Yasutomo Murasawa
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions
(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)- Roberto S. Mariano & Yasutomo Murasawa, 2003.
"A new coincident index of business cycles based on monthly and quarterly series,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(4), pages 427-443.
Mentioned in:
Working papers
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2015.
"The multivariate Beveridge--Nelson decomposition with I(1) and I(2) series,"
MPRA Paper
66319, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2015. "The multivariate Beveridge–Nelson decomposition with I(1) and I(2) series," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 157-162.
Cited by:
- Xu, Jia & Tan, Xiujie & He, Gang & Liu, Yu, 2019. "Disentangling the drivers of carbon prices in China's ETS pilots — An EEMD approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1-9.
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2019.
"Bayesian multivariate Beveridge--Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration,"
MPRA Paper
91979, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Murasawa Yasutomo, 2022. "Bayesian multivariate Beveridge–Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(3), pages 387-415, June.
- MURASAWA Yasutomo, 2010.
"Measuring Inflation Expectations Using Interval-Coded Data,"
ESRI Discussion paper series
236, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
- Yasutomo Murasawa, 2013. "Measuring Inflation Expectations Using Interval-Coded Data," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(4), pages 602-623, August.
Cited by:
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2017. "Measuring the Distributions of Public Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in the UK," MPRA Paper 76244, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yasutomo Murasawa, 2020. "Measuring public inflation perceptions and expectations in the UK," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 315-344, July.
- Péter Gábriel, 2010. "Household inflation expectations and inflation dynamics," MNB Working Papers 2010/12, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
- Nikola Mirkov & Andreas Steinhauer, 2014. "Are subjective distributions in inflation expectations symmetric?," ECON - Working Papers 173, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
- Cacchiarelli, Luca & Carbone, Anna & Esti, Marco & Laureti, Tiziana & Sorrentino, Alessandro, 2015. "Assessing the Value of Quality in the Italian Wine Market," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211379, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Cacchiarelli, Luca & Carbone, Anna & Esti, Marco & Laureti, Tiziana & Sorrentino, Alessandro, 2015. "Wine quality and prices: experts vs market," 143rd Joint EAAE/AAEA Seminar, March 25-27, 2015, Naples, Italy 202750, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Yasutomo Murasawa & Roberto S. Mariano, 2004.
"Constructing a Coincident Index of Business Cycles Without Assuming a One-Factor Model,"
Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings
710, Econometric Society.
- Roberto S. Mariano & Yasutomo Murasawa, 2004. "Constructing a Coincident Index of Business Cycles without Assuming a One-factor Model," Working Papers 22-2004, Singapore Management University, School of Economics, revised Oct 2004.
Cited by:
- Cecilia Frale & David Veredas, 2008. "A Monthly Volatility Index for the US Economy," Working Papers ECARES 2008-008, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Paul Viefers, 2011. "Bayesian Inference for the Mixed-Frequency VAR Model," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1172, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Urasawa, Satoshi, 2014. "Real-time GDP forecasting for Japan: A dynamic factor model approach," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 116-134.
Articles
- Yasutomo Murasawa, 2020.
"Measuring public inflation perceptions and expectations in the UK,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 315-344, July.
Cited by:
- Marcin Błażejowski, 2024. "Which C compiler and BLAS/LAPACK library should I use: gretl’s numerical efficiency in different configurations," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 39(7), pages 3497-3522, December.
- Yasutomo Murasawa, 2016.
"The Beveridge–Nelson decomposition of mixed-frequency series,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 1415-1441, December.
Cited by:
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2019.
"Bayesian multivariate Beveridge--Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration,"
MPRA Paper
91979, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Murasawa Yasutomo, 2022. "Bayesian multivariate Beveridge–Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(3), pages 387-415, June.
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2019.
"Bayesian multivariate Beveridge--Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration,"
MPRA Paper
91979, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2015.
"The multivariate Beveridge–Nelson decomposition with I(1) and I(2) series,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 157-162.
See citations under working paper version above.
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2015. "The multivariate Beveridge--Nelson decomposition with I(1) and I(2) series," MPRA Paper 66319, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Yasutomo Murasawa, 2014.
"Measuring the natural rates, gaps, and deviation cycles,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 495-522, September.
Cited by:
- Yasutomo Murasawa, 2016. "The Beveridge–Nelson decomposition of mixed-frequency series," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 1415-1441, December.
- Marcin Błażejowski, 2024. "Which C compiler and BLAS/LAPACK library should I use: gretl’s numerical efficiency in different configurations," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 39(7), pages 3497-3522, December.
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2015.
"The multivariate Beveridge--Nelson decomposition with I(1) and I(2) series,"
MPRA Paper
66319, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2015. "The multivariate Beveridge–Nelson decomposition with I(1) and I(2) series," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 157-162.
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2019.
"Bayesian multivariate Beveridge--Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration,"
MPRA Paper
91979, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Murasawa Yasutomo, 2022. "Bayesian multivariate Beveridge–Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(3), pages 387-415, June.
- Chalmovianský, Jakub & Němec, Daniel, 2022. "Assessing uncertainty of output gap estimates: Evidence from Visegrad countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
- Chengsi Zhang & Butan Zhang & Zhe Lu & Yasutomo Murasawa, 2013.
"Output Gap Estimation and Monetary Policy in China,"
Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(S4), pages 119-131, September.
Cited by:
- Li, Xiao-Lin & Yan, Jing & Wei, Xiaohui, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness among monetary policy cycle, financial cycle and business cycle in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 640-652.
- Wojciech Maliszewski & Ms. Longmei Zhang, 2015. "China’s Growth: Can Goldilocks Outgrow Bears?," IMF Working Papers 2015/113, International Monetary Fund.
- Mattesini, Fabrizio & Nosal, Ed, 2016. "Liquidity and asset prices in a monetary model with OTC asset markets," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 187-217.
- Paul G. Egan & Anthony J. Leddin, 2016. "Examining Monetary Policy Transmission in the People's Republic of China–Structural Change Models with a Monetary Policy Index," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 33(1), pages 74-110, March.
- Yasutomo Murasawa, 2013.
"Measuring Inflation Expectations Using Interval-Coded Data,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(4), pages 602-623, August.
See citations under working paper version above.
- MURASAWA Yasutomo, 2010. "Measuring Inflation Expectations Using Interval-Coded Data," ESRI Discussion paper series 236, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
- Zhang, Chengsi & Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2012.
"Multivariate model-based gap measures and a new Phillips curve for China,"
China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 60-70.
Cited by:
- Makram El-Shagi & Kiril Tochkov, 2023.
"Regional Heterogeneity and the Provinicial Phillips Curve in China,"
CFDS Discussion Paper Series
2023/3, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
- El-Shagi, Makram & Tochkov, Kiril, 2024. "Regional heterogeneity and the provincial Phillips curve in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1036-1044.
- Han, Yang & Liu, Zehao & Ma, Jun, 2020. "Growth cycles and business cycles of the Chinese economy through the lens of the unobserved components model," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Paul G. Egan & Anthony J. Leddin, 2016. "Examining Monetary Policy Transmission in the People's Republic of China–Structural Change Models with a Monetary Policy Index," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 33(1), pages 74-110, March.
- Makram El-Shagi & Kiril Tochkov, 2023.
"Regional Heterogeneity and the Provinicial Phillips Curve in China,"
CFDS Discussion Paper Series
2023/3, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
- Zhang, Chengsi & Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2011.
"Output gap measurement and the New Keynesian Phillips curve for China,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2462-2468.
Cited by:
- Danny Hermawan & Denny Lie & Aryo Sasongko & Richard I. Yusan, 2023.
"Money velocity, digital currency, and inflation dynamics,"
Working Papers
2023-01, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
- Hermawan, Danny & Lie, Denny & Sasongko, Aryo & Yusan, Richard, 2023. "Money velocity, digital currency, and inflation dynamics," MPRA Paper 116906, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Makram El-Shagi & Kiril Tochkov, 2023.
"Regional Heterogeneity and the Provinicial Phillips Curve in China,"
CFDS Discussion Paper Series
2023/3, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
- El-Shagi, Makram & Tochkov, Kiril, 2024. "Regional heterogeneity and the provincial Phillips curve in China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1036-1044.
- Clarida, Richard & Galí, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1999.
"The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
2139, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mark Gertler & Jordi Gali & Richard Clarida, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(4), pages 1661-1707, December.
- Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," NBER Working Papers 7147, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Richard Clarida & Jordi Galí & Mark Gertler, 1997. "The science of monetary policy: A new Keynesian perspective," Economics Working Papers 356, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Apr 1999.
- Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Oros, Cornel & Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu, 2014.
"Revisiting the inflation–output gap relationship for France using a wavelet transform approach,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 464-475.
- Claudiu T. Albulescu & Cornel Oros & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2014. "Revisiting the inflation - output gap relationship for France using a wavelet transform approach," Post-Print hal-00954189, HAL.
- Saman, Corina & Pauna, Bianca, 2013. "New Keynesian Phillips Curve for Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 159-171, June.
- Buncic, Daniel & Müller, Oliver, 2017. "Measuring the output gap in Switzerland with linear opinion pools," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 153-171.
- Carsten A. Holz & Aaron Mehrotra, 2016. "Wage and Price Dynamics in China," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(8), pages 1109-1127, August.
- Nurudeen Abu, 2019. "Inflation and Unemployment Trade-off: A Re-examination of the Phillips Curve and its Stability in Nigeria," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 13(1), March.
- Jana Budova & Veronika Sulikova & Marianna Sinicakova, 2023. "When Inflation Again Matters: Do Domestic and Global Output Gaps Determine Inflation in the EU?," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 25(63), pages 575-575, April.
- Sardor Sadykov, 2018. "Modelling Of Inflationary Processes In Uzbekistan On The Basis Of The New Keynesian Philips Curve," Economics and Management, Faculty of Economics, SOUTH-WEST UNIVERSITY "NEOFIT RILSKI", BLAGOEVGRAD, vol. 14(2), pages 72-99.
- Xu, Qifa & Niu, Xufeng & Jiang, Cuixia & Huang, Xue, 2015. "The Phillips curve in the US: A nonlinear quantile regression approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 186-197.
- Carsten A Holz & Aaron Mehrotra, 2013.
"Wage and price dynamics in a large emerging economy: The case of China,"
BIS Working Papers
409, Bank for International Settlements.
- Holz, Carsten A. & Mehrotra, Aaron, 2014. "Wage and price dynamics in a large emerging economy: The case of China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 3/2014, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Bayari, Celal, 2020. "The Neoliberal Globalization Link to the Belt and Road Initiative: The State and State-Owned-Enterprises in China [alternative title: Bilateral and Multilateral Dualities of the Chinese State in the C," MPRA Paper 104471, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 21 Jul 2020.
- Han, Yang & Liu, Zehao & Ma, Jun, 2020. "Growth cycles and business cycles of the Chinese economy through the lens of the unobserved components model," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
- Paul G. Egan & Anthony J. Leddin, 2016. "Examining Monetary Policy Transmission in the People's Republic of China–Structural Change Models with a Monetary Policy Index," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 33(1), pages 74-110, March.
- Danny Hermawan & Denny Lie & Aryo Sasongko & Richard I. Yusan, 2023.
"Money velocity, digital currency, and inflation dynamics,"
Working Papers
2023-01, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
- Roberto S. Mariano & Yasutomo Murasawa, 2010.
"A Coincident Index, Common Factors, and Monthly Real GDP,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 72(1), pages 27-46, February.
Cited by:
- Qian, Hang, 2012. "Essays on statistical inference with imperfectly observed data," ISU General Staff Papers 201201010800003618, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Sivec, Vasja, 2016.
"Monetary, fiscal and oil shocks: Evidence based on mixed frequency structural FAVARs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 335-348.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Sivec, Vasja, 2015. "Monetary, Fiscal and Oil Shocks: Evidence based on Mixed Frequency Structural FAVARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 10610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Scott Brave & R. Andrew Butters & Alejandro Justiniano, 2016. "Forecasting Economic Activity with Mixed Frequency Bayesian VARs," Working Paper Series WP-2016-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2019.
"Short‐term forecasts of economic activity: Are fortnightly factors useful?,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 207-221, April.
- Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2018. "Short term forecasts of economic activity: are fortnightly factors useful?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1177, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Paul Viefers & Ferdinand Fichtner & Simon Junker & Maximilian Podstawski, 2014. "Filtering German Economic Conditions from a Large Dataset: The New DIW Economic Barometer," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1414, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Messner, Wolfgang, 2023. "The contingency impact of culture on health security capacities for pandemic preparedness: A moderated Bayesian inference analysis," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 29(5).
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Banbura, Marta, 2012.
"Now-casting and the real-time data flow,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9112, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-026, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," Working Paper Series 1564, European Central Bank.
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 195-237, Elsevier.
- Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013.
"A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data,"
Working Paper
2013/06, Norges Bank.
- Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013. "A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data," Economics Working Papers ECO2013/02, European University Institute.
- Roberto S. Mariano & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2021. "Predictive Performance of Mixed-Frequency Nowcasting and Forecasting Models (with Application to Philippine Inflation and GDP Growth)," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 383-400, December.
- Robert Lehmann, 2024.
"A real-time regional accounts database for Germany with applications to GDP revisions and nowcasting,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(2), pages 817-838, August.
- Robert Lehmann, 2023. "READ-GER: Introducing German Real-Time Regional Accounts Data for Revision Analysis and Nowcasting," CESifo Working Paper Series 10315, CESifo.
- Jin, Sainan & Miao, Ke & Su, Liangjun, 2021.
"On factor models with random missing: EM estimation, inference, and cross validation,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 745-777.
- Su, Liangjun & Miao, Ke & Jin, Sainan, 2019. "On Factor Models with Random Missing: EM Estimation, Inference, and Cross Validation," Economics and Statistics Working Papers 4-2019, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2022.
"Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US,"
Working Papers
22-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- James Mitchell & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & Aubrey Poon, 2020. "Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2020-16, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Ahiadorme, Johnson Worlanyo, 2020.
"Monetary policy transmission and income inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa,"
MPRA Paper
104084, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Johnson Worlanyo Ahiadorme, 2022. "Monetary policy transmission and income inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1555-1585, August.
- Lenza, Michele & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2021.
"Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
15854, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 500-519.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2020. "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 2453, European Central Bank.
- Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87, March.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wikman, Ida, 2022.
"Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States,"
MPRA Paper
112642, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Robert Lehmann & Ida Wikman, 2022. "Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States," ifo Working Paper Series 370, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Robert Lehmann & Ida Wikman, 2023. "Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States: New Data for Business Cycle Analyses and Long-Run Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series 10280, CESifo.
- Gani Ramadani & Magdalena Petrovska & Vesna Bucevska, 2021. "Evaluation of mixed frequency approaches for tracking near-term economic developments in North Macedonia," Working Papers 2021-03, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia.
