IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/stpapr/v56y2015i3p701-721.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Clustering of time series via non-parametric tail dependence estimation

Author

Listed:
  • Fabrizio Durante
  • Roberta Pappadà
  • Nicola Torelli

Abstract

We present a procedure for clustering time series according to their tail dependence behaviour as measured via a suitable copula-based tail coefficient, estimated in a non-parametric way. Simulation results about the proposed methodology together with an application to financial data are presented showing the usefulness of the proposed approach. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Fabrizio Durante & Roberta Pappadà & Nicola Torelli, 2015. "Clustering of time series via non-parametric tail dependence estimation," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 701-721, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:stpapr:v:56:y:2015:i:3:p:701-721
    DOI: 10.1007/s00362-014-0605-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s00362-014-0605-7
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00362-014-0605-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. R. Mantegna, 1999. "Hierarchical structure in financial markets," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 11(1), pages 193-197, September.
    2. Frahm, Gabriel & Junker, Markus & Schmidt, Rafael, 2005. "Estimating the tail-dependence coefficient: Properties and pitfalls," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 80-100, August.
    3. Otranto, Edoardo, 2008. "Clustering heteroskedastic time series by model-based procedures," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(10), pages 4685-4698, June.
    4. Okhrin, Ostap & Okhrin, Yarema & Schmid, Wolfgang, 2013. "On the structure and estimation of hierarchical Archimedean copulas," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 173(2), pages 189-204.
    5. Domenico Piccolo, 1990. "A Distance Measure For Classifying Arima Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(2), pages 153-164, March.
    6. Francesco Cesarone & Andrea Scozzari & Fabio Tardella, 2013. "A new method for mean-variance portfolio optimization with cardinality constraints," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 205(1), pages 213-234, May.
    7. De Luca, Giovanni & Zuccolotto, Paola, 2013. "A Conditional Value-at-Risk Based Portfolio Selection With Dynamic Tail Dependence Clustering," MPRA Paper 50129, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Fabrizio Durante & Marius Hofert & Matthias Scherer, 2010. "Multivariate Hierarchical Copulas with Shocks," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 12(4), pages 681-694, December.
    9. João A. Bastos & Jorge Caiado, 2014. "Clustering financial time series with variance ratio statistics," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(12), pages 2121-2133, December.
    10. Giovanni De Luca & Paola Zuccolotto, 2011. "A tail dependence-based dissimilarity measure for financial time series clustering," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 5(4), pages 323-340, December.
    11. G. Bonanno & G. Caldarelli & F. Lillo & S. Micciché & N. Vandewalle & R. Mantegna, 2004. "Networks of equities in financial markets," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 38(2), pages 363-371, March.
    12. Fabrizio Durante & Roberta Pappadà & Nicola Torelli, 2014. "Clustering of financial time series in risky scenarios," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 8(4), pages 359-376, December.
    13. Roger Shepard, 1962. "The analysis of proximities: Multidimensional scaling with an unknown distance function. II," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 27(3), pages 219-246, September.
    14. Tola, Vincenzo & Lillo, Fabrizio & Gallegati, Mauro & Mantegna, Rosario N., 2008. "Cluster analysis for portfolio optimization," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 235-258, January.
    15. Lawrence Hubert & Phipps Arabie, 1985. "Comparing partitions," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 2(1), pages 193-218, December.
    16. François Longin & Bruno Solnik, 2001. "Extreme Correlation of International Equity Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(2), pages 649-676, April.
    17. J. Kruskal, 1964. "Nonmetric multidimensional scaling: A numerical method," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 29(2), pages 115-129, June.
    18. Patton, Andrew J., 2012. "A review of copula models for economic time series," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 4-18.
    19. Roger Shepard, 1962. "The analysis of proximities: Multidimensional scaling with an unknown distance function. I," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 27(2), pages 125-140, June.
    20. Hering, Christian & Hofert, Marius & Mai, Jan-Frederik & Scherer, Matthias, 2010. "Constructing hierarchical Archimedean copulas with Lévy subordinators," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(6), pages 1428-1433, July.
    21. Pattarin, Francesco & Paterlini, Sandra & Minerva, Tommaso, 2004. "Clustering financial time series: an application to mutual funds style analysis," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 353-372, September.
    22. Fabrizio Durante & Piotr Jaworski, 2010. "Spatial contagion between financial markets: a copula‐based approach," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(5), pages 551-564, September.
    23. Patton, Andrew, 2013. "Copula Methods for Forecasting Multivariate Time Series," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 899-960, Elsevier.
    24. G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), 2013. "Handbook of Economic Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Elsevier, edition 1, volume 2, number 2.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chen Yang & Wenjun Jiang & Jiang Wu & Xin Liu & Zhichuan Li, 2018. "Clustering of financial instruments using jump tail dependence coefficient," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 27(3), pages 491-513, August.
    2. Xin Liu & Jiang Wu & Chen Yang & Wenjun Jiang, 2018. "A Maximal Tail Dependence-Based Clustering Procedure for Financial Time Series and Its Applications in Portfolio Selection," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-26, October.
