Steffen Henzel
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Working papers
- Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel, 2020.
"Increasing Business Uncertainty and Credit Conditions in Times of Low and High Uncertainty: Evidence from Firm-Level Survey Data,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8791, CESifo.
Cited by:
- Joshy Easaw & Christian Grimme, 2021. "The Impact of Aggregate Uncertainty on Firm-Level Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 8934, CESifo.
- Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015.
"Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
5336, CESifo.
- Henzel Steffen R. & Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 66(1), pages 71-98, April.
- Henzel, Steffen & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," MPRA Paper 63714, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cited by:
- Claudio, João C. & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2019.
"Nowcasting East German GDP growth: A MIDAS approach,"
IWH Discussion Papers
24/2019, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- João C. Claudio & Katja Heinisch & Oliver Holtemöller, 2020. "Nowcasting East German GDP growth: a MIDAS approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 29-54, January.
- Robert Lehmann & Felix Leiss & Simon Litsche & Stefan Sauer & Michael Weber & Annette Weichselberger & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Mit den ifo-Umfragen regionale Konjunktur verstehen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(09), pages 45-49, May.
- Robert Lehmann, 2024.
"A real-time regional accounts database for Germany with applications to GDP revisions and nowcasting,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(2), pages 817-838, August.
- Robert Lehmann, 2023. "READ-GER: Introducing German Real-Time Regional Accounts Data for Revision Analysis and Nowcasting," CESifo Working Paper Series 10315, CESifo.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wikman, Ida, 2022.
"Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States,"
MPRA Paper
112642, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Robert Lehmann & Ida Wikman, 2022. "Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States," ifo Working Paper Series 370, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Robert Lehmann & Ida Wikman, 2023. "Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States: New Data for Business Cycle Analyses and Long-Run Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series 10280, CESifo.
- Robert Lehmann & Sascha Möhrle, 2024.
"Forecasting regional industrial production with novel high‐frequency electricity consumption data,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1918-1935, September.
- Robert Lehmann & Sascha Möhrle, 2022. "Forecasting Regional Industrial Production with High-Frequency Electricity Consumption Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 9917, CESifo.
- Luca Barbaglia & Lorenzo Frattarolo & Niko Hauzenberger & Dominik Hirschbuehl & Florian Huber & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli, 2024. "Nowcasting economic activity in European regions using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model," Papers 2401.10054, arXiv.org.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015.
"The role of component-wise boosting for regional economic forecasting,"
MPRA Paper
68186, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 03 Dec 2015.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 161-175, July.
- Pascal Bührig & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2016.
"Forecasting revisions of German industrial production,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(15), pages 1062-1064, October.
- Bührig, Pascal & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2016. "Forecasting revisions of German industrial production," Munich Reprints in Economics 43524, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Wohlrabe, Klaus & Bührig, Pascal, 2015. "Forecasting Revisions of German Industrial Production," MPRA Paper 67513, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Concha Artola & María Gil & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun & Alejandro Fiorito & Diego Vila, 2018. "Monitoring the Spanish economy from a regional perspective: main elements of analysis," Occasional Papers 1809, Banco de España.
- Robert Lehmann & Magnus Reif, 2020.
"Tracking and Predicting the German Economy: ifo vs. PMI,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8145, CESifo.
- Robert Lehmann & Magnus Reif, 2021. "Predicting the German Economy: Headline Survey Indices Under Test," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(2), pages 215-232, November.
- Konstantin Kuck & Karsten Schweikert, 2021. "Forecasting Baden‐Württemberg's GDP growth: MIDAS regressions versus dynamic mixed‐frequency factor models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 861-882, August.
- Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Die Machbarkeit von Kurzfristprognosen für den Freistaat Sachsen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 22(04), pages 21-25, August.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2016.
"Boosting and Regional Economic Forecasting: The Case of Germany,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
6157, CESifo.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 161-175, July.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Munich Reprints in Economics 49919, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Robert Lehmann, 2020.
"The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8291, CESifo.
- Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.
- Valerij Gamukin, 2017. "Structural Change of Gross Regional Product in the Subjects of Ural Federal District," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(2), pages 410-421.
- V. Gamukin V. & В. Гамукин В., 2018. "Управление структурой валового регионального продукта в субъектах Южного федерального округа // Managing the Gross Regional Product Structure in the Territorial Subjects of the Southern Federal Distri," Управленческие науки // Management Science, ФГОБУВО Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 8(2), pages 18-29.
- María Gil & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019. "An application of dynamic factor models to nowcast regional economic activity in Spain," Occasional Papers 1904, Banco de España.
- Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.
- Stefan Sauer & Michael Weber & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2018. "Das neue ifo Geschäftsklima Ostdeutschland und Sachsen: Hintergründe und Anpassungen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 25(03), pages 20-24, June.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2014.
"Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
4711, CESifo.
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015. "Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
Cited by:
- Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2017.
"Financial Nowcasts and Their Usefulness in Macroeconomic Forecasting,"
Working Papers (Old Series)
1702, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Knotek, Edward S. & Zaman, Saeed, 2019. "Financial nowcasts and their usefulness in macroeconomic forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1708-1724.
- Berg Tim Oliver, 2017.
"Forecast accuracy of a BVAR under alternative specifications of the zero lower bound,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 1-29, April.
- Tim Oliver Berg, 2015. "Forecast Accuracy of a BVAR under Alternative Specifications of the Zero Lower Bound," ifo Working Paper Series 203, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
- Pestova, Anna & Mamonov, Mikhail, 2019. "Should we care? The economic effects of financial sanctions on the Russian economy," BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Zeyyad Mandalinci, 2015.
"Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: An Evaluation of Alternative Models,"
CReMFi Discussion Papers
3, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
- Mandalinci, Zeyyad, 2017. "Forecasting inflation in emerging markets: An evaluation of alternative models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1082-1104.
- Martin Feldkircher & Nico Hauzenberger, 2019. "How useful are time-varying parameter models for forecasting economic growth in CESEE?," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/19, pages 29-48.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2016. "Boosting und die Prognose der deutschen Industrieproduktion: Was verrät uns der Blick in die Details?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(03), pages 30-33, February.
- Karol Szafranek, 2017.
"Bagged artificial neural networks in forecasting inflation: An extensive comparison with current modelling frameworks,"
NBP Working Papers
262, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Szafranek, Karol, 2019. "Bagged neural networks for forecasting Polish (low) inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1042-1059.
- Reif Magnus, 2021.
"Macroeconomic uncertainty and forecasting macroeconomic aggregates,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(2), pages 1-20, April.
- Magnus Reif, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates," ifo Working Paper Series 265, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Swamy, Vighneswara, 2020. "Macroeconomic transmission of Eurozone shocks to India—A mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 126-150.
- Berg, Tim Oliver, 2015.
"Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models,"
MPRA Paper
62405, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tim Oliver Berg, 2016. "Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(8), pages 718-740, December.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2017. "Macroeconomic and credit forecasts during the Greek crisis using Bayesian VARs," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 569-598, September.
- Gerdesmeier Dieter & Roffia Barbara & Reimers Hans-Eggert, 2017. "Forecasting Euro Area Inflation Using Single-Equation and Multivariate VAR–Models," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 17(2), pages 19-34, December.
- Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Die Machbarkeit von Kurzfristprognosen für den Freistaat Sachsen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 22(04), pages 21-25, August.
- McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2020.
"Density forecast combinations: the real-time dimension,"
Working Paper Series
2378, European Central Bank.
- Peter McAdam & Anders Warne, 2024. "Density forecast combinations: The real‐time dimension," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1153-1172, August.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72, July.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Johanna Garnitz & Christian Grimme & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Wolfgang Meister & Magnus Reif & Felix Schröter &, 2015. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2015/2017: Verhaltener Aufschwung setzt sich fort," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(24), pages 23-66, December.
- Kuo‐Hsuan Chin, 2022. "Forecast evaluation of DSGE models: Linear and nonlinear likelihood," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1099-1130, September.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Klieber, Karin, 2023.
"Real-time inflation forecasting using non-linear dimension reduction techniques,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 901-921.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Karin Klieber, 2020. "Real-time Inflation Forecasting Using Non-linear Dimension Reduction Techniques," Papers 2012.08155, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
- Justyna Wróblewska & Anna Pajor, 2019. "One-period joint forecasts of Polish inflation, unemployment and interest rate using Bayesian VEC-MSF models," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 11(1), pages 23-45, March.
- Solikin M. Juhro & Bernard Njindan Iyke, 2019. "Forecasting Indonesian Inflation Within An Inflation-Targeting Framework: Do Large-Scale Models Pay Off?," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(4), pages 423-436, December.
- Susan Sunila Sharma, 2019. "WHICH VARIABLES PREDICT INDONESIA’s INFLATION?," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(1), pages 87-102, April.
- Steffen Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2014.
"Dimensions of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: A Common Factor Analysis,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
4991, CESifo.
- Steffen R. Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2017. "Dimensions Of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: A Common Factor Analysis," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 55(2), pages 843-877, April.
