My bibliography
Save this item
Handbook of Economic Forecasting
Citations
RePEc Biblio mentions
As found on the RePEc Biblio, the curated bibliography for Economics:Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Jeffrey Schafer, 2022. "Inflation Expectations and Their Formation: Working Paper 2022-03," Working Papers 57398, Congressional Budget Office.
- Wright, Jonathan H., 2019. "Some observations on forecasting and policy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1186-1192.
- Kilian, Lutz & Lee, Thomas K., 2014.
"Quantifying the speculative component in the real price of oil: The role of global oil inventories,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 71-87.
- Kilian, Lutz & Lee, Thomas K, 2013. "Quantifying the Speculative Component in the Real Price of Oil: The Role of Global Oil Inventories," CEPR Discussion Papers 9297, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Yunus Aksoy & Rubens Morita & Zacharias Psaradakis, 2019.
"The Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Macroeconomic Causality Regimes,"
BCAM Working Papers
1910, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Yunus Aksoy & Rubens Morita & Zacharias Psaradakis, 2019. "The Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Macroeconomic Causality Regimes," CESifo Working Paper Series 8035, CESifo.
- Arai, Natsuki, 2023.
"The FOMC’s new individual economic projections and macroeconomic theories,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Natsuki Arai, 2020. "The FOMC’s New Individual Economic Projections and Macroeconomic Theories," Working Papers 2020-007, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Tiwari, Aviral K. & Dar, Arif B. & Bhanja, Niyati & Gupta, Rangan, 2016.
"A historical analysis of the US stock price index using empirical mode decomposition over 1791-2015,"
Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-15.
- Aviral K. Tiwari & Arif B. Dar & Niyati Bhanja & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "A Historical Analysis of the US Stock Price Index using Empirical Mode Decomposition over 1791-2015," Working Papers 201588, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Dar, Arif Billah & Bhanja, Niyati & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "A historical analysis of the US stock price index using empirical mode decomposition over 1791-2015," Economics Discussion Papers 2016-9, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Marine Carrasco & Barbara Rossi, 2016.
"In-Sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 313-338, July.
- Rossi, Barbara & Carrasco, Marine, 2016. "In-sample Inference and Forecasting in Misspecified Factor Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 11388, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marine Carrasco & Barbara Rossi, 2016. "In-sample inference and forecasting in misspecified factor models," Economics Working Papers 1530, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Luca Brugnolini, 2018. "Forecasting Deflation Probability in the EA: A Combinatoric Approach," CBM Working Papers WP/01/2018, Central Bank of Malta.
- Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Giraitis, Liudas & Kapetanios, George & Petrova, Katerina, 2016.
"A time varying DSGE model with financial frictions,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 690-716.
- Ana Beatriz Galvão & Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Katerina Petrova, 2015. "A Time Varying DSGE Model with Financial Frictions," Working Papers 769, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2021.
"Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings,"
International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(1), pages 324-335, March.
- Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Predicting Stock Market Movements in the United States: The Role of Presidential Approval Ratings," Working Papers 201830, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Sung Je Byun & Soojin Jo, 2018.
"Heterogeneity in the dynamic effects of uncertainty on investment,"
Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(1), pages 127-155, February.
- Sung Je Byun & Soojin Jo, 2018. "Heterogeneity in the dynamic effects of uncertainty on investment," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 51(1), pages 127-155, February.
- Sungje Byun & Soojin Jo, 2015. "Heterogeneity in the Dynamic Effects of Uncertainty on Investment," Staff Working Papers 15-34, Bank of Canada.
- Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020.
"Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 829-850.
- Heinrich, Markus & Carstensen, Kai & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168206, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 6457, CESifo.
- Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2019. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," Jena Economics Research Papers 2019-006, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
- Andrii Babii & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2022.
"Machine Learning Time Series Regressions With an Application to Nowcasting,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 1094-1106, June.
- Andrii Babii & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2020. "Machine Learning Time Series Regressions with an Application to Nowcasting," Papers 2005.14057, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Babii, Andrii & Ghysels, Eric & Striaukas, Jonas, 2021. "Machine Learning Time Series Regressions With an Application to Nowcasting," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2021010, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Babii, Andrii & Ghysels, Eric & Striaukas, Jonas, 2021. "Machine Learning Time Series Regressions With an Application to Nowcasting," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2021004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Snowberg, Erik & Wolfers, Justin & Zitzewitz, Eric, 2013.
"Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 657-687,
Elsevier.
- Erik Snowberg & Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," CESifo Working Paper Series 3884, CESifo.
- Snowberg, Erik & Wolfers, Justin & Zitzewitz, Eric, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," IZA Discussion Papers 6720, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Erik Snowberg & Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," NBER Working Papers 18222, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Erik Snowberg & Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," CAMA Working Papers 2012-33, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Wolfers, Justin & Zitzewitz, Eric & Snowberg, Erik, 2012. "Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting," CEPR Discussion Papers 9059, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2017.
"Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 482-501.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," MPRA Paper 75424, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails with an application to inflation forecasting," BCAM Working Papers 1603, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Viet Hoang Dinh & Didier Nibbering & Benjamin Wong, 2023.
"Random Subspace Local Projections,"
CAMA Working Papers
2023-34, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Viet Hoang Dinh & Didier Nibbering & Benjamin Wong, 2024. "Random Subspace Local Projections," Papers 2406.01002, arXiv.org.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-León, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021.
"Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?,"
Discussion Papers
48/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Working Paper Series 2604, European Central Bank.
- Marta Bañbura & Danilo Leiva-León & Jan-Oliver Menz, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation Forecasts?," Working Papers 2138, Banco de España.
- Massimo Guidolin & Alexei G. Orlov, 2022.
"Can Investors Benefit from Hedge Fund Strategies? Utility-Based, Out-of-Sample Evidence,"
Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(03), pages 1-61, September.
- Massimo Guidolin & Alexei G. Orlov, 2018. "Can Investors Benefit from Hedge Fund Strategies? Utility-Based, Out-of-Sample Evidence," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1887, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Massimo Guidolin & Alexei Orlov, 2018. "Can Investors Benefit from Hedge Fund Strategies? Utility-Based, Out-of-Sample Evidence," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1890, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Abbate, Angela & Eickmeier, Sandra & Prieto, Esteban, 2016.
"Financial shocks and inflation dynamics,"
Discussion Papers
41/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Dr. Angela Abbate & Sandra Eickmeier & Esteban Prieto, 2020. "Financial shocks and inflation dynamics," Working Papers 2020-13, Swiss National Bank.
- Angela Abbate & Sandra Eickmeier & Esteban Prieto, 2016. "Financial shocks and inflation dynamics," CAMA Working Papers 2016-53, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2018_023 is not listed on IDEAS
- Wendy Nyakabawo & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2018. "High-Frequency Impact of Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Surprises on US MSAs and Aggregate US Housing Returns and Volatility: A GJR-GARCH Approach," Working Papers 201817, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Soojin Jo & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2019.
"Macroeconomic Uncertainty Through the Lens of Professional Forecasters,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 436-446, July.
- Soojin Jo & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2016. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Through the Lens of Professional Forecasters," Staff Working Papers 16-5, Bank of Canada.
- Soojin Jo & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2017. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Through the Lens of Professional Forecasters," Working Papers 1702, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotzé & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2023.
"Big data forecasting of South African inflation,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 149-188, July.
- Byron Botha & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Rulof P. Burger, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," Working Papers 873, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series 2022-03, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.
- Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotz & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," Working Papers 11022, South African Reserve Bank.
- Cipullo, Davide & Reslow, André, 2019.
"Biased Forecasts to Affect Voting Decisions? The Brexit Case,"
Working Paper Series
364, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Cipullo, Davide & Reslow, André, 2019. "Biased Forecasts to Affect Voting Decisions? The Brexit Case," Working Paper Series 2019:4, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
- Gao, Liping & Kim, Hyeongwoo & Saba, Richard, 2014.
"How do oil price shocks affect consumer prices?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 313-323.
- Gao, Liping & Kim, Hyeongwoo & Saba, Richard, 2014. "How Do Oil Price Shocks Affect Consumer Prices?," MPRA Paper 57259, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Baetje, Fabian & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2016.
"Equity premium prediction: Are economic and technical indicators unstable?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1193-1207.
- Baetje, Fabian & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2015. "Equity premium prediction: Are economic and technical indicators instable?," Kiel Working Papers 1987, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Fabian Baetje & Lukas Menkhoff, 2016. "Equity Premium Prediction: Are Economic and Technical Indicators Unstable?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1552, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Baetje, Fabian & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2015. "Equity premium prediction: Are economic and technical indicators instable?," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113079, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Konstantinos Metaxoglou & Davide Pettenuzzo & Aaron Smith, 2019.
"Option-Implied Equity Premium Predictions via Entropic Tilting,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 17(4), pages 559-586.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Konstantinos Metaxoglou & Aaron Smith, 2016. "Option-Implied Equity Premium Predictions via Entropic TiltinG," Working Papers 99, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Davide Pettenuzzo & Konstantinos Metaxoglou & Aaron Smith, 2016. "Option-Implied Equity Premium Predictions via Entropic TiltinG," Working Papers 99R, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, revised Aug 2016.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2020.
"Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 934-943, September.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Barbara Rossi, 2013.
"Exchange Rate Predictability,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1063-1119, December.
- Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Exchange Rate Predictability," Working Papers 690, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2013. "Exchange Rate Predictability," CEPR Discussion Papers 9575, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi, 2013. "Exchange rate predictability," Economics Working Papers 1369, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Marcellino Massimiliano, 2020. "Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators," Working Papers 20-13R2, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 22 Sep 2020.
- Anders Warne & Günter Coenen & Kai Christoffel, 2017.
"Marginalized Predictive Likelihood Comparisons of Linear Gaussian State‐Space Models with Applications to DSGE, DSGE‐VAR, and VAR Models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 103-119, January.
- Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2014. "Marginalized predictive likelihood comparisons of linear Gaussian state-space models with applications to DSGE, DSGEVAR, and VAR models," CFS Working Paper Series 478, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2017. "A New Time‐Varying Parameter Autoregressive Model for U.S. Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(5), pages 969-995, August.
- Ricardo Reis, 2018.
"Is something really wrong with macroeconomics?,"
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 34(1-2), pages 132-155.
- Reis, Ricardo, 2017. "Is something really wrong with macroeconomics?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 74332, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Ricardo Reis, 2017. "Is Something Really Wrong with Macroeconomics?," Discussion Papers 1713, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Ricardo Reis, 2017. "Is Something Really Wrong with Macroeconomics?," CESifo Working Paper Series 6446, CESifo.
- Reis, Ricardo, 2018. "Is something really wrong with macroeconomics?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 85671, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Ekaterina V. Peneva & Jeremy B. Rudd, 2017. "The Passthrough of Labor Costs to Price Inflation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(8), pages 1777-1802, December.
- Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2020.
"The Role of the Prior in Estimating VAR Models with Sign Restrictions,"
Working Papers
2030, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2021. "The role of the prior in estimating VAR models with sign restrictions," CFS Working Paper Series 660, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi, 2020. "The Role of the Prior in Estimating VAR Models with Sign Restrictions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15545, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane, 2014.
"A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices With an Application to Crude Oil,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
10162, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil," Staff Working Papers 16-18, Bank of Canada.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "A General Approach to Recovering Market Expectations from Futures Prices with an Application to Crude Oil," CESifo Working Paper Series 5782, CESifo.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2014. "A general approach to recovering market expectations from futures prices with an application to crude oil," CFS Working Paper Series 466, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Hillebrand, Eric & Lukas, Manuel & Wei, Wei, 2021.
"Bagging weak predictors,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 237-254.
- Manuel Lukas & Eric Hillebrand, 2014. "Bagging Weak Predictors," CREATES Research Papers 2014-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Eric Hillebrand & Manuel Lukas & Wei Wei, 2020. "Bagging Weak Predictors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 16/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Kyle C. Meng, 2017.
"Using a Free Permit Rule to Forecast the Marginal Abatement Cost of Proposed Climate Policy,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(3), pages 748-784, March.
- Kyle C. Meng, 2016. "Using a Free Permit Rule to Forecast the Marginal Abatement Cost of Proposed Climate Policy," NBER Working Papers 22255, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- repec:zbw:bofitp:2019_008 is not listed on IDEAS
- Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Nyakabawo, Wendy & Wohar, Mark E., 2018.
"Do house prices hedge inflation in the US? A quantile cointegration approach,"
International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 15-26.
- Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Wendy Nyakabawo & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Do House Prices Hedge Inflation in the US? A Quantile Cointegration Approach," Working Papers 201707, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Richard K. Crump & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2022. "On the Factor Structure of Bond Returns," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(1), pages 295-314, January.
- Breen, John David & Hu, Liang, 2021. "The predictive content of oil price and volatility: New evidence on exchange rate forecasting," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Jannsen, Nils & Wolters, Maik H., 2016. "Zu Produktionspotenzial und Produktionslücke in den Vereinigten Staaten," Kiel Insight 2016.2, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Vincent Brémond & Emmanuel Hache & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2016.
"The Oil Price and Exchange Rate Relationship Revisited: A time-varying VAR parameter approach,"
European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 13(1), pages 97-131, June.
- Vincent Brémond & Emmanuel Hache & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2016. "The Oil Price and Exchange Rate Relationship Revisited: A time-varying VAR parameter approach," Post-Print halshs-01683809, HAL.
- Charles W. Calomiris & Nida Çakır Melek & Harry Mamaysky, 2021. "Predicting the Oil Market," NBER Working Papers 29379, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020.
"What's Up with the Phillips Curve?,"
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 51(1 (Spring), pages 301-373.
- Del Negro, Marco & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E. & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," Working Paper Series 2435, European Central Bank.
- William Chen & Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What’s Up with the Phillips Curve?," Liberty Street Economics 20200918a, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Primiceri, Giorgio & Del Negro, Marco & Lenza, Michele & Tambalotti, Andrea, 2020. "What's up with the Phillips Curve?," CEPR Discussion Papers 14583, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What’s up with the Phillips Curve?," NBER Working Papers 27003, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lucia Alessi & Eric Ghysels & Luca Onorante & Richard Peach & Simon Potter, 2014.
"Central Bank Macroeconomic Forecasting During the Global Financial Crisis: The European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York Experiences,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 483-500, October.
- Onorante, Luca & Alessi, Lucia & Ghysels, Eric & Potter, Simon & Peach, Richard, 2014. "Central bank macroeconomic forecasting during the global financial crisis: the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York experiences," Working Paper Series 1688, European Central Bank.
- Luci Alessi & Eric Ghysels & Luca Onorante & Richard Peach & Simon M. Potter, 2014. "Central bank macroeconomic forecasting during the global financial crisis: the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York experiences," Staff Reports 680, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Tallman, Ellis W. & Zaman, Saeed, 2020.
"Combining survey long-run forecasts and nowcasts with BVAR forecasts using relative entropy,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 373-398.
- Ellis W. Tallman & Saeed Zaman, 2018. "Combining Survey Long-Run Forecasts and Nowcasts with BVAR Forecasts Using Relative Entropy," Working Papers (Old Series) 1809, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Christiansen, Charlotte & Eriksen, Jonas N. & Møller, Stig V., 2019. "Negative house price co-movements and US recessions," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 382-394.
- Maik H. Wolters, 2015.
"Evaluating Point and Density Forecasts of DSGE Models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 74-96, January.
- Wolters, Maik H., 2011. "Forecasting under Model Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis 48723, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," MPRA Paper 36147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Wolters, Maik H., 2013. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," Economics Working Papers 2013-03, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," IMFS Working Paper Series 59, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Georg Graetz, 2019.
"Labor Demand in the Past, Present, and Future,"
European Economy - Discussion Papers
114, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Georg Graetz, 2020. "Labor Demand in the Past, Present and Future," CESifo Working Paper Series 8234, CESifo.
- Graetz, Georg, 2020. "Labor Demand in the Past, Present, and Future," IZA Discussion Papers 13142, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Graetz, Georg, 2020. "Labor demand in the past, present and future," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 108424, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Georg Graetz, 2020. "Labor demand in the past, present and future," CEP Discussion Papers dp1683, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Giovannelli, Alessandro & Massacci, Daniele & Soccorsi, Stefano, 2021.
"Forecasting stock returns with large dimensional factor models,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 252-269.
- Alessandro Giovannelli & Daniele Massacci & Stefano Soccorsi, 2020. "Forecasting Stock Returns with Large Dimensional Factor Models," Working Papers 305661169, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using news-based economic policy uncertainty: Not all uncertainty changes are equally important," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Marco Del Negro & Marc P. Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide, 2015.
"Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 168-196, January.
- Marco Del Negro & Marc Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide, 2013. "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian models," Staff Reports 618, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Marc Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide & Marco Del Negro, 2014. "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models," 2014 Meeting Papers 506, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Marco Del Negro & Marc P. Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models," NBER Working Papers 20055, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Klick, Larissa & Schaffner, Sandra, 2019. "FDZ data description: Regional real estate price indices for Germany (RWI-GEO-REDX) - Version 2: 2008-02/2019," RWI Projektberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, number 202066.
- Goodness C. Aye & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta, 2016.
"Does Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Help in Forecasting the US Equity Risk Premium?,"
Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 63(3), pages 273-291.
- Goodness C. Aye & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Does Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Help in Forecasting the US Equity Risk Premium?," Working Papers 201422, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Gupta, Rangan, 2015.
"Has oil price predicted stock returns for over a century?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 18-23.
- Paresh K. Narayan & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Has Oil Pirce Predicted Stock Returns for Over a Century?," Working Papers 201446, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Has oil price predicted stock returns for over a century?," Working Papers fe_2015_08, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
- Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif, 2018. "Forecasting using mixed-frequency VARs with time-varying parameters," ifo Working Paper Series 273, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Li, Kai, 2019. "Portfolio selection with inflation-linked bonds and indexation lags," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-1.
- Tae‐Hwy Lee & Shahnaz Parsaeian & Aman Ullah, 2022.
"Forecasting Under Structural Breaks Using Improved Weighted Estimation,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(6), pages 1485-1501, December.
- Tae-Hwy Lee & Shahnaz Parsaeian & Aman Ullah, 2022. "Forecasting under Structural Breaks Using Improved Weighted Estimation," Working Papers 202210, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Tae-Hwy Lee & Shahnaz Parsaeian & Aman Ullah, 2022. "Forecasting under Structural Breaks Using Improved Weighted Estimation," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202212, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
- Jeremy Bertomeu, 2020. "Machine learning improves accounting: discussion, implementation and research opportunities," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 1135-1155, September.
- Van Robays, Ine & Belu Mănescu, Cristiana, 2014.
"Forecasting the Brent oil price: addressing time-variation in forecast performance,"
Working Paper Series
1735, European Central Bank.
- Cristiana Belu Manescu & Ine Van Robays, 2016. "Forecasting the Brent Oil Price: Addressing Time-Variation in Forecast Performance," CESifo Working Paper Series 6242, CESifo.
- Mr. Ken Miyajima & James Yetman, 2018. "Inflation Expectations Anchoring Across Different Types of Agents: the Case of South Africa," IMF Working Papers 2018/177, International Monetary Fund.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone, 2017.
"The Effectiveness of Non‐Standard Monetary Policy Measures: Evidence from Survey Data,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 952-964, August.
- Giannone, Domenico & Altavilla, Carlo, 2014. "The Effectiveness of Non-Standard Monetary Policy Measures: Evidence from Survey Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 10001, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Altavilla, Carlo & Giannone, Domenico, 2016. "The effectiveness of non-standard monetary policy measures: evidence from survey data," Working Paper Series 1951, European Central Bank.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone, 2014. "The effectiveness of non-standard monetary policy measures: evidence from survey data," Working Papers CASMEF 1406, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone, 2015. "The effectiveness of nonstandard monetary policy measures: evidence from survey data," Staff Reports 752, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Carlo Altavilla & Domenico Giannone, 2014. "The Effectiveness of Non-Standard Monetary Policy Measures: Evidence from Survey Data," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-30, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Gogas, Periklis & Papadimitriou, Theophilos, 2015.
"Forecasting the U.S. real house price index,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 259-267.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," Working Papers 201418, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2017. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," Papers 1707.04868, arXiv.org.
- Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," DUTH Research Papers in Economics 10-2014, Democritus University of Thrace, Department of Economics.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2014. "Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index," Working Paper series 30_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Jos Jansen & Jasper de Winter, 2016. "Improving model-based near-term GDP forecasts by subjective forecasts: A real-time exercise for the G7 countries," DNB Working Papers 507, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve’s Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : A speech at \"Fed Policy: A Shadow Review\" Cato Institute’s 37th Annual Monetary Conferenc," Speech 1104, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Eguren-Martin, Fernando & O'Neill, Cian & Sokol, Andrej & von dem Berge, Lukas, 2024.
"Capital flows-at-risk: Push, pull and the role of policy,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
- Eguren-Martin, Fernando & O'Neill, Cian & Sokol, Andrej & von dem Berge, Lukas, 2020. "Capital flows-at-risk: push, pull and the role of policy," Bank of England working papers 881, Bank of England.
- Eguren-Martin, Fernando & O’Neill, Cian & Sokol, Andrej & Berge, Lukas von dem, 2021. "Capital flows-at-risk: push, pull and the role of policy," Working Paper Series 2538, European Central Bank.
- Pablo Pincheira Brown & Nicolás Hardy, 2024.
"Correlation‐based tests of predictability,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1835-1858, September.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2022. "Correlation Based Tests of Predictability," MPRA Paper 112014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Boriss Siliverstovs & Daniel S. Wochner, 2021. "State‐dependent evaluation of predictive ability," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 547-574, April.
- Manolis Maragoudakis & Dimitrios Serpanos, 2016. "Exploiting Financial News and Social Media Opinions for Stock Market Analysis using MCMC Bayesian Inference," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 47(4), pages 589-622, April.
- Stig V. Møller & Jesper Rangvid, 2018. "Global Economic Growth and Expected Returns Around the World: The End-of-the-Year Effect," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(2), pages 573-591, February.
- Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Vivian, Andrew J. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019.