    3. Jafar Rahmanishamsi & Ali Dolati & Masoudreza R. Aghabozorgi, 2018. "A Copula Based ICA Algorithm and Its Application to Time Series Clustering," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 35(2), pages 230-249, July.
    4. Fuchs, Sebastian & Di Lascio, F. Marta L. & Durante, Fabrizio, 2021. "Dissimilarity functions for rank-invariant hierarchical clustering of continuous variables," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    5. Alessia Benevento & Fabrizio Durante, 2023. "Wasserstein Dissimilarity for Copula-Based Clustering of Time Series with Spatial Information," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-15, December.
    6. Gautier Marti & Frank Nielsen & Miko{l}aj Bi'nkowski & Philippe Donnat, 2017. "A review of two decades of correlations, hierarchies, networks and clustering in financial markets," Papers 1703.00485, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
    7. Francesca Mariani & Gloria Polinesi & Maria Cristina Recchioni, 2022. "A tail-revisited Markowitz mean-variance approach and a portfolio network centrality," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 425-455, July.
    8. B. Lafuente-Rego & P. D’Urso & J. A. Vilar, 2020. "Robust fuzzy clustering based on quantile autocovariances," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2393-2448, December.
    9. De Luca Giovanni & Zuccolotto Paola, 2017. "A double clustering algorithm for financial time series based on extreme events," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 34(1-2), pages 1-12, June.
    10. Giovanni De Luca & Paola Zuccolotto, 2021. "Regime dependent interconnectedness among fuzzy clusters of financial time series," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 15(2), pages 315-336, June.
    11. Giovanni De Luca & Paola Zuccolotto, 2017. "Dynamic tail dependence clustering of financial time series," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 641-657, September.
    12. Ji-Eun Choi & Dong Wan Shin, 2022. "Quantile correlation coefficient: a new tail dependence measure," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1075-1104, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fabrizio Durante & Roberta Pappadà & Nicola Torelli, 2014. "Clustering of financial time series in risky scenarios," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 8(4), pages 359-376, December.
    2. Gautier Marti & Frank Nielsen & Miko{l}aj Bi'nkowski & Philippe Donnat, 2017. "A review of two decades of correlations, hierarchies, networks and clustering in financial markets," Papers 1703.00485, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
    3. Edoardo Otranto & Romana Gargano, 2015. "Financial clustering in presence of dominant markets," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 9(3), pages 315-339, September.
    4. Giovanni De Luca & Paola Zuccolotto, 2011. "A tail dependence-based dissimilarity measure for financial time series clustering," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 5(4), pages 323-340, December.
    5. Fuchs, Sebastian & Di Lascio, F. Marta L. & Durante, Fabrizio, 2021. "Dissimilarity functions for rank-invariant hierarchical clustering of continuous variables," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    6. Francesca Mariani & Gloria Polinesi & Maria Cristina Recchioni, 2022. "A tail-revisited Markowitz mean-variance approach and a portfolio network centrality," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 425-455, July.
    7. Phipps Arabie, 1991. "Was euclid an unnecessarily sophisticated psychologist?," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 56(4), pages 567-587, December.
    8. Luis Lorenzo & Javier Arroyo, 2023. "Online risk-based portfolio allocation on subsets of crypto assets applying a prototype-based clustering algorithm," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-40, December.
    9. Xin Liu & Jiang Wu & Chen Yang & Wenjun Jiang, 2018. "A Maximal Tail Dependence-Based Clustering Procedure for Financial Time Series and Its Applications in Portfolio Selection," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-26, October.
    10. De Luca Giovanni & Zuccolotto Paola, 2017. "A double clustering algorithm for financial time series based on extreme events," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 34(1-2), pages 1-12, June.
    11. Leonidas Sandoval Junior & Italo De Paula Franca, 2011. "Correlation of financial markets in times of crisis," Papers 1102.1339, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2011.
    12. Pierpaolo D’Urso & Livia Giovanni & Riccardo Massari, 2021. "Trimmed fuzzy clustering of financial time series based on dynamic time warping," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 1379-1395, April.
    13. B. Lafuente-Rego & P. D’Urso & J. A. Vilar, 2020. "Robust fuzzy clustering based on quantile autocovariances," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2393-2448, December.
    14. Sandoval, Leonidas & Franca, Italo De Paula, 2012. "Correlation of financial markets in times of crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(1), pages 187-208.
    15. Sebastiano Michele Zema & Giorgio Fagiolo & Tiziano Squartini & Diego Garlaschelli, 2021. "Mesoscopic Structure of the Stock Market and Portfolio Optimization," Papers 2112.06544, arXiv.org.
    16. Djauhari, Maman Abdurachman & Gan, Siew Lee, 2015. "Optimality problem of network topology in stocks market analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 108-114.
    17. Nicoló Musmeci & Tomaso Aste & T Di Matteo, 2015. "Relation between Financial Market Structure and the Real Economy: Comparison between Clustering Methods," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-24, March.
    18. Karim Abou-Moustafa & Frank P. Ferrie, 2018. "Local generalized quadratic distance metrics: application to the k-nearest neighbors classifier," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 12(2), pages 341-363, June.
    19. Raza, Hamid & Wu, Weiou, 2018. "Quantile dependence between the stock, bond and foreign exchange markets – Evidence from the UK," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 286-296.
    20. G.M. Gallo & D. Lacava & E. Otranto, 2023. "Volatility jumps and the classification of monetary policy announcements," Working Paper CRENoS 202306, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:stpapr:v:56:y:2015:i:3:p:701-721. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.