Are macroeconomic forecasters optimists or pessimists? A reassessment of survey based forecasts
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DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2022.03.012
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More about this item
Keywords
Macroeconomic uncertainty; ECB survey of professional forecasters; Subjective probability distribution; Ex-ante uncertainty; Ex-post uncertainty; Bayesian decision theory;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
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