- Ankargren Sebastian & Unosson Måns & Yang Yukai, 2020.
"A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior,"
Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(2), pages 1-41, July.
- Ankargren Sebastian & Unosson Måns & Yang Yukai, 2020. "A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(2), pages 1-41, July.
- Sebastian Ankargren & M{aa}ns Unosson & Yukai Yang, 2019. "A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior," Papers 1911.09151, arXiv.org.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2018. "Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-14, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Yasutomo Murasawa, 2014. "Measuring the natural rates, gaps, and deviation cycles," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 495-522, September.
- Yasutomo Murasawa, 2016. "The Beveridge–Nelson decomposition of mixed-frequency series," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 1415-1441, December.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Claudia Foroni & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014.
"Density forecasts with MIDAS models,"
Working Paper
2014/10, Norges Bank.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Claudia Foroni & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2017. "Density Forecasts With Midas Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 783-801, June.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Claudia Foroni & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014. "Density forecasts with MIDAS models," Working Papers No 3/2014, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Luca Barbaglia & Lorenzo Frattarolo & Niko Hauzenberger & Dominik Hirschbuehl & Florian Huber & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli, 2024. "Nowcasting economic activity in European regions using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model," Papers 2401.10054, arXiv.org.
- Michal Franta & David Havrlant & Marek Rusnak, 2014.
"Forecasting Czech GDP Using Mixed-Frequency Data Models,"
Working Papers
2014/08, Czech National Bank.
- Michal Franta & David Havrlant & Marek Rusnák, 2016. "Forecasting Czech GDP Using Mixed-Frequency Data Models," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 12(2), pages 165-185, December.
- Poncela Blanco, Maria Pilar, 2020.
"Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: this is not just another survey,"
DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS
30644, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz, Esther & Miranda, Karen, 2021. "Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: This is not just another survey," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1399-1425.
- Qian, Hang, 2016. "A computationally efficient method for vector autoregression with mixed frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 433-437.
- Thomas B Götz & Klemens Hauzenberger, 2021. "Large mixed-frequency VARs with a parsimonious time-varying parameter structure," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(3), pages 442-461.
- Gilles Dufrénot & Meryem Rhouzlane & Etienne Vaccaro-Grange, 2022.
"Potential growth and natural yield curve in Japan,"
Post-Print
hal-03680259, HAL.
- Gilles Dufrénot & Meryem Rhouzlane & Etienne Vaccaro-Grange, 2019. "Potential Growth and Natural Yield Curve in Japan," AMSE Working Papers 1912, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Gilles Dufrénot & Meryem Rhouzlane & Etienne Vaccaro-Grange, 2019. "Potential Growth and Natural Yield Curve in Japan," Working Papers halshs-02091035, HAL.
- Dufrénot, Gilles & Rhouzlane, Meryem & Vaccaro-Grange, Etienne, 2022. "Potential growth and natural yield curve in Japan," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
- Grassi, Stefano & Proietti, Tommaso & Frale, Cecilia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mazzi, Gianluigi, 2015.
"EuroMInd-C: A disaggregate monthly indicator of economic activity for the Euro area and member countries,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 712-738.
- Cecilia Frale & Stefano Grassi & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gianluigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2013. "EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro Area and member countries," CEIS Research Paper 287, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 01 Oct 2013.
- Kenichiro McAlinn, 2021. "Mixed‐frequency Bayesian predictive synthesis for economic nowcasting," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(5), pages 1143-1163, November.
- Matteo Iacopini & Aubrey Poon & Luca Rossini & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Quantile Vector Autoregression: Eliciting tail risks of Monthly US GDP,"
Papers
2209.01910, arXiv.org.
- Iacopini, Matteo & Poon, Aubrey & Rossini, Luca & Zhu, Dan, 2023. "Bayesian mixed-frequency quantile vector autoregression: Eliciting tail risks of monthly US GDP," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
- Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2014. "A comparison of mixed frequency approaches for nowcasting Euro area macroeconomic aggregates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 554-568.
- Bhaghoe, Sailesh & Ooft, Gavin, 2021. "Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth in Suriname with Factor-MIDAS and Mixed-Frequency VAR Models," Studies in Applied Economics 176, The Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise.
- Cleiton Guollo Taufemback, 2023. "Asymptotic Behavior of Temporal Aggregation in Mixed‐Frequency Datasets," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(4), pages 894-909, August.
- Sebastian Ankargren & Paulina Jon'eus, 2019.
"Simulation smoothing for nowcasting with large mixed-frequency VARs,"
Papers
1907.01075, arXiv.org.
- Ankargren, Sebastian & Jonéus, Paulina, 2021. "Simulation smoothing for nowcasting with large mixed-frequency VARs," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 97-113.
- Alexopoulos, Angelos & Varthalitis, Petros, 2023. "A machine learning approach to construct quarterly data on intangible investment for Eurozone," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
- Rueben Ellul, 2016.
"A real-time measure of business conditions in Malta,"
CBM Working Papers
WP/04/2016, Central Bank of Malta.
- Ellul, Reuben, 2016. "A real-time measure of business conditions in Malta," MPRA Paper 75057, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2023.
"High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2023. "High-Dimensional Conditionally Gaussian State Space Models with Missing Data," Papers 2302.03172, arXiv.org.
- Monica Defend & Aleksey Min & Lorenzo Portelli & Franz Ramsauer & Francesco Sandrini & Rudi Zagst, 2021. "Quantifying Drivers of Forecasted Returns Using Approximate Dynamic Factor Models for Mixed-Frequency Panel Data," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-35, February.
- Eraslan, Sercan & Schröder, Maximilian, 2019. "Nowcasting GDP with a large factor model space," Discussion Papers 41/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- John Cotter & Mark Hallam & Kamil Yilmaz, 2017.
"Mixed-frequency macro-financial spillovers,"
Working Papers
201704, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
- John Cotter & Mark Hallam & Kamil Yilmaz, 2017. "Mixed-Frequency Macro-Financial Spillovers," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1704, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Porshakov, A. & Ponomarenko, A. & Sinyakov, A., 2016.
"Nowcasting and Short-Term Forecasting of Russian GDP with a Dynamic Factor Model,"
Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 30(2), pages 60-76.
- Alexey Porshakov & Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko & Andrey Sinyakov, 2015. "Nowcasting and Short-Term Forecasting of Russian GDP with a Dynamic Factor Model," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps2, Bank of Russia.
- Porshakov, Alexey & Deryugina, Elena & Ponomarenko, Alexey & Sinyakov, Andrey, 2015. "Nowcasting and short-term forecasting of Russian GDP with a dynamic factor model," BOFIT Discussion Papers 19/2015, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Eric Ghysels & J. Isaac Miller, 2013.
"Testing for Cointegration with Temporally Aggregated and Mixed-frequency Time Series,"
Working Papers
1307, Department of Economics, University of Missouri, revised 07 May 2014.
- Eric Ghysels & J. Isaac Miller, 2015. "Testing for Cointegration with Temporally Aggregated and Mixed-Frequency Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(6), pages 797-816, November.
- Ghysels, Eric & Miller, J. Isaac, 2013. "Testing for Cointegration with Temporally Aggregated and Mixed-frequency Time Series," CEPR Discussion Papers 9654, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hagher Ben Rhomdhane & Brahim Mehdi Benlallouna, 2022. "Nowcasting real GDP in Tunisia using large datasets and mixed-frequency models," IHEID Working Papers 02-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Alain Galli, 2018.
"Which Indicators Matter? Analyzing the Swiss Business Cycle Using a Large-Scale Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model,"
Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(2), pages 179-218, November.
- Alain Galli, 2017. "Which indicators matter? Analyzing the Swiss business cycle using a large-scale mixed-frequency dynamic factor model," Working Papers 2017-08, Swiss National Bank.
- Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2014. "Mixed frequency structural VARs," Working Paper 2014/01, Norges Bank.
- Jansen, W. Jos & Jin, Xiaowen & de Winter, Jasper M., 2016.
"Forecasting and nowcasting real GDP: Comparing statistical models and subjective forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 411-436.
- Jos Jansen, W. & Jin, Xiaowen & Winter, Jasper M. de, 2016. "Forecasting and nowcasting real GDP: Comparing statistical models and subjective forecasts," Munich Reprints in Economics 43488, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Ghysels, Eric & Hill, Jonathan B. & Motegi, Kaiji, 2016.
"Testing for Granger causality with mixed frequency data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 207-230.
- Ghysels, Eric & Hill, Jonathan B. & Motegi, Kaiji, 2013. "Testing for Granger Causality with Mixed Frequency Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 9655, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Stock, J.H. & Watson, M.W., 2016. "Dynamic Factor Models, Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressions, and Structural Vector Autoregressions in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 415-525, Elsevier.
- Sebastian Ankargren & Måns Unosson & Yukai Yang, 2018. "A mixed-frequency Bayesian vector autoregression with a steady-state prior," CREATES Research Papers 2018-32, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Koki Kyo & Hideo Noda & Genshiro Kitagawa, 2022. "Co-movement of Cyclical Components Approach to Construct a Coincident Index of Business Cycles," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(1), pages 101-127, March.
- Foroni, Claudia & Guérin, Pierre & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2018.
"Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 774-787.
- Claudia Foroni & Pierre Guérin & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables," Working Paper 2015/13, Norges Bank.
- Hager Ben Romdhane, 2021. "Nowcasting in Tunisia using large datasets and mixed frequency models," IHEID Working Papers 11-2021, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Pablo Aguilar & Corinna Ghirelli & Matías Pacce & Alberto Urtasun, 2020.
"Can news help measure economic sentiment? An application in COVID-19 times,"
Working Papers
2027, Banco de España.
- Aguilar, Pablo & Ghirelli, Corinna & Pacce, Matías & Urtasun, Alberto, 2021. "Can news help measure economic sentiment? An application in COVID-19 times," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
- Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif, 2018. "Forecasting using mixed-frequency VARs with time-varying parameters," ifo Working Paper Series 273, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Fady Barsoum, 2015. "Point and Density Forecasts Using an Unrestricted Mixed-Frequency VAR Model," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2015-19, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Brave, Scott A. & Butters, R. Andrew & Justiniano, Alejandro, 2019. "Forecasting economic activity with mixed frequency BVARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1692-1707.
- Tesi Aliaj & Milos Ciganovic & Massimiliano Tancioni, 2023. "Nowcasting inflation with Lasso‐regularized vector autoregressions and mixed frequency data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 464-480, April.
- Michael Zhemkov, 2022. "Assessment of Monthly GDP Growth Using Temporal Disaggregation Methods," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(2), pages 79-104, June.
- George Kapetanios & Fotis Papailias, 2018. "Big Data & Macroeconomic Nowcasting: Methodological Review," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-12, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Qian, Hang, 2012. "A Flexible State Space Model and its Applications," MPRA Paper 38455, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kuzin, Vladimir, 2009.
"MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7445, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 529-542, April.
- Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/32, European University Institute.
- Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 529-542.
- Löchel, H. & Packham, N. & Walisch, F., 2016. "Determinants of the onshore and offshore Chinese government yield curves," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 77-93.
- Qiu, Yue, 2020. "Forecasting the Consumer Confidence Index with tree-based MIDAS regressions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 247-256.
- Heinisch Katja & Scheufele Rolf, 2019.
"Should Forecasters Use Real-Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence,"
German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 170-200, December.
- Heinisch, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2017. "Should forecasters use real-time data to evaluate leading indicator models for GDP prediction? German evidence," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2019. "Should Forecasters Use Real‐Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 170-200, November.
- Luke Mosley & Tak-Shing Chan & Alex Gibberd, 2023. "sparseDFM: An R Package to Estimate Dynamic Factor Models with Sparse Loadings," Papers 2303.14125, arXiv.org.
- Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanović, Dalibor, 2018.
"Mixed frequency models with MA components,"
Discussion Papers
02/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanović, Dalibor, 2018. "Mixed frequency models with MA components," Working Paper Series 2206, European Central Bank.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2020. "Regional output growth in the United Kingdom: More timely and higher frequency estimates from 1970," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(2), pages 176-197, March.
- Ramadani Gani & Petrovska Magdalena & Bucevska Vesna, 2021. "Evaluation of Mixed Frequency Approaches for Tracking Near-Term Economic Developments in North Macedonia," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 16(2), pages 43-52, December.
- Barhoumi, K. & Darn , O. & Ferrara, L., 2013.
"Dynamic Factor Models: A review of the Literature ,"
Working papers
430, Banque de France.
- Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2013. "Dynamic factor models: A review of the literature," Post-Print hal-01385974, HAL.
- Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2014. "Dynamic factor models: A review of the literature," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2013(2), pages 73-107.
- Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting Using Mixed-Frequency VARS with Time-Varying Parameters," CESifo Working Paper Series 8054, CESifo.
- Nuttanan Wichitaksorn, 2020. "Analyzing and Forecasting Thai Macroeconomic Data using Mixed-Frequency Approach," PIER Discussion Papers 146, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Davtyan, Karen, 2023. "Unconventional monetary policy and economic inequality," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013. "Mixed frequency structural models: estimation, and policy analysis," Working Paper 2013/15, Norges Bank.
- Bjørn Eraker & Ching Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Andrew T. Foerster & Tae Bong Kim & Hernán D. Seoane, 2015.
"Bayesian Mixed Frequency VARs,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(3), pages 698-721.
- Ching Wai Chiu & Bjorn Eraker & Andrew T. Foerster & Tae Bong Kim & Hernan D. Seoane, 2011. "Estimating VAR's sampled at mixed or irregular spaced frequencies : a Bayesian approach," Research Working Paper RWP 11-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Franz Ramsauer & Aleksey Min & Michael Lingauer, 2019. "Estimation of FAVAR Models for Incomplete Data with a Kalman Filter for Factors with Observable Components," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-43, July.
- Qian, Hang, 2013. "Vector Autoregression with Mixed Frequency Data," MPRA Paper 47856, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Heinisch, Katja, 2016. "A real-time analysis on the importance of hard and soft data for nowcasting German GDP," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145864, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Zheng, Tingguo & Fan, Xinyue & Jin, Wei & Fang, Kuangnan, 2024. "Words or numbers? Macroeconomic nowcasting with textual and macroeconomic data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 746-761.
- Sebastian Ankargren & Paulina Jon'eus, 2019. "Estimating Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR Models," Papers 1912.02231, arXiv.org.
- Xu, Qifa & Zhuo, Xingxuan & Jiang, Cuixia & Liu, Xi & Liu, Yezheng, 2018. "Group penalized unrestricted mixed data sampling model with application to forecasting US GDP growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 221-236.
- Kihwan Kim & Norman Swanson, 2013. "Diffusion Index Model Specification and Estimation Using Mixed Frequency Datasets," Departmental Working Papers 201315, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell, 2020. "UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector auto‐regressive model with entropic tilting," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 183(1), pages 91-119, January.
