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Cosmin Ilut

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Cosmin Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2012. "Ambiguous Business Cycles," Working Papers 12-06, Duke University, Department of Economics.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Ambiguous Business Cycles
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2012-06-10 01:57:11

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2018. "Uncertainty Shocks, Asset Supply and Pricing over the Business Cycle," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(2), pages 810-854.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Uncertainty shocks, asset supply and pricing over the business cycle (REStud 2018) in ReplicationWiki ()
  2. Cosmin Ilut, 2012. "Ambiguity Aversion: Implications for the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(3), pages 33-65, July.

    Mentioned in:

    1. Ambiguity Aversion: Implications for the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle (AEJ:MA 2012) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Olkhov, Victor, 2024. "Lower bounds of uncertainty and upper limits on the accuracy of forecasts of macroeconomic variables," MPRA Paper 121628, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Krivenko, Pavel, 2023. "Asset prices in a labor search model with confidence shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    3. Suen, Richard M. H., 2022. "Precautionary Saving Behaviour under Ambiguity," MPRA Paper 114382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Estey, Clayton, 2024. "Robust Bellman State Prediction with Learning and Model Preferences," OSF Preprints 75fc9, Center for Open Science.
    5. Yang Hao, 2023. "Financial Market with Learning from Price under Knightian Uncertainty," Working Papers hal-03686748, HAL.
    6. Pamela Giustinelli, 2022. "Expectations in Education: Framework, Elicitation, and Evidence," Working Papers 2022-026, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
    7. Valter T. Yoshida Jr & Alan de Genaro & Rafael Schiozer & Toni R. E. dos Santos, 2023. "A Novel Credit Model Risk Measure: does more data lead to lower model risk in credit scoring models?," Working Papers Series 582, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    8. Giulia Piccillo & Poramapa Poonpakdee, 2023. "Ambiguous Business Cycles, Recessions and Uncertainty: A Quantitative Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 10646, CESifo.
    9. Meyer, Steffen & Uhr, Charline, 2024. "Ambiguity and private investors’ behavior after forced fund liquidations," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    10. MORIKAWA Masayuki, 2022. "Firms' Knightian Uncertainty during the COVID-19 Crisis," Discussion papers 22089, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    11. Alicia Vidler & Toby Walsh, 2024. "TraderTalk: An LLM Behavioural ABM applied to Simulating Human Bilateral Trading Interactions," Papers 2410.21280, arXiv.org.
    12. Staffa, Ruben Marek, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects from sovereign risk vs. Knightian uncertainty," IWH Discussion Papers 27/2023, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    13. Roman Frydman & Morten Nyboe Tabor, 2022. "Muth's Hypothesis Under Knightian Uncertainty: A Novel Account of Inflation Forecasts," Working Papers Series inetwp194, Institute for New Economic Thinking.

  2. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin L. Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2021. "Diagnostic Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 28604, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin L. Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2024. "Smooth Diagnostic Expectations," NBER Working Papers 32152, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Constantin Bürgi & Julio L. Ortiz, 2022. "Overreaction through Anchoring," CESifo Working Paper Series 10193, CESifo.
    3. Jonathan J Adams, 2024. "Optimal Policy Without Rational Expectations: A Sufficient Statistic Solution," Working Papers 001011, University of Florida, Department of Economics.
    4. Pedro Bordalo & Nicola Gennaioli & Rafael La Porta & Matthew OBrien & Andrei Shleifer, 2023. "Long-Term Expectations and Aggregate Fluctuations," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2023, volume 38, pages 311-347, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Brianti, Marco & Cormun, Vito, 2024. "Expectation-driven boom-bust cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    6. Chen, Heng & Li, Xu & Pei, Guangyu & Xin, Qian, 2024. "Heterogeneous overreaction in expectation formation: Evidence and theory," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    7. Alistair Macaulay, 2022. "Heterogeneous Information, Subjective Model Beliefs, and the Time-Varying Transmission of Shocks," CESifo Working Paper Series 9733, CESifo.
    8. Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2024. "Inflation as a 'bad', heuristics and aggregate shocks: New evidence on expectation formation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2024n03, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    9. George-Marios Angeletos, 2023. "Comment on "Long Term Expectations and Aggregate Fluctuations" 2," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2023, volume 38, pages 348-362, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  3. Cosmin L. Ilut & Rosen Valchev, 2020. "Economic Agents as Imperfect Problem Solvers," NBER Working Papers 27820, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Carstensen, Kai & Bachmann, Rüdiger & Schneider, Martin & Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2018. "Uncertainty is Change," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181572, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    2. D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Weber, Michael, 2021. "Managing households' expectations with unconventional policies," Working Paper Series in Economics 148, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    3. Artem Kuriksha, 2021. "An Economy of Neural Networks: Learning from Heterogeneous Experiences," Papers 2110.11582, arXiv.org.
    4. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Filip Matějka & Mirko Wiederholt, 2023. "Rational Inattention: A Review," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03878692, HAL.
    5. Francesco D’Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019. "IQ, Expectations, and Choice," NBER Working Papers 25496, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Hassan Afrouzi, 2020. "Strategic Inattention, Inflation Dynamics, and the Non-Neutrality of Money," CESifo Working Paper Series 8218, CESifo.
    7. Andrade, Philippe & Gautier, Erwan & Mengus, Eric, 2023. "What matters in households’ inflation expectations?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 50-68.
    8. Chen Lian, 2023. "Mistakes in Future Consumption, High MPCs Now," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 5(4), pages 563-581, December.
    9. Albuquerque, Bruno & Green, Georgina, 2022. "Financial concerns and the marginal propensity to consume in Covid times: evidence from UK survey data," Bank of England working papers 965, Bank of England.
    10. Yang Hao, 2023. "Financial Market with Learning from Price under Knightian Uncertainty," Working Papers hal-03686748, HAL.
    11. Nimark, Kristoffer P. & Sundaresan, Savitar, 2019. "Inattention and belief polarization," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 203-228.
    12. Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019. "Human Frictions to the Transmission of Economic Policy," 2019 Meeting Papers 339, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. Chen Lian, 2021. "Mistakes in Future Consumption, High MPCs Now," NBER Working Papers 29517, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. George-Marios Angeletos & Karthik Sastry, 2019. "Inattentive Economies," NBER Working Papers 26413, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Hackethal, Andreas & Hanspal, Tobin & Hartzmark, Samuel M. & Bräuer, Konstantin, 2024. "Educating investors about dividends," SAFE Working Paper Series 420, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    16. Ruediger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Stefan Lautenbacher & Martin Schneider, 2021. "Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms's Subjective Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series 9394, CESifo.
    17. Hackethal, Andreas & Hanspal, Tobin & Hartzmark, Samuel M. & Bräuer, Konstantin, 2024. "Educating investors about dividends," CFS Working Paper Series 725, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).

