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FRED-MD: A Monthly Database for Macroeconomic Research

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Jean-Armand Gnagne & Kevin Moran, 2020. "Forecasting Bank Failures in a Data-Rich Environment," Working Papers 20-13, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
  2. Wu, Jianhong, 2019. "Detecting irrelevant variables in possible proxies for the latent factors in macroeconomics and finance," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 60-63.
  3. Andrii Babii & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2022. "Machine Learning Time Series Regressions With an Application to Nowcasting," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 1094-1106, June.
  4. Guilherme Schultz Lindenmeyer & Hudson Silva Torrent, 2024. "Boosting and Predictability of Macroeconomic Variables: Evidence from Brazil," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 377-409, July.
  5. Moench, Emanuel & Soofi-Siavash, Soroosh, 2022. "What moves treasury yields?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 1016-1043.
  6. Poncela, Pilar, 2021. "Dynamic factor models: does the specification matter?," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 32210, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  7. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2018_023 is not listed on IDEAS
  8. Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2019. "Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1636-1657.
  9. Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotzé & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2023. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 149-188, July.
  10. Joaqui-Barandica, Orlando & Oviedo-Gómez, Andres & Manotas-Duque, Diego F., 2023. "Directional predictability between interest rates and the Stoxx 600 Banks index: A quantile approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
  11. Vito Cormun & Kim Ristolainen, 2024. "Exchange Rate Narratives," Discussion Papers 167, Aboa Centre for Economics.
  12. Montero-Manso, Pablo & Hyndman, Rob J., 2021. "Principles and algorithms for forecasting groups of time series: Locality and globality," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1632-1653.
  13. Lim, Kian Guan & Nomikos, Nikos K. & Yap, Nelson, 2019. "Understanding the fundamentals of freight markets volatility," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 1-15.
  14. Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
  15. Manfred M. Fischer & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2018. "The transmission of uncertainty shocks on income inequality: State-level evidence from the United States," Papers 1806.08278, arXiv.org.
  16. Gonçalves, Sílvia & McCracken, Michael W. & Perron, Benoit, 2017. "Tests of equal accuracy for nested models with estimated factors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 198(2), pages 231-252.
  17. Fan, Jianqing & Ke, Yuan & Wang, Kaizheng, 2020. "Factor-adjusted regularized model selection," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 216(1), pages 71-85.
  18. Goodhead, Robert & Kolb, Benedikt, 2018. "Monetary Policy Communication Shocks and the Macroeconomy," Research Technical Papers 15/RT/18, Central Bank of Ireland.
  19. Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Xuewen Yu, 2024. "Large Order-Invariant Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(2), pages 825-837, April.
  20. Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2024. "Bayesian Bi-level Sparse Group Regressions for Macroeconomic Density Forecasting," Papers 2404.02671, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
  21. Alain Hecq & Luca Margaritella & Stephan Smeekes, 2023. "Granger Causality Testing in High-Dimensional VARs: A Post-Double-Selection Procedure," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 21(3), pages 915-958.
  22. Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2021. "Slow-Growing Trees," Papers 2103.01926, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
  23. Eksi, Ozan & Onur Tas, Bedri Kamil, 2022. "Time-varying effect of uncertainty shocks on unemployment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
  24. Jonas Krampe & Luca Margaritella, 2021. "Factor Models with Sparse VAR Idiosyncratic Components," Papers 2112.07149, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
  25. Chen, Qitong & Hong, Yongmiao & Li, Haiqi, 2024. "Time-varying forecast combination for factor-augmented regressions with smooth structural changes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(1).
  26. Dew-Becker, Ian & Giglio, Stefano & Kelly, Bryan, 2021. "Hedging macroeconomic and financial uncertainty and volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 23-45.
  27. Ivan Mendieta-Munoz & Mengheng Li, 2019. "The Multivariate Simultaneous Unobserved Compenents Model and Identification via Heteroskedasticity," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2019_06, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
  28. Ethan Struby & Michael F. Connolly, 2022. "Shadow Rate Models and Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2022-03, Carleton College, Department of Economics.
  29. Laurent Ferrara & Luca Metelli & Filippo Natoli & Daniele Siena, 2020. "Questioning the puzzle: Fiscal policy, exchange rate and inflation," Working papers 752, Banque de France.
