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João Victor Issler
(Joao Victor Issler)

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Alexandre Bonnet R. Costa & Pedro Cavalcanti G. Ferreira & Wagner P. Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira C. Guillén & João Victor Issler & Yihao Lin, 2021. "Machine Learning and Oil Price Point and Density Forecasting," Working Papers Series 544, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. Claudia ANTAL-VAIDA, 2021. "Basic Hyperparameters Tuning Methods for Classification Algorithms," Informatica Economica, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 25(2), pages 64-74.
    2. Zhu, Bangzhu & Wan, Chunzhuo & Wang, Ping, 2022. "Interval forecasting of carbon price: A novel multiscale ensemble forecasting approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    3. Madadkhani, Shiva & Ikonnikova, Svetlana, 2024. "Toward high-resolution projection of electricity prices: A machine learning approach to quantifying the effects of high fuel and CO2 prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    4. Araujo, Gustavo Silva & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2023. "Machine learning methods for inflation forecasting in Brazil: New contenders versus classical models," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(2).
    5. Alexandre Bonnet R. Costa & Pedro Cavalcanti G. Ferreira & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira C. Guillén & João Victor Issler & Artur Brasil Fialho Rodrigues, 2023. "Predicting Recessions in (almost) Real Time in a Big-data Setting," Working Papers Series 587, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    6. Abdou, Hussein A. & Elamer, Ahmed A. & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Ibrahim, Bassam A., 2024. "The impact of oil and global markets on Saudi stock market predictability: A machine learning approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    7. Khan, Faridoon & Muhammadullah, Sara & Sharif, Arshian & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "The role of green energy stock market in forecasting China's crude oil market: An application of IIS approach and sparse regression models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    8. Wang, Xuerui & Li, Xiangyu & Li, Shaoting, 2022. "Point and interval forecasting system for crude oil price based on complete ensemble extreme-point symmetric mode decomposition with adaptive noise and intelligent optimization algorithm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    9. Duras, Toni & Javed, Farrukh & Månsson, Kristofer & Sjölander, Pär & Söderberg, Magnus, 2023. "Using machine learning to select variables in data envelopment analysis: Simulations and application using electricity distribution data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).

  2. Angelo Mont’Alverne Duarte & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler, 2020. "Commodity Prices and Global Economic Activity: a derived-demand approach," Working Papers Series 539, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. Rabeh KHALFAOUI & Giray Gozgor & Larisa Yarovaya, 2023. "Global supply chain pressure and commodity markets: Evidence from multiple wavelet and quantile connectedness analyses," Post-Print hal-04144035, HAL.
    2. Costa, Alexandre Bonnet R. & Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti G. & Gaglianone, Wagner P. & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira C. & Issler, João Victor & Lin, Yihao, 2021. "Machine learning and oil price point and density forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    3. Awaworyi-Churchill, Sefa & Inekwe, John & Ivanovski, Kris & Smyth, Russell, 2022. "Breaks, trends and correlations in commodity prices in the very long-run," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    4. Souza, Rodrigo da Silva & Fry-McKibbin, Renée, 2021. "Global liquidity and commodity market interactions: Macroeconomic effects on a commodity exporting emerging market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 781-800.
    5. Aktham Maghyereh & Hussein Abdoh, 2022. "Can news-based economic sentiment predict bubbles in precious metal markets?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-29, December.

  3. Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Telg, Sean, 2019. "Mixed causal-noncausal autoregressions with exogenous regressors," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 810, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Francesco Giancaterini & Alain Hecq, 2020. "Inference in mixed causal and noncausal models with generalized Student's t-distributions," Papers 2012.01888, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
    2. Alain Hecq & Elisa Voisin, 2023. "Predicting Crashes in Oil Prices During The Covid-19 Pandemic with Mixed Causal-Noncausal Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications, volume 45, pages 209-233, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    3. Cleiton Guollo Taufemback, 2023. "Non‐parametric short‐ and long‐run Granger causality testing in the frequency domain," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(1), pages 69-92, January.
    4. Frédérique Bec & Alain Guay & Heino Bohn Nielsen & Sarra Saïdi, 2022. "Power of unit root tests against nonlinear and noncausal alternatives," THEMA Working Papers 2022-14, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    5. Alain Hecq & Daniel Velasquez-Gaviria, 2022. "Spectral estimation for mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models," Papers 2211.13830, arXiv.org.
    6. Christian Gourieroux & Joann Jasiak & Michelle Tong, 2021. "Convolution‐based filtering and forecasting: An application to WTI crude oil prices," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1230-1244, November.
    7. Alain Hecq & Joao Issler & Elisa Voisin, 2022. "A short term credibility index for central banks under inflation targeting: an application to Brazil," Papers 2205.00924, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    8. Hecq Alain & Sun Li, 2021. "Selecting between causal and noncausal models with quantile autoregressions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(5), pages 393-416, December.
    9. Juan D. Borrero & Jesus Mariscal, 2022. "Predicting Time SeriesUsing an Automatic New Algorithm of the Kalman Filter," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(16), pages 1-13, August.
    10. Christian Gouriéroux & Yang Lu, 2023. "Noncausal affine processes with applications to derivative pricing," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(3), pages 766-796, July.
    11. Kramkov, Viacheslav & Maksimov, Andrey, 2020. "Loan market markups and noncausal autoregressions," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 60, pages 48-69.

  4. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Raffaella Giacomini & João Victor Issler & Vasiliki Skreta, 2018. "Incentive-driven Inattention," Working Papers Series 485, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira & Vereda, Luciano & Araujo, Mateus de Azevedo, 2022. "What type of information calls the attention of forecasters? Evidence from survey data in an emerging market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    2. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Filip Matějka & Mirko Wiederholt, 2023. "Rational Inattention: A Review," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03878692, HAL.
    3. Chini, Emilio Zanetti, 2023. "Can we estimate macroforecasters’ mis-behavior?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    4. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2017. "Empirical Findings on Inflation Expectations in Brazil: a survey," Working Papers Series 464, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    5. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2017. "Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 137-163, August.
    6. Roc Armenter & Michèle Müller-Itten & Zachary Strangebye, 2021. "Rational Inattention via Ignorance Equivalence," Working Papers 21-29, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    7. Marta Baltar Moreira Areosa & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2023. "Anchoring Long-term VAR Forecasts Based On Survey Data and State-space Models," Working Papers Series 574, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    8. Zidong An & Salem Abo‐Zaid & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2023. "Inattention and the impact of monetary policy," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(4), pages 623-643, June.
    9. Roc Armenter & Michèle Müller-Itten & Zachary Strangebye, 2021. "Geometric Methods for Finite Rational Inattention," Working Papers 21-30, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    10. Araujo, Gustavo Silva & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2023. "Machine learning methods for inflation forecasting in Brazil: New contenders versus classical models," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(2).

  5. Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Telg, Sean, 2017. "Mixed Causal-Noncausal Autoregressions with Strictly Exogenous Regressors," MPRA Paper 80767, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Alain Hecq & Li Sun, 2019. "Identification of Noncausal Models by Quantile Autoregressions," Papers 1904.05952, arXiv.org.

  6. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2016. "Applying a Microfounded-Forecasting Approach to Predict Brazilian Inflation," Working Papers Series 436, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. Araujo, Gustavo Silva & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2023. "Machine learning methods for inflation forecasting in Brazil: New contenders versus classical models," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 4(2).

  7. Yara de Almeida Campos Cordeiro & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2015. "Inattention in Individual Expectations," Working Papers Series 395, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    • Yara de Almeida Campos Cordeiro & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2017. "Inattention in individual expectations," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 17(1), pages 40-59.

    Cited by:

    1. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2017. "Empirical Findings on Inflation Expectations in Brazil: a survey," Working Papers Series 464, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    2. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2017. "Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 137-163, August.
    3. Waldyr D Areosa, 2016. "What drives inflation expectations in Brazil? Public versus private information," BIS Working Papers 544, Bank for International Settlements.

  8. Castro, Andressa Souza Campos Monteiro & Issler, João Victor, 2015. "Consumption-Wealth Ratio and Expected Stock Returns: Evidence from Panel Data on G7 Countries," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 767, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Fredj Jawadi, 2017. "Does Inequality Help in Forecasting Equity Premium in a Panel of G7 Countries?," Working Papers 201720, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    2. Mauro Costantini & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2020. "Consumption, asset wealth, equity premium, term spread, and flight to quality," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(3), pages 778-807, June.

  9. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2014. "Microfounded Forecasting," Working Papers Series 372, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2017. "Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 137-163, August.
    2. Costa, Alexandre Bonnet R. & Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti G. & Gaglianone, Wagner P. & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira C. & Issler, João Victor & Lin, Yihao, 2021. "Machine learning and oil price point and density forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    3. Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021. "Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).

  10. Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2013. "Forecasting multivariate time series under present-value-model short- and long-run co-movement restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 742, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq, 2021. "Reduced Rank Regression Models in Economics and Finance," CEIS Research Paper 525, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Nov 2021.
    2. Castro, Andressa Monteiro de & Issler, João Victor, 2016. "Consumption-Wealth Ratio and Expected Stock Returns: Evidence from Panel Data on G7 Countries," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 70(4), December.
    3. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq & Sean Telg, 2018. "Detecting Co-Movements in Noncausal Time Series," CEIS Research Paper 430, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 23 Apr 2018.
    4. Machado, Vicente da Gama & Portugal, Marcelo Savino, 2014. "Measuring inflation persistence in Brazil using a multivariate model," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 68(2), June.

  11. Costa, Carlos Eugênio da & Issler, João Victor & Matos, Paulo Rogério Faustino, 2013. "A note on the forward and the equity-premium puzzles: two symptoms of the same illness?," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 743, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Paulo Rogério Faustino Matos, 2019. "The role of household debt and delinquency decisions in consumption-based asset pricing," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 179-203, June.
    2. Ferreira, Alex & Matos, Paulo, 2020. "Precautionary risks for an open economy," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 154-167.

  12. Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2013. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 748, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Barros, Fernando & Couto, Gabriel T. & Gomes, Fábio A.R., 2023. "On the welfare costs of business cycles: Beyond nondurable goods," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    2. Cunha, Alexandre & Araújo, Eurilton, 2014. "Simple Macroeconomic Policies and Welfare: A Quantitative Assessment," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 68(3), September.

  13. Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia Ferreira & Burjack, Rafael, 2013. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 735, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Robinson, Zurika, 2017. "Sustainability of platinum production in South Africa and the dynamics of commodity pricing," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 107-114.
    2. D'Orlando, Fabio & Ferrante, Francesco, 2015. "The benefits of stabilization policies revisited," MPRA Paper 67321, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Yang Liu & Liyan Han & Libo Yin, 2018. "Does news uncertainty matter for commodity futures markets? Heterogeneity in energy and non‐energy sectors," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(10), pages 1246-1261, October.
    4. Joseph P Byrne & Ryuta Sakemoto & Bing Xu, 2020. "Commodity price co-movement: heterogeneity and the time-varying impact of fundamentals [Oil price shocks and the stock market: evidence from Japan]," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 47(2), pages 499-528.
    5. Delalibera, Bruno Ricardo & Issler, João Victor & Branco, Roberto da Cunha Castello, 2017. "Using common features to investigate common growth cycles for BRICS Countries," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 784, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    6. Cui, Jinxin & Goh, Mark & Zou, Huiwen, 2021. "Coherence, extreme risk spillovers, and dynamic linkages between oil and China’s commodity futures markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    7. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Kizys, Renatas, 2015. "Dynamic spillovers between commodity and currency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 303-319.
    8. Reinhard Ellwanger, Stephen Snudden, 2021. "Predictability of Aggregated Time Series," LCERPA Working Papers bm0127, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis.
    9. Z. Robinson, 2024. "A macroeconomic viewpoint using a structural VAR analysis of silver price behaviour," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 37(1), pages 15-23, March.
    10. Jing Ao & Jihui Chen, 2020. "Price Volatility, the Maturity Effect, and Global Oil Prices: Evidence from Chinese Commodity Futures Markets," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(4), pages 627-654, October.
    11. Valérie Mignon & Pauline Bucciarelli & Emmanuel Hache, 2024. "Evaluating criticality of strategic metals: Are the Herfindahl–Hirschman Index and usual concentration thresholds still relevant?," EconomiX Working Papers 2024-3, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    12. He, Kaijian & Lu, Xingjing & Zou, Yingchao & Keung Lai, Kin, 2015. "Forecasting metal prices with a curvelet based multiscale methodology," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 144-150.
    13. Dario Caldara & Michele Cavallo & Matteo Iacoviello, 2016. "Oil Price Elasticities and Oil Price Fluctuations," International Finance Discussion Papers 1173, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    14. Karl Inderfurth & Peter Kelle & Rainer Kleber, 2018. "Inventory control in dual sourcing commodity procurement with price correlation," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 26(1), pages 93-119, March.
    15. Ellwanger, Reinhard & Snudden, Stephen, 2023. "Forecasts of the real price of oil revisited: Do they beat the random walk?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    16. Karl Inderfurth & Peter Kelle & Rainer Kleber, 2014. "The Effect of Material Price and Product Demand Correlations on Combined Sourcing and Inventory Management," FEMM Working Papers 140013, Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg, Faculty of Economics and Management.
    17. Golosnoy, Vasyl & Rossen, Anja, 2014. "Modeling dynamics of metal price series via state space approach with two common factors," HWWI Research Papers 156, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    18. Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021. "Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    19. Buncic, Daniel & Moretto, Carlo, 2014. "Forecasting Copper Prices with Dynamic Averaging and Selection Models," Economics Working Paper Series 1430, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
    20. Lya Paola Sierra & Luis Eduardo Gir n & Carolina Osorio, 2017. "Has Financialization in Commodity Markets Affected the Predictability in Metal Markets? The Efficient Markets Hypotheses for Metal Returns," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 15-22.
    21. Cunha, Alexandre & Araújo, Eurilton, 2014. "Simple Macroeconomic Policies and Welfare: A Quantitative Assessment," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 68(3), September.
    22. Liu, Yang & Han, Liyan & Xu, Yang, 2021. "The impact of geopolitical uncertainty on energy volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    23. Francisco J. Díaz-Borrego & María del Mar Miras-Rodríguez & Bernabé Escobar-Pérez, 2019. "Looking for Accurate Forecasting of Copper TC/RC Benchmark Levels," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-16, April.
    24. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Common cycles and common trends in the stock and oil markets: Evidence from more than 150years of data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 72-86.
    25. Schischke, A. & Papenfuß, P. & Brem, M. & Kurz, P. & Rathgeber, A.W., 2023. "Sustainable energy transition and its demand for scarce resources: Insights into the German Energiewende through a new risk assessment framework," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    26. Zurika Robinson, 2019. "Revisiting gold price behaviour: a structural VAR," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 32(3), pages 365-372, November.
    27. Zuzanna Karolak, 2021. "Energy prices forecasting using nonlinear univariate models," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 52(6), pages 577-598.
    28. Prokopczuk, Marcel & Stancu, Andrei & Symeonidis, Lazaros, 2019. "The economic drivers of commodity market volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-1.
    29. Rossen, Anja, 2015. "What are metal prices like? Co-movement, price cycles and long-run trends," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 255-276.
    30. Tapia, Carlos & Coulton, Jeff & Saydam, Serkan, 2020. "Using entropy to assess dynamic behaviour of long-term copper price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    31. Libo Yin & Jing Nie & Liyan Han, 2020. "Intermediary asset pricing in commodity futures returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(11), pages 1711-1730, November.
    32. Munzert, Simon, 2017. "Forecasting elections at the constituency level: A correction–combination procedure," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 467-481.
    33. Bayaa, Yasmeen & Qadan, Mahmoud, 2024. "The shape of the Treasury yield curve and commodity prices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    34. Li, Xiao-Lin & Chang, Tsangyao & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "The co-movement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 220-233.
    35. Zhang, Dayong & Broadstock, David C., 2020. "Global financial crisis and rising connectedness in the international commodity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    36. Fomin, M., 2016. "Business cycles and acquisition policy: Analysis of M&A deals of metallurgical companies," Working Papers 6441, Graduate School of Management, St. Petersburg State University.