- Camacho, Maximo, 2013. "Mixed-frequency VAR models with Markov-switching dynamics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(3), pages 369-373.
- Ruey Yau & C. James Hueng, 2019. "Nowcasting GDP Growth for Small Open Economies with a Mixed-Frequency Structural Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 177-198, June.
- Wichitaksorn, Nuttanan, 2022. "Analyzing and forecasting Thai macroeconomic data using mixed-frequency approach," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Yasutomo Murasawa, 2009.
"Do coincident indicators have one-factor structure?,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 339-365, May.
Cited by:
- Roberto S. Mariano & Yasutomo Murasawa, 2010. "A Coincident Index, Common Factors, and Monthly Real GDP," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 72(1), pages 27-46, February.
- Murasawa, Yasutomo & Morimune, Kimio, 2004.
"Distribution-free statistical inference for generalized Lorenz dominance based on grouped data,"
Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 133-142.
Cited by:
- Kuan Xu & Gordon Fisher, 2006. "Myopic loss aversion and margin of safety: the risk of value investing," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(6), pages 481-494.
- Dentcheva Darinka & Stock Gregory J. & Rekeda Ludmyla, 2011. "Mean-risk tests of stochastic dominance," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 28(2), pages 97-118, May.
- Roberto S. Mariano & Yasutomo Murasawa, 2003.
"A new coincident index of business cycles based on monthly and quarterly series,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(4), pages 427-443.
Cited by:
- Michael Graff, 2005. "Internationale Konjunkturverbunde," KOF Working papers 05-108, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020.
"Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 829-850.
- Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 6457, CESifo.
- Heinrich, Markus & Carstensen, Kai & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168206, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2019. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," Jena Economics Research Papers 2019-006, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
- Qian, Hang, 2012. "Essays on statistical inference with imperfectly observed data," ISU General Staff Papers 201201010800003618, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
- Michele Modugno & Lucrezia Reichlin & Domenico Giannone & Marta Banbura, 2012. "Nowcasting with Daily Data," 2012 Meeting Papers 555, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Michele Modugno, 2015.
"Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2015-66, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Antonello D’Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Michele Modugno, 2016. "Nowcasting Business Cycles: A Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 569-594, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Sivec, Vasja, 2016.
"Monetary, fiscal and oil shocks: Evidence based on mixed frequency structural FAVARs,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 335-348.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Sivec, Vasja, 2015. "Monetary, Fiscal and Oil Shocks: Evidence based on Mixed Frequency Structural FAVARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 10610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos, 2010.
"Should macroeconomic forecasters use daily financial data and how?,"
University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics
09-2010, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos, 2013. "Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 240-251, April.
- Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos & Elena Andreou, 2012. "Should macroeconomic forecasters use daily financial data and how?," 2012 Meeting Papers 1196, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels & Andros Kourtellos, 2010. "Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?," Working Paper series 42_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- João Victor Issler & Hilton Hostalacio Notini & Claudia Fontoura Rodrigues, 2013.
"Constructing coincident and leading indices of economic activity for the Brazilian economy,"
OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2012(2), pages 43-65.
- Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio & Rodrigues, Claudia Oliveira da Fontoura, 2012. "Constructing coincident and leading indices of economic activity for the Brazilian economy," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 730, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio & Rodrigues, Claudia Oliveira da Fontoura, 2009. "Constructing coincident and leading indices of economic activity for the brazilian economy," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 694, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio & Rodrigues, Claudia Oliveira da Fontoura, 2011. "Constructing coincident and leading indices of economic activity for the brazilian economy," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 714, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Maximo Camacho & Marcos Dal Bianco & Gabriel Perez Quiros, 2012.
"Short-run forecasting of the euro-dollar exchange rate with economic fundamentals,"
Working Papers
1201, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
- Marcos dal Bianco & Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2012. "Short-run forecasting of the euro-dollar exchange rate with economic fundamentals," Working Papers 1203, Banco de España.
- Dal Bianco, Marcos & Camacho, Maximo & Perez Quiros, Gabriel, 2012. "Short-run forecasting of the euro-dollar exchange rate with economic fundamentals," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 377-396.
- Jaime Martínez-Martín & Elena Rusticelli, 2020.
"Keeping track of global trade in real time,"
Working Papers
2019, Banco de España.
- Martínez-Martín, Jaime & Rusticelli, Elena, 2021. "Keeping track of global trade in real time," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 224-236.
- Jaime Martinez-Martin & Elena Rusticelli, 2018. "Keeping track of global trade in real time," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1524, OECD Publishing.
- Marco Cacciotti & Cecilia Frale & Serena Teobaldo, 2013. "A new methodology for a quarterly measure of the Output Gap," Working Papers LuissLab 13103, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007.
"Real-time measurement of business conditions,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
901, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2008. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," NBER Working Papers 14349, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," PIER Working Paper Archive 07-028, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Chiara Scotti & S.Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & University of Maryland, 2006. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 387, Society for Computational Economics.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2008. "Real-time measurement of business conditions," Working Papers 08-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Aruoba, S. BoraÄŸan & Diebold, Francis X. & Scotti, Chiara, 2009. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 417-427.
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Enrique Sentana, 2018.
"The Rise and Fall of the Natural Interest Rate,"
Working Paper series
18-29, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Enrique Sentana, 2018. "The Rise and Fall of the Natural Interest Rate," Working Papers - Economics wp2018_14.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Enrique Sentana, 2018. "The Rise and Fall of the Natural Interest Rate," Working Papers wp2018_1805, CEMFI.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Fiorentini, Gabriele & Galesi, Alessandro & Sentana, Enrique, 2018. "The Rise and Fall of the Natural Interest Rate," CEPR Discussion Papers 13042, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Enrique Sentana, 2018. "The rise and fall of the natural interest rate," Working Papers 1822, Banco de España.
- Scott Brave & R. Andrew Butters & Alejandro Justiniano, 2016. "Forecasting Economic Activity with Mixed Frequency Bayesian VARs," Working Paper Series WP-2016-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Cecilia Frale & Libero Monteforte, "undated".
"FaMIDAS: A Mixed Frequency Factor Model with MIDAS structure,"
Working Papers
3, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Cecilia Frale & Libero Monteforte, 2011. "FaMIDAS: A Mixed Frequency Factor Model with MIDAS structure," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 788, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Maximo Camacho & Rafael Domenech, 2010.
"MICA-BBVA: A Factor Model of Economic and Financial Indicators for Short-term GDP Forecasting,"
Working Papers
1021, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
- Máximo Camacho & Rafael Doménech, 2012. "MICA-BBVA: a factor model of economic and financial indicators for short-term GDP forecasting," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 3(4), pages 475-497, December.
- Helena Rodríguez, 2014. "Un indicador de la evolución del PIB uruguayo en tiempo real," Documentos de trabajo 2014009, Banco Central del Uruguay.
- Beyer, Robert & Milivojevic, Lazar, 2021.
"Dynamics and synchronization of global equilibrium interest rates,"
IMFS Working Paper Series
146, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Robert C. M. Beyer & Lazar Milivojevic, 2023. "Dynamics and synchronization of global equilibrium interest rates," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(28), pages 3195-3214, June.
- Beyer,Robert Carl Michael & Milivojevic,Lazar, 2020. "Dynamics and Synchronization of Global Equilibrium Interest Rates," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9489, The World Bank.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012.
"Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility,"
Working Papers (Old Series)
1227, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2013. "Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 9312, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(4), pages 837-862, October.
- Paolo Andreini & Cosimo Izzo & Giovanni Ricco, 2020.
"Deep Dynamic Factor Models,"
Papers
2007.11887, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
- Paolo Andreini & Cosimo Izzo & Giovanni Ricco, 2023. "Deep Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers 2023-08, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2019.
"Short‐term forecasts of economic activity: Are fortnightly factors useful?,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 207-221, April.
- Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2018. "Short term forecasts of economic activity: are fortnightly factors useful?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1177, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Paul Viefers & Ferdinand Fichtner & Simon Junker & Maximilian Podstawski, 2014. "Filtering German Economic Conditions from a Large Dataset: The New DIW Economic Barometer," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1414, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Deicy J. Cristiano & Manuel D. Hernández & José David Pulido, 2012.
"Pronósticos de corto plazo en tiempo real para la actividad económica colombiana,"
Borradores de Economia
9827, Banco de la Republica.
- Deicy J. Cristiano & Manuel D. Hernández & José David Pulido, 2012. "Pronósticos de corto plazo en tiempo real para la actividad económica colombiana," Borradores de Economia 724, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Daniel Aaronson & Scott A. Brave & Michael Fogarty & Ezra Karger & Spencer D. Krane, 2021. "Tracking U.S. Consumers in Real Time with a New Weekly Index of Retail Trade," Working Paper Series WP-2021-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, revised 18 Jun 2021.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Banbura, Marta, 2012.
"Now-casting and the real-time data flow,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9112, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-026, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," Working Paper Series 1564, European Central Bank.
- Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 195-237, Elsevier.
- Andrejs Bessonovs, 2015. "Suite of Latvia's GDP forecasting models," Working Papers 2015/01, Latvijas Banka.
- David Havrlant & Peter Tóth & Julia Wörz, 2016. "On the optimal number of indicators – nowcasting GDP growth in CESEE," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 4, pages 54-72.
- Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013.
"A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data,"
Working Paper
2013/06, Norges Bank.
- Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013. "A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data," Economics Working Papers ECO2013/02, European University Institute.
- Anesti, Nikoleta & Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia, 2018.
"Uncertain kingdom: nowcasting GDP and its revisions,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
90382, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Anesti, Nikoleta & Galvão, Ana & Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia, 2018. "Uncertain Kingdom: nowcasting GDP and its revisions," Bank of England working papers 764, Bank of England, revised 31 Jan 2020.
- Nikoleta Anesti & Ana Beatriz Galvao & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, 2018. "Uncertain Kingdom: Nowcasting GDP and its Revisions," Discussion Papers 1824, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Brunhes-Lesage, V. & Darné, O., 2008. "Why calculate a business sentiment indicator for services?," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 13, pages 21-30, Autumn.
- Ana Arencibia Pareja & Ana Gomez-Loscos & Mercedes de Luis López & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2020. "A Short Term Forecasting Model for the Spanish GDP and itsDemand Components," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 43(85), pages 1-30.
- Kyosuke Chikamatsu, Naohisa Hirakata, Yosuke Kido, Kazuki Otaka, 2018. "Nowcasting Japanese GDPs," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 18-E-18, Bank of Japan.
- Alkhareif, Ryadh M. & Barnett, William A., 2020.
"Nowcasting Real GDP for Saudi Arabia,"
MPRA Paper
104278, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ryadh M. Alkhareif & William A. Barnett, 2020. "Nowcasting Real Gdp For Saudi Arabia," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202018, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2020.
- Marcelle Chauvet & James D. Hamilton, 2005.
"Dating Business Cycle Turning Points,"
NBER Working Papers
11422, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marcelle Chauvet & James D. Hamilton, 2006. "Dating Business Cycle Turning Points," Contributions to Economic Analysis, in: Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles, pages 1-54, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Roberto S. Mariano & Suleyman Ozmucur, 2021. "Predictive Performance of Mixed-Frequency Nowcasting and Forecasting Models (with Application to Philippine Inflation and GDP Growth)," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 383-400, December.
- Aastveit, Knut Are & Trovik, Tørres, 2014.
"Estimating the output gap in real time: A factor model approach,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 180-193.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Tørres G. Trovik, 2008. "Estimating the output gap in real time: A factor model approach," Working Paper 2008/23, Norges Bank.
- Robert Lehmann, 2024.
"A real-time regional accounts database for Germany with applications to GDP revisions and nowcasting,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(2), pages 817-838, August.
- Robert Lehmann, 2023. "READ-GER: Introducing German Real-Time Regional Accounts Data for Revision Analysis and Nowcasting," CESifo Working Paper Series 10315, CESifo.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Matteo Luciani, 2024.
"Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference of Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models via the EM algorithm,"
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
2024-086, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Matteo Barigozzi & Matteo Luciani, 2019. "Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference of Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models via the EM algorithm," Papers 1910.03821, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
- Peter Fuleky & Carl Bonham, 2010.
"Forecasting Based on Common Trends in Mixed Frequency Samples,"
Working Papers
2010-17R1, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, revised Jul 2013.
- Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2011. "Forecasting Based on Common Trends in Mixed Frequency Samples," Working Papers 201110, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Camacho, Máximo, 2013.
"Commodity prices and the business cycle in Latin America: Living and dying by commodities?,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9367, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2014. "Commodity Prices and the Business Cycle in Latin America: Living and Dying by Commodities?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(2), pages 110-137, March.
- Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2013. "Commodity prices and the business cycle in Latin America: Living and dying by commodities," Working Papers 1304, Banco de España.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-León & Eric R. Sims, 2021.
"Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
9165, CESifo.
- Baumeister, Christiane & Leiva-León, Danilo & Sims, Eric, 2021. "Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions," CEPR Discussion Papers 16317, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-León & Eric Sims, 2024. "Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(2), pages 483-504, March.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Eric Sims, 2021. "Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions," Working Papers 202151, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-León & Eric Sims, 2021. "Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions," Working Papers 2134, Banco de España.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-León & Eric Sims, 2021. "Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions," CAMA Working Papers 2021-55, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Christiane Baumeister & Danilo Leiva-León & Eric R. Sims, 2021. "Tracking Weekly State-Level Economic Conditions," NBER Working Papers 29003, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Luciano Campos & Danilo Leiva-León & Steven Zapata- Álvarez, 2022. "Latin American Falls, Rebounds and Tail Risks," Borradores de Economia 1201, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2017.
"Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
81869, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86243, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2014. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," Discussion Papers 1604, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Jan 2016.
- Juan Antolin-Diaz & Thomas Drechsel & Ivan Petrella, 2017. "Tracking the Slowdown in Long-Run GDP Growth," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(2), pages 343-356, May.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2016. "Tracking the slowdown in long-run GDP growth," Bank of England working papers 587, Bank of England.
- Matteo Barigozzi & Matteo Luciani, 2017. "Common Factors, Trends, and Cycles in Large Datasets," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-111, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Luciani, Matteo & Pundit, Madhavi & Ramayandi, Arief & Veronese , Giovanni, 2015.
"Nowcasting Indonesia,"
ADB Economics Working Paper Series
471, Asian Development Bank.
- Matteo Luciani & Madhavi Pundit & Arief Ramayandi & Giovanni Veronese, 2018. "Nowcasting Indonesia," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 597-619, September.