  4. Bianchi, Francesco & Ilut, Cosmin & Schneider, Martin, 2017. "Uncertainty shocks, asset supply and pricing over the business cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 11950, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Eran Hoffmann, 2018. "The Cyclical Composition of Startups," 2018 Meeting Papers 553, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Saijo, Hikaru, 2017. "The uncertainty multiplier and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-25.
    3. Stéphane Lhuissier & Fabien Tripier, 2019. "Regime-Dependent Effects of Uncertainty Shocks: A Structural Interpretation," Working papers 714, Banque de France.
    4. Asano, Takao & Osaki, Yusuke, 2021. "Optimal investment under ambiguous technology shocks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(1), pages 304-311.
    5. Mauro Sayar Ferreira & André Cordeiro Valério, 2020. "Global shocks and emerging economies: disentangling the commodity roller coaster," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 623, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    6. Barraza, Santiago & Civelli, Andrea, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty and the supply of business loans," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    7. Jaroslav Borovicka, 2016. "Identifying ambiguity shocks in business cycle models using survey data," 2016 Meeting Papers 1615, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2022. "Uncertainty Before and During COVID-19: A Survey," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0279, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    9. Sumru Altug & Cem Cakmakli & Fabrice Collard & Sujoy Mukerji & Han Ozsoylev, 2020. "Ambiguous Business Cycles: A Quantitative Assessment," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 220-237, October.
    10. Pflueger, Carolin & Rinaldi, Gianluca, 2022. "Why does the Fed move markets so much? A model of monetary policy and time-varying risk aversion," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 71-89.
    11. Frank Kwabi & Andrews Owusu & Ernest Ezeani & Agyenim Boateng, 2024. "The impact of political uncertainty on the cost of capital," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1397-1429, May.
    12. Jun Gao & Sheng Zhu & Niall O’Sullivan & Meadhbh Sherman, 2019. "The Role of Economic Uncertainty in UK Stock Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-16, January.
    13. Carlo Pizzinelli & Konstantinos Theodoridis & Francesco Zanetti, 2020. "State dependence in labour market fluctuations," Working Papers 47, European Stability Mechanism.
    14. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2013. "Modeling the Evolution of Expectations and Uncertainty in General Equilibrium," Working Paper Series WP-2013-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    15. Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research," NBER Working Papers 26768, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Drobetz, Wolfgang & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Janzen, Malte, 2018. "Policy uncertainty, investment, and the cost of capital," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 28-45.
    17. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2017. "The Dire Effects of the Lack of Monetary and Fiscal Coordination," NBER Working Papers 23605, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Tihana Škrinjarić & Zrinka Orlović, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Spillovers: Case of Selected CEE Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-33, July.
    19. Rebucci, Alessandro & Benigno, Gianluca & Foerster, Andrew & Otrok, Christopher, 2020. "Estimating Macroeconomic Models of Financial Crises: An Endogenous Regime-Switching Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 14545, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    20. Sydney Ludvigson & Martin Lettau & Daniel Greenwald, 2014. "The Origins of Stock Market Fluctuations," 2014 Meeting Papers 542, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    21. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Ian Dew-Becker & Charles G. Nathanson, 2017. "Directed Attention and Nonparametric Learning," NBER Working Papers 23917, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Becard, Yvan & Gauthier, David, 2023. "Banks, nonbanks, and business cycles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    24. Tong Zhang, 2019. "Haircut Cycles," 2019 Meeting Papers 124, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    25. Edison Yu, 2013. "Dynamic market participation and endogenous information aggregation," Working Papers 13-42, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    26. Borovicka, J. & Hansen, L.P., 2016. "Term Structure of Uncertainty in the Macroeconomy," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1641-1696, Elsevier.
    27. Bassanin, Marzio & Faia, Ester & Patella, Valeria, 2021. "Ambiguity attitudes and the leverage cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    28. Timothy Cogley & Boyan Jovanovic, 2020. "Structural Breaks in an Endogenous Growth Model," NBER Working Papers 28026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    29. Yu, Haiyang & Chen, Haisong, 2023. "Economic policy uncertainty and green innovation: Does corporate social responsibility matter?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    30. Boyan Jovanovic & Sai Ma, 2020. "Uncertainty and Growth Disasters," NBER Working Papers 28024, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    31. Hikaru Saijo, 2020. "Redistribution And Fiscal Uncertainty Shocks," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(3), pages 1073-1095, August.
    32. A. Ronald Gallant & Mohammad Jahan-Parvar & Hening Liu, 2015. "Measuring Ambiguity Aversion," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-105, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    33. Giulia Piccillo & Poramapa Poonpakdee, 2023. "Ambiguous Business Cycles, Recessions and Uncertainty: A Quantitative Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 10646, CESifo.
    34. Ömer YALÇINKAYA & Ali Kemal ÇELİK, 2021. "The Impact of Global Uncertainties on Economic Growth: Evidence from the US Economy (1996: Q1-2018: Q4)," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 35-54, June.
    35. Kozeniauskas, Nicholas & Orlik, Anna & Veldkamp, Laura, 2018. "What are uncertainty shocks?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 1-15.
    36. Paweł Dziewulski & John K.‐H. Quah, 2024. "Comparative Statics With Linear Objectives: Normality, Complementarity, and Ranking Multi‐Prior Beliefs," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 92(1), pages 167-200, January.
    37. Cosmin L. Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2016. "Learning, Confidence, and Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 22958, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    38. Francesco Bianchi & Howard Kung & Mikhail Tirskikh, 2018. "The Origins and Effects of Macroeconomic Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 25386, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    39. Lorenzo Bretscher & Alex Hsu & Andrea Tamoni, 2019. "Response of the Macroeconomy to Uncertainty Shocks:the Risk Premium Channel," 2019 Meeting Papers 1567, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    40. Ferreira, Mauro Sayar & Valério, André Cordeiro, 2023. "Global Shocks and Emerging Economies: Disentangling the Commodity Roller Coaster," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 76(3), February.
    41. Rohan Kekre & Moritz Lenel, 2020. "Monetary Policy, Redistribution, and Risk Premia," Working Papers 2020-02, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics.
    42. Paciello, Luigi & Michelacci, Claudio, 2020. "Aggregate Risk or Aggregate Uncertainty? Evidence from UK Households," CEPR Discussion Papers 14557, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    43. Guihai Zhao, 2020. "Learning, Equilibrium Trend, Cycle, and Spread in Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 20-14, Bank of Canada.
    44. Hening Liu & Yuzhao Zhang, 2022. "Financial Uncertainty with Ambiguity and Learning," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2120-2140, March.
    45. Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma & Serena Ng, 2015. "Uncertainty and Business Cycles: Exogenous Impulse or Endogenous Response?," NBER Working Papers 21803, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    46. Gianni Amisano & Oreste Tristani, 2023. "Monetary policy and long‐term interest rates," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(2), pages 689-716, May.
    47. Francesco Bianchi & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma, 2022. "Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(7), pages 2269-2315, July.
    48. Mao, Jie & Shen, Guanxiong & Yan, Jingzhou, 2023. "A continuous-time macro-finance model with Knightian uncertainty," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    49. Alonso, Irasema & Prado, Mauricio, 2015. "Ambiguity aversion, asset prices, and the welfare costs of aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 78-92.
    50. Chatterjee, Pratiti, 2024. "Uncertainty shocks, financial frictions, and business cycle asymmetries across countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    51. Sadowski, Philipp & Sarver, Todd, 2024. "Adaptive preferences: An evolutionary model of non-expected utility and ambiguity aversion," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    52. Jiang, Lunan & Chen, Yinghui & Zhang, Lin, 2024. "Monetary policy shocks and firm investment decisions: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    53. Anmol Bhandari & Jaroslav Borovicka & Paul Ho, 2019. "Survey Data and Subjective Beliefs in Business Cycle Models," Working Paper 19-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    54. Bali, Turan G. & Brown, Stephen J. & Tang, Yi, 2017. "Is economic uncertainty priced in the cross-section of stock returns?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(3), pages 471-489.
    55. Diego Comin & Ana Maria Santacreu & Mark Gertler & Phuong Ngo, 2018. "Stock Price Fluctuations and Productivity Growth," 2018 Meeting Papers 1147, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    56. Takao Asano & Xiaojing Cai & Ryuta Sakemoto, 2023. "Time-varying ambiguity shocks and business cycles," KIER Working Papers 1094, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    57. Chang, Chong-Chuo & Chen, Hsien-Yi & Mon, Khin Thiri, 2024. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on the firm's working capital requirements," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).