- Henzel, Steffen R. & Rengel, Malte, 2017. "Dimensions of macroeconomic uncertainty: a common factor analysis," Munich Reprints in Economics 49932, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Steffen Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2013. "Dimensions of macroeconomic uncertainty: A common factor analysis," ifo Working Paper Series 167, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
Cited by:
- Matkovskyy, Roman & Jalan, Akanksha & Dowling, Michael, 2020.
"Effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks on the interdependence between Bitcoin and traditional financial markets,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 150-155.
- Roman Matkovskyy & Akanksha Jalan & Michael Dowling, 2020. "Effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks on the interdependence between Bitcoin and traditional financial markets," Post-Print hal-03004707, HAL.
- Teresa Buchen & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013.
"Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting - Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
4148, CESifo.
- Klaus Wohlrabe & Teresa Buchen, 2014. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area and Germany," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 231-242, July.
- Teresa, Buchen & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2014. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100626, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Weese, Eric & Trebbi, Francesco, 2016.
"Insurgency and small Wars: Estimation of Unobserved Coalition Structures,"
Center Discussion Papers
236712, Yale University, Economic Growth Center.
- Francesco Trebbi & Eric Weese, 2016. "Insurgency and Small Wars: Estimation of Unobserved Coalition Structures," Discussion Papers 1628, Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University.
- Francesco Trebbi & Eric Weese, 2015. "Insurgency and Small Wars: Estimation of Unobserved Coalition Structures," NBER Working Papers 21202, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Francesco Trebbi & Eric Weese, 2019. "Insurgency and Small Wars: Estimation of Unobserved Coalition Structures," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 87(2), pages 463-496, March.
- Francesco Trebbi & Eric Weese, 2016. "Insurgency and Small Wars: Estimation of Unobserved Coalition Structures," Working Papers 1053, Economic Growth Center, Yale University.
- Athanasios Triantafyllou & Dimitrios Bakas & Marilou Ioakimidis, 2019.
"Commodity Price Uncertainty as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity,"
Working Paper series
19-03, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Bakas, Dimitrios & Ioakimidis, Marilou & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2020. "Commodity Price Uncertainty as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 27361, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Athanasios Triantafyllou & Dimitrios Bakas & Marilou Ioakimidis, 2023. "Commodity price uncertainty as a leading indicator of economic activity," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4194-4219, October.
- Panagiotidis, Theodore & Printzis, Panagiotis, 2020.
"What is the investment loss due to uncertainty?,"
Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
- Theodore Panagiotidis & Panagiotis Printzis, 2019. "What is the Investment Loss due to Uncertainty?," Working Papers 383, Leibniz Institut für Ost- und Südosteuropaforschung (Institute for East and Southeast European Studies).
- Theodore Panagiotidis & Panagiotis Printzis, 2019. "What is the Investment Loss due to Uncertainty?," GreeSE – Hellenic Observatory Papers on Greece and Southeast Europe 138, Hellenic Observatory, LSE.
- Panagiotidis, Theodore & Printzis, Panagiotis, 2019. "What is the investment loss due to uncertainty?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 102648, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Theodore Panagiotidis & Panagiotis Printzis, 2019. "What is the Investment Loss due to Uncertainty?," Working Paper series 19-06, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Raza, Syed Ali & Masood, Amna & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Urom, Christian, 2023.
"Forecasting the volatility of precious metals prices with global economic policy uncertainty in pre and during the COVID-19 period: Novel evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS approach,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
- Syed Ali Raza & Amna Masood & Ramzi Benkraiem & Christian Urom, 2023. "Forecasting the volatility of precious metals prices with global economic policy uncertainty in pre and during the COVID-19 period: Novel evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS approach," Post-Print hal-04080872, HAL.
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018.
"“A geometric approach to proxy economic uncertainty by a metric of disagreement among qualitative expectations”,"
AQR Working Papers
201803, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jun 2018.
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "“A geometric approach to proxy economic uncertainty by a metric of disagreement among qualitative expectations”," IREA Working Papers 201806, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Mar 2018.
- González-Rivera, Gloria, 2018.
"Growth in Stress,"
DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS
26623, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Esther Ruiz & Javier Vicente, 2018. "Growth in Stress," Working Papers 201805, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- González-Rivera, Gloria & Maldonado, Javier & Ruiz, Esther, 2019. "Growth in stress," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 948-966.
- Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
- Annibal Parracho Sant’Anna & Márcia Freitas Siqueira Sadok Menna Barreto, 2020. "Inequality Assessment by Probabilistic Development Indices," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 148(3), pages 733-746, April.
- Grimme, Christian & Henzel, Steffen R., 2024. "Uncertainty and credit conditions: Non-linear evidence from firm-level data," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1307-1323.
- Tong, Chen & Huang, Zhuo & Wang, Tianyi & Zhang, Cong, 2023. "The effects of economic uncertainty on financial volatility: A comprehensive investigation," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 369-389.
- Levy, Antoine & Ricci, Luca Antonio & Werner, Alejandro, 2020.
"The Sources of Fiscal Fluctuations,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15450, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Antoine Levy & Mr. Luca A Ricci & Alejandro M. Werner, 2020. "The Sources of Fiscal Fluctuations," IMF Working Papers 2020/220, International Monetary Fund.
- Aslam, Faheem & Zil-e-huma, & Bibi, Rashida & Ferreira, Paulo, 2022. "Cross-correlations between economic policy uncertainty and precious and industrial metals: A multifractal cross-correlation analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Reif Magnus, 2021.
"Macroeconomic uncertainty and forecasting macroeconomic aggregates,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(2), pages 1-20, April.
- Magnus Reif, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates," ifo Working Paper Series 265, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Oscar Claveria & Petar Sorić, 2023. "Labour market uncertainty after the irruption of COVID-19," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1897-1945, April.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Mark Wohar, 2018.
"Measuring the response of gold prices to uncertainty: An analysis beyond the mean,"
Post-Print
hal-01817067, HAL.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Mark Wohar, 2018. "Measuring the response of gold prices to uncertainty: An analysis beyond the mean," Papers 1806.07623, arXiv.org.
- Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Measuring the response of gold prices to uncertainty: An analysis beyond the mean," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 105-116.
- Cipollini, Andrea & Mikaliunaite, Ieva, 2020. "Macro-uncertainty and financial stress spillovers in the Eurozone," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 546-558.
- Panagiotidis, Theodore & Printzis, Panagiotis, 2021. "Investment and uncertainty: Are large firms different from small ones?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 302-317.
- Petar Soric & Oscar Claveria, 2021.
""Employment uncertainty a year after the irruption of the covid-19 pandemic","
IREA Working Papers
202112, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised May 2021.
- Petar Soric & Oscar Claveria, 2021. "“Employment uncertainty a year after the irruption of the covid-19 pandemic”," AQR Working Papers 202104, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised May 2021.
- Peter Claeys, 2017.
"Uncertainty spillover and policy reactions,"
Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 35(82), pages 64-77, April.
- Peter Claeys, 2017. "Uncertainty spillover and policy reactions," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 35(82), pages 64-77, April.
- Oscar Claveria, 2020.
"“Measuring and assessing economic uncertainty”,"
AQR Working Papers
2012003, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jul 2020.
- Oscar Claveria, 2020. "Measuring and assessing economic uncertainty," IREA Working Papers 202011, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jul 2020.
- Konstantinos Drakos & Dimitris Tsouknidis, 2024. "Investment under uncertainty and irreversibility: Evidence from the shipping markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 2139-2154, April.
- Mawuli Segnon & Stelios Bekiros & Bernd Wilfling, 2018.
"Forecasting Inflation Uncertainty in the G7 Countries,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-25, April.
- Mawuli Segnon & Stelios Bekiros & Bernd Wilfling, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation Uncertainty in the G7 Countries," CQE Working Papers 7118, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Fabien Tripier, 2018.
"Uncertainty and the macroeconomy: evidence from an uncertainty composite indicator,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(10), pages 1093-1107, February.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Fabien Tripier, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from an Uncertainty Composite Indicator," Working Papers 2017-25, CEPII research center.
- Svetlana Makarova, 2018. "European Central Bank Footprints On Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(1), pages 637-652, January.
- Dimitrios Bakas & Athanasios Triantafyllou, 2017.
"The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the Volatility of Commodity Prices,"
Working Paper series
17-31, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Bakas, Dimitrios & Triantafyllou, Athanasios, 2018. "The impact of uncertainty shocks on the volatility of commodity prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 96-111.
- Dimitrios Bakas & Athanasios Triantafyllou, 2018. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the Volatility of Commodity Prices," NBS Discussion Papers in Economics 2018/02, Economics, Nottingham Business School, Nottingham Trent University.
- Soliman, Alaa M. & Lau, Chi Keung & Cai, Yifei & Sarker, Provash Kumer & Dastgir, Shabbir, 2023. "Asymmetric Effects of Energy Inflation, Agri-inflation and CPI on Agricultural Output: Evidence from NARDL and SVAR Models for the UK," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Vladimir Rodriguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2021.
"Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress,"
Working Papers
202106, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Gonzalez Rivera, Gloria & Rodríguez Caballero, Carlos Vladimir, 2021. "Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 32148, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Gloria González-Rivera & Carlos Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz Ortega, 2021. "Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress," CREATES Research Papers 2021-06, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Michael P. Clements, 2017.
