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Ian Martin

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Ian Martin, 2011. "The Lucas Orchard," NBER Working Papers 17563, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Mentioned in:

    1. The Lucas Orchard
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2011-11-27 01:27:28

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Ian Martin, 2017. "What is the Expected Return on the Market?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(1), pages 367-433.

    Mentioned in:

    1. What is the Expected Return on the Market? (QJE 2017) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. John Y. Campbell & Can Gao & Ian Martin, 2023. "Debt and Deficits: Fiscal Analysis with Stationary Ratios," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 23-101, Swiss Finance Institute.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhengyang Jiang & Hanno Lustig & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Mindy Z. Xiaolan, 2024. "What Drives Variation in the U.S. Debt‐to‐Output Ratio? The Dogs that Did not Bark," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(4), pages 2603-2665, August.

  2. Martin, Ian, 2021. "On the autocorrelation of the stock market," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 106215, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

    Cited by:

    1. Weiguang Han & Boyi Zhang & Qianqian Xie & Min Peng & Yanzhao Lai & Jimin Huang, 2023. "Select and Trade: Towards Unified Pair Trading with Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning," Papers 2301.10724, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    2. María T. González-Pérez, 2021. "Lessons from estimating the average option-implied volatility term structure for the Spanish banking sector," Working Papers 2128, Banco de España.

  3. Martin, Ian W. R. & Pindyck, Robert S., 2020. "Welfare Costs of Catastrophes: Lost Consumption and Lost Lives," 2030 Agenda 308023, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).

    Cited by:

    1. Decerf, Benoit & Ferreira, Francisco H. G. & Mahler, Daniel Gerszon & Sterck, Olivier, 2020. "Lives and Livelihoods: Estimates of the Global Mortality and Poverty Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic," IZA Discussion Papers 13549, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Peter A.G. van Bergeijk, 2021. "Pandemic Economics," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 20401.
    3. Harrison Hong & Neng Wang & Jinqiang Yang, 2020. "Mitigating Disaster Risks in the Age of Climate Change," NBER Working Papers 27066, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. St-Amour, Pascal, 2024. "Valuing life over the life cycle," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    5. Robert S. Pindyck, 2020. "COVID-19 and the Welfare Effects of Reducing Contagion," NBER Working Papers 27121, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  4. Martin, Ian & Gao, Can, 2019. "Volatility, Valuation Ratios, and Bubbles: An Empirical Measure of Market Sentiment," CEPR Discussion Papers 13454, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Nina Boyarchenko & Giovanni Favara & Moritz Schularick, 2022. "Financial Stability Considerations for Monetary Policy: Empirical Evidence and Challenges," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-006, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    2. Fousseni Chabi-Yo & Chukwuma Dim & Grigory Vilkov, 2023. "Generalized Bounds on the Conditional Expected Excess Return on Individual Stocks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(2), pages 922-939, February.
    3. Juan M. Londono & Mehrdad Samadi, 2023. "The Price of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Evidence from Daily Options," International Finance Discussion Papers 1376, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Qin, Meng & Mirza, Nawazish & Su, Chi-Wei & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "Exploring Bubbles in the Digital Economy: The Case of China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    5. Long, Huaigang & Chiah, Mardy & Zaremba, Adam & Umar, Zaghum, 2024. "Changes in shares outstanding and country stock returns around the world," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    6. Benjamin Knox & Annette Vissing-Jorgensen, 2022. "A Stock Return Decomposition Using Observables," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-014, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Florin Cornel Dumiter & Florin Turcaș & Ștefania Amalia Nicoară & Cristian Bențe & Marius Boiță, 2023. "The Impact of Sentiment Indices on the Stock Exchange—The Connections between Quantitative Sentiment Indicators, Technical Analysis, and Stock Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-26, July.
    8. Liang, Chao & Xu, Yongan & Wang, Jianqiong & Yang, Mo, 2022. "Whether dimensionality reduction techniques can improve the ability of sentiment proxies to predict stock market returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    9. Stefano Giglio & Bryan Kelly & Serhiy Kozak, 2024. "Equity Term Structures without Dividend Strips Data," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(6), pages 4143-4196, December.
    10. Cai, Jin & Pagano, Michael S. & Sedunov, John, 2023. "The role of investor sentiment in bank liquidity creation," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    11. Antonia Lopez Villavicencio & Marc Pourroy, 2023. "Information Shocks in the U.S. and Asset Mispricing in Emerging Economies," Working Papers hal-04159830, HAL.
    12. Ye Li & Chen Wang, 2023. "Valuation Duration of the Stock Market," Papers 2310.07110, arXiv.org.

  5. Martin, Ian & ,, 2019. "Sentiment and Speculation in a Market with Heterogeneous Beliefs," CEPR Discussion Papers 13857, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Xianbo Zhou & Zhuoran Chen, 2023. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks to Consumption under Different Confidence Regimes Based on a Stochastic Uncertainty-in-Mean TVAR Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-20, February.
    2. ÅžimÅŸek, Alp, 2021. "The Macroeconomics of Financial Speculation," CEPR Discussion Papers 15733, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Gao, Can & Martin, Ian, 2021. "Volatility, valuation ratios, and bubbles: An empirical measure of market sentiment," SAFE Working Paper Series 312, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    4. Shahsuzan Zakaria & Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid & Dheya Hamood Saif Al-Fakih, 2024. "Financial Risk: Case Study Analysis," Information Management and Business Review, AMH International, vol. 16(1), pages 250-260.
    5. Croitoru, Benjamin & Jiao, Feng & Lu, Lei, 2024. "Nominal exchange rates and heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    6. Hu, Duni & Wang, Hailong, 2024. "Heterogeneous beliefs with preference interdependence and asset pricing," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1-37.
    7. Zhang, Xuetong & Zhang, Weiguo, 2023. "Information asymmetry, sentiment interactions, and asset price," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    8. Zhang, Teng & Li, Jiaqi & Xu, Zhiwei, 2024. "Speculative trading, stock returns and asset pricing anomalies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    9. Hervé Roche & Juan Sotes-Paladino, 2022. "Sentiment, Mispricing and Excess Volatility in Presence of Institutional Investors," Working Papers 205, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    10. Driessen, Joost & Koëter, Joren & Wilms, Ole, 2025. "Horizon effects in the pricing kernel: How investors price short-term versus long-term risks," Other publications TiSEM 18d19e20-6d30-4828-9a8e-9, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.

  6. Ian Martin & Stefan Nagel, 2019. "Market Efficiency in the Age of Big Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 8015, CESifo.

    Cited by:

    1. Jérôme Dugast & Thierry Foucault, 2023. "Equilibrium Data Mining and Data Abundance," Post-Print hal-04390474, HAL.
    2. Yabu, Takuya, 2023. "On Discrete Probability Distributions to Grasp the Number of Samples in a Population," OSF Preprints yv24f, Center for Open Science.
    3. Dohyun Chun & Jongho Kang & Jihun Kim, 2024. "Forecasting returns with machine learning and optimizing global portfolios: evidence from the Korean and U.S. stock markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-30, December.
    4. Svetlana Bryzgalova & Jiantao Huang & Christian Julliard, 2023. "Bayesian Solutions for the Factor Zoo: We Just Ran Two Quadrillion Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(1), pages 487-557, February.
    5. Melina & Sukono & Herlina Napitupulu & Norizan Mohamed, 2023. "A Conceptual Model of Investment-Risk Prediction in the Stock Market Using Extreme Value Theory with Machine Learning: A Semisystematic Literature Review," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-24, March.
    6. Foucault, Thierry & Frésard, Laurent, 2021. "Does Alternative Data Improve Financial Forecasting? The Horizon Effect," CEPR Discussion Papers 15786, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Kaplanski, Guy, 2023. "The race to exploit anomalies and the cost of slow trading," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    8. Zhang, Junsheng & Peng, Zezhi & Zeng, Yamin & Yang, Haisheng, 2023. "Do big data mutual funds outperform?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    9. Carter Davis, 2023. "The Elasticity of Quantitative Investment," Papers 2303.14533, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
    10. Goodarzi, Milad & Meinerding, Christoph, 2023. "Asset allocation with recursive parameter updating and macroeconomic regime identifiers," Discussion Papers 06/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    11. Wang, Jing & Yu, Huaying & Ren, Daowen & Zhang, Jocelyn, 2023. "Promoting mineral resources consumption efficiency: Evidence from technology of big data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    12. Xi Dong & Yan Li & David E. Rapach & Guofu Zhou, 2022. "Anomalies and the Expected Market Return," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(1), pages 639-681, February.
    13. Cao, Sean & Jiang, Wei & Wang, Junbo & Yang, Baozhong, 2024. "From Man vs. Machine to Man + Machine: The art and AI of stock analyses," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    14. Hoang, Daniel & Wiegratz, Kevin, 2022. "Machine learning methods in finance: Recent applications and prospects," Working Paper Series in Economics 158, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    15. Bo Yan & Mengru Liang & Yinxin Zhao, 2024. "Market sentiment and price dynamics in weak markets: A comprehensive empirical analysis of the soybean meal option market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(5), pages 744-766, May.
    16. Christopher G. Lamoureux & Huacheng Zhang, 2021. "An Empirical Assessment of Characteristics and Optimal Portfolios," Papers 2104.12975, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    17. Grammig, Joachim & Hanenberg, Constantin & Schlag, Christian & Sönksen, Jantje, 2020. "Diverging roads: Theory-based vs. machine learning-implied stock risk premia," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 130, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
    18. James Yae & Yang Luo, 2023. "Robust monitoring machine: a machine learning solution for out-of-sample R $$^2$$ 2 -hacking in return predictability monitoring," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-28, December.
    19. Garg, Karan, 2021. "Machines and Markets : Assessing the Impact of Algorithmic Trading on Financial Market Efficiency," Warwick-Monash Economics Student Papers 11, Warwick Monash Economics Student Papers.
    20. Bryan Kelly & Semyon Malamud & Kangying Zhou, 2024. "The Virtue of Complexity in Return Prediction," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(1), pages 459-503, February.
    21. Wu, Fei & Hu, Yan & Shen, Me, 2024. "The color of FinTech: FinTech and corporate green transformation in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    22. Matteo Bagnara, 2024. "Asset Pricing and Machine Learning: A critical review," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 27-56, February.
    23. Sonya Georgieva, 2023. "Application of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in the Conduct of Monetary Policy by Central Banks," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 8, pages 177-199.