  5. Cosmin L. Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2016. "Learning, Confidence, and Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 22958, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Saijo, Hikaru, 2017. "The uncertainty multiplier and business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1-25.
    2. Alexander Richter & Nathaniel Throckmorton, 2018. "A New Way to Quantify the Effect of Uncertainty," 2018 Meeting Papers 565, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Mirela Miescu, 2019. "Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies," Working Papers 277077821, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
    4. Giuseppe Fiori & Filippo Scoccianti, 2021. "The Economic Effects of Firm-Level Uncertainty: Evidence Using Subjective Expectations," International Finance Discussion Papers 1320, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Xu, Xiangyun & Li, Xing & Meng, Jie & Hu, Xueqi & Ge, Yingfan, 2024. "The impact of the tail risk of demand on corporate investment: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    6. CHEN Cheng & SENGA Tatsuro & SUN Chang & ZHANG Hongyong, 2018. "Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Expectation Formation over the Firm's Life Cycle," Discussion papers 18010, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    7. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Anastasiia Antonova & Mykhailo Matvieiev & Céline Poilly, 2024. "Supply Shocks in the Fog: The Role of Endogenous Uncertainty," AMSE Working Papers 2427, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    9. George-Marios Angeletos, 2018. "Frictional Coordination," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 16(3), pages 563-603.
    10. Haining Chen & Prince Asare Vitenu-Sackey & Isaac Akpemah Bathuure, 2024. "Uncertainty Measures and Business Cycles: Evidence From the US," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, April.
    11. Brianti, Marco & Cormun, Vito, 2024. "Expectation-driven boom-bust cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    12. Yoo, Donghoon, 2019. "Ambiguous information, permanent income, and consumption fluctuations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 79-96.
    13. Helder Ferreira de Mendonça & Eduardo Schirmer Finn, 2022. "Can credibility offset electricity price effect on business confidence? An empirical investigation from a large emerging economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(11), pages 1229-1242, March.
    14. Hiroatsu Tanaka, 2022. "Equilibrium Yield Curves with Imperfect Information," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-086, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Paciello, Luigi & Michelacci, Claudio, 2020. "Aggregate Risk or Aggregate Uncertainty? Evidence from UK Households," CEPR Discussion Papers 14557, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    16. Kostopoulos, Dimitrios & Meyer, Steffen & Uhr, Charline, 2022. "Ambiguity about volatility and investor behavior," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(1), pages 277-296.
    17. Jochen Guentner & Elena Afanasyeva, 2017. "Noise-Ridden Lending Cycles," 2017 Meeting Papers 1211, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Thierry U. Kame Babilla, 2024. "Bank‐lending channel of monetary policy transmission in WAEMU: An estimated DSGE model approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1277-1300, April.
    19. Ruediger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Stefan Lautenbacher & Martin Schneider, 2021. "Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms's Subjective Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series 9394, CESifo.
    20. Guangyu PEI, 2019. "Uncertainty, Pessimism and Economic Fluctuations," 2019 Meeting Papers 1494, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    21. Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Stephen Wright & Bo Yang, 2023. "Imperfect Information and Hidden Dynamics," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1223, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    22. Tian, Can, 2022. "Learning and firm dynamics in a stochastic equilibrium," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    23. Valeriu Nalban & Andra Smadu, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and the monetary-macroprudential policy mix," Working Papers 739, DNB.

  6. Cosmin Ilut & Rosen Valchev & Nicolas Vincent, 2016. "Paralyzed by Fear: Rigid and Discrete Pricing under Demand Uncertainty," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 940, Boston College Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Radoslaw Paluszynski & Pei Cheng Yu, 2022. "Online Appendix to "Commitment versus Flexibility and Sticky Prices: Evidence from Life Insurance"," Online Appendices 20-112, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    2. Claudio Michelacci & Luigi Paciello, 2017. "Ambiguous Policy Announcements," EIEF Working Papers Series 1701, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Dec 2017.
    3. Cosmin Ilut & Rosen Valchev & Nicolas Vincent, 2016. "Paralyzed by Fear: Rigid and Discrete Pricing under Demand Uncertainty," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 940, Boston College Department of Economics.
    4. Jean-Paul L'Huillier & Gregory Phelan, 2023. "Can Supply Shocks Be Inflationary with a Flat Phillips Curve?," Working Papers 23-36, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    5. Artem Kuriksha, 2021. "An Economy of Neural Networks: Learning from Heterogeneous Experiences," Papers 2110.11582, arXiv.org.
    6. Guojun He & Jeffrey T. LaFrance & Jeffrey M. Perloff & Richard Volpe, 2024. "How do Everyday-Low-Price Supermarkets Adjust Their Prices?," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 64(1), pages 117-146, February.
    7. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Tiziano Ropele, 2019. "Inflation expectations and firms’ decisions: new causal evidence," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1219, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    8. Pascal Seiler & Barbara Rudolf, 2022. "Price Setting Before and During the Pandemic: Evidence from Swiss Consumer Prices," KOF Working papers 22-506, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    9. Xu, Xiangyun & Li, Xing & Meng, Jie & Hu, Xueqi & Ge, Yingfan, 2024. "The impact of the tail risk of demand on corporate investment: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    10. CHEN Cheng & SENGA Tatsuro & SUN Chang & ZHANG Hongyong, 2018. "Uncertainty, Imperfect Information, and Expectation Formation over the Firm's Life Cycle," Discussion papers 18010, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    11. Costain, James & Nakov, Anton, 2014. "Logit price dynamics," Working Paper Series 1693, European Central Bank.
    12. Timothy J. Richards, 2022. "Agribusiness and policy failures," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 44(1), pages 350-363, March.
    13. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Harding, Martín & Lindé, Jesper & Trabandt, Mathias, 2023. "Understanding post-COVID inflation dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 101-118.
    15. Yulei Luo & Jun Nie & Xiaowen Wang & Eric Young, 2021. "Production and Inventory Dynamics under Ambiguity Aversion," Research Working Paper RWP 21-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
    16. Diego Aparicio & Roberto Rigobon, 2020. "Quantum Prices," NBER Working Papers 26646, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Stéphane Dupraz, 2024. "A Kinked‐Demand Theory of Price Rigidity," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(2-3), pages 325-363, March.
    18. Maximilian Blesch & Philipp Eisenhauer, 2023. "Robust Decision-Making under Risk and Ambiguity," Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series 463, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition.
    19. Michael Reiter & Adrian Wende, 2024. "Generalized Rotemberg Price-Setting," CESifo Working Paper Series 11297, CESifo.
    20. Canales, Mario & Lopez-Martin, Bernabe, 2024. "Exchange rates, uncertainty, and price-setting: Evidence from CPI microdata," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    21. Axelle Ferriere & Anastasios Karantounias, 2019. "Fiscal Austerity in Ambiguous Times," Post-Print halshs-02084280, HAL.
    22. Cosmin L. Ilut & Rosen Valchev, 2020. "Economic Agents as Imperfect Problem Solvers," NBER Working Papers 27820, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Ogawa, Shogo, 2022. "Survey of non-Walrasian disequilibrium economic theory," MPRA Paper 115011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Volker Hahn & Michal Marencak, 2018. "Price Points and Price Dynamics," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2018-01, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
    25. Cosmin L. Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2016. "Learning, Confidence, and Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 22958, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    26. Staffa, Ruben Marek, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects from sovereign risk vs. Knightian uncertainty," IWH Discussion Papers 27/2023, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    27. Paciello, Luigi & Michelacci, Claudio, 2020. "Aggregate Risk or Aggregate Uncertainty? Evidence from UK Households," CEPR Discussion Papers 14557, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    28. Aparicio, Diego & Rigobon, Roberto, 2023. "Quantum prices," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    29. Cosmin Ilut & Rosen Valchev, 2024. "Learning Optimal Behavior Through Reasoning and Experiences," Papers 2403.18185, arXiv.org.
    30. Maximilian Blesch & Philipp Eisenhauer, 2021. "Robust Decision-Making Under Risk and Ambiguity," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 104, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.

  7. Pavel Krivenko & Martin Schneider & Cosmin Ilut, 2015. "Uncertainty aversion and heterogeneous beliefs in linear models," 2015 Meeting Papers 1407, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    Cited by:

    1. Krivenko, Pavel, 2023. "Asset prices in a labor search model with confidence shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).

  8. Cosmin Ilut & Matthias Kehrig & Martin Schneider, 2015. "Slow to Hire, Quick to Fire: Employment Dynamics with Asymmetric Responses to News," Working Papers 15-02, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.

    Cited by:

    1. Koh, Dongya & Santaeulà lia-Llopis, Raül, 2022. "Countercyclical Elasticity of Substitution," CEPR Discussion Papers 17246, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin L. Ilut & Hikaru Saijo, 2024. "Smooth Diagnostic Expectations," NBER Working Papers 32152, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Carstensen, Kai & Bachmann, Rüdiger & Schneider, Martin & Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2018. "Uncertainty is Change," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181572, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    4. Sebastian Graves, 2020. "The State Dependent Effectiveness of Hiring Subsidies," International Finance Discussion Papers 1290, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    5. Chiara Scotti, 2023. "Financial Shocks in an Uncertain Economy," Working Papers 2308, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    6. Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide & Yoo, Seung Yong, 2024. "Heterogeneity in the effects of uncertainty shocks on labor market dynamics and extensive vs. intensive margins of adjustment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    7. Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2020. "Subjective Uncertainty, Expectations, and Firm Behavior," MPRA Paper 103516, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Flavio Calvino & Chiara Criscuolo & Carlo Menon & Angelo Secchi, 2018. "Growth volatility and size: A firm-level study," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-01802871, HAL.
    9. Ian Dew-Becker & Stefano Giglio & Bryan T. Kelly, 2019. "Hedging Macroeconomic and Financial Uncertainty and Volatility," NBER Working Papers 26323, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Chacko George & Florian Kuhn, 2019. "Business Cycle Implications of Capacity Constraints under Demand Shocks," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 32, pages 94-121, April.
    11. Christopher Busch & David Domeij & Fatih Guvenen & Rocio Madera, 2022. "Skewed Idiosyncratic Income Risk over the Business Cycle: Sources and Insurance," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 207-242, April.
    12. Barrero, Jose Maria, 2022. "The micro and macro of managerial beliefs," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 640-667.
    13. Tyler Atkinson & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2020. "Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Working Papers 2009, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    14. Domenico Ferraro & Giuseppe Fiori, 2018. "The Scarring Effect of Asymmetric Business Cycles," 2018 Meeting Papers 283, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    15. Stefano Giglio & Ian Dew-Becker & David Berger, 2017. "Uncertainty Shocks as Second-Moment News Shocks," 2017 Meeting Papers 403, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    16. Xie, Victoria Wenxin, 2024. "Labor market adjustment to extreme heat shocks: Evidence from Brazil," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 266-283.
    17. Julien Champagne & Émilien Gouin-Bonenfant, 2022. "Monetary Policy, Credit Constraints and SME Employment," Staff Working Papers 22-49, Bank of Canada.
    18. John (Jianqiu) Bai & Erik Brynjolfsson & Wang Jin & Sebastian Steffen & Chi Wan, 2021. "Digital Resilience: How Work-From-Home Feasibility Affects Firm Performance," NBER Working Papers 28588, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Baqaee, David Rezza, 2018. "Asymmetric Inflation Expectations, Downward Rigidity of Wages, and Asymmetric Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 12906, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    20. Bernstein, Joshua & Richter, Alexander W. & Throckmorton, Nathaniel A., 2021. "Cyclical net entry and exit," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    21. Matthias Kehrig & Nicolas Vincent, 2018. "The Micro-Level Anatomy of the Labor Share Decline," NBER Working Papers 25275, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Pesaran, M Hashem & Rebucci, Alessandro, 2018. "Uncertainty and economic activity: a multi-country perspective," Bank of England working papers 730, Bank of England.
    24. Sergio Salgado & Fatih Guvenen & Nicholas Bloom, 2019. "Skewed Business Cycles," 2019 Meeting Papers 1189, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    25. Francesco Ferrante & Sebastian Graves & Matteo Iacoviello, 2023. "The Inflationary Effects of Sectoral Reallocation," International Finance Discussion Papers 1369, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    26. Edison Yu, 2013. "Dynamic market participation and endogenous information aggregation," Working Papers 13-42, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    27. Larry G. Epstein & Yoram Halevy, 2019. "Hard-to-Interpret Signals," Working Papers tecipa-634, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
    28. Domenico Ferraro, 2018. "Online Appendix to "The Asymmetric Cyclical Behavior of the U.S. Labor Market"," Online Appendices 16-161, Review of Economic Dynamics.
    29. Domenico Ferraro & Giuseppe Fiori, 2022. "Search Frictions, Labor Supply, and the Asymmetric Business Cycle," International Finance Discussion Papers 1355, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    30. Benhabib, Jess & Liu, Xuewen & Wang, Pengfei, 2016. "Endogenous information acquisition and countercyclical uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 601-642.
    31. Straub, Ludwig & Ulbricht, Robert, 2019. "Endogenous second moments: A unified approach to fluctuations in risk, dispersion, and uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 625-660.
    32. David Berger & Joseph Vavra, 2017. "Shocks vs. Responsiveness: What Drives Time-Varying Dispersion?," NBER Working Papers 23143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    33. Yoo, Donghoon, 2019. "Ambiguous information, permanent income, and consumption fluctuations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 79-96.
    34. Ryan A. Decker & John C. Haltiwanger & Ron S. Jarmin & Javier Miranda, 2018. "Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness," NBER Working Papers 24236, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    35. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Elstner, Steffen & Hristov, Atanas, 2017. "Surprise, surprise – Measuring firm-level investment innovations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 107-148.
    36. Joshua Bernstein & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2021. "Countercyclical Fluctuations in Uncertainty are Endogenous," Working Papers 2109, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    37. Joshua Bernstein & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2020. "Entry and Exit, Unemployment, and the Business Cycle," Working Papers 2018, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 12 Jan 2021.
    38. Ian Dew‐Becker, 2023. "Tail Risk in Production Networks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(6), pages 2089-2123, November.
    39. Ian Dew-Becker, 2022. "Real-Time Forward-Looking Skewness over the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 30478, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    40. Ravenna, Federico & Cacciatore, Matteo, 2020. "Uncertainty, Wages, and the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 14715, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    41. Kölling, Arnd, 2018. "It's not about adjustment costs: Estimating asymmetries in long-run labor demand using a fractional panel probit model," Working Papers 95, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute of Management Berlin (IMB).
    42. Guihai Zhao, 2020. "Learning, Equilibrium Trend, Cycle, and Spread in Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 20-14, Bank of Canada.
    43. Shaowei Ke & Qi Zhang, 2020. "Randomization and Ambiguity Aversion," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 88(3), pages 1159-1195, May.
    44. Gondhi, Naveen, 2023. "Rational inattention, misallocation, and the aggregate economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 50-75.
    45. Botelho, Vasco & Foroni, Claudia & Renzetti, Andrea, 2023. "Labour at risk," Working Paper Series 2840, European Central Bank.
    46. David R. Munro, 2021. "Consumer Behavior and Firm Volatility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(4), pages 845-873, June.
    47. Muzaffarjon Ahunov & Dilnovoz Abdurazzakova & Nurmukhammad Yusupov, 2019. "Who creates jobs in transition economies? The role of entrepreneurial risk preferences," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(3), pages 1876-1886.
    48. Yu, Deshui & Huang, Difang, 2023. "Cross-sectional uncertainty and expected stock returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 321-340.
    49. Ruediger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Stefan Lautenbacher & Martin Schneider, 2021. "Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms's Subjective Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series 9394, CESifo.
    50. Wang, Bo & Hu, Tiantian & Zheng, Suli, 2023. "Earning inflation, real investment and self-fulfilling uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    51. Thiago Revil T. Ferreira, 2022. "Cross-Sectional Financial Conditions, Business Cycles and The Lending Channel," International Finance Discussion Papers 1335, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    52. Domenico Ferraro, 2023. "Fast Rises, Slow Declines: Asymmetric Unemployment Dynamics with Matching Frictions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(2-3), pages 349-378, March.
    53. Valeriu Nalban & Andra Smadu, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and the monetary-macroprudential policy mix," Working Papers 739, DNB.
    54. Yu-Ting Chiang, 2022. "Attention and Fluctuations in Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Working Papers 2022-004, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 09 Nov 2023.
    55. Domenico Ferraro, 2014. "The Asymmetric Cyclical Behavior of the U.S. Labor Market," 2014 Meeting Papers 1104, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    56. Joshua Bernstein & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2021. "Nonlinear Search and Matching Explained," Working Papers 2106, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    57. Cooper, Russell & Horn, Carl-Wolfram & Indraccolo, Leonardo, 2024. "Covid and productivity in Europe: A responsiveness perspective," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).

  9. Peter Benczur & Cosmin L. Ilut, 2014. "Evidence for Relational Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending," NBER Working Papers 20391, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Luis Catão & Rui Mano, 2015. "Default Premium," IMF Working Papers 2015/167, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Marin Ferry & Marc Raffinot, 2018. "Curse or Blessing? Has the impact of debt relief lived up to expectations? A review of the effects of the multilateral debt relief initiatives for low-income countries," Working Papers DT/2018/12, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation).
    3. Mr. Tamon Asonuma, 2016. "Serial Sovereign Defaults and Debt Restructurings," IMF Working Papers 2016/066, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Maxime TERRIEUX & Benoît Jonveaux & Marin Ferry (Université Gustave Eiffel, DIAL), 2021. "Debt sustainability in Africa: state of play and future challenges," Working Paper 5b1b8e30-4a94-42f3-9e4b-9, Agence française de développement.
    5. Maxime TERRIEUX & Benoît Jonveaux & Marin Ferry (Université Gustave Eiffel, DIAL), 2021. "La soutenabilité des dettes en Afrique : état des lieux et enjeux futurs," Working Paper 5b1b8e30-4a94-42f3-9e4b-9, Agence française de développement.
    6. Fløgstad, Cathrin N. & Nordtveit, Ingvild, 2014. "Lending to developing countries: How do official creditors respond to sovereign defaults?," Working Papers in Economics 01/14, University of Bergen, Department of Economics.
    7. Christoph Trebesch & Mr. Michael G. Papaioannou & Mr. Udaibir S Das, 2012. "Sovereign Debt Restructurings 1950-2010: Literature Survey, Data, and Stylized Facts," IMF Working Papers 2012/203, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Wache, Benjamin, 2021. "Information Frictions, Global Capital Markets, and the Telegraph," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242444, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    9. Juan J. Cruces & Christoph Trebesch, 2011. "Sovereign Defaults: The Price of Haircuts," CESifo Working Paper Series 3604, CESifo.
    10. Silano, Filippo, 2023. "Agency costs in primary dealer systems," ILE Working Paper Series 69, University of Hamburg, Institute of Law and Economics.
    11. Eberhardt, Markus, 2018. "(At Least) Four Theories for Sovereign Default," CEPR Discussion Papers 13084, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