"Assessing Macro Uncertainty in Real-Time When Data Are Subject To Revision,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 420-433, July.
- Michael P. Clements, 2015. "Assessing Macro Uncertainty In Real-Time When Data Are Subject To Revision," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2015-02, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
- Maria Elena Bontempi & Michele Frigeri & Roberto Golinelli & Matteo Squadrani, 2021. "EURQ: A New Web Search‐based Uncertainty Index," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 88(352), pages 969-1015, October.
- Amélie Charles & Olivier Darné & Fabien Tripier, 2017. "Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy," Post-Print hal-01549625, HAL.
- Oscar Claveria, 2020. "Business and consumer uncertainty in the face of the pandemic: A sector analysis in European countries," Papers 2012.02091, arXiv.org.
- Berg, Tim Oliver, 2019.
"Business Uncertainty And The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Policy In Germany,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 1442-1470, June.
- Berg, Tim Oliver, 2016. "Business Uncertainty and the Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Germany," MPRA Paper 69162, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Oscar Claveria, 2021. "Uncertainty indicators based on expectations of business and consumer surveys," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(2), pages 483-505, May.
- Amélie Charles & Chew Lian Chua & Olivier Darné & Sandy Suardi, 2021.
"Oil price shocks, real economic activity and uncertainty,"
Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 364-392, July.
- Amélie Charles & Chew Lian Chua & Olivier Darné & Sandy Suardi, 2021. "Oil Price Shocks, Real Economic Activity and Uncertainty," Post-Print hal-03284089, HAL.
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2019. "Economic Uncertainty: A Geometric Indicator of Discrepancy Among Experts’ Expectations," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 143(1), pages 95-114, May.
- Andrea Cipollini & Ieva Mikaliunaite, 2021. "Financial distress and real economic activity in Lithuania: a Granger causality test based on mixed-frequency VAR," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 855-881, August.
- Glas, Alexander, 2020. "Five dimensions of the uncertainty–disagreement linkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 607-627.
- Herwartz, Helmut & Rohloff, Hannes, 2018. "Less bang for the buck? Assessing the role of inflation uncertainty for U.S. monetary policy transmission in a data rich environment," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 358, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Michael P Clements & Ana Beatriz Galvao, 2017. "Data Revisions and Real-time Probabilistic Forecasting of Macroeconomic Variables," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2017-01, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
- Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.
- Grimme, Christian & Henzel, Steffen, 2023. "Uncertainty Shocks in Times of Low and High Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277629, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2013.
"Synchronization and Changes in International Inflation Uncertainty,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
4194, CESifo.
Cited by:
- Berg, Tim Oliver, 2019.
"Business Uncertainty And The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Policy In Germany,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 1442-1470, June.
- Berg, Tim Oliver, 2016. "Business Uncertainty and the Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Germany," MPRA Paper 69162, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Berg, Tim Oliver, 2019.
"Business Uncertainty And The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Policy In Germany,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 1442-1470, June.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013.
"Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?,"
ifo Working Paper Series
155, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015. "Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- Berg, Tim Oliver & Henzel, Steffen, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79783, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Cited by:
- Wolters, Maik H., 2013.
"Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models,"
Economics Working Papers
2013-03, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," IMFS Working Paper Series 59, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," MPRA Paper 36147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Maik H. Wolters, 2015. "Evaluating Point and Density Forecasts of DSGE Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 74-96, January.
- Wolters, Maik H., 2011. "Forecasting under Model Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis 48723, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2017.
"Financial Nowcasts and Their Usefulness in Macroeconomic Forecasting,"
Working Papers (Old Series)
1702, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Knotek, Edward S. & Zaman, Saeed, 2019. "Financial nowcasts and their usefulness in macroeconomic forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1708-1724.
- Berg Tim Oliver, 2017.
"Forecast accuracy of a BVAR under alternative specifications of the zero lower bound,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 1-29, April.
- Tim Oliver Berg, 2015. "Forecast Accuracy of a BVAR under Alternative Specifications of the Zero Lower Bound," ifo Working Paper Series 203, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
- Pestova, Anna & Mamonov, Mikhail, 2019. "Should we care? The economic effects of financial sanctions on the Russian economy," BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Zeyyad Mandalinci, 2015.
"Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: An Evaluation of Alternative Models,"
CReMFi Discussion Papers
3, CReMFi, School of Economics and Finance, QMUL.
- Mandalinci, Zeyyad, 2017. "Forecasting inflation in emerging markets: An evaluation of alternative models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1082-1104.
- Martin Feldkircher & Nico Hauzenberger, 2019. "How useful are time-varying parameter models for forecasting economic growth in CESEE?," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/19, pages 29-48.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2016. "Boosting und die Prognose der deutschen Industrieproduktion: Was verrät uns der Blick in die Details?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(03), pages 30-33, February.
- Karol Szafranek, 2017.
"Bagged artificial neural networks in forecasting inflation: An extensive comparison with current modelling frameworks,"
NBP Working Papers
262, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Szafranek, Karol, 2019. "Bagged neural networks for forecasting Polish (low) inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1042-1059.
- Demeshev, Boris & Malakhovskaya, Oxana, 2016. "BVAR mapping," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 43, pages 118-141.
- Reif Magnus, 2021.
"Macroeconomic uncertainty and forecasting macroeconomic aggregates,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(2), pages 1-20, April.
- Magnus Reif, 2018. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates," ifo Working Paper Series 265, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Swamy, Vighneswara, 2020. "Macroeconomic transmission of Eurozone shocks to India—A mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 126-150.
- Berg, Tim Oliver, 2015.
"Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models,"
MPRA Paper
62405, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tim Oliver Berg, 2016. "Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(8), pages 718-740, December.
- Dimitrios P. Louzis, 2017. "Macroeconomic and credit forecasts during the Greek crisis using Bayesian VARs," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 569-598, September.
- Boris B. Demeshev & Oxana A. Malakhovskaya, 2015. "Forecasting Russian Macroeconomic Indicators with BVAR," HSE Working papers WP BRP 105/EC/2015, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
- Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Die Machbarkeit von Kurzfristprognosen für den Freistaat Sachsen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 22(04), pages 21-25, August.
- McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2020.
"Density forecast combinations: the real-time dimension,"
Working Paper Series
2378, European Central Bank.
- Peter McAdam & Anders Warne, 2024. "Density forecast combinations: The real‐time dimension," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1153-1172, August.
- Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2014.
"Inflation uncertainty revisited: a proposal for robust measurement,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1497-1523, December.
- Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2011. "Inflation uncertainty revisited: A proposal for robust measurement," ifo Working Paper Series 111, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72, July.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Johanna Garnitz & Christian Grimme & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Wolfgang Meister & Magnus Reif & Felix Schröter &, 2015. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2015/2017: Verhaltener Aufschwung setzt sich fort," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(24), pages 23-66, December.
- Kuo‐Hsuan Chin, 2022. "Forecast evaluation of DSGE models: Linear and nonlinear likelihood," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1099-1130, September.
- Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Klieber, Karin, 2023.
"Real-time inflation forecasting using non-linear dimension reduction techniques,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 901-921.
- Niko Hauzenberger & Florian Huber & Karin Klieber, 2020. "Real-time Inflation Forecasting Using Non-linear Dimension Reduction Techniques," Papers 2012.08155, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
- Justyna Wróblewska & Anna Pajor, 2019. "One-period joint forecasts of Polish inflation, unemployment and interest rate using Bayesian VEC-MSF models," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 11(1), pages 23-45, March.
- Pirschel, Inske & Wolters, Maik, 2014.
"Forecasting German key macroeconomic variables using large dataset methods,"
VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy
100587, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Pirschel, Inske & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "Forecasting German key macroeconomic variables using large dataset methods," Kiel Working Papers 1925, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Solikin M. Juhro & Bernard Njindan Iyke, 2019. "Forecasting Indonesian Inflation Within An Inflation-Targeting Framework: Do Large-Scale Models Pay Off?," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(4), pages 423-436, December.
- Susan Sunila Sharma, 2019. "WHICH VARIABLES PREDICT INDONESIA’s INFLATION?," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(1), pages 87-102, April.
- Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2011.
"Inflation uncertainty revisited: A proposal for robust measurement,"
ifo Working Paper Series
111, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2014. "Inflation uncertainty revisited: a proposal for robust measurement," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1497-1523, December.
Cited by:
- Ingrid Groessl & Artur Tarassow, 2018.
"A Microfounded Model of Money Demand Under Uncertainty, and some Empirical Evidence,"
Macroeconomics and Finance Series
201802, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Ingrid Groessl & Artur Tarassow, 2015. "A Microfounded Model of Money Demand Under Uncertainty, and some Empirical Evidence," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201504, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, revised Jan 2018.
- Gabriel Caldas Montes & Caio Ferrari Ferreira, 2019. "Does monetary policy credibility mitigate the effects of uncertainty about exchange rate on uncertainties about both inflation and interest rate?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 649-678, October.
- Binder Carola Conces, 2017. "Economic policy uncertainty and household inflation uncertainty," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 1-20, June.
- Tino Berger & Sibylle Grabert & Bernd Kempa, 2016. "Global and Country-Specific Output Growth Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Performance," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(5), pages 694-716, October.