  14. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & Alain Hecq & João Victor Issler & Diogo Saraiva, 2013. "Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," Working Papers Series 330, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. Machado, Vicente da Gama & Portugal, Marcelo Savino, 2014. "Measuring inflation persistence in Brazil using a multivariate model," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 68(2), June.

  15. Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio, 2013. "Estimating Brazilian Monthly GDP: a State-Space Approach," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 740, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Rafael R. S. Guimaraes, 2022. "Deep Learning Macroeconomics," Papers 2201.13380, arXiv.org.

  16. Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor, 2012. "A Common-feature approach for testing present-value restrictions with financial data," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 728, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq, 2021. "Reduced Rank Regression Models in Economics and Finance," CEIS Research Paper 525, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Nov 2021.
    2. Alain Hecq & Franz C. Palm & Sébastien Laurent, 2016. "On the Univariate Representation of BEKK Models with Common Factors," Post-Print hal-01440307, HAL.
    3. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq & Sean Telg, 2018. "Detecting Co-Movements in Noncausal Time Series," CEIS Research Paper 430, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 23 Apr 2018.
    4. Neri, Marcelo Côrtes, 2014. "Brazil's middle classes," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 759, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    5. Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2014. "Forecasting Multivariate Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 753, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

  17. George Athanasopoulos & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & Farshid Vahid, 2010. "Model selection, Estimation and Forecasting in VAR Models with Short-run and Long-run Restrictions," Working Papers Series 205, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

    1. Tu, Yundong & Yi, Yanping, 2017. "Forecasting cointegrated nonstationary time series with time-varying variance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 83-98.
    2. Hendry, David F. & Martinez, Andrew B., 2017. "Evaluating multi-step system forecasts with relatively few forecast-error observations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 359-372.
    3. Phillips, Peter C.B. & Li, Degui & Gao, Jiti, 2017. "Estimating smooth structural change in cointegration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 180-195.
    4. Marco Centoni & Gianluca Cubadda, 2015. "Common Feature Analysis of Economic Time Series: An Overview and Recent Developments," CEIS Research Paper 355, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 05 Oct 2015.
    5. Liao, Zhipeng & Phillips, Peter C. B., 2015. "Automated Estimation Of Vector Error Correction Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(3), pages 581-646, June.
    6. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq, 2022. "Dimension Reduction for High Dimensional Vector Autoregressive Models," CEIS Research Paper 534, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 24 Mar 2022.
    7. Hecq, A.W. & Issler, J.V., 2012. "A common-feature approach for testing present-value restrictions with financial data," Research Memorandum 006, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    8. Jukka Ruohonen & Sami Hyrynsalmi, 2017. "Evaluating the use of internet search volumes for time series modeling of sales in the video game industry," Electronic Markets, Springer;IIM University of St. Gallen, vol. 27(4), pages 351-370, November.
    9. Tu, Yundong & Yao, Qiwei & Zhang, Rongmao, 2020. "Error-correction factor models for high-dimensional cointegrated time series," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 106994, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    10. Neri, Marcelo Côrtes, 2014. "Brazil's middle classes," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 759, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    11. Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2014. "Forecasting Multivariate Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 753, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    12. Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2014. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 310-335.
    13. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2014. "Microfounded Forecasting," Working Papers Series 372, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    14. Lebotsa Daniel Metsileng & Ntebogang Dinah Moroke & Johannes Tshepiso Tsoku, 2018. "Modelling the BRICS Exchange Rates Using the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Model," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(5), pages 220-229.
    15. Poskitt, D.S., 2016. "Vector autoregressive moving average identification for macroeconomic modeling: A new methodology," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 468-484.
    16. Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021. "Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    17. de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira & Baca, Adriana Cabrera, 2022. "Fiscal opacity and reduction of income inequality through taxation: Effects on economic growth," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 69-82.
    18. Heather M Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2010. "VARs, Cointegration and Common Cycle Restrictions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/10, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    19. Hecq, A.W. & Palm, F.C. & Laurent, S.F.J.A., 2011. "Common intraday periodicity," Research Memorandum 010, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    20. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & Alain Hecq & João Victor Issler & Diogo Saraiva, 2013. "Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," Working Papers Series 330, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    21. Warsono Warsono & Edwin Russel & Almira Rizka Putri & Wamiliana Wamiliana & Widiarti Widiarti & Mustofa Usman, 2020. "Dynamic Modeling Using Vector Error-correction Model: Studying the Relationship among Data Share Price of Energy PGAS Malaysia, AKRA, Indonesia, and PTT PCL-Thailand," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(2), pages 360-373.
    22. Zhao, Yuan & Zhang, Weiguo & Gong, Xue & Wang, Chao, 2021. "A novel method for online real-time forecasting of crude oil price," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    23. Justyna Wróblewska, 2015. "Common Trends and Common Cycles – Bayesian Approach," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 7(2), pages 91-110, June.
    24. Li, Xiao-Lin & Chang, Tsangyao & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "The co-movement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 220-233.
    25. Götz, T.B. & Hecq, A.W. & Urbain, J.R.Y.J., 2013. "Testing for common cycles in non-stationary VARs with varied frecquency data," Research Memorandum 002, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).

  18. Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio & Rodrigues, Claudia Oliveira da Fontoura, 2009. "Um indicador coincidente e antecedente da atividade econômica brasileira," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 695, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Fernando Nascimento de Oliveira, 2012. "The External Finance Premium in Brazil: empirical analyses using state space models," Working Papers Series 295, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

  19. Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio & Rodrigues, Claudia Oliveira da Fontoura, 2009. "Constructing coincident and leading indices of economic activity for the brazilian economy," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 694, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Issler, Joao Victor & Notini, Hilton & Rodrigues, Claudia & Soares, Ana Flávia, 2013. "Constructing coincident indices of economic activity for the Latin American economy," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(1), April.
    2. Cravo, Túlio A., 2011. "Are small employers more cyclically sensitive? Evidence from Brazil," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 754-769.
    3. Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalacio, 2016. "Estimating Brazilian Monthly GDP: a State-Space Approach," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 70(1), March.
    4. Wong, Shirly Siew-Ling & Puah, Chin-Hong & Abu Mansor, Shazali & Liew, Venus Khim-Sen, 2012. "Early warning indicator of economic vulnerability," MPRA Paper 39944, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Herman Kamil & Jose David Pulido & Jose Luis Torres, 2010. "El "IMACO": un índice mensual líder de la actividad económica en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 609, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Herman Kamil & José David Pulido & José Luis Torres, 2010. "El IMACO": un índice mensual líder de la actividad económica en Colombia"," Borradores de Economia 7129, Banco de la Republica.

  20. Issler, João Victor & Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira, 2007. "A panel data approach to economic forecasting: the bias-corrected average forecast," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 642, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2021. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," Working Papers 2021-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    2. Issler, João Victor & Soares, Ana Flávia, 2019. "Central Bank credibility and inflation expectations: a microfounded forecasting approach," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 812, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    3. Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2009. "Do Composite Procedures Really Improve the Accuracy of Outlook Forecasts?," 2009 Conference, April 20-21, 2009, St. Louis, Missouri 53052, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    4. Atak, Alev & Linton, Oliver B. & Xiao, Zhijie, 2010. "A Semiparametric Panel Model for Unbalanced Data with Application to Climate Change in the United Kingdom," MPRA Paper 22079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Emerson Fernandes Marçal & Eli Hadad Junior, 2016. "Is It Possible to Beat the Random Walk Model in Exchange Rate Forecasting? More Evidence for Brazilian Case," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 14(1), pages 65-88.
    6. Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira Lima & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2012. "Constructing Optimal Density Forecasts from Point Forecast Combinations," Série Textos para Discussão (Working Papers) 5, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia - PPGE, Universidade Federal da Paraíba.
    7. Antoine Mandel & Amir Sani, 2017. "A Machine Learning Approach to the Forecast Combination Puzzle," Working Papers halshs-01317974, HAL.
    8. Marcelo C. Medeiros & Eduardo F. Mendes, 2015. "l1-Regularization of High-Dimensional Time-Series Models with Flexible Innovations," Textos para discussão 636, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
    9. Conrad, Christian, 2017. "When does information on forecast variance improve the performance of a combined forecast?," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168200, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    10. Marcelo C. Medeiros & Eduardo F. Mendes, 2012. "Estimating High-Dimensional Time Series Models," CREATES Research Papers 2012-37, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    11. Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2014. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 310-335.
    12. Poncela, Pilar & Rodríguez, Julio & Sánchez-Mangas, Rocío & Senra, Eva, 2011. "Forecast combination through dimension reduction techniques," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 224-237, April.
    13. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Luiz Renato Lima & Oliver Linton & Daniel R. Smith, 2011. "Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regression," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 150-160, January.
    14. Constantin Rudolf Salomo Bürgi, 2023. "How to deal with missing observations in surveys of professional forecasters," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(1), pages 2185975-218, December.
    15. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2017. "Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 137-163, August.
    16. Baltagi, Badi H., 2013. "Panel Data Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 995-1024, Elsevier.
    17. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2014. "Microfounded Forecasting," Working Papers Series 372, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    18. Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip & Etienne, Xiaoli, 2012. "Composite and Outlook Forecast Accuracy," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 1-19, August.
    19. Costa, Alexandre Bonnet R. & Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti G. & Gaglianone, Wagner P. & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira C. & Issler, João Victor & Lin, Yihao, 2021. "Machine learning and oil price point and density forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    20. Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021. "Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    21. Antoine Mandel & Amir Sani, 2016. "Learning Time-Varying Forecast Combinations," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 16036r, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Sep 2016.
    22. Francisco J. Díaz-Borrego & María del Mar Miras-Rodríguez & Bernabé Escobar-Pérez, 2019. "Looking for Accurate Forecasting of Copper TC/RC Benchmark Levels," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-16, April.
    23. Medeiros, Marcelo C. & Mendes, Eduardo F., 2016. "ℓ1-regularization of high-dimensional time-series models with non-Gaussian and heteroskedastic errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 255-271.
    24. Christian Brownlees & Vladislav Morozov, 2022. "Unit Averaging for Heterogeneous Panels," Papers 2210.14205, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    25. Xiaojie Xu, 2020. "Corn Cash Price Forecasting," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(4), pages 1297-1320, August.
    26. Marcus Alexander & Matthew Harding & Carlos Lamarche, 2011. "Quantifying the impact of economic crises on infant mortality in advanced economies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(24), pages 3313-3323.