"The predictive value of inequality measures for stock returns: An analysis of long-span UK data using quantile random forests,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 315-322.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Andrew J. Vivian & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "The Predictive Value of Inequality Measures for Stock Returns: An Analysis of Long-Span UK Data Using Quantile Random Forests," Working Papers 201809, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Ahmed, Shamim & Tsvetanov, Daniel, 2016. "The predictive performance of commodity futures risk factors," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 20-36.
- Aicha Kharazi, 2022. "Macroeconomic Effects of Collateral Requirements and Financial Shocks," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS93, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2013.
"Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9572, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2013. "Are product spreads useful for forecasting? An empirical evaluation of the Verleger hypothesis," CFS Working Paper Series 2013/09, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2013. "Are Product Spreads Useful for Forecasting? An Empirical Evaluation of the Verleger Hypothesis," Staff Working Papers 13-25, Bank of Canada.
- Filip Stanek, 2021. "Optimal Out-of-Sample Forecast Evaluation under Stationarity," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp712, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Scott Brave & R. Andrew Butters & Alejandro Justiniano, 2016. "Forecasting Economic Activity with Mixed Frequency Bayesian VARs," Working Paper Series WP-2016-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2017.
"Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(5), pages 931-968, August.
- Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2014. "Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation," Working Papers (Old Series) 1403, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Claudio, Morana, 2015.
"The US$/€ exchange rate: Structural modeling and forecasting during the recent financial crises,"
Working Papers
321, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 28 Dec 2015.
- Claudio Morana, 2016. "The US$/€ exchange rate: Structural modeling and forecasting during the recent financial crises," CeRP Working Papers 155, Center for Research on Pensions and Welfare Policies, Turin (Italy).
- Inske Pirschel & Maik H. Wolters, 2018. "Forecasting with large datasets: compressing information before, during or after the estimation?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 573-596, September.
- Eda Gulsen & Hakan Kara, 2020. "Formation of inflation expectations: Does macroeconomic and policy environment matter?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2017, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Paul Hubert & Harun Mirza, 2019.
"The role of forward‐ and backward‐looking information for inflation expectations formation,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(8), pages 733-748, December.
- Paul Hubert & Harun Mirza, 2019. "The role of forward- and backward-looking information for inflation expectations formation," Post-Print hal-03403616, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Harun Mirza, 2019. "The role of forward- and backward-looking information for inflation expectations formation," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403616, HAL.
- Richard K. Crump & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018.
"Changing Risk-Return Profiles,"
Liberty Street Economics
20181004, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Richard K. Crump & Miro Everaert & Domenico Giannone & Sean Hundtofte, 2018. "Changing Risk-Return Profiles," Staff Reports 850, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2019.
"Point and density forecasts of oil returns: The role of geopolitical risks,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 580-587.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Point and Density Forecasts of Oil Returns: The Role of Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201847, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Hauber, Philipp, 2021. "How useful is external information from professional forecasters? Conditional forecasts in large factor models," EconStor Preprints 251469, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2017.
"Interest rate assumptions and predictive accuracy of central bank forecasts,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 195-215, August.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2013. "The empirical (ir)relevance of the interest rate assumption for central bank forecasts," Discussion Papers 11/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2013. "The Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Interest Rate Assumption for Central Bank Forecasts," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 80042, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Camila Figueroa & Jorge Fornero & Pablo García, 2019. "Hindsight vs. Real time measurement of the output gap: Implications for the Phillips curve in the Chilean Case," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 854, Central Bank of Chile.
- Odendahl, Florens & Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2023.
"Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Florens Odendahl & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2021. "Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence," Economics Working Papers 1800, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Florens Odendahl & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2021. "Evaluating Forecast Performance with State Dependence," Working Papers 1295, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Cenedese, Gino & Mallucci, Enrico, 2016.
"What moves international stock and bond markets?,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 94-113.
- Cenedese, Gino & Mallucci, Enrico, 2015. "What moves international stock and bond markets?," Bank of England working papers 534, Bank of England.
- Cenedese, Gino & Mallucci, Enrico, 2015. "What moves international stock and bond markets?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86296, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- MGino Cenedese & Enrico Mallucci, 2015. "What moves international stock and bond markets?," Discussion Papers 1514, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Gino Cenedese & Enrico Mallucci, 2015. "What moves international stock and bond markets?," Working Paper series 15-23, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2015.
"Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 739-756.
- Giannone, Domenico & Bańbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," Working Paper Series 1733, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta & Lenza, Michele, 2014. "Conditional forecasts and scenario analysis with vector autoregressions for large cross-sections," CEPR Discussion Papers 9931, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza, 2014. "Conditional Forecasts and Scenario Analysis with Vector Autoregressions for Large Cross-Sections," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-15, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Stéphane Dées & Jochen Güntner, 2014.
"Analysing and forecasting price dynamics across euro area countries and sectors: A panel VAR approach,"
Economics working papers
2014-10, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
- Dées, Stéphane & Güntner, Jochen, 2014. "Analysing and forecasting price dynamics across euro area countries and sectors: a panel VAR approach," Working Paper Series 1724, European Central Bank.
- Paccagnini, Alessia, 2017. "Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey," MPRA Paper 82914, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2022.
"Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(4), pages 828-844, October.
- Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2020. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," CESifo Working Paper Series 8282, CESifo.
- Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2020. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," NBER Working Papers 27001, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christiane Baumeister & Dimitris Korobilis & Thomas K. Lee, 2020. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers 2020_08, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Korobilis, Dimitris & Lee, Thomas K., 2020. "Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions," CEPR Discussion Papers 14580, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Nikolaos Antonakakis & Rangan Gupta & Aviral K. Tiwari, 2016. "Time-Varying Correlations between Inflation and Stock Prices in the United States over the Last Two Centuries," Working Papers 201605, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Patrick C. Higgins, 2014. "GDPNow: A Model for GDP \"Nowcasting\"," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2014-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Döpke, Jörg & Fritsche, Ulrich & Waldhof, Gaby, 2017.
"Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts. Evidence from a survey among professional forecasters,"
Working Papers
2, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
- Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Gabi Waldhof, 2017. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey among professional forecasters," Working Papers 2017-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Edmond Berisha & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2021.
"Time-varying influence of household debt on inequality in United Kingdom,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1917-1933, October.
- Edmond Berisha & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau, 2020. "Time-Varying Influence of Household Debt on Inequality in United Kingdom," Working Papers 202017, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- repec:wrk:wrkemf:31 is not listed on IDEAS
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2019.
"Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1636-1657.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2018. "Predicting relative forecasting performance : An empirical investigation," Research Discussion Papers 23/2018, Bank of Finland.
- Rapach, David E. & Ringgenberg, Matthew C. & Zhou, Guofu, 2016.
"Short interest and aggregate stock returns,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(1), pages 46-65.
- David E. Rapach & Matthew C. Ringgenberg & Guofu Zhou, 2016. "Short interest and aggregate stock returns," CEMA Working Papers 716, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
- Locarno, Alberto & Delle Monache, Davide & Busetti, Fabio & Gerali, Andrea, 2017. "Trust, but verify. De-anchoring of inflation expectations under learning and heterogeneity," Working Paper Series 1994, European Central Bank.
- Andrii Babii & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2024.
"High-Dimensional Granger Causality Tests with an Application to VIX and News,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(3), pages 605-635.
- Andrii Babii & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2019. "High-Dimensional Granger Causality Tests with an Application to VIX and News," Papers 1912.06307, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2023.
"Bayesian Dynamic Variable Selection In High Dimensions,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(3), pages 1047-1074, August.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2018. "Bayesian dynamic variable selection in high dimensions," Papers 1809.03031, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Koop, Gary, 2020. "Bayesian dynamic variable selection in high dimensions," MPRA Paper 100164, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2020. "Bayesian dynamic variable selection in high dimensions," Working Papers 2020_11, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Cipullo, Davide & Reslow, André, 2022.
"Electoral cycles in macroeconomic forecasts,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 307-340.
- Davide Cipullo & André Reslow, 2021. "Electoral Cycles in Macroeconomic Forecasts," CESifo Working Paper Series 9088, CESifo.
- Cipullo, Davide & Reslow, André, 2022. "Electoral Cycles in Macroeconomic Forecasts," Working Paper Series 415, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Kraft, Holger & Munk, Claus & Weiss, Farina, 2019. "Predictors and portfolios over the life cycle," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 1-27.
- Shin, Minchul & Zhong, Molin, 2017.
"Does realized volatility help bond yield density prediction?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 373-389.
- Minchul Shin & Molin Zhong, 2013. "Does realized volatility help bond yield density prediction?," PIER Working Paper Archive 13-064, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Minchul Shin & Molin Zhong, 2015. "Does Realized Volatility Help Bond Yield Density Prediction?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-115, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Liu, Weiling & Moench, Emanuel, 2016.
"What predicts US recessions?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1138-1150.
- Weiling Liu & Emanuel Moench, 2014. "What predicts U.S. recessions?," Staff Reports 691, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Joëts, Marc & Mignon, Valérie & Razafindrabe, Tovonony, 2017.
"Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 313-326.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2015. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Working Papers hal-04141423, HAL.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01411696, HAL.
- Tovonony Razafindrabe & Valérie Mignon & Marc Joëts, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflects macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01667080, HAL.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2017. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print halshs-01683788, HAL.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01386096, HAL.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2015. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," Working Papers 2015-02, CEPII research center.
- M. Joëts & V. Mignon & T. Razafindrabe, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty ?," Working papers 607, Banque de France.
- Marc Joëts & Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe, 2015. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflect macroeconomic uncertainty?," EconomiX Working Papers 2015-7, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Valérie Mignon & Tovonony Razafindrabe & Marc Joëts, 2016. "Does the volatility of commodity prices reflects macroeconomic uncertainty?," Post-Print hal-01667085, HAL.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz & Lee, Thomas K., 2014.
"Are there gains from pooling real-time oil price forecasts?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(S1), pages 33-43.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Thomas K. Lee, 2014. "Are There Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts?," Staff Working Papers 14-46, Bank of Canada.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane & Lee, Thomas K, 2014. "Are there Gains from Pooling Real-Time Oil Price Forecasts?," CEPR Discussion Papers 10075, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2014.
"Evaluating predictive densities of US output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 662-682.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sehkposyan, 2013. "Evaluating Predictive Densities of US Output Growth and Inflation in a Large Macroeconomic Data Set," Working Papers 689, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2013. "Evaluating predictive densities of U.S. output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set," Economics Working Papers 1370, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Sekkel, Rodrigo M., 2015.
"Balance sheets of financial intermediaries: Do they forecast economic activity?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 263-275.
- Rodrigo Sekkel, 2014. "Balance Sheets of Financial Intermediaries: Do They Forecast Economic Activity?," Staff Working Papers 14-40, Bank of Canada.
- Pawel M. Krolikowski & Kurt G. Lunsford, 2024.
"Advance layoff notices and aggregate job loss,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 462-480, April.
- Pawel Krolikowski & Kurt Graden Lunsford, 2020. "Advance Layoff Notices and Aggregate Job Loss," Working Papers 20-03R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 02 Feb 2022.
- Nuttanan Wichitaksorn, 2020. "Analyzing and Forecasting Thai Macroeconomic Data using Mixed-Frequency Approach," PIER Discussion Papers 146, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Audrino, Francesco & Huitema, Robert & Ludwig, Markus, 2014. "An Empirical Analysis of the Ross Recovery Theorem," Economics Working Paper Series 1411, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Altug, Sumru & Çakmaklı, Cem, 2016.
"Forecasting inflation using survey expectations and target inflation: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 138-153.
- Altug, Sumru & Çakmaklı, Cem, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation using Survey Expectations and Target Inflation: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey," CEPR Discussion Papers 10419, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bec, Frédérique & Mogliani, Matteo, 2015.
"Nowcasting French GDP in real-time with surveys and “blocked” regressions: Combining forecasts or pooling information?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1021-1042.
- Bec, F. & Mogliani, M., 2013. "Nowcasting French GDP in Real-Time from Survey Opinions: Information or Forecast Combinations?," Working papers 436, Banque de France.
- Frédérique Bec & Matteo Mogliani, 2013. "Nowcasting French GDP in Real-Time from Survey Opinions : Information or Forecast Combinations ?," Working Papers 2013-21, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019.
"How Sensitive Are VAR Forecasts to Prior Hyperparameters? An Automated Sensitivity Analysis,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Topics in Identification, Limited Dependent Variables, Partial Observability, Experimentation, and Flexible Modeling: Part A, volume 40, pages 229-248,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2018. "How sensitive are VAR forecasts to prior hyperparameters? An automated sensitivity analysis," CAMA Working Papers 2018-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2017.
"Are Trump and Bitcoin Good Partners?,"
Papers
1703.00308, arXiv.org.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2017. "Are Trump and Bitcoin Good Partners?," Working Papers hal-01480031, HAL.
- Benes, Jaromir & Chauvet, Marcelle & Kamenik, Ondra & Kumhof, Michael & Laxton, Douglas & Mursula, Susanna & Selody, Jack, 2015.
"The future of oil: Geology versus technology,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 207-221.
- Ms. Marcelle Chauvet & Mr. Jack G. Selody & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Mr. Michael Kumhof & Mr. Jaromir Benes & Mr. Ondrej Kamenik & Susanna Mursula, 2012. "The Future of Oil: Geology Versus Technology," IMF Working Papers 2012/109, International Monetary Fund.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2015.
"Real-Time Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency VAR,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 366-380, July.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2012. "Real-time forecasting with a mixed-frequency VAR," Working Papers 701, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2013. "Real-Time Forecasting with a Mixed-Frequency VAR," NBER Working Papers 19712, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Carroll, Gabriel, 2019. "Robust incentives for information acquisition," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 382-420.
- Tamás Kiss & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2021.
"Modelling Returns in US Housing Prices—You’re the One for Me, Fat Tails,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-17, October.
- Kiss, Tamás & Nguyen, Hoang & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "Modelling Returns in US Housing Prices – You’re the One for Me, Fat Tails," Working Papers 2020:13, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Garcia-Jorcano, Laura & Benito, Sonia, 2020. "Studying the properties of the Bitcoin as a diversifying and hedging asset through a copula analysis: Constant and time-varying," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
- Oleg Rytchkov & Xun Zhong, 2020. "Information Aggregation and P-Hacking," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(4), pages 1605-1626, April.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & de Winter, Jasper, 2016. "Forecasting and nowcasting economic growth in the euro area using factor models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1284-1305.
- Michael D. Bauer & James D. Hamilton, 2018.
"Robust Bond Risk Premia,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(2), pages 399-448.
- Michael D. Bauer & James D. Hamilton, 2015. "Robust bond risk premia," Working Paper Series 2015-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Michael D. Bauer & James D. Hamilton, 2017. "Robust Bond Risk Premia," NBER Working Papers 23480, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael D. Bauer & James D. Hamilton, 2015. "Robust Bond Risk Premia," CESifo Working Paper Series 5541, CESifo.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2016.
"On the Selection of Common Factors for Macroeconomic Forecasting,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 593-628,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Giovannelli, Alessandro & Proietti, Tommaso, 2014. "On the Selection of Common Factors for Macroeconomic Forecasting," MPRA Paper 60673, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Alessandro Giovannelli & Tommaso Proietti, 2014. "On the Selection of Common Factors for Macroeconomic Forecasting," CREATES Research Papers 2014-46, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Alessandro Giovannelli & Tommaso Proietti, 2015. "On the Selection of Common Factors for Macroeconomic Forecasting," CEIS Research Paper 332, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 12 Mar 2015.
- Martins, Manuel Mota Freitas & Verona, Fabio, 2020.
"Forecasting inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips curve: Frequency matters,"
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers
4/2020, Bank of Finland.
- Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2020. "Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2001, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Engsted, Tom & Hviid, Simon J. & Pedersen, Thomas Q., 2016.
"Explosive bubbles in house prices? Evidence from the OECD countries,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 14-25.
- Tom Engsted & Simon J. Hviid & Thomas Q. Pedersen, 2015. "Explosive bubbles in house prices? Evidence from the OECD countries," CREATES Research Papers 2015-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Edward Herbst & Frank Schorfheide, 2014.
"Sequential Monte Carlo Sampling For Dsge Models,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(7), pages 1073-1098, November.
- Edward P. Herbst & Frank Schorfheide, 2012. "Sequential Monte Carlo sampling for DSGE models," Working Papers 12-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Edward P. Herbst & Frank Schorfheide, 2013. "Sequential Monte Carlo Sampling for DSGE Models," NBER Working Papers 19152, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Edward P. Herbst & Frank Schorfheide, 2013. "Sequential Monte Carlo sampling for DSGE models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-43, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Verena Monschang & Bernd Wilfling, 2022. "A procedure for upgrading linear-convex combination forecasts with an application to volatility prediction," CQE Working Papers 9722, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Robert F. Engle & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2017.
"Copula–Based vMEM Specifications versus Alternatives: The Case of Trading Activity,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-24, April.
- Fabrizio Cipollini & Robert F. Engle & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2017. "Copula-based vMEM Specifications versus Alternatives: The Case of Trading Activity," Econometrics Working Papers Archive 2017_02, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Magdalena Grothe & Aidan Meyler, 2018.
"Inflation Forecasts: Are Market-Based and Survey-Based Measures Informative?,"
International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(1), pages 171-188, January.
- Grothe, Magdalena & Meyler, Aidan, 2015. "Inflation forecasts: Are market-based and survey-based measures informative?," MPRA Paper 66982, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Meyler, Aidan & Grothe, Magdalena, 2015. "Inflation forecasts: Are market-based and survey-based measures informative?," Working Paper Series 1865, European Central Bank.
- Tomasz Wozniak, 2016. "Rare Events and Risk Perception: Evidence from Fukushima Accident," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2021, The University of Melbourne.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2017.
"Exchange rate expectations since the financial crisis: Performance evaluation and the role of monetary policy and safe haven,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 283-300.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2017. "Exchange rate expectations since the financial crisis: Performance evaluation and the role of monetary policy and safe haven," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168291, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Bragoli, Daniela & Modugno, Michele, 2017.
"A now-casting model for Canada: Do U.S. variables matter?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 786-800.
- Daniela Bragoli & Michele Modugno, 2016. "A Nowcasting Model for Canada: Do U.S. Variables Matter?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Møller, Stig V. & Rangvid, Jesper, 2015. "End-of-the-year economic growth and time-varying expected returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 136-154.
- Konstantin Styrin, 2019. "Forecasting Inflation in Russia Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(1), pages 3-18, March.
- Panopoulou, Ekaterini & Pantelidis, Theologos, 2015.
"Speculative behaviour and oil price predictability,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 128-136.
- Ekaterini Panopoulou & Theologos Pantelidis, 2014. "Speculative behaviour and oil price predictability," Discussion Paper Series 2014_09, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Dec 2014.
- Acharya, Viral & Bhadury, Soumya & Surti, Jay, 2020.
"Financial Vulnerability and Risks to Growth in Emerging Markets,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
14962, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Viral V. Acharya & Soumya Bhadury & Jay Surti, 2020. "Financial Vulnerability and Risks to Growth in Emerging Markets," NBER Working Papers 27411, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Franz Xaver Zobl & Martin Ertl, 2021. "The Condemned Live Longer – New Evidence of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Central and Eastern Europe," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 671-699, September.
- Hajargasht, Gholamreza & Rao, D.S. Prasada, 2019.
"Multilateral index number systems for international price comparisons: Properties, existence and uniqueness,"
Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 36-47.
- Gholamreza Hajargasht & Prasada Rao, 2018. "Multilateral Index Number Systems for International Price Comparisons: Properties, Existence and Uniqueness," Papers 1811.04197, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2018.
- Gholamreza Hajargasht & D.S. Prasada Rao, 2019. "Multilateral Index Number Systems for International Price Comparisons: Properties, Existence and Uniqueness," CEPA Working Papers Series WP032019, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
- Blazej Mazur, 2015. "Density forecasts based on disaggregate data: nowcasting Polish inflation," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 15, pages 71-87.
- Małgorzata Doman & Ryszard Doman, 2014. "Dynamic Linkages in the Pairs (GBP/EUR, USD/EUR) and (GBP/USD, EUR/USD): How Do They Change During a Day?," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 6(1), pages 33-56, March.
- Sumru Altug & Cem Cakmakli, 2014. "Inflation Targeting and Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1413, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Jacks, David S. & Stuermer, Martin, 2020.
"What drives commodity price booms and busts?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
- David S. Jacks & Martin Stuermer, 2016. "What drives commodity price booms and busts?," Working Papers 1614, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Luiz Renato Lima & Lucas Lúcio Godeiro, 2023. "Equity‐premium prediction: Attention is all you need," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(1), pages 105-122, January.
- Lima, Luiz Renato & Meng, Fanning & Godeiro, Lucas, 2020. "Quantile forecasting with mixed-frequency data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1149-1162.
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Pettenuzzo, Davide, 2019.
"Adaptive hierarchical priors for high-dimensional vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 241-271.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2017. "Adaptive Hierarchical Priors for High-Dimensional Vector Autoregessions," Working Papers 115, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Davide Pettenuzzo, 2018. "Adaptive Hierarchical Priors for High-Dimensional Vector Autoregressions," Working Paper series 18-21, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Peter Christoffersen & Xuhui (Nick) Pan, 2014. "Equity Portfolio Management Using Option Price Information," CREATES Research Papers 2015-05, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2019.
"The role of time‐varying rare disaster risks in predicting bond returns and volatility,"
Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 327-340, July.
- Rangan Gupta & Tahir Suleman & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "The Role of Time-Varying Rare Disaster Risks in Predicting Bond Returns and Volatility," Working Papers 201770, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Döpke Jörg & Fritsche Ulrich & Waldhof Gabi, 2019.
"Theories, Techniques and the Formation of German Business Cycle Forecasts : Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters,"
Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(2), pages 203-241, April.
- Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Gabi Waldhof, 2017. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201701, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Döpke, Jörg & Waldhof, Gabi & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2018. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181617, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022.
"Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS,"
International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
- Afees A. Salisu & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Geopolitical Risks and Historical Exchange Rate Volatility of the BRICS," Working Papers 2020105, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Afees A. Salisu & Umar B. Ndako, 2017. "A new look at the stock price-exchange rate nexus," Working Papers 031, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
- Nima Nonejad, 2021. "Crude oil price point forecasts of the Norwegian GDP growth rate," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2913-2930, November.
- Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2023.
"Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(2), pages 392-407, March.
- Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2016. "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," CIRANO Working Papers 2016s-53, CIRANO.
- Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2020. "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," Working Paper Series 2020-33, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2016. "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," International Finance Discussion Papers 1179, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2020.
"Interest Rates under Falling Stars,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(5), pages 1316-1354, May.
- Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2017. "Interest Rates Under Falling Stars," CESifo Working Paper Series 6571, CESifo.
- Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2019. "Interest Rates Under Falling Stars," Working Paper Series 2017-16, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Guérin, Pierre & Kilian, Lutz, 2015.
"Do high-frequency financial data help forecast oil prices? The MIDAS touch at work,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 238-252.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane, 2013. "Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work," CEPR Discussion Papers 9768, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Guérin, Pierre & Kilian, Lutz, 2013. "Do high-frequency financial data help forecast oil prices? The MIDAS touch at work," CFS Working Paper Series 2013/22, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Christiane Baumeister & Pierre Guérin & Lutz Kilian, 2014. "Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work," Staff Working Papers 14-11, Bank of Canada.
- Christensen, Troels Sønderby & Pircalabu, Anca & Høg, Esben, 2019. "A seasonal copula mixture for hedging the clean spark spread with wind power futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 64-80.
- Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2021.
"Inflation Dynamics and Forecast: Frequency Matters,"
CEF.UP Working Papers
2101, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Martins, Manuel M. F. & Verona, Fabio, 2021. "Inflation dynamics and forecast : frequency matters," Research Discussion Papers 8/2021, Bank of Finland.
- MAMATZAKIS, emmanuel & MAMATZAKIS, E, 2022.
"Understanding the impact of travel on wellbeing: evidence for Great Britain during the pandemic,"
MPRA Paper
112974, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- MAMATZAKIS, emmanuel & MAMATZAKIS, E, 2022. "Understanding the impact of travel on wellbeing: evidence for Great Britain during the pandemic," MPRA Paper 121782, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Konstantin Styrin, 2018. "Forecasting inflation in Russia by Dynamic Model Averaging," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps39, Bank of Russia.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them,"
Working Papers
1162, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara, 2020. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," CEPR Discussion Papers 14472, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Barbara Rossi, 2019. "Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them," Economics Working Papers 1711, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jul 2021.
- Guofu Zhou, 2018. "Measuring Investor Sentiment," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 239-259, November.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2016.
"Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, with Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(3), pages 507-532, April.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyany, 2014. "Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts," Working Papers 765, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2014. "Forecast rationality tests in the presence of instabilities, with applications to Federal Reserve and survey forecasts," Economics Working Papers 1426, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Nov 2014.
- Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2016. "Forecast Rationality Tests in the Presence of Instabilities, With Applications to Federal Reserve and Survey Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 11391, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ganics, Gergely & Odendahl, Florens, 2021.
"Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information, and structural change in the euro area,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 971-999.
- Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information and structural change in the euro area," Working Papers 1948, Banco de España.
- Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR Forecasts, Survey Information and Structural Change in the Euro Area," Working papers 733, Banque de France.
- Christian Glocker & Philipp Wegmueller, 2020.
"Business cycle dating and forecasting with real-time Swiss GDP data,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 73-105, January.
- Christian Glocker & Philipp Wegmüller, 2017. "Business Cycle Dating and Forecasting with Real-time Swiss GDP Data," WIFO Working Papers 542, WIFO.
- Michele Loberto & Andrea Luciani & Marco Pangallo, 2022.
"What Do Online Listings Tell Us about the Housing Market?,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(4), pages 1-52, October.
- Michele Loberto & Andrea Luciani & Marco Pangallo, 2020. "What do online listings tell us about the housing market?," Papers 2004.02706, arXiv.org.
- Luiz Renato Lima & Lucas Lúcio Godeiro & Mohammed Mohsin, 2021. "Time-Varying Dictionary and the Predictive Power of FED Minutes," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 149-181, January.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2015.
"Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 338-351, July.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane, 2013. "Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 9569, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2013. "Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in a Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach," Staff Working Papers 13-28, Bank of Canada.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2013. "Forecasting the real price of oil in a changing world: A forecast combination approach," CFS Working Paper Series 2013/11, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Huisman, Ronald & Van der Sar, Nico L. & Zwinkels, Remco C.J., 2021. "Volatility expectations and disagreement," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 379-393.
- Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2022.
"The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention,"
Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 20(6), pages 2440-2467.
- Mueller, Hannes & Rauh, Christopher, 2019. "The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention," CEPR Discussion Papers 13748, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2019. "The hard problem of prediction for conflict prevention," Cahiers de recherche 2019-02, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
- Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2021. "The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention," Working Papers 1244, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Mueller, H. & Rauh, C., 2021. "The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2103, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Mueller, H. & Rauh, C., 2020. "The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2015, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Hannes Mueller & Christopher Rauh, 2019. "The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention," Cahiers de recherche 02-2019, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
- Tim Bollerslev & Andrew J. Patton & Wenjing Wang, 2016.
"Daily House Price Indices: Construction, Modeling, and Longer‐run Predictions,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(6), pages 1005-1025, September.
- Tim Bollerslev & Andrew J. Patton & Wang Wenjing, 2013. "Daily House Price Indexes: Construction, Modeling, and Longer-Run Predictions," Working Papers 13-29, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Tim Bollerslev & Andrew J. Patton & Wenjing Wang, 2015. "Daily House Price Indices: Construction, Modeling, and Longer-Run Predictions," CREATES Research Papers 2015-02, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2021.
"Online estimation of DSGE models,"
The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(1), pages 33-58.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," PIER Working Paper Archive 19-014, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Liberty Street Economics 20190821, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Michael D. Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2020. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," NBER Working Papers 26826, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Staff Reports 893, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2020. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-023, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Gilles Dufrénot & Fredj Jawadi & Alexander Mihailov, 2018.
"Recent Developments in Macro-Econometric Modeling: Theory and Applications,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-5, May.
- Gilles Dufrénot & Fredj Jawadi & Alexander Mihailov, 2018. "Recent developments in macro-econometric modeling: theory and applications," Post-Print hal-01978664, HAL.
- Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2018. "Is the US Phillips Curve Stable? Evidence from Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 2018:5, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Del Negro, Marco & Hasegawa, Raiden B. & Schorfheide, Frank, 2016.
"Dynamic prediction pools: An investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 391-405.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," NBER Working Papers 20575, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," PIER Working Paper Archive 14-034, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic prediction pools: an investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance," Staff Reports 695, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022.
"Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models,"
Working Papers
22-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Clark, Todd & Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2023. "Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 18244, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models," Papers 2202.13793, arXiv.org.
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013.
"Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 195-237,
Elsevier.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Banbura, Marta, 2012. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," CEPR Discussion Papers 9112, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," Working Paper Series 1564, European Central Bank.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-026, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve's Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : a speech the 2019 U.S. Monetary Policy Forum, sponsored by the Initiative on Global Markets at the Un," Speech 1038, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018.
"Modeling fluctuations in the global demand for commodities,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 54-78.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2017. "Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities," CEPR Discussion Papers 12357, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2017. "Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities," CESifo Working Paper Series 6749, CESifo.
- Barbara Rossi & Yiru Wang, 2019.
"Vector autoregressive-based Granger causality test in the presence of instabilities,"
Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 19(4), pages 883-899, December.
- Rossi, Barbara & Wang, Yiru, 2019. "Vector autoregressive-based Granger causality test in the presence of instabilities," MPRA Paper 101492, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Nyberg, Henri & Pönkä, Harri, 2016.
"International sign predictability of stock returns: The role of the United States,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 323-338.
- Henri Nyberg & Harri Pönkä, 2015. "International Sign Predictability of Stock Returns: The Role of the United States," CREATES Research Papers 2015-20, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Carlos León & Fabio Ortega, 2018.
"Nowcasting Economic Activity with Electronic Payments Data: A Predictive Modeling Approach,"
Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, vol. 21(2), pages 381-407, December.
- Carlos León & Fabio Ortega, 2018. "Nowcasting economic activity with electronic payments data: A predictive modeling approach," Borradores de Economia 1037, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Boriss Siliverstovs & Daniel Wochner, 2019.
"Recessions as Breadwinner for Forecasters State-Dependent Evaluation of Predictive Ability: Evidence from Big Macroeconomic US Data,"
KOF Working papers
19-463, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Boriss Siliverstovs & Daniel Wochner, 2020. "Recessions as Breadwinner for Forecasters State-Dependent Evaluation of Predictive Ability: Evidence from Big Macroeconomic US Data," Working Papers 2020/02, Latvijas Banka.
- Aizenman, Joshua & Jinjarak, Yothin, 2014.
"Real estate valuation, current account and credit growth patterns, before and after the 2008–9 crisis,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(PB), pages 249-270.
- Joshua Aizenman & Yothin Jinjarak, 2013. "Real Estate Valuation, Current Account and Credit Growth Patterns, Before and After the 2008-9 Crisis," NBER Working Papers 19190, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kazuhiro Hiraki & George Skiadopoulos, 2018. "The Contribution of Frictions to Expected Returns," Working Papers 874, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Hännikäinen Jari, 2017.
"Selection of an Estimation Window in the Presence of Data Revisions and Recent Structural Breaks,"
Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-22, January.
- Hännikäinen, Jari, 2015. "Selection of an estimation window in the presence of data revisions and recent structural breaks," MPRA Paper 66759, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jari Hännikäinen, 2016. "Selection of an Estimation Window in the Presence of Data Revisions and Recent Structural Breaks," Working Papers 1692, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
- Harri Pönkä, 2017.
"Predicting the direction of US stock markets using industry returns,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1451-1480, June.
- Pönkä, Harri, 2014. "Predicting the direction of US stock markets using industry returns," MPRA Paper 62942, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Bernard, Jean-Thomas & Khalaf, Lynda & Kichian, Maral & Yelou, Clement, 2018.
"Oil Price Forecasts For The Long Term: Expert Outlooks, Models, Or Both?,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(3), pages 581-599, April.
- Jean-Thomas Bernard & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian & Clement Yelou, 2015. "Oil Price Forecasts for the Long-Term: Expert Outlooks, Models, or Both?," Working Papers 1508E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
- Bernard, Jean-Thomas & Khalaf, Lynda & Kichian, Maral & Yelou, Clement, 2015. "Oil Price Forecasts for the Long-Term: Expert Outlooks, Models, or Both?," Working Papers 208082, University of Laval, Center for Research on the Economics of the Environment, Agri-food, Transports and Energy (CREATE).
- Jean-Thomas Bernard & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian & Clement Yelou, 2015. "Oil Price Forecasts for the Long-Term: Expert Outlooks, Models, or Both?," Cahiers de recherche CREATE 2015-3, CREATE.
- Jean-Thomas Bernard & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian & Clement Yelou, 2015. "Oil Price Forecasts for the Long-Term: Expert Outlooks, Models, or Both?," Working Papers 1510E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
- Alessandro Girardi & Roberto Golinelli & Carmine Pappalardo, 2017.
"The role of indicator selection in nowcasting euro-area GDP in pseudo-real time,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 79-99, August.
- A. Girardi & R. Golinelli & C. Pappalardo, 2014. "The Role of Indicator Selection in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP in Pseudo Real Time," Working Papers wp919, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Thomas K. Lee, 2017.
"Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(2), pages 275-295, March.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz & Lee, Thomas K., 2015. "Inside the crystal ball: New approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump," CFS Working Paper Series 500, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian & Thomas K. Lee, 2016. "Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump," CESifo Working Paper Series 5759, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane & Lee, Thomas K, 2015. "Inside the Crystal Ball: New Approaches to Predicting the Gasoline Price at the Pump," CEPR Discussion Papers 10362, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mogliani, Matteo & Simoni, Anna, 2021.
"Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 833-860.
- Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2019. "Bayesian MIDAS Penalized Regressions: Estimation, Selection, and Prediction," Papers 1903.08025, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
- Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2020. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Post-Print hal-03089878, HAL.
- Matteo Mogliani, 2019. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: estimation, selection, and prediction," Working papers 713, Banque de France.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2022.
"The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(4), pages 953-987, June.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018. "The propagation of regional shocks in housing markets: Evidence from oil price shocks in Canada," CFS Working Paper Series 606, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2019. "The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada," Working Papers 1909, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018. "The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada," CEPR Discussion Papers 12845, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2018. "The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada," Staff Working Papers 18-56, Bank of Canada.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2018. "The Propagation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada," CESifo Working Paper Series 7005, CESifo.
- S. Borağan Aruoba & Allan Drazen & Razvan Vlaicu, 2019.
"A Structural Model Of Electoral Accountability,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 60(2), pages 517-545, May.
- S. Borağan Aruoba & Allan Drazen & Razvan Vlaicu, 2015. "A Structural Model of Electoral Accountability," NBER Working Papers 21151, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Drazen, Allan & Aruoba, Boragan & Vlaicu, Razvan, 2016. "A Structural Model of Electoral Accountability," CEPR Discussion Papers 11331, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ferrari, Davide & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2021.
"Forecasting energy commodity prices: A large global dataset sparse approach,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
- Davide Ferrari & Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin Vespignani, 2019. "Forecasting energy commodity prices: A large global dataset sparse approach," CAMA Working Papers 2019-90, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Davide Ferrari & Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin Vespignani, 2021. "Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS83, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
- Ferrari, Davide & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2019. "Forecasting energy commodity prices: a large global dataset sparse approach," Working Papers 2019-09, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Davide Ferrari & Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin Vespignani, 2019. "Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach," Working Papers No 11/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Davide Ferrari & Francesco Ravazzolo & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2019. "Forecasting Energy Commodity Prices: A Large Global Dataset Sparse Approach," Globalization Institute Working Papers 376, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve’s Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : A speech at \"Fed Listens: A Capstone Roundtable\" hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Ne," Speech 1062, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Lahiri, Kajal & Yang, Liu, 2016.
"Asymptotic variance of Brier (skill) score in the presence of serial correlation,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 125-129.
- Kajal Lahiri & Liu Yang, 2015. "Asymptotic Variance of Brier (Skill) Score in the Presence of Serial Correlation," CESifo Working Paper Series 5290, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020.
"Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15168, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts," CESifo Working Paper Series 8516, CESifo.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices and Inflation Expectations: A New Model and New Facts," Working Papers 2025, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "Oil prices, gasoline prices and inflation expectations: A new model and new facts," CFS Working Paper Series 645, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Michele Ca’ Zorzi & Jakub Muck & Michal Rubaszek, 2016.
"Real Exchange Rate Forecasting and PPP: This Time the Random Walk Loses,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 585-609, July.
- Michele Ca' Zorzi & Jakub Muck & Michal Rubaszek, 2015. "Real exchange rate forecasting and ppp: this time the random walk loses," Globalization Institute Working Papers 229, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Linde, Jesper & Smets, Frank & Wouters, Rafael, 2016.
"Challenges for Central Banks' Macro Models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
11405, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lindé, Jesper & Smets, Frank & Wouters, Rafael, 2016. "Challenges for Central Banks´ Macro Models," Working Paper Series 323, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2022.
"Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty,"
The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 523-545, May.
- Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Machine Learning Predictions of Housing Market Synchronization across US States: The Role of Uncertainty," Working Papers 202077, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Subramaniam, Sowmya, 2021.
"Time-varying risk aversion and forecastability of the US term structure of interest rates,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
- Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2020. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Forecastability of the US Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers 202098, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Oktay Ozkan, 2020. "Time-varying return predictability and adaptive markets hypothesis: Evidence on MIST countries from a novel wild bootstrap likelihood ratio approach," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 34(2), pages 101-113.
- Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2015. "Weltkonjunktur im Herbst 2015 - Schwäche in den Schwellenländern bremst Weltkonjunktur [Weakness in emerging markets weighs on global growth]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 9, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Iversen, Jens & Laséen, Stefan & Lundvall, Henrik & Söderström, Ulf, 2016.
"Real-Time Forecasting for Monetary Policy Analysis: The Case of Sveriges Riksbank,"
Working Paper Series
318, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Söderström, Ulf & Iversen, Jens & LASEEN, PER & Lundvall, Henrik, 2016. "Real-Time Forecasting for Monetary Policy Analysis: The Case of Sveriges Riksbank," CEPR Discussion Papers 11203, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marek Jarociński & Michele Lenza, 2018.
"An Inflation‐Predicting Measure of the Output Gap in the Euro Area,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(6), pages 1189-1224, September.
- Lenza, Michele & Jarociński, Marek, 2016. "An inflation-predicting measure of the output gap in the euro area," Working Paper Series 1966, European Central Bank.
- Fabian Krüger & Todd E. Clark & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2017.
"Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts With External Nowcasts,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 470-485, July.
- Fabian Kr ger & Todd E. Clark & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2015. "Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts," Working Papers No 8/2015, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Krüger, Fabian & Clark, Todd E. & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2015. "Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113077, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Todd E. Clark & Fabian Krueger & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2015. "Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts with External Nowcasts," Working Papers (Old Series) 1439, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Janet L. Yellen, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics and Monetary Policy : A speech at the Philip Gamble Memorial Lecture, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, September 24, 2015," Speech 863, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Forecasting (Good and Bad) Realized Exchange-Rate Volatility: Is there a Role for Realized Skewness and Kurtosis?," Working Papers 201879, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gonzalo Cortazar & Cristobal Millard & Hector Ortega & Eduardo S. Schwartz, 2019. "Commodity Price Forecasts, Futures Prices, and Pricing Models," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(9), pages 4141-4155, September.
- Yang Zhao & Charalampos Stasinakis & Georgios Sermpinis & Filipa Da Silva Fernandes, 2019. "Revisiting Fama–French factors' predictability with Bayesian modelling and copula‐based portfolio optimization," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 1443-1463, October.
- Timmermann, Allan, 2018. "Forecasting Methods in Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 12692, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "Large Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility and Flexible Priors," Working Papers (Old Series) 1617, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Borup, Daniel & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Mühlbach, Nicolaj Søndergaard & Nielsen, Mikkel Slot, 2023.
"Targeting predictors in random forest regression,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 841-868.
- Daniel Borup & Bent Jesper Christensen & Nicolaj N{o}rgaard Muhlbach & Mikkel Slot Nielsen, 2020. "Targeting predictors in random forest regression," Papers 2004.01411, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
- Daniel Borup & Bent Jesper Christensen & Nicolaj N. Mühlbach & Mikkel S. Nielsen, 2020. "Targeting predictors in random forest regression," CREATES Research Papers 2020-03, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Hounyo, Ulrich & Lahiri, Kajal, 2023.
"Estimating the variance of a combined forecast: Bootstrap-based approach,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 445-468.
- Ulrich Hounyo & Kajal Lahiri, 2021. "Estimating the Variance of a Combined Forecast: Bootstrap-Based Approach," CREATES Research Papers 2021-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Rossini, Luca, 2019.
"Bayesian nonparametric sparse VAR models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 97-115.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Luca Rossini, 2016. "Bayesian nonparametric sparse VAR models," Papers 1608.02740, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
- Malte Knüppel & Fabian Krüger, 2022.
"Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 23-41, January.
- Knüppel, Malte & Krüger, Fabian, 2017. "Forecast Uncertainty, Disagreement, and Linear Pools of Density Forecasts," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168294, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Knüppel, Malte & Krüger, Fabian, 2019. "Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool," Discussion Papers 28/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Extended Phillips Curve Models with non-filtered Data," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1321, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-585 is not listed on IDEAS
- Henri Nyberg, 2018. "Forecasting US interest rates and business cycle with a nonlinear regime switching VAR model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Yiru Wang & Barbara Rossi, 2019.
"VAR-based Granger-causality test in the presence of instabilities,"
Economics Working Papers
1642, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Barbara Rossi & Yiru Wang, 2019. "VAR-Based Granger-Causality Test in the Presence of Instabilities," Working Papers 1083, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Krzysztof Drachal, 2018. "Determining Time-Varying Drivers of Spot Oil Price in a Dynamic Model Averaging Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, May.
- Carriero, Andrea & Mumtaz, Haroon & Theophilopoulou, Angeliki, 2015. "Macroeconomic information, structural change, and the prediction of fiscal aggregates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 325-348.
- Fernández-Villaverde, J. & Rubio-RamÃrez, J.F. & Schorfheide, F., 2016.
"Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models,"
Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 527-724,
Elsevier.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan Rubio-RamÃrez & Frank Schorfheide, 2015. "Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models," PIER Working Paper Archive 15-042, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 09 Dec 2015.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio Ramírez & Frank Schorfheide, 2016. "Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models," NBER Working Papers 21862, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco & Schorfheide, Frank & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, 2015. "Solution and Estimation Methods for DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 11032, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2020. "Crude oil price volatility and short-term predictability of the real U.S. GDP growth rate," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
- Kim, Insu & Kim, Young Se, 2019. "Inattentive agents and inflation forecast error dynamics: A Bayesian DSGE approach," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-473 is not listed on IDEAS
- Filippo Natoli, 2021. "Financialization Of Commodities Before And After The Great Financial Crisis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 488-511, April.
- Rui Liu, 2019. "Forecasting Bond Risk Premia with Unspanned Macroeconomic Information," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(01), pages 1-62, March.
- Lorenzo Burlon & Simone Emiliozzi & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2015. "Medium-term forecasting of euro-area macroeconomic variables with DSGE and BVARX models," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 257, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Bletzinger, Tilman & Wieland, Volker, 2016. "Forward guidance and "lower for longer": The case of the ECB," IMFS Working Paper Series 102, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2021_008 is not listed on IDEAS
- Fabrizio Durante & Roberta Pappadà & Nicola Torelli, 2015. "Clustering of time series via non-parametric tail dependence estimation," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 701-721, August.
