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Por que os estados brasileiros têm reações assimétricas a choques na política monetária?

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  • Rocha, Roberta de Moraes
  • da Silva, Marcelo Eduardo Alves
  • Gomes, Sonia Maria Fonseca Pereira Oliveira

Abstract

This paper examines whether monetary policy has similar effects across Brazilian States. Our impulse response functions from state-level estimated structural vector autoregression (SVAR) reveal asymmetries in output responses to a monetary policy shock. We further investigate the reasons for the measured cross-state differential policy responses. The evidence suggests that the size of a state’s response is related to economy’s industry-mix variables, to the openness degree and to the state’s credit volume providing evidence of an interest rate and credit-channels for monetary policy. The results also present some support to for demographic and labor markets channels theories. The results offer some words of caution for the monetary policy management in Brazil. Policy actions that fail to acknowledge the state-level socio-economic diversity may yield undesirable results and may increase regional disparities within the country.

Suggested Citation

  • Rocha, Roberta de Moraes & da Silva, Marcelo Eduardo Alves & Gomes, Sonia Maria Fonseca Pereira Oliveira, 2011. "Por que os estados brasileiros têm reações assimétricas a choques na política monetária?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 65(4), November.
    • Handle: RePEc:fgv:epgrbe:v:65:y:2011:i:4:a:2895
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Araújo, E., 2004. "Medindo o Impacto Regional da Política Monetária Brasileira: Uma Comparação entre as Regiões Nordeste e Sul," Insper Working Papers wpe_46, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
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    Cited by:

    1. Igor Ézio Maciel Silva, 2016. "The Differential Regional Effects Of Monetary And Fiscal Policies In Brazil," Anais do XLII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 42nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 040, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

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