Tatevik Sekhposyan
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Blog mentions
As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:- Òscar Jordà & Noah Kouchekinia & Colton Merrill & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2020.
"The Fog of Numbers,"
FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2020(20), pages 1-5, July.
Mentioned in:
- Revisions to employment data during 2020 and 2021 : Reassessing labor market conditions after the 2020 recession
by ? in FRED blog on 2022-01-24 14:00:00
- Revisions to employment data during 2020 and 2021 : Reassessing labor market conditions after the 2020 recession
Working papers
- Florens Odendahl & Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2021.
"Evaluating Forecast Performance with State Dependence,"
Working Papers
1295, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Odendahl, Florens & Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2023. "Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Florens Odendahl & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2021. "Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence," Economics Working Papers 1800, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
Cited by:
- Granziera, Eleonora & Jalasjoki, Pirkka & Paloviita, Maritta, 2024. "The bias of the ECB inflation projections: A State-dependent analysis," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2024, Bank of Finland.
- Bordo, Michael D. & Haubrich, Joseph G., 2024. "Low interest rates and the predictive content of the yield curve," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Yang Zu, 2024. "Tests for equal forecast accuracy under heteroskedasticity," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 850-869, August.
- Giraldo, Carlos & Giraldo, Iader & Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Uribe, Jorge M., 2024.
"Term Spread Spillovers to Latin America and Emergence of the ‘Twin Ds’,"
Documentos de trabajo
21169, FLAR.
- Giraldo, Carlos & Giraldo, Iader & Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Uribe, Jorge M., 2024. "Term spread spillovers to Latin America and emergence of the ‘Twin Ds’," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
- Tatjana Dahlhaus & Julia Schaumburg & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2021.
"Networking the Yield Curve: Implications for Monetary Policy,"
Staff Working Papers
21-4, Bank of Canada.
- Dalhaus, Tatjana & Schaumburg, Julia & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2021. "Networking the yield curve: implications for monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2532, European Central Bank.
Cited by:
- Marko Mlikota, 2022. "Cross-Sectional Dynamics Under Network Structure: Theory and Macroeconomic Applications," Papers 2211.13610, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
- Rossi, Barbara & Odendahl, Florens & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2020.
"Comparing Forecast Performance with State Dependence,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15217, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Cited by:
- Matteo Iacopini & Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini, 2020.
"Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting,"
Working Papers
No 06/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Matteo Iacopini & Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini, 2020. "Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting," Papers 2006.11265, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
- Matteo Iacopini & Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini, 2020.
"Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting,"
Working Papers
No 06/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Rossi, Barbara & Ganics, Gergely & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2020.
"From Fixed-event to Fixed-horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Foreca,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
14267, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Cited by:
- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics,"
Working Papers
22-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 11 Apr 2023.
- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2024. "Constructing density forecasts from quantile regressions: Multimodality in macrofinancial dynamics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 790-812, August.
- Manzan, Sebastiano, 2021. "Are professional forecasters Bayesian?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
- Fabian Kruger & Hendrik Plett, 2022. "Prediction intervals for economic fixed-event forecasts," Papers 2210.13562, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
- De Santis, Roberto A. & Van der Veken, Wouter, 2020. "Forecasting macroeconomic risk in real time: Great and Covid-19 Recessions," Working Paper Series 2436, European Central Bank.
- Clements, Michael P., 2021. "Rounding behaviour of professional macro-forecasters," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1614-1631.
- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics,"
Working Papers
22-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 11 Apr 2023.
- Lukas Hoesch & Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2020.
"Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence,"
Working Papers
1158, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Lukas Hoesch & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2023. "Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 355-387, July.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik & Hoesch, Lukas, 2020. "Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 14456, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lukas Hoesch & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2020. "Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence," Working Paper Series 2020-08, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Lukas Hoesch & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2020. "Has the information channel of monetary policy disappeared? Revisiting the empirical evidence," Economics Working Papers 1701, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
Cited by:
- Taeyoung Doh & Dongho Song & Shu-Kuei X. Yang, 2020. "Deciphering Federal Reserve Communication via Text Analysis of Alternative FOMC Statements," Research Working Paper RWP 20-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2023.
"An Alternative Explanation for the "Fed Information Effect","
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 113(3), pages 664-700, March.
- Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2020. "An Alternative Explanation for the “Fed Information Effect”," NBER Working Papers 27013, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2020.
"The Fed's Response to Economic News Explains the “Fed Information Effect”,"
Working Paper Series
2020-06, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Bauer, Michael D. & Swanson, Eric T., 2021. "The Fed's response to economic news explains the "Fed information effect"," IMFS Working Paper Series 155, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Michael D. Bauer & Eric T. Swanson, 2020. "The Fed's Response to Economic News Explains the "Fed Information Effect"," CESifo Working Paper Series 8151, CESifo.
- Benjamin Gardner & Chiara Scotti & Clara Vega, 2021.
"Words Speak as Loudly as Actions: Central Bank Communication and the Response of Equity Prices to Macroeconomic Announcements,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2021-074, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Gardner, Ben & Scotti, Chiara & Vega, Clara, 2022. "Words speak as loudly as actions: Central bank communication and the response of equity prices to macroeconomic announcements," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 387-409.
- Parle, Conor, 2021.
"The financial market impact of ECB monetary policy press conferences - a text based approach,"
Research Technical Papers
4/RT/21, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Parle, Conor, 2022. "The financial market impact of ECB monetary policy press conferences — A text based approach," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Robert Goodhead & Benedikt Kolb, 2025.
"Monetary policy communication shocks and the macroeconomy,"
Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 92(365), pages 173-198, January.
- Goodhead, Robert & Kolb, Benedikt, 2018. "Monetary policy communication shocks and the macroeconomy," Discussion Papers 46/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Goodhead, Robert, 2024. "The economic impact of yield curve compression: Evidence from euro area forward guidance and unconventional monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
- Jarociński, Marek, 2022.
"Central bank information effects and transatlantic spillovers,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Jarociński, Marek, 2020. "Central bank information effects and transatlantic spillovers," Working Paper Series 2482, European Central Bank.
- Karnaukh, Nina & Vokata, Petra, 2022. "Growth forecasts and news about monetary policy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 55-70.
- Oliver Holtemöller & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Boreum Kwak, 2020. "Exchange Rates and the Information Channel of Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1906, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Holtemöller, Oliver & Kriwoluzky, Alexander & Kwak, Boreum, 2024.
"Is there an information channel of monetary policy?,"
IWH Discussion Papers
17/2020, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2024.
- Oliver Holtemöller & Alexander Kriwoluzky & Boreum Kwak, 2024. "Is There an Information Channel of Monetary Policy?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2084, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Jochen Güntner, 2020.
"Central bank information and private-sector Expectations,"
Economics working papers
2020-07, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
- Jochen Güntner, 2022. "Central bank information and private‐sector expectations," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1372-1385, November.
- Laséen, Stefan, 2020. "Monetary Policy Surprises, Central Bank Information Shocks, and Economic Activity in a Small Open Economy," Working Paper Series 396, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Extracting Information from Different Expectations," Working Papers 2020-008, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Christopher S. Sutherland, 2020. "Forward Guidance and Expectation Formation: A Narrative Approach," Staff Working Papers 20-40, Bank of Canada.
- Eminidou, Snezana & Zachariadis, Marios, 2022. "Firms’ expectations and monetary policy shocks in the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
- Mariana García-Schmidt, 2024. "Is the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Alive in Emerging Markets?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 1017, Central Bank of Chile.
- Fanelli, Luca & Marsi, Antonio, 2022. "Sovereign spreads and unconventional monetary policy in the Euro area: A tale of three shocks," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
- Han, Zhao, 2024. "Asymmetric information and misaligned inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Andersson, Fredrik N. G. & Kilman, Josefin, 2021. "A Study of the Romer and Romer Monetary Policy Shocks Using Revised Data," Working Papers 2021:19, Lund University, Department of Economics.
- Wenting Liao & Jun Ma & Chengsi Zhang, 2023. "Identifying exchange rate effects and spillovers of US monetary policy shocks in the presence of time‐varying instrument relevance," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 989-1006, November.
- Dimitrios Kanelis & Pierre L. Siklos, 2022.
"Emotion in Euro Area Monetary Policy Communication and Bond Yields: The Draghi Era,"
CAMA Working Papers
2022-75, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, revised Jun 2024.
- Dimitrios Kanelis & Pierre L. Siklos, 2022. "Emotion in Euro Area Monetary Policy Communication and Bond Yields: The Draghi Era," CQE Working Papers 10322, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Christopher S Sutherland, 2022. "Forward guidance and expectation formation: A narrative approach," BIS Working Papers 1024, Bank for International Settlements.
- Margaret M. Jacobson & Christian Matthes & Todd B. Walker, 2022. "Inflation Measured Every Day Keeps Adverse Responses Away: Temporal Aggregation and Monetary Policy Transmission," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-054, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Bennett Schmanski & Chiara Scotti & Clara Vega, 2023. "Fed Communication, News, Twitter, and Echo Chambers," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ma, Liang, 2024. "Using stock prices to help identify unconventional monetary policy shocks for external instrument SVAR," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1234-1247.
