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Das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer und der deutsche Arbeitsmarkt

Author

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  • Steffen Henzel
  • Klaus Wohlrabe

Abstract

Das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer und das IAB-Arbeitsmarktbarometer, beides Indikatoren für den deutschen Arbeitsmarkt, weisen einen engen Zusammenhang zur deutschen Arbeitsmarktlage auf. Allerdings gibt es Unterschiede, wenn verschiedene Zielgrößen betrachtet werden. Das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer bildet Änderungen der Beschäftigung am zuverlässigsten ab, das IAB-Arbeitsmarktbarometer die monatliche Dynamik der Zahl der registrierten Arbeitslosen. Insgesamt erweist sich das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer als vorteilhaft, wenn ökonomische Entscheidungen im Vordergrund stehen. Schwächen zeigt es hingegen, wenn es um Änderungen in den rechtlichen Rahmenbedingungen oder der Erhebungspraxis geht. So stellt die Einführung von Hartz IV oder des Saisonkurzarbeitergeldes am Bau besondere Herausforderungen an Unternehmensbefragungen.

Suggested Citation

  • Steffen Henzel & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer und der deutsche Arbeitsmarkt," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 67(15), pages 35-40, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:67:y:2014:i:15:p:35-40
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    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/ifosd_2014_15_3.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Georg Goldrian, 2004. "Handbuch der umfragebasierten Konjunkturforschung," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 15, March.
    2. Abberger, Klaus, 2007. "Qualitative business surveys and the assessment of employment -- A case study for Germany," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 249-258.
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    Cited by:

    1. Robert Lehmann & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "Zur Prognosegüte der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Stundenproduktivität," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(22), pages 57-61, November.
    2. Klaus Wohlrabe, 2018. "Das neue ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(09), pages 34-36, May.
    3. Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.
    4. Stefan Sauer & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2020. "ifo Handbuch der Konjunkturumfragen," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 88, March.
    5. R. Lehmann & K. Wohlrabe, 2017. "Experts, firms, consumers or even hard data? Forecasting employment in Germany," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 279-283, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Arbeitsmarkt; Erwerbstätigkeit; Arbeitslosigkeit; Arbeitsmarktpolitik; Deutschland;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure

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