- Steffen Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2013.
"Dimensions of macroeconomic uncertainty: A common factor analysis,"
ifo Working Paper Series
167, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Steffen Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2014. "Dimensions of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: A Common Factor Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 4991, CESifo.
- Henzel, Steffen R. & Rengel, Malte, 2017. "Dimensions of macroeconomic uncertainty: a common factor analysis," Munich Reprints in Economics 49932, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Steffen R. Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2017. "Dimensions Of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: A Common Factor Analysis," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 55(2), pages 843-877, April.
- Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2016.
"Time-Frequency Relationship between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty for the U.S.: Evidence from Historical Data,"
Working papers
2016-12, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
- Claudiu T. Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Twari & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Time-Frequency Relationship between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty for the U.S.: Evidence from Historical Data," Working Papers 201591, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2013. "Synchronization and Changes in International Inflation Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 4194, CESifo.
- Christian Grimme & Marc Stöckli, 2017. "Makroökonomische Unsicherheit in Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(06), pages 41-50, March.
- Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Stephen M. Miller & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Time–frequency relationship between US inflation and inflation uncertainty: evidence from historical data," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 66(5), pages 673-702, November.
- Oscar Claveria, 2020. "Business and consumer uncertainty in the face of the pandemic: A sector analysis in European countries," Papers 2012.02091, arXiv.org.
- Knüppel, Malte & Vladu, Andreea L., 2016. "Approximating fixed-horizon forecasts using fixed-event forecasts," Discussion Papers 28/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Glas, Alexander, 2020. "Five dimensions of the uncertainty–disagreement linkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 607-627.
- Herwartz, Helmut & Rohloff, Hannes, 2018. "Less bang for the buck? Assessing the role of inflation uncertainty for U.S. monetary policy transmission in a data rich environment," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 358, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.
- Buchen, Teresa & Carstensen, Kai & Henzel, Steffen & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2010.
"Was kostet die Krise? Mittelfristige Wachstumsperspektiven in Deutschland, 2010 - 2014,"
Discussion Papers in Economics
11438, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
Cited by:
- Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2011. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2011: Aufschwung setzt sich fort - Europäische Schuldenkrise noch ungelöst," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(08), pages 03-63, April.
- Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr, 2009.
"The Virtues of VAR Forecast Pooling – A DSGE Model Based Monte Carlo Study,"
ifo Working Paper Series
65, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
Cited by:
- Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009. "Makroökonomische Prognosen mit gemischten Frequenzen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(21), pages 22-33, November.
- Mayr, Johannes, 2010. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates," Munich Dissertations in Economics 11140, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015.
"Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," ifo Working Paper Series 155, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Berg, Tim Oliver & Henzel, Steffen, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79783, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2014. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs," CESifo Working Paper Series 4711, CESifo.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72, July.
- Kai Carstensen & Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009. "IFOCAST: Methoden der ifo-Kurzfristprognose," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(23), pages 15-28, December.
- Anna Billharz & Steffen Elstner & Marcus Jüppner, 2012. "Methoden der ifo Kurzfristprognose am Beispiel der Ausrüstungsinvestitionen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(21), pages 24-33, November.
- Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Magnus Reif, 2016. "Eine Flash-Schätzung für die privaten Konsumausgaben in Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(21), pages 36-41, November.
- Henzel, Steffen & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2008.
"The New Keynesian Phillips curve and the role of expectations: Evidence from the CESifo World Economic Survey,"
Munich Reprints in Economics
19416, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Henzel, Steffen & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2008. "The New Keynesian Phillips curve and the role of expectations: Evidence from the CESifo World Economic Survey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 811-832, September.
Cited by:
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017.
"Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy,"
MPRA Paper
78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Siew-Voon Soon & Mark E. Wohar, 2021. "Phillips Curve for the Asian Economies: A Nonlinear Perspective," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(12), pages 3508-3537, September.
- Jean-Baptiste, Frédo, 2012. "Forecasting with the New Keynesian Phillips curve: Evidence from survey data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 811-813.
- Belke, Ansgar & Klose, Jens, 2013.
"Modifying Taylor reaction functions in the presence of the zero‐lower‐bound — Evidence for the ECB and the Fed,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 515-527.
- Ansgar Belke & Jens Klose, 2012. "Modifying Taylor Reaction Functions in Presence of the Zero-Lower-Bound – Evidence for the ECB and the Fed," ROME Working Papers 201203, ROME Network.
- Ansgar Belke & Jens Klose, 2012. "Modifying Taylor Reaction Functions in Presence of the Zero-Lower-Bound: Evidence for the ECB and the Fed," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1218, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Belke, Ansgar & Klose, Jens, 2012. "Modifying Taylor Reaction Functions in Presence of the Zero-Lower-Bound – Evidence for the ECB and the Fed," Ruhr Economic Papers 343, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Bespalova, Olga, 2018. "Forecast Evaluation in Macroeconomics and International Finance. Ph.D. thesis, George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA," MPRA Paper 117706, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Schmidt, Torsten, 2018.
"Inflation Expectation Uncertainty, Inflation and the Outputgap,"
VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy
181575, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Fuest, Angela & Schmidt, Torsten, 2017. "Inflation expectation uncertainty, inflation and the output gap," Ruhr Economic Papers 673, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Puah, Chin-Hong & Chong, Lucy Lee-Yun & Jais, Mohamad, 2011. "Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis on the Retail Trade Sector Using Survey Data from Malaysia," MPRA Paper 36699, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Sophocles Mavroeidis & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & James H. Stock, 2014.
"Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(1), pages 124-188, March.
- Sophocles Mavroeidis & Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & James H. Stock, "undated". "Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Working Paper 84656, Harvard University OpenScholar.
- Mavroeidis, Sophocles & Plagborg-Moller, Mikkel & Stock, James H., 2014. "Empirical Evidence on Inflation Expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Scholarly Articles 22795845, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Miah, Fazlul & Khalifa, Ahmed Ali & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2016. "Further evidence on the rationality of interest rate expectations: A comprehensive study of developed and emerging economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 574-590.
- Carlos Medel, 2015.
"Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
769, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile," MPRA Paper 62609, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015.
"Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach,"
MPRA Paper
67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 785, Central Bank of Chile.
- Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 331-371, July.
- Martina Basarac & Blanka Škrabiæ & Petar Soriæ, 2011. "The Hybrid Phillips Curve: Empirical Evidence from Transition Economies," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 61(4), pages 367-383, August.
- Reiner Franke & Stephen Sacht, 2014.
"Some Observations On The High-Frequency Versions Of A Standard New-Keynesian Model,"
Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(1), pages 72-94, January.
- Franke, Reiner & Sacht, Stephen, 2010. "Some observations in the high-frequency versions of a standard New-Keynesian model," MPRA Paper 33358, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2011.
- Franke, Reiner & Sacht, Stephen, 2010. "Some observations in the high-frequency versions of a standard new-keynesian model," Economics Working Papers 2010-01, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Oinonen, Sami & Paloviita, Maritta & Vilmi, Lauri, 2013. "How have inflation dynamics changed over time? Evidence from the euro area and USA," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 6/2013, Bank of Finland.
- Abbas, Syed K. & Bhattacharya, Prasad Sankar & Sgro, Pasquale, 2016. "The new Keynesian Phillips curve: An update on recent empirical advances," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 378-403.
- Carlos Medel, 2021. "Searching for the Best Inflation Forecasters within a Consumer Perceptions Survey: Microdata Evidence from Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 899, Central Bank of Chile.
- Lee, Dong Jin & Yoon, Jai Hyung, 2016. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve in multiple quantiles and the asymmetry of monetary policy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 102-114.
- Eva M. Koeberl & Sarah M. Lein, 2008.
"The ICU and the Phillips Curve - An Approach Based on Micro Data,"
KOF Working papers
08-211, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Eva M. Köberl & Sarah M. Lein, 2011. "The NIRCU and the Phillips curve: an approach based on micro data," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 44(2), pages 673-694, May.
- Eva M. Köberl & Sarah M. Lein, 2011. "The NIRCU and the Phillips curve: an approach based on micro data," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(2), pages 673-694, May.
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Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 409-433.
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- Daniel A. Dias & Joao B. Duarte, 2016. "The Effect of Monetary Policy on Housing Tenure Choice as an Explanation for the Price Puzzle," International Finance Discussion Papers 1171, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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- Zongwu Cai & Xiyuan Liu, 2021. "Solving the Price Puzzle Via A Functional Coefficient Factor-Augmented VAR Model," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202106, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2021.
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"Inflation Convergence and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in the Czech Republic,"
Czech Economic Review, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, vol. 5(2), pages 099-115, August.
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"Mikrodaten im ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung: Bestand, Verwendung, Zugang,"
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- Klaus Abberger & Sascha Becker & Barbara Hofmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2007. "Mikrodaten im ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung – Bestand, Verwendung und Zugang," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, vol. 1(1), pages 27-42, June.
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2017. "A new approach for the quantification of qualitative measures of economic expectations," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 51(6), pages 2685-2706, November.
- Evgenia Kudymowa & Johanna Garnitz & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Ifo World Economic Survey und die realwirtschaftliche Entwicklung in ausgewählten Ländern," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(19), pages 23-30, October.