  30. Matteo Barigozzi & Marc Hallin, 2024. "The Dynamic, the Static, and the Weak Factor Models and the Analysis of High-Dimensional Time Series," Working Papers ECARES 2024-14, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  31. Giovannelli, Alessandro & Massacci, Daniele & Soccorsi, Stefano, 2021. "Forecasting stock returns with large dimensional factor models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 252-269.
  32. Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Massimiliano Marcellino & Nico Petz, 2021. "Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Papers 2112.01995, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
  33. Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & James Mitchell, 2023. "Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees," Working Papers 23-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  34. Daniel A. Dias & João B. Duarte, 2019. "Monetary policy, housing rents, and inflation dynamics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(5), pages 673-687, August.
  35. De Juan Fernández, Aránzazu & Poncela, Pilar & Rodríguez Caballero, Carlos Vladimir, 2022. "Economic activity and climate change," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 35044, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  36. Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris & Pettenuzzo, Davide, 2019. "Bayesian compressed vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 135-154.
  37. Tom Boot & Didier Nibbering, 2017. "Inference in high-dimensional linear regression models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-032/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 05 Jul 2017.
  38. Odendahl, Florens & Rossi, Barbara & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2023. "Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
  39. Natalia Bailey & George Kapetanios & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2021. "Measurement of factor strength: Theory and practice," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 587-613, August.
  40. Yoshimasa Uematsu & Takashi Yamagata, 2020. "Inference in Weak Factor Models," ISER Discussion Paper 1080, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
  41. Granziera, Eleonora & Sekhposyan, Tatevik, 2019. "Predicting relative forecasting performance: An empirical investigation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1636-1657.
  42. Andrii Babii & Eric Ghysels & Jonas Striaukas, 2024. "High-Dimensional Granger Causality Tests with an Application to VIX and News," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(3), pages 605-635.
  43. Paccagnini, Alessia, 2019. "Did financial factors matter during the Great Recession?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 26-30.
  44. Audzei, Volha & Slobodyan, Sergey, 2022. "Sparse restricted perceptions equilibrium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  45. Jari Hännikäinen, 2017. "The shadow rate as a predictor of real activity and inflation: evidence from a data-rich environment," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(8), pages 527-535, May.
  46. Rossi, Lorenza & Zanetti Chini, Emilio, 2021. "Temporal disaggregation of business dynamics: New evidence for U.S. economy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  47. Daniel Borup & Erik Christian Montes Schütte, 2022. "In Search of a Job: Forecasting Employment Growth Using Google Trends," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 186-200, January.
  48. Elkamhi, Redouane & Jo, Chanik, 2023. "Asset holders’ consumption risk and tests of conditional CCAPM," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(3), pages 220-244.
  49. Daniel Borup & Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Erik Christian Montes Schütte & David E. Rapach & Sander Schwenk-Nebbe, 2022. "The Anatomy of Out-of-Sample Forecasting Accuracy," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2022-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
  50. Gonzalo, Jesús & Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2021. "Spurious relationships in high-dimensional systems with strong or mild persistence," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1480-1497.
  51. Manfred M. Fischer & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer & Petra Staufer‐Steinnocher, 2021. "The Dynamic Impact of Monetary Policy on Regional Housing Prices in the United States," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1039-1068, December.
  52. Bokun, Kathryn O. & Jackson, Laura E. & Kliesen, Kevin L. & Owyang, Michael T., 2023. "FRED-SD: A real-time database for state-level data with forecasting applications," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 279-297.
  53. Michael Pfarrhofer, 2024. "Forecasts with Bayesian vector autoregressions under real time conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 771-801, April.
  54. Luca Di Bonaventura & Mario Forni & Francesco Pattarin, 2018. "The Forecasting Performance of Dynamic Factor Models with Vintage Data," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 0070, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
  55. Serena Ng, 2021. "Modeling Macroeconomic Variations after Covid-19," NBER Working Papers 29060, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  56. Mohitosh Kejriwal & Xuewen Yu, 2019. "Generalized Forecasr Averaging in Autoregressions with a Near Unit Root," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1318, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
  57. Christensen, Bent Jesper & van der Wel, Michel, 2019. "An asset pricing approach to testing general term structure models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 165-191.