- Christopher S. Sutherland, 2023. "Forward guidance and expectation formation: A narrative approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 222-241, March.
- Ester Faiaa & Sören Karau, 2021. "Systemic Bank Risk and Monetary Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(71), pages 1-40, December.
- Karau, Sören, 2021. "Monetary policy and Bitcoin," Discussion Papers 41/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Luca Fanelli & Antonio Marsi, 2021. "Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Euro Area: A Tale of Three Shocks," Working Papers wp1164, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Gergely Ganics & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2019.
"From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts,"
Working Papers
1947, Banco de España.
- Gergely Ganics & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2019. "From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: Obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts," Economics Working Papers 1689, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Gergely Ganics & Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2020. "From Fixed-Event to Fixed-Horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-Horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Forecasts," Working Papers 1142, Barcelona School of Economics.
Cited by:
- Dalhaus, Tatjana & Schaumburg, Julia & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2021.
"Networking the yield curve: implications for monetary policy,"
Working Paper Series
2532, European Central Bank.
- Tatjana Dahlhaus & Julia Schaumburg & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2021. "Networking the Yield Curve: Implications for Monetary Policy," Staff Working Papers 21-4, Bank of Canada.
- Patrick A. Adams & Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2020.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Risks,"
Staff Reports
914, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Adrian, Tobias & Adams, Patrick & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2020. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Risks," CEPR Discussion Papers 14436, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Adams, Patrick A. & Adrian, Tobias & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2021. "Forecasting macroeconomic risks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1173-1191.
- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics,"
Working Papers
22-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 11 Apr 2023.
- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2024. "Constructing density forecasts from quantile regressions: Multimodality in macrofinancial dynamics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 790-812, August.
- Manzan, Sebastiano, 2021. "Are professional forecasters Bayesian?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
- Fabian Kruger & Hendrik Plett, 2022. "Prediction intervals for economic fixed-event forecasts," Papers 2210.13562, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them,"
Economics Working Papers
1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Barbara Rossi, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Working Papers 1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- De Santis, Roberto A. & Van der Veken, Wouter, 2020. "Forecasting macroeconomic risk in real time: Great and Covid-19 Recessions," Working Paper Series 2436, European Central Bank.
- Clements, Michael P., 2021. "Rounding behaviour of professional macro-forecasters," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1614-1631.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2018.
"Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation,"
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers
23/2018, Bank of Finland.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2019. "Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1636-1657.
Cited by:
- Florens Odendahl & Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2021.
"Evaluating Forecast Performance with State Dependence,"
Working Papers
1295, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Odendahl, Florens & Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2023. "Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Florens Odendahl & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2021. "Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence," Economics Working Papers 1800, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Jalasjoki, Pirkka & Paloviita, Maritta, 2024. "The bias of the ECB inflation projections: A State-dependent analysis," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2024, Bank of Finland.
- Nima Nonejad, 2021. "Crude oil price point forecasts of the Norwegian GDP growth rate," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2913-2930, November.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020.
"How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?,"
Working Papers
20-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Aug 2020.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2019. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," CIRANO Working Papers 2019s-22, CIRANO.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Papers 2008.12477, arXiv.org.
- Dongyang Zhang & Cao Wang & Yu Dong, 2023. "How Does Firm ESG Performance Impact Financial Constraints? An Experimental Exploration of the COVID-19 Pandemic," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 35(1), pages 219-239, February.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium by conditioning on macroeconomic variables: A prediction selection strategy using the price of crude oil," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
- Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "An interesting finding about the ability of geopolitical risk to forecast aggregate equity return volatility out-of-sample," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2023.
"Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 364-390.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2020. "Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?," Working Paper Series 2471, European Central Bank.
- Luca Barbaglia & Sergio Consoli & Sebastiano Manzan, 2024. "Forecasting GDP in Europe with textual data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 338-355, March.
- James Yae & Yang Luo, 2023. "Robust monitoring machine: a machine learning solution for out-of-sample R $$^2$$ 2 -hacking in return predictability monitoring," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-28, December.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "The price of crude oil and (conditional) out-of-sample predictability of world industrial production," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
- Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Predicting equity premium out-of-sample by conditioning on newspaper-based uncertainty measures: A comparative study," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Christopher G. Gibbs & Andrey L. Vasnev, 2017.
"Conditionally Optimal Weights and Forward-Looking Approaches to Combining Forecasts,"
Discussion Papers
2017-10, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Gibbs, Christopher G. & Vasnev, Andrey L., 2024. "Conditionally optimal weights and forward-looking approaches to combining forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 1734-1751.
- Daniel Borup & Jonas N. Eriksen & Mads M. Kjær & Martin Thyrsgaard, 2024.
"Predicting Bond Return Predictability,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(2), pages 931-951, February.
- Daniel Borup & Jonas N. Eriksen & Mads M. Kjær & Martin Thyrsgaard, 2020. "Predicting bond return predictability," CREATES Research Papers 2020-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Makni, Mohammed S., 2023. "Analyzing the impact of COVID-19 on the performance of listed firms in Saudi market," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
- Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Equity premium prediction using the price of crude oil: Uncovering the nonlinear predictive impact," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
- Philip Beran & Arne Vogler, 2021. "Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting: A Comparison of fundamental, econometric and hybrid Models," EWL Working Papers 2102, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics, revised Oct 2021.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them,"
Economics Working Papers
1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Barbara Rossi, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Working Papers 1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Karen Miranda & Pilar Poncela & Esther Ruiz, 2022. "Dynamic factor models: Does the specification matter?," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 397-428, May.
- Sifat, Imtiaz & Zarei, Alireza & Hosseini, Seyedmehdi & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Interbank liquidity risk transmission to large emerging markets in crisis periods," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Nonejad, Nima, 2023. "Conditional out-of-sample predictability of aggregate equity returns and aggregate equity return volatility using economic variables," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 91-122.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2022. "Understanding the conditional out-of-sample predictive impact of the price of crude oil on aggregate equity return volatility," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Tatjana Dahlhaus & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2018.
"Monetary Policy Uncertainty: A Tale of Two Tails,"
Staff Working Papers
18-50, Bank of Canada.
Cited by:
- Tosapol Apaitan & Pongsak Luangaram & Pym Manopimoke, 2020. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Does it Matter for Thailand?," PIER Discussion Papers 130, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Arce-Alfaro, Gabriel & Blagov, Boris, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty and inflation expectations," Ruhr Economic Papers 899, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Matthieu Soupre & Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2016.
"Understanding the Sources of Macroeconomic Uncertainty,"
Working Papers
920, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik & Soupré, Mattheiu, 2016. "Understanding the Sources of Macroeconomic Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 11415, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan & Matthieu Soupre, 2016. "Understanding the sources of macroeconomic uncertainty," Economics Working Papers 1531, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Dec 2018.
Cited by:
- Noori, Mohammad, 2024. "Stock-oil comovements through fear, uncertainty, and expectations: Evidence from conditional comoments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 529-551.
- Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty And The Comovement In Buying Versus Renting In The Usa," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 23(3), pages 93-121, September.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & James Mitchell, 2019. "Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of England's "Fan Charts" for Historical GDP Growth," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2019-08, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020.
"Rational heuristics? Expectations and behaviors in evolving economies with heterogeneous interacting agents,"
Post-Print
halshs-03046977, HAL.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Rational Heuristics ? Expectations and behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous interacting agents," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03455368, HAL.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Rational Heuristics ? Expectations and behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous interacting agents," Working Papers hal-03455368, HAL.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph E. Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Rational Heuristics? Expectations and Behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents," LEM Papers Series 2017/31, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2017. "Rational Heuristics ? Expectations and behaviours in evolving economies with heterogeneous interacting agents," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2017-32, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph E. Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020. "Rational Heuristics? Expectations and Behaviors in Evolving Economies with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents," NBER Working Papers 26922, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph E. Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020. "Rational Heuristics? Expectations And Behaviors In Evolving Economies With Heterogeneous Interacting Agents," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(3), pages 1487-1516, July.
- Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020. "Rational heuristics? Expectations and behaviors in evolving economies with heterogeneous interacting agents," SciencePo Working papers Main halshs-03046977, HAL.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018.
"Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
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- William A. Barnett & Zied Ftiti & Fredj Jawadi, 2018. "The Causal Relationships between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201803, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2018.
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Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers
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"More Than A Feeling: Confidence, Uncertainty, And Macroeconomic Fluctuations,"
Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 691-726, September.
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"Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach,"
Working Papers
201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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"Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
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"The Impact of US Uncertainty on the Euro Area in Good and Bad Times: Evidence from a Quantile Structural Vector Autoregressive Model,"
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201681, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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"On measuring uncertainty and its impact on investment: Cross-country evidence from the euro area,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 161-179.