  10. Ilut, Cosmin & Bianchi, Francesco, 2013. "Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Agents' Beliefs," CEPR Discussion Papers 9645, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Kostas Mavromatis, 2020. "Finite Horizons and the Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(4), pages 327-378, September.
    2. Dergunov, Ilya & Meinerding, Christoph & Schlag, Christian, 2022. "Extreme inflation and time-varying expected consumption growth," SAFE Working Paper Series 334, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    3. Giancarlo Corsetti & Bartosz Maćkowiak, 2023. "Gambling to Preserve Price (and Fiscal) Stability," RSCAS Working Papers 2022/72, European University Institute.
    4. Hack, Lukas & Istrefi, Klodiana & Meier, Matthias, 2023. "Identification of systematic monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2851, European Central Bank.
    5. Pooyan Amir-Ahmadi & Christian Matthes & Mu-Chun Wang, 2014. "Drifts, Volatilities, and Impulse Responses Over the Last Century," Working Paper 14-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    6. Francisco Ilabaca & Fabio Milani, 2020. "Heterogeneous Expectations, Indeterminacy, and Postwar US Business Cycles," Working Papers 192003, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
    7. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi & Anna Rogantini Picco, 2022. "Who is Afraid of Eurobonds?," Working Paper Series WP 2022-43, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    8. Geiger, Martin & Zachariadis, Marios, 2022. "Consumers’ Updating, Policy Shocks, And Public Debt: An Empirical Assessment Of State Dependencies," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(8), pages 2104-2140, December.
    9. Guido Ascari & Anna Florio & Alessandro Gobbi, 2020. "Controlling Inflation With Timid Monetary–Fiscal Regime Changes," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(2), pages 1001-1024, May.
    10. Kostas Mavromatis, 2018. "U.S. Monetary Regimes and Optimal Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(7), pages 1441-1478, October.
    11. Kloosterman, Roben & Bonam, Dennis & van der Veer, Koen, 2024. "The effects of monetary policy across fiscal regimes," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    12. Howard Kung & Gonzalo Morales & Francesco Bianchi, 2015. "Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Asset Prices," 2015 Meeting Papers 1224, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. Alexandre Corhay & Thilo Kind & Howard Kung & Gonzalo Morales, 2021. "Discount Rates, Debt Maturity, and the Fiscal Theory," Staff Working Papers 21-58, Bank of Canada.
    14. Mackowiak, Bartosz & Jarocinski, Marek, 2017. "Monetary-Fiscal Interactions and the Euro Area's Malaise," CEPR Discussion Papers 12020, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Guido Ascari & Peder Beck-Friis & Anna Florio & Alessandro Gobbi, 2021. "Fiscal foresight and the effects of government spending: It’s all in the monetary-fiscal mix," Discussion Papers 2112, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    16. Lukas Schmid & Andres Schneider & Mikhail Chernov, 2016. "A macrofinance view of US Sovereign CDS premiums," 2016 Meeting Papers 432, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. Kerstin Bernoth & Helmut Herwartz & Lasse Trienens, 2024. "Interest Rates, Convenience Yields, and Inflation Expectations: Drivers of US Dollar Exchange Rates," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2100, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    18. Haydory Akbar Ahmed, 2020. "Monetary base and federal government debt in the long‐run: A non‐linear analysis," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(2), pages 167-184, April.
    19. Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2021. "The Term Structure of Expectations," Staff Reports 992, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    20. Hinterlang, Natascha & Hollmayr, Josef, 2022. "Classification of monetary and fiscal dominance regimes using machine learning techniques," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    21. Chang, Yoosoon & Maih, Junior & Tan, Fei, 2021. "Origins of monetary policy shifts: A New approach to regime switching in DSGE models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    22. António Afonso & José Alves & Serena Ionta, 2023. "Monetary Policy Surprise Shocks under Different Fiscal Regimes: A Panel Analysis of the Euro Area," CESifo Working Paper Series 10627, CESifo.
    23. Saito, Makoto & 齊藤, 誠, 2020. "Long-run mild deflation under fiscal unsustainability in Japan," Discussion Paper Series 703, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    24. Gil, Pedro Mazeda & Iglésias, Gustavo & Guimarães, Luís, 2023. "Endogenous growth and monetary policy: How do interest-rate feedback rules shape nominal and real transitional dynamics?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    25. Dominguez, Begona & Gomis-Porqueras, Pedro, 2016. "The Effects of Secondary Markets for Government Bonds on Inflation Dynamics," MPRA Paper 82444, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    26. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2017. "The Dire Effects of the Lack of Monetary and Fiscal Coordination," NBER Working Papers 23605, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    27. Schmidt, Sebastian, 2023. "Monetary-fiscal policy interactions when price stability occasionally takes a back seat," CEPR Discussion Papers 18002, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    28. Bonam, Dennis & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Gomes, Sandra & Aldama, Pierre & Bańkowski, Krzysztof & Buss, Ginters & da Costa, José Cardoso & Christoffel, Kai & Elfsbacka Schmöller, Michaela & Jacquinot, Pasc, 2024. "Challenges for monetary and fiscal policy interactions in the post-pandemic era," Occasional Paper Series 337, European Central Bank.
    29. Chen, Xiaoshan & Leeper, Eric M. & Leith, Campbell, 2015. "US Monetary and Fiscal Policies - Conflict or Cooperation?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-77, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    30. Luchelle Soobyah & Mulalo Mamburu & Nicola Viegi, 2023. "Is South Africa falling into a fiscal dominant regime," Working Papers 11046, South African Reserve Bank.
    31. Yoosoon Chang & Boreum Kwak, 2017. "U.S. Monetary-Fiscal Regime Changes in the Presence of Endogenous Feedback in Policy Rules," CAEPR Working Papers 2017-016, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    32. Howard Kung & Gonzalo Morales & Alexandre Corhay, 2017. "Fiscal Discount Rates and Debt Maturity," 2017 Meeting Papers 840, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    33. Tolga Özden, 2021. "Heterogeneous Expectations and the Business Cycle at the Effective Lower Bound," Working Papers 714, DNB.
    34. Lhuissier, Stéphane & Zabelina, Margarita, 2015. "On the stability of Calvo-style price-setting behavior," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 77-95.
    35. Francesco Bianchi & Giovanni Nicolò & Dongho Song, 2023. "Inflation and Real Activity over the Business Cycle," NBER Working Papers 31075, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    36. Yoosoon Chang & Junior Maih & Fei Tan, 2018. "State Space Models with Endogenous Regime Switching," Working Papers No 9/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    37. Omotosho, Babatunde S. & Yang, Bo, 2024. "Oil price shocks and macroeconomic dynamics in resource-rich emerging economies under regime shifts," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    38. Hommes, Cars H. & Lustenhouwer, Joep & Mavromatis, Kostas, 2017. "Fiscal consolidations and heterogeneous expectations," BERG Working Paper Series 132, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
    39. Ruoyun Mao & Wenyi Shen & Shu-Chun S. Yang, 2023. "Can Passive Monetary Policy Decrease the Debt Burden?," IEAS Working Paper : academic research 23-A007, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan.
    40. Dhital, Saroj & Gomis-Porqueras, Pedro & Haslag, Joseph H., 2021. "Monetary and fiscal policy interactions in a frictional model of fiat money, nominal public debt and banking," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    41. Bouabdallah, Othman & Jacquinot, Pascal & Patella, Valeria, 2023. "Monetary/fiscal policy regimes in post-war Europe," Working Paper Series 2871, European Central Bank.
    42. Guillermo Santos, 2022. "Optimal fiscal policy and the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2022022, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    43. Ascari, Guido & Florio, Anna & Gobbi, Alessandro, 2018. "High trend inflation and passive monetary detours," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 138-142.
    44. Hinterlang, Natascha & Hollmayr, Josef, 2020. "Classification of monetary and fiscal dominance regimes using machine learning techniques," Discussion Papers 51/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    45. Ascari, Guido & Florio, Anna & Gobbi, Alessandro, 2017. "Controlling inflation with switching monetary and fiscal policies: expectations, fiscal guidance and timid regime changes," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2017, Bank of Finland.
    46. Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi & Zandri Dickason-Koekemoer, 2023. "Fiscal and Monetary Policies Interactions in Nigeria and South Africa: Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 21-31, September.
    47. Leeper, E.M. & Leith, C., 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary–Fiscal Phenomenon," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 2305-2415, Elsevier.
    48. Mao, Ruoyun & Shen, Wenyi & Yang, Shu-Chun S., 2023. "Uncertain policy regimes and government spending effects," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    49. Ali, Amjad & Hasan, Zohaib Ul & Abbasi, Qasim & Sulehri, Fiaz Ahmad, 2023. "Business or Politics: Exploring the Determinants of Policy Mix in South Asia," MPRA Paper 120120, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    50. Chemla, Gilles & Hennessy, Christopher, 2019. "Equilibrium Counterfactuals," CEPR Discussion Papers 14146, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    51. Francesco Bianchi & Leonardo Melosi, 2013. "Dormant Shocks and Fiscal Virtue," Working Papers 13-12, Duke University, Department of Economics.
    52. Jochen Mankart & Romanos Priftis & Rigas Oikonomou, 2022. "The long and short of financing government spending," Working Paper Research 418, National Bank of Belgium.
    53. Hideki Konishi & Kozo Ueda, 2013. "Aging and Deflation from a Fiscal Perspective," IMES Discussion Paper Series 13-E-13, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    54. Ethan Ilzetzki, 2024. "Fiscal Events and Anchored Inflation Expectations," Discussion Papers 2410, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    55. Gomes, Pedro & Seoane, Hernán D., 2024. "Made in Europe: Monetary–Fiscal policy mix with financial frictions," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    56. Gilles Chemla & Christopher Hennessy, 2021. "Equilibrium Counterfactuals," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(2), pages 639-669, May.
    57. Martin Geiger & Marios Zachariadis, 2019. "Assessing Expectations as a Monetary/Fiscal State-Dependent Phenomenon," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 01-2019, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
    58. Chandra Utama & Insukindro & Ardyanto Fitrady, 2022. "Fiscal And Monetary Policy Interactions In Indonesia During Periods Of Economic Turmoil In The Us: 2001q1-2014q4," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 25(1), pages 97-116, June.
    59. Jin, Hao & Xiong, Chen, 2021. "Fiscal stress and monetary policy stance in oil-exporting countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    60. Andrew Binning & Hilde C. Bjørnland & Junior Maih, 2019. "Is Monetary Policy Always Effective? Incomplete Interest Rate Pass-through in a DSGE Model," Working Papers No 09/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
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    134. Paciello, Luigi & Michelacci, Claudio, 2020. "Aggregate Risk or Aggregate Uncertainty? Evidence from UK Households," CEPR Discussion Papers 14557, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    135. Chen, Zhe & Li, Xiaojing & Zhang, Jizhou & Xia, Xianli, 2024. "Does digital finance alleviate household consumption inequality? Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    136. Guihai Zhao, 2020. "Learning, Equilibrium Trend, Cycle, and Spread in Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 20-14, Bank of Canada.
    137. Zhao, Guihai, 2017. "Confidence, bond risks, and equity returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(3), pages 668-688.
    138. Grosse Steffen, Christoph & Podstawski, Maximilian, 2017. "Ambiguity and Time-Varying Risk Aversion in Sovereign Debt Markets," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168101, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    139. Hening Liu & Yuzhao Zhang, 2022. "Financial Uncertainty with Ambiguity and Learning," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2120-2140, March.
    140. Anna Orlik & Laura Veldkamp, 2014. "Understanding Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Black Swans," NBER Working Papers 20445, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    141. Irfan Ahmed & Claudio Socci & Francesca Severini & Rosita Pretaroli, 2019. "Fiscal policy for households and public budget constraint in Italy," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 36(1), pages 19-35, April.
    142. Kostopoulos, Dimitrios & Meyer, Steffen & Uhr, Charline, 2022. "Ambiguity about volatility and investor behavior," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(1), pages 277-296.
    143. Wang, Hanying & Qi, Ju & Li, Zhuohua & Sensoy, Ahmet & Xing, Hongwei, 2024. "Excessive financialization and “Original Sin Theory”: Redemption from corporate reputation," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    144. Ma, Dan & Zhang, Chuan & Hui, Yarong & Xu, Bing, 2022. "Economic uncertainty spillover and social networks," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 454-467.
    145. Simona Malovaná & Josef Bajzík & Dominika Ehrenbergerová & Jan Janků, 2023. "A prolonged period of low interest rates in Europe: Unintended consequences," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 526-572, April.
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    147. Erzo G. J. Luttmer, 2013. "The Stolper-Samuelson effects of a decline in aggregate consumption," Working Papers 703, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
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    149. Li, Ye & Chen, Yiyan & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and crude oil price predictability: Novel decomposition ensemble approach based ternary interval number series," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    150. Kuang, Pei & Tang, Li & Zhang, Renbin & Zhang, Tongbin, 2022. "Forecast disagreement about long-run macroeconomic relationships," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 371-387.
    151. Giulia Piccillo & Poramapa Poonpakdee, 2021. "Effects of Macro Uncertainty on Mean Expectation and Subjective Uncertainty: Evidence from Households and Professional Forecasters," CESifo Working Paper Series 9486, CESifo.
    152. Hoang, Dung Phuong & Chu, Lan Khanh & To, Trung Thanh, 2023. "How do economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and natural resources rents affect economic complexity? Evidence from advanced and emerging market economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
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  12. Peter Benczur & Cosmin Ilut, 2011. "Evidence for Dynamic Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending," Working Papers 11-06, Duke University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Peter Benczur & Cosmin L. Ilut, 2014. "Evidence for Relational Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending," NBER Working Papers 20391, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Sandleris, Guido, 2016. "The costs of sovereign default: theory and empirical evidence," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123224, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Guido Sandleris, 2016. "The Costs of Sovereign Default: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 1-27, April.