- Weilun Zhou & Jiti Gao & David Harris & Hsein Kew, 2019. "Semiparametric Single-index Predictive Regression," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 25/19, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina & Wolters, Maik H., 2017. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Herbst 2017 - Deutsche Wirtschaft nähert sich der Hochkonjunktur [German Economy Autumn 2017 - German economy approaches boom period]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 35, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium by conditioning on macroeconomic variables: A prediction selection strategy using the price of crude oil," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
- Sakkas, Athanasios & Tessaromatis, Nikolaos, 2020. "Factor based commodity investing," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
- Tim A. Kroencke & Felix Schindler & Bertram I. Steininger, 2018. "The Anatomy of Public and Private Real Estate Return Premia," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 500-523, April.
- Michele Ca’ Zorzi & Jakub Muck & Michal Rubaszek, 2016.
"Real Exchange Rate Forecasting and PPP: This Time the Random Walk Loses,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 585-609, July.
- Michele Ca’ Zorzi & Michal Rubaszek, 2012. "Real exchange rate forecasting: a calibrated half-life PPP model can beat the random walk," NBP Working Papers 123, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Ca' Zorzi, Michele & Rubaszek, Michał & Muck, Jakub, 2013. "Real exchange rate forecasting: a calibrated half-life PPP model can beat the random walk," Working Paper Series 1576, European Central Bank.
- Gupta, Rangan & Kanda, Patrick & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wohar, Mark E., 2019.
"Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data: The role of US financial stress,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Rangan Gupta & Patrick Kanda & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Time-Varying Predictability of Oil Market Movements Over a Century of Data: The Role of US Financial Stress," Working Papers 201848, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Chiu, Ching-Wai (Jeremy) & Mumtaz, Haroon & Pintér, Gábor, 2017.
"Forecasting with VAR models: Fat tails and stochastic volatility,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1124-1143.
- Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Haroon Mumtaz & Gabor Pinter, 2015. "Forecasting with VAR Models: Fat Tails and Stochastic Volatility," CReMFi Discussion Papers 2, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
- Chiu, Ching-Wai (Jeremy) & Mumtaz, Haroon & Pinter, Gabor, 2015. "Forecasting with VAR models: fat tails and stochastic volatility," Bank of England working papers 528, Bank of England.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2015.
"Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models,"
Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 207-229, August.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Forecasting in nonstationary environments: What works and what doesn't in reduced-form and structural models," Economics Working Papers 1476, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Forecasting in Nonstationary Environments: What Works and What Doesn't in Reduced-Form and Structural Models," Working Papers 819, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Adnen Ben Nasr & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Rangan Gupta, 2014.
"Modelling the volatility of the Dow Jones Islamic Market World Index using a fractionally integrated time-varying GARCH (FITVGARCH) model,"
Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(14), pages 993-1004, July.
- Adnen Ben Nasr & Ahdi N. Ajmi & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Modeling the Volatility of the Dow Jones Islamic Market World Index Using a Fractionally Integrated Time Varying GARCH (FITVGARCH) Model," Working Papers 201357, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Jeffrey M. Lacker, 2016. "What Monetary Policy Can Do," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 36(2), pages 261-268, Spring/Su.
- Michael D. Bauer & Erin McCarthy, 2015. "Can we rely on market-based inflation forecasts?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Renato Faccini & Eirini Konstantinidi & George Skiadopoulos & Sylvia Sarantopoulou-Chiourea, 2019.
"A New Predictor of U.S. Real Economic Activity: The S&P 500 Option Implied Risk Aversion,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(10), pages 4927-4949, October.
- Renato Faccini & Eirini Konstantinidi & George Skiadopoulos & Sylvia Sarantopoulou-Chiourea, 2018. "A New Predictor of US. Real Economic Activity: The S&P 500 Option Implied Risk Aversion," Working Papers 850, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Chernov, Mikhail & Creal, Drew & Hördahl, Peter, 2023.
"Sovereign credit and exchange rate risks: Evidence from Asia-Pacific local currency bonds,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
- Mikhail Chernov & Drew D. Creal & Peter Hördahl, 2020. "Sovereign Credit and Exchange Rate Risks: Evidence from Asia-Pacific Local Currency Bonds," NBER Working Papers 27500, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mikhail Chernov & Drew Creal & Peter Hördahl, 2021. "Sovereign credit and exchange rate risks: evidence from Asia-Pacific local currency bonds," BIS Working Papers 918, Bank for International Settlements.
- Chernov, Mikhail & Creal, Drew & Hördahl, Peter, 2020. "Sovereign credit and exchange rate risks: Evidence from Asia-Pacific local currency bonds," CEPR Discussion Papers 14986, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Maik H. Wolters, 2018.
"How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model‐based output gap estimates,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 680-689, August.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2016. "How the Baby Boomers' Retirement Wave Distorts Model-Based Output Gap Estimates," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145812, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2018. "How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model-based output gap estimates," IMFS Working Paper Series 121, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Maik Wolters, 2017. "How the Baby Boomers' Retirement Wave Distorts Model-Based Output Gap Estimates," Jena Economics Research Papers 2017-008, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
- Wolters, Maik H., 2016. "How the baby boomers' retirement wave distorts model-based output gap estimates," Kiel Working Papers 2031, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- James Yetman, 2020. "Pass-through from short-horizon to long-horizon inflation expectations, and the anchoring of inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers 895, Bank for International Settlements.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2015.
"Macroeconomic Uncertainty Indices Based on Nowcast and Forecast Error Distributions,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(5), pages 650-655, May.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2015. "Macroeconomic uncertainty indices based on nowcast and forecast error distributions," Economics Working Papers 1477, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Jari Hännikäinen, 2014.
"Multi-step forecasting in the presence of breaks,"
Working Papers
1494, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
- Hännikäinen, Jari, 2014. "Multi-step forecasting in the presence of breaks," MPRA Paper 55816, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kolasa, Marcin & Rubaszek, Michał, 2018.
"Does the foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 809-821.
- Marcin Kolasa & Michal Rubaszek, 2016. "Does foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?," EcoMod2016 9393, EcoMod.
- Marcin Kolasa & Michał Rubaszek, 2018. "Does the foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?," NBP Working Papers 282, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Marcin Kolasa & Michal Rubaszek, 2016. "Does foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?," KAE Working Papers 2016-022, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis.
- Rahul Deb & Mallesh M. Pai & Maher Said, 2018.
"Evaluating Strategic Forecasters,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(10), pages 3057-3103, October.
- Rahul Deb & Mallesh Pai & Maher Said, 2017. "Evaluating Strategic Forecasters," Working Papers tecipa-578, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
- Rahul Deb & Mallesh M. Pai & Maher Said, 2018. "Evaluating Strategic Forecasters," Working Papers 18-23, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
- Rahul Deb & Mallesh M. Pai & Maher Said, 2017. "Evaluating Strategic Forecasters," Working Papers 17-02, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L. & Arora, Vipin, 2020. "The relationship between oil prices and exchange rates: Revisiting theory and evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Mikhail Gareev, 2020. "Use of Machine Learning Methods to Forecast Investment in Russia," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(1), pages 35-56, March.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Paolo Gelain & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2021.
"Output Gap, Monetary Policy Trade-offs, and Financial Frictions,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 41, pages 52-70, July.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Paolo Gelain & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2020. "Online Appendix to "Output Gap, Monetary Policy Trade-offs, and Financial Frictions"," Online Appendices 20-29, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- William A. Barnett & Marcelle Chauvet & Danilo Leiva-Leon, 2014. "Real-Time Nowcasting of Nominal GDP Under Structural Breaks," Staff Working Papers 14-39, Bank of Canada.
- Hualing Lin & Qiubi Sun, 2020. "Crude Oil Prices Forecasting: An Approach of Using CEEMDAN-Based Multi-Layer Gated Recurrent Unit Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-21, March.
- Kajal Lahiri & George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2016.
"Forecasting Consumption: the Role of Consumer Confidence in Real Time with many Predictors,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1254-1275, November.
- Kajal Lahiri & George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2015. "Forecasting Consumption: The Role of Consumer Confidence in Real Time with many Predictors," Working Papers 2015-02, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2015.
- Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2017.
"International stock return predictability: Is the role of U.S. time-varying?,"
Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 44(1), pages 121-146, February.
- Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "International Stock Return Predictability: Is the Role of U.S. Time-Varying?," Working Papers 201524, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Goodness C. Aye & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "International Stock Return Predictability: Is the Role of U.S. Time-Varying?," Working Papers 15-07, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P., 2016.
"Long-run restrictions and survey forecasts of output, consumption and investment,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 614-628.
- Michael P. Clements, 2014. "Long-Run Restrictions and Survey Forecasts of Output, Consumption and Investment," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2014-02, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
- Igor L. Kheifets, 2015.
"Specification tests for nonlinear dynamic models,"
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 18(1), pages 67-94, February.
- Igor Kheifets, 2014. "Specification Tests for Nonlinear Dynamic Models," Working Papers w0209, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
- Igor Kheifets, 2014. "Specification Tests for Nonlinear Dynamic Models," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1937, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Oct 2014.
- Igor Kheifets, 2014. "Specification Tests for Nonlinear Dynamic Models," Working Papers w0209, New Economic School (NES).
- Jin, Sainan & Corradi, Valentina & Swanson, Norman R., 2017.
"Robust Forecast Comparison,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 33(6), pages 1306-1351, December.
- Sainan Jin & Valentina Corradi & Norman Swanson, 2015. "Robust Forecast Comparison," Departmental Working Papers 201502, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Larson, William D. & Sinclair, Tara M., 2022.
"Nowcasting unemployment insurance claims in the time of COVID-19,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 635-647.
- William D. Larson & Tara M. Sinclair, 2020. "Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19," Working Papers 2020-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Aug 2020.
- William D. Larson & Tara M. Sinclair, 2020. "Nowcasting unemployment insurance claims in the time of COVID-19," CAMA Working Papers 2020-63, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- William D. Larson & Tara M. Sinclair, 2020. "Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19," FHFA Staff Working Papers 20-02, Federal Housing Finance Agency.
- Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2021.
"Inflation Dynamics and Forecast: Frequency Matters,"
CEF.UP Working Papers
2101, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Martins, Manuel Mota Freitas & Verona, Fabio, 2021. "Inflation dynamics and forecast: Frequency matters," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2021, Bank of Finland.
- Afees A. Salisu & Oluwatomisinn Oyewole & Ismail O. Fasanya, 2017. "Modelling Return and Volatility Spillovers in Global Foreign Exchange Markets," Working Papers 030, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
- Mikhail Mamonov & Anna Pestova, 2021. ""Sorry, You're Blocked." Economic Effects of Financial Sanctions on the Russian Economy," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp704, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022.
"Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2019-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2111.07170, arXiv.org.
- Bastianin, Andrea & Manera, Matteo, 2018.
"How Does Stock Market Volatility React To Oil Price Shocks?,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(3), pages 666-682, April.
- Bastianin, Andrea & Manera, Matteo, 2015. "How Does Stock Market Volatility React to Oil Shocks?," Energy: Resources and Markets 196919, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
- Andrea BASTIANIN & Matteo MANERA, 2015. "How Does Stock Market Volatility React to Oil Shocks?," Departmental Working Papers 2015-09, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
- Andrea Bastianin & Matteo Manera, 2015. "How Does Stock Market Volatility React to Oil Shocks?," Working Papers 2014.110, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Andrea Bastianin & Matteo Manera, 2018. "How does stock market volatility react to oil shocks?," Papers 1811.03820, arXiv.org.
- Yang, Lu & Yang, Lei & Ho, Kung-Cheng & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2020. "Dependence structures and risk spillover in China’s credit bond market: A copula and CoVaR approach," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Neely, Christopher J., 2022.
"How persistent are unconventional monetary policy effects?,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Christopher J. Neely, 2014. "How Persistent Are Unconventional Monetary Policy Effects?," Working Papers 2014-004, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 15 Apr 2022.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2020.
"Large Bayesian VARs: A Flexible Kronecker Error Covariance Structure,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 68-79, January.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2015. "Large Bayesian VARs: A flexible Kronecker error covariance structure," CAMA Working Papers 2015-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kolasa, Marcin & Rubaszek, Michał, 2015.
"Forecasting using DSGE models with financial frictions,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 1-19.
- Michał Rubaszek & Marcin Kolasa, 2013. "Forecasting with DSGE models with financial frictions," EcoMod2013 5100, EcoMod.
- Kolasa, Marcin & Rubaszek, Michał, 2014. "Forecasting with DSGE models with financial frictions," Dynare Working Papers 40, CEPREMAP.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Kim, Won Joong & Kyei, Clement, 2019. "The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 150-163.
- Michael Dotsey & Shigeru Fujita & Tom Stark, 2018.
"Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation?,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 14(4), pages 43-92, September.
- Michael Dotsey & Shigeru Fujita & Tom Stark, 2011. "Do Phillips curves conditionally help to forecast inflation?," Working Papers 11-40, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Michael Dotsey & Shigeru Fujita & Tom Stark, 2015. "Do Phillips curves conditionally help to forecast inflation?," Working Papers 15-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Michael Dotsey & Shigeru Fujita & Tom Stark, 2017. "Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation?," Working Papers 17-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2017.
"Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 343-356, May.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," Discussion Papers 1604, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Jan 2016.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2017. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 81869, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," Bank of England working papers 587, Bank of England.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86243, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Tim Bollerslev & Benjamin Hood & John Huss & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2018.
"Risk Everywhere: Modeling and Managing Volatility,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 31(7), pages 2729-2773.
- Pedersen, Lasse Heje & Bollerslev, Tim & Hood, Benjamin & Huss, John, 2018. "Risk Everywhere: Modeling and Managing Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 12687, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Smets, Frank & Warne, Anders & Wouters, Rafael, 2014. "Professional forecasters and real-time forecasting with a DSGE model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 981-995.
- Rambaccussing, Dooruj & Kwiatkowski, Andrzej, 2020. "Forecasting with news sentiment: Evidence with UK newspapers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1501-1516.
- Matteo Luciani & Madhavi Pundit & Arief Ramayandi & Giovanni Veronese, 2018.
"Nowcasting Indonesia,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 597-619, September.
- Matteo Luciani & Madhavi Pundit & Arief Ramayandi & Giovanni Veronese, 2015. "Nowcasting Indonesia," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-100, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Luciani, Matteo & Pundit, Madhavi & Ramayandi, Arief & Veronese , Giovanni, 2015. "Nowcasting Indonesia," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 471, Asian Development Bank.
- Apergis, Nicholas & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Can (unusual) weather conditions in New York predict South African stock returns?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 377-386.
- Lasha Kavtaradze & Manouchehr Mokhtari, 2018. "Factor Models And Time†Varying Parameter Framework For Forecasting Exchange Rates And Inflation: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 302-334, April.
- Ron Alquist & Gregory Bauer & Antonio Diez de los Rios, 2014. "What Does the Convenience Yield Curve Tell Us about the Crude Oil Market?," Staff Working Papers 14-42, Bank of Canada.
- Reslow, André, 2019.
"Inefficient Use of Competitors'Forecasts?,"
Working Paper Series
380, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Reslow, André, 2019. "Inefficient Use of Competitors’ Forecasts?," Working Paper Series 2019:9, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
- Tóth, Peter, 2014.
"Malý dynamický faktorový model na krátkodobé prognózovanie slovenského HDP [A Small Dynamic Factor Model for the Short-Term Forecasting of Slovak GDP],"
MPRA Paper
63713, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tóth, Peter, 2017. "Nowcasting Slovak GDP by a Small Dynamic Factor Model," MPRA Paper 77245, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Jawadi, Fredj, 2021.
"Does inequality help in forecasting equity premium in a panel of G7 countries?,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Fredj Jawadi, 2017. "Does Inequality Help in Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of G7 Countries?," Working Papers 201720, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Fredj Jawadi, 2021. "Does inequality help in forecasting equity premium in a panel of G7 countries?," Post-Print hal-04478772, HAL.
- Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve’s Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : A speech at \"New England Perspectives on Fed Policymaking: A 'Fed Listens' Conference\" ho," Speech 1063, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Christoffersen, Peter & Fournier, Mathieu & Jacobs, Kris & Karoui, Mehdi, 2021.
"Option-Based Estimation of the Price of Coskewness and Cokurtosis Risk,"
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 56(1), pages 65-91, February.
- Peter Christoffersen & Mathieu Fournier & Kris Jacobs & Mehdi Karoui, 2015. "Option-Based Estimation of the Price of Co-Skewness and Co-Kurtosis Risk," CREATES Research Papers 2015-54, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Nima Nonejad, 2021. "An Overview Of Dynamic Model Averaging Techniques In Time‐Series Econometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 566-614, April.
- Mayer, Herbert & Rathgeber, Andreas & Wanner, Markus, 2017. "Financialization of metal markets: Does futures trading influence spot prices and volatility?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 300-316.
- repec:wrk:wrkemf:33 is not listed on IDEAS
- Knotek, Edward S. & Zaman, Saeed, 2023.
"Real-time density nowcasts of US inflation: A model combination approach,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1736-1760.
- Edward Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2020. "Real-time density nowcasts of US inflation: a model-combination approach," Working Papers 2015, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2020. "Real-Time Density Nowcasts of US Inflation: A Model-Combination Approach," Working Papers 20-31, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Commodity Prices and Forecastability of South African Stock Returns Over a Century: Sentiments versus Fundamentals," Working Papers 202144, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mr. Ananthakrishnan Prasad & Mr. Selim A Elekdag & Mr. Phakawa Jeasakul & Romain Lafarguette & Mr. Adrian Alter & Alan Xiaochen Feng & Changchun Wang, 2019. "Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance," IMF Working Papers 2019/036, International Monetary Fund.
- Kourentzes, Nikolaos & Athanasopoulos, George, 2019.
"Cross-temporal coherent forecasts for Australian tourism,"
Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 393-409.
- Nikolaos Kourentzes & George Athanasopoulos, 2018. "Cross-temporal coherent forecasts for Australian tourism," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 24/18, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Gino Cenedese & Richard Payne & Lucio Sarno & Giorgio Valente, 2016.
"What Do Stock Markets Tell Us about Exchange Rates?,"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 20(3), pages 1045-1080.
- Cenedese, Gino & Payne, Richard & Sarno, Lucio & Valente, Giorgio, 2015. "What do stock markets tell us about exchange rates?," Bank of England working papers 537, Bank of England.
- Sarno, Lucio & Payne, Richard & Valente, Giorgio & Cenedese, Gino, 2015. "What Do Stock Markets Tell Us About Exchange Rates?," CEPR Discussion Papers 10685, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016.
"Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 139-160, Winter.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2015. "Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us," CFS Working Paper Series 525, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us," CESifo Working Paper Series 5709, CESifo.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane, 2016. "Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us," CEPR Discussion Papers 11035, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christou, Christina & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017.
"Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns in PacificRim countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian panel VAR model,"
Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 92-102.
- Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Returns in Pacific-Rim Countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," Working Papers 201661, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Grant Allan & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & Paul Smith, 2014.
"Nowcasting Scottish GDP Growth,"
Working Paper series
41_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Allan, Grant & Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Smith, Paul, 2014. "Nowcasting Scottish GDP Growth," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-08, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Grant Allan & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & Paul Smith, 2014. "Nowcasting Scottish GDP growth," Working Papers 1411, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement," Working Paper Series 2624, European Central Bank.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020.
"The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8153, CESifo.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," Working Papers 2006, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 14460, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong, 2018.
"Big data analytics in economics: What have we learned so far, and where should we go from here?,"
Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(3), pages 695-746, August.
- Norman R. Swanson & Weiqi Xiong, 2018. "Big data analytics in economics: What have we learned so far, and where should we go from here?," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 51(3), pages 695-746, August.
- Erik Kole & Thijs Markwat & Anne Opschoor & Dick van Dijk, 2017.
"Forecasting Value-at-Risk under Temporal and Portfolio Aggregation,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(4), pages 649-677.
- Erik Kole & Thijs Markwat & Anne Opschoor & Dick van Dijk, 2015. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk under Temporal and Portfolio Aggregation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 15-140/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 19 Apr 2017.
- Chuliá, Helena & Guillén, Montserrat & Uribe, Jorge M., 2017.
"Measuring uncertainty in the stock market,"
International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 18-33.
- Helena Chuliá & Montserrat Guillén & Jorge M. Uribe, 2015. "“Measuaring Uncertainty in the Stock Market”," IREA Working Papers 201524, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Nov 2015.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2014.
"What Central Bankers Need To Know About Forecasting Oil Prices,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 55(3), pages 869-889, August.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane, 2012. "What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 9118, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2013. "What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices," Staff Working Papers 13-15, Bank of Canada.
- Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve’s Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : a speech at “A Hot Economy: Sustainability and Trade-Offs,” a Fed Listens event sponsored by the Fede," Speech 1085, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Moramarco, Graziano, 2024.
"Financial-cycle ratios and medium-term predictions of GDP: Evidence from the United States,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 777-795.
- Graziano Moramarco, 2021. "Financial-cycle ratios and medium-term predictions of GDP: Evidence from the United States," Papers 2111.00822, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan & Kyei, Clement, 2016.
"On economic uncertainty, stock market predictability and nonlinear spillover effects,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 184-191.
- Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2015. "On Economic Uncertainty, Stock Market Predictability and Nonlinear Spillover Effects," Working Papers 201508, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2020.
"A note on the stability of the Swedish Phillips curve,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 2573-2612, December.
- Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2018. "A Note on the Stability of the Swedish Philips Curve," Working Papers 2018:6, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Sousa, Ricardo M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Do cay and cayMS predict stock and housing returns? Evidence from a nonparametric causality test," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 269-279.
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016.
"Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014,"
Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(1), pages 131-158.
- Kilian, Lutz & Baumeister, Christiane, 2015. "Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014," CEPR Discussion Papers 10404, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Kilian, Lutz, 2015. "Understanding the decline in the price of oil since June 2014," CFS Working Paper Series 501, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Christiane Baumeister & Lutz Kilian, 2016. "Understanding the Decline in the Price of Oil since June 2014," CESifo Working Paper Series 5755, CESifo.
- Alain Galli & Christian Hepenstrick & Rolf Scheufele, 2019.