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"Ambiguous Business Cycles: A Quantitative Assessment,"
TSE Working Papers
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"Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions,"
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"Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them,"
Economics Working Papers
1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
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- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"Quantifying Uncertainty and Identifying its Impacts on the Turkish Economy,"
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"Inflationary household uncertainty shocks,"
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"Online Appendix to "Ambiguous Business Cycles: A Quantitative Assessment","
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"Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts,"
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- Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts," Working Papers 765, Barcelona School of Economics.
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"Central Bank Forecasting: A Survey,"
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"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables under Model Instability,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
11355, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"Economic Policy Uncertainty: Persistence and Cross-Country Linkages,"
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- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2016.
"Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, with Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(3), pages 507-532, April.
- Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts," Working Papers 765, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2016. "Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 11391, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2014. "Forecast rationality tests in the presence of instabilities, with applications to Federal Reserve and survey forecasts," Economics Working Papers 1426, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Nov 2014.
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"Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence,"
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- Lukas Hoesch & Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2020. "Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence," Working Papers 1158, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Lukas Hoesch & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2020. "Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence," Working Paper Series 2020-08, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Lukas Hoesch & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2020. "Has the information channel of monetary policy disappeared? Revisiting the empirical evidence," Economics Working Papers 1701, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
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- M. Lenza & I. Moutachaker & I. Moutachaker, 2024. "Density forecasts of inflation : a quantile regression forest approach," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers 2024-12, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
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- Travis J. Berge & Andrew C. Chang & Nitish R. Sinha, 2019.
"Evaluating the Conditionality of Judgmental Forecasts,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
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- Berge, Travis J. & Chang, Andrew C. & Sinha, Nitish R., 2019. "Evaluating the conditionality of judgmental forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1627-1635.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2014.
"Alternative tests for correct specification of conditional predictive densities,"
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- Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Alternative Tests for Correct Specification of Conditional Predictive Densities," Working Papers 758, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2019. "Alternative tests for correct specification of conditional predictive densities," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(2), pages 638-657.
- Atsushi Inoue & Barbara Rossi, 2018.
"The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on exchange rates,"
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- Inoue, Atsushi & Rossi, Barbara, 2019. "The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on exchange rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 419-447.
- Atsushi Inoue & Barbara Rossi, 2018. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates," NBER Working Papers 25021, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Atsushi Inoue & Barbara Rossi, 2018. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2018, pages 419-447, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Atsushi Inoue & Barbara Rossi, 2019. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates," Working Papers 1078, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022.
"Forecasting: theory and practice,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
- Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi, 2017.
"Forecast Performance in Times of Terrorism,"
CFDS Discussion Paper Series
2017/1, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi, 2019. "Forecast Performance in Times of Terrorism," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2019.08, Bank of Israel.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi, 2020. "Forecast performance in times of terrorism," Post-Print halshs-03248938, HAL.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi, 2020. "Forecast Performance in Times of Terrorism," Globalization Institute Working Papers 390, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Benchimol, Jonathan & El-Shagi, Makram, 2020. "Forecast performance in times of terrorism," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 386-402.
- Bianchi, Francesco & Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney, 2017.
"Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12275, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Francesco Bianchi, 2017. "Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation," 2017 Meeting Papers 500, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Francesco Bianchi & Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2016. "Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation," NBER Working Papers 22572, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Francesco Bianchi & Martin Lettau & Sydney C. Ludvigson, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(2), pages 967-1017, April.
- Lettau, Martin & Ludvigson, Sydney & Bianchi, Francesco, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation," CEPR Discussion Papers 12671, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- G. Kontogeorgos & K. Lambrias, 2022. "Evaluating the Eurosystem/ECB staff macroeconomic projections: The first 20 years," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 213-229, March.
- Matei Demetrescu & Christoph Hanck & Robinson Kruse‐Becher, 2022. "Robust inference under time‐varying volatility: A real‐time evaluation of professional forecasters," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 1010-1030, August.
- Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin‐Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2020. "Introducing the Bank of Canada staff economic projections database," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 114-129, January.
- El-Shagi, Makram, 2019. "Rationality tests in the presence of instabilities in finite samples," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 242-246.
- Li, Mengheng & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lit, Rutger & Petrova, Desislava, 2020. "Long-term forecasting of El Niño events via dynamic factor simulations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 46-66.
- Michée A. Lachaud & Boris E. Bravo‐Ureta & Carlos E. Ludena, 2022. "Economic effects of climate change on agricultural production and productivity in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC)," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(2), pages 321-332, March.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2015.
"Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models,"
Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 207-229, August.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn’t in Reduced-Form and Structural Models," Working Papers 819, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Forecasting in nonstationary environments: What works and what doesn't in reduced-form and structural models," Economics Working Papers 1476, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Extracting Information from Different Expectations," Working Papers 2020-008, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Tae-Hwy Lee & Yiyao Wang, 2015. "Finding SPF Percentiles Closest to Greenbook," Working Papers 201503, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Christopher S. Sutherland, 2020. "Forward Guidance and Expectation Formation: A Narrative Approach," Staff Working Papers 20-40, Bank of Canada.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Identifying and Estimating the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Data: How to Do It and What Have We Learned?,"
Working Papers
1081, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Barbara Rossi, 2018. "Identifying and estimating the effects of unconventional monetary policy in the data: How to do It and what have we learned?," Economics Working Papers 1641, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2020.
- Martínez-Martin, Jaime & Morris, Richard & Onorante, Luca & Piersanti, Fabio M., 2019. "Merging structural and reduced-form models for forecasting: opening the DSGE-VAR box," Working Paper Series 2335, European Central Bank.
- Carlos Henrique Dias Cordeiro de Castro & Fernando Antonio Lucena Aiube, 2023. "Forecasting inflation time series using score‐driven dynamic models and combination methods: The case of Brazil," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 369-401, March.
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- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them,"
Economics Working Papers
1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
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Cited by:
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"BVARs and stochastic volatility,"
Chapters, in: Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvão (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Macroeconomic Forecasting, chapter 3, pages 43-67,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
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1702, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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22-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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Cited by:
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"From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: Obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts,"
Economics Working Papers
1689, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
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CEPR Discussion Papers
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"Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function,"
Working Papers
23-30, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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"Changing Risk-Return Profiles,"
Staff Reports
850, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
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"Foreign Vulnerabilities, Domestic Risks: The Global Drivers of GDP-at-Risk,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
2156, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
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"Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting,"
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"How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?,"
Working Papers
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- Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone & Tobias Adrian, 2017. "Vulnerable Growth," 2017 Meeting Papers 1317, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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"The time-varying risk of Italian GDP,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
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"Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them,"
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1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Barbara Rossi, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Working Papers 1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Rossi, Barbara & Ganics, Gergely & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2020. "From Fixed-event to Fixed-horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Foreca," CEPR Discussion Papers 14267, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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2019-47, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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"Band-Pass Filtering with High-Dimensional Time Series,"
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- Yunyun Wang & Tatsushi Oka & Dan Zhu, 2023. "Distributional Vector Autoregression: Eliciting Macro and Financial Dependence," Papers 2303.04994, arXiv.org.
- López-Salido, J David & Loria, Francesca, 2019. "Inflation at Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 14074, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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"Macroeconomic Uncertainty Indices for the Euro Area and Individual Member Countries,"
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- Laurent Ferrara & Pierre Guérin, 2018.
"What are the macroeconomic effects of high-frequency uncertainty shocks?,"
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- Laurent Ferrara & Pierre Guérin, 2018. "What are the macroeconomic effects of high‐frequency uncertainty shocks?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 662-679, August.
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- Laurent Ferrara & Pierre Guérin, 2015. "What Are The Macroeconomic Effects of High-Frequency Uncertainty Shocks?," EconomiX Working Papers 2015-12, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
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- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018.
"Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Forecasting US GNP Growth: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201667, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016.
"Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty,"
Working Papers
201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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"Identifying Uncertainty Shocks Using the Price of Gold,"
Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin
1549, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
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"Causal relationships between economic policy uncertainty and housing market returns in China and India: evidence from linear and nonlinear panel and time series models,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(2), pages 1-15, April.
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"Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach,"
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"Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach,"
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"Are Macroeconomic Density Forecasts Informative?,"
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"Business Uncertainty And The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Policy In Germany,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 1442-1470, June.
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"Global uncertainty and the global economy: Decomposing the impact of uncertainty shocks,"
CAMA Working Papers
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"Does uncertainty move the gold price? New evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test,"
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Cited by:
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"Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity,"
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2021-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Sheng, 2015. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," CESifo Working Paper Series 5468, CESifo.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2022. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 29-50, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Sheng, 2020. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," CESifo Working Paper Series 8810, CESifo.
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"Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1636-1657.
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"Macroeconomic Uncertainty Through the Lens of Professional Forecasters,"
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- Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2017. "The Impact of Global Uncertainty on the Global Economy, and Large Developed and Developing Economies," Globalization Institute Working Papers 303, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
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"(How) Do electoral surprises drive business cycles? Evidence from a new dataset,"
CAGE Online Working Paper Series
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- Thiemo Fetzer & Ivan Yotzov, 2023. "(How) Do Electoral Surprises Drive Business Cycles? Evidence from a New Dataset," CESifo Working Paper Series 10584, CESifo.