  7. Martin, Ian & Ross, Stephen, 2018. "Notes on the Yield Curve," CEPR Discussion Papers 13176, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Jensen, Christian Skov & Lando, David & Pedersen, Lasse Heje, 2019. "Generalized recovery," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 154-174.
    2. MacDonald, Iain L. & Pienaar, Etienne A.D., 2021. "Fitting a reversible Markov chain by maximum likelihood: Converting an awkwardly constrained optimization problem to an unconstrained one," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 561(C).
    3. Francesco Lancia & Alessia Russo & Tim Worrall, 2020. "Optimal Sustainable Intergenerational Insurance," Edinburgh School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 300, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
    4. Narayana R. Kocherlakota, 2023. "Infinite Debt Rollover in Stochastic Economies," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(5), pages 1629-1658, September.
    5. Jaroslav Borovicka & John Stachurski, 2019. "Stability of Equilibrium Asset Pricing Models: A Necessary and Sufficient Condition," Papers 1910.00778, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
    6. McMahon, Michael & , & Tong, Matthew, 2019. "The Long-Run Information Effect of Central Bank Communication," CEPR Discussion Papers 13438, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. Martin, Ian, 2018. "Options and the Gamma Knife," CEPR Discussion Papers 12883, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Davis, Josh & Fuenzalida, Cristian & Huetsch, Leon & Mills, Benjamin & Taylor, Alan M., 2024. "Global natural rates in the long run: Postwar macro trends and the market-implied r∗ in 10 advanced economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).

  8. Martin, Ian, 2018. "Options and the Gamma Knife," CEPR Discussion Papers 12883, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Kremens, Lukas & Martin, Ian, 2019. "The quanto theory of exchange rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 89839, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Jianlei Han & Martina Linnenluecke & Zhangxin Liu & Zheyao Pan & Tom Smith, 2019. "A general equilibrium approach to pricing volatility risk," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(4), pages 1-18, April.

  9. Martin, Ian & Kremens, Lukas, 2017. "The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates," CEPR Discussion Papers 11970, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Ian W. R. Martin & Christian Wagner, 2019. "What Is the Expected Return on a Stock?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(4), pages 1887-1929, August.
    2. Maggiori, Matteo & Lilley, Andrew & Neiman, Brent & Schreger, Jesse, 2020. "Exchange Rate Reconnect," CEPR Discussion Papers 13869, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Breen, John David & Hu, Liang, 2021. "The predictive content of oil price and volatility: New evidence on exchange rate forecasting," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    4. Albert S. (Pete) & Karamfil Todorov, 2023. "The cumulant risk premium," BIS Working Papers 1128, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Gordon Y. Liao & Tony Zhang, 2020. "The Hedging Channel of Exchange Rate Determination," International Finance Discussion Papers 1283, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    6. Fousseni Chabi-Yo & Chukwuma Dim & Grigory Vilkov, 2023. "Generalized Bounds on the Conditional Expected Excess Return on Individual Stocks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(2), pages 922-939, February.
    7. Colacito, Riccardo & Riddiough, Steven J. & Sarno, Lucio, 2020. "Business cycles and currency returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(3), pages 659-678.
    8. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Corbet, Shaen, 2024. "The role of international currency spillovers in shaping exchange rate dynamics in Latin America," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1-10.
    9. Patrick Augustin & Mikhail Chernov & Lukas Schmid & Dongho Song, 2024. "The Term Structure of Covered Interest Rate Parity Violations," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(3), pages 2077-2114, June.
    10. Martin McCarthy, Stephen Snudden, 2024. "Forecasts of Period-Average Exchange Rates: New Insights from Real-Time Daily Data," LCERPA Working Papers jc0148, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis, revised Oct 2024.
    11. Jonas Becker & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2024. "Global Bank Lending and Exchange Rates," BIS Working Papers 1161, Bank for International Settlements.
    12. Dahlquist, Magnus & Pénasse, Julien, 2022. "The missing risk premium in exchange rates," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(2), pages 697-715.
    13. Djeutem, Edouard & Dunbar, Geoffrey R., 2022. "Uncovered return parity: Equity returns and currency returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    14. Gao, Can & Martin, Ian, 2021. "Volatility, valuation ratios, and bubbles: An empirical measure of market sentiment," SAFE Working Paper Series 312, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    15. Chernov, Mikhail & Creal, Drew & Hördahl, Peter, 2023. "Sovereign credit and exchange rate risks: Evidence from Asia-Pacific local currency bonds," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    16. Charles W. Calomiris & Harry Mamaysky, 2019. "Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Returns: Time-Varying Risk Regimes," NBER Working Papers 25714, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Tjeerd de Vries, 2021. "A Tale of Two Tails: A Model-free Approach to Estimating Disaster Risk Premia and Testing Asset Pricing Models," Papers 2105.08208, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    18. Jun Wei, 2020. "Optimal Combination of Currency Assets and Algorithm Simulation under Exchange Rate Risk," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-10, November.
    19. Fernanda Gonçalves & Giuliano Ferreira & Alex Ferreira & Pedro Scatimburgo, 2022. "Currency returns and systematic risk," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(6), pages 609-647, December.
    20. Fan, Zhenzhen & Londono, Juan M. & Xiao, Xiao, 2022. "Equity tail risk and currency risk premiums," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 484-503.
    21. Della Corte, Pasquale & Jeanneret, Alexandre & Patelli, Ella D.S., 2023. "A credit-based theory of the currency risk premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(3), pages 473-496.
    22. Martin, Ian & Ross, Stephen, 2018. "Notes on the Yield Curve," CEPR Discussion Papers 13176, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    23. Croitoru, Benjamin & Jiao, Feng & Lu, Lei, 2024. "Nominal exchange rates and heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    24. Charles Engel & Steve Pak Yeung Wu, 2021. "Forecasting the U.S. Dollar in the 21st Century," NBER Working Papers 28447, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    25. Eren, Egemen & Malamud, Semyon, 2022. "Dominant currency debt," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 571-589.
    26. Martin, Ian, 2018. "Options and the Gamma Knife," CEPR Discussion Papers 12883, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    27. Martin, Ian, 2021. "On the autocorrelation of the stock market," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 106215, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    28. Dennij Mandeij, 2020. "Determination of Equilibrium Exchange Rate Rupiah Against US Dollar and its Volatility: Application of Asset Approach," International Journal of Business and Administrative Studies, Professor Dr. Bahaudin G. Mujtaba, vol. 6(6), pages 323-336.

  10. Ian Martin & Robert S. Pindyck, 2017. "Averting Catastrophes that Kill," NBER Working Papers 23346, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Aurélie Méjean & Antonin Pottier & Stéphane Zuber & Marc Fleurbaey, 2020. "Intergenerational equity under catastrophic climate change," Working Papers halshs-03029883, HAL.
    2. Aurland-Bredesen , Kine Josefine, 2017. "Averting catastrophes in a more complex world," Working Paper Series 06-2017, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, School of Economics and Business.
    3. Aurélie Méjean & Antonin Pottier & Marc Fleurbaey & Stéphane Zuber, 2020. "Catastrophic climate change, population ethics and intergenerational equity," Post-Print halshs-01599453, HAL.
    4. Ian W R Martin & Robert S Pindyck, 2021. "Welfare Costs of Catastrophes: Lost Consumption and Lost Lives," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(634), pages 946-969.
    5. Colmenares, Gloria & Löschel, Andreas & Madlener, Reinhard, 2019. "The rebound effect and its representation in energy and climate models," CAWM Discussion Papers 106, University of Münster, Münster Center for Economic Policy (MEP).