  21. Matos, Paulo Rogério Faustino & Costa, Carlos Eugênio da & Issler, João Victor, 2007. "The forward- and the equity-premium puzzles: two symptoms of the same illness?," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 649, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Andrei G. Simonassi, 2006. "Estimando A Taxa De Retorno Livre De Risco No Brasil," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 180, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

  22. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2006. "A stochastic discount factor approach to asset pricing using panel data," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 628, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Lima, Luiz Renato & Néri, Breno Pinheiro, 2007. "Comparing Value-at-Risk Methodologies," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 27(1), May.
    2. Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Issler, João Victor, 2007. "A panel data approach to economic forecasting: the bias-corrected average forecast," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 650, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    3. Xiao, Zhijie & Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira, 2006. "Testing covariance stationarity," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 632, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    4. Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Sampaio, Raquel Menezes Bezerra & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2006. "Debt ceiling and fiscal sustainability in Brazil: a quantile autoregression approach," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 631, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

  23. Athanasopoulos, George & Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2005. "Forecasting accuracy and estimation uncertainty using VAR models with short- and long-term economic restrictions: a Monte-Carlo study," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 589, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Aloisio Araujo & Mário R. Páscoa & Juan Pablo Torres-Martínez, 2006. "Bubbles, Collateral and Monetary Equilibrium," Levine's Working Paper Archive 122247000000001055, David K. Levine.
    2. Bonomo, Marco Antônio Cesar & Terra, Maria Cristina T., 2005. "Special interests and political business cycles," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 597, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    3. Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique Carrasco & Souza, Reinaldo Castro & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2009. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 29(1), May.
    4. Barbosa, Fernando de Holanda, 2005. "The contagion effect of public debt on monetary policy: the brazilian experience," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 591, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    5. Cysne, Rubens Penha, 2006. "Income inequality in a job-search model with heterogeneous discount factors: (revised version, forthcoming 2006, Revista Economia)," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 611, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    6. Cysne, Rubens Penha, 2006. "An intra-household approach to the welfare costs of inflation (Revised Version, Forthcoming 2006, Estudos Econômicos)," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 612, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    7. Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão & Watanuki, Masakazu, 2006. "Integration options for mercosul - an investigation Uusing the AMIDA Model," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 610, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    8. Carrasco Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique & Castro Souza, Reinaldo & Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani, 2009. "Selection of optimal lag length in cointegrated VAR models with weak form of common cyclical features," MPRA Paper 22550, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  24. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2005. "Estimating the stochastic discount factor without a utility function," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 583, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2011. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 713, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    2. Bonomo, Marco Antônio Cesar & Terra, Maria Cristina T., 2005. "Special interests and political business cycles," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 597, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    3. Andrei G. Simonassi, 2006. "Estimando A Taxa De Retorno Livre De Risco No Brasil," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 180, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    4. Barbosa, Fernando de Holanda, 2005. "The contagion effect of public debt on monetary policy: the brazilian experience," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 591, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    5. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2005. "Estimating the stochastic discount factor without a utility function," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 583, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    6. Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone, 2008. "Evaluating Asset Pricing Models in a Fama-French Framework," Working Papers Series 175, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    7. Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis & Issler, João Victor, 2009. "Testing the optimality of aggregate consumption decisions: is there rule-of-thumb behavior?," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 682, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

  25. Márcio Antônio Salvato & João Victor Issler & Angelo Mont'alverne Duarte, 2005. "Are Business Cycles All Alike In Europe?," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 031, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

    Cited by:

    1. Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2014. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 62-78.
    2. Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2014. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 310-335.
    3. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillény & João Victor Issler & Afonso Arinos de Mello Franco-Neto, 2012. "On the Welfare Costs of Business-Cycle Fluctuations and Economic-Growth Variation in the 20th Century," Working Papers Series 284, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    4. Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes & Leandro Gonçalves do Nascimento, 2004. "A Welfare Analysis Of Economic Fluctuations In South America," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 045, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

  26. Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello & Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2005. "The welfare cost of macroeconomic uncertainty in the post-war period," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 605, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Aloisio Araujo & Mário R. Páscoa & Juan Pablo Torres-Martínez, 2006. "Bubbles, Collateral and Monetary Equilibrium," Levine's Working Paper Archive 122247000000001055, David K. Levine.
    2. Monteiro, Paulo Klinger, 2009. "First-price auction symmetric equilibria with a general distribution," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 65(1), pages 256-269, January.
    3. Lima, Luiz Renato & Néri, Breno Pinheiro, 2007. "Comparing Value-at-Risk Methodologies," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 27(1), May.
    4. Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2014. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 62-78.
    5. Cysne, Rubens Penha, 2006. "Income inequality in a job-search model with heterogeneous discount factors: (revised version, forthcoming 2006, Revista Economia)," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 611, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    6. Renato G. Flôres & Maria Paula Fontoura & Rogério Guerra Santos, 2007. "Foreign Direct Investment Spillovers in Portugal: Additional Lessons from a Country Study," The European Journal of Development Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 372-390.
    7. Cysne, Rubens Penha, 2006. "An intra-household approach to the welfare costs of inflation (Revised Version, Forthcoming 2006, Estudos Econômicos)," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 612, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    8. Fernando Barros Jr & Francisco L Lima Filho & Diego M Silva, 2017. "The Welfare Cost of Business Cycles for Heterogeneous Consumers: A State-Space Decomposition," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(3), pages 1928-1941.
    9. Barros, Fernando & Couto, Gabriel T. & Gomes, Fábio A.R., 2023. "On the welfare costs of business cycles: Beyond nondurable goods," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    10. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2006. "A stochastic discount factor approach to asset pricing using panel data," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 628, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    11. Xiao, Zhijie & Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira, 2006. "Testing covariance stationarity," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 632, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    12. Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão, 2006. "The diversity of diversity: further methodological considerations on the use of the concept in cultural economics," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 626, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    13. Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão & Watanuki, Masakazu, 2006. "Integration options for mercosul - an investigation Uusing the AMIDA Model," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 610, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    14. Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Sampaio, Raquel Menezes Bezerra & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2006. "Debt ceiling and fiscal sustainability in Brazil: a quantile autoregression approach," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 631, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

  27. Fabio Araújo & João Victor Issler, 2004. "Identificação do Fator Estocástico de Descontos e Algumas Implicações Sobre Testes de Modelos de Consumo," Working Papers Series 86, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

    Cited by:

  28. Spacov, Andrei Dudus & Duarte, Angelo José Mont'Alverne & Issler, João Victor, 2004. "Indicadores coincidentes de atividade econômica e uma cronologia de recessões para o Brasil," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 527, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalacio, 2016. "Estimating Brazilian Monthly GDP: a State-Space Approach," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 70(1), March.
    2. Eurilton Araújo & Luciane C. Carpena & Alexandre B. Cunha, 2005. "Brazilian Business Cycles and Growth from 1850 to 2000," IBMEC RJ Economics Discussion Papers 2005-05, Economics Research Group, IBMEC Business School - Rio de Janeiro.
    3. Izabel Cristina de Lima & Sueli Moro & Frederico Gonzaga Jayme Junior, 2006. "Ciclos E Previsão Cíclica: Um Modelo De Indicadores Antecedentes Para A Economia Brasileira," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 13, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    4. Vamerson Schwingel Ribeiro & Joilson Dias, 2004. "Índice De Atividade Econômica: Os Modelos De Filtro De Kalman E Box-Jenkins Comparados," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 103, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

  29. Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis & Issler, João Victor & Salvato, Márcio Antônio, 2004. "Principais características do consumo de duráveis no Brasil testes de separabilidade entre duráveis e não-duráveis," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 549, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Fabio Augusto Reis Gomes, 2012. "A Direct test of the permanent income hypothesis: the brazilian case," Brazilian Business Review, Fucape Business School, vol. 9(4), pages 87-102, October.
    2. Paz, Lourenço S. & Gomes, Fábio A. R., 2008. "Consumption in South America: myopia or liquidity constraints?," Insper Working Papers wpe_148, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    3. Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis, 2013. "Gasto do governo e consumo privado: Substitutos ou complementares?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(2), June.
    4. Gomes, Fábio A. R., 2007. "Consumo no Brasil: comportamento otimizador, restrição de crédito ou miopia?," Insper Working Papers wpe_93, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    5. Barros Júnior, Fernando Antônio de & Delalibera, Bruno Ricardo & Pinho Neto, Valdemar Rodrigues de, 2018. "Predictability of Aggregate Consumption in Brazil: habits, Non-Separability between Consumption and Leisure, or Credit Constraint?," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 38(1), May.

  30. Issler, João Victor & Ferreira, Rachel Couto, 2003. "Avaliando pesquisadores e departamentos de economia no Brasil a partir de citações internacionais," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 500, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Otávio J. G. Sidone & Eduardo A. Haddad & Jesús P. Mena-Chalco, 2018. "Produção Científica E Redes De Colaboração Dos Docentes Vinculados Aos Programas De Pós-Graduação Em Economia No Brasil," Anais do XLIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 44th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 8, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    2. Carlos R. Azzoni, 2010. "Making a Great Difference: The Influence of Professor Werner Baer on the Economic Literature in Brazil, and on Brazil," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Hadi Salehi Esfahani & Giovanni Facchini & Geoffrey J. D. Hewings (ed.), Economic Development in Latin America, chapter 19, pages 295-305, Palgrave Macmillan.
    3. Guimaraes, Bernardo, 2011. "Qualis as a measuring stick for research output in Economics," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 31(1), March.
    4. Ian Coelho de Souza Almeida & Rafael Galvão de Almeida & Lucas Resende de Carvalho, 2017. "Academic rankings and pluralism : the case of Brazil and the new version of Qualis," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 569, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.

  31. Lima, Alexandre Maia Correia & Issler, João Victor, 2003. "A hipótese das expectativas na estrutura a termo de juros no Brasil: Uma aplicação de modelos de valor presente," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 480, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Mr. Rodrigo Cabral & Mr. Richard Munclinger & Mr. Luiz Alves & Mr. Marco Rodriguez Waldo, 2011. "On Brazil’s Term Structure: Stylized Facts and Analysis of Macroeconomic Interactions," IMF Working Papers 2011/113, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Caldas M., Gabriel, 2012. "Financial market reaction to central bank monetary policy communications under an inflation- targeting regime: the case of Brazil," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    3. Osmani T. Guillen & Benjamin M. Tabak, 2008. "Characterizing the Brazilian Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers Series 158, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    4. Cortez, Willy Walter & Islas C., Alejandro, 2012. "Mexico: what is the impact of monetary policy on unemployment rates?," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    5. García-Herrero, Alicia & Girardin, Eric & dos Santos, Enestor, 2017. "Do as I do, and also as I say: monetary policy impact on Brazil’s financial markets," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123395, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Moreira, Tito Belchior S., 2011. "Brazil: an empirical study on fiscal policy transmission," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
    7. Júlio Cesar Albuquerque Bastos & Gabriel Caldas Montes, 2011. "Metasde Inflação E Estrutura A Termo Das Taxas De Juros - Uma Análise Dainfluência Da Credibilidade Sobre O Spread Da Taxa De Juros De Longoprazo No Brasil," Anais do XXXVIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 38th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 142, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    8. Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2009. "Testing the long-run implications of the expectation hypothesis using cointegration techniques with structural change," Textos para discussão 175, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
    9. Osmani Teixeira De Carvalho Guillen & José Valentim Machado Vicente, 2011. "Characterizing The Brazilian Termstructure Of Interest Rates In A Cointegrated Var Model," Anais do XXXVIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 38th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 041, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

  32. Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2003. "On the welfare costs of business cycles in the 20th century," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 481, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Márcio Antônio Salvato & João Victor Issler & Angelo Mont'alverne Duarte, 2005. "Are Business Cycles All Alike In Europe?," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 031, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    2. Ensar Yılmaz, 2014. "Welfare Costs of Business Cycles in Turkey," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(2), pages 195-211, May.
    3. Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes & Leandro Gonçalves do Nascimento, 2004. "A Welfare Analysis Of Economic Fluctuations In South America," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32nd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 045, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

  33. Issler, João Victor & Pillar, Tatiana Caldas de Lima Aché, 2002. "Mensurando a produção científica internacional em economia de pesquisadores e departamentos brasileiros," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 454, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Walter Novaes, 2007. "A Pesquisa em Economia no Brasil: Uma avaliação empírica dos conflitos entre quantidade e qualidade," Textos para discussão 553, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
    2. Ian Coelho de Souza Almeida & Rafael Galvão de Almeida & Lucas Resende de Carvalho, 2017. "Academic rankings and pluralism : the case of Brazil and the new version of Qualis," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 569, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.