- Matteo Luciani & Madhavi Pundit & Arief Ramayandi & Giovanni Veronese, 2015. "Nowcasting Indonesia," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-100, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Claudia FORONI & Massimiliano MARCELLINO, 2012. "A Comparison of Mixed Frequency Approaches for Modelling Euro Area Macroeconomic Variables," Economics Working Papers ECO2012/07, European University Institute.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2022.
"Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US,"
Working Papers
22-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- James Mitchell & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & Aubrey Poon, 2020. "Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2020-16, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Boniface Yemba & Yi Duan & Nabaneeta Biswas, 2023. "Government spending news and stock price index," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(4), pages 1816-1841.
- Christian Glocker & Philipp Wegmüller, 2017.
"Business Cycle Dating and Forecasting with Real-time Swiss GDP Data,"
WIFO Working Papers
542, WIFO.
- Christian Glocker & Philipp Wegmueller, 2020. "Business cycle dating and forecasting with real-time Swiss GDP data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 73-105, January.
- Florian, Huber & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2021.
"Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs,"
JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance
2021-01, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
- Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2023. "Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 52-69.
- Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2021. "Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs," Working Paper Series 2510, European Central Bank.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer & Josef Schreiner, 2020. "Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs," Papers 2008.12706, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Tony Chernis & Calista Cheung & Gabriella Velasco, 2017.
"A Three-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model for Nowcasting Canadian Provincial GDP Growth,"
Discussion Papers
17-8, Bank of Canada.
- Chernis, Tony & Cheung, Calista & Velasco, Gabriella, 2020. "A three-frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting Canadian provincial GDP growth," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 851-872.
- Tommaso Proietti & Martyna Marczak & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2015.
"EuroMInd-D: A Density Estimate of Monthly Gross Domestic Product for the Euro Area,"
CREATES Research Papers
2015-12, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Proietti, Tommaso & Marczak, Martyna & Mazzi, Gianluigi, 2015. "EuroMInd-D: A density estimate of monthly gross domestic product for the euro area," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences 03-2015, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences.
- Tommaso Proietti & Martyna Marczak & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2015. "EuroMInd-D: A Density Estimate of Monthly Gross Domestic Product for the Euro Area," CEIS Research Paper 340, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 10 Apr 2015.
- Tommaso Proietti & Martyna Marczak & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2017. "Euromind‐ D : A Density Estimate of Monthly Gross Domestic Product for the Euro Area," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 683-703, April.
- Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2020.
"Measuring the Effectiveness of US Monetary Policy during the COVID-19 Recession,"
Papers
2007.15419, arXiv.org.
- Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Measuring the effectiveness of US monetary policy during the COVID‐19 recession," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(3), pages 287-297, July.
- Giovanni Ballarin & Petros Dellaportas & Lyudmila Grigoryeva & Marcel Hirt & Sophie van Huellen & Juan-Pablo Ortega, 2022.
"Reservoir Computing for Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data,"
Papers
2211.00363, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Ballarin, Giovanni & Dellaportas, Petros & Grigoryeva, Lyudmila & Hirt, Marcel & van Huellen, Sophie & Ortega, Juan-Pablo, 2024. "Reservoir computing for macroeconomic forecasting with mixed-frequency data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1206-1237.
- Tony Chernis & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2017.
"A dynamic factor model for nowcasting Canadian GDP growth,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 217-234, August.
- Tony Chernis & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2017. "A Dynamic Factor Model for Nowcasting Canadian GDP Growth," Staff Working Papers 17-2, Bank of Canada.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010.
"Real-time macroeconomic monitoring: real activity, inflation, and interactions,"
Working Papers
10-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010. "Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions," NBER Working Papers 15657, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010. "Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions," PIER Working Paper Archive 10-002, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010. "Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 20-24, May.
- Evans, Martin D.D., 2005.
"Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macro Economy,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5270, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martin D. D. Evans, 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macroeconomy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 1(2), September.
- Martin D.D. Evans, 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macro Economy," NBER Working Papers 11064, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Martin D. D. Evans(Georgetown University and NBER), 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-time Estimates of the Macro Economy," Working Papers gueconwpa~05-05-02, Georgetown University, Department of Economics.
- Evans, Martin D, 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macroeconomy," MPRA Paper 831, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Petrella, Ivan & Drechsel, Thomas & Antolin-Diaz, Juan, 2014. "Following the Trend: Tracking GDP when Long-Run Growth is Uncertain," CEPR Discussion Papers 10272, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Konstantin A., KHOLODILIN & Wension Vincent, YAO, 2004. "Business Cycle Turning Points : Mixed-Frequency Data with Structural Breaks," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2004024, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
- Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros & Pilar Poncela, 2010. "Green shoots in the euro area. A real time measure," Working Papers 1026, Banco de España.
- Chauvet, Marcelle & Piger, Jeremy, 2008.
"A Comparison of the Real-Time Performance of Business Cycle Dating Methods,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 26, pages 42-49, January.
- Marcelle Chauvet & Jeremy M. Piger, 2005. "A comparison of the real-time performance of business cycle dating methods," Working Papers 2005-021, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Chauvet, Marcelle & Potter, Simon, 2013. "Forecasting Output," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 141-194, Elsevier.
- Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011.
"U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2011,35, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Foroni, Claudia, 2012. "U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials," CEPR Discussion Papers 8828, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- William A. Barnett & Marcelle Chauvet & Danilo Leiva‐Leon & Liting Su, 2024.
"The Credit‐Card‐Services Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(5), pages 1163-1202, August.
- Barnett, William & Chauvet, Marcelle & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Su, Liting, 2016. "The credit-card-services augmented Divisia monetary aggregates," MPRA Paper 73245, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William A. Barnett & Marcelle Chauvet & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Liting Su, 2016. "The Credit-Card-Services Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201604, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2016.
- Petrella, Ivan & Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco, 2018.
"Structural Scenario Analysis with SVARs,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12579, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Antolín-Díaz, Juan & Petrella, Ivan & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F., 2021. "Structural scenario analysis with SVARs," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 798-815.
- Matteo Luciani & Lorenzo Ricci, 2014.
"Nowcasting Norway,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(4), pages 215-248, December.
- Matteo Luciani & Lorenzo Ricci, 2013. "Nowcasting Norway," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2013-10, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Drew Creal & Bernd Schwaab & Siem Jan Koopman & Andre Lucas, 2011.
"Observation Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
11-042/2/DSF16, Tinbergen Institute.
- Drew Creal & Bernd Schwaab & Siem Jan Koopman & Andr� Lucas, 2014. "Observation-Driven Mixed-Measurement Dynamic Factor Models with an Application to Credit Risk," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 96(5), pages 898-915, December.
- Schwaab, Bernd & Koopman, Siem Jan & Lucas, André & Creal, Drew, 2013. "Observation driven mixed-measurement dynamic factor models with an application to credit risk," Working Paper Series 1626, European Central Bank.
- Kihwan Kim & Hyun Hak Kim & Norman R. Swanson, 2023. "Mixing mixed frequency and diffusion indices in good times and in bad: an assessment based on historical data around the great recession of 2008," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1421-1469, March.
- David de Antonio Liedo, 2014. "Nowcasting Belgium," Working Paper Research 256, National Bank of Belgium.
- Raul Ibarra & Luis M. Gomez-Zamudio, 2017.
"Are Daily Financial Data Useful for Forecasting GDP? Evidence from Mexico,"
Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 173-203, April.
- Ibarra-Ramírez Raúl & Gómez-Zamudio Luis M., 2017. "Are daily financial data useful for forecasting GDP? Evidence from Mexico," Working Papers 2017-17, Banco de México.
- Gómez-Zamudio, Luis M. & Ibarra, Raúl, 2017. "Are daily financial data useful for forecasting GDP? Evidence from Mexico," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123310, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Shang, Yuhuang & Zheng, Tingguo, 2018. "Fitting and forecasting yield curves with a mixed-frequency affine model: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 145-154.
- Abel Rodríguez Tirado & Marcelo Delajara & Federico Hernández Álvarez, 2016. "Nowcasting Mexico’s Short-Term GDP Growth in Real-Time: A Factor Model versus Professional Forecasters," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Fall 2016), pages 167-182, October.
- Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87, March.
- Roberto S. Mariano & Yasutomo Murasawa, 2010. "A Coincident Index, Common Factors, and Monthly Real GDP," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 72(1), pages 27-46, February.
- Kevin Clinton & Marianne Johnson & Mr. Jaromir Benes & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Mr. Troy D Matheson, 2010. "Structural Models in Real Time," IMF Working Papers 2010/056, International Monetary Fund.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2012.
"Are GDP Revisions Predictable? Evidence for Switzerland,"
Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 58(4), pages 299-326.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2012. "Are GDP Revisions Predictable? Evidence for Switzerland," EcoMod2012 4219, EcoMod.
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele, 2024.
"Back to the present: Learning about the euro area through a now-casting model,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 661-686.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Domenico Giannone & Michele Modugno, 2021. "Back to the Present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-casting Model," International Finance Discussion Papers 1313, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Uluceviz, Erhan & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2021.
"Measuring real–financial connectedness in the U.S. economy,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Erhan Uluceviz & Kamil Yilmaz, 2018. "Measuring Real-Financial Connectedness in the U.S. Economy," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1812, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Erhan Uluceviz & Kamil Yilmaz, 2018. "Measuring Real-Financial Connectedness in the U.S. Economy," Working Papers 2018-02, Gebze Technical University, Department of Economics.
- Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2018.
"Bottom-up or direct? Forecasting German GDP in a data-rich environment,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 705-745, March.
- Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2012. "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," Working Papers 2012-16, Swiss National Bank.
- Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2013. "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," IWH Discussion Papers 7/2013, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Lehmann, Robert & Wikman, Ida, 2022.
"Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States,"
MPRA Paper
112642, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Robert Lehmann & Ida Wikman, 2022. "Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States," ifo Working Paper Series 370, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Robert Lehmann & Ida Wikman, 2023. "Quarterly GDP Estimates for the German States: New Data for Business Cycle Analyses and Long-Run Dynamics," CESifo Working Paper Series 10280, CESifo.
- Proietti, Tommaso, 2008. "Estimation of Common Factors under Cross-Sectional and Temporal Aggregation Constraints: Nowcasting Monthly GDP and its Main Components," MPRA Paper 6860, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2023.
"Advances in Nowcasting Economic Activity: The Role of Heterogeneous Dynamics and Fat Tails,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
17800, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Antolín-Díaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas & Petrella, Ivan, 2024. "Advances in nowcasting economic activity: The role of heterogeneous dynamics and fat tails," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(2).
- Oguzhan Cepni & I. Ethem Guney & Norman R. Swanson, 2020. "Forecasting and nowcasting emerging market GDP growth rates: The role of latent global economic policy uncertainty and macroeconomic data surprise factors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 18-36, January.
- Evren Erdogan Cosar & Sevim Kosem & Cagri Sarikaya, 2013. "Do We Really Need Filters In Estimating Output Gap? : Evidence From Turkey," Working Papers 1333, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Kuzin, Vladimir N. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009.
"Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2009,03, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/13, European University Institute.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kuzin, Vladimir, 2009. "Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: An application to German GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 7197, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Raïsa Basselier & David Antonio Liedo & Geert Langenus, 2018. "Nowcasting Real Economic Activity in the Euro Area: Assessing the Impact of Qualitative Surveys," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 1-46, April.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2008. "Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP1," Working Papers 333, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Camacho, Maximo & Martinez-Martin, Jaime, 2015.
"Monitoring the world business cycle,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 617-625.
- Maximo Camacho & Jaime Martinez Martin, 2015. "Monitoring the world business cycle," Working Papers 1506, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
- Maximo Camacho & Jaime Martinez-Martin, 2015. "Monitoring the world business cycle," Globalization Institute Working Papers 228, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Maximo Camacho & Jaime Martinez-Martin, 2015. "Monitoring the world business cycle," Working Papers 1509, Banco de España.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Mario Porqueddu & Fabrizio Venditti, 2016.
"Short-Term GDP Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model With Stochastic Volatility,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 118-127, January.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Mario Porqueddu & Fabrizio Venditti, 2013. "Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 896, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Venditti, Fabrizio & Porqueddu, Mario, 2013. "Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 9334, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gorgi, Paolo & Koopman, Siem Jan & Li, Mengheng, 2019.
"Forecasting economic time series using score-driven dynamic models with mixed-data sampling,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1735-1747.
- Paolo Gorgi & Siem Jan (S.J.) Koopman & Mengheng Li, 2018. "Forecasting economic time series using score-driven dynamic models with mixed-data sampling," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-026/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Daniel Baquero & Manuel Gonzalez-Astudillo, 2018. "A Nowcasting Model for the Growth Rate of Real GDP of Ecuador : Implementing a Time-Varying Intercept," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-044, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Alain Galli & Christian Hepenstrick & Rolf Scheufele, 2017.
"Mixed-frequency models for tracking short-term economic developments in Switzerland,"
Working Papers
2017-02, Swiss National Bank.
- Alain Galli & Christian Hepenstrick & Rolf Scheufele, 2019. "Mixed-Frequency Models for Tracking Short-Term Economic Developments in Switzerland," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(2), pages 151-178, June.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Poncela, Pilar & Camacho, Máximo, 2012.
"Markov-switching dynamic factor models in real time,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
8866, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros & Pilar Poncela, 2012. "Markov-switching dynamic factor models in real time," Working Papers 1205, Banco de España.
- Camacho, Maximo & Perez-Quiros, Gabriel & Poncela, Pilar, 2018. "Markov-switching dynamic factor models in real time," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 598-611.
- Ghirelli, Corinna & Pérez, Javier J. & Urtasun, Alberto, 2021. "The spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty in Latin America on the Spanish economy," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(2).
- Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009. "Makroökonomische Prognosen mit gemischten Frequenzen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(21), pages 22-33, November.
- Daniel Hopp, 2021. "Economic Nowcasting with Long Short-Term Memory Artificial Neural Networks (LSTM)," Papers 2106.08901, arXiv.org.
- Zhang, Wei & He, Jie & Ge, Chanyuan & Xue, Rui, 2022. "Real-time macroeconomic monitoring using mixed frequency data: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2019.
"Dynamic specification tests for dynamic factor models,"
Econometrics Working Papers Archive
2018_07, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Statistica, Informatica, Applicazioni "G. Parenti".
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2013. "Dynamic Specification Tests for Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers wp2013_1306, CEMFI.
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2019. "Dynamic specification tests for dynamic factor models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 325-346, April.
- Beate Schirwitz, 2009. "A comprehensive German business cycle chronology," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 37(2), pages 287-301, October.
- Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018.
"Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
- Rangan Gupta & Jun Ma & Marian Risse & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Common Business Cycles and Volatilities in US States and MSAs: The Role of Economic Uncertainty," Working Papers 201766, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Pablo A. Cuba-Borda & Alexander Mechanick & Andrea Raffo, 2018. "Monitoring the World Economy: A Global Conditions Index," IFDP Notes 2018-06-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Andreini, Paolo & Hasenzagl, Thomas & Senftleben-König, Charlotte & Strohsal, Till, 2020. "Nowcasting German GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 14323, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Katerina Arnostova & David Havrlant & Luboš Rùžièka & Peter Tóth, 2011.