  11. Martin, Ian & Wagner, Christian, 2016. "What is the Expected Return on a Stock?," CEPR Discussion Papers 11608, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Irma Alonso & Pedro Serrano & Antoni Vaello-Sebastià, 2021. "The impact of heterogeneous unconventional monetary policies on the expectations of market crashes," Working Papers 2127, Banco de España.
    2. Ian W. R. Martin & Christian Wagner, 2019. "What Is the Expected Return on a Stock?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(4), pages 1887-1929, August.
    3. Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Paul & Kroencke, Tim, 2019. "The FOMC Risk Shift," CEPR Discussion Papers 14037, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Faten Ben Bouheni & Manish Tewari, 2023. "Common risk factors and risk–return trade-off for REITs and treasuries," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(5), pages 374-395, September.
    5. Bollerslev, Tim & Todorov, Viktor, 2023. "The jump leverage risk premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).
    6. Grau-Vera, David & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2024. "Risk-adjusted performance of new economy indices and thematic sectors," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    7. Mathias Krogh & Giovanni Pellegrino, "undated". "Real Activity and Uncertainty Shocks: The Long and the Short of It," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0310, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    8. Fousseni Chabi-Yo & Chukwuma Dim & Grigory Vilkov, 2023. "Generalized Bounds on the Conditional Expected Excess Return on Individual Stocks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(2), pages 922-939, February.
    9. Pratish Patel & Andrew Raquel & Savannah Chadwick, 2024. "The cash-secured put-write strategy and the variance risk premium," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(1), pages 31-50, February.
    10. Serrano, Pedro & Vaello-Sebastià, Antoni & Vich-Llompart, M. Magdalena, 2024. "The international linkages of market risk perception," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    11. Elkamhi, Redouane & Jo, Chanik, 2023. "Asset holders’ consumption risk and tests of conditional CCAPM," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(3), pages 220-244.
    12. Geert Bekaert & Eric C. Engstrom & Nancy R. Xu, 2019. "The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 25673, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Juan M. Londono & Mehrdad Samadi, 2023. "The Price of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Evidence from Daily Options," International Finance Discussion Papers 1376, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    14. Byström, Hans, 2018. "Stock return expectations in the credit market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 85-92.
    15. Olkhov, Victor, 2023. "The Market-Based Probability of Stock Returns," MPRA Paper 116234, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Đukić Aleksandar & Štaka Mirjana & Drašković Dajana, 2021. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Macroeconomic Aggregates of the European Union," Economics, Sciendo, vol. 9(2), pages 91-108, December.
    17. Attílio, Luccas Assis & Mollick, André Varella, 2024. "Assessing the baseline model of WTI oil and stock returns under financial volatility and spillover effects," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    18. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2020. "Options-based systemic risk, financial distress, and macroeconomic downturns," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118850, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    19. Roberto Marfe & Julien Penasse, 2024. "Measuring Macroeconomic Tail Risk," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 715 JEL Classification: E, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    20. Kremens, Lukas & Martin, Ian, 2019. "The quanto theory of exchange rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 89839, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    21. Kazuhiro Hiraki & George Skiadopoulos, 2018. "The Contribution of Frictions to Expected Returns," Working Papers 874, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    22. Sanford, Anthony, 2024. "Information content of option prices: Comparing analyst forecasts to option-based forecasts," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    23. Liu, Hong & Tang, Xiaoxiao & Zhou, Guofu, 2022. "Recovering the FOMC risk premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(1), pages 45-68.
    24. Gao, Can & Martin, Ian, 2021. "Volatility, valuation ratios, and bubbles: An empirical measure of market sentiment," SAFE Working Paper Series 312, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    25. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2023. "Options-based systemic risk, financial distress, and macroeconomic downturns," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119289, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    26. Bekaert, Geert & Hoerova, Marie & Xu, Nancy R., 2023. "Risk, monetary policy and asset prices in a global world," Working Paper Series 2879, European Central Bank.
    27. Marco Pagano & Christian Wagner & Josef Zechner, 2020. "Disaster Resilience and Asset Prices," EIEF Working Papers Series 2008, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Nov 2021.
    28. Martin, Ian & Papadimitriou, Dimitris, 2022. "Sentiment and speculation in a market with heterogeneous beliefs," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 114340, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    29. Tjeerd de Vries, 2021. "A Tale of Two Tails: A Model-free Approach to Estimating Disaster Risk Premia and Testing Asset Pricing Models," Papers 2105.08208, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    30. Angelo Aspris & Ester Félez‐Viñas & Sean Foley & Hamish Malloch & Jiri Svec, 2024. "The market risk premium in Australia: Forward‐looking evidence from the options market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 64(4), pages 3951-3972, December.
    31. Kräussl, Roman & Oladiran, Tobi & Stefanova, Denitsa, 2023. "ESG as protection against downside risk," CFS Working Paper Series 708, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    32. Collin Gilstrap & Alex Petkevich & Pavel Teterin & Kainan Wang, 2024. "Lever up! An analysis of options trading in leveraged ETFs," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(6), pages 986-1002, June.
    33. Berkman, Henk & Malloch, Hamish, 2023. "Stock valuation during the COVID-19 pandemic: An explanation using option-based discount rates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    34. Roberto Marfè, 2015. "Labor Rigidity and the Dynamics of the Value Premium," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 429, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    35. Foley, Sean & Li, Simeng & Malloch, Hamish & Svec, Jiri, 2022. "What is the expected return on Bitcoin? Extracting the term structure of returns from options prices," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    36. Sanjay K. Nawalkha & Xiaoyang Zhuo, 2022. "A Theory of Equivalent Expectation Measures for Contingent Claim Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(5), pages 2853-2906, October.
    37. Liu, Yan, 2021. "Index option returns and generalized entropy bounds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(3), pages 1015-1036.
    38. Della Corte, Pasquale & Jeanneret, Alexandre & Patelli, Ella D.S., 2023. "A credit-based theory of the currency risk premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(3), pages 473-496.
    39. Martin, Ian & Ross, Stephen, 2018. "Notes on the Yield Curve," CEPR Discussion Papers 13176, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    40. Olkhov, Victor, 2023. "The Market-Based Statistics of “Actual” Returns of Investors," MPRA Paper 116896, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    41. Ren‐Raw Chen & Pei‐Lin Hsieh & Jeffrey Huang & Xiaowei Li, 2023. "Predictive power of the implied volatility term structure in the fixed‐income market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(3), pages 349-383, March.
    42. Iwanicz-Drozdowska Małgorzata & Rogowicz Karol & Smaga Paweł, 2023. "Market-moving events and their role in portfolio optimization of generations X, Y, and Z," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 59(4), pages 371-397, December.
    43. Olivier Dessaint & Jacques Olivier & Clemens A Otto & David Thesmar, 2021. "CAPM-Based Company (Mis)valuations [Credit lines as monitored liquidity insurance: Theory and evidence]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(1), pages 1-66.
    44. Maxim Ulrich & Simon Walther, 2020. "Option-implied information: What’s the vol surface got to do with it?," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 323-355, October.
    45. Nieto, Belén & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2022. "The risk aversion and uncertainty channels between finance and macroeconomics," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    46. Jozef Barunik & Mattia Bevilacqua & Michael Ellington, 2023. "Common Firm-level Investor Fears: Evidence from Equity Options," Papers 2309.03968, arXiv.org.
    47. Yuan Liao & Xinjie Ma & Andreas Neuhierl & Zhentao Shi, 2023. "Economic Forecasts Using Many Noises," Papers 2312.05593, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
    48. Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Andrey Ermolov, 2023. "The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(6), pages 1977-2014.
    49. Michael Hasler & Charles Martineau, 2023. "Explaining the Failure of the Unconditional CAPM with the Conditional CAPM," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(3), pages 1835-1855, March.
    50. Lof, Matthijs & Nyberg, Henri, 2024. "Discount rates and cash flows: A local projection approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    51. Thaddeus Neururer & George Papadakis & Edward J. Riedl, 2020. "The Effect of Reporting Streaks on Ex Ante Uncertainty," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(8), pages 3771-3787, August.
    52. Pohl, Walter & Schmedders, Karl & Wilms, Ole, 2021. "Asset pricing with heterogeneous agents and long-run risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(3), pages 941-964.
    53. Wang, Yunqi & Zhou, Ti, 2023. "Out-of-sample equity premium prediction: The role of option-implied constraints," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 199-226.
    54. Martin, Ian, 2018. "Options and the Gamma Knife," CEPR Discussion Papers 12883, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    55. Pyun, Sungjune, 2019. "Variance risk in aggregate stock returns and time-varying return predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 150-174.
    56. Kazuhiro Hiraki & George Skiadopoulos, 2023. "The Contribution of Transaction Costs to Expected Stock Returns: A Novel Measure," Working Papers 946, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    57. Back, Kerry & Crotty, Kevin & Kazempour, Seyed Mohammad, 2022. "Validity, tightness, and forecasting power of risk premium bounds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(3), pages 732-760.
    58. Stefan Nagel & Zhengyang Xu, 2024. "Movements in Yields, not the Equity Premium: Bernanke-Kuttner Redux," NBER Working Papers 32884, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    59. Khoa Hoang & Robert Faff, 2021. "Is the ex‐ante equity risk premium always positive? Evidence from a new conditional expectations model," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(1), pages 95-124, March.
    60. Keloharju, Matti & Linnainmaa, Juhani T. & Nyberg, Peter, 2021. "Long-term discount rates do not vary across firms," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(3), pages 946-967.
    61. Ghazi, Soroush & Schneider, Mark & Dorobiala, Zachary, 2024. "Speculative and non-speculative equity premia," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    62. Grammig, Joachim & Hanenberg, Constantin & Schlag, Christian & Sönksen, Jantje, 2020. "Diverging roads: Theory-based vs. machine learning-implied stock risk premia," University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics 130, University of Tuebingen, Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences, School of Business and Economics.
    63. Oesinghaus, Andreas, 2024. "Analysts’ extrapolative expectations in the cross-section," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    64. Martin, Ian, 2021. "On the autocorrelation of the stock market," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 106215, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    65. Cujean, Julien & Andrei, Daniel & Wilson, Mungo, 2018. "The Lost Capital Asset Pricing Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 12607, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    66. Chen, Steven Shu-Hsiu, 2024. "International crash risk premium," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    67. Luis García‐Feijóo & Ariel M. Viale, 2023. "Ambiguity and risk factors in bank stocks," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 46(4), pages 993-1019, December.
    68. Magnus Dahlquist & Markus Ibert, 2024. "Equity Return Expectations and Portfolios: Evidence from Large Asset Managers," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 37(6), pages 1887-1928.
    69. Baumgärtner, Fabienne, 2020. "Elemente und Vorgehensweisen von Influencer Relations," Working Papers for Marketing & Management 46, Offenburg University, Department of Media and Information.
    70. Neilson, Jed J., 2022. "Investor information gathering and the resolution of uncertainty," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1).
    71. Rubio, Gonzalo & Serrano, Pedro & Vaello-Sebastià, Antoni, 2023. "The international integration of the term structure of expected market risk premia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    72. Wu, Xu & Wang, Pei-Yu & Wang, Kun, 2023. "The effect of stabilization fund to rescue stock market based on expected return-capita circulation equation," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 87(PB).
    73. Qiao, Kenan & Ji, Zhehan & Xie, Haibin, 2023. "Unrealized return dispersion and the equity risk premium," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    74. Mathias S. Kruttli & Brigitte Roth Tran & Sumudu W. Watugala, 2019. "Pricing Poseidon: Extreme Weather Uncertainty and Firm Return Dynamics," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-054, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    75. Ye Li & Chen Wang, 2023. "Valuation Duration of the Stock Market," Papers 2310.07110, arXiv.org.
    76. Anarkulova, Aizhan & Cederburg, Scott & O’Doherty, Michael S., 2022. "Stocks for the long run? Evidence from a broad sample of developed markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 409-433.
    77. Pezzo, Luca & Zhu, Yinchu & Hassan, M. Kabir & Tian, Jiayuan, 2024. "Testing the boundaries of applicability of standard Stochastic Discount Factor models," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    78. Matti Keloharju & Juhani T. Linnainmaa & Peter Nyberg, 2019. "Long-Term Discount Rates Do Not Vary Across Firms," NBER Working Papers 25579, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    79. Pascal François & Rémi Galarneau‐Vincent & Geneviève Gauthier & Frédéric Godin, 2022. "Venturing into uncharted territory: An extensible implied volatility surface model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(10), pages 1912-1940, October.
    80. Oleg Kucher & Alexander Kurov & Marketa Halova Wolfe, 2023. "A shot in the arm: The effect of COVID‐19 vaccine news on financial and commodity markets," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 58(3), pages 575-596, August.
    81. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2023. "Options-based systemic risk, financial distress, and macroeconomic downturns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    82. Kroencke, Tim A., 2022. "Recessions and the stock market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 61-77.
    83. Hardeep Singh Mundi, 2023. "Risk neutral variances to compute expected returns using data from S&P BSE 100 firms—a replication study," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 73(1), pages 215-230, February.
    84. Berthold, Brendan, 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of uncertainty and risk aversion shocks," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    85. Lars A. Lochstoer & Tyler Muir, 2022. "Volatility Expectations and Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(2), pages 1055-1096, April.
    86. Chabi-Yo, Fousseni & Loudis, Johnathan, 2020. "The conditional expected market return," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(3), pages 752-786.
    87. Mathieu Fournier & Kris Jacobs & Piotr Orłowski, 2024. "Modeling Conditional Factor Risk Premia Implied by Index Option Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(3), pages 2289-2338, June.