  13. Cosmin L. Ilut & Lawrence J. Christiano & Roberto Motto & Massimo Rostagno, 2010. "Monetary Policy and Stock Market Booms," Working Papers 10-69, Duke University, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Paul Beaudry & Franck Portier, 2014. "News Driven Business Cycles: Insights and Challenges," 2014 Meeting Papers 289, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Gersbach, Hans & Hahn, Volker & Liu, Yulin, 2017. "Macroprudential Policy in the New Keynesian World," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168185, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    3. Bianchi, Javier & Liu, Chenxin & Mendoza, Enrique G., 2016. "Fundamentals news, global liquidity and macroprudential policy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(S1), pages 2-15.
    4. Lawrence Christiano & Mathias Trabandt & Karl Walentin, 2021. "Involuntary Unemployment and the Business Cycle," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 26-54, January.
    5. FUJIWARA Ippei & WAKI Yuichiro, 2016. "Private News and Monetary Policy: Forward guidance or the expected virtue of ignorance," Discussion papers 16027, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    6. Rousakis, Michael, 2012. "Expectations and Fluctuations: The Role of Monetary Policy," Economic Research Papers 270655, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    7. Nadav Ben Zeev & Evi Pappa, 2017. "Chronicle of a War Foretold: The Macroeconomic Effects of Anticipated Defence Spending Shocks," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 127(603), pages 1568-1597, August.
    8. Mendicino, Caterina & Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2014. "House Prices, Capital Inflows and Macroprudential Policy," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 180, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    9. Kozlovtceva, Irina & Ponomarenko, Alexey & Sinyakov, Andrey & Tatarintsev, Stas, 2020. "A case for leaning against the wind in a commodity-exporting economy," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 86-114.
    10. Ozhan, Galip Kemal, 2021. "News-driven international credit cycles," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    11. Luisa Lambertini & Caterina Mendicino & Maria Teresa Punzi, 2011. "Leaning Against Boom-Bust Cycles in Credit and Housing Prices," Working Papers 201101, Center for Fiscal Policy, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Lausanne, revised Mar 2011.
    12. Stephane Auray & Paul Gomme & Shen Guo, 2011. "Nominal Rigidities, Monetary Policy and Pigou Cycles," Working Papers 11007, Concordia University, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2011.
    13. Guo, Jang-Ting & Sirbu, Anca-Ioana & Weder, Mark, 2015. "News about aggregate demand and the business cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 83-96.
    14. Giorgio Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti & Alejandro Justiniano, 2011. "Is there a trade-off between inflation and output stabilization?," 2011 Meeting Papers 280, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    15. Adrian, Tobias & Liang, Nellie, 2016. "Monetary Policy, Financial Conditions, and Financial Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers 11394, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    18. Paolo Gelain & Kevin J. Lansing & Caterina Mendicino, 2012. "House prices, credit growth, and excess volatility: implications for monetary and macroprudential policy," Working Paper Series 2012-11, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
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    21. Airaudo, Marco & Cardani, Roberta & Lansing, Kevin J., 2013. "Monetary policy and asset prices with belief-driven fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 1453-1478.
    22. Kyle Jurado, 2016. "Advance Information and Distorted Beliefs in Macroeconomic and Financial Fluctuations," 2016 Meeting Papers 154, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    23. Claudia Foroni & Paolo Gelain & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter?," Working Papers 22-29, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    24. Jackson, Laura E. & Owyang, Michael T. & Soques, Daniel, 2018. "Nonlinearities, smoothing and countercyclical monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 136-154.
    25. Ryan Chahrour & Kyle Jurado, 2016. "News or Noise? The Missing Link," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 917, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 02 Nov 2017.
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    30. Jan Zacek, 2016. "Financial Variables in a Policy Rule: Does It Bring Macroeconomic Benefits?," Working Papers IES 2016/25, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Dec 2016.
    31. Rincón, Hernán & Velasco, Andrés M. (ed.), 2013. "Flujos de capitales, choques externos y respuestas de política en países emergentes," Books, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 2013-09.
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    34. Jerzy Pruski & Piotr Szpunar, 2008. "The monetary transmission mechanism in Poland," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Transmission mechanisms for monetary policy in emerging market economies, volume 35, pages 427-437, Bank for International Settlements.
    35. Paul Kitney, 2016. "Financial factors and monetary policy: Determinacy and learnability of equilibrium," CAMA Working Papers 2016-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    36. Caterina Mendicino & Maria Teresa Punzi, 2011. "Boom-bust cycles and stabilisation policy - monetary and macroprudential rules: a loss function approach," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Macroprudential regulation and policy, volume 60, pages 58-65, Bank for International Settlements.
    37. Winkler, Fabian, 2020. "The role of learning for asset prices and business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 42-58.
    38. Cosmin L. Ilut & Lawrence J. Christiano & Roberto Motto & Massimo Rostagno, 2010. "Monetary Policy and Stock Market Booms," Working Papers 10-69, Duke University, Department of Economics.
    39. Deokwoo Nam & Jian Wang, 2019. "Mood Swings and Business Cycles: Evidence from Sign Restrictions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(6), pages 1623-1649, September.
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    41. Ms. Valerie Cerra & Ms. Sweta Chaman Saxena, 2017. "Booms, Crises, and Recoveries: A New Paradigm of the Business Cycle and its Policy Implications," IMF Working Papers 2017/250, International Monetary Fund.
    42. Mr. Pau Rabanal & Mr. Christopher W. Crowe & Mr. Giovanni Dell'Ariccia & Ms. Deniz O Igan, 2011. "How to Deal with Real Estate Booms: Lessons from Country Experiences," IMF Working Papers 2011/091, International Monetary Fund.
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    44. Bekiros, Stelios & Nilavongse, Rachatar & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2018. "Bank capital shocks and countercyclical requirements: Implications for banking stability and welfare," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 315-331.
    45. Francesco Zanetti & Luca Gambetti & Dimitris Korobilis & John D. Tsoukalas, 2017. "The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy," Economics Series Working Papers 838, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    46. Alonso-Rivera, Angélica & Cruz-Aké, Salvador & Venegas-Martínez, Francisco, 2014. "Impact of Monetary Policy on Financial Markets Efficiency and Speculative Bubbles: A Non-linear Entropy-based Approach," MPRA Paper 56127, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    47. Junichi Fujimoto & Ko Munakata & Koji Nakamura & Yuki Teranishi, 2018. "Optimal Policy Analysis in a New Keynesian Economy with Credit Market Search," 2018 Meeting Papers 1200, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    48. Caines, Colin & Winkler, Fabian, 2021. "Asset price beliefs and optimal monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 53-67.
    49. Smets, Frank & Tristani, Oreste & Motto, Roberto & Rostagno, Massimo & Fahr, Stephan, 2011. "A monetary policy strategy in good and bad times: lessons from the recent past," Working Paper Series 1336, European Central Bank.
    50. Lindé, Jesper & Smets, Frank & Wouters, Rafael, 2016. "Challenges for Central Banks´ Macro Models," Working Paper Series 323, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    51. Sohei Kaihatsu & Takushi Kurozumi, 2010. "Sources of Business Fluctuations: Financial or Technology Shocks?," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 10-E-12, Bank of Japan.
    52. Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin S. Eichenbaum & Mathias Trabandt, 2014. "Understanding the Great Recession," NBER Working Papers 20040, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    53. Phuc Huynh & Trang Nguyen & Thanh Duong & Duc Pham, 2017. "Leaning against the Wind Policies on Vietnam’s Economy with DSGE Model," Economies, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-18, January.
    54. Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2022. "Pigouvian Cycles," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 281-318, April.
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    56. Gulan, Adam & Haavio, Markus & Kilponen, Juha, 2014. "Kiss me deadly: From Finnish great depression to great recession," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 24/2014, Bank of Finland.
    57. Knut Are Aastveit & Francesco Furlanetto & Francesca Loria, 2017. "Has the Fed responded to house and stock prices? A time-varying analysis," Working Papers 1713, Banco de España.
    58. Francesco Furlanetto & Kåre Hagelund & Frank Hansen & Ørjan Robstad, 2020. "Norges Bank Output Gap Estimates: Forecasting Properties, Reliability and Cyclical Sensitivity," Working Paper 2020/7, Norges Bank.
    59. Burkhard Heer & Alfred Maußner & Halvor Ruf, 2017. "Q-Targeting in New Keynesian Models," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(2), pages 189-224, November.
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    61. Julián A. Parra Polanía & Carmiña O. Vargas Riaño, 2012. "Valor óptimo del impuesto sobre flujos de capital para Colombia," Borradores de Economia 9705, Banco de la Republica.
    62. Bingbing Dong, 2014. "Asset Pricing and Monetary Policy," 2014 Meeting Papers 881, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    63. Nathan S. Balke & Enrique Martínez García & Zheng Zeng, 2017. "Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Credit Frictions and Uncertainty," Globalization Institute Working Papers 317, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    64. Emmanuel Carré & Jézabel Couppey-Soubeyran & Salim Dehmej, 2015. "La coordination entre politique monétaire et politique macroprudentielle. Que disent les modèles DSGE ?," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-01299318, HAL.
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  14. Cosmin L. Ilut, 2010. "Ambiguity Aversion: Implications for the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle," Working Papers 10-53, Duke University, Department of Economics.

