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The impact of oil prices on economic activity in administrated price structure: the case of Tunisia

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  • Necibi, Thameur
  • Issaoui, Fakhri

Abstract

This article has for a core objective the handling of the established relation between oil price variation and certain macroeconomic variables, in this particular case GDP, RMM, CPI, Ex-factory price. The study in Tunisia is based on quarterly and monthly data from the period going from 2000 to 2011 revealed three important facts. First, it showed at the level of the quarterly analysis that the Tunisian authority succeeded in limiting the effect of crude oil price shock, it was approved through an impulse analysis of the dynamic responses, a second important result was revealed at the level of the quarterly analysis and the established long-term relation which showed that the GDP or the industrial production positively and significantly depend on Brent oil price and on the inflation in a structure of administered price. Second at the level of the monthly analysis, the conducted study allowed us to identify the nature of inflation, which is said to the production cost through introducing a new variable which is ex-factory price. Third, the conducted study allowed us to study the asymmetric relation between Brent oil price and the monetary mechanism in an administered price regime.

Suggested Citation

  • Necibi, Thameur & Issaoui, Fakhri, 2013. "The impact of oil prices on economic activity in administrated price structure: the case of Tunisia," MPRA Paper 50420, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:50420
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Simohammed, Kamel & Benhabib, Abderrezzak & Maliki, Samir, 2015. "The Impact of Oil Prices on Macroeconomic Fundamentals, Monetary Policy and Stock Market for eight Middle East and North African Countries," MPRA Paper 75278, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Azzi, Abdelkebir & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Oil price volatility and macroeconomic determinants of growth: evidence from Morocco," MPRA Paper 108943, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macroeconomics; oil prices; inflation; asymmetry;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L1 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance
    • L11 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms

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