  12. Pindyck, Robert S. & Martin, Ian, 2015. "Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis," CEPR Discussion Papers 10730, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Rick Van der Ploeg & Aart de Zeeuw, 2018. "Pricing Carbon and Adjusting Capital to Fend off Climate Catastrophes," OxCarre Working Papers 207, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    2. Aurland-Bredesen , Kine Josefine, 2017. "Averting catastrophes in a more complex world," Working Paper Series 06-2017, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, School of Economics and Business.
    3. Rachel Glennerster & Christopher M. Snyder & Brandon Joel Tan, 2022. "Calculating the Costs and Benefits of Advance Preparations for Future Pandemics," NBER Working Papers 30565, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. David Anthoff & Richard S. J. Tol, 2021. "Testing the Dismal Theorem," CESifo Working Paper Series 8939, CESifo.
    5. Aurélie Méjean & Antonin Pottier & Stéphane Zuber & Marc Fleurbaey, 2023. "Opposite ethical views converge under the threat of catastrophic climate change," Working Papers halshs-04158009, HAL.
    6. Mathews, Shilpita & Surminski, Swenja & Roezer, Viktor, 2021. "The risk of corporate lock-in to future physical climate risks: the case of flood risk in England and Wales," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112801, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Kolb, Aaron & Conitzer, Vincent, 2020. "Crying about a strategic wolf: A theory of crime and warning," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    8. Braun, Alexander & Braun, Julia & Weigert, Florian, 2023. "Extreme weather risk and the cost of equity," CFR Working Papers 23-08, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    9. Robert S. Pindyck, 2016. "The Social Cost of Carbon Revisited," NBER Working Papers 22807, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Maria Arvaniti & Chandra K. Krishnamurthy & Anne-Sophie Crépin, 2019. "Time-consistent resource management with regime shifts," CER-ETH Economics working paper series 19/329, CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research (CER-ETH) at ETH Zurich.
    11. Ian W.R. Martin & Robert S. Pindyck, 2014. "Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis," NBER Working Papers 20215, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Mathews, Shilpita & Surminski, Swenja & Roezer, Viktor, 2021. "The risk of corporate lock-in to future physical climate risks: the case of flood risk in England and Wales," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112807, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    13. Mavi, Can Askan, 2020. "Can harmful events be another source of environmental traps?," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 29-46.
    14. William Brock & Anastasios Xepapadeas, 2024. "Land-use, climate change and the emergence of infectious diseases: A synthesis," DEOS Working Papers 2409, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    15. Harrison Hong & Neng Wang & Jinqiang Yang, 2020. "Mitigating Disaster Risks in the Age of Climate Change," NBER Working Papers 27066, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Ian Martin & Robert S. Pindyck, 2017. "Averting Catastrophes that Kill," NBER Working Papers 23346, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Ilan Noy & Tomáš Uher, 2022. "Four New Horsemen of an Apocalypse? Solar Flares, Super-volcanoes, Pandemics, and Artificial Intelligence," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 6(2), pages 393-416, July.
    18. Vislie, Jon, 2017. "Resource Extraction and Uncertain Tipping Points," Memorandum 03/2017, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
    19. Ian W R Martin & Robert S Pindyck, 2021. "Welfare Costs of Catastrophes: Lost Consumption and Lost Lives," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(634), pages 946-969.
    20. Sureth Michael & Kalkuhl Matthias & Edenhofer Ottmar & Rockström Johan, 2023. "A Welfare Economic Approach to Planetary Boundaries," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 243(5), pages 477-542, October.
    21. Fankhauser, Samuel & Kotsch, Raphaela & Srivastav, Sugandha, 2020. "The readiness of industry for a transformative recovery from COVID 19," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 106995, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    22. Kine Josefine Aurland-Bredesen, 2020. "The Benefit-Cost Ratio as a Decision Criteria When Managing Catastrophes," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 77(2), pages 345-363, October.
    23. Thomas Douenne, 2020. "Disaster risks, disaster strikes, and economic growth: The role of preferences," Post-Print halshs-02973075, HAL.
    24. Oliver D. Bettis & Simon Dietz & Nick G. Silver, 2017. "The risk of climate ruin," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 140(2), pages 109-118, January.
    25. Per-Olov Johansson & Bengt Kriström, 2015. "On the Social Cost of Water-Related Disasters," Water Economics and Policy (WEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 1(03), pages 1-26.
    26. Trond G. Husby & Elco E. Koks, 2017. "Household migration in disaster impact analysis: incorporating behavioural responses to risk," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 87(1), pages 287-305, May.
    27. Roberto Burguet & József Sákovics, 2019. "Personalized prices and uncertainty in monopsony," Working Papers 2019-01, University of Central Florida, Department of Economics.
    28. Emmanuel Apergis & Nicholas Apergis, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on economic growth: evidence from a Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressive (BPVAR) model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(58), pages 6739-6751, December.
    29. E.V. Popov, 2021. "Drivers of the Economy in the Context of the Coronavirus Pandemic," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 20(1), pages 5-30.
    30. William Brock & Anastasios Xepapadeas, 2023. "Natural world preservation and infectious diseases: Land-use, climate change and innovation," DEOS Working Papers 2319, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    31. Samuel G. Hanson & David S. Scharfstein & Adi Sunderam, 2016. "Fiscal Risk and the Portfolio of Government Programs," NBER Working Papers 22763, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    32. Ramiro de Ávila Peres, 2024. "Social Discounting and the Tragedy of the Horizon: from the Stern-Nordhaus debate to target-consistent prices," Working Papers Series 593, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    33. Steven D. Baker & Burton Hollifield & Emilio Osambela, 2018. "Preventing Controversial Catastrophes," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-052, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    34. Yacov Tsur & Amos Zemel, 2017. "Coping with Multiple Catastrophic Threats," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 68(1), pages 175-196, September.
    35. Wonjun Chang & Thomas F. Rutherford, 2017. "Catastrophic Thresholds, Bayesian Learning And The Robustness Of Climate Policy Recommendations," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(04), pages 1-23, November.
    36. Can Askan Mavi, 2020. "Can harmful events be another source of environmental traps?," Post-Print hal-02880592, HAL.
    37. Rheinberger, Christoph & Treich, Nicolas, 2016. "Attitudes Toward Catastrophe," TSE Working Papers 16-635, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    38. Gerard Meijden & Frederick Ploeg & Cees Withagen, 2017. "Frontiers of Climate Change Economics," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 68(1), pages 1-14, September.
    39. Wrzaczek, Stefan & Kuhn, Michael & Frankovic, Ivan, 2019. "Using age-structure for a multi-stage optimal control model with random switching time," ECON WPS - Working Papers in Economic Theory and Policy 06/2019, TU Wien, Institute of Statistics and Mathematical Methods in Economics, Economics Research Unit.
    40. Heyen, Daniel & Goeschl, Timo & Wiesenfarth , Boris, 2015. "Risk Assessment under Ambiguity: Precautionary Learning vs. Research Pessimism," Working Papers 0605, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    41. Besley, Tim & Dixit, Avinash K., 2017. "Comparing Alternative Policies Against Environmental Catastrophes," CEPR Discussion Papers 11802, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    42. Can Askan Mavi, 2019. "Can harmful events be another source of environmental traps?," CEE-M Working Papers halshs-02141789, CEE-M, Universtiy of Montpellier, CNRS, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro.
    43. Can Askan Mavi, 2019. "Can harmful events be another source of environmental traps?," Working Papers halshs-02141789, HAL.
    44. Owen Cotton‐Barratt & Max Daniel & Anders Sandberg, 2020. "Defence in Depth Against Human Extinction: Prevention, Response, Resilience, and Why They All Matter," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 11(3), pages 271-282, May.
    45. Can Askan Mavi, 2017. "Can a hazardous event be another source of poverty traps ?," Working Papers 2017.14, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
    46. Dirk Broeders & Daniel Dimitrov & Niek Verhoeven, 2024. "Climate-Linked Bonds," Working Papers 817, DNB.
    47. Marshall Burke & Melanie Craxton & Charles D. Kolstad & Chikara Onda, 2016. "Some Research Challenges In The Economics Of Climate Change," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(02), pages 1-14, May.
    48. J. Farmer & Cameron Hepburn & Penny Mealy & Alexander Teytelboym, 2015. "A Third Wave in the Economics of Climate Change," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 62(2), pages 329-357, October.
    49. Mark Pennington, 2021. "Hayek on complexity, uncertainty and pandemic response," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 34(2), pages 203-220, June.

