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Oil and Macroeconomy When Prices Go Up and Down: An Extension of Hamilton's Results
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Cited by:
- Imran Shah, 2012.
"Revisiting the Dynamic Effects of Oil Price Shock on Small Developing Economies,"
Bristol Economics Discussion Papers
12/626, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
- Imran Shah & Diaz Vela Carlos & Yuan Wang, 2017. "Revisiting the Dynamics Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Small Developing Economies," Department of Economics Working Papers 65/17, University of Bath, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Reneé van Eyden & Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2017.
"The Impact of Oil Price on South African GDP Growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR Analysis,"
African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 29(2), pages 319-336, June.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Reneé van Eyden & Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "The impact of oil price on South African GDP growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR analysis," Working Papers 15-13, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Reneé van Eyden & Josine Uwilingiye & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "The impact of oil price on South African GDP growth: A Bayesian Markov Switching-VAR analysis," Working Papers 201470, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Bashar, Omar H.M.N. & Wadud, I.K.M. Mokhtarul & Ali Ahmed, Huson Joher, 2013. "Oil price uncertainty, monetary policy and the macroeconomy: The Canadian perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 249-259.
- Mahmood -ur- Rahman & Zakaria Zoundi, 2018. "Macroeconomic Response of Disentangled Oil Price Shocks: Empirical Evidence from Japan," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(4), pages 2240-2253.
- Rafiq, Shudhasattwa & Sgro, Pasquale & Apergis, Nicholas, 2016. "Asymmetric oil shocks and external balances of major oil exporting and importing countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 42-50.
- Muhammad Arshad Khan & Ayaz Ahmed, 2011. "Macroeconomic Effects of Global Food and Oil Price Shocks to the Pakistan Economy: A Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) Analysis," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 50(4), pages 491-511.
- Mihaela NICOLAU, 2010.
"Financial Markets Interactions between Economic Theory and Practice,"
Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 2, pages 27-36.
- Nicolau, Mihaela, 2010. "Financial Markets Interactions between Economic Theory and Practice," MPRA Paper 27322, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Komain JIRANYAKUL, 2017.
"The Response of Industrial Production to the Price of Oil: New Evidence for Thailand,"
Turkish Economic Review, KSP Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 193-204, June.
- Jiranyakul, Komain, 2016. "The response of industrial production to the price of oil: new evidence for Thailand," MPRA Paper 70457, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Raeisian Parvari, Mozhgan, 2014.
"Iranian-Oil-Free Zone and international oil prices,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 364-372.
- Mohammad Reza Farzanegan & Mozhgan Raeisian Parvari, 2014. "Iranian-Oil-Free Zone and International Oil Prices," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201427, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Elder, John & Serletis, Apostolos, 2009. "Oil price uncertainty in Canada," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 852-856, November.
- Nidhaleddine Ben Cheikh & Sami Ben Naceur & Mr. Oussama Kanaan & Christophe Rault, 2018.
"Oil Prices and GCC Stock Markets: New Evidence from Smooth Transition Models,"
IMF Working Papers
2018/098, International Monetary Fund.
- Nidhaleddine Ben Cheikh & Sami Ben Naceur & Oussama Kanaan & Christophe Rault, 2018. "Oil Prices and GCC Stock Markets: New Evidence from Smooth Transition Models," CESifo Working Paper Series 7072, CESifo.
- Jihoon Lee & Hong Chong Cho, 2021. "Impact of Structural Oil Price Shock Factors on the Gasoline Market and Macroeconomy in South Korea," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, February.
- Jaffe, Amy Myers & Soligo, Ronald, 2002. "The role of inventories in oil market stability," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 401-415.
- Hillard G. Huntington, 2017.
"The Historical Roots of U.S. Energy Price Shocks,"
The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 5).
- Huntington, Hillard, 2016. "The Historical “Roots” of U.S. Energy Price Shocks," MPRA Paper 74935, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Engemann, Kristie M. & Kliesen, Kevin L. & Owyang, Michael T., 2011.