  34. Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2002. "The missing link: using the NBER recession indicator to construct coincident and leading indices economic activity," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 445, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. João Victor Issler & Hilton Hostalacio Notini & Claudia Fontoura Rodrigues, 2013. "Constructing coincident and leading indices of economic activity for the Brazilian economy," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2012(2), pages 43-65.
    2. Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2020. "GDP Forecast Accuracy During Recessions," Working Papers 20-06, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
    3. Aaron H. Anglin & Aaron F. McKenny & Jeremy C. Short, 2018. "The Impact of Collective Optimism on New Venture Creation and Growth: A Social Contagion Perspective," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 42(3), pages 390-425, May.
    4. Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2016. "Forecasting U.S. Recessions and Economic Activity," Working Papers hal-04141569, HAL.
    5. Issler, Joao Victor & Notini, Hilton & Rodrigues, Claudia & Soares, Ana Flávia, 2013. "Constructing coincident indices of economic activity for the Latin American economy," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(1), April.
    6. Delalibera, Bruno Ricardo & Issler, João Victor & Branco, Roberto da Cunha Castello, 2017. "Using common features to investigate common growth cycles for BRICS Countries," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 784, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    7. Agne Reklaite, 2011. "Coincident, leading and recession indexes for the Lithuanian economy," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 11(1), pages 91-108, July.
    8. Rafael R. S. Guimaraes, 2022. "Deep Learning Macroeconomics," Papers 2201.13380, arXiv.org.
    9. Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Issler, João Victor, 2007. "A panel data approach to economic forecasting: the bias-corrected average forecast," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 650, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    10. Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2014. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 310-335.
    11. Edda Claus & Chew Lian Chua & G. C. Lim, 2011. "Regional Indexes of Activity: Combining the Old with the New," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2011n15, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    12. Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013. "Probability and Severity of Recessions," CIRANO Working Papers 2013s-43, CIRANO.
    13. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2005. "Estimating the stochastic discount factor without a utility function," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 583, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    14. Ham, Hyuna & Ryu, Doojin & Webb, Robert I., 2022. "The effects of overnight events on daytime trading sessions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    15. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2014. "Microfounded Forecasting," Working Papers Series 372, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    16. Alain Hecq, 2005. "Should we really care about building business cycle coincident indexes!," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 141-144.
    17. Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalacio, 2016. "Estimating Brazilian Monthly GDP: a State-Space Approach," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 70(1), March.
    18. Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio & Rodrigues, Claudia Oliveira da Fontoura, 2009. "Um indicador coincidente e antecedente da atividade econômica brasileira," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 695, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    19. Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021. "Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    20. Heij, C., 2007. "Improved forecasting with leading indicators: the principal covariate index," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2007-23, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    21. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & George Athanasopoulos, 2005. "Forecasting Accuracy and Estimation Uncertainty Using VAR Models with Short- and Long-Term Economic Restrictions: A Monte-Carlo Study," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    22. Izabel Cristina de Lima & Sueli Moro & Frederico Gonzaga Jayme Junior, 2006. "Ciclos E Previsão Cíclica: Um Modelo De Indicadores Antecedentes Para A Economia Brasileira," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 13, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    23. G.C. Lim & Viet Hoang Nguyen, 2015. "Alternative Weighting Approaches To Computing Indexes Of Economic Activity," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 287-300, April.
    24. Cubadda, Gianluca & Guardabascio, Barbara & Hecq, Alain, 2013. "A general to specific approach for constructing composite business cycle indicators," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 367-374.
    25. Alexandre Bonnet R. Costa & Pedro Cavalcanti G. Ferreira & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira C. Guillén & João Victor Issler & Artur Brasil Fialho Rodrigues, 2023. "Predicting Recessions in (almost) Real Time in a Big-data Setting," Working Papers Series 587, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    26. Matta Samer, 2015. "New Coincident and Leading Indexes for the Lebanese Economy," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 11(3), pages 277-303, December.
    27. Cubadda, Gianluca & Hecq, Alain, 2003. "The Role of Common Cyclical Features for Coincident and Leading Indexes Building," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp03002, University of Molise, Department of Economics.
    28. Li, Xiao-Lin & Chang, Tsangyao & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "The co-movement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 220-233.
    29. He, Qing & Guo, Yongxiu & Yu, Jishuang, 2020. "Nonlinear dynamics of gold and the dollar," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).

  35. Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti & Issler, João Victor & Pessôa, Samuel de Abreu, 2002. "Testing production functions used in empirical growth studies," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 441, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Axel Dreher & Pierre-Guillaume Méon & Friedrich Schneider, 2012. "The devil is in the shadow. Do institutions affect income and productivity or only official income and official productivity?," Working Papers CEB 12-019, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    2. M. Portela & C.N. Teulings & R. Alessie, 2004. "Measurement Error in Education and Growth Regressions," Working Papers 04-14, Utrecht School of Economics.
    3. Juliana Kikuchi Van Zaist & Luciano Nakabashi & Márcio A. Salvato, 2009. "Retornos privados de educação individual no Paraná," Working Papers 0097, Universidade Federal do Paraná, Department of Economics.
    4. Werneck, Rogério L.F. & Irwin, Timothy & Sturzenegger, Federico & Perry, Guillermo & Servén, Luis & Mihov, Ilian & Giavazzi, Francesco & Blanchard, Olivier & Araújo, Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos & Sues, 2008. "Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth: Prudence or Abstinence?," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 356.
    5. Bjørnskov, Christian & Méon, Pierre-Guillaume, 2015. "The Productivity of Trust," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 317-331.
    6. Pierre-Guillaume Méon & Laurent Weill, 2004. "Does better governance foster efficiency? An aggregate frontier analysis," Economics of Governance, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 75-90, January.
    7. Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira & Joao victor Issler & Samuel de Abreu Pessoa, 2005. "An investigation of cross-country incme differences," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 20(2), pages 3-22, December.
    8. Ricardo Correa Cangussu & Marcio Antonio Salvato & Luciano Nakabashi, 2008. "An analysis of human capital on the Brazilian States income level: MRW versus Mincer," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807211041150, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    9. Teles, Vladimir Kuhl & Cardoso, Eliana A., 2010. "A brief history of Brazil's growth," Textos para discussão 241, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
    10. Gerhard Glomm & Felix Rioja, 2012. "The Generational Effects of Fiscal Policy in a Small Open Economy," Public Finance Review, , vol. 40(2), pages 151-176, March.
    11. Guillermo Perry & Luis Servén & Rodrigo Suescún, 2008. "Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth : Prudence or Abstinence," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 6818.
    12. Juliana K. Van Zaist & Luciano Nakabashi & Márcio A. Salvato, 2008. "Retorno em Escolaridade no Paraná," Working Papers 0072, Universidade Federal do Paraná, Department of Economics.
    13. Pierre‐Guillaume Méon & Khalid Sekkat & Laurent Weill, 2009. "Institutional Changes Now And Benefits Tomorrow: How Soon Is Tomorrow?," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(2), pages 319-357, July.

  36. Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2001. "The missing link: using the NBER recessions indicator to construct coincident and leading indices of economic activity," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 429, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. João Victor Issler & Hilton Hostalacio Notini & Claudia Fontoura Rodrigues, 2013. "Constructing coincident and leading indices of economic activity for the Brazilian economy," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2012(2), pages 43-65.
    2. Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2020. "GDP Forecast Accuracy During Recessions," Working Papers 20-06, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
    3. Aaron H. Anglin & Aaron F. McKenny & Jeremy C. Short, 2018. "The Impact of Collective Optimism on New Venture Creation and Growth: A Social Contagion Perspective," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 42(3), pages 390-425, May.
    4. Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2016. "Forecasting U.S. Recessions and Economic Activity," Working Papers hal-04141569, HAL.
    5. Issler, Joao Victor & Notini, Hilton & Rodrigues, Claudia & Soares, Ana Flávia, 2013. "Constructing coincident indices of economic activity for the Latin American economy," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(1), April.
    6. Delalibera, Bruno Ricardo & Issler, João Victor & Branco, Roberto da Cunha Castello, 2017. "Using common features to investigate common growth cycles for BRICS Countries," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 784, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    7. Agne Reklaite, 2011. "Coincident, leading and recession indexes for the Lithuanian economy," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 11(1), pages 91-108, July.
    8. Rafael R. S. Guimaraes, 2022. "Deep Learning Macroeconomics," Papers 2201.13380, arXiv.org.
    9. Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Issler, João Victor, 2007. "A panel data approach to economic forecasting: the bias-corrected average forecast," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 650, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    10. Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2014. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 310-335.
    11. Edda Claus & Chew Lian Chua & G. C. Lim, 2011. "Regional Indexes of Activity: Combining the Old with the New," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2011n15, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    12. Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013. "Probability and Severity of Recessions," CIRANO Working Papers 2013s-43, CIRANO.
    13. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2005. "Estimating the stochastic discount factor without a utility function," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 583, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    14. Ham, Hyuna & Ryu, Doojin & Webb, Robert I., 2022. "The effects of overnight events on daytime trading sessions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    15. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2014. "Microfounded Forecasting," Working Papers Series 372, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    16. Alain Hecq, 2005. "Should we really care about building business cycle coincident indexes!," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 141-144.
    17. Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalacio, 2016. "Estimating Brazilian Monthly GDP: a State-Space Approach," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 70(1), March.
    18. Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalácio & Rodrigues, Claudia Oliveira da Fontoura, 2009. "Um indicador coincidente e antecedente da atividade econômica brasileira," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 695, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    19. Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021. "Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    20. Heij, C., 2007. "Improved forecasting with leading indicators: the principal covariate index," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2007-23, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    21. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & George Athanasopoulos, 2005. "Forecasting Accuracy and Estimation Uncertainty Using VAR Models with Short- and Long-Term Economic Restrictions: A Monte-Carlo Study," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    22. Izabel Cristina de Lima & Sueli Moro & Frederico Gonzaga Jayme Junior, 2006. "Ciclos E Previsão Cíclica: Um Modelo De Indicadores Antecedentes Para A Economia Brasileira," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 13, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    23. G.C. Lim & Viet Hoang Nguyen, 2015. "Alternative Weighting Approaches To Computing Indexes Of Economic Activity," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(2), pages 287-300, April.
    24. Cubadda, Gianluca & Guardabascio, Barbara & Hecq, Alain, 2013. "A general to specific approach for constructing composite business cycle indicators," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 367-374.
    25. Alexandre Bonnet R. Costa & Pedro Cavalcanti G. Ferreira & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira C. Guillén & João Victor Issler & Artur Brasil Fialho Rodrigues, 2023. "Predicting Recessions in (almost) Real Time in a Big-data Setting," Working Papers Series 587, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    26. Matta Samer, 2015. "New Coincident and Leading Indexes for the Lebanese Economy," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 11(3), pages 277-303, December.
    27. Cubadda, Gianluca & Hecq, Alain, 2003. "The Role of Common Cyclical Features for Coincident and Leading Indexes Building," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp03002, University of Molise, Department of Economics.
    28. Li, Xiao-Lin & Chang, Tsangyao & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "The co-movement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 220-233.
    29. He, Qing & Guo, Yongxiu & Yu, Jishuang, 2020. "Nonlinear dynamics of gold and the dollar," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).