  13. Martin, Ian, 2015. "What is the Expected Return on the Market?," CEPR Discussion Papers 10715, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    Cited by:

    1. Irma Alonso & Pedro Serrano & Antoni Vaello-Sebastià, 2021. "The impact of heterogeneous unconventional monetary policies on the expectations of market crashes," Working Papers 2127, Banco de España.
    2. Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Paul & Kroencke, Tim, 2019. "The FOMC Risk Shift," CEPR Discussion Papers 14037, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Ian W. R. Martin & Christian Wagner, 2019. "What Is the Expected Return on a Stock?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(4), pages 1887-1929, August.
    4. Peter Van Tassel, 2020. "The Law of One Price in Equity Volatility Markets," Staff Reports 953, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    5. Barro, Robert J. & Liao, Gordon Y., 2021. "Rare disaster probability and options pricing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(3), pages 750-769.
    6. Yabei Zhu & Xingguo Luo & Qi Xu, 2023. "Industry variance risk premium, cross‐industry correlation, and expected returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(1), pages 3-32, January.
    7. Faten Ben Bouheni & Manish Tewari, 2023. "Common risk factors and risk–return trade-off for REITs and treasuries," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(5), pages 374-395, September.
    8. Maggiori, Matteo & Lilley, Andrew & Neiman, Brent & Schreger, Jesse, 2020. "Exchange Rate Reconnect," CEPR Discussion Papers 13869, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    9. German Gutierrez, 2018. "Investigating Global Labor and Pro t Shares," 2018 Meeting Papers 165, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    10. Horvath, Jaroslav, 2019. "Isolating the disaster risk premium with equity options," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 138-148.
    11. Bollerslev, Tim & Todorov, Viktor, 2023. "The jump leverage risk premium," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(3).
    12. Grau-Vera, David & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2024. "Risk-adjusted performance of new economy indices and thematic sectors," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    13. Mathias Krogh & Giovanni Pellegrino, "undated". "Real Activity and Uncertainty Shocks: The Long and the Short of It," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0310, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    14. Ding, Ashley, 2021. "A state-preference volatility index for the natural gas market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    15. João Henrique G. Mazzeu & Gloria González-Rivera & Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2020. "A bootstrap approach for generalized Autocontour testing Implications for VIX forecast densities," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(10), pages 971-990, November.
    16. Susanto Basu & Giacomo Candian & Ryan Chahrour & Rosen Valchev, 2021. "Risky Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 28693, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Fousseni Chabi-Yo & Chukwuma Dim & Grigory Vilkov, 2023. "Generalized Bounds on the Conditional Expected Excess Return on Individual Stocks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(2), pages 922-939, February.
    18. Pratish Patel & Andrew Raquel & Savannah Chadwick, 2024. "The cash-secured put-write strategy and the variance risk premium," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(1), pages 31-50, February.
    19. Aeimit Lakdawala & Michael Bauer & Philippe Mueller, 2019. "Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty," 2019 Meeting Papers 1403, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    20. Serrano, Pedro & Vaello-Sebastià, Antoni & Vich-Llompart, M. Magdalena, 2024. "The international linkages of market risk perception," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    21. Jensen, Christian Skov & Lando, David & Pedersen, Lasse Heje, 2019. "Generalized recovery," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 154-174.
    22. Elkamhi, Redouane & Jo, Chanik, 2023. "Asset holders’ consumption risk and tests of conditional CCAPM," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(3), pages 220-244.
    23. Ko Adachi & Kazuhiro Hiraki & Tomiyuki Kitamura, 2021. "Supplementary Paper Series for the "Assessment" (1): The Effects of the Bank of Japan's ETF Purchases on Risk Premia in the Stock Markets," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 21-E-3, Bank of Japan.
    24. Grace Xing Hu & Jun Pan & Jiang Wang & Haoxiang Zhu, 2019. "Premium for Heightened Uncertainty: Explaining Pre-Announcement Market Returns," NBER Working Papers 25817, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    25. Faria, Gonçalo & Verona, Fabio, 2020. "The yield curve and the stock market: Mind the long run," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    26. Andreas Schrimpf & Semyon Malamud, 2017. "Intermediation Markups and Monetary Policy Passthrough," 2017 Meeting Papers 812, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    27. Geert Bekaert & Eric C. Engstrom & Nancy R. Xu, 2019. "The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 25673, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Juan M. Londono & Mehrdad Samadi, 2023. "The Price of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Evidence from Daily Options," International Finance Discussion Papers 1376, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    29. Manuel Ammann & Alexander Feser, 2019. "Robust Estimation of Risk-Neutral Moments," Working Papers on Finance 1902, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
    30. Đukić Aleksandar & Štaka Mirjana & Drašković Dajana, 2021. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Macroeconomic Aggregates of the European Union," Economics, Sciendo, vol. 9(2), pages 91-108, December.
    31. Attílio, Luccas Assis & Mollick, André Varella, 2024. "Assessing the baseline model of WTI oil and stock returns under financial volatility and spillover effects," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    32. Bevilacqua, Mattia & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2020. "Options-based systemic risk, financial distress, and macroeconomic downturns," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118850, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    33. Roberto Marfe & Julien Penasse, 2024. "Measuring Macroeconomic Tail Risk," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 715 JEL Classification: E, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    34. Jeffrey Hoopes & Patrick Langetieg & Stefan Nagel & Daniel Reck & Joel Slemrod & Bryan Stuart, 2016. "Who Sold During the Crash of 2008-9? Evidence from Tax-Return Data on Daily Sales of Stock," NBER Working Papers 22209, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    35. Kremens, Lukas & Martin, Ian, 2019. "The quanto theory of exchange rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 89839, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
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  14. Ian Martin, 2011. "The Lucas Orchard," NBER Working Papers 17563, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Francesco Bianchi, 2015. "The Great Depression and the Great Recession: A View from Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 21056, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Coeurdacier, Nicolas & Guibaud, Stéphane, 2011. "International portfolio diversification is better than you think," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 289-308, March.
    3. Paul Ehling & Christian Heyerdahl-Larsen, 2017. "Correlations," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(6), pages 1919-1937, June.
    4. Wang, Hailong & Hu, Duni & Ma, Chaoqun & Cheng, Fengchao, 2020. "Disagreements with noisy signals and asset pricing," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    5. Tarek Alexander Hassan, 2012. "Country Size, Currency Unions, and International Asset Returns," NBER Working Papers 18057, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Bai, Hang & Hou, Kewei & Kung, Howard & Li, Erica X.N. & Zhang, Lu, 2019. "The CAPM strikes back? An equilibrium model with disasters," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(2), pages 269-298.
    7. Elena Asparouhova & Peter Bossaerts & Nilanjan Roy & William Zame, 2016. "“Lucas” in the Laboratory," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(6), pages 2727-2780, December.
    8. Jorge M. Uribe, 2018. "“Scaling Down Downside Risk with Inter-Quantile Semivariances”," IREA Working Papers 201826, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Oct 2018.
    9. Christoph Meinerding, 2012. "Asset Allocation And Asset Pricing In The Face Of Systemic Risk: A Literature Overview And Assessment," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(03), pages 1-27.
    10. Diasakos, Theodoros M, 2013. "A Simple Characterization of Dynamic Completeness in Continuous Time," SIRE Discussion Papers 2013-91, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    11. Curatola, Giuliano, 2017. "Portfolio choice and asset prices when preferences are interdependent," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 197-223.
    12. Vedolin, Andrea, 2012. "Uncertainty and leveraged Lucas Trees: the cross section of equilibrium volatility risk premia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 43091, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    13. Lundtofte, Frederik & Wilhelmsson, Anders, 2011. "Idiosyncratic Risk and Higher-Order Cumulants," Working Papers 2011:33, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    14. Jordi Mondria & Climent Quintana‐Domeque, 2013. "Financial Contagion and Attention Allocation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 123(568), pages 429-454, May.
    15. Tarek Alexander Hassan, 2010. "Country Size, Currency Areas, and International Asset Returns," 2010 Meeting Papers 365, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    16. Christian Gollier, 2021. "The Welfare Cost of Ignoring the Beta," Working Papers 2021.03, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    17. Li, Kai, 2021. "Nonlinear effect of sentiment on momentum," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    18. Herrmann, Sabine & Kleinert, Jörn, 2014. "Lucas paradox and allocation puzzle: Is the euro area different?," Discussion Papers 06/2014, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    19. Rigobon, Roberto, 2016. "Contagion, spillover and interdependence," Working Paper Series 1975, European Central Bank.
    20. Ebrahim, M. Shahid & Jaafar, Aziz & Omar, Fatma A. & Salleh, Murizah Osman, 2016. "Can Islamic injunctions indemnify the structural flaws of securitized debt?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 271-286.
    21. Faria, Gonçalo & Kosowski, Robert & Wang, Tianyu, 2022. "The Correlation Risk Premium: International Evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    22. Yu Chen & Thomas Cosimano & Alex Himonas, 2010. "Continuous time one-dimensional asset-pricing models with analytic price–dividend functions," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 42(3), pages 461-503, March.
    23. Sabine Elmiger, 2019. "CAPM-anomalies: quantitative puzzles," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 68(3), pages 643-667, October.
    24. Sandoval Paucar, Giovanny, 2021. "A Conditional Correlation Analysis For The Colombian Stock Market," MPRA Paper 107963, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    25. Ma, Chaoqun & Wang, Hailong & Cheng, Fengchao & Hu, Duni, 2017. "Asset pricing and institutional investors with disagreements," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 231-248.
    26. Harjoat Bhamra & Nicolas Coeurdacier & Stéphane Guibaud, 2014. "A Dynamic Equilibrium Model of Imperfectly Integrated Financial Markets," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03393013, HAL.
    27. Ian W. R. Martin, 2008. "Disasters and the Welfare Cost of Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 74-78, May.
    28. Adam Farago & Erik Hjalmarsson, 2023. "Small Rebalanced Portfolios Often Beat the Market over Long Horizons," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 13(2), pages 307-342.
    29. Paolo Guasoni & Kwok Chuen Wong, 2020. "Asset prices in segmented and integrated markets," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 939-980, October.
    30. Santos, Tano & Veronesi, Pietro, 2010. "Habit formation, the cross section of stock returns and the cash-flow risk puzzle," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(2), pages 385-413, November.
    31. Grégoire, Vincent, 2020. "The rise of passive investing and index-linked comovement," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    32. Ravi Bansal & Amir Yaron & Colin Ward, 2018. "Shifts in Sectoral Wealth Shares and Risk Premia: What Explains Them?," 2018 Meeting Papers 599, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    33. Chabakauri, Georgy & Rytchkov, Oleg, 2021. "Asset pricing with index investing," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 105749, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    34. Rigobon, Roberto & Pavlova, Anna, 2011. "International Macro-Finance," CEPR Discussion Papers 8218, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    35. Caporin, Massimiliano & Pelizzon, Loriana & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Rigobon, Roberto, 2015. "Measuring sovereign contagion in Europe," SAFE Working Paper Series 103, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    36. Chabakauri, Georgy, 2010. "Asset pricing with heterogeneous investors and portfolio constraints," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 43142, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    37. Ian Martin, 2011. "The Forward Premium Puzzle in a Two-Country World," NBER Working Papers 17564, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    38. Roussanov, Nikolai, 2014. "Composition of wealth, conditioning information, and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(2), pages 352-380.
    39. Chabakauri, Georgy & Rytchkov, Oleg, 2014. "Asset pricing with index investing," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 60739, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    40. Sandoval Paucar, Giovanny, 2018. "Contagio Financiero: Una Breve Revisión De Literatura [Financial Contagio: A Review Literature]," MPRA Paper 89554, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    41. Chabakauri, Georgy & Rytchkov, Oleg, 2021. "Asset pricing with index investing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 195-216.
    42. Diogo Duarte & Rodolfo Prieto & Marcel Rindisbacher & Yuri F. Saporito, 2022. "Vanishing Contagion Spreads," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(1), pages 740-772, January.
    43. Fischer, Thomas & Lundtofte, Frederik, 2020. "Unequal returns: Using the Atkinson index to measure financial risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    44. Adem Atmaz & Suleyman Basak, 2018. "Belief Dispersion in the Stock Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 73(3), pages 1225-1279, June.
    45. Simon Oh & Jessica A. Wachter, 2018. "Cross-sectional Skewness," NBER Working Papers 25113, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    46. Hansen, Simon Lysbjerg, 2015. "Cross-sectional asset pricing with heterogeneous preferences and beliefs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 125-151.
    47. Kozak, Serhiy, 2022. "Dynamics of bond and stock returns," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 188-209.
    48. Chabakauri, Georgy, 2012. "Asset pricing with heterogeneous investors and portfolio constraints," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119046, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    49. Sandoval Paucar, Giovanny, 2019. "Modelación de la correlación condicional para el mercado bursátil colombiano: una aplicación de DCC – MGARCH [Modeling of the conditional correlation for the Colombian stock market: a DCC applicati," MPRA Paper 92534, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Mar 2019.
    50. Calvet, Laurent E. & Betermier, Sebastien & Jo, Evan, 2019. "A Supply and Demand Approach to Equity Pricing," CEPR Discussion Papers 13974, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    51. Georgy Chabakauri, 2012. "Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Investors and Portfolio Constraints," 2012 Meeting Papers 636, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    52. Schneider, Paul, 2019. "An anatomy of the market return," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 325-350.
    53. Chabakauri, Georgy, 2015. "Dynamic equilibrium with rare events and heterogeneous Epstein-Zin investors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 60737, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    54. Curatola, Giuliano, 2016. "Preference evolution and the dynamics of capital markets," SAFE Working Paper Series 128, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    55. Xavier Gabaix, 2008. "Variable Rare Disasters: An Exactly Solved Framework for Ten Puzzles in Macro-Finance," NBER Working Papers 13724, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    56. Lanlan Luo & Shou Chen & Ziran Zou, 2020. "Determining the Generalized Discount Rate for Risky Projects," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 77(1), pages 143-158, September.
    57. Akira Yamazaki, 2015. "Asset Pricing With Non-Geometric Type Of Dividends," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(02), pages 1-38, December.
    58. Akira Yamazaki, 2017. "Equilibrium Equity Price With Optimal Dividend Policy," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(02), pages 1-28, March.
    59. Chabakauri, Georgy, 2015. "Dynamic equilibrium with rare events and heterogeneous epstein-zin investors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 62003, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

