Does the federal reserve staff still beat private forecasters?
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Citations
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Cited by:
- Pao‐Lin Tien & Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber, 2021.
"Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter?,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 83(3), pages 686-712, June.
- Pao-Lin Tien & Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber, 2015. "Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter?," Wesleyan Economics Working Papers 2015-004, Wesleyan University, Department of Economics.
- Pao-Lin Tien & Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber, 2016. "Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter?," Working Papers 2016-007, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Pao-Lin Tien & Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber, 2016. "Do Fed forecast errors matter?," CAMA Working Papers 2016-47, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Tara Sinclair & Pao-Lin Tien & Edward Gamber, 2016. "Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter?," Working Papers 2016-14, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy, revised Aug 2018.
- Richhild Moessner & David-Jan Jansen & Jakob de Haan, 2017. "Communication About Future Policy Rates In Theory And Practice: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 678-711, July.
- Ana Cristina Pereira Das Neves, 2018. "The Mass Media Transmission Of Central Bank Communication Under Uncertainty," Anais do XLIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 44th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 54, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
- Thomas L. Hogan, 2022. "The calculus of dissent: Bias and diversity in FOMC projections," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 191(1), pages 105-135, April.
- Sylvester Eijffinger & Ronald Mahieu & Louis Raes, 2017.
"Can the Fed Talk the Hind Legs Off the Stock Market?,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(1), pages 53-94, February.
- Eijffinger, Sylvester & Mahieu, Ronald & Raes, Louis, 2011. "Can the Fed talk the hind legs off the stock market?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8450, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Michelle L. Barnes & Giovanni P. Olivei, 2017. "Financial variables and macroeconomic forecast errors," Working Papers 17-17, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
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More about this item
Keywords
forecast performance; forecast rationality; forecast stability; greenbook forecasts; of professional forecasters; survey;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
- E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-CBA-2014-04-05 (Central Banking)
- NEP-FOR-2014-04-05 (Forecasting)
- NEP-MAC-2014-04-05 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-MON-2014-04-05 (Monetary Economics)
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