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Energy price shocks and economic growth in the US: A state-level analysis

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  • Alexeev, Michael
  • Chih, Yao-Yu

Abstract

We use panel data for the US states to examine the impact of largely exogenous oil and gas price shocks on economic growth. Unlike the rest of the literature, we examine the impacts of three different types of oil and gas price shocks, differentiating between positive and negative shocks to exporting and importing states. Most of the price shocks have small but highly statistically significant effects on state economies. In addition to impacting exporting and importing states in opposite directions, the absolute values of the impact on importers and exporters are often significantly different. At the same time, we do not find significant asymmetry in the effects of the positive and negative price shocks on the states on average. Spatial analysis reveals small but significant spillover effects arising from price shocks.

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  • Alexeev, Michael & Chih, Yao-Yu, 2021. "Energy price shocks and economic growth in the US: A state-level analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:98:y:2021:i:c:s014098832100147x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105242
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    Cited by:

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    2. Martin Enilov, 2024. "The predictive power of commodity prices for future economic growth: Evaluating the role of economic development," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3040-3062, July.
    3. Charles O. Manasseh & Nnah M. Iroha & Kingsley I. Okere & Ifeoma C. Nwakoby & Ogochukwu C. Okanya & Nnenna Nwonye & Onuselogu Odidi & Oliver I. Inyiama, 2022. "Application of Markov chain to share price movement in Nigeria (1985–2019)," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, December.
    4. Dang, Tam Hoang-Nhat & Nguyen, Canh Phuc & Lee, Gabriel S. & Nguyen, Binh Quang & Le, Thuy Thu, 2023. "Measuring the energy-related uncertainty index," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    5. Xiao, Jihong & Wang, Yudong, 2022. "Macroeconomic uncertainty, speculation, and energy futures returns: Evidence from a quantile regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    6. Zhao, Jun & Wang, Bo & Dong, Kangyin & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ni, Guohua, 2023. "How do energy price shocks affect global economic stability? Reflection on geopolitical conflicts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    7. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Vo, Xuan Vinh & McIver, Ron & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Sensitivity of US sectoral returns to energy commodities under different investment horizons and market conditions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    8. Duparc-Portier, Geoffroy & Figus, Gioele, 2024. "How should governments respond to energy price crises? A horse-race between fiscal policies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    9. Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan, 2023. "Natural gas and the utility sector nexus in the U.S.: Quantile connectedness and portfolio implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil and natural gas price shocks; Regional economic growth; Spatial dependence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q32 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables

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