  37. Vahid, Farshid & Issler, João Victor, 2001. "The importance of common cyclical features in VAR analysis: a Monte-Carlo study," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 417, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2011. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 713, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    2. Hendry, David F. & Martinez, Andrew B., 2017. "Evaluating multi-step system forecasts with relatively few forecast-error observations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 359-372.
    3. João Victor Issler & Hilton Hostalacio Notini & Claudia Fontoura Rodrigues, 2013. "Constructing coincident and leading indices of economic activity for the Brazilian economy," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2012(2), pages 43-65.
    4. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Seema Narayan, 2008. "Do Permanent Shocks Explain Income Levels? A Common Cycle–Common Trend Analysis Of Regional Income Levels For China," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(5), pages 656-662, December.
    5. Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique Carrasco & Souza, Reinaldo Castro & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2009. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 29(1), May.
    6. Marco Centoni & Gianluca Cubadda, 2015. "Common Feature Analysis of Economic Time Series: An Overview and Recent Developments," CEIS Research Paper 355, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 05 Oct 2015.
    7. Hecq, A.W. & Issler, J.V., 2012. "A common-feature approach for testing present-value restrictions with financial data," Research Memorandum 006, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    8. Neri, Marcelo Côrtes & Soares, Wagner Lopes, 2008. "Turismo sustentável e alivio a pobreza: avaliação de impacto," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 689, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    9. Franchi, Massimo & Paruolo, Paolo, 2011. "A characterization of vector autoregressive processes with common cyclical features," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 163(1), pages 105-117, July.
    10. Tu, Yundong & Yao, Qiwei & Zhang, Rongmao, 2020. "Error-correction factor models for high-dimensional cointegrated time series," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 106994, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    11. Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Sala, Luca, 2006. "VARs, common factors and the empirical validation of equilibrium business cycle models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 257-279, May.
    12. Issler, Joao Victor & Notini, Hilton & Rodrigues, Claudia & Soares, Ana Flávia, 2013. "Constructing coincident indices of economic activity for the Latin American economy," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(1), April.
    13. OGAWA, Eiji & 小川, 英治 & WANG, Zhiqian, 2014. "How Did the Global Financial Crisis Misalign East Asian Currencies?," Working Paper Series G-1-8, Hitotsubashi University Center for Financial Research.
    14. Delalibera, Bruno Ricardo & Issler, João Victor & Branco, Roberto da Cunha Castello, 2017. "Using common features to investigate common growth cycles for BRICS Countries," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 784, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    15. Fitzgibbon, L.J., 2006. "On sampling stationary autoregressive model parameters uniformly in r2 value," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 76(4), pages 349-352, February.
    16. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Smyth, Russell, 2011. "Energy consumption at business cycle horizons: The case of the United States," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 161-167, March.
    17. Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2014. "Forecasting Multivariate Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 753, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    18. Anderson, Heather M. & Vahid, Farshid, 2007. "Forecasting the Volatility of Australian Stock Returns: Do Common Factors Help?," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 25, pages 76-90, January.
    19. Trenkler, Carsten & Weber, Enzo, 2012. "Codependent VAR Models and the Pseudo-Structural Form," Working Papers 12-10, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics.
    20. Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Issler, João Victor, 2007. "A panel data approach to economic forecasting: the bias-corrected average forecast," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 650, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    21. Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2014. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 310-335.
    22. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2005. "Estimating the stochastic discount factor without a utility function," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 583, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    23. Sun, Wenbin & Price, Joseph & Ding, Yuan, 2019. "The longitudinal effects of internationalization on firm performance: The moderating role of marketing capability," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 326-337.
    24. Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2008. "An investigation of the behaviour of Australia's business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 676-683, July.
    25. Tim M Christensen & Stan Hurn & Adrian Pagan, 2009. "Detecting Common Dynamics in Transitory Components," NCER Working Paper Series 49, National Centre for Econometric Research.
    26. Carsten Trenkler & Enzo Weber, 2020. "Identifying shocks to business cycles with asynchronous propagation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 1815-1836, April.
    27. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2014. "Microfounded Forecasting," Working Papers Series 372, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    28. Vahid, Farshid & Issler, Joao Victor, 2002. "The importance of common cyclical features in VAR analysis: a Monte-Carlo study," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 341-363, August.
    29. Alasdair Scott & George Kapetanios & Adrian Pagan, 2005. "Making a match: combining theory and evidence in policy-oriented macroeconomic modelling," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 462, Society for Computational Economics.
    30. Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "The Effect of Data Transformation on Common Cycle, Cointegration and Unit Root Tests: Monte Carlo Results and a Simple Test," Departmental Working Papers 200322, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    31. Gaolu Zou & Kwong Wing Chau, 2020. "Effects of International Crude Oil Prices on Energy Consumption in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-17, July.
    32. OGAWA Eiji & Zhiqian WANG, 2013. "How Did the Global Financial Crisis Misalign East Asian Currencies?," Discussion papers 13096, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    33. Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021. "Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    34. Heather M Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2010. "VARs, Cointegration and Common Cycle Restrictions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/10, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    35. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & George Athanasopoulos, 2005. "Forecasting Accuracy and Estimation Uncertainty Using VAR Models with Short- and Long-Term Economic Restrictions: A Monte-Carlo Study," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    36. Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2008. "Estimating exchange rate responsiveness to shocks," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 338-351, December.
    37. Alain Hecq & Franz Palm & Jean-Pierre Urbain, 2000. "Testing for Common Cyclical Features in Nonstationary Panel Data Models," CESifo Working Paper Series 248, CESifo.
    38. Issler, Joao Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2001. "Common cycles and the importance of transitory shocks to macroeconomic aggregates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 449-475, June.
    39. Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2008. "Understanding the importance of permanent and transitory shocks at business cycle horizons for the UK," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(12), pages 2879-2888.
    40. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2008. "Estimating exchange rate responsiveness to shocks," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 17(4), pages 338-351, December.
    41. Yin-Wong Cheung & Frank Westermann, 2003. "Sectoral trends and cycles in Germany," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 141-156, January.
    42. Carrasco Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique & Castro Souza, Reinaldo & Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani, 2009. "Selection of optimal lag length in cointegrated VAR models with weak form of common cyclical features," MPRA Paper 22550, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    43. Marco Centoni & Gianluca Cubadda, 2011. "Modelling Comovements of Economic Time Series: A Selective Survey," CEIS Research Paper 215, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 26 Oct 2011.
    44. Jorge Herrera Hernández, 2004. "Business cycles in Mexico and the United States: Do they share common movements?," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 7, pages 303-323, November.
    45. Athanasopouolos, George & Poskitt, Don & Vahid, Farshid & Yao, Wenying, 2014. "Forecasting with EC-VARMA models," Working Papers 2014-07, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, revised 22 Feb 2014.
    46. Cubadda, Gianluca & Hecq, Alain, 2003. "The Role of Common Cyclical Features for Coincident and Leading Indexes Building," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp03002, University of Molise, Department of Economics.
    47. Paresh Narayan, 2008. "Common Trends and Common Cycles in Per Capita GDP: The Case of the G7 Countries, 1870–2001," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 14(3), pages 280-290, August.
    48. Alain Hecq & Franz Palm & Jean-Pierre Urbain, 2001. "Testing for Common Cyclical Features in Var Models with Cointegration," CESifo Working Paper Series 451, CESifo.
    49. Justyna Wróblewska, 2015. "Common Trends and Common Cycles – Bayesian Approach," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 7(2), pages 91-110, June.
    50. Burak Alparslan Eroğlu & Deniz İkizlerli & Numan Ülkü, 2024. "A mixed-frequency VAR application to studying joint dynamics of foreign investor trading and stock market returns," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(1), pages 47-73, July.
    51. Li, Xiao-Lin & Chang, Tsangyao & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "The co-movement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 220-233.
    52. Götz, T.B. & Hecq, A.W. & Urbain, J.R.Y.J., 2013. "Testing for common cycles in non-stationary VARs with varied frecquency data," Research Memorandum 002, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).

  38. Issler, João Victor & Piqueira, Natália Scotto, 2000. "Estimando a Aversão ao Risco, a Taxa de Desconto Intertemporal, e a Substutibilidade Intertemporal do Consumo no Brasil usando Três tipos de Função Utilidade (Versão Preliminar)," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 387, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Kihlstrom, Richard, 2000. "Monopoly power in dynamic securities markets," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 428, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

  39. Senna, Fernanda Assed de Almeida & Issler, João Victor, 2000. "Mobilidade de capitais e movimentos da conta corrente do Brasil: 1947-1997," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 379, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Holanda Oliveira, Lucio Hellery & Carrasco Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique, 2015. "The Dynamics of the Brazilian Current Account with Rule of Thumb Consumers," MPRA Paper 66079, University Library of Munich, Germany.

  40. Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira & Samuel deAbreu Pessoa & Joao Victor Issler, 2000. "On the Nature of Income Inequality Across Nations," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1487, Econometric Society.

    Cited by:

    1. Cysne, Rubens Penha, 2000. "A note on an application of Arrow's theorem: sufficient conditions for Lucas' inflation and welfare," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 397, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    2. Samuel de Abreu Pessôa, 2001. "Um Modelo de Acumulação de Capital Físico e Humano: Um Diálogo Com a Economia do Trabalho," Anais do XXIX Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 29th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 035, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    3. Milton Barossi-Filho & Ricardo Gonçalves Silva & Eliezer Martins Diniz, 2005. "The empirics of the Solow growth model: Long-term evidence," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 8, pages 31-51, May.
    4. Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, 2002. "Estrutura Competitiva, Produtividade Industrial e Liberação Comercial no Brasil," Working Papers Series 44, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    5. Betarelli, Admir Antonio & Domingues, Edson Paulo & Hewings, Geoffrey John Dennis, 2020. "Transport policy, rail freight sector and market structure: The economic effects in Brazil," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 1-23.
    6. Jess Enrique Morales Pi?ro, 2004. "Labour Market Frictions, Social Policies, and Barriers to Technology Adoption," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 633.04, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
    7. Barossi-Filho, Milton & Goncalves Silva, Ricardo & Diniz, Eliezer Martins, 2005. "The empirics of the Solow Growth Model: Long-term evidence," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 8(1), pages 1-21, May.
    8. Proque, Andressa Lemes & Betarelli Junior, Admir Antonio & Perobelli, Fernando Salgueiro, 2022. "Fuel tax, cross subsidy and transport: Assessing the effects on income and consumption distribution in Brazil," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).

  41. Issler, João Victor, 1999. "Estimating and forecasting the volatility of Brazilian finance series using arch models (Preliminary Version)," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 347, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2008. "Testing the Hypothesis of Contagion Using Multivariate Volatility Models," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 28(2), November.
    2. José Fajardo & Aquiles Farias, 2002. "Generalized Hyperbolic Distributions and Brazilian Data," Working Papers Series 52, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    3. Fajardo, J. & Cajueiro, D. O., 2003. "Volatility Estimation and Option Pricing with Fractional Brownian Motion," Finance Lab Working Papers flwp_53, Finance Lab, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    4. Marçal, Emerson F. & Valls Pereira, Pedro L., 2008. "Testando A Hipótese De Contágio A Partir De Modelos Multivariados De Volatilidade [Testing the contagion hypotheses using multivariate volatility models]," MPRA Paper 10356, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Barbachan, José Fajardo & Schuschny, Andrés Ricardo & Silva, André de Castro, 2001. "Lévy processes and the Brazilian market," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 21(2), November.

  42. Issler, João Victor & Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti, 1998. "Time-series properties and empirical evidence of growth and infraestructure: revised version," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 336, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Vahid, Farshid & Issler, Joao Victor, 2002. "The importance of common cyclical features in VAR analysis: a Monte-Carlo study," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 341-363, August.
    2. Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti & Pereira, Ricardo A. de castro, 2008. "Efeitos de Crescimento e Bem-estar da Lei de Parceria Público-Privada no Brasil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 62(2), October.
    3. Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti & Nascimento, Leandro Gonçalves do, 2005. "Welfare and growth effects of alternative fiscal rules for infrastructure investment in Brazil," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 604, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

  43. Reis, Eustáquio J. & Blanco, Fernando & Issler, João Victor & Carvalho, Leonardo de, 1998. "Renda permanente e poupança precaucional: evidências empíricas para o Brasil no passado recente: versão revisada," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 338, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Paz, Lourenço S. & Gomes, Fábio A. R., 2008. "Consumption in South America: myopia or liquidity constraints?," Insper Working Papers wpe_148, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    2. Gomes, Fábio A. R., 2007. "Consumo no Brasil: comportamento otimizador, restrição de crédito ou miopia?," Insper Working Papers wpe_93, Insper Working Paper, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    3. Gesteira Costa, Marcos & Carrasco-Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique, 2015. "Testing the Optimality of Consumption Decisions of the Representative Household: Evidence from Brazil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 69(3), September.
    4. Issler, João Victor & Piqueira, Natália Scotto, 2000. "Estimando a Aversão ao Risco, a Taxa de Desconto Intertemporal, e a Substutibilidade Intertemporal do Consumo no Brasil usando Três tipos de Função Utilidade (Versão Preliminar)," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 387, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

  44. Issler, João Victor & Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira, 1997. "Public debt sustainability and endogenous seignorage in Brazil: time-series evidence from 1947-92," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 306, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Amir Kia, 2005. "Sustainability of the Fiscal Process in Developing Countries- Egypt, Iran and Turkey: A Multicointegration Approach – revised version: Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Countries: Evidence from Iran a," Carleton Economic Papers 05-08, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2008.
    2. Ohana, Eduardo Felipe, 1997. "The Brazilian 1994 stabilization plan: an analytical view," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 307, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

  45. Gonzaga, Gustavo Maurício & Corseuil, Carlos Henrique & Issler, João Victor, 1997. "Desemprego regional no Brasil: uma abordagem empírica," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 302, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis & da Silva, Cleomar Gomes, 2009. "Hysteresis versus NAIRU and convergence versus divergence: The behavior of regional unemployment rates in Brazil," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 308-322, May.
    2. Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes & Cleomar Gomes da Silva, 2006. "Hysteresis Vs. Nairu And Convergence Vs. Divergence: The Behavior Of Regional Unemployment Rates In Brazil," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 161, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    3. Ricardo Gonçalves Silva & Marinho Gomes Andrade & Milton Barossi-Filho, 2004. "Understanding Brazilian Unemployment Structure: A Mixed Autoregressive Approach," Econometrics 0408003, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 13 Aug 2004.
    4. Gonçalves, Antonio Carlos Porto, 1998. "Currency accounting in Central Bank balance sheet," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 326, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    5. Lima, Elcyon Caiado Rocha, 2003. "The NAIRU, Unemployment and the Rate of Inflation in Brazil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 57(4), October.
    6. Ohana, Eduardo Felipe, 1997. "The Brazilian 1994 stabilization plan: an analytical view," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 307, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    7. Cysne, Rubens Penha & Costa, Sergio Gustavo Silveira da, 1997. "Effects of the real plan of the Brazilian banking system," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 304, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    8. de Figueiredo, Erik Alencar, 2010. "Dynamics of regional unemployment rates in Brazil: Fractional behavior, structural breaks, and Markov switching," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 900-908, September.
    9. Oliveira, Paulo Felipe de & Carvalho, José Raimundo, 2016. "Regional Labor Market Differences in Brazil and Search Frictions: Some Structural Estimates," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 70(1), March.

  46. Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti & Issler, João Victor, 1995. "Growth, increasing returns, and public infrastructure : time series evidence," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 258, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Spiros Bougheas & Panicos Demetriades & Edgar Morgenroth, 1996. "Infrastructure, Transport Costs and Trade," Keele Department of Economics Discussion Papers (1995-2001) 96/7, Department of Economics, Keele University.
    2. Mendes, Sergio Magno & Teixeira, Erly Cardoso & Salvato, Marcio Antonio, 2008. "Effect of infrastructure investments on total factor productivity (TFP) in Brazilian agriculture," Working Papers in Applied Economics 53441, Universidade Federal de Vicosa, Departamento de Economia Rural.
    3. Mendes, Sergio Magno & Salvato, Marcio Antonio & Teixeira, Erly Cardoso & Mendes, Sérgio Magno, 2009. "Investimentos em Infra-Estrutura e Produtividade Total dos Fatores na Agricultura Brasileira, 1985 - 2004," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 63(2), June.

  47. Engle, R. F. & Issler, João Victor, 1994. "Estimating sectoral cycles using cointegration and common features," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 232, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Liang, Chyi-Lyi (Kathleen) & Feuz, Dillon M. & Taylor, R. Garth, 1997. "Cointegration Tests of Spatial and Variety Price Linkages in Regional Dry Bean Markets," 1997 Annual Meeting, July 13-16, 1997, Reno\ Sparks, Nevada 35787, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    2. Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2002. "The missing link: using the NBER recession indicator to construct coincident and leading indices economic activity," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 450, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    3. Chan Swee Lean, 2001. "Empirical tests to discern linkages between construction and other economic sectors in Singapore," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 355-363.
    4. Calcagnini, Giorgio, 1995. "Common trends and common cycles in international labor productivity," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 179-184, May.
    5. Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez & Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes, 2009. "Evidence on Common Features and Business Cycle Synchronization in Mercosur," Fucape Working Papers 15, Fucape Business School.
    6. Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2001. "The missing link: using the NBER recessions indicator to construct coincident and leading indices of economic activity," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 429, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    7. Swee-Lean Chan, 2002. "Responses of selected economic indicators to construction output shocks: the case of Singapore," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 523-533.
    8. Lucke, Bernd, 1998. "Productivity shocks in a sectoral real business cycle model for West Germany," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 311-327, February.