  15. Ian Martin, 2011. "The Forward Premium Puzzle in a Two-Country World," NBER Working Papers 17564, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Mueller, Philippe & Stathopoulos, Andreas & Vedolin, Andrea, 2017. "International correlation risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 84140, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Semyon Malamud & Andreas Schrimpf, 2018. "An intermediation-based model of exchange rates," BIS Working Papers 743, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Katrin Rabitsch, 2014. "An Incomplete Markets Explanation to the UIP Puzzle," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp171, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    4. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens & Tony Zhang, 2015. "Not so disconnected: exchange rates and the capital stock," Working Paper Series 2015-21, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    5. Matteo Maggiori, 2012. "Financial Intermediation, International Risk Sharing, and Reserve Currencies," 2012 Meeting Papers 146, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Kremens, Lukas & Martin, Ian, 2019. "The quanto theory of exchange rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 89839, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Christoph Meinerding, 2012. "Asset Allocation And Asset Pricing In The Face Of Systemic Risk: A Literature Overview And Assessment," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(03), pages 1-27.
    8. Emmanuel Farhi & Xavier Gabaix, "undated". "Rare Disasters and Exchange Rates," Working Paper 71001, Harvard University OpenScholar.
    9. Stefano Bosi & Patrice Fontaine & Cuong Le Van, 2021. "Long-run equilibrium in international assets and goods markets: Why is the Law of One Price required?," Post-Print hal-03330856, HAL.
    10. Weithing Zhang & Thomas Mertens & Tarek Hassan, 2014. "Currency Manipulation," 2014 Meeting Papers 401, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    11. Tarek A Hassan & Rui C Mano, 2019. "Forward and Spot Exchange Rates in a Multi-Currency World," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 134(1), pages 397-450.
    12. Rabitsch, Katrin, 2014. "An Incomplete Markets Explanation to the UIP Puzzle," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 171, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    13. Robert Ready & Nikolai Roussanov & Colin Ward, 2017. "Commodity Trade and the Carry Trade: A Tale of Two Countries," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 72(6), pages 2629-2684, December.
    14. Tarek A. Hassan & Thomas M. Mertens & Tony Zhang, 2016. "A Risk-based Theory of Exchange Rate Stabilization," NBER Working Papers 22790, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Ready, Robert & Roussanov, Nikolai & Ward, Colin, 2017. "After the tide: Commodity currencies and global trade," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 69-86.
    16. Zhengyang Jiang, 2019. "US Fiscal Cycle and the Dollar," 2019 Meeting Papers 667, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. Antoine GODIN & Sakir-Devrim YILMAZ, 2020. "Modelling Small Open Developing Economies in a Financialized World: A Stock-Flow Consistent Prototype Growth Model," Working Paper 5eb7e0e8-560f-4ce6-91a5-5, Agence française de développement.

  16. Ian Martin, 2011. "Simple Variance Swaps," NBER Working Papers 16884, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Paul Schneider & Christian Wagner & Josef Zechner, 2019. "Low Risk Anomalies?," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 19-50, Swiss Finance Institute.
    2. Yabei Zhu & Xingguo Luo & Qi Xu, 2023. "Industry variance risk premium, cross‐industry correlation, and expected returns," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(1), pages 3-32, January.
    3. Della Corte, Pasquale & Ramadorai, Tarun & Sarno, Lucio, 2016. "Volatility risk premia and exchange rate predictability," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 21-40.
    4. Giulia Di Nunno & Kk{e}stutis Kubilius & Yuliya Mishura & Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko, 2023. "From constant to rough: A survey of continuous volatility modeling," Papers 2309.01033, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    5. Tung-Lam Dao & Trung-Tu Nguyen & Cyril Deremble & Yves Lemp'eri`ere & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Marc Potters, 2016. "Tail protection for long investors: Trend convexity at work," Papers 1607.02410, arXiv.org.
    6. Zhou, Yinggang, 2014. "Modeling the joint dynamics of risk-neutral stock index and bond yield volatilities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 216-228.
    7. Cong Ma & Mui Yee Cheok, 2023. "Relationship among Covid-19, stock price and green finance markets pragmatic evidence from volatility dynamics," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 265-295, February.
    8. Stefano De Marco & Caroline Hillairet & Antoine Jacquier, 2013. "Shapes of implied volatility with positive mass at zero," Papers 1310.1020, arXiv.org, revised May 2017.
    9. Konstantinidi, Eirini & Skiadopoulos, George, 2016. "How does the market variance risk premium vary over time? Evidence from S&P 500 variance swap investment returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 62-75.
    10. Turan G. Bali & Hao Zhou, 2011. "Risk, uncertainty, and expected returns," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2011-45, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    11. Lynn Boen & Florence Guillaume, 2020. "Towards a $$\Delta $$Δ-Gamma Sato multivariate model," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 1-39, April.
    12. Petar Sabtchevsky & Paul Whelan & Andrea Vedolin & Philippe Mueller, 2017. "Variance Risk Premia on Stocks and Bonds," 2017 Meeting Papers 1161, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. John R. Birge, 2015. "OM Forum—Operations and Finance Interactions," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 17(1), pages 4-15, February.
    14. Filipović, Damir & Gourier, Elise & Mancini, Loriano, 2016. "Quadratic variance swap models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 44-68.
    15. Silvia Muzzioli, 2013. "The Information Content of Option-Based Forecasts of Volatility: Evidence from the Italian Stock Market," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(01), pages 1-46.
    16. Maria Elvira Mancino & Simone Scotti & Giacomo Toscano, 2020. "Is the variance swap rate affine in the spot variance? Evidence from S&P500 data," Papers 2004.04015, arXiv.org.
    17. Carol Alexander & Johannes Rauch, 2014. "Model-Free Discretisation-Invariant Swaps and S&P 500 Higher-Moment Risk Premia," Papers 1404.1351, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2016.
    18. Seungmook Choi & Hongtao Yang, 2019. "Model-Free Implied Volatility under Jump-Diffusion Models," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 16, pages 1-14, May.
    19. Bondarenko, Oleg, 2014. "Variance trading and market price of variance risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 180(1), pages 81-97.
    20. Carol Alexander & Johannes Rauch, 2016. "Model-Free Discretisation-Invariant Swap Contracts," Papers 1602.00235, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2016.
    21. Martin, Ian, 2016. "What is the expected return on the market?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119013, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    22. Warren Bailey & Lin Zheng & Yinggang Zhou, 2012. "What Makes the VIX Tick?," Working Papers 222012, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    23. Jeremy Graveline & Irina Zviadadze & Mikhail Chernov, 2012. "Crash Risk in Currency Returns," 2012 Meeting Papers 753, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    24. Ian Martin, 2011. "The Forward Premium Puzzle in a Two-Country World," NBER Working Papers 17564, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    25. David Hobson & Martin Klimmek, 2011. "Model independent hedging strategies for variance swaps," Papers 1104.4010, arXiv.org, revised May 2011.
    26. Philippe Mueller & Andrea Vedolin & Yu-min Yen, 2012. "Bond Variance Risk Premia," FMG Discussion Papers dp699, Financial Markets Group.
    27. Stefano De Marco & Caroline Hillairet & Antoine Jacquier, 2017. "Shapes of implied volatility with positive mass at zero," Working Papers 2017-77, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    28. David Hobson & Martin Klimmek, 2012. "Model-independent hedging strategies for variance swaps," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 611-649, October.
    29. Karamfil Todorov, 2021. "Passive funds affect prices: evidence from the most ETF-dominated asset classes," BIS Working Papers 952, Bank for International Settlements.
    30. Peter Van Tassel, 2017. "Global Variance Term Premia and Intermediary Risk Appetite," 2017 Meeting Papers 149, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    31. Fernando Alvarez, 2018. "A three mutual fund separation theorem," 2018 Meeting Papers 1066, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    32. Bjørn Eraker & Aoxiang Yang, 2022. "The Price of Higher Order Catastrophe Insurance: The Case of VIX Options," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(6), pages 3289-3337, December.
    33. John, Kose & Li, Jingrui, 2021. "COVID-19, volatility dynamics, and sentiment trading," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    34. Gourieroux, C. & Monfort, A., 2015. "Pricing with finite dimensional dependence," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 408-417.
    35. Chernov, Mikhail & Graveline, Jeremy & Zviadadze, Irina, 2012. "Sources of Risk in Currency Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 8745, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    36. Hoyong Choi & Philippe Mueller & Andrea Vedolin, 2017. "Bond Variance Risk Premiums," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 21(3), pages 987-1022.
    37. Enrique Sentana, 2018. "Volatility, Diversification and Contagion," Working Papers wp2018_1803, CEMFI.
    38. Cui, Zhenyu & Lars Kirkby, J. & Nguyen, Duy, 2017. "A general framework for discretely sampled realized variance derivatives in stochastic volatility models with jumps," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(1), pages 381-400.
    39. Laurent Barras & Aytek Malkhozov, 2015. "Does variance risk have two prices? Evidence from the equity and option markets," BIS Working Papers 521, Bank for International Settlements.
    40. Buss, Adrian & Vilkov, Grigory & ,, 2018. "Expected Correlation and Future Market Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 12760, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