"Mixed-Frequency Models for Tracking Short-Term Economic Developments in Switzerland,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(2), pages 151-178, June.
- Dr. Alain Galli & Dr. Christian Hepenstrick & Dr. Rolf Scheufele, 2017. "Mixed-frequency models for tracking short-term economic developments in Switzerland," Working Papers 2017-02, Swiss National Bank.
- Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan, 2020.
"Forecasting equity premium in a panel of OECD countries: The role of economic policy uncertainty,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 243-248.
- Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of OECD Countries: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201622, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Thomas Url, 2022. "Nowcasting and monitoring SDG 8," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 49(2), pages 313-345, May.
- Shirai, Daichi, 2016. "Persistence and Amplification of Financial Frictions," MPRA Paper 72187, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Murasawa Yasutomo, 2022.
"Bayesian multivariate Beveridge–Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(3), pages 387-415, June.
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2019. "Bayesian multivariate Beveridge--Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration," MPRA Paper 91979, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Witold Orzeszko, 2021. "Nonlinear Causality between Crude Oil Prices and Exchange Rates: Evidence and Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-16, September.
- M. Hashem Pesaran & Andreas Pick & Allan Timmermann, 2022.
"Forecasting With Panel Data: Estimation Uncertainty Versus Parameter Heterogeneity,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
9690, CESifo.
- Pesaran, M. H. & Pick, A. & Timmermann, A., 2022. "Forecasting with panel data: estimation uncertainty versus parameter heterogeneity," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2219, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Pesaran, M. Hashem & Pick, Andreas & Timmermann, Allan, 2022. "Forecasting with panel data: estimation uncertainty versus parameter heterogeneity," CEPR Discussion Papers 17123, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- M. Hashem Pesaran & Andreas Pick & Allan Timmermann, 2024. "Forecasting with panel data: Estimation uncertainty versus parameter heterogeneity," Papers 2404.11198, arXiv.org.
- Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew & Nguyen, Viet Hoang & Rafferty, Barry, 2016.
"Risk and return spillovers among the G10 currencies,"
Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 43-62.
- Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Viet Hoang Nguyen & Barry Rafferty, 2016. "Risk and Return Spillovers among the G10 Currencies," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2016n04, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
- Kajal Lahiri & Liu Yang, 2018.
"Confidence Bands for ROC Curves With Serially Dependent Data,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 115-130, January.
- Kajal Lahiri & Liu Yang, 2013. "Confidence Bands for ROC Curves with Serially Dependent Data," Discussion Papers 13-07, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
- Pestova, Anna & Mamonov, Mikhail, 2019. "Should we care? : The economic effects of financial sanctions on the Russian economy," BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2019, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
- Bletzinger, Tilman & Wieland, Volker, 2017. "Lower for longer: The case of the ECB," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 123-127.
- Christopher J. Neely & David E. Rapach & Jun Tu & Guofu Zhou, 2014.
"Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(7), pages 1772-1791, July.
- Christopher J. Neely & David E. Rapach & Jun Tu & Guofu Zhou, 2010. "Out-of-sample equity premium prediction: economic fundamentals vs. moving-average rules," Working Papers 2010-008, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Christopher J. Neely & David E. Rapach & Jun Tu & Guofu Zhou, 2011. "Forecasting the Equity Risk Premium: The Role of Technical Indicators," Working Papers CoFie-02-2011, Singapore Management University, Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics.
- Qingqing Hu & Tinghui Li & Xue Li & Hao Dong, 2021. "Dynamic Characteristics of Oil Attributes and Their Market Effects," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, June.
- Andrew Martinez, 2017. "Testing for Differences in Path Forecast Accuracy: Forecast-Error Dynamics Matter," Working Papers (Old Series) 1717, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Zorzi, Michele Ca’ & Rubaszek, Michał, 2020.
"Exchange rate forecasting on a napkin,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Rubaszek, Michał & Ca' Zorzi, Michele, 2018. "Exchange rate forecasting on a napkin," Working Paper Series 2151, European Central Bank.
- Michele Ca' Zorzi & Michal Rubaszek, 2018. "Exchange rate forecasting on a napkin," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2018_025, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
- Julie Bennett & Michael T. Owyang, 2022. "On the Relative Performance of Inflation Forecasts," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 104(2), pages 131-148.
- Wieland, V. & Afanasyeva, E. & Kuete, M. & Yoo, J., 2016.
"New Methods for Macro-Financial Model Comparison and Policy Analysis,"
Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1241-1319,
Elsevier.
- Wieland, Volker & Afanasyeva, Elena & Kuete, Meguy & Yoo, Jinhyuk, 2016. "New Methods for Macro-Financial Model Comparison and Policy Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 11461, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Wieland, Volker & Afanasyeva, Elena & Kuete, Meguy & Yoo, Jinhyuk, 2016. "New methods for macro-financial model comparison and policy analysis," IMFS Working Paper Series 107, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Spierdijk, Laura & Umar, Zaghum, 2015. "Stocks, bonds, T-bills and inflation hedging: From great moderation to great recession," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1-37.
- Michael Boldin & Jonathan H. Wright, 2015. "Weather-Adjusting Economic Data," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 46(2 (Fall)), pages 227-278.
- Gergely Akos Ganics, 2017. "Optimal density forecast combinations," Working Papers 1751, Banco de España.
- Jonas E. Arias & Minchul Shin, 2020. "Tracking U.S. Real GDP Growth During the Pandemic," Economic Insights, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, vol. 5(3), pages 9-14, September.
- Tuhkuri, Joonas, 2016. "Forecasting Unemployment with Google Searches," ETLA Working Papers 35, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
- Sbrana, Giacomo & Silvestrini, Andrea & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2017.
"Short-term inflation forecasting: The M.E.T.A. approach,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1065-1081.
- Giacomo Sbrana & Andrea Silvestrini & Fabrizio Venditti, 2015. "Short term inflation forecasting: the M.E.T.A. approach," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1016, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2023.
"Tail risks and forecastability of stock returns of advanced economies: evidence from centuries of data,"
The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 466-481, March.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna, 2021. "Tail Risks and Forecastability of Stock Returns of Advanced Economies: Evidence from Centuries of Data," Working Papers 202117, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Bennedsen, Mikkel & Hillebrand, Eric & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2021.
"Modeling, forecasting, and nowcasting U.S. CO2 emissions using many macroeconomic predictors,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
- Mikkel Bennedsen & Eric Hillebrand & Siem Jan Koopman, 2019. "Modeling, Forecasting, and Nowcasting U.S. CO2 Emissions Using Many Macroeconomic Predictors," CREATES Research Papers 2019-21, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2015. "Estimation of DSGE Models under Diffuse Priors and Data-Driven Identification Constraints," CREATES Research Papers 2015-37, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Michael Melvin & Frank Westermann, 2022.
"Chinese Exchange Rate Policy: Lessons for Global Investors,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(1), pages 145-168, February.
- Michael Melvin & Frank Westermann, 2020. "Chinese Exchange Rate Policy: Lessons for Global Investors," CESifo Working Paper Series 8493, CESifo.
- Aleksandra Riedl & Julia Wörz, 2018. "A simple approach to nowcasting GDP growth in CESEE economies," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/18, pages 56-74.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2014.
"Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails,"
Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance
1409, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Petrella, Ivan & Delle Monache, Davide, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails," Bank of England working papers 577, Bank of England.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails," Working Papers 720, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1052, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Ouysse, Rachida, 2016. "Bayesian model averaging and principal component regression forecasts in a data rich environment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 763-787.
- Ca’ Zorzi, Michele & Kolasa, Marcin & Rubaszek, Michał, 2017.
"Exchange rate forecasting with DSGE models,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 127-146.
- Ca' Zorzi, Michele & Kolasa, Marcin & Rubaszek, Michał, 2016. "Exchange rate forecasting with DSGE models," Working Paper Series 1905, European Central Bank.
- Marcin Kolasa & Michał Rubaszek & Michele Ca' Zorzi, 2017. "Exchange rate forecasting with DSGE models," NBP Working Papers 260, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- repec:cup:judgdm:v:15:y:2020:i:5:p:863-880 is not listed on IDEAS
- Groen, Jan J.J. & Kapetanios, George, 2016.
"Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 221-239.
- Jan J.J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2008. "Revisiting Useful Approaches to Data-Rich Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Papers 624, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Jan J. J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2008. "Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting," Staff Reports 327, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Fawcett, Nicholas & Koerber, Lena & Masolo, Riccardo & Waldron, Matthew, 2015. "Evaluating UK point and density forecasts from an estimated DSGE model: the role of off-model information over the financial crisis," Bank of England working papers 538, Bank of England.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022.
"Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Idris A. Adediran, 2021. "The Effect of US Uncertainty Shock on International Equity Markets: The Role of the Global Financial Cycle," Working Papers 202136, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark, 2017.
"Forecasting oil and stock returns with a Qual VAR using over 150years off data,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 181-186.
- Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2015. "Forecasting Oil and Stock Returns with a Qual VAR using over 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 201589, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Lindé, J. & Smets, F. & Wouters, R., 2016. "Challenges for Central Banks’ Macro Models," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2185-2262, Elsevier.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023.
"The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models,"
Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications, volume 45, pages 65-95,
Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," CESifo Working Paper Series 8153, CESifo.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2020. "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," Working Papers 2006, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2020. "The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 14460, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Samuel G Hanson & David O Lucca & Jonathan H Wright, 2021.
"Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 136(3), pages 1719-1781.
- Samuel Hanson & David O. Lucca & Jonathan H. Wright, 2017. "Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates," Staff Reports 810, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Satopää, Ville A. & Salikhov, Marat & Tetlock, Philip E. & Mellers, Barbara, 2023. "Decomposing the effects of crowd-wisdom aggregators: The bias–information–noise (BIN) model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 470-485.
- Petrella, Ivan & Drechsel, Thomas & Antolin-Diaz, Juan, 2014. "Following the Trend: Tracking GDP when Long-Run Growth is Uncertain," CEPR Discussion Papers 10272, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Nima Nonejad, 2022. "New Findings Regarding the Out-of-Sample Predictive Impact of the Price of Crude Oil on the United States Industrial Production," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(1), pages 1-35, March.
- Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2020.
"Forecasting GDP Growth from Outer Space,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(4), pages 697-722, August.
- Jaqueson K Galimberti, 2017. "Forecasting GDP growth from the outer space," KOF Working papers 17-427, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2020. "Forecasting GDP growth from outer space," Working Papers 2020-02, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics.
- Oguzhan Cepni & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Khuliso Ramabulana, 2020. "Time-Varying Spillover of US Trade War on the Growth of Emerging Economies," Working Papers 202002, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Alquist, Ron & Bhattarai, Saroj & Coibion, Olivier, 2020.
"Commodity-price comovement and global economic activity,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 41-56.
- Ron Alquist & Saroj Bhattarai & Olivier Coibion, 2014. "Commodity-Price Comovement and Global Economic Activity," NBER Working Papers 20003, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ron Alquist & Olivier Coibion, 2014. "Commodity Price Co-Movement and Global Economic Activity," Staff Working Papers 14-32, Bank of Canada.
- Afees A. Salisu & Ibrahim D. Raheem & Umar B. Ndako, 2017. "A sectoral analysis of asymmetric nexus between oil and stock," Working Papers 033, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
- Han, Liyan & Lv, Qiuna & Yin, Libo, 2017. "Can investor attention predict oil prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 547-558.
- Tunaru, Diana, 2017. "Gaussian estimation and forecasting of the U.K. yield curve with multi-factor continuous-time models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 119-129.
- Ahmed, Osama & Serra, Teresa, 2015. "Vertical Price Transmission in the Egyptian Tomato Sector After the Arab Spring," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212523, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2018. "Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand Shocks: Comment," CESifo Working Paper Series 7166, CESifo.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2023.
"Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 364-390.
- Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2020. "Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?," Working Paper Series 2471, European Central Bank.
- Colin Campbell & Anthony M. Diercks & Steven A. Sharpe & Daniel Soques, 2023. "The Swaps Strike Back: Evaluating Expectations of One-Year Inflation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-061, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele, 2024.
"Back to the present: Learning about the euro area through a now-casting model,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 661-686.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2021. "Back to the Present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-casting Model," International Finance Discussion Papers 1313, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Jan-Erik Antipin & Farid Jimmy Boumediene & Pär Österholm, 2014.
"Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares,"
Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(1-2), pages 2-15, June.
- Antipin, Jan-Erik & Boumediene, Farid Jimmy & Österholm, Pär, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares," Working Papers 126, National Institute of Economic Research.
- Emanuel Kopp & Peter D. Williams, 2018. "A Macroeconomic Approach to the Term Premium," IMF Working Papers 2018/140, International Monetary Fund.
- Franz Ramsauer & Aleksey Min & Michael Lingauer, 2019. "Estimation of FAVAR Models for Incomplete Data with a Kalman Filter for Factors with Observable Components," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-43, July.
- Ricardo Crisóstomo, 2021.
"Estimating real‐world probabilities: A forward‐looking behavioral framework,"
Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(11), pages 1797-1823, November.
- Ricardo Cris'ostomo, 2020. "Estimating real-world probabilities: A forward-looking behavioral framework," Papers 2012.09041, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
- Ricardo Crisóstomo, 2021. "Estimating real word probabilities: a forward-looking behavioral framework," CNMV Working Papers CNMV Working Papers no. 7, CNMV- Spanish Securities Markets Commission - Research and Statistics Department.
- Reicher Christopher Phillip & Utlaut Johannes Friederich, 2013. "Monetary policy shocks and real commodity prices," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 715-749, October.
- Eugene F Fama, 2019. "Interest Rates and Inflation Revisited," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(2), pages 197-209.
- Rahul Deb & Mallesh M. Pai & Maher Said, 2019.
"Dynamic Incentives for Buy-Side Analysts,"
Working Papers
19-01, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
- Deb, Rahul & Said, Maher & Pai, Mallesh, 2022. "Dynamic Incentives for Buy-Side Analysts," CEPR Discussion Papers 17772, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bayer, Sebastian, 2018. "Combining Value-at-Risk forecasts using penalized quantile regressions," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 56-77.
- Amor Aniss Benmoussa & Reinhard Ellwanger & Stephen Snudden, 2020. "The New Benchmark for Forecasts of the Real Price of Crude Oil," Staff Working Papers 20-39, Bank of Canada.
- Matteo Luciani & Lorenzo Ricci, 2014.
"Nowcasting Norway,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(4), pages 215-248, December.
- Matteo Luciani & Lorenzo Ricci, 2013. "Nowcasting Norway," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2013-10, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Meeks, Roland & Monti, Francesca, 2023.
"Heterogeneous beliefs and the Phillips curve,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 41-54.
- Meeks, Roland & Monti, Francesca, 2019. "Heterogeneous beliefs and the Phillips curve," Bank of England working papers 807, Bank of England.
- Roland Meeks & Francesca Monti, 2022. "Heterogeneous Beliefs and the Phillips Curve," CAMA Working Papers 2022-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Meeks, Roland & Monti, Francesca, 2022. "Heterogeneous beliefs and the Phillips curve," CEPR Discussion Papers 17537, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022.
"Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and International Stock Returns: Dissecting Quantile-Based Predictability and Spillover Effects Using More than a Century of Data," Working Papers 202217, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Kapetanios, George & Price, Simon & Young, Garry, 2018.
"A UK financial conditions index using targeted data reduction: Forecasting and structural identification,"
Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 7(C), pages 1-17.
- Kapetanios, G & Price, SG & Young, G, 2017. "A UK financial conditions index using targeted data reduction: forecasting and structural identification," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 20328, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Kapetanios, George & Price, Simon & Young, Garry, 2017. "A UK financial conditions index using targeted data reduction: forecasting and structural identification," Bank of England working papers 699, Bank of England.
- George Kapetanios & Simon Price & Garry Young, 2017. "A UK financial conditions index using targeted data reduction: forecasting and structural identification," CAMA Working Papers 2017-58, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Markku Lanne & Jani Luoto, 2018. "Data†Driven Identification Constraints for DSGE Models," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(2), pages 236-258, April.
- David E. Allen, 2022.
"Cryptocurrencies, Diversification and the COVID-19 Pandemic,"
JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-25, February.
- Allen, David, 2021. "Cryptocurrencies, Diversification and the COVID-19 Pandemic," MPRA Paper 111735, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chang, Tsangyao & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019.
"Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio,"
International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 458-467.
- Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2017. "Predicting Stock Market Movements with a Time-Varying Consumption-Aggregate Wealth Ratio," Working Papers 201756, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Todd E. Clark & Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2015. "Measuring Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 2015(03), pages 1-6, March.
- Anna Misztal & Magdalena Kowalska & Anita Fajczak-Kowalska & Otakar Strunecky, 2021. "Energy Efficiency and Decarbonization in the Context of Macroeconomic Stabilization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-18, August.
- Omokolade Akinsomi & Goodness C. Aye & Vassilios Babalos & Fotini Economou & Rangan Gupta, 2016.
"Real estate returns predictability revisited: novel evidence from the US REITs market,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 1165-1190, November.
- Kola Akinsomi & Goodness C. Aye & Vassilios Babalos & Fotini Economou & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Real Estate Returns Predictability Revisited: Novel Evidence from the US REITs Market," Working Papers 201454, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2016.
"Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 201-215.
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," Discussion Papers 1416, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Domenico Giannone & Francesca Monti & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2015. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Staff Reports 751, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data-flow in structural forecasting," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 57998, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Giannone, Domenico & Monti , Francesca & Reichlin , Lucrezia, 2014. "Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting," Bank of England working papers 509, Bank of England.
- Shixuan Wang & Rangan Gupta & Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni, 2022. "The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks on US REITs Moments: Evidence from VARs with Functional Shocks," Working Papers 202219, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- João F. Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Hudson S. Torrent, 2020.
"Forecasting U.S. Aggregate Stock Market Excess Return: Do Functional Data Analysis Add Economic Value?,"
Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-16, November.
- Joao F. Caldeira & Rangan Gupta & Hudson S. Torrent, 2020. "Forecasting U.S. Aggregate Stock Market Excess Return: Do Functional Data Analysis Add Economic Value?," Working Papers 202087, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Buncic, Daniel & Tischhauser, Martin, 2017.
"Macroeconomic factors and equity premium predictability,"
International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 621-644.
- Buncic, Daniel & Tischhauser, Martin, 2015. "Macroeconomic Factors and Equity Premium Predictability," Economics Working Paper Series 1522, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Francesca Rondina, 2017. "The Impact of Oil Price Changes in a New Keynesian Model of the U.S. Economy," Working Papers 1709E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
- Loretta J. Mester, 2016. "Recent Inflation Developments and Challenges for Research and Monetary Policymaking : The 47th Konstanz Seminar on Monetary Theory and Monetary Policy, Insel Reichenau, Germany 5-12-2016," Speech 71, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Barkan, Oren & Benchimol, Jonathan & Caspi, Itamar & Cohen, Eliya & Hammer, Allon & Koenigstein, Noam, 2023.
"Forecasting CPI inflation components with Hierarchical Recurrent Neural Networks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1145-1162.
- Oren Barkan & Jonathan Benchimol & Itamar Caspi & Eliya Cohen & Allon Hammer & Noam Koenigstein, 2020. "Forecasting CPI Inflation Components with Hierarchical Recurrent Neural Networks," Papers 2011.07920, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Oren Barkan & Jonathan Benchimol & Itamar Caspi & Allon Hammer & Noam Koenigstein, 2021. "Forecasting CPI Inflation Components with Hierarchical Recurrent Neural Networks," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2021.06, Bank of Israel.
- Oren Barkan & Jonathan Benchimol & Itamar Caspi & Eliya Cohen & Allon Hammer & Noam Koenigstein, 2023. "Forecasting CPI inflation components with Hierarchical Recurrent Neural Networks," Post-Print emse-04624940, HAL.
- repec:wrk:wrkemf:13 is not listed on IDEAS
- Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan, 2021.
"Predicting Bitcoin returns: Comparing the roles of newspaper- and internet search-based measures of uncertainty,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
- Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Predicting Bitcoin Returns: Comparing the Roles of Newspaper- and Internet Search-Based Measures of Uncertainty," Working Papers 201955, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Raul Ibarra & Luis M. Gomez-Zamudio, 2017.
"Are Daily Financial Data Useful for Forecasting GDP? Evidence from Mexico,"
Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 173-203, April.
- Gómez-Zamudio, Luis M. & Ibarra, Raúl, 2017. "Are daily financial data useful for forecasting GDP? Evidence from Mexico," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123310, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Ibarra-Ramírez Raúl & Gómez-Zamudio Luis M., 2017. "Are daily financial data useful for forecasting GDP? Evidence from Mexico," Working Papers 2017-17, Banco de México.
- Bassam Fattouh & Lutz Kilian & Lavan Mahadeva, 2013.
"The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets: What Have We Learned So Far?,"
The Energy Journal, , vol. 34(3), pages 7-33, July.
- Bassam Fattouh, Lutz Kilian, and Lavan Mahadeva, 2013. "The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets: What Have We Learned So Far?," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
- Kilian, Lutz & Fattouh, Bassam & Mahadeva, Lavan, 2012. "The Role of Speculation in Oil Markets: What Have We Learned So Far?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8916, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Deng, Yongheng & Girardin, Eric & Joyeux, Roselyne, 2018.
"Fundamentals and the volatility of real estate prices in China: A sequential modelling strategy,"
China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 205-222.
- Yongheng Deng & Eric Girardin & Roselyne Joyeux, 2018. "Fundamentals and the volatility of real estate prices in China: A sequential modelling strategy," Post-Print hal-01996210, HAL.
- Mikio Ito & Akihiko Noda & Tatsuma Wada, 2021. "Time-Varying Comovement of Foreign Exchange Markets: A GLS-Based Time-Varying Model Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-13, April.
- Hauber, Philipp, 2022. "Real-time nowcasting with sparse factor models," EconStor Preprints 251551, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Mardi Dungey & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Jing Tian, 2017.
"Forecasting output gaps in the G-7 countries: the role of correlated innovations and structural breaks,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(45), pages 4554-4566, September.