  48. Vahid, Farshid & Issler, João Victor, 1994. "Common cycles in macroeconomic aggregates," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 233, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

    Cited by:

    1. Michel Beine & Bertrand Candelon & Alain Hecq, 2000. "Assessing a Perfect European Optimum Currency Area: A Common Cycles Approach," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 27(2), pages 115-132, June.
    2. Engle, Robert F. & Issler, Joao Victor, 1995. "Estimating common sectoral cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 83-113, February.
    3. Alain Hecq & Franz Palm & Jean-Pierre Urbain, 2000. "Testing for Common Cyclical Features in Nonstationary Panel Data Models," CESifo Working Paper Series 248, CESifo.
    4. Ana María Cerro & José Pineda, 2002. "Latin American growth cycles. Empirical evidence: 1960 - 2000," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 29(1 Year 20), pages 89-108, June.

Articles

  1. Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Giacomini, Raffaella & Issler, João Victor & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2022. "Incentive-driven inattention," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(1), pages 188-212.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021. "Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Costa, Alexandre Bonnet R. & Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti G. & Gaglianone, Wagner P. & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira C. & Issler, João Victor & Lin, Yihao, 2021. "Machine learning and oil price point and density forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Alain Hecq & Joao Victor Issler & Sean Telg, 2020. "Mixed causal–noncausal autoregressions with exogenous regressors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(3), pages 328-343, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Issler, João Victor & Pimentel, Luana Moreira de Miranda, 2019. "Uma medida de PIB Mensal para o Brasil usando o Term Spread," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 73(1), March.

    Cited by:

    1. Alexandre Bonnet R. Costa & Pedro Cavalcanti G. Ferreira & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira C. Guillén & João Victor Issler & Artur Brasil Fialho Rodrigues, 2023. "Predicting Recessions in (almost) Real Time in a Big-data Setting," Working Papers Series 587, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.

  6. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2017. "Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 137-163, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Yara de Almeida Campos Cordeiro & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2017. "Inattention in individual expectations," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 17(1), pages 40-59.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Castro, Andressa Monteiro de & Issler, João Victor, 2016. "Consumption-Wealth Ratio and Expected Stock Returns: Evidence from Panel Data on G7 Countries," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 70(4), December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalacio, 2016. "Estimating Brazilian Monthly GDP: a State-Space Approach," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 70(1), March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. da Costa, Carlos E. & Issler, João V. & Matos, Paulo F., 2015. "A Note On The Forward And The Equity Premium Puzzles: Two Symptoms Of The Same Illness?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(2), pages 446-464, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo, 2015. "Forecasting multivariate time series under present-value model short- and long-run co-movement restrictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 862-875.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2014. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 62-78.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2014. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 310-335.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. João Victor Issler & Hilton Hostalacio Notini & Claudia Fontoura Rodrigues, 2013. "Constructing coincident and leading indices of economic activity for the Brazilian economy," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2012(2), pages 43-65.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. Issler, Joao Victor & Notini, Hilton & Rodrigues, Claudia & Soares, Ana Flávia, 2013. "Constructing coincident indices of economic activity for the Latin American economy," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(1), April.

    Cited by:

    1. Shirly Siew-Ling Wong & Toh-Hao Tan & Shazali Abu Mansor & Venus Khim-Sen Liew, 2018. "Rethinking and Moving Beyond GDP: A New Measure of Sarawak Economy Panorama," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(12), pages 127-133, December.
    2. Issler, João Victor & Notini, Hilton Hostalacio, 2016. "Estimating Brazilian Monthly GDP: a State-Space Approach," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 70(1), March.
    3. Matta, Samer, 2014. "New coincident and leading indicators for the Lebanese economy," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6950, The World Bank.

  16. Issler, João Victor & Linton, Oliver & Timmermann, Allan, 2011. "Annals issue on forecasting--Guest editors' introduction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 1-3, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2020. "Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses," Working Papers 2020-16, Princeton University. Economics Department..

  17. Athanasopoulos, George & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2011. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 116-129, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  18. Issler, João Victor & Lima, Luiz Renato, 2009. "A panel data approach to economic forecasting: The bias-corrected average forecast," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 152(2), pages 153-164, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  19. Issler, Joao Victor & de Mello Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos & de Carvalho Guillen, Osmani Teixeira, 2008. "The welfare cost of macroeconomic uncertainty in the post-war period," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 98(2), pages 167-175, February.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  20. Issler, Joao Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2006. "The missing link: using the NBER recession indicator to construct coincident and leading indices of economic activity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 281-303, May.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  21. Anderson, Heather M. & Victor Issler, Joao & Vahid, Farshid, 2006. "Common features," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 1-5, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Smyth, Russell, 2011. "Energy consumption at business cycle horizons: The case of the United States," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 161-167, March.
    2. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2005. "Estimating the stochastic discount factor without a utility function," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 583, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    3. Håvard Hungnes, 2012. "Testing for co-non-linearity," Discussion Papers 699, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
    4. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & George Athanasopoulos, 2005. "Forecasting Accuracy and Estimation Uncertainty Using VAR Models with Short- and Long-Term Economic Restrictions: A Monte-Carlo Study," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    5. Hecq, Alain & Palm, Franz C. & Urbain, Jean-Pierre, 2006. "Common cyclical features analysis in VAR models with cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 117-141, May.

  22. Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis & Issler, João Victor & Salvato, Márcio Antônio, 2005. "Principais Características do Consumo de Duráveis no Brasil e Testes de Separabilidade entre Duráveis e Não-Duráveis," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 59(1), January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  23. Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti & Issler, Joao Victor & de Abreu Pessoa, Samuel, 2004. "Testing production functions used in empirical growth studies," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(1), pages 29-35, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  24. Lima, Alexandre Maia Correia & Issler, João Victor, 2003. "A Hipótese das Expectativas na Estrutura a Termo de Juros no Brasil: Uma Aplicação de Modelos de Valor Presente," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 57(4), October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  25. Vahid, Farshid & Issler, Joao Victor, 2002. "The importance of common cyclical features in VAR analysis: a Monte-Carlo study," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 341-363, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  26. Issler, Joao Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2001. "Common cycles and the importance of transitory shocks to macroeconomic aggregates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 449-475, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Athanasopoulos, George & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2011. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 713, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    2. Granger, Clive W.J. & Teräsvirta, Timo & Patton, Andrew J, 2002. "Common Factors in Conditional Distributions," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt3bd1n1x5, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
    3. James M. Nason & George A. Slotsve, 2004. "Along the New Keynesian Phillips curve with nominal and real rigidities," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2004-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    4. Giorgio Calcagnini & Germana Giombini & Giuseppe Travaglini, 2021. "The Productivity Gap Among Major European Countries, USA and Japan," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 7(1), pages 59-78, March.
    5. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Seema Narayan, 2008. "Do Permanent Shocks Explain Income Levels? A Common Cycle–Common Trend Analysis Of Regional Income Levels For China," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(5), pages 656-662, December.
    6. Marco Centoni & Gianluca Cubadda, 2015. "Common Feature Analysis of Economic Time Series: An Overview and Recent Developments," CEIS Research Paper 355, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 05 Oct 2015.
    7. Alain W. HECQ, 2005. "Common Trends and Common Cycles in Latin America: A 2-step vs an Iterative Approach," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 258, Society for Computational Economics.
    8. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq & Sean Telg, 2018. "Detecting Co-Movements in Noncausal Time Series," CEIS Research Paper 430, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 23 Apr 2018.
    9. Hecq, A.W. & Issler, J.V., 2012. "A common-feature approach for testing present-value restrictions with financial data," Research Memorandum 006, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    10. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq & Elisa Voisin, 2023. "Detecting Common Bubbles in Multivariate Mixed Causal-noncausal Models," CEIS Research Paper 555, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 27 Feb 2023.
    11. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho de Guillén & Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araújo, 2005. "O Mecanismo De Transmissão Da Taxa De Câmbio Para Índices De Preços: Uma Análise Vecm Para O Brasil," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 034, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    12. Jun Ma & Mark E. Wohar, 2013. "An Unobserved Components Model that Yields Business and Medium‐Run Cycles," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(7), pages 1351-1373, October.
    13. Tu, Yundong & Yao, Qiwei & Zhang, Rongmao, 2020. "Error-correction factor models for high-dimensional cointegrated time series," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 106994, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    14. Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Sala, Luca, 2006. "VARs, common factors and the empirical validation of equilibrium business cycle models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 257-279, May.
    15. Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2002. "The missing link: using the NBER recession indicator to construct coincident and leading indices economic activity," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 450, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    16. Delalibera, Bruno Ricardo & Issler, João Victor & Branco, Roberto da Cunha Castello, 2017. "Using common features to investigate common growth cycles for BRICS Countries," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 784, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    17. Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho & Issler, João Victor & Franco-Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello, 2014. "On the welfare costs of business-cycle fluctuations and economic-growth variation in the 20th century and beyond," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 62-78.
    18. Chen, Xiaoshan & Mills, Terence C., 2009. "Evaluating growth cycle synchronisation in the EU," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 342-351, March.
    19. Neri, Marcelo Côrtes, 2014. "Brazil's middle classes," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 759, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    20. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Smyth, Russell, 2011. "Energy consumption at business cycle horizons: The case of the United States," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 161-167, March.
    21. Castillo, Ramón & Flores, Carlos & Rodríguez, María, 2013. "The relative importance of the service sector in the mexican economy: A time series Analysis," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 80, pages 133-151, June.
    22. Franco Neto, Afonso Arinos de Mello & Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2006. "The welfare cost of macroeconomic uncertainty in the post-war period," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 624, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    23. Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2014. "Forecasting Multivariate Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 753, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    24. Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Issler, João Victor, 2007. "A panel data approach to economic forecasting: the bias-corrected average forecast," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 650, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    25. Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2014. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 310-335.
    26. Alain Hecq & Elisa Voisin, 2023. "Predicting Crashes in Oil Prices During The Covid-19 Pandemic with Mixed Causal-Noncausal Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park: Econometric Methodology in Empirical Applications, volume 45, pages 209-233, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    27. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillény & João Victor Issler & Afonso Arinos de Mello Franco-Neto, 2012. "On the Welfare Costs of Business-Cycle Fluctuations and Economic-Growth Variation in the 20th Century," Working Papers Series 284, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    28. Jorge Herrera Hernández & Ramón A. Castillo Ponce, 2003. "Trends and cycles: How important are long- and short-run restictions? The case of Mexico," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 18(1), pages 133-155.
    29. James M. Nason & Donald G. Paterson & Ronald A. Shearer, 2003. "Bulk commodities and the Liverpool and London markets of the mid-19th century," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-29, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    30. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2005. "Estimating the stochastic discount factor without a utility function," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 583, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    31. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2011. "Are shocks to tourism transitory at business cycle horizons?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(16), pages 2071-2077.
    32. Ramon A. CASTILLO PONCE & Ramon de Jesus RAMIREZ ACOSTA, 2008. "Economic Integration In North America," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 8(2), pages 111-122.
    33. Surajit Deb, 2003. "Terms of Trade and Supply Response of Indian Agriculture: Analysis in Cointegration Framework," Working papers 115, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
    34. Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2008. "An investigation of the behaviour of Australia's business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 676-683, July.
    35. Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2014. "Microfounded Forecasting," Working Papers Series 372, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    36. Timo Terasvirta & Clive W.J Granger & Andrew Patton, 2003. "Common factors in conditional distributions for Bivariate time series," FMG Discussion Papers dp455, Financial Markets Group.
    37. Vahid, Farshid & Issler, Joao Victor, 2002. "The importance of common cyclical features in VAR analysis: a Monte-Carlo study," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 341-363, August.
    38. Márcio Antônio Salvato & João Victor Issler & Angelo Mont'alverne Duarte, 2005. "Are Business Cycles All Alike In Europe?," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 031, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    39. Justyna Wróblewska, 2012. "Bayesian Analysis of Weak Form Polynomial Reduced Rank Structures in VEC Models," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 4(4), pages 253-267, December.
    40. Ramón A. Castillo Ponce & Jorge Herrera Hernández, 2005. "Efecto del gasto público sobre el gasto privado en México," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 20(2), pages 173-196.
    41. Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "The Effect of Data Transformation on Common Cycle, Cointegration and Unit Root Tests: Monte Carlo Results and a Simple Test," Departmental Working Papers 200322, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    42. Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez & Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes, 2009. "Evidence on Common Features and Business Cycle Synchronization in Mercosur," Fucape Working Papers 15, Fucape Business School.
    43. Calcagnini, Giorgio & Travaglini, Giuseppe, 2014. "A time series analysis of labor productivity. Italy versus the European countries and the U.S," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 622-628.
    44. Elizabeth C. Wakerly & Byron G. Scott & James M. Nason, 2006. "Common trends and common cycles in Canada: who knew so much has been going on?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(1), pages 320-347, February.
    45. Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2001. "The missing link: using the NBER recessions indicator to construct coincident and leading indices of economic activity," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 429, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    46. Bilgili, Faik, 2006. "Random walk, excess smoothness or excess sensitivity? Evidence from literature and an application for Turkish economy," MPRA Paper 24086, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jul 2010.
    47. Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021. "Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    48. Issler, João Victor & Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho, 2003. "On the welfare costs of business cycles in the 20th century," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 481, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    49. Rita D'Ecclesia & Mauro Costantini, 2006. "Comovements and correlations in international stock markets," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(6-7), pages 567-582.
    50. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2010. "Modelling health and output at business cycle horizons for the USA," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(7), pages 872-880, July.
    51. Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis & Issler, João Victor, 2014. "Testing consumption optimality using aggregate data," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 756, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    52. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & Alain Hecq & João Victor Issler & Diogo Saraiva, 2013. "Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," Working Papers Series 330, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    53. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & George Athanasopoulos, 2005. "Forecasting Accuracy and Estimation Uncertainty Using VAR Models with Short- and Long-Term Economic Restrictions: A Monte-Carlo Study," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    54. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Common cycles and common trends in the stock and oil markets: Evidence from more than 150years of data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 72-86.
    55. Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2008. "Estimating exchange rate responsiveness to shocks," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 338-351, December.
    56. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Seema Narayan, 2008. "The role of permanent and transitory shocks in explaining international health expenditures," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(10), pages 1171-1186, October.
    57. Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2008. "Understanding the importance of permanent and transitory shocks at business cycle horizons for the UK," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(12), pages 2879-2888.
    58. María de Lourdes RODRÍGUEZ-ESPINOSA & Ramón A. CASTILLO-PONCE, 2017. "Synchronization of Economic Activity between Dollarized Economies and the United States. The cases of Ecuador and El Salvador," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 17(1), pages 89-100.
    59. Herrera Hernandez, Jorge, 2004. "Business cycles in Mexico and the United States: Do they share common movements?," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 7(2), pages 1-21, November.
    60. Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2008. "Estimating exchange rate responsiveness to shocks," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 17(4), pages 338-351, December.
    61. Alexandre Bonnet R. Costa & Pedro Cavalcanti G. Ferreira & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Osmani Teixeira C. Guillén & João Victor Issler & Artur Brasil Fialho Rodrigues, 2023. "Predicting Recessions in (almost) Real Time in a Big-data Setting," Working Papers Series 587, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    62. Hecq, Alain & Palm, Franz C. & Urbain, Jean-Pierre, 2006. "Common cyclical features analysis in VAR models with cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 117-141, May.
    63. Ana María Cerro & José Pineda, 2002. "Latin American growth cycles. Empirical evidence: 1960 - 2000," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 29(1 Year 20), pages 89-108, June.
    64. Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araújo & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho de Guillén, 2002. "Componentes de Curto e Longo Prazo das Taxas de Juros no Brasil," Working Papers Series 55, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    65. Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis & Issler, João Victor & Salvato, Márcio Antônio, 2005. "Principais Características do Consumo de Duráveis no Brasil e Testes de Separabilidade entre Duráveis e Não-Duráveis," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 59(1), January.
    66. Ramon A. CASTILLO-PONCE & Maria de Lourdes RODRIGUEZ-ESPINOSA & Erika GARCIA-MENESES, 2011. "The Importance Of Macroeconomic Conditions On Remittances In The Long-Run And In The Short-Run: The Case Of Mexico," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 11(1).
    67. Marco Centoni & Gianluca Cubadda, 2011. "Modelling Comovements of Economic Time Series: A Selective Survey," CEIS Research Paper 215, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 26 Oct 2011.
    68. Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis & Issler, João Victor, 2009. "Testing the optimality of aggregate consumption decisions: is there rule-of-thumb behavior?," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 682, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    69. Christoph Schleicher & Francisco Barillas, 2005. "Common Trends and Common Cycles in Canadian Sectoral Output," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 214, Society for Computational Economics.
    70. Jorge Herrera Hernández, 2004. "Business cycles in Mexico and the United States: Do they share common movements?," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 7, pages 303-323, November.
    71. Herrera Hernandez, Jorge, 2004. "Business cycles in Mexico and the United States: Do they share common movements?," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 7(2), pages 1-21, November.
    72. Paresh Narayan, 2008. "Common Trends and Common Cycles in Per Capita GDP: The Case of the G7 Countries, 1870–2001," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 14(3), pages 280-290, August.
    73. Alain Hecq & Franz Palm & Jean-Pierre Urbain, 2001. "Testing for Common Cyclical Features in Var Models with Cointegration," CESifo Working Paper Series 451, CESifo.
    74. Cesar R. Sobrino, 2021. "Analyzing the Role of the Permanent and Temporary Shocks in Peru Using the Co-Movements Approach," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 13(11), pages 111-111, November.
    75. Li, Xiao-Lin & Chang, Tsangyao & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "The co-movement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 220-233.
    76. Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez & Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes, 2006. "Evidence About Mercosur’S Business Cycle," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 179, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    77. Matos, Paulo Rogério Faustino & Bueno, Amadeus & Trompieri, Nicolino, 2014. "Análise de Integração Financeira na América do Sul," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 68(2), June.
    78. Ivo da Rocha Lima Filho, Roberto, 2019. "Does PPI lead CPI IN Brazil?," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 73-79.

