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Oil and the U.S. Macroeconomy: A Reinvestigation Using Rolling Impulse Responses

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  • Marc Gronwald

Abstract

This paper investigates the role of extreme oil price increases in empirical studies of the macroeconomics of oil prices. The innovative approach of rolling impulse responses is applied and data on both the aggregate and the industry-level is considered. The results show that the first oil crisis drives long-run results and superimposes both subsample and industry-specifics. Furthermore, there is evidence that the non-occurrence of large oil shocks after the mid1980s is an important explanation for the Great Moderation.

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  • Marc Gronwald, 2012. "Oil and the U.S. Macroeconomy: A Reinvestigation Using Rolling Impulse Responses," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4).
    • Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:ej33-4-07
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    2. Jozef Barunk & Evzen KoÄ enda & Lukáš Váchaa, 2015. "Volatility Spillovers Across Petroleum Markets," The Energy Journal, , vol. 36(3), pages 309-330, July.
    3. Jozef Baruník, Evzen Kocenda and Lukáa Vácha, 2015. "Volatility Spillovers Across Petroleum Markets," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    4. Hillard G. Huntington, 2017. "The Historical Roots of U.S. Energy Price Shocks," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 5).
    5. Hillard G. Huntington, 2017. "The Historical “Roots†of U.S. Energy Price Shocks," The Energy Journal, , vol. 38(5), pages 1-16, September.
    6. Eregha, Perekunah Bright & Mesagan, Ekundayo Peter, 2017. "Energy consumption, oil price and macroeconomic performance in energy dependent African countries," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 46, pages 74-89.
    7. Huntington, Hillard, 2016. "The Historical “Roots” of U.S. Energy Price Shocks: Supplemental Results," MPRA Paper 74701, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Gong, Xu & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "Time-varying effects of oil supply and demand shocks on China's macro-economy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 424-437.
    9. Raúl J. Crespo & José A. Zambrano, 2018. "Macroeconomic Impacts of Oil Price Shocks in Venezuela," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 18/703, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
    10. Luiggi Donayre & Neil A. Wilmot, 2016. "The Asymmetric Effects of Oil Price Shocks on the Canadian Economy," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 167-182.
    11. Jozef Baruník & Evžen KoÄ enda b,a & Lukáš Vácha, 2016. "Volatility Spillovers Across Petroleum Markets," The Energy Journal, , vol. 37(1), pages 136-158, January.
    12. Wen, Fenghua & Zhao, Cong & Hu, Chunyan, 2019. "Time-varying effects of international copper price shocks on China's producer price index," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 507-514.

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