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"Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damages,"
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- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018.
"Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
- Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Forecasting US GNP Growth: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201667, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark Wohar, 2015.
"Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test,"
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201599, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Predict Exchange Rate Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 229-250, April.
- Hossein Asgharian & Charlotte Christiansen & Ai Jun Hou, 2017. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Long-Run Stock Market Volatility and Correlation," CREATES Research Papers 2018-12, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
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"Google It Up! A Google Trends-Based Uncertainty Index for the United States and Australia,"
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- Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2019. "The hard problem of prediction for conflict prevention," Cahiers de recherche 2019-02, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
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Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 35(82), pages 64-77, April.
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"Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty,"
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201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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"Persistence of Economic Uncertainty: A Comprehensive Analysis,"
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"Measuring economic and economic policy uncertainty and their macroeconomic effects: the case of Spain,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 869-892, February.
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"From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: Obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts,"
Economics Working Papers
1689, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
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"Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models,"
Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 207-229, August.
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"Evaluating predictive densities of US output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 662-682.
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"Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them,"
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"Evaluating predictive densities of U.S. output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set,"
Economics Working Papers
1370, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2014. "Evaluating predictive densities of US output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 662-682.
- Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Evaluating Predictive Densities of US Output Growth and Inflation in a Large Macroeconomic Data Set," Working Papers 689, Barcelona School of Economics.
Cited by:
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"From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: Obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts,"
Economics Working Papers
1689, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Gergely Ganics & Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2020. "From Fixed-Event to Fixed-Horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-Horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Forecasts," Working Papers 1142, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Gergely Ganics & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2019. "From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: obtaining measures of multi-horizon uncertainty from survey density forecasts," Working Papers 1947, Banco de España.
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"Combining survey long-run forecasts and nowcasts with BVAR forecasts using relative entropy,"
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- Matteo Iacopini & Francesco Ravazzolo & Luca Rossini, 2020.
"Proper scoring rules for evaluating asymmetry in density forecasting,"
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"Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
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"Uncertainty spillover and policy reactions,"
Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 35(82), pages 64-77, April.
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"Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(1), pages 17-33, March.
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"In-Sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models,"
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- Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87, March.
- Anna Pajor & Justyna Wróblewska, 2022. "Forecasting performance of Bayesian VEC-MSF models for financial data in the presence of long-run relationships," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 427-448, September.
- Soybilgen, Barış & Yazgan, Ege, 2018. "Evaluating nowcasts of bridge equations with advanced combination schemes for the Turkish unemployment rate," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 99-108.
- Taylor, James W., 2020. "A strategic predictive distribution for tests of probabilistic calibration," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1380-1388.
- Marcus P. A. Cobb, 2020. "Aggregate density forecasting from disaggregate components using Bayesian VARs," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 287-312, January.
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"Real-time density nowcasts of US inflation: A model combination approach,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1736-1760.
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- Edward Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2020. "Real-time density nowcasts of US inflation: a model-combination approach," Working Papers 2015, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Graziano Moramarco, 2025.
"Regime‐Switching Density Forecasts Using Economists' Scenarios,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 833-845, March.
- Graziano Moramarco, 2021. "Regime-Switching Density Forecasts Using Economists' Scenarios," Papers 2110.13761, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
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- Gadea Rivas, María Dolores, 2025. "Global and regional long-term climate forecasts: a heterogeneous future," UC3M Working papers. Economics 45946, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Knut Are Aastveit & James Mitchell & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman van Dijk, 2018. "The Evolution of Forecast Density Combinations in Economics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-069/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2015.
"Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models,"
Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 207-229, August.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn’t in Reduced-Form and Structural Models," Working Papers 819, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Forecasting in nonstationary environments: What works and what doesn't in reduced-form and structural models," Economics Working Papers 1476, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Matei Demetrescu & Robinson Kruse-Becher, 2021. "Is U.S. real output growth really non-normal? Testing distributional assumptions in time-varying location-scale models," CREATES Research Papers 2021-07, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
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"Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?,"
VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order
79783, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," ifo Working Paper Series 155, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015. "Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- McKnight, Stephen & Mihailov, Alexander & Rumler, Fabio, 2020.
"Inflation forecasting using the New Keynesian Phillips Curve with a time-varying trend,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 383-393.
- Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Kerry Patterson & Fabio Rumler, 2014. "The Predictive Performance of Fundamental Inflation Concepts: An Application to the Euro Area and the United States," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2014-03, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
- Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Fabio Rumler, 2018. "NKPC-Based Inflation Forecasts with a Time-Varying Trend," Serie documentos de trabajo del Centro de Estudios Económicos 2018-05, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos.
- Reif Magnus, 2021.
"Macroeconomic uncertainty and forecasting macroeconomic aggregates,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(2), pages 1-20, April.
- Magnus Reif, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates," ifo Working Paper Series 265, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Federico Bassetti & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2019. "Density Forecasting," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS59, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
- Barnett, William & Park, Sohee, 2021.
"Forecasting Inflation and Output Growth with Credit-Card-Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates,"
MPRA Paper
110298, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William A. Barnett & Sohee Park, 2023. "Forecasting inflation and output growth with credit‐card‐augmented Divisia monetary aggregates," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 331-346, March.
- William A. Barnett & Sohee Park, 2021. "Forecasting Inflation and Output Growth with Credit-Card-Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202120, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2021.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them,"
Economics Working Papers
1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Barbara Rossi, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Working Papers 1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Rossi, Barbara & Ganics, Gergely & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2020. "From Fixed-event to Fixed-horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multi-horizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Foreca," CEPR Discussion Papers 14267, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anthony Garratt & Timo Henckel & Shaun P. Vahey, 2019.
"Empirically-transformed linear opinion pools,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-47, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Garratt, Anthony & Henckel, Timo & Vahey, Shaun P., 2023. "Empirically-transformed linear opinion pools," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 736-753.
- Justyna Wróblewska & Anna Pajor, 2019. "One-period joint forecasts of Polish inflation, unemployment and interest rate using Bayesian VEC-MSF models," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 11(1), pages 23-45, March.
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- Peter McAdam & Anders Warne, 2024.
"Density forecast combinations: The real‐time dimension,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1153-1172, August.
- McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2020. "Density forecast combinations: the real-time dimension," Working Paper Series 2378, European Central Bank.
- Sebastiano Manzan, 2015. "Forecasting the Distribution of Economic Variables in a Data-Rich Environment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 144-164, January.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2014.
"Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
4711, CESifo.
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015. "Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- Anna Pajor & Justyna Wróblewska & Łukasz Kwiatkowski & Jacek Osiewalski, 2024. "Hybrid SV‐GARCH, t‐GARCH and Markov‐switching covariance structures in VEC models—Which is better from a predictive perspective?," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 92(1), pages 62-86, April.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2011.
"Forecast Optimality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities,"
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Cited by:
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"Density Forecast Evaluation in Unstable Environments,"
Working Papers
201606, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- González-Rivera, Gloria & Sun, Yingying, 2017. "Density forecast evaluation in unstable environments," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 416-432.
- Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Yingying Sun, 2014. "Density Forecast Evaluation in Unstable Environments," Working Papers 201428, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Jung, Alexander & El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian, 2013.
"Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?,"
VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order
79925, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian & Jung, Alexander, 2012. "Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2012, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 510-514, October.
- Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 25-29, August.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2013.
"Advances in Forecasting under Instability,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1203-1324,
Elsevier.
- Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Advances in Forecasting Under Instability," Working Papers 11-20, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Jung, Alexander & El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian, 2014. "Does the federal reserve staff still beat private forecasters?," Working Paper Series 1635, European Central Bank.
- Rossi, Barbara & Gürkaynak, Refet & Kısacıkoğlu, Burçin, 2013. "Do DSGE Models Forecast More Accurately Out-of-Sample than VAR Models?," CEPR Discussion Papers 9576, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Yingying Sun, 2016.
"Density Forecast Evaluation in Unstable Environments,"
Working Papers
201606, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2010.
"Understanding Models' Forecasting Performance,"
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10-56, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2011. "Understanding models' forecasting performance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 158-172, September.
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"Forecasting Employment in Europe: Are Survey Results Helpful?,"
Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 12(1), pages 81-117, September.
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- Lehmann, Robert & Weyh, Antje, 2015. "Forecasting employment in Europe: Are survey results helpful?," IAB-Discussion Paper 201530, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
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"On the real‐time predictive content of financial condition indices for growth,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 137-163, March.
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- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014.
"Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World,"
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- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," SIRE Discussion Papers 2014-021, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2016. "Exchange rate predictability in a changing world," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1-24.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Working Papers 2014_03, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Byrne, Joseph P & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," MPRA Paper 53684, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho Ribeiro, 2014. "Exchange Rate Predictability in a Changing World," Papers 1403.0627, arXiv.org.
- Barbara Rossi, 2013.