- Dungey, Mardi & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & Tian, Jing, 2016. "Forecasting output gaps in the G-7 countries: The role of correlated Innovations and structural breaks," Working Papers 2016-04, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
- Nicolau, Mihaela & Palomba, Giulio, 2015. "Dynamic relationships between spot and futures prices. The case of energy and gold commodities," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 130-143.
- Allan, Grant & Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Smith, Paul, 2014. "Nowcasting Scottish GDP Growth," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon TN 2015-08, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
- Berardi, Michele & Galimberti, Jaqueson K., 2014.
"A note on the representative adaptive learning algorithm,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 104-107.
- Michele Bernardi & Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2014. "A Note on the Representative Adaptive Learning Algorithm," KOF Working papers 14-356, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Giulia Dal Pra & Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio & Fabiola Vasile, 2016. "Do Regimes in Excess Stock Return Predictability Create Economic Value? An Out-of-Sample Portfolio Analysis," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1637, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Maryam Movahedifar & Hossein Hassani & Masoud Yarmohammadi & Mahdi Kalantari & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "A robust approach for outlier imputation: Singular Spectrum Decomposition," Working Papers 202164, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Reinhard Ellwanger, Stephen Snudden, 2021. "Predictability of Aggregated Time Series," LCERPA Working Papers bm0127, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis.
- Lastunen, Jesse & Richiardi, Matteo, 2023.
"Forecasting recovery from COVID-19 using financial data: An application to Vietnam,"
World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
- Jesse Lastunen & Matteo Richiardi, 2021. "Forecasting recovery from COVID-19 using financial data: An application to Viet Nam," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2021-84, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
- Richiardi, Matteo & Lastunen, Jesse, 2021. "Forecasting recovery from COVID-19 using financial data: an application to Viet Nam," Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis Working Paper Series CEMPA4/21, Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.
- James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2021.
"UK inflation forecasts since the thirteenth century,"
CAMA Working Papers
2021-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2021. "UK Inflation Forecasts since the Thirteenth Century," Working Paper 1454, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2019. "Steady‐state modeling and macroeconomic forecasting quality," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 285-314, March.
- Ziegel, Johanna F. & Krueger, Fabian & Jordan, Alexander & Fasciati, Fernando, 2017. "Murphy Diagrams: Forecast Evaluation of Expected Shortfall," Working Papers 0632, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
- Rossi, Barbara & Inoue, Atsushi & Jin, Lu, 2014. "Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters," CEPR Discussion Papers 10168, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Pedro Antonio Martín Cervantes & Salvador Cruz Rambaud & María del Carmen Valls Martínez, 2020. "An Application of the SRA Copulas Approach to Price-Volume Research," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-28, October.
- Pierre Perron & Yohei Yamamoto, 2021.
"Testing for Changes in Forecasting Performance,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 148-165, January.
- Pierre Perron & Yohei Yamamoto, 2018. "Testing for Changes in Forecasting Performance," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2019-03, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised Dec 2018.
- Pierre Perron & Yohei Yamamoto, 2018. "Testing for Changes in Forecasting Performance," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2019-13, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised Jun 2019.
- PERRON, Pierre & YAMAMOTO, Yohei & 山本, 庸平, 2018. "Testing for Changes in Forecasting Performance," Discussion Papers 2018-03, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
- Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Mark E. Wohar, 2017.
"The Role of Current Account Balance in Forecasting the US Equity Premium: Evidence From a Quantile Predictive Regression Approach,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 47-59, February.
- Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Mark Wohar, 2016. "The Role of Current Account Balance in Forecasting the US Equity Premium: Evidence from a Quantile Predictive Regression Approach," Working Papers 201612, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Pablo Kurlat & Johannes Stroebel, 2015.
"Testing for Information Asymmetries in Real Estate Markets,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(8), pages 2429-2461.
- Pablo Kurlat & Johannes Stroebel, 2014. "Testing for Information Asymmetries in Real Estate Markets," NBER Working Papers 19875, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Xiaodong Du & David A Hennessy & Hongli Feng & Gaurav Arora, 2018.
"Land Resilience and Tail Dependence among Crop Yield Distributions,"
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 100(3), pages 809-828.
- Xiaodong Du & David A. Hennessy & Hongli Feng, 2015. "Land Resilience and Tail Dependence among Crop Yield Distributions," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 15-wp556, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
- Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang, 2023.
"Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Nguyen, Hoang, 2021. "Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails," Working Papers 2021:8, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Sune Karlsson & Stepan Mazur & Hoang Nguyen, 2021. "Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails," Papers 2105.11182, arXiv.org.
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2019. "Variants of Consumption-Wealth Ratios and Predictability of U.S. Government Bond Risk Premia: Old is still Gold," Working Papers 201912, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Funk, Christoph, 2018. "Forecasting the real price of oil - Time-variation and forecast combination," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 288-302.
- Kaufmann, Daniel & Scheufele, Rolf, 2017.
"Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 878-893.
- Daniel Kaufmann & Rolf Scheufele, 2015. "Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations," KOF Working papers 15-378, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2019. "Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with stochastic volatility and non-conjugate priors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 137-154.
- Monica Defend & Aleksey Min & Lorenzo Portelli & Franz Ramsauer & Francesco Sandrini & Rudi Zagst, 2021. "Quantifying Drivers of Forecasted Returns Using Approximate Dynamic Factor Models for Mixed-Frequency Panel Data," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-35, February.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2014.
"Evaluating Conditional Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions,"
Working Papers (Old Series)
1413, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2014. "Evaluating Conditional Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 2014-25, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Dierkes, Maik & Germer, Stephan & Sejdiu, Vulnet, 2020. "Probability distortion, asset prices, and economic growth," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Ken Miyajima & James Yetman, 2019.
"Assessing inflation expectations anchoring for heterogeneous agents: analysts, businesses and trade unions,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(41), pages 4499-4515, September.
- Ken Miyajima & James Yetman, 2018. "Assessing inflation expectations anchoring for heterogeneous agents: analysts, businesses and trade unions," BIS Working Papers 759, Bank for International Settlements.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2019.
"Multivariate Return Decomposition: Theory and Implications,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(5), pages 487-508, May.
- Stanislav Anatolyev & Nikolay Gospodinov, 2015. "Multivariate return decomposition: theory and implications," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2015-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio, 2020. "Distilling Large Information Sets to Forecast Commodity Returns: Automatic Variable Selection or HiddenMarkov Models?," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 20140, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 583-602, April.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," CAMA Working Papers 2019-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Yin, Libo & Yang, Qingyuan, 2016. "Predicting the oil prices: Do technical indicators help?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 338-350.
- Jaakko Kuorikoski & Aki Lehtinen, 2018. "Model selection in macroeconomics: DSGE and ad hocness," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 252-264, July.
- Umar, Zaghum, 2017. "Islamic vs conventional equities in a strategic asset allocation framework," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-10.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2017.
"Have Standard VARS Remained Stable Since the Crisis?,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 931-951, August.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2014. "Have standard VARs remained stable since the crisis?," Working Paper 2014/13, Norges Bank.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Aastveit, Knut Are & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2016. "Have Standard VARs Remained Stable Since the Crisis?," CEPR Discussion Papers 11558, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2014. "Have Standard VARs Remained Stable since the Crisis?," Working Papers (Old Series) 1411, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Cederburg, Scott & O’Doherty, Michael S. & Wang, Feifei & Yan, Xuemin (Sterling), 2020. "On the performance of volatility-managed portfolios," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 95-117.
- Efthymios G. Pavlidis & Ivan Paya & David A. Peel, 2018. "Using Market Expectations to Test for Speculative Bubbles in the Crude Oil Market," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(5), pages 833-856, August.
- Toda, Alexis Akira & Walsh, Kieran James, 2014.
"The Equity Premium and the One Percent,"
MPRA Paper
79009, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Feb 2017.
- Alexis Akira Toda & Kieran Walsh, 2015. "Asset Pricing and the One Percent," 2015 Meeting Papers 858, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Mikolajun, Irena & Lodge, David, 2016. "Advanced economy inflation: the role of global factors," Working Paper Series 1948, European Central Bank.
- Elliott, Graham & Gargano, Antonio & Timmermann, Allan, 2015. "Complete subset regressions with large-dimensional sets of predictors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 86-110.
- Tomasz Woźniak, 2016. "Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 49(3), pages 365-380, September.
- Andrew Gelman & Jessica Hullman & Christopher Wlezien & George Elliott Morris, 2020. "Information, incentives, and goals in election forecasts," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 15(5), pages 863-880, September.
- Walter Kraemer & Simon Neumärker, 2016. "Comparing Default Predictions in the Rating Industry for Different Sets of Obligors," CESifo Working Paper Series 5768, CESifo.
- Yongheng Deng & Eric Girardin & Roselyne Joyeux, 2015. "Fundamentals and the Volatility of Real Estate Prices in China: A Sequential Modelling Strategy," Working Papers 222015, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Cunha, Ronan & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2015. "Automatic model selection for forecasting Brazilian stock returns," Textos para discussão 398, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
- Dahlquist, Magnus & Hasseltoft, Henrik, 2020. "Economic momentum and currency returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(1), pages 152-167.
- Funke, Michael & Tsang, Andrew, 2019.
"The direction and intensity of China's monetary policy conduct: A dynamic factor modelling approach,"
BOFIT Discussion Papers
8/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Funke, Michael & Tsang, Andrew, 2019. "The direction and intensity of China’s monetary policy conduct : A dynamic factor modelling approach," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2019, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2020.
"Assessing nowcast accuracy of US GDP growth in real time: the role of booms and busts,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 7-27, January.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2019. "Assessing Nowcast Accuracy of US GDP Growth in Real Time: The Role of Booms and Busts," Working Papers 2019/01, Latvijas Banka.
- Eriksen, Jonas N., 2017.
"Expected Business Conditions and Bond Risk Premia,"
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(4), pages 1667-1703, August.
- Jonas Nygaard Eriksen, 2015. "Expected Business Conditions and Bond Risk Premia," CREATES Research Papers 2015-44, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Alexandros P. Bechlioulis & Sophocles N. Brissimis, 2020.
"Consumer default and optimal consumption decisions,"
Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 48(5), pages 1020-1034, September.
- Bechlioulis, Alexandros & Brissimis, Sophocles, 2014. "Consumer default and optimal consumption decisions," MPRA Paper 56864, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Till Weigt & Bernd Wilfling, 2021.
"An approach to increasing forecast‐combination accuracy through VAR error modeling,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 686-699, July.
- Till Weigt & Bernd Wilfling, 2018. "An approach to increasing forecast-combination accuracy through VAR error modeling," CQE Working Papers 6818, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Nalan Baştürk & Cem Çakmakli & S. Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. Van Dijk, 2014.
"Posterior‐Predictive Evidence On Us Inflation Using Extended New Keynesian Phillips Curve Models With Non‐Filtered Data,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(7), pages 1164-1182, November.
- Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Extended New Keynesian Phillips Curve Models with Non-filtered Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-090/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Kley, Tobias & Preuss, Philip & Fryzlewicz, Piotr, 2019. "Predictive, finite-sample model choice for time series under stationarity and non-stationarity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 101748, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Suleman, Tahir & Gupta, Rangan & Balcilar, Mehmet, 2017.
"Does country risks predict stock returns and volatility? Evidence from a nonparametric approach,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1173-1195.
- Tahir Suleman & Rangan Gupta & Mehmet Balcilar, 2016. "Does Country Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201675, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Ankargren Sebastian & Unosson Måns & Yang Yukai, 2020.
"A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior,"
Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(2), pages 1-41, July.
- Ankargren Sebastian & Unosson Måns & Yang Yukai, 2020. "A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(2), pages 1-41, July.
- Sebastian Ankargren & M{aa}ns Unosson & Yukai Yang, 2019. "A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior," Papers 1911.09151, arXiv.org.
- Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Soodabeh Sarafrazi, 2014.
"Can the Sharia-based Islamic stock market returns be forecasted using large number of predictors and models?,"
Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(17), pages 1147-1157, September.
- Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Soodabeh Sarafrazi, 2013. "Can the Sharia-Based Islamic Stock Market Returns be Forecasted Using Large Number of Predictors and Models?," Working Papers 201381, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Ahmed, Osama & Serra, Teresa, 2015. "Evaluate the economic consequences of revenue insurance programs in Spain using copula models. The case of orange and apple," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212522, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Krämer, Walter & Neumärker, Simon, 2019. "Skill Scores and modified Lorenz domination in default forecasts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 61-64.
- Timmermann, Allan & Zhu, Yinchu, 2019. "Comparing Forecasting Performance with Panel Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 13746, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kaihatsu, Sohei & Nakajima, Jouchi, 2018. "Has trend inflation shifted?: An empirical analysis with an equally-spaced regime-switching model," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 69-83.
- Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2015.
"Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination,"
NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(1), pages 289-344.
- Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29, pages 289-344, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2014. "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Re-examination," NBER Working Papers 20611, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lawrenz, Jochen & Zorn, Josef, 2017. "Predicting international stock returns with conditional price-to-fundamental ratios," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 159-184.
- Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin‐Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2018.
"The Real‐Time Properties of the Bank of Canada's Staff Output Gap Estimates,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(6), pages 1167-1188, September.
- Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin-Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2016. "The Real-Time Properties of the Bank of Canada’s Staff Output Gap Estimates," Staff Working Papers 16-28, Bank of Canada.
- Souhaïb Chamseddine Zardi, 2017. "Forecasting Inflation in a Macroeconomic Framework: An Application to Tunisia," IHEID Working Papers 07-2017, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Mark E. Wohar, 2018.
"Terror attacks and stock-market fluctuations: evidence based on a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test for the G7 countries,"
The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 333-346, March.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Mark Wohar, 2016. "Terror Attacks and Stock-Market Fluctuations: Evidence Based on a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test for the G7 Countries," Working Papers 201608, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mehrotra, Aaron & Yetman, James, 2018. "Are inflation targets credible? A novel test," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 67-70.
- Inoue, Atsushi & Jin, Lu & Rossi, Barbara, 2017.
"Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 55-67.
- Atsushi Inoue & Lu Jin & Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Rolling Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters," Working Papers 768, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Atsushi Inoue & Lu Jin & Barbara Rossi, 2014. "Rolling window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters," Economics Working Papers 1435, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Apr 2016.
- Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin‐Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2020. "Introducing the Bank of Canada staff economic projections database," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(1), pages 114-129, January.
- Hirano, Keisuke & Wright, Jonathan H., 2022. "Analyzing cross-validation for forecasting with structural instability," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 226(1), pages 139-154.
- Mr. Ron Alquist & Mr. Olivier Coibion, 2013. "The Comovement in Commodity Prices: Sources and Implications," IMF Working Papers 2013/140, International Monetary Fund.
- Xi Dong & Yan Li & David E. Rapach & Guofu Zhou, 2022. "Anomalies and the Expected Market Return," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(1), pages 639-681, February.
- Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2019.
"Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note,"
Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 367-379, April.
- Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2017. "Geopolitical Risks and Movements in Islamic Bond and Equity Markets: A Note," Working Papers 201743, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Michael Funke & Andrew Tsang, 2021. "The Direction and Intensity of China’s Monetary Policy: A Dynamic Factor Modelling Approach," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 97(316), pages 100-122, March.
- Gupta, Rangan & Risse, Marian & Volkman, David A. & Wohar, Mark E., 2019.
"The role of term spread and pattern changes in predicting stock returns and volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test using over 250 years of data,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 391-405.
- Rangan Gupta & Marian Risse & David A. Volkman & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "The Role of Term Spread and Pattern Changes in Predicting Stock Returns and Volatility of the United Kingdom: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test Using Over 250 Years of Data," Working Papers 201755, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017.
"Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 50-60.
- Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Forecast Real Housing Returns in a Panel of OECD Countries? A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201637, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Marcus P. A. Cobb, 2020. "Aggregate density forecasting from disaggregate components using Bayesian VARs," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 287-312, January.
- Figuerola-Ferretti, Isabel & McCrorie, J. Roderick & Paraskevopoulos, Ioannis, 2020. "Mild explosivity in recent crude oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
- Mandalinci, Zeyyad, 2017.
"Forecasting inflation in emerging markets: An evaluation of alternative models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1082-1104.
- Zeyyad Mandalinci, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: An Evaluation of Alternative Models," CReMFi Discussion Papers 3, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
- Lukas Menkhoff & Lucio Sarno & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2017.
"Currency Value,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(2), pages 416-441.
- Sarno, Lucio & Menkhoff, Lukas & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Paul, 2016. "Currency Value," CEPR Discussion Papers 11324, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Zhang, Yugui & Zhu, Jie & Zhu, Xiaoneng, 2021. "Global bond risk premia under falling stars," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
- Patton, Andrew J. & Ziegel, Johanna F. & Chen, Rui, 2019.
"Dynamic semiparametric models for expected shortfall (and Value-at-Risk),"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 211(2), pages 388-413.
- Andrew J. Patton & Johanna F. Ziegel & Rui Chen, 2017. "Dynamic Semiparametric Models for Expected Shortfall (and Value-at-Risk)," Papers 1707.05108, arXiv.org.
- F. Bec & A. De Gaye, 2014. "How do oil price forecast errors impact inflation forecast errors? An empirical analysis from French and US inflation forecasts," Working papers 523, Banque de France.
- Pami Dua, 2023.
"Macroeconomic Modelling and Bayesian Methods,"
Springer Books, in: Pami Dua (ed.), Macroeconometric Methods, chapter 0, pages 19-37,
Springer.
- Pami Dua, 2017. "Macroeconomic Modelling and Bayesian Methods," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 15(2), pages 209-226, June.
- Lahiri, Kajal & Yang, Liu, 2015. "A further analysis of the conference board’s new Leading Economic Index," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 446-453.
- Ioannis Kyriakou & Parastoo Mousavi & Jens Perch Nielsen & Michael Scholz, 2020. "Longer-Term Forecasting of Excess Stock Returns—The Five-Year Case," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(6), pages 1-20, June.
- Hutter, Christian, 2020.
"A new indicator for nowcasting employment subject to social security contributions in Germany,"
Journal for Labour Market Research, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 54(1), pages 1-4.
- Christian Hutter, 2020. "A new indicator for nowcasting employment subject to social security contributions in Germany," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 54(1), pages 1-10, December.
- Ioannis Kyriakou & Parastoo Mousavi & Jens Perch Nielsen & Michael Scholz, 2021. "Short-Term Exuberance and Long-Term Stability: A Simultaneous Optimization of Stock Return Predictions for Short and Long Horizons," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-19, March.
- Laura E. Jackson & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang, 2015. "A Measure of Price Pressures," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 97(1), pages 25-52.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Paolo Gelain & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2021.
"Output Gap, Monetary Policy Trade-offs, and Financial Frictions,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 41, pages 52-70, July.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Paolo Gelain & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2017. "Output gap, monetary policy trade-offs and financial frictions," Working Paper 2017/8, Norges Bank.
- Francesco Furlanetto & Paolo Gelain & Marzie Sanjani, 2020. "Output Gap, Monetary Policy Trade-offs, and Financial Frictions," Working Papers 20-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Rachidi Kotchoni & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2019.
"Macroeconomic forecast accuracy in a data‐rich environment,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 1050-1072, November.
- Rachidi Kotchoni & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2019. "Macroeconomic Forecast Accuracy in data-rich environment," Post-Print hal-02435757, HAL.
- Klaus Friesenbichler & Christian Glocker & Werner Hölzl & Philipp Wegmüller, 2018. "Ein neues Modell für die kurzfristige Prognose der Herstellung von Waren und der Ausrüstungsinvestitionen," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 91(9), pages 651-661, September.
- Jorge E. Galán & María Rodríguez Moreno, 2020. "At-risk measures and financial stability," Revista de Estabilidad Financiera, Banco de España, issue Autumn.
- Ahmed, Shamim & Liu, Xiaoquan & Valente, Giorgio, 2016. "Can currency-based risk factors help forecast exchange rates?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 75-97.
- Zura Kakushadze & Willie Yu, 2020. "Machine Learning Treasury Yields," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1-65.
- Alberto Caruso, 2015. "Nowcasting Mexican GDP," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-40, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Costas Karfakis & Eftychia Karfaki, 2018. "Is the financial cycle a leading indicator of real output during expansions and contractions? A quantile analysis for Greece," Discussion Paper Series 2018_02, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Feb 2018.
- Tsiakas, Ilias & Li, Jiahan & Zhang, Haibin, 2020.
"Equity premium prediction and the state of the economy,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 75-95.
- Ilias Tsiakas & Jiahan Li & Haibin Zhang, 2020. "Equity Premium Prediction and the State of the Economy," Working Paper series 20-16, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Evgeny Pavlov, 2020. "Forecasting Inflation in Russia Using Neural Networks," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(1), pages 57-73, March.
- Hasumi, Ryo & Iiboshi, Hirokuni & Matsumae, Tatsuyoshi & Nakamura, Daisuke, 2019. "Does a financial accelerator improve forecasts during financial crises? Evidence from Japan with prediction-pooling methods," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 45-68.
- Barış Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2021. "Nowcasting US GDP Using Tree-Based Ensemble Models and Dynamic Factors," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 387-417, January.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2019. "Forecasting aggregate equity return volatility using crude oil price volatility: The role of nonlinearities and asymmetries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Li-Xin Wang, 2014. "Dynamical Models of Stock Prices Based on Technical Trading Rules Part II: Analysis of the Models," Papers 1401.1891, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2016.
- Victor Chernozhukov & Kaspar Wuthrich & Yinchu Zhu, 2019.
"Distributional conformal prediction,"
Papers
1909.07889, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
- Chernozhukov, Victor & Wüthrich, Kaspar & Zhu, Yinchu, 2021. "Distributional conformal prediction," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt2zs6m5p5, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Henryk Gurgul & Robert Syrek & Christoph Mitterer, 2016. "Price duration versus trading volume in high-frequency data for selected DAX companies," Managerial Economics, AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 17(2), pages 241-260.
- Hofert, Marius & Oldford, Wayne, 2018. "Visualizing dependence in high-dimensional data: An application to S&P 500 constituent data," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 161-183.