- Teresita Bascos-Deveza, 2011. "Quantifying qualitative data from expectation surveys: how well do expectation surveys forecast inflation?," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Proceedings of the IFC Conference on "Initiatives to address data gaps revealed by the financial crisis", Basel, 25-26 August 2010, volume 34, pages 128-137, Bank for International Settlements.
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018.
"“Tracking economic growth by evolving expectations via genetic programming: A two-step approach”,"
AQR Working Papers
201801, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jan 2018.
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "Tracking economic growth by evolving expectations via genetic programming: A two-step approach," Working Papers XREAP2018-4, Xarxa de Referència en Economia Aplicada (XREAP), revised Oct 2018.
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "“Tracking economic growth by evolving expectations via genetic programming: A two-step approach”," IREA Working Papers 201801, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jan 2018.
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2019. "Evolutionary Computation for Macroeconomic Forecasting," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(2), pages 833-849, February.
- Breitung, Jörg & Schmeling, Maik, 2011.
"Quantifying survey expectations: What's wrong with the probability approach?,"
Hannover Economic Papers (HEP)
dp-485, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Breitung, Jörg & Schmeling, Maik, 2013. "Quantifying survey expectations: What’s wrong with the probability approach?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 142-154.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72, July.
- Evgenia Kudymowa & Johanna Garnitz & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Ifo World Economic Survey and the Business Cycle in Selected Countries," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 14(04), pages 51-57, January.
- Christian Mueller & Aniela Wirz & Nora Sydow, 2007. "A Note on the Carlson-Parkin Method of Quantifying Qualitative Data," KOF Working papers 07-168, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Articles
- Steffen R. Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2017.
"Dimensions Of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: A Common Factor Analysis,"
Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 55(2), pages 843-877, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Steffen Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2014. "Dimensions of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: A Common Factor Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 4991, CESifo.
- Henzel, Steffen R. & Rengel, Malte, 2017. "Dimensions of macroeconomic uncertainty: a common factor analysis," Munich Reprints in Economics 49932, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Steffen Henzel & Malte Rengel, 2013. "Dimensions of macroeconomic uncertainty: A common factor analysis," ifo Working Paper Series 167, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015.
"Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," ifo Working Paper Series 155, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Berg, Tim Oliver & Henzel, Steffen, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79783, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2014. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs," CESifo Working Paper Series 4711, CESifo.
- Steffen Henzel, 2015.
"Prognosekraft des ifo Konjunkturtests – Einfluss der neuen Saisonbereinigung mit X-13ARIMA-SEATS,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(01), pages 59-63, January.
Cited by:
- Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72, July.
- Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Die Saisonbereinigung im ifo Konjunkturtest – Umstellung auf das X-13ARIMA-SEATS-Verfahren," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(01), pages 32-42, January.
- Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger, 2015. "ifo Konjunkturampel revisited," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(05), pages 27-32, March.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Johanna Garnitz & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Wolfgang Meister & Felix Schröte, 2015.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2015/2016: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Aufschwung,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(12), pages 22-62, June.
Cited by:
- Thomas Strobel & Arno Städtler, 2015. "Weiterhin moderates Wachstum von Investitionen und Leasing," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(13), pages 52-55, July.
- Stefan Sauer & Arno Städtler, 2015. "Anhaltend moderates Investitionswachstum – Leasing expandiert mit abnehmender Dynamik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(18), pages 67-70, September.
- Henzel Steffen R. & Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015.
"Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony,"
Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 66(1), pages 71-98, April.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Henzel, Steffen & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," MPRA Paper 63714, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," CESifo Working Paper Series 5336, CESifo.
- Steffen Henzel & Claire Thürwächter, 2015.
"Verlässlichkeit der EU-Methode zur Schätzung des Produktionspotenzials in Deutschland,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(18), pages 18-24, September.
Cited by:
- Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2015. "Zukunftsfähigkeit in den Mittelpunkt. Jahresgutachten 2015/16 [Focus on Future Viability. Annual Report 2015/16]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201516, September.
- Breuer, Sebastian & Elstner, Steffen, 2017. "Die Wachstumsperspektiven der deutschen Wirtschaft vor dem Hintergrund des demografischen Wandels: Die Mittelfristprojektion des Sachverständigenrates," Working Papers 07/2017, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
- Steffen Henzel & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2014.
"Evaluation der ifo Konjunkturprognosen,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(17), pages 43-45, September.
Cited by:
- Döhrn, Roland, 2015. "Prognosen für 2015 im Rückblick," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 66(4), pages 35-46.
- Timo Wollmershäuser, 2015. "Evaluation der ifo Konjunkturprognosen – ein Vergleich mit den Prognosen von Consensus Economics," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(22), pages 26-28, November.
- Korbinian Breitrainer & Atanas Hristov, 2015. "Evaluation des Eurozone Economic Outlook," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(24), pages 67-73, December.
- Robert Lehmann & Michael Weber, 2016. "Mehr als Kaffeesatzleserei: Eine Evaluation der ifo Prognosen zur Erwerbstätigkeit in Ostdeutschland und Sachsen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 23(02), pages 22-26, April.
- Franziska Fobbe & Robert Lehmann, 2016. "Elektromotoren, Energieversorgung und Erziehung: Die Güte der entstehungsseitigen ifo-Kurzfristprognose," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(12), pages 58-63, June.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wolfgang Meister & Johanna Garn, 2014.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2014/2015: Deutscher Aufschwung setzt sich fort,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(13), pages 17-58, July.
Cited by:
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2018. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2017: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(03), pages 35-42, February.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2019. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2018: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(03), pages 22-29, February.
- Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2014.
"Inflation uncertainty revisited: a proposal for robust measurement,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1497-1523, December.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2011. "Inflation uncertainty revisited: A proposal for robust measurement," ifo Working Paper Series 111, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Steffen Henzel & Kira Engelhardt, 2014.
"Arbeitsmarkteffekte des flächendeckenden Mindestlohns in Deutschland – eine Sensitivitätsanalyse,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(10), pages 23-29, May.
Cited by:
- Arne Heise, 2022. "Mindestlöhne, Beschäftigung und die „Harmonie der Täuschungen“," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 48(1), pages 83-107.
- Schmitz, Sebastian, 2017. "The effects of Germany's new minimum wage on employment and welfare dependency," Discussion Papers 2017/21, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Arne Heise, 2019. "The resilience of modern neoclassical economics – a case study in the light of Ludwik Fleck’s ‘harmony of deception’," The Journal of Philosophical Economics, Bucharest Academy of Economic Studies, The Journal of Philosophical Economics, vol. 13(1), pages 1-18, November.
- Christian Erthle & Klaus Wohlrabe & Przemyslaw Wojciechowski, 2014. "Der flächendeckende Mindestlohn und die Reaktion der Unternehmen – Ergebnisse einer Sonderumfrage im ifo Konjunkturtest," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(23), pages 50-52, December.
- Boll, Christina & Hüning, Hendrik & Leppin, Julian & Puckelwald, Johannes, 2015. "Potenzielle Auswirkungen des Mindestlohnes auf den Gender Pay Gap in Deutschland: Eine Simulationsstudie," HWWI Policy Papers 89, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
- Boll, Christina & Hüning, Hendrik & Leppin, Julian & Puckelwald, Johannes, 2015.
"Potential effects of a statutory minimum wage on the gender pay gap: A simulation-based study for Germany,"
HWWI Research Papers
163, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
- Christina Boll & Hendrik Hüning & Julian Leppin & Johannes Puckelwald, 2015. "Potential Effects of Statutory Minimum Wage on the Gender Pay Gap: A Simulation-Based Study for Germany," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 766, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
- Heise, Arne, 2021. "How did they get it so wrong? Mindestlöhne und ihre Bedrohung für die Standardökonomie," ZÖSS-Discussion Papers 85, University of Hamburg, Centre for Economic and Sociological Studies (CESS/ZÖSS).
- Antje Schubert & Johannes Steinbrecher & Marcel Thum & Michael Weber, 2016. "The Impact of the Statutory Minimum Wage Act in Saxony," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 77, November.
- Robert Lehmann & Joachim Ragnitz & Michael Weber, 2015. "Mindestlohn in Ostdeutschland: Firmen planen Preiserhöhungen und Personalabbau," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 22(01), pages 40-42, February.
- Holtemöller, Oliver & Pohle, Felix, 2020.
"Employment effects of introducing a minimum wage: The case of Germany,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 108-121.
- Holtemöller, Oliver & Pohle, Felix, 2017. "Employment effects of introducing a minimum wage: The case of Germany," IWH Discussion Papers 28/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Christian Breuer, 2014. "Steuermehreinnahmen, Mindestlohn und kalte Progression," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(11), pages 38-42, June.
- Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2014. "Mehr Vertrauen in Marktprozesse. Jahresgutachten 2014/15 [More confidence in market processes. Annual Report 2014/15]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201415, September.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wolfgang Meiste, 2014.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2014/2015: Deutsche Wirtschaft gewinnt allmählich wieder an Schwung,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(24), pages 37-81, December.