"Exchange rate predictability,"
Economics Working Papers
1369, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2013. "Exchange Rate Predictability," CEPR Discussion Papers 9575, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 690, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Exchange Rate Predictability," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1063-1119, December.
- Martin McCarthy, Stephen Snudden, 2024. "Forecasts of Period-Average Exchange Rates: New Insights from Real-Time Daily Data," LCERPA Working Papers jc0148, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis, revised Oct 2024.
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"A new approach to exchange rate forecast: The role of global financial cycle and time-varying parameters,"
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105359, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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- Rossi, Barbara & Inoue, Atsushi, 2011. "Out-of-Sample Forecast Tests Robust to the Choice of Window Size," CEPR Discussion Papers 8542, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi & Atsushi Inoue, 2012. "Out-of-sample forecast tests robust to the choice of window size," Economics Working Papers 1404, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
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Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2573-2612, December.
- Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2018. "A Note on the Stability of the Swedish Philips Curve," Working Papers 2018:6, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Yongmiao Hong & Tae-Hwy Lee & Yuying Sun & Shouyang Wang & Xinyu Zhang, 2017.
"Time-varying Model Averaging,"
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202001, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Sun, Yuying & Hong, Yongmiao & Lee, Tae-Hwy & Wang, Shouyang & Zhang, Xinyu, 2021. "Time-varying model averaging," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 974-992.
- Byrne, Joseph P & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J, 2014.
"On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability,"
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58956, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 2014_16, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Byrne, Joseph P. & Korobilis, Dimitris & Ribeiro, Pinho J., 2014. "On the Sources of Uncertainty in Exchange Rate Predictability," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-24, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joseph P. Byrne & Dimitris Korobilis & Pinho J. Ribeiro, 2018. "On The Sources Of Uncertainty In Exchange Rate Predictability," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 59(1), pages 329-357, February.
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"Modeling time-varying skewness via decomposition for out-of-sample forecast,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 296-311.
- Liu, Xiaochun, 2011. "Modeling the time-varying skewness via decomposition for out-of-sample forecast," MPRA Paper 41248, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Feng, Wenjun & Zhang, Zhengjun, 2023. "Currency exchange rate predictability: The new power of Bitcoin prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Chao, Shih-Wei, 2016. "Do economic variables improve bond return volatility forecasts?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 10-26.
- Bloem da Silveira Junior, Luiz A. & Vasconcellos, Eduardo & Vasconcellos Guedes, Liliana & Guedes, Luis Fernando A. & Costa, Renato Machado, 2018. "Technology roadmapping: A methodological proposition to refine Delphi results," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 194-206.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2013.
"Advances in Forecasting under Instability,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1203-1324,
Elsevier.
- Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Advances in Forecasting Under Instability," Working Papers 11-20, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Edvinsson, Rodney & Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2023. "Does Money Growth Predict Inflation? Evidence from Vector Autoregressions Using Four Centuries of Data," Working Papers 2023:3, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Rachidi Kotchoni & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2019.
"Macroeconomic forecast accuracy in a data‐rich environment,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 1050-1072, November.
- Rachidi Kotchoni & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2019. "Macroeconomic Forecast Accuracy in data-rich environment," Post-Print hal-02435757, HAL.
- Breen, John David & Hu, Liang, 2021. "The predictive content of oil price and volatility: New evidence on exchange rate forecasting," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2023.
"Transformed regression-based long-horizon predictability tests,"
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- Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo MM & Taylor, AM Robert, 2022. "Transformed Regression-based Long-Horizon Predictability Tests," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 30620, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
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- Liu, Yang & Swanson, Norman R., 2024. "An assessment of the marginal predictive content of economic uncertainty indexes and business conditions predictors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 1391-1409.
- Eicher, Theo S. & Rollinson, Yuan Gao, 2023. "The accuracy of IMF crises nowcasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 431-449.
- Fiszeder, Piotr & Małecka, Marta & Molnár, Peter, 2024. "Robust estimation of the range-based GARCH model: Forecasting volatility, value at risk and expected shortfall of cryptocurrencies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
- Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong & Xiye Yang, 2020. "Predicting interest rates using shrinkage methods, real‐time diffusion indexes, and model combinations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(5), pages 587-613, August.
- Ghandar, Adam & Michalewicz, Zbigniew & Zurbruegg, Ralf, 2016. "The relationship between model complexity and forecasting performance for computer intelligence optimization in finance," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 598-613.
- Wang, Yudong & Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng, 2016. "Forecasting realized volatility in a changing world: A dynamic model averaging approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 136-149.
- Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2009.
"Has Economic Modelsí Forecasting Performance for US Output Growth and Inflation Changed Over Time, and When?,"
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09-06, Duke University, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
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"Changes in predictive ability with mixed frequency data,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 395-410.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2007. "Changes in Predictive Ability with Mixed Frequency Data," Working Papers 595, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2010. "Have economic models' forecasting performance for US output growth and inflation changed over time, and when?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 808-835, October.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2013.
"Changes in predictive ability with mixed frequency data,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 395-410.
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- Igor Ézio Maciel Silva, 2016. "The Differential Regional Effects Of Monetary And Fiscal Policies In Brazil," Anais do XLII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 42nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 040, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
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- Ray, Sourav & Snir, Avichai & Levy, Daniel, 2021. "Retail Pricing Format and Rigidity of Regular Prices," EconStor Preprints 246817, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Avichai Snir & Daniel Levy, 2023. "Retail Pricing Format and Rigidity of Regular Prices," Working Papers 2023-04, Bar-Ilan University, Department of Economics.
- Ray, Sourav & Snir, Avichai & Levy, Daniel, 2023. "Retail pricing format and rigidity of regular prices," MPRA Paper 117784, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 29 Apr 2023.
- Ray, Sourav & Snir, Avichai & Levy, Daniel, 2021. "Retail Pricing Format and Rigidity of Regular Prices," MPRA Paper 110818, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Daniel Levy & Avichai Snir & Sourav Ray, 2021. "Retail Pricing Format and Rigidity of Regular Prices," Working Papers 2021-02, Bar-Ilan University, Department of Economics.
- Ray, Sourav & Snir, Avichai & Levy, Daniel, 2023. "Retail Pricing Format and Rigidity of Regular Prices," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 1-1.
- Sourav Ray & Avichai Snir & Daniel Levy, 2023. "Retail Pricing Format and Rigidity of Regular Prices," Papers 2306.17309, arXiv.org.
- Sourav Ray & Avichai Snir & Daniel Levy, 2021. "Retail Pricing Format and Rigidity of Regular Prices," Working Paper series 21-23, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
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- Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2008.
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09-02, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2010. "Has Models' Forecasting Performance for US Output Growth and Inflation Changed over Time, and When?," Working Papers 10-16, Duke University, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2013.
"Changes in predictive ability with mixed frequency data,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 395-410.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão, 2007. "Changes in Predictive Ability with Mixed Frequency Data," Working Papers 595, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
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"Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1636-1657.
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"Predictive ability of business cycle indicators under test: A case study for the Euro area industrial production,"
Munich Reprints in Economics
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- Carstensen Kai & Wohlrabe Klaus & Ziegler Christina, 2011. "Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test: A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(1), pages 82-106, February.
- Benjamin Beckers & Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Dirk Ulbricht, 2017. "Reading between the Lines: Using Media to Improve German Inflation Forecasts," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1665, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Anna Florio, 2016.
"The central bank as shaper and observer of events: The case of the yield spread,"
Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 49(1), pages 320-346, February.
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- Denis Shibitov & Mariam Mamedli, 2021. "Forecasting Russian Cpi With Data Vintages And Machine Learning Techniques," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps70, Bank of Russia.
- Joseph G. Haubrich, 2020.
"Does the Yield Curve Predict Output?,"
Working Papers
20-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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- Richard Ashley & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2019. "The Intermittent Phillips Curve: Finding a Stable (But Persistence-Dependent) Phillips Curve Model Specification," Working Papers 19-09R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 14 Feb 2023.
- Fossati, Sebastian, 2017. "Testing for State-Dependent Predictive Ability," Working Papers 2017-9, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
- Marek Rusnak, 2013.
"Nowcasting Czech GDP in Real Time,"
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- Faria, Gonçalo & Verona, Fabio, 2024. "Enhancing forecast accuracy through frequencydomain combination: Applications to financial and economic indicators," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2024, Bank of Finland.
- Sekkel, Rodrigo M., 2015.
"Balance sheets of financial intermediaries: Do they forecast economic activity?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 263-275.
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- Ricardo Gimeno & José Manuel Marqués-Sevillano, 2009. "Incertidumbre y el precio del riesgo en un proceso de convergencia nominal," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 451-489, octubre-d.
- McKnight, Stephen & Mihailov, Alexander & Rumler, Fabio, 2020.
"Inflation forecasting using the New Keynesian Phillips Curve with a time-varying trend,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 383-393.
- Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Kerry Patterson & Fabio Rumler, 2014. "The Predictive Performance of Fundamental Inflation Concepts: An Application to the Euro Area and the United States," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2014-03, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
- Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Fabio Rumler, 2018. "NKPC-Based Inflation Forecasts with a Time-Varying Trend," Serie documentos de trabajo del Centro de Estudios Económicos 2018-05, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos.