  17. Ian Martin, 2010. "The Valuation of Long-Dated Assets," NBER Working Papers 16219, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Christian Gollier, 2013. "Asset Pricing with Uncertain Betas: A Long-Term Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series 4072, CESifo.
    2. Gollier, Christian, 2013. "A theory of rational short-termism with uncertain betas," TSE Working Papers 13-389, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    3. Anna Battauz & Marzia Donno & Alessandro Sbuelz, 2017. "Reaching nirvana with a defaultable asset?," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 40(1), pages 31-52, November.
    4. Guerra Vallejos, Ernesto & Bobenrieth Hochfarber, Eugenio & Bobenrieth Hochfarber, Juan & Wright, Brian D., 2021. "Solving dynamic stochastic models with multiple occasionally binding constraints," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    5. Campbell, John Y. & Sigalov, Roman, 2022. "Portfolio choice with sustainable spending: A model of reaching for yield," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 188-206.
    6. Gollier, Christian, 2019. "Valuation of natural capital under uncertain substitutability," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 54-66.
    7. Kent D. Daniel & Robert B. Litterman & Gernot Wagner, 2016. "Applying Asset Pricing Theory to Calibrate the Price of Climate Risk," NBER Working Papers 22795, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Arpit Gupta & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Valuing Private Equity Investments Strip by Strip," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(6), pages 3255-3307, December.
    9. Jason Beeler & John Y. Campbell, 2009. "The Long-Run Risks Model and Aggregate Asset Prices: An Empirical Assessment," NBER Working Papers 14788, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Ian Martin, 2013. "The Lucas Orchard," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(1), pages 55-111, January.
    11. Dutt, Tanuj & Humphery-Jenner, Mark, 2013. "Stock return volatility, operating performance and stock returns: International evidence on drivers of the ‘low volatility’ anomaly," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 999-1017.
    12. Ralph S.J. Koijen & Hanno Lustig & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2010. "The Cross-Section and Time-Series of Stock and Bond Returns," NBER Working Papers 15688, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. van Binsbergen, Jules H. & Boons, Martijn & Opp, Christian C. & Tamoni, Andrea, 2023. "Dynamic asset (mis)pricing: Build-up versus resolution anomalies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(2), pages 406-431.
    14. Chabi-Yo, Fousseni & Leisen, Dietmar P.J. & Renault, Eric, 2014. "Aggregation of preferences for skewed asset returns," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 453-489.
    15. Lu, Yueliang (Jacques) & Tian, Weidong, 2023. "An on-line machine learning return prediction," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    16. ARIKAWA Yasuhiro & Vikas MEHROTRA, 2021. "Distribution of Long-run Stock Returns: Evidence from Japan and the US," Discussion papers 21084, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    17. Christian Gollier, 2024. "Evaluating sustainability actions under uncertainty: the role of improbable extreme scenarios," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 49(1), pages 59-74, March.
    18. Martin L. Weitzman, 2012. "Rare Disasters, Tail-Hedged Investments, and Risk-Adjusted Discount Rates," NBER Working Papers 18496, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Haim Levy, 2016. "Aging Population, Retirement, and Risk Taking," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(5), pages 1415-1430, May.
    20. Weidong Tian, 2021. "Long Run Law and Entropy," Papers 2111.06238, arXiv.org.
    21. Bessembinder, Hendrik, 2018. "Do stocks outperform Treasury bills?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(3), pages 440-457.

  18. Ian Martin, 2010. "Consumption-Based Asset Pricing with Higher Cumulants," NBER Working Papers 16153, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Cited by:

    1. Xavier Gabaix & Samuel Fraiberg & Romain Ranciere & Adrien Verdehlha & Emmanuel Farhi, 2010. "Crash Risk in Currency Market," 2010 Meeting Papers 640, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. van der Ploeg, Frederick & ,, 2018. "Pricing Carbon Under Economic and Climactic Risks: Leading-Order Results from Asymptotic Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 12642, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Francesco Bianchi, 2015. "The Great Depression and the Great Recession: A View from Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 21056, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Bruno Feunou & Jean-Sébastien Fontaine & Abderrahim Taamouti & Roméo Tédongap, 2014. "Risk Premium, Variance Premium, and the Maturity Structure of Uncertainty," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(1), pages 219-269.
    5. Verdelhan, Adrien & Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn & Lustig, Hanno, 2012. "The Wealth-Consumption Ratio," CEPR Discussion Papers 9022, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Marianne Andries & Milo Bianchi & Karen Huynh & Sébastien Pouget, 2024. "Return Predictability, Expectations, and Investment: Experimental Evidence," Post-Print hal-04680777, HAL.
    7. RUGE-MURCIA, Francisco J., 2012. "Skewness Risk and Bond Prices," Cahiers de recherche 2012-14, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    8. Rick Van der Ploeg & Ton S. Van den Bremer, 2018. "The Risk-Adjusted Carbon Price," OxCarre Working Papers 203, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    9. Backus, David & Chernov, Mikhail & Martin, Ian, 2009. "Disasters implied by equity index options," CEPR Discussion Papers 7416, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Christian Gollier, 2013. "Asset Pricing with Uncertain Betas: A Long-Term Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series 4072, CESifo.
    11. Gluzberg, Victor E. & Katz, Yuri A., 2019. "Planetary boundaries of consumption growth: Declining social discount rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 362-374.
    12. Gollier, Christian, 2013. "A theory of rational short-termism with uncertain betas," TSE Working Papers 13-389, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    13. Albert S. (Pete) & Karamfil Todorov, 2023. "The cumulant risk premium," BIS Working Papers 1128, Bank for International Settlements.
    14. Domino, Krzysztof, 2020. "Multivariate cumulants in outlier detection for financial data analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 558(C).
    15. François Gourio, 2013. "Credit Risk and Disaster Risk," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(3), pages 1-34, July.
    16. Chaigneau, Pierre & Eeckhoudt, Louis, 2016. "Downside risk neutral probabilities," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118980, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    17. Roberto Marfe & Julien Penasse, 2024. "Measuring Macroeconomic Tail Risk," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 715 JEL Classification: E, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    18. Kremens, Lukas & Martin, Ian, 2019. "The quanto theory of exchange rates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 89839, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    19. David Backus & Nina Boyarchenko & Mikhail Chernov, 2016. "Term structures of asset prices and returns," Working Papers 16-08, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    20. Ian W.R. Martin & Robert S. Pindyck, 2014. "Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis," NBER Working Papers 20215, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Erickson, Timothy & Jiang, Colin Huan & Whited, Toni M., 2014. "Minimum distance estimation of the errors-in-variables model using linear cumulant equations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 183(2), pages 211-221.
    22. Jessica Wachter, 2008. "Can Time-Varying Risk of Rare Disasters Explain Aggregate Stock Market Volatility?," NBER Working Papers 14386, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    23. Gao, Can & Martin, Ian, 2021. "Volatility, valuation ratios, and bubbles: An empirical measure of market sentiment," SAFE Working Paper Series 312, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    24. Charles Engel, 2015. "Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium," NBER Working Papers 21042, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    25. Katz, Yuri A., 2017. "Value of the distant future: Model-independent results," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 466(C), pages 269-276.
    26. Charles Engel, 2011. "The Real Exchange Rate, Real Interest Rates, and the Risk Premium," Working Papers 272011, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    27. McMahon, Michael & , & Tong, Matthew, 2019. "The Long-Run Information Effect of Central Bank Communication," CEPR Discussion Papers 13438, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    28. Michal Czerwonko & Stylianos Perrakis, 2016. "Portfolio Selection with Transaction Costs and Jump-Diffusion Asset Dynamics II: Economic Implications," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 6(04), pages 1-28, December.
    29. Kwon, Ji Ho, 2019. "Tail risk and the consumption CAPM," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 69-75.
    30. Ivan Shaliastovich & George Tauchen, 2010. "Pricing of the Time-Change Risks," Working Papers 10-10, Duke University, Department of Economics.
    31. Gollier, Christian, 2012. "Evaluation of long-dated investments under uncertain growth trend, volatility and catastrophes," IDEI Working Papers 754, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse, revised Sep 2015.
    32. Lundtofte, Frederik & Wilhelmsson, Anders, 2011. "Idiosyncratic Risk and Higher-Order Cumulants," Working Papers 2011:33, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    33. Jason Beeler & John Y. Campbell, 2009. "The Long-Run Risks Model and Aggregate Asset Prices: An Empirical Assessment," NBER Working Papers 14788, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    34. Ian Martin, 2013. "The Lucas Orchard," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(1), pages 55-111, January.
    35. Ian Martin & Robert S. Pindyck, 2017. "Averting Catastrophes that Kill," NBER Working Papers 23346, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    36. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak & Michal Pakos, 2014. "Learning about Rare Disasters: Implications for Consumptions and Asset Prices," CEU Working Papers 2014_2, Department of Economics, Central European University.
    37. Michael Hasler & Roberto Marfè, 2015. "Disaster Recovery and the Term Structure of Dividend Strips," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 410, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    38. Lundtofte, Frederik & Wilhelmsson, Anders, 2013. "Risk premia: Exact solutions vs. log-linear approximations," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4256-4264.
    39. Ian W R Martin & Robert S Pindyck, 2021. "Welfare Costs of Catastrophes: Lost Consumption and Lost Lives," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(634), pages 946-969.
    40. Richard Kihlstrom & Christian Gollier, 2016. "Early resolution of uncertainty and asset prices," 2016 Meeting Papers 475, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    41. Caio Almeida & René Garcia, 2017. "Economic Implications of Nonlinear Pricing Kernels," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(10), pages 3361-3380, October.
    42. Bednarek, Ziemowit & Patel, Pratish, 2014. "Moral hazard with the (unlikely) possibility of catastrophes," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(3), pages 386-388.
    43. Hamed Ghanbari & Michael Oancea & Stylianos Perrakis, 2021. "Shedding light on a dark matter: Jump diffusion and option‐implied investor preferences," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 27(2), pages 244-286, March.
    44. Christian Gollier & Frederick van der Ploeg & Jiakun Zheng, 2022. "The discounting premium puzzle: survey evidence from professional economists," Economics Series Working Papers 976, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    45. Gollier, Christian, 2012. "Evaluation of long-dated assets : The role of parameter uncertainty," TSE Working Papers 12-361, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Sep 2015.
    46. Kine Josefine Aurland-Bredesen, 2020. "The Benefit-Cost Ratio as a Decision Criteria When Managing Catastrophes," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 77(2), pages 345-363, October.
    47. Fu, Qi & So, Jacky Yuk-Chow & Li, Xiaotong, 2024. "Stable paretian distribution, return generating processes and habit formation—The implication for equity premium puzzle," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    48. Ruan, Xinfeng & Zhang, Jin E., 2018. "Risk-neutral moments in the crude oil market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 583-600.
    49. Martin, Ian, 2016. "What is the expected return on the market?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119013, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    50. Ian Martin, 2010. "The Valuation of Long-Dated Assets," NBER Working Papers 16219, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    51. Bianchi, Francesco, 2015. "Rare Events, Financial Crises, and the Cross-Section of Asset Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 10520, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    52. Wang, Yuanping & Mu, Congming, 2019. "Can ambiguity about rare disasters explain equity premium puzzle?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1-1.
    53. Emmanuel Farhi & Francois Gourio, 2018. "Accounting for Macro-Finance Trends: Market Power, Intangibles, and Risk Premia," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 49(2 (Fall)), pages 147-250.
    54. Jin E. Zhang & Eric C. Chang & Huimin Zhao, 2020. "Market Excess Returns, Variance and the Third Cumulant," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 20(3), pages 605-637, September.
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    118. Yiqun Mou & Lars A. Lochstoer & Michael Johannes, 2011. "Learning about Consumption Dynamics," 2011 Meeting Papers 306, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    119. Weidong Tian, 2021. "Long Run Law and Entropy," Papers 2111.06238, arXiv.org.
    120. Ayala, Astrid & Blazsek, Szabolcs, 2019. "Maximum likelihood estimation of score-driven models with dynamic shape parameters : an application to Monte Carlo value-at-risk," UC3M Working papers. Economics 28638, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    121. Zhanyu Chen & Kai Zhang & Hongbiao Zhao, 2022. "A Skellam market model for loan prime rate options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 525-551, March.
    122. Grammig, Joachim & Sönksen, Jantje, 2014. "Consumption-based asset pricing with rare disaster risk," CFS Working Paper Series 480, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).