"Short-Term Forecasting of Czech Quarterly GDP Using Monthly Indicators,"
Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 61(6), pages 566-583, December.
- Katerina Arnostova & David Havrlant & Lubos Ruzicka & Peter Toth, 2010. "Short-Term Forecasting of Czech Quarterly GDP Using Monthly Indicators," Working Papers 2010/12, Czech National Bank.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2010.
"Nowcasting,"
Working Papers ECARES
ECARES 2010-021, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta, 2010. "Nowcasting," Working Paper Series 1275, European Central Bank.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Banbura, Marta, 2010. "Nowcasting," CEPR Discussion Papers 7883, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- William A. Barnett & Marcelle Chauvetz & Danilo Leiva-Leonx, 2014.
"Real-Time Nowcasting Nominal GDP Under Structural Break,"
WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS
201313, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2014.
- Barnett, William A. & Chauvet, Marcelle & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2014. "Real-Time Nowcasting Nominal GDP Under Structural Break," MPRA Paper 53699, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ankargren Sebastian & Unosson Måns & Yang Yukai, 2020.
"A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior,"
Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(2), pages 1-41, July.
- Ankargren Sebastian & Unosson Måns & Yang Yukai, 2020. "A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(2), pages 1-41, July.
- Sebastian Ankargren & M{aa}ns Unosson & Yukai Yang, 2019. "A Flexible Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression with a Steady-State Prior," Papers 1911.09151, arXiv.org.
- Brandyn Bok & Daniele Caratelli & Domenico Giannone & Argia M. Sbordone & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018.
"Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data,"
Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 615-643, August.
- Brandyn Bok & Daniele Caratelli & Domenico Giannone & Argia M. Sbordone & Andrea Tambalotti, 2017. "Macroeconomic nowcasting and forecasting with big data," Staff Reports 830, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Giannone, Domenico & Tambalotti, Andrea & Sbordone, Argia & Bok, Brandyn & Caratelli, Daniele, 2018. "Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 12589, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Satoshi Urasawa, 2023. "The Usefulness of High-Frequency Alternative Data to Obtain Nowcasts for Japan’s GDP: Evidence from Credit Card Data," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(2), pages 191-211, September.
- Cecilia Frale, "undated". "Do Surveys Help in Macroeconomic Variables Disaggregation and Estimation?," Working Papers wp2008-2, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Maximo Camacho & Jaime Martíinez-Martin, 2012.
"Real-time forecasting US GDP from small-scale factor models,"
Working Papers
1210, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
- Maximo Camacho & Jaime Martinez-Martin, 2014. "Real-time forecasting US GDP from small-scale factor models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 347-364, August.
- Máximo Camacho & Jaime Martínez-Martín, 2014. "Real-time forecasting us GDP from small-scale factor models," Working Papers 1425, Banco de España.
- Matteo Mogliani & Florens Odendahl, 2024. "Density forecast transformations," Papers 2412.06092, arXiv.org.
- Sentana, Enrique & Diez de los Rios, Antonio, 2007.
"Testing Uncovered Interest Parity: A Continuous-Time Approach,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6516, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Antonio Diez de los Rios & Enrique Sentana, 2011. "Testing Uncovered Interest Parity: A Continuous‐Time Approach," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 52(4), pages 1215-1251, November.
- Antonio Diez de los Rios & Enrique Sentana, 2007. "Testing Uncovered Interest Parity: A Continuous-Time Approach," Staff Working Papers 07-53, Bank of Canada.
- Antonio Diez de los Ríos & Enrique Sentana, 2007. "Testing Uncovered Interest Parity: A Continuous-Time Approach," Working Papers wp2007_0714, CEMFI.
- Bańbura, Marta & Belousova, Irina & Bodnár, Katalin & Tóth, Máté Barnabás, 2023. "Nowcasting employment in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2815, European Central Bank.
- Yasutomo Murasawa, 2016. "The Beveridge–Nelson decomposition of mixed-frequency series," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(4), pages 1415-1441, December.
- Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio & Rodrigues, Claudia Oliveira da Fontoura, 2009. "Um indicador coincidente e antecedente da atividade econômica brasileira," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 695, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Catherine Doz & Peter Fuleky, 2020.
"Dynamic Factor Models,"
Post-Print
halshs-02491811, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Peter Fuleky, 2019. "Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers 2019-4, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
- Catherine Doz & Peter Fuleky, 2019. "Dynamic Factor Models," PSE Working Papers halshs-02262202, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Peter Fuleky, 2019. "Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers halshs-02262202, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Peter Fuleky, 2020. "Dynamic Factor Models," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-02491811, HAL.
- Robert Lehmann & Ida Wikman, 2023. "Eine Analyse der Konjunkturzyklen für die deutschen Bundesländer," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 30(02), pages 15-21, April.
- Barış Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2018.
"Nowcasting the New Turkish GDP,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(2), pages 1083-1089.
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2017. "Nowcasting The New Turkish Gdp," Working Papers 1702, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
- Marozzi, Armando, 2021. "The ECB's tracker: nowcasting the press conferences of the ECB," Working Paper Series 2609, European Central Bank.
- Hasenzagl, Thomas & Pellegrino, Filippo & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Ricco, Giovanni, 2022.
"Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
17111, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," Working Papers 2023-06, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," Working Papers hal-03573080, HAL.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," Papers 2201.05556, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
- Thomas Hasenzagl & Filippo Pellegrino & Lucrezia Reichlin & Giovanni Ricco, 2022. "Monitoring the Economy in Real Time: Trends and Gaps in Real Activity and Prices," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03573080, HAL.
- Corinna Ghirelli & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2020. "Economic policy uncertainty in Latin America: measurement using Spanish newspapers and economic spillovers," Working Papers 2024, Banco de España.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2022.
"Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates,"
Working Papers
22-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2024. "Using stochastic hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 626-640.
- Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Josef Schreiner & Marcel Tirpák & Peter Tóth & Julia Wörz, 2015. "Bridging the information gap: small-scale nowcasting models of GDP growth for selected CESEE countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 56-75.
- Luca Barbaglia & Lorenzo Frattarolo & Niko Hauzenberger & Dominik Hirschbuehl & Florian Huber & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer & Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli, 2024. "Nowcasting economic activity in European regions using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model," Papers 2401.10054, arXiv.org.
- Michal Franta & David Havrlant & Marek Rusnak, 2014.
"Forecasting Czech GDP Using Mixed-Frequency Data Models,"
Working Papers
2014/08, Czech National Bank.
- Michal Franta & David Havrlant & Marek Rusnák, 2016. "Forecasting Czech GDP Using Mixed-Frequency Data Models," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 12(2), pages 165-185, December.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2008.
"Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2008/16, European University Institute.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2008. "Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 6708, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2007. "Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,34, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Poncela Blanco, Maria Pilar, 2020.
"Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: this is not just another survey,"
DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS
30644, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Poncela, Pilar & Ruiz, Esther & Miranda, Karen, 2021. "Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: This is not just another survey," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1399-1425.
- Joan Paredes & Javier J. Pérez & Gabriel Perez-Quirós, 2015.
"Fiscal targets. A guide to forecasters?,"
Working Papers
1508, Banco de España.
- Joan Paredes & Javier J. Pérez & Gabriel Perez Quiros, 2023. "Fiscal targets. A guide to forecasters?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 472-492, June.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Pérez, Javier J & Paredes, Joan, 2015. "Fiscal targets. A guide to forecasters?," CEPR Discussion Papers 10553, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Pérez Quirós, Gabriel & Pérez, Javier J. & Paredes, Joan, 2015. "Fiscal targets. A guide to forecasters?," Working Paper Series 1834, European Central Bank.
- Tóth, Peter, 2017.
"Nowcasting Slovak GDP by a Small Dynamic Factor Model,"
MPRA Paper
77245, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tóth, Peter, 2014. "Malý dynamický faktorový model na krátkodobé prognózovanie slovenského HDP [A Small Dynamic Factor Model for the Short-Term Forecasting of Slovak GDP]," MPRA Paper 63713, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Daniela Bragoli & Jack Fosten, 2016.
"Nowcasting Indian GDP,"
University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series
2016-06, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
- Daniela Bragoli & Jack Fosten, 2018. "Nowcasting Indian GDP," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(2), pages 259-282, April.
- Qian, Hang, 2016. "A computationally efficient method for vector autoregression with mixed frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 433-437.
- Peter Fuleky & Carl, 2013.
"Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends,"
Working Papers
2013-5, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
- Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013. "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers 201316, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013. "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers 201305, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- Emilian DOBRESCU, 2020. "Self-fulfillment degree of economic expectations within an integrated space: The European Union case study," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 5-32, December.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2018.
"Machine Learning Macroeconometrics: A Primer,"
Working Paper series
18-30, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2018. "Machine Learning Macroeconometrics A Primer," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 22666, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Kuzin, Vladimir N. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009. "MIDAS versus mixed-frequency VAR: nowcasting GDP in the euro area," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,07, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aristeidis Raftapostolos, 2025. "Monthly GDP Growth Estimates for the U.S. States," Papers 2501.04607, arXiv.org.
- Teresa Leal & Diego Pedregal & Javier Pérez, 2011. "Short-term monitoring of the Spanish government balance," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 2(1), pages 97-119, March.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Cimadomo, Jacopo, 2015.
"Combining time-variation and mixed-frequencies: an analysis of government spending multipliers in Italy,"
Working Paper Series
1856, European Central Bank.
- Antonello D’Agostino & Jacopo Cimadomo, 2015. "Combining time-variation and mixed-frequencies: an analysis of government spending multipliers in Italy," Working Papers 7, European Stability Mechanism.
- Jacopo Cimadomo & Antonello D'Agostino, 2016. "Combining Time Variation and Mixed Frequencies: an Analysis of Government Spending Multipliers in Italy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1276-1290, November.
- Konstantin A. KHOLODILIN, 2001. "Markov-Switching Common Dynamic Factor Model with Mixed-Frequency Data," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2001020, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
- Grassi, Stefano & Proietti, Tommaso & Frale, Cecilia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mazzi, Gianluigi, 2015.
"EuroMInd-C: A disaggregate monthly indicator of economic activity for the Euro area and member countries,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 712-738.
- Cecilia Frale & Stefano Grassi & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gianluigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2013. "EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro Area and member countries," CEIS Research Paper 287, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 01 Oct 2013.
- Blasques, F. & Koopman, S.J. & Mallee, M. & Zhang, Z., 2016. "Weighted maximum likelihood for dynamic factor analysis and forecasting with mixed frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 405-417.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2015.
"The franc shock and Swiss GDP: How long does it take to start feeling the pain?,"
KOF Working papers
15-373, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2016. "The franc shock and Swiss GDP: how long does it take to start feeling the pain?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(36), pages 3432-3441, August.
- Vegard H ghaug Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2018.
"Business cycle narratives,"
Working Papers
No 6/2018, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2019. "Business Cycle Narratives," CESifo Working Paper Series 7468, CESifo.
- Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2018. "Business cycle narratives," Working Paper 2018/3, Norges Bank.
- Cecilia Frale, Serena Teobaldo, Marco Cacciotti, Alessandra Caretta, 2013. "A Quarterly Measure Of Potential Output In The New European Fiscal Framework," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 67(2), pages 181-197, April-Jun.
- Niu, Linlin & Xu, Xiu & Chen, Ying, 2015.
"An adaptive approach to forecasting three key macroeconomic variables for transitional China,"
BOFIT Discussion Papers
12/2015, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Niu, Linlin & Xu, Xiu & Chen, Ying, 2015. "An adaptive approach to forecasting three key macroeconomic variables for transitional China," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2015-023, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Niu, Linlin & Xu, Xiu & Chen, Ying, 2017. "An adaptive approach to forecasting three key macroeconomic variables for transitional China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 201-213.
- Martyna Marczak & Víctor Gómez, 2017.
"Monthly US business cycle indicators: a new multivariate approach based on a band-pass filter,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1379-1408, June.
- Marczak, Martyna & Gómez, Victor, 2013. "Monthly US business cycle indicators: A new multivariate approach based on a band-pass filter," FZID Discussion Papers 64-2013, University of Hohenheim, Center for Research on Innovation and Services (FZID).
- Valentina Aprigliano & Alessandro Borin & Francesco Paolo Conteduca & Simone Emiliozzi & Marco Flaccadoro & Sabina Marchetti & Stefania Villa, 2021. "Forecasting Italian GDP growth with epidemiological data," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 664, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Irma Hindrayanto & Siem Jan Koopman & Jasper de Winter, 2014. "Nowcasting and Forecasting Economic Growth in the Euro Area using Principal Components," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-113/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Kenichiro McAlinn, 2021. "Mixed‐frequency Bayesian predictive synthesis for economic nowcasting," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(5), pages 1143-1163, November.
- Necmettin Alpay Koçak, 2020. "The Role of Ecb Speeches in Nowcasting German Gdp," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2020(2), pages 05-20.
- Eraslan, Sercan & Reif, Magnus, 2023. "A latent weekly GDP indicator for Germany," Technical Papers 08/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Kajal Lahiri & George Monokroussos, 2011.
"Nowcasting US GDP: The role of ISM Business Surveys,"
Discussion Papers
11-01, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
- Lahiri, Kajal & Monokroussos, George, 2013. "Nowcasting US GDP: The role of ISM business surveys," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 644-658.
- Falk Brauning & Siem Jan Koopman, 2012.
"Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables using Collapsed Dynamic Factor Analysis,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
12-042/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Bräuning, Falk & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2014. "Forecasting macroeconomic variables using collapsed dynamic factor analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 572-584.
- Hindrayanto, Irma & Koopman, Siem Jan & de Winter, Jasper, 2016. "Forecasting and nowcasting economic growth in the euro area using factor models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1284-1305.
- Krist'of N'emeth & D'aniel Hadh'azi, 2024. "Generating density nowcasts for U.S. GDP growth with deep learning: Bayes by Backprop and Monte Carlo dropout," Papers 2405.15579, arXiv.org.
- Marie Adanero-Donderis & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2009.
"Un indicateur probabiliste du cycle d’accélération pour l’économie française,"
Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 189(3), pages 95-114.
- Marie Adanero-Donderis & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2009. "Un indicateur probabiliste du cycle d'accélération pour l'économie française," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(3), pages 95-114.
- Franky Juliano Galeano-Ramírez & Nicolás Martínez-Cortés & Carlos D. Rojas-Martínez, 2021. "Nowcasting Colombian Economic Activity: DFM and Factor-MIDAS approaches," Borradores de Economia 1168, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Bragoli, Daniela, 2017. "Now-casting the Japanese economy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 390-402.
- Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio, 2015.
"Estimating Brazilian monthly GDP: a state-space approach,"
FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
774, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalacio, 2016. "Estimating Brazilian Monthly GDP: a State-Space Approach," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 70(1), March.
- Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio, 2013. "Estimating Brazilian Monthly GDP: a State-Space Approach," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 740, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio, 2014. "Estimating brazilian monthly GDP: a state-space approach," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 757, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Matteo Iacopini & Aubrey Poon & Luca Rossini & Dan Zhu, 2022.
"Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Quantile Vector Autoregression: Eliciting tail risks of Monthly US GDP,"
Papers
2209.01910, arXiv.org.
- Iacopini, Matteo & Poon, Aubrey & Rossini, Luca & Zhu, Dan, 2023. "Bayesian mixed-frequency quantile vector autoregression: Eliciting tail risks of monthly US GDP," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
- Tomas Adam & Filip Novotny, 2018. "Assessing the External Demand of the Czech Economy: Nowcasting Foreign GDP Using Bridge Equations," Working Papers 2018/18, Czech National Bank.
- Glocker, Christian & Kaniovski, Serguei, 2020. "Structural modeling and forecasting using a cluster of dynamic factor models," MPRA Paper 101874, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hopp Daniel, 2022. "Economic Nowcasting with Long Short-Term Memory Artificial Neural Networks (LSTM)," Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 38(3), pages 847-873, September.
- Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2016.
"Words are the new numbers: A newsy coincident index of business cycles,"
Working Papers
No 4/2016, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2016. "Words are the new numbers: A newsy coincident index of business cycles," Working Paper 2016/21, Norges Bank.
- Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2020. "Words are the New Numbers: A Newsy Coincident Index of the Business Cycle," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 393-409, April.
- Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2009. "Ñ-STING: España Short Term INdicator of Growth," Working Papers 0912, Banco de España.
- Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2014. "A comparison of mixed frequency approaches for nowcasting Euro area macroeconomic aggregates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 554-568.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Proietti, Tommaso & Frale, Cecilia & Mazzi, Gian Luigi, 2008.
"A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7007, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2008. "A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/32, European University Institute.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Tørres G. Trovik, 2008.
"Nowcasting Norwegian GDP: The role of asset prices in a small open economy,"
Working Paper
2007/09, Norges Bank.
- Knut Aastveit & Tørres Trovik, 2012. "Nowcasting norwegian GDP: the role of asset prices in a small open economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 95-119, February.
- Van Nieuwenhuyze, Christophe & Benk, Szilard & Rünstler, Gerhard & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Den Reijer, Ard & Jakaitiene, Audrone & Jelonek, Piotr & Rua, António & Ruth, Karsten & Barhoumi, Karim, 2008.
"Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise,"
Occasional Paper Series
84, European Central Bank.
- G. Rünstler & K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2008. "Short-Term Forecasting of GDP Using Large Monthly Datasets: A Pseudo Real-Time Forecast Evaluation Exercise," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 1, Bank of Lithuania.
- K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze & G. Rünstler, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working Paper Research 133, National Bank of Belgium.
- Barhoumi, K. & R nstler, G. & Cristadoro, R. & Den Reijer, A. & Jakaitiene, A. & Jelonek, P. & Rua, A. & Ruth, K. & Benk, S. & Van Nieuwenhuyze, C., 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working papers 215, Banque de France.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2020.
"Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index,"
Staff Reports
920, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock & Mihir Trivedi, 2022. "Measuring real activity using a weekly economic index," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 667-687, June.
- Daniel J. Lewis & Karel Mertens & James H. Stock, 2020. "Measuring Real Activity Using a Weekly Economic Index," Working Papers 2011, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 02 Mar 2021.
- Fondeur, Y. & Karamé, F., 2013.
"Can Google data help predict French youth unemployment?,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 117-125.
- Y. Fondeur & F. Karamé, 2013. "Can Google data help predict French youth unemployment?," Post-Print hal-02297071, HAL.
- Frédéric Karamé & Yannick Fondeur, 2012. "Can Google Data Help Predict French Youth Unemployment?," Documents de recherche 12-03, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
- Bhaghoe, Sailesh & Ooft, Gavin, 2021. "Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth in Suriname with Factor-MIDAS and Mixed-Frequency VAR Models," Studies in Applied Economics 176, The Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise.
- Cleiton Guollo Taufemback, 2023. "Asymptotic Behavior of Temporal Aggregation in Mixed‐Frequency Datasets," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(4), pages 894-909, August.
- Sebastian Ankargren & Paulina Jon'eus, 2019.
"Simulation smoothing for nowcasting with large mixed-frequency VARs,"
Papers
1907.01075, arXiv.org.
- Ankargren, Sebastian & Jonéus, Paulina, 2021. "Simulation smoothing for nowcasting with large mixed-frequency VARs," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 97-113.
- Yemba, Boniface P. & Otunuga, Olusegun Michael & Tang, Biyan & Biswas, Nabaneeta, 2023. "Nowcasting of the Short-run Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate with Economic Fundamentals and Time-varying Parameters," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Clark, Todd E. & Ganics, Gergely & Mertens, Elmar, 2024.
"Constructing fan charts from the ragged edge of SPF forecasts,"
Discussion Papers
38/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2022. "Constructing Fan Charts from the Ragged Edge of SPF Forecasts," Working Papers 22-36, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2024. "Constructing fan charts from the ragged edge of SPF forecasts," Working Papers 2429, Banco de España.
- Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2024. "Constructing Fan Charts from the Ragged Edge of SPF Forecasts," Working Papers 22-36R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Poncela, Pilar & Camacho, Máximo, 2012.
"Green Shoots and Double Dips in the Euro Area. A Real Time Measure,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
8896, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Camacho, Maximo & Perez Quiros, Gabriel & Poncela, Pilar, 2014. "Green shoots and double dips in the euro area: A real time measure," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 520-535.
- Heinrich, Markus, 2020. "Does the Current State of the Business Cycle matter for Real-Time Forecasting? A Mixed-Frequency Threshold VAR approach," EconStor Preprints 219312, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Barnett, William A. & Chauvet, Marcelle & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2016. "Real-time nowcasting of nominal GDP with structural breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 191(2), pages 312-324.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Segnon, Mawuli, 2016.
"The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions: A mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach,"
Economics Discussion Papers
2016-14, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli Segnon, 2015. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting U.S. Recessions: A Mixed-Frequency Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201558, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Segnon, Mawuli, 2016. "The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions: A mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-20.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Camacho, Máximo, 2009.
"Introducing the Euro-STING: Short-Term Indicator of Euro Area Growth,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7343, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2010. "Introducing the euro-sting: Short-term indicator of euro area growth," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 663-694.
- Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2008. "Introducing the EURO-STING: Short Term INdicator of Euro Area Growth," Working Papers 0807, Banco de España.
- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2023.
"High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2023. "High-Dimensional Conditionally Gaussian State Space Models with Missing Data," Papers 2302.03172, arXiv.org.
- Andres Sagner, 2020. "High Dimensional Quantile Factor Analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 886, Central Bank of Chile.
- Hauber, Philipp, 2022. "Real-time nowcasting with sparse factor models," EconStor Preprints 251551, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
- Modugno, Michele, 2011.
"Nowcasting inflation using high frequency data,"
Working Paper Series
1324, European Central Bank.
- Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting inflation using high frequency data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 664-675.
- Gabriel Pérez-Quiros & Maximo Camacho & Pilar Poncela, 2010. "Green Shoots? Where, when and how?," Working Papers 2010-04, FEDEA.
- Rocio Alvarez & Maximo Camacho & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2012.
"Finite sample performance of small versus large scale dynamic factor models,"
Working Papers
1204, Banco de España.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Camacho, Máximo & Alvarez, Rocio, 2012. "Finite sample performance of small versus large scale dynamic factor models," CEPR Discussion Papers 8867, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Eraslan, Sercan & Götz, Thomas, 2021. "An unconventional weekly economic activity index for Germany," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
- Monica Defend & Aleksey Min & Lorenzo Portelli & Franz Ramsauer & Francesco Sandrini & Rudi Zagst, 2021. "Quantifying Drivers of Forecasted Returns Using Approximate Dynamic Factor Models for Mixed-Frequency Panel Data," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-35, February.
- Schumacher, Christian & Breitung, Jörg, 2008. "Real-time forecasting of German GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 386-398.
- Chikamatsu, Kyosuke & Hirakata, Naohisa & Kido, Yosuke & Otaka, Kazuki, 2021. "Mixed-frequency approaches to nowcasting GDP: An application to Japan," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
- Rueben Ellul & Germano Ruisi, 2022. "Nowcasting the Maltese economy with a dynamic factor model," CBM Working Papers WP/02/2022, Central Bank of Malta.
- Eraslan, Sercan & Schröder, Maximilian, 2019. "Nowcasting GDP with a large factor model space," Discussion Papers 41/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Cem Cakmakli & Hamza Demircan, 2020. "Using Survey Information for Improving the Density Nowcasting of US GDP with a Focus on Predictive Performance during Covid-19 Pandemic," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2016, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Modugno, Michele & Soybilgen, Barış & Yazgan, Ege, 2016.
"Nowcasting Turkish GDP and news decomposition,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1369-1384.
- Michele Modugno & Bariş Soybilgen & M. Ege Yazgan, 2016. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP and News Decomposition," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-044, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Miroslav Klucik, 2019. "Tracking the Course of the Economy (Nowcasting of basic macroeconomic indicators of Slovakia)," Working Papers Working Paper No. 1/2019, Council for Budget Responsibility.
- William A. Barnett & Marcelle Chauvet & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Liting Su, 2016.
"Nowcasting Nominal GDP with the Credit-Card Augmented Divisia Monetary Aggregates,"
WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS
201605, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2016.
- Barnett, William & Chauvet, Marcelle & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Su, Liting, 2016. "Nowcasting nominal gdp with the credit-card augmented Divisia monetary aggregates," MPRA Paper 73246, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020.
"Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model,"
OECD Statistics Working Papers
2020/01, OECD Publishing.
- Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020. "Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An Extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," PSE Working Papers halshs-02443364, HAL.
- Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020. "Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An Extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," Working Papers halshs-02443364, HAL.
- Donato Ceci & Orest Prifti & Andrea Silvestrini, 2024. "Nowcasting Italian GDP growth: a Factor MIDAS approach," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1446, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Conefrey, Thomas & Liebermann, Joelle, 2013. "A Monthly Business Cycle Indicator for Ireland," Economic Letters 03/EL/13, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Rünstler, Gerhard & Bańbura, Marta, 2007.
"A look into the factor model black box: publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP,"
Working Paper Series
751, European Central Bank.
- Banbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346, April.
- Bańbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346.
- Elizondo Rocío, 2012. "Monthly GDP estimates based on the IGAE," Working Papers 2012-11, Banco de México.
- Bragoli, Daniela & Modugno, Michele, 2017.
"A now-casting model for Canada: Do U.S. variables matter?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 786-800.
- Daniela Bragoli & Michele Modugno, 2016. "A Nowcasting Model for Canada: Do U.S. Variables Matter?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Klaus Friesenbichler & Christian Glocker & Werner Hölzl & Philipp Wegmüller, 2018. "Ein neues Modell für die kurzfristige Prognose der Herstellung von Waren und der Ausrüstungsinvestitionen," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 91(9), pages 651-661, September.
- Lu, Wanbo & Liu, Qibo & Wang, Jie, 2024. "Effect of electricity policy uncertainty and carbon emission prices on electricity demand in China based on mixed-frequency data models," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Nikoleta Anesti & Ana Beatriz Galvão & Silvia Miranda‐Agrippino, 2022. "Uncertain Kingdom: Nowcasting Gross Domestic Product and its revisions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 42-62, January.
- Porshakov, A. & Ponomarenko, A. & Sinyakov, A., 2016.
"Nowcasting and Short-Term Forecasting of Russian GDP with a Dynamic Factor Model,"
Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 30(2), pages 60-76.
- Alexey Porshakov & Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko & Andrey Sinyakov, 2015. "Nowcasting and Short-Term Forecasting of Russian GDP with a Dynamic Factor Model," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps2, Bank of Russia.
- Porshakov, Alexey & Deryugina, Elena & Ponomarenko, Alexey & Sinyakov, Andrey, 2015. "Nowcasting and short-term forecasting of Russian GDP with a dynamic factor model," BOFIT Discussion Papers 19/2015, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Camacho, Maximo & Perez-Quiros, Gabriel & Pacce, Matías, 2020.
"Spillover effects in international business cycles,"
Working Paper Series
2484, European Central Bank.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Camacho, Máximo & Pacce, Matias Jose, 2021. "Spillover Effects in International Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 15787, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Máximo Camacho & Matías Pacce & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2020. "Spillover effects in international business cycles," Working Papers 2034, Banco de España.
- Eraslan, Sercan & Schröder, Maximilian, 2023. "Nowcasting GDP with a pool of factor models and a fast estimation algorithm," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1460-1476.
- Lin, Jiahe & Michailidis, George, 2024. "A multi-task encoder-dual-decoder framework for mixed frequency data prediction," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 942-957.
- Alessandro Giovannelli & Marco Lippi & Tommaso Proietti, 2023.
"Band-Pass Filtering with High-Dimensional Time Series,"
CEIS Research Paper
559, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 15 Jun 2023.
- Alessandro Giovannelli & Marco Lippi & Tommaso Proietti, 2023. "Band-Pass Filtering with High-Dimensional Time Series," Papers 2305.06618, arXiv.org.
- Konstantin Kuck & Karsten Schweikert, 2021. "Forecasting Baden‐Württemberg's GDP growth: MIDAS regressions versus dynamic mixed‐frequency factor models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(5), pages 861-882, August.
- Alvarez, Rocio & Camacho, Maximo & Perez-Quiros, Gabriel, 2016. "Aggregate versus disaggregate information in dynamic factor models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 680-694.
- Hagher Ben Rhomdhane & Brahim Mehdi Benlallouna, 2022. "Nowcasting real GDP in Tunisia using large datasets and mixed-frequency models," IHEID Working Papers 02-2022, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Aaron G. Grech & Reuben Ellul, 2021. "Are the European Commission’s Business and Consumer Survey Results Coincident Indicators for Maltese Economic Activity?," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 91-108, April.
- Jürgen Bierbaumer-Polly & Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Thomas Url, 2019. "Monitoring and Nowcasting Sustainable Development Goals. A Case Study for Austria," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 66635, August.
- Joao Valle e Azevedo & Siem Jan Koopman & Antonio Rua, 2003.