- Burgess, Matthew G. & Langendorf, Ryan E. & Ippolito, Tara & Pielke, Roger Jr, 2020. "Optimistically biased economic growth forecasts and negatively skewed annual variation," SocArXiv vndqr_v1, Center for Open Science.
- Martínez-Martin, Jaime & Morris, Richard & Onorante, Luca & Piersanti, Fabio M., 2019. "Merging structural and reduced-form models for forecasting: opening the DSGE-VAR box," Working Paper Series 2335, European Central Bank.
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"Macroeconomic forecast accuracy in a data‐rich environment,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 1050-1072, November.
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- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2014.
"Evaluating predictive densities of US output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 662-682.
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- Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Evaluating Predictive Densities of US Output Growth and Inflation in a Large Macroeconomic Data Set," Working Papers 689, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Juan Carlos Pérez-Velasco Pavón, 2009. "Determinantes de la demanda por la denominación promedio de billete: el caso de México," Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 523-548, octubre-d.
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"Forecasting Inflation and Output Growth with Credit-Card-Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates,"
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110298, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William A. Barnett & Sohee Park, 2023. "Forecasting inflation and output growth with credit‐card‐augmented Divisia monetary aggregates," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 331-346, March.
- William A. Barnett & Sohee Park, 2021. "Forecasting Inflation and Output Growth with Credit-Card-Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202120, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2021.
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"Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling,"
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"Zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy and indicator properties of interest rate spreads,"
MPRA Paper
56737, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hännikäinen, Jari, 2015. "Zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy and indicator properties of interest rate spreads," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 47-54.
- Jari Hännikäinen, 2014. "Zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy and indicator properties of interest rate spreads," Working Papers 1495, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
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"Using OLS to Estimate and Test for Structural Changes in Models with Endogenous Regressors,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 119-144, January.
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"Mind the gap!—A monetarist view of the open-economy Phillips curve,"
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Articles
- Gergely Ganics & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2024.
"From Fixed‐Event to Fixed‐Horizon Density Forecasts: Obtaining Measures of Multihorizon Uncertainty from Survey Density Forecasts,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(7), pages 1675-1704, October.
Cited by:
- Matteo Mogliani & Florens Odendahl, 2025. "Density forecast transformations," Working Papers 2511, Banco de España.
- Lukas Hoesch & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2023.
"Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 355-387, July.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik & Hoesch, Lukas, 2020. "Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 14456, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lukas Hoesch & Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2020. "Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence," Working Papers 1158, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Lukas Hoesch & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2020. "Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence," Working Paper Series 2020-08, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Lukas Hoesch & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2020. "Has the information channel of monetary policy disappeared? Revisiting the empirical evidence," Economics Working Papers 1701, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Odendahl, Florens & Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2023.
"Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
See citations under working paper version above.
- Florens Odendahl & Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2021. "Evaluating Forecast Performance with State Dependence," Working Papers 1295, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Florens Odendahl & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2021. "Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence," Economics Working Papers 1800, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Michael W. McCracken & Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2021.
"Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis Using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(71), pages 1-41, December.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Michael W. McCracken & Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2015. "Real-Time Forecasting and Scenario Analysis using a Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR," Working Papers 2015-030, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 10 Apr 2020.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2019.
"Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1636-1657.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2018. "Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 23/2018, Bank of Finland.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2019.
"Alternative tests for correct specification of conditional predictive densities,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(2), pages 638-657.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Tatevik Sekhposyan & Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Alternative Tests for Correct Specification of Conditional Predictive Densities," Working Papers 758, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2014. "Alternative tests for correct specification of conditional predictive densities," Economics Working Papers 1416, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2017.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2017.
"Macroeconomic uncertainty indices for the Euro Area and its individual member countries,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 41-62, August.
Cited by:
- Richardson Kojo Edeme & Ekene ThankGod Emeka & Jonathan Emenike Ogbuabor, 2024. "Global Uncertainty, Climate Change and the Unemployment-Economic Growth Relationship in Nigeria," Journal of Development Policy and Practice, , vol. 9(2), pages 238-256, July.
- Michael Pfarrhofer, 2019.
"Measuring international uncertainty using global vector autoregressions with drifting parameters,"
Papers
1908.06325, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.
- Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2019. "Measuring international uncertainty using global vector autoregressions with drifting parameters," Working Papers in Economics 2019-3, University of Salzburg.
- Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2023. "Measuring International Uncertainty Using Global Vector Autoregressions with Drifting Parameters," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(3), pages 770-793, April.
- Luca Rossi, 2020. "Indicators of uncertainty: a brief user’s guide," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 564, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Zied Ftiti & Fredj Jawadi, 2019. "Forecasting Inflation Uncertainty in the United States and Euro Area," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 455-476, June.
- Costantini, Mauro & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2022. "What uncertainty does to euro area sovereign bond markets: Flight to safety and flight to quality," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea, 2019.
"Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
13970, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018. "Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects," Working Papers (Old Series) 1803, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2019. "Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects," Working Papers 18-03R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020. "Assessing international commonality in macroeconomic uncertainty and its effects," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(3), pages 273-293, April.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Stelzer, Anna, 2021.
"On the effectiveness of the European Central Bank’s conventional and unconventional policies under uncertainty,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 822-845.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Michael Pfarrhofer & Anna Stelzer, 2020. "On the effectiveness of the European Central Bank's conventional and unconventional policies under uncertainty," Papers 2011.14424, arXiv.org.
- Oscar Claveria, 2020.
"Measuring and assessing economic uncertainty,"
IREA Working Papers
202011, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jul 2020.
- Oscar Claveria, 2020. "“Measuring and assessing economic uncertainty”," AQR Working Papers 2012003, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jul 2020.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2017.
"The real effects of overconfidence and fundamental uncertainty shocks,"
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers
37/2017, Bank of Finland.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2017. "The real effects of overconfidence and fundamental uncertainty shocks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 37/2017, Bank of Finland.
- Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019.
"Yield curve and financial uncertainty: Evidence based on US data,"
CAMA Working Papers
2019-38, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7697, CESifo.
- Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2019n05, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
- Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 52(3), pages 323-335, September.
- Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0234, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018.
"Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
- Rangan Gupta & Jun Ma & Marian Risse & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Common Business Cycles and Volatilities in US States and MSAs: The Role of Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 201766, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017.
"Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times,"
Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series
wp2017n09, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2014. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0188, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," CESifo Working Paper Series 6630, CESifo.
- Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Gabriela Nodari, 2017. "Uncertainty and Monetary Policy in Good and Bad Times," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2017-06, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Nodari, Gabriela, 2017. "Uncertainty and monetary policy in good and bad times," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2017, Bank of Finland.
- Niels Gillmann & Alexander Hilgenberg, 2021. "Wie man wirtschaftliche Unsicherheit empirisch messen kann – Eine Darstellung am Beispiel von Deutschland," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 28(02), pages 24-29, April.
- Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis & Tahir Suleman, 2018.
"The role of economic uncertainty in forecasting exchange rate returns and realized volatility: Evidence from quantile predictive regressions,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(7), pages 705-719, November.
- Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis & Tahir Suleman, 2017. "The Role of Economic Uncertainty in Forecasting Exchange Rate Returns and Realized Volatility: Evidence from Quantile Predictive Regressions," Working Papers 201774, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Alessio Anzuini & Luca Rossi, 2021. "Fiscal policy in the US: a new measure of uncertainty and its effects on the American economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2613-2634, November.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2018.
"Macroeconomic uncertainty, growth and inflation in the Eurozone: a causal approach,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(14), pages 1029-1033, August.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2017. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Growth and Inflation in the Eurozone: A Causal Approach," Working Papers 201737, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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"Measuring macroeconomic uncertainty: A cross-country analysis,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
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- Andreas Dibiasi & Samad Sarferaz, 2023. "Measuring macroeconomic uncertainty: A cross-country analysis," Post-Print hal-04167343, HAL.
- Nong, Huifu, 2021. "Have cross-category spillovers of economic policy uncertainty changed during the US–China trade war?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Kranz Tobias, 2019. "Non-Linearities and the Euler Equation: Does Uncertainty Have an Effect on the Approximation Quality?," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 70(3), pages 267-293, December.
- Bańbura, Marta & Albani, Maria & Ambrocio, Gene & Bursian, Dirk & Buss, Ginters & de Winter, Jasper & Gavura, Miroslav & Giordano, Claire & Júlio, Paulo & Le Roux, Julien & Lozej, Matija & Malthe-Thag, 2018. "Business investment in EU countries," Occasional Paper Series 215, European Central Bank.
- Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Uncertainty indicators based on expectations of business and consumer surveys," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(2), pages 483-505, May.
- Oscar Claveria, 2021. "On the Aggregation of Survey-Based Economic Uncertainty Indicators Between Different Agents and Across Variables," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 1-26, April.
- Cipollini, Andrea & Mikaliunaite, Ieva, 2020. "Macro-uncertainty and financial stress spillovers in the Eurozone," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 546-558.
