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Bayesian Analysis of Weak Form Polynomial Reduced Rank Structures in VEC Models

Author

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  • Justyna Wróblewska

    (Cracow University of Economics)

Abstract

The main goal of the paper is the Bayesian analysis of weak form polynomial serial correlation common features together with cointegration. In the VEC model the serial correlation common feature leads to an additional reduced rank restriction imposed on the model parameters. After the introduction and discussion of the model, the methods will be illustrated with an empirical investigation of the price-wage nexus in the Polish economy. Additionally, consequences of imposing such additional short-run restrictions for permanent-transitory decomposition will be discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Justyna Wróblewska, 2012. "Bayesian Analysis of Weak Form Polynomial Reduced Rank Structures in VEC Models," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 4(4), pages 253-267, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:psc:journl:v:4:y:2012:i:4:p:253-267
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    12. Justyna Wróblewska, 2011. "Bayesian Analysis of Weak Form Reduced Rank Structure in VEC Models," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 3(3), pages 169-186, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Wróblewska, Justyna, 2016. "Exchange rate as a shock absorber in Poland and Slovakia: Evidence from Bayesian SVAR models with common serial correlation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 249-262.
    2. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Wróblewska, Justyna, 2015. "Exchange rate as a shock absorber or a shock propagator in Poland and Slovakia - an approach based on Bayesian SVAR models with common serial correlation," MPRA Paper 61441, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    cointegration; Bayesian analysis; polynomial common cyclical features; permanent-transitory decompostion;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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