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Latin American growth cycles. Empirical evidence: 1960 - 2000

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  • Ana María Cerro
  • José Pineda

Abstract

This paper measures and explains to what extent Latin American countries’ growth cycles experienced co-movement in the last forty years, using different methodologies. We find that short lasting cycles showed a great dispersion among cyclical correlation, while long lasting ones displayed considerable co-movement. From the structural VAR approach, the results imply a very low degree of co-movement among the shocks affecting these economies. There exist important differences regarding the speed of adjustment and the excess volatility of demand shocks. Processes of integration among Latin-American countries need more policy coordination prior to any attempt to go further in an economic integration process.

Suggested Citation

  • Ana María Cerro & José Pineda, 2002. "Latin American growth cycles. Empirical evidence: 1960 - 2000," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 29(1 Year 20), pages 89-108, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:udc:esteco:v:29:y:2002:i:1:p:89-108
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Anuwat PUE-ON & Bert D WARD, 2009. "The Impact of Capital Intensive Farming in Thailand: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach," EcoMod2009 21500076, EcoMod.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trend-cycle decomposition; Common cycles; Cointegration.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

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