"Tracking Growth and the Business Cycle: a Stochastic Common Cycle Model for the Euro Area,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
03-069/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- António Rua & João Valle e Azevedo & Siem Jan Koopman, 2003. "Tracking Growth and the Business Cycle: a Stochastic Common Cycle Model for the Euro Area," Working Papers w200316, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2010. "Factor MIDAS for Nowcasting and Forecasting with Ragged‐Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 72(4), pages 518-550, August.
- Neville Francis, 2012. "The Low-Frequency Impact of Daily Monetary Policy Shock," 2012 Meeting Papers 198, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Danilo Leiva-Leon & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós & Eyno Rots, 2020.
"Real-Time Weakness of the Global Economy: A First Assessment of the Coronavirus Crisis,"
MNB Working Papers
2020/4, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
- Danilo Leiva-Leon & Gabriel Perez-Quiros & Eyno Rots, 2020. "Real-time weakness of the global economy: a first assessment of the coronavirus crisis," Working Papers 2015, Banco de España.
- Perez-Quiros, Gabriel & Rots, Eyno & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2020. "Real-time weakness of the global economy: a first assessment of the coronavirus crisis," Working Paper Series 2381, European Central Bank.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Leiva-León, Danilo & Rots, Eyno, 2020. "Real-Time Weakness of the Global Economy: A First Assessment of the Coronavirus Crisis," CEPR Discussion Papers 14484, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alain Galli, 2018.
"Which Indicators Matter? Analyzing the Swiss Business Cycle Using a Large-Scale Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model,"
Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(2), pages 179-218, November.
- Alain Galli, 2017. "Which indicators matter? Analyzing the Swiss business cycle using a large-scale mixed-frequency dynamic factor model," Working Papers 2017-08, Swiss National Bank.
- Beate Schirwitz, 2013. "Business Fluctuations, Job Flows and Trade Unions - Dynamics in the Economy," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 47, March.
- Francisco Blasques & Siem Jan Koopman & Max Mallee, 2014. "Low Frequency and Weighted Likelihood Solutions for Mixed Frequency Dynamic Factor Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-105/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2014. "Mixed frequency structural VARs," Working Paper 2014/01, Norges Bank.
- Samuel N. Cohen & Silvia Lui & Will Malpass & Giulia Mantoan & Lars Nesheim & 'Aureo de Paula & Andrew Reeves & Craig Scott & Emma Small & Lingyi Yang, 2023. "Nowcasting with signature methods," Papers 2305.10256, arXiv.org.
- Juan Pablo Cote-Barón & Karen L. Pulido-Mahecha & Nicol Valeria Rodríguez-Rodríguez & Carlos D. Rojas-Martínez, 2023. "El ISAE: Un Indicador para Monitorear la Actividad Económica Colombiana en Alta Frecuencia," Borradores de Economia 1225, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2021. "Gauging the Effect of Influential Observations on Measures of Relative Forecast Accuracy in a Post-COVID-19 Era: Application to Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth," Working Papers 2021/01, Latvijas Banka.
- Cecilia Frale & Valentina Raponi, 2011. "Revisions in ocial data and forecasting," Working Papers LuissLab 1194, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
- Edoardo Otranto, 2005. "Extraction of Common Signal from Series with Different Frequency," Econometrics 0502011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William Barcelona & Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Jasper Hoek & Eva Van Leemput, 2022. "What Happens in China Does Not Stay in China," International Finance Discussion Papers 1360, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Jennifer Castle & David Hendry & Oleg Kitov, 2013. "Forecasting and Nowcasting Macroeconomic Variables: A Methodological Overview," Economics Series Working Papers 674, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Ángel Cuevas & Ramiro Ledo & Enrique M. Quilis, 2021. "Seasonal adjustment of the Spanish sales daily data," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 12(4), pages 687-708, December.
- Davor Kunovac & Borna Špalat, 2014. "Nowcasting GDP Using Available Monthly Indicators," Working Papers 39, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
- Eraslan, Sercan & Götz, Thomas, 2020. "An unconventional weekly economic activity index for Germany," Technical Papers 02/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Danilo Leiva‐León & Gabriel Perez Quiros & Eyno Rots, 2024. "Real‐time weakness of the global economy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 813-832, August.
- Stock, J.H. & Watson, M.W., 2016. "Dynamic Factor Models, Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressions, and Structural Vector Autoregressions in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 415-525, Elsevier.
- Thomas Walther & Lanouar Charfeddine & Tony Klein, 2018.
"Oil Price Changes and U.S. Real GDP Growth: Is this Time Different?,"
Working Papers on Finance
1816, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
- Charfeddine, Lanouar & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas, 2018. "Oil Price Changes and U.S. Real GDP Growth: Is this Time Different?," QBS Working Paper Series 2018/03, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2022.
"Probabilistic Quantile Factor Analysis,"
Papers
2212.10301, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Probabilistic Quantile Factor Analysis," Working Papers No 05/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Keeney, Mary & Kennedy, Bernard & Liebermann, Joelle, 2012. "The value of hard and soft data for short-term forecasting of GDP," Economic Letters 11/EL/12, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Emanuele Bacchiocchi & Andrea Bastianin & Alessandro Missale & Eduardo Rossi, 2018.
"Structural analysis with mixed-frequency data: A MIDAS-SVAR model of US capital flows,"
Papers
1802.00793, arXiv.org.
- Emanuele BACCHIOCCHI & Andrea BASTIANIN & Alessandro MISSALE & Eduardo ROSSI, 2016. "Structural Analysis With Mixed Frequency: Monetary Policy, Uncertainty And Gross Capital Flows," Departmental Working Papers 2016-11, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
- Bacchiocchi, Emanuele & Bastianin, Andrea & Missale, Alessandro & Rossi, Eduardo, 2016. "Structural analysis with mixed frequencies: monetary policy, uncertainty and gross capital flows," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2016-04, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
- Sebastian Ankargren & Måns Unosson & Yukai Yang, 2018. "A mixed-frequency Bayesian vector autoregression with a steady-state prior," CREATES Research Papers 2018-32, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- González-Astudillo, Manuel & Baquero, Daniel, 2019. "A nowcasting model for Ecuador: Implementing a time-varying mean output growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 250-263.
- Roberto S. Mariano & Yasutomo Murasawa, 2004.
"Constructing a Coincident Index of Business Cycles without Assuming a One-factor Model,"
Working Papers
22-2004, Singapore Management University, School of Economics, revised Oct 2004.
- Yasutomo Murasawa & Roberto S. Mariano, 2004. "Constructing a Coincident Index of Business Cycles Without Assuming a One-Factor Model," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 710, Econometric Society.
- Alain Kabundi & Asi Mbelu, 2017.
"Estimating a timevarying financial conditions index for South Africa,"
Working Papers
8008, South African Reserve Bank.
- Alain Kabundi & Asithandile Mbelu, 2021. "Estimating a time-varying financial conditions index for South Africa," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 1817-1844, April.
- Tommaso Proietti & Filippo Moauro, 2006.
"Dynamic factor analysis with non‐linear temporal aggregation constraints,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 55(2), pages 281-300, April.
- Tommaso Proietti & Filippo Moauro, 2004. "Dynamic Factor Analysis with Nonlinear Temporal Aggregation Constraints," Econometrics 0401003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Koki Kyo & Hideo Noda & Genshiro Kitagawa, 2022. "Co-movement of Cyclical Components Approach to Construct a Coincident Index of Business Cycles," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(1), pages 101-127, March.
- Leippold, Markus & Yang, Hanlin, 2019. "Particle filtering, learning, and smoothing for mixed-frequency state-space models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 25-41.
- Hecq, Alain & Goetz, Thomas, 2018.
"Granger causality testing in mixed-frequency Vars with possibly (co)integrated processes,"
MPRA Paper
87746, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Thomas B. Götz & Alain W. Hecq, 2019. "Granger Causality Testing in Mixed‐Frequency VARs with Possibly (Co)Integrated Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(6), pages 914-935, November.
- Troy D. Matheson, 2014.
"New indicators for tracking growth in real time,"
OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2013(2), pages 51-71.
- Mr. Troy D Matheson, 2011. "New Indicators for Tracking Growth in Real Time," IMF Working Papers 2011/043, International Monetary Fund.
- Mr. Troy D Matheson, 2013. "The Global Financial Crisis: An Anatomy of Global Growth," IMF Working Papers 2013/076, International Monetary Fund.
- Maria A. Arias & Charles S. Gascon & David E. Rapach, 2014.
"Metro Business Cycles,"
Working Papers
2014-46, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Arias, Maria A. & Gascon, Charles S. & Rapach, David E., 2016. "Metro business cycles," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 90-108.
- Markus Leippold & Hanlin Yang, 2023. "Mixed‐frequency predictive regressions with parameter learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(8), pages 1955-1972, December.
- Foroni, Claudia & Guérin, Pierre & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2018.
"Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 774-787.
- Claudia Foroni & Pierre Guérin & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables," Working Paper 2015/13, Norges Bank.
- Gian Luigi Mazzi & James Mitchell & Gaetana Montana, 2014. "Density Nowcasts and Model Combination: Nowcasting Euro-Area GDP Growth over the 2008–09 Recession," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(2), pages 233-256, April.
- Hager Ben Romdhane, 2021. "Nowcasting in Tunisia using large datasets and mixed frequency models," IHEID Working Papers 11-2021, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif, 2018. "Forecasting using mixed-frequency VARs with time-varying parameters," ifo Working Paper Series 273, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Klaus Abberger & Michael Graff & Boriss Siliverstovs & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2014. "The KOF Economic Barometer, Version 2014," KOF Working papers 14-353, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Raquel Nadal Cesar Gonçalves, 2022. "Nowcasting Brazilian GDP with Electronic Payments Data," Working Papers Series 564, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Brave, Scott A. & Butters, R. Andrew & Justiniano, Alejandro, 2019. "Forecasting economic activity with mixed frequency BVARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1692-1707.
- Marco Cacciotti & Cecilia Frale & Serena Teobaldo, 2013. "A new methodology for a quarterly measure of the output gap," Working Papers 6, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Gonzalo Echavarría M. & Wildo González P, 2011. "Un Modelo de Factores Dinámicos de Pequeña Escala para el Imacec," Notas de Investigación Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 14(2), pages 109-118, August.
- Takashi Nakazawa, 2022. "Constructing GDP Nowcasting Models Using Alternative Data," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 22-E-9, Bank of Japan.
- Erhan Uluceviz & Kamil Yilmaz, 2020. "Real-financial connectedness in the Swiss economy," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 156(1), pages 1-20, December.
- Albu, Lucian Liviu, 2008. "A Model to Estimate the Composite Index of Economic Activity in Romania – IEF-RO," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(2), pages 44-50, June.
- Lombardi, Marco J. & Maier, Philipp, 2011. "Forecasting economic growth in the euro area during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Working Paper Series 1379, European Central Bank.
- Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2016.
"Determinants of Consumer Sentiment over Business Cycles: Evidence from the U.S. Surveys of Consumers,"
Working Papers
2016-14, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2016.
- Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2016. "Determinants of Consumer Sentiment Over Business Cycles: Evidence from the US Surveys of Consumers," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 12(2), pages 187-215, December.
- Issler, Joao Victor & Notini, Hilton & Rodrigues, Claudia & Soares, Ana Flávia, 2013. "Constructing coincident indices of economic activity for the Latin American economy," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(1), April.
- Michael Zhemkov, 2022. "Assessment of Monthly GDP Growth Using Temporal Disaggregation Methods," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(2), pages 79-104, June.
- Dahlhaus, Tatjana & Guénette, Justin-Damien & Vasishtha, Garima, 2017.
"Nowcasting BRIC+M in real time,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 915-935.
- Tatjana Dahlhaus & Justin-Damien Guénette & Garima Vasishtha, 2015. "Nowcasting BRIC+M in Real Time," Staff Working Papers 15-38, Bank of Canada.
- Seong, Byeongchan, 2020. "Smoothing and forecasting mixed-frequency time series with vector exponential smoothing models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 463-468.
- Byeongchan Seong & Sung K. Ahn & Peter Zadrozny, 2007. "Cointegration Analysis with Mixed-Frequency Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 1939, CESifo.
- Pablo Duarte & Bernd Süssmuth, 2014. "Robust Implementation of a Parsimonious Dynamic Factor Model to Nowcast GDP," CESifo Working Paper Series 4574, CESifo.
- Agne Reklaite, 2011. "Coincident, leading and recession indexes for the Lithuanian economy," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 11(1), pages 91-108, July.
- J. Isaac Miller, 2010. "Cointegrating regressions with messy regressors and an application to mixed‐frequency series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 255-277, July.
- Marcos Bujosa & Antonio García‐Ferrer & Aránzazu de Juan & Antonio Martín‐Arroyo, 2020. "Evaluating early warning and coincident indicators of business cycles using smooth trends," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 1-17, January.
- Tommaso Proietti & Alessandro Giovannelli, 2020.
"Nowcasting Monthly GDP with Big Data: a Model Averaging Approach,"
CEIS Research Paper
482, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 12 May 2020.
- Tommaso Proietti & Alessandro Giovannelli, 2021. "Nowcasting monthly GDP with big data: A model averaging approach," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(2), pages 683-706, April.
- Leiva-Leon Danilo, 2014.
"Real vs. nominal cycles: a multistate Markov-switching bi-factor approach,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(5), pages 557-580, December.
- Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2013. "Real vs. Nominal Cycles: A Multistate Markov-Switching Bi-Factor Approach," MPRA Paper 54456, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- George Kapetanios & Fotis Papailias, 2018. "Big Data & Macroeconomic Nowcasting: Methodological Review," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-12, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun & Mahmut Gunay, 2013. "Milli Gelir Buyume Tahmini : IYA ve PMI Gostergelerinin Rolu," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1331, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Konstantin A. KHOLODILIN, 2002. "Unobserved Leading and Coincident Common Factors in the Post-War U.S. Business Cycle," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2002008, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
- Fumio Hayashi & Yuta Tachi, 2023. "Nowcasting Japan’s GDP," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1699-1735, April.
- Qian, Hang, 2012. "A Flexible State Space Model and its Applications," MPRA Paper 38455, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Wanhai You & Yuming Huang & Chien‐Chiang Lee, 2024. "Forecasting tourist flows in the COVID‐19 era using nonparametric mixed‐frequency VARs," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 473-489, March.
- Daniel Kaufmann & Rolf Scheufele, 2015.
"Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations,"
KOF Working papers
15-378, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Kaufmann, Daniel & Scheufele, Rolf, 2017. "Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 878-893.
- Martina Hengge & Seton Leonard, 2017. "Factor Models for Non-Stationary Series: Estimates of Monthly U.S. GDP," IHEID Working Papers 13-2017, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
- Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski, 2022.
"Macroeconometric forecasting using a cluster of dynamic factor models,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 43-91, July.
- Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski, 2020. "Macroeconometric Forecasting Using a Cluster of Dynamic Factor Models," WIFO Working Papers 614, WIFO.