- Canova, Fabio & Ferroni, Filippo, 2020.
"A hitchhiker guide to empirical macro models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15446, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fabio Canova & Filippo Ferroni, 2021. "A Hitchhiker’s Guide to Empirical Macro Models," Working Paper Series WP-2021-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 03 Oct 2021.
- Nima Nonejad, 2020. "Does the price of crude oil help predict the conditional distribution of aggregate equity return?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 313-349, January.
- Klick, Larissa & Schaffner, Sandra, 2019. "FDZ data description: Regional real estate price indices for Germany (RWI-GEO-REDX)," RWI Projektberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, number 195945.
- G. Kenny, 2014. "Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 500-504, October.
- Peter Feldhütter, 2016. "Can Affine Models Match the Moments in Bond Yields?," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(02), pages 1-56, June.
- Smith, Simon C. & Timmermann, Allan & Zhu, Yinchu, 2019. "Variable selection in panel models with breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 323-344.
- Pablo Duarte & Bernd Süssmuth, 2018.
"Implementing an Approximate Dynamic Factor Model to Nowcast GDP Using Sensitivity Analysis,"
Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 127-141, April.
- Duarte, Pablo & Süßmuth, Bernd, 2018. "Implementing an approximate dynamic factor model to nowcast GDP using sensitivity analysis," Working Papers 152, University of Leipzig, Faculty of Economics and Management Science.
- Georges Prat & Remzi Uctum, 2021.
"Modeling ex-ante risk premia in the oil market,"
Working Papers
hal-03508699, HAL.
- Georges Prat & Remzi Uctum, 2021. "Modeling ex-ante risk premia in the oil market," Post-Print hal-03318785, HAL.
- Remzi Uctum & Georges Prat, 2021. "Modeling ex-ante risk premia in the oil market," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-31, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Remzi Uctum & Georges Prat, 2021. "Modeling ex-ante risk premia in the oil market," Post-Print hal-03513121, HAL.
- Mikuláš Gangur & Miroslav Plevný, 2014. "Tools for Consumer Rights Protection in the Prediction of Electronic Virtual Market and Technological Changes," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 16(36), pages 578-578, May.
- Tae‐Hwy Lee & Shahnaz Parsaeian & Aman Ullah, 2022.
"Optimal forecast under structural breaks,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 965-987, August.
- Tae-Hwy Lee & Shahnaz Parsaeian & Aman Ullah, 2022. "Optimal Forecast under Structural Breaks," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202207, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
- Tae-Hwy Lee & Shahnaz Parsaeian & Aman Ullah, 2022. "Optimal Forecast under Structural Breaks," Working Papers 202208, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Lynda Khalaf & Beatriz Peraza López, 2020. "Simultaneous Indirect Inference, Impulse Responses and ARMA Models," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-26, April.
- Kilian, Lutz & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2018. "Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Information: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Demand S," CEPR Discussion Papers 13068, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2017.
"Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 137-163, August.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2016. "Applying a Microfounded-Forecasting Approach to Predict Brazilian Inflation," Working Papers Series 436, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2020.
"Effect of uncertainty on U.S. stock returns and volatility: evidence from over eighty years of high-frequency data,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(16), pages 1305-1311, September.
- Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia & Eric Olson, 2019. "Effect of Uncertainty on U.S. Stock Returns and Volatility: Evidence from Over Eighty Years of High-Frequency Data," Working Papers 201942, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gregor Bäurle & Elizabeth Steiner & Gabriel Züllig, 2021.
"Forecasting the production side of GDP,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 458-480, April.
- Dr. Gregor Bäurle & Elizabeth Steiner & Dr. Gabriel Züllig, 2018. "Forecasting the production side of GDP," Working Papers 2018-16, Swiss National Bank.
- Zhenzhong Wang & Zhengyuan Zhu & Cindy Yu, 2020. "Variable Selection in Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors," Papers 2007.10160, arXiv.org.
- Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Wendy Nyakabawo, 2018. "Predicting Aggregate and State-Level US House Price Volatility: The Role of Sentiment," Working Papers 201866, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Dong Hwan Oh & Andrew J. Patton, 2021. "Dynamic Factor Copula Models with Estimated Cluster Assignments," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2021-029r1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), revised 06 May 2022.
- Kinda Hachem & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2017.
"Inflation Announcements and Social Dynamics,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(8), pages 1673-1713, December.
- Jing Cynthia Wu & Kinda Hachem, 2013. "Inflation Announcements and Social Dynamics," 2013 Meeting Papers 238, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Kinda Hachem & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2014. "Inflation Announcements and Social Dynamics," NBER Working Papers 20161, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M., 2022.
"Residual-augmented IVX predictive regression,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(2), pages 429-460.
- Paulo M.M. Rodrigues & Matei Demetrescu, 2016. "Residual-augmented IVX predictive regression," Working Papers w201605, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Fritz Breuss, 2016. "Would DSGE Models have Predicted the Great Recession in Austria?," WIFO Working Papers 530, WIFO.
- Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan, 2015.
"Predicting stock returns and volatility using consumption-aggregate wealth ratios: A nonlinear approach,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 83-85.
- Stelios Bekiros & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Predicting Stock Returns and Volatility Using Consumption-Aggregate Wealth Ratios: A Nonlinear Approach," Working Papers 201505, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Grant Allan & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & Paul Smith, 2019. "Nowcasting Using Mixed Frequency Methods: An Application to the Scottish Economy," Sankhya B: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 81(1), pages 12-45, September.
- Melvin, Michael & Pan, Wenqiang & Wikstrom, Petra, 2020.
"Retaining alpha: The effect of trade size and rebalancing frequency on FX strategy returns,"
Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Michael Melvin & Wenqiang Pan & Petra Wikstrom, 2020. "Retaining Alpha: The Effect of Trade Size and Rebalancing Frequency on FX Strategy Returns," CESifo Working Paper Series 8143, CESifo.
- Cai, Xiaoming & Den Haan, Wouter J. & Pinder, Jonathan, 2016. "Predictable recoveries," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 65188, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Yi-Ting Chen, 2021. "A mixed-frequency smooth measure for business conditions," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1699-1724, October.
- Baumeister, Christiane, 2021.
"Measuring Market Expectations,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
16520, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christiane Baumeister, 2021. "Measuring Market Expectations," Working Papers 202163, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Christiane Baumeister, 2021. "Measuring Market Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series 9305, CESifo.
- Christiane Baumeister, 2021. "Measuring Market Expectations," NBER Working Papers 29232, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Diebold, Francis X. & Schorfheide, Frank & Shin, Minchul, 2017.
"Real-time forecast evaluation of DSGE models with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 322-332.
- Francis X. Diebold & Frank Schorfheide & Minchul Shin, 2015. "Real-Time Forecast Evaluation of DSGE Models with Stochastic Volatility," PIER Working Paper Archive 15-018, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 01 May 2015.
- Diebold, Francis X. & Schorfheide, Frank & Shin, Minchul, 2017. "Real-time forecast evaluation of DSGE models with stochastic volatility," CFS Working Paper Series 577, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Francis X. Diebold & Frank Schorfheide & Minchul Shin, 2016. "Real-Time Forecast Evaluation of DSGE Models with Stochastic Volatility," NBER Working Papers 22615, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kheifets, Igor L., 2018. "Multivariate specification tests based on a dynamic Rosenblatt transform," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 1-14.
- Gunter, Ulrich & Önder, Irem, 2016. "Forecasting city arrivals with Google Analytics," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 199-212.
- Laura Veldkamp & Anna Orlik, 2016. "Understanding Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of the Black Swan," Working Papers 16-04, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
- Caruso, Alberto, 2019.
"Macroeconomic news and market reaction: Surprise indexes meet nowcasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1725-1734.
- Alberto Caruso, 2018. "Macroeconomic News and Market Reaction: Surprise Indexes meet Nowcasting," Working Papers ECARES 2018-06, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Gupta, Rangan & Mwamba, John W. Muteba & Wohar, Mark E., 2018.
"The role of partisan conflict in forecasting the U.S. equity premium: A nonparametric approach,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 131-136.
- Rangan Gupta & John W. Muteba Mwamba & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Role of Partisan Conflict in Forecasting the U.S. Equity Premium: A Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201686, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Salisu, Afees A., 2022.
"Oil-price uncertainty and the U.K. unemployment rate: A forecasting experiment with random forests using 150 years of data,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Afees A. Salisu, 2020. "Oil-Price Uncertainty and the U.K. Unemployment Rate: A Forecasting Experiment with Random Forests Using 150 Years of Data," Working Papers 202095, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Zura Kakushadze & Willie Yu, 2020. "Machine Learning Treasury Yields," Papers 2003.05095, arXiv.org.
- Buncic, Daniel & Stern, Cord, 2019.
"Forecast ranked tailored equity portfolios,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Buncic, Daniel & Stern, Cord, 2018. "Forecast ranked tailored equity portfolios," MPRA Paper 90382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gupta, Rangan & Tiwari, Aviral K., 2017. "Has the correlation of inflation and stock prices changed in the United States over the last two centuries?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-8.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Large Bayesian vector autoregressions," CAMA Working Papers 2019-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua C.C., 2021.
"Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1212-1226.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Minnesota-type adaptive hierarchical priors for large Bayesian VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2019-61, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Carr, Peter & Wu, Liuren, 2016. "Analyzing volatility risk and risk premium in option contracts: A new theory," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 1-20.
- Javier Ojea Ferreiro, 2018. "Contagion spillovers between sovereign and financial European sector from a Delta CoVaR approach," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2018-12, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Jonathan H. Wright, 2013. "Unseasonal Seasonals?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 47(2 (Fall)), pages 65-126.
- Sean P. Grover & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael W. McCracken, 2016. "A Macroeconomic News Index for Constructing Nowcasts of U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product Growth," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 98(4), pages 277-296.
- Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2024.
"High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests,"
The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 69(2), pages 253-276, August.
- Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2021. "High-Frequency Contagion between Aggregate and Regional Housing Markets of the United States with Financial Assets: Evidence from Multichannel Tests," Working Papers 202159, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Pönkä, Harri, 2016.
"Real oil prices and the international sign predictability of stock returns,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 79-87.
- Pönkä, Harri, 2015. "Real oil prices and the international sign predictability of stock returns," MPRA Paper 68330, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- S. Borağan Aruoba, 2020.
"Term Structures of Inflation Expectations and Real Interest Rates,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 542-553, July.
- S. Boragan Aruoba, 2016. "Term structures of inflation expectations and real interest rates," Working Papers 16-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Zhang, Yaojie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Yudong, 2019. "Forecasting crude oil prices with a large set of predictors: Can LASSO select powerful predictors?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 97-117.
- Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve's Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices, a speech at \"The Bank of Finland Conference on Monetary Policy and Future of EMU [Economic and M," Speech 1075, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using dynamic model averaging. Does the state–space representation matter?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Winkelried, Diego, 2013. "Modelo de Proyección Trimestral del BCRP: Actualización y novedades," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 26, pages 9-60.
- Michael Wickens, 2014.
"How Useful are DSGE Macroeconomic Models for Forecasting?,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 171-193, February.
- Wickens, Michael R., 2012. "How Useful are DSGE Macroeconomic Models for Forecasting?," CEPR Discussion Papers 9049, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Chuliá, Helena & Gupta, Rangan & Uribe, Jorge M. & Wohar, Mark E., 2017.
"Impact of US uncertainties on emerging and mature markets: Evidence from a quantile-vector autoregressive approach,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 178-191.
- Helena Chuliá & Rangan Gupta & Jorge M. Uribe & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Impact of US Uncertainties on Emerging and Mature Markets: Evidence from a Quantile-Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201656, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- S. Boragan Aruoba, 2014. "Term Structures of Inflation Expectations and Real Interest Rates: The Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy," Staff Report 502, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Huse, Cristian & Lucinda, Claudio & Ribeiro, Andre, 2021. "Assessing the effects of a large temporary energy savings program: Evidence from a developing country," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Ghysels, Eric & Plazzi, Alberto & Valkanov, Rossen & Torous, Walter, 2013. "Forecasting Real Estate Prices," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 509-580, Elsevier.
- Drachal, Krzysztof, 2016. "Forecasting spot oil price in a dynamic model averaging framework — Have the determinants changed over time?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 35-46.
- Bahloul, Walid & Balcilar, Mehmet & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2018.
"The role of economic and financial uncertainties in predicting commodity futures returns and volatility: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test,"
Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 52-71.
- Walid Bahloul & Mehmet Balcilar & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Role of Economic and Financial Uncertainties in Predicting Commodity Futures Returns and Volatility: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Test," Working Papers 201725, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- He, Mengxi & Zhang, Yaojie & Wen, Danyan & Wang, Yudong, 2021. "Forecasting crude oil prices: A scaled PCA approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
- Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2014. "On the Relationships between Wages, Prices, and Economic Activity," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Aug.
- Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Whitehouse, Emily J., 2017.
"Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 833-847.
- David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Emily J. Whitehouse, 2017. "Forecast evaluation tests and negative long-run variance estimates in small samples," Discussion Papers 17/03, University of Nottingham, Granger Centre for Time Series Econometrics.
- Gita Gopinath, 2015.
"The International Price System,"
NBER Working Papers
21646, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Gopinath, Gita, 2015. "The International Price System," Scholarly Articles 30780147, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Dmitriy Stolyarov & Linda L. Tesar, 2019. "Interest Rate Trends in a Global Context," Working Papers wp402, University of Michigan, Michigan Retirement Research Center.
- Dooruj Rambaccussing, 2021. "The price–rent ratio inequality in Scottish Cities: fluctuations in discount rates and expected rent growth," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(9), pages 1-15, September.
- Alexis Akira Toda & Kieran James Walsh & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2020.
"The Equity Premium and the One Percent,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(8), pages 3583-3623.
- Toda, Alexis Akira & Walsh, Kieran James, 2014. "The Equity Premium and the One Percent," MPRA Paper 79009, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Feb 2017.
- Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Contagion between Stock and Real Estate Markets: International Evidence from a Local Gaussian Correlation Approach," Working Papers 201917, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Chalmovianský, Jakub & Porqueddu, Mario & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Weigh(t)ing the basket: aggregate and component-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," Working Paper Series 2501, European Central Bank.
- Krüger, Jens & Ruths Sion, Sebastian, 2019. "Improving oil price forecasts by sparse VAR methods," Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics 237, Darmstadt University of Technology, Department of Law and Economics.
- Szafranek, Karol, 2019.
"Bagged neural networks for forecasting Polish (low) inflation,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1042-1059.
- Karol Szafranek, 2017. "Bagged artificial neural networks in forecasting inflation: An extensive comparison with current modelling frameworks," NBP Working Papers 262, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Yijin He & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2019. "Conditional Dependence between Oil Prices and Exchange Rates in BRICS Countries: An Application of the Copula-GARCH Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-25, June.
- Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2021. "The Bureau for Economic Research's inflation expectations surveys: Know your data," Working Papers 10/2021, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
- Barnett, William A. & Chauvet, Marcelle & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2014.
"Real-Time Nowcasting Nominal GDP Under Structural Break,"
MPRA Paper
53699, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William A. Barnett & Marcelle Chauvetz & Danilo Leiva-Leonx, 2014. "Real-Time Nowcasting Nominal GDP Under Structural Break," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201313, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2014.
- Vo Le & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford & Michael Wickens & Yongdeng Xu, 2016.
"Testing Macro Models by Indirect Inference: A Survey for Users,"
Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 1-38, February.
- Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015. "Testing macro models by indirect inference: a survey for users," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2015/9, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael R. & Meenagh, David & Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Xu, Yongdeng, 2015. "Testing macro models by indirect inference: a survey for users," CEPR Discussion Papers 10766, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gregor Bäurle & Matthias Gubler & Diego R. Känzig, 2021.
"International Inflation Spillovers: The Role of Different Shocks,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(1), pages 191-230, March.
- Dr. Gregor Bäurle & Dr. Matthias Gubler & Diego R. Känzig, 2017. "International inflation spillovers - the role of different shocks," Working Papers 2017-07, Swiss National Bank.
- Jeffrey C. Chen & Abe Dunn & Kyle Hood & Alexander Driessen & Andrea Batch, 2019. "Off to the Races: A Comparison of Machine Learning and Alternative Data for Predicting Economic Indicators," NBER Chapters, in: Big Data for Twenty-First-Century Economic Statistics, pages 373-402, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Giuseppe Arbia & Michele Di Marcantonio, 2015. "Forecasting Interest Rates Using Geostatistical Techniques," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-28, November.
- Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2016.
"Monetary Policy Expectations at the Zero Lower Bound,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(7), pages 1439-1465, October.
- Michael D. Bauer & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2013. "Monetary Policy Expectations at the Zero Lower Bound," Working Paper Series 2013-18, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Avdulaj, Krenar & Barunik, Jozef, 2015.
"Are benefits from oil–stocks diversification gone? New evidence from a dynamic copula and high frequency data,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 31-44.
- Krenar Avdulaj & Jozef Barunik, 2013. "Are benefits from oil - stocks diversification gone? New evidence from a dynamic copula and high frequency data," Papers 1307.5981, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2015.
- Avdulaj, Krenar & Barunik, Jozef, 2015. "Are benefits from oil-stocks diversification gone? New evidence from a dynamic copula and high frequency data," FinMaP-Working Papers 32, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022.
"Forecasting oil prices over 150 years: The role of tail risks,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Forecasting Oil Price over 150 Years: The Role of Tail Risks," Working Papers 202120, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Elena Andreou & Andros Kourtellos, 2015. "The State and the Future of Cyprus Macroeconomic Forecasting," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 9(1), pages 73-90, June.
- Kieran Mc Morrow & Werner Roeger & Valerie Vandermeulen, 2017. "Evaluating Medium Term Forecasting Methods and their Implications for EU Output Gap Calculations," European Economy - Discussion Papers 070, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "The price of crude oil and (conditional) out-of-sample predictability of world industrial production," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
- Czudaj, Robert L., 2022.
"Heterogeneity of beliefs and information rigidity in the crude oil market: Evidence from survey data,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Robert L. Czudaj, 2021. "Heterogeneity of Beliefs and Information Rigidity in the Crude Oil Market: Evidence from Survey Data," Chemnitz Economic Papers 050, Department of Economics, Chemnitz University of Technology, revised Sep 2021.
- Ankargren, Sebastian & Shahnazarian, Hovick, 2019. "The Interaction Between Fiscal and Monetary Policies: Evidence from Sweden," Working Paper Series 365, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), revised 01 Apr 2019.
- Michael D. Bauer & James D. Hamilton, 2016. "Do macro variables help forecast interest rates?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- repec:wrk:wrkemf:08 is not listed on IDEAS
- Peter McAdam & Anders Warne, 2024.
"Density forecast combinations: The real‐time dimension,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1153-1172, August.
- McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2020. "Density forecast combinations: the real-time dimension," Working Paper Series 2378, European Central Bank.
- Marie-Hélène Gagnon & Gabriel Power & Dominique Toupin, 2018. "Forecasting International Index Returns using Option-implied Variables," Cahiers de recherche 1807, Centre de recherche sur les risques, les enjeux économiques, et les politiques publiques.
- Møller, Stig V. & Sander, Magnus, 2017. "Dividends, earnings, and predictability," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 153-163.
- Alessia Bruzzo & Marco Mazzoli, 2018. "An Empirical Investigation on the European Housing Market Prices," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 12, pages 29-42, May.
- Liu, Li & Ma, Feng & Wang, Yudong, 2015. "Forecasting excess stock returns with crude oil market data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 316-324.
- Apostolos Ampountolas, 2019. "Forecasting hotel demand uncertainty using time series Bayesian VAR models," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(5), pages 734-756, August.
- Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Variants of consumption‐wealth ratios and predictability of U.S. government bond risk premia," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 661-674, June.
- Håvard Hungnes, 2020. "Equal predictability test for multi-step-ahead system forecasts invariant to linear transformations," Discussion Papers 931, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
- McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2019.
"Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 580-600.
- McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2018. "Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions," Working Paper Series 2140, European Central Bank.
- Chu‐An Liu & Biing‐Shen Kuo, 2016.
"Model averaging in predictive regressions,"
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 19(2), pages 203-231, June.
- Liu, Chu-An & Kuo, Biing-Shen, 2014. "Model Averaging in Predictive Regressions," MPRA Paper 54198, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Herrera, Gabriel Paes & Constantino, Michel & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda & Pistori, Hemerson & Su, Jen-Je & Naranpanawa, Athula, 2019. "Long-term forecast of energy commodities price using machine learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 214-221.
- Kitlinski, Tobias, 2015. "With or without you: Do financial data help to forecast industrial production?," Ruhr Economic Papers 558, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Gebka, Bartosz & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Stock return distribution and predictability: Evidence from over a century of daily data on the DJIA index," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-25.
- Dendramis, Y. & Tzavalis, E. & Adraktas, G., 2018. "Credit risk modelling under recessionary and financially distressed conditions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 160-175.
- Daniel Borup & Bent Jesper Christensen & Yunus Emre Ergemen, 2019. "Assessing predictive accuracy in panel data models with long-range dependence," CREATES Research Papers 2019-04, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & María del Carmen Ramos-Herrera, 2018.
"Inflation, real economic growth and unemployment expectations: an empirical analysis based on the ECB survey of professional forecasters,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(42), pages 4540-4555, September.
- María del Carmen Ramos-Herrera & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2017. "Inflation, real economic growth and unemployment expectations: An empirical analysis based on the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Working Papers 17-02, Asociación Española de Economía y Finanzas Internacionales.
- Copaciu, Mihai & Nalban, Valeriu & Bulete, Cristian, 2015. "R.E.M. 2.0, An estimated DSGE model for Romania," Dynare Working Papers 48, CEPREMAP.
- Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone, 2015. "Comparing predictive accuracy in small samples," Discussion Papers 15/15, Department of Economics, University of York.
- Nuri Hacıevliyagil & Krzysztof Drachal & Ibrahim Halil Eksi, 2022. "Predicting House Prices Using DMA Method: Evidence from Turkey," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-27, March.