- Śmiech, Sławomir & Papież, Monika & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Spillover among financial, industrial and consumer uncertainties. The case of EU member states," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
- Beckmann, Joscha & Davidson, Sharada Nia & Koop, Gary & Schüssler, Rainer, 2023. "Cross-country uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from international survey data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
- Tihana Škrinjarić & Zrinka Orlović, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Spillovers: Case of Selected CEE Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-33, July.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2018.
"Persistence of Economic Uncertainty: A Comprehensive Analysis,"
Working Papers
201810, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Persistence of economic uncertainty: a comprehensive analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(41), pages 4477-4498, September.
- Ioannis Dokas & Georgios Oikonomou & Minas Panagiotidis & Eleftherios Spyromitros, 2023. "Macroeconomic and Uncertainty Shocks’ Effects on Energy Prices: A Comprehensive Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-35, February.
- Sheen, Jeffrey & Wang, Ben Zhe, 2021. "Measuring macroeconomic disagreement – A mixed frequency approach," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 547-566.
- Cagli, Efe Caglar & Mandaci, Pinar Evrim, 2023. "Time and frequency connectedness of uncertainties in cryptocurrency, stock, currency, energy, and precious metals markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
- Goemans, Pascal, 2023. "The impact of public consumption and investment in the euro area during periods of high and normal uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Claveria, Oscar, 2022. "Global economic uncertainty and suicide: Worldwide evidence," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
- Glas, Alexander, 2020. "Five dimensions of the uncertainty–disagreement linkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 607-627.
- Jia, Wenbo & Lyu, Yiqing & Zhu, Zixiang, 2024. "The tail risk of crude oil Price_Based on EPU and geopolitical risk perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
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"Inflationary household uncertainty shocks,"
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers
5/2020, Bank of Finland.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2022. "Inflationary household uncertainty shocks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 5/2022, Bank of Finland.
- Jonathan Rice, 2020. "Policy Uncertainty Shocks and Small Open Economies in Monetary Union: a Case Study of Ireland," Trinity Economics Papers tep1020, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics.
- Graziano Moramarco, 2022. "Measuring Global Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Cross-Country Uncertainty Spillovers," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-29, December.
- Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Disagreement on expectations: firms versus consumers," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(12), pages 1-23, December.
- Svetlana Makarova, 2018. "European Central Bank Footprints On Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(1), pages 637-652, January.
- Mr. Tobias Adrian & Andrea Deghi & Mitsuru Katagiri & Mr. Sohaib Shahid & Nico Valckx, 2020. "Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices and Macro-Financial Stability," IMF Working Papers 2020/011, International Monetary Fund.
- Angelini Giovanni & Costantini Mauro & Easaw Joshy, 2024. "Estimating uncertainty spillover effects across euro area using a regime dependent VAR model," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 28(1), pages 39-59, February.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2016.
"Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, with Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(3), pages 507-532, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts," Working Papers 765, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2016. "Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 11391, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2014. "Forecast rationality tests in the presence of instabilities, with applications to Federal Reserve and survey forecasts," Economics Working Papers 1426, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Nov 2014.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2015.
"Macroeconomic Uncertainty Indices Based on Nowcast and Forecast Error Distributions,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(5), pages 650-655, May.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2015. "Macroeconomic uncertainty indices based on nowcast and forecast error distributions," Economics Working Papers 1477, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2014.
"Evaluating predictive densities of US output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 662-682.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2013. "Evaluating predictive densities of U.S. output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set," Economics Working Papers 1370, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Evaluating Predictive Densities of US Output Growth and Inflation in a Large Macroeconomic Data Set," Working Papers 689, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan & E. Katarina Vermann, 2013.
"Output and unemployment: how do they relate today?,"
The Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue October.
Cited by:
- Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo, 2017. "GDP Trend-cycle Decompositions Using State-level Data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-051, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ugyen Tenzin, 2019. "The Nexus Among Economic Growth, Inflation and Unemployment in Bhutan," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 20(1), pages 94-105, March.
- Samuel Huber & Jaehong Kim & Alessandro Marchesiani, 2019. "Unemployment and the demand for money," ECON - Working Papers 324, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2013.
"Conditional predictive density evaluation in the presence of instabilities,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 199-212.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2013. "Conditional predictive density evaluation in the presence of instabilities," Economics Working Papers 1368, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Conditional Predictive Density Evaluation in the Presence of Instabilities," Working Papers 688, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Michael T. Owyang & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2012.
"Okun’s law over the business cycle: was the great recession all that different?,"
Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Sep, pages 399-418.
Cited by:
- Koutroulis, Aristotelis & Panagopoulos, Yannis & Tsouma, Ekaterini, 2016. "Asymmetry in the response of unemployment to output changes in Greece: Evidence from hidden co-integration," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 81-88.
- Amy Y. Guisinger & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair, 2015.
"A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law,"
Working Papers
2015-29, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Guisinger, Amy Y. & Hernandez-Murillo, Ruben & Owyang, Michael T. & Sinclair, Tara M., 2018. "A state-level analysis of Okun's law," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 239-248.
- Amy Y. Guisinger & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael T. Owyang & Tara M. Sinclair, 2015. "A State-Level Analysis of Okun’s Law," Working Papers (Old Series) 1523, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Amy Guisinger & Ruben Hernandez-Murillo & Michael Owyang & Tara Sinclair, 2015. "A State-Level Analysis of Okun's Law," Working Papers 2015-17, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Costas Karfakis & Konstantinos Katrakilidis & Eftychia Tsanana, 2013.
"Does Output Predict Unemployment? A Look at Okun’s Law in Greece,"
Discussion Paper Series
2013_01, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Dec 2013.
- Costas KARFAKIS & Constantinos KATRAKILIDIS & Eftychia TSANANA, 2014. "Does output predict unemployment? A look at Okun's law in Greece," International Labour Review, International Labour Organization, vol. 153(3), pages 421-433, September.
- Mr. Salvatore Dell'Erba & Mr. Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro & Ksenia Koloskova, 2014. "Medium-Term Fiscal Multipliers during Protracted Recessions," IMF Working Papers 2014/213, International Monetary Fund.
- Tino Berger & Gerdie Everaert & Hauke Vierke, 2015.
"Testing for time variation in an unobserved components model for the U.S. economy,"
Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium
15/903, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Berger, Tino & Everaert, Gerdie & Vierke, Hauke, 2016. "Testing for time variation in an unobserved components model for the U.S. economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 179-208.
- Menzie Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Valérie Mignon, 2014.
"Explaining US employment growth after the Great Recession: the role of output-employment non-linearities,"
Post-Print
hal-01385949, HAL.
- Chinn, Menzie & Ferrara, Laurent & Mignon, Valérie, 2014. "Explaining US employment growth after the great recession: The role of output–employment non-linearities," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 118-129.
- Rui Pereira, 2014.
"Okun’s law, asymmetries and regional spillovers: evidence from Virginia metropolitan statistical areas and the District of Columbia,"
The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 52(2), pages 583-595, March.
- Rui M. Pereira, 2014. "Okun's Law, Asymmetries and Regional Spillovers: Evidence from Virginia Metropolitan Statistical Areas and the District of Columbia," Working Papers 140, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary.
- Dixon, R. & Lim, G.C. & van Ours, Jan, 2016.
"Revisiting Okun's Relationship,"
Other publications TiSEM
ac544754-2905-412a-a70e-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Robert Dixon & G. C. Lim & Jan C. van Ours, 2016. "Revisiting Okun’s Relationship," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2016n14, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
- Dixon, Robert & Lim, Guay C. & van Ours, Jan C., 2016. "Revisiting Okun's Relationship," IZA Discussion Papers 9815, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- van Ours, Jan C. & Dixon, Robert & Lim, Guay, 2016. "Revisiting Okun's relationship," CEPR Discussion Papers 11184, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Robert Dixon & G. C. Lim & Jan C. van Ours, 2017. "Revisiting the Okun relationship," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(28), pages 2749-2765, June.
- Dixon, R. & Lim, G.C. & van Ours, Jan, 2016. "Revisiting Okun's Relationship," Discussion Paper 2016-010, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Roger Perman & Stephan Gaetan & Christophe Tavera, 2013.
"Okun's law - a meta analysis,"
Working Papers
1311, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Roger Perman & Gaetan Stephan & Christophe Tavéra, 2015. "Okun's Law—a Meta-analysis," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 83(1), pages 101-126, January.
- Roger Perman & Gaëtan Stephan & Christophe Tavéra, 2014. "Okun's Law - a Meta-analysis," Post-Print halshs-01063363, HAL.
- Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Manuel M. F. Martins & Maria Joana Soares, 2019.
"Okun’s Law Across Time and Frequencies,"
NIPE Working Papers
13/2019, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Aguiar-Conraria, Luís & Martins, Manuel M.F. & Soares, Maria Joana, 2020. "Okun’s Law across time and frequencies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Gelfer, Sacha, 2020. "Re-evaluating Okun’s Law: Why all recessions and recoveries are “different”," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
- Ertürk, Korkut Alp & Mendieta-Muñoz, Ivan, 2018.