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    1. Gertsman, Gleb, 2023. "Behavioral preferences and beliefs in asset pricing," Other publications TiSEM c7196596-1bf8-47c9-a147-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    2. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95.
    3. Cosmin Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2012. "Ambiguous Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 17900, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Costantini, Mauro & Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Hlouskova, Jaroslava, 2014. "Can Macroeconomists Get Rich Forecasting Exchange Rates?," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 176, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    5. Javier Bianchi & Saki Bigio & Charles Engel, 2022. "Scrambling for Dollars: International Liquidity, Banks and Exchange Rates," Working Papers 182, Peruvian Economic Association.
    6. Larry G. Epstein & Martin Schneider, 2010. "Ambiguity and Asset Markets," NBER Working Papers 16181, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Adrien Verdelhan, 2012. "The Share of Systematic Variation in Bilateral Exchange Rates," 2012 Meeting Papers 763, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    8. Taylor, Mark & Xu, Qi & Kozhan, Roman, 2020. "Prospect Theory and Currency Returns: Empirical Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 15306, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Krahnen, Jan Pieter & Ockenfels, Peter & Wilde, Christian, 2014. "Measuring ambiguity aversion: A systematic experimental approach," SAFE Working Paper Series 55, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    10. Ryan Chahrour & Vito Cormun & Pierre De Leo & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana & Rosen Valchev, 2024. "Exchange Rate Disconnect Revisited," NBER Working Papers 32596, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Eleni Iliopulos & Erica Perego & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2019. "International Business Cycles: Information Matters," Working Papers 2019-03, CEPII research center.
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    13. Francis Breedon & Dagfinn Rime & Paolo Vital, 2010. "A Transaction Data Study of the Forward Bias Puzzle," Working Paper 2010/26, Norges Bank.
    14. Rosen Valchev, 2020. "Bond Convenience Yields and Exchange Rate Dynamics," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(2), pages 124-166, April.
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    25. Charles Engel, 2015. "Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium," NBER Working Papers 21042, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    27. Travis Berge & Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2010. "Currency Carry Trades," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2010, pages 357-387, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Alfred V Guender, 2015. "International Evidence on the Role of Monetary Policy in the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle," Working Papers in Economics 15/15, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
    29. Massimo Guidolin & Francesca Rinaldi, 2013. "Ambiguity in asset pricing and portfolio choice: a review of the literature," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 74(2), pages 183-217, February.
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    34. Ippei Fujiwara & Yasuo Hirose, 2024. "Connecting Exchange Rates to Fundamentals Under Indeterminacy," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series 2024-024, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University.
    35. Francis Breedon & Dagfinn Rime & Paolo Vitale, 2016. "Carry Trades, Order Flow, and the Forward Bias Puzzle," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(6), pages 1113-1134, September.
    36. Yoo, Donghoon, 2019. "Ambiguous information, permanent income, and consumption fluctuations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 79-96.
    37. Sheunesu Zhou, 2021. "Examining the Sources of Sovereign Risk for South Africa: A Time Varying Flexible Least Squares Approach," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 9(1), pages 29-45.
    38. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2010. "Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts," Working Papers 102, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary.
    39. Zura Kakushadze & Willie Yu, 2019. "iCurrency?," Papers 1911.01272, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.
    40. Òscar Jordà & Alan M. Taylor, 2009. "The Carry Trade and Fundamentals: Nothing to Fear But FEER Itself," NBER Working Papers 15518, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    41. Yin-Wong Cheung & Wenhao Wang, 2020. "Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Redux: Non- Uniform Effects," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2020_004, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    42. P. Manasse & G. Moramarco & G. Trigilia, 2020. "Exchange Rates and Political Uncertainty: The Brexit Case," Working Papers wp1141, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    43. Paciello, Luigi & Michelacci, Claudio, 2020. "Aggregate Risk or Aggregate Uncertainty? Evidence from UK Households," CEPR Discussion Papers 14557, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    44. Guihai Zhao, 2020. "Learning, Equilibrium Trend, Cycle, and Spread in Bond Yields," Staff Working Papers 20-14, Bank of Canada.
    45. Zhao, Guihai, 2017. "Confidence, bond risks, and equity returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(3), pages 668-688.
    46. Steve Furnagiev & Josh Stillwagon, 2015. "Subjective Currency Risk Premia and Deviations from Moving Averages," Working Papers 1506, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
    47. Li, Jing & Miller, Norman C., 2015. "Foreign exchange market inefficiency and exchange rate anomalies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 311-320.
    48. Djeutem, Edouard, 2014. "Model uncertainty and the Forward Premium Puzzle," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 16-40.
    49. Martin Schneider, 2010. "The Research Agenda: Martin Schneider on Multiple Priors Preferences and Financial Markets," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 11(2), April.
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    51. Ziyun Zhang & Sen Guo, 2021. "What Factors Affect the RMB Carry Trade Return for Sustainability? An Empirical Analysis by Using an ARDL Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-19, December.
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  15. Christiano, Lawrence & Motto, Roberto & Rostagno, Massimo & Ilut, Cosmin, 2008. "Monetary policy and stock market boom-bust cycles," Working Paper Series 955, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Nikolay Iskrev & Sandra Gomes & Caterina Mendicino, 2013. "Monetary policy shocks: We got news!," Working Papers w201307, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    2. Stefano Eusepi & Bruce Preston, 2008. "Expectations, Learning And Business Cycle Fluctuations," CAMA Working Papers 2008-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    3. Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Marco Lippi & Luca Sala, 2017. "Noise Bubbles," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 127(604), pages 1940-1976, September.
    4. Kosaka Michiru Sakane, 2013. "News-driven international business cycles," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 751-793, May.
    5. Karnizova, Lilia, 2010. "The spirit of capitalism and expectation-driven business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(6), pages 739-752, September.
    6. Ali, Syed Zahid & Anwar, Sajid, 2018. "Anticipated versus unanticipated terms of trade shocks and the J-curve phenomenon," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1-19.
    7. Woodford, Michael & Cúrdia, Vasco, 2015. "Credit Frictions and Optimal Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 11016, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Canzoneri, Matthew B & Cumby, Robert & Diba, Behzad & López-Salido, J David, 2008. "Monetary Aggregates and Liquidity in a Neo-Wicksellian Framework," CEPR Discussion Papers 6813, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. Lawrence Christiano & Mathias Trabandt & Karl Walentin, 2021. "Involuntary Unemployment and the Business Cycle," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 39, pages 26-54, January.
    10. Nicola Acocella & Laura Bisio & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Alessandra Pelloni, "undated". "Labor market imperfections, real wage rigidities and financial shocks," Working Papers 80/11, Sapienza University of Rome, Metodi e Modelli per l'Economia, il Territorio e la Finanza MEMOTEF.
    11. Wieland, Volker & Beck, Günter W., 2008. "Central Bank misperceptions and the role of money in interest rate rules," Working Paper Series 967, European Central Bank.
    12. Masashige Hamano & Philip Schnattinger & Mototsugu Shintani & Iichiro Uesugi & Francesco Zanetti, 2025. "Credit Market Tightness and Zombie Firms: Theory and Evidence," CAMA Working Papers 2025-05, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    13. Cosmin Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2012. "Ambiguous Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 17900, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Kobayashi, Keiichiro & Nakajima, Tomoyuki & Inaba, Masaru, 2012. "Collateral Constraint And News-Driven Cycles," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(5), pages 752-776, November.
    15. Haavio, Markus & Mendicino, Caterina & Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2013. "Financial and economic downturns in OECD countries," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 35/2013, Bank of Finland.
    16. Helmut Herwartz & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2011. "In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Prediction of Stock Market Bubbles: Cross-Sectional Evidence," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1173, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    17. Marcin KOLASA, 2010. "Real Convergence and Its Illusions," EcoMod2010 259600094, EcoMod.
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  16. Péter Banczúr & Cosmin Ilut, 2006. "Determinants of Spreads on Sovereign Bank Loans: The Role of Credit History," MNB Working Papers 2006/1, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).