"Do Oil Shocks Drive Business Cycles? Some U.S. And International Evidence,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(S3), pages 498-517, November.
- Kristie M. Engemann & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael T. Owyang, 2010. "Do oil shocks drive business cycles? some U.S. and international evidence," Working Papers 2010-007, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Jane Sneddon Little, 2000. "Recent developments in U.S. energy markets: a background note," New England Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue Sep, pages 3-18.
- Yeh, Fang-Yu & Hu, Jin-Li & Lin, Cheng-Hsun, 2012. "Asymmetric impacts of international energy shocks on macroeconomic activities," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 10-22.
- Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2024.
"Pass‐through of shocks into different U.S. prices,"
Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3), pages 1300-1315, August.
- Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2024. "Pass-Through of Shocks into Different U.S. Prices," Working Papers 2401, Florida International University, Department of Economics.
- Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Zafar Ahmad Sultan, 2019. "Oil Price and Economic Growth: The Case of Indian Economy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 274-279.
- Pershin, Vitaly & Molero, Juan Carlos & de Gracia, Fernando Perez, 2016.
"Exploring the oil prices and exchange rates nexus in some African economies,"
Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 166-180.
- Vitaly Pershin & Juan Carlos Molero & Fernando Pérez de Gracia, 2015. "Exploring the oil prices and exchange rates nexus in some African economies," Faculty Working Papers 01/15, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
- Nonejad, Nima, 2021. "Predicting equity premium using news-based economic policy uncertainty: Not all uncertainty changes are equally important," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Xinheng Liu & Shuxian Li & Chengbo Fu & Xu Gong & Chen Fan, 2024. "The oil price plummeted in 2014–2015: Is there an effect on Chinese firms' labour investment?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 943-960, January.
- Gupta, Kartick, 2016. "Oil price shocks, competition, and oil & gas stock returns — Global evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 140-153.
- Adilson de Oliveira & Susan Schommer & Ledson L. G. da Rosa, 2023. "Oil price volatility: impacts in the Brazilian economy," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(1), pages 429-440.
- Michael Soucek & Neda Todorova, 2013. "Economic significance of oil price changes on Russian and Chinese stock markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(7), pages 561-571, April.
- Afees A. Salisu & Umar B. Ndako & Idris Adediran, 2018. "Forecasting GDP of OPEC: The role of oil price," Working Papers 044, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
- Denny IRAWAN & OKIMOTO Tatsuyoshi, 2021. "Conditional Capital Surplus and Shortfall across Resource Firms," Discussion papers 21031, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Misund, Bård, 2018.
"Common and fundamental risk factors in shareholder returns of Norwegian salmon producing companies,"
Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 19-30.
- Misund, Bard, 2016. "Common and Fundamental Risk Factors in Shareholder Returns of Norwegian Salmon Producing Companies," UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2016/17, University of Stavanger.
- John A. Tatom, 1993.
"Are There Useful Lessons from the 1990-91Oil Price Shock?,"
The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4), pages 129-150.
- John A. Tatom, 1993. "Are There Useful Lessons from the 1990-91 Oil Price Shock?," The Energy Journal, , vol. 14(4), pages 1-22, October.
- Turhan, M. Ibrahim & Sensoy, Ahmet & Ozturk, Kevser & Hacihasanoglu, Erk, 2014. "A view to the long-run dynamic relationship between crude oil and the major asset classes," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 286-299.
- Dong Kim, 2012.
"What is an oil shock? Panel data evidence,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 121-143, August.
- Dong Heon Kim, 2010. "What is an oil shock? Panel data evidence," Discussion Paper Series 1007, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
- Ma, Feng & Wang, Ruoxin & Lu, Xinjie & Wahab, M.I.M., 2021. "A comprehensive look at stock return predictability by oil prices using economic constraint approaches," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Zhang, Chuanguo & Chen, Xiaoqing, 2011. "The impact of global oil price shocks on China’s stock returns: Evidence from the ARJI(-ht)-EGARCH model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 6627-6633.