  27. Issler, João Victor & Piqueira, Natalia Scotto, 2000. "Estimating Relative Risk Aversion, the Discount Rate, and the Intertemporal Elasticity of Substitution in Consumption for Brazil Using Three Types of Utility Function," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 20(2), November.

    Cited by:

    1. Salvador Cruz Rambaud & Ana María Sánchez Pérez, 2020. "Discounted and Expected Utility from the Probability and Time Trade-Off Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-17, April.
    2. Attilio Gardini & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Luca Fanelli, 2006. "Risk sharing, avversione al rischio e stabilizzazione delle economie regionali in Italia," Quaderni di Dipartimento 0, Department of Statistics, University of Bologna.
    3. Carlos De Resende, 2006. "Endogenous Borrowing Constraints and Consumption Volatility in a Small Open Economy," Staff Working Papers 06-37, Bank of Canada.
    4. Bernard M.S. van Praag & Adam S. Booij, 2003. "Risk Aversion and the Subjective Time Discount Rate: A Joint Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 923, CESifo.
    5. Juergen Jung & Chung Tran, 2011. "The Extension of Social Security Coverage in Developing Countries," Working Papers 2011-06, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2011.
    6. Ferreira, Sergio Guimarães, 2006. "Pension Reform in Brazil: Transitional Issues in a Model with Endogenous Labor Supply," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 26(1), May.
    7. Carlos De Resende, 2007. "IMF-Supported Adjustment Programs: Welfare Implications and the Catalytic Effect," Staff Working Papers 07-22, Bank of Canada.
    8. Eduardo Astorino & Fernando Chague, Bruno Cara Giovannetti, Marcos Eugênio da Silva, 2015. "Variance Premium and Implied Volatility in a Low-Liquidity Option Market," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2015_08, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    9. Elminejad, Ali & Havranek, Tomas & Irsova, Zuzana, 2022. "Relative Risk Aversion: A Meta-Analysis," EconStor Preprints 260586, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    10. Divino, Jose Angelo & Maciel, Daniel T.G.N. & Sosa, Wilfredo, 2020. "Government size, composition of public spending and economic growth in Brazil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 155-166.
    11. Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis, 2013. "Gasto do governo e consumo privado: Substitutos ou complementares?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(2), June.
    12. Maldonado, Wilfredo L. & Marques, Isabel M. & Filho, Osvaldo C. da Silva, 2012. "A dynamic model of education level choice: Application to brazilian states," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 66(2), June.
    13. Cysne, Rubens Penha, 2005. "Equity-premium puzzle: evidence from Brazilian data," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 586, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    14. Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira & Rafael Parente, 2019. "Social Security Reform, Retirement and Occupational Behavior," 2019 Meeting Papers 208, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    15. Ahumada, Hildegart A. & Garegnani, Maria Lorena, 2007. "Testing hyperbolic discounting in consumer decisions: Evidence for Argentina," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 146-150, April.
    16. Aida Isabel Tavares, 2022. "Time and risk preferences among the European seniors, relationship and associated factors," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 92(8), pages 1283-1302, October.
    17. David Bardey & Fermando Jaramillo & Ximena Pena, 2013. "Unemployment insurance in the presence of an informal," Documentos de Trabajo 11014, Universidad del Rosario.
    18. Glomm, Gerhard & Jung, Juergen & Tran, Chung, 2009. "Macroeconomic implications of early retirement in the public sector: The case of Brazil," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 777-797, April.
    19. Palma, Andreza Aparecida & Portugal, Marcelo Savino, 2011. "Preferences of the Central Bank of Brasil under the inflation targeting regime: commitment vs. discretion," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 65(4), November.
    20. Mercado, P. Ruben & Cicowiez, Martin, 2013. "Growth analysis in developing countries: empirical issues and a small dynamic model," MPRA Paper 58017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Gesteira Costa, Marcos & Carrasco-Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique, 2015. "Testing the Optimality of Consumption Decisions of the Representative Household: Evidence from Brazil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 69(3), September.
    22. Mr. Roberto Perrelli & Mr. Shaun K. Roache, 2014. "Time-Varying Neutral Interest Rate—The Case of Brazil," IMF Working Papers 2014/084, International Monetary Fund.
    23. da Silva, Marcos Soares & Divino, Jose Angelo, 2013. "The role of banking regulation in an economy under credit risk and liquidity shock," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 266-281.
    24. Mereb, Julio & Zilberman, Eduardo, 2012. "Does the Growth Acceleration Program Accelerate Growth?," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 32(2), April.
    25. Maria Cunha-e-Sá & Ana Reis, 2007. "The Optimal Timing of Adoption of a Green Technology," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 36(1), pages 35-55, January.
    26. Ferreira, Sergio Guimarães, 2004. "Social Security Reforms under an Open Economy: The Brazilian Case," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 58(3), July.

  28. Issler, Joao Victor & Lima, Luiz Renato, 2000. "Public debt sustainability and endogenous seigniorage in Brazil: time-series evidence from 1947-1992," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(1), pages 131-147, June.

    Cited by:

    1. Campos, Eduardo Lima & Cysne, Rubens Penha, 2017. "A time-varying fiscal reaction function for Brazil," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 795, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    2. Raí Da Silva Chicoli & Siegfried Bender, 2016. "Sustentabilidade Da Dívida Pública Brasileira: Uma Análise Sob Diversos Conceitos De Superávit Primário E Endividamento," Anais do XLIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 43rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 068, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    3. Manoel Carlos de Castro Pires, 2006. "Uma Análise de Credibilidade na Política Fiscal Brasileira," Discussion Papers 1222, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    4. Valdeir Monteiro & Paulo Matos & Cristiano Silva, 2022. "Modeling Brazilian federal government fiscal reaction in the time-frequency domain," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(4), pages 1836-1847.
    5. Viviane Luporini, 2014. "Sustainability Of Brazilian Fiscalpolicy, Once Again: Corrective Policy Response Over Time," Anais do XL Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 40th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 064, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    6. Eduardo de Sá Fortes Leitão Rodrigues, 2020. "Uncertainty And The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Policy In The United States And Brazil: Svar Approach," Working Papers REM 2020/0150, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    7. Faria, Joao Ricardo & McAdam, Peter & Viscolani, Bruno, 2021. "Monetary policy, neutrality and the environment," Working Paper Series 2573, European Central Bank.
    8. Luckas Sabioni Lopes & Marcelle Chauvet & João Eustáquio Lima, 2018. "The end of Brazilian big inflation: lessons to monetary policy from a standard New Keynesian model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 1475-1505, December.
    9. Raí da Silva Chicoli & Siegfried Bender, 2015. "Sustentabilidade da dívida publica brasileira: Uma análise sob diversos conceitos de superávit primário e endividamento," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2015_37, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    10. Cysne, Rubens Penha & Campos, Eduardo Lima, 2019. "Sustainability of the Brazilian public pebt an analysis using multicointegration," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 805, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    11. Rocha, Fabiana, 2001. "Is There Any Rationale to the Brazilian Fiscal Policy?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 55(3), July.
    12. Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Sampaio, Raquel Menezes Bezerra & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza, 2006. "Debt ceiling and fiscal sustainability in Brazil: a quantile autoregression approach," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 631, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    13. Trachanas, Emmanouil & Katrakilidis, Constantinos, 2013. "Fiscal deficits under financial pressure and insolvency: Evidence for Italy, Greece and Spain," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 730-749.
    14. Eduardo de Sa Fortes Leitao Rodrigues, 2023. "Uncertainty and the effectiveness of fiscal policy in the United States and Brasil: SVAR Approach," Working Papers 2023.03, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.

  29. Issler, João Victor, 1999. "Estimating and Forecasting the Volatility of Brazilian Finance Series Using ARCH Models," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 19(1), May.

    Cited by:

    1. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Pereira, Pedro L. Valls, 2008. "Testing the Hypothesis of Contagion Using Multivariate Volatility Models," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 28(2), November.
    2. José Fajardo & Aquiles Farias, 2002. "Generalized Hyperbolic Distributions and Brazilian Data," Working Papers Series 52, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    3. Fajardo, J. & Cajueiro, D. O., 2003. "Volatility Estimation and Option Pricing with Fractional Brownian Motion," Finance Lab Working Papers flwp_53, Finance Lab, Insper Instituto de Ensino e Pesquisa.
    4. Marçal, Emerson F. & Valls Pereira, Pedro L., 2008. "Testando A Hipótese De Contágio A Partir De Modelos Multivariados De Volatilidade [Testing the contagion hypotheses using multivariate volatility models]," MPRA Paper 10356, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Douglas Gomes dos Santos & Flávio Augusto Ziegelmann, 2008. "Estimação de volatilidade em períodos de crise: Modelos aditivos semi-paramétricos versus modelos versus modelo Garch," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807201932370, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    6. Barbachan, José Fajardo & Schuschny, Andrés Ricardo & Silva, André de Castro, 2001. "Lévy processes and the Brazilian market," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 21(2), November.