Cited by:
- Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Die Saisonbereinigung im ifo Konjunkturtest – Umstellung auf das X-13ARIMA-SEATS-Verfahren," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(01), pages 32-42, January.
- Thomas Strobel & Arno Städtler, 2015. "Gebremste Wachstumsdynamik der Ausrüstungsinvestitionen – 2015 moderates Wachstum erwartet," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(01), pages 56-58, January.
- Thomas Strobel & Arno Städtler, 2015. "Moderates Wachstum der Investitionen und des Leasings in Sicht," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(06), pages 43-47, March.
- Steffen Henzel & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014.
"Das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer und der deutsche Arbeitsmarkt,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(15), pages 35-40, August.
Cited by:
- Klaus Wohlrabe, 2018. "Das neue ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(09), pages 34-36, May.
- Robert Lehmann, 2020.
"The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8291, CESifo.
- Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.
- R. Lehmann & K. Wohlrabe, 2017.
"Experts, firms, consumers or even hard data? Forecasting employment in Germany,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 279-283, February.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2016. "Experts, firms, consumers or even hard data? Forecasting employment in Germany," MPRA Paper 69611, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Robert Lehmann & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "Zur Prognosegüte der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Stundenproduktivität," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(22), pages 57-61, November.
- Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.
- Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wolfgang Meister & Johanna Garnitz &, 2013.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2013/2014: Günstige Perspektiven für die deutsche Konjunktur,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(13), pages 17-64, July.
Cited by:
- Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72, July.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger, 2015. "ifo Konjunkturampel revisited," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(05), pages 27-32, March.
- Henzel, Steffen R. & Mayr, Johannes, 2013.
"The mechanics of VAR forecast pooling—A DSGE model based Monte Carlo study,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 1-24.
Cited by:
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015.
"Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," ifo Working Paper Series 155, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Berg, Tim Oliver & Henzel, Steffen, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79783, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2014. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Bayesian VARs," CESifo Working Paper Series 4711, CESifo.
- Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Won Joong Kim & Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne, 2013.
"Forecasting China’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Using Dynamic Model Averaging: The Role of Macroeconomic Fundamentals, Financial Stress and Economic Uncertainty,"
Working Papers
201338, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Kim, Won Joong & Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D., 2014. "Forecasting China's foreign exchange reserves using dynamic model averaging: The roles of macroeconomic fundamentals, financial stress and economic uncertainty," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 170-189.
- Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2014.
"Inflation uncertainty revisited: a proposal for robust measurement,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1497-1523, December.
- Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2011. "Inflation uncertainty revisited: A proposal for robust measurement," ifo Working Paper Series 111, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015.
"Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- Steffen Henzel & Sebastian Rast, 2013.
"Prognoseeigenschaften von Indikatoren zur Vorhersage des Bruttoinlandsprodukts in Deutschland,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(17), pages 39-46, September.
Cited by:
- Steffen Henzel & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Kai Carstensen & Christian Grimme & Oliver Hülsewig & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wolfgang Meister &, 2013. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2013/2014: Deutsche Konjunkturlokomotive kommt unter Dampf," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(24), pages 20-67, December.
- Inske Pirschel & Maik H. Wolters, 2018. "Forecasting with large datasets: compressing information before, during or after the estimation?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 573-596, September.
- Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima und die deutsche Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(18), pages 17-21, October.
- Timo Wollmershäuser, 2015. "Evaluation der ifo Konjunkturprognosen – ein Vergleich mit den Prognosen von Consensus Economics," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(22), pages 26-28, November.
- Henzel Steffen R. & Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015.
"Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony,"
Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 66(1), pages 71-98, April.
- Henzel, Steffen & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," MPRA Paper 63714, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," CESifo Working Paper Series 5336, CESifo.
- Zeno Enders & Franziska Hünnekes & Gernot Müller, 2022.
"Firm Expectations and Economic Activity,"
Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 20(6), pages 2396-2439.
- Enders, Zeno & Hünnekes, Franziska & Müller, Gernot J., 2021. "Firm expectations and economic activity," Working Paper Series 2621, European Central Bank.
- Zeno Enders & Franziska Hünnekes & Gernot Müller, 2019. "Firm expectations and economic activity," CESifo Working Paper Series 7623, CESifo.
- Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Die Machbarkeit von Kurzfristprognosen für den Freistaat Sachsen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 22(04), pages 21-25, August.
- Robert Lehmann, 2020.
"The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8291, CESifo.
- Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72, July.
- Robert Lehmann & Andreas Sharik & Michael Weber, 2014. "Der Erklärungsgehalt der regionalen ifo-Indikatoren am Beispiel der Industrie- und Bauumsätze," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 21(04), pages 18-24, August.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Nikolay Hristov & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Johanna Garnitz & Christian Grimme & Atanas Hristov & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Meister & Magnus Reif &, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2016/2017: Aufschwung in Deutschland geht in die zweite Halbzeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(12), pages 21-57, June.
- Steffen Henzel, 2015. "Prognosekraft des ifo Konjunkturtests – Einfluss der neuen Saisonbereinigung mit X-13ARIMA-SEATS," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(01), pages 59-63, January.
- Pirschel, Inske & Wolters, Maik, 2014.
"Forecasting German key macroeconomic variables using large dataset methods,"
VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy
100587, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Pirschel, Inske & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "Forecasting German key macroeconomic variables using large dataset methods," Kiel Working Papers 1925, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.
- Henzel, Steffen R., 2013.
"Fitting survey expectations and uncertainty about trend inflation,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 172-185.
Cited by:
- James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2013.
"Measuring The Slowly Evolving Trend In Us Inflation With Professional Forecasts,"
Working Paper
1316, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2021. "Measuring the slowly evolving trend in US inflation with professional forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 1-17, January.
- James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2014. "Measuring the Slowly Evolving Trend in US Inflation with Professional Forecasts," CAMA Working Papers 2014-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & Giesen, Sebastian & Hennecke, Peter & Kiesel, Konstantin & Loose, Brigitte & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Ökonomische Wirksamkeit der Konjunktur stützenden finanzpolitischen Maßnahmen der Jahre 2008 und 2009. Forschungsvorhaben im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums der Finanzen," IWH Online 4/2015, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Elmar Mertens & James M Nason, 2015.
"Inflation and Professional Forecast Dynamics: An Evaluation of Stickiness, Persistence, and Volatility,"
CAMA Working Papers
2015-06, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Elmar Mertens & James M. Nason, 2018. "Inflation and professional forecast dynamics: an evaluation of stickiness, persistence, and volatility," BIS Working Papers 713, Bank for International Settlements.
- Elmar Mertens & James M. Nason, 2017. "Inflation and professional forecast dynamics: An evaluation of stickiness, persistence, and volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2017-60, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Elmar Mertens & James M. Nason, 2020. "Inflation and professional forecast dynamics: An evaluation of stickiness, persistence, and volatility," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(4), pages 1485-1520, November.
- Karolina Tura-Gawron & Maria Siranova & Karol Fisikowski, 2018. "ARE CONSUMER INFLATION EXPECTATIONS AN INTERNATIONAL PHENOMENON? Results of spatial panel regressions models," GUT FME Working Paper Series A 50, Faculty of Management and Economics, Gdansk University of Technology.
- James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2013.
"Measuring The Slowly Evolving Trend In Us Inflation With Professional Forecasts,"
Working Paper
1316, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- Steffen Henzel & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Kai Carstensen & Christian Grimme & Oliver Hülsewig & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wolfgang Meister &, 2013.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2013/2014: Deutsche Konjunkturlokomotive kommt unter Dampf,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(24), pages 20-67, December.
Cited by:
- Arno Städtler, 2014. "Investitionen klar auf Wachstumskurs – Leasingklima stark verbessert," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(06), pages 36-39, March.
- Evgenia Kudymowa & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Konjunkturtest im Fokus: Die Herstellung von Druckerzeugnissen; Vervielfältigung von bespielten Ton-, Bild- und Datenträgern," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(06), pages 31-35, March.
- Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Benjamin Born & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wol, 2012.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2012/2013: Erhöhte Unsicherheit dämpft deutsche Konjunktur erneut,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(13), pages 15-68, July.
Cited by:
- Frank Westermann, 2014. "Discussion of "Target2 and Central Bank Balance Sheets"," IEER Working Papers 99, Institute of Empirical Economic Research, Osnabrueck University.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2013. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2012: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(02), pages 30-33, January.
- Joachim Gürtler & Arno Städtler, 2012. "Investitionen im Sog der Finanzkrise – Mobilien-Leasing wächst noch überdurchschnittlich," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(19), pages 47-50, October.
- Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Tim Oliver Berg & Benjamin Born & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Micha, 2011.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Schuldenkrise bremst deutsche Wirtschaft aus,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(24), pages 26-72, December.
Cited by:
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2013. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2012: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(02), pages 30-33, January.
- Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wo, 2011.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Aufschwung geht langsamer voran,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(13), pages 16-62, July.
Cited by:
- Stefan Sauer & Arno Städtler, 2016. "Investitionsneigung schwächt sich ab – Leasing expandiert überdurchschnittlich," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(18), pages 47-51, September.
- Stefan Sauer, 2011. "Großhandel: Steigende Umsätze und schwungvolle Investitionsdynamik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(15), pages 32-35, August.
- Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.
- Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Johannes Mayr & Wolf, 2010.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010/2011:Auftriebskräfte verlagern sich nach Deutschland,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(12), pages 12-63, June.
Cited by:
- Alexander Eck & Joachim Ragnitz & Johannes Steinbrecher & Christian Thater, 2011. "Haushaltskonsolidierung, Infrastruktur und Standortwettbewerb : Gutachten im Auftrag des Bayerischen Staatsministeriums für Wirtschaft, Infrastruktur, Verkehr und Technologie," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 58, November.
- Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Thomas Siemsen, 2010. "Die größten aufstrebenden Märkte für deutsche Exporte liegen in Asien und Osteuropa," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(16), pages 22-25, August.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72, July.
- Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Tim Oliver Berg & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Jo, 2010.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011: Aufschwung setzt sich verlangsamt fort,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(24), pages 18-68, December.
Cited by:
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2018. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2017: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(03), pages 35-42, February.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2020. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2019: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(01), pages 51-57, January.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2019. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2018: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(03), pages 22-29, February.
- Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.
- Kai Carstensen & Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009.
"IFOCAST: Methoden der ifo-Kurzfristprognose,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(23), pages 15-28, December.
Cited by:
- Steffen Henzel & Sebastian Rast, 2013. "Prognoseeigenschaften von Indikatoren zur Vorhersage des Bruttoinlandsprodukts in Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(17), pages 39-46, September.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Nikolay Hristov & Dorine Boumans & Johanna Garnitz & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Stefan Lauterbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Meister & Magnus Rei, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2016–2018: Robuste deutsche Konjunktur vor einem Jahr ungewisser internationaler Wirtschaftspolitik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(24), pages 28-73, December.
- Steffen Henzel & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Kai Carstensen & Christian Grimme & Oliver Hülsewig & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wolfgang Meister &, 2013. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2013/2014: Deutsche Konjunkturlokomotive kommt unter Dampf," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(24), pages 20-67, December.
- Doll, Jens & Rosenthal, Beatrice & Volkenand, Jonas & Hamella, Sandra, 2017. "Nowcasting des deutschen BIP," Weidener Diskussionspapiere 59, University of Applied Sciences Amberg-Weiden (OTH).
- Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima und die deutsche Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(18), pages 17-21, October.
- Timo Wollmershäuser, 2015. "Evaluation der ifo Konjunkturprognosen – ein Vergleich mit den Prognosen von Consensus Economics," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(22), pages 26-28, November.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2014. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2013: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(02), pages 41-46, January.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Ann-Christin Rathje & Magnus Reif & Radek Šauer &, 2018. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2018: Deutsche Konjunktur kühlt sich ab," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(24), pages 28-82, December.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Nikolay Hristov & Dorine Boumans & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & S. Lauterbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Meister & Andreas Peichl & Magnus Reif & F, 2017. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2017/2018: Deutsche Wirtschaft stark und stabil," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(12), pages 30-83, June.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2013.
"Konjunkturprognosen heute – Möglichkeiten und Probleme,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(01), pages 25-32, January.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2012. "Konjunkturprognosen heute – Möglichkeiten und Probleme," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 19(05), pages 29-37, October.
- Klaus Wohlrabe, 2012. "Prognose des Dienstleistungssektors in Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(01), pages 31-39, January.
- Döhrn, Roland & Barabas, György & Gebhardt, Heinz & Kitlinski, Tobias & Micheli, Martin & Schmidt, Torsten & Vosen, Simeon & Zimmermann, Lina, 2010. "Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Inland: Aufschwung verliert an Fahrt," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 61(2), pages 37-82.
- Henzel Steffen R. & Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015.
"Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony,"
Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 66(1), pages 71-98, April.
- Henzel, Steffen & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," MPRA Paper 63714, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," CESifo Working Paper Series 5336, CESifo.
- Klaus Wohlrabe, 2011. "Konstruktion von Indikatoren zur Analyse der wirtschaftlichen Aktivität in den Dienstleistungsbereichen," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 55, July.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2018. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2017: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(03), pages 35-42, February.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Manuel Menkhoff & Sascha Möhrle & Ann-Christin Rathje & Magnus Reif & Pauliina Sandqv, 2020. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2020: Das Coronavirus schlägt zurück – erneuter Shutdown bremst Konjunktur ein zweites Mal aus," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(Sonderaus), pages 03-61, December.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2020. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2019: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(01), pages 51-57, January.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Florian Eckert & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2019. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2019: Deutsche Konjunktur stabilisiert sich," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(24), pages 27-89, December.
- Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Die Machbarkeit von Kurzfristprognosen für den Freistaat Sachsen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 22(04), pages 21-25, August.
- Robert Lehmann, 2020.
"The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
8291, CESifo.
- Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2017. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2016: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(02), pages 72-78, January.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2019. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2018: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(03), pages 22-29, February.
- Robert Lehmann & Andreas Sharik & Michael Weber, 2014. "Der Erklärungsgehalt der regionalen ifo-Indikatoren am Beispiel der Industrie- und Bauumsätze," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 21(04), pages 18-24, August.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Johanna Garnitz & Christian Grimme & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Wolfgang Meister & Magnus Reif & Felix Schröter &, 2015. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2015/2017: Verhaltener Aufschwung setzt sich fort," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(24), pages 23-66, December.
- Magnus Reif & Arno Städtler, 2017. "Gute Konjunkturaussichten noch kein Treiber für die Investitionen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(09), pages 43-47, May.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Nikolay Hristov & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Johanna Garnitz & Christian Grimme & Atanas Hristov & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Meister & Magnus Reif &, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2016/2017: Aufschwung in Deutschland geht in die zweite Halbzeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(12), pages 21-57, June.
- Franziska Fobbe & Robert Lehmann, 2016. "Elektromotoren, Energieversorgung und Erziehung: Die Güte der entstehungsseitigen ifo-Kurzfristprognose," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(12), pages 58-63, June.
- Pinkwart, Nicolas, 2018. "Short-term forecasting economic activity in Germany: A supply and demand side system of bridge equations," Discussion Papers 36/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Klaus Wohlrabe & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2017. "Über die richtige Interpretation des ifo Geschäftsklimas als konjunktureller Frühindikator," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(15), pages 42-46, August.
- Anna Billharz & Steffen Elstner & Marcus Jüppner, 2012. "Methoden der ifo Kurzfristprognose am Beispiel der Ausrüstungsinvestitionen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(21), pages 24-33, November.
- Andreini, Paolo & Hasenzagl, Thomas & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Senftleben-König, Charlotte & Strohsal, Till, 2023. "Nowcasting German GDP: Foreign factors, financial markets, and model averaging," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 298-313.
- Robert Lehmann & Magnus Reif & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2020. "ifoCAST: Der neue Prognosestandard des ifo Instituts," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(11), pages 31-39, November.
- Timo Wollmershäuser & Silvia Delrio & Clemens Fuest & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Andreas Peichl & Magnus Reif & Rad, 2017. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2017–2019: Deutsche Wirtschaft auf dem Weg in die Hochkonjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(24), pages 28-81, December.
- Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Magnus Reif, 2016. "Eine Flash-Schätzung für die privaten Konsumausgaben in Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(21), pages 36-41, November.
- Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88.
- Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oliver Hülsewig & Klaus Abberger & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Johannes Mayr & Wolfg, 2009.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010: Deutsche Wirtschaft ohne Dynamik,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(24), pages 17-64, December.
Cited by:
- Christian Grimme & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2017. "Zu den Auswirkungen von Rohstoffpreisänderungen auf den Leistungsbilanzsaldo," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(14), pages 44-46, July.
- Thomas Strobel & Arno Städtler, 2015. "Weiterhin moderates Wachstum von Investitionen und Leasing," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(13), pages 52-55, July.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2018. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2017: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(03), pages 35-42, February.
- Stefan Sauer & Arno Städtler, 2015. "Anhaltend moderates Investitionswachstum – Leasing expandiert mit abnehmender Dynamik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(18), pages 67-70, September.
- Magnus Reif & Arno Städtler, 2018. "Investitionen springen an – Leasing boomt," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(01), pages 26-29, January.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2011. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2010: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(02), pages 22-25, February.
- Christian Breuer & Matthias Müller, 2010. "Staatsverschuldung in Europa: Status quo," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 63(04), pages 49-52, February.
- Henzel, Steffen & Hülsewig, Oliver & Mayer, Eric & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2009.
"The price puzzle revisited: Can the cost channel explain a rise in inflation after a monetary policy shock?,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 268-289, June.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Henzel, Steffen & Hülsewig, Oliver & Mayer, Eric, 2009. "The price puzzle revisited: Can the cost channel explain a rise in inflation after a monetary policy shock?," Munich Reprints in Economics 19421, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Eric Mayer & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2007. "The Price Puzzle Revisited: Can the Cost Channel Explain a Rise in Inflation after a Monetary Policy Shock?," CESifo Working Paper Series 2039, CESifo.
- Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oliver Hülsewig & Klaus Abberger & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Georg Paula & Anna Wolf & Timo Wollmers, 2009.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2009/2010: Abschwung setzt sich fort,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(12), pages 11-57, June.