- Michael P. Clements & David I. Harvey, 2010.
"Forecast encompassing tests and probability forecasts,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 1028-1062.
- Clements, Michael P & Harvey, David I, 2006. "Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 774, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P. & Harvey, David I., 2006. "Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts," Economic Research Papers 269744, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Myers, Robert J. & Johnson, Stanley R. & Helmar, Michael & Baumes, Harry, 2018. "Long-run and short-run relationships between oil prices, producer prices, and consumer prices: What can we learn from a permanent-transitory decomposition?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 175-190.
- Löschel Andreas & Oberndorfer Ulrich, 2009.
"Oil and Unemployment in Germany,"
Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 229(2-3), pages 146-162, April.
- Löschel, Andreas & Oberndorfer, Ulrich, 2009. "Oil and Unemployment in Germany," ZEW Discussion Papers 08-136, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Brueckner, Marcus & Hong, Haidi & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2023.
"Regulation of petrol and diesel prices and their effects on GDP growth: evidence from China,"
Working Papers
2023-02, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
- Markus Brueckner & Haidi Hong & Joaquin Vespignani, 2023. "Regulation of Petrol and Diesel Prices and their Effects on GDP Growth: Evidence from China," CAMA Working Papers 2023-17, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Sudeshna Ghosh, 2019. "Environmental Pollution, Income Inequality, and Household Energy Consumption: Evidence from the United Kingdom," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(02), pages 1-31, June.
- Baghestani, Hamid, 2016. "Do gasoline prices asymmetrically affect US consumers’ economic outlook?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 247-252.
- Wang, Gang & Sharma, Paritosh & Jain, Vipin & Shukla, Avanish & Shahzad Shabbir, Malik & Tabash, Mosab I. & Chawla, Chanchal, 2022. "The relationship among oil prices volatility, inflation rate, and sustainable economic growth: Evidence from top oil importer and exporter countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Ortiz-Cruz, Alejandro & Rodriguez, Eduardo & Ibarra-Valdez, Carlos & Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose, 2012. "Efficiency of crude oil markets: Evidences from informational entropy analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 365-373.
- John Elder & Apostolos Serletis, 2010.
"Oil Price Uncertainty,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(6), pages 1137-1159, September.
- John Elder & Apostolos Serletis, 2010. "Oil Price Uncertainty," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(6), pages 1137-1159, September.
- Tom Doan, "undated". "RATS programs to estimate structural VAR-GARCH-M model," Statistical Software Components RTZ00052, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Aziza Syzdykova & Aktolkin Abubakirova & Lyazzat Kudabayeva & Ardak Zhantayeva & Aizhan Omarova, 2022. "Asymmetric Causality Relationship between Oil Prices and Inflation in BRIC Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(3), pages 184-191, May.
- Mohamed El Hédi Arouri & Philippe Foulquier & Julien Fouquau, 2011.
"Oil Prices and Stock Markets in Europe: A Sector Perspective,"
Recherches économiques de Louvain, De Boeck Université, vol. 77(1), pages 5-30.
- Mohamed EL HEDI AROURI & Philippe FOULQUIER & Julien FOUQUAU, 2011. "Oil Prices and Stock Markets in Europe: A Sector Perspective," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain) 2011011, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
- Civcir, Irfan & Akkoc, Ugur, 2021. "Non-linear ARDL approach to the oil-stock nexus: Detailed sectoral analysis of the Turkish stock market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Théo Naccache, 2009. "Slow oil shocks and the “weakening of the oil price macroeconomy relationship”," Working Papers hal-04140845, HAL.
- Alfred Haug & Syed Basher & Perry Sadorsky, 2016.
"The impact of oil price shocks on exchange rates: A non-linear smooth-transition approach,"
EcoMod2016
9226, EcoMod.
- Haug, Alfred A. & Basher, Syed Abul, 2017. "Exchange rates of oil exporting countries and global oil price shocks: A nonlinear smooth-transition approach," MPRA Paper 83205, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Khalid M. Kisswani, 2016. "Does oil price variability affect ASEAN exchange rates? Evidence from panel cointegration test," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(20), pages 1831-1839, April.
