IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/wrk/wrkesp/11.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Machines and Markets : Assessing the Impact of Algorithmic Trading on Financial Market Efficiency

Author

Listed:
  • Garg, Karan

    (University of Warwick)

Abstract

The rise of machine learning has revolutionised finance. Institutions across the world have increasingly turned to data science and machine learning to create trading models without the need for human intervention. This has had various implications for the financial markets that they operate in, including market efficiency. This paper simulates a financial market with agent-based modelling and Monte-Carlo style simulations, to motivate a qualitative discussion about the implications of increased algorithmic trading on financial market efficiency. It finds that algorithmic traders (ATs) can seemingly increase market efficiency through better liquidity management and more complete extraction of information from prices. However, this also comes with increased instability and potential convergence to an unstable equilibrium. The Adaptive Market Hypothesis (Lo, 2004) is suggested as an alternative framework for analysing AT behaviour.

Suggested Citation

  • Garg, Karan, 2021. "Machines and Markets : Assessing the Impact of Algorithmic Trading on Financial Market Efficiency," Warwick-Monash Economics Student Papers 11, Warwick Monash Economics Student Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:wrk:wrkesp:11
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/research/wmesp/manage/11_-_karan_garg.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marc Oliver Rieger & Mei Wang & Thorsten Hens, 2017. "Estimating cumulative prospect theory parameters from an international survey," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 82(4), pages 567-596, April.
    2. Lo, Andrew W. & MacKinlay, A. Craig, 1989. "The size and power of the variance ratio test in finite samples : A Monte Carlo investigation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 203-238, February.
    3. Tversky, Amos & Kahneman, Daniel, 1992. "Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 297-323, October.
    4. Martin, Ian W.R. & Nagel, Stefan, 2022. "Market efficiency in the age of big data," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(1), pages 154-177.
    5. Albert J. Menkveld & Boyan Jovanovic, 2010. "Middlemen in Limit Order Markets," 2010 Meeting Papers 955, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Terrence Hendershott & Ryan Riordan, 2009. "Algorithmic Trading and Information," Working Papers 09-08, NET Institute, revised Aug 2009.
    7. Menkveld, Albert J., 2013. "High frequency trading and the new market makers," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 712-740.
    8. Graham, John R. & Harvey, Campbell R., 2001. "The theory and practice of corporate finance: evidence from the field," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(2-3), pages 187-243, May.
    9. Jonathan Brogaard & Terrence Hendershott & Ryan Riordan, 2014. "High-Frequency Trading and Price Discovery," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(8), pages 2267-2306.
    10. Oliver Linton & Soheil Mahmoodzadeh, 2018. "Implications of High-Frequency Trading for Security Markets," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 237-259, August.
    11. Terrence Hendershott & Charles M. Jones & Albert J. Menkveld, 2011. "Does Algorithmic Trading Improve Liquidity?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(1), pages 1-33, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sánchez Serrano Antonio, 2020. "High-Frequency Trading and Systemic Risk: A Structured Review of Findings and Policies," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 71(3), pages 169-195, December.
    2. Donald B. Keim & Massimo Massa & Bastian von Beschwitz, 2018. "First to \"Read\" the News: New Analytics and Algorithmic Trading," International Finance Discussion Papers 1233, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Brunetti, Celso, 2020. "High frequency traders and the price process," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(1), pages 20-45.
    4. Gerig, Austin & Michayluk, David, 2017. "Automated liquidity provision," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 1-13.
    5. Ramos, Henrique Pinto & Perlin, Marcelo Scherer, 2020. "Does algorithmic trading harm liquidity? Evidence from Brazil," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    6. Viktoria Dalko & Michael H. Wang, 2020. "High-frequency trading: Order-based innovation or manipulation?," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(4), pages 289-298, December.
    7. Álvaro Cartea & José Penalva, 2012. "Where is the Value in High Frequency Trading?," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(03), pages 1-46.
    8. Kang, Jongho & Kang, Jangkoo & Kwon, Kyung Yoon, 2022. "Market versus limit orders of speculative high-frequency traders and price discovery," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    9. Robert J. Kauffman & Yuzhou Hu & Dan Ma, 2015. "Will high-frequency trading practices transform the financial markets in the Asia Pacific Region?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 1-27, December.
    10. George Jiang & Ingrid Lo & Giorgio Valente, 2014. "High-Frequency Trading around Macroeconomic News Announcements: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury Market," Staff Working Papers 14-56, Bank of Canada.
    11. Aggarwal, Nidhi & Panchapagesan, Venkatesh & Thomas, Susan, 2023. "When is the order-to-trade ratio fee effective?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    12. Seddon, Jonathan J.J.M. & Currie, Wendy L., 2017. "A model for unpacking big data analytics in high-frequency trading," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 300-307.
    13. Erdinc Akyildirim & Shaen Corbet & Guzhan Gulay & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Ahmet Sensoy, 2019. "Order Flow Persistence in Equity Spot and Futures Markets: Evidence from a Dynamic Emerging Market," Working Papers 2019-011, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    14. Jakub Kučera, 2013. "Definition, Benefits and Risks of High-Frequency Trading [Vymezení, přínosy a rizika vysokofrekvenčního obchodování]," Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2013(5), pages 3-30.
    15. Albert J. Menkveld & Marius A. Zoican, 2017. "Need for Speed? Exchange Latency and Liquidity," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(4), pages 1188-1228.
    16. Hendershott, Terrence & Menkveld, Albert J., 2014. "Price pressures," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 405-423.
    17. Cécile Bastidon, 2017. "Stock markets fragmentation, volatility and final investors," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 435-451, November.
    18. Giancarlo Corsetti & Romain Lafarguette & Arnaud Mehl, 2019. "Fast Trading and the Virtue of Entropy: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market," Discussion Papers 1914, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    19. Friederich, Sylvain & Payne, Richard, 2015. "Order-to-trade ratios and market liquidity," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 214-223.
    20. Paul Handro & Bogdan Dima, 2024. "Analyzing Financial Markets Efficiency: Insights from a Bibliometric and Content Review," Journal of Financial Studies, Institute of Financial Studies, vol. 16(9), pages 119-175, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Neural Networks ; Agent-Based Modelling ; Efficient Market Hypothesis ; Stock Market Simulation ; Financial Regulation JEL Classification: C45 ; C53 ; G14 ; G17 ; G18;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wrk:wrkesp:11. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Margaret Nash (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dewaruk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.