Articles

  1. Ian W. R. Martin & Dimitris Papadimitriou, 2022. "Sentiment and Speculation in a Market with Heterogeneous Beliefs," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(8), pages 2465-2517, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Martin, Ian W.R. & Nagel, Stefan, 2022. "Market efficiency in the age of big data," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(1), pages 154-177.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Niels J. Gormsen & Ralph S. J. Koijen & Ian W. R. Martin, 2021. "Implied Dividend Volatility and Expected Growth," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 111, pages 361-365, May.

    Cited by:

    1. MORIKAWA Masayuki, 2022. "Uncertainty of Firms' Medium-term Outlook during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Discussion papers 22079, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    2. Benjamin Knox & Annette Vissing-Jorgensen, 2022. "A Stock Return Decomposition Using Observables," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2022-014, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Arteaga-Garavito, Maria Jose & Croce, Mariano M. & Farroni, Paolo & Wolfskeil, Isabella, 2024. "When the markets get CO.V.I.D: COntagion, Viruses, and Information Diffusion," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).

  4. Can Gao & Ian W. R. Martin, 2021. "Volatility, Valuation Ratios, and Bubbles: An Empirical Measure of Market Sentiment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(6), pages 3211-3254, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  5. Ian Martin, 2021. "On the Autocorrelation of the Stock Market [X-CAPM: An Extrapolative Capital Asset Pricing Model]," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(1), pages 39-52.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Ian W R Martin & Robert S Pindyck, 2021. "Welfare Costs of Catastrophes: Lost Consumption and Lost Lives," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(634), pages 946-969.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Martin, Ian W. R. & Ross, Stephen A., 2019. "Notes on the yield curve," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(3), pages 689-702.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Lukas Kremens & Ian Martin, 2019. "The Quanto Theory of Exchange Rates," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(3), pages 810-843, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  9. Ian W. R. Martin & Christian Wagner, 2019. "What Is the Expected Return on a Stock?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(4), pages 1887-1929, August.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Ian Martin, 2017. "What is the Expected Return on the Market?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(1), pages 367-433.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  11. Ian W. R. Martin & Robert S. Pindyck, 2015. "Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(10), pages 2947-2985, October.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Ian Martin, 2013. "The Lucas Orchard," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(1), pages 55-111, January.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  13. Ian W. Martin, 2013. "Consumption-Based Asset Pricing with Higher Cumulants," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 80(2), pages 745-773.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  14. Ian Martin, 2012. "On the Valuation of Long-Dated Assets," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 120(2), pages 346-358.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  15. David Backus & Mikhail Chernov & Ian Martin, 2011. "Disasters Implied by Equity Index Options," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(6), pages 1969-2012, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  16. Ian W. R. Martin, 2008. "Disasters and the Welfare Cost of Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 74-78, May.

    Cited by:

    1. Lewis, Karen K. & Liu, Edith X., 2017. "Disaster risk and asset returns: An international perspective," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(S1), pages 42-58.
    2. Aurélie Méjean & Antonin Pottier & Stéphane Zuber & Marc Fleurbaey, 2020. "Intergenerational equity under catastrophic climate change," Working Papers halshs-03029883, HAL.
    3. Tim Bollerslev & Viktor Todorov, 2010. "Tails, Fears and Risk Premia," Working Papers 10-33, Duke University, Department of Economics.
    4. Kent D. Daniel & Robert B. Litterman & Gernot Wagner, 2016. "Applying Asset Pricing Theory to Calibrate the Price of Climate Risk," NBER Working Papers 22795, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Erwann Michel-Kerjan, 2013. "Finance des risques catastrophiques. Le marché américain est en plein bouleversement," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 64(4), pages 615-634.
    6. Aurélie Méjean & Antonin Pottier & Marc Fleurbaey & Stéphane Zuber, 2020. "Catastrophic climate change, population ethics and intergenerational equity," Post-Print halshs-01599453, HAL.
    7. Robert S. Pindyck, 2016. "The Social Cost of Carbon Revisited," NBER Working Papers 22807, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Ian W.R. Martin & Robert S. Pindyck, 2014. "Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis," NBER Working Papers 20215, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Shaffer, Sherrill & Hasan, Iftekhar & Zhou, Mingming, 2009. "New small firms and dimensions of economic performance," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2009, Bank of Finland.
    10. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2024. "Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 72(1), pages 116-151, March.
    11. Hui Chen & Scott Joslin & Ngoc-Khanh Tran, 2010. "Rare Disasters and Risk Sharing with Heterogeneous Beliefs," NBER Working Papers 16035, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Ian Martin & Robert S. Pindyck, 2017. "Averting Catastrophes that Kill," NBER Working Papers 23346, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Ian W R Martin & Robert S Pindyck, 2021. "Welfare Costs of Catastrophes: Lost Consumption and Lost Lives," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(634), pages 946-969.
    14. Robert S. Pindyck, 2014. "Risk and Return in the Design of Environmental Policy," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 1(3), pages 395-418.
    15. Liu, Yan, 2021. "Index option returns and generalized entropy bounds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(3), pages 1015-1036.
    16. Karim M. Abadir & Adriana Cornea, 2012. "Approximating Moments by Nonlinear Transformations," Working Paper series 22_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    17. Kine Josefine Aurland-Bredesen, 2020. "The Benefit-Cost Ratio as a Decision Criteria When Managing Catastrophes," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 77(2), pages 345-363, October.
    18. Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson & Robert Barro & José Ursúa, 2010. "Crises and Recoveries in an Empirical Model of Consumption Disasters," NBER Working Papers 15920, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2020. "Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered," NBER Working Papers 26962, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Aurland-Bredesen, Kine Josefine, 2021. "The welfare costs of uncertainty: Cross-country evidence," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    21. Qunzi Zhang, 2021. "One hundred years of rare disaster concerns and commodity prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(12), pages 1891-1915, December.
    22. Andreasen Martin M. & Zabczyk Pawel, 2015. "Efficient bond price approximations in non-linear equilibrium-based term structure models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(1), pages 1-33, February.
    23. Martin Andreasen, 2012. "On the Effects of Rare Disasters and Uncertainty Shocks for Risk Premia in Non-Linear DSGE Models," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 15(3), pages 295-316, July.

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