD exchange rate: Does implied volatility really matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 811-829.
- Martina Assereto & Julie Byrne, 2020. "The Implications of Policy Uncertainty on Solar Photovoltaic Investment," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-20, November.
- Wu, Xinyu & Hou, Xinmeng, 2020. "Forecasting volatility with component conditional autoregressive range model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Torben G. Andersen & Luca Benzoni, 2008. "Realized volatility," Working Paper Series WP-08-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Nicklas Werge & Olivier Wintenberger, 2020.
"AdaVol: An Adaptive Recursive Volatility Prediction Method,"
Papers
2006.02077, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
- Nicklas Werge & Olivier Wintenberger, 2021. "AdaVol: An Adaptive Recursive Volatility Prediction Method," Working Papers hal-02733439, HAL.
- Alexander I. Jordan & Anja Mühlemann & Johanna F. Ziegel, 2022. "Characterizing the optimal solutions to the isotonic regression problem for identifiable functionals," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 74(3), pages 489-514, June.
- Peter Molnár, 2016. "High-low range in GARCH models of stock return volatility," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(51), pages 4977-4991, November.
- Wamg, Jianxin, 2011. "Forecasting Volatility in Asian Stock Markets: Contributions of Local, Regional, and Global Factors," Asian Development Review, Asian Development Bank, vol. 28(2), pages 32-57.
- Loïc Maréchal, 2021. "Do economic variables forecast commodity futures volatility?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(11), pages 1735-1774, November.
- Ahmed A. A. Khalifa & Hong Miao & Sanjay Ramchander, 2011. "Return distributions and volatility forecasting in metal futures markets: Evidence from gold, silver, and copper," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 55-80, January.
- Mathieu Rosenbaum & Jianfei Zhang, 2022. "On the universality of the volatility formation process: when machine learning and rough volatility agree," Papers 2206.14114, arXiv.org.
- Hou, Aijun & Suardi, Sandy, 2012. "A nonparametric GARCH model of crude oil price return volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 618-626.