  30. Issler, João Victor & Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti, 1998. "Time-Series Properties and Empirical Evidence of Growth and Infrastructure," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 18(1), May.

    Cited by:

    1. Vahid, Farshid & Issler, Joao Victor, 2002. "The importance of common cyclical features in VAR analysis: a Monte-Carlo study," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 341-363, August.
    2. Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti & Pereira, Ricardo A. de castro, 2008. "Efeitos de Crescimento e Bem-estar da Lei de Parceria Público-Privada no Brasil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 62(2), October.
    3. Roche, Bruno B. & Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão, 1999. "Volatility modelling in the forex market: an empirical evaluation," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 361, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    4. Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti & Nascimento, Leandro Gonçalves do, 2005. "Welfare and growth effects of alternative fiscal rules for infrastructure investment in Brazil," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 604, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).

  31. Issler, João Victor & Gonzaga, Gustavo M. & Marone, Guilherme C., 1996. "Educação, Investimentos Externos e Crescimento Econômico: Evidências Empíricas," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 16(2), November.

    Cited by:

    1. Silva Neto, Waldemiro Alcântara da & Bacchi, Mirian Rumenos Piedade, 2014. "Growth of Brazilian Beef Production: effect of shocks of supply and demand," Brazilian Journal of Rural Economy and Sociology (Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural-RESR), Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural, vol. 52(2), pages 1-20, June.

  32. Engle, Robert F. & Issler, Joao Victor, 1995. "Estimating common sectoral cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 83-113, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Ossama Mikhail & Curtis J. Eberwein & Jagdish Handa, 2003. "The Measurement of Persistence and Hysteresis in Aggregate Unemployment," Method and Hist of Econ Thought 0311002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. James M. Nason & George A. Slotsve, 2004. "Along the New Keynesian Phillips curve with nominal and real rigidities," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2004-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    3. Giorgio Calcagnini & Germana Giombini & Giuseppe Travaglini, 2021. "The Productivity Gap Among Major European Countries, USA and Japan," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 7(1), pages 59-78, March.
    4. Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique Carrasco & Souza, Reinaldo Castro & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2009. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 29(1), May.
    5. Marco Centoni & Gianluca Cubadda, 2015. "Common Feature Analysis of Economic Time Series: An Overview and Recent Developments," CEIS Research Paper 355, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 05 Oct 2015.
    6. Hecq, A.W. & Issler, J.V., 2012. "A common-feature approach for testing present-value restrictions with financial data," Research Memorandum 006, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    7. Dick van Dijk & Dennis Fok & Philip Hans Franses, 2005. "A multi-level panel STAR model for US manufacturing sectors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(6), pages 811-827.
    8. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho de Guillén & Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araújo, 2005. "O Mecanismo De Transmissão Da Taxa De Câmbio Para Índices De Preços: Uma Análise Vecm Para O Brasil," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 034, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    9. Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2002. "The missing link: using the NBER recession indicator to construct coincident and leading indices economic activity," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 450, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    10. Delalibera, Bruno Ricardo & Issler, João Victor & Branco, Roberto da Cunha Castello, 2017. "Using common features to investigate common growth cycles for BRICS Countries," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 784, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    11. Berument Hakan & Akdi Yilmaz & Atakan Cemal, 2005. "An Empirical Analysis of Istanbul Stock Exchange Sub-Indexes," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(3), pages 1-14, September.
    12. Neri, Marcelo Côrtes, 2014. "Brazil's middle classes," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 759, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    13. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Narayan, Seema & Smyth, Russell, 2011. "Energy consumption at business cycle horizons: The case of the United States," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 161-167, March.
    14. Guillen, Osmani Teixeira Carvalho & Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Saraiva, Diogo Vinícius Menezes, 2014. "Forecasting Multivariate Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 753, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    15. Lima, Luiz Renato Regis de Oliveira & Issler, João Victor, 2007. "A panel data approach to economic forecasting: the bias-corrected average forecast," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 650, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    16. Issler, João Victor & Rodrigues, Claudia & Burjack, Rafael, 2014. "Using common features to understand the behavior of metal-commodity prices and forecast them at different horizons," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 310-335.
    17. Harvey, David I. & Mills, Terence C., 2002. "Common features in UK sectoral output," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 91-104, January.
    18. James M. Nason & Donald G. Paterson & Ronald A. Shearer, 2003. "Bulk commodities and the Liverpool and London markets of the mid-19th century," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-29, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    19. Araújo, Fabio & Issler, João Victor & Fernandes, Marcelo, 2005. "Estimating the stochastic discount factor without a utility function," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 583, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    20. Vahid, Farshid & Issler, Joao Victor, 2002. "The importance of common cyclical features in VAR analysis: a Monte-Carlo study," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(2), pages 341-363, August.
    21. Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003. "The Effect of Data Transformation on Common Cycle, Cointegration and Unit Root Tests: Monte Carlo Results and a Simple Test," Departmental Working Papers 200322, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    22. Calcagnini, Giorgio & Travaglini, Giuseppe, 2014. "A time series analysis of labor productivity. Italy versus the European countries and the U.S," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 622-628.
    23. Amaresh Das, 2005. "Do stock prices and interest rates possess a common trend?," Recherches économiques de Louvain, De Boeck Université, vol. 71(4), pages 383-390.
    24. Harvey, David I. & Mills, Terence C., 2005. "Corrigendum to ''Common features in UK sectoral output'': [Economic Modelling 19 (2002) 91-104]," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 207-211, January.
    25. Elizabeth C. Wakerly & Byron G. Scott & James M. Nason, 2006. "Common trends and common cycles in Canada: who knew so much has been going on?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(1), pages 320-347, February.
    26. Peijie Wang, 2003. "Cycles and Common Cycles in Property and Related Sectors," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 6(1), pages 22-42.
    27. Carlino, Gerald A. & DeFina, Robert H., 2004. "How strong is co-movement in employment over the business cycle? Evidence from state/sector data," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(2), pages 298-315, March.
    28. Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2001. "The missing link: using the NBER recessions indicator to construct coincident and leading indices of economic activity," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 429, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    29. Mont'Alverne Duarte, Angelo & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor, 2021. "Commodity prices and global economic activity: A derived-demand approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    30. Cribari-Neto, Francisco, 1996. "On time series econometrics," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(Supplemen), pages 37-60.
    31. Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén & João Victor Issler & George Athanasopoulos, 2005. "Forecasting Accuracy and Estimation Uncertainty Using VAR Models with Short- and Long-Term Economic Restrictions: A Monte-Carlo Study," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    32. David Harvey & Terence Mills, 2005. "Evidence for common features in G7 macroeconomic time series," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 165-175.
    33. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Common cycles and common trends in the stock and oil markets: Evidence from more than 150years of data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 72-86.
    34. Yin-Wong Cheung & Frank Westermann, 1999. "Output Dynamics of the G7 Countries - Stochastic Trends and Cyclical Movements," CESifo Working Paper Series 220, CESifo.
    35. Issler, Joao Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2001. "Common cycles and the importance of transitory shocks to macroeconomic aggregates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 449-475, June.
    36. Nafeesa Yunus, 2019. "Dynamic Linkages Among U.S. Real Estate Sectors Before and After the Housing Crisis," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 264-289, February.
    37. Maria Simona Andreano & Giovanni Savio, 1996. "Common trends and common cycles under alternative exchange rate regimes," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(7), pages 423-426.
    38. Marcos Lima & Marcelo Resende, 2004. "Profit margins and business cycles in the Brazilian industry: a panel data study," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(9), pages 923-930.
    39. Thomas R. Harris & J. Scott Shonkwiler & George E. Ebai, 1999. "Dynamic Nonmetropolitan Export-Base Modeling," The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association, vol. 29(2), pages 115-138, Fall.
    40. James M. Nason & John H. Rogers, 2008. "Exchange rates and fundamentals: a generalization," International Finance Discussion Papers 948, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    41. Dixon, R. & Shepherd, D., 2000. "Trends and Cycles in Australian State and Territory Unemployment Rates," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 730, The University of Melbourne.
    42. Yin-Wong Cheung & Frank Westermann, 2003. "Sectoral trends and cycles in Germany," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 141-156, January.
    43. Gerald A. Carlino & Keith Sill, 1998. "The cyclical behavior of regional per capita incomes in the postwar period," Working Papers 98-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    44. Hecq, Alain & Palm, Franz C. & Urbain, Jean-Pierre, 2006. "Common cyclical features analysis in VAR models with cointegration," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 117-141, May.
    45. Ana María Cerro & José Pineda, 2002. "Latin American growth cycles. Empirical evidence: 1960 - 2000," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 29(1 Year 20), pages 89-108, June.
    46. Amaresh DAS, 2005. "Do stock prices and interest rates possess a common trend?," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain) 2005042, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    47. Carlos Hamilton Vasconcelos Araújo & Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho de Guillén, 2002. "Componentes de Curto e Longo Prazo das Taxas de Juros no Brasil," Working Papers Series 55, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    48. P.H. Franses & D. Fok & D. van Dijk, 2004. "A Multi-Level Panel Smooth Transition Autoregression for US Sectoral Production," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 267, Econometric Society.
    49. Cavalcanti, Marco Antonio Freitas de Hollanda & Flôres Junior, Renato Galvão, 1995. "Trade or investment? location decisions under regional integration," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 253, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
    50. Carrasco Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique & Castro Souza, Reinaldo & Teixeira de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani, 2009. "Selection of optimal lag length in cointegrated VAR models with weak form of common cyclical features," MPRA Paper 22550, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    51. Marco Centoni & Gianluca Cubadda, 2011. "Modelling Comovements of Economic Time Series: A Selective Survey," CEIS Research Paper 215, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 26 Oct 2011.
    52. Nannette Lindenberg & Frank Westermann, 2009. "Common Trends and Common Cycles among Interest Rates of the G7-Countries," IEER Working Papers 77, Institute of Empirical Economic Research, Osnabrueck University.
    53. Christoph Schleicher & Francisco Barillas, 2005. "Common Trends and Common Cycles in Canadian Sectoral Output," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 214, Society for Computational Economics.
    54. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria, 1997. "Common features and output fluctuations in the United Kingdom," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, January.
    55. Robertico Croes & Jorge Ridderstaat, 2017. "The effects of business cycles on tourism demand flows in small island destinations," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(7), pages 1451-1475, November.
    56. Gerald A. Carlino & Keith Sill, 1996. "Common trends and common cycles in regional per capita incomes," Working Papers 96-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    57. Li, Xiao-Lin & Chang, Tsangyao & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "The co-movement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 220-233.
    58. Gerald A. Carlino & Keith Sill, 1997. "Regional economies: separating trends from cycles," Business Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, issue May, pages 19-31.
    59. Dilip M. Nachane & Amlendu Dubey, 2021. "The Spectral Envelope: An Application to the Decoupling Problem in Economics," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 287-308, December.
    60. Jim Lee, 1999. "Inflation Targeting In Practice: Further Evidence," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 17(3), pages 332-347, July.
    61. Carlos Enrique Carrasco Gutierrez & Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes, 2006. "Evidence About Mercosur’S Business Cycle," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 179, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    62. Patrick Wilson & Simon Stevenson & Ralf Zurbruegg, 2007. "Foreign Property Shocks and the Impact on Domestic Securitized Real Estate Markets: An Unobserved Components Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 407-424, April.
    63. Selover David D. & Jensen Roderick V. & Kroll John, 2003. "Industrial Sector Mode-Locking and Business Cycle Formation," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(3), pages 1-39, October.
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  33. Engle, Robert F. & Issler, João Victor, 1993. "Common trends and common cycles in Latin America," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 47(2), April.

    Cited by:

    1. Juliana Ávila Vélez & Álvaro José Pinzón Giraldo, 2015. "¿Están sincronizados los ciclos económicos en Latinoamérica?," Borradores de Economia 864, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Pablo Mejía-Reyes, 2000. "Asymmetries and Common Cycles in Latin America: Evidence from Markov-Switching Models," Economía Mexicana NUEVA ÉPOCA, CIDE, División de Economía, vol. 0(2), pages 189-225, July-Dece.
    3. Giorgio Calcagnini & Germana Giombini & Giuseppe Travaglini, 2021. "The Productivity Gap Among Major European Countries, USA and Japan," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 7(1), pages 59-78, March.
    4. Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique Carrasco & Souza, Reinaldo Castro & Guillén, Osmani Teixeira de Carvalho, 2009. "Selection of Optimal Lag Length in Cointegrated VAR Models with Weak Form of Common Cyclical Features," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 29(1), May.
    5. Matthieu Lemoine, 2006. "Annex A5 : A model of the stochastic convergence between euro area business cycles," Working Papers hal-00972793, HAL.
    6. Francisco Corona & Graciela González-Farías & Pedro Orraca, 2017. "A dynamic factor model for the Mexican economy: are common trends useful when predicting economic activity?," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 26(1), pages 1-35, December.
    7. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq, 2022. "Dimension Reduction for High Dimensional Vector Autoregressive Models," CEIS Research Paper 534, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 24 Mar 2022.
    8. Enzo Weber, 2007. "Regional and Outward Economic Integration in South-East Asia," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2007-019, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
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    Cited by:

    1. Gonzaga, Gustavo M. & Terra, Maria Cristina T., 1997. "Equilibrium real exchange rate, volatility, and stabilization," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 77-100, October.

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