- Goodness C. Aye & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta, 2016.
"Does Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Help in Forecasting the US Equity Risk Premium?,"
Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 63(3), pages 273-291, June.
- Goodness C. Aye & Frederick W. Deale & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Does Debt Ceiling and Government Shutdown Help in Forecasting the US Equity Risk Premium?," Working Papers 201422, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Ben Jacobsen & Ben R. Marshall & Nuttawat Visaltanachoti, 2019. "Stock Market Predictability and Industrial Metal Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(7), pages 3026-3042, July.
- Nicholas Apergis & Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2016. "Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach," Working Papers 201671, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- César Garcia-Gomez & Ana Pérez & Mercedes Prieto-Alaiz, 2022. "The evolution of poverty in the EU-28: a further look based on multivariate tail dependence," Working Papers 605, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
- Jiahan Li & Ilias Tsiakas & Wei Wang, 2015.
"Predicting Exchange Rates Out of Sample: Can Economic Fundamentals Beat the Random Walk?,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(2), pages 293-341.
- Jiahan Li & Ilias Tsiakas & Wei Wang, 2014. "Predicting Exchange Rates Out of Sample: Can Economic Fundamentals Beat the Random Walk?," Working Paper series 05_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Döpke Jörg & Fritsche Ulrich & Waldhof Gabi, 2019.
"Theories, Techniques and the Formation of German Business Cycle Forecasts : Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters,"
Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(2), pages 203-241, April.
- Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Gabi Waldhof, 2017. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201701, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Döpke, Jörg & Waldhof, Gabi & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2018. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181617, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Werner Ehm & Tilmann Gneiting & Alexander Jordan & Fabian Krüger, 2016. "Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(3), pages 505-562, June.
- Mathijs Cosemans & Rik Frehen & Peter C. Schotman & Rob Bauer, 2016. "Estimating Security Betas Using Prior Information Based on Firm Fundamentals," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(4), pages 1072-1112.
- Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting the US CPI: Does Nonlinearity Matter?," Working Papers 201512, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Cristian Huse & Claudio Lucinda, Andre Ribeiro, 2019. "The Impact of Incentives on the Energy Paradox: Evidence from Micro Data," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2019_39, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP), revised 16 Oct 2019.
- Michael D. Bauer, 2015.
"Inflation Expectations and the News,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(2), pages 1-40, March.
- Michael D. Bauer, 2014. "Inflation Expectations and the News," Working Paper Series 2014-9, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Refk Selmi & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Does Partisan Conflict Predict a Reduction in US Stock Market (Realized) Volatility? Evidence from a Quantile-on-Quantile Regression Model," Working Papers 201744, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Ikhlaas Gurrib & Firuz Kamalov & Elgilani E. Alshareif, 2022. "High Frequency Return and Risk Patterns in U.S. Sector ETFs during COVID-19," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 441-456, September.
- Zhang, Yaojie & Ma, Feng & Zhu, Bo, 2019. "Intraday momentum and stock return predictability: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 319-329.
- Lai, Wei-Ting & Chen, Ray-Bing & Chen, Ying & Koch, Thorsten, 2022. "Variational Bayesian inference for network autoregression models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
- Mehmet Balcilar & Deven Bathia & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Credit Ratings and Predictability of Stock Returns and Volatility of the BRICS and the PIIGS: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach," Working Papers 201719, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Claudio Borio, 2017. "Secular stagnation or financial cycle drag?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 87-98, April.
- Alessandra Amendola & Vincenzo Candila & Antonio Naimoli & Giuseppe Storti, 2024. "Adaptive combinations of tail-risk forecasts," Papers 2406.06235, arXiv.org.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2017. "Twenty Years of Time Series Econometrics in Ten Pictures," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 31(2), pages 59-86, Spring.
- Marek Kwas & Michał Rubaszek, 2021. "Forecasting Commodity Prices: Looking for a Benchmark," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-13, June.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Yong Song, 2018.
"Measuring Inflation Expectations Uncertainty Using High‐Frequency Data,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(6), pages 1139-1166, September.
- Joshua C C Chan & Yong Song, 2017. "Measuring inflation expectations uncertainty using high-frequency data," CAMA Working Papers 2017-61, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Thu, Le Ha & Leon-Gonzalez, Roberto, 2021. "Forecasting macroeconomic variables in emerging economies," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Ahmed, Osama, 2018. "Vertical price transmission in the Egyptian tomato sector after the Arab Spring," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 50(47), pages 5094-5109.
- Raza, Hamid & Wu, Weiou, 2018. "Quantile dependence between the stock, bond and foreign exchange markets – Evidence from the UK," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 286-296.
- Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "The Federal Reserve's Review of Its Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication Practices : a speech at the \"Fed Listens: Distributional Consequences of the Cycle and Monetary Policy\&quo," Speech 1054, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Marta Banbura & Andries van Vlodrop, 2018. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Time Variation in the Mean," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-025/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2018.
"A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long‐Run Inflation Expectations,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(1), pages 5-53, February.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Todd E. Clark & Gary Koop, 2015. "A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Working Papers (Old Series) 1520, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2020. "Crude oil price changes and the United Kingdom real gross domestic product growth rate: An out-of-sample investigation," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
- Janet L. Yellen, 2016. "Macroeconomic Research After the Crisis : a speech at \"The Elusive 'Great' Recovery: Causes and Implications for Future Business Cycle Dynamics\" 60th annual economic conference sponsored b," Speech 915, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Lahiri Kajal & Yang Liu, 2016.
"A non-linear forecast combination procedure for binary outcomes,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 421-440, September.
- Kajal Lahiri & Liu Yang, 2015. "A Non-linear Forecast Combination Procedure for Binary Outcomes," CESifo Working Paper Series 5175, CESifo.
- Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2015. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Indices for the Euro Area and Individual Member Countries," Working Papers 820, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Andrew B. Martinez, 2020. "Extracting Information from Different Expectations," Working Papers 2020-008, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
- Marozzi, Armando, 2021. "The ECB's tracker: nowcasting the press conferences of the ECB," Working Paper Series 2609, European Central Bank.
- Joseph G. Haubrich, 2021.
"Does the Yield Curve Predict Output?,"
Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 13(1), pages 341-362, November.
- Joseph G. Haubrich, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Predict Output?," Working Papers 20-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Anatolyev, Stanislav & Gospodinov, Nikolay & Jamali, Ibrahim & Liu, Xiaochun, 2017. "Foreign exchange predictability and the carry trade: A decomposition approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 199-211.
- Engelke, Carola & Heinisch, Katja & Schult, Christoph, 2019. "How forecast accuracy depends on conditioning assumptions," IWH Discussion Papers 18/2019, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Nima Nonejad, 2021. "Bayesian model averaging and the conditional volatility process: an application to predicting aggregate equity returns by conditioning on economic variables," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(8), pages 1387-1411, August.
- Ally, Jamie & Pryor, Trevor, 2016. "Life cycle costing of diesel, natural gas, hybrid and hydrogen fuel cell bus systems: An Australian case study," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 285-294.
- Gelain, Paolo & Manganelli, Simone, 2020.
"Monetary policy with judgment,"
Working Paper Series
2404, European Central Bank.
- Paolo Gelain & Simone Manganelli, 2020. "Monetary Policy with Judgment," Working Papers 20-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- P.Antipa, 2014. "How Fiscal Policy Affects the Price Level: Britain’s First Experience with Paper Money," Working papers 525, Banque de France.
- Rubaszek Michal & Karolak Zuzanna & Kwas Marek & Uddin Gazi Salah, 2020. "The role of the threshold effect for the dynamics of futures and spot prices of energy commodities," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(5), pages 1-20, December.
- Burçin Kısacıkoğlu, 2020. "Real Term Structure and New Keynesian Models," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(3), pages 95-139, June.
- Ryan Banerjee & Aaron Mehrotra, 2021. "Disagreeing during Deflations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(7), pages 1867-1885, October.
- Bańbura, Marta & Brenna, Federica & Paredes, Joan & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2021. "Combining Bayesian VARs with survey density forecasts: does it pay off?," Working Paper Series 2543, European Central Bank.
- Ekaterina V. Peneva & Jeremy B. Rudd, 2015. "The Passthrough of Labor Costs to Price Inflation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-42, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Graham Elliott & Allan Timmermann, 2016.
"Forecasting in Economics and Finance,"
Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 8(1), pages 81-110, October.
- Timmermann, Allan & Elliott, Graham, 2016. "Forecasting in Economics and Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 11354, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Elliott, Graham & Timmermann, Allan G, 2016. "Forecasting in Economics and Finance," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt6z55v472, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
- Patrick Bielstein, 2018. "International asset allocation using the market implied cost of capital," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 32(1), pages 17-51, February.
- Enno Mammen & Jens Perch Nielsen & Michael Scholz & Stefan Sperlich, 2019. "Conditional Variance Forecasts for Long-Term Stock Returns," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-22, November.
- Cross, Jamie & Poon, Aubrey, 2016. "Forecasting structural change and fat-tailed events in Australian macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 34-51.
- Ewerhart Christian, 2015. "Mixed Equilibrium in a Pure Location Game: The Case of n≥4$$n \ge 4$$ Firms," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(2), pages 457-472, July.
- Sergey V. Smirnov & Daria A. Avdeeva, 2016. "Wishful Bias in Predicting Us Recessions: Indirect Evidence," HSE Working papers WP BRP 135/EC/2016, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2020_004 is not listed on IDEAS
- Jack Fosten & Daniel Gutknecht, 2021. "Horizon confidence sets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 667-692, August.
- Lunsford, Kurt G., 2015. "Forecasting residential investment in the United States," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 276-285.
- Lutz Kilian, 2014.
"Oil Price Shocks: Causes and Consequences,"
Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 6(1), pages 133-154, October.
- Kilian, Lutz, 2014. "Oil Price Shocks: Causes and Consequences," CEPR Discussion Papers 9823, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mamdouh Abdelmoula M. ABDELSALAM, 2017. "Improving Phillips Curve’s Inflation Forecasts under Misspecification," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 54-76, September.
- Hollyman, Ross & Petropoulos, Fotios & Tipping, Michael E., 2021. "Understanding forecast reconciliation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 294(1), pages 149-160.
- Allan Timmermann, 2018. "Forecasting Methods in Finance," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 449-479, November.
- Berardi, Michele, 2021. "Uncertainty, sentiments and time-varying risk premia," MPRA Paper 106922, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Laura Veldkamp, 2022. "Understanding Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Black Swans," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-083, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Hosseini, Seyedmehdi & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2018. "Does global fear predict fear in BRICS stock markets? Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Structural VAR model," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 124-142.
- Juan Angel García & Sebastian E. V. Werner, 2021. "Inflation News and Euro-Area Inflation Expectations," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(3), pages 1-60, September.
- Andras Chabin & Sébastien Lamproye & Milan Výškrabka, 2020. "Are We More Accurate? Revisiting the European Commission’s Macroeconomic Forecasts," European Economy - Discussion Papers 128, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Jiaqi Chen & Michael Tindall, 2016. "The Chen-Tindall system and the lasso operator: improving automatic model performance," Occasional Papers 16-1, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Aaron Mehrotra, 2018. "Deflation expectations," BIS Working Papers 699, Bank for International Settlements.
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2023.
"Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries,"
Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 365-381, July.
- Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Sentiment Regimes and Reaction of Stock Markets to Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies: Evidence from OECD Countries," Working Papers 202126, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Caraiani, Petre, 2016. "The role of money in DSGE models: a forecasting perspective," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB), pages 315-330.
- McKnight, Stephen & Mihailov, Alexander & Rumler, Fabio, 2020.
"Inflation forecasting using the New Keynesian Phillips Curve with a time-varying trend,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 383-393.
- Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Kerry Patterson & Fabio Rumler, 2014. "The Predictive Performance of Fundamental Inflation Concepts: An Application to the Euro Area and the United States," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2014-03, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
- Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Fabio Rumler, 2018. "NKPC-Based Inflation Forecasts with a Time-Varying Trend," Serie documentos de trabajo del Centro de Estudios Económicos 2018-05, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos.
- Christopher J. Neely, 2015. "How Much Do Oil Prices Affect Inflation?," Economic Synopses, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue 10.
- Richard H. Clarida, 2019. "Sustaining Maximum Employment and Price Stability : a speech at the Economic Club of New York, New York, New York, May 30, 2019," Speech 1067, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Xu Chong Bo & Jianlei Han & Yin Liao & Jing Shi & Wu Yan, 2021. "Do outliers matter? The predictive ability of average skewness on market returns using robust skewness measures," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(3), pages 3977-4006, September.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2014.
"Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails,"
Working Papers
720, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Petrella, Ivan & Delle Monache, Davide, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails," Bank of England working papers 577, Bank of England.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails," Working Papers 720, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2016. "Adaptive models and heavy tails," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1052, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Davide Delle Monache & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Adaptive Models and Heavy Tails," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1409, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Wegmüller, Philipp & Glocker, Christian & Guggia, Valentino, 2023.
"Weekly economic activity: Measurement and informational content,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 228-243.
- Philipp Wegmüller & Christian Glocker & Valentino Guggia, 2021. "Weekly Economic Activity: Measurement and Informational Content," WIFO Working Papers 627, WIFO.
- Dichtl, Hubert & Drobetz, Wolfgang & Neuhierl, Andreas & Wendt, Viktoria-Sophie, 2021. "Data snooping in equity premium prediction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 72-94.
- Sebastian Ankargren & Måns Unosson & Yukai Yang, 2018. "A mixed-frequency Bayesian vector autoregression with a steady-state prior," CREATES Research Papers 2018-32, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2020. "A comprehensive empirical analysis of the predictive impact of the price of crude oil on aggregate equity return volatility," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
- Clark, Todd E. & Doh, Taeyoung, 2014. "Evaluating alternative models of trend inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 426-448.
- Eda Gülşen & Hakan Kara, 2021. "Policy Performance and the Behavior of Inflation Expectations," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(70), pages 1-46, October.
- Fabian Krüger & Sebastian Lerch & Thordis Thorarinsdottir & Tilmann Gneiting, 2021. "Predictive Inference Based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo Output," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 89(2), pages 274-301, August.
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "Forecasting Realized Stock-Market Volatility: Do Industry Returns have Predictive Value?," Working Papers 2020107, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2020.
"Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequency Matters,"
CEF.UP Working Papers
2001, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Martins, Manuel M. F. & Verona, Fabio, 2020. "Forecasting inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips curve : Frequency matters," Research Discussion Papers 4/2020, Bank of Finland.
- Petri Kuosmanen & Juuso Vataja, 2017. "The return of financial variables in forecasting GDP growth in the G-7," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 259-277, August.
- Ioannis Kyriakou & Parastoo Mousavi & Jens Perch Nielsen & Michael Scholz, 2019. "Machine Learning for Forecasting Excess Stock Returns The Five-Year-View," Graz Economics Papers 2019-06, University of Graz, Department of Economics.
- Manganelli, Simone, 2018. "Selecting models with judgment," Working Paper Series 2188, European Central Bank.
- Carlos Benavides & Luis Gonzales & Manuel Diaz & Rodrigo Fuentes & Gonzalo García & Rodrigo Palma-Behnke & Catalina Ravizza, 2015. "The Impact of a Carbon Tax on the Chilean Electricity Generation Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-27, April.
- Ioannis Kyriakou & Parastoo Mousavi & Jens Perch Nielsen & Michael Scholz, 2020. "Short-Term Exuberance and long-term stability: A simultaneous optimization of stock return predictions for short and long horizons," Graz Economics Papers 2020-20, University of Graz, Department of Economics.
- Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Pedro Mendes Garcia & José Valentim Machado Vicente, 2021. "Rationality and anchoring of inflation expectations: An assessment from survey‐based and market‐based measures," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 1027-1053, September.
- Christian Ewerhart, 2014. "Mixed equilibrium in a pure location game: the case of n ≥ 4 firms," ECON - Working Papers 168, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
- Lang, Korbinian & Auer, Benjamin R., 2020. "The economic and financial properties of crude oil: A review," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Wendy Nyakabawo & Rangan Gupta & Hardik A. Marfatia, 2018. "High Frequency Impact Of Monetary Policy And Macroeconomic Surprises On Us Msas, Aggregate Us Housing Returns And Asymmetric Volatility," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 22(1), pages 204-229, December.
- Gamber, Edward N. & Smith, Julie K. & Eftimoiu, Raluca, 2015. "The dynamic relationship between core and headline inflation," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 38-53.
- Krämer, Walter & Neumärker, Simon, 2016. "Comparing the accuracy of default predictions in the rating industry for different sets of obligors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 48-51.
- Pircalabu, A. & Hvolby, T. & Jung, J. & Høg, E., 2017. "Joint price and volumetric risk in wind power trading: A copula approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 139-154.
- Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & Pierdzioch, Christian & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Disaggregated oil shocks and stock-market tail risks: Evidence from a panel of 48 economics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Alisa Yusupova & Nicos G. Pavlidis & Efthymios G. Pavlidis, 2019. "Adaptive Dynamic Model Averaging with an Application to House Price Forecasting," Papers 1912.04661, arXiv.org.
- Paul Labonne, 2020. "Asymmetric uncertainty : Nowcasting using skewness in real-time data," Papers 2012.02601, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
- Carola Binder & Wesley Janson & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2019. "Thinking Outside the Box: Do SPF Respondents Have Anchored Inflation Expectations?," Working Papers 19-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Alessandro Barbarino & Efstathia Bura, 2017. "A Unified Framework for Dimension Reduction in Forecasting," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-004, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Wei-han Liu, 2019. "National culture effects on stock market volatility level," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 1229-1253, October.
- repec:zbw:bofitp:2019_013 is not listed on IDEAS
- Reza Hajargasht, 2019. "Approximation Properties of Variational Bayes for Vector Autoregressions," Papers 1903.00617, arXiv.org.
- Jari Hännikäinen, 2015. "Zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy and indicator properties of interest rate spreads," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(1), pages 47-54, September.
- Soojin Jo, 2014. "The Effects of Oil Price Uncertainty on Global Real Economic Activity," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(6), pages 1113-1135, September.
- Johanna F. Ziegel & Fabian Kruger & Alexander Jordan & Fernando Fasciati, 2017. "Murphy Diagrams: Forecast Evaluation of Expected Shortfall," Papers 1705.04537, arXiv.org.
- Ward, Colin, 2020. "Is the IT revolution over? An asset pricing view," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 283-316.
- Ravazzolo Francesco & Rothman Philip, 2016.
"Oil-price density forecasts of US GDP,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 441-453, September.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2015. "Oil-Price Density Forecasts of U.S. GDP," Working Papers No 10/2015, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2020. "Building Credibility and Influencing Expectations The Evolution of Central Bank Communication," Working Papers 10144, South African Reserve Bank.
- Ravaghi-Ardebili, Zohreh & Manenti, Flavio, 2015. "Unified modeling and feasibility study of novel green pathway of biomass to methanol/dimethylether," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 278-294.
- Bing Han & Gang Li, 2021. "Information Content of Aggregate Implied Volatility Spread," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(2), pages 1249-1269, February.
- Sergey V. Smirnov, 2014. "Predicting US Recessions: Does a Wishful Bias Exist?," HSE Working papers WP BRP 77/EC/2014, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
- Daria Loginova & Stefan Mann, 2023. "Measuring stability and structural breaks: Applications in social sciences," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 302-320, April.
- Wichitaksorn, Nuttanan, 2022. "Analyzing and forecasting Thai macroeconomic data using mixed-frequency approach," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Cláudia Duarte & Sónia Cabral, 2016. "Nowcasting Portuguese tourism exports," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Nida Çakır Melek & Charles W. Calomiris & Harry Mamaysky, 2020. "Mining for Oil Forecasts," Research Working Paper RWP 20-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Snudden, Stephen, 2018. "Targeted growth rates for long-horizon crude oil price forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 1-16.
- Jamali, Ibrahim & Yamani, Ehab, 2019. "Out-of-sample exchange rate predictability in emerging markets: Fundamentals versus technical analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 241-263.
- In Choi & Sun Ho Hwang, 2016. "Optimal Autoregressive Predictions," Working Papers 1607, Nam Duck-Woo Economic Research Institute, Sogang University (Former Research Institute for Market Economy).
- Bo Young Chang & Bruno Feunou, 2013. "Measuring Uncertainty in Monetary Policy Using Implied Volatility and Realized Volatility," Staff Working Papers 13-37, Bank of Canada.
- Dong, Dayong & Yue, Sishi & Cao, Jiawei, 2020. "Site visit information content and return predictability: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Dario Caldara & Chiara Scotti & Molin Zhong, 2021. "Macroeconomic and Financial Risks: A Tale of Mean and Volatility," International Finance Discussion Papers 1326, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting the return on the spot price of crude oil out-of-sample by conditioning on news-based uncertainty measures: Some new empirical results," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- James P. LeSage & Daniel Hendrikz, 2019. "Large Bayesian vector autoregressive forecasting for regions: A comparison of methods based on alternative disturbance structures," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 62(3), pages 563-599, June.
- Nicholas Apergis & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Can Weather Conditions in New York Predict South African Stock Returns?," Working Papers 201634, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Aastveit, Knut Are, 2014. "Oil price shocks in a data-rich environment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 268-279.
- De Gooijer Jan G. & Zerom Dawit, 2020. "Penalized Averaging of Parametric and Non-Parametric Quantile Forecasts," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Mathijs Cosemans & Rik Frehen & Peter C. Schotman & Rob Bauer, 2016.
"Estimating Security Betas Using Prior Information Based on Firm Fundamentals,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(4), pages 1072-1112.
- Cosemans, Mathijs & Frehen, Rik & Schotman, Peter & Bauer, Rob, 2016. "Estimating security betas using prior information based on firm fundamentals," Other publications TiSEM f0f91c05-b59e-454c-a102-a, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Christian Pierdzioch & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Disaggregated Oil Shocks and Stock-Market Tail Risks: Evidence from a Panel of 48 Countries," Working Papers 202106, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.