  58. Tsionas, Mike G. & Izzeldin, Marwan & Trapani, Lorenzo, 2022. "Estimation of large dimensional time varying VARs using copulas," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  59. Simon Beyeler & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2016. "Factor augmented VAR revisited - A sparse dynamic factor model approach," Working Papers 16.08, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
  60. Olivier Fortin‐Gagnon & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "A large Canadian database for macroeconomic analysis," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(4), pages 1799-1833, November.
  61. Krist'of N'emeth & D'aniel Hadh'azi, 2024. "Generating density nowcasts for U.S. GDP growth with deep learning: Bayes by Backprop and Monte Carlo dropout," Papers 2405.15579, arXiv.org.
  62. Tom Boot & Andreas Pick, 2017. "A near optimal test for structural breaks when forecasting under square error loss," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 17-039/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  63. Hacioglu Hoke, Sinem, 2019. "Macroeconomic effects of political risk shocks," Bank of England working papers 841, Bank of England.
  64. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Vasilios Plakandaras & Wing-Keung Wong, 2019. "The role of housing sentiment in forecasting U.S. home sales growth: evidence from a Bayesian compressed vector autoregressive model," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 2554-2567, January.
  65. Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2024. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(5), pages 1403-1417, September.
  66. Paolo Andreini & Cosimo Izzo & Giovanni Ricco, 2020. "Deep Dynamic Factor Models," Papers 2007.11887, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
  67. Sung Hoon Choi, 2021. "Feasible Weighted Projected Principal Component Analysis for Factor Models with an Application to Bond Risk Premia," Papers 2108.10250, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
  68. Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2020. "Bayesian Inference in High-Dimensional Time-varying Parameter Models using Integrated Rotated Gaussian Approximations," Papers 2002.10274, arXiv.org.
  69. Ellington, Michael, 2018. "Financial market illiquidity shocks and macroeconomic dynamics: Evidence from the UK," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 225-236.
  70. Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Luca Onorante, 2021. "Combining shrinkage and sparsity in conjugate vector autoregressive models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 304-327, April.
  71. Tae-Hwy Lee & Ekaterina Seregina, 2020. "Learning from Forecast Errors: A New Approach to Forecast Combination," Working Papers 202024, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
  72. Peter C. B. Phillips & Zhentao Shi, 2021. "Boosting: Why You Can Use The Hp Filter," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(2), pages 521-570, May.
  73. Brave, Scott A. & Butters, R. Andrew & Justiniano, Alejandro, 2019. "Forecasting economic activity with mixed frequency BVARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1692-1707.
  74. Michael W. McCracken & Joseph T. McGillicuddy, 2019. "An empirical investigation of direct and iterated multistep conditional forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(2), pages 181-204, March.
  75. Fang, Puyi & Gao, Zhaoxing & Tsay, Ruey S., 2023. "Supervised kernel principal component analysis for forecasting," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
  76. Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022. "The demand and supply of information about inflation," CIRANO Working Papers 2022s-27, CIRANO.
  77. Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2021. "Using time-varying volatility for identification in Vector Autoregressions: An application to endogenous uncertainty," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(1), pages 47-73.
  78. Popp, Aaron & Zhang, Fang, 2016. "The macroeconomic effects of uncertainty shocks: The role of the financial channel," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 319-349.
  79. Mario Giarda, 2021. "The Labor Earnings Gap, Heterogeneous Wage Phillips Curves, and Monetary Policy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 934, Central Bank of Chile.
  80. Lee, Kiryoung & Joen, Yoontae & Kim, Minki, 2022. "Which uncertainty measures matter for the cross-section of stock returns?#," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
  81. Chou, Ray Yeutien & Yen, Tso-Jung & Yen, Yu-Min, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting using approximate factor models with outliers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 267-291.
  82. Shuquan Yang & Nengxiang Ling & Yulin Gong, 2022. "Robust estimation of the number of factors for the pair-elliptical factor models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 37(3), pages 1495-1522, July.
  83. Ziwei Mei & Peter C. B. Phillips & Zhentao Shi, 2022. "The boosted HP filter is more general than you might think," Papers 2209.09810, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
  84. Jianqing Fan & Ricardo Masini & Marcelo C. Medeiros, 2021. "Bridging factor and sparse models," Papers 2102.11341, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
  85. Sonja Tilly & Giacomo Livan, 2021. "Macroeconomic forecasting with statistically validated knowledge graphs," Papers 2104.10457, arXiv.org.