"The changing dynamics of short-run output adjustment,"
MPRA Paper
87409, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Korkut Alp Erturk & Ivan Mendieta-Munoz, 2018. "The changing dynamics of short-run output adjustment," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2018_04, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
- Nektarios A. Michail, 2019.
"Examining The Stability Of Okun'S Coefficient,"
Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(3), pages 240-256, July.
- Nektarios A. Michail, 2015. "Examining the Stability of Okun’s Coefficient," Working Papers 2015-2, Central Bank of Cyprus.
- Tiwari, Smriti, 2021. "Do macroeconomic fluctuations at destination matter in determining migrants’ return decisions?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
- Ms. Elva Bova & Ms. Christina Kolerus & Mr. Sampawende J Tapsoba, 2014.
"A Fiscal Job? An Analysis of Fiscal Policy and the Labor Market,"
IMF Working Papers
2014/216, International Monetary Fund.
- Elva Bova & Christina Kolerus & Sampawende Tapsoba, 2015. "A fiscal job? An analysis of fiscal policy and the labor market," IZA Journal of Labor Policy, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 4(1), pages 1-17, December.
- Kiss, Tamas & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2022.
"Modelling Okun’s Law – Does non-Gaussianity Matter?,"
Working Papers
2022:1, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Tamás Kiss & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2023. "Modelling Okun’s law: Does non-Gaussianity matter?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 2183-2213, May.
- Klinger, Sabine & Weber, Enzo, 2015.
"Detecting unemployment hysteresis : a simultaneous unobserved components model with Markov switching,"
IAB-Discussion Paper
201528, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
- Klinger, Sabine & Weber, Enzo, 2016. "Detecting unemployment hysteresis: A simultaneous unobserved components model with Markov switching," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 115-118.
- Donayre, Luiggi, 2022. "On the behavior of Okun's law across business cycles," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
- Askenazy, Philippe & Chevalier, Martin & Erhel, Christine, 2015.
"Okun’s Laws Differentiated by Education,"
CEPREMAP Working Papers (Docweb)
1514, CEPREMAP.
- Philippe Askenazy & Christine Erhel, 2015. "Okun’s Laws Differentiated by Education," Working Papers hal-01297704, HAL.
- Philippe Askenazy & Christine Erhel, 2015. "Okun’s Laws Differentiated by Education," PSE Working Papers hal-01297704, HAL.
- Philippe Askenazy & Christine Erhel, 2015. "Okun’s Laws Differentiated by Education," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-01297704, HAL.
- Valadkhani, Abbas & Smyth, Russell, 2015. "Switching and asymmetric behaviour of the Okun coefficient in the US: Evidence for the 1948–2015 period," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 281-290.
- Luz A. Flórez & Karen L. Pulido-Mahecha & Mario A. Ramos-Veloza, 2018. "Okun´s law in Colombia: a non-linear cointegration," Borradores de Economia 1039, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Klinger, Sabine & Weber, Enzo, 2015. "GDP-Employment Decoupling and the Productivity Puzzle in Germany," University of Regensburg Working Papers in Business, Economics and Management Information Systems 485, University of Regensburg, Department of Economics.
- van Ours, J.C., 2015.
"The Great Recession was not so Great,"
Other publications TiSEM
b88a88a8-c20f-4145-84c2-f, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- van Ours, J.C., 2015. "The Great Recession was not so Great," Discussion Paper 2015-006, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Dell'Erba, Salvatore & Koloskova, Ksenia & Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos, 2018. "Medium-term fiscal multipliers during protracted economic contractions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 35-52.
- Celia Melguizo Cháfer, 2015. "“An analysis of the Okun’s law for the Spanish provinces”," AQR Working Papers 201501, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jan 2015.
- Menzie Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Valérie Mignon, 2013.
"Post-Recession US Employment through the Lens of a Non-Linear Okun's Law,"
Working Papers
2013-13, CEPII research center.
- Menzie Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Valérie Mignon, 2013. "Post-recession US employment through the lens of a non-linear Okun’s law," EconomiX Working Papers 2013-12, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Menzie D. Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Valérie Mignon, 2013. "Post-recession US Employment through the Lens of a Non-linear Okun's law," NBER Working Papers 19047, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Menzie Chinn & Laurent Ferrara & Valérie Mignon, 2013. "Post-recession US employment through the lens of a non-linear Okun’s law," Working Papers hal-04141207, HAL.
- Claudia Foroni & Francesco Furlanetto, 2022.
"Explaining Deviations from Okun’s Law,"
Working Paper
2022/4, Norges Bank.
- Foroni, Claudia & Furlanetto, Francesco, 2022. "Explaining deviations from Okun’s law," Working Paper Series 2699, European Central Bank.
- Foroni, Claudia & Furlanetto, Francesco, 2022. "Explaining Deviations from Okun's Law," CEPR Discussion Papers 17369, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- van Ours, Jan C., 2015. "The Great Recession was not so Great," CEPR Discussion Papers 10376, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Albers, Scott, 2013. "Of Jane Austen and the secret life of econometric quantities, or as otherwise entitled on Okun's Law and the 'multiplicative inverse surprise'," MPRA Paper 44594, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hertweck, Matthias Sebastian & Brey, Björn, 2016.
"The Extension of Short-time Work Schemes during the Great Recession: A Story of Success?,"
VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change
145795, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Björn Brey & Matthias S. Hertweck, 2016. "The extension of short-time work schemes during the Great Recession: A story of success?," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2016-05, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Brey, Björn & Hertweck, Matthias S., 2020. "The Extension Of Short-Time Work Schemes During The Great Recession: A Story Of Success?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(2), pages 360-402, March.
- Durech, Richard & Minea, Alexandru & Mustea, Lavinia & Slusna, Lubica, 2014.
"Regional evidence on Okun's Law in Czech Republic and Slovakia,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 57-65.
- Richard Durech & Alexandru Minea & Lavinia Teodora Mustea & Lubica Slusna, 2014. "Regional evidence on Okun's Law in Czech Republic and Slovakia," Post-Print halshs-01019147, HAL.
- Ryan Herzog, 2013. "Using state level employment thresholds to explain Okun’s Law," IZA Journal of Labor Policy, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 2(1), pages 1-26, December.
- Rui M. Pereira, 2013. "Okun's Law across the Business Cycle and during the Great Recession: A Markov Switching Analysis," Working Papers 139, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary.
- van Ours, Jan C., 2015. "The Great Recession was not so great," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 1-12.
- Ryan W Herzog, 2013. "An Analysis of Okun's Law, the Natural Rate, and Voting Preferences for the 50 States," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(4), pages 2504-2517.
- Celia Melguizo, 2015.
"An analysis of Okun?s law for the Spanish provinces,"
ERSA conference papers
ersa15p1558, European Regional Science Association.
- Celia Melguizo, 2017. "An analysis of Okun’s law for the Spanish provinces," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 37(1), pages 59-90, February.
- Ana Michaela ANDREI, 2014. "Using asymmetric Okun law and Phillips curve for potential output estimates: an empirical study for Romania," REVISTA ADMINISTRATIE SI MANAGEMENT PUBLIC, Faculty of Administration and Public Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 2014(23), pages 6-18, December.
- Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller, 2016.
"Did Okun's Law Die after the Great Recession?,"
Working papers
2016-10, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
- Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller, 2017. "Did Okun’s law die after the Great Recession?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 52(4), pages 216-226, October.
- Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "A hybrid time-varying parameter Bayesian VAR analysis of Okun’s law in the United States," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
- Eduardo Loría & Emmanuel Salas, 2014. "A Nonlinear Relationship: Unemployment and Economic Growth (Construction Sector) in Spain, 1995.1–2012.2," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 20(4), pages 439-453, November.
- Jan Bruha & Jiri Polansky, 2015. "Empirical Analysis of Labor Markets over Business Cycles: An International Comparison," Working Papers 2015/15, Czech National Bank.
- Albers, Scott & Albers, Andrew L., 2013. "Does “Okun’s Law” state a Pi:1 ratio? Toward a harmonic interpretation of why Okun’s Law works," MPRA Paper 44843, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Anderton, Robert & Aranki, Ted & Bonthuis, Boele & Jarvis, Valerie, 2014. "Disaggregating Okun's law: decomposing the impact of the expenditure components of GDP on euro area unemployment," Working Paper Series 1747, European Central Bank.
- Albers, Scott, 2013. "Okun’s Law as a Pi-to-1 ratio: A harmonic / trigonometric theory as to why Okun’s Law works," MPRA Paper 46633, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Adama Zerbo, 2017. "Croissance économique et chômage : les fondements de la loi d'Okun et le modèle IS-LM-LO," Documents de travail 176, Groupe d'Economie du Développement de l'Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV.
- Laurence M. Ball & Daniel Leigh & Prakash Loungani, 2013. "Okun's Law: Fit at Fifty?," NBER Working Papers 18668, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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