    Cited by:

    1. Ugo Panizza & Federico Sturzenegger & Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2009. "The Economics and Law of Sovereign Debt and Default," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 651-698, September.
    2. Veronica Guerrieri & Péter Kondor, 2009. "Fund Managers, Career Concerns, and Asset Price Volatility," NBER Working Papers 14898, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Vidovics-Dancs, Ágnes, 2014. "Az államcsőd költségei régen és ma [Costs of sovereign defaults now and long ago]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(3), pages 262-278.
    4. Ugo Panizza, 2013. "Do We Need a Mechanism for Solving Sovereign Debt Crises? A Rule-Based Discussion," IHEID Working Papers 03-2013, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.

Articles

  1. Cosmin Ilut & Matthias Kehrig & Martin Schneider, 2018. "Slow to Hire, Quick to Fire: Employment Dynamics with Asymmetric Responses to News," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 126(5), pages 2011-2071.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2018. "Uncertainty Shocks, Asset Supply and Pricing over the Business Cycle," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(2), pages 810-854.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Francesco Bianchi & Cosmin Ilut, 2017. "Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Agent's Beliefs," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 26, pages 113-139, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Péter Benczúr & Cosmin L. Ilut, 2016. "Evidence For Relational Contracts In Sovereign Bank Lending," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 375-404, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2014. "Ambiguous Business Cycles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(8), pages 2368-2399, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Cosmin Ilut, 2012. "Ambiguity Aversion: Implications for the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(3), pages 33-65, July.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Lawrence J. Christiano & Cosmin Ilut & Roberto Motto & Massimo Rostagno, 2010. "Monetary policy and stock market booms," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 85-145.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of articles recorded.

Software components

    Sorry, no citations of software components recorded.
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