  86. Alain Hecq & Marie Ternes & Ines Wilms, 2021. "Hierarchical Regularizers for Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregressions," Papers 2102.11780, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
  87. Alain Hecq & Luca Margaritella & Stephan Smeekes, 2023. "Inference in Non-stationary High-Dimensional VARs," Papers 2302.01434, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
  88. Boriss Siliverstovs & Daniel Wochner, 2019. "Recessions as Breadwinner for Forecasters State-Dependent Evaluation of Predictive Ability: Evidence from Big Macroeconomic US Data," KOF Working papers 19-463, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
  89. Uhrin, Gábor B. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2016. "Monetary policy shocks, set-identifying restrictions, and asset prices: A benchmarking approach for analyzing set-identified models," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 295, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
  90. Roccazzella, Francesco & Gambetti, Paolo & Vrins, Frédéric, 2022. "Optimal and robust combination of forecasts via constrained optimization and shrinkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 97-116.
  91. Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2020. "The Macroeconomy as a Random Forest," Papers 2006.12724, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
  92. Mogliani, Matteo & Simoni, Anna, 2021. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 833-860.
  93. Stefano Fasani & Haroon Mumtaz & Lorenza Rossi, 2023. "Monetary Policy and Firm Dynamics," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 47, pages 278-296, January.
  94. Jorge M. Uribe, 2018. "“Scaling Down Downside Risk with Inter-Quantile Semivariances”," IREA Working Papers 201826, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Oct 2018.
  95. Bas Scheer, 2022. "Addressing Unemployment Rate Forecast Errors in Relation to the Business Cycle," CPB Discussion Paper 434, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
  96. Ellington, Michael & Fu, Xi & Zhu, Yunyi, 2023. "Real estate illiquidity and returns: A time-varying regional perspective," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 58-72.
  97. Fan, Jianqing & Jiang, Bai & Sun, Qiang, 2022. "Bayesian factor-adjusted sparse regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(1), pages 3-19.
  98. Karen Miranda & Pilar Poncela & Esther Ruiz, 2022. "Dynamic factor models: Does the specification matter?," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 13(1), pages 397-428, May.
  99. Goulet Coulombe, Philippe & Leroux, Maxime & Stevanovic, Dalibor & Surprenant, Stéphane, 2021. "Macroeconomic data transformations matter," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1338-1354.
  100. John H. Rogers & Jiawen Xu, 2019. "How Well Does Economic Uncertainty Forecast Economic Activity?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-085, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  101. Samad Sarferaz & Florian Eckert, 2019. "Agnostische Schätzung und Zerlegung von Produktionslücken," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 13(4), pages 27-36, December.
  102. Borup, Daniel & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Mühlbach, Nicolaj Søndergaard & Nielsen, Mikkel Slot, 2023. "Targeting predictors in random forest regression," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 841-868.
  103. Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Rossini, Luca, 2019. "Bayesian nonparametric sparse VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 97-115.
  104. Cameron Fen & Samir Undavia, 2022. "Improving Macroeconomic Model Validity and Forecasting Performance with Pooled Country Data using Structural, Reduced Form, and Neural Network Model," Papers 2203.06540, arXiv.org.
  105. Mario Forni & Alessandro Giovannelli & Marco Lippi & Stefano Soccorsi, 2018. "Dynamic factor model with infinite‐dimensional factor space: Forecasting," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 625-642, August.
  106. Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Raquel Caldeira, 2024. "Should Central Banks Care About Text Mining? A Literature Review," Working papers 950, Banque de France.
  107. Demetrescu, Matei & Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem, 2019. "Predictive regressions under asymmetric loss: Factor augmentation and model selection," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 80-99.
  108. Yunjung Kim & Cheolbeom Park, 2020. "Are exchange rates disconnected from macroeconomic variables? Evidence from the factor approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1713-1747, April.
  109. Karaki, Mohamad B. & Rangaraju, Sandeep Kumar, 2023. "The confidence channel of U.S. financial uncertainty: Evidence from industry-level data," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
  110. Jie Wei & Yonghui Zhang, 2023. "Does Principal Component Analysis Preserve the Sparsity in Sparse Weak Factor Models?," Papers 2305.05934, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
  111. Zhang, Yaojie & Wang, Yudong, 2023. "Forecasting crude oil futures market returns: A principal component analysis combination approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 659-673.