- Qingxiang Han & Mengxi He & Yaojie Zhang & Muhammad Umar, 2023. "Default return spread: A powerful predictor of crude oil price returns," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1786-1804, November.
- Escribano, Ana & Koczar, Monika W. & Jareño, Francisco & Esparcia, Carlos, 2023. "Shock transmission between crude oil prices and stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Domingo Rodríguez Benavides & Nancy Muller Durán & José Antonio Climent Hernández, 2021. "Spillovers entre los principales Mercados Accionarios de Latinoamérica, Estados Unidos y el Mercado Petrolero," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(1), pages 1-18, Enero - M.
- Abdhut Deheri & Stefy Carmel, 2024. "Do fluctuations in global crude oil prices have an asymmetric effect on oil product pricing in India?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 1-22, February.
- Magnus Abeng, 2016. "Analysis of the Effect of Oil Price Shock on Industry Stock Returns in Nigeria," EcoMod2016 9285, EcoMod.
- Romero-Meza, Rafael & Coronado, Semei & Serletis, Apostolos, 2014. "Oil and the economy: A cross bicorrelation perspective," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 11(C), pages 91-95.
- Geng, Jiang-Bo & Xu, Xiao-Yue & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "The time-frequency impacts of natural gas prices on US economic activity," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
- Rida Waheed & Chen Wei & Suleman Sarwar & Yulan Lv, 2018. "Impact of oil prices on firm stock return: industry-wise analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 765-780, September.
- Wu, Bi-Bo, 2021. "The dynamics of oil on China’s commodity sectors: What can we learn from a quantile perspective?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
- Mukhriz Izraf Azman AZIZ & Nor’Aznin Abu BAKAR, 2013. "Oil Price Fluctuations and Changing Comparative Advantage," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 20(20).
- Nadav Ben Zeev, 2019. "Asymmetric Business Cycles In Emerging Market Economies," Working Papers 1909, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Department of Economics.
- Suliman Zakaria S. Abdalla, 2014. "The Impact of Oil Price Fluctuations on the Sudanese Stock Market Performance," Working Papers 887, Economic Research Forum, revised Dec 2014.
- Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Diao, Xundi & Wu, Chongfeng, 2015. "Forecasting the real prices of crude oil under economic and statistical constraints," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 599-608.
- Domenico Ferraro & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2011.
"Can oil prices forecast exchange rates?,"
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11-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
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- Domenico Ferraro & Ken Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Can oil prices forecast exchange rates?," Economics Working Papers 1461, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jan 2015.
- Rogoff, Kenneth & Rossi, Barbara & Ferraro, Domenico, 2011. "Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8635, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Ferraro & Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2015. "Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?," Working Papers 803, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Domenico Ferraro & Ken Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Can Oil Prices Forecast Exchange Rates?," Working Papers 11-05, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Jobling, Andrew & Jamasb, Tooraj, 2017.
"Price volatility and demand for oil: A comparative analysis of developed and developing countries,"
Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 96-113.
- Andrew Jobling & Tooraj Jamasb, 2015. "Price Volatility and Demand for Oil: A Comparative Analysis of Developed and Developing Countries," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1512, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Andrew Jobling & Tooraj Jamasb, 2015. "Price Volatility and Demand for Oil: A Comparative Analysis of Developed and Developing Countries," Working Papers EPRG 1507, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
- Awerbuch, Shimon & Sauter, Raphael, 2006.
"Exploiting the oil-GDP effect to support renewables deployment,"
Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(17), pages 2805-2819, November.
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Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 679-702, July.
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"The role of permanent and transitory components in business cycle volatility moderation,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 217-241, March.
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- Valadkhani, Abbas & Smyth, Russell, 2017. "How do daily changes in oil prices affect US monthly industrial output?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 83-90.
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- Conny Olovsson, 2019.
"Oil prices in a general equilibrium model with precautionary demand for oil,"
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