- Jeffrey Sheen & Stefan Trück & Ben Zhe Wang, 2015. "Daily Business and External Condition Indices for the Australian Economy," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 91(S1), pages 38-53, June.
- Daniel Hopp, 2022. "Benchmarking Econometric and Machine Learning Methodologies in Nowcasting," Papers 2205.03318, arXiv.org.
- Germán López, 2015. "Forecast Accuracy of Small and Large Scale Dynamic Factor Models in Developing Economies," Working Papers. Serie AD 2015-03, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
- Mahmood, Asif & Masood, Hina, 2024. "A High-frequency Monthly Measure of Real Economic Activity in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 121838, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kuzin, Vladimir, 2009.
"MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7445, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 529-542, April.
- Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/32, European University Institute.
- Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 529-542.
- Graff Michael, 2006. "Internationale Konjunkturverbunde / International Business Cycles," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 226(4), pages 385-417, August.
- Delle Monache, Davide & Petrella, Ivan, 2019. "Efficient matrix approach for classical inference in state space models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 22-27.
- Barış Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2021. "Nowcasting US GDP Using Tree-Based Ensemble Models and Dynamic Factors," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 387-417, January.
- Cepni, Oguzhan & Güney, I. Ethem & Swanson, Norman R., 2019. "Nowcasting and forecasting GDP in emerging markets using global financial and macroeconomic diffusion indexes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 555-572.
- Éric Dubois, 2006. "Présentation générale," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 172(1), pages 1-9.
- Valentina Raponi & Cecilia Frale, 2014. "Revisions in official data and forecasting," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 23(3), pages 451-472, August.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions, Second Version," PIER Working Paper Archive 08-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 04 Apr 2008.
- Barnett, William & Chauvet, Marcelle & Leiva-Leon, Danilo & Su, Liting, 2016. "Nowcasting Nominal GDP with the Credit-Card Augmented Divisia Monetary," Studies in Applied Economics 59, The Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise.
- Ángel Cuevas & Enrique Quilis, 2012. "A factor analysis for the Spanish economy," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 3(3), pages 311-338, September.
- Enrique M. Quilis, 2018. "Temporal disaggregation of economic time series: The view from the trenches," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 72(4), pages 447-470, November.
- Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020.
"Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model An application to the German business cycle,"
Munich Reprints in Economics
84736, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 6457, CESifo.
- Heinrich, Markus & Carstensen, Kai & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168206, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Bacchiocchi, Emanuele & Bastianin, Andrea & Missale, Alessandro & Rossi, Eduardo, 2020. "Structural analysis with mixed-frequency data: A model of US capital flows," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 427-443.
- Jack Fosten & Daniel Gutknecht, 2021. "Horizon confidence sets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 667-692, August.
- Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2020. "Regional output growth in the United Kingdom: More timely and higher frequency estimates from 1970," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(2), pages 176-197, March.
- Yoshihiro Ohtsuka, 2018. "Large Shocks and the Business Cycle: The Effect of Outlier Adjustments," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 14(1), pages 143-178, April.
- Romain Aumond & Julien Royer, 2024. "Improving the robustness of Markov-switching dynamic factor models with time-varying volatility," Working Papers 2024-04, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Ghysels, Eric, 2016. "Macroeconomics and the reality of mixed frequency data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(2), pages 294-314.
- Marek Rusnak, 2013.
"Nowcasting Czech GDP in Real Time,"
Working Papers
2013/06, Czech National Bank.
- Rusnák, Marek, 2016. "Nowcasting Czech GDP in real time," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 26-39.
- Matthieu Cornec & Thierry Deperraz, 2006. "Un nouvel indicateur synthétique mensuel résumant le climat des affaires dans les services en France," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 395(1), pages 13-38.
- Caruso, Alberto, 2019.
"Macroeconomic news and market reaction: Surprise indexes meet nowcasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1725-1734.
- Alberto Caruso, 2018. "Macroeconomic News and Market Reaction: Surprise Indexes meet Nowcasting," Working Papers ECARES 2018-06, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Barhoumi, K. & Darn , O. & Ferrara, L., 2013.
"Dynamic Factor Models: A review of the Literature ,"
Working papers
430, Banque de France.
- Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2013. "Dynamic factor models: A review of the literature," Post-Print hal-01385974, HAL.
- Karim Barhoumi & Olivier Darné & Laurent Ferrara, 2014. "Dynamic factor models: A review of the literature," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2013(2), pages 73-107.
- Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting Using Mixed-Frequency VARS with Time-Varying Parameters," CESifo Working Paper Series 8054, CESifo.
- Yasutomo Murasawa, 2009. "Do coincident indicators have one-factor structure?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 339-365, May.
- Camacho, Maximo & Dal Bianco, Marcos & Martinez-Martin, Jaime, 2015. "Toward a more reliable picture of the economic activity: An application to Argentina," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 129-132.
- Diego J. Pedregal & Javier J. Pérez & Antonio Sánchez Fuentes, 2014. "A Tookit to strengthen Government," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 211(4), pages 117-146, December.
- Salvatore Greco & Alessio Ishizaka & Menelaos Tasiou & Gianpiero Torrisi, 2019. "On the Methodological Framework of Composite Indices: A Review of the Issues of Weighting, Aggregation, and Robustness," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 141(1), pages 61-94, January.
- Cecilia Frale & David Veredas, 2008. "A Monthly Volatility Index for the US Economy," Working Papers ECARES 2008-008, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Jens Hogrefe, 2008. "Forecasting data revisions of GDP: a mixed frequency approach," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 92(3), pages 271-296, August.
- Sieds, 2013. "Complete Volume LXVII n.2 2013," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 67(2), pages 1-197, April-Jun.
- Hassani, Hossein & Rua, António & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Thomakos, Dimitrios, 2019.
"Monthly forecasting of GDP with mixed-frequency multivariate singular spectrum analysis,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1263-1272.
- António Rua & Hossein Hassani, 2019. "Monthly Forecasting of GDP with Mixed Frequency Multivariate Singular Spectrum Analysis," Working Papers w201913, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
- Nuttanan Wichitaksorn, 2020. "Analyzing and Forecasting Thai Macroeconomic Data using Mixed-Frequency Approach," PIER Discussion Papers 146, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Müller-Kademann Christian, 2015. "Internal Validation of Temporal Disaggregation: A Cloud Chamber Approach," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 235(3), pages 298-319, June.
- Bantis, Evripidis & Clements, Michael P. & Urquhart, Andrew, 2023. "Forecasting GDP growth rates in the United States and Brazil using Google Trends," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1909-1924.
- Pérez, Javier J. & Pedregal, Diego J., 2008.
"Should quarterly government finance statistics be used for fiscal surveillane in Europe?,"
Working Paper Series
937, European Central Bank.
- Pedregal, Diego J. & Pérez, Javier J., 2010. "Should quarterly government finance statistics be used for fiscal surveillance in Europe?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 794-807, October.
- Corinna Ghirelli & María Gil & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2021.
"Measuring economic and economic policy uncertainty and their macroeconomic effects: the case of Spain,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 869-892, February.
- Corinna Ghirelli & María Gil & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019. "Measuring economic and economic policy uncertainty, and their macroeconomic effects: the case of Spain," Working Papers 1905, Banco de España.
- William A. Barnett & Marcelle Chauvet & Danilo Leiva-Leon, 2014. "Real-Time Nowcasting of Nominal GDP Under Structural Breaks," Staff Working Papers 14-39, Bank of Canada.
- Paul Labonne, 2022. "Asymmetric Uncertainty: Nowcasting Using Skewness in Real-time Data," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2022-23, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Anthony S. Tay, 2007. "Financial Variables as Predictors of Real Output Growth," Development Economics Working Papers 22482, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Arabinda Basistha, "undated". "Estimates of Quarterly and Monthly Episodes of Global Recessions: Evidence from Markov-switching Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers 24-07, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
- Diego J. Pedregal & Javier J. Pérez & A. Jesús Sánchez-Fuentes, 2014. "A toolkit to strengthen government budget surveillance," Working Papers 1416, Banco de España.
- Lucian-Liviu Albu & Vasile Dinu, 2009. "How Deep and How Long Could Be the Recession in Romania," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 11(Number Sp), pages 675-683, November.
- Schumacher Christian, 2011. "Forecasting with Factor Models Estimated on Large Datasets: A Review of the Recent Literature and Evidence for German GDP," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(1), pages 28-49, February.
- Ryadh M. Alkhareif & William A. Barnett, 2022. "Nowcasting Real GDP for Saudi Arabia1," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 333-345, April.
- Liu, Bin & Xiao, Wen & Zhu, Xingting, 2023. "How does inter-industry spillover improve the performance of volatility forecasting?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
- Liu, Yang & Swanson, Norman R., 2024. "An assessment of the marginal predictive content of economic uncertainty indexes and business conditions predictors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 1391-1409.
- Franz Ramsauer & Aleksey Min & Michael Lingauer, 2019. "Estimation of FAVAR Models for Incomplete Data with a Kalman Filter for Factors with Observable Components," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-43, July.
- Qian, Hang, 2013. "Vector Autoregression with Mixed Frequency Data," MPRA Paper 47856, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- G. Rünstler & K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2009. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(7), pages 595-611.
- Andreini, Paolo & Hasenzagl, Thomas & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Senftleben-König, Charlotte & Strohsal, Till, 2023. "Nowcasting German GDP: Foreign factors, financial markets, and model averaging," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 298-313.
- Götz, Thomas B. & Hauzenberger, Klemens, 2018. "Large mixed-frequency VARs with a parsimonious time-varying parameter structure," Discussion Papers 40/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Foroni, Claudia, 2014.
"Markov-Switching Mixed-Frequency VAR Models,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
9815, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Foroni, Claudia & Guérin, Pierre & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2015. "Markov-switching mixed-frequency VAR models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 692-711.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2017.
"Short-term forecasting with mixed-frequency data: a MIDASSO approach,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(13), pages 1326-1343, March.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2015. "Short-term forecasting with mixed-frequency data: A MIDASSO approach," KOF Working papers 15-375, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Döhrn, Roland & Barabas, György & Blagov, Boris & Fuest, Angela & Jäger, Philipp & Jessen, Robin & Micheli, Martin & Rujin, Svetlana, 2018. "Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Inland: Aufschwung setzt sich fort, Gefährdungen nehmen zu," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 69(3), pages 21-56.
- Serena Ng & Susannah Scanlan, 2023. "Constructing High Frequency Economic Indicators by Imputation," Papers 2303.01863, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
- Alain Hecq & Marie Ternes & Ines Wilms, 2023. "Hierarchical Regularizers for Reverse Unrestricted Mixed Data Sampling Regressions," Papers 2301.10592, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
- Tang, Wenjin & Ding, Saijie & Chen, Hao, 2021. "Economic uncertainty and its spillover networks: Evidence from the Asia-Pacific countries," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
- Knüppel, Malte & Vladu, Andreea L., 2016. "Approximating fixed-horizon forecasts using fixed-event forecasts," Discussion Papers 28/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Marius Cristian Acatrinei, 2020. "Financial stability indicator for non-banking markets," Journal of Financial Studies, Institute of Financial Studies, vol. 9(5), pages 3-9, November.
- Caruso, Alberto, 2018. "Nowcasting with the help of foreign indicators: The case of Mexico," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 160-168.
- Cristea, R. G., 2020. "Can Alternative Data Improve the Accuracy of Dynamic Factor Model Nowcasts?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20108, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Alberto Caruso, 2015. "Nowcasting Mexican GDP," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2015-40, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Zheng, Tingguo & Fan, Xinyue & Jin, Wei & Fang, Kuangnan, 2024. "Words or numbers? Macroeconomic nowcasting with textual and macroeconomic data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 746-761.
- Ana Arencibia Pareja & Ana Gómez Loscos & Mercedes de Luis López & Gabriel Pérez Quirós, 2018. "A short-term forecasting model for the Spanish economy: GDP and its demand components," Occasional Papers 1801, Banco de España.
- Björn Roye, 2014. "Financial stress and economic activity in Germany," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(1), pages 101-126, February.
- Neville Francis & Eric Ghysels & Michael T. Owyang, 2011. "The low-frequency impact of daily monetary policy shocks," Working Papers 2011-009, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Sebastian Ankargren & Paulina Jon'eus, 2019. "Estimating Large Mixed-Frequency Bayesian VAR Models," Papers 1912.02231, arXiv.org.
- Robert Lehmann & Magnus Reif & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2020. "ifoCAST: Der neue Prognosestandard des ifo Instituts," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(11), pages 31-39, November.
- Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Josef Schreiner & Julia Woerz & Marcel Tirpak & Peter Toth, 2015. "Small-scale nowcasting models of GDP for selected CESEE countries," Working and Discussion Papers WP 4/2015, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
- Petrella, Ivan & Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Drechsel, Thomas, 2021. "Advances in Nowcasting Economic Activity: Secular Trends, Large Shocks and New Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 15926, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Abdullah Tahir & Jameel Ahmed & Waqas Ahmed, 2018. "Robust Quarterization of GDP and Determination of Business Cycle Dates for IGC Partner Countries," SBP Working Paper Series 97, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
- Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano & Simonsen, Lasse de la Porte, 2018. "Time-varying Price Flexibility and Inflation Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 13027, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Fiedler, Salomon & Groll, Dominik & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Potjagailo, Galina, 2018. "Deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2018 - Deutsche Wirtschaft näher am Limit [German Economy Spring 2018 - German economy closer to its limit]," Kieler Konjunkturberichte 41, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Kihwan Kim & Norman Swanson, 2013. "Diffusion Index Model Specification and Estimation Using Mixed Frequency Datasets," Departmental Working Papers 201315, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- María Gil & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019. "An application of dynamic factor models to nowcast regional economic activity in Spain," Occasional Papers 1904, Banco de España.
- Vegard Høghaug Larsen & Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli & Laura Pagenhardt, 2023. "Where do they care? The ECB in the media and inflation expectations," Working Papers No 04/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Paul Viefers, 2011. "Bayesian Inference for the Mixed-Frequency VAR Model," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1172, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Camacho, Maximo, 2013. "Mixed-frequency VAR models with Markov-switching dynamics," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(3), pages 369-373.
- Ruey Yau & C. James Hueng, 2019. "Nowcasting GDP Growth for Small Open Economies with a Mixed-Frequency Structural Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 177-198, June.
- Paul Labonne, 2020. "Asymmetric uncertainty : Nowcasting using skewness in real-time data," Papers 2012.02601, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
- Wichitaksorn, Nuttanan, 2022. "Analyzing and forecasting Thai macroeconomic data using mixed-frequency approach," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
- Urasawa, Satoshi, 2014. "Real-time GDP forecasting for Japan: A dynamic factor model approach," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 116-134.