  112. Giovanni Angelini & Giovanni Caggiano & Efrem Castelnuovo & Luca Fanelli, 2023. "Are Fiscal Multipliers Estimated with Proxy‐SVARs Robust?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(1), pages 95-122, February.
  113. İshak Demi̇r & Burak A. Eroğlu & Seçi̇l Yildirim‐Karaman, 2022. "Heterogeneous Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy on the Bond Yields across the Euro Area," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(5), pages 1425-1457, August.
  114. Pötscher, Benedikt M. & Preinerstorfer, David, 2018. "Controlling the size of autocorrelation robust tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 406-431.
  115. Davig, Troy & Hall, Aaron Smalter, 2019. "Recession forecasting using Bayesian classification," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 848-867.
  116. Robert Adamek & Stephan Smeekes & Ines Wilms, 2024. "Local projection inference in high dimensions," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 27(3), pages 323-342.
  117. Jon Ellingsen & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2020. "News Media vs. FRED-MD for Macroeconomic Forecasting," CESifo Working Paper Series 8639, CESifo.
  118. Casarin, Roberto & Costola, Michele, 2019. "Structural changes in large economic datasets: A nonparametric homogeneity test," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 55-59.
  119. Bai, Jushan & Ng, Serena, 2019. "Rank regularized estimation of approximate factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 78-96.
  120. Luca Margaritella & Ovidijus Stauskas, 2024. "New Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy for Factor-Augmented Regressions with Weaker Loadings," Papers 2409.20415, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
  121. Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin-Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2018. "Evaluating the Bank of Canada Staff Economic Projections Using a New Database of Real-Time Data and Forecasts," Staff Working Papers 18-52, Bank of Canada.
  122. Fischer, Manfred M. & Huber, Florian & Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2021. "The regional transmission of uncertainty shocks on income inequality in the United States," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 887-900.
  123. Charles Olivier Mao Takongmo & Laetitia Lebihan, 2021. "Government Spending, GDP and Exchange Rate in Zero Lower Bound: Measuring Causality at Multiple Horizons," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 139-160, March.
  124. Joshua Chan, 2023. "BVARs and Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2310.14438, arXiv.org.
  125. Thomas Conlon & John Cotter & Iason Kynigakis, 2021. "Machine Learning and Factor-Based Portfolio Optimization," Working Papers 202111, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
  126. Gonzalo, Jesús & Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2024. "Out-of-sample predictability in predictive regressions with many predictor candidates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1166-1178.
  127. Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2020. "Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(6), pages 692-711, September.
  128. Ziwei Mei & Zhentao Shi, 2022. "On LASSO for High Dimensional Predictive Regression," Papers 2212.07052, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
  129. Renato Faccini & Eirini Konstantinidi & George Skiadopoulos & Sylvia Sarantopoulou-Chiourea, 2019. "A New Predictor of U.S. Real Economic Activity: The S&P 500 Option Implied Risk Aversion," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(10), pages 4927-4949, October.
  130. Branger, Nicole & Rodrigues, Paulo & Schlag, Christian, 2018. "Level and slope of volatility smiles in long-run risk models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 95-122.
  131. Nam, Eun-Young & Lee, Kiryoung & Jeon, Yoontae, 2021. "Macroeconomic uncertainty shocks and households’ consumption choice," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  132. Petropoulos, Fotios & Spiliotis, Evangelos & Panagiotelis, Anastasios, 2023. "Model combinations through revised base rates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1477-1492.
  133. Kutateladze, Varlam, 2022. "The kernel trick for nonlinear factor modeling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 165-177.
  134. Varlam Kutateladze, 2021. "The Kernel Trick for Nonlinear Factor Modeling," Papers 2103.01266, arXiv.org.
  135. Ferrara, Laurent & Metelli, Luca & Natoli, Filippo & Siena, Daniele, 2021. "Questioning the puzzle: Fiscal policy, real exchange rate and inflation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  136. Araujo, Gustavo Silva & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2023. "Machine learning methods for inflation forecasting in Brazil: New contenders versus classical models," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(2).
  137. Francis X. Diebold, 2020. "Real-Time Real Economic Activity: Exiting the Great Recession and Entering the Pandemic Recession," NBER Working Papers 27482, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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