Cited by:
- Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2009. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2009:Zögerliche Belebung – steigende Staatsschulden," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(20), pages 03-64, October.
- Giuseppe Bertola & John Driffill & Harold James & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Ákos Valentinyi, 2015.
"Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Outlook,"
EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 13-50, February.
- Lars Calmfors & Giancarlo Corsetti & John Hassler & Gilles Saint-Paul & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Ákos Valentinyi & Xavier Vives, 2012. "Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Outlook," EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 17-56, February.
- Giuseppe Bertola & John Driffill & Harold James & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Ákos Valentinyi, 2014. "Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Outlook," EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 15-53, February.
- Giancarlo Corsetti & Michael P. Devereux & John Hassler & Gilles Saint-Paul & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Xavier Vives, 2011. "Chapter 1: The Macroeconomic Outlook," EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 17-69, February.
- Giuseppe Bertola & John Driffill & Harold James & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Ákos Valentinyi, 2013. "Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Outlook," EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 13-54, February.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2012. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2011: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(02), pages 22-27, January.
- Henzel, Steffen & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2008.
"The New Keynesian Phillips curve and the role of expectations: Evidence from the CESifo World Economic Survey,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 811-832, September.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Henzel, Steffen & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2008. "The New Keynesian Phillips curve and the role of expectations: Evidence from the CESifo World Economic Survey," Munich Reprints in Economics 19416, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Dirk Ulbricht & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2008.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2008/2009: Aufschwung geht zu Ende,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(12), pages 09-54, June.
Cited by:
- Ludwig Dorffmeister, 2008. "Finanzkrise bremst europäische BauwirtschaftAusgewählte Ergebnisse der Euroconstruct-Sommerkonferenz 2008," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(13), pages 27-32, July.
- Gebhard Flaig & Wolfgang Nierhaus & I. Becker & Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Erich Langmantel & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Monika Ruschinski & Dirk Ulbricht & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2007.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2007/2008: Aufschwung mit niedrigerem Tempo,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 60(12), pages 08-53, June.
Cited by:
- Volker Rußig, 2007. "Wohnungsfertigstellungen in Europa: Sanfter Abstieg vom Gipfel," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 60(14), pages 21-29, July.
- Steffen Henzel & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2006.
"Quantifying Inflation Expectations with the Carlson-Parkin Method: A Survey-based Determination of the Just Noticeable Difference,"
Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2005(3), pages 321-352.
Cited by:
- Christian Seiler, 2013. "Nonresponse in Business Tendency Surveys: Theoretical Discourse and Empirical Evidence," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 52.
- Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019.
"Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(54), pages 5802-5816, November.
- Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," Munich Reprints in Economics 78264, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 51(54), pages 5802-5816.
- Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7691, CESifo.
- Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2017. "Forecasting GDP all over the World: Evidence from Comprehensive Survey Data," MPRA Paper 81772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jürgen Bierbaumer & Werner Hölzl, 2015. "Business Cycle Dynamics and Firm Heterogeneity. Evidence for Austria Using Survey Data," WIFO Working Papers 504, WIFO.
- Thomas Maag, 2009. "On the accuracy of the probability method for quantifying beliefs about inflation," KOF Working papers 09-230, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2013. "Quantifying Heterogeneous Survey Expectations: The Carlson-Parkin Method Revisited," Discussion Papers 13-08, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
- Ullrich, Katrin, 2007.
"Inflation Expectations of Experts and ECB Communication,"
ZEW Discussion Papers
07-054, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Ullrich, Katrin, 2008. "Inflation expectations of experts and ECB communication," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 93-108, March.
- Christian Seiler, 2012.
"On the Robustness of the Balance Statistics with respect to Nonresponse,"
ifo Working Paper Series
126, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Christian Seiler, 2015. "On the robustness of balance statistics with respect to nonresponse," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2014(2), pages 45-62.
- Werner Hölzl & Gerhard Schwarz, 2014. "Der WIFO-Konjunkturtest: Methodik und Prognoseeigenschaften," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 87(12), pages 835-850, December.
- Henzel, Steffen & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2008.
"The New Keynesian Phillips curve and the role of expectations: Evidence from the CESifo World Economic Survey,"
Munich Reprints in Economics
19416, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Henzel, Steffen & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2008. "The New Keynesian Phillips curve and the role of expectations: Evidence from the CESifo World Economic Survey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 811-832, September.
- Joachim Zuckarelli, 2015. "A new method for quantification of qualitative expectations," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 4(3), pages 123-128.
- Ziegler, Christina, 2012. "Monetary policy under alternative exchange rate regimes in Central and Eastern Europe," Working Papers 104, University of Leipzig, Faculty of Economics and Management Science.
- Steffen Henzel & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve and the Role of Expectations: Evidence from the Ifo World Economic Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 1694, CESifo.
- Henry Sabrowski, 2008. "Inflation Expectation Formation of German Consumers: Rational or Adaptive?," Working Paper Series in Economics 100, University of Lüneburg, Institute of Economics.
- Gebhard Flaig & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Ina Becker & Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Erich Langmantel & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Monika Ruschinski & Dirk Ulbricht & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2006.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2006/2007: Aufschwung setzt sich fort,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(12), pages 19-54, June.
Cited by:
- Giuseppe Bertola & John Driffill & Harold James & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Ákos Valentinyi, 2015.
"Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Outlook,"
EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 13-50, February.
- Lars Calmfors & Giancarlo Corsetti & John Hassler & Gilles Saint-Paul & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Ákos Valentinyi & Xavier Vives, 2012. "Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Outlook," EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 17-56, February.
- Giuseppe Bertola & John Driffill & Harold James & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Ákos Valentinyi, 2014. "Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Outlook," EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 15-53, February.
- Giancarlo Corsetti & Michael P. Devereux & John Hassler & Gilles Saint-Paul & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Xavier Vives, 2011. "Chapter 1: The Macroeconomic Outlook," EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 17-69, February.
- Giuseppe Bertola & John Driffill & Harold James & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Ákos Valentinyi, 2013. "Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Outlook," EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 13-54, February.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2012. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2011: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 65(02), pages 22-27, January.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2018. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2017: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(03), pages 35-42, February.
- Joachim Gürtler & Arno Städtler, 2006. "Geschäftsaussichten in der Leasingbranche schwächen sich ab – hält die dynamische Entwicklung der Ausrüstungsinvestitionen an?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(16), pages 25-29, August.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2020. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2019: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(01), pages 51-57, January.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2019. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2018: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(03), pages 22-29, February.
- Giuseppe Bertola & John Driffill & Harold James & Hans-Werner Sinn & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Ákos Valentinyi, 2015.
"Chapter 1: Macroeconomic Outlook,"
EEAG Report on the European Economy, CESifo, vol. 0, pages 13-50, February.
- Gebhard Flaig & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oscar-Erich Kuntze & Andrea Gebauer & Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Anita Dehne & Erich Langmantel & Wolfgang Meister & Monika Ruschinski & Bodo Schimpfermann , 2005.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2005/2006: Nur zögerliche Erholung,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(12), pages 29-63, June.
Cited by:
- Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020.
"Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 829-850.
- Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 6457, CESifo.
- Heinrich, Markus & Carstensen, Kai & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168206, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2019. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," Jena Economics Research Papers 2019-006, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
- Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
- Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020.
"Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 829-850.
- Gebhard Flaig & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Anita Dehne & Andrea Gebauer & Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Erich Langmantel & Wolfgang Meister & Monika Ruschinski & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2005.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2006: deutsche Wirtschaft im Aufschwung,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(24), pages 18-54, December.
Cited by:
- Volker Rußig, 2006. "Zunehmende Altbauerneuerung bringt Europas Bauwirtschaft auf moderaten WachstumskursAusgewählte Ergebnisse der Euroconstruct-Winterkonferenz 2005," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(03), pages 32-40, February.
- Klaus Wohlrabe, 2006. "Arbeits- und Betriebszeiten in Deutschland – Einige Fakten und Trends für die Industrie, den Dienstleistungssektor und den Einzelhandel," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(04), pages 19-25, February.
- Klaus Abberger & Gebhard Flaig & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2007. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse : ausgewählte methodische Aufsätze aus dem ifo Schnelldienst," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 33, July.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2007. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2006: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 60(02), pages 23-28, January.
- Gebhard Flaig & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oscar-Erich Kuntze & Andrea Gebauer & Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Anita Dehne & Erich Langmantel & Wolfgang Meister & Monika Ruschinski & Bodo Schimpfermann , 2004.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2004/2005: Konjunktur gewinnt an Fahrt,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(12), pages 10-36, June.
Cited by:
- Joachim Gürtler & Arno Städtler, 2004. "Leasingbranche: Geschäftsklima stabilisiert sich - Entwicklung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Ausrüstungsinvestitionen zwischen Hoffen und Bangen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(15), pages 34-37, August.
- Gebhard Flaig & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oscar-Erich Kuntze & Andrea Gebauer & Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Anita Dehne & Erich Langmantel & Monika Ruschinski & Hans-Werner Sinn & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2004.
"ifo Konjunkturprognose 2005: Abgehängt von der Weltkonjunktur,"
ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(24), pages 15-53, December.
Cited by:
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2005. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2